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**Udog** · 06-18-2019, 09:29 AM

Betting Recap - Week 1
Joe Williams

League Betting Notes

-- Favorites/underdogs went 2-2 SU in Week 1
-- Underdogs went 3-1 ATS in Week 1
-- Home/road teams posted a 2-2 SU record in Week 1
-- Away teams posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 1
-- The 'Over' went 3-1 in Week 1

Analysis

Ottawa (1-0) picked up an impressive 32-28 road victory against Calgary (0-1), a little bit of revenge on their rivals' field after losing the Grey Cup to the Stampeders last November. 'Over' (50) bettors were in good shape after 49 points were on the board through three quarters. The fourth quarter was interesting, though, as the Stamps actually led 28-21 before getting blanked 11-0 in the first period.

Winnipeg (1-0) spent most of the week as an underdog, including opening as a two-point 'dog in Vancouver. The money came in on the Blue Bombers, and that was a wise investment. They won on the road against the BC Lions (0-1), taking a 33-23 decision. The game started off a bit slow with just three points on the board in the first quarter, but they posted 28 total points in the second quarter to snap things back on track.

In the first game of the weekend, Hamilton (1-0) got off on the right foot with a win and narrow cover against Saskatchewan (0-1), winning 23-17 as five-point favorite as the 'under' (48.5) connected.

We'll save the bad beat of the weekend for last, however. Edmonton (1-0) posted a 32-25 win against Montreal (0-1). It was bad for 'under' (49.5) bettors, who felt like they were in good shape with an 18-8 score on the board through three quarter. The teams combined for 31 points in the fourth quarter. Edmonton was covering for a majority of the game, but Montreal actually tied it up late before Edmonton picked up a touchdown with 1:07 to go.

Team Betting Notes

-- The Roughriders will look to cool off the RedBlacks in Week 2. Saskatchewan enters just 1-4 ATS in the past five road games, and they're 0-5 ATS in the past five Week 2 battles. They're also just 2-5 ATS in the past seven games in the month of June. In this series, Ottawa is 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings, with the 'over' 6-2 in the past eight.

-- Ottawa enters 5-1 ATS in the past six games, and 4-1 ATS in the past five outings at home. They're also 7-1 ATS in the past eight outings in the month of June, while going 4-0 ATS in the past four in Week 2.

-- The BC Lions travel to meet Edmonton on Friday night. The Lions are 0-4 ATS in the past four games overall, and they're 5-11 ATS in the past 16 road outings and 3-7 ATS in the past 10 in Week 2.

-- The Esks haven't been much better against the number, going 2-5 ATS in the past seven overall, including their bad beat non-cover in Week 1. They're also 1-4 ATS in the past five in Week 2, and 2-6 ATS in the past eight outings against teams with a losing overall record.

-- The over is 4-0-1 in the past five meetings between BC and Edmonton, and 4-1 in the past five meetings in Edmonton.

-- Toronto makes their 2019 regular-season debut, and they look to snap an 0-7 ATS against teams from the East to close out the 2018 campaign. The Tiger-Cats are 0-4 ATS in their past four against East teams, so something's gotta give.

-- Hamilton has destroyed Toronto in recent seasons, at least against the number, going 12-3 ATS in the past 15 meetings, and 8-2 ATS in their past 10 trips up the QEW. The over is 4-0 in the past four meetings, and 4-1-1 in the past six battles in TO.

**Udog** · 06-18-2019, 09:29 AM

CFL Betting Notes - Week 2
David Schwab

The CFL returned to action this past weekend and the favorites went 3-1 straight-up with an even 2-2 record ATS. Hamilton got things started on Thursday night with a 23-17 victory against Saskatchewan to cover as a 4 ½-point home favorite. On Friday night, Edmonton got past Montreal 32-25, but the Eskimos could not cover as eight-point favorites at home.

Saturday’s doubleheader of betting action started off with Ottawa stunning Calgary 32-28 as an 8 ½-point road underdog in a rematch of last season’s Grey Cup title game. Winnipeg scored another victory for the road teams with a 33-23 victory against British Columbia as a slight one-point favorite.

Thursday, June 20

Saskatchewan Roughriders (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) at Ottawa RedBlacks (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa -5 ½
Total: 48 ½

Game Overview

The Roughriders were hoping to make a run to the top of the West this season with a healthy Zach Collaros at quarterback, but an injury on his opening drive in Thursday’s loss brought an early end to his night.

Both Cody Fajardo and Isaac Harker saw playing time in his place and combined for 194 yards passing and zero touchdown throws against a pair of interceptions. One bright spot of the night was William Powell’s 104 yards rushing and one touchdown on 20 carries.

Ottawa got off to a solid start in defense of last season’s East Division title. Dominique Davis is the RedBlacks’ new starting quarterback and he did more damage with his legs than his throwing arm in Saturday’s big win in Calgary.

He ended that game with 276 yards passing, but he was picked off four times without finding the end zone through the air. He did run the ball five times for 10 yards with three of those rushing attempts going for scores. Mossis Madu ran the ball 24 times for 112 yards to highlight the running game.

Betting Trends

-- Ottawa has a 4-1 edge ATS in its last five games against Saskatchewan. The total has gone OVER in six of the last eight meetings in this inter-division tilt. The Roughriders have won four of their last six road games against Ottawa SU.

Friday, June 21

British Columbia Lions (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) at Edmonton Eskimos (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -4 ½
Total: 55 ½

Game Overview

The much anticipated debut of Mike Reilly as BC’s new quarterback did not disappoint other than the final score of Saturday’s loss. He put the ball up 39 times and completed 22 passes for 324 yards and one touchdown throw. He was also picked off twice.

He completed passes to six different players including five throws to Bryan Burnham for 153 yards. The Lions’ ground game was non-existent with John White running the ball four times for four yards.

The Eskimos turned to Trevor Harris as their replacement for Reilly at quarterback. He made an even bigger splash with his new team by throwing for 447 yards and three scores with no interceptions. He put the ball up 41 times and completed 32 passes to seven different players.

Ricky Collins was the leading receiver with nine catches for 175 yards. Edmonton also got a strong effort from CJ Gable running the ball. He gained 154 yards rushing on 20 carries.

Betting Trends

-- Edmonton as a SU 7-3 edge against BC over the past 10 meetings, including a perfect 5-0 run at home. The Eskimos have covered in four of their last six home games against BC with the total going OVER in four of the last six meetings in Edmonton.

Saturday, June 22

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) at Toronto Argonauts (0-0 SU, 0-0 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -2 ½
Total: 52

Game Overview

Expectations for the Tiger-Cats were running high heading in to Week 1 as favorites to win the East this season. Jeremiah Masoli threw for the second-most yards last year in the CFL and he started this season with 169 yards passing and one score while completing 17 of his 28 attempts in Thursday’s win.

Brandon Banks had a big game catching the ball with six receptions for 77 yards and a score. Hamilton gained just 63 yards on the ground while allowing 172 rushing yards on defense.

Saturday will be Corey Chamblin’s debut as Toronto’s new head coach. He was the defensive coordinator for the Argonauts in their run to the 2017 Grey Cup title. Following the team’s fall from grace to just four victories last season, there is definitely some work to be done to get back on track.

James Franklin will get the start at quarterback, but he could be on a short leash if things get out of hand early. One of his top targets should be wide receiver Derel Walker, who came to Toronto from Edmonton this past offseason.

Betting Trends

-- The Tiger-Cats have covered ATS in eight of their last 10 road games against the Argonauts and the total has gone OVER in five of the last six meetings in Toronto. Hamilton also has a 4-1 edge both SU and ATS in the last five meetings overall.

**Udog** · 06-18-2019, 09:30 AM

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 2

Thursday, June 20

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SASKATCHEWAN (0 - 1) at OTTAWA (1 - 0) - 6/20/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in June games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 86-61 ATS (+18.9 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 141-104 ATS (+26.6 Units) as an underdog since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 4-1 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 3-2 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, June 21

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BRITISH COLUMBIA (0 - 1) at EDMONTON (1 - 0) - 6/21/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 60-36 ATS (+20.4 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1996.
EDMONTON is 57-81 ATS (-32.1 Units) when playing on a Friday since 1996.
EDMONTON is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 4-2 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 4-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, June 22

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HAMILTON (1 - 0) at TORONTO (0-0) - 6/22/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAMILTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 22-45 ATS (-27.5 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 4-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 4-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL

Week 2

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Trend Report
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Thursday, June 20

Saskatchewan Roughriders
Saskatchewan is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Saskatchewan is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games
Saskatchewan is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Saskatchewan is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games on the road
Saskatchewan is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Saskatchewan's last 8 games when playing Ottawa
Saskatchewan is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Ottawa RedBlacks
Ottawa is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Ottawa is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Ottawa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Ottawa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Ottawa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Ottawa's last 8 games when playing Saskatchewan
Ottawa is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan

Friday, June 21

British Columbia Lions
British Columbia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
British Columbia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
British Columbia is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
British Columbia is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games on the road
British Columbia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
British Columbia is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games when playing Edmonton
British Columbia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
British Columbia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton Eskimos
Edmonton is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Edmonton is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games at home
Edmonton is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing British Columbia
Edmonton is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing British Columbia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing British Columbia
Edmonton is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against British Columbia
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against British Columbia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing at home against British Columbia

Saturday, June 22

Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Hamilton is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Hamilton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Hamilton's last 12 games
Hamilton is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Hamilton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hamilton's last 5 games on the road
Hamilton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Hamilton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Hamilton is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Hamilton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hamilton's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto Argonauts
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Toronto is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games at home
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Hamilton
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Hamilton
Toronto is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Hamilton
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Hamilton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against Hamilton

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**Udog** · 06-18-2019, 01:36 PM

CFL
Dunkel

Thursday, June 20

Saskatchewan @ Ottawa

Game 689-690
June 20, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Saskatchewan
112.537
Ottawa
112.477
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Saskatchewan
Even
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ottawa
by 5
45
Dunkel Pick:
Saskatchewan
(+5); Under

Friday, June 21

BC Lions @ Edmonton

Game 691-692
June 21, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
BC Lions
109.157
Edmonton
110.689
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 1 1/2
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
by 4 1/2
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
BC Lions
(+4 1/2); Under

Saturday, June 22

Hamilton @ Toronto

Game 693-694
June 22, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Hamilton
113.535
Toronto
101.050
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hamilton
by 12 1/2
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hamilton
by 2 1/2
52
Dunkel Pick:
Hamilton
(-2 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 06-19-2019, 08:34 AM

CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 2

Saskatchewan (0-1) @ Ottawa (1-0) (-5.5, 45.5)— RedBlacks won three of last four meetings; road team won five of last six series games- Roughriders won three of last four visits here, losing 40-17 (+2) LY. Six of last eight series games went over the total. Saskatchewan (+4) lost 23-17 in Hamilton LW, after leading 13-10 at half, giving up go-ahead TD on a punt return. Riders had a 366-232 edge in yardage, but were -2 in turnovers. Ottawa (+9) won 32-28 in Calgary LW, after trailing 18-6 in first quarter- they outscored Stampeders 9-0 in 4th quarter.

BC Lions (0-1) @ Edmonton (1-0) (-4, 55)— Home side won seven of last nine series games; Lions lost last four visits to Edmonton, last two by 19-11 points. Over is 4-0-1 in last five series games. Lions (even) lost 33-23 at home to Winnipeg LW, despite running kick back for a TD; BC was -2 in turnovers in Reilly’s first game against his old team. Eskimos scored with 1:30 left to edge Montreal 32-25 LW; Edmonton led 18-8 after three quarters, holding Alouettes to a single point in 2nd/3rd quarters- they had 35 first downs and gained 608 TY.

Hamilton (1-0) (-3.5, 52) @ Toronto (0-0)— Season opener for Toronto, downside of having a 9-team league. Ti-Cats won last three series games SU, by 14-11-14 points, covered 12 of last 15: they won last two visits here, 34-20/36-25. Winning side scored 34+ points in last five series games. Last six Hamilton-Toronto games went over. Hamilton held off Saskatchewan 23-17 LW, despite being outgained 366-232; they held Riders to four points in second half, after trailing 13-10 at halftime.

**Udog** · 06-20-2019, 08:28 AM

CFL Week 2 preview, odds, picks and predictions: Argonauts add more weapons
Rohit Ponnaiya

James Wilder Jr. should play a major role for the Toronto Argonauts as they take on the Hamilton Tiger-Cats in their CFL season opener on Saturday.

We went 2-2 in our betting predictions to kick off Week 1 of the CFL, which is kind of like ordering a salad in a steakhouse, sufficient but disappointing. We head back to the board for the matchups in Week 2 with Mike Reilly making his return to Edmonton and Toronto playing its season opener against next-door neighbor Hamilton.

What did we learn from Week 1? Underdogs still rule early in the season with 'dogs going 3-1 ATS. Overs, on the other hand, went 3-1 reversing a trend which saw them go 1-3 in Week 1 during each of the last two years. We break down the odds and give you our best bets and predictions for the three games in Week 2 of the CFL.

Week 1 Picks: 2-2

SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS AT OTTAWA REDBLACKS

Line: Ottawa -5.5, O/U 44
Time: Thursday, June 20, 7:30 p.m. ET

The O/U for this game opened at 49.5 and has already plummeted to 44. The Riders defense proved they were legit last week, holding Hamilton's high-powered offense to a combined 232 passing and rushing yards. They failed to pull off the win though, with their offense also sputtering after quarterback Zach Collaros was sidelined following a vicious hit to the head early in the opening quarter.

Collaros had a history of concussion problems prior to getting knocked out of that game, and has been placed on the 6-game injured list. Riders coach Craig Dickenson is still undecided on who will start at QB on Thursday between Cody Fajardo and Isaac Harker.

The Redblacks stunned prognosticators - including yours truly - last week by shocking the defending champion Stampeders with a fourth-quarter comeback in Calgary. Ottawa lost a plethora of key players on offense from last year but were still able to put up points thanks to new starters in Mossis Maddu (112 rushing yards) and QB Dominique Davis who ran for three touchdowns and passed for 276 yards (making up for the four picks he threw).

I would have backed the Under for this game at anything above 46, but the current total of 44 is giving me pause. That said, the Riders' situation under center is an absolute mess; Harker was probably the better passer in Week 1 but he's a rookie from the Colorado School of Mines (raise your hand if you think that sounds fake).

Whoever plays QB will be in trouble against a Redblacks defense that returns 11 of 12 starters from last year and held the Stamps to 318 combined rushing and passing yards last week. I'm laying the points with Ottawa.

PICK: Ottawa -5.5

BC LIONS AT EDMONTON ESKIMOS

Line: Edmonton -4, O/U 55.5
Time: Friday, June 21, 9:00 p.m. ET

The marquee matchup of Week 2 features a head-to-head battle between star QBs Mike Reilly and Trevor Harris, with Reilly making his return to Edmonton after six years as the Eskimos starter. Harris fit in seamlessly in his first game with Edmonton racking up 447 passing yards and three TDs in the opener. Reilly threw for 324 yards in his BC debut but completed less than 57 percent of his passes and was picked off twice. That said, Edmonton played against woeful Montreal while the Lions played against a Blue Bombers squad that might be the best in the league.

Despite the stellar signal-callers, both of these teams showed flaws on offense in Week 1. Edmonton outgained Montreal 608-325 in terms of combined passing and rushing yards but won by just seven points because of sloppy turnovers. BC had a one-dimensional offense against the Bombers, running the ball just four times (that's not a typo they had FOUR freaking carries all game). However, expect the Lions to play with more balance on Friday against a Esks run defense that was gashed for 134 yards on 17 carries against the Alouettes.

The difference-maker could be the Lions' superior return unit led by Brandon Rutley. They piled up 457 kickoff return yards versus the Bombers, including a 108 yard touchdown. I faded the Lions in Week 1 and felt they were a bit overrated going into the season but they are flying a bit under the radar for this game. Back BC and the points.

PICK: BC +4

HAMILTON TIGER-CATS AT TORONTO ARGONAUTS

Line: Hamilton -2.5, O/U 52
Time: Saturday, June 22, 4:00 p.m. ET

The Argonauts will play their first game of the season on Saturday. After winning the Grey Cup in 2017 they tied for the fewest wins in the league last year, going 4-14. All four of those wins came at home, but they took the L in both of their home tilts with the Ti-Cats, losing 36-25 in September and 34-20 in October.

Hamilton QB Jeremiah Masoli had a rough start to the season, completing 17 of 28 passes for 169 yards. But we predicted as much since he was going up against a tough Saskatchewan defense that shut him down in two games last season as well. This is still the same QB that threw for 5209 yards for the No. 1 rated offense in 2018 and Hamilton's offense has stayed more or less intact - which is a rare sight in a league with as much offseason turnover as the CFL.

The Argos allowed a league-worst 560 points last year and despite adding DB Kevin Fogg will likely not be much better. Masoli struggled against some of the better defenses in the league last year but absolutely tore up the Argos, averaging 343.3 yards through the air and tossing 12 TDs in three games.

On offense, Toronto should be improved from the unit that scored the second-fewest points in the league last year at 20.5 per game. They added WR Derel Walker (875 receving yards in just 11 games in 2018), RB Tyrell Sutton and former Florida Gator speedster Chris Rainey ( 452 rushing and receiving yards with an additional 2,112 yards on returns), along with first overall draft pick OL Shane Richards from Oklahoma State.

Argo running back James Wilder Jr, one of the top HS recruits in the U.S. class of 2011, is expected to play after leaving Toronto to deal with a family issue. Wilder has been on the verge of a breakout campaign for a couple seasons and missed five games with various ailments in 2018. Quarterback James Franklin also played with more consistency towards the end of last season. Take the Over.

PICK: Over 52

Announcement

CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 2 (Thur., June 20 -Sat., June 22)

CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 2 (Thur., June 20 -Sat., June 22)

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