Announcement

**Udog** · 11-26-2018, 12:14 AM

Championship Notes

Week 14 of the 2018 college football season will be highlighted with 10 championship games on tap.

The action starts Friday with the MAC and Pac-12 title games before finishing on Saturday with eight more championships.

Check out the matchups, odds and betting notes on all 10 title games below.

(SU - Straight Up, ATS - Against the Spread)

MAC Championship
Northern Illinois (7-5 SU, 6-6 ATS) vs. Buffalo (10-2 SU, 9-3 ATS)
Date: Friday, Nov. 30 (ESPN2, 7:00 p.m.)
Venue: Ford Field
Location: Detroit, Michigan

Odds: Buffalo -4, Total 47 ½

Betting Notes and Trends

-- Saturday's matchup will be the 22nd MAC Championship.

-- Underdogs have gone 13-8 against the spread in the MAC title game. The 'under' is 11-10.

-- Northern Illinois has played in the MAC title game seven times, which includes a run of six straight trips between 2010 and 2015. The school owns a 5-2 all-time mark in the title game.

-- This will be Buffalo's first trip to the MAC Championship since 2008 when it upset Ball State 42-24 as a 15-point underdog.

-- The two schools didn't meet in this year's regular season but NIU has won the last 10 encounters against Buffalo, which includes a 14-13 road win in the 2017 campaign.

Preseason Future Odds to win the MAC
Northern Illinois 2/1
Buffalo 7/1

Pac 12 Championship
Utah (9-3 SU, 7-5 ATS) vs. Washington (9-3 SU, 3-9 ATS)
Date: Friday, Nov. 30 (FOX, 8:00 p.m.)
Venue: Levi's Stadium
Location: Santa Clara, California

Odds: Washington -3, Total 43

Betting Notes and Trends

-- Prior to last year's win by USC over Stanford, the Pac-12 North had captured the first six championship games.

-- Washington has only made one trip to the title game and it captured a wire-to-wire 41-10 win over Colorado in the 2016 edition.

-- Utah, representing the Pac-12 South, will be making its first trip to the title game.

-- Favorites have gone 6-1 SU but points have mattered in this contest with underdogs owning a 4-3 ATS mark.

-- The 'over' has gone 4-3.

-- These teams played in Week 3 of this year's regular season and Washington captured a 21-7 win at Utah as a four-point road favorite.

-- Since the Utes entered the Pac-12 conference, the Huskies own a 5-1 record in the series but they're just 3-3 ATS. The 'over' has gone 4-2.

Preseason Future Odds to win the Pac-12
Washington 5/8
Utah 15/1

Sun Belt Championship
Louisiana-Lafayette (7-5 SU, 8-4 ATS) at Applachian State (9-2 SU, 7-2-2 ATS)
Date: Saturday, Dec. 1 (ESPN, 12:00 p.m.)
Venue: Kidd Brewer Stadium
Location: Boone, North Carolina

Odds: Appalachian State -17 ½, Total 59 ½

Betting Notes and Trends

-- This will be the inaugural Sun Belt Championship.

-- Appalachian State has won five straight encounters (3-2 ATS) against Louisiana, which includes a 27-17 home this season on Oct. 20.

-- The Mountaineers failed to cover as 25-point favorites in that game and the 'under' improved to 4-1 during this span.

Preseason Future Odds to win the Big 12
Appalachian State 5/2
Louisiana-Lafayette 30/1

Big 12 Championship
Texas (9-3 SU, 5-6-1 ATS) vs. Oklahoma (11-1 SU, 4-7-1 ATS)
Date: Saturday, Dec. 1 (ABC, 12:30 p.m.)
Venue: AT&T Stadium
Location: Arlington, Texas

Odds: Oklahoma -4 ½, Total 79

Betting Notes and Trends

-- This will be the second straight year that the Big 12 will have a title game since the conference took a break in 2010.

-- Oklahoma (-7.5) cruised to a 41-17 win over TCU in last year's championship and the 'under' (64) easily connected.

-- Including the win over Horned Frogs, the Sooners have made nine appearances in the title game and they've won eight of those contests.

-- Texas has been in the title game five times and the school has gone 3-2 all-time with the last win coming in the 2009 installment.

-- In this year's "Red River Shootout" on Oct. 6 from Dallas, the Longhorns (+7) held off the Sooners 48-45 in a wild game.

-- Prior to that win, Oklahoma had won two straight but Texas has been great against the point-spread in this series, covering the last six meetings.

Preseason Future Odds to win the Big 12
Oklahoma 6/5
Texas 3/1

CUSA Championship
UAB (9-3 SU, 8-4 ATS) at Middle Tennessee (8-4 SU, 8-4 ATS)
Date: Saturday, Dec. 1 (CBSSN, 1:30 p.m.)
Venue: Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
Location: Murfreesboro, Tennessee
C-USA Betting History

Odds: Middle Tennessee -2 ½

Betting Notes and Trends

-- This will be the 14th Conference USA Championship Game. This will be the first title game appearance for both UAB and Middle Tennessee.

-- Favorites have gone 7-6 both straight up and against the spread while the 'under' has gone 7-5-1.

-- The host has won six straight and is 10-3 overall in the title game.

These teams met at the same venue on Nov. 24 and Middle Tennessee stifled UAB 27-3 as a three-point home underdog. The 'under' (51) cashed easily and the low side is on a 4-0 in the last four encounters between the pair.

Preseason Future Odds to win the CUSA
Middle Tennessee 6/1
UAB 8/1

American Athletic Championship
Memphis (8-4 SU, 8-4 ATS) at Central Florida (11-0 SU, 8-3 ATS)
Date: Saturday, Dec. 1 (ABC, 3:30 p.m.)
Venue: Spectrum Stadium
Location: Orlando, Florida

Odds: Central Florida -7 (Even), Total 70 ½

Betting Notes and Trends

-- This will be the fourth American Athletic Championship game and the second appearance for both schools.

-- The pair met in the title game last season and Central Florida captured a 62-55 win over Memphis in double-overtime.

-- Including that result, favorites have gone 2-1 both SU and ATS. The 'under' is 2-1.

-- Central Florida has owned Memphis, winning 12 straight in this series and that includes a 31-30 win this season. The Knights failed to cover as five-point road favorites.

Preseason Future Odds to win the AAC
Central Florida 5/4
Memphis 3/1

SEC Championship
Georgia (11-1 SU, 7-5 ATS) vs. Alabama (12-0 SU, 8-4 ATS)
Date: Saturday, Dec. 1 (CBS, 4:00 p.m.)
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Location: Atlanta, Georgia

Odds: Alabama -10 ½, Total 61

Betting Notes and Trends

-- Saturday’s matchup will be the 27th SEC Championship Game. Since its inception in 1992, favorites hold a slight 13-12-1 against the spread record in the first 26 matchups.

-- The 'under' connected in last year's SEC finale between Georgia and Auburn, which snapped an 'over' run of eight straight games. The 'over' has gone 16-10 in the title game.

-- Another streak that was snapped by the Bulldogs last year was an eight-game winning streak by the SEC West.

-- The Bulldogs did win by double digits and eight of the last nine SEC title games have been decided by 10-plus points.

-- This will be the seventh SEC apperance for Georgia, who has gone 3-3 and never repeated as champion.

-- Alabama and Florida are tied for the most SEC Championship wins. The Crimson Tide have played in 11 title games, going 7-4 overall. The school has won its last five SEC apperances.

-- Georgia and Alabama met in the 2012 SEC Championship and the Crimson Tide (-7.5) won 32-28 but failed to cover the spread.

-- The pair met in last year's national championship game and the Tide captured a 26-23 win over the Bulldogs. Including that win, 'Bama has won four straight in this series.

Preseason Future Odds to win the SEC
Alabama 5/8
Georgia 5/2

Mountain West Championship
Fresno State (10-2 SU, 8-4 ATS) at Boise State (10-2 SU, 7-4-1 ATS)
Date: Saturday, Dec. 1 (ESPN, 7:45 p.m.)
Venue: Albertsons Stadium
Location: Boise, Idaho

Odds: Boise State -1 ½, Total 50

Betting Notes and Trends

-- This will be the sixth MWC Championship game and played at the venue of the higher seed.

-- The home team has gone 4-1 in the first five title games.

-- The point-spread has mattered in this game with the favorites going 5-0 SU but the underdogs have gone 4-1 ATS. The 'under' is 4-1.

-- This year's matchup will be a rematch as Boise State defeated Fresno State 17-14 in last year's title game but failed to cover (-9.5) as a favorite.

-- Fresno State has made three appearances in the title game and has gone 1-2 while Boise State is 2-0 with both of its victories coming against the Bulldogs.

-- The Broncos have won 15 of the last 18 in this series and that includes last year's title game victory plus a 24-17 win over Fresno this season on Nov. 9 as a short underdog (+2.5).

-- Boise State owns a 13-5 ATS mark during this span, but the Bulldogs have covered four of the last five matchups. The 'under' is on a 4-0 run in this series and is 10-8 since 2001.

Preseason Future Odds to win the MWC
Boise State 4/7
Fresno State 5/1

ACC Championship
Pittsburgh (7-5 SU, 7-5 ATS) vs. Clemson (12-0 SU, 6-6 ATS)
Date: Saturday, Dec. 1 (ABC, 8:00 p.m.)
Venue: Bank of America Stadium
Location: Charlotte, North Carolina

Odds: Clemson -23 ½, Total 54 ½

Betting Notes and Trends

-- This will be the 14th installment of the ACC Championship. Favorites have gone 9-4 SU and 7-6 ATS. Total bettors have watched the 'over' go 7-6.

-- Clemson has played in the title game five times and has gone 4-1, which includes a current run of three straight heading into this game.

-- Last year's 35-point win (38-3) over Miami, Fl. was the largest margin of their four wins as the two previous victories came by just seven and eight points.

-- The Atlantic Division has won six straight ACC title games and is 8-5 overall against the Coastal Division.

-- Pittsburgh will be making its first appearance in the championship game.

-- Clemson has only lost four football games in the last four seasons and one of the setbacks came to Pittsburgh as the Panthers stunned the Tigers 43-42 in the 2016 regular season as 21-point road favorites.

Preseason Future Odds to win the ACC
Clemson 1/2
Pittsburgh 80/1

Big 10 Championship
Ohio State (11-1 SU, 5-7 ATS) vs. Northwestern (8-4 SU, 6-6 ATS)
Date: Saturday, Dec. 1 (FOX, 8:00 p.m.)
Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium
Location: Indianapolis, Indiana

Odds: Ohio State -13, Total 60

Betting Notes and Trends

-- This will be the eighth Big Ten Championship game.

-- Underdogs have gone 4-3 SU and 5-1-1 ATS in the first seven Big Ten title games while the 'over' is 5-2.

-- Ohio State has made three trips to the Big Ten championship and it has gone 2-1, which includes a 27-21 win over Wisconsin in last year's title game.

-- The Big Ten has not had a repeat winner in the title game since the Badgers completed the feat in the 2011 and 2012 title games.

-- Northwestern will be making its first appearance in the conference championship game.

-- The Buckeyes have won six straight (5-1 ATS) in this series, with the last meeting coming in 2016 and that was a close call. The Buckeyes (-26) barely stopped the Wildcats 24-20 as double-digit home favorites.

-- Northwestern's last win over Ohio State came in the 2004 season as it earned a 33-27 upset as a home underdog (+11.5).

Preseason Future Odds to win the Big 10
Ohio State 6/5
Northwestern 50/1

**Udog** · 11-26-2018, 12:14 AM

4th Quarter Covers - Week 13

Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the final big college football weekend.

Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows.

Miami, OH (-14½) 42, Ball State 21: This Tuesday night game was tied at halftime as heavy favorite Miami scored two touchdowns in the final four minutes of the first half to erase a 21-7 deficit. Miami took over in the third quarter to lead by 14 on a spread that was as high as -17½ early in the week. In the fourth the Redhawks got past the number with a 95-yard touchdown drive to lead by 21 and then held off two late Ball State drives into Miami territory.

Iowa (-8½) 31, Nebraska 28: The spread on this game dived from -10 down to as low as -7½ and the halftime score was right in that range with a 21-13 Iowa edge. Iowa went up by 15 early in the third quarter but then was stopped going for it on 4th down at the Nebraska 3-yard-line to keep the Cornhuskers in the game. Nebraska completed a 98-yard touchdown drive to get back within eight and looked poised to get closer early in the fourth before an interception in Iowa territory. Iowa wasn’t able to extend the lead as a 37-yard field goal was missed and the Huskers went 80 yards to tie the game, successfully converting the two-point conversion. Iowa was able to methodically burn the remaining clock while giving kicker Miguel Recinos a shot at redemption and he hit from 41 yards for the Iowa win as time expired, though the underdog earned the cover.

Texas (-15) 24, Kansas 17: With a spot in the Big XII title game on the line Sam Ehlinger played for the Longhorns but it was a flat start with just a 7-0 edge at halftime. Texas was able to score twice late in the third quarter to get to 21-0 but Kansas wound up with 17 points in the fourth quarter including 10 points in the final four minutes to steal the underdog cover, though with just a 297-296 yardage edge for Texas as the Jayhawks deserved the close scoring result.

Central Florida (-14½) 38, South Florida 10: UCF took an early 17-0 lead but South Florida trimmed the margin to 17-10 late in the third quarter in a game where star Knights quarterback McKenzie Milton left with a serious leg injury. UCF would run the ball with great success and turned a 14-point edge at the start of the fourth quarter into a 38-10 final result.

Memphis (-10) 52, Houston 31: There were wild swings in this game as a 7-0 Houston edge early turned to a 17-7 deficit before Houston scored twice in two minutes late in the second quarter to lead 21-17 at the half. A back-and-forth game continued in the third quarter with the score knotted at 31-31 through three quarters. Houston posted three scoring drives in the fourth quarter leaning on Darrell Henderson while Houston’s final two drives ended stopped on downs and with an interception. The Tigers will head back to the AAC Championship game for a rematch with UCF while finishing well past the favorite spread that jumped from -7 to -10.

Virginia Tech (+5½) 34, Virginia 31: Looking to snap a long drought in this series the Cavaliers botched some early opportunities with a red zone fumble and then on an interception return at the end of the half, Tim Harris was caught by quarterback Ryan Willis short of the end zone as the Hokies kept a 14-0 edge at the break. Virginia would score touchdowns on four straight possessions to start the second half to lead 28-24 with seven minutes to go facing a spread that fluctuated in between -3½ and -5½. The Cavaliers then forced a fumble and an interception on the next two possessions for the Hokies, eventually adding a field goal to lead by seven with just over two minutes to go. Virginia Tech hit a 45-yard pass to get into the red zone and then on a rush approaching the end zone a forced fumble that would have effectively ended the game for the Cavaliers was recovered for a touchdown by the Hokies. In overtime Virginia Tech went first and didn’t gain a yard but hit the 42-yard field goal, leaving those laying the points with the Cavaliers in need of a second session. The Hokies came up big on defense forcing another turnover to keep bowl hopes alive while maintaining the winning streak in this rivalry.

Oklahoma (-3) 59, West Virginia 56: This game for a spot in the Big XII title game lived up to expectations with a high scoring back-and-forth affair. A defensive touchdown gave Oklahoma the early edge with a 35-28 halftime advantage but West Virginia tied the game early in the third quarter and had a 49-45 lead through three quarters. It would be defense that again delivered for Oklahoma with a 48-yard fumble return touchdown with 10 minutes to go for a 10-point edge. West Virginia climbed back within three to match the closing spread though most Sooners backers likely had a number below -3. Oklahoma picked up a 4th-and-5 conversion just past midfield and then got another first down to end the game with the three-point edge.

Clemson (-25½) 56, South Carolina 35: Highly ranked Clemson was tested in a back-and-forth first half vs. South Carolina with the Tigers eventually posting 744 yards but not exactly looking like a championship contender on defense with the Gamecocks also reaching 600 yards of offense. The Tigers led by just seven at halftime and by 21 through three quarters but a 98-yard touchdown drive put the Tigers up by 28 and past the favorite spread early in the third quarter. The Gamecocks scored the next 14 to get back within the number as a late Tigers touchdown wasn’t quite enough to get past the heavy favorite spread.

Marshall (-3½) 28, Florida International 25: The Herd led 14-0 early with the help of a interception return touchdown playing as a slight road favorite with a closing line of -3½ though most books opened with FIU as a slight favorite. Marshall scored on a blocked punt late in the third quarter to lead by 11 but early in the fourth the Panthers got a touchdown and a two-point conversion to trail by just three. Marshall answered with a four-minute drive to lead by 10 but FIU again scored to get back within three with about five minutes remaining. The Herd burned the remaining clock and got inside the 10-yard line of FIU but didn’t need to add points and took a knee for a common line push though the hook was added on Saturday for many.

Northwestern (-14½) 24, Illinois 16: With a championship game on deck Northwestern was sluggish early but two touchdowns in the final four minutes of the first half put the Wildcats up 21-6 and then a third quarter field goal made the margin 18 points on a spread that opened at 18 and dipped to 14½ by kickoff. Illinois would add 10 points in the fourth quarter in a game where the Illini had a production edge and actually had the ball inside the Northwestern 20-yard-line late with a potential chance to tie before an interception.

NC State (-7½) 34, North Carolina 28: These nearby rivals were tied 21-21 through three quarters and 28-28 late in the fourth quarter. NC State opted to punt across midfield in the final minute to play for overtime and the move paid off as the Tar Heels went first in overtime and missed a field goal. Much of the week the NC State was just -6 and that was the final margin with a Wolfpack rush into the end zone that preceded some spirited post-game activity in the end zone between the teams.

Liberty (-6) 28, New Mexico State 21: Liberty stormed out to a 17-0 lead in the first quarter of this same-season rematch. New Mexico State would score on a kickoff return touchdown and an interception return touchdown to get back in the game before the end of the first quarter. Liberty moved ahead 28-14 by halftime facing a spread that dropped from -9 all the way to -6 by kickoff. With less than a minute to go the Aggies found the end zone on a 4th-and-goal play to land in the middle of the potential numbers.

Boise State (-2½) 33, Utah State 24: Boise State led 17-7 early as just a slight favorite at home with a spot in the Mountain West Championship on the line. Through three quarters the lead was trimmed to six points and Utah State hit a field goal early in the fourth to trail by three. Boise State scored halfway through the final frame after getting a red zone 4th down conversion but a bad snap cost the Broncos the PAT for just a nine-point advantage. A pair of punts followed but with about three minutes to go the Aggies connected for an 83-yard touchdown to suddenly trail by just two. The Aggies had converted a 4th-and-1 from their own 24-yard line and hit the big play on 2nd-and-25 after a pair of penalties for what looked like a miracle score for those getting the points with Utah State, with a two-point margin thanks to Boise missing on the PAT earlier in the quarter. A 59-yard run put Boise State inside the Utah State 10 in the final minute and eventually facing 4th down with only eight seconds to go the Broncos opted to go for it from the 1-yard-line rather than kicking a field goal. Both types of scores would have been enough for Broncos backers and Alexander Mattison made it a moot point by pounding into the end zone to secure the home favorite win and cover.

California (-11½) 33, Colorado 21: The Bears had a pair of touchdowns on interception returns in the first two minutes of the game and then added another short field score to lead 21-0 as Colorado’s hopes of making a bowl game were extinguished quickly. The Buffaloes kept things interesting relative to the spread however as they scored two touchdowns in the third quarter to cut the margin to just six points after trailing 24-7 at halftime. The Cal offense barely topped 200 yards in the game but converted a red zone 4th down via penalty and added a touchdown for a 12-point edge, failing going for two to sit right near the spread that opened at -11, reached as high as -12½, and closed at -11½. The Buffaloes would reach midfield on a late possession but didn’t add points for a 12-point final margin that led to mixed spread results.

Stanford (-7) 49, UCLA 42: The Cardinal extended its lead to 41-27 late in the third quarter but the Bruins added nine points late in the quarter with a safety and a subsequent kickoff return touchdown to make it a five-point game into the fourth quarter. The Bruins took a one-point edge with a 90-yard touchdown drive five minutes into the fourth quarter but didn’t get the conversion. A minute later Stanford hit a 52-yard pass for a touchdown and the Cardinal got the two-point attempt for a seven-point edge in a critical play with a spread that bounced between -6½ and -7 for the road favorite. UCLA missed a long field goal try on its next possession and was stopped on downs on two late drives in Stanford territory as the Cardinal escaped with the seven-point edge holding.

Texas A&M (-3) 74, LSU 72: The Aggies led by seven after the second and third quarters but a defensive score for LSU tied the game early in the fourth quarter. LSU would take a 31-24 lead in the final frame and then stopped the Aggies on 4th down in LSU territory with just over two minutes to go. LSU only burned a minute off the clock before punting and Aggies delivered a big finish surviving an interception that was overturned on review and then converting a 4th-and-18. One second was put back on the clock for Texas A&M after a Kellen Mond spike and he hit Quartney Davis for the tying touchdown. The game would eventually go to seven overtimes with some big conversions on both sides to reach a basketball level final score. In the seventh session LSU scored on just one play but didn’t get the two-pointer to lead by just six. The Aggies got the tying score and then got a pass interference call on the first two-point conversion try. The Aggies then had a false start but found the completion for the go-ahead conversion though it wasn’t quite enough for Aggies backers who crossed or reached the favorite number going first in the second, fourth, and sixth overtimes but couldn’t end the game on defense.

Notre Dame (-14) 24, USC 17: With all the pressure on Notre Dame as a heavy road favorite, USC led 10-0 early before the Irish got on the board just before halftime. Notre Dame was composed out of the break and scored 10 points to take a seven-point edge into the fourth quarter. On a spread that climbed from -8 to -14 Notre Dame made the margin 14 with a 51-yard passing touchdown with just over three minutes remaining to put most on the favorite in position to collect. USC didn’t fold however and on 3rd-and-10 in the final minute the Trojans hit a 20-yard strike to get back within the number.

Alabama (-26½) 52, Auburn 21: Alabama hasn’t had to do much 4th quarter scoring this season but after Auburn cut the margin to 10 points late in the third quarter Alabama turned it back on with three consecutive touchdowns on just eight offensive snaps to make it a 31-point margin with nine minutes to go in the game. Auburn gained some yardage late but wasn’t a serious backdoor threat late on two drives across midfield as the Iron Bowl wound up with a blowout final score and the heavy favorite snagging the cover.

UNLV (+14) 34, Nevada 29: The Wolf Pack led 23-0 early in this game but only took a 26-21 edge into halftime. UNLV kept the momentum and led through three quarters. A field goal put Nevada in front by one in the fourth quarter but with Armani Rogers back UNLV completed a late long drive to secure the upset while Nevada’s last threat ended with an interception.

Arizona State (-1) 41, Arizona 40: The Sun Devils opened as a 3-point favorite but the line dipped down to just -1 in this rivalry game with Arizona looking to earn a bowl spot. The line differences didn’t seem to matter with Arizona in front 40-21 through three quarters, missing on a two-point conversion tries when they were up 12 in both the second and third quarters. Those missed points came back to bite as Arizona State engineered a remarkable comeback with 20 points in the fourth quarter, with the final two scores following Arizona turnovers with the lead. After ASU went in front 41-40 with three minutes remaining, Khalil Tate led the Wildcats in position for a 45-yard field goal but the go-ahead kick was missed.

**Udog** · 11-26-2018, 12:15 AM

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Friday, November 30

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N ILLINOIS (7 - 5) vs. BUFFALO (10 - 2) - 11/30/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in games played on a neutral field since 1992.
BUFFALO is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
BUFFALO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
BUFFALO is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-1 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (9 - 3) vs. WASHINGTON (9 - 3) - 11/30/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
UTAH is 66-37 ATS (+25.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
UTAH is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 46-21 ATS (+22.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
WASHINGTON is 94-124 ATS (-42.4 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 2-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-0 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, December 1

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UAB (9 - 3) at MIDDLE TENN ST (8 - 4) - 12/1/2018, 1:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
UAB is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus UAB over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-1 straight up against UAB over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (8 - 4) at UCF (11 - 0) - 12/1/2018, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 77-105 ATS (-38.5 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
UCF is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
UCF is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCF is 2-1 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 3-0 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS (9 - 3) vs. OKLAHOMA (11 - 1) - 12/1/2018, 12:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 3-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 2-1 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAFAYETTE (7 - 5) at APPALACHIAN ST (9 - 2) - 12/1/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAFAYETTE is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
APPALACHIAN ST is 2-1 against the spread versus LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
APPALACHIAN ST is 3-0 straight up against LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GEORGIA (11 - 1) vs. ALABAMA (12 - 0) - 12/1/2018, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 81-55 ATS (+20.5 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ALABAMA is 45-26 ATS (+16.4 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
ALABAMA is 58-33 ATS (+21.7 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
GEORGIA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 1-0 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 1-0 straight up against GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FRESNO ST (10 - 2) at BOISE ST (10 - 2) - 12/1/2018, 7:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 147-106 ATS (+30.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 147-106 ATS (+30.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 92-62 ATS (+23.8 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 83-51 ATS (+26.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
BOISE ST is 90-65 ATS (+18.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
FRESNO ST is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FRESNO ST is 2-1 against the spread versus BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 2-1 straight up against FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (7 - 5) vs. CLEMSON (12 - 0) - 12/1/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEMSON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 against the spread versus CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 straight up against CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NORTHWESTERN (8 - 4) vs. OHIO ST (11 - 1) - 12/1/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 189-146 ATS (+28.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 189-146 ATS (+28.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 171-132 ATS (+25.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
OHIO ST is 70-46 ATS (+19.4 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
NORTHWESTERN is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 70-48 ATS (+17.2 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 60-37 ATS (+19.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 1-0 against the spread versus OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 1-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

E CAROLINA (3 - 8) at NC STATE (8 - 3) - 12/1/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
E CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
E CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MARSHALL (8 - 3) at VIRGINIA TECH (5 - 6) - 12/1/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 47-71 ATS (-31.1 Units) in road games since 1992.
MARSHALL is 47-71 ATS (-31.1 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
MARSHALL is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AKRON (4 - 7) at S CAROLINA (6 - 5) - 12/1/2018, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

STANFORD (7 - 4) at CALIFORNIA (7 - 4) - 12/1/2018, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
STANFORD is 66-44 ATS (+17.6 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
STANFORD is 69-45 ATS (+19.5 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
STANFORD is 60-39 ATS (+17.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
CALIFORNIA is 21-44 ATS (-27.4 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALIFORNIA is 1-1 against the spread versus STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 2-0 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 11-26-2018, 12:16 AM

NCAAF

Week 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, November 30

Northern Illinois @ Buffalo
Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games when playing Buffalo

Buffalo
Buffalo is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
Buffalo is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Utah @ Washington
Utah
Utah is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing Washington

Washington
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Utah
Washington is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games

Saturday, December 1

East Carolina @ North Carolina State
East Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 7 of East Carolina's last 9 games on the road
East Carolina is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing North Carolina State

North Carolina State
North Carolina State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
North Carolina State is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games

Akron @ South Carolina
Akron
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Akron's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Akron's last 7 games

South Carolina
South Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of South Carolina's last 5 games

Drake @ Iowa State
Drake
No trends to report

Iowa State
Iowa State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Iowa State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Texas @ Oklahoma
Texas
Texas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma
Texas is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games

Oklahoma
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oklahoma's last 8 games

Marshall @ Virginia Tech
Marshall
Marshall is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Marshall is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road

Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Marshall
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Virginia Tech's last 5 games when playing Marshall

Louisiana-Lafayette @ Appalachian State
Louisiana-Lafayette
No trends to report

Appalachian State
No trends to report

Alabama-Birmingham @ Middle Tennessee
Alabama-Birmingham
No trends to report

Middle Tennessee
No trends to report

Norfolk State @ Liberty
Norfolk State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Norfolk State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Norfolk State's last 5 games

Liberty
Liberty is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Liberty is 1-2-2 ATS in its last 5 games

Incarnate Word @ Iowa State
Incarnate Word
Incarnate Word is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Incarnate Word is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

Iowa State
Iowa State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Iowa State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Stanford @ California
Stanford
Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing California
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Stanford's last 8 games

California
California is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of California's last 7 games

Memphis @ Central Florida
Memphis
Memphis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Central Florida
Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Central Florida is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis

Alabama @ Georgia
Alabama
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Alabama's last 7 games when playing Georgia

Georgia
Georgia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Georgia's last 7 games when playing Alabama

Fresno State @ Boise State
Fresno State
No trends to report

Boise State
No trends to report

Clemson @ Pittsburgh
Clemson
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Clemson is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Northwestern @ Ohio State
Northwestern
No trends to report

Ohio State
No trends to report

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 11-26-2018, 12:18 AM

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 14

Friday November 30

Northern Illinois @ Buffalo

Game 303-304
November 30, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Illinois
79.817
Buffalo
85.757
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 6
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
by 3 1/2
51
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(-3 1/2); Under

Utah @ Washington

Game 305-306
November 30, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
94.981
Washington
105.837
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 11
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 5
45
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-5); Over

Saturday, December 1

UAB @ Middle Tennessee St

Game 307-308
December 1, 2018 @ 1:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UAB
84.450
Middle Tennessee
80.850
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UAB
by 3 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Middle Tennessee
by 1 1/2
44
Dunkel Pick:
UAB
(+1 1/2); Over

Memphis @ Central Florida

Game 309-310
December 1, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
98.165
Central Florida
96.529
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 1 1/2
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Central Florida
by 3 1/2
64 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+3 1/2); Over

Texas @ Oklahoma

Game 311-312
December 1, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
103.856
Oklahoma
106.681
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma
by 3
72
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma
by 8
78
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(+8); Under

LA-Lafayette @ Appalachian St

Game 313-314
December 1, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA-Lafayette
76.558
Appalachian St
90.781
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Appalachian St
by 14
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Appalachian St
by 18
58 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA-Lafayette
(+18); Over

Georgia @ Alabama

Game 315-316
December 1, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia
105.337
Alabama
126.427
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Alabama
by 21
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Alabama
by 13 1/2
64
Dunkel Pick:
Alabama
(-13 1/2); Under

Fresno State @ Boise State

Game 317-318
December 1, 2018 @

Dunkel Rating:
Fresno State
93.134
Boise State
99.220
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boise State
by 6
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boise State
by 2 1/2
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boise State
(-2 1/2); Over

Pittsburgh @ Clemson

Game 319-320
December 1, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
96.114
Clemson
119.254
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Clemson
by 23
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Clemson
by 27 1/2
53
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+27 1/2); Under

Northwestern @ Ohio State

Game 321-322
December 1, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northwestern
97.601
Ohio State
103.483
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio State
by 6
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio State
by 15 1/2
61 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Northwestern
(+15 1/2); Under

Drake @ Iowa State

Game 323-324
December 1, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Drake
44.743
Iowa State
100.552
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iowa State
by 56
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iowa State
by 42
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Iowa State
(-42); Over

Norfolk St @ Liberty

Game 325-326
December 1, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Norfolk St
34.871
Liberty
70.591
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Liberty
by 35 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Liberty
by 29 1/2
59 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Liberty
(-29 1/2); Over

East Carolina @ NC State

Game 327-328
December 1, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
East Carolina
72.852
NC State
92.615
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NC State
by 20
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NC State
by 23 1/2
60 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
East Carolina
(+23 1/2); Over

Marshall @ Virginia Tech

Game 329-330
December 1, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Marshall
81.448
Virginia Tech
83.355
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia Tech
by 2
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia Tech
by 4 1/2
53
Dunkel Pick:
Marshall
(+4 1/2); Under

Akron @ South Carolina

Game 331-332
December 1, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Akron
67.044
South Carolina
93.590
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Carolina
by 26 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Carolina
by 30
56
Dunkel Pick:
Akron
(+30); Under

Stanford @ California

Game 333-334
December 1, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Stanford
90.065
California
94.663
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
California
by 4 1/2
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Stanford
by 3 1/2
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
California
(+3 1/2); Under

Southern U @ Alcorn State

Game 335-336
December 1, 2018 @ 4:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Southern U
55.639
Alcorn State
53.141
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Southern U
by 2 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Southern U
Pick
53
Dunkel Pick:
Southern U
Under

**Udog** · 11-26-2018, 12:19 AM

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 14

Friday
MAC, Detroit
Northern Illinois went 3-3 in this game from 2010-15; Buffalo is in it for first time since 42-24 win over Ball State in ’08. Huskies beat Buffalo last three years, by 11-1-37 points; NIU beat Bulls 14-13 LY- teams played a scoreless 2nd half that day. Buffalo is 10-2 this year but got pounded in its two losses, 42-17 at Army, 52-17 at Ohio U; Bulls gave up 281-437 yards in those games. NIU lost its last two games after winning six in row before that. Under is 9-3 in NIU games this season; three of last four Buffalo games went over. Game is in a dome, so no worries about the weather.

Pac-12, Santa Clara, CA
Washington won its last three games with Utah, by 7-3-14 points; Huskies beat Utes 21-7 in SLC Sept 15- they held Utah to 261 yards, were +2 in turnovers. Washington won its last three games overall, running ball for 275-258 yards in last two games- they outgained Wazzu 487-237 in snowy Apple Cup LW. Utah is 8-0 when it scores 30+ points, 1-3 when they score less; does it help that they didn’t play a big rival LW? Washington beat Colorado 41-10 in this game two years ago; Utah is in this game for first time. Under is 9-3 in Washington games this year; over is 6-3 in last nine Utah games.

Saturday
Conference USA, Murfreesboro, TN
Middle Tennessee whacked UAB 27-3 last week here, outgaining Blazers 394-89; Blazers hit on only 9-27 passes, ran for minus-1 yard. MTSU is 3-1 vs UAB in C-USA meetings. Blazers lost last two games, after winning eight in row; all three of their losses this year are by 21+ points. MTSU won five of last six games after a 3-3 start; their senior QB is the coach’s son. UAB/Middle Tennessee State are both in this game for first time; UAB didn’t even field a team n 2015-16, due to budget issues- they’re 17-8 since reviving the program. Three of last four UAB games went over the total.

AAC, Orlando
Central Florida QB Milton tore up his knee LW, is out here; Knights won their last 25 games, edging Memphis 31-30 Oct 13, their only win this year by less than 11 points. Memphis ran ball for 281 games vs UCF, outgaining Knights 490-461. UCF won its last 10 games vs Memphis, beating Tigers 62-55 in OT in this game LY. Backup QB Darriel was 5-14/81 passing in relief of Milton LW. Memphis won its last four games after a 4-4 start, scoring 47+ points in three of the four games; Tigers ran ball for 401 yards in 52-31 win over Houston LW. Four of last five Memphis games went over; seven of last eight UCF games stayed under.

Big X, Arlington, TX
Texas (+7.5) beat Oklahoma 48-45 Oct 6; Longhorns were +3 in turnovers that day- yardage was 532-501, OU. Sooners fired their DC after the game. Teams split their last six meetings, with underdogs covering all six games. As a head coach, Tom Herman is 8-1-1 vs spread as an underdog. Oklahoma is 6-0 since Texas loss, scoring 48+ points in all six games, scoring 51+ five times; Sooner defense allowed 640-524-704 yards in their last three games. Longhorns won their last three games, giving up 10-17 points in last two; Texas is 2-3 when it gives up 21+ points. Over is 10-1-1 in Oklahoma games this year. Sooners are in this game for 10th time, going 8-1 in previous nine visits. Texas is 3-2 in Big X title tilts.

Sun Belt, Boone, NC
Appalachian State is in only its 5th year of I-A football; they’re 39-11 the last four years, 5-0 vs Louisiana, beating the Ragin’ Cajuns 27-17 back on October 20, when ASU ran ball for 258 yards. App State won its last four games, allowing average of only 10.3 ppg. ASU is 9-2 this year with an OT loss at Penn State when they outgained the Nittany Lions. Louisiana won its last three games after a 4-5 start; Cajuns have allowed 200+ rushing yards in seven games this year. Four of last six ULL games, five of last seven App State tilts stayed under the total.

SEC, Atlanta
Alabama is 12-0 this season; closest game they’ve played was 45-23 over Texas A&M. Georgia is 11-1 with a 36-16 loss at LSU; Dawgs won their last four games- under Smart, they’re 3-1 as an underdog, 0-0 this year. Alabama beat Georgia 26-23 in OT for the national title LY; yardage was 371-365- this is only teams’ 5th meeting the last 11 years, with Crimson Tide winning last four by 11-4-28-3 points. Bama won national title LY but didn’t make SEC title game, which Georgia won over Auburn. Crimson Tide won their five SEC title games; Georgia is 3-3 in this game. Over is 4-1-1 in last six Georgia games, 6-3 in last nine Alabama games.

Mountain West, Boise
Fresno State is 10-2 but lost 24-17 (-2.5) on blue carpet Nov 9, first time Broncos had been home underdog in almost 20 years. Fresno allowed 20 or fewer points in nine of their ten wins; they’re 1-2 when allowing more than 20. Under Tedford, Bulldogs are 4-0 as road underdogs. Fresno is 1-2 in this game, with both losses to Boise (28-14/27-14, LY). Boise won its last seven games after a 3-2 start; Broncos were held under 60 yards rushing in both their losses. Boise is 4-2 as a home favorite this year, after going 4-15 the previous three years. Under is 7-1 in last eight Fresno games. 4-0 in last four Boise games.

ACC, Charlotte
Clemson is in ACC title game for 4th year in row, winning last three by 8-7-35 points over three different teams, while scoring 41.7 ppg. Clemson is 12-0 this year, despite playing freshman QB; their last seven wins are all by 20+ points. Tigers gave up 510 PY in 56-35 win over Palmetto State rival South Carolina LW— total yardage in game was 744-600. Pitt is in ACC title game for first time; Panthers won four of last five games after a 3-4 start; they had scored 40.8 ppg in last four games before 24-3 loss at Miami LW. Pitt is 5-3 vs spread as an underdog this year. Three of last four Pitt games stayed under the total.

Big 14, Indianapolis
Ohio State is on fringes of making national playoff; impressive win here and an Alabama win in SEC game makes it a OSU/Oklahoma decision for 4th seed. Buckeyes won last four gamess, but also allowed 31+ points in four of last five games- they hammered arch-rival Michigan 62-39 LW, so this could be little bit of a letdown. OSU ran ball for 283-249 yards last two weeks. Northwestern won seven of its last eight games after a 1-3 start; Wildcats are 4-1 this year in games decided by 4 or fewer points. Ohio State is 2-1 in this game, beating Wisconsin 27-21 here LY; Northwestern is in its first Big 14 title game.

**Udog** · 11-26-2018, 11:24 PM

Tech Trends - Week 14
Bruce Marshall

Friday, Nov. 30

NORTHERN ILLINOIS vs. BUFFALO (MAC title game at Ford Field, Detroit, MI, Friday, November 30)...NIU had covered four in a row away from DeKalb prior to loss at WMU. Bulls 9-3 vs. line this season, 18-5-2 vs. spread since late 2016.
Slight to Buffalo, based on team trends.

WASHINGTON vs. UTAH (Pac-12 title game at Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, CA, Friday, November 30)...Huskies have won SU last three years in series but covered only one of those (2018). U-Dub 3-9 vs. line in 2018, 4-12 last 16 on board, just 2-7 vs. spread last nine away. Utes 13-5 vs. points as dog since 2014.
Utah, based on team trends.

Saturday, Dec. 1

UAB at MIDDLE TENNESSEE (Conference USA title game, Saturday, December 1)...After covering seven straight this season, UAB HAS dropped last three vs. number. Blazers just 3-5 vs. spread last 8 away from Legion Field. UAB 8-4 as dog since last season. MTSU, however, has covered last five this season.
Slight to MTSU, based on recent trends.

MEMPHIS at UCF (American title game, Saturday, December 1)...UCF 3-0 SU in series since last season though just 1-1-1 vs. number. Tigers just 2-3 vs. line away this season but just 4-5-1 as dog for Mike Norvell since 2016. UCF covered 5 of last 6 at home this season.
UCF, based on team trends.

TEXAS vs. OKLAHOMA (Big 12 title game at Jerry Jones AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX, Saturday, December 1)...Horns have covered last six in series, all as dog, winning outright on Oct. 6 at Cotton Bowl. Tom Herman 2-0 as dog this season, 7-1 in role with Texas, 12-1 since 2015 with Houston & Longhorns as dog. Sooners only 4-8-1 vs. line since late 2017.
Texas, based on team and series trends.

UL-LAFAYETTE at APPALACHIAN STATE (Sun Belt title game, Saturday, December 1)...Ragin’ Cajuns covered Oct. 20 at App and ended season on 7-2 spread uptick. ULL also covered 4 of last 5 as dog this season. App, however, 7-2-2 vs. spread in 2018.
Slight to UL-Lafayette, based on recent trends.

GEORGIA vs. ALABAMA (SEC title game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA, Saturday, December 1)...Georgia 12-3 vs. spread last 15 away from Athens, Kirby Smart also 5-2 as dog since 2016. Bulldogs have covered last five bowl/playoff games. Tide 4-6 vs. spread in bowl/playoff/SEC title games since 2013.
Georgia, based on team trends.

FRESNO STATE at BOISE STATE (Mountain West title game, Saturday, December 1)...Fresno no covers last three this season but Bulldogs were 18-3-2 vs. spread for Jeff Tedford prior and 23-5-2 previous 30 on board since mid 2016. Fresno 6-0 as dog for Tedford (all of that in 2017). Bulldogs blew lead in loss and non-cover at Boise on Nov. 9. Boise has covered last three this season and was 3-2 as home chalk this season, but just 7-17 laying points on blue carpet since 2015. Fresno covered in MW title games at Boise in 2014 and 2017.
Fresno State, based on team trends.

PITTSBURGH vs. CLEMSON (ACC title game at Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC, Saturday, December 1)...Pitt had covered six straight in 2018 prior to Miami loss. Panthers 9-6 as dog since last season and 5-3 getting DD since 2016 under Pat Narduzzi. But Pitt only 3-3 vs. spread away this season. Clemson only 6-6 vs. line this season though did have mid-to-late-season 5-game cover streak. Though not technically a bowl, note Panthers 1-5 vs. spread in last six of those.
Slight to Clemson, based on team trends.

NORTHWESTERN vs. OHIO STATE (Big Ten title game at Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN, Saturday, December 1)...Underdog team was a remarkable 11-0-1 vs. spread in NU games this season! Wildcats 5-0-1 as dog themselves. Buckeyes 1-6 their last seven as chalk this season and 1-4 vs. spread last five away from home.
Northwestern, based on team trends.

AKRON at SOUTH CAROLINA (Saturday, December 1)...Zips just 2-6 vs. spread their last eight on board this season though did cover both of their non-MAC games on road. Bowden 6-11-1 last 18 on board since mid 2017. Gamecocks have covered their last four vs. non-SEC foes and 8-4 last 12 on board since late 2017.
Slight to South Carolina, based on team trends.

EAST CAROLINA at NC STATE (Saturday, December 1)...ECU 4-7 vs. line this season, 10-24-1 vs. spread since Scottie Montgomery took over in 2016. Also 1-6 vs. line last seven vs. non-AAC foes.
NC State, based on ECU negatives.

STANFORD at CALIFORNIA (Saturday, December 1)...Big Game! Cal on 5-game cover streak TY after dropping previous 5 vs. line, and Wilcox 10-4 as dog since LY. Tree however is 5-1-1 vs. spread last seven away from Farm. Stanford had covered five straight in series until LY.
Slight to California, based on team trends.

MARSHALL at VIRGINIA TECH...Herd 2-0 as dog this season, 8-0 in role since 2017! Marshall 8-3-1 vs. line last 12 away from home and 7-2 vs. points last nine vs. non-CUSA. Hokies had dropped 6 in a row vs. line before Virginia upset and no covers last four as chalk.
Marshall, based on team trends.

**Udog** · 11-27-2018, 11:30 AM

Sharps hit Georgia odds early for college football showdown vs. Alabama
Patrick Everson

College football has reached its conference championship week, from which will come the four teams competing in this season’s College Football Playoff. We check in on the opening lines and early action for the Power Five conference title games, with insights from Derek Wilkinson, supervisor at The SuperBook at Westgate in Las Vegas.

No. 5 Georgia Bulldogs vs. No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide (-13.5)

Defending national champion Alabama is one of two remaining CFP contenders with an unblemished record. The Crimson Tide (12-0 SU, 8-4 ATS) had little trouble with rival Auburn in the Iron Bowl, posting a 52-21 victory as 25.5-point home favorites to cap the regular season.

Georgia stubbed its toe in a mid-October loss at Louisiana State, but responded with five straight double-digit victories (4-1 ATS). The Bulldogs (11-1 SU, 7-5 ATS) dispatched Georgia Tech 45-21 as 17-point home faves last weekend.

“We took some sharp money on Georgia right away. We’ve moved it down to -13 for now,” Wilkinson said of early activity for Saturday’s game in Atlanta. “I think the public is going to like Alabama at less than a two-touchdown favorite, but the sharp money is going to be on Georgia. We’re anticipating this line to go to 12.5 or stay at 13 throughout the week. Most of the money will still be on ‘Bama though.”

No. 17 Utah Utes vs. No. 16 Washington Huskies (-5.5)

Washington crashed Washington State’s party to steal first place in the Pac-12 North and earn a trip to Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif., for Friday night’s conference title game. Last weekend, the Huskies (9-3 SU, 3-9 ATS) went off as 2.5-point road underdogs and emerged with a 28-15 outright victory over the archrival Cougars.

Utah won seven of its last eight games (6-2 ATS) en route to winning the Pac-12 South Division. The Utes (9-3 SU, 7-5 ATS) capped the run with a nonconference victory over Brigham Young, rallying from a 27-7 deficit to win 35-27 laying 10.5 points at home.

“We opened this line at -5.5, and I still think that’s too low,” Wilkinson said. “However, most of the betting market is even lower at 5. We haven’t taken any action yet, but I’m anticipating most of the money to come in on Washington.”

No. 14 Texas Longhorns vs. No. 6 Oklahoma Sooners (-7)

The Red River Rivalry gets a repeat performance, with Oklahoma aiming to avenge its only loss of the season, a 48-45 setback laying 7 points at the Cotton Bowl on Oct. 6. The Sooners (11-1 SU, 4-7-1 ATS) followed with six consecutive victories, but cashed just once (1-4-1 ATS), barely escaping West Virginia last week with a 59-56 win as 3-point road favorites.

Texas won its last three games to secure a spot in this Big 12 final, to be played Saturday at AT&T Stadium, home of the Dallas Cowboys. Last week, the Longhorns (9-3 SU, 5-6-1 ATS) fended off Kansas 24-17 laying 15.5 points on the road.

“We already took a decent five-figure bet on Oklahoma at -7,” Wilkinson said. “We’re at -7.5 now, and I think that line is going to go up. Oklahoma just scores too many points for Texas to keep up.”

No. 24 Pittsburgh Panthers at No. 2 Clemson Tigers (-25)

Clemson is a monster favorite in the Atlantic Coast Conference title game as it aims for another trip to the CFP. The Tigers (12-0 SU, 6-6 ATS) capped their perfect regular season with a 56-35 nonconference victory over South Carolina as 25.5-point home faves.

Pittsburgh put together a 5-1 stretch (6-0 ATS) beginning in early October, helping it secure a spot in Saturday’s conference final in Charlotte, N.C. However, the Panthers (7-5 SU and ATS) got drilled at Miami in the regular-season finale, 24-3 as 6-point road underdogs.

“Although we haven’t gotten any major bets on it yet, we’ve already moved up with the market to -26,” Wilkinson said. “This game is being played in Clemson’s backyard, and Pittsburgh looked pretty bad last week against Miami. I think that line will either stay at 26 or possibly go a little higher. I also think Clemson is going to cover it.”

No. 19 Northwestern Wildcats vs. No. 10 Ohio State Buckeyes (-13.5)

Ohio State still has a glimmer of CFP hope, thanks to a blowout victory of its archrival last weekend. The Buckeyes (11-1 SU, 5-7 ATS) went off as 3.5-point home pups to Michigan, but rumbled to a 62-39 victory.

Northwestern found its way to Indianapolis for Saturday’s game by going 7-1 SU in its last eight outings. The Wildcats (8-4 SU, 6-4-2 ATS) finished with a 24-16 victory over Illinois giving 16 points at home.

“We’ve gotten some big bets on both sides of this game already,” Wilkinson said. “Currently, we have Ohio State favored by 14, and I think that’s a good line. Ohio State is going to win, but I don’t think it will be as dominant a performance as the Buckeyes had against Michigan last week.”

**Udog** · 11-27-2018, 10:37 PM

Games to Watch - Week 14

This coming weekend will arguably be the biggest of the year, as it is when we will see the conference championship games take center stage. It goes without saying that these are the games that we are going to focus on here, but since we will be looking at the Power 5 conferences a little later in the week, we will spend out time here talking about some of the smaller conferences and the games being played there.

These are not games that will have any impact on the final playoff standings, but they are still match-ups worthy of your time and your wagering dollars.

UCF Knights (-3 -115) vs. Memphis Tigers (+3 -105)

The AAC Championship Game will provide UCF with the opportunity to continue an unbeaten streak that has now extended through two full seasons. The problem that the Knight have here is that they will be forced to try and win without their QB McKenzie Milton, who went out of last weeks game with a truly gruesome knee injury. It’s worth remembering that the Knight had to come from behind to beat Memphis 31-30 when they met earlier in the season, so they could well be in trouble in this one without their starting QB. The Knights are talented enough to rise up and put on a show here, but I think they come up short.

ULL Ragin’ Cajuns (+17½ -110) vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers (-17½ -110)

Of all the teams that play in the Sun Belt, it may well be the Mountaineers that we all know best. After all, they have, over the years, made a habit of scaring the life out of Power 5 teams, just as they did in Week 1 this season against Penn State. The Mountaineers needed a Troy loss last week to get into this one and will be going against a Cajuns team that won 3-straight to win their division. When these two met earlier in the season, it was the Mountaineers who came away with a 10-point win. I think we can expect more of the same here.

UAB Blazers (+1 -110) vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (-1 -110)

In a strange twist of scheduling, these two teams will be meeting for the second straight week, although this time, the winner will be walking away with the Conference USA title. Last week, it was the Blue Raiders scoring the comfortable 27-3 win in a game that they started as a 3-point underdog. That meant that the Blazers ended the season on a 2-game losing skid, although they did have the division locked up by then. The bookies have this as a close one, and while I don’t like the fact that UAB haven’t won for a couple of weeks, I think they get the win here.

Fresno State Bulldogs (+2½ -105) vs. Boise State Broncos (-2½ -115)

Boise State come into this one with the opportunity to repeat as champions of the Mountain West Conference against a Fresno State Bulldogs team that they have already beaten once this season. That win was part of a 7-game win streak that the Broncos went on to close out the season, although it was a tight defensive battle that ended in a 24-17 win for Boise. Let’s not count out Fresno State here, though, as the loss to the Broncos is the only defeat they have taken in their last 10 games. I am on Fresno State to get revenge and emerge as the conference champion.

**Udog** · 11-28-2018, 05:50 PM

By: Monty Andrews

Milton on the Mend

Central Florida will play for the American Athletic Conference title this weekend with injured quarterback McKenzie Milton on their minds. Milton suffered a gruesome leg injury in the Knights' 38-10 win over South Florida last week and will undergo reconstructive surgery on his right knee at a later date. But the good news is, a nerve at the site of the injury remained intact and blood flow has been restored to his lower leg. Milton finishes his Junior season with Central Florida with some eye-popping numbers, having thrown for 25 touchdowns while adding nine scores on the ground.

Oddsmakers are making the Milton injury a major factor in Central Florida's AAC championship game against visiting Memphis, with the host Knights just 3.5-point favorites despite having won 24 consecutive games. But with the home team a sizzling 11-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings and the UCF defense almost as strong as its offense, the Knights are a strong cover play.

Gamecocks Going for a Big Cover

Not every game this weekend will decide a conference championship; for the South Carolina Gamecocks, it's simply an opportunity to rack up one more dominant victory heading into bowl season. The Gamecocks host the Akron Zips in a non-conference showdown scheduled after South Carolina had a Sept. 15 meeting with Marshall postponed due to Hurricane Florence. The Zips aren't expected to be competitive in this one, coming in as 30-point underdogs to a Gamecocks side that fell 56-35 to Clemson last time out, but has covered in four consecutive games.

With South Carolina a perfect 2-0 ATS when favored by 30 or more points this season – outscoring the opposition 98-24 in those victories – and the Zips coming in having scored just 41 total points in their past three games, the Gamecocks are a great option not only to cover, but to hold the visitors below their team total, which sits at 13 as of Wednesday.

No Hope for Hokies' Run Game?

If the Virginia Tech Hokies hope to upend visiting Marshall in the regular-season finale for both teams, it will probably be through the air. The Thundering Herd come into the game having allowed a minuscule 2.8 yards per carry on the season so far, and rank sixth in Division I in yards allowed per game on the ground (100.5). And if that weren't daunting enough for the hosts, Marshall also ranks 16th in the country in third-down conversion defense (32 percent), while the Hokies are well below the national average in third-down success rate (37.3 percent).

With the Marshall defense looking as strong as ever (38 points allowed over the past three games), taking the visitors to win this one outright is a strong value play at +160. The Thundering Herd should also be able to keep the Hokies below their team total of 27.5 if they can control the time of possession.

Last Labor of Love

The "Big Game" could be missing a big contribution from a running back who began the season as a Heisman Trophy candidate. Bryce Love will look to wrap up a difficult Pac-12 season on a positive note as he leads the Stanford Cardinal into Memorial Stadium for a date with Cal. Love began the year as one of the leading candidates for college football's top individual awards, but injuries and ineffectiveness have him sitting on 655 rushing yards and six touchdowns. The Golden Bears boast one of the top run defenses in Division I, limiting foes to 136 yards per game on 3.9 YPC.

Love had 101 yards in last year's meeting with the Bears, but 57 of them came on a single rush – and he has had just one rush of 30 or more yards in his last five games. With just one 100-yard game on the year and the Cardinal expected to give Cameron Scarlett some work, we recommend taking the Under on Love's rushing yard total.

**Udog** · 11-29-2018, 09:13 AM

Total Talk - Week 14

It was a good final week of the regular season to follow the steam on the college football totals I outlined in this piece last week. All that money on the Stanford/UCLA 'over' and Rutgers/Michigan State 'under' go there with ease on those respective contests, but while Miami did get some revenge on Pitt for their 2017 loss, that dominant “turnover chain” defense the Hurricanes had in 2017 showed up as well, keeping that contest well below the number.

Now that the regular season has concluded, there are fewer CFB games on the betting board, but that doesn't mean that we haven't seen significant movement already on some totals. This week tends to be one of the more heavily bet weekends of the year in college football because of the stakes in play, and there was no need to wait until later in the week to get this piece out.

So let's get right to the bigger movers of the week on these totals to see if you are looking to jump on board now, or wait and possibly go the other way closer to kick-off.

Biggest Movers to the 'Over'

Fresno State vs. Boise State: Open: 49 – Current: 53

The Mountain West championship will be decided on the “Smurf Turf” at Boise State again this year, as it's a rematch between Boise State and Fresno State from last year's game. This will be the third time in the six-year history of the Mountain West title game that these two programs have squared off, and Boise State has hosted and won both of the previous two matchups. Neither of those title games finished with more than 42 total points scored, and considering the regular season matchup between these two finished with 41 total points, this big move upwards is a little surprising.

Both of these programs finished with winning records to the 'under' this year – Fresno was 4-8 O/U and Boise was 5-7 O/U – and yet this is a move that on the surface looks to be one that should be followed before it's faded. For the number to quickly jump through a key number of 51 and still hit another key number of 53 is something that can't be taken lightly, and with Boise's offense scoring 45 and 33 points in their two games since beating Fresno, the Broncos attack is riding a strong wave of momentum right now as well. Weather forecasts are calling for ideal early December weather in Boise so their shouldn't be much concern there either.

The fact that betting percentage numbers offered at VegasInsider.com show it's only about a 55/45 split in favor of the 'over' suggests it's a move to be followed as well, although the only concerning thing in that regard is the notion that the value in taking the 'over' is all but gone now and we will likely see some buyback to the low-side closer to kick-off. After all, each of these two teams finished the regular season on 0-4 O/U runs, and each of the past four meetings between the two have stayed 'under' as well with no more than 45 points scored in any of those games.

That makes this total one I'm more interested in monitoring as the week goes on, simply because if there is some buyback on the 'under' it will be interesting to see what happens if the total drops back to that key number of 51. Clearly there was plenty of love (and respect) in the markets for going 'over' that key number here as maybe we do see a game where it's something like 28-24 for either side. We did see how well following the steam did a week ago though, no matter the number, so if forced to make a play on this total now, it would have to be siding with the move on the high side of things.

Biggest Movers to the 'Under'

Memphis vs. UCF: Open: 70 – Current: 65

This move is much easier to explain as the big drop in the number is basically injury related. UCF lost QB McKenzie Milton to a horrific leg injury a week ago, and backup QB Darriel Mack Jr was able to do enough to keep the lead, get the W, and keep the undefeated UCF season intact. However, it's not like the freshman Mack was all that impressive in the effort (5-for-14 passing for just 81 yards) as he did enter the game with a double-digit lead and let the running game bring things home. If UCF wants to remain unbeaten this year, that can't be the case against a high-powered Memphis team that's looking for some revenge after a one-point defeat to UCF earlier this year.

UCF will likely lean heavily on the ground game once again this week, as they don't particularly want to get into a shootout without Milton at the helm. That should lead to the clock continuously running quite a bit here as UCF's defense does what it can to contain Memphis, and it's not like the Knights haven't been a great 'under' team recently either. UCF enters this championship game on a 1-7 O/U run overall and that's something casual fans/bettors might not figure when they think about this UCF program.

From a betting perspective now, the value in this number is long gone, and while the likelihood of some buyback isn't going to be necessarily as strong here as it could be in Fresno/Boise, I believe this total is nothing but a pass now. It's not like Memphis' defense hasn't been gashed on the ground this year, and UCF still has some explosive RB's in that stable of theirs that could break one off at any moment. The Tigers own attack can put up points in a hurry, and knowing that they don't have to deal with Milton in this game, building a multi-score lead early in the 2nd half and then going into prevent mode and giving up a few scores could be very decisive in the ultimate result on this total. Last year's meeting in the championship game was an epic OT shootout that finished with 117 points scored, so if you hadn't already gotten a piece of this 'under' at a better number, it's probably best to pass on this total now.

Best Total Bet for Championship Saturday

Georgia vs. Alabama Under 63.5

The SEC championship game is one that the entire CFB world has been waiting on for weeks now as it's a rematch from last year's National Championship, and one you know this Georgia team has been excited about for weeks. The Bulldogs have wanted to get another crack at 'Bama all year long, and with a win putting Georgia into the CFB Playoff again and a loss eliminating them, the stakes couldn't be much higher for the Bulldogs this week.

And while both programs have made improvements on offense this year compared to when they met last season, I do believe the number is still slightly too high all things considered. For one, an Alabama loss doesn't “guarantee” them a spot in the CFB playoff if it were to come in ugly fashion, and with that as the backdrop to Nick Saban's game planning, you can bet that he'll have his defense overly prepared for what he expects to see from Georgia.

At the same time, Kirby Smart will have his Bulldogs defense very prepared for what he expects to see from Alabama, as they did get caught off guard in the title game when Saban made the QB switch to Tua in the 2nd half. Like Alabama, Georgia has basically had a month to prepare and install bits of the game plan into their unit and that's never a bad thing for 'unders.'

Finally, both teams are coming off consecutive games of 'overs' cashing to end the year, with Alabama putting up 50+ in both wins, while Georgia averaged 50+ in their two victories. Those results have to be taken into consideration when putting out a total for this week, and because of them, I do believe the total is slightly inflated. Remember, the total for the National Title game a year ago closed at 45.5 and was a dead ringer for the 'under' before Alabama forced OT, and it still could have cashed had Georgia been the only team to score in that extra frame. Even with the improved offenses, this number is nearly three TD's higher than last year's meeting, and with two elite SEC teams going at it – a conference that's known for defense – I have a hard time seeing where 64+ points will come from.

Alabama had only two SEC games this year where the total closed in the 60's or higher and both of those games did find a way to cash 'under' tickets. This SEC title game should be no different as somewhere in the mid-50's is likely where this score tops out.

**Udog** · 11-29-2018, 09:19 AM

ACC Championship Preview
Joe Williams

Matchup: Clemson vs. Pittsburgh
Date: Saturday, Dec. 1
Time/TV: 8:00 p.m. ET - ABC
Venue: Bank of America Stadium
Location: Charlotte, N.C.
Line, Total: Tigers -27.5, 52.5

The Atlantic Coast Conference will crown a champion in Charlotte on Saturday, and the playoff-hopeful Clemson Tigers (12-0 straight-up, 6-6 against the spread) are largely expected to run away in a rout over the Pittsburgh Panthers (7-5 straight-up, 7-5 against the spread).

These teams will be meeting for the first time since the Panthers stunned the Tigers 43-42 in Death Valley on Nov. 12, 2016 as 21 1/2-point underdogs.

Clemson rolled through the schedule without many scares, especially after the early portion of their schedule. They squeaked out a 28-26 win at Texas A&M on Sept. 8, and narrowly escaped with a 27-23 win over Syracuse on Sept. 29. That near-miss against the Orange served as a wake-up call, as they combined to win their next four games against Wake Forest, N.C. State, Florida State and Louisville by a combined 240-36. They finished up with a pair of non-covers against Duke and rival South Carolina, but those games were never really in doubt, especially in the second half.

Pitt will be making their first-ever ACC title game appearance, and they took the circuitous route to get there. No one seemed to want to win the Coastal Division. Everyone had three or more conference losses except for the Panthers, who despite losing five games overall, had just two losses in the league. Despite the fact they're in the championship game, they have a point differential of just plus-3. They were routed by Penn State 51-6 on Sept. 8. They were routed at UCF by a 45-14 score on Sept. 29. They were toppled 19-14 by Notre Dame on Oct. 13, and they were punched in the mouth by a 24-3 score in Miami in the season finale. The last game was perhaps the most excusable, as the young Panthers already had the ACC title game berth sewn up and they just didn't show to the stadium. It snapped a six-game cover streak dating back to Sept. 29.

The Tigers are making their fourth consecutive appearance in the ACC title game, and they're a perfect 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS. They routed the Hurricanes 38-3 as 12 1/2-point favorites last season, and they're nearly a four-touchdown favorite to take home the hardware for a fourth straight year. They have also won five straight appearance in the ACC title game after losing their initial appearance to Georgia Tech during the 2009 installment of this game.

Clemson ranked third overall in the country with 540.1 yards per game, and they checked in fifth in the land with 45.7 points per game (PPG). They have a very balanced attack, ranking 12th in the country in rushing yardage per game at 257.8 yards, while finishing 24th in passing yards per game at 282.3 yards. They're not one of those one-trick pony teams who need to outscore teams because of a poor defense. Their D is nasty, too. They allowed just 290.2 yards per game to rank ninth in the nation, and they allowed just 91.8 yards per game on the ground to finish second overall. They also gave up 14.0 PPG, finishing fourth.

Tigers QB Trevor Lawrence took over the starting duties early in the season from the departed QB Kelly Bryant, and he managed to complete 200-of-303 (66.0 percent) for 2,488 yards, 22 touchdowns and four interceptions while also running for 133 yards and a score. RB Travis Etienne emerged as a superstar, gobbling up 1,308 rushing yards with 19 touchdowns and a ridiculous 8.0 yards per carry. RB Lyn-J Dixon was a nice change of pace with 531 yards and four touchdowns, averaging 10.2 yards per tote. RB Tavien Feaster also plunged into the end zone six times.

In the passing game it's WR Tee Higgins trying to be the next great Clemson receiver. He led the way with 49 grabs, 766 yard and eight touchdowns, while WRs Justyn Ross, Amari Rodgers and Hunter Renfrow combined for 1,615 yards and 11 touchdowns, with Ross getting into the end zone six times. Renfrow (head) is listed as questionable for Saturday's game due to a head injury suffered late in the season.

For the Panthers, QB Kenny Pickett finished the season strong, completed 62.3 percent of his passes for 1,825 yards, 12 touchdowns and five interceptions and he rushed for 186 yards and three scores on the ground. He isn't necessarily a dual threat, but teams do have to be mindful for the occasional run. Speaking of running, RB Qadree Ollison finished with 1,134 yards and 10 scores to lead the way, giving Pitt a home-run hitter on the ground. RB Darrin Hall is also dangerous in the run game, averaging 7.6 yards per tote, rolling up 935 yard with nine scores. WR Taysir Mack and WR Maurice Ffrench were the best of the lot in the passing game, both nearly 500 yards. Ffrench led the team with six receiving yards, and he is a demon on special teams, too.

Betting Trends to Watch

-- The Tigers have racked up an impressive 10-2 ATS mark in their past 12 neutral-site games, while going 5-1 ATS in the past six ACC battles and 5-2 ATS in the past seven overall. Clemson is also 7-1 ATS across their past eight games played in the month of December.

-- Pitt has been crazy against the number lately, going 6-1 ATS in the past seven games overall while cashing in five of the past six ACC battles. The Panthers are also 4-1 ATS in the past five battles against teams with a winning record. However, Pitt is just 1-5 ATS in the past six appearances on a neutral-site field.

-- For Clemson, the 'under' is 6-2 in their past eight games in December while the under is 11-5 in Clemson's past 16 against teams with a winning record.

-- For Pittsburgh, the 'under' is 17-7-1 in their past 25 games, while hitting in 11 of the past 16 conference battles. The under is also 9-3 in the past 12 against teams with a winning overall record. However, the 'over' is 4-1 in their past five appearances on a neutral-site field.

ACC Championship History

**Udog** · 11-29-2018, 09:21 AM

Big 12 Championship Preview
Joe Williams

Matchup: Oklahoma vs. Texas
Date: Saturday, Dec. 1
Time/TV: 12:00 p.m. ET - ABC
Venue: AT&T Stadium
Location: Arlington, Tex.
Line, Total: Sooners -8, 77.5

The Big 12 Championship Game has major playoff implications this season, and for the first time in the title game's history we get a rematch of the Red River Rivalry. That's exactly what the league was hoping for when the league revived the championship game last season.

The Oklahoma Sooners (11-1 straight-up, 4-7-1 against the spread) will be looking for revenge against the rival Texas Longhorns (9-3 straight-up, 5-6-1 against the spread) after falling 48-45 in the neutral-site game at the Cotton Bowl back on Oct. 6. The Longhorns won that game outright as seven-point underdogs as the 'over' (60) easily connected in that outing. Now the teams will meet on the even faster track of the field turf surface at Jerry World in Arlington.

Oklahoma lost QB Baker Mayfield, last season's Heisman Trophy winner, to the NFL's Cleveland Browns with the No. 1 overall pick. In stepped QB Kyler Murray, and the Sooners haven't missed a beat. In fact, he might be on his way to New York City looking to give the team back-to-back bronze statues. OU opened with three straight victories, including a 37-27 revenge-game win at Iowa State on Sept. 15. They received quite a scare from Army of all teams, surviving 28-21 in overtime back on Sept. 22. They spurred them on, as they doubled up Baylor 66-33 to head to Dallas for that Longhorns game at 5-0 SU/2-3 ATS. We know what happened there, but they bounced back to win six straight outings while scoring 48 or more points in all six of their final games. In fact, they rolled up at least 37 points in 11 of their 12 contests, although they closed out the season 0-3-1 ATS in the final four.

This will be Oklahoma's 10th appearance in the Big 12 championship game, and their sixth trip in the past seven installments of this game. Oklahoma appeared last season against Texas Christian at AT&T Stadium and they routed the Horned Frogs 41-17 as 7 1/2-point favorites. They have been favored in all nine of their previous appearances in this game, posting an 8-1 ATS mark,

The Longhorns are back in the Big 12 title game for the first time since 2009 when they eeked out a 13-12 win over Nebraska despite entering as two-touchdown favorites. This is their sixth appearance in the Big 12 championship game, and they're 3-2 SU/2-3 ATS in their previous five battles.

Things didn't start out so well for Texas, as they were topped 34-29 in a neutral-site battle against Maryland in the opener on Sept. 1. They edged Tulsa 28-21 in their home opener, but still were not hitting on all cylinders. It wasn't until at 37-14 win on Sept. 15 against USC that the Longhorns looked to be on their way back. Two more wins in September and then the Red River Rivalry victory, and Texas was in the Top 10 and they had championship hopes. Oklahoma State ended their playoff dreams 38-35 in Stillwater on Oct. 27, and a loss the next week at home against West Virginia by a 42-41 score looked like the end of the road. They rebounded for wins at Texas Tech and at home against Iowa State, while surviving at Kansas to punch their ticket back to the Metroplex.

Texas ranked 60th in the nation with 414.2 total yards per game, and they were 38th in passing yards (257.4 YPG). Their rushing offense, normally a staple in Austin, was just so-so, as they ranked 84th overall in that department. They did average 31.7 points per game (PPG) in their 12 games to check in 46th.

Longhorns QB Sam Ehlinger (shoulder) seized the starting job and he ran with it, rolling up 2,774 passing yards, 23 touchdowns and just four interceptions. He was also a threat in the run game, posting 376 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns on the ground. He has been battling a raw right shoulder, and that's something to watch in the game in case he takes a hard hit to the joint.

RB Keaontay Ingram was the co-leader in the backfield with Tre Watson. Ingram posted 676 rushing yards (5.2 YPC) while finding the end zone three times, and Watson was good for 656 yards (4.3 YPC) and three scores on the ground. In the pass game it's WR Lil'Jordan Humphrey who led the way with 72 grabs, 1,058 yards and eight touchdowns while WRs Collin Johnson and David Duvernay combined for 1,236 yards and 10 scores. Watson and Ingram combined for 41 grabs for 260 yards and five scores out of the backfield.

Oklahoma's offense was prolific, and their defense somewhat pathetic. That leads to a lot of video-game like performances. The Sooners ranked No. 1 in the country with 583.9 yards per game, and they were also No. 1 in points scored (50.3 PPG). OU had a balanced attack with 264.5 yards per game on the ground, while rolling up 319.4 yards per game through the air to rank eighth in both categories. However, they were just 110th in the country in defense, allowing 449.0 yards per game and 32.8 PPG, ranking 100th.

Murray completed 70.6 percent of his passes, as the Oakland A's draftee and Heisman hopeful has the world in his hands right now. He'll be a rich man playing either pro baseball or pro football. Will this be his final college game? There is talk speculating he could sit in the bowl game to protect himself for the future. Murray rolled up 3,674 yards, 37 touchdowns and seven interceptions while running for 853 yards and 11 more scores.

RB Kennedy Brooks led the way with 993 yards on the ground while finding the end zone 12 times. RB Trey Sermon managed 863 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns on the ground. WR Marquise Brown was good for a team-best 1,264 receiving yards with 10 scores on 70 grabs, averaging a gaudy 18.1 yards per snare. WR CeeDee Lamb was also a deep threat, posting 882 yards and nine scores on 51 grabs. The Longhorns will have to account for WR Lee Morris, who ended up finding the end zone eight times.

Betting Trends to Watch

-- The Longhorns have posted a 5-1 ATS mark in their past six neutral-site contests, although they failed to cover in Week 1 this season in such situation. They're also 13-5-2 ATS in the past 20 against teams with a winning overall mark.

-- The Sooners have struggled against the number, going 0-3-1 ATS in their past four inside the league. They're also a dismal 0-3-1 ATS in their past four attempts against teams with a winning overall record. OU has managed a 2-9 ATS record in the past 11 neutral-site battles, too.

-- As far as the total is concerned, the 'under' is an impressive 42-17 in the past 59 league games while going 5-0 in the past five in the month of December. The 'under' is also 30-11 in the past 41 against teams with a winning overall record, while going 25-10 in the past 35 following a straight-up win.

-- For OU, the 'over' is 5-0 in their past five against teams with a winning record. The over is also 19-7 in their past 26 and 36-15-1 in the past 52 inside the Big 12. However, the 'under' is 7-3 in the past 10 neutral-site battles.

-- Texas has covered six straight head-to-head meetings, with the underdog cashing in each of the past six battles.

Big 12 Championship History

**Udog** · 11-29-2018, 09:25 AM

Pac-12 Championship Preview
Joe Williams

Matchup: Utah vs. Washington
Date: Friday, Nov. 30
Time/TV: 8:00 p.m. ET - FOX
Venue: Levi's Stadium
Location: Santa Clara, Calif.
Line, Total: Huskies -5, 44.5

The Pac-12 Championship Game kicks off on Friday night at Levi's Stadium, and we'll get some new blood in the battle. The Utah Utes (9-3 straight up, 7-5 against the spread) survived in the South Division, and they will be making the first-ever appearance in the league's title game. In fact, it might be the school's most important game since Kyle Whittingham took them to the Sugar Bowl against Alabama back in 2008.

The Washington Huskies (9-3 straight up, 3-9 against the spread) surprised the 10-win Washington State Cougars last weekend in the Apple Cup, pushing their rivals out of first place to claim the Pac-12 North for themselves. The season started with championship expectations of high proportions. However, a loss in a neutral-site battle against Auburn in the opener, and a couple of conference road setbacks against Oregon and California forced the Huskies to refocus.

The Utes lost in their conference opener back on Sept. 15 against the Huskies by a 21-7 score at Rice-Eccles Stadium in Salt Lake City as the 'under' (45.5) connected. The Utes followed that loss with a 28-24 setback in Pullman against Washington State, and an appearance in the conference championship game certainly didn't appear very possible with an 0-2 SU league start. However, Utah pulled together for an impressive 40-21 road victory at Stanford on Oct. 6, kicking off a four-game winning streak and cover streak to get right back into the thick of things. During the span the offense posted 40 or more points and things were humming again. The only loss since Oct. 6 was a 38-20 loss at Arizona State, but the team rebounded with three straight wins against Oregon and Colorado, as well as their rivalry game in the Holy War against Brigham Young in the season finale, 35-27. After a 1-3 ATS start, Utah ended up 6-2 ATS over their final eight outings.

The Huskies are making their second appearance in three seasons in Santa Clara, representing the North Division. They rolled past Colorado 41-10 in the 2016 installment to easily cover as 8 1/2-point favorites as the 'under' (55.5) cashed in that one. As mentioned, Washington won their conference opener Sept. 15 in SLC, and they fired out to a 3-0 SU/1-2 ATS start in the conference. They lost a heartbreaker in Oregon on Oct. 13, dropping a 30-27 decision in overtime, a game which could have been a win in the fourth quarter if not for a missed field goal. While that game might have knocked them out of contention for a national playoff spot, a stunning 12-10 loss at Cal on Oct. 27 looked like a potential death blow to their conference title hopes. The Huskies went 2-9 ATS in the first 11 outings, including an 0-6 ATS run from Oct. 6 through Nov. 17. However, they won in a snowy Apple Cup in Washington State to find their way back to the Bay Area and a potential Rose Bowl bid.

The Huskies ranked 52nd in the nation in total yards (421.2 YPG), while posting a very ordinary ranking of 64th in passing yards (236.2 YPG). They were a very ordinary 53rd in rushing yardage, too, posting 185.0 yards per contests with 28.0 PPG, ranking 77th in the country.

Senior QB Jake Browning took another step backward after his magical 2016-17 season. He completed 65.1 percent of his pass attempts (196-for-301) for just 2,692 yards with 16 touchdowns and nine interceptions while rushing for 114 yards and four scores this season. Senior RB Myles Gaskin missed some time due to injury at the end of October, but he still managed to roll up 1,076 yards (5.1 yards per carry) with 10 touchdowns, including 143 yards and a score in the win against Utah in mid-September. Sophomore RB Salvon Ahmed, the heir apparent to Gaskin in the backfield, posted 576 yards and seven touchdowns while actually outgaining Gaskin in yards per carry (6.3 to 5.1). Junior WR Aaron Fuller was good for a team-high 754 yards on 49 grabs with four touchdowns, while sophomore WR Ty Jones, a Utah native, led the team with six receiving scores.

This defense is championship caliber, and the secondary is littered with NFL prospects. Washington allowed 311.2 total yards per game which ranked 13th in the land, and their 16.5 points per game allowed was good for eighth in the country. Junior S Taylor Rapp is a game changer and heavy hitter in the secondary.

Utah averaged 414.0 total yards per game to rank 61st in the country, while the team scored 30.8 PPG to check in 54th in the nation. It was all about the run game, as they rolled up 201.0 yards per game to finish 40th in the land. Like Washington, it all starts and stops with defense for Utah. They were 15th in the country in total yards allowed (317.1 YPC), while yielding just 101.6 yards per game on the ground to finish sixth in the nation. They also allowed 19.2 PPG to end up 17th in the country.

Junior QB Tyler Huntley (collarbone) is listed as questionable for Friday's game. He completed 149-of-233 passes for 1,762 yards, 12 touchdowns and six interceptions while also posting 304 rushing yards with four scores. He is a dual-threat signal caller for sure, checking in third on the team in rushing. If he cannot go it would be freshman QB Jason Shelley (54-of-96, 723 yards, three TD, one INT) taking the reins. No matter who is under center, they'll be handing off to junior RB Zack Moss, who led the team with 1,092 rushing yards (6.1 yards per carry) and 11 touchdowns. Junior RB Armand Shyne is the change-of-pace back, posting 442 yards and five scores on 95 carries. WR Brittain Covey is the Swiss Army Knife for Utah. He ran for a score, had a receiving touchdown and he was the primary kickoff and punt return specialist, too. He ranked 103rd in the country with 1,137 all-purpose yards.

Betting Trends to Watch

-- The Utes head into the game 5-0 ATS in their past five appearances on Friday, for whatever that's worth. They're also 7-1 ATS in their past eight appearances on a grass surface, while going 10-3-1 ATS in the past 14 against teams with a winning record. Utah has cashed in four of the past five outings on a neutral site field, while cashing in six of their past seven conference tilts. They have covered six of the past eight overall.

-- The Huskies have also excelled on Fridays, going 6-2 ATS in the past eight on the day. However, they're struggled with just one cover across the past eight conference battles, while going 1-6 ATS in the past seven overall and 1-4 ATS in the past five against winning sides. The Huskies have also failed to cover in each of their past five appearances on a grass surface.

-- The 'over' has connected in four straight for Utah against teams with a winning overall mark, although the under is 7-3 in the past 10 outings on grass.

-- For Washington, it's been all 'under' all the time. The under is 9-3 in their past 12 overall, while going 6-2 across the past eight neutral-site battles. In addition, the under has hit in eight of the past nine games against teams with a winning record.

-- In this series, the underdog has hit in five of the past six battles, while the 'over' is 4-1 across the past five battles, with the under hitting earlier this season.

Pac-12 Championship History

Announcement

NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 14 (Fri., Nov. 30 - Sat., Dec. 1)

NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 14 (Fri., Nov. 30 - Sat., Dec. 1)

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