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CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 18 (Fri., Oct. 12 - Sat., Oct. 13)

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  • CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 18 (Fri., Oct. 12 - Sat., Oct. 13)

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, October 12 - Saturday, October 13

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    CFL Betting Notes - Week 18
    David Schwab

    The extended Week 17 schedule due to Canada’s Thanksgiving holiday started with Winnipeg’s thrilling 40-32 victory over Ottawa in overtime on Friday night. The action shifted to British Columbia on Saturday night and the Lions squeezed out a 26-23 win against Toronto as a seven-point favorite.

    Monday’s holiday doubleheader started with Calgary grinding out a 12-6 road win against Montreal as a heavy 13 ½-point favorite. Saskatchewan remained the hottest team in the CFL right now with a 19-12 victory over Edmonton as a 3 ½-point favorite at home.

    Friday, Oct. 12

    Hamilton Tiger-Cats (7-7 SU, 6-7-1 ATS) at Toronto Argonauts (3-11 SU, 6-8 ATS)

    Point-spread: Hamilton -7
    Total: 52 ½

    Game Overview

    Ottawa’s loss combined with a Week 16 bye has the Tiger-Cats a game back in the East Division title race. They have already beaten Toronto once in a 42-28 romp on Sept. 3 as nine-point home favorites. The total went OVER 51 points in that game and it has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in their last five outings. Hamilton is averaging 29.1 points per game as the third-highest scoring team in the CFL.

    The Argonauts’ extended straight-up losing streak reached six games and it was just the second time they covered against the spread during this slide. The total stayed UNDER the closing 52-point line against the Lions after going OVER in their previous four games. Toronto is 3-1 ATS in its last four home games with the total going OVER in four of its last five games played at home.

    Betting Trends

    -- Hamilton has a 7-2 edge ATS in its last nine road games against the Argonauts and the total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings in Toronto.


    Saturday, Oct. 13

    Saskatchewan Roughriders (10-5 SU, 8-7 ATS) at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (8-7 SU, 8-6-1 ATS)

    Point-spread: Winnipeg -3 ½
    Total: 53

    Game Overview

    Saskatchewan has just one SU loss in its last eight games with Monday’s win against Edmonton. This was the first time the Roughriders were able to cover in their last four games and the total stayed UNDER for the first time in their last six contests. Defensive end Willie Jefferson returned a late fourth-quarter interception 49 yards for a score in Monday’s come-from-behind victory.

    The Blue Bombers helped their postseason plans with Friday’s win while extending their current winning streak to three games both SU and ATS. This followed a four-game losing streak (SU and ATS) in what has been a wild roller-coaster ride since early August. Matt Nichols threw for 265 yards and three touchdowns against Ottawa and, on the year, he has completed 64.5 percent of his 341 passing attempts for 2,633 yards and 15 scores.

    Betting Trends

    -- Saskatchewan has already won a home-and-home series against Winnipeg both SU and ATS heading into the third meeting this season between the two West Division foes. It won the first two meetings by a combined score of 63-50 and the total went OVER in each of those games.

    Ottawa RedBlacks (8-6 SU, 6-8 ATS) at Edmonton Eskimos (7-8 SU, 6-9 ATS)
    Point-spread: Edmonton -3 ½
    Total: 51

    Game Overview

    Despite Friday’s loss to Winnipeg, the RedBlacks still clinched a playoff berth in the East. The total went OVER 52 ½ points in that game after staying UNDER in four of their previous six games. Trevor Harris played one of his better games of the year last Friday night with 349 yards passing and three scoring strikes against no interceptions. William Powell turned in another strong effort running the ball with 95 yards on 14 carries.

    Edmonton is currently on the outside looking in when it comes to the CFL playoff picture in the West. Mike Reilly was picked off three times in Monday’s loss and he completed just 48.1 percent of his 27 passing attempts on the day. This was the Eskimos’ third loss in a row both SU and ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in all three setbacks after this once potent offense was held to a combined 30 points.

    Betting Trends

    -- Edmonton has won eight of its last nine home games against Ottawa SU. It has a 6-3 edge ATS and the total has gone OVER in six of those nine meetings.

    British Columbia Lions (7-7 AU, 8-6 ATS) at Calgary Stampeders (12-2 SU, 8-6 ATS)
    Point-spread: Calgary-10 ½
    Total: 49 ½

    Game Overview

    The Lions are right in the thick of things for a playoff berth in the jumbled West Division standings. With Saturday’s win, they are 4-1 SU in their last five games with a 3-2 record ATS. With the total staying UNDER against Toronto, it has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in eight of BC’s last nine games. Jonathon Jennings continues to get the call at quarterback for an injured Travis Lulay on an offense that is averaging 23.6 PPG.

    Calgary’s lead over Saskatchewan in the West sits at a game and half, so it still needs to win on Saturday to stay on track for another division title. There has to be some concern with Monday’s effort, but for some reason Montreal always plays the Stampeders’ tough. This is still a team that is averaging 30.7 points per game behind Bo Levi Mitchel at quarterback while holding opposing teams to 19.3 PPG.

    Betting Trends

    -- Calgary beat BC 27-18 in early August as a 12 ½-point home favorite to extend its SU winning streak against the Lions to five games. The total stayed UNDER 49 ½ points in that game and it has stayed UNDER in four of the last five meetings.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-13-2018, 12:36 AM.

    Comment


    • #3
      CFL
      Long Sheet

      Week 18


      Friday, October 12

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      HAMILTON (7 - 7) at TORONTO (3 - 11) - 10/12/2018, 7:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      HAMILTON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing on a Friday over the last 2 seasons.
      TORONTO is 22-44 ATS (-26.4 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 since 1996.
      TORONTO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing on a Friday over the last 3 seasons.
      TORONTO is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) in home games in October games since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      HAMILTON is 5-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
      HAMILTON is 5-3 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
      6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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      Saturday, October 13

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      SASKATCHEWAN (10 - 5) at WINNIPEG (8 - 7) - 10/13/2018, 2:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      SASKATCHEWAN is 85-59 ATS (+20.1 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
      SASKATCHEWAN is 140-101 ATS (+28.9 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
      SASKATCHEWAN is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      SASKATCHEWAN is 5-2 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
      WINNIPEG is 4-3 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
      6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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      OTTAWA (8 - 6) at EDMONTON (7 - 8) - 10/13/2018, 5:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      OTTAWA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
      OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 2 seasons.
      OTTAWA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
      OTTAWA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
      OTTAWA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
      EDMONTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
      EDMONTON is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
      EDMONTON is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) off a division game this season.
      EDMONTON is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      OTTAWA is 4-1 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
      OTTAWA is 4-2 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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      BRITISH COLUMBIA (7 - 7) at CALGARY (12 - 2) - 10/13/2018, 8:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      CALGARY is 134-99 ATS (+25.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      CALGARY is 4-3 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
      CALGARY is 6-1 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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      CFL

      Week 18


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      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Friday, October 12

      Hamilton Tiger-Cats
      Hamilton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games
      Hamilton is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 6 games on the road
      Hamilton is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Toronto
      Hamilton is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Toronto
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Hamilton's last 8 games when playing Toronto
      Hamilton is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Toronto
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
      Toronto Argonauts
      Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
      Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
      Toronto is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home
      Toronto is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Hamilton
      Toronto is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Hamilton
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing Hamilton
      Toronto is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Hamilton
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Hamilton



      Saturday, October 13

      Saskatchewan Roughriders
      Saskatchewan is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games
      Saskatchewan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 7 games on the road
      Saskatchewan is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Winnipeg
      Saskatchewan is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing Winnipeg
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
      Saskatchewan is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
      Winnipeg Blue Bombers
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 7 games
      Winnipeg is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
      The total has gone OVER in 7 of Winnipeg's last 9 games at home
      Winnipeg is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Saskatchewan
      Winnipeg is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing Saskatchewan
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
      Winnipeg is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan


      Ottawa RedBlacks
      Ottawa is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
      Ottawa is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games on the road
      Ottawa is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Edmonton
      Ottawa is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
      Ottawa is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games when playing Edmonton
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing Edmonton
      Ottawa is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
      Ottawa is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Ottawa's last 9 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
      Edmonton Eskimos
      Edmonton is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games
      Edmonton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
      Edmonton is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Ottawa
      Edmonton is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games when playing Ottawa
      Edmonton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing Ottawa
      Edmonton is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Ottawa
      Edmonton is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Ottawa
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Edmonton's last 9 games when playing at home against Ottawa


      British Columbia Lions
      British Columbia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of British Columbia's last 7 games
      British Columbia is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
      British Columbia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
      British Columbia is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Calgary
      British Columbia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Calgary
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games when playing Calgary
      British Columbia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
      Calgary Stampeders
      Calgary is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games
      Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 7 games at home
      Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing British Columbia
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing British Columbia
      Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against British Columbia


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      Comment


      • #4
        CFL
        Dunkel

        Week 18



        Friday, October 12

        Hamilton @ Toronto

        Game 661-662
        October 12, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Hamilton
        112.473
        Toronto
        109.825
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Hamilton
        by 2 1/2
        59
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Hamilton
        by 7 1/2
        52 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Toronto
        (+7 1/2); Over



        Saturday, October 13

        Saskatchewan @ Winnipeg

        Game 663-664
        October 13, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Saskatchewan
        116.810
        Winnipeg
        112.980
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Saskatchewan
        by 4
        56
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Winnipeg
        by 3 1/2
        53
        Dunkel Pick:
        Saskatchewan
        (+3 1/2); Over

        Ottawa @ Edmonton


        Game 665-666
        October 13, 2018 @ 5:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Ottawa
        108.510
        Edmonton
        114.042
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Edmonton
        by 5 1/2
        56
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Edmonton
        by 3 1/2
        51
        Dunkel Pick:
        Edmonton
        (-3 1/2); Over

        BC Lions @ Calgary


        Game 667-668
        October 13, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        BC Lions
        104.657
        Calgary
        123.636
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Calgary
        by 19
        51
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Calgary
        by 10 1/2
        49 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Calgary
        (-10 1/2); Over

        Comment


        • #5
          CFL
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Week 18



          Hamilton (7-7) (-7.5, 52.5) @ Toronto (3-11)— TiCats already beat Toronto twice this year, 42-28/36-25; Hamilton won six of last nine series games- teams split last four games played here. Last three series games went over the total. TiCats won four of last six games, split last four on road; they’re 22 as road favorites— four of their last five games went over. Argonauts lost their last six games (2-4 vs spread); they allowed 30+ points in four of last five. Toronto is 4-3 as a home underdog- over is 7-3 in their last ten games.

          Saskatchewan (10-5) @ Winnipeg (8-7) (-3.5, 53)
          — Roughriders won first two meetings this year, 31-23/32-27, but they lost three of last four visits here. Over is 8-2 in last ten series games. Saskatchewan won three in row, seven of last eight games; they won last four road games by total of 14 points. Five of their last six games went over the total. Blue Bombers scored 101 points in winning last three games; they won in OT in Ottawa LW. Winnipeg is 3-2-1 as home favorites; over is 7-3 in their last ten games.

          Ottawa (8-6) @ Edmonton (7-8) (-3.5, 51)
          — RedBlacks beat Edmonton 28-15 at home in first meeting Sept 22, outgaining Eskimos 470-335; Ottawa won four of last six series games, but lost three of last four visits here, with losses by 2-6-29 points. Six of last eight series games stayed under. Ottawa is 2-3 in last five games after an OT loss LW; RedBlacks are 3-2 as road underdogs- over is 3-1 in their last four road games. Eskimos lost their last three games, scoring 15-3-12 points; they’re 2-4 as home favorites. Under is 5-1 in their last six games.

          BC Lions (7-7) @ Calgary (12-2) (-10.5, 49.5)
          — Stampeders won eight of last nine series games, including last five played here (3-2 vs spread); they beat Lions 27-18 (-12.5) in first meeting this year, back in August. Under is 7-2 in last nine series games. BC won four of its last five games, with last two wins by FG each; Lions are 2-3 as road underdogs- under is 7-1-1 in their last nine games. Calgary is 3-5 vs spread in its last eight games, 4-3 as home favorites, 1-3 when laying double digits- over is 5-2 in their last seven games.

          Through Week 17:
          Favorites 27-38; Under 37-25-2
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-13-2018, 12:41 AM.

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