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NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 8 (Thurs., Oct. 18 - Sat., Oct. 20)

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  • NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 8 (Thurs., Oct. 18 - Sat., Oct. 20)


    Week 8


    NCAAF Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, October 18 - Saturday, October 20

    Additional trends and information will be added as available.

    NOTE:

    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Betting Recap - Week 7
    Joe Williams

    Overall Notes

    College Football Week 7 Results

    WAGER Favorites-Underdogs
    Straight Up 41-16
    Against the Spread 28-29

    WAGER Home-Away
    Straight Up 31-26
    Against the Spread 32-25

    WAGER Totals (O/U)
    Over-Under 15-42

    The largest underdogs to win straight up
    Tennessee (+15.5, ML + ) at Auburn, 30-24
    Michigan State (+13.5, ML +400) at Penn State, 21-17
    Liberty (+11, ML +330) vs. Troy, 22-16
    Charlotte (+9.5, ML +300) vs. Western Kentucky, 40-14
    Kansas State (+8.5, ML + ) vs. Oklahoma State, 31-12

    The largest favorites to cover
    Alabama (-28) vs. Missouri, 39-10
    South Alabama (-27.5) vs. Alabama State, 45-7
    Utah State (-27) vs. UNLV, 59-28
    Maryland (-24) vs. Rutgers, 34-7

    Top 25 Notes

    -- It was a topsy-turvy day in the Top 25 on Saturday, particularly the Top 10. Georgia was the biggest domino to fall, as they were routed at LSU by a 36-16 score. West Virginia also fumbled away their chance, and subsequently the Big 12's chance, of likely seeing a spot in the four-team playoff at season's end with their ugly 30-14 setback at Iowa State. The Pac-12 is also officially out of the playoff mix after Washington slipped up in overtime at Oregon, 30-27. Penn State joined those teams in the Loser Lounge with 21-17 setback at home against Michigan State, their second consecutive loss in Happy Valley.

    -- Colorado headed to USC without a loss, but they came home with their first L and a non-cover, as the Trojans finally figured out a way to win a big game at home. The Trojans were helped out by the fact Heisman hopeful Laviska Shenault Jr. (foot) suffered an injury in the game. The Buffaloes will try to rebound next week, but a trip to Washington is not what the doctor ordered to cure their ills.

    -- If you hear anyone tell you that 'The U' is back, point them to the box score of today's Miami (Fla.)-Virginia game. The Hurricanes stumbled in Charlottesville, a play the 1980's version of the Hurricanes would never have dreamt of losing. Miami has now failed to cover in back-to-back games for the first time this season, and they probably should've lost last week against rival Florida State if the Seminoles could get out of their own way.

    Big Five Conference Report (ACC, Big 10, Big 12, Pac-12, SEC)

    -- Duke took advantage of several miscues in cooling off Georgia Tech, 28-14. The Blue Devils stopped a two-game non-cover streak while hitting the 'under' in consecutive games for the first time this season. ... Pittsburgh nearly added Notre Dame to the upset list, but the Irish were able to stave off the rival Panthers by a 19-14 score in South Bend. However, Pitt easily covered a 22-point number, just their second cover in six tries this season. ... Virginia Tech stunned North Carolina by a 22-19 score, so hopefully you didn't have the Tar Heels on the moneyline (see bad beats below).

    -- Speaking of bad beats, Northwestern nearly gave Nebraska its first victory of the season. Instead, the Wildcats were able to erase a 14-point late deficit to force overtime. The Cornhuskers turned it over in OT, and the Wildcats picked up the game-winning field for a push at some shops. ... Michigan routed Wisconsin 38-13 in the Big House, uninviting the Badgers to the playoff party, if they weren't already out. The Wolverines improved to 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS in five games at home this season, and the 'over' has hit in four in a row in Ann Arbor.

    -- Texas wasn't particularly impressive at home, but they managed to squeak by Baylor by a 23-17 count in Austin. The Bears entered the game 1-4-1 ATS in their first six games, and the 'under' was just their second after a 5-1 'over' start. ... The upsets actually started Thursday night in Fort Worth, as Texas Tech earned a much-needed win, 17-14, over Texas Christian. After getting routed by Ole Miss in the opener the Red Raiders have posted a 4-1 ATS mark in the past five outings.

    -- UCLA provided Chip Kelly with his first victory since returning to college football, a resounding 37-7 win at California that even QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson's dad won't have a problem with. In Friday's action, Utah had no hangover following their win in Palo Alto last week as they crushed Arizona by a 42-10 count. The Utes have posted covers in consecutive games for the first time this season after a 1-3 ATS start.

    -- If you had Arkansas on the mneyline against Mississippi, condolences. If you had the 'under' (66.5) in this game, the same. It was a double bad beat late. See below. ... Texas A&M held on for the 26-23 win at South Carolina, and they were able to nail down the cover, too, at least at most shops. The Aggies are 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS through seven contests heading into a bye week.

    Bad Beats

    -- If you had Nebraska on the moneyline (+125), it was an ugly finish. The Cornhuskers were leading 28-14 with 13:40 to go, and 31-21 with 5:41 remaining in regulation. However, the Wildcats scored a touchdown with :12 remaining in regulation to force overtime. The Huskers were picked off on the first possession of the extra session, and Northwestern booted the game-winning field on their end of OT. The late touchdown also sunk those holding 'under' (59) tickets.

    -- 'Under' (57) bettors were feeling pretty good about themselves in the Marshall-Old Dominion game, as there were just 31 points on the board heading to the fourth quarter. Marshall scored a TD with 7:08 to go to make it 28-13, but 17 points were still needed for a losing ticket. The teams exchanged touchdowns over the next 4:03, making it Herd 35-20 with 3:05 to go. Herd RB Tyler King ripped off the 65-yard touchdown to make it 35-20, and he added a 46-yard scoring run with 1:53 to go in regulation, killing 'under' bettors in the process.

    -- It's always the 'under' (47.5) bets, isn't it? Wisconsin-Michigan had a total of 28 points on the board heading to the fourth quarter. Michigan took a 31-7 lead with 9:55 left in regulation, and you knew what was coming next if you liked the under. Michigan scored with 5:16 to go, making it 38-7 and then the Badgers ruined the day with a meaningless touchdown at 3:47 to go, making it 38-13.

    -- If you had the nerve to take Arkansas on the moneyline, it was an awful beating at the end of regulation. The Hogs were up by as many as 17 at one point, and by nine with 2:33 to go at 33-24 in the third quarter. With 57 points on the board with 4:15 to play, an 'under' (66.5) bet was surely safe, right? Well, Arkansas allowed a touchdown but still lead 33-31. Moneyline - good. Under - good. However, Ole Miss ruined the day for everyone with 5-yard touchdown with just :42 remaining. Awful.

    Comment


    • #3
      4th Quarter Covers - Week 7
      Joe Nelson

      Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the seventh big college football weekend in mid-October.

      Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows.

      Boston College (-11½) 38, Louisville 20:
      The Eagles took an early 14-0 lead in this game but found themselves down 20-14 with halftime approaching before getting a blocked punt for a touchdown. A 24-20 halftime lead for Boston College held through a scoreless third quarter with Boston College stuffed going for it on 4th down from the 5-yard-line late in the quarter. Early in the fourth the Eagles put together a 93-yard touchdown drive to lead by 11, not quite enough on a spread that dropped steadily after opening as high as -15. Louisville would manage seven net yards on its final three possessions and with just over three minutes remaining Boston College added another touchdown for the 18-point final margin and the home favorite cover.

      Eastern Michigan (+2½) 28, Toledo 26:
      Eastern Michigan stormed out to a 21-0 lead in this game in the first 10 minutes and led 28-3 at halftime. Eagles games seem to often end with close results and late drama and this game was no exception. Toledo rallied in the fourth quarter to get within eight points with six minutes to go and then was handed great field position as the Eagles opted to go for it on 4th-and-1 on their own side of the 50 with about two minutes to go. Toledo got the stop and wound up scoring with 20 seconds to go with the two-point conversion try to force overtime. A throw to the back of the end zone was deflected as Eastern Michigan held on for the minor upset.

      Ball State (+2) 24, Central Michigan 23:
      Central Michigan led 20-7 at halftime and both teams missed in scoring opportunities in the third quarter with a missed field goal for Ball State and Central Michigan was stopped going for it on 4th-and-1 from the 27-yard-line rather than attempting a long but makeable field goal. That decision proved costly as the Cardinals scored on the next possession to climb within six points early in the fourth quarter and took a 21-20 lead after scoring again on its next possession. Central Michigan managed a 47-yard field goal with about four minutes remaining to go back in front but Ball State responded in kind in the final minute for the one-point road win.

      Buffalo (-11) 24, Akron 6:
      The Bulls led by four well into the third quarter but completed an 80-yard touchdown drive with about 17 minutes to go in the game to lead by 11, right even with the closing spread, with numbers from -10½ to -12 possible. For Akron Kato Nelson was intercepted at the Buffalo 25-yard-line and the Bulls added another touchdown early in the fourth quarter to lead by 18 and the Zips didn’t provide a credible threat after that.

      Florida International (-1) 24, Middle Tennessee State 21:
      These Conference USA foes were tied at halftime but a strong punt return helped put the Blue Raiders in front in the third quarter playing behind backup quarterback Asher O’Hara. Florida International missed a field goal on its next possession but added three early in the fourth quarter to trail by five. Later in the fourth the Panthers put together an 84-yard touchdown drive that included three 3rd down conversions, going in front with about four minutes remaining. Up by one, the two-point conversion was a huge play relative to the spread that was at -2 or -2½ much of the week. The Panthers were able to convert for a three-point lead but faced a late threat from the Blue Raiders. Middle Tennessee State picked up 28 yards on a 4th-and-10 play just across midfield to reach the FIU 15-yard-line but on 3rd-and-long O’Hara was intercepted in the end zone.

      Utah State (-27½) 59, Unlv 28:
      The Aggies dominated this game with a 42-7 edge at the half but relative to the spread things got interesting late as the margin was trimmed to 24 points with about three minutes remaining after the Rebels connected for a 79-yard touchdown. With no reason to add points Utah State passed on 2nd down with a 24-point lead and just over two minutes remaining and then on 3rd-and-1 Henry Colombi broke through for a 37-yard touchdown to snag the clear home favorite cover for Utah State on a spread that jumped upwards from an opener of -23½.

      Oregon (+3½) 30, Washington 27:
      The Huskies led much of the first half but Oregon continued to answer and these teams wound up locked at 17-17 at the break and then 24-24 through three quarters. Early in the fourth quarter the Ducks missed a 42-yard field goal but Washington failed to take advantage, fumbling in Oregon territory on a 4th-and-short attempt. Oregon shifted the field position but needed to punt with about five minutes remaining and Washington put together a great late drive that included a 4th down conversion. As time expires Peyton Henry missed a 37-yard field goal after being iced as overtime was needed. The Huskies picked up 19 yards on the first play of overtime but stalled and settled for a 22-yard kick. The Ducks converted a big 3rd-and-11 in overtime and then C.J. Verdell rushed for the game-winning touchdown on a 3rd down.

      Northern Illinois (-5½) 24, Ohio 21:
      The Bobcats had a 21-9 lead on the road at the start of the fourth quarter but Northern Illinois delivered a comeback with two touchdowns including a two-point conversion to take a three-point lead with about five minutes remaining with Ohio fumbling on its possession in-between the scoring drives for the Huskies. The Bobcats had to punt after losing yardage and Northern Illinois broke a 32-yard run to reach the red zone late in the game. Northern Illinois would face 3rd-and-1 from the Ohio 10-yard-line with a potential field goal ahead had the Huskies been stopped. Tre Harbison got the yardage and the Huskies took on a knee on the doorstep to wind up just short of the spread.

      Temple (-6½) 24, Navy 17:
      This game featured a big early week line move from -4½ up to -7 before some outlets settled back at -6½ Saturday morning. It didn’t seem likely to matter as the home underdog Midshipmen led by 10 into the third quarter. Temple hit a field goal to climb back within seven and then tied the game before the start of the fourth quarter. Navy made an aggressive call going for it on 4th-and-8 from the Temple 38 and came up with an incomplete pass and Temple took a shot and hit on the very next play with a 62-yard touchdown pass to suddenly lead by seven. The Owls were poised to add more points in the final minutes but Anthony Russo was intercepted in the end zone with about four minutes remaining to leave the final margin at 7 for a push for many though those on the Owls early or late snuck out a win.

      North Texas (-7) 30, Southern Miss 7:
      The Mean Green reached a favorite line as high as -9½ before this line fell dramatically Saturday. It was a three-point game until the final minute of the third quarter as North Texas went up by just nine with the extra-point after that touchdown blocked. North Texas would pull away with two fourth quarter touchdowns to mask a fairly even statistical game as the Golden Eagles had 367 yards despite only seven points.

      Northwestern (-3) 34, Nebraska 31:
      The winless Cornhuskers attracted a lot of attention this week opening as a nine-point underdog before closing at just +3. Nebraska looked like the winning side with a 28-14 edge early in the fourth quarter but the Wildcats struck quickly with a 61-yard touchdown pass and stayed in the game holding the Huskers to a field goal following an interception. The Wildcats got back within one score with a field goal following a 15-play drive that featured a pair of 4th down conversions. Northwestern held on defense but Nebraska special teams came through with a punt to the one-yard line. In the final two minutes Northwestern delivered the 99-yard touchdown drive, tying the game with 12 seconds left to force overtime. Going first Nebraska faced 4th-and-1 from the 16 and opted to go for it but got a bad snap as Adrian Martinez had to heave a pass to the end zone amidst pressure, ultimately intercepted. Northwestern conservatively picked up a few yards and kicked the winning field goal for a closing line push though many still collected on Nebraska tickets.

      Alabama (-28) 39, Missouri 10:
      The top ranked Tide led just 13-10 through the first quarter as it looked like Missouri might provide a solid test. Alabama pushed its advantage to 30-10 by halftime and added a safety as the third quarter ended. That meant just a 22-point edge however but it didn’t take long for Alabama to slip past the spread with a touchdown run early in the fourth to lead by 29. Missouri reached the Alabama 7-yard-line on its next possession but failed going for it on 4th down as Alabama broke its three-game ATS losing streak.

      Florida (-9½) 37, Vanderbilt 27:
      This spread sat around -7 most of the week before climbing to as high as 10 on Saturday and closing at -9½. Vanderbilt took a 21-3 lead early as the spread differences didn’t appear likely to matter. Florida would score 10 points in the final three minutes before halftime and was within one through three quarters. The Gators broke a 48 yard run to lead 27-21 early in the fourth quarter but Vanderbilt added a field goal after a Florida fumble. The Gators maintained control with a steady touchdown drive to lead by 10 with eight minutes to go. Vanderbilt added a long field goal to briefly get back within seven but Florida hit a field goal with 37 seconds remaining to earn the favorite cover with the 10-point win.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAF
        Long Sheet


        Thursday, October 18

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        GEORGIA ST (2 - 4) at ARKANSAS ST (3 - 3) - 10/18/2018, 7:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        GEORGIA ST is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.
        GEORGIA ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
        GEORGIA ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
        ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 straight up against GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        STANFORD (4 - 2) at ARIZONA ST (3 - 3) - 10/18/2018, 9:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        ARIZONA ST is 93-66 ATS (+20.4 Units) in home games since 1992.
        ARIZONA ST is 93-66 ATS (+20.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
        ARIZONA ST is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
        ARIZONA ST is 93-66 ATS (+20.4 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
        ARIZONA ST is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.
        ARIZONA ST is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        ARIZONA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
        STANFORD is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        Friday, October 19

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        COLORADO ST (3 - 4) at BOISE ST (4 - 2) - 10/19/2018, 9:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        BOISE ST is 143-105 ATS (+27.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
        BOISE ST is 143-105 ATS (+27.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
        BOISE ST is 89-61 ATS (+21.9 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
        BOISE ST is 80-50 ATS (+25.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
        BOISE ST is 56-33 ATS (+19.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
        COLORADO ST is 64-43 ATS (+16.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
        BOISE ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
        BOISE ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        BOISE ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        BOISE ST is 1-1 against the spread versus COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
        BOISE ST is 2-0 straight up against COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        AIR FORCE (2 - 4) at UNLV (2 - 4) - 10/19/2018, 10:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        UNLV is 1-0 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
        AIR FORCE is 1-0 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        Saturday, October 20

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        VANDERBILT (3 - 4) at KENTUCKY (5 - 1) - 10/20/2018, 7:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        VANDERBILT is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        VANDERBILT is 38-59 ATS (-26.9 Units) in October games since 1992.
        VANDERBILT is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.
        VANDERBILT is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
        KENTUCKY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        KENTUCKY is 2-0 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
        KENTUCKY is 2-0 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        CINCINNATI (6 - 0) at TEMPLE (4 - 3) - 10/20/2018, 12:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        TEMPLE is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        TEMPLE is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        TEMPLE is 17-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
        TEMPLE is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
        TEMPLE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
        TEMPLE is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
        TEMPLE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
        TEMPLE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
        TEMPLE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
        TEMPLE is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        TEMPLE is 2-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
        TEMPLE is 2-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        UCF (6 - 0) at E CAROLINA (2 - 4) - 10/20/2018, 7:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        UCF is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
        E CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points over the last 3 seasons.
        E CAROLINA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        E CAROLINA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        E CAROLINA is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
        E CAROLINA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
        E CAROLINA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
        E CAROLINA is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
        E CAROLINA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
        E CAROLINA is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        UCF is 2-0 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
        UCF is 2-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        N CAROLINA (1 - 4) at SYRACUSE (4 - 2) - 10/20/2018, 12:20 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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        MARYLAND (4 - 2) at IOWA (5 - 1) - 10/20/2018, 12:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MARYLAND is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
        MARYLAND is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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        VIRGINIA (4 - 2) at DUKE (5 - 1) - 10/20/2018, 12:30 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        VIRGINIA is 2-0 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
        VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        FLA ATLANTIC (3 - 3) at MARSHALL (4 - 2) - 10/20/2018, 2:30 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        MARSHALL is 1-1 against the spread versus FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
        MARSHALL is 1-1 straight up against FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        NORTHWESTERN (3 - 3) at RUTGERS (1 - 6) - 10/20/2018, 12:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        NORTHWESTERN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
        NORTHWESTERN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        NORTHWESTERN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        NORTHWESTERN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
        NORTHWESTERN is 58-36 ATS (+18.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
        NORTHWESTERN is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
        NORTHWESTERN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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        COASTAL CAROLINA (3 - 3) at MASSACHUSETTS (2 - 5) - 10/20/2018, 3:30 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        COASTAL CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus MASSACHUSETTS over the last 3 seasons
        COASTAL CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against MASSACHUSETTS over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        MIAMI OHIO (3 - 4) at ARMY (4 - 2) - 10/20/2018, 12:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MIAMI OHIO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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        MICHIGAN (6 - 1) at MICHIGAN ST (4 - 2) - 10/20/2018, 12:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MICHIGAN is 29-48 ATS (-23.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
        MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        OHIO ST (7 - 0) at PURDUE (3 - 3) - 10/20/2018, 7:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        OHIO ST is 187-143 ATS (+29.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
        OHIO ST is 187-143 ATS (+29.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
        OHIO ST is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.
        OHIO ST is 74-49 ATS (+20.1 Units) in road games since 1992.
        OHIO ST is 74-49 ATS (+20.1 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
        OHIO ST is 169-129 ATS (+27.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
        OHIO ST is 69-44 ATS (+20.6 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
        OHIO ST is 119-86 ATS (+24.4 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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        ALABAMA (7 - 0) at TENNESSEE (3 - 3) - 10/20/2018, 3:30 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        ALABAMA is 2-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
        ALABAMA is 2-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        E MICHIGAN (3 - 4) at BALL ST (3 - 4) - 10/20/2018, 3:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        E MICHIGAN is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        E MICHIGAN is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        E MICHIGAN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
        E MICHIGAN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        E MICHIGAN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
        E MICHIGAN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
        E MICHIGAN is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
        E MICHIGAN is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
        E MICHIGAN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games in October games over the last 3 seasons.
        E MICHIGAN is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        E MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
        E MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        BUFFALO (6 - 1) at TOLEDO (3 - 3) - 10/20/2018, 12:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        TOLEDO is 85-60 ATS (+19.0 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
        TOLEDO is 51-30 ATS (+18.0 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
        TOLEDO is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        AKRON (2 - 3) at KENT ST (1 - 6) - 10/20/2018, 3:30 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        KENT ST is 2-0 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
        AKRON is 2-0 straight up against KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        PENN ST (4 - 2) at INDIANA (4 - 3) - 10/20/2018, 3:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        PENN ST is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
        PENN ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        PENN ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        PENN ST is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
        INDIANA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        INDIANA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        INDIANA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
        INDIANA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        INDIANA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
        INDIANA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
        INDIANA is 54-78 ATS (-31.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        PENN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
        PENN ST is 2-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ILLINOIS (3 - 3) at WISCONSIN (4 - 2) - 10/20/2018, 12:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        ILLINOIS is 130-169 ATS (-55.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
        ILLINOIS is 130-169 ATS (-55.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
        ILLINOIS is 88-130 ATS (-55.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        WISCONSIN is 1-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
        WISCONSIN is 2-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        HOUSTON (5 - 1) at NAVY (2 - 4) - 10/20/2018, 3:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        NAVY is 168-129 ATS (+26.1 Units) in all games since 1992.
        NAVY is 168-129 ATS (+26.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
        NAVY is 95-58 ATS (+31.2 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
        NAVY is 46-27 ATS (+16.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
        NAVY is 152-116 ATS (+24.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
        NAVY is 107-74 ATS (+25.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
        NAVY is 59-39 ATS (+16.1 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        NAVY is 1-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
        NAVY is 1-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        UTEP (0 - 6) at LOUISIANA TECH (4 - 2) - 10/20/2018, 3:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        UTEP is 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.
        LOUISIANA TECH is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        LOUISIANA TECH is 1-1 against the spread versus UTEP over the last 3 seasons
        LOUISIANA TECH is 2-0 straight up against UTEP over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        RICE (1 - 6) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (4 - 2) - 10/20/2018, 7:30 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-0 against the spread versus RICE over the last 3 seasons
        FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-0 straight up against RICE over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        LA LAFAYETTE (3 - 3) at APPALACHIAN ST (4 - 1) - 10/20/2018, 3:30 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        APPALACHIAN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
        APPALACHIAN ST is 2-0 straight up against LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        TULSA (1 - 5) at ARKANSAS (1 - 6) - 10/20/2018, 12:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        GA SOUTHERN (5 - 1) at NEW MEXICO ST (2 - 5) - 10/20/2018, 4:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        NEW MEXICO ST is 93-127 ATS (-46.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        NEW MEXICO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
        NEW MEXICO ST is 1-1 straight up against GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        UTAH ST (5 - 1) at WYOMING (2 - 5) - 10/20/2018, 2:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        WYOMING is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
        UTAH ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
        UTAH ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all lined games this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        WYOMING is 2-0 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
        WYOMING is 2-0 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        FRESNO ST (5 - 1) at NEW MEXICO (3 - 3) - 10/20/2018, 7:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        FRESNO ST is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        FRESNO ST is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        FRESNO ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
        FRESNO ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        FRESNO ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        FRESNO ST is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
        FRESNO ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
        FRESNO ST is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
        FRESNO ST is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
        FRESNO ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        FRESNO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
        FRESNO ST is 1-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        W MICHIGAN (5 - 2) at C MICHIGAN (1 - 6) - 10/20/2018, 3:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        W MICHIGAN is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
        C MICHIGAN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in October games over the last 3 seasons.
        C MICHIGAN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        C MICHIGAN is 1-1 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
        C MICHIGAN is 1-1 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ARIZONA (3 - 4) at UCLA (1 - 5) - 10/20/2018, 10:30 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        UCLA is 1-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
        UCLA is 1-1 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        OREGON (5 - 1) at WASHINGTON ST (5 - 1) - 10/20/2018, 7:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        OREGON is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
        WASHINGTON ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
        WASHINGTON ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
        OREGON is 46-23 ATS (+20.7 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
        OREGON is 60-38 ATS (+18.2 Units) in October games since 1992.
        OREGON is 67-43 ATS (+19.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        WASHINGTON ST is 2-0 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
        WASHINGTON ST is 2-0 straight up against OREGON over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        COLORADO (5 - 1) at WASHINGTON (5 - 2) - 10/20/2018, 3:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        COLORADO is 118-151 ATS (-48.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
        COLORADO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
        COLORADO is 38-69 ATS (-37.9 Units) in October games since 1992.
        COLORADO is 44-75 ATS (-38.5 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        WASHINGTON is 2-0 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
        WASHINGTON is 2-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        CALIFORNIA (3 - 3) at OREGON ST (1 - 5) - 10/20/2018, 4:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        OREGON ST is 1-1 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
        OREGON ST is 1-1 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        WAKE FOREST (3 - 3) at FLORIDA ST (3 - 3) - 10/20/2018, 3:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        WAKE FOREST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games after a bye week since 1992.
        FLORIDA ST is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        WAKE FOREST is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
        FLORIDA ST is 2-0 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        BOWLING GREEN (1 - 6) at OHIO U (3 - 3) - 10/20/2018, 2:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        BOWLING GREEN is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        BOWLING GREEN is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        BOWLING GREEN is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
        BOWLING GREEN is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
        BOWLING GREEN is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
        BOWLING GREEN is 52-30 ATS (+19.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        OHIO U is 1-1 against the spread versus BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
        OHIO U is 2-0 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        TEXAS ST (1 - 5) at LA MONROE (3 - 4) - 10/20/2018, 7:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        LA MONROE is 1-1 against the spread versus TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
        LA MONROE is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        MINNESOTA (3 - 3) at NEBRASKA (0 - 6) - 10/20/2018, 3:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        NEBRASKA is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
        NEBRASKA is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        NEBRASKA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        NEBRASKA is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
        NEBRASKA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
        NEBRASKA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        MINNESOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
        NEBRASKA is 1-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        CONNECTICUT (1 - 5) at S FLORIDA (6 - 0) - 10/20/2018, 7:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        CONNECTICUT is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        CONNECTICUT is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        CONNECTICUT is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) in road games after playing a conference game since 1992.
        CONNECTICUT is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        CONNECTICUT is 2-0 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
        S FLORIDA is 2-0 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        OKLAHOMA (5 - 1) at TCU (3 - 3) - 10/20/2018, 12:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        TCU is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        TCU is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        TCU is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
        TCU is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        TCU is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
        TCU is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        OKLAHOMA is 3-0 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
        OKLAHOMA is 3-0 straight up against TCU over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        NORTH TEXAS (6 - 1) at UAB (5 - 1) - 10/20/2018, 7:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        UAB is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
        UAB is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        UAB is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        UAB is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
        UAB is 29-47 ATS (-22.7 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        UAB is 1-0 against the spread versus NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
        NORTH TEXAS is 1-0 straight up against UAB over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        SMU (2 - 4) at TULANE (2 - 4) - 10/20/2018, 3:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        SMU is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points since 1992.
        SMU is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
        TULANE is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
        TULANE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
        TULANE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        TULANE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        TULANE is 1-1 against the spread versus SMU over the last 3 seasons
        SMU is 2-0 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        NC STATE (5 - 0) at CLEMSON (6 - 0) - 10/20/2018, 3:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        NC STATE is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
        NC STATE is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) after a bye week since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        NC STATE is 1-0 against the spread versus CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
        CLEMSON is 2-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        KANSAS (2 - 4) at TEXAS TECH (4 - 2) - 10/20/2018, 3:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        KANSAS is 128-165 ATS (-53.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
        KANSAS is 128-165 ATS (-53.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
        KANSAS is 79-116 ATS (-48.6 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
        KANSAS is 48-82 ATS (-42.2 Units) in road games since 1992.
        KANSAS is 48-82 ATS (-42.2 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
        KANSAS is 90-122 ATS (-44.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
        KANSAS is 120-156 ATS (-51.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
        KANSAS is 82-118 ATS (-47.8 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
        KANSAS is 55-88 ATS (-41.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
        KANSAS is 18-36 ATS (-21.6 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
        KANSAS is 56-84 ATS (-36.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
        TEXAS TECH is 84-56 ATS (+22.4 Units) in home games since 1992.
        TEXAS TECH is 84-56 ATS (+22.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
        TEXAS TECH is 81-54 ATS (+21.6 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
        TEXAS TECH is 125-88 ATS (+28.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        TEXAS TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
        TEXAS TECH is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        UTSA (3 - 4) at SOUTHERN MISS (2 - 3) - 10/20/2018, 7:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        UTSA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        UTSA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        UTSA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        UTSA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
        UTSA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
        UTSA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        SOUTHERN MISS is 1-1 against the spread versus UTSA over the last 3 seasons
        SOUTHERN MISS is 1-1 straight up against UTSA over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        CHARLOTTE (3 - 3) at MIDDLE TENN ST (3 - 3) - 10/20/2018, 3:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
        MIDDLE TENN ST is 2-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        MEMPHIS (4 - 3) at MISSOURI (3 - 3) - 10/20/2018, 4:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        AUBURN (4 - 3) at OLE MISS (5 - 2) - 10/20/2018, 12:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        OLE MISS is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        AUBURN is 1-0 against the spread versus OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
        AUBURN is 2-0 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        OLD DOMINION (1 - 6) at W KENTUCKY (1 - 5) - 10/20/2018, 7:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        W KENTUCKY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 2 seasons.
        W KENTUCKY is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        W KENTUCKY is 1-1 against the spread versus OLD DOMINION over the last 3 seasons
        W KENTUCKY is 2-0 straight up against OLD DOMINION over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        MISSISSIPPI ST (4 - 2) at LSU (6 - 1) - 10/20/2018, 7:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        MISSISSIPPI ST is 2-0 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons
        LSU is 1-1 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        USC (4 - 2) at UTAH (4 - 2) - 10/20/2018, 8:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        USC is 33-54 ATS (-26.4 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        UTAH is 2-0 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
        UTAH is 1-1 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        SAN JOSE ST (0 - 6) at SAN DIEGO ST (5 - 1) - 10/20/2018, 10:30 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        SAN DIEGO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
        SAN DIEGO ST is 2-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        NEVADA (3 - 4) at HAWAII (6 - 2) - 10/20/2018, 11:59 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        HAWAII is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        HAWAII is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        HAWAII is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
        HAWAII is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
        HAWAII is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        HAWAII is 1-1 against the spread versus NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
        HAWAII is 1-1 straight up against NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-16-2018, 01:09 AM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAF

          Week 8


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Thursday, October 18

          Georgia State @ Arkansas State
          Georgia State
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia State's last 6 games on the road
          Georgia State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road

          Arkansas State
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arkansas State's last 5 games
          Arkansas State is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games at home

          Stanford @ Arizona State
          Stanford
          Stanford is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona State
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Stanford's last 6 games when playing Arizona State

          Arizona State
          Arizona State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
          Arizona State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home


          Friday, October 19

          Colorado State @ Boise State
          Colorado State
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado State's last 6 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado State's last 5 games on the road

          Boise State
          Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado State
          Boise State is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home

          Air Force @ Nevada-Las Vegas
          Air Force
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Air Force's last 5 games
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Air Force's last 5 games when playing on the road against Nevada-Las Vegas

          Nevada-Las Vegas
          Nevada-Las Vegas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Air Force
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 5 games when playing at home against Air Force


          Saturday, October 20

          Tulsa @ Arkansas
          Tulsa
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tulsa's last 5 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tulsa's last 5 games on the road

          Arkansas
          Arkansas is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arkansas's last 6 games

          Auburn @ Mississippi
          Auburn
          The total has gone OVER in 8 of Auburn's last 9 games when playing on the road against Mississippi
          Auburn is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Mississippi
          Mississippi

          The total has gone OVER in 8 of Mississippi's last 9 games when playing at home against Auburn
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of Mississippi's last 9 games when playing Auburn

          Oklahoma @ Texas Christian
          Oklahoma
          Oklahoma is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games on the road
          Oklahoma is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games

          Texas Christian
          Texas Christian is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas Christian's last 5 games

          Miami-OH @ Army
          Miami-OH
          Miami-OH is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
          Miami-OH is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games on the road

          Army
          Army is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
          Army is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games

          Illinois @ Wisconsin
          Illinois
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Illinois's last 8 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Illinois's last 6 games

          Wisconsin
          Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Illinois
          Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Illinois

          Maryland @ Iowa
          Maryland
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of Maryland's last 9 games on the road
          Maryland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

          Iowa
          Iowa is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
          Iowa is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

          Michigan @ Michigan State
          Michigan
          Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Michigan's last 5 games

          Michigan State
          Michigan State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Michigan
          Michigan State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Michigan

          Northwestern @ Rutgers
          Northwestern
          Northwestern is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
          Northwestern is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road

          Rutgers
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Rutgers's last 6 games at home
          Rutgers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

          Cincinnati @ Temple
          Cincinnati
          Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games on the road

          Temple
          Temple is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
          Temple is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

          Buffalo @ Toledo

          Buffalo
          Buffalo is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
          Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

          Toledo
          Toledo is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toledo's last 5 games

          North Carolina @ Syracuse
          North Carolina
          North Carolina is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Carolina's last 6 games on the road

          Syracuse
          The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Syracuse's last 13 games at home
          Syracuse is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

          Virginia @ Duke
          Virginia
          Virginia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Virginia's last 13 games when playing Duke

          Duke
          Duke is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Duke's last 5 games at home

          Bowling Green @ Ohio
          Bowling Green
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Bowling Green's last 5 games
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Bowling Green's last 5 games on the road

          Ohio
          Ohio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ohio's last 6 games when playing at home against Bowling Green

          Idaho State @ Liberty
          Idaho State
          Idaho State is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games
          Idaho State is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games on the road

          Liberty
          Liberty is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games
          Liberty is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games

          Florida Atlantic @ Marshall
          Florida Atlantic
          Florida Atlantic is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida Atlantic's last 5 games when playing Marshall

          Marshall
          Marshall is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida Atlantic
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Marshall's last 5 games when playing Florida Atlantic

          Utah State @ Wyoming
          Utah State
          Utah State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
          Utah State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

          Wyoming
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of Wyoming's last 9 games when playing Utah State
          The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Wyoming's last 14 games

          Charlotte @ Middle Tennessee
          Charlotte
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 7 games on the road

          Middle Tennessee
          Middle Tennessee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
          Middle Tennessee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

          Eastern Michigan @ Ball State
          Eastern Michigan
          The total has gone OVER in 8 of Eastern Michigan's last 9 games when playing Ball State
          Eastern Michigan is 15-2 ATS in its last 17 games on the road

          Ball State
          The total has gone OVER in 8 of Ball State's last 9 games when playing Eastern Michigan
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ball State's last 6 games

          Western Michigan @ Central Michigan
          Western Michigan
          Western Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          Western Michigan is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Central Michigan

          Central Michigan
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Central Michigan's last 7 games when playing Western Michigan
          Central Michigan is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games

          Alabama @ Tennessee
          Alabama
          Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tennessee

          Tennessee
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing Alabama
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing at home against Alabama

          Colorado @ Washington
          Colorado
          Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games

          Washington
          Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
          Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Colorado

          Kansas @ Texas Tech
          Kansas
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas Tech
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas's last 7 games on the road

          Texas Tech
          Texas Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas
          Texas Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas

          North Carolina State @ Clemson
          North Carolina State
          North Carolina State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          North Carolina State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Clemson

          Clemson
          Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing North Carolina State
          Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against North Carolina State

          Wake Forest @ Florida State
          Wake Forest
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wake Forest's last 5 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wake Forest's last 6 games when playing on the road against Florida State

          Florida State
          Florida State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Wake Forest
          Florida State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

          Coastal Carolina @ Massachusetts
          Coastal Carolina
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of Coastal Carolina's last 9 games on the road
          Coastal Carolina is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road

          Massachusetts
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of Massachusetts's last 8 games
          Massachusetts is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

          Penn State @ Indiana
          Penn State
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Penn State's last 5 games on the road
          Penn State is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games when playing Indiana

          Indiana
          Indiana is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Penn State
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing at home against Penn State

          Minnesota @ Nebraska
          Minnesota
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Nebraska
          Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

          Nebraska
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nebraska's last 5 games
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nebraska's last 5 games when playing Minnesota

          Texas El Paso @ Louisiana Tech
          Texas El Paso
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas El Paso's last 7 games when playing Louisiana Tech
          Texas El Paso is 3-7-2 ATS in its last 12 games on the road

          Louisiana Tech
          Louisiana Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas El Paso
          Louisiana Tech is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

          Houston @ Navy
          Houston
          Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Houston's last 24 games

          Navy
          Navy is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home
          Navy is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games

          Southern Methodist @ Tulane
          Southern Methodist
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern Methodist's last 5 games when playing Tulane
          Southern Methodist is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tulane

          Tulane
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tulane's last 5 games when playing Southern Methodist
          Tulane is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home

          Akron @ Kent State
          Akron
          Akron is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kent State
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Akron's last 8 games when playing Kent State

          Kent State
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kent State's last 8 games when playing Akron
          Kent State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Akron

          Louisiana-Lafayette @ Appalachian State
          Louisiana-Lafayette
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 5 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 5 games

          Appalachian State
          Appalachian State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
          Appalachian State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

          Memphis @ Missouri
          Memphis
          Memphis is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 6 games

          Missouri
          Missouri is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Missouri's last 5 games

          California @ Oregon State
          California
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of California's last 6 games when playing Oregon State
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of California's last 6 games on the road

          Oregon State
          The total has gone OVER in 9 of Oregon State's last 10 games
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oregon State's last 6 games when playing California

          Georgia Southern @ New Mexico State
          Georgia Southern
          Georgia Southern is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
          Georgia Southern is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

          New Mexico State
          The total has gone UNDER in 10 of New Mexico State's last 12 games at home
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico State's last 6 games

          Mississippi State @ Louisiana State
          Mississippi State
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi State's last 6 games on the road
          Mississippi State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Louisiana State

          Louisiana State
          Louisiana State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
          Louisiana State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Mississippi State

          Texas-San Antonio @ Southern Miss
          Texas-San Antonio
          The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Texas-San Antonio's last 11 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Texas-San Antonio's last 14 games

          Southern Miss
          Southern Miss is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
          Southern Miss is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

          Central Florida @ East Carolina
          Central Florida
          Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road

          East Carolina
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of East Carolina's last 7 games when playing Central Florida
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of East Carolina's last 5 games when playing at home against Central Florida

          Connecticut @ South Florida
          Connecticut
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games when playing on the road against South Florida
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Connecticut's last 8 games when playing South Florida

          South Florida
          South Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Connecticut
          South Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

          Texas State @ Louisiana-Monroe
          Texas State
          The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Texas State's last 11 games on the road
          Texas State is 7-13-1 ATS in its last 21 games on the road

          Louisiana-Monroe
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 6 games
          Louisiana-Monroe is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

          Vanderbilt @ Kentucky
          Vanderbilt
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vanderbilt's last 6 games when playing Kentucky
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vanderbilt's last 7 games

          Kentucky
          Kentucky is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kentucky's last 6 games when playing Vanderbilt

          Oregon @ Washington State
          Oregon
          Oregon is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Oregon's last 10 games on the road

          Washington State
          Washington State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
          Washington State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oregon

          Rice @ Florida International
          Rice
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Rice's last 5 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Rice's last 7 games

          Florida International
          Florida International is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
          Florida International is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

          Ohio State @ Purdue
          Ohio State
          Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          Ohio State is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games on the road

          Purdue
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Purdue's last 6 games when playing at home against Ohio State
          Purdue is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

          North Texas @ Alabama-Birmingham
          North Texas
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Texas's last 5 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Texas's last 5 games

          Alabama-Birmingham
          Alabama-Birmingham is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
          Alabama-Birmingham is 9-0-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home

          Old Dominion @ Western Kentucky
          Old Dominion
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Old Dominion's last 5 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Old Dominion's last 5 games

          Western Kentucky
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Western Kentucky's last 6 games at home
          Western Kentucky is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home

          Fresno State @ New Mexico
          Fresno State
          Fresno State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Mexico
          Fresno State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Mexico

          New Mexico
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Mexico's last 5 games
          New Mexico is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games

          Southern California @ Utah
          Southern California
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern California's last 5 games on the road
          Southern California is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games

          Utah
          Utah is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
          Utah is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home

          Arizona @ California-Los Angeles
          Arizona
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games on the road

          California-Los Angeles
          California-Los Angeles is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Arizona
          California-Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona

          San Jose State @ San Diego State
          San Jose State
          San Jose State is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
          San Jose State is 5-11-1 ATS in its last 17 games

          San Diego State
          San Diego State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Jose State
          San Diego State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose State

          Nevada @ Hawaii
          Nevada
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nevada's last 5 games when playing Hawaii
          Nevada is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Hawaii

          Hawaii
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hawaii's last 5 games when playing Nevada
          Hawaii is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

          Troy @ South Alabama
          Troy
          Troy is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
          Troy is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road

          South Alabama
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of South Alabama's last 7 games
          South Alabama is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Troy


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-16-2018, 01:09 AM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAF
            Dunkel

            Week 8


            Thursday, October 18

            Georgia State @ Arkansas St

            Game 303-304
            October 18, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Georgia State
            66.718
            Arkansas St
            83.218
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Arkansas St
            by 16 1/2
            54
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Arkansas St
            by 14 1/2
            57
            Dunkel Pick:
            Arkansas St
            (-14 1/2); Under

            Stanford @ Arizona State


            Game 305-306
            October 18, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Stanford
            95.906
            Arizona State
            86.243
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Stanford
            by 9 1/2
            53
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Stanford
            by 2 1/2
            56
            Dunkel Pick:
            Stanford
            (-2 1/2); Under



            Friday, October 19

            Colorado State @ Boise State

            Game 307-308
            October 19, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Colorado State
            71.180
            Boise State
            91.957
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Boise State
            by 21
            52
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Boise State
            by 23 1/2
            61 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Colorado State
            (+23 1/2); Under

            Air Force @ UNLV


            Game 309-310
            October 19, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Air Force
            80.112
            UNLV
            72.569
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Air Force
            by 7 1/2
            48
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Air Force
            by 11
            57
            Dunkel Pick:
            UNLV
            (+11); Over



            Saturday, October 20

            Vanderbilt @ Kentucky

            Game 311-312
            October 20, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Vanderbilt
            82.513
            Kentucky
            98.549
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Kentucky
            by 16
            56
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Kentucky
            by 11
            48
            Dunkel Pick:
            Kentucky
            (-11); Over


            Cincinnati @ Temple

            Game 313-314
            October 20, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Cincinnati
            89.684
            Temple
            88.861
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Cincinnati
            by 1
            53
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Temple
            by 3 1/2
            48
            Dunkel Pick:
            Cincinnati
            (+3 1/2); Over


            Central Florida @ East Carolina

            Game 315-316
            October 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Central Florida
            95.767
            East Carolina
            77.190
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Central Florida
            by 18 1/2
            69
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Central Florida
            by 21 1/2
            66 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            East Carolina
            (+21 1/2); Over

            North Carolina @ Syracuse


            Game 317-318
            October 20, 2018 @ 12:20 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            North Carolina
            85.567
            Syracuse
            86.195
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Syracuse
            by 1
            70
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Syracuse
            by 9 1/2
            66 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            North Carolina
            (+9 1/2); Over


            Maryland @ Iowa

            Game 319-320
            October 20, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Maryland
            87.439
            Iowa
            100.049
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Iowa
            by 12 1/2
            52
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Iowa
            by 8 1/2
            47 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Iowa
            (-8 1/2); Over

            Virginia @ Duke


            Game 321-322
            October 20, 2018 @ 12:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Virginia
            94.080
            Duke
            94.646
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Duke
            by 1
            48
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Duke
            by 7 1/2
            45 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Virginia
            (+7 1/2); Over

            Florida Atlantic @ Marshall


            Game 323-324
            October 20, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Florida Atlantic
            83.444
            Marshall
            77.733
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Florida Atlantic
            by 5 1/2
            54
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Florida Atlantic
            by 2 1/2
            61
            Dunkel Pick:
            Florida Atlantic
            (-2 1/2); Under

            Northwestern @ Rutgers


            Game 325-326
            October 20, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Northwestern
            84.755
            Rutgers
            70.066
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Northwestern
            by 14 1/2
            53
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Northwestern
            by 20 1/2
            49
            Dunkel Pick:
            Rutgers
            (+20 1/2); Over

            Coastal Carolina @ Massachusetts


            Game 327-328
            October 20, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Coastal Carolina
            65.079
            Massachusetts
            66.603
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Massachusetts
            by 1 1/2
            88
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Massachusetts
            by 4
            72 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Coastal Carolina
            (+4); Over

            Miami of Ohio @ Army


            Game 329-330
            October 20, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Miami of Ohio
            80.533
            Army
            98.670
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Army
            by 18
            50
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Army
            by 7 1/2
            48
            Dunkel Pick:
            Army
            (-7 1/2); Over

            Michigan @ Michigan State


            Game 331-332
            October 20, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Michigan
            100.654
            Michigan State
            98.483
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Michigan
            by 2
            51
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Michigan
            by 7
            41 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Michigan State
            (+7); Over

            Ohio State @ Purdue


            Game 333-334
            October 20, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Ohio State
            113.651
            Purdue
            98.328
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Ohio State
            by 15 1/2
            56
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Ohio State
            by 13
            67
            Dunkel Pick:
            Ohio State
            (-13); Under

            Alabama @ Tennessee


            Game 335-336
            October 20, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Alabama
            115.434
            Tennessee
            89.681
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Alabama
            by 26
            66
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Alabama
            by 29
            56
            Dunkel Pick:
            Tennessee
            (+29); Over

            Eastern Michigan @ Ball State


            Game 337-338
            October 20, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Eastern Michigan
            79.939
            Ball State
            72.275
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Eastern Michigan
            by 7 1/2
            50
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Eastern Michigan
            by 3
            48 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Eastern Michigan
            (-3); Over

            Buffalo @ Toledo


            Game 339-340
            October 20, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Buffalo
            83.038
            Toledo
            80.810
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Buffalo
            by 2
            73
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Buffalo
            Pick
            63
            Dunkel Pick:
            Buffalo
            Over

            Akron @ Kent State


            Game 341-342
            October 20, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Akron
            67.798
            Kent State
            67.335
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Kent State
            Even
            46
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Akron
            by 4 1/2
            54
            Dunkel Pick:
            Kent State
            (+4 1/2); Under

            Penn State @ Indiana


            Game 343-344
            October 20, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Penn State
            103.547
            Indiana
            91.030
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Penn State
            by 12 1/2
            58
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Penn State
            by 16
            61
            Dunkel Pick:
            Indiana
            (+16); Under

            Illinois @ Wisconsin


            Game 345-346
            October 20, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Illinois
            77.367
            Wisconsin
            97.683
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Wisconsin
            by 20 1/2
            49
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Wisconsin
            by 25 1/2
            56
            Dunkel Pick:
            Illinois
            (+25 1/2); Under

            Houston @ Navy


            Game 347-348
            October 20, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Houston
            90.893
            Navy
            76.287
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Houston
            by 14 1/2
            50
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Houston
            by 12
            60 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Houston
            (-12); Under


            Houston @ Navy

            Game 347-348
            October 20, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Houston
            90.893
            Navy
            76.287
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Houston
            by 14 1/2
            50
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Houston
            by 12
            60 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Houston
            (-12); Under

            UTEP @ Louisiana Tech


            Game 349-350
            October 20, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            UTEP
            56.586
            Louisiana Tech
            82.243
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Louisiana Tech
            by 25 1/2
            44
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Louisiana Tech
            by 23 1/2
            48
            Dunkel Pick:
            Louisiana Tech
            (-23 1/2); Under

            Rice @ FIU


            Game 351-352
            October 20, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Rice
            59.330
            FIU
            74.704
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            FIU
            by 15 1/2
            57
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            FIU
            by 23 1/2
            53 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Rice
            (+23 1/2); Over

            LA-Lafayette @ Appalachian St


            Game 353-354
            October 20, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            LA-Lafayette
            72.286
            Appalachian St
            100.067
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Appalachian St
            by 28
            79
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Appalachian St
            by 25
            65 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Appalachian St
            (-25); Over

            Tulsa @ Arkansas


            Game 355-356
            October 20, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Tulsa
            71.446
            Arkansas
            84.942
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Arkansas
            by 13 1/2
            54
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Arkansas
            by 7
            55 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Arkansas
            (-7); Under

            Georgia Southern @ New Mexico St


            Game 357-358
            October 20, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Georgia Southern
            78.522
            New Mexico St
            60.132
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Georgia Southern
            by 18 1/2
            79
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Georgia Southern
            by 12
            55
            Dunkel Pick:
            Georgia Southern
            (-12); Over

            Utah State @ Wyoming


            Game 359-360
            October 20, 2018 @ 2:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Utah State
            94.251
            Wyoming
            76.290
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Utah State
            by 18
            36
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Utah State
            by 14 1/2
            52
            Dunkel Pick:
            Utah State
            (-14 1/2); Under

            Fresno State @ New Mexico


            Game 361-362
            October 20, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Fresno State
            90.167
            New Mexico
            80.153
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Fresno State
            by 10
            41
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Fresno State
            by 14
            55
            Dunkel Pick:
            New Mexico
            (+14); Under

            Western Michigan @ Central Michigan


            Game 363-364
            October 20, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Western Michigan
            77.867
            Central Michigan
            71.109
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Western Michigan
            by 7
            47
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Western Michigan
            by 3 1/2
            56
            Dunkel Pick:
            Western Michigan
            (-3 1/2); Under

            Arizona @ UCLA


            Game 365-366
            October 20, 2018 @ 10:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Arizona
            78.728
            UCLA
            91.604
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            UCLA
            by 13
            52
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            UCLA
            by 7 1/2
            56
            Dunkel Pick:
            UCLA
            (-7 1/2); Under

            Oregon @ Washington St


            Game 367-368
            October 20, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Oregon
            96.604
            Washington St
            94.716
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Oregon
            by 2
            71
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Washington St
            by 3
            66 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Oregon
            (+3); Over

            Colorado @ Washington


            Game 369-370
            October 20, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Colorado
            85.228
            Washington
            105.651
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Washington
            by 20 1/2
            53
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Washington
            by 15
            51 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Washington
            (-15); Over

            California @ Oregon State


            Game 371-372
            October 20, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            California
            76.568
            Oregon State
            72.792
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            California
            by 4
            49
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            California
            by 7
            58 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Oregon State
            (+7); Under

            Wake Forest @ Florida State


            Game 373-374
            October 20, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Wake Forest
            83.414
            Florida State
            87.995
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Florida State
            by 4 1/2
            52
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Florida State
            by 10 1/2
            60
            Dunkel Pick:
            Wake Forest
            (+10 1/2); Under

            Bowling Green @ Ohio


            Game 375-376
            October 20, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Bowling Green
            56.946
            Ohio
            80.574
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Ohio
            by 23 1/2
            77
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Ohio
            by 16 1/2
            69
            Dunkel Pick:
            Ohio
            (-16 1/2); Over


            Texas State @ LA-Monroe

            Game 377-378
            October 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Texas State
            59.501
            LA-Monroe
            64.606
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            LA-Monroe
            by 5
            68
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            LA-Monroe
            by 10 1/2
            61 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Texas State
            (+10 1/2); Over

            Minnesota @ Nebraska


            Game 379-380
            October 20, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Minnesota
            84.347
            Nebraska
            80.897
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Minnesota
            by 4
            65
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Nebraska
            by 4
            55 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Minnesota
            (+4); Over

            Connecticut @ South Florida


            Game 381-382
            October 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Connecticut
            53.074
            South Florida
            91.435
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            South Florida
            by 38 1/2
            72
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            South Florida
            by 33 1/2
            69
            Dunkel Pick:
            South Florida
            (-33 1/2); Over

            Oklahoma @ TCU


            Game 383-384
            October 20, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Oklahoma
            103.728
            TCU
            103.295
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Oklahoma
            by 1
            41
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Oklahoma
            by 8
            61
            Dunkel Pick:
            TCU
            (+8); Under

            North Texas @ UAB


            Game 385-386
            October 20, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            North Texas
            85.718
            UAB
            83.159
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            North Texas
            by 2 1/2
            43
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            North Texas
            Pick
            52 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            North Texas
            Under

            SMU @ Tulane


            Game 387-388
            October 20, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            SMU
            79.780
            Tulane
            77.996
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            SMU
            by 2
            58
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Tulane
            by 7 1/2
            59 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            SMU
            (+7 1/2); Under

            NC State @ Clemson


            Game 389-390
            October 20, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            NC State
            96.036
            Clemson
            116.541
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Clemson
            by 20 1/2
            52
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Clemson
            by 16 1/2
            55 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Clemson
            (-16 1/2); Under

            Kansas @ Texas Tech


            Game 391-392
            October 20, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Kansas
            79.981
            Texas Tech
            102.228
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Texas Tech
            by 22 1/2
            58
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Texas Tech
            by 19 1/2
            60 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Texas Tech
            (-19 1/2); Under

            TX-San Antonio @ Southern Miss


            Game 393-394
            October 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            TX-San Antonio
            64.246
            Southern Miss
            75.458
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Southern Miss
            by 11
            46
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Southern Miss
            by 17 1/2
            44
            Dunkel Pick:
            TX-San Antonio
            (+17 1/2); Over

            Charlotte @ Middle Tennessee St


            Game 395-396
            October 20, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Charlotte
            60.645
            Middle Tennessee
            80.689
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Middle Tennessee
            by 20
            53
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Middle Tennessee
            by 17
            49
            Dunkel Pick:
            Middle Tennessee
            (-17); Over

            Memphis @ Missouri


            Game 397-398
            October 20, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Memphis
            90.459
            Missouri
            95.446
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Missouri
            by 5
            63
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Missouri
            by 10
            74
            Dunkel Pick:
            Memphis
            (+10); Under

            Auburn @ Mississippi


            Game 399-400
            October 20, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Auburn
            89.540
            Mississippi
            89.156
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Mississippi
            Even
            44
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Auburn
            by 3 1/2
            63
            Dunkel Pick:
            Mississippi
            (+3 1/2); Under

            Old Dominion @ Western Kentucky


            Game 401-402
            October 20, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Old Dominion
            67.608
            Western Kentucky
            67.537
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Old Dominion
            Even
            47
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Western Kentucky
            by 5
            55 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Old Dominion
            (+5); Under

            Mississippi St @ LSU


            Game 403-404
            October 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Mississippi St
            96.076
            LSU
            105.833
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            LSU
            by 10
            37
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            LSU
            by 6 1/2
            44 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            LSU
            (-6 1/2); Under

            USC @ Utah


            Game 405-406
            October 20, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            USC
            94.874
            Utah
            103.276
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Utah
            by 8 1/2
            52
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Utah
            by 6 1/2
            48
            Dunkel Pick:
            Utah
            (-6 1/2); Over


            USC @ Utah

            Game 405-406
            October 20, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            USC
            94.874
            Utah
            103.276
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Utah
            by 8 1/2
            52
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Utah
            by 6 1/2
            48
            Dunkel Pick:
            Utah
            (-6 1/2); Over

            San Jose St @ San Diego St


            Game 407-408
            October 20, 2018 @ 10:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            San Jose St
            59.771
            San Diego St
            92.249
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            San Diego St
            by 32 1/2
            62
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            San Diego St
            by 28
            44
            Dunkel Pick:
            San Diego St
            (-28); Over

            Nevada @ Hawaii


            Game 409-410
            October 20, 2018 @ 12:00 am

            Dunkel Rating:
            Nevada
            80.292
            Hawaii
            74.756
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Nevada
            by 5 1/2
            62
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Hawaii
            by 3
            69
            Dunkel Pick:
            Nevada
            (+3); Under

            Idaho State @ Liberty


            Game 411-412
            October 20, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Idaho State
            67.373
            Liberty
            71.196
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Liberty
            by 4
            63
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Liberty
            by 6 1/2
            78
            Dunkel Pick:
            Idaho State
            (+6 1/2); Under
            Last edited by Udog; 10-17-2018, 12:10 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              NCAAF
              Armadillo's Write-Up

              Week 8


              Thursday’s games
              Georgia State lost four of its last five games; they’re 0-2-1 as road underdogs this year, losing by 34-37-17 points on foreign soil. Before this year, Panthers had been 19-5-1 vs spread as road dogs- they allowed 337 rushing yards in 37-20 loss at Troy LW. Under Anderson, Arkansas State is 13-8 as home favorites, 0-1 this year- they lost last two games, scoring 21-9 points. Last four ASU games stayed under the total. ASU won its last four games with Georgia State, winning 48-34/35-33 in last two meetings played here. Sun Belt home favorites are 3-3.

              Stanford won five of last six games with Arizona State, but lost last trip to desert 26-10 (-3). Cardinal gave up 109 points in last three games, losing 38-17/40-21 in last two; they were out rushed 494-97 in last two games. Stanford is 5-3 in last eight games as road favorites, 1-0 this year- their last three games went over. Arizona St lost three of last four games, with all three losses by 7 points; Sun Devils covered six of last eight games as home underdogs. Pac-12 home underdogs are 4-6 vs spread so far this season.

              Friday’s games
              Boise State won its last six games with Colorado State, but games last two years were 28-23/59-52; Rams lost last three games on the Blue Turf by 5-13-28 points. Boise scored 31+ points in all four of its wins, were held to 21-13 in losses; they’re 5-16 vs spread in their last 21 home games, all as a favorite- three of their last four games stayed under. CSU won its last two games after a 1-4 start; under Bobo, Rams are 6-2 as road underdogs- they’re 1-1 in true road tilts this year, losing 48-10 at Florida (+20), winning 42-30 at San Jose State (-3).

              Air Force lost three of last four games, with one win over rival Navy; over last 3+ years, Falcons are 2-7 as road favorites- four of their last five games stayed under total. AF held San Diego St to 297 TY LW, but lost 21-17 on late TD pass. UNLV’s backup QB is completing 45.8% of his passes, not good enough. Rebels lost last three games, allowing 50-59 points in last two. Under Sanchez, UNLV is 1-5 as home underdogs. Air Force won its last two games with UNLV, 34-30/48-21; they won two of last three visits to the Strip, winning by 27-15 points.

              Saturday’s best 13 games
              Cincinnati is an underdog despite being 6-0; under Fickell, Bearcats are 6-1 as road underdogs, 2-0 this year. Cincy ran ball for 320-272 yards in last two games; they’re 2-0 on road this year, winning at UCLA/UConn. Temple won four of its last five games after an 0-2 start; Owls are 9-6 in last 15 games as home favorites. Temple won its last three games with Cincinnati, by 11-21-8 points; Bearcats won two of last three visits here, in series where road team won four of last six meetings. AAC home favorites are 6-2 vs spread this season.

              Virginia won its last three games with Duke, by 7-14-8 points; they lost two of last three visits to Duke, winning 34-20 in last visit here two years ago. Cavaliers upset Miami 16-13 at home LW despite being outgained by 108 yards; under Mendenhall, they’re 6-7 as road underdogs, 1-1 this year. Duke is 5-1 after winning at Ga Tech LW; Blue Devils ran ball for only 71-98 yards in last two games- last three years, they’re 5-4 as home favorites, 1-1 this year. ACC home favorites are 3-5 vs spread so far this season.

              Michigan State is 8-2 in its last 10 games with Michigan, covering all ten games; Wolverines won last visit here 32-23 (-25) two years ago, but lost 25-11/29-6 in previous two visits. Michigan won its last six games after an opening loss at Notre Dame; they beat Northwestern 20-17 in only other road games. Under Harbaugh, Michigan is 5-7 as road favorites. Spartans are 4-2; they were held under 20 points in both losses- they had big win at Penn St LW. MSU is 5-1 in last six games as home underdogs. Big 14 home underdogs are 3-8 vs spread this season.

              Home side won last three Houston-Navy games; Cougars (-17) lost 46-40 here two years ago. Navy is down a little this year, losing last three games, scoring total of 24 points in last couple games. Middies are 5-2 in last seven games as home underdogs. Houston has scored 41+ points in all five I-A games this year; they’re 4-8 in last dozen games as road favorites, 1-2 this year- all four of their I-A wins are by 15+ points, with 41-26 win over Tulsa closest win- they lost 63-49 at Texas Tech. AAC home underdogs are 5-3 this season; AAC home teams are 11-5 overall.

              Arizona (+2) beat UCLA 47-30 LY, snapping 5-game skid vs Bruins; Wildcats lost last three visits to Rose Bowl, by 21-10-56 points. Arizona is 2-11 vs spread in last 13 games as a road favorite, 0-2 this year, with road losses 45-18 at Houston, 42-10 at Utah LW. Wildcats gave up 450+ TY in each of last three games. UCLA got first win LW after an 0-5 start; Bruins were +5 in TO’s LW, but are 5-11 vs spread in last 16 games as home favorites. Pac-12 home favorites are 6-4 vs spread this year. Last four Arizona games stayed under total.

              Washington State won last three games with Oregon, by 23-18-7 points; teams split last two meetings played here, with average total in those games, 76.5. Oregon scored 72 points in winning its last two games, edging Washington 30-27 LW. Ducks are 1-5-1 in last seven games as road underdogs. Wazzu is 15-8 in its last 23 games as home favorites; Coogs are 5-1 this year, with 39-36 loss at USC- they allowed 481 YR in last two games, but they did have last week off. Pac-12 favorites are 12-8 against the spread this season, 6-4 at home.

              Washington won its last six games with Colorado, winning 59-7/52-24 in last two games played here. Under Petersen, Huskies are 9-5 vs spread coming off a loss; they gained 437+ TY in each of last three games, but lost 30-27 at Oregon LW. Buffs lost 31-20 at USC LW, their first loss after a 5-0 start; Colorado is 9-6 in last 15 games as road underdogs- under MacIntyre, they’re 17-16 vs spread coming off a loss. Pac-12 home favorites are 6-4 vs spread this year. Four of last five U-Dub games, last three Colorado games stayed under total.

              Oklahoma won its last four games with TCU, with average total of 68.3. Sooners won two of last three visits to TCU; all three of those games were decided by 7 or fewer points. Oklahoma fired its DC after 48-45 loss to rival Texas two weeks ago; under Riley, Sooners are 1-3 as road faves, 0-1 this year. Horned Frogs lost three of last four games, were held to 16-17-14 points in last three; since ’13, TCU is 3-1 as home underdogs- their last three games stayed under total. Big X home underdogs are 6-2 vs spread this year. Over is 5-1 in Oklahoma games this year.

              Clemson won its last six games vs NC State, winning last three played here, by 7-41-14 points; they won last two games vs Wolfpack by seven points each. Tigers ran ball for 471 yards in LW’s 63-3 win, with #2 QB Lawrence back under center. Since 2013, Clemson is 17-15-1 as home favorites, but they’re 0-2 this year, barely beat Syracuse 27-23 in last home tilt. Wolfpack is 5-0 with only one road win, 37-20 at Marshall. Under Doeren, NC State is 6-8-1 vs spread as a road underdog. ACC home favorites are 3-5 vs spread this season.

              Missouri allowed 119 points in losing its first three SEC games, with a -5 TO ratio; under Odom, they’re 7-5 as home favorites, 5-1 when laying double digits. Memphis lost 31-30 to UCF LW, giving up last 17 points of game; Tigers are 6-3-2 in last 11 games as road underdogs. Memphis is 0-2 on road this year, losing 22-21 at Navy, 40-24 at Tulane; could Missouri take out some of their frustrations here? SEC home favorites are 10-7 vs spread outside the conference; AAC road underdogs are 7-4 vs spread. Over is 4-1 in Mizzou games, 0-3 in last three Memphis tilts.

              Ole Miss was down 31-7 at half LW but rallied to win 37-33 at Arkansas; Rebels gained 826-611 TY in last two games, throwing for 904 yards. Since ’09, Ole Miss is 8-13 vs spread when getting points at home. Auburn won four of last five games with Ole Miss, winning 40-29/35-31 in last two visits here. Tigers lost last two games overall, losing as 15-point favorite to Tennessee LW. Under Malzahn, Auburn is 7-4-1 as road favorites, 0-1 this year. SEC home underdogs are 8-6 vs spread this season. Four of last five Auburn games stayed under.

              Mississippi State/LSU split their last four meetings, with Bulldogs covering all four games; MSU lost two of last three visits to Baton Rouge, with losses by 3-20 points. Bulldogs scored only 36 points in losing two of first three SEC games; MSU is 9-5 vs spread in last 14 games as road underdogs. LSU upset Georgia at home LW; under Orgeron, Tigers are 3-4 as home favorites. SEC home favorites are 5-7 vs spread this season; SEC favorites are 15-11 overall this year. Under is 4-1 in Miss State games; last four LSU games went over the total.

              Home side won last five USC-Utah games; Trojans lost 31-27/24-21 in last two visits here. USC won its last three games, scoring 31.3 ppg; under Helton, USC is just 1-5 as road underdogs- they lost 17-3 at Stanford, 37-14 at Texas this year, but won last road tilt, 24-20 at Arizona. Utes scored 40-42 points in winning their last two games; Utah covered five of its last six games as home favorites. Utah ran ball for 204+ yards in last three games; Wazzu/Stanford burned their pass defense with 445-381 PY. Pac-12 home favorites are 6-4 vs spread this season.

              Trends on non-top 13 college football games
              13) Kentucky beat Vanderbilt last two years, 44-21/20-13, but Wildcats failed to cover its last six games as a home favorite. Vandy is 2-5 in its last seven games as road underdogs. Under is 4-1 in Kentucky games this year.

              12) North Carolina is 0-3 on road this season, with losses by 7-22-37 points. Since 2013, UNC is 6-3-1 vs spread as road underdogs. Syracuse lost its last two games, 27-23/44-37; they’re 1-5 in last six gams as home favorites. This is teams’ first football meeting as ACC rivals.

              11) Home side won both Maryland-Iowa games as Big 14 rivals; Terrapins lost 31-15 in last visit here. Maryland is 3-6 in its last nine games as road underdogs. Iowa is 5-1, scoring 48-42 in winning its last two games; Hawkeyes are 4-2-1 in last seven games as home favorites.

              10) Marshall won four of last five games with Florida Atlantic, losing 30-25 (+7) at FAU last year; Owls lost 27-21/35-16 in last two visits here. Under Kiffin, FAU is 3-2 as road favorites. Since 2012, Marshall is 3-5 vs spread as a home underdog.

              9) Eastern Michigan beat Ball State last two years, 56-14/48-41; Eagles lost four of last five games- their last four games were all decided by 3 or fewer points. Over last 11 years, EMU is 1-1 as a road favorite. Ball State is 2-7 in its last nine games as home underdogs.

              8) Penn State won its last four games with Indiana, winning 45-31/13-7 in last two visits here; under Franklin, Nittany Lions are 7-3 vs spread as road favorites, 1-9 coming off a loss- they lost last weeks, both at home. Hoosiers are 2-6 in last eight games as home underdogs.

              7) Utah State scored 55.8 ppg in winning its last five games since a 38-31 loss at Michigan State in their opener; all six of their games went over total. Wyoming is 7-4 in last 11 games as a home underdog, but are 0-2 in that role this year. Aggies/Wyoming split their last six meetings.

              6) Fresno State won its last four games with New Mexico, winning 35-24/49-32 in their last two trips to Albuquerque. Bulldogs won/covered their last four games, giving up 3-3 points in last two weeks. Lobos are 6-2 in last eight games as a home underdog.

              5) Cal Bears won three of last four games with Oregon State; they lost two of last three visits to Corvallis. California lost its last three games; they’re 2-7-1 in last ten games as road favorites. Beavers is 0-5 vs I-A teams, with one loss by less than 19 points; they’re 1-4 vs spread this year.

              4) Florida State won its last six games with Wake Forest, winning last three, by 7-11-8 points; since 2014, Seminoles are 11-15 as home favorites- their last three games went over. Deacons lost 63-3 to Clemson LW; they’re 10-4 in last 14 games as road underdogs.

              3) Minnesota/Nebraska split their last six meetings; Gophers won LY’s game, 54-21. Minnesota lost its last three games, allowing 40 ppg; they’re 3-6-2 in last 11 games as road underdogs. Cornhuskers are 0-6 SU this year; their last four games went over the total.

              2) SMU won its last three games with Tulane, by 3-4-28 points; their last two visits here were decided by total of five points. SMU is 0-3 on road this year, losing by 23-25-28 points; they’re 2-4-1 in last seven games as road dogs. Tulane is 7-3 in last 10 games as home favorites.

              1) Home side won last three Nevada-Hawai’i games; Wolf Pack lost last visit here 38-17, after winning previous two trips to Paradise. Nevada is 5-9 in its last 14 games as road underdogs. Hawai’i is 3-12 vs spread in its last 15 games as a home favorite.
              Last edited by Udog; 10-18-2018, 11:48 PM.

              Comment


              • #8
                Michigan a 7-point fave at Michigan State in college football Week 8 opening odds
                Patrick Everson

                Quarterback Brian Lewerke and Michigan State upset host Penn State in Week 7, but oddsmakers still made the Spartans 7-point home underdogs against instate rival Michigan in Week 8.

                A bragging-rights battle in the Great Lakes State is among the highlights on college football’s Week 8 docket. Covers checks in on the opening lines and early action for four matchups, with insights from Derek Wilkinson, sportsbook supervisor at the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook.
                No. 7 Michigan Wolverines at Michigan State Spartans (+7)

                Michigan State was a bit uneven while going off as a favorite in its first five games, but looked just fine in its first outing as an underdog. The Spartans (4-2 SU, 2-4 ATS) were catching 13.5 points at Penn State in Week 7 and hung around throughout, winning 21-17 on a last-minute touchdown.

                Michigan has six straight wins since falling in its season opener at Notre Dame. In Week 7, the Wolverines (6-1 SU, 4-3 ATS) hammered Wisconsin 38-13 as 10-point home favorites. Jim Harbaugh’s troops could have revenge on their mind after losing 14-10 as hefty 13-point home faves last year.

                In fact, Sparty has cashed the last 10 in this rivalry, going 8-2 SU.

                “This line would be higher if these teams weren’t instate rivals,” Wilkinson said. “Michigan is definitely the superior team. Even though it’s in East Lansing, I think the smart money will be on Michigan and that the line will probably go to -7.5 in a day or two.”

                No. 11 Oregon Ducks at No. 23 Washington State Cougars (Pick)

                Oregon sits at 5-1 SU and could easily be undefeated if not for some questionable play-calling late in the fourth quarter of what became an overtime home loss to Stanford. The Ducks (2-4 ATS) rebounded with a pair of wins, including a 30-27 Week 7 overtime victory against Washington as 3.5-point home underdogs.

                Washington State could also have been unbeaten heading into this matchup, giving Southern California all it could handle in a 3-point loss in Week 4. The Cougars (5-1 SU) lead the nation with a perfect 6-0 ATS mark, narrowly cashing as 18.5-point faves in a 56-37 win at Oregon State in Week 6.

                The Cougars had a bye this past week.

                “We actually like Oregon to win this one, but we opened it at pick because some other books have Washington State favored by as many as 2 points,” Wilkinson said. “I think everyone will be at pick or Oregon -1 by Saturday.”

                No. 10 Oklahoma Sooners at Texas Christian Horned Frogs (+7.5)

                Perennial College Football Playoff contender Oklahoma enters this game off a much-needed bye, after stubbing its toe in Week 6 against Texas. The Sooners (5-1 SU, 2-4 ATS) had to rally throughout, trailing 45-24 well into the fourth quarter, and came up short in a 48-45 loss laying 7 points in a neutral-site game.

                Texas Christian is not having its typical top-25 season, sitting at .500 through six games. The Horned Frogs (3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS) tumbled to Texas Tech in a Week 7 Thursday nighter, losing 17-14 as 7.5-point home favorites.

                “TCU doesn’t have the caliber of team that it’s had in past years,” Wilkinson said. “I’m anticipating that line to either stay at 7.5 or possibly go up to 8.”

                Mississippi State Bulldogs at Louisiana State Tigers (-6.5)

                Louisiana State saw its perfect record go by the wayside in Week 6 at Florida, but came back in one of the most resounding ways possible. The Tigers (6-1 SU, 4-3 ATS) were 7-point home underdogs to Georgia in Week 7, but showed up big in a 36-16 rout.

                Mississippi State got out of the gate 3-0 SU and ATS, dumped two in a row, then got back on track with a 23-9 Week 6 win over Auburn getting 3 points at home. The Bulldogs (4-2 SU and ATS) had a bye in Week 7.

                “LSU might blow this game wide open at home, so I think that line is going to go to at least 7,” Wilkinson said. “It’ll be interesting to see where the sharp money goes. I think it’ll be on LSU.”
                Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-16-2018, 12:44 PM.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Hot & Not Report

                  Week of October 15th

                  With last week's piece focusing on recent happenings in the NFL, it is safe to say at least one of those trends reversed course in Week 6. That would be a week without a close game for Cleveland, as the Cleveland Browns finally got blown out. All the fatigue – mental and physical – of playing in tight games and multiple OT games through the first five weeks may have finally caught up to them.

                  However, even with the Eagles bucking two strong trends on TNF of winning ATS as the road team and as a road favorite, the trend of backing road favorites in the NFL this year still came out with a losing record 3-4 ATS for the week. Philly (TNF), Seattle (in London), and the Baltimore Ravens were the only visitors laying chalk to cash a ticket, as Chicago, Carolina, Jacksonville, and the L.A Rams all coming up short ATS-wise, as the former three teams ended up losing SU as well.

                  So the record was better for road favorites at 3-4 ATS in Week 6, but road favorites are still on a 5-13 ATS run over the past four weeks. That isn't ideal for the NFL teams in road favorite spots for this upcoming week, as the likes of Denver, Minnesota, New England, and the L.A Rams are all in that role for Week 7.

                  But this week it's back to the collegiate ranks after a weekend full of upsets in the college football world proved once again that Top 25 rankings are a nice simply way to judge teams, but they really don't mean a whole lot until at least after Halloween. Eight different programs that entered last week lost outright this past weekend, as the entire landscape got a nice mid-October shake-up. It's these teams (and rankings) that are my focus today.

                  Who's Hot

                  Anybody ATS against Top 25 ranked squads – Especially at Home or as Underdogs


                  Of the eight Top 25 teams to lose outright this past week, six of those SU losses came on the road, with four of the six home teams catching points. All four of those home dogs obviously won the game outright so ATS wins followed, but even the home sides in the Wisconsin/Michigan and Colorado/USC games which had Top 25 teams on the road saw the home favorite win SU and ATS as well.

                  That's not to mention that other home teams hosting Top 25 foes this past week finished the weekend off with a 1-2 ATS record in three close games, with both of those ATS losses coming by the hook with Vanderbilt losing by 10 at +9.5 and South Carolina losing by 3 at +2.5. So if you're going to take down a Top 25 program this year as a fringe type squad, you'd better hope that game is at least at home.

                  However, being on the road isn't all bad for teams up against Top 25 squads either, especially if it's somewhat of an “easy” opponent for those Top 25 schools, where they are expected to win easily and move on to bigger things. This week we saw the likes of Ohio State, Auburn (one of the outright losers at home), Notre Dame, Texas, Penn State (other outright loser at home), and Alabama go a combined 1-5 ATS this week, with only Alabama's 29-point win as 28.5-point home favorites as the lone winner.

                  That's an ugly record to say the least, as seemingly every year bettors buy into these CFB rankings earlier than needed (really ever needed), and not fully grasp that the point spread can be the great equalizer. To have a week where Top 25 teams go 3-9 ATS (eliminating games where Top 25 played another Top 25) overall and having all three of those ATS wins come by the hook in each individual game is really surprising.

                  Sometimes you'd think the rankings would be more accurate than they seem to be, but right now don't worry about these weekly Top 25 rankings that come out nationally except for one thing.

                  Who's Not

                  Top 25 teams on the road – 2-7 ATS last week; 4-12 ATS last two weeks


                  Ignoring the CFB rankings should happen all the time from a handicapping perspective if you ask me, unless you are using them as a great guideline of teams to “fade” as their stock becomes overvalued. The fact that we had a week of numerous ranked squads go down shouldn't be that surprising, it happens every year in college, and when you go back and see that it was a bit of a perfect storm with so many of them on the road, you'll see that Top 25 teams away from home are generally ones that should top your “fade” list every week.

                  I've already discussed how last week's record for Top 25 ATS teams was 2-7 ATS with both victories coming by the hook. A bounce or two the other way and it could have easily been a goose egg for those squads as it goes to show you just how hard it can be for talented college teams to win in hostile territory.

                  So who do we've got that fits the bill of being visitors this week and should be near the top of your “fade” list?

                  Well, #9 Oklahoma is the first candidate as they are currently -7.5 on the road against a slumping TCU team. Oklahoma is off a bye week though after the Red River Rivalry loss, so keep that in mind as well.

                  Secondly, we've got #20 Cincinnati (+4) on the road against Temple, while the #6 Michigan Wolverines look to keep their playoff hopes alive as -7 road chalk in East Lansing against #24 Michigan State. The Spartans are off a huge upset win at Penn State, so a possible letdown scenario does exist, but given how big that Michigan/Michigan State rivalry game is, I wouldn't back a possible letdown spot for the Spartans.

                  After that, we've got #1 Alabama (-28.5), #18 Penn State (-14), #16 NC State (+16), #10 UCF (-21), #22 Mississippi State (+6.5), #2 Ohio State (-14), and #12 Oregon (pick'em) as ranked teams out on the road this week. Both NC State and Mississippi State are underdogs as they visit a much higher ranked foe (Clemson and LSU respectively), and are probably going to struggle to cover the number as is.

                  But don't be surprised to see plays against all these 10 ranked road teams come out with a winning record when all the dust has settled Saturday night, it has happened the last two weeks after all.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Tech Trends - Week 8
                    Bruce Marshall

                    Thursday, Oct. 18

                    GEORGIA STATE at ARKANSAS STATE
                    ...Ark State 1-7 last 8, 2-9 vs. line last 11 on board. GSU 0-3 TY in once-feared road dog role, had been 19-6 in role entering 2018.
                    Slight to Georgia State, based on team trends.


                    STANFORD at ARIZONA STATE
                    ...Tree 1-6 vs. line as visitor since last season, though was 3-0 at neutral sites in 2017. Herm 3-0 vs. line at home this season.
                    Slight to Arizona State, based on team trends.


                    Friday, Oct. 19

                    COLORADO STATE at BOISE STATE
                    ...Bobo 3-11 last 14 vs. spread since mid 2017, though has covered last two TY. Boise however just 2-11 last 13 as MW chalk on blue carpet. Road team has covered last 3 and 6 of last 7 in series.
                    Colorado State, based on team and series trends.


                    AIR FORCE at UNLV
                    ...Sanchez just 3-7 vs. line last 10 at Sam Boyd, and 4-9 vs. line last 13 as MW host.
                    Air Force, based on team trends.


                    Saturday, Oct. 20

                    VANDERBILT at KENTUCKY
                    ...Dores 1-5 vs. line last six as SEC visitor and have lost and failed to cover last two vs. UK.
                    Kentucky, based on recent trends.


                    CINCINNATI at TEMPLE
                    ...Owls have won and covered last three meetings, though Cincy is 6-0 SU and 5-‘1 vs. line this season. Fickell 7-2 as dog since LY. Temple 4-0-1 vs. line last five TY, and Owlies 10-2 last 12 vs. line as host vs. American foes.
                    Slight to Temple, based on team and series trends.


                    UCF at EAST CAROLINA
                    ...Heupel 4-2 vs. line TY, and Golden Knights have routed ECU past two seasons, UCF 5-1 vs. spread away since LY. ECU 6-12 vs. spread at home for Montgomery (since 2016), 6-16-1 overall as dog for Scottie. Montgomery also 8-21-1 vs. spread since taking over Pirates.
                    UCF, based on team trends.


                    NORTH CAROLINA at SYRACUSE
                    ...Babers 4-1-1 vs line TY, 2-0-1 vs. spread at Dome. Fedora 3-1 as dog TY but entered 2018 on 5-8-1 skid getting points.
                    Syracuse, based on recent trends.


                    MARYLAND at IOWA
                    ...Rough Hawkeyes on 7-1 spread uptick since late 2017. Ferentz 9-2-1 last 12 vs. points in Iowa City. Terps 1-1 as dog this season but 3-6 last 9 in role.
                    Iowa, based on team trends.


                    VIRGINIA at DUKE
                    ...Mendenhall 2-0 SU and vs. line against Cutcliffe, Cavs 3-0 SU and vs. spread last three vs. Blue Devils. Cavs 5-1 vs. line this season. Cutcliffe just 2-4-1 vs. points last seven at Durham.
                    Virginia, based on team and recent series trends.


                    FAU at MARSHALL
                    ...Lane Kiffin 10-1 SU last 11 vs. C-USA foes, 8-3 vs. line in those games. Marshall was one he didn’t cover last season because Kiffin took safety in last seconds! Herd 4-11 vs. line last 15 at home.
                    FAU, based on team trends.


                    NORTHWESTERN at RUTGERS
                    ...‘Gers in 1-5 spread slump TY, though Ash is 4-3 last 7 as New Brunswick dog. Pat Fitz has covered last 5 on Big Ten road and 10-2-1 vs. spread last 13 reg season games since mid 2017.
                    Northwestern, based on team trends.


                    COASTAL CAROLINA at UMASS...UMass on 1-5 spread skid TY though is 2-1 vs. spread at home and 2-0 as chalk TY. CC was 3-1-1 as road dog LY but just 1-2 in role to date TY.
                    Slight to Coastal Carolina, based on recent UMass woes.


                    MIAMI-OHIO at ARMY
                    ...Army 1-0-1 vs. line at home TY but Monken was only 1-4 as West Point chalk LY. Though Black Knights 4-0-1 last four on board in 2018.
                    Army, based on recent trends.


                    MICHIGAN at MICHIGAN STATE.
                    ..Dantonio is 2-1 SU and 3-0 vs. line against Harbaugh, though note road team has won SU last three years. Dantonio has also covered last ten in series (also vs. Rich-Rod and Brady Hoke). Harbaugh 0-2 vs. line on road in 2018, however, and 1-6 vs. spread last seven away from Big House. Dantonio 20-7 as dog since 2011.
                    Michigan State, based on team and series trends.


                    OHIO STATE at PURDUE
                    ...Brohm 6-4 vs. line at Ross-Ade since arriving LY and 13-6 overall vs. number with Boilermakers. Also 7-2 as dog with Purdue. Urban no covers first two away from big Horseshoe TY and was only 5-5 as visiting chalk previous two seasons.
                    Purdue, based on team trends.


                    ALABAMA at TENNESSEE
                    ...Saban 1-3 vs. line last four this season but is 11-0 SU vs. UT since taking over Bama in 2007. Tide has covered 6 of last 8 meetings. Saban 5-2-1 last 8 as DD Tuscaloosa SEC chalk. UT 3-8-1 last 12 as dog.
                    Alabama, based on team and series trends.


                    EASTERN MICHIGAN at BALL STATE
                    ...EMU has won and covered last two meetings. Likely rare road chalk role for Eagles, overall away they’re 14-3 last 17 vs. spread. Ball 8-19 vs. points at Muncie since 2014.
                    Eastern Michigan, based on team and series trends.


                    BUFFALO at TOLEDO
                    ... Bulls 8-1 vs. spread last nine away. If dog, UB 6-1-1 last 8 in role. Rockets only 2-6 last eight vs. spread since late 2017.
                    Buffalo, based on team trends.


                    AKRON at KENT STATE
                    ...Kent State has covered last 2 and 3 of last 4 in series. Golden Flashes 5-3 vs. spread since late 2017.
                    Slight to Kent State, based on series trends.


                    PENN STATE at INDIANA
                    ...James Franklin 4-0 SU vs. IU since arriving at Happy Valley, also has covered last three vs. Hoosiers. Franklin 7-2 vs. spread last nine on Big Ten road. Also 22-6 last 28 on board since early 2016. Hoosiers 2-6 last eight as home dog.
                    Penn State, based on team and series trends.


                    ILLINOIS at WISCONSIN
                    ...Lovie 4-11 vs. line last 15 in Big Ten, though he did cover vs. Badgers LY. Interestingly, Wiscy no covers first four at Camp Randall TY.
                    Slight to Wisconsin, based on team trends.


                    HOUSTON at NAVY
                    ...Major Applewhite 2-7 vs. line as favorite away from home with Cougs. Home team has won and covered last three years in series. Navy 4-1 last five as home dog.
                    Navy, based on series and team trends.


                    UTEP at LA TECH
                    ...Dimel has covered last 2 and 3 of last 4 TY as Miners try to exit doldrums. Though UTEP just 3-6-1 vs. spread away since LY. Skip Holtz 37-23 vs. line since 2014 and 10-6 last 16 laying DD.
                    La Tech, based on team trends.


                    RICE at FIU
                    ...Owls no covers last 4 in 2018. Also 4-10 last 14 as DD dog. Butch Davis 10-3 vs. spread last 13 in reg season.
                    FIU, based on team trends.


                    ULL at APP STATE
                    ...Mounties spotless 5-0 vs. line in 2018, have now covered nine in a row since late 2017. App has won last four SU vs ULL and covered last two, total score last two is 87-14! Cajuns 1-6 as DD dog since 2017 (1-1 TY).
                    App State, based on team and series trends.


                    TULSA at ARKANSAS
                    ...Hogs 0-3 as chalk in 2018, 2-9 laying points since 2016. Porkers 1-8 vs. points last nine non-SEC games. Tulsa 11-4 as visiting dog since 2014.
                    Tulsa, based on team trends.


                    GEORGIA SOUTHERN at NEW MEXICO STATE
                    ...Ga So 5-1 vs. line TY, 7-2 last nine since late 2017. Ags however have covered last four years in series. After dropping seven straight vs. spread in reg season, NMSU has won and covered two of last three TY.
                    Slight to Georgia Southern, based on recent trends.


                    UTAH STATE at WYOMING...Utags 5-0-1 vs. line TY, 7-1-1 last nine reg season games. Bohl has won and covered last two meetings though Utags won and covered preceding three. Bohl no covers last six in 2018 and 1-8 last 9 vs spread in reg season (all minus Josh Allen).
                    Utah State, based on team trends.


                    FRESNO STATE at NEW MEXICO
                    ...Tedford 15-3-2 vs. spread since arriving at Fresno LY, Dawgs on 20-5-2 spread run since mid 2016 (post-DeRuyter). Davie 19-11 in dog role since late 2014.
                    Slight to Fresno State, based on team trends.


                    WESTERN MICHIGAN at CENTRAL MICHIGAN
                    ...Road team has covered six in this MAC rivalry. Though Broncos just 3-6-1 vs. line away since LY for Lester. CMU on 9-3 reg season spread uptick.
                    Slight to Western Michigan, based on series road trend.


                    ARIZONA at UCLA
                    ...Mora had dominated UA, winning and covering five in a row until LY’s lopsided 47-30 loss in Tucson. Bruins however just 6-15 vs. spread at Rose Bowl since 2014 and 10-19-1 last 30 on board. Sumlin teams 9-14 vs. spread last 22 as visitor. Cats no covers last four at Rose Bowl, where Sumlin also took a painful SU loss with A&M LY.
                    Slight to UCLA, based on series trends.


                    WAKE FOREST at FLORIDA STATE
                    ...Clawson just 1-5 vs. line in 2018 and 0-2 in once solid dog role (now 14-5-1 last 20). Wake 2-0-1 vs. spread last three in series, however. Noles 1-4 as chalk TY, 6-11-2 on board since 2017.
                    Wake Forest, based on extended team and series trends.


                    BOWLING GREEN at OHIO
                    ...Falcons 2-4-1 vs. line TY, 9-21-1 since 2016, all under Mike Jinks, dismissed as HC on Sunday night. (Ex-FAU HC Carl Pelini now the interim.) Ohio 16-10 last 26 vs. line since mid 2016.
                    Ohio, based on team trends.


                    TEXAS STATE at ULM
                    ...Tex State 2-4 vs. line TY, 8-14 last 22 on board. Matt Viator's ULM, however, on 2-7 spread skid since late 2017 and just 2-5-1 as chalk with Warhawks since 2016.
                    Slight to Texas State, based on recent trends.


                    MINNESOTA at NEBRASKA...Fleck just 3-8-1 vs. spread in Big Ten play with Gophers but one of those wins was a romp past Huskers 54-21 LY. Frost no spread losses last 2 TY but just 1-4-1 vs. line in 2018, and Huskers no covers last five as Lincoln chalk.
                    Slight to Minnesota, based on recent trends.


                    UCONN at SOUTH FLORIDA
                    ...UConn 0-5-1 vs. line TY, though Huskies have covered last two years in series. Charlie Strong, however, just 1-7 last 8 as DD chalk with Bulls.
                    Slight to UConn, based on team and series trends.


                    OKLAHOMA at TCU
                    ...Frogs no covers last 3 TY. Sooners have covered last 2 in series, and TCU 2-13-1 last 16 vs. spread at Fort Worth.
                    Oklahoma, based on team trends.


                    NORTH TEXAS at UAB
                    ...UAB 9-0-1 vs. spread last 10 at Legion Field! Bill Clark on 15-5-1 spread run since late 2014.
                    UAB, based on team trends.


                    SMU at TULANE
                    ... Home team is 6-0 vs. line in Wave games this season (Tulane 3-0 at home). Fritz now on 8-1 spread run at home since 2017. Painful loss to Ponies kept Wave out of bowl LY. SMU on 2-7 spread skid .
                    Tulane, based on team trends.


                    NC STATE at CLEMSON
                    ...Pack 6-4 last ten as dog, has covered last two vs. Dabo. Clemson 0-3 vs. spread at home TY.
                    North Carolina State, based on team trends.


                    KANSAS at TEXAS TECH
                    ...TT destroyed KU the past two years and 3-1-1 last five vs. line in series. Jayhawks 1-1 as DD dog in 2018 after 2-5-1 in role LY. Kingsbury on 21-13-1 spread uptick since late 2015.
                    Texas Tech, based on team and recent series trends.


                    UTSA at SOUTHERN MISS...Roadrunners were on 0-9 spread skid before recent win at Rice. UTSA also 2-13 last 15 on board.
                    Southern Miss, based on team trends.


                    CHARLOTTE at MTSU
                    ...49ers just 2-7 last nine as road dog. MTSU has won and covered last three meetings. Stockstill has also covered last 4 in Murfreesboro.
                    Middle Tennessee, based on team trends.


                    MEMPHIS at MISSOURI
                    ...Home teams are 6-1 vs. line in Memphis games this season (Mem 0-2 away). Mizzou on 10-4 reg season spread uptick and has covered six straight at Columbia.
                    Mizzou, based on team trends.


                    AUBURN at OLE MISS
                    ...Malzahn 2-5 vs. line TY, 7-12-2 since 2017, 19-36-2 since early 2014. Road team has covered last four in series. Matt Luke just 4-7 vs. spread at Vaught-Hemingway since 2017.
                    Slight to Auburn, based on series trends.


                    OLD DOMINION at WKU
                    ...Tops 2-9 as chalk since LY, including a non-cover at ODU. Monarchs just 4-10 last 14 as road dog.
                    Slight to ODU, based on team trends.


                    MISSISSIPPI STATE at LSU
                    ...Dan Mullen covered his last four vs. LSU before moving to Florida. Bulldogs 9-5 as road dog since 2013. Orgeron 3-6 last 9 as Tiger Stadium chalk.
                    MSU, based on team and series trends.


                    USC at UTAH
                    ...Helton on 6-14 last 20 vs. line. Utes 3-1 last 4, 4-2 vs. line last six meetings. Whittingham 2-0 SU and vs. line at home vs. Trojans. Utes 10-4 vs. spread last 14 at Rice-Eccles.
                    Utah, based on team and series trends.


                    SAN JOSE STATE at SAN DIEGO STATE
                    ...Rocky has destroyed SJSU last four years and Aztecs have won and covered last five meetings. Though Spartans 2-0 as road dog TY. Rocky 2-8 last ten as home chalk.
                    Slight to San Diego State, based on series trends.


                    NEVADA at HAWAII
                    ... Home team has covered last 3 and 4 of last 5 in series. Pack just 5-9 as road dog since 2016. Rolovich 2-1 vs. FBS at Aloha TY after 0-8-1 in nine prior vs. FBS at home.
                    Slight to Nevada, based on team trends.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      The Cure for What Ails Them?

                      The Northwestern Wildcats are saddled with one of the worst running games in all of Division I – but things might turn around for them this Saturday as they take on the host Rutgers Scarlet Knights. The Wildcats enter the weekend averaging a dismal 69.1 rushing yards per game on 2.2 yards per carry; both of those figures rank them 128th out of 129 Division I teams. But while the Wildcats are happy to lean on a passing game that produces more than 320 yards per contest, they might feel compelled to run more against a Scarlet Knights team allowing an incredible 237.7 yards per game (5.92 YPC).

                      Northwestern is a 20.5-point favorite with a game total of 49, putting Rutgers' team total in the 14-to-15-point range. If the Wildcats can made headway on the ground, they could control this one from start to finish, making the under on the Scarlet Knights' total a strong option.


                      Tate Out for Arizona

                      A nightmare season has taken another rough turn for Khalil Tate. The Arizona Wildcats quarterback will miss this Saturday's Pac-12 encounter with UCLA as he recovers from a left ankle injury he initially suffered in Week 2. Tate, who compiled more than 1,400 rushing yards last season, has been limited to a paltry 112 yards on 46 attempts in 2018 due to the balky ankle, which knocked him out of last Friday's game against Utah after just two series. Tate's passing has taken a hit this season as well; he has completed just 53.4 percent of his attempts with 11 touchdowns and four interceptions.

                      The Bruins are favored by a touchdown against the visiting Wildcats, and will now face inexperienced Rhett Rodriguez under center. UCLA has covered six of the last seven games between the teams, and are a good bet to extend that run Saturday.


                      That's a Wrap for Reynolds

                      The Charlotte 49ers have lost their starting quarterback for the remainder of the season. Freshman Chris Reynolds will miss the rest of the 2018 campaign after underdoing surgery on his ankle, which he injured in the third quarter of Saturday's game against Western Kentucky. It's a significant development for the 49ers, with Reynolds having completed better than 63 percent of his passes for 1,181 yards with six TDs and two INTs. That success rate helped lead Charlotte to the second-best time of possession average in the country at just under 37 minutes per game.

                      Reynolds' ability to move the chains will be missed greatly by the 49ers, who 17.5-point underdogs at Middle Tennessee State. Bettors should downgrade the Charlotte offense, which produced just 15 touchdowns in 27 red-zone trips, and take the under on the team total, which sits at around 16 points.


                      Tua Bad, Tennessee

                      The Alabama Crimson Tide are expecting to have quarterback Tua Tagovailoa in the lineup for Saturday's encounter with Tennessee. Tagovailoa suffered a knee injury in last weekend's one-sided win over Missouri, but head coach Nick Saban said after the game that his prized pass-thrower could have returned if necessary and is expected to practice all week. Tagovailoa, who remains the overwhelming -200 favorite to win the Heisman Trophy, threw for 265 yards and three scores against the Tigers and remains perfect on the season with 21 TD passes against zero interceptions.

                      Alabama is a whopping 29-point road favorite against the Volunteers. Tagovailoa will likely see only three quarters of action – if that – before ceding to Jalen Hurts. That's a downgrade – and given how Tennessee fared last week, it might be a struggle for the Crimson Tide to cover such a big spread on the road with their No. 1 QB not at 100 percent.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Stanford at Arizona State
                        Joe Nelson

                        This week’s Thursday night game is a Pac-12 clash between Stanford and Arizona State. While the conference may have already played its way out of the national playoff hunt, both division races are still up for grabs and these teams are still viable contenders to play for the championship in December. Here is a look at the Thursday night game to start the next week of college football.

                        Match-up: Stanford Cardinal at Arizona State Sun Devils
                        Venue: At Sun Devil Stadium in Tempe, Arizona
                        Time/TV: Thursday, October 18, 9:00 PM ET ESPN
                        Line: Stanford -2½, Over/Under 56
                        Last Meeting: 2017, at Stanford (-17) 34, Arizona State 24

                        Stanford was expected by many to be not just a Pac-12 contender, but a serious threat to make a run at a spot in the College Football Playoff. The season started out impressively with wins over San Diego State and USC, holding those respectable foes to a combined 13 points in home victories. Stanford then seemed to perhaps be a team of destiny with an improbable comeback to win in overtime at Oregon as well.

                        In a huge game at Notre Dame in a matchup of teams in the top 10 of the polls in late September, the Cardinal were blown out with a 38-17 defeat. The next week playing without star running back Bryce Love, Stanford fared just as poorly back at home with a 40-21 loss to Utah. Stanford is still 2-1 in Pac-12 play, but has a difficult game remaining at Washington in a few weeks as another good but mildly disappointing season for David Shaw appears to be underway.

                        Last year, Stanford won the Pac-12 North and lost a competitive Pac-12 Championship game with USC before losing in a tight Alamo Bowl against TCU. The 9-5 finish matched the most losses for Shaw since he took over in 2011, but the team had high hopes for 2018 with Love returning and K.J. Costello showing great promise after taking over at quarterback midway through the 2017 season.

                        Shaw has an impressive track record currently with a 77-24 record at Stanford halfway through his eighth season, going 51-15 in Pac-12 play while winning five division titles and three conference championships. Shaw has two Rose Bowl wins as well, but the Cardinal have lost at least two games in every season to never seriously threaten in the national picture and this year’s team will be no different already with two defeats.

                        Last year’s team had the worst statistical defense that Shaw has fielded and the defense so far this season has struggled, allowing 400 yards per game despite only surrendering 22 points per game. Opponents have rushed for 164 yards per game against Stanford while the Cardinal has shockingly been one of the worst rushing offenses in the nation, averaging 86 yards per game on the ground with 3.1 yards per rush.

                        Love finished second in the Heisman voting last season with 2,118 rushing yards, 19 touchdowns and 8.1 yards per rush. He has missed two games this season and has barely average half of last season’s per carry average posting 4.3 yards per rush and only 327 total yards at this point in the season for a very disappointing senior campaign. He is a question mark this week with the lingering ankle injury.

                        Costello didn’t play the full season last year, but he already has thrown more interceptions and taken more sacks in his six starts this season for Stanford. He has thrown for 12 touchdowns on nearly 8.9 yards per attempt and his completion rate is up by nearly four percent as the offense has been effective in the passing game with a massive receiving corps led by JJ Arcega-Whiteside.

                        Herm Edwards was considered a curious hire at Arizona State following the departure of Todd Graham after six seasons. Graham was famously poached from Pittsburgh after just one season and was fairly successful for the Sun Devils making a bowl game in five of six years and winning the Pac-12 South in 2013. Edwards finished 20 games below .500 as a NFL head coach and had never been a head coach at the college level, actually only an assistant for three years as a position coach at San Jose State in the late ‘80s. He had also not been on the sidelines at all in a decade, emerging as a prominent TV personality on ESPN’s NFL coverage.

                        The Sun Devils made an early splash this season with a home upset of Michigan State, but the Sun Devils are just 3-3 on the season including 1-2 in Pac-12 play. All three losses have come on the road and all were decided by just seven points for competitive games. The remaining schedule for Arizona State is difficult still with USC, Utah, and Oregon on the schedule with two of those three games on the road as this is a critical home date if the Sun Devils are to make a bowl game.

                        Manny Wilkins has been a productive quarterback for the Sun Devils with nearly 1,500 yards passing and 11 touchdowns with only one interception so far this season. Arizona State has also been one of the better rushing teams in the conference led by Eno Benjamin who has 715 rushing yards on 5.7 yards per carry, currently ninth nationally and second in the Pac-12 in rushing yards.

                        Arizona State has held foes to just 3.8 yards per rush this season while the pass defense has posted average results with numbers just slightly better than Stanford has posted, through a lesser overall schedule so far. The scoring defense numbers are also nearly identical for these teams and a close game should be expected under the lights in Thursday’s national TV game, coinciding with a Thursday night NFL game 22 miles northwest in Glendale.

                        Last season:
                        These teams met in late September last season with matching 2-2 records. Arizona State had just defeated Oregon to recover from narrow losses to San Diego State and Texas Tech. Stanford won its opener last season in Australia but then lost to USC and San Diego State in road games before blasting UCLA ahead of this game. It was a back-and-forth game early with the teams trading scores until halftime with a 24-17 edge for the Cardinal as a heavy favorite. Bryce Love broke a 59-yard run in the third quarter but it was a one-score game in the final minutes until a late Stanford field goal. Stanford had a 504-409 yardage edge and a 2-1 edge in turnovers. Love emerged as a serious Heisman threat with 301 yards and three touchdowns, eclipsing 1,000 yards for the season in just his fifth game.

                        Historical Trends:

                        Arizona State has a 17-12 S/U edge since 1981 in this series with a 6-3 ATS mark since 2006, though Stanford has won S/U in five of the last six meetings.

                        Arizona State won the last home meeting in 2014 as a home underdog 26-10, while going 11-4 S/U and 9-6 ATS in the home meetings of this series since 1982.

                        The Sun Devils are on a 13-5 ATS run as a home underdog since 2009, winning outright in six of nine instances since 2016.

                        Arizona State is 12-4 S/U and ATS overall at home since 2016.

                        Stanford is 27-13 S/U and 22-17-1 ATS in road games under Shaw since 2011, going 16-13-1 ATS as a road favorite in that span. Since the start of last season, Stanford is just 1-5-1 ATS in road games.
                        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-18-2018, 01:15 PM.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          BOWMAN NOT A “FULL GO”

                          Alan Bowman is making progress in his recovery from a collapsed lung, but the Texas Tech quarterback might not be ready to return to action this weekend against the visiting Kansas Jayhawks. Red Raiders head coach Kliff Kingsbury acknowledged Tuesday that Bowman is "easing his way back in," but wouldn't offer a timetable for the QB's return. Bowman suffered the injury in Texas Tech's 42-34 loss to West Virginia on Sept. 29; the freshman has had a sensational season to date, passing for nearly 1,700 yards with 11 touchdown passes and just three interceptions.

                          Jett Duffey or McLane Starter will start in Bowman's place against the Jayhawks; Carter himself is banged up, while Duffey has thrown twice as many INTs (4) as TDs (2). The Red Raiders are -18.5 vs. Kansas but are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games and could be a stretch to cover against a Jayhawks team that leads the nation in turnover differential (+13).


                          LOVE ON THE FIELD?

                          The Stanford Cardinal might be getting their one-time Heisman Trophy candidate back this weekend against host Arizona State. Head coach David Shaw says he's "hopeful" that running back Bryce Love will make it back from an ankle injury that has limited him to just 76 carries so far this season. Love, who entered 2018 as one of the top Heisman Trophy picks in the nation, has appeared in just four games and has only one 100-yard rushing performance to his credit; he racked up 100 or more yards in 12 of the 13 games in which he appeared in 2017 en route to a 2,118-yard season.

                          Love's return will give a much-needed shot in the arm to a Stanford running game averaging the fourth-fewest yards per game in the nation (85.7). A return to form would also allow the Cardinal to keep their beleaguered defense off the field, making the over on their point total (28.5) and the under on the ASU total (27.5) viable options if Love does come back.


                          FROST’S SEAT GETTING HOTTER

                          Scott Frost couldn't have imagined going into the back half of October still looking for his first win as head coach of the Nebraska Cornhuskers. And yet, here he is, carrying a six-game losing streak into Saturday's home date with Minnesota. An inconsistent offense (23.3 ppg) and dismal defense (38.3) have been factors, but the Cornhuskers aren't doing themselves any favors by leading the country in penalty yards per game (96) while ranking second-last in infractions per contest (10.17). That could prove to be a problem against a Golden Gophers team ranked 20th in fewest penalty yards per game (43.17).

                          Lines don't often account for things like discipline – and it's clear that Minnesota is way ahead in that category, providing the kind of field-position advantage that should produce tangible results on the scoreboard. With Nebraska owning a 61-24 edge in penalty flags, bettors should consider taking the Golden Gophers +3.5 to extend Frost's misery.


                          VOL-UNTARY MANSLAUGHTER

                          Who's next? That's what Alabama fans and bettors are no doubt thinking after the Crimson Tide curb stomped Missouri 39-10 last week, keeping the Tigers scoreless over the final three quarters. The Tennessee Volunteers are next on the list – and they'll need to be a lot better in their own red zone if they hope to cover the four-TD spread. Tennessee has allowed points on every opposing trip to the red zone, one of only five teams in that group – and while the Tide's red-zone success rate is a modest 82.5 percent, they've made more journeys into the opposing red zone (40) than any other team in the country.

                          Alabama's team total sits at 43 as of Wednesday; if it remains in this neighborhood, we recommend taking the over. The Tide have scored fewer than that just once this season and should have no trouble converting their red-zone chances Saturday.

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                          • #14
                            Week 8 Upset Alerts
                            By Sportsbetting

                            It was a 2-1 ATS week for this piece last week, as I was finally able to hit another small underdog both ATS and on the ML. Oregon's win over Washington was impressive, but this week the Ducks better hope they don't get caught in the same trap as the higher ranked squad on the road when they visit Washington State. Without question, it's a tough spot for Oregon this week as Washington State is one of three college football teams that are perfect ATS this year (6-0 ATS).

                            Wyoming's struggles against the number continued as Fresno State blew the Cowboys out from start to finish, making Wyoming winless against the spread (0-6 ATS) since their Week 1 win over New Mexico State. It looks as though that program really needs to find an offensively identity again and that's not going to be a quick discovery.

                            Finally, my perfect ATS run this year on taking +20 or bigger underdogs remained in tact with Minnesota hanging around against Ohio State for at least the 1st half (trailed 17-14) and it was enough to easily get the ATS win. The Buckeyes looked a little hungover from their big win against Penn State the week prior in getting off to that slow start, but as it tends to do with all 20-point or bigger favorites, talent eventually wins out in the end and Ohio State was able to remain perfect.

                            Hopefully this week's plays can at least match last week's results, so let's get right to them:

                            Upset Alert #1: Underdogs in the +1 to +9 range

                            YTD: 2-6 SU; 2-6 ATS

                            Maryland +9 over Iowa


                            This spread would have never qualified for this range of plays having opened up at +13.5, but the steam on Maryland early this week is not without merit. The Terrapins are catching Iowa in a very tough spot this weekend, and with Maryland already showing they were able to bounce back from that Michigan loss rather quickly, this is simply too many points to give the Terrapins here.

                            Iowa is back at home after consecutive road wins against Minnesota and Indiana where the usually defensive-minded Hawkeyes scored 40+ in each win. Those two games were the first time this year that Iowa scored 40+, and with them coming back home this week you can understand why oddsmakers had to initially give Iowa's offense some respect initially.

                            However, when you see that this home game is actually a brutal sandwich spot for Iowa – after those two road wins and before two road games at Penn State and at Purdue – do not be surprised to see the Hawkeyes be quite flat in this spot. Opening the season with four straight home games and a bye week felt good in the midst of it, but eventually this program was going to have to pay for that schedule-wise and it appears as though this is the spot: Back at home as sizable favorites, off two blowout wins, and a Top 25 team in Penn State on deck.

                            As long as Maryland's offense is able to be the strength of the team that they are and move the ball/put up points, there aren't too many reasons to think that the Terrapins can't pull off the outright upset here. Iowa's defense has been a little leaky of late, and although Maryland's defense isn't that good, they should do enough to contain a suspect Iowa offense that's overdue for a regression back to a 17-20 point effort.

                            Maryland's offense should finish this game right around the 20-point mark too, as all these points are worth grabbing.


                            Upset Alert #2: Underdogs in the +10 to +19 range

                            YTD: 1-6 SU; 4-3 ATS

                            Kansas +18.5 over Texas Tech


                            Speaking of sandwich spots, the Texas Tech Red Raiders do have a extra few days of rest in their pockets this week after beating TCU last Thursday, but playing a team like Kansas that has been a doormat for Big 12 teams for years probably couldn't come at a worse time for the Red Raiders. Let me explain:

                            Texas Tech should probably win this game outright because everybody beats Kansas, but this is far too many points to expect the Red Raiders to win by here. This game comes after four straight weeks of tough games – vs Houston, at OK State, vs West Virginia, at TCU – where Texas Tech ended up going 3-1 SU and ATS when they were lined as underdogs in three of the four games and closed as a pick'em in the fourth. That's four straight weeks (with a bye week in between) of intense focus and quality play by the Red Raiders, and it's going to be nearly impossible to maintain that type of focus this week against Kansas. And that's without looking ahead to who's on deck for the Red Raiders.

                            Following this week's game vs Kansas, Texas Tech travels to face Iowa State, before hosting Oklahoma and Texas in consecutive weeks. Considering how well the Red Raiders have gotten results so far this year, you can probably excuse them on a personal level if they don't bring 100% focus to this game against Kansas. Off a big upset win, and even bigger games approaching, Texas Tech is lucky to even have one eye on the Jayhawks this week.

                            So while you may be able to forgive these 18-22 year-olds on a personal level for actually acting their age and looking past a weaker opponent, as a handicapper, I'm looking to be just like the NCAA and exploit these kids and this spot from a betting perspective.

                            Kansas may not be the best team, but they have had two weeks to prepare for this meeting and are coming off a tough game at West Virginia where a 38-22 loss was easily more than enough for the ATS win. But that was only the first time in Big 12 play this year that the Jayhawks covered a point spread, so you can understand why there would be some trepidation in wanting to back Kansas this week (or any week for that matter).

                            But back-to-back weeks of scoring 20+ for this Jayhawks offense is a good sign, and if they can use their ground game to not only add variety into their attack but lengthen drives, Kansas should find themselves in this game with a sluggish Texas Tech team from the start. Throw in a few forced turnovers like Kansas had against West Virginia (forced 4 TO's), and this game should stay well within this number.


                            Upset Alert #3: Underdogs in the +20 and above range

                            YTD: 7-0 ATS

                            UTEP +23.5 over Louisiana Tech


                            Well you had to figure that eventually this perfect run of backing large underdogs would be putting it's faith into some very bad teams once conference play was in full swing, and that's exactly what we've got this week. Conference rivals tend to have less of a disparity in talent level compared to when you get all those Power 5 vs Mid-Major matchups early on where 20+ point spreads are the norm. This week we actually have more 20+ 'dogs then we did a week ago, but it's fitting that my perfect ATS run streak this year with these big dogs is turning to a program that has lost 18 games in a row SU like UTEP. They've got to be due right?

                            Literally thinking that way (“Team A is due”) will quickly get you into trouble in the betting business, but UTEP does stand out as one of the best big underdogs to play on this week. The Miners are 0-6 SU this year and on a 0-18 SU run, but there have been signs of improvement as this program continues to search for respectability.

                            UTEP has covered the number in three of their last four games overall, with the most recent three losses all coming in conference play and none being by more than nine points. The Miners last time out on the field was two weeks ago against North Texas, and as 26-point underdogs, UTEP managed to give North Texas all they could handle and then some in the 27-24 UTEP defeat. The Miners were that close to ending their winless run, and you know everyone on that roster has been chomping at the bit to get back on the field after that game.

                            So here is the Miners shot, after a bye week, and facing a Louisiana Tech team that lost their last home game by 21 points when they were laying a full TD. The Bulldogs are easily the more talented bunch, but similar to Iowa's schedule mentioned earlier, this is also just a quick stop at home for Louisiana Tech before three of their next four games are on the road, including trips to Florida Atlantic and Mississippi State on deck. That's not the greatest spot to be in to try and cover a big number like this, even if it is UTEP across the field from you.

                            And similar to Texas Tech's game vs Kansas, it's going to be easy for Louisiana Tech to completely disregard/overlook a UTEP program that's been disastrous for years now. Teams that expect to simply show up and win games are great to have as a casual sports fan of those squads because the basis of it means they are pretty good, but in the betting world, I do not want to lay a massive amount of points with teams that go into games with that mindset. And like my thoughts on Texas Tech falling victim to that hubris, Louisiana Tech gets tripped up by the same move this week against lowly UTEP.

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                            • #15
                              LSU FOR THREE?

                              The LSU Tigers are on a high following last week's stunning 20-point win over Georgia – but things don't get any easier for Ed Orgeron's troops as they host a strong Mississippi State team Saturday. The Tigers are well-positioned to make a run at a spot in the College Football Playoff – but to do so, they'll need to improve what has been a rather ordinary red zone offense. While LSU has converted 31 of their 33 trips inside the opponents' 20-yard line into points, they've scored just 17 touchdowns while settling for a whopping 14 field goals – more than any other team in the nation.

                              With Mississippi State having held foes to four TDs and seven FGs in 14 red-zone trips, it might be worth considering taking the field goal as LSU's first scoring play, which pays out at a tempting +250.


                              HERE COMES ROSIER (AGAIN)

                              The Miami Hurricanes are off this week, but that hasn't prevented them from making major headlines. Head coach Mark Richt says he'll be going back to senior quarterback Malik Rosier as his starter, promoting him in place of N'Kosi Perry. "Right this minute I think Malik is better equipped from his ability and his experiences to lead this team," Richt told reporters. It's a bit of a shock given how Rosier has performed so far this season, completing just 52.1 percent of his passes for 781 yards with five touchdowns and three interceptions. Miami returns to action Oct. 26 against host Boston College.

                              Bettors interested in getting out in front here should consider that Rosier has completed less than half his passes with three TDs and three INTs on the road. The Eagles are also on a bye this week, and are in great position to cover behind a well-rested defense that enters this week ranked fourth in the nation in sacks per game (3.57).

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