CFL Trends and Indexes - Division Semifinals (Fri., Nov. 2 - Sat., Nov. 3)

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Friday, November 2 - Saturday, November 3

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 21
David Schwab

Calgary may still have the best record in the CFL, but it heads into the final week of the regular season on a straight-up three-game losing streak after falling to Winnipeg 29-21 on Friday night as a 3 ½-point road underdog.

In the first of two Saturday games, Ottawa tripped up Hamilton 3013 as a 4 ½-point road underdog to sweep the home-and-home series while also locking up the East Division title. Saskatchewan remained in the hunt for the division title in the West with a 35-16 victory against British Columbia as a 4 ½-point home favorite.

Week 20 wrapped things up on Sunday with Montreal playing its best game of the season in a 40-10 victory against Toronto as a rare three-point home favorite.

Friday, Nov. 2

Toronto Argonauts (4-13 SU, 6-11 ATS) at Ottawa RedBlacks (10-7 SU, 8-9 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa -7
Total: 53 ½

Game Overview

The Argonauts have finally gotten to the point they are just phoning it in after giving up 40 points to the worst offense in the league. One score was actually recorded by Montreal’s defense, but at this point does it really matter. They have failed to cover in seven of their last nine games with the total going OVER in six of the last eight outings.

Ottawa has little to play for in this regular-season finale after winning the East to secure a first round bye in the playoffs. The RedBlacks head into the postseason with some solid momentum after going 4-2 both SU and ATS in their last six games, including that impressive sweep over Hamilton the last two weeks. Trevor Harris had another big day in Saturday’s win with 267 yards passing and three touchdown throws.

Betting Trends

-- Ottawa has covered in six of its last nine home games against Toronto while also going 6-3 SU. The total has stayed UNDER in five of the last six meetings overall.


Saturday, Nov. 3

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (10-7 SU, 10-6-1 ATS) at Edmonton Eskimos (8-9 SU, 7-10 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -5
Total: 55

Game Overview

The Blue Bombers eliminated Edmonton from the playoffs with Friday’s win against Calgary. They also extended their current winning streak to five games both SU and ATS with the total staying UNDER in four of the five victories. Matt Nichols played one of his best games of the season at just the right time with 358 yards passing and two scoring strikes against the Stampeders.

Coming off a Week 20 bye, the Eskimos can point to a 1-4 slide both SU and ATS in their previous five games as the main reason why their season will come to an end after this game. They could also point to an offense that ran out of steam down the stretch with 15 points or less in three of its last five contests. Mike Reilly still leads the CFL in total passing yards (5,242).

Betting Trends

-- The first two games of this season series was split with the road team winning SU. Winnipeg covered in both contests as part of a 4-1 record ATS in its last five games against the Eskimos. The total has stayed UNDER in the last five meetings in Edmonton.

Montreal Alouettes (4-13 SU, 10-7 ATS) at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (8-9 SU, 7-9-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -6
Total: 53

Game Overview

Alouettes’ fans have to be happy that another dismal season finally comes to an end. Other than this Sunday’s win, it has been a very hard campaign to endure with an offense that has averaged 18.5 points per game. With three different players under center on Sunday, Montreal gained 246 yards through the air to complement a ground game that racked up 180 yards on 24 carries.

The Tiger-Cats cannot be all too happy with 2-4 (SU and ATS) slide in their last six games, but they can still rest their starters if they want ahead of next week’s home game in the first round of the playoffs. The total stayed UNDER 53 ½ points in Saturday’s loss to Ottawa after going OVER or ending as a PUSH in Hamilton’s previous seven games. It went OVER 50 ½ points in a 50-11 road win against Montreal as a seven-point favorite on Aug. 3.

Betting Trends

-- The Tiger-Cats have gone 12-2 SU in their last 14 home games against Montreal and the total has stayed UNDER in six of the last eight meetings in Hamilton.

Calgary Stampeders (12-5 SU, 8-9 ATS) at British Columbia Lions (9-8 AU, 10-7 ATS)
Point-spread: OFF
Total: OFF

Game Overview

A second-straight season-ending collapse has bettors questioning the value in betting with the Stampeders as the top team in the league. After losing their final three games last season (SU and ATS), they are 0-3 SU in their last three outings this time around with a costly 2-6 mark ATS over their last eight games. They still need to win on Saturday to win the West and earn a first round bye.

The Lions’ loss to Saskatchewan on Saturday snapped a SU three-game winning streak. After failing to cover in that game, they are 2-3 ATS in their last five games. The total ended as a PUSH on a closing line of 51 points and it has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in 10 of BC’s last 12 games. Travis Lulay turned in a dismal performance on Saturday with 94 yards passing and two interceptions while completing just nine of his 20 passing attempts.

Betting Trends

-- The Stampeders have won eight of the last 10 meetings SU, but this season’s series has been evenly split SU with each team winning once in Calgary. The Lions covered in both games with the total staying UNDER each time as well.

[Udog]

CFL

Division Semis

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Trend Report
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Friday, November 2

Toronto Argonauts
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Toronto is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Ottawa
Toronto is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Toronto is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Ottawa RedBlacks
Ottawa is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Ottawa is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Ottawa is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Ottawa is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Ottawa is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing Toronto
Ottawa is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Toronto
Ottawa is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Ottawa's last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto



Saturday, November 3

Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Winnipeg is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games
Winnipeg is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games on the road
Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Winnipeg is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing Edmonton
Winnipeg is 4-14-1 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton Eskimos
Edmonton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Edmonton is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games
Edmonton is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games at home
Edmonton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Edmonton is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
Edmonton is 14-4-1 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg


Montreal Alouettes
Montreal is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Montreal is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Montreal's last 8 games
Montreal is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Montreal is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Montreal's last 10 games on the road
Montreal is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Hamilton
Montreal is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Montreal's last 9 games when playing Hamilton
Montreal is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Montreal is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Montreal's last 8 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Hamilton is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Hamilton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Hamilton's last 8 games
Hamilton is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Hamilton is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games at home
Hamilton is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Montreal
Hamilton is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Hamilton's last 9 games when playing Montreal
Hamilton is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Montreal
Hamilton is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Hamilton's last 8 games when playing at home against Montreal


Calgary Stampeders
Calgary is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Calgary is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
Calgary is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Calgary is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games on the road
Calgary is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing British Columbia
Calgary is 12-4-1 ATS in its last 17 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
Calgary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
British Columbia Lions
British Columbia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
British Columbia is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
British Columbia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
British Columbia is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Calgary
British Columbia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of British Columbia's last 6 games when playing Calgary
British Columbia is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary
British Columbia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of British Columbia's last 7 games when playing at home against Calgary


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[Udog]

CFL
Long Sheet

Division Semis

Friday, November 2

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TORONTO (4 - 12) at OTTAWA (10 - 7) - 11/2/2018, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) when playing on a Friday over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 3-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-2 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, November 3

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WINNIPEG (10 - 7) at EDMONTON (8 - 9) - 11/3/2018, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 5-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 4-4 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MONTREAL (3 - 13) at HAMILTON (8 - 9) - 11/3/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
HAMILTON is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 4-2 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 5-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CALGARY (12 - 5) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (9 - 8) - 11/3/2018, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 60-35 ATS (+21.5 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-4 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 6-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

CFL

Dunkel

Division Semis

Saturday, November 3

Winnipeg @ Edmonton

Game 653-654
November 3, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
113.050
Edmonton
119.685
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 6 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
by 4 1/2
52
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(-4 1/2); Over

Montreal @ Hamilton

Game 655-656
November 3, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
103.580
Hamilton
115.780
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hamilton
by 12
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hamilton
by 7
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Hamilton
(-7); Under

Calgary @ BC Lions

Game 657-658
November 3, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
117.048
BC Lions
105.919
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 11
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 6 1/2
50
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-6 1/2); Under




CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Division Semis

Winnipeg (10-7) @ Edmonton (8-9) (-4.5, 52)— Road team won eight of last ten series games; Blue Bombers won/covered their last three visits here (under 3-0). Teams split first two games this year; Bombers scored 30+ points in last four series games. Winnipeg won its last five games (under 4-1), scoring 32.2 ppg; they’re 2-3 as road underdogs this year. Eskimos lost six of their last eight games (under 6-2); they’re 3-4 as home favorites this season.

Montreal (4-13) @ Hamilton (8-9) (-7, 48.5)— TiCats won last four series games and seven of last eight; they beat Montreal 50-11/30-15 in first two meetings this year- under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Teams split last four series games played here. Montreal snapped a 5-game losing skid last week, but they’ve covered their last four games; they’re 6-2 as road underdogs this year. Under is 6-2 in Alouettes’ last eight games. Hamilton lost last two games, allowing 30-35 points; they’re 3-4 as home favorites this year.

Calgary (12-5) (-6.5, 49.5) @ BC Lions (9-8)— Calgary won six of last eight series games, but BC covered last three; Stampeders won their last two visits here, 21-17/37-9. Lions upset Calgary 26-21 (+10.5) on road in last meeting Oct 13. Four of last five series games stayed under. Lions won six of their last eight games; they won their last four home games. Under is 7-2-1 in their last ten games. Stampeders lost their last three games, allowing 28 ppg; Calgary is 4-2 as road favoritess. Under is 3-1 in their last four games.


Through Week 20: Favorites 34-42; Under 44-30-2