Announcement

**Udog** · 09-24-2018, 07:02 PM

CFL Betting Notes - Week 16
David Schwab

It was a wild weekend in the CFL starting with Winnipeg’s 31-14 victory against Montreal on Friday night as a 10-point home favorite. Saturday’s action started with Ottawa pulling off the upset against Edmonton as a three-point underdog at home in a solid 28-15 victory.

Saskatchewan got past Toronto 30-29 later in the day, but the favored Roughriders could not cover the three points on the road. Week 15 closed things out with British Columbia squeezing past Hamilton 35-32 in overtime as a 2 ½-point underdog at home.

Friday, Sept. 28

Toronto Argonauts (3-9 SU, 5-7 ATS) at Calgary Stampeders (10-2 SU, 7-5 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -13
Total:: 53

Game Overview

The Argonauts are fading from the playoff picture in the East Division with four straight-up losses in a row. Covering against Saskatchewan on Saturday moved them to 1-3 against the spread during this same span. The total went OVER 51 points in that game and it has now gone OVER in six of Toronto’s last eight games. Defensively, the Argos are allowing an average of 31.3 points per game.

Calgary is coming off a Week 15 bye. The Stampeders failed to clinch a playoff berth while remaining idle with the Roughriders’ win, but they still have a comfortable two and a half game lead in the West Division title race. They have closed as favorites in all 12 games with an even 3-3 record ATS in six previous home games. The total has gone OVER in four of their last five games behind an offense that is averaging 31.7 points per game.

Betting Trends

-- Calgary has won nine of its last 10 games against Toronto SU including a 41-7 romp in Week 2 as a four-point road favorite. However, the Argonauts have a 5-2 edge ATS in their last seven road games against the Stampeders. The total has stayed UNDER in nine of the last 11 meetings in Calgary.

Saturday, Sept. 29

British Columbia Lions (6-6 AU, 8-4 ATS) at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (6-7 SU, 5-7-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -7
Total:: 51

Game Overview

The Lions remain in the thick of the playoff race in the West as a possible crossover team to the weaker East Division. They have quietly put together a three-game winning streak both SU and ATS with the mild upset over Hamilton their last time out. Travis Lulay is sidelined with a separated shoulder, but Jonathan Jennings filled the void against the Tiger-Cats with 346 yards passing and three touchdown throws.

Hamilton fell two games off the pace set by Ottawa in the East with last week’s loss. Coming into the backend of this inter-division home-and-home series, they have lost their last two games (SU and ATS) following a SU three-game winning streak. This is the kind of inconsistency that has plagued the Tiger-Cats all season long. They are 3-3 SU at home this season with a 2-4 record ATS. The total has gone OVER in their last four games overall.

Betting Trends

-- BC has a 4-1 edge both SU and ATS in its last five games against Hamilton and the total has gone OVER in seven of the last 10 games between the two. The Lions have won 11 of the last 16 games played in Hamilton SU.

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (6-7 SU, 6-6-1 ATS) at Edmonton Eskimos (7-6 SU, 6-7 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -6 ½
Total:: 56

Game Overview

Winnipeg moved a half game out of the final playoff spot with Friday’s win. The victory snapped a four-game losing streak both SU and ATS. It was also the first time in the Blue Bombers’ last five games that the total stayed UNDER the closing line. It has gone OVER in nine of their first 13 games this season. Matt Nichols completed 72 percent of his 25 passing attempts on Friday for 256 yards and a score.

The Eskimos’ slow start out of the gate on Saturday led to an early 9-0 deficit that they could never close. This was a bad loss for a team chasing a playoff spot in the West and their third SU setback in their last four games. The total stayed UNDER 55 points against the RedBlacks and it has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in five of Edmonton’s last seven games. The Eskimos have gone 3-7 ATS this season when closing as favorites.

Betting Trends

-- These two division rivals met in Week 1 with Edmonton coming away with a 33-30 win on the road as a seven-point favorite. Winnipeg has covered ATS in four of the last five meetings with the total going OVER in three of the five games.

Sunday, Sept. 30

Saskatchewan Roughriders (8-5 SU, 7-6 ATS) at Montreal Alouettes (3-10 SU, 6-7 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -6
Total:: 48

Game Overview

The Roughriders have won five of their last six games SU, but they have failed to cover in their last two contests. The total went OVER 51 points in Saturday’s win at Toronto and it has gone OVER in five of their last six games. Zach Collaros tossed two touchdowns and two interceptions in that game with Marcus Thigpen leading the way on the ground with 95 yards rushing on just four carries. His longest run of the day covered 82 yards resulting in a score.

Montreal continues to bring up the rear in the East Division behind an offense that is averaging just 16.8 points a game. Johnny Manziel got the chance to start at quarterback against Winnipeg and he ended the game with 212 yards passing and 36 more yards on the ground. Trailing by two touchdowns at halftime, the Alouettes could only manage to score eight points over the final two quarters.

Betting Trends

-- Montreal has won four of its last five games against the Roughriders SU including this season’s 23-17 victory in late June as a 10 ½-point road underdog. The Alouettes are 4-2 ATS in their last six home games against Saskatchewan and the total has stayed UNDER in the last five meetings overall.

**Udog** · 09-24-2018, 07:03 PM

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 16

Friday, September 28

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TORONTO (3 - 9) at CALGARY (10 - 2) - 9/28/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) as an underdog of 10 or more points since 1996.
TORONTO is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points since 1996.
TORONTO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing on a Friday over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 5-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 5-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, September 29

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BRITISH COLUMBIA (6 - 6) at HAMILTON (6 - 7) - 9/29/2018, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 59-33 ATS (+22.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 98-72 ATS (+18.8 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
HAMILTON is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-1 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-1 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WINNIPEG (6 - 7) at EDMONTON (7 - 6) - 9/29/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 13-31 ATS (-21.1 Units) in road games in September games since 1996.
WINNIPEG is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 4-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 4-3 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, September 30

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SASKATCHEWAN (8 - 5) at MONTREAL (3 - 10) - 9/30/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 73-50 ATS (+18.0 Units) when playing on a Sunday since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 126-93 ATS (+23.7 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
MONTREAL is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 3-2 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 4-1 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL

Week 16

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Trend Report
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Friday, September 28

Toronto Argonauts
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Calgary
Toronto is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Calgary
Toronto is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Toronto's last 11 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary Stampeders
Calgary is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Calgary is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games
Calgary is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games at home
Calgary is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
Calgary is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Calgary is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto
Calgary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Calgary's last 11 games when playing at home against Toronto

Saturday, September 29

British Columbia Lions
British Columbia is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
British Columbia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
British Columbia is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games
British Columbia is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
British Columbia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
British Columbia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Hamilton
British Columbia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone OVER in 8 of British Columbia's last 11 games when playing Hamilton
British Columbia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
British Columbia is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of British Columbia's last 15 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Hamilton is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games
Hamilton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Hamilton is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games at home
Hamilton is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing British Columbia
Hamilton is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing British Columbia
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Hamilton's last 11 games when playing British Columbia
Hamilton is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against British Columbia
Hamilton is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Hamilton's last 15 games when playing at home against British Columbia

Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Winnipeg is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games
Winnipeg is 18-6 ATS in its last 24 games on the road
Winnipeg is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Winnipeg's last 22 games on the road
Winnipeg is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
Winnipeg is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Winnipeg is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Winnipeg is 3-14-1 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton Eskimos
Edmonton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games at home
Edmonton is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Winnipeg
Edmonton is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Edmonton is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
Edmonton is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg

Sunday, September 30

Saskatchewan Roughriders
Saskatchewan is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Saskatchewan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games
Saskatchewan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games on the road
Saskatchewan is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Montreal
Saskatchewan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games when playing Montreal
Saskatchewan is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Saskatchewan is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Saskatchewan's last 20 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal Alouettes
Montreal is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Montreal is 6-18 ATS in its last 24 games
Montreal is 3-21 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games
Montreal is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Montreal is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games at home
Montreal is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Saskatchewan
Montreal is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
Montreal is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
Montreal is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Montreal's last 20 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan

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**Udog** · 09-26-2018, 12:41 AM

CFL

Dunkel

Week 16

Friday, September 28

Toronto @ Calgary

Game 671-672
September 28, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
106.815
Calgary
118.326
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 11 1/2
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 14
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+14); Over

Saturday, September 29

BC Lions @ Hamilton

Game 673-674
September 29, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
BC Lions
114.933
Hamilton
112.656
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
BC Lions
by 2 1/2
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hamilton
by 7 1/2
51
Dunkel Pick:
BC Lions
(+7 1/2); Over

Winnipeg @ Edmonton

Game 675-676
September 29, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
107.997
Edmonton
117.596
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 9 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
by 6
56 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(-6); Under

Sunday, September 30

Saskatchewan @ Montreal

Game 677-678
September 30, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Saskatchewan
111.816
Montreal
101.936
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Saskatchewan
by 10
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Saskatchewan
by 6 1/2
48
Dunkel Pick:
Saskatchewan
(-6 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 09-27-2018, 12:07 AM

CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 16

Toronto (3-9) @ Calgary (10-2) (-13.5, 53)— Stampeders won nine of last ten series games; they crushed Argos 41-7 (-4) in Toronto back in June. Argonauts lost last four visits here, but did cover two of those games. Under is 6-2 in last eight series games. Toronto lost its last four games, giving up 34.3 ppg; they’re 0-3 vs spread in last three road games. Over is 6-2 in their last eight games overall. Calgary covered only one of its last four home games; Four of their last five games went over.

BC Lions @ Hamilton (-7, 51)— Lions won five of last six series games; they beat Ti-Cats 35-32 in OT at home Saturday, after tying game at gun in regulation. Over is 7-3 in their last 10 series games. BC won its last two visits here, 41-26/28-3. Lions won their last three games, scoring 31 ppg; they lost four of last five road games. Under is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. Hamilton gave up 78 points in losing its last two games; their last four games went over the total. Ti-Cats lost three of their last five home games.

Winnipeg (6-7) @ Edmonton (7-6) (-6.5, 56)— Road team won seven of last ten series games, with Eskimos going 7-3 in those games. Blue Bombers won 28-19/30-23 in their last two trips here. Four of last six series games went over the total. Winnipeg lost four of its last five games; they lost three of last four road games. Six of their last eight games went over the total. Eskimos lost three of last four games but won last four at home, scoring 48-40 points in their last couple home tilts. Three of their last four games stayed under the total.

Saskatchewan (8-5) (-6.5, 48) @ Montreal (3-10)— Alouettes won four of last five series games; they upset Roughriders 23-17 (+10.5) in late June. Riders lost four of last five visits here, with the one win in OT, back in 2015. Saskatchewan won five of last six games after escaping Toronto with a 30-29 win LW; Riders won last three road games, scoring 28.7 ppg- their last four games went over the total. Montreal lost 31-14/32-14 last two weeks; they covered four of their last six games. Last four Alouette games stayed under the total.

Through Week 15: Favorites 24-33; Under 32-22-2

Announcement

CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 16 (Fri., Sep. 28 - Sun., Sept. 30)

CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 16 (Fri., Sep. 28 - Sun., Sept. 30)

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