Announcement

**Udog** · 08-18-2019, 08:10 PM

**Udog** · 08-18-2019, 08:12 PM

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Saturday, August 24

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FLORIDA (10 - 3) at MIAMI (7 - 6) - 8/24/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 81-57 ATS (+18.3 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ARIZONA (5 - 7) at HAWAII (8 - 6) - 8/24/2019, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
ARIZONA is 60-91 ATS (-40.1 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
ARIZONA is 116-149 ATS (-47.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
HAWAII is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Thursday, August 29

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UCLA (3 - 9) at CINCINNATI (11 - 2) - 8/29/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-0 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-0 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GEORGIA TECH (7 - 6) at CLEMSON (15 - 0) - 8/29/2019, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEMSON is 1-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
CLEMSON is 2-0 straight up against GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLA INTERNATIONAL (9 - 4) at TULANE (7 - 6) - 8/29/2019, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-0 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-0 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS ST (3 - 9) at TEXAS A&M (9 - 4) - 8/29/2019, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS A&M is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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KENT ST (2 - 10) at ARIZONA ST (7 - 6) - 8/29/2019, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA ST is 94-68 ATS (+19.2 Units) in home games since 1992.
ARIZONA ST is 94-68 ATS (+19.2 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
ARIZONA ST is 94-68 ATS (+19.2 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UTAH (9 - 5) at BYU (7 - 6) - 8/29/2019, 10:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 122-90 ATS (+23.0 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
UTAH is 63-38 ATS (+21.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BYU is 1-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 2-0 straight up against BYU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, August 30

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RICE (2 - 11) at ARMY (11 - 2) - 8/30/2019, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARMY is 1-0 against the spread versus RICE over the last 3 seasons
ARMY is 1-0 straight up against RICE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH ST (11 - 2) at WAKE FOREST (7 - 6) - 8/30/2019, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WAKE FOREST is 1-0 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
WAKE FOREST is 1-0 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WISCONSIN (8 - 5) at S FLORIDA (7 - 6) - 8/30/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TULSA (3 - 9) at MICHIGAN ST (7 - 6) - 8/30/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MASSACHUSETTS (4 - 8) at RUTGERS (1 - 11) - 8/30/2019, 7:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MASSACHUSETTS is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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COLORADO ST (3 - 9) vs. COLORADO (5 - 7) - 8/30/2019, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 2-0 against the spread versus COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 2-0 straight up against COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PURDUE (6 - 7) at NEVADA (8 - 5) - 8/30/2019, 9:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OKLAHOMA ST (7 - 6) at OREGON ST (2 - 10) - 8/30/2019, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON ST is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON ST is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON ST is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Saturday, August 31

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FLA ATLANTIC (5 - 7) at OHIO ST (13 - 1) - 8/31/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 190-147 ATS (+28.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 190-147 ATS (+28.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 172-132 ATS (+26.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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S ALABAMA (3 - 9) at NEBRASKA (3 - 8) - 8/31/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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E CAROLINA (3 - 9) at NC STATE (9 - 4) - 8/31/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E CAROLINA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NC STATE is 1-0 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE is 1-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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AKRON (4 - 8) at ILLINOIS (4 - 8) - 8/31/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 132-173 ATS (-58.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 132-173 ATS (-58.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 66-96 ATS (-39.6 Units) in home games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 66-96 ATS (-39.6 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 66-92 ATS (-35.2 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 89-134 ATS (-58.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BALL ST (4 - 8) vs. INDIANA (5 - 7) - 8/31/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 1-0 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 1-0 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TOLEDO (7 - 6) at KENTUCKY (10 - 3) - 8/31/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENTUCKY is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MISSISSIPPI ST (8 - 5) vs. LA LAFAYETTE (7 - 7) - 8/31/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-0 against the spread versus LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-0 straight up against LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OLE MISS (5 - 7) at MEMPHIS (8 - 6) - 8/31/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OLE MISS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OLE MISS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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GEORGIA ST (2 - 10) at TENNESSEE (5 - 7) - 8/31/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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E MICHIGAN (7 - 6) at COASTAL CAROLINA (5 - 7) - 8/31/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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S CAROLINA (7 - 6) vs. N CAROLINA (2 - 9) - 8/31/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DUKE (8 - 5) vs. ALABAMA (14 - 1) - 8/31/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 81-57 ATS (+18.3 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
DUKE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NORTHWESTERN (9 - 5) at STANFORD (9 - 4) - 8/31/2019, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTHWESTERN is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 115-86 ATS (+20.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 85-56 ATS (+23.4 Units) in road games since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 85-56 ATS (+23.4 Units) in road lined games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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VIRGINIA TECH (6 - 7) at BOSTON COLLEGE (7 - 5) - 8/31/2019, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-1 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SYRACUSE (10 - 3) at LIBERTY (6 - 6) - 8/31/2019, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LIBERTY is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
LIBERTY is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LIBERTY is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
LIBERTY is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
LIBERTY is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BOISE ST (10 - 3) vs. FLORIDA ST (5 - 7) - 8/31/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 147-107 ATS (+29.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 147-107 ATS (+29.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
BOISE ST is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SMU (5 - 7) at ARKANSAS ST (8 - 5) - 8/31/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SMU is 1-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
SMU is 1-0 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIDDLE TENN ST (8 - 6) at MICHIGAN (10 - 3) - 8/31/2019, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MIAMI OHIO (6 - 6) at IOWA (9 - 4) - 8/31/2019, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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GA SOUTHERN (10 - 3) at LSU (10 - 3) - 8/31/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LSU is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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GEORGIA (11 - 3) at VANDERBILT (6 - 7) - 8/31/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 2-0 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VIRGINIA (8 - 5) at PITTSBURGH (7 - 7) - 8/31/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MISSOURI (8 - 5) at WYOMING (6 - 6) - 8/31/2019, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISSOURI is 1-0 against the spread versus WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
MISSOURI is 1-0 straight up against WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OREGON (9 - 4) vs. AUBURN (8 - 5) - 8/31/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 47-24 ATS (+20.6 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LOUISIANA TECH (8 - 5) at TEXAS (10 - 4) - 8/31/2019, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW MEXICO ST (3 - 9) at WASHINGTON ST (11 - 2) - 8/31/2019, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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FRESNO ST (12 - 2) at USC (5 - 7) - 8/31/2019, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 20-5 ATS (+14.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Sunday, September 1

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HOUSTON (8 - 5) at OKLAHOMA (12 - 2) - 9/1/2019, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Monday, September 2

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NOTRE DAME (12 - 1) at LOUISVILLE (2 - 10) - 9/2/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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**Udog** · 08-18-2019, 08:14 PM

This report will update as gamedays get closer.....

NCAAF

Week 1

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Trend Report
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Saturday, August 24

Florida @ Miami-FL
Florida
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Florida's last 8 games
Florida is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Miami-FL
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami-FL's last 5 games
Miami-FL is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Florida

Arizona @ Hawaii
Arizona
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
Hawaii
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hawaii's last 6 games at home
Hawaii is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

Thursday, August 29

California-Los Angeles @ Cincinnati
California-Los Angeles
California-Los Angeles is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of California-Los Angeles's last 6 games on the road
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Cincinnati is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games

Wagner @ Connecticut
Wagner
Wagner is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Wagner is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Connecticut
Connecticut is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Connecticut is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Morgan State @ Bowling Green
Morgan State
Morgan State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Morgan State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Bowling Green
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Bowling Green's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Bowling Green's last 19 games

Robert Morris @ Buffalo
Robert Morris
No trends to report
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games at home

Albany-NY @ Central Michigan
Albany-NY
No trends to report
Central Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Central Michigan's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Central Michigan's last 6 games at home

Gardner-Webb @ Charlotte
Gardner-Webb
Gardner-Webb is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Gardner-Webb is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Charlotte
Charlotte is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games at home

Central Arkansas @ Western Kentucky
Central Arkansas
Central Arkansas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Central Arkansas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Western Kentucky
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Western Kentucky's last 9 games at home
Western Kentucky is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home

Florida A&M @ Central Florida
Florida A&M
Florida A&M is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Florida A&M is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Central Florida
Central Florida is 24-1 SU in its last 25 games
Central Florida is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games at home

Georgia Tech @ Clemson
Georgia Tech
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Georgia Tech's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Georgia Tech's last 10 games
Clemson
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Georgia Tech
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Florida International @ Tulane
Florida International
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida International's last 5 games
Florida International is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Tulane
Tulane is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Tulane is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Alabama State @ Alabama-Birmingham
Alabama State
Alabama State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Alabama State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Alabama-Birmingham
Alabama-Birmingham is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Alabama-Birmingham is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Texas State @ Texas A&M
Texas State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas State's last 7 games
Texas State is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Texas A&M
Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Texas A&M is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home

South Dakota State @ Minnesota
South Dakota State
South Dakota State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
South Dakota State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Minnesota is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home

Kent State @ Arizona State
Kent State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kent State's last 7 games
Kent State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Arizona State
Arizona State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Arizona State is 16-8 ATS in its last 24 games at home

Northern Colorado @ San Jose State
Northern Colorado
Northern Colorado is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Northern Colorado is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
San Jose State
San Jose State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose State's last 5 games at home

Utah @ Brigham Young
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Brigham Young
Utah is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Brigham Young
Brigham Young
Brigham Young is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brigham Young's last 5 games when playing at home against Utah

Friday, August 30

Rice @ Army
Rice
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Rice's last 6 games when playing Army
Rice is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Army
Army is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Army is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Tulsa @ Michigan State
Tulsa
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tulsa's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tulsa's last 11 games
Michigan State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Michigan State's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan State's last 5 games at home

Wisconsin @ South Florida
Wisconsin
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wisconsin's last 6 games
Wisconsin is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games on the road
South Florida
South Florida is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games at home
South Florida is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games

Massachusetts @ Rutgers
Massachusetts
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Massachusetts's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Massachusetts's last 13 games
Rutgers
Rutgers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Rutgers's last 6 games

Utah State @ Wake Forest
Utah State
Utah State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Utah State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Wake Forest
Wake Forest is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Wake Forest is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

Purdue @ Nevada
Purdue
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Purdue's last 11 games on the road
Purdue is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
Nevada
Nevada is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Nevada is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games at home

Colorado State @ Colorado
Colorado State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado State's last 5 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Colorado State's last 11 games
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing Colorado State
Colorado is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Colorado State

Oklahoma State @ Oregon State
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma State's last 7 games on the road
Oregon State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oregon State's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Oregon State's last 16 games

Saturday, August 31

Toledo @ Kentucky
Toledo
Toledo is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
Toledo is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Kentucky
Kentucky is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kentucky's last 5 games

Mississippi State @ Louisiana-Lafayette
Mississippi State
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Mississippi State's last 10 games
Mississippi State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Louisiana-Lafayette
Louisiana-Lafayette is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 6 games

Mississippi @ Memphis
Mississippi
Mississippi is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Memphis
Mississippi is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
Memphis
Memphis is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home
Memphis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

East Carolina @ North Carolina State
East Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 7 of East Carolina's last 10 games on the road
East Carolina is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
North Carolina State
North Carolina State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
North Carolina State is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games

Northern Iowa @ Iowa State
Northern Iowa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northern Iowa's last 5 games when playing on the road against Iowa State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northern Iowa's last 5 games when playing Iowa State
Iowa State
Iowa State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Iowa State's last 5 games when playing Northern Iowa

Indiana State @ Kansas
Indiana State
Indiana State is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
Indiana State is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Kansas
Kansas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Kansas is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games at home

Akron @ Illinois
Akron
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Akron's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Akron's last 8 games
Illinois
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Illinois's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Illinois's last 15 games at home

Ball State @ Indiana
Ball State
Ball State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ball State's last 5 games
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing Ball State

Howard @ Maryland
Howard
Howard is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Howard is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Maryland
Maryland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Maryland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

South Alabama @ Nebraska
South Alabama
The total has gone OVER in 5 of South Alabama's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of South Alabama's last 12 games
Nebraska
Nebraska is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Nebraska is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Florida Atlantic @ Ohio State
Florida Atlantic
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Florida Atlantic's last 11 games on the road
Florida Atlantic is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
Ohio State
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

James Madison @ West Virginia
James Madison
James Madison is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
James Madison is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
West Virginia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of West Virginia's last 6 games
West Virginia is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home

Rhode Island @ Ohio
Rhode Island
Rhode Island is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Rhode Island is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Ohio
Ohio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Ohio is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Eastern Washington @ Washington
Eastern Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Eastern Washington's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Eastern Washington's last 5 games on the road
Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Bucknell @ Temple
Bucknell
No trends to report
Temple
Temple is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Temple is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

Duke @ Alabama
Duke
Duke is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Duke's last 6 games
Alabama
Alabama is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Alabama's last 5 games

South Carolina @ North Carolina
South Carolina
South Carolina is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of South Carolina's last 6 games
North Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 7 of North Carolina's last 10 games
North Carolina is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games

Georgia State @ Tennessee
Georgia State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgia State's last 7 games
Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games
Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

Idaho @ Penn State
Idaho
Idaho is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
Idaho is 15-6-1 ATS in its last 22 games
Penn State
Penn State is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Penn State's last 5 games

Colgate @ Air Force
Colgate
Colgate is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Colgate is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Air Force
Air Force is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Air Force's last 6 games

Eastern Michigan @ Coastal Carolina
Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan is 16-3 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Eastern Michigan's last 5 games
Coastal Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Coastal Carolina's last 6 games at home
Coastal Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

Holy Cross @ Navy
Holy Cross
Holy Cross is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Holy Cross is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Navy
Navy is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Navy's last 5 games at home

East Tennessee State @ Appalachian State
East Tennessee State
East Tennessee State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
East Tennessee State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Appalachian State
Appalachian State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Appalachian State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Portland State @ Arkansas
Portland State
Portland State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Portland State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Arkansas
Arkansas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Arkansas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home

Northwestern @ Stanford
Northwestern
Northwestern is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Northwestern is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Stanford
Stanford is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home
Stanford is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Virginia Tech @ Boston College
Virginia Tech
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Virginia Tech's last 5 games
Virginia Tech is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston College
Boston College
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston College's last 5 games
Boston College is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Virginia Tech

Montana State @ Texas Tech
Montana State
Montana State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montana State's last 5 games on the road
Texas Tech
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas Tech's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas Tech's last 6 games

Syracuse @ Liberty
Syracuse
Syracuse is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Syracuse is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Liberty
Liberty is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Liberty's last 6 games

Sam Houston State @ New Mexico
Sam Houston State
Sam Houston State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Sam Houston State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
New Mexico
New Mexico is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
New Mexico is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Incarnate Word @ Texas-San Antonio
Incarnate Word
Incarnate Word is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Incarnate Word is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Texas-San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas-San Antonio's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas-San Antonio's last 9 games at home

Campbell @ Troy
Campbell
No trends to report
Troy
Troy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Troy is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games

UC Davis @ California
UC Davis
UC Davis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
UC Davis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
California
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of California's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of California's last 5 games at home

VMI @ Marshall
VMI
VMI is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
VMI is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Marshall
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Marshall's last 6 games
Marshall is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Stephen F. Austin @ Baylor
Stephen F. Austin
Stephen F. Austin is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Stephen F. Austin is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
Baylor
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baylor's last 5 games
Baylor is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Boise State @ Florida State
Boise State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boise State's last 5 games
Boise State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Florida State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida State's last 5 games
Florida State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

Nicholls State @ Kansas State
Nicholls State
Nicholls State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Nicholls State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Kansas State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas State's last 6 games at home
Kansas State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Norfolk State @ Old Dominion
Norfolk State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Norfolk State's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Norfolk State's last 6 games on the road
Old Dominion
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Old Dominion's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Old Dominion's last 10 games

Alcorn State @ Southern Miss
Alcorn State
Alcorn State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Alcorn State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Southern Miss
Southern Miss is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Southern Miss is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

Southern Methodist @ Arkansas State
Southern Methodist
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Methodist's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 6 games on the road
Arkansas State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arkansas State's last 5 games
Arkansas State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Monmouth-New Jersey @ Western Michigan
Monmouth-New Jersey
Monmouth-New Jersey is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Monmouth-New Jersey is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Western Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Western Michigan's last 5 games
Western Michigan is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games at home

Illinois State @ Northern Illinois
Illinois State
Illinois State is 3-20 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Illinois State is 3-20 SU in its last 23 games
Northern Illinois
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games at home
Northern Illinois is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home

Oregon @ Auburn
Oregon
Oregon is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oregon's last 8 games
Auburn
Auburn is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
Auburn is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

Georgia @ Vanderbilt
Georgia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgia's last 5 games on the road
Georgia is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Vanderbilt's last 13 games

Georgia Southern @ Louisiana State
Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Georgia Southern is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
Louisiana State
Louisiana State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
Louisiana State is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games

Missouri @ Wyoming
Missouri
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Missouri's last 6 games
Missouri is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Wyoming
Wyoming is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Wyoming is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Virginia @ Pittsburgh
Virginia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Virginia's last 7 games on the road
Virginia is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Virginia

Miami-OH @ Iowa
Miami-OH
Miami-OH is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Miami-OH is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Iowa
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Iowa's last 6 games
Iowa is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

Middle Tennessee @ Michigan
Middle Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Middle Tennessee's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Middle Tennessee's last 5 games
Michigan
Michigan is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Michigan is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games

Abilene Christian @ North Texas
Abilene Christian
Abilene Christian is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Abilene Christian is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
North Texas
North Texas is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of North Texas's last 11 games

Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Texas Christian
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Arkansas-Pine Bluff is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Arkansas-Pine Bluff is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Texas Christian
Texas Christian is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Texas Christian is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games at home

Louisiana Tech @ Texas
Louisiana Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana Tech's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana Tech's last 5 games on the road
Texas
Texas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Houston Baptist @ Texas El Paso
Houston Baptist
No trends to report
Texas El Paso
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas El Paso's last 6 games
Texas El Paso is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

Grambling State @ Louisiana-Monroe
Grambling State
Grambling State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Grambling State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Louisiana-Monroe
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 6 games
Louisiana-Monroe is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

Weber State @ San Diego State
Weber State
Weber State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Weber State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
San Diego State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego State's last 5 games at home
San Diego State is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games at home

New Mexico State @ Washington State
New Mexico State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Mexico State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Mexico State's last 12 games on the road
Washington State
Washington State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Washington State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

Southern Utah @ Nevada-Las Vegas
Southern Utah
Southern Utah is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Southern Utah is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Nevada-Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 23 games at home
Nevada-Las Vegas is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games

Fresno State @ Southern California
Fresno State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Fresno State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Fresno State's last 5 games
Southern California
Southern California is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games at home
Southern California is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games

Sunday, September 1

Houston @ Oklahoma
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games
Oklahoma
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Oklahoma is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

Monday, September 2

Notre Dame @ Louisville
Notre Dame
Notre Dame is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games
Notre Dame is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Louisville
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Louisville's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisville's last 5 games at home

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 08-18-2019, 08:15 PM

This report will update as gamedays get closer.....

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 1

Saturday, August 24

Florida’s QB has 21 starts, but their entire offensive line has only 24- very young. Miami has a new coach, new QB, and three sophs starting on OL. Gators are 7-7-1 vs spread in last 15 games on neutral fields. Last year, SEC teams were 8-1 vs spread (6-3 SU) when playing an ACC team, 5-1 when favored. Mullen covered nine of his last 10 non-SEC games. Last 10 years, Miami is 1-8 vs spread on neutral fields- last three years, they’re 8-6 vs spread outside the ACC. These teams last met six years ago, when Miami (+3) beat Florida 21-16- both sides changed coaches twice since then.

Arizona has a senior QB (20 starts); they’ve got 15 starters back- their OL has 52 returning starts. Wildcats are 7-11-2 vs spread in last 20 games as a road favorite, 6-12 vs spread in last 18 games outside Pac-12; since 2013, Wildcats are 12-7-1 ATS as a double digit favorite. Hawai’i is 1-4-1 ATS in last six games as a home underdog; since 2014, they’re 9-16-1 ATS in non-MW games. Rainbows’ OL has 81 returning starts- their junior QB has 12 starts. Last two years, Mountain West teams are 11-9 vs spread when playing a Pac-12 opponent (9-8 as a dog).

Labor Day weekend’s top 13 games

UCLA has 19 starters back from LY’s 3-9 team that allowed 38+ points six times; Bruins have 65 starts back on OL. Cincinnati has seven starters back on both sides of ball, but has only 31 returning starts on the OL. Under Fickell, Cincy is 4-5 ATS as a home favorite; since 2013, Bearcats are 10-18 vs spread in non-conference games. Since ’14, UCLA is 6-8 ATS as a road underdog; they’re 4-13-1 ATS in last 18 games outside Pac-12. Both teams figure to start a sophomore QB. Last five years, AAC teams covered five of six games vs Pac-12 squads.

Utah won its last three games with BYU by 1-6-8 points, winning last visit to Provo 19-13 (-3); Utes are 6-4-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a road favorite. Utah has a senior QB (19 starts); its OL has 49 returning starts- they’ve got seven starters back on both sides of the ball. BYU’s OL has 74 returning starts, despite having no senior starters on OL; their soph QB has seven starts. Under Sitake, Cougars are 0-3-1 ATS as a home underdog. BYU has 17 starters back overall.

Under Chryst, Wisconsin is 11-3 ATS as a road favorite; they’re 10-7 ATS in last 17 non-league games. Badgers have six starters back on both sides of ball; they’ll probably start a freshman QB, but their OL, normally a strength, has only 34 returning starts. South Florida has 91 starts back on its OL: they’ve got nine starters back on offense, have a senior QB- they’re 9-14-1 ATS as a home underdog (1-3 under Strong). Last three years, AAC teams are 8-4 vs spread when playing a Big 14 team.

Colorado won its last four games with Colorado State, last three by 14+ points; Buffs have a new coach, a senior QB (27 starts) and an OL with 63 career starts (2 senior starters)- they’re 11-9 vs spread in last 20 games as a favorite, 12-7-1 ATS in last 20 non-league games. State’s OL has only 26 returning starts; their junior QB has 8 starts. Rams covered 10 of last 14 games as an underdog; last three years, they’re 5-9 ATS outside the Mountain West. Last six years, Pac-12 teams are 36-33-1 vs spread when facing Mountain West teams.

Home side won last three Ole Miss-Memphis games; under Luke, Rebels are 3-4 ATS as a road underdog. Last three years, Ole Miss is 5-7 ATS outside the SEC. Rebels have a new QB, an OL with only 36 retuning starts- they’v got 10 starters back on defense, but only three on offense. Under Norvell, Memphis is 16-12 ATS as a favorite; Tigers have a junior QB (15 starts), an OL with 52 returning starts. Memphis is 6-8 ATS in its last 14 games outside AAC. Last three years, SEC teams covered five of six games vs AAC opponents.

South Carolina (-2) edged North Carolina 17-13 in last meeting in 2015; both teams changed coaches since then. UNC has Mack Brown back on sidelines; he has a new QB, an OL with 48 career starts but very little depth. USC has a senior QB (32 starts), an OL with 51 starts; under Muschamp, Gamecocks are 7-8 ATS outside SEC; they’re 2-5-1 in last eight games as a road favorite. Tar Heels covered six of last nine tries as an underdog; last five years, they’re 0-5-1 ATS on neutral fields. Last year, SEC teams were 8-1 ATS vs ACC foes (44-34-1 since ’11).

Over last decade, Northwestern is 24-9 ATS as a road underdog; they upset Stanford 16-6 (+10) in last meeting in 2015. Since ’14, Wildcats are 8-12-1 vs spread outside Big 14. Northwestern has a new QB, an OL with 48 starts (1 senior, 3 junior starters). Stanford has only nine starters back; their junior QB has 20 starts, their OL only 39 starts. Last three years, Cardinal is 6-10 ATS as a home favorite; they’re 10-13-1 ATS in last 24 non-league games. Stanford opens Pac-12 play with USC next week. Last four years, Big 14 teams are 16-8 ATS when playing a Pac-12 opponent.

Road team won four of last five Virginia Tech-Boston College games; Hokies won 23-10/26-10 in last two visits to Beantown. Favorites covered last four series games. Tech has 10 starters back on defense, a junior QB (20 starts), an OL with 51 starts- since 2012, they’re 6-16 ATS as a road favorite. BC has a junior QB (22 starts), an OL with 65 starts, but has only 3 starters back on defense. Last two years, Eagles are 4-1-1 vs spread as a home underdog.

Florida State is only 12-13 the last two years, with a -17 turnover ratio; Boise is +24 in turnovers the last two years. Seminoles have a soph QB (12 starts), an OL wth 58 career starts- FSU does have eight starters back on both sides of ball. Last three years, Seminoles are 9-13-2 ATS as a favorite; they’re 12-8 ATS in last 20 tilts outside the ACC. Boise State has new QB but an OL with 106 career starts (3 senior starters); over last decade, Broncos are 5-3 ATS as an underdog; under Harsin, they’re 14-10 ATS outside MW. Last four years, ACC teams are 5-3 vs spread when playing a Mountain West team.

Pittsburgh won its last four games with Virginia, winning 31-14/26-19 in last two played here; Panthers have a junior QB (15 starts), an OL with 37 starts- they’ve got only 11 of 22 starters back from LY. Virginia has a senior QB (13 starts), an OL with 46 starts; over last nine years, Cavaliers are 2-3 ATS as a road favorite. Last three years, Pitt is 5-3 vs spread as a home underdog. Overall under Narduzzi, Pitt is 17-11 ATS as an underdog.

Oregon has 153 returning starts on its offensive line, Auburn 104; nine of 10 starters are seniors. Oregon has 17 starters back, a senior QB (28 starts) and for first time in three years, they’ve got same coach as the year before. Last three years, Oregon is 3-11-1 ATS as an underdog; they’re 6-13-1 ATS in last 20 non-league games. Auburn has seven starters back on both sides of ball; they’ll have a new QB. Last five years, Tigers are 8-16-1 ATS outside the SEC; they’re 3-5 ATS in last eight neutral field games. Since 2011, SEC teams are 9-3 ATS vs Pac-12 opponents.

Last nine years, USC is 11-24 vs spread outside Pac-12; last two years, Trojans are 3-9 ATS as a home favorite. USC has a soph QB (11 starts); their OL has 63 starts- they lost half their 22 starters from LY. Fresno lost 13 starters from LY, has only three back on offense; Bulldogs have a new QB- their OL has only 31 starts, but they’ve covered eight of last 10 non-MW games, and are 22-6 SU last two years. USC (-20) hammered Fresno 52-13 in last meeting five years ago; both teams changed coaches since then. Last six years, Pac-12 teams are 36-33-1 vs spread when facing Mountain West teams. USC opens Pac-12 play with Stanford next week.

Houston has a senior QB (18 starts), an OL with 101 starts and Holgorsen is new coach; he was 0-6 vs Oklahoma in his last job (WVU), allowing 44+ points in each of last five meetings. Cougars are 7-1-1 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog- they’ve got only four starters back on defense. Sooners’ new QB is Alabama transfer Hurts (26-2 as starter); their OL has only 36 starts. Under Riley, Oklahoma is 8-5 ATS as a home favorite, 5-3 ATS outside Big X. Houston (+12) upset Oklahoma 33-23 in last meeting 33-23 in 2016; both teams changed coaches since then. Last two years, Big X teams are 7-3 ATS when playing an AAC team.

Louisville went 2-10 LY after going 57-21 the previous six years, so they changed coaches; Cardinals have 10 starters back on defense, a junior QB (9 starts), an OL with 57 starts- they covered once in last five tries as a home underdog. Last three years, Louisville is 3-11 ATS outside the ACC. Notre Dame has a junior QB (10 starts), an OL with 60 starts. Irish is 5-3-1 ATS in last nine games as a road favorite. Louisville (+3) won last meeting 31-28, five years ago.

**Udog** · 08-19-2019, 08:23 AM

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 1

Saturday, August 24

Miami-FL @ Florida

Game 291-292
August 24, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami-FL
91.954
Florida
104.893
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 13
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida
by 7
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Florida
(-7); Under

Arizona @ Hawaii

Game 293-294
August 24, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
94.936
Hawaii
75.463
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 19 1/2
77
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
by 11
70
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-11); Over

Thursday, August 29

Florida A&M @ Central Florida

Game 227-228
August 29, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida A&M
49.411
Central Florida
99.637
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Central Florida
by 50
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Central Florida
by 45 1/2
64 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Central Florida
(-45 1/2); Under

Gardner-Webb @ Charlotte

Game 229-230
August 29, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Gardner-Webb
44.107
Charlotte
72.612
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 28 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 32 1/2
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Gardner-Webb
(+32 1/2); Under

Central Arkansas @ Western Kentucky

Game 231-232
August 29, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Central Arkansas
62.263
Western Kentucky
68.091
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Kentucky
by 6
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Kentucky
by 9 1/2
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Central Arkansas
(+9 1/2); Under

Georgia Tech @ Clemson

Game 135-136
August 29, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia Tech
88.116
Clemson
126.156
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Clemson
by 38
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Clemson
by 35 1/2
59
Dunkel Pick:
Clemson
(-35 1/2); Under

FIU @ Tulane

Game 137-138
August 29, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
FIU
80.833
Tulane
81.046
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
FIU
Even
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tulane
by 2
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
FIU
(+2); Over

Alabama St @ UAB

Game 233-234
August 29, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Alabama St
27.767
UAB
85.995
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UAB
by 58
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UAB
by 43 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
UAB
(-43 1/2); Over

Texas State @ Texas A&M

Game 139-140
August 29, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas State
68.310
Texas A&M
99.155
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas A&M
by 31
78
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas A&M
by 34 1/2
58
Dunkel Pick:
Texas State
(+34 1/2); Over

South Dakota St @ Minnesota

Game 235-236
August 29, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Dakota St
87.873
Minnesota
103.821
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 16
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 12 1/2
56 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-12 1/2); Over

Northern Colorado @ San Jose St

Game 237-238
August 29, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Colorado
52.172
San Jose St
73.567
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Jose St
by 21 1/2
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Jose St
by 10 1/2
59 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Jose St
(-10 1/2); Over

Kent State @ Arizona State

Game 141-142
August 29, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kent State
69.545
Arizona State
92.654
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona State
by 23
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona State
by 25
61 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kent State
(+25); Under

Utah @ Brigham Young

Game 143-144
August 29, 2019 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
88.199
Brigham Young
85.186
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 3
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 5
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Brigham Young
(+5); Under

Friday, August 30

Rice @ Army

Game 145-146
August 30, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Rice
53.275
Army
85.181
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Army
by 32
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Army
by 23 1/2
50
Dunkel Pick:
Army
(-23 1/2); Over

Wisconsin @ South Florida

Game 149-150
August 30, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wisconsin
93.499
South Florida
73.703
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wisconsin
by 20
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wisconsin
by 12 1/2
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Wisconsin
(-12 1/2); Over

Tulsa @ Michigan State

Game 151-152
August 30, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tulsa
70.652
Michigan State
100.269
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Michigan State
by 29 1/2
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan State
by 22 1/2
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Michigan State
(-22 1/2); Over

Massachusetts @ Rutgers

Game 153-154
August 30, 2019 @ 7:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Massachusetts
68.605
Rutgers
73.760
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Rutgers
by 5
34
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Rutgers
by 15 1/2
57
Dunkel Pick:
Massachusetts
(+15 1/2); Under

Utah State @ Wake Forest

Game 147-148
August 30, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah State
92.730
Wake Forest
98.165
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wake Forest
by 5 1/2
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wake Forest
by 3 1/2
63 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Wake Forest
(-3 1/2); Over

Purdue @ Nevada

Game 157-158
August 30, 2019 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Purdue
87.405
Nevada
87.806
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nevada
Even
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Purdue
by 10
59
Dunkel Pick:
Nevada
(+10); Under

Colorado State @ Colorado

Game 155-156
August 30, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado State
70.456
Colorado
79.879
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 9 1/2
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
by 12 1/2
58 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado State
(+12 1/2); Under

Oklahoma State @ Oregon State

Game 159-160
August 30, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma State
90.180
Oregon State
77.338
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma State
by 13
71
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma State
by 16
73 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oregon State
(+16); Under

Saturday, August 31

South Alabama @ Nebraska

Game 163-164
August 31, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Alabama
58.177
Nebraska
98.318
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nebraska
by 40
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nebraska
by 36
64
Dunkel Pick:
Nebraska
(-36); Over

Florida Atlantic @ Ohio State

Game 161-162
August 31, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida Atlantic
76.921
Ohio State
108.920
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio State
by 32
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio State
by 27
63 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Ohio State
(-27); Over

Akron @ Illinois

Game 167-168
August 31, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Akron
67.025
Illinois
73.258
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Illinois
by 6
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Illinois
by 16 1/2
56 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Akron
(+16 1/2); Over

Indiana @ Ball State

Game 169-170
August 31, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
87.243
Ball State
64.989
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 22 1/2
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 16 1/2
59
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(-16 1/2); Under

Toledo @ Kentucky

Game 171-172
August 31, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toledo
73.887
Kentucky
97.717
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kentucky
by 24
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kentucky
by 12
59
Dunkel Pick:
Kentucky
(-12); Under

Mississippi @ Memphis

Game 175-176
August 31, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Mississippi
82.776
Memphis
91.693
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 9
77
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 6
68
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(-6); Over

Mississippi St @ LA-Lafayette

Game 173-174
August 31, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Mississippi St
102.505
LA-Lafayette
71.278
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mississippi St
by 31
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Mississippi St
by 22 1/2
57
Dunkel Pick:
Mississippi St
(-22 1/2); Over

East Carolina @ NC State

Game 165-166
August 31, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
East Carolina
72.848
NC State
88.201
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NC State
by 15 1/2
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NC State
by 17 1/2
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
East Carolina
(+17 1/2); Over

Eastern Michigan @ Coastal Carolina

Game 179-180
August 31, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Eastern Michigan
74.775
Coastal Carolina
72.143
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Eastern Michigan
by 2 1/2
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Eastern Michigan
by 5 1/2
55
Dunkel Pick:
Coastal Carolina
(+5 1/2); Under

Duke @ Alabama

Game 183-184
August 31, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Duke
84.896
Alabama
122.054
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Alabama
by 37
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Alabama
by 34
58
Dunkel Pick:
Alabama
(-34); Over

South Carolina @ North Carolina

Game 181-182
August 31, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Carolina
95.042
North Carolina
84.613
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Carolina
by 10 1/2
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Carolina
by 7 1/2
63
Dunkel Pick:
South Carolina
(-7 1/2); Over

Georgia State @ Tennessee

Game 177-178
August 31, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia State
63.089
Tennessee
84.443
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tennessee
by 21 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 26
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia State
(+26); Under

Northwestern @ Stanford

Game 185-186
August 31, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northwestern
95.624
Stanford
95.927
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Northwestern
Even
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Stanford
by 6 1/2
49
Dunkel Pick:
Northwestern
(+6 1/2); Under

Virginia Tech @ Boston College

Game 187-188
August 31, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Virginia Tech
87.114
Boston College
89.288
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston College
by 2
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia Tech
by 3
57
Dunkel Pick:
Boston College
(+3); Under

SMU @ Arkansas St

Game 193-194
August 31, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
SMU
77.086
Arkansas St
76.994
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
SMU
Even
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arkansas St
by 3
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
SMU
(+3); Over

Boise State @ Florida State

Game 191-192
August 31, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boise State
90.204
Florida State
98.748
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida State
by 8 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida State
by 5
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Florida State
(-5); Under

Georgia Southern @ LSU

Game 199-200
August 31, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia Southern
75.620
LSU
107.308
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LSU
by 31 1/2
75
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LSU
by 27
53
Dunkel Pick:
LSU
(-27); Over

Miami of Ohio @ Iowa

Game 197-198
August 31, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami of Ohio
78.347
Iowa
101.820
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iowa
by 23 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iowa
by 21 1/2
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Iowa
(-21 1/2); Over

Virginia @ Pittsburgh

Game 203-204
August 31, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Virginia
93.958
Pittsburgh
94.695
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia
by 3
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+3); Under

Oregon @ Auburn

Game 207-208
August 31, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oregon
95.714
Auburn
96.345
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Auburn
by 1
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Auburn
by 3 1/2
57
Dunkel Pick:
Oregon
(+3 1/2); Over

Middle Tennessee St @ Michigan

Game 195-196
August 31, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Middle Tennessee
80.415
Michigan
98.126
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Michigan
by 17
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan
by 33 1/2
54
Dunkel Pick:
Middle Tennessee
(+33 1/2); Over

Georgia @ Vanderbilt

Game 201-202
August 31, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia
107.532
Vanderbilt
89.968
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia
by 17 1/2
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia
by 21
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Vanderbilt
(+21); Under

Missouri @ Wyoming

Game 205-206
August 31, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Missouri
89.726
Wyoming
85.340
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Missouri
by 4 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Missouri
by 18
54
Dunkel Pick:
Wyoming
(+18); Over

New Mexico St @ Washington St

Game 211-212
August 31, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Mexico St
59.399
Washington St
100.074
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington St
by 40 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington St
by 32
64 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington St
(-32); Under

Fresno State @ USC

Game 213-214
August 31, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Fresno State
97.589
USC
88.902
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Fresno State
by 8 1/2
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
USC
by 13 1/2
52
Dunkel Pick:
Fresno State
(+13 1/2); Over

Sunday, September 1

Houston @ Oklahoma

Game 215-216
September 1, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
93.119
Oklahoma
112.113
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma
by 19
84
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma
by 24 1/2
80
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(+24 1/2); Over

Monday, September 2

Notre Dame @ Louisville

Game 217-218
September 2, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Notre Dame
104.083
Louisville
63.064
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Notre Dame
by 41
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Notre Dame
by 20 1/2
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Notre Dame
(-20 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 08-20-2019, 01:29 PM

Week 1 Dunkel Index (post #6) is complete.

**StarDust Bum** · 08-21-2019, 01:06 PM

Analysis: Arizona State, Auburn, UNC to rely on frosh QBs
August 21, 2019
By The Associated Press

There is a trickle-down effect from having true freshman quarterbacks star in the last two national championship games.

Clemson's Trevor Lawrence capped his freshman season by leading the Tigers to a blowout of Alabama in last season's College Football Playoff title game. One year earlier, it was Alabama freshman Tua Tagovailoa coming off the sideline to rally the Crimson Tide to an overtime victory over Georgia.

After seeing true freshmen shine in the postseason, coaches aren't so hesitant about seeing what quarterbacks just out of high school can do at the start of a season.

At least three Power Five programs plan to open the season with a true freshman starting quarterback. Arizona State is going with Jayden Daniels, No. 16 Auburn has selected Bo Nix and Sam Howell is getting the majority of the first-team reps at North Carolina.

Those teams have decided a newcomer has enough potential to make up for any freshman mistakes.

''He's not the savior, OK,'' Arizona State coach Herm Edwards said after announcing Daniels as the starter. ''I don't want anyone to think that. He's a freshman quarterback, like all freshmen are, and he's going to do a lot of good things and sometimes he's going to make some errors.''

Not all the notable freshmen across college football play quarterback, of course. Here's a rundown of some freshmen who should make an immediate impact.

ARIZONA STATE QB JAYDEN DANIELS

Daniels will become the first Arizona State true freshman quarterback to start a season opener for the Sun Devils, as he won a four-man competition for the job. The 6-foot-3 Daniels was rated as the nation's No. 2 dual-threat quarterback and No. 35 overall prospect in his class according to composite rankings of recruiting sites compiled by 247Sports. He enrolled at Arizona State early enough to participate in spring practice. Arizona State is doubling down on youth at the quarterback position, as true freshman Joey Yellen opens the season as Daniels' top backup.

NORTH CAROLINA QB SAM HOWELL

This former top-100 prospect verbally committed to Florida State in April 2018 but selected North Carolina during the December signing period after former Seminoles offensive coordinator Walt Bell left to take over Massachusetts' program. North Carolina coach Mack Brown announced Sunday that Howell would get most of the first-team reps for the rest of preseason practices. Brown said the 6-foot-1 freshman's consistency gave him an edge over redshirt freshmen Cade Fortin and Jace Ruder, who also have been competing for the starting quarterback job.

SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA DE DRAKE JACKSON

Jackson enrolled at USC early and made a highlight-worthy play in the Trojans' spring showcase by making a one-handed interception and scoring on the play. USC coach Clay Helton said afterward that the 6-4 freshman reminded him of New York Jets defensive lineman and former Trojans star Leonard Williams. Jackson was rated as the No. 56 overall prospect in his class according to the 247Sports Composite.

AUBURN QB BO NIX

Nix is the son of Patrick Nix, who played for Auburn from 1992-95 and was the Tigers' starting quarterback when they went unbeaten in 1993. He's the nation's No. 1 dual-threat quarterback and No. 33 overall prospect in his class according to the 247Sports Composite. He gained over 12,000 career yards and accounted for 161 touchdowns (127 passing, 34 rushing) at Pinson Valley High School to set Alabama state records in both categories. Nix, who is 6-2, beat out redshirt freshman Joey Gatewood for the right to start Auburn's Aug. 31 season opener with No. 11 Oregon at Arlington, Texas.

LSU CB DEREK STINGLEY JR.

Stingley was the nation's No. 1 prospect in his class according to Rivals and was rated third according to the 247Sports Composite. He covered LSU's top receivers and recorded an interception in the spring game. He likely will open the season as a starter and also could contribute as a kick returner. During spring practice, LSU defensive back Kary Vincent called Stingley ''a once-in-a-lifetime player to play with and a once-in-a-lifetime player to see.'' Stingley is the grandson of former New England Patriots receiver Darryl Stingley, whose NFL career ended after a head-on collision in a preseason game left him paralyzed. Stingley's father played minor league baseball and Arena Football.

TEXAS RB JORDAN WHITTINGTON

Whittington played wide receiver at Cuero (Texas) High School but moved to running back during spring practice and immediately won praise from coaches and teammates. Texas coach Tom Herman said it's ''one of the most amazing things I've seen in my 20-something years coaching is how a guy that's never played a position before in his life took to it that naturally.'' With incumbent starter Keaontay Ingram nursing a bruised knee during training camp, Whittington has had even more of an opportunity to make an impression. He's the nation's No. 34 overall prospect in his class according to the 247Sports Composite.

OTHER FRESHMEN TO WATCH

Notre Dame defensive back Kyle Hamilton, Alabama linebacker Christian Harris, Georgia wide receiver George Pickens, Nebraska running back/receiver Wan'Dale Robinson, Oregon defensive end Kayvon Thibodeaux, Tennessee linebacker Jordan To'o To'o, Ohio State receiver Garrett Wilson.

**StarDust Bum** · 08-21-2019, 01:12 PM

Reality Check: Why your Top 25 team could tank in 2019
August 20, 2019
By The Associated Press

Sorry to be a bummer at a time of the year usually reserved for hope and optimism, but there is a decent chance your favorite college team is going to be a big disappointment this season.

The preseason AP Top 25 presented by Regions Bank is out. There were no real surprises at the top. Defending champion Clemson is No. 1 and Alabama is No. 2. The Tigers and Crimson Tide have alternated winning the last four national championships.

Georgia, which has had its national championship hopes dashed by `Bama the past two seasons, is No. 3. Oklahoma, working on a string of four straight Big 12 championships, is No. 4. Ohio State, with three Big Ten titles and a national championship in the last five years, landed at No. 5.

Over the last 10 years, about 40 percent of the teams that have started the season ranked end it unranked. Obviously, the better the start the more likely it is a team stays in the rankings, but 19 preseason top-10 teams have finished the season unranked in that span. And seven of those were in the top five. Three times in the last 10 seasons, including last year, three top-10 teams finished unranked. The last time all the preseason top-10 teams managed to finish the season in the Top 25 was 2006.

So give a look at that top 10, rounded out by No. 6 LSU, No. 7 Michigan, No. 8 Florida, No. 9 Notre Dame and No. 10 Texas. At least one of them is fixin' to break some hearts.

The first Reality Check of the season assesses the chances for each Top 25 team to tank.

No. 1 Clemson (15-0)

Opener: vs. Georgia Tech.

Reality check: The preseason poll started in 1950. Only two preseason No. 1 teams have failed to be in the final rankings (USC in 2012 was the last). The Tigers have history and, more importantly, Trevor Lawrence on their side.

No. 2 Alabama (14-1)

Opener: vs. Duke in Atlanta.

Reality check: The Crimson Tide have not finished outside the top 10 since Nick Saban's first season. And he's still the coach.

No. 3 Georgia (11-3)

Opener: at Vanderbilt.

Reality check: In 2013 and '15, Mark Richt's Georgia teams were preseason top 10 and finished unranked. Kirby Smart was brought in to stop that nonsense.

No. 4 Oklahoma (12-2)

Opener: vs. Houston.

Reality check: The Sooners' path to ruin: The offense regresses from historically great to merely good with Jalen Hurts and the defense remains bad.

No. 5 Ohio State (13-1)

Opener: vs. FAU.

Reality check: If Georgia transfer QB Justin Fields is a bust the Buckeyes aren't in position to bail him out.

No. 6 LSU (10-3)

Opener: vs. Georgia Southern.

Reality check: OK, THIS is the year the Tigers open up the offense. What if that's a bad idea?

No. 7 Michigan (10-3)

Opener: vs. Middle Tennessee.

Reality check: The optimism about the Wolverines has a lot to do with the uncertainty at Ohio State.

No. 8 Florida (10-3)

Opener: vs. Miami in Orlando, Florida.

Reality check: The Gators' surge last season was inflated by a bowl victory against a Michigan team that sort of checked out.

No. 9 Notre Dame (12-1)

Opener: at Louisville.

Reality check: The Irish expect offensive improvement to compensate for some defensive regression. Or, it doesn't and some of last season's one-score victories against so-so opposition go the other way this year.

No. 10 Texas (10-4)

Opener: vs. Louisiana Tech.

Reality check: It wouldn't be the first time ''Texas is Back!'' went bad.

No. 11 Oregon (9-4)

Opener: vs. No. 16 Auburn in Arlington, Texas.

Reality check: High expectations for a team that scored seven points in the RedBox Bowl and went 2-3 on the road last year.

No. 12 Texas A&M (9-4)

Opener: vs Texas State.

Reality check: The Aggies, along with South Carolina, are the first team in 44 years to have preseason Nos. 1-3 on the schedule. They are a little bad luck away from a 6-6 season.

No. 13 Washington (10-4)

Opener: vs Eastern Washington.

Reality check: New QB Jacob Eason has not played in a game in two years. He was a five-star recruit. But is he still?

No. 14 Utah (9-5)

Opener: at BYU.

Reality check: The Utes have been great at exceeding modest expectations. Meeting high ones can be a different deal.

No. 15 Penn State (9-4)

Opener: vs. Idaho.

Reality check: The Nittany Lions need lots of relatively inexperienced players, including at quarterback, to become stars and leaders.

No. 16 Auburn (8-5)

Opener: vs. No. 11 Oregon.

Reality check: Failing to meet expectations is pretty much Auburn being Auburn. Then again, so is exceeding them.

No. 17 UCF (12-1)

Opener: vs. Florida A&M.

Reality check: Two years removed from Scott Frost and without QB McKenzie Milton, a new era begins for college football's brash interlopers. Sustaining it is the toughest part.

No. 18 Michigan State (7-6)

Opener: vs. Tulsa.

Reality check: The Spartans scored 32 points in their final four games last season. Coach Mark Dantonio is banking on a shuffled, though not new, offensive staff and better health at quarterback and receiver to fix it. Good luck.

No. 19 Wisconsin (8-5)

Opener: at USF.

Reality check: The Badgers were last season's big bust, going from preseason No. 4 to unranked. Maybe it wasn't a fluke?

No. 20 Iowa (9-4)

Opener: vs. Miami (Ohio).

Reality check: So two-year starting QB Nate Stanley is going to get BETTER after losing two first-round draft pick tight ends. Really?

No. 21 Iowa State (8-5)

Opener: vs. Northern Iowa.

Reality check: There's a reason the Cyclones are in the preseason rankings for the first time since 1978. Winning in Ames is hard and doesn't happen very often.

No. 22 Syracuse (10-3)

Opener: at Liberty.

Reality check: The Orange rode 31 takeaways, third-best in the nation, and a plus-13 margin (fifth best) to 10 victories last season. Regression is an uninvited and often unpleasant visitor.

No. 23 Washington State (11-2)

Opener: vs. New Mexico State.

Reality check: Can coach Mike Leach find Minshew Magic with another new quarterback?

No. 24 Nebraska (4-8)

Opener: vs. South Alabama.

Reality check: The last team to start a season ranked after a having record as bad or worse than the Cornhuskers was Alabama in 2001. The Tide was 25th after going 3-8 in 2000 and finished 7-5.

No. 25 Stanford (9-4)

Opener: vs. Northwestern.

Reality check: After two straight nine-win season, the Cardinal have to prove they can get back the physical formula that helped them win at least 11 games five times from 2010-15.

**StarDust Bum** · 08-23-2019, 02:05 AM

Miami, FL vs. Florida
August 22, 2019
By Brian Edwards

College Football Saturday Betting Preview

Miami, FL vs. Florida (ESPN, 7:00 p.m. ET)
The 2019 college football season will get started Saturday night at Camping World Stadium in Orlando, where Florida and Miami will collide in a battle of old-school rivals. As of Aug. 13, most books had the Gators installed as seven-point favorites.

On Aug. 18, Vegas books made Florida a 7.5-point ‘chalk.’ As of Wednesday, just about every betting outlet had the Gators favored by 7.5 points, and that’s where the number remained as of early Thursday.

Most spots have the Hurricanes at +240 on the money line (risk $100 to win $240). DraftKings Sportsbook is offering adjusted lines for those extremely bullish on Florida. Gamblers can back the Gators at -12 for a +155 return, -13.5 (+180), -14 (+210) and -14.5 (+220).

The ‘over/under’ spent about a month at 50.5 points at most shops. However, after first-year Miami head coach Manny Diaz named redshirt freshman QB Jarren Williams as his starter on Aug. 12, the total moved from 50.5 to 48.5. It dropped to 47.5 the next day. For most of this week, the total has been 47 or 47.5 points at most books.

UF went 10-3 straight up and 9-4 against the spread in the first season of Dan Mullen’s tenure. The Gators return five starters on offense and eight on defense. They finished 2018 on a four-game winning streak, including blowout wins at Florida State (41-14) and vs. Michigan (41-15) at the Peach Bowl.

Junior quarterback Feleipe Franks was the catalyst in the final four games, throwing eight touchdown passes without an interception and rushing for four more scores. The Wakulla County High School (Fla.) product came a long way under Mullen, although he had terrible performances in all three defeats against Kentucky, Georgia and Missouri.

Franks has an arm and overall size that NFL scouts salivate over, and he’s proven himself to be a willing and physical runner between the tackles. It’s all about his decision-making, an area in which he made progress with last season but still needs improvement.

Franks has talent galore around him, including the best set of wide receivers UF has had in at least a decade. The running back position is stacked as well with Lamical Perine, Malik Davis and Dameon Pierce. The position group of the most concern – not just on offensively, but on the entire team – is the offensive line.

Only one starter, senior center Nick Buchannan, returns from last season. With that said, junior OG Brett Heggie started eight games in 2017 and many observers felt he was playing like the best o-linemen on the team when he tore his ACL at Missouri. Heggie returned and played eight games last year, but he wasn’t in top form health-wise like he is now.

UF’s defense gave up 20.0 points per game in 2018. We noted eight starters returning, but it’s really like 10 when you take sophomore CB Marco Wilson and senior DE Jonathan Greenard. Wilson started all 11 games as a true freshman in 2017, only to tear his ACL in the first quarter of a Week 2 loss to Kentucky last season. Greenard has 10 career starts and 9.5 sacks from his time at Louisville in 2016 and ’17. He’s played under DC Todd Grantham at U of L, so he’s already familiar with the scheme.

The stars of the UF defense are senior LB David Reese, junior CB C.J. Henderson and senior DE Jabari Zuniga. Reese, who has 25 career starts to his credit, had 77 tackles last year and was a second-team All-SEC selection in 2017. Henderson is a preseason All-American (either first or second-team at every publication I’ve seen), a second-team All-SEC choice from last year and a projected first-round pick in the 2020 NFL Draft.

Zuniga produced 45 tackles, 6.5 sacks, 4.5 tackles for loss and four QB hurries in ’18. He has 15.5 career sacks and 21 career QB hurries.

Miami finished ’18 at 7-6 SU and 5-8 ATS, losing five of its last seven games to prompt Mark Richt to retire after going 26-13 in three years at his alma mater. Diaz takes his place after a career spent as a DC at schools like Middle Tennessee, Mississippi State, Texas, Louisiana Tech and UM.

The Hurricanes return 12 starters, six on each side of the ball. UM’s defense gave up merely 19.5 PPG last year, and this group features a pair of preseason All-Americans in LBs Shaquille Quarterman and Michael Pinckney. Quarterman was a preseason second-team All-American in Phil Steele’s preseason mag, while Pinckney was a fourth-teamer.

Quarterman earned first-team All-ACC honors last year when he recorded 82 tackles, eight TFL’s, six sacks, six QB hurries, two passes broken up, one interception and one forced fumble. He has 25 career TFL’s and 11.5 sacks. Pinckney was a third-team All-ACC choice in ’18, producing 74 tackles, 7.5 TFL’s, 3.5 sacks, five QB hurries, two PBU and one interception.

Most betting shops with odds to win the ACC and its two divisions have Miami as the ‘chalk’ (+165-ish) to take the Coastal. Clemson is an enormous favorite to win the ACC (around -330), with most shops using the Hurricanes for the second-shortest odds at about 13/1.

Miami lost its leading rusher (Travis Homer, 985 yards), but DeeJay Dallas is back for his junior campaign. Dallas rushed for 617 yards and six TDs while averaging 5.7 yards per carry in ’18. Sophomore RB Lorenzo Lingard is ‘out’ vs. UF due to a knee injury. Lingard, a former five-star recruit, played in only six games as a true freshman last year, rushing for 138 yards and two TDs on 17 attempts (8.0 YPC).

The ‘Canes have an elite tight end and their best wideout back in the mix, and they scored an outstanding grad transfer from Buffalo. K.J. Osborn started 14 games for the 10-4 Bulls last season, producing 53 catches for 892 yards and seven TDs. Osborn joins WR Jeff Thomas, who had 35 receptions for 563 yards and three TDs in ’18. TE Brevin Jordan lived up to his 5-star status as a true freshman last year, garnering second-team All-ACC honors when he made 32 catches for 287 yards and four TDs.

Miami owns a 7-1 record both SU and ATS in the last eight head-to-head meetings between these in-state rivals since 1986. The ‘under’ is 5-2 in the past seven UF-UM encounters.

These schools last met on Sept. 7 of 2013. Miami won a 21-16 decision as a three-point home underdog.

Florida dominated the game between the 20s, but advantages of 22-10 in first downs and 413-212 in total offense were washed away by five turnovers (four in the red zone) and a failed fourth-down attempt deep in UM territory. This game started the demise of Jeff Driskel as a Gator and Will Muschamp’s tenure.

According to weather.com, the forecast for Saturday night in Orlando calls for partly cloudy skies and only a 20-percent chance of precipitation. There’s a 40 percent chance of rain earlier in the afternoon. Temperatures will mostly be in the 80s, with an afternoon high of 90 degrees and a low of 76 degrees Saturday night.

Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

-- Most books have UF and UM’s season win total at 8.5. The price for the ‘over’ on the Gators is in the -135 neighborhood, while the Hurricanes are priced at around -150 for ‘over’ supporters.

-- I was in the stadiums – including the Orange Bowl in 1987, the Superdome in 2001, The Swamp in 2002 and the Georgia Dome in 2004 – for four of UF’s seven recent defeats against the ‘Canes. My only trip to the OB was for Emmitt Smith’s first game as a Gator. UM won 31-4 thanks to bad snaps for safeties by its long snapper on punts. On Jan. 2 of 2001, Miami captured a 37-20 win at the Sugar Bowl in Butch Davis’s last game before taking the Cleveland Browns job. On Sept. 7 of 2002, Ken Dorsey pieced up UF’s defense in a 41-16 win that was a misleading final with the ‘Canes getting a pick-six (and 14-point swing) that went for 100-plus yards.

On Sept. 6 of ’03, my 29th birthday was ruined by former Gator QB Brock Berlin, who rallied UM from a 33-14 third-quarter deficit to win by a 38-33 count. With Charlie Strong serving as interim head coach after Ron Zook had been fired (why the hell Jeremy Foley ever hired him will puzzle all until the end of time!), Miami beat UF 27-10 at the Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl in Atlanta. Then on my 34th birthday (9/6/08) while I was on press row at UFC 88 (my first UFC event, the night Rashad Evans knocked out Chuck Liddell and I thought ‘The Iceman’ was dead for at least 90 seconds), Urban Meyer elected to kick a field goal in the final 30 seconds that gave the Gators a 26-3 win and the spread cover as 22.5-point home ‘chalk.’ Randy Shannon was livid at Meyer for doing so. Really, Randy? In UF's only win over Miami since the '80s, it was being a spoiled sport for getting a 3-pointer to cover the number? Please. Shannon actually became a UF assistant under Jim McElwain and served as interim head coach after McElwain was pink slipped in 2017.

Speaking of late FGs in a game at The Swamp, I was in attendance and furious as a kid in the 1983 season opener when Howard Schnellenberger sent his kicker out on the last play of the game. The Gators were ahead 28-0 looking to polish off some cream-cheese treatment to the 'Canes, but Schnellenberger wasn't in the mood for a bagel on that day. The UM kicker made a long FG to make it a 28-3 final. That 'Canes squad won out and edged Nebraska at the Orange Bowl to win the national title.

-- Hawaii will host Arizona at 10:30 p.m. Eastern on the CBS Sports Network. As of Aug. 22, most books had Kevin Sumlin’s Wildcats installed as 11-point road favorites. The total was 70.5 points for several weeks before moving to 74 overnight earlier this week. Bettors can take the Rainbow Warriors to win outright for a +325 return. They finished last year with an 8-6 SU record and a 5-9 ATS mark. UH brings back 18 total starters with nine apiece returning on each side of the ball. Cole McDonald threw for 3,875 yards with a 36/10 TD-INT ratio in 2018. He lost top WR target John Ursua, but WRs Cedric Byrd (79 catches, 970 receiving yards and nine TD grabs) and JoJo Ward (51-865-9) are back. Also, UH adds former 4-star recruit Melquise Stovall, who went JUCO after starting seven games and producing 415 receiving yards for the Cal Bears in 2016.

Arizona was a disappointing 5-7 SU and 7-5 ATS in Sumlin’s first year on the job. The Wildcats have seven starters coming back on offense and eight on defense. Senior QB Khalil Tate threw for 2,530 yards with a 26/8 TD-INT ratio last season, but he lost his top four WRs. RB J.J. Taylor returns after rushing for 1,434 yards and six TDs with a 5.6 YPC average. Junior LB Colin Schooler is an All-American candidate after recording 119 tackles, 18 TFL’s, five QB hurries, four PBU, 3.5 sacks and two interceptions.

-- Vanderbilt’s Derek Mason told the media that he won’t announce a starting quarterback for his team’s Week 1 home game against Georgia until the signal caller goes on the field and into the huddle for the first possession. With Kyle Shurmur gone, Deuce Wallace and Ball State grad transfer Riley Neal are battling for the job. Neal started 32 games for the Cardinals, throwing for 7,393 yards with a 46/25 TD-INT ratio. Neal has 1,363 career rushing yards and 15 TDs. UGA is a 21-point road favorite.

**Udog** · 08-24-2019, 07:36 AM

Arizona at Hawaii
Matt Blunt

Arizona at Hawaii (CBSSN, 10:30 p.m. ET)

We've finally got meaningful college football games to talk about, as the 2019 season gets started on Saturday with a double-header of games. The first being Miami vs Florida will be one that generates plenty of action on Saturday, but it's the nightcap out west between Arizona and Hawaii that I'm looking to focus on today.

The Arizona Wildcats are looking to improve upon a tough 2018 season where it was a year where health issues arguably held both programs back from reaching the peaks of their potential. That was definitely true for Arizona QB Khalil Tate who battled injuries while trying to become a predominantly pocket passer in HC Kevin Sumlin's first year with the program and none of it really worked out.

Tate was the talk of college football for about a month in 2017 when he was using his big arm along with his legs to make big play after big play for Arizona on a weekly basis. Reverting back to that form in 2019 will help Arizona's prospects tremendously, and it's something to look out for from Arizona early in the year.

So will Tate and Arizona come out of the gates hot and cover as a double-digit road favorite, or will the trend of backing Hawaii as an underdog pay off once again like it did early in the 2018 season?

College Football Odds: Arizona (-11); Total set at 72.5

This Hawaii program was making waves in the betting market at this time a year ago, as they opened up the 2018 season with a 43-34 win @ Colorado State as a +17 underdog, and followed that up a week later with a 59-41 win at home catching 13.5 points against Navy. Those two SU and ATS wins were great victories for bettors that were savvy enough to back the Rainbow Warriors, as it was a scenario that became well known in betting markets.

Well, a full year later, it seems like those early season wins by Hawaii last year are at the forefront of everyone's memories again, as the Rainbow Warriors have taken a slight majority of the support (55%+) to put them in the conversation for potentially being a 'public underdog.' There are plenty of football reasons – either for Hawaii or in terms of fading Arizona – behind the Hawaii backing as well, but when the common refrain in previewing this game is that “it looks like it's too many points to give Hawaii” - chances are that line of thought is too heavily influenced by what Hawaii did in late August-early September a year ago.

Now don't get me wrong, this could very well be too many points to give Hawaii, as this team does have eight starters returning on offense from last year's 8-6 SU team. QB Cole McDonald was the catalyst behind those early season upset victories a year ago, and he should be an entertaining player to watch again this year. Hawaii's best path to winning games is through the play of McDonald and the offense putting up 30+ points a game, as the Rainbow Warriors were 7-0 SU last year when they scored 30 or more, and 1-6 SU when they didn't.

So Hawaii should be able to move the ball fairly well against an Arizona defense that still needs plenty of improvement in 2019. This Arizona team should take strides in reaching a sustained level of improvement on defense this year, as they'll need to be better to compete in the Pac-12. The Pac-12 may be full of parity again this year that keeps it from being recognized on the national stage, but in general, every school in the conference has better talent from top to bottom then what Mountain West (Colorado State) or Armed Forces (Navy) schools have on the football field.

That makes it highly dangerous to compare Hawaii's early season upsets against those teams to this year's game with Arizona under the statement that it looks like Hawaii is getting too many points. Yes, on the surface, Hawaii catching 11 at home in Game 1 of a new season with everyone healthy looks like a lot considering they were catching 17 and 13.5 respectively to start last year and won both outright by at least 9 points, but context and competition level matters, and that's always lost from varying perspectives when market previews get discussed at length for these stand-alone type games. That's not a ringing endorsement of backing Arizona at -11, but oddsmakers remember what Hawaii did 12 months ago too, and still don't fear hanging another double-digit spread on the Rainbow Warriors. That says quite an significant message too.

Instead, if you do believe Hawaii will play well enough to at worst hang around in this game, the better betting look has to be on the 'over'. This total saw a quick spike from 70 to 74 before some buy back on the 'under' came, but unless early season rust plagues both offenses, this game does set up for a lot of points to be scored.

Hawaii was undefeated last year when they scored 30+, so you know that's a mark that they'll want to get to and have discussed internally leading up to this game. Arizona allowed 32.6 points per game a year ago, and even with the Wildcats goal of significant improvement on that side of the ball this year, it won't all show up in Week 1. So 30+ from Hawaii on offenseis more then a realistic expectation for this game, and even getting to 40+ isn't out of the question.

From there, if you are to assume that the point spread is relatively sharp for an opening game, that puts Khalil Tate and this Arizona offense scoring 40+ in this contest. That scenario alone is likely behind some of that early 'over' money at the initial number of 70, but now that it's back closer to that initial number, I'm fine with taking a bit of a bad number at 72.5. If these two teams go back and forth as expected (Hawaii allowed 35.1 points per game in 2018) I'm not sure a point or two will really matter. Either these guys end up with 75+ points, or they don't pass the 70 opener number when it's all said and done.

I'm betting the former though, as Tate's self-evaluation of needing to get back to the dual-threat QB he was two years ago is more beneficial to the bottom line of Arizona's football team this year. Combined with a sharper throwing arm simply from practicing to be a pocket-style QB for the past 12 months, makes him a much more polished threat on offense then even the one who was scoring 40+ for the entire month of October (four straight games) back in 2017.

So give me the high side of this total, as Hawaii is 12-4 O/U in their last 16 non-conference games as a program, and Arizona has a 3-1 O/U run going the past four years in their first road game of the year.

Best Bet: Over 72.5 points

**Udog** · 08-26-2019, 09:02 AM

Replies #4 (Trend Report) and #5 (Armadillo's write-up) have updated.

**Udog** · 08-26-2019, 10:07 PM

Hot & Not Report - Week 1
Matt Blunt

Week of August 26th

With last week's piece focusing on what's now come and gone for Week of the NFL preseason, I'd like to bid adieu to the NFL for just a week. The first full opening week of college football is upon us this week, and Week 4 of the NFL preseason is just a week that's best to take off unless you are really into researching and reading up the bottom halves of every NFL team's potential depth chart. Instead, it's on to the collegiate world this week with the emphasis being on two specific conferences: the Pac-12 and the SEC.

These are two conferences that have been on opposite ends of the spectrum for the most part when in comes to discussing college football on the national stage the past few years, as the SEC is still the flag bearer for this sport in terms of overall depth, talent and churning out NFL-caliber players.

But chaos can be beautiful too, and while the Pac-12 gets called out for its parity and how they never have one/two really elite teams, once conference play gets going, Pac-12 games can be some of the most entertaining out there because of that same parity in regards to it being up in the air as to who will win.

Either way, there are some specific football programs from both conferences that have had good/bad runs in season openers the past few years, and they've drawn my eye for this week. And while trends are just simply a small piece of the entire picture, they can serve as a solid place to start in terms of game selection, so here are a few SEC/Pac-12 schools to hone in on as play on or against programs for this first game of the year.

Who's Hot

They'd better be wearing RED
Alabama (4-0 ATS)
Texas A&M (5-0 ATS)
Georgia (4-1 ATS)
Stanford (4-1 ATS)

Right off the bat I've probably got to make the distinction that Texas A&M actually wears maroon as to not upset Aggies fans, but that's a close enough shade to red for me to include them in this group. Besides, with a 5-0 ATS run going in season opener's the past five years, and a home game on Thursday coming up for Texas A&M as massive -33.5 point favorites vs Texas State, there is a Day 1 game for bettors to sink their teeth into further.

Furthermore, 'maroon' can be defined as a “brownish crimson” color which brings me to one of the other teams on this list in the Alabama Crimson Tide.

Alabama has covered the number in each of their previous four season openers, and they've done so despite scheduling some 'supposed' tough opponents for themselves in that first game of a campaign. Louisville, Florida State, USC, and Wisconsin were all vanquished by Nick Saban's powerhouse program in season openers the past four years, and this week has Saban and the Tide laying 30+ against Duke. Considering Duke's in a bit of a transitional year with QB Daniel Jones moving on, bettors should probably not be afraid to lay all that chalk with Alabama this weekend. The spread has already been bumped a few points Alabama's way, and given that their average margin of victory against those quality foes in the past four season openers is still 32 points, blowing out a fresh-faced Duke team should be easily in the cards.

Of the other teams listed above, Georgia's laying 20+ on the road in a SEC rivalry game against Vanderbilt (who are on a 4-0 ATS run in season openers themselves) in a spot that might be best to stay away from, while a ranked Stanford team hosts a ranked Northwestern team (in coaches poll) is laying about a TD (-6.5) at home.

Stanford's going through a bit of a transitional phase this year too with Bryce Love having moved on, as it's on QB K.J Costello and a bunch of new faces to keep this proud program moving forward in the Pac-12. Given the schedule the Cardinal have – Northwestern, @ USC, vs Notre Dame only non-conference games – a SU and ATS win over the Wildcats later this week could propel Stanford on their way to one heck of a season. Recent history suggests we will get the best out of Stanford to start, and Northwestern as a fringe Top 25 team might be a little ambitious for Pat Fitzgerald's program.

Who's Not

The traditional 'basketball' schools
Kentucky (0-4 ATS)
UCLA (1-4 ATS)

I did think about adding Missouri's 1-4 ATS run in season openers to this list as well, but then the header would have to be Wizard of Oz related (Lions, Tigers, and Bears, Oh my) and even then it's hard to truly consider 'wildcats' as 'lions'. So it's just the two traditional basketball schools from these conferences that get the spotlight this week and both better be prepared to shine brighter than they have in recent season openers if they want to gain some respect in the betting market.

For UCLA, it's a road trip to Cincinnati as small road underdogs on Thursday, in a game that has already seen the Bruins take enough action to push them down and through that key number of +3.

UCLA opened up in the +3.5/4 range way back when, and is currently sitting at+2.5 everywhere. It's Year 2 for Chip Kelly's team, and one that should bring plenty of improvement for this Bruins squad, but historically slow starts in openers has to give pause on jumping on board the Bruins now.

Last year's season opener loss did come to this same Cincinnati team (26-17 loss) as double-digit home favorites for the Bruins, so the revenge angle is on their side, but having had this line move through that key number already, it's extremely hard to take the Bruins at +2.5 now based on a pure numbers perspective. With recent ATS history working against the Bruins as well, this could be one of those games that lands as a Cincinnati win by a FG in where UCLA's bad ATS run in season openers against the closing number continues. Keep an eye out for that.

Kentucky is at home in Week 1 laying 10.5/11 points to a visiting Toledo team that won't be a push over. Toledo is expected to compete for a MAC title this year, and with nine returning starters on the defensive side of the ball, Kentucky's QB Terry Wilson better be prepared to show some growth in his passing game skills right from the outset.

In fact, the MAC is still a conference that seemingly improves from top to bottom each year and gets treated like a doormat at times from some programs that are in bigger conferences but have suspect talent on the football field. Reputation on a name can only go so far, and Kentucky's in for a few changes this year as it is. That's not to say Toledo wins this game outright, but given the opponent, spread, and ATS historical history.

**Udog** · 08-26-2019, 10:27 PM

Utah-BYU landing plenty of Week 1 college football cash, as bettors hit Utes' odds
Patrick Everson

Utah quarterback Tyler Huntley missed the last five games of the 2018-19 season with a broken collarbone. But he's healthy now, and the Utes are 6-point favorites at Brigham Young on Thursday.

Week 1 of the college football season features a big Pac-12/SEC clash, but a lower-profile Pac-12/Mountain West rivalry game is getting much more attention from bettors. Covers checks in on the opening lines and odds movement for four key contests this week, with insights from Nick Bogdanovich, director of trading for William Hill US.

No. 15 Utah Utes at Brigham Young Cougars (+6)

Utah went on a 7-1 SU run (6-2 ATS) to win the Pac-12 South Division and land in last season’s conference title game, then lost a grind-it-out game 10-3 to Washington as a 4.5-point neutral-site underdog. The Utes fell to Northwestern 31-20 as 6.5-point favorites in the Holiday Bowl to finish 9-5 SU and 7-7 ATS.

Brigham Young was barely bowl-eligible last year, with a 6-6 SU regular-season mark, but a more-than-respectable 8-4 ATS record. The Cougars then boatraced Western Michigan 49-18 as 10-point favorites in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl.

These instate rivals met in the regular-season finale last year, with Utah winning 35-27 at home but BYU cashing as a 10.5-point pup. Although the line on this year’s meeting – first posted on June 8 – tightened by a point to Utah -5 in the past week, money is going against the home team for Thursday’s 10:15 p.m. ET kickoff.

“All the money is on Utah, but that’s all square action. We’ve got that book in Wendover,” Bogdanovich said, noting William Hill’s shop on the Utah/Nevada border, less than two hours from Salt Lake City. “It’s a short drive. Sixty percent of our action on that game will come from Wendover. They bet like crazy. It looks like the biggest-bet game so far. Both teams are perceived to be pretty good.”
Pac-12 2019 college football predictions and best bets: Will a CFP contender emerge?

No. 13 Oregon Ducks vs. No. 16 Auburn Tigers (-3)

A neutral-site nonconference battle among top-20 teams could provide an early-season boost to College Football Playoff hopes. Auburn is coming off an 8-5 SU campaign (6-6 ATS), capped by a 63-14 beatdown of Purdue laying 3.5 points in the Music City Bowl.

Oregon went 9-4 SU last year (5-8 ATS), winning three of its last four regular-season games to land a spot in the Redbox Bowl. In that New Year’s Eve contest, the Ducks won a 7-6 snoozer as 1-point ‘dogs against Michigan State.

Auburn opened -3 on June 8 and ticked down to 2.5 a day later, but the Tigers moved to -3.5 in the past week.

“We’re dead even to it, but there’s not much money in the pot,” Bogdanovich said. “The masses usually don’t get involved this early, but what money we do have is two-way action.”

The Pac-12/SEC contest is at 7:30 p.m. ET Saturday at AT&T Stadium, home of the Dallas Cowboys.

Duke Blue Devils vs. No. 2 Alabama Crimson Tide (-32)

Alabama, which has reached all five CFPs, opens the 2019-20 season with a neutral-site game at Atlanta’s Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Crimson Tide went 14-1 SU last year (8-7 ATS), with the only loss coming in blowout fashion in the CFP final, a 44-16 setback to Clemson as 5-point favorites. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa is back at the helm and is the Heisman Trophy favorites.

Duke won its first four games and five of its first six last season, then went 2-4 in the back half to narrowly nab a bowl bid. But the Blue Devils took advantage of the Independence Bowl spot, drubbing Temple 56-27 catching 3.5 points to finish 8-5 SU (7-6 ATS).

Alabama opened as monster chalk on June 8, but that hasn’t dissuaded bettors for Saturday’s 3:30 p.m. ET matchup.

“There’s plenty of money for Alabama – points, parlays and moneyline parlays,” Bogdanovich said in noting the line is up to -34.5. “That’s one of the bigger-bet games of Week 1.”

UCLA Bruins at Cincinnati Bearcats (-4.5)

Chip Kelly’s first year at UCLA was nothing to write home about, unless you like writing bad letters. The Bruins went 3-9 SU (5-6-1 ATS), unable to recover from an 0-5 start that just so happened to begin with a 26-17 upset loss to Cincinnati as 14-point home faves.

On the flipside, Cincy used that victory as a springboard to a 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS start and finished with one of the best years in school history, at 11-2 SU (7-6 ATS). The Bearcats wrapped up the season with a 35-31 victory over Virginia Tech giving 5.5 points in the Military Bowl.

That said, bettors seem to think Kelly and the Bruins are worth supporting in this Thursday night road game, with a 7 p.m. ET kickoff.

“There’s money for UCLA,” Bogdanovich said of a line that opened Cincinnati -4.5 on June 8 and dropped to -3.5 within a couple of days. The Bearcats have been at -3 since July 24.

**Udog** · 08-27-2019, 04:33 PM

Week 1 Upset Alerts
Matt Blunt

After these pieces became highly popular last year, we had to bring them back for the 2019 college football season, one that is about 48 hours from really getting going. Not only were these underdog pieces popular, they also ended up turning a profit in the end, going 22-18 ATS, although the bulk of that damage was done thanks to the highly successful run backing 20+ underdogs.

Hopefully we can find a bit more balance in terms of projecting ATS winners in the smaller underdog ranges, as chances are a 11-2 ATS run with the 20+ underdogs won't happen again. The goal is to always improve and keep producing winners, and hopefully that continues as these pieces pop up every week as the college football season goes on.

The first full opening week always brings a plethora of 20+ underdogs as late August-early September is still great for the cupcake business in college football for those teams that prefer to indulge in that practice still. The really good teams are realizing that they need quality non-conference wins on their resume as well, so there is some abandonment of loading up a team's early schedule with FCS and much weaker FBS teams, but non-conference time in college football brings plenty of significant chalk, and bettors better be able to back a few of these hefty underdogs because they do cover spreads.

So let's get right to this year's opening underdogs, as we may be a month or two away from “MACtion” but it is the MAC Conference that gets the bulk of the spotlight out of the gate this year.

Upset Alert #1: Underdogs in the +1 to +9 range

YTD: 0-0 SU; 0-0 ATS

Ole Miss (+5.5) vs Memphis
The Memphis Tigers should be a player again in the AAC when all is said and done, but even against an Ole Miss team that's in a bit of a transitional year with their highly talented WR core moving on and a freshman QB, this is still a step up in class in competition level for Memphis.

That's not to say the Tigers aren't ready for it, but this is a team that couldn't take advantage of beating UCF last year without their starting QB, and defensively there is still a lot to be desired with the Tigers. Mississippi is still an SEC team with eight returning on defense. SEC defenses are known to be stout in non-conference play no matter who the SEC team actually is, and it's that physicality that I'm not sure Memphis will be ready for out of the gates.

The market has already pushed this line down to +5,5 after opening at +6 and currently showing a healthy majority backing the Memphis Tigers as well. That's the first sign that this number might be too high and/or bettors are discrediting a rebuilding Mississippi team too much. As a program, Memphis is on a 1-9-1 ATS run against SEC foes which also suggests that facing any SEC opponent is a step up in class Memphis has struggled with for years now.

If I took away the team names and just told you that the SEC team was catching 5+ points on the road against an AAC team, chances are many would be looking to take the points with the SEC. Obviously it's not as simple as that as the individual teams do matter, but Ole Miss deserves more respect coming out of the gate, and hopefully the end result is as simple as backing the team from the much better conference.

Upset Alert #2: Underdogs in the +10 to +19 range

YTD: 0-0 SU; 0-0 ATS

Toledo +12 vs Kentucky
I touched on a possible reason for fading Kentucky this week given the struggles the school has had in season openers the past few years earlier in the week here, and that's always a nice piece to add to the puzzle of this play as well.

But similar to people potentially sleeping on Ole Miss and how good (or more specifically, won't be as bad) they are, Toledo is a team that should make plenty of noise in the MAC, and Kentucky's got their own transitional period to deal with on the team this year.

Kentucky QB Terry Wilson will be called upon to be a much better passer from the outset this season, as there will be no more heavy reliance on Benny Snell out of the backfield. The Wildcats defense will still be the strength of this team, but that could easily take a step back too, as it's still just Week 1 remember and it's going to take some time for this Kentucky team to develop and reach it's full potential.

Toledo is a team that's loaded with veteran, returning experience basically across the board on offense, as there are 7 returning starters on offense for them – including their QB Michell Guadagni returning from injury – and all of them are seniors. That type of experience will serve Toledo well in going into Kentucky on Saturday, and with the market move already on Toledo in a similar fashion to what we've seen on Ole Miss – majority backing Kentucky, spread moved Toledo's way from +13.5 to +12 – this is another underdog move worth following.

Upset Alert #3: Underdogs in the +20 and above range

YTD: 0-0 ATS

Miami (Ohio) +21.5 vs Iowa
The theme basically remains the same here, as I'm not ready to believe in an Iowa team to win by more than 3 TD's out of the gate, as this is a program that doesn't seemingly blowout anyone.

Iowa enters the year ranked in the Top 25, and as part of the highly intriguing Big 10 conference, it will be interesting to see where Iowa's season ultimately shakes out. But I'd venture a guess that they won't end up ranked when all is said and done, even if they do avoid some potential powerhouses in Michigan State and Ohio State on the season.

But this game against Miami (Ohio) is one right before Big 10 play essentially begins for the Hawkeyes with Rutgers coming to town next week. There really is no looking past Miami Ohio in terms of looking ahead to Rutgers, but every conference game is going to be critical in the Big 10 for programs that believe they've got a shot at winning the conference, so there is always the notion that Iowa could build a big lead early here and then put things on cruise control to stay healthy going into next week. Covering through that backdoor is a big part of these 20+ underdogs hitting, and I expect that door to be open through the entirety of this one.

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