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NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 5 (Thur., Sept. 27 - Sat., Sept. 29)

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  • NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 5 (Thur., Sept. 27 - Sat., Sept. 29)


    Week 5


    NCAAF Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, September 27 - Saturday, September 29

    Additional trends and information will be added as available.

    NOTE:

    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Betting Recap - Week 4
    Joe Williams

    Overall Notes

    College Football Week 4 Results
    WAGER Favorites-Underdogs
    Straight Up 52-9
    Against the Spread 34-27

    WAGER Home-Away
    Straight Up 41-20
    Against the Spread 25-36

    WAGER Totals (O/U)
    Over-Under 32-29

    The largest underdogs to win straight up
    Old Dominion (+28.5, ML +2000) vs. Virginia Tech, 49-35
    Texas Tech (+14.5, ML +500) at Oklahoma State,
    Kentucky (+10, ML +300) vs. Mississippi State, 28-7

    The largest favorites to cover
    Houston (-55.5) vs. Texas Southern, 70-14
    Appalachian State (-44) vs. Gardner-Webb, 72-7
    Ohio State (-38) vs. Tulane, 49-6
    Auburn (-29.5) vs. Arkansas, 34-3

    Top 25 Notes

    -- The best game of the day took place in Eugene, as Stanford and Oregon played a classic. The Ducks built a 24-7 lead at halftime, but the second half was all Cardinal. Oregon had the ball in the red zone late in the third quarter, trying to make it 31-7. Instead, Joey Alfieri scooped up a fumble and returned it 80 yards for a momentum-changing TD, slicing Oregon's lead to 24-14. Another quick TD near the end of the third made it 24-21. Ducks' moneyline bettors knew it was coming, as the Cardinals posted a field goal at :00 in regulation to force OT. That was also good for a bad beat on the total (see below). The Cardinal finished off the overtime with a TD, winning 38-31 for a miracle cover, too.

    -- Ohio State got Urban Meyer back on the sidelines after his three-game suspension, and it was like he never left. They whipped up on Tulane, 49-6. The Buckeyes moved to 3-1 ATS, including 3-0 ATS at the Horseshoe. The most notable part of this game might have been a bad beat involving the total. Again, see below.

    -- Virginia Tech rolled into the Hampton Roads looking to squash winless Old Dominion, a side which entered 0-3 SU/ATS. The Hokies tied the game late, making it 35-35, but the Monarchs picked up a pair of touchdowns late to spring the huge upset, the first win over a Power 5 team in school history.

    -- West Virginia had two weeks off to prepare for Kansas State after having last week's road trip to N.C. State canceled due to Hurricane Florence. They looked rested, as they humbled K-State by a 35-6 score in Morgantown. The Mountaineers improved to 3-0 SU/ATS.

    Big Five Conference Report (ACC, Big 10, Big 12, Pac-12, SEC)

    -- North Carolina surprised Pittsburgh 38-35 in Chapel Hill, as the two-week break from Hurricane Florence did them some good. The Panthers slipped to 2-2 SU/1-3 ATS. ... Virginia posted an impressive 27-3 win at home against Louisville, improving to 3-1 SU/4-0 ATS. ... N.C. State took care of Marshall by a 37-20 count, covering a six-point number on the road. The Wolfpack are now 3-0 SU/2-1 ATS, and they were another team looking well prepared after a week off thanks to the hurricane.

    -- Michigan roughed up Nebraska 56-10 in the Big House, dropping the Cornhuskers to 0-3 for the first time since 1945. The honeymoon might be over for Scott Frost at his alma mater. As far as the Wolverines are concerned, they're now 3-0/2-1 ATS in their three games since being dropped by Notre Dame in their opener. ... Meanwhile, Michigan State cooled off Indiana at 'The Rock' by a 35-21 score, covering for the first time in three games this season. ... For anyone expecting Rutgers to be better this season...nah. Tgey were roughed up by Buffalo 42-13, falling to 0-3 SU/ATS over the past three.

    -- Iowa State handed Akron its first loss of the season, 26-13. However, the Zips were able to cover a 19 1/2-point number, moving to 2-0 ATS in their two games against FBS schools. The Cyclones slipped to 1-2 ATS in their three games to date. ... TCU dropped their second straight outing, falling to Texas for the first time in four years. The 'Horns have won three in a row, and covered each of their past two, both at home. ... It was exactly 11 years to the day since Oklahoma State head coach Mike Gundy's "I'm a man...I'm 40" rant, and the opponent that day was Texas Tech. The two sides played again, and the Red Raiders were able to come away with a much-needed 41-17 win in Stillwater, winning and covering for the third straight after getting whipped in their opener.

    -- Washington held off a spirited charge from Arizona State, winning 27-20. The Sun Devils easily covered the 18-point number, moving to 9-0 ATS in their past nine trips to Seattle and 16-2-2 ATS in the past 20 meetings in this series overall. ... On Friday night it was USC earning a feel-good win at home against Washington State, 39-36, although the Cougars were able to hang on for the cover. While the Trojans squared their record at 2-2 SU, they slipped to 0-4 ATS.

    -- Tennessee was horrific in their rivalry game against Florida, falling in front of the restless natives at Neyland Stadium by a 47-21 count as the Gators were able to take care of the 'over' (46.5) themselves. ... Auburn showed why they were favorites by 29 1/2 over Arkansas, as the Razorbacks really are that bad. The Hogs have dropped three in a row, slipping to 1-3 SU/0-3-1 ATS. The 'under' has also cashed in three in a row for Arkansas. ... Kentucky picked up a 28-7 win against No. 14 Mississippi State, improving to 4-0 SU/2-2 ATS. The Wildcats have scored 27 or more points in all four games this season. Might Kentucky football be headed for a ranking for the first time since 2007?

    Mid-Major Report

    -- UCF beat down visiting Florida Atlantic on Friday by a 56-36 score, easily covering by pulling away in the second half. The Owls slipped to 2-2 SU and 0-4 ATS so far. ... Connecticut was tripped up 51-21 in Syracuse, dropping the Huskies to 1-3 SU/0-3-1 ATS. The 'under' result against the Orange was the first of the season for UConn after three straight overs. ... East Carolina picked up its second consecutive cover, playing South Florida tough in a 20-13 loss in Tampa.

    -- Louisiana Tech gave LSU all they could handle, slicing the lead of the Tigers to 24-21 in the fourth quarter before the home team pulled away to win by 17. The Bulldogs have now hit the 'over' in each of their three games this season. ... Western Kentucky surprised Ball State by a 28-20 score for their first win of the season. They improved to 3-1 ATS, however, with the 'under' also 3-1 through four outings. ... Florida International slipped to 2-2 SU with a loss at Miami-Florida, but the Golden Panthers improved to 4-0 ATS.

    -- Eastern Michigan played their hearts out, but they fell at San Diego State in overtime by a 23-20 count. The Eagles improved to 3-1 ATS, however. ... For Ball State, while they lost, they have been helpful at the betting window to total bettors. The 'under' is now 4-0. ... Speaking of totals, Ohio has hit the 'over' in all three of their contests so far.

    -- Utah State rolled past Air Force 42-32 to improve to 4-0 ATS overall on the season. The 'over' is also 4-0 for the Aggies. ... Colorado State continues to baffle, as they fell at home to FCS Illinois State to slip to 1-4 SU/ATS. The 'under' is also 4-1 overall for the Rams. ... The Aztecs squeaked out the win over EMU in overtime, but they slipped to 1-3 ATS overall on the season. The 'under' is also 3-1 for San Diego State so far.

    -- Appalachian State has posted a perfect 3-0 ATS mark so far through three outings. ... South Alabama took it on the chin to slip to 1-3 SU/2-1-1 ATS. The Jaguars have been a favorite for total bettors, however, as the 'over' is now a perfect 4-0 for USA. ... Troy hung on for a 35-27 victory at Louisiana-Monroe, earning the road cover. The Trojans led 35-7 at halftime, but gave side bettors a little heart failure by getting outscored 20-0 in the second half.

    Bad Beats

    -- The Buckeyes were winning 43-7 in the fourth quarter, failing to cover a 36 1/2-point number. They turned it over on downs deep in Green Wave territory midway through the final quarter, and it appeared favorite bettors were going to lose. However it was Tulane bettors taking it in the shorts, as the Buckeyes scored with 1:01 remaining to flip the line in favor of the favorites.

    -- Oregon side bettors and moneyline bettors were feeling good about themselves for a good chunk of regulation. Stanford stormed back and forced OT, booting a field goal with :00 left in regulation. That changed the total from a push (59) to an over. Then the Cardinal scored a TD in the extra session for the miracle cover.

    -- Cincinnati fell behind 21-0 against Ohio, and moneyline bettors for the Bobcats were feeling good. However, the Bearcats took their first lead with 3:24 to go in regulation to dash the dreams of ML bettors for OU.

    -- Miami (Ohio)-Bowling Green had a total of (54.5), and the Falcons scored a TD with 5:34 to go to cut the Redhawks' lead to 31-10. 'Under' bettors appeared to be in good shape still, but BSU scored again with 4:13 to go, then Miami scored with :34 left to push it over. With no time left in regulation, the Falcons added a TD for good measure, scoring 27 points total in the final 5:34.

    Comment


    • #3
      4th Quarter Covers - Week 4
      Joe Nelson

      Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the fourth big college football weekend. Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows.

      Penn State (-27) 63, Illinois 24:
      Illinois led 24-21 in the second half looking safe as a nearly four-touchdown home underdog Friday night. The Lions wound score 42 unanswered points including two touchdowns to earn the favorite cover in the final five minutes of the game for an improbable cover and another misleading final score in a Penn State game this season. Penn State has now scored 91 points after the start of the fourth quarter in four games this season.

      Western Kentucky (+3) 28, Ball State 20:
      For a second straight season, Ball State had a cruel finish in this matchup as they lost a lead in the final two minutes last season and led 20-14 with five minutes to go on Saturday. Western Kentucky put together two touchdown drives in-between a Cardinals punt to win by eight as a slight underdog on the road, led by Steven Duncan who replaced Davis Shanley at quarterback.

      Syracuse (-30) 51, Connecticut 21:
      This spread opened at -27½ and climbed all the was to -31 before settling back at -30. The favorite cover didn’t look likely with a 31-14 halftime edge but Syracuse got a punt return touchdown in the third quarter and approached the spread with a 41-14 advantage through three quarters. Connecticut struck for a touchdown in the fourth quarter to close to within 20, but Syracuse answered quickly and then added a field goal following a fumble to lead by exactly 30. The Huskies looked like a great threat to get back within the number reaching the Syracuse 16-yard-line, but an interception near the end zone ended a late threat and a push was the closing line result.

      Miami, FL (-25½) 31, Florida International 17:
      The Hurricanes dominated this game and led 24-0 at halftime with FIU held to only 25 yards. The Hurricanes got past the spread with a 31-0 lead in the third quarter but an interception from N’Kosi Perry halted the momentum, with Perry inserted into the game early relieving Malik Rosier. The Hurricanes got the ball back quickly and reached the red zone early in the fourth quarter, but Perry took a sack with Miami going for it on 4th-and-goal. Perhaps offended by that decision the Panthers had a spark, going 85 yards for their first score of the game with a touchdown near the seven-minute mark that was enough to shift the spread result. FIU snagged a fumble a few plays later to add a field goal and then posted another touchdown after an on-side kick recovery for a very misleading 14-point final margin.

      Florida State (-10) 37, Northern Illinois 19:
      The spread on this game jumped around significantly hitting -12 on Friday before dipping as low as -9½ briefly, settling at -10. That was the exact margin heading into the fourth quarter after Seminoles connected on a 78-yard pass play. The Huskies didn’t take long to answer but for the second straight time failed on a two-point conversion, trailing by 11. Those that had the Huskies weren’t necessarily deserving of a win as NIU was +4 in turnovers and soundly out-gained but the Huskies took a late sack going for it on 4th-and-long from their own 35. With 12 seconds remaining Florida State rushed in for a touchdown to pad the final margin and make it a clear Seminoles win and cover.

      Ohio State (-38) 49, Tulane 6:
      The Buckeyes led 42-6 at the half, well on their way but not quite past the massive home favorite spread in Urban Meyer’s return. A scoreless third quarter featured five consecutive punts before Ohio State failed going for it on a 4th-and-2 play but Tulane likewise failed going for it on its own fourth down in Ohio State territory a few minutes later. With just over a minute on the clock, Ohio State broke the scoring drought with a favorite cover saving touchdown for a 43-point win.

      Toledo (-11½) 63, Nevada 44:
      Scoring on a blocked punt return and a kickoff return, Toledo led most of the way but Nevada didn’t go away, cutting the margin to four points in the third quarter. Toledo scored late in the third to lead by 11 and then extended that lead to 56-38 early in the fourth. Nevada would answer but failed going for two to leave the margin at 12 for a big distinction but it didn’t matter as Mitchell Guadagni broke a 34-yard touchdown scamper a few plays later for a 19-point edge. Nevada was intercepted and then stopped on downs near midfield in two late possessions to fall short of the spread.

      SMU (+6) 31, Navy 30:
      SMU led 23-14 early in the fourth quarter taking advantage of a short field after a fumble. The extra-point was blocked and was returned the other way however as Navy was back within seven. Navy tied the game with about six minutes remaining and overtime was needed. Navy went first and did what it needed to do over nine plays to get seven points, sitting past the road favorite spread momentarily. SMU took seven plays to answer including a fourth down conversion. Sonny Dykes rolled the dice and went for two and it worked for the upset, with those on the home underdog cheering the decision to avoid a second overtime session.

      Georgia (-14) 43, Missouri 29:
      The Bulldogs scored on a fumble return and a blocked punt return in the first half and didn’t have an offensive touchdown until the third quarter, leading 27-7. Missouri was productive in this game and was within 11 by the start of the fourth quarter. Both teams scored touchdowns early in the fourth before Missouri missed a field goal. Missouri failed on downs in its own territory with about five minutes remaining and the next attempt for a field goal was good for Georgia for a 14-point final margin, even with the common spread though the highly ranked Bulldogs were priced at -14½ at times.

      Stanford (-3½) 38, Oregon 31:
      Oregon was in complete control with a 24-7 halftime edge and briefly appeared to go up 30-7 late in the third quarter before a controversial replay overturn. Oregon still had 1st-and-goal at the 1, but fumbled and lost nine yards and two plays later a high snap was returned 80 yards for a Stanford touchdown. The Cardinal cut the margin to three just ahead of the end of the quarter and had the ball down to the Oregon 30-yard-line early in the fourth quarter, failing going for it on 4th-and-1. Oregon delivered on a 4th-and-1 of its own with about five minutes remaining and got a touchdown on the next play to lead by 10. Stanford answered with a three-play touchdown drive and Oregon looked capable of running out most of the clock with a new set of downs and 1:35 remaining with Stanford down to one timeout. Instead the Ducks fumbled reaching for a game-sealing 1st down on a second down run in the final minute and Stanford managed to get a tying field goal as time expired. In overtime, the Cardinal got a deflected pass touchdown while Oregon wound up intercepted on 4th-and-goal for a stunning turn of events with Stanford getting the road favorite cover despite not leading at any point in regulation.

      Auburn (-29½) 34, Arkansas 3:
      This wasn’t quite the SEC blowout that the final score and narrow cover for Auburn might suggest as Auburn finished with just 225 total yards in the game, but was consistently in great field position thanks to turnovers and special teams success. Auburn led by 24-3 heading into the fourth quarter despite only 161 yards of offense. The Tigers added 10 points in the final nine minutes of the game including a late field goal that narrowly earned the favorite cover.

      Troy (-4) 35, UL-Monroe 27:
      The Trojans had a 35-7 halftime edge but things got tight late as the Warhawks scored two fourth quarter touchdowns to climb within eight. After punting on its first four second half possessions, Troy managed to get in field goal range but missed as UL-Monroe had the ball back with just over two minutes remaining. The Warhawks reached the 11-yard line with a new set of downs and still nearly a minute remaining but an interception ended the comeback bid.

      North Texas (-11½) 47, Liberty 7:
      This game featured a rather misleading final score as Liberty had a new set of downs near midfield down 21-7 well into the third quarter before a lengthy lightning delay. It was a different game after the break as Liberty missed a field goal on that promising drive and then saw North Texas add four late touchdowns to win by 40 despite relatively close production numbers.

      Alabama (-23½) 45, Texas A&M 23:
      Alabama was tested a bit in this game but still led by 29 heading into the fourth quarter. Halfway through the final frame the Aggies spoiled the favorite cover with an 88-yard touchdown drive that would conclude the scoring in the game.

      Wisconsin (-3) 28, Iowa 17:
      Iowa had control of this game most of the way but caught a tough break with the foot of a blocking Iowa player contacting the ball on a punt leading to a short Wisconsin touchdown. The Hawkeyes answered to lead by three through a series of punts before Wisconsin completed an 88-yard drive to take the lead inside the final minute, slipping just past the spread 21-17. Iowa was intercepted on a deflected pass on its last effort and with 22 seconds remaining the Badgers broke a run for another score to make for a misleading final result, pushing the low total just ‘over’ in the process as well.

      New Mexico State (-5½) 27, UTEP 20:
      The winless Aggies got two big breaks with a blocked punt return and a fumble return touchdown yet still led by just four late in the fourth quarter. With just over three minutes remaining a 22-yard field goal sealed the narrow road favorite cover in this ugly battle out west.

      Utah State (-9½) 42, Air Force 32:
      The Aggies took control in the middle of this game with four consecutive touchdowns surrounding halftime, leading 35-14 before Air Force came up with a late third quarter field goal. The Falcons made it a game with a pair of touchdowns in 13 seconds of game clock, the second of which came on a fumble return. Up three Utah State got a late 70 yard run from Gerold Bright to put the margin at 10, right near the number which reached -11 but dropped in the hours before kickoff of this late night Mountain West game. The Falcons were in position to make the pricing a moot point reaching the Utah State 16-yard-line late in the game before failing on downs.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAF
        Long Sheet


        Thursday, September 27

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        N CAROLINA (1 - 2) at MIAMI (3 - 1) - 9/27/2018, 8:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        N CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
        MIAMI is 1-1 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        Friday, September 28

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        MEMPHIS (3 - 1) at TULANE (1 - 3) - 9/28/2018, 8:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MEMPHIS is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
        MEMPHIS is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
        MEMPHIS is 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
        TULANE is 95-126 ATS (-43.6 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
        TULANE is 37-57 ATS (-25.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        TULANE is 1-1 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
        MEMPHIS is 2-0 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        UCLA (0 - 3) at COLORADO (3 - 0) - 9/28/2018, 9:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        UCLA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        UCLA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        UCLA is 38-59 ATS (-26.9 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
        UCLA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.
        UCLA is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
        COLORADO is 42-74 ATS (-39.4 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        COLORADO is 1-1 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons
        COLORADO is 1-1 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        Saturday, September 29

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        ARMY (2 - 2) at BUFFALO (4 - 0) - 9/29/2018, 12:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        BUFFALO is 2-0 against the spread versus ARMY over the last 3 seasons
        BUFFALO is 1-1 straight up against ARMY over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        CINCINNATI (4 - 0) at CONNECTICUT (1 - 3) - 9/29/2018, 3:30 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        CONNECTICUT is 2-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
        CONNECTICUT is 1-1 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        C MICHIGAN (1 - 3) at MICHIGAN ST (2 - 1) - 9/29/2018, 12:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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        N ILLINOIS (1 - 3) at E MICHIGAN (2 - 2) - 9/29/2018, 6:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        E MICHIGAN is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        E MICHIGAN is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        E MICHIGAN is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
        N ILLINOIS is 72-46 ATS (+21.4 Units) in road games since 1992.
        N ILLINOIS is 72-46 ATS (+21.4 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
        N ILLINOIS is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        E MICHIGAN is 1-1 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
        N ILLINOIS is 2-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        KENT ST (1 - 3) at BALL ST (1 - 3) - 9/29/2018, 3:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        BALL ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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        RICE (1 - 3) at WAKE FOREST (2 - 2) - 9/29/2018, 3:30 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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        OLD DOMINION (1 - 3) at E CAROLINA (1 - 2) - 9/29/2018, 3:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        E CAROLINA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        E CAROLINA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        E CAROLINA is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
        E CAROLINA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
        E CAROLINA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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        BOWLING GREEN (1 - 3) at GEORGIA TECH (1 - 3) - 9/29/2018, 12:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        BOWLING GREEN is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        BOWLING GREEN is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        BOWLING GREEN is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
        BOWLING GREEN is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
        BOWLING GREEN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
        BOWLING GREEN is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.
        BOWLING GREEN is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
        BOWLING GREEN is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
        BOWLING GREEN is 33-13 ATS (+18.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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        TEMPLE (2 - 2) at BOSTON COLLEGE (3 - 1) - 9/29/2018, 12:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        BOSTON COLLEGE is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
        TEMPLE is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        TEMPLE is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        TEMPLE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
        TEMPLE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        TEMPLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
        TEMPLE is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
        TEMPLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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        SYRACUSE (4 - 0) at CLEMSON (4 - 0) - 9/29/2018, 12:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        CLEMSON is 1-1 against the spread versus SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
        CLEMSON is 1-1 straight up against SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        S ALABAMA (1 - 3) at APPALACHIAN ST (2 - 1) - 9/29/2018, 3:30 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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        VIRGINIA TECH (2 - 1) at DUKE (4 - 0) - 9/29/2018, 7:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        VIRGINIA TECH is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        DUKE is 1-1 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
        VIRGINIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        LA MONROE (2 - 2) at GEORGIA ST (1 - 3) - 9/29/2018, 2:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        GEORGIA ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
        LA MONROE is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        GEORGIA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
        GEORGIA ST is 1-1 straight up against LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        MASSACHUSETTS (2 - 3) at OHIO U (1 - 2) - 9/29/2018, 2:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        OHIO U is 1-0 against the spread versus MASSACHUSETTS over the last 3 seasons
        OHIO U is 1-0 straight up against MASSACHUSETTS over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        PITTSBURGH (2 - 2) at UCF (3 - 0) - 9/29/2018, 3:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        PITTSBURGH is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        S CAROLINA (2 - 1) at KENTUCKY (4 - 0) - 9/29/2018, 7:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        S CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
        KENTUCKY is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        KENTUCKY is 2-0 against the spread versus S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
        KENTUCKY is 2-0 straight up against S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        VIRGINIA (3 - 1) at NC STATE (3 - 0) - 9/29/2018, 12:20 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        INDIANA (3 - 1) at RUTGERS (1 - 3) - 9/29/2018, 12:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        INDIANA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        INDIANA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        INDIANA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        INDIANA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
        INDIANA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
        INDIANA is 53-76 ATS (-30.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        RUTGERS is 1-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
        INDIANA is 2-0 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        NEVADA (2 - 2) at AIR FORCE (1 - 2) - 9/29/2018, 4:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        NEVADA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.
        AIR FORCE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
        AIR FORCE is 30-57 ATS (-32.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        NEVADA is 1-0 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
        AIR FORCE is 1-0 straight up against NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        UTAH (2 - 1) at WASHINGTON ST (3 - 1) - 9/29/2018, 6:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        UTAH is 65-37 ATS (+24.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
        UTAH is 32-14 ATS (+16.6 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
        UTAH is 35-17 ATS (+16.3 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
        UTAH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        WASHINGTON ST is 1-0 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
        WASHINGTON ST is 1-0 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        OREGON ST (1 - 3) at ARIZONA ST (2 - 2) - 9/29/2018, 10:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        OREGON ST is 34-53 ATS (-24.3 Units) in September games since 1992.
        ARIZONA ST is 92-66 ATS (+19.4 Units) in home games since 1992.
        ARIZONA ST is 92-66 ATS (+19.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
        ARIZONA ST is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
        ARIZONA ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
        ARIZONA ST is 64-40 ATS (+20.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
        ARIZONA ST is 92-66 ATS (+19.4 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
        ARIZONA ST is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
        OREGON ST is 68-44 ATS (+19.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        ARIZONA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
        ARIZONA ST is 1-0 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        BYU (3 - 1) at WASHINGTON (3 - 1) - 9/29/2018, 8:30 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        TOLEDO (2 - 1) at FRESNO ST (2 - 1) - 9/29/2018, 10:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        FRESNO ST is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        FRESNO ST is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        FRESNO ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
        FRESNO ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        FRESNO ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
        FRESNO ST is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
        FRESNO ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        TOLEDO is 1-0 against the spread versus FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
        TOLEDO is 1-0 straight up against FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        W MICHIGAN (2 - 2) at MIAMI OHIO (1 - 3) - 9/29/2018, 3:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MIAMI OHIO is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        MIAMI OHIO is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        MIAMI OHIO is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        FLORIDA ST (2 - 2) at LOUISVILLE (2 - 2) - 9/29/2018, 3:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        FLORIDA ST is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        LOUISVILLE is 26-44 ATS (-22.4 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
        LOUISVILLE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        LOUISVILLE is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
        LOUISVILLE is 2-0 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        OHIO ST (4 - 0) at PENN ST (4 - 0) - 9/29/2018, 7:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        PENN ST is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        PENN ST is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        PENN ST is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
        PENN ST is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
        PENN ST is 15-1 ATS (+13.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
        PENN ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
        OHIO ST is 187-140 ATS (+33.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
        OHIO ST is 187-140 ATS (+33.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
        OHIO ST is 157-121 ATS (+23.9 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
        OHIO ST is 57-36 ATS (+17.4 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.
        OHIO ST is 74-48 ATS (+21.2 Units) in road games since 1992.
        OHIO ST is 74-48 ATS (+21.2 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
        OHIO ST is 121-90 ATS (+22.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
        OHIO ST is 169-126 ATS (+30.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
        OHIO ST is 69-43 ATS (+21.7 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
        OHIO ST is 119-85 ATS (+25.5 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
        OHIO ST is 57-36 ATS (+17.4 Units) in September games since 1992.
        OHIO ST is 93-67 ATS (+19.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        PENN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
        PENN ST is 1-1 straight up against OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ARKANSAS ST (3 - 1) at GA SOUTHERN (2 - 1) - 9/29/2018, 6:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        ARKANSAS ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
        ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 straight up against GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        TENNESSEE (2 - 2) at GEORGIA (4 - 0) - 9/29/2018, 3:30 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        GEORGIA is 2-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
        GEORGIA is 1-1 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        LIBERTY (1 - 2) at NEW MEXICO (2 - 1) - 9/29/2018, 6:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        SOUTHERN MISS (2 - 1) at AUBURN (3 - 1) - 9/29/2018, 4:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        IOWA ST (1 - 2) at TCU (2 - 2) - 9/29/2018, 7:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        IOWA ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        IOWA ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        IOWA ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
        IOWA ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
        IOWA ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
        IOWA ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
        TCU is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
        TCU is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        TCU is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
        TCU is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
        TCU is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in September games over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        IOWA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
        TCU is 1-1 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        LA LAFAYETTE (1 - 2) at ALABAMA (4 - 0) - 9/29/2018, 12:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        BAYLOR (3 - 1) at OKLAHOMA (4 - 0) - 9/29/2018, 3:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        OKLAHOMA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        OKLAHOMA is 1-1 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
        OKLAHOMA is 2-0 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        UTEP (0 - 4) at UTSA (1 - 3) - 9/29/2018, 7:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        UTEP is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        UTEP is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        UTEP is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
        UTEP is 32-54 ATS (-27.4 Units) in September games since 1992.
        UTEP is 39-63 ATS (-30.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
        UTSA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        UTSA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        UTSA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
        UTSA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        UTSA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
        UTSA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
        UTSA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in dome games over the last 2 seasons.
        UTSA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        UTSA is 1-1 against the spread versus UTEP over the last 3 seasons
        UTSA is 1-1 straight up against UTEP over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        PURDUE (1 - 3) at NEBRASKA (0 - 3) - 9/29/2018, 3:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        NEBRASKA is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
        NEBRASKA is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        NEBRASKA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
        NEBRASKA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
        NEBRASKA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        NEBRASKA is 1-1 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
        NEBRASKA is 2-0 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        TEXAS (3 - 1) at KANSAS ST (2 - 2) - 9/29/2018, 3:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        KANSAS ST is 121-90 ATS (+22.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
        KANSAS ST is 119-88 ATS (+22.2 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
        KANSAS ST is 51-31 ATS (+16.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
        KANSAS ST is 69-44 ATS (+20.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        KANSAS ST is 1-1 against the spread versus TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
        KANSAS ST is 1-1 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        W VIRGINIA (3 - 0) at TEXAS TECH (3 - 1) - 9/29/2018, 12:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        TEXAS TECH is 84-55 ATS (+23.5 Units) in home games since 1992.
        TEXAS TECH is 84-55 ATS (+23.5 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
        TEXAS TECH is 81-53 ATS (+22.7 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
        TEXAS TECH is 125-87 ATS (+29.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
        TEXAS TECH is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games in September games over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        W VIRGINIA is 2-0 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
        W VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        LOUISIANA TECH (2 - 1) at NORTH TEXAS (4 - 0) - 9/29/2018, 7:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        NORTH TEXAS is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        NORTH TEXAS is 1-1 against the spread versus LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
        NORTH TEXAS is 1-1 straight up against LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        CHARLOTTE (2 - 2) at UAB (2 - 1) - 9/29/2018, 7:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        UAB is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
        UAB is 27-47 ATS (-24.7 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        CHARLOTTE is 1-0 against the spread versus UAB over the last 3 seasons
        CHARLOTTE is 1-0 straight up against UAB over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        OKLAHOMA ST (3 - 1) at KANSAS (2 - 2) - 9/29/2018, 12:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        OKLAHOMA ST is 90-63 ATS (+20.7 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
        KANSAS is 127-164 ATS (-53.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
        KANSAS is 127-164 ATS (-53.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
        KANSAS is 78-115 ATS (-48.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
        KANSAS is 89-121 ATS (-44.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
        KANSAS is 119-155 ATS (-51.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
        KANSAS is 98-131 ATS (-46.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
        KANSAS is 81-117 ATS (-47.7 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
        KANSAS is 54-87 ATS (-41.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
        KANSAS is 55-83 ATS (-36.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        OKLAHOMA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
        OKLAHOMA ST is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        MARSHALL (2 - 1) at W KENTUCKY (1 - 3) - 9/29/2018, 7:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MARSHALL is 46-68 ATS (-28.8 Units) in road games since 1992.
        MARSHALL is 46-68 ATS (-28.8 Units) in road lined games since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        W KENTUCKY is 2-0 against the spread versus MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
        W KENTUCKY is 1-1 straight up against MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        FLORIDA (3 - 1) at MISSISSIPPI ST (3 - 1) - 9/29/2018, 6:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        OLE MISS (3 - 1) at LSU (4 - 0) - 9/29/2018, 9:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        LSU is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games in September games over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        LSU is 2-0 against the spread versus OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
        LSU is 2-0 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        COASTAL CAROLINA (3 - 1) at TROY (3 - 1) - 9/29/2018, 3:30 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        TROY is 1-0 against the spread versus COASTAL CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
        TROY is 1-0 straight up against COASTAL CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        FLA ATLANTIC (2 - 2) at MIDDLE TENN ST (1 - 2) - 9/29/2018, 7:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
        MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-1 straight up against FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        USC (2 - 2) at ARIZONA (2 - 2) - 9/29/2018, 10:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        USC is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        USC is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        USC is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
        USC is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.
        ARIZONA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
        ARIZONA is 113-147 ATS (-48.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
        ARIZONA is 85-128 ATS (-55.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        USC is 2-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
        USC is 2-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        BOISE ST (2 - 1) at WYOMING (2 - 2) - 9/29/2018, 7:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        WYOMING is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
        WYOMING is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
        BOISE ST is 142-103 ATS (+28.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
        BOISE ST is 142-103 ATS (+28.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
        BOISE ST is 68-45 ATS (+18.5 Units) in road games since 1992.
        BOISE ST is 68-45 ATS (+18.5 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
        BOISE ST is 100-73 ATS (+19.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        WYOMING is 2-0 against the spread versus BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
        WYOMING is 1-1 straight up against BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        HAWAII (4 - 1) at SAN JOSE ST (0 - 3) - 9/29/2018, 7:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        HAWAII is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
        HAWAII is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        SAN JOSE ST is 1-1 against the spread versus HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
        HAWAII is 2-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        STANFORD (4 - 0) at NOTRE DAME (4 - 0) - 9/29/2018, 7:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        NOTRE DAME is 63-42 ATS (+16.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
        STANFORD is 68-44 ATS (+19.6 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
        STANFORD is 60-38 ATS (+18.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        STANFORD is 2-0 against the spread versus NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
        STANFORD is 2-0 straight up against NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        MICHIGAN (3 - 1) at NORTHWESTERN (1 - 2) - 9/29/2018, 4:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MICHIGAN is 55-79 ATS (-31.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
        NORTHWESTERN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        NORTHWESTERN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ARKANSAS (1 - 3) at TEXAS A&M (2 - 2) - 9/29/2018, 12:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        TEXAS A&M is 48-71 ATS (-30.1 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        TEXAS A&M is 2-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
        TEXAS A&M is 2-0 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        OREGON (3 - 1) at CALIFORNIA (3 - 0) - 9/29/2018, 10:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        OREGON is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        OREGON is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        OREGON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
        OREGON is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
        OREGON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
        OREGON is 65-43 ATS (+17.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        CALIFORNIA is 1-1 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
        CALIFORNIA is 1-1 straight up against OREGON over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-26-2018, 01:40 AM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAF

          Week 5


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Thursday, September 27

          North Carolina @ Miami-FL
          North Carolina
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Carolina's last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami-FL
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Carolina's last 6 games when playing Miami-FL

          Miami-FL
          Miami-FL is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami-FL's last 6 games when playing North Carolina



          Friday, September 28

          Memphis @ Tulane
          Memphis
          Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tulane
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tulane

          Tulane
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tulane's last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
          Tulane is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

          California-Los Angeles @ Colorado
          California-Los Angeles
          California-Los Angeles is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Colorado
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of California-Los Angeles's last 7 games on the road

          Colorado
          Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing California-Los Angeles
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games



          Saturday, September 29

          Louisiana-Lafayette @ Alabama
          Louisiana-Lafayette
          Louisiana-Lafayette is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
          Louisiana-Lafayette is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road

          Alabama
          Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

          Texas A&M @ Arkansas
          Texas A&M
          Texas A&M is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
          Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arkansas

          Arkansas
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arkansas's last 7 games when playing Texas A&M
          Arkansas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Texas A&M

          Oklahoma State @ Kansas
          Oklahoma State
          Oklahoma State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas
          Oklahoma State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road

          Kansas
          The total has gone OVER in 8 of Kansas's last 12 games when playing Oklahoma State
          Kansas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Oklahoma State

          Temple @ Boston College
          Temple
          Temple is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
          Temple is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road

          Boston College
          Boston College is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Temple
          Boston College is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Temple

          Syracuse @ Clemson
          Syracuse
          Syracuse is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Syracuse's last 6 games when playing Clemson

          Clemson
          Clemson is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
          Clemson is 21-2 SU in its last 23 games

          Bowling Green @ Georgia Tech
          Bowling Green
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Bowling Green's last 5 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 10 of Bowling Green's last 11 games

          Georgia Tech
          Georgia Tech is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
          Georgia Tech is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home

          West Virginia @ Texas Tech
          West Virginia
          West Virginia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas Tech
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of West Virginia's last 8 games

          Texas Tech
          Texas Tech is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing West Virginia
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas Tech's last 6 games when playing West Virginia

          Army @ Buffalo
          Army
          Army is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Army's last 18 games on the road

          Buffalo
          Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          Buffalo is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

          Indiana @ Rutgers
          Indiana
          Indiana is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Indiana's last 13 games on the road

          Rutgers
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Rutgers's last 6 games at home
          Rutgers is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games at home

          Central Michigan @ Michigan State
          Central Michigan
          Central Michigan is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Central Michigan's last 6 games on the road

          Michigan State
          Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
          Michigan State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Central Michigan

          Virginia @ North Carolina State
          Virginia
          Virginia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Virginia's last 6 games on the road

          North Carolina State
          North Carolina State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          North Carolina State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

          Massachusetts @ Ohio
          Massachusetts
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Massachusetts's last 6 games
          The total has gone OVER in 9 of Massachusetts's last 13 games on the road

          Ohio
          Ohio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
          Ohio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

          Louisiana-Monroe @ Georgia State
          Louisiana-Monroe
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 5 games on the road
          Louisiana-Monroe is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

          Georgia State
          Georgia State is 8-16 ATS in its last 24 games at home
          Georgia State is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games at home

          Kent State @ Ball State
          Kent State
          Kent State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Kent State's last 25 games on the road

          Ball State
          Ball State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kent State
          Ball State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kent State

          Tennessee @ Georgia
          Tennessee
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing Georgia
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing on the road against Georgia

          Georgia
          Georgia is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games
          Georgia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

          Baylor @ Oklahoma
          Baylor
          Baylor is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma
          Baylor is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oklahoma

          Oklahoma
          Oklahoma is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
          Oklahoma is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Baylor

          Texas @ Kansas State
          Texas
          The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Texas's last 10 games on the road
          Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

          Kansas State
          Kansas State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas
          Kansas State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas

          Florida State @ Louisville
          Florida State
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida State's last 5 games when playing Louisville
          The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Florida State's last 10 games on the road

          Louisville
          Louisville is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisville's last 5 games when playing Florida State

          Pittsburgh @ Central Florida
          Pittsburgh
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games on the road
          Pittsburgh is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

          Central Florida
          Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

          Rice @ Wake Forest
          Rice
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Rice's last 5 games
          Rice is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games

          Wake Forest
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wake Forest's last 5 games
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of Wake Forest's last 10 games at home

          Purdue @ Nebraska
          Purdue
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Purdue's last 5 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Purdue's last 5 games when playing Nebraska

          Nebraska
          Nebraska is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Purdue
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nebraska's last 5 games when playing Purdue

          Old Dominion @ East Carolina
          Old Dominion
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Old Dominion's last 5 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Old Dominion's last 5 games

          East Carolina
          East Carolina is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games at home
          East Carolina is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home

          Cincinnati @ Connecticut
          Cincinnati
          Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Connecticut

          Connecticut
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Connecticut's last 7 games

          Western Michigan @ Miami-OH
          Western Michigan
          Western Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami-OH
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Western Michigan's last 5 games on the road

          Miami-OH
          Miami-OH is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
          Miami-OH is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Western Michigan

          South Alabama @ Appalachian State
          South Alabama
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of South Alabama's last 6 games
          South Alabama is 7-16-1 ATS in its last 24 games on the road

          Appalachian State
          Appalachian State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
          Appalachian State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

          Coastal Carolina @ Troy
          Coastal Carolina
          Coastal Carolina is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
          Coastal Carolina is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

          Troy
          Troy is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
          Troy is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games

          Southern Miss @ Auburn
          Southern Miss
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern Miss's last 6 games on the road
          Southern Miss is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road

          Auburn
          Auburn is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games at home
          Auburn is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games

          Tennessee State @ Vanderbilt
          Tennessee State
          Tennessee State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
          Tennessee State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road

          Vanderbilt
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vanderbilt's last 6 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vanderbilt's last 6 games at home

          Nevada @ Air Force
          Nevada
          The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Nevada's last 20 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nevada's last 6 games on the road

          Air Force
          Air Force is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home
          Air Force is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

          Michigan @ Northwestern
          Michigan
          Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Northwestern
          Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Northwestern

          Northwestern
          Northwestern is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northwestern's last 5 games when playing at home against Michigan

          Florida @ Mississippi State
          Florida
          Florida is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
          Florida is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

          Mississippi State
          Mississippi State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
          Mississippi State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

          Utah @ Washington State
          Utah
          Utah is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing Washington State

          Washington State
          Washington State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
          Washington State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

          Liberty @ New Mexico
          Liberty
          Liberty is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
          Liberty is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games

          New Mexico
          New Mexico is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home
          New Mexico is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

          Northern Illinois @ Eastern Michigan
          Northern Illinois
          Northern Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Eastern Michigan
          Northern Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Eastern Michigan

          Eastern Michigan
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Eastern Michigan's last 7 games when playing at home against Northern Illinois
          Eastern Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

          Arkansas State @ Georgia Southern
          Arkansas State
          Arkansas State is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Arkansas State's last 13 games on the road

          Georgia Southern
          Georgia Southern is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
          Georgia Southern is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

          Iowa State @ Texas Christian
          Iowa State
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Iowa State's last 5 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Iowa State's last 5 games when playing Texas Christian

          Texas Christian
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas Christian's last 5 games when playing Iowa State
          Texas Christian is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

          Virginia Tech @ Duke
          Virginia Tech
          Virginia Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Duke
          Virginia Tech is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Duke

          Duke
          Duke is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          Duke is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

          Charlotte @ Alabama-Birmingham
          Charlotte
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games on the road
          Charlotte is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games

          Alabama-Birmingham
          Alabama-Birmingham is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
          Alabama-Birmingham is 8-0-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home

          Florida Atlantic @ Middle Tennessee
          Florida Atlantic
          Florida Atlantic is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Florida Atlantic's last 7 games on the road

          Middle Tennessee
          Middle Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Florida Atlantic
          Middle Tennessee is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Florida Atlantic

          Texas El Paso @ Texas-San Antonio
          Texas El Paso
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas El Paso's last 5 games when playing Texas-San Antonio
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas El Paso's last 6 games on the road

          Texas-San Antonio
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas-San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Texas El Paso
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas-San Antonio's last 5 games at home

          Houston Baptist @ Southern Methodist
          Houston Baptist
          No trends to report

          Southern Methodist
          Southern Methodist is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 6 games at home

          Hawaii @ San Jose State
          Hawaii
          Hawaii is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against San Jose State
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hawaii's last 6 games on the road

          San Jose State
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose State's last 5 games when playing at home against Hawaii
          San Jose State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Hawaii

          Boise State @ Wyoming
          Boise State
          Boise State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing Wyoming
          Boise State is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games

          Wyoming
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wyoming's last 5 games when playing Boise State
          Wyoming is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

          South Carolina @ Kentucky
          South Carolina
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of South Carolina's last 5 games on the road
          South Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

          Kentucky
          Kentucky is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing South Carolina
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kentucky's last 5 games when playing at home against South Carolina

          Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Florida International
          Arkansas-Pine Bluff
          Arkansas-Pine Bluff is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
          Arkansas-Pine Bluff is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road

          Florida International
          Florida International is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida International's last 6 games at home

          Ohio State @ Penn State
          Ohio State
          Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          Ohio State is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games on the road

          Penn State
          Penn State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Penn State's last 5 games

          Louisiana Tech @ North Texas
          Louisiana Tech
          Louisiana Tech is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
          Louisiana Tech is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

          North Texas
          North Texas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
          North Texas is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games

          Marshall @ Western Kentucky
          Marshall
          Marshall is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
          Marshall is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road

          Western Kentucky
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Western Kentucky's last 5 games at home
          Western Kentucky is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home

          Stanford @ Notre Dame
          Stanford
          The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Stanford's last 9 games when playing on the road against Notre Dame
          Stanford is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

          Notre Dame
          Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

          Brigham Young @ Washington
          Brigham Young
          Brigham Young is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brigham Young's last 6 games

          Washington
          Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games

          Mississippi @ Louisiana State
          Mississippi
          Mississippi is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Louisiana State
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi's last 5 games when playing Louisiana State

          Louisiana State
          Louisiana State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
          Louisiana State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Mississippi

          Oregon State @ Arizona State
          Oregon State
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oregon State's last 5 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oregon State's last 8 games

          Arizona State
          Arizona State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Oregon State
          Arizona State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

          Southern California @ Arizona
          Southern California
          Southern California is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
          Southern California is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Arizona

          Arizona
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing at home against Southern California
          Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

          Oregon @ California
          Oregon
          The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Oregon's last 9 games on the road
          Oregon is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing California

          California
          California is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of California's last 5 games

          Toledo @ Fresno State
          Toledo
          Toledo is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
          Toledo is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 games on the road

          Fresno State
          Fresno State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
          Fresno State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-26-2018, 01:41 AM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAF
            Dunkel

            Week 5


            Thursday, September 27

            North Carolina @ Miami-FL

            Game 103-104
            September 27, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            North Carolina
            81.308
            Miami-FL
            101.178
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Miami-FL
            by 20
            53
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Miami-FL
            by 18
            55 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Miami-FL
            (-18); Under



            Friday, September 28

            Memphis @ Tulane

            Game 105-106
            September 28, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Memphis
            94.268
            Tulane
            76.793
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Memphis
            by 17 1/2
            73
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Memphis
            by 13 1/2
            66 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Memphis
            (-13 1/2); Over

            UCLA @ Colorado


            Game 107-108
            September 28, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            UCLA
            80.219
            Colorado
            87.420
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Colorado
            by 7
            65
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Colorado
            by 10
            60 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            UCLA
            (+7); Over



            Saturday, September 29

            Army @ Buffalo

            Game 109-110
            September 29, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Army
            91.196
            Buffalo
            85.134
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Army
            by 6
            47
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Buffalo
            by 7 1/2
            54 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Army
            (+7); Under

            Cincinnati @ Connecticut


            Game 111-112
            September 29, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Cincinnati
            83.535
            Connecticut
            64.452
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Cincinnati
            by 19
            55
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Cincinnati
            by 17
            59 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Cincinnati
            (-17); Under

            Central Michigan @ Michigan State


            Game 113-114
            September 29, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Central Michigan
            66.270
            Michigan State
            99.628
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Michigan State
            by 33 1/2
            52
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Michigan State
            by 28 1/2
            46 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Michigan State
            (-28 1/2); Over


            Northern Illinois @ Eastern Michigan

            Game 115-116
            September 29, 2018 @ 6:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Northern Illinois
            77.688
            Eastern Michigan
            82.441
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Eastern Michigan
            by 5
            44
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Eastern Michigan
            by 3
            48 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Eastern Michigan
            (-3); Under

            Kent State @ Ball State


            Game 117-118
            September 29, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Kent State
            61.341
            Ball State
            71.662
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Ball State
            by 10
            67
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Ball State
            by 7
            64 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Ball State
            (-7); Over


            Rice @ Wake Forest

            Game 119-120
            September 29, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Rice
            59.965
            Wake Forest
            88.673
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Wake Forest
            by 28 1/2
            71
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Wake Forest
            by 24 1/2
            66 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Wake Forest
            (-24 1/2); Over

            Old Dominion @ East Carolina


            Game 121-122
            September 29, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Old Dominion
            70.147
            East Carolina
            79.941
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            East Carolina
            by 10
            58
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            East Carolina
            by 6 1/2
            62
            Dunkel Pick:
            East Carolina
            (-6 1/2); Under

            Bowling Green @ Georgia Tech


            Game 123-124
            September 29, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Bowling Green
            61.658
            Georgia Tech
            85.332
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Georgia Tech
            by 23 1/2
            71
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Georgia Tech
            by 28 1/2
            66
            Dunkel Pick:
            Bowling Green
            (+28 1/2); Over

            Temple @ Boston College


            Game 127-128
            September 29, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Temple
            86.452
            Boston College
            92.818
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Boston College
            by 6 1/2
            48
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Boston College
            by 13 1/2
            53 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Temple
            (+13 1/2); Under


            Syracuse @ Clemson

            Game 129-130
            September 26, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Syracuse
            92.779
            Clemson
            108.806
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Clemson
            by 16
            70
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Clemson
            by 24 1/2
            66
            Dunkel Pick:
            Syracuse
            (+24 1/2); Over

            South Alabama @ Appalachian St


            Game 131-132
            September 29, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            South Alabama
            69.754
            Appalachian St
            93.869
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Appalachian St
            by 24
            52
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Appalachian St
            by 26 1/2
            56 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            South Alabama
            (+26 1/2); Under


            Virginia Tech @ Duke

            Game 133-134
            September 29, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Virginia Tech
            87.736
            Duke
            99.675
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Duke
            by 12
            55
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Duke
            by 5
            49 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Duke
            (-5); Over

            LA-Monroe @ Georgia State


            Game 135-136
            September 29, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            LA-Monroe
            75.366
            Georgia State
            60.587
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            LA-Monroe
            by 15
            48
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            LA-Monroe
            by 7 1/2
            62
            Dunkel Pick:
            LA-Monroe
            (-7 1/2); Under

            Massachusetts @ Ohio


            Game 137-138
            September 29, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Massachusetts
            66.028
            Ohio
            76.593
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Ohio
            by 10 1/2
            66
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Ohio
            by 13 1/2
            69 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Massachusetts
            (+13 1/2); Under

            Pittsburgh @ Central Florida


            Game 139-140
            September 29, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Pittsburgh
            90.300
            Central Florida
            95.318
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Central Florida
            by 5
            76
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Central Florida
            by 13 1/2
            66
            Dunkel Pick:
            Pittsburgh
            (+13 1/2); Over


            South Carolina @ Kentucky

            Game 141-142
            September 29, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            South Carolina
            96.253
            Kentucky
            100.368
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Kentucky
            by 4
            46
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Kentucky
            by 1 1/2
            49 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Kentucky
            (-1 1/2); Under

            Virginia @ NC State


            Game 143-144
            September 29, 2018 @ 12:20 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Virginia
            91.842
            NC State
            100.859
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            NC State
            by 9
            57
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            NC State
            by 5 1/2
            52 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            NC State
            (-5 1/2); Over

            Indiana @ Rutgers


            Game 145-146
            September 29, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Indiana
            87.296
            Rutgers
            65.800
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Indiana
            by 21 1/2
            47
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Indiana
            by 17 1/2
            52
            Dunkel Pick:
            Indiana
            (-17 1/2); Under

            Nevada @ Air Force


            Game 147-148
            September 29, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Nevada
            73.796
            Air Force
            83.299
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Air Force
            by 9 1/2
            74
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Air Force
            by 6 1/2
            68
            Dunkel Pick:
            Air Force
            (-6 1/2); Over

            Utah @ Washington St


            Game 149-150
            September 29, 2018 @ 6:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Utah
            97.766
            Washington St
            93.675
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Utah
            by 4
            55
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Utah
            by 1 1/2
            50
            Dunkel Pick:
            Utah
            (-1 1/2); Over

            Oregon State @ Arizona State


            Game 151-152
            September 29, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Oregon State
            67.061
            Arizona State
            97.556
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Arizona State
            by 30 1/2
            54
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Arizona State
            by 22
            64 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Arizona State
            (-22); Under

            Brigham Young @ Washington


            Game 153-154
            September 29, 2018 @ 8:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Brigham Young
            89.228
            Washington
            103.359
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Washington
            by 14
            41
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Washington
            by 17 1/2
            46
            Dunkel Pick:
            Brigham Young
            (+17 1/2); Under

            Toledo @ Fresno State


            Game 155-156
            September 29, 2018 @ 10:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Toledo
            91.411
            Fresno State
            90.882
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Toledo
            by 1
            65
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Fresno State
            by 10
            60
            Dunkel Pick:
            Toledo
            (+10); Over

            Western Michigan @ Miami of Ohio


            Game 157-158
            September 29, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Western Michigan
            73.401
            Miami of Ohio
            76.672
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Miami of Ohio
            by 3 1/2
            59
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Western Michigan
            by 1
            55 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Miami of Ohio
            (+1); Over

            Florida State @ Louisville


            Game 159-160
            September 29, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Florida State
            84.866
            Louisville
            80.839
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Florida State
            by 4
            43
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Florida State
            by 7
            47
            Dunkel Pick:
            Louisville
            (+7); Under

            Ohio State @ Penn State


            Game 161-162
            September 29, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Ohio State
            117.946
            Penn State
            116.614
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Ohio State
            by 1 1/2
            75
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Ohio State
            by 3 1/2
            70 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Penn State
            (+3 1/2); Over

            Arkansas St @ Georgia Southern


            Game 163-164
            September 29, 2018 @ 6:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Arkansas St
            75.383
            Georgia Southern
            80.825
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Georgia Southern
            by 5 1/2
            50
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Arkansas St
            by 3 1/2
            55
            Dunkel Pick:
            Georgia Southern
            (+3 1/2); Under

            Tennessee @ Georgia


            Game 165-166
            September 29, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Tennessee
            81.736
            Georgia
            109.508
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Georgia
            by 28
            48
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Georgia
            by 31 1/2
            52
            Dunkel Pick:
            Tennessee
            (+31 1/2); Under

            Liberty @ New Mexico


            Game 167-168
            September 29, 2018 @ 6:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Liberty
            66.362
            New Mexico
            70.850
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            New Mexico
            by 4 1/2
            72
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            New Mexico
            by 8 1/2
            65 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Liberty
            (+8 1/2); Over

            Southern Miss @ Auburn


            Game 169-170
            September 29, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Southern Miss
            75.790
            Auburn
            101.399
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Auburn
            by 25 1/2
            58
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Auburn
            by 29 1/2
            54
            Dunkel Pick:
            Southern Miss
            (+29 1/2); Over


            Iowa State @ TCU

            Game 171-172
            September 29, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Iowa State
            97.412
            TCU
            97.899
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Iowa State
            Even
            46
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            TCU
            by 10 1/2
            49
            Dunkel Pick:
            Iowa State
            (+10 1/2); Under

            LA-Lafayette @ Alabama


            Game 173-174
            September 29, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            LA-Lafayette
            66.442
            Alabama
            126.192
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Alabama
            by 60
            72
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Alabama
            by 48
            67
            Dunkel Pick:
            Alabama
            (-48); Over

            Baylor @ Oklahoma


            Game 175-176
            September 29, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Baylor
            85.868
            Oklahoma
            111.354
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Oklahoma
            by 25 1/2
            64
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Oklahoma
            by 23 1/2
            69
            Dunkel Pick:
            Oklahoma
            (-23 1/2); Under

            UTEP @ TX-San Antonio


            Game 177-178
            September 29, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            UTEP
            56.740
            TX-San Antonio
            60.726
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            TX-San Antonio
            by 4
            37
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            TX-San Antonio
            by 10
            44 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            UTEP
            (+10); Under

            Purdue @ Nebraska


            Game 179-180
            September 29, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Purdue
            86.496
            Nebraska
            86.254
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Nebraska
            Even
            63
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Purdue
            by 3 1/2
            58
            Dunkel Pick:
            Nebraska
            (+3 1/2); Over

            Texas @ Kansas State


            Game 181-182
            September 29, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Texas
            102.956
            Kansas State
            86.996
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Texas
            by 16
            43
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Texas
            by 8 1/2
            48
            Dunkel Pick:
            Texas
            (-8 1/2); Under

            West Virginia @ Texas Tech


            Game 183-184
            September 29, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            West Virginia
            104.735
            Texas Tech
            99.441
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            West Virginia
            by 5 1/2
            83
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            West Virginia
            by 3 1/2
            77
            Dunkel Pick:
            West Virginia
            (-3 1/2); Over


            Louisiana Tech @ North Texas

            Game 185-186
            September 29, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Louisiana Tech
            87.344
            North Texas
            85.196
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Louisiana Tech
            by 2
            71
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            North Texas
            by 7 1/2
            65
            Dunkel Pick:
            Louisiana Tech
            (+7 1/2); Over

            Charlotte @ UAB


            Game 187-188
            September 29, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Charlotte
            57.401
            UAB
            71.766
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            UAB
            by 14 1/2
            45
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            UAB
            by 17
            51 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Charlotte
            (+17); Under

            Oklahoma State @ Kansas


            Game 189-190
            September 29, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Oklahoma State
            96.272
            Kansas
            81.130
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Oklahoma State
            by 15
            68
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Oklahoma State
            by 18
            62
            Dunkel Pick:
            Kansas
            (+18); Over

            Marshall @ Western Kentucky


            Game 191-192
            September 29, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Marshall
            77.404
            Western Kentucky
            73.184
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Marshall
            by 4
            47
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Marshall
            by 6 1/2
            52 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Western Kentucky
            (+6 1/2); Under


            Florida @ Mississippi St

            Game 193-194
            September 29, 2018 @ 6:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Florida
            92.733
            Mississippi St
            95.328
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Mississippi St
            by 2 1/2
            45
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Mississippi St
            by 8 1/2
            50 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Florida
            (+8 1/2); Under

            Mississippi @ LSU


            Game 195-196
            September 29, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Mississippi
            91.266
            LSU
            101.354
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            LSU
            by 10
            63
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            LSU
            by 12
            59 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Mississippi
            (+12); Over

            Coastal Carolina @ Troy


            Game 197-198
            September 29, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Coastal Carolina
            73.018
            Troy
            83.073
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Troy
            by 10
            60
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Troy
            by 14
            54
            Dunkel Pick:
            Coastal Carolina
            (+14); Over

            Florida Atlantic @ Middle Tennessee St


            Game 199-200
            September 29, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Florida Atlantic
            79.430
            Middle Tennessee
            80.198
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Middle Tennessee
            by 1
            59
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Florida Atlantic
            by 3
            65 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Middle Tennessee
            (+3); Under

            USC @ Arizona


            Game 201-202
            September 29, 2018 @ 10:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            USC
            92.672
            Arizona
            84.555
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            USC
            by 8
            67
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            USC
            by 3
            61
            Dunkel Pick:
            USC
            (-3); Over

            Boise State @ Wyoming


            Game 203-204
            September 29, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Boise State
            98.364
            Wyoming
            78.540
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Boise State
            by 20
            42
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Boise State
            by 17
            46 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Boise State
            (-17); Under


            Hawaii @ San Jose St

            Game 205-206
            September 29, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Hawaii
            77.882
            San Jose St
            62.198
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Hawaii
            by 15 1/2
            70
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Hawaii
            by 11 1/2
            66
            Dunkel Pick:
            Hawaii
            (-11 1/2); Over

            Stanford @ Notre Dame


            Game 207-208
            September 29, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Stanford
            96.550
            Notre Dame
            104.507
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Notre Dame
            by 8
            49
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Notre Dame
            by 5 1/2
            54
            Dunkel Pick:
            Notre Dame
            (-5 1/2); Under

            Michigan @ Northwestern


            Game 209-210
            September 29, 2018 @ 4:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Michigan
            103.910
            Northwestern
            84.832
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Michigan
            by 19
            44
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Michigan
            by 14
            48
            Dunkel Pick:
            Michigan
            (-14); Under

            Arkansas @ Texas A&M


            Game 211-212
            September 29, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Arkansas
            72.613
            Texas A&M
            99.930
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Texas A&M
            by 27 1/2
            66
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Texas A&M
            by 20 1/2
            61 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Texas A&M
            (-20 1/2); Over

            Oregon @ California


            Game 213-214
            September 29, 2018 @ 10:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Oregon
            89.368
            California
            89.228
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            California
            Even
            64
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Oregon
            by 3 1/2
            58 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            California
            (+3 1/2); Over

            Tennessee St @ Vanderbilt


            Game 215-216
            September 29, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Tennessee St
            58.027
            Vanderbilt
            85.026
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Vanderbilt
            by 27
            47
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Vanderbilt
            by 33 1/2
            51 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Tennessee St
            (+33 1/2); Under

            Houston Baptist @ SMU


            Game 217-218
            September 29, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Houston Baptist
            38.303
            SMU
            74.836
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            SMU
            by 36 1/2
            72
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            SMU
            by 39
            66 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Houston Baptist
            (+39); Over

            AR-Pine Bluff @ FIU


            Game 219-220
            September 29, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            AR-Pine Bluff
            28.953
            FIU
            71.526
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            FIU
            by 42 1/2
            59
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            FIU
            by 50 1/2
            64 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            AR-Pine Bluff
            (+50 1/2); Under
            Last edited by Udog; 09-26-2018, 09:02 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              NCAAF
              Armadillo's Write-Up

              Week 5



              Thursday
              North Carolina got its first win LW, upsetting Pitt 38-35 (+3) at home; in their last two games, Tar Heels allowed 76 points, 448 rushing yards. UNC is 2-3 in its last five games with Miami, but they won last visit here 20-13 (+6.5) two years ago. Road team won last two series games. UNC is 5-2-1 in its last eight games as road underdogs, but 4-6 in last ten games when getting double digit points. Miami covered once in its last six games as home favorites; they’re 11-8 in last 19 games laying 10+ points.

              Friday
              Memphis won its last five games with Tulane, winning 24-14/38-7 in last two visits here; Tigers scored 111 points in winning their last two games, but lost 22-21 (-7) at Navy in their only road game this month. Under Norvell, Memphis is 4-3 as road favorites- since ’08, they’re 20-9 when laying double digit points. Tulane is 0-3 vs I-A teams, losing by 6-7-43 points; they lost at home in OT to Wake Forest. Under Fritz, Green Wave is 4-2 as home underdogs- they’re 9-13 in last 22 games when getting 10+ points.

              UCLA is already 0-3, the QB’s father is ripping the coach; Fresno State outgained them 420-270 in the Rose Bowl last game. Bruins won four of last five games with Colorado, splitting last two visits to Boulder- Buffs won last meeting here 20-10 (-13). Since 2013, UCLA is 8-5 as a road underdog; they allowed 87 points in their last two games. Colorado gave up 329 yards in a 33-28 win at Nebraska three weeks ago; under MacIntyre, Buffs are 13-8 as favorites, 11-5 at home. Colorado had last week off; played a I-AA team week before that.

              Saturday’s best 13 games
              Since 2010, Duke is 18-10 as home favorites, but they failed to cover last six tries as a home fave in ACC games. Virginia Tech lost as a 27-point road favorite to in-state upstart Old Dominion LW; ODU threw ball for 495 yards. Home side lost four of Hokies’ last five games with Duke, only one of which was decided by more than 3 points (underdogs 4-1 vs spread). Tech covered seven of last nine tries as road underdogs; under Fuente, they’re 4-3 vs spread off a loss. Blue Devils are 4-0 with a couple road wins, including a win at Northwestern.

              Kentucky beat South Carolina the last four years, winning 17-10/45-38 in two games played here. Underdogs covered four of last five series games. Kentucky is 0-6 vs spread the last six times they were home favorites; they’re 5-2 under Stoops in games with spread of 3 or fewer points. Gamecocks covered their last seven games away from Columbia; they’re 10-2 in last dozen games with spread of 3 or less points. Carolina is 12-10 vs spread in its last 22 games as road underdogs.

              Virginia-NC State are ACC rivals meeting for first time since 2012; road team won last two series games. Virginia outgained Louisville 401-214 in surprisingly easy 27-3 home win LW; under Mendenhall, Cavaliers are 6-6 as road underdogs- since ’10, they’re 13-19 as a single digit underdog. Under Doeren, NC State is 11-12 vs spread as home favorites, 2-7 in ACC games- they’re 8-7 in last 15 games as single digit favorites. Wolfpack are 3-0 this season, beating two stiffs, then winning 37-20 at Marshall last week.

              Washington State won its last three games with Utah, by 12-1-8 points; Utes split last two visits to Pullman, losing 49-37, winning 30-27. Utes scored total of only 24 points in splitting couple games vs I-A games this month; they gained only 261 yards in 21-7 home loss to Washington LW. Utah is 4-2-1 in its last seven games as road favorites. Wazzu lost tough 39-36 game at USC LW; they played on Thursday, so two extra days to prep for this. Coogs covered 11 of last 15 games as an underdog.

              Florida State is already 0-2 in ACC, scoring total of just 10 points in losses to Va Tech and at Syracuse. Seminoles ran ball for 92.3 yds/game in three games vs I-A opponents. FSU is 7-12-2 vs spread in their last 21 games as an ACC road favorite. Louisville/FSU are both having down years; Cardinals beat FSU last two years, 31-28/63-20. Louisville is 1-2 vs I-A foes and they were outgained by 428-292 in the win, 20-17 over WKU; under Petrino, Cardinals are 2-2 as home underdogs; since 2011, they’re 10-7 as a single digit underdog.

              Ohio State won five of last six games with Penn State, losing 24-21 in last visit here; home team covered last five series games. Buckeyes are 4-0, wasting three stiffs, also beating TCU 40-28 in Dallas; yardage in that game was 526-511- Horned Frogs ran for 203 yards, threw for 308. OSU is 8-6 in last 14 games as road favorite, 9-6 in last 15 games as single digit favorite. Since 2012. Penn State is 3-2 as a home underdog; they’ve outscored last three opponents 108-7 in second half of games, but those teams are also stiffs. Since ’12, Lions are 9-6 as single digit dogs.

              Kansas State lost 31-10/35-6 in its two games vs decent teams this month; since ’09, Wildcats are 12-7 as home underdogs- they’re 27-10 vs spread overall in last 37 games as a dog. K-State was outgained 1,002-531 in those two losses this month; they’re down this year. Texas scored 32 ppg in winning three straight home tilts after losing opener 34-29 at Maryland; since ’08, Texas is 18-12 as road favorites- they’re 4-7 in last 11 games as single digit favorites. Home side won last five series games; Longhorns lost 24-21/23-0 in last two visits here.

              West Virginia won its last four games with Texas Tech, winning 48-17/37-34 in last two visits to Lubbock; average total in those games was 68.5. Under Holgorsen, WVU is 8-8-1 as road faves; since 2012, they’re 9-19 vs spread when laying a single digit spread. Mountaineers are 3-0 with easy home wins over Tennessee/K-State; this is their road opener. Under Kingbury, Tech is 7-5 as home underdogs; Red Raiders are 12-8 vs spread in last 20 games as an underdog. Tech won its last two games, scoring 104 points- they whacked Oklahoma State 41-17 in Stillwater LW.

              Dan Mullen bolted Mississippi State for bigger-$$$ Florida last winter; now he returns with his Gators here, in teams’ first meeting since 2010. Florida scored 95 points in whipping Colorado St/Tennessee last two games, but those teams are stiffs; Gators are 2-6-1 vs spread in last nine games as an underdog. Miss State has a senior QB but got spanked 28-7 at Kentucky LW; since 2010, Bulldogs are 22-15-1 as home favorites, 12-4 as single digit fave. MSU is 14-9 vs spread in last 23 games coming off a loss.

              Home side won five of last six Ole Miss-LSU games; Rebels lost last three visits here, by 17-3-6 points. Since ’08, Ole Miss is 17-8 as road underdogs; they covered 8 of last 12 games as double digit dogs. Rebels gave up 41 points, 629 yards to a I-AA team, so buyer beware. LSU is 4-0 with wins over Miami/Auburn; under Orgeron, Tigers are 2-4 as home favorites- they’re 15-21 in last 21 games as double digit favorites. Orgeron went 10-25 in three years as Ole Miss’ coach from 2005-07; somehow he landed the higher-profile LSU job.

              USC lost 17-3/37-14 in its two road games this year; they won their last five games with Arizona, winning 48-14/28-26 in last two visits here. Under Helton, Trojans are 4-2 as road favorites; since ’13, USC is 8-5 as a Pac-12 road favorite. Arizona ran ball for 442 yards in 35-14 win at Oregon State- they were just 9-17 throwing ball. Wildcats are 12-8 in last 20 games as a home underdog- they’re 3-7 in last ten games with spread of 3 or less points. Keep in mind that USC’s QB is a true frosh who left HS a year early- he should still be playing in HS.

              Stanford is 4-0 after 38-31 win at Oregon LW, when they were outgained 524-398; Cardinal won its last three games with Notre Dame, winning by 18-7-2 points. Average total in Stanford’s last three visits here was 30.3- average total in series games played in Palo Alto, 59.7. Under shaw, Stanford is 5-4-1 as road underdogs. Last 2+ years, Notre Dame is 5-9 as home favorites; they’re 3-8 in last 11 games as single digit favorites. Irish ran ball for 245-241 yards in their last couple games. Pac-12 teams are 8-10-1 vs spread out of conference this season.

              Oregon won five of its last six games with Cal, but lost 52-49 in OT in last visit here. Average total in last four series games is 85.5. Since ’08, Ducks are 22-12 as road favorites (1-3 in last four). Oregon is 2-5-1 in last eight games where spread was 3 or fewer points. Ducks lost 38-31 to Stanford LW, despite outgaining Cardinal 524-398; this is their first road game. Bears are 6-2 in last eight games as a home underdog; they covered last three games where spread was 3 or less points. Cal is 3-0 this year, with a decent win at BYU.

              Trends on non-top 13 college football games
              13) Army lost in OT at Oklahoma LW; they’re 9-4-1 vs spread in last 14 games as a single digit underdog. Under Monken, Cadets are 7-7-2 as road underdogs. Buffalo is 3-0-1 in last four games as a home favorite. Home side won last three series games, with all three games decided by 8 or fewer points.

              12) Northern Illinois won its last six games with Eastern Michigan, last two 30-27/31-24. NIU is 10-5 as road underdogs under Carey, 0-2 this year. Since ’08, EMU is 5-12 as home favorites, 3-3 in last six. Eagles are 14-15 SU in their last 29 games, after going 7-41 from 2012-15.

              11) Syracuse upset Clemson at home LY, after losing 54-0 in Death Valley two years ago; under Babers, Orange are 7-3 as road underdogs- they covered seven of last nine games when getting 20+ points. Since 2008, Tigers are 12-21 when laying 20+ points.

              10) Air Force won three of last four games with Nevada, with average total in those games, 84. Wolf Pack lost 45-48 OT/48-31 in last two visits here. Nevada is 4-9 in its last 16 games as home favorites, 7-9 in last 16 games as single digit dogs. Since 2009, Falcons are 8-16 as MW home favorites.

              9) Arizona State/Oregon State split last six meetings; Beavers lost 30-17/35-20 in last two trips to Tempe. Since ’12, ASU is 19-11 as home favorites; they covered only one of last five when laying 20+ points. Since 2014, OSU is 7-14-1 as road underdogs, 2-4-1 when getting 20+ points.

              8) Underdogs covered five of last six Georgia-Tennessee games. Dawgs beat Tennessee 41-0 in Knoxville LY; prior to that, previous five meetings were all decided by 7 or fewer points, with average total of 67. Vols are 0-6 vs spread last six times they got 20+ points.

              7) TCU won four of last five games with Iowa State, losing 14-7 (-6 in Ames LY; Cyclones are 6-4 as road underdogs under Campbell, 5-2 in last seven games as double digit dogs. TCU lost last two games to Ohio St/Texas; they’re 2-9-1 in last dozen games as home favorites.

              6) Not only is Nebraska 0-3 for first time since 1945; they’re 0-9 vs spread in last nine home games; Cornhuskers won four of last five games with Purdue, winning 27-14/35-14 in last two games played here. Underdogs are 22-7 vs spread in Purdue’s last 29 road games; since 2012. Boilers are 0-3 as road favorites.

              5) Louisiana Tech won three of last four games with North Texas, but Mean Green upset Tech 24-23 in Ruston LY- road teams won four of last five series games. Since 2011, UNT is 14-7 as home favorite, but only 2-5 in last seven C-USA games as a HF. Tech is 11-3 in last 14 games as a road underdog.

              4) Western Kentucky won three of last four games with Marshall, but lost 30-23 (+10) in Huntington LY. Since 2014, Marshall is 8-6-1 as road favorites; they’re 6-3-1 in last 10 games as single digit dogs. Since 2009, Hilltoppers are 12-5 as home underdogs.

              3) Florida Atlantic beat Middle Tennessee 38-20 LY, ending 9-game series skid; under Kiffin, FAU is 9-3 vs spread as favorites, 3-1 on road. Since ’08, Blue Raiders are 4-10 as home dogs. Owls lost last visit to Murfreesboro 77-56 two years ago.

              2) Boise State won five of last six games with Wyoming, losing 30-28 (-14) in last visit to Laramie, two years ago (Josh Allen was Wyoming’s QB). Since ’08, Boise is 37-16 as a road favorite- they’re 15-19 in last 34 games when laying 10+ points.

              1) Michigan beat Northwestern 38-0 at home in 2015, teams’ last meeting; Wolverines won last three visits to Evanston, by 1-8ot-18 points. Since ’13, Michigan is 5-8 as road favorites; they’re 17-18 in last 35 games as double digit favorites. Wildcats are 7-3 in last 10 games as double digit underdogs.
              Last edited by Udog; 09-28-2018, 11:21 PM.

              Comment


              • #8
                Ohio State vs Penn State highlights college football Week 5 betting action
                Patrick Everson

                Week 5 of the college football season features a couple of matchups that could be pivotal in the race to reach the College Football Playoff. We check the opening lines and early action on a foursome of games, with insights from Derek Wilkinson, sportsbook supervisor at the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook.

                No. 4 Ohio State Buckeyes at No. 9 Penn State Nittany Lions (+4)

                Ohio State got through the Urban Meyer suspension with only one tough test, pulling away in the second half to beat Texas Christian at quasi-neutral-site AT&T Stadium in Week 3. Meyer returned to the sidelines this past weekend, and the Buckeyes (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS) thumped Tulane 49-6, including a last-minute touchdown to give them the cover as 37.5-point home favorites.

                Penn State is also out to a 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS start, surprisingly getting its biggest scare in an overtime home victory against Appalachian State in Week 1. In Week 4, the Nittany Lions hammered Illinois 63-24 as 25.5-point road chalk.

                “Ohio State might be the more talented team, but Penn State is good and wants to avenge that brutal one-point loss last year,” Wilkinson said, alluding to the Buckeyes’ come-from-behind, 39-38 home win laying 7 points. “We took a bet on Penn State at +4 and briefly went to +3.5, then back up to +4. But by game time, I think it’ll be 3.5 or maybe 3.”

                No. 7 Stanford Cardinal at No. 8 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-4.5)

                Stanford is 4-0 SU, but by almost all rights shouldn’t be, after a gift win at Oregon in Week 4. The Cardinal (3-1 ATS) turned an inexplicable late Ducks turnover into a field goal to force overtime, where Stanford won 38-31 laying 3 points.

                Notre Dame had three close victories in the first three weeks of the season, then got its offense in gear last weekend. The Fighting Irish (4-0 SU, 2-2 ATS) boatraced Wake Forest 56-27 laying 6 points on the road.

                “This should be a really good game,” Wilkinson said. “Notre Dame finally played up to its potential, and Stanford is riding high from its comeback win over Oregon. I like Notre Dame to continue with their momentum and cover that 4.5.”

                Syracuse Orange at No. 2 Clemson Tigers (-23)

                Clemson is a perennial CFP contender these days and is unblemished so far this year, though it dodged a Week 2 upset at Texas A&M. The Tigers (4-0 SU, 1-3 ATS) went to Georgia Tech as a 16-point fave in Week 4 and left with a 49-21 victory.

                Syracuse is off to a surprising 4-0 start and sits 3-0-1 ATS, including a home blowout win over Florida State in Week 3. The Orange followed last weekend with a 51-21 rout of Connecticut, pushing as a 30-point road favorite. And the ‘Cuse has some good recent history heading into this week’s ACC showdown, having upset Clemson 27-24 catching 24 points at home last October.

                “This line might seem a little high at first glance. Both teams are 4-0, and Syracuse has blown out all of its opponents so far,” Wilkinson said. “However, the Orange haven’t played anyone like the No. 2 Tigers. I think the public may bet Syracuse plus the points, but I like Clemson at home to blow out the Orange.”

                No. 24 Virginia Tech Hokies at No. 23 Duke Blue Devils (-5.5)

                Virginia Tech opened the season with two easy wins and cashes, and had its game against East Carolina canceled due to Hurricane Florence, ostensibly getting a bye week. The Hokies (2-1 SU and ATS) then traveled to Old Dominion as a hefty 27.5-point favorite – and shockingly lost outright 49-35, getting outscored 28-7 in the final quarter.

                The Hokies also lost starting quarterback Josh Jackson indefinitely to a broken fibula.

                Duke is out to a 4-0 SU start, cashing in its first three games. In Week 4 at home against overmatched North Carolina Central, the Blue Devils rumbled to a 55-13 victory but fell a couple points short of covering as massive 44.5-point chalk.

                “VaTech is coming off a tough loss, and the Hokies lost their quarterback,” Wilkinson said. “The line has actually dropped to Duke -5 for now, and I’m not really sure why, since VaTech’s star QB is out. I anticipate that line to go up as the week progresses.”
                Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-26-2018, 01:42 AM.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Early Line Moves - Week 5

                  So far, with a couple of notable exceptions, the betting public has been relatively cautious with the opening of week five college football action on the board. This means that the majority of games on the schedule were set just right by the linemakers. However, there are still a handful of games in which the public has seen early opportunity. The combination of recent performance, public perception, and the assessment of value has been found in some early moves that were made by sharps as soon as the opening odds were posted.

                  Week 5 Early Line Moves

                  Hawaii -8.5 to -12.5 vs. San Jose State

                  Hawaii has exploded out of the gate with four wins in their first five games as their return to their run and shoot offensive roots has been a major payoff. The Rainbow Warriors rank ninth nationally for passing offense as Quarterback Cole McDonald is closing in on 2000 yards already this season. San Jose State has all the appearances of a hopeless program that should fold. The Spartans are 0-3 straight up with a defense that ranks 126th overall nationally to go with a punchless offense ranked 116th in the country for scoring. Considering all of that the big move to Hawaii is of no surprise.

                  Texas A&M -17 to -20 vs. Arkansas
                  The Texas A&M Aggies won a considerable amount of respect in their 28-26 home loss to the Clemson Tigers in week two. Most people believed the Aggies were the better team in that game and should have won. But more to the point in this game is the absolute utter hopelessness of the Arkansas Razorbacks. New head coach Chad Morris took over an Arkansas team that was a mere shell of a program. Previous head coach Bret Bielema left an empty cupboard with players that were recruited to run a power ground game. Morris is a high temp spread coach without the players to implement his system. Two weeks ago North Texas stormed Arkansas with a 44-17 road payout. That is indicative of the Hogs woes and current plight.

                  Michigan -11 to -13.5 vs. Northwestern
                  True, Michigan is the most public of teams but that doesn’t take away from the fact that their 56-10 home payout last week over Nebraska popped a lot of eyes. Michigan is showing rapid improvement offensively while already boasting a rock-ribbed defense. Beyond that Northwestern has stumbled badly with back to back losses.

                  Oklahoma -21.5 to -24 over Baylor
                  This one is a bit puzzling in that the Oklahoma Sooners escaped with their lives in a near disaster against Army on which OU finally prevailed 28-21 in overtime as 30 point overlays. Additionally, the Sooners have covered just once so far in 2018 despite winning all four of their games. Baylor is coming off a 26-7 home payout over improved Kansas and has far better metrics compared to last year. Baylor may have just had their value enhanced with this move and the number could drop back down closer to game time.

                  Texas -7 to -9 over Kansas State
                  A lot of fans and gamblers were upset with Texas after their opening day loss at Maryland. But the Longhorns have caught everyone’s attention with dominant wins over TCU and USC. Texas still has mediocre metrics but improvement is slowly taking place with second year head coach Tom Herman. Kansas State was touted as a potential Big 12 dark horse contender in the preseason but that has proven to be overly optimistic after last week’s 35-6 loss at West Virginia. The Wildcats lack the athletes, depth and momentum to be taken seriously against resurgent Texas.

                  Washington State -2 to Utah -1
                  Washington State opened as a two-point chalk based on home field but their poor defensive play in a loss at USC last week turned off a lot of gamblers. Additionally, Utah is one of the toughest and best coached teams in college football.

                  Indiana -15 to -18 vs. Rutgers
                  This is all about Rutgers losing at Kansas 55-14 followed by a 42-13 home loss last week to Buffalo. The Scarlet Knights are lucky the Big Ten hasn’t called to say “You’re Fired!”

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    GONE 'TILL NOVEMBER

                    One of the biggest games of the first month of the NCAA football season will go ahead without one of the best defenders in the nation. Ohio State defensive end Nick Bosa won't be on the field for Saturday's showdown at Penn State – in fact, according to his father, the potential No. 1 pick in the NFL draft won't play until at least November as he deals with an abdomen injury that required surgery. Bosa's extended absence comes as Ohio State looks to defeat the Nittany Lions in a rematch of last year's wild 39-38 Buckeyes victory at Ohio Stadium.

                    Oddsmakers like this one to be a high-scoring affair, with the total of 70 only slightly below the open of 72. Bosa's absence should help a Nittany Lions team that has won 16 straight at home, averaging nearly 42 points over that span.


                    BUFFALO'S JOHNSON: "THANK YOU, I'M GOOD"

                    Buffalo Bulls wide receiver Anthony Johnson says there's no lingering issue with his hamstring, and he should be in the lineup for this week's showdown with Army. Johnson, who tweaked his hamstring in the first half of last weekend's 42-13 drubbing of Rutgers, responded to a tweet from a fan asking about his injury by saying: "Thank you, I'm good." Johnson had two catches for 101 yards and a touchdown in the one-sided victory over the Scarlet Knights, giving him 18 receptions for 308 yards and three touchdowns through the Bulls' first four games.

                    The Bulls are 7-1 ATS in their past eight home games as they welcome the Black Knights to UB Stadium. This one has already seen plenty of movement, with Buffalo up to -9 after opening as low as -6.


                    PERRY IN, ROSIER OUT?

                    There might be a starting quarterback change in the offing for the Miami Hurricanes, who host North Carolina on a short week Thursday night. N'Kosi Perry started for the first-team offense in Monday's practice while regular starter Malik Rosier began with the second team. Head coach Mark Richt wouldn't commit to a starter for Thursday's showdown with the Tar Heels, telling reporters: "I think the less your opponent knows, the better." The Hurricanes have won three in a row but didn't come close to covering last week, prevailing 31-17 over FIU as a 26.5-point favorite.

                    Miami opened at -19.5 but has been bet down to -18. Perry has completed two-third of his passes and has thrown for one more TD than Rosier despite making 34 fewer attempts; he represents the team's best option to reach its team total, which stands at 37.5 as of Tuesday afternoon.


                    GREAT SCOTT!

                    The Michigan State Spartans' running game is about to get a major boost with the return of LJ Scott. The senior missed Saturday's victory over Indiana with a leg injury but is reportedly ready to return to action as Michigan State takes on Central Michigan this weekend. Scott has been limited to just 103 yards on 30 carries through his first two games of the season – and the Spartans will happily welcome him back into the fold, as they come into Saturday's encounter with the Chippewas averaging a paltry 119.7 rushing yards per contest.

                    That said, the Spartans' success hasn't hinged on Scott performing well; while they're 6-3 SU in nine games in which Scott has rushed for more than 100 yards, they're just 4-5 ATS in that span. They're also 3-6 O/U in that stretch, worth noting as they carry a total of 46 into their encounter with Central Michigan.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Tech Trends - Week 5
                      Bruce Marshall


                      Thursday, Sept. 27

                      NORTH CAROLINA at MIAMI-FL
                      ...Tar Heels have covered 6 of last 7 on board since late LY. Heels have also covered the last thee vs. Canes, and Fedora 5-2 last seven as road dog. Richt 4-9 last 13 vs. line.

                      UNC, based on team and series trends.



                      Friday, Sept. 28

                      MEMPHIS at TULANE
                      ...Tigers 7-2-1 vs. spread last ten reg season games and have covered seven of last eight laying DD. Willie Fritz 5-3 last eight as dog.
                      Memphis, based on team trends.


                      UCLA at COLORADO
                      ...Bruins have now lost 12 in a row SU away from Rose Bowl, 4-8 vs. line in those. Buffs were 10-2 as Boulder chalk for Coach Mac until LY’s 1-3.
                      Colorado, based on team trends.



                      Saturday, Sept. 29

                      ARMY at BUFFALO
                      ... UB has covered last two years in series, and Leipold covering a lot lately (12-2-2 last 16 vs. spread against FBS foes). Bulls 3-0-1 last 4 as home chalk vs. BCS.
                      Buffalo, based on team and series trends.


                      CINCINNATI at UCONN
                      ...Prior to Ohio non-cover, Cincy 3-0 SU and vs. line for first time since Brian Kelly team in 2009. Edsall just 2-6 vs. spread at Pratt & Whitney Stadium since returning LY.
                      Cincy, based on recent trends.


                      CENTRAL MICHIGAN at MICHIGAN STATE
                      ...CMU 7-2 last nine vs. line as visitor including 2-0 TY. Spartans 4-2 as home chalk since LY but that followed 12-20 mark in role previous five seasons. Dantonio 2-7 vs. line last nine hosting non-Big Ten.
                      CMU, based on team trends.


                      NORTHERN ILLINOIS at EASTERN MICHIGAN.
                      ..Ugh! If NIU a dog here note 10-4 spread mark away in role under Carey since 2013. Huskies haven’t lost SU vs. EMU since 2007 but just 2-2 vs. line last four meetings. Eagles on 21-7-1 spread run since late 2015.
                      Slight to NIU, based on extended team and series trends.


                      KENT STATE at BALL STATE
                      ...Golden Flashes 6-9 last 14 as dog (2-1 TY). Cards, however, just 7-18 vs. spread last 25 at Muncie.
                      Slight to Kent State, based on recent trends.


                      RICE at WAKE FOREST
                      ...Bloomgren 2-1 as dog TY, as Owls have moved beyond the last few failed years of the Bailiff regime. Wake no covers first 4 TY and 0-5-1 last five on board since late 2017. Deacs 2-4 vs. spread last six laying DD.
                      Slight to Rice, based on recent trends.


                      OLD DOMINION at EAST CAROLINA
                      ...ODU big upset win last week but still on 4-10 spread run last 14. Also 2-6 last 8 as road dog. ECU just 2-4 as rare chalk since 2016 and 8-19 vs. line overall since Montgomery arrival in 2016.
                      Slight to ODU, based on extended ECU negatives.


                      TEMPLE at BOSTON COLLEGE...BC 12-1 vs. line last 13 in reg season. Also 15-5 last 20 on board overall, and covered last five laying DD. Owls on 9-4 spread uptick since mid 2017. Addazio game!
                      BC, based on team trends.


                      SYRACUSE at CLEMSON
                      ...Revenge for Clemson after losing at Carrier Dome last October. Cuse meanwhile 3-0 vs. spread and Babers 5-1 last six as road dog. Orange has also covered 3 of last 4 in series.
                      Syracuse, based on recent trends.


                      SOUTH ALABAMA at APP STATE
                      ... App on a 6-game spread cover streak since late 2017. Jags 4-9 vs. spread last 13 away.
                      App State, based on recent trends.


                      VIRGINIA TECH at DUKE
                      ...Fuente 1-6 vs. spread last seven as ACC visitor. Cutcliffe 9-4 vs. line last 13 at Wallace Wade Stadium and on 6-game cover streak vs. BCS foes since late 2017.
                      Duke, based on team trends.


                      ULM at GEORGIA STATE.
                      ..Could be rare chalk for Warhawks, 2-4-1 laying points for Matt Viator since 2016. GSU however 0-6-1 vs. spread last six ion reg season vs. BCS foes, and just 3-7 vs. points last ten as host.
                      Slight to ULM, based on team trends.


                      UMASS at OHIO
                      ...Mass no covers last four on road dating to late 2017. Solich was 5-1 vs. spread at Athens in 2017.
                      Ohio, based on team trends.


                      PITTSBURGH at UCF.
                      ..Narduzzi 5-1 vs. spread last six as visiting dog. UCF just 4-6-1 vs. spread last 11 in Orlando (counts Cure Bowl in 2016 at Citrus Bowl).
                      Slight to Pitt, based on team trends.


                      SOUTH CAROLINA at KENTUCKY
                      ...Note Muschamp has covered last eight away from Williams-Brice since late 2016. Though UK has won last 4 and covered last five in series.
                      South Carolina, based on team trends.


                      VIRGINIA at NC STATE
                      ...Cavs have started 4-0 vs. line TY. Pack 1-6 last seven as Raleigh chalk.
                      Virginia, based on team trends.


                      INDIANA at RUTGERS
                      ...IU 4-1 laying DD since 2017. Also 6-3 last nine overall as chalk, though has failed to cover last two at ‘Gers. Scarlet Knights 4-8 vs. spread last 12 as Big Ten host.
                      Slight to Indiana, based on team trends.


                      NEVADA at AIR FORCE
                      ...Pack just 4-9 as road dog since 2016. Force just 1-6 last seven as chalk vs. FBS foes.
                      Slight to Nevada, based on team trends.


                      UTAH at WASHINGTON STATE.
                      ..Utes 10-2 as road dog since 2014. Leach on 10-5 spread run since early 2017 and has covered last five as Pac-12 Pullman chalk.
                      Slight to WSU, based on team trends.


                      OREGON STATE at ARIZONA STATE
                      ...Beavs 26-20 as road dog since 2008. Early days for Herm, though note Graham covered last four tries as Pac-12 home chalk.
                      Slight to OSU, based on extended trends.


                      BYU at WASHINGTON
                      ...Sitake has already won SU as dog at Arizona and Wisconsin this September. Cougs 9-2 vs. spread last 11 as visiting dog. Huskies only 2-6 last seven vs. spread since late 2017.
                      BYU, based on team trends.


                      TOLEDO at FRESNO STATE
                      ...Tedford 12-3-2 vs. line since taking over FSU in 2017. He’s 4-2 as home chalk that span, and Bulldogs 17-5-2 vs. line since late 2016. Rockets 2-4 as dog for Jason Candle.
                      Fresno State, based on team trends.


                      WESTERN MICHIGAN at MIAMI-OHIO
                      ...Miami on 5-11 spread skid since last season. RedHawks also just 3-7 vs. line last ten at Yager Stadium.
                      WMU, based on team trends.


                      FLORIDA STATE at LOUISVILLE
                      ...Noles on 5-10-2 spread skid, Cards 5-16 last 21. Petrino has won and covered last two meetings handily, however.
                      Slight to FSU, based on recent trends.


                      OHIO STATE at PENN STATE
                      ...James Franklin has covered last two vs. Urban Meyer. Buckeyes just 3-5 vs. spread last eight on Big Ten road. Franklin 5-1 last six as dog, and on 21-5 spread run since early 2016.
                      Penn State, based on team trends.


                      ARKANSAS STATE at GEORGIA SOUTHERN
                      ...Ark State has won and covered last 2 years vs. GaSo, and Red Wolves 9-3 last 12 vs. line on Sun Belt road. Eagles however have covered first three TY and 5 of last 6 since late 2017 for Lunsford.
                      Slight to Ark State, based on extended trends.


                      TENNESSEE at GEORGIA
                      ...Vols 3-13 spread skid since 2017. UT 1-6-1 vs. points last 8 on SEC road. Kirby Smart only 4-8 as home chalk since taking over Bulldogs in 2016, but Dawgs on 14-6 spread uptick since late 2016.
                      Georgia, based on team trends.


                      LIBERTY at NEW MEXICO
                      ...Davie no covers last six as chalk at home vs. BCS foes since mid 2016.
                      Slight to Liberty, based on team trends.


                      SOUTHERN MISS at AUBURN
                      ...Malzahn on 4-16-1 spread skid as chalk at Jordan-Hare and 21-34-2 overall vs. line since 2014. USM 5-2 last seven as dog for Jay Hopson.
                      Southern Miss, based on team trends.


                      IOWA STATE at TCU
                      ...ISU 12-7-1 as dog since Matt Campbell arrived in 2016, has also covered last two vs. Frogs and won SU in 2017. Campbell on 17-8-1 spread uptick since early 2016. Patterson 2-10-1 last 13 as Fort Worth chalk.
                      Iowa State, based on team trends.


                      ULL at ALABAMA
                      ... Non-league home games had been a problem for Bama, 2-8-1 previous 11 hosting BCS non-SEC foes prior to Ark State win. ULL 2-6 as road dog since LY and no covers last 6 as DD dog.
                      Slight to Alabama, based on team trends.


                      BAYLOR at OKLAHOMA
                      ...OU only 1-3 vs. line in early going TY though Sooners were 9-2 as Norman chalk past two seasons.
                      Slight to Oklahoma, based on recent trends.


                      UTEP at UTSA
                      ...UTEP 3-12-1 vs. line since LY, but UTSA no covers last 8 or 11 of last 12. Road team has won and covered all five meetings since 2013.
                      UTEP, based on series road trends.


                      PURDUE at NEBRASKA
                      ...Huskers prevailed narrowly LY, but Purdue has covered 3 of last 4 in series. Frost only 7-10-1 last 18 on board with UCF & Huskers (0-3 with Nebraska).
                      Purdue, based on team trends.


                      TEXAS at KANSAS STATE
                      ...Bill Snyder 9-2 vs. line his last 11 vs. Texas. Snyder 28-14 as dog since 2011.
                      Kansas State, based on Snyder trends.


                      WEST VIRGINIA at TEXAS TECH...Tech has covered 4 of 6 vs. WVU since Mounties entered Big 12 in 2012. Kingsbury 9-5-1 vs. line last 15 at Lubbock. Holgorsen just 7-7 vs. spread last 14 as visitor.
                      Texas Tech, based on team trends.


                      LA TECH at NORTH TEXAS
                      ...Skip Holtz 13-5 as dog since 2014. Skip 7-3 vs. spread last 10 on C-USA road. Tech had won and covered 3 straight in series prior to LY. Mean Green 6-3 vs. line last nine at Denton.
                      La Tech, based on team trends.


                      CHARLOTTE at UAB
                      ...Blazers upset LY in Charlotte, only SU win of 2017 for 49ers. But UAB 8-1-1 last 10 vs. spread at legion Field dating back to late 2014.
                      Slight to UAB, based on team trends.


                      OKLAHOMA STATE at KANSAS
                      ... Note OSU has only covered 2 of last 6 in series (2-2-2). OSU however is 6-2 vs. line last eight away from Stillwater. Beaty still just 8-13-1 vs. points at home since taking over KU in 2014.
                      Oklahoma State, based on team trends.


                      MARSHALL at WESTERN KENTUCKY
                      ...Herd 7-1 vs. line last 8 away from Huntington. WKU just 6-10 vs. points for Sanford since he arrived in 2017. Tops however have covered last four in series.
                      Marshall, based on team trends.


                      FLORIDA at MISSISSIPPI STATE
                      ...Bulldogs 7-2 last 9 vs. line at home (2-0 Moorhead). Mullen returns to Starkville and was 17-10 his last 27 as dog with MSU. Gators however 0-4 as dog LY before his arrival.
                      Slight to Miss State, based on team trends.


                      OLE MISS at LSU
                      ...Rebs have covered 5 of last 7 since late 2017 and four straight away from Oxford. Orgeron only 2-6 as home chalk with Tigers, though he’s won and covered handily last two years vs. Rebs.
                      Ole Miss, based on team trends.


                      COASTAL CAROLINA at TROY
                      ...Troy just 2-7 vs. line last nine as host (1-1 TY), though did cover handily at Coastal LY.
                      Slight to Coastal Carolina, based on team trends.


                      FAU at MTSU
                      ...Lane Kiffin was 9-0 SU and 7-2 vs. line against C-USA LY, and rolled MTSU 38-20. Kiffin has yet to cover in 2018 (0-4). Blue Raiders just 2-6 last 8 as dog.
                      FAU, based on Kiffin and team trends.


                      USC at ARIZONA
                      ...Clay Helton no covers last six since last LY and just 4-15 last 19 vs. number.
                      Arizona, based on extended trends.


                      BOISE STATE at WYOMING.. Bohl has covered last three in series. Wyo also 7-3 last 10 as Laramie dog. Boise, however, is 37-16 as visiting chalk since 2008.
                      Slight to Boise State, based on team trends.


                      HAWAII at SAN JOSE STATE
                      ...Rolovich no covers last three after quick start, though road team has covered last five in this series. Spartans have actually covered 4 of last 5 since late 2017.
                      Slight to Hawaii, based on team trends.


                      STANFORD at NOTRE DAME
                      ... Tree has won last 3 and 4 of last 5 SU in series. Stanford 0-5 vs. line as visitor LY (though did cover two neutrals), and Shaw just 9-9-1 last 19 on board.
                      Slight to ND, based on team trends.


                      MICHIGAN at NORTHWESTERN
                      ...Pat Fitz 17-9 last 26 as dog. Hasn’t faced Mich since 2015 and hasn’t won SU vs. Wolverines since 2008 (0-5 SU since). Harbaugh 1-5 vs. spread last six away from Ann Arbor.
                      Northwestern, based on team trends.


                      ARKANSAS vs. TEXAS A&M
                      (at Jerry Jones AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Tx)...Hogs have lost 6 in a row to A&M though 2-2-1 last five vs. line in series. Ark on 5-12-1 spread skid since late 2016 and the Bielema era. Jimbo 4-0 vs. line with Ags.
                      Texas A&M, based on team trends.


                      OREGON at CAL
                      ...Cal 8-3 as dog for Wilcox since he arrived in 2017. Ducks have not covered their last six away from Eugene.
                      California, based on team trends.
                      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-26-2018, 01:43 AM.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        BRYANT ON THE MOVE

                        What a fall from grace for quarterback Kelly Bryant, who has gone from Clemson starter to graduate transfer in a matter of weeks. Bryant announced his intention to leave the Tigers on Tuesday after meeting with head coach Dabo Swinney, who told him that freshman Trevor Lawrence would be taking over the starting role. Bryant, who called the switch "a slap in the face," went 16-2 as a starter with Clemson, and threw for more than 2,800 yards with 13 touchdowns, eight interceptions and 11 rushing scores in 2017. Lawrence has already racked up nine TD passes through his first four collegiate games.

                        The switch to Lawrence should work wonders for a Clemson offense that had stalled at times through Bryant. The betting public is firmly on board, moving the line from Tigers -21 up to -24.5 for Saturday's encounter with visiting Syracuse. They're also a good bet to surpass their team total of 45.5, having already done so twice this season.


                        SNYDER SWITCHES TO DELTON

                        Kansas State head coach Bill Snyder has apparently had enough with Skylar Thompson. After pulling his starting QB midway through last weekend's 35-6 drubbing at the hands of West Virginia, Snyder has elected to go with Alex Delton under center for this weekend's home encounter with Texas. Neither quarterback was expecting the mid-game replacement, and Thompson was miffed about the move after the game. Thompson has completed 59.1 percent of his passes for 505 yards with four touchdowns and one interception; Delton is 15-for-31 for 259 yards with one TD and two INTs.

                        Given that the Wildcats have averaged just 21 points per game and might be downgrading at QB – at least for this week – the under on the team total of 17.5 looks like the stronger play. Texas has won three in a row and held USC and TCU to a combined 30 points in their previous two wins.


                        RED RAIDERS’ VASHER DOUBTFUL

                        The Texas Tech Red Raiders will be without one of their key offensive weapons for Saturday's game against West Virginia. Wide receiver T.J. Vasher suffered a knee sprain in last week's triumph over Oklahoma State and is considered doubtful for this weekend. His absence is a blow to the Texas Tech offense, with the redshirt junior having hauled in 16 passes for 273 yards and three touchdowns, all of which have come in the previous two games. Vasher is already halfway to equaling his yardage (545) and touchdown output (six) from last season.

                        The Raiders have seen the spread move from -4.5 to -3.5, while the total remains steady at 76.5. One fewer offensive star in the fold might make the under more attractive – especially considering that Vasher lit up the Mountaineers for 116 yards and a pair of scores in last year's meeting.


                        MONTGOMERY GOOD TO GO

                        Iowa State running back David Montgomery was banged up in last week's win over Akron, but head coach Matt Campbell believes the junior will be good to go for Saturday's encounter at TCU. Montgomery rumbled for 107 yards and a touchdown against the Zips but picked up a minor injury that limited his effectiveness in the second half. Montgomery has been the entirety of the Iowa State rush attack through the first four games of the season, racking up 233 of the team's 238 total yards on the ground while scoring both Cyclones’ rushing TDs.

                        Any injury to Montgomery would spell disaster for Iowa State, which ranks second-last in the nation in rush yards per game (79.3) and faces a Horned Frogs defensive unit limiting teams to fewer than 128 yards on the ground, ranking them in the top-40 in all of Division I. Look for TCU to quash the Cyclones' run game, making the under on the 17.5-point team total a good option.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          North Carolina at Miami
                          Joe Nelson

                          This week’s Thursday night ESPN game comes from the ACC in a matchup many figured would be a key game in the ACC Coastal standings. Neither team has the record they hoped for heading into the final week of September, but both teams remain without a loss in conference play, with the winner of this game remaining a threat in the quest to reach the ACC Championship.

                          Match-up: North Carolina Tar Heels at Miami Hurricanes
                          Venue: At Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida
                          Time/TV: Thursday, Sep. 27, 8:00 PM ET ESPN
                          Line: Miami -18, Over/Under 55
                          Last Meeting: 2017, Miami (-21) 24, at North Carolina 19

                          After winning 10 games in a row to start last season and reaching #2 in the polls, the Hurricanes closed last season with three straight defeats and Mark Richt’s squad lost in the 2018 opener despite being considered a top 10 caliber team in the opening polls. The Hurricanes weren’t overly competitive in that 33-17 defeat against LSU in Arlington but have since rallied to reach 3-1 ahead of this week’s ACC opener.

                          The big storyline is the quarterback decision Richt faces this week. Senior Malik Rosier led the team to great success last season with a 3,000-yard passing season while also rushing for nearly 500 yards. He had 26 touchdowns last season but also 14 interceptions and completed only 54 percent of his passes. Rosier had two interceptions in the opening loss to LSU, but had played well the previous two games with wins over FCS Savannah State and Toledo. Last week, Rosier was benched after Miami failed to score on the first two possessions hosting Florida International, even though he attempted only three passes.

                          Taking over was freshman N’Kosi Perry, a taller and quicker Ocala product that played well in mop-up action against Savannah State. Perry was sharp with 68 percent completions in relief against FIU, leading an eventual 31-17 win in a game Miami controlled with a 31-0 edge before allowing late scoring. Perry does have two interceptions in his 39 pass attempts but also six touchdown passes with a much higher completion rate than Rosier has featured. He didn’t take meaningful snaps in either of Miami’s road games and it will be a quick turnaround with the Thursday game and less practice time with the first team if Perry is indeed starting against North Carolina as most expect.

                          Travis Homer and DeeJay Dallas have provided a strong rushing presence for the Hurricanes as although each has just one rushing touchdown, they have combined for 500 yards with productive averages. Jeff Thomas has been the big play threat in the passing game with a whopping 315 receiving yards on only 12 catches as Miami’s offense can remain capable with either quarterback.

                          Miami became a national phenomenon last season with the turnover chain and this season the Hurricanes have been formidable on pass defense with four interceptions while holding opposing quarterbacks to just a 49 percent completion rate. Miami has been among the elite rush defenses in the nation with just 2.1 yards per rush allowed in four games with run defense a consistent area of strength since Richt took over. Miami has an even turnover margin on the season and the only defensive touchdown of the season came on a blocked punt and it was also in the fourth quarter of a FCS game that was 56-0 at the time.

                          North Carolina was in the summer headlines for the wrong reasons with a shoe selling scandal with 13 players ultimately suspended for various lengths staggered over the start of the season. Last season’s passing leader sophomore Chazz Surratt was among those with a four-game suspension, effectively handing the quarterback competition win to junior Nathan Elliott after they split time last season.

                          The suspension for Surratt is now over even through just three games as the cancelled game with UCF did count. Elliott has been named the starter this week coming off a fine performance in a win over Pittsburgh last weekend. He threw for 313 yards with no interceptions and two touchdowns leading North Carolina’s first win 38-35. That performance was needed after a four interception season debut at California while also struggling in the loss to East Carolina.

                          The 0-2 start was a surprise for a Tar Heels team that many expected to compete in the Coastal race. The Tar Heels were a disappointment at 3-9 last season but the team played well in the season’s final month and now with the roster more completely intact this is a team that is a threat to make noise in the division race. North Carolina has leaned on Antonio Williams in the ground game with 6.6 yards per carry, so far unseating Jordon Brown who was the team’s top rusher last season.

                          Run defense has been an area of concern with 4.8 yards per carry surrendered, but the Tar Heels have been fairly tough on opposing quarterbacks with four interceptions for the defense along with only three passing touchdowns allowed. After being -4 in turnovers in the opener, the Tar Heels are even since but the defense has allowed over 900 yards in the past two games after holding California to fewer than 300 yards in the opener.

                          These teams were on opposite ends of the standings in a late October game in Chapel Hill last season with Miami ranked #8 nationally and undefeated playing as a road favorite vs. a then 1-7 North Carolina team that was 0-5 in ACC play. The Tar Heels competed well with a 7-6 game at the half before Miami went for 78 yards on its first offensive snap in the third quarter. North Carolina still only trailed by four heading into the fourth quarter and had the ball back down five in the final minutes before losing a fumble in Miami territory. The production numbers were similar with North Carolina actually featuring a slight yardage edge but also four turnovers.

                          This spread suggests the gap between these programs has closed a bit since last season and this is potentially a dangerous date on the schedule for Miami with the Florida State game up next weekend. All eyes will be on Perry in his most significant test with Richt putting himself open to criticism as Rosier has won a lot of games for the Hurricanes. Perry might provide the best hope for an ACC title shot however with this game a big step in the season goals for both teams.

                          Historical Trends:

                          -- North Carolina has covered in nine of the last 14 meetings including in each of the past three seasons, winning S/U in 2015 and 2016 before a five-point loss last season.

                          -- Miami is just 3-8 ATS as a favorite in this series since 2004, but most of the failures in this series have been in Chapel Hill where Miami has covered once in seven tries.

                          -- Since 2002 Miami is just 31-48 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points, including going 22-36 ATS in Miami and going 3-6 ATS since the start of last season in that role.

                          -- North Carolina is 13-8-1 ATS in road games since 2014 while going 10-8 ATS as a double-digit underdog since 2007.

                          -- Only twice since 2007 has North Carolina been an underdog of 17 or more points and both instances came in the span of week last season with contrasting results with a 59-7 loss at Virginia Tech and the five-point loss hosting Miami.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Friday's Tip Sheet
                            Brian Edwards

                            **Memphis at Tulane**

                            -- As of Wednesday afternoon, most betting shops had Memphis (3-1 straight up, 2-2 against the spread) installed as a 14-point favorite with a total of 67. The Green Wave was +420 on the money line (risk $100 to win $420).

                            -- Mike Norvell’s squad has beaten up on three non-conference foes at the Liberty Bowl, thumping Mercer (66-14), Georgia State (59-22) and South Alabama (52-35). The Tigers are 0-1 in AAC play, however, dropping their league opener 22-21 at Navy in Week 2.

                            -- Memphis didn’t have it quite as easy against the Jaguars last week, however. After taking a 21-7 lead on Brady White’s 25-yard touchdown pass to John Williams early in the second quarter, USA responded with a pair of TDs to tie the game at halftime. Norvell’s bunch pulled away in the fourth quarter behind star junior RB Darrell Henderson, a first-team All-AAC selection last year who may push for All-American honors this season. Henderson ran for 188 yards and two TDs on 22 attempts. White connected on 22-of-29 throws for 292 yards and two TDs without an interception. RB Patrick Taylor added 75 rushing yards and two scores on 17 carries, in addition to catching three balls for 22 yards. Henderson had two receptions for 34 yards, while Damonte Coxie had eight catches for 113 yards and one TD.

                            -- Henderson is the nation’s leader in rushing yards (709) by an 81-yard margin. He is in a second-place tie for rushing TDs (eight) and is also second in average yards per carry (12.2 YPC!). Henderson has produced those numbers despite averaging merely 14.5 attempts per game.

                            -- White, the grand transfer from Arizona State, has been outstanding for his new team. He has completed 72.2 percent of his passes for 1,064 yards with a stellar 12/1 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Coxie has been his favorite target, hauling in 23 receptions for 353 yards and four TDs. John Williams has 15 catches for 146 yards and one TD, while Henderson has six grabs for 124 yards and one TD.

                            -- The new fair-catch rule on kickoff returns and some shrewd coaching from opponents have really cut into Memphis star Tony Pollard’s ability to impact games through the first four. Pollard had 1,649 all-purpose yards and 10 TDs, including four TDs on KO returns, during the 2017 campaign. He’s been limited to 133 all-purpose yards and two TDs so far this year, only getting once chance to return a kick that went for negative two yards.

                            -- Memphis is ranked fourth in the country in total offense (593.0 yards per game), fifth in rushing yards (309.5 YPG), and 10th in scoring with its 49.5 points-per-game average. The defense is 24th in the nation in total ‘D’ (317.2 YPG) and 22nd at the defending the pass (166.2 YPG).

                            -- Tulane (1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS) has split a pair of home games while going 2-0 ATS. Willie Fritz is in his third season at the school. His 10-18 SU record doesn’t appear inspiring on the surface, but it says here that he’s the right man for the job and has this program on the right track. Tulane, which is 16-12 ATS on Fritz’s watch, has already lost a pair of one-possession games this season, and it lost three contests by six combined points in 2017.

                            -- Tulane opened the season by hooking up its backers like me in a 23-17 overtime loss to Wake Forest as a seven-point home underdog. Since then, the Green Wave has beaten Nicholls State 42-17 as a 17-point home favorite, before losing 31-24 at UAB and 49-6 at Ohio State.

                            -- Tulane owns a 4-2 spread record in six games as a home underdog during Fritz’s tenure. Meanwhile, Memphis has compiled a 4-3 ATS mark in seven spots as a road ‘chalk’ on Norvell’s watch.

                            -- Tulane senior QB Jonathan Banks has completed 49.5 percent of his passes for 792 yards with a 5/1 TD-INT ratio. Junior WR Darnell Mooney has 22 receptions for 385 yards and three TDs, while senior Terren Encalade has 15 catches for 310 yards and two TDs.

                            -- Junior RB Corey Dauphine, a transfer from Texas Tech, has run for 289 yards and three TDs on just 25 carries for a 11.6 YPC average. Darius Bradwell has 236 rushing yards, two rushing scores and a 5.6 YPC average.

                            -- Tulane’s top two TEs, Charles Jones and Kendall Ardoin, are both listed as ‘questionable’ with undisclosed injuries. Neither player was on the field at The ‘Shoe last week.

                            -- Tulane’s defense is ranked No. 116 in the nation in total defense (495.5 YPG), No. 120 in pass defense (304.0 YPG), No. 99 versus the run (191.5 YPG) and No. 91 in scoring ‘D’ (30.0 PPG).

                            -- The ‘over’ is 3-1 overall for the Tigers, but the ‘under’ cashed in their lone previous road assignment. However, we’ll note that the 22-21 loss at Navy was played in a driving rainstorm for the entire game. Memphis’s home games have gone ‘over’ by 14.5, 18 and 21 points apiece (53.5 combined pts.).

                            -- The ‘under’ is 3-1 overall for Tulane, 1-1 in its home outings. The Green Wave has seen its games average combined scores of 52.2 PPG.

                            -- Memphis has won 11 games in a row in this rivalry, going 8-2 ATS in the past 10 encounters. Nine of those 10 victories have come by double-digit margins and eight have come by 14 points or more. The ‘under’ is 6-2 in the past eight meetings.

                            -- As of Wednesday afternoon, the forecast at weather.com was predicting partly cloudy skies for Friday night in the Big Easy. There’s only a 10 percent chance of rain, temperatures are anticipated to be in the mid-70s and winds aren’t expected to rise over four miles per hour. The field could be a little wet, though, as the forecast Friday afternoon calls for scattered thunderstorms and a 50 percent chance of rain.

                            -- Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.



                            **UCLA at Colorado**

                            -- My preseason prediction called for UCLA (0-3 SU, 1-2 ATS) to finish in the cellar of the Pac-12 South. It wasn’t a knock on new head coach Chip Kelly, but simply an assessment of the uphill challenge he faces in turning this program around. It hasn’t been pretty to date. Kelly’s debut was a nightmare, as the Bruins lost a 26-17 decision to Cincinnati as a 14-point home favorite. Next, they got run out of Norman in a 49-21 loss at Oklahoma. Then in Week 3, Fresno State came to the Rose Bowl and dealt out a 38-14 beatdown as a 2.5-point road ‘chalk.’

                            -- Both teams are off open dates and have had plenty of time to prepare for each other. As of Wednesday afternoon, most books had Colorado (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) installed as a 9.5-point home favorite with a total of 60.5. The Bruins were +290 to win outright (risk $100 to win $290).

                            -- Dorian Thompson-Robinson, the prize of Kelly’s first recruiting class, has been thrown right into the fire and has taken his lumps early in his true freshman season. He has completed 54.7 percent of his passes for 522 yards with a 2/2 TD-INT ratio. Junior WR Theo Howard has emerged as his favorite target by making 11 receptions for 185 yards and one TD. Caleb Wilson has eight catches for 128 yards.

                            -- Another true freshman leads UCLA in rushing. Kazmeir Allen has a team-best 161 rushing yards and one TD on just 21 attempts for a 7.7 YPC average.

                            -- UCLA came into this year on a 14-24 ATS slump as a road underdog over the past decade. However, the Bruins did get the money in their lone such spot this year when they lost by 28 at OU as 31-point puppies.

                            -- Kelly had dynamic offenses during his four-year run at Oregon that produced an incredible 46-7 record. So far at UCLA? Not so much. The Bruins are ranked No. 119 in the nation in total offense (319.7 YPG), No. 102 in passing yards (189.0 YPG), No. 104 in rushing yards (130.7 YPG) and No. 121 in scoring with their abysmal 17.3 PPG average. UCLA’s defense hasn’t fared much better, ranking No. 116 in the country (37.7 PPG).

                            -- Colorado is undefeated going into its Pac-12 opener. Mike MacIntyre’s club opened the season by beating up on Colorado State by a 45-7 count as a seven-point favorite in Denver. Next, the Buffaloes went to Lincoln and captured a 33-28 win at Nebraska as three-point underdogs. In Week 3, they knocked off FCS foe New Hampshire 45-14 but failed to cover as 37.5-point home ‘chalk.’

                            -- Junior QB Steven Montez has connected on 73.4 percent of his passes for 855 yards with an 8/2 TD-INT ratio. Sophomore TD Laviska Shenault has 26 receptions for 455 yards and three TDs, while K.D. Nixon has 17 catches for 181 yards and one TD.

                            -- RB Travon McMillian, a grad transfer from Va. Tech, has made his presence known early and often. McMillian has rushed for 290 yards and three TDs while averaging 8.8 YPC. Beau Bisharat has 144 rushing yards and a 7.2 YPC average.

                            -- Colorado owns an 11-6 spread record in 17 games as a home favorite under MacIntyre.

                            -- UCLA has been victorious in six of the past seven meetings in this rivalry, including a 27-23 victory last year. However, the Buffs covered the number as 7.5-point road underdogs.

                            -- When these teams met at this venue on a Thursday night two years ago, star QB Josh Rosen was out with an injury. Nevertheless, I backed the Bruins as a 13-point road underdog and they covered for me in a 20-10 loss. The game was tied at 10-10 early in the fourth quarter.

                            -- The ‘over’ is 2-1 overall and 1-0 in UCLA’s lone road contests. The Bruins have seen their games average combined scores of 55.0 PPG.

                            -- The ‘under’ is 2-1 overall for the Buffs, but the ‘over’ hit in their lone home outing.

                            -- According to weather.com on Wednesday, the forecast for Friday night in Boulder calls for clear skies, light winds and a low temperature of 45 degrees.

                            -- Fox Sports 1 will provide television coverage from Folsom Field at 9:00 p.m. Eastern.


                            **B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

                            -- Northwestern RB Jeremy Larkin has been forced to retire due to a recent diagnosis of cervical stenosis, which is not a life-threatening condition but prohibits him from continuing to play football. Larkin ran for 503 yards as a freshman in ’17 while serving as the back-up to Justin Jackson, who is the all-time leading rusher in school history. Larkin had five rushing TDs and a 6.0 YPC average last season. He also caught 11 balls for 115 receiving yards. Larkin was enjoying an outstanding year to date, rushing for 346 yards and five TDs with a 4.8 YPC average through only three contests. He also had 19 receptions for 127 yards. This is a crushing blow for the Wildcats, who have lost back-to-back home games vs. Duke (21-7) and vs. Akron (39-34) since winning 31-27 at Purdue in their opener. Pat Fitzgerald’s team if off an open date and has had two weeks to prepare for Saturday’s home date with Michigan.

                            -- San Diego State star RB Juwan Washington is expected to miss six weeks with a fractured clavicle. Washington had run for 513 yards and five TDs with a 5.2 YPC average through four games.

                            -- After true freshman QB Trevor Lawrence was named Clemson’s starting QB on Monday, Dabo Swinney gave the senior signal caller Kelly Bryant the day off to absorb the decision. Then on Tuesday morning, Bryant announced that he will transfer and play his senior season elsewhere in 2019. Bryant threw for 2,802 yards with a 13/8 TD-INT ratio in ’17, helping the Tigers advance to the College Football Playoff, where they lost to Alabama in the semifinals. Bryant had completed 66.0 percent of his passes for 456 yards with a 2/1 TD-INT ratio this year. He had rushed for 144 yards and two TDs. Meanwhile, Lawrence has a 9/2 TD-INT ratio. Bryant will have plenty of suitors and be immediately eligible next year.
                            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-28-2018, 11:35 AM.

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                            • #15
                              Remaining unbeaten ATS teams in FBS college football:

                              Utah State 4-0 ATS
                              Virginia 4-0 ATS
                              Washington St. 4-0 ATS
                              Florida International 4-0 ATS
                              Texas A&M 4-0 ATS
                              West Virginia 3-0 ATS
                              Appalachian State 3-0 ATS
                              Georgia Southern 3-0 ATS
                              Syracuse 3-0-1 ATS


                              Remaining winless ATS teams in FBS college football:

                              Georgia Tech 0-4 ATS
                              Wake Forest 0-4 ATS
                              USC 0-4 ATS
                              Louisville 0-4 ATS
                              Florida Atlantic 0-4 ATS
                              Oregon 0-4 ATS
                              Nebraska 0-3 ATS
                              Texas-San Antonio 0-3-1 ATS
                              Connecticut 0-3-1 ATS
                              Arkansas 0-3-1 ATS

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