Cnotes 2019-2020 College Football Trends-News-Notes-Best Bets & Opinions !

[Udog]

Wednesday, January 1



263MICHIGAN -264 ALABAMA
ALABAMA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after gaining 450 or more total yards in 5 consecutive games since 1992.

267WISCONSIN -268 OREGON
OREGON is 20-3 ATS (16.7 Units) in road games after leading their last 2 games by 14+ points at the half since 1992.

269BAYLOR -270 GEORGIA
GEORGIA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after an ATS loss over the last 2 seasons.

269BAYLOR -270 GEORGIA
BAYLOR is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games after 2 conference games over the last 2 seasons.




MICHIGAN (9 - 3) vs. ALABAMA (10 - 2) - 1/1/2020, 1:00:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MINNESOTA (10 - 2) vs. AUBURN (9 - 3) - 1/1/2020, 1:00:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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WISCONSIN (10 - 3) vs. OREGON (11 - 2) - 1/1/2020, 5:00:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 48-24 ATS (+21.6 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
OREGON is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
OREGON is 61-37 ATS (+20.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
WISCONSIN is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
WISCONSIN is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) after a bye week since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BAYLOR (11 - 2) vs. GEORGIA (11 - 2) - 1/1/2020, 8:45:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
GEORGIA is 34-13 ATS (+19.7 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.
GEORGIA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
BAYLOR is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Michigan @ Alabama
Michigan
Michigan is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Alabama
Alabama is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games

Minnesota @ Auburn
Minnesota
Minnesota is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
Auburn
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Auburn's last 5 games
Auburn is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games

Oregon @ Wisconsin
Oregon
Oregon is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oregon's last 7 games
Wisconsin
Wisconsin is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wisconsin's last 5 games

Georgia @ Baylor
Georgia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Georgia's last 8 games
Georgia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Baylor
Baylor is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Baylor is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games




Jan 1- Citrus Bowl, Orlando
Alabama is out of national playoff for first time in six years; they’re playing with a backup QB. Crimson Tide scored 45 points at Auburn with the backup playing, turning ball over three times. Bama lost two of last three I-A games (46-41/48-45); they scored 35+ points in every game TY. Three of their last four games went over. In their last three games, Michigan threw ball for 1,055 yards, ran it for 271. Wolverines scored 38+ points in seven of their nine wins; they’re 2-3 scoring less than 38. Wolverines are 4-8 ATS in last 12 games as an underdog, 1-2 TY. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Michigan lost its last three bowls, giving up 33.3 ppg; their last bowl win was here, four years ago. Underdogs won last two Sugar Bowls; average total in last five: 45.

Outback Bowl, Tampa
Minnesota lost two of last three games after starting season 9-0; Gophers allowed less than 300 yards in their last six wins, 518/453 in their two losses- under Fleck, they’re 8-9-1 ATS as an underdog, 2-2 TY. Five of their last six games went over. Minnesota won its last three bowls, allowing 12 ppg, but they’re moving little bit up bowl ladder here; average total in their last five bowls, 39.2. Last nine times Auburn beat Alabama, they went 6-3 ATS in their bowl that year; they lost three of last five bowls, but crushed Purdue 63-14 LY. Auburn lost this bowl 34-31 to Wisconsin in ’14. Tigers are 10-12-2 ATS in last 24 games as a favorite, 4-2 TY. Four of their last five games went under. Dogs covered three of last five Outback Bowls, with average total, 48.6.

Rose Bowl, Pasadena
Wisconsin won four of its last five games, losing 34-21 to Ohio State in the Big 14 title game. Badgers scored 24+ points in their wins, 23 or less in their three losses; they’re 11-5 ATS in last 16 games as a single digit favorite, 3-1 TY. Four of their last five games went over. Wisconsin won its last five bowls (average total 49); they were underdog in three of them. Oregon won 11 of last 12 games; they’re 4-12-1 ATS in last 17 games as an underdog, 1-1 TY. Four of their last five games went over. Ducks lost three of last four bowls, winning Redbox Bowl 7-6 LY; average total in their last five bowls: 61.6. Favorites are 3-2 ATS in last five Rose Bowls, last three of which were decided by 5 or fewer points or in OT. Average total in last five Rose Bowls: 78.8.

Sugar Bowl, New Orleans
Baylor split last four games after a 9-0 start, with both losses to Oklahoma; Bears covered seven of last nine games as an underdog, 4-0 TY. Bears are 4-2 TY in games decided by seven or fewer points. Baylor won its last three bowls, all as an underdog; dogs covered their last five bowls, with average total: 78. Georgia is 11-2 TY, but was held under 300 TY in three of last four games; they completed only 48% of passes in their last three games. Georgia is 17-7 ATS in last 24 games as a single digit favorite (2-0 TY). Seven of their last eight games stayed under the total. Dawgs lost their last two bowls; two of their last three bowls went to OT. Favorites covered three of last four Sugar Bowls; average total in this game the last five years: 55.6.




Michigan @ Alabama

Game 263-264
January 1, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Michigan
105.876
Alabama
114.983
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Alabama
by 9
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Alabama
by 7
59
Dunkel Pick:
Alabama
(-7); Under

Minnesota @ Auburn

Game 265-266
January 1, 2020 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
98.560
Auburn
109.021
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Auburn
by 10 1/2
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Auburn
by 7
53
Dunkel Pick:
Auburn
(-7); Under

Wisconsin @ Oregon

Game 267-268
January 1, 2020 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wisconsin
107.920
Oregon
108.360
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oregon
by 1
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wisconsin
by 2 1/2
51
Dunkel Pick:
Oregon
(+2 1/2); Over

Baylor @ Georgia

Game 269-270
January 1, 2020 @ 8:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baylor
106.027
Georgia
109.958
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia
by 4
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia
by 7
41
Dunkel Pick:
Baylor
(+7); Over

[StarDust Bum]

Happy New Year All............First i'd like to thank UDOG for posting while am on vacation. I have some time this morning before the day gets hectic....
Here is my post for today's College Bowl Games.

MONDAY, DECEMBER 30
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

MSST at LOU 04:00 PM
LOU +4.5
U 64.0

CAL at ILL 04:00 PM
CAL -6.5
U 42.0

FLA at UVA 08:00 PM
FLA -14.5
U 55.0

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday, December 31
Game
Time(ET)
Pick
Units

VT at UK
12:00 PM
VT -3.0
O 47.0

ASU at FSU
02:00 PM
ASU -5.5
U 56.0

NAVY at KSU
03:45 PM
KSU -1.0
U 53.0

WYO at GSU
04:30 PM
WYO -7.0
U 49.0

UTAH at TEX
07:30 PM
UTAH -7.0
U 54.0

[Udog]

Thursday, January 2


271BOSTON COLLEGE -272 CINCINNATI
BOSTON COLLEGE is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5-10 over the last 2 seasons.




BOSTON COLLEGE (6 - 6) vs. CINCINNATI (10 - 3) - 1/2/2020, 3:00:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 85-60 ATS (+19.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TENNESSEE (7 - 5) vs. INDIANA (8 - 4) - 1/2/2020, 7:00:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 51-31 ATS (+16.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
INDIANA is 84-114 ATS (-41.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




Boston College @ Cincinnati
Boston College
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston College's last 7 games
Boston College is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
Cincinnati is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games

Indiana @ Tennessee
Indiana
Indiana is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Indiana is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Tennessee
Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Tennessee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games




Jan 2- Birmingham Bowl
Boston College went 6-6, fired its coach, but here they are; Eagles completed only 18-40 passes for 186 yards in last two games. Last four years, BC is 14-2 ATS as a single digit underdog, 6-0 TY. Five of their las seven games went over the total. BC lost three of last four bowls (average total 58.8); their bowl LY was cancelled in first quarter due to terrible weather. Cincinnati lost twice to Memphis after a 10-1 start; Bearcats are 10-7 ATS in last 17 games as a favorite, 5-4 TY— their last five games went under. Cincinnati lost three of last five bowls, and allowed 34-31 points in the wins; they split last four bowls with ACC teams. AAC teams are 2-3 SU in this bowl last five years, with average total, 63.4. Favorites covered three of the five games.

Gator Bowl, Jacksonville
First bowl in three years for Indiana squad that lost its last four bowls; their last bowl win was in 1991. Hoosiers lost two of last three games overall after a 7-2 start; they gave up 80 points, 1,042 TY in their last two games. Indiana is 3-2 ATS as an underdog TY. Four of their last six games went over. Tennessee won its last five games after a 2-5 start, giving up 14.2 ppg during their run; Vols are 7-15 ATS in last 22 games as a favorite, 2-3 TY. Six of their last seven games went under. First bowl in three years for Tennessee squad that won its last three bowls, scoring 42.7 ppg. Favorites covered four of last five Gator Bowls, wth average total, 57.6. SEC teams won three of last four visits to this bowl; Tennessee won this game five years ago.




Boston College @ Cincinnati

Game 271-272
January 2, 2020 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston College
84.937
Cincinnati
93.662
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 8 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
by 7
55
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-7); Over

Indiana @ Tennessee

Game 287-288
January 2, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
91.498
Tennessee
95.603
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tennessee
by 4
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 1 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tennessee
(-1 1/2); Under

[Udog]

Wednesday's Bowl Tip Sheet
Joe Williams

Citrus Bowl (ABC, 1:00 p.m. ET)

Michigan vs. Alabama

-- The Michigan Wolverines (9-3 straight up, 7-5 against the spread) from the Big Ten Conference will ring in the new year with the Alabama Crimson Tide (10-2 straight up, 6-6 against the spread) from the Southeastern Conference in the VRBO Citrus Bowl in Orlando, Fla. at Camping World Stadium.

-- Michigan regitered a few nice victories during the season, including wins over bowl teams Iowa, Illinois, Michigan State and Indiana, as well as a 45-14 whitewashing of Notre Dame back on Oct. 26. However, they also showed how far away they are from the College Football Playoffs, as they were blown out 35-14 at Wisconsin on Sept. 21, and 56-27 in the season finale on their home field against rival Ohio State, while also slipping 28-21 at Penn State on Oct. 19. That blowout loss to the Buckeyes snapped a 5-0 ATS run from Oct. 19-Nov. 23. They also closed on a 3-0 'over' streak, and 6-1 run in the final seven.

-- Alabama is a perennial national championship contender, and anything less than an appearance in the playoffs is viewed as a huge disappointment. That's where the Crimson Tide appeared to be rolling, even after a 46-41 loss to LSU on Nov. 9. Certainly the Tide gave the Tigers their biggest test of the season. However, that made the road to the CFP much more difficult since a trip to the SEC Championship Game was off the table, and a 48-45 loss at Auburn in the finale blocked the road completely. They ended up just 2-2 ATS in the final four, and 5-6 ATS in their final 11 of the season.

-- Each of these teams obviously have long and extensive bowl histories. The Wolverines have enjoyed their previous appearances in Orlando, as Jim Harbaugh's group squeezed Florida 41-7 in the Citrus Bowl on Jan. 1, 2016. They also topped Florida 41-35 when the bowl was called the Capital One Bowl on Jan. 1, 2008. They made back-to-back appearances in this bowl in 2001 and 2002, topping Auburn and losing to Tennessee in 2002. They topped Arkansas 45-31 on Jan. 1, 1999, too.

-- These teams have met a handful of times during bowl season. The last time was a duel between the Tide's RB Shaun Alexander and the Wolverines with QB Tom Brady. The result was a 35-34 win by Michigan in overtime as a result of a missed extra point. They also met in the Outback Bowl, with the Tide coming out on top by a 17-14 score on Jan. 1, 1997, while the Wolverines won the Hall of Fame Bowl (now Outback) on Jan. 1, 1988 by a 28-24 margin. So Alabama will be looking to even the all-time ledger in bowl games at 2-2.

-- Alabama ranked seventh in total yards with 513.5 per game, while checking in third in passing yards per game at 343.5. They weren't particularly special rushing the football, ranking 57th with 170.0 yards per game, but they were second in the country with 48.3 PPG. Defensively they were solid as usual, ranking 17th in total yards (318.8), 10th in passing yards (183.4) and 36th in rushing yards (135.3) allowed while yielding 18.8 PPG to rank 15th.

-- Of course, QB Tua Tagovailoa (hip) was under center for a majority of that time. He will skip this bowl game, and it will be QB Mac Jones leading the way. The team will be without CB Trevon Diggs and LB Terrell Lewis, who elected to skip the game to prepare for the NFL Draft, but projected first-rounders WRs Henry Ruggs III, Jerry Jeudy and DeVonta Smith will also suit up for Nick Saban's group.

-- Michigan wasn't quite as dangerous on offense, ranking an average 68th in total yards (402.7), while ending up 50th in passing yards (252.3) and rushing yards (150.3), while scoring 33.0 PPG to check in 38th. Defensively, they had it on lockdown, ranking seventh in total yards allowed (293.9), while finishing fifth in passing yards (173.8) allowed, 23rd in rushing yards allowed (120.2) and 18th in points allowed (19.5).

-- Michigan hasn't won a neutral-site or road game against an Associated Press Top 15 team in each of the past 19 outings since head coach Lloyd Carr's final game against Florida in the Capital One Bowl on Jan. 1, 2008, 41-35.

-- The Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in the past five games against winning teams, while going 5-1 ATS in the past six games overall. However, Michigan is 1-4 ATS in the past five bowl games and 2-8 ATS in the past 10 non-conference tilts.

-- The Tide are just 2-5 ATS in the past seven against winning teams. However, they're 6-1 ATS in the previous seven against Big Ten teams.

-- The over has cashed in four straight bowl games for Michigan, while going 8-0 in their past eight showings against SEC foes. The over is also 12-2 in their past 14 neutral-site games, and 4-0 in the previous four bowl games, too.

-- The over has connected in seven of the past 10 non-conference tilts for Bama, and 12-5 in their past 17 bowl games. The over is also 4-1 in the previous five against teams with a winning overall record.


Outback Bowl (ESPN, 1:00 p.m.)

Minnesota vs. Auburn

-- The Outback Bowl has the Minnesota Golden Gophers (10-2 straight up, 7-4-1 against the spread) from the Big Ten Conference meeting the Auburn Tigers (9-3 straight-up, 9-3 against the spread) from the Southeastern Conference at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla.

-- Minnesota surprised this season, and was unbeaten into mid-November while they flirted with the potential of a trip to the College Football Playoffs. However, all of those considerations ended with a 23-19 loss at Iowa, and they also had their doors blown off against Wisconsin, 38-17, losing Paul Bunyan's Axe in the season finale. Losing Floyd of Rosedale and Paul Bunyan's Axe in the same season is likely a huge disappointment to Minnesota despite the double-digit wins.

-- Auburn had a near-playoff experience this season. They kicked off the campaign with a 27-21 win over Oregon on a neutral-site, winning and cover each of their first five. They slipped up 24-13 at Florida on Oct. 5, but remaining in the mix until a 23-20 loss at LSU on Oct. 26. Still, that was an impressive showing, and served notice that they can play with anyone in the land. They also fell 21-14 to Georgia on Nov. 16, but capped off their season with an impressive 48-45 win over Alabama in the season finale to roll into bowl season on a very high note.

-- Minnesota claims seven national championships, including 1904, 1934, 1935, 1936, 1940, 1941 and 1960. The last time they won it all, Dwight D. Eisenhower was president, so yeah, it's been a while, but they have a long and storied football history. However, in that long history they have never faced Auburn on the gridiron, so Wednesday's game will be a first. The Golden Gophers lost seven straight bowl games from 2005 through 2015, but have rattled off three bowl wins in a row over Central Michigan in the Quick Lane Bowl (2015), 17-12 over Washington State in the Holiday Bowl (2016) ad 34-10 over Georgia Tech last season in P.J. Fleck's first bowl, another Quick Lane Bowl victory. This is their first appearance on New Year's Day since losing 33-17 to Missouri in the Citrus Bowl, however, another SEC team. They haven't beaten an SEC team since topping Alabama Dec. 31, 2004 in the Music City Bowl under Glen Mason.

-- The Golden Gophers rank 50th in total yards (426.8) on offense, while ranking 51st in passing yards (251.2). They were also 47th in rushing yards (175.7) while checking in 23rd in points scored (34.3). Defensively the Golden Gophers were very underrated, ranking 14th with 312.8 yards per game, 12th in passing yards allowed (184.9) and 28th in rushing yards allowed (127.9). They also yielded just 22.4 PPG to rank a respectable 35th.

-- The Tigers struggled in the pass game, as freshman QB Bo Nix had some consistency issues. They ranked 51st in total yards (421.4), while ranking just 85th in passing yards (210.1) per contest. They ran well, piling up 211.3 yards, while scoring 34.0 PPG to rank 29th. On defense, they ranked 19th in total yards allowed (323.9), 41st in passing yards (208.4) per game and 20th in rushing yards (115.5) yielded, while coughing up just 18.6 PPG to rank 13th.

-- The Golden Gophers covered seven of the past nine games overall, while going 6-2 ATS in the past eight games as an underdog. They were 6-2-1 ATS in the past nine non-conference tilts, too.

-- The Tigers are 10-3 ATS in the past 13 games overall, while cashing in five of the previous seven against winning teams. They're also an impressive 6-0 ATS in the past six non-conference battles, while connecting in 10 of the past 12 games as a favorite.

-- The over has hit in five of the past six overall for the Golden Gophers, although the under is 4-1 in Minnesota's past five neutral-site games and 7-2 in the past nine against winning teams. The under is 13-6 in the past 19 non-conference tilts, too.

-- The under is 7-1-2 in the previous 10 neutral-site battles, 4-1 in the past five games overall and 4-1-1 in the past six bowl outings. The under is also 18-6-2 in the past 26 non-conference battles, while going 24-11-1 in the past 36 against winning sides.

[Udog]

Thursday, January 3 - Friday, January 4


275OHIO U -276 NEVADA
NEVADA is 43-26 ATS (14.4 Units) after allowing 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.

277TULANE -278 SOUTHERN MISS
TULANE is 35-65 ATS (-36.5 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. since 1992.




Friday, January 3

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OHIO U (6 - 6) vs. NEVADA (7 - 5) - 1/3/2020, 3:30:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, January 4

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TULANE (6 - 6) vs. SOUTHERN MISS (7 - 5) - 1/4/2020, 11:30:00 A
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




Friday, January 3

Ohio @ Nevada
Ohio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ohio's last 7 games
Ohio is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Nevada
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nevada's last 6 games
Nevada is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games

Saturday, January 4

Southern Miss @ Tulane
Southern Miss
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Miss's last 5 games
Southern Miss is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tulane
Tulane
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tulane's last 7 games when playing Southern Miss
Tulane is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games




Jan 3- Idaho Potato Bowl, Boise
Ohio scored 66-52 points in winning its last two games to get to 6-6; they’re 1-4 when they score less than 34 points. Bobcats ran ball for average of 265.8 ypg the last six games- they’re 2-6 ATS this year as a favorite. Bobcats’ last three games went over. Ohio won its last two bowls by combined 68-6; favorites covered four of their last five bowls. Nevada won three of last four games; they were held to 10 or fewer points in 4 of their 5 losses. Wolf Pack four of last five bowls, winning last two by total of 8 points. MAC lost three of last four visits to this bowl; average total in last five Potato Bowls: 61.

Jan 4- Armed Forces Bowl, Fort Worth
First time in five years there isn’t an academy team in this game; these teams haven’t met since 2010. Southern Miss was held to 10-17 points in losing last two games, after a 7-3 start. Eagles are 9-4 ATS in last 13 games as an underdog, 2-2 TY. Their last five games stayed under. USM is 2-3 in last five bowls (favorites 4-1 ATS). Tulane lost five of last six games after a 5-1 start; Green Wave covered six of seven games as a favorite TY- their last three games went under. Tulane won three of its last four bowls, beating ULL 41-24 LY in their first bowl in five years. Average total in this bowl last five years: 84.8.




Friday, January 3

Ohio @ Nevada

Game 275-276
January 3, 2020 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ohio
84.467
Nevada
73.128
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio
by 11 1/2
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio
by 7 1/2
58
Dunkel Pick:
Ohio
(-7 1/2); Over

Saturday, January 4

Southern Miss @ Tulane

Game 277-278
January 4, 2020 @ 11:30 am

Dunkel Rating:
Southern Miss
77.860
Tulane
81.636
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tulane
by 4
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tulane
by 7 1/2
56 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Southern Miss
(+7 1/2); Under

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday, January 1
Game
Time(ET)
Pick
Units

MICH at ALA
01:00 PM
ALA -7.5
O 61.0

MINN at AUB
01:00 PM
AUB -7.0
O 52.5

WIS at ORE
05:00 PM
WIS -3.0
U 52.0

BAY at UGA
08:45 PM
BAY +4.0
O 41.0

[Udog]

Thursday's Bowl Tips
Joe Williams

Birmingham Bowl (ESPN, 3:00 p.m. ET)

Boston College vs. Cincinnati

-- The Boston College Eagles (6-6 straight up, 7-5 against the spread) from the Atlantic Coast Conference will take on the Cincinnati Bearcats (10-3 straight up, 8-5 against the spread) from the American Athletic Conference in the TicketSmarter Birmingham Bowl at Legion Field in Birmingham, Ala.

-- The Eagles head into this one a mess. Steve Addazio was fired, so interim coach Richie Gunnell will steer the ship for the Eagles in Birmingham. In addition, offensive coordinator Mike Bajakian took the job at Northwestern, so he isn't with the team either. If that wasn't bad enough, ACC rushing leader RB A.J. Dillon has elected to sit out the bowl game to prepare for the NFL Draft and avoid risking an injury. So, needless to say, the .500 Eagles are a bit shorthanded going in.

-- Boston College's bowl history was amazing from the 2000 Aloha Bowl through the 2007 Champs Sports Bowl, as they rattled off eight consecutive postseason wins. That luck dried up in a hurry, however, starting with the 2008 Music City Bowl. They enter play on Thursday with losses in six of their past seven bowl games, with only a 36-30 win in the 2016 Quick Lane Bowl as the exception.

-- The Bearcats registered 10 victories this season, and they are looking for their second straight 11-win season under head coach Luke Fickell. There was some talk about UC being a potential Group of Five representatitve, but Memphis quickly squelched that talk with a 34-24 win in the regular-season finale at the Liberty Bowl, and then a 29-24 loss the following week in the same location against the Tigers in the AAC Championship Game. It's a little surprising that the Bearcats tumbled all the way to Birmingham against a .500 team, but at least they get a chance against a Power Five opponent.

-- Cincinnati did cover those two games against Memphis, at least, although they were 1-4 ATS in the previous five outings. They haven't covered three or more consecutive games since four straight covers from Sept. 14-Oct. 12.

-- Boston College started out 3-1 SU, but they won just once in a four-game stretch from Sept. 28-Oct. 26 to slip to 4-4. They did pick up a huge win at Syracuse, 58-27, to move to the precipice of bowl eligibility on Nov. 2. However, a disappointing loss against Florida State, and a beatdown at Notre Dame put their bowl hopes in jeopardy. They played hard, though, and won outright as nine-point underdogs in Pittsburgh in the regular-season finale.

-- The Bearcats rank just 85th in total offense with 385.0 total yards per game, and 105th in passing yards per contest at 187.4. On the ground, that's their strength, piling up 197.6 yards per game to rank 33rd. RB Michael Warren II rolled up 1,160 yards and 14 touchdowns, so he is the star for UC. Defensively they're just so-so, ranking 52nd in total yards (376.6), 80th in passing yards (233.2), 48th in rushing yards (143.4) and 30th in points (21.7) allowed per game.

-- While BC ranks 26th in total yards per game (450.8), that can be ignored a bit due to the absence of the dynamic Dillon. They ranked sixth in the country on the ground with 267.4 yards per game, but again... They will have to rely on the pass game a little more, and that's where they struggled since QB Anthony Brown (knee) went down with a season-ending injury in mid-October. Defensively, the Eagles were a disaster, ranking 125th in total yards allowed (480.3), 126th in passing yards (299.6) and 96th in points allowed (31.7).

-- Boston College heads in 15-5-1 ATS in the past 21 as an underdog, and 3-1-1 ATS in the past five neutral-site games. However, they're 1-5 ATS in the previous six non-conference battles and 2-7 ATS in their past nine bowl outings.

-- Cincinnati has failed to cover in four consecutive bowl games, and four straight neutral-site contests.

-- The over has hit in five of the past seven games overall for BC, and seven of their previous 10 non-conference tilts. The over is also 4-0 in the past four bowl games.

-- The over has connected in five of the past seven bowl games for UC, while going 5-2 in their past seven vs. ACC foes. However, the under is 4-1 in the past five as a favorite, and 39-19-1 in the previous 59 overall.


Gator Bowl (ESPN, 7:00 p.m.)

Indiana vs. Tennessee

-- The TaxSlayer Gator Bowl has the Indiana Hoosiers (8-4 straight up, 7-5 against the spread) from the Big Ten Conference meeting the Tennessee Volunteers (7-5 straight-up, 7-5 against the spread) from the Southeastern Conference at TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville, Fla.

-- Indiana won eight games, and it seems like they did so rather quietly. Not many people talked about them, but here they are in a prominent bowl game in primetime against a Power 5 team. The Hoosiers were dusted 51-10 by Ohio State at 'The Rock' on Sept. 14, and they fell at Michigan State 40-31 on Sept. 28. Perhaps the reason no one is talking about the Hoosiers is because they won the games they were supposed to, and fell against teams they were supposed to lose against. In fact, they were 8-0 SU/5-3 ATS in eight games against non-bowl teams, and 0-4 SU/2-2 ATS in their four outings against bowl teams.

-- Tennessee stumbled out of the chute with a 38-30 loss at home against Georgia State in their season opener, falling straight-up as a 24.5-point favorite. That had the natives calling for Jeremy Pruitt's head, and it didn't simmer down after a miraculous comeback by BYU in Knoxville on Sept. 7, and an eventual 29-26 loss in overtime for the Vols. They were 0-2 SU/ATS. They beat the brakes off of FCS Chattanooga, 45-0, on Sept. 14, but no one was satisfied. They followed that win with a 31-point loss at Florida and a 29-point loss at Georgia, slipping to 1-4 SU/ATS, and the hot seat was turned up to lava intensity for Pruitt. But a strange thing happened on Oct. 12 against Mississippi State. The Vols won 20-10, perhaps saving their season as five-point 'dogs. They fell, rather expectedly, at Alabama by a 35-13 score, but they put up a pretty solid effort and covered. They used that momentum to springboard into wins over South Carolina and UAB. In fact, since that Bama loss on the 19th of October, the Power T hasn't lost since. They topped rival Kentucky on the road, won at Missouri and ended up with a resounding 28-10 win over rival Vanderbilt. Is Tennessee now 'back'? Well, they're 3-5 SU in eight games against bowl teams, but they do come in on a five-game heater.

-- Tennessee's bowl history goes all the way back to the Orange Bowl in 1939 - and 1931, if you include the New York Charity Game against New York University, which is considered a bowl game by some. They have won three straight bowl games, including a trip to Jacksonville and a win over Iowa, 45-28, back on Jan. 2, 2015. They have appeared in this game five total times, but four of the trips came from 1957-1973. They're 3-2 SU all-time in the TaxSlayer Gator Bowl.

-- Indiana's bowl history isn't as extensive, and their success is even shorter. They haven't won a postseason game since the 1991 Copper Bowl when they blanked Baylor 24-0. This will be their first-ever appearance in the Gator. In fact, this is their first-ever appearance in a bowl game in the state of Florida, which is rather surprising given the conference's long-time tie-ins with the Outback (Hall of Fame), Citrus (CapitalOne), Gator (TaxSlayer) Bowls, etc.

-- The Vols ranked 100th in total yards (365.0), 77th in passing yards (220.0) and 88th in rushing yards (145.0) per game while posting 24.3 PPG to check in 97th. Defensively, the Vols were pretty nasty despite a difficult schedule, ranking 28th in total yards allowed (337.1), 17th in passing yards (191.3) and 29th in points (21.7) allowed per game.

-- The Hoosiers ranked 31st in total yards on offense (444.0), 13th in passing yards (308.7) and 41st in points scored (32.6). They struggled on the ground, however, ranking 100th in the nation with 135.3 yards per game. They lost QB Michael Penix Jr. (collarbone) to a collarbone early in early November, and that forced QB Peyton Ramsey into action. He had 2,227 passing yards to end up leading the Hoosiers.

-- Indiana leading rusher Stevie Scott III posted 845 yards and 10 touchdowns, but he is a question mark for this game with a leg ailment. Backup RB Sampson James is also on the injury report, questionable due to an ankle injury. The Hoosiers were led in the receiving game by WR Whop Philyor, who cracked 1,000 yards.

-- The Hoosiers are 6-2 ATS in the past eight against teams with a winning record, but they're just 1-5 ATS in the past six neutral-site battles.

-- The Volunteers are 6-1 ATS in the past seven games overall, but 4-10 ATS in the past 14 as a favorite. They're also 6-2 ATS in the previous eight neutral-site game battles.

-- The over is 5-1 in the past six for Indiana, and 5-0 in their past five as an underdog. The under is 5-0 in their past five non-conference tilts, though.

-- The under hit in the final four for the Vols, but the over is 5-0 in their past five bowl games and 9-1 in the past 10 neutral-site affairs.

[StarDust Bum]

Thursday, January 2
Game
Time(ET)
Pick
Units

BC at CIN
03:00 PM
BC +7.5
U 53.5

IND at TENN
07:00 PM
IND +3.5
O 54.5

[Udog]

Potato Bowl Preview
Joe Williams

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl (ESPN, 3:30 p.m. ET)

Ohio vs. Nevada

-- The Ohio Bobcats (6-6 straight up, 4-8 against the spread) from the Mid-American Conference will battle the Nevada Wolf Pack (7-5 straight up, 5- against the spread) from the American Athletic Conference in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl at Albertsons Stadium in Boise, Idaho.

-- The Bobcats have won their past two bowl game appearances, including last season's 27-0 win over San Diego State, a Mountain West team, at the Frisco Bowl. They also won their only previous appearance in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl, a narrow 24-23 win over Utah State on Dec. 17, 2011.

-- Nevada won their bowl appearance last season, too, topping Arkansas State 16-13 in the Arizona Bowl, and like Ohio, they have also won each of their past two postseason appearances. They haven't played in Boise for a bowl game since Dec. 30, 2008, a 42-35 loss to Maryland when the game was called the Humanitarian Bowl. They also lost by one point, 21-20, to Miami (Fla.) on Dec. 31, 2006 when the game was sponsored by MPC Computers.

-- Ohio heads into this game ranked 33rd in total yards (443.3), 72nd in passing yards (226.8) and 22nd in rushing yards (216.5) while checking in 20th with 34.7 points per game. Defensively, the Bobcats allowed 401.7 total yards per game to end up 76th in the nation, they were 62nd against the pass (223.8) and 82nd against the run (177.9) while yielding 27.0 PPG.

-- Nevada ranked just 103rd in the land in total yards per game (360.0), while ending up 62nd in pass (236.5) and 117th in rushing yards (123.5) per outing. They alos posted just 21.3 PPG to finish 111th. Defensively they were so-so, but the stats were skewed due to a pair of blowout losses, a 77-6 setback at Oregon and a 54-3 beating from Hawaii.

-- The Wolf Pack have more issues, too, as S Austin Arnold, CB Daniel Brown (team-high four interceptions) and NT Hausia Sekona were each suspended for this game due to a post-game brawl against UNLV. All three were starters.

-- Ohio is 4-0 ATS in the past four bowl games, and 5-1 ATS in their past six neutral-site affairs. They're also 18-8 ATS in the past 26 non-conference battles. However, the Bobcats are 2-7 ATS in the previous nine as a favorite.

-- Nevada is 3-1-1 ATS in the previous five bowl games, and they're 3-0-1 ATS in the past four neutral-site games as an underdog.

-- The over is 5-2 in the past seven overall for Ohio, while going 11-4 in their past 15 non-conference games. The over is also 5-2 in the past seven against winning teams, while going 5-1 in the past six as a favorite.

-- The over is 5-2 in Nevada's past seven non-conference tilts, but the under is 6-1 in their past seven bowl games and 7-3 in the past 10 as an underdog.

[Udog]

Armed Forces Bowl Preview
Joe Williams

Armed Forces Bowl (ESPN, 11:30 a.m. ET)

Southern Miss vs. Tulane

-- The Southern Miss Golden Eagles (7-5 straight up, 6-6 against the spread) from Conference USA will battle the Tulane Green Wave (6-6 straight up, 8-4 against the spread) from the American Athletic Conference in the Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl at Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, Tex.

-- The Golden Eagles had five losses this season, but two of them came against SEC teams back in September, including a 49-7 shredding by Alabama on Sept. 21. They managed to post wins in five of their first six conference games before suffering losses to C-USA bowl teams Western Kentucky and Florida Atlantic in the final two games, both by 17 or more points.

-- Tulane had a tale of two seasons. They opened the season 5-1 SU/ATS, with only a loss to Auburn by a 24-6 margin, to show for their first six games. However, things went off the rails Oct. 19 in Memphis, losing 47-17, and that touched off a 1-5 SU/3-3 ATS run to finish off the regular season. However, three of those losses were one-possession games, including a pair of three-point losses to Navy and UCF, two bowl teams.

-- Southern Miss has been to 26 total bowls, and the history has been mixed lately. They were crushed 42-13 by Florida State at the Independence Bowl on Dec. 27, 2017 in their most recent showing. These teams are relative neighbors, but they have never been together in a bowl game before. It is the first appearance in the Armed Forces Bowl for the Golden Eagles, although they've played four previous bowl games in the state of Texas. Those didn't go well, as they were 0-4 SU in those games.

-- Tulane has appeared in 13 previous bowl games, and they were 2-7 SU in the first nine. However, they're 3-1 SU in their past four. They have appeared in a bowl game just once, falling in the Bluebonnet Bowl Dec. 29, 1973 by a 47-7 score against Houston in the Astrodome.

-- The Green Wave offense ranked 24th in the nation with 456.8 total yards per game, and they were 11th in rushing with 251.4 yards per contest. They also scored 33.3 PPG to check in 35th in the country. Defensively they were so-so, allowing 378.9 total yards per game (55th), 214.0 passing yards per game (50th) and 164.9 rushing yards per game (75th). They also allowed 27.4 PPG to rank 65th.

-- The Golden Eagles were 59th in total yards (411.3), while ranking 23rd in passing offense with 288.6 yards. They weren't very good on the ground, posting 122.8 rushing yards per game to rank 118th, and posting just 27.8 PPG to rank 74th. Defensively, they allowed 350.3 total yards per game to rank 36th, and they were 18th against the run (111.8). They yielded just 25.9 PPG to rank 54th in the nation, too.

-- Southern Miss QB Jack Abraham passed for 3,329 yards, while WR Quez Watkins posted 1,024 yards. That's the combination.

-- Tulane RB Corey Dauphine (wrist) is listed as questionable, as is RB Darius Bradwell (foot). Leading rusher Justin McMillan (704 rushing yards, 12 total touchdowns) is good to go, however.

-- Southern Miss is 1-4-1 ATS in their past six bowl games.

-- Tulane is 7-1 ATS in the past eight games as a favorite, while going 8-3 ATS in the past 11 against Conference USA. They're 4-1 ATS in the past five against non-conference teams, and 7-3 ATS in the past 10 overall.

-- USM hit the under in each of their past five overall, while going 9-4-1 in the past 14 non-conference tilts. The over is 5-2 in their past seven bowl games, however.

-- For Tulane, the under is 5-0-1 in their past six against Conference USA foes.

-- In this series, the favorite has cashed in four of the past five meetings, and USM is 4-1 ATS in the previous five clashes. The under is also 6-1 in the past seven in this series.

[Udog]

Monday, January 6


279MIAMI OHIO -280 LA LAFAYETTE
MIAMI OHIO is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) after 2 conference games over the last 2 seasons.




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MIAMI OHIO (8 - 5) vs. LA LAFAYETTE (10 - 3) - 1/6/2020, 7:30:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI OHIO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Louisiana-Lafayette @ Miami-OH
Louisiana-Lafayette
Louisiana-Lafayette is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 8 games
Miami-OH
Miami-OH is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami-OH's last 6 games




LA-Lafayette @ Miami of Ohio

Game 279-280
January 6, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA-Lafayette
89.839
Miami of Ohio
78.603
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA-Lafayette
by 11
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA-Lafayette
by 14
56
Dunkel Pick:
Miami of Ohio
(+14); Under

[Udog]

LendingTree Bowl Preview
Joe Williams

LendingTree Bowl (ESPN, 7:30 p.m. ET)

Louisiana vs. Miami (Ohio)

-- The Miami-Ohio Redhawks (8-5 straight up, 7-6 against the spread) from the Mid-American Conference (MAC) will square off with the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (10-3 straight up, 9-4 against the spread) from the Sun Belt Conference in the LendingTree Bowl at Ladd-Peebles Stadium in Mobile, Ala.

-- Miami heads into this one after their stunning victory over Central Michigan in the MAC Championship Game. They were underdogs by just 5.5 points, but they entered the game with some injury issues, and CMU was red-hot on offense before that battle in Detroit. Miami has won six of the past seven games overall, and they're 5-2 ATS in the past seven outings. However, against bowl teams this season, Miami is just 3-4 SU/4-3 ATS.

-- The Redhawks do not have an extensive bowl history, but they will still be making their third-ever appearance in Mobile. They're 7-4 SU in their previous 11 bowl appearances, including a 35-21 win over Middle Tennessee on Jan. 6, 2011 in this bowl game, then named the GoDaddy.com Bowl. They also topped Louisville 49-28 on Dec. 18, 2003, when this game was named the GMAC Bowl. This will be Miami's first-ever bowl game appearance against a Sun Belt Conference team.

-- Louisiana (previously known as Louisiana-Lafayette) has made six bowl appearances, with five of those appearances coming in the New Orleans Bowl, with one showing in the Cure Bowl last season. They fell to Tulane by a 41-24 score in that bowl game on Dec. 15, 2018, but they're 4-2 SU in their previous six bowl contests. This will be the first bowl game against a MAC opponent for the Ragin' Cajuns, too.

-- Miami's offense has really struggled this season, although they might have found their quarterback of the future with QB Brett Gabbert, brother of NFL signal Blaine Gabbert. He ended up with 2,163 passing yards to lead the team, while RB Jaylon Bester racked up 689 yards with 12 total touchdowns. Still, they were just 122nd in total yards on offense at 307.4, with 172.8 passing yards (114th), and they posted 134.5 rushing yards per game to rank 102nd. Overall, they posted 24.7 points per game to rank 95th in the nation. Defensively, they were 58th in total yards (380.6), 37th in passing yards (206.4) and 81st in rushing yards (174.2) allowed, while allowing 28.2 PPG to rank 70th.

-- The heavily favored Cajuns had a powerful offense during the season, posting 501.3 total yards per game to rank eighth in the country, and they were seventh in rushing yards with 265.3 yards per game on the ground. The passing was just so-so with 236.0 yards per game to rank 64th. They scored 38.8 points per game to rank 11th in the country. On defense, they were 50th with 373.4 total yards per game, and they were 85th against the run with 179.5 yards per game. They were hard on opposing pass games, allowing just 193.8 yards per game to rank 18th. They also allowed only 19.9 PPG to check in 20th overall.

-- The star for Louisiana is RB Elijah Mitchell, who posted 1,092 yards with 15 touchdowns, while QB Levi Lewis managed 2,804 yards through the air.

-- ULL has posted a 17-7 ATS mark in the past 24 games overall, and they're 10-4 ATS in the past 14 games as a favorite. The Cajuns are also 4-0 ATS in the past four non-conference games, while going 5-2 ATS in the past seven neutral-site battles.

-- The Redhawks have cashed in five of the past seven games overall, while going 4-0 ATS in the past four neutral-site games. They're also 4-1 ATS in the past five as an underdog, but they're 2-10 ATS in the past 12 non-conference games.

-- For ULL, the over has connected in 35 of their past 51 non-conference games, while hitting in five of the past six field turf surfaces. The under is 6-2 in their past eight games overall, however, while going 6-1 in the past seven as a favorite. The under is also 4-1 in the past five against teams with a winning record.

-- The under is 5-1 in Miami's past six games overall, and 6-1 in their past seven neutral-site games. The under is 6-1 in the past seven neutral-site games as a 'dog, too, but the over is 4-1 in their past five non-conference battles.

[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Season

Jan 6- LendingTree Bowl, Mobile, AL
Louisiana won 10 of its last 12 games after an opening loss to Miss State; ULL ran ball for 225+ yards in six of last seven games- they lost Sun Belt title game at App State. Ragin’ Cajuns are 4-2 ATS this year laying double digits; they won 45-25 at Ohio U of MAC TY. ULL lost their last two bowls, after winning first four. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games. Miami (OH) won six of its last seven games after a 2-4 start; they’re 0-4 ATS this year as a double digit underdog. Five of their last six games went under. Miami is bowling for first time in three years, 2nd time in nine years; they lost three of last five bowls. Underdogs won this bowl three of last four years; average total the last five years: 70.2.

[Udog]

National Championship - Monday, January 13


283CLEMSON -284 LSU
CLEMSON is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) vs. winning teams in the current season.

283CLEMSON -284 LSU
LSU is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game in the current season.

283CLEMSON -284 LSU
CLEMSON is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after going under the total in the current season.




NCAAF
Dunkel

Championship

Clemson @ LSU

Game 283-284
January 13, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Clemson
126.659
LSU
123.231
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Clemson
by 3 1/2
72
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LSU
by 6
69
Dunkel Pick:
Clemson
(+6); Over




NCAAF
Long Sheet

Monday, January 13

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CLEMSON (14 - 0) vs. LSU (14 - 0) - 1/13/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEMSON is 33-15 ATS (+16.5 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
CLEMSON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games this season.
CLEMSON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
CLEMSON is 61-36 ATS (+21.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
CLEMSON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.
CLEMSON is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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