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**Udog** · 09-04-2018, 12:25 PM

Betting Recap - Week 1
Joe Williams

Overall Notes

The largest underdogs to win straight up
Cincinnati (+14.5, ML +450) at UCLA, 26-17
Villanova (+14.5, ML +450) at Temple, 19-17
Hawaii (+13.5, ML +425) vs. Navy, 59-41
Maryland (+13, ML +400) vs. Texas, 34-29
Brigham Young (+11, ML +320) at Arizona, 28-23

The largest favorites to cover
Toledo (-48.5) vs. Virginia Military, 66-3
Mississippi State (-47.5) vs. Stephen F. Austin, 63-6
Texas A&M (-46.5) vs. Northwestern State, 59-7
Florida (-43) vs. Charleston Southern, 53-6
Ohio State (-40) vs. Oregon State, 77-31

Top 25 Notes

-- Top-ranked Alabama remains the gold standard in college football until further notice. They rolled up a 51-14 victory against Louisville as a 23 1/2-point favorite at Camping World Stadium in Orlando, Fla. The only drama in this game came down to whether or not the over or under would cash. See bad beats below. ... There were concerns that Ohio State might be a bit distracted due to the Urban Meyer suspension, but Oregon State knows the Buckeyes were plenty focused. Ohio State covered the largest spread of any FBS vs. FBS game, hammering the beleaguered Beavers by a 77-31 score. They ended up getting the cover late, yet another big-time program dealing out a bit of a bad beat in the opening weekend. ... On the 11-year anniversary of their colossal upset in Ann Arbor, Appalachian State was at it again at Penn State. They entered the game as 24 1/2-point underdogs, but the Mountaineers put a scare into the Top 10 Nittany Lions. App State scored 28 points in the final quarter to force overtime, 38-38. Penn State survived in OT, 45-38, but soon Big Ten clubs are going to refuse to take calls from Boone, N.C. about future scheduling.

-- Auburn-Washington looked like one of the best matchups of the opening slate on paper, and it certainly lived up to the billing. Sure, there were some mistakes on both sides, but this one came right down to the end. Auburn ended up securing a 21-16 victory, potentially damaging Washington's playoff hopes before their second game of the season, while the Tigers earned a huge feather for their cap.

-- Michigan-Notre Dame was another highly anticipated matchup, as these two storied schools renewed their rivalry. Jim Harbaugh has a new toy under center in QB Shea Patterson, but the Wolverines were tripped up 24-17 to lose for the 17th straight time on the road against a ranked opponent.

-- Two games were cancelled due to inclement weather, including the Akron-Nebraska. It was supposed to be the celebration of Scott Frost's return to Lincoln. His debut will have to wait another week until Colorado pays a visit next week. The other cancelled game was South Dakota State-Iowa State, the first cancelled game for the Cyclones since 1963 when John F. Kennedy was assassinated. There are no plans to make up either contest.

Big Five Conference Report (ACC, Big 10, Big 12, Pac-12, SEC)

-- The Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC) mostly did what they were supposed to do, and that is win. That is, except for Louisville. North Carolina-California was also a bit of a coin-flip game, and the Golden Bears came away with the 24-17 result. UNC slipped to 0-4 SU over the past four season openers, and a disturbing 0-5-1 ATS across the past six season openers dating back to Sept. 1, 2012. ... Wake Forest grinded out a tough 23-17 win in overtime on the road against Tulane as the Green Wave narrowly covered a seven-point number at most shops. The Demon Deacons have been favored by three or more points just four times since the start of the 2010 season. The last time they covered as favorites by a field goal or more on the road was Nov. 28, 2009 at Duke.

-- Mid-American giant killer Northern Illinois entered the weekend 4-1 SU in their past five against Big Ten opponents. Iowa was wearing their upset bug repellent and never gave the Huskies a chance to threaten. It was a 3-0 lead at halftime for Iowa, so the thought was NIU could still make it happen. But the Hawkeyes pulled away in the second half for an emphatic 33-7 victory. ... Indiana hung on tight for a 38-28 road victory against Butch Davis and Florida International despite hot and humid conditions in South Florida. The Golden Panthers did grab the cover, however. ... Northwestern handed Purdue a loss in Thursday's game, 31-27. While the Wildcats won at Ross-Ade, the Boilermakers showed they're not going to be a pushover any longer.

-- Oklahoma was expected to receive a little more resistance from Lane Kiffin and Florida Atlantic on Saturday, but the Owls remain a cream puff rather than a giant killer like App State, NIU, etc. Boomer Sooner laid down the boom, rolling up a 56-0 lead at one point before the Owls finally lit up their side of the scoreboard. ... It looks like another long season is in the offing for Kansas, as they suffered a 26-23 setback against FCS Nicholls State. Hey, at least the Jayhawks forced them to overtime. ... Kansas State almost joined their rivals in misery, as FCS South Dakota gave the Wildcats all they could handle at Bill Snyder Family Stadium in Manhattan. In the end, K-State survived 27-24, but they have a lot of work to do. ... West Virginia humbled Tennessee in a neutral-site battle, as QB Will Grier kept his Heisman campaign on schedule.

-- UCLA was unable to pull any comeback heroics like last season against Texas A&M. It was Cincinnati spoiling the debut of Chip Kelly, 26-17. ... Southern California was a bit sluggish in their home opener against UNLV, but the alarm clock went off to start the fourth quarter. The Runnin' Rebels trailed just 19-14 going into the final 15 minutes, but the Trojans outscored the visitors 24-7 and they nearly covered. ... Washington State-Wyoming was supposed to be more of a defensive struggle, at least for the visiting Cougars. The Cowboys have an impressive defense, and they shut down New Mexico State in Week Zero. The Cougs weren't having any of it, piling up 41 points in a 41-19 win. It wasn't as lopsided as it looks, though. Wazzu entered the final 15 minutes up just 20-19 before running away.

-- Ole Miss looked mighty impressive on the road at Texas Tech, winning 47-27 to easily cover a 2 1/2-point number. ... South Carolina was not a very kind host to Coastal Carolina, smashing the Chanticleers by a 49-15 count. The Gamecocks covered the 30 1/2-point number, their largest spread covered since winning 70-10 as 34 1/2-point favorites on Nov. 23, 2013 against, yep...Coastal Carolina. ... Vanderbilt was supposed to receiver a bigger test against South Middle Tennessee, as they were just a three-point favorite. The Commodores roughed up the Blue Raiders by a 35-7 count.

Mid-Major Report

-- Temple was shocked by FCS Villanova at home, losing 19-17. The Owls led 17-13 heading to the final quarter, but the Wildcats ended up celebrating in the end. For FBS teams nicknamed the Owls (FAU, Temple and Rice), they ended up 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS. Only Rice earned a cover in their 45-27 loss against Houston. ... Memphis lost a lot of key components, but it didn't show in their 66-14 victory over FCS Mercer. The Tigers piled up 28 points in both the first and second quarter to build a 56-0 halftime lead before letting the reserves bring it home. ... SMU had their lunch handed to them by North Texas, 46-23. The two sides combined for 33 points in the fourth quarter, but came up just short of the total (71 1/2).

-- Texas El-Paso entered their contest against FCS Northern Arizona as seven-point underdogs despite the fact the game was being played at home. Vegas got it right, and then some...as the Lumberjacks crushed their FBS opponent by a 30-10 count. It's gonna be a long season in El Paso, so be prepared to fade the Miners. ... Marshall picked up a 35-28 road win against rival Miami-Ohio, covering as one-point road 'dogs. The Thundering Herd is now 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS across their past six season openers. ... Old Dominion went to Liberty, favored by five points. The Flames, playing in their first game ever as an FBS program, never faltered in the 52-10 victory against the Monarchs.

-- Central Michigan opened on the road against Kentucky, and John Bonamego's crew hung around for a while. In fact, they trailed just 21-20 at halftime. But the Chips were scoreless in the second half to slip up 35-20. They were able to hang around for the cover, however. ... Ohio roughed up FCS Hampton in their opener last season, but this year they had trouble with Howard. The Bison won a game against the FBS last season at UNLV, and they were trying to spring another upset as 31 1/2-point 'dogs. Eventually the Bobcats won 38-32, but it wasn't pretty.

-- Idaho dropped back down to FCS, and Fresno State treated them rather rudely in their visit to the Valley. The Bulldogs scored seven rushing touchdowns en route to a 79-13 win. ... Nevada also went for a 70-burger against FCS Portland State, winning 72-19 to cover a four-touchdown spread. ... Offense was not missing in the Islands, either. Hawaii is off to a 2-0 SU/ATS start after sinking Navy. The Warriors are using the run-and-shoot and look like a very entertaining group early on. ... San Jose State is going to be terrible again. They were dropped 44-38 at home against FCS UC-Davis. Ouch.

Bad Beats

-- Oregon State was covering the 40-point number for the entire game, but Beavers side bettors were sunk by Buckeyes reserve RB Master Teague, as he ripped off a 33-yard touchdown run with 3:50 to go for the 77-31 win and cover.

-- Louisville didn't score much in their neutral-site battle against 'Bama, but they scored enough. 'Under' (60) were left muttering to themselves after Kemari Averett hauled in an 8-yard TD pass with 1:55 to play to close the Tide lead to 51-14, changing the 'under' to an 'over'. Why? WHY?!?!?!

-- Army was trailing 31-14, and they were attempting a long field goal in the closing minutes at Duke. The field goal was blocked, which was the good news for 'under' (46) bettors. The bad news is that the Blue Devils returned it deep into Black Knights territory. With 3:59 to go, Duke booted a 30-yard field goal which had no impact on the score or line, but it flipped an 'under' to an 'over'.

**Udog** · 09-04-2018, 12:26 PM

Clemson opens double-digit fave, draws early action vs. Texas A&M
Patrick Everson

After a riveting and lengthy Week 1 of the college football season, it’s time to move on to a more standard Week 2. Covers checks in on the opening lines and early action for a trio of games, with insights from Mike Piranio, sportsbook director at Mandalay Bay on the Las Vegas Strip.

Clemson Tigers at Texas A&M Aggies (+11)

Clemson, which won the national title two seasons ago and lost to Alabama in the College Football Playoff semifinals last year, coasted into action this season. The Tigers (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) played host to FCS outfit Furman on Saturday and rolled to a 48-7 victory, though they failed to cash as massive 50-point favorites.

Texas A&M opened a new coaching era this season with Jimbo Fisher, who exited Florida State after an eight-year stretch at Florida State. The Aggies also opened with an overmatched FCS foe, walloping Northwestern State 59-7 as a 46.5-point home chalk Thursday night.

“Clemson opened at -11 and immediately went to -13,” Piranio said. “Clemson’s a public team, A&M has a new coach, that’s gonna make a difference in the public’s mind on how they’re doing, although he’s a good coach. But it’ll take a while for (the Aggies) to adjust. That game might go up a little bit, but it’s made its move already.”

In fact, Mandalay Bay and other MGM books were sitting at Clemson -12.5 late Monday afternoon.

No. 4. Georgia Bulldogs at South Carolina Gamecocks (+9)

Georgia, which lost to Alabama in overtime in last year’s national championship game, also eased its way into the 2018-19 campaign. The Bulldogs blanked Austin Peay 45-0, but fell just short of cashing as 48.5-point home faves Saturday.

South Carolina is coming off a 9-4 season, including a victory over Michigan in the Outback Bowl. Last week, the Gamecocks at least scheduled an FBS opponent, but it was Coastal Carolina out of the Sun Belt Conference. South Carolina breezed to a 49-15 win and cover laying 31 points at home.

“That one hasn’t moved much. It started at 9, there are 9.5s and 10s,” Piranio said. “But I look for that to stick around 9.5, not move too much, because both teams are quality teams. We have a lot of action on South Carolina winning the SEC, so the public has some ties to that game.”

Southern California Trojans at Stanford Cardinal (-4)

These Pac-12 rivals got two cracks at each other last season, in Week 2 and in the conference title game, with Southern Cal winning both times and splitting the cash. The Trojans opened 2017-18 with a 43-21 victory over UNLV on Saturday as a healthy 24-point chalk.

Stanford exacted a little revenge in its season opener, after losing outright on the road to San Diego State last year. The Cardinal didn’t take the lead until just before halftime Friday night, at 9-7, but pulled away in the second half for a 31-10 victory giving 14 points at home.

“It opened up at -4 Stanford, it’s gone to 3.5. I look for that game to go back up to 4,” Piranio said Monday afternoon, and indeed MGM books were later at 4, though dipping again is certainly not out of the question. “The public likes the Southern California teams, and (those bettors) come in here a lot.”

**Udog** · 09-04-2018, 12:26 PM

Early Line Moves - Week 2

The second week of the college football season is upon us and it is the first real week where we can track early line moves. The first week of the season was completely different because the college football odds were up for months in some cases. This time around the odds were released on Sunday night or Monday morning, so we will get true early line movement we can track.

Let’s look at the early line moves for Week 2 college football action, some line moves around the key number of three and a few smaller line moves on some of the marquee games for Week 2.

Week 2 Early Moves

TCU -17.5 to -22.5 at SMU
The first game of Week 2 is getting a lot of action, as bettors are pounding the TCU Horned Frogs at SMU. The Horned Frogs looked good last week in a 55-7 rout of Southern, while the Mustangs were routed 46-23 at North Texas. This Friday night game can be seen on ESPN 2.

Liberty +12 to +9.5 at Army
The Flames are getting some action on Saturday on the road at Army. Liberty opened up as a 12-point underdog and that number is down to 9.5. This is one of the few dogs that got a lot of early action.

Florida Atlantic -7.5 to -10 vs. Air Force
Bettors must be ignoring what happened last week to the Owls, as they were humiliated by Oklahoma. The Falcons rolled over Stony Brook in Week 1, winning 38-0.

Vanderbilt -7.5 to -10 vs. Nevada
The Commodores are getting a lot of love from bettors, as they are now double-digit favorites vs. the Wolf Pack. Vanderbilt rolled over Middle Tennessee last week, while Nevada crushed Portland State.

Utah State -21 to -24 vs. New Mexico State
Utah State looked really good last week and nearly beat Michigan State. This will be the third game for New Mexico State and they already look like one of the worst teams in college football.

Michigan State -4 to -7 at Arizona State
This is a strange move, as Michigan State didn’t look good last week in close win over Utah State, while Arizona State looked as good as they have in years in winning their opener under Herm Edwards.

Key Number Line Moves

Georgia Tech -2 to -3 at South Florida
The Yellow Jackets had no trouble in their opener, as they routed Alcorn, while South Florida won by 20 points over Elon.

BYU -2.5 to -3.5 vs. California
One of the most impressive performances in Week 1 came from the Cougars as they went on the road and dominated Arizona in a game that was not as close as the final score indicated. The Golden Bears got past North Carolina in Week 1, winning by a touchdown.

Marquee Games Line Moves

Clemson -11 to -12.5 at Texas A&M
One of the marquee games this week has Clemson on the road to take on A&M. The Tigers are considered one of the best teams in the country, but Jimbo Fisher knows Clemson really well. Bettors are backing the No. 2 team in the country in this game on ESPN.

Georgia -9 to -9.5 at South Carolina
The No. 3 ranked Bulldogs had no trouble in Week 1, as they dominated Austin Peay, winning 45-0. South Carolina rolled over College of Charleston, winning 49-15. This contest can be seen on CBS on Saturday.

Pittsburgh +9 to +7.5 vs. Penn State
The Nittany Lions didn’t look good last week on defense, as they gave up a lot of points to Appalachian State. The Nittany Lions were fortunate just to get an overtime win. The Panthers were not that great, but they did get past Albany 33-7. This game is the feature game on ABC on Saturday night.

USC +4 to +3.5 at Stanford
This game on FOX has seen a little bit of movement to the Trojans. Stanford didn’t look that good last week in a win over San Diego State, while USC rolled over UNLV.

**Udog** · 09-04-2018, 12:27 PM

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Friday, September 7

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TCU (1 - 0) at SMU (0 - 1) - 9/7/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SMU is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 since 1992.
SMU is 95-126 ATS (-43.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SMU is 1-1 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 2-0 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, September 8

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LIBERTY (1 - 0) at ARMY (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LIBERTY is 12-0 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
LIBERTY is 12-0 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LIBERTY is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
LIBERTY is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games since 1992.
LIBERTY is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
LIBERTY is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
LIBERTY is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
LIBERTY is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in September games since 1992.
ARMY is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UAB (1 - 0) at COASTAL CAROLINA (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 27-46 ATS (-23.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UAB is 1-0 against the spread versus COASTAL CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
UAB is 1-0 straight up against COASTAL CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GEORGIA TECH (1 - 0) at S FLORIDA (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA TECH is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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W MICHIGAN (0 - 1) at MICHIGAN (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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APPALACHIAN ST (0 - 1) at CHARLOTTE (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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E MICHIGAN (1 - 0) at PURDUE (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW MEXICO (1 - 0) at WISCONSIN (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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AIR FORCE (1 - 0) at FLA ATLANTIC (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA ATLANTIC is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
AIR FORCE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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FLA INTERNATIONAL (0 - 1) at OLD DOMINION (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OLD DOMINION is 1-0 against the spread versus FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
OLD DOMINION is 2-0 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DUKE (1 - 0) at NORTHWESTERN (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTHWESTERN is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 1-1 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 1-1 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MISSISSIPPI ST (1 - 0) at KANSAS ST (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 150-117 ATS (+21.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ARIZONA (0 - 1) at HOUSTON (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 1-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEVADA (1 - 0) at VANDERBILT (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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GEORGIA ST (1 - 0) at NC STATE (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA ST is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in road games since 1992.
GEORGIA ST is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
GEORGIA ST is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UCLA (0 - 1) at OKLAHOMA (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW MEXICO ST (0 - 2) at UTAH ST (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO ST is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in a road game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 91-124 ATS (-45.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-0 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS (0 - 1) at C MICHIGAN (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 125-163 ATS (-54.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS is 125-163 ATS (-54.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 76-114 ATS (-49.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS is 46-81 ATS (-43.1 Units) in road games since 1992.
KANSAS is 46-81 ATS (-43.1 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 117-154 ATS (-52.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS is 96-130 ATS (-47.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS is 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
C MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
C MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTEP (0 - 1) at UNLV (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTEP is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 since 1992.
UTEP is 26-44 ATS (-22.4 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.
UTEP is 31-52 ATS (-26.2 Units) in September games since 1992.
UNLV is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
UNLV is 87-123 ATS (-48.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MEMPHIS (1 - 0) at NAVY (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
NAVY is 167-125 ATS (+29.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 167-125 ATS (+29.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 94-57 ATS (+31.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NAVY is 45-25 ATS (+17.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NAVY is 151-112 ATS (+27.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 106-71 ATS (+27.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NAVY is 58-35 ATS (+19.5 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
MEMPHIS is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NAVY is 2-0 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
NAVY is 1-1 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N CAROLINA (0 - 1) at E CAROLINA (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E CAROLINA is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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RUTGERS (1 - 0) at OHIO ST (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 185-140 ATS (+31.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 185-140 ATS (+31.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 155-121 ATS (+21.9 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
OHIO ST is 120-90 ATS (+21.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
OHIO ST is 167-126 ATS (+28.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
OHIO ST is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 2-0 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUFFALO (1 - 0) at TEMPLE (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TEMPLE is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGIA (1 - 0) at S CAROLINA (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
S CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BAYLOR (1 - 0) at UTSA (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTSA is 1-0 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
UTSA is 1-0 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARKANSAS ST (1 - 0) at ALABAMA (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (1 - 0) at NEBRASKA (0-0) - 9/8/2018, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA MONROE (1 - 0) at SOUTHERN MISS (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SOUTHERN MISS is 1-0 against the spread versus LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
SOUTHERN MISS is 1-0 straight up against LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALL ST (1 - 0) at NOTRE DAME (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IOWA ST (0-0) at IOWA (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA ST is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA is 1-1 against the spread versus IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 2-0 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MARYLAND (1 - 0) at BOWLING GREEN (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MASSACHUSETTS (1 - 1) at GA SOUTHERN (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-0 against the spread versus GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-0 straight up against GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEMSON (1 - 0) at TEXAS A&M (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WYOMING (1 - 1) at MISSOURI (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WYOMING is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) as a road underdog of 14.5 to 21 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIRGINIA (1 - 0) at INDIANA (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 1-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 1-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KENTUCKY (1 - 0) at FLORIDA (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 1-1 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 2-0 straight up against KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (1 - 0) at N ILLINOIS (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 97-71 ATS (+18.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
UTAH is 63-35 ATS (+24.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FRESNO ST (1 - 0) at MINNESOTA (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARKANSAS (1 - 0) at COLORADO ST (0 - 2) - 9/8/2018, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (1 - 0) vs. MIAMI OHIO (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI OHIO is 1-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TULSA (1 - 0) at TEXAS (0 - 1) - 9/8/2018, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

S ALABAMA (0 - 1) at OKLAHOMA ST (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S ALABAMA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992.
OKLAHOMA ST is 89-62 ATS (+20.8 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA ST is 1-0 straight up against S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PENN ST (1 - 0) at PITTSBURGH (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PENN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 1-1 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

USC (1 - 0) at STANFORD (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
STANFORD is 2-1 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
USC is 2-1 straight up against STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CALIFORNIA (1 - 0) at BYU (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 10:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALIFORNIA is 20-42 ATS (-26.2 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNECTICUT (0 - 1) at BOISE ST (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 10:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 141-102 ATS (+28.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 141-102 ATS (+28.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 99-72 ATS (+19.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
BOISE ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MICHIGAN ST (1 - 0) at ARIZONA ST (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 10:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA ST is 91-66 ATS (+18.4 Units) in home games since 1992.
ARIZONA ST is 91-66 ATS (+18.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
ARIZONA ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA ST is 63-40 ATS (+19.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ARIZONA ST is 91-66 ATS (+18.4 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN JOSE ST (0 - 1) at WASHINGTON ST (1 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 11:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

RICE (1 - 1) at HAWAII (2 - 0) - 9/8/2018, 11:59 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 09-04-2018, 12:28 PM

NCAAF

Week 2

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, September 7

Texas Christian @ Southern Methodist
Texas Christian
Texas Christian is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Southern Methodis
Texas Christian is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Southern Methodist

Southern Methodist
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 5 games when playing Texas Christian
Southern Methodist is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

Saturday, September 8

Mississippi State @ Kansas State
Mississippi State
Mississippi State is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Mississippi State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road

Kansas State
Kansas State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Kansas State is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games at home

Nevada @ Vanderbilt
Nevada
Nevada is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Nevada's last 18 games on the road

Vanderbilt
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Vanderbilt's last 10 games
Vanderbilt is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Arizona @ Houston
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Arizona's last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games

Houston
Houston is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 10 games at home

Duke @ Northwestern
Duke
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Duke's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Duke's last 5 games when playing Northwestern

Northwestern
Northwestern is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Northwestern is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Georgia Tech @ South Florida
Georgia Tech
Georgia Tech is 11-4-1 ATS in its last 16 games
Georgia Tech is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

South Florida
South Florida is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
South Florida is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games

Liberty @ Army
Liberty
Liberty is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games
Liberty is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road

Army
Army is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Army is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games

Towson @ Wake Forest
Towson
Towson is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Towson is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games

Wake Forest
Wake Forest is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Wake Forest is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Western Michigan @ Michigan
Western Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Michigan's last 5 games
Western Michigan is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games

Michigan
Michigan is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Michigan's last 18 games at home

Eastern Michigan @ Purdue
Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Eastern Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Purdue
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Purdue's last 20 games at home
Purdue is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

New Mexico @ Wisconsin
New Mexico
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Mexico's last 6 games on the road
New Mexico is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

Wisconsin
Wisconsin is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games
Wisconsin is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home

Georgia State @ North Carolina State
Georgia State
Georgia State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Georgia State is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games on the road

North Carolina State
North Carolina State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
North Carolina State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

California-Los Angeles @ Oklahoma
California-Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of California-Los Angeles's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of California-Los Angeles's last 6 games on the road

Oklahoma
Oklahoma is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games
Oklahoma is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games at home

Holy Cross @ Boston College
Holy Cross
No trends to report

Boston College
Boston College is 9-1-1 ATS in its last 11 games
Boston College is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Portland State @ Oregon
Portland State
Portland State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Portland State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road

Oregon
Oregon is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Oregon's last 12 games at home

William & Mary @ Virginia Tech
William & Mary
William & Mary is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
William & Mary is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Virginia Tech's last 6 games

Air Force @ Florida Atlantic
Air Force
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Air Force's last 5 games on the road
Air Force is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road

Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Florida Atlantic is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games

Kansas @ Central Michigan
Kansas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas's last 7 games on the road
Kansas is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games

Central Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Central Michigan's last 5 games
Central Michigan is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Arkansas State @ Alabama
Arkansas State
Arkansas State is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arkansas State's last 11 games on the road

Alabama
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Alabama is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games

Georgia @ South Carolina
Georgia
Georgia is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Georgia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road

South Carolina
South Carolina is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of South Carolina's last 11 games when playing at home against Georgia

Colorado @ Nebraska
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing Nebraska
Colorado is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Nebraska

Nebraska
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nebraska's last 5 games when playing Colorado
Nebraska is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Colorado

North Carolina @ East Carolina
North Carolina
North Carolina is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
North Carolina is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing East Carolina

East Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 8 of East Carolina's last 11 games
East Carolina is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing North Carolina

Wagner @ Syracuse
Wagner
Wagner is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Wagner is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road

Syracuse
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Syracuse's last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Syracuse's last 20 games

Rutgers @ Ohio State
Rutgers
Rutgers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Rutgers is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games

Ohio State
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Buffalo @ Temple
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Buffalo's last 11 games on the road
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Temple
Temple is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Temple is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

Howard @ Kent State
Howard
Howard is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Howard is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

Kent State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kent State's last 6 games
Kent State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

Memphis @ Navy
Memphis
Memphis is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
Memphis is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games

Navy
Navy is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Navy's last 6 games at home

Morgan State @ Akron
Morgan State
Morgan State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Morgan State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games

Akron
Akron is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Akron's last 5 games at home

Ball State @ Notre Dame
Ball State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ball State's last 5 games on the road
Ball State is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games

Notre Dame
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Notre Dame is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games

Southern Illinois @ Mississippi
Southern Illinois
Southern Illinois is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Southern Illinois is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

Mississippi
Mississippi is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Mississippi is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

East Tennessee State @ Tennessee
East Tennessee State
East Tennessee State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
East Tennessee State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road

Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tennessee's last 7 games at home
Tennessee is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home

Lamar @ Texas Tech
Lamar
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Lamar's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Lamar's last 6 games

Texas Tech
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Texas Tech's last 24 games at home
Texas Tech is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games

North Dakota @ Washington
North Dakota
North Dakota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
North Dakota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Iowa State @ Iowa
Iowa State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Iowa State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Iowa State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Iowa

Iowa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Iowa's last 5 games when playing at home against Iowa State
Iowa is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Youngstown State @ West Virginia
Youngstown State
Youngstown State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Youngstown State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road

West Virginia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of West Virginia's last 6 games
West Virginia is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games at home

Savannah State @ Miami-FL
Savannah State
Savannah State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Savannah State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Miami-FL
Miami-FL is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
Miami-FL is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games

Massachusetts @ Georgia Southern
Massachusetts
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Massachusetts's last 11 games on the road
Massachusetts is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Georgia Southern is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games at home

Maryland @ Bowling Green
Maryland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Maryland's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Maryland's last 10 games

Bowling Green
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Bowling Green's last 5 games
Bowling Green is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games

Appalachian State @ Charlotte
Appalachian State
Appalachian State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Appalachian State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Charlotte
Charlotte is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Charlotte is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

South Carolina State @ Central Florida
South Carolina State
South Carolina State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
South Carolina State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

Central Florida
Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Eastern Kentucky @ Marshall
Eastern Kentucky
Eastern Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Eastern Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

Marshall
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Marshall's last 5 games
Marshall is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home

Southeastern Louisiana @ Louisiana State
Southeastern Louisiana
Southeastern Louisiana is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Southeastern Louisiana is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games

Louisiana State
Louisiana State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Louisiana State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Wyoming @ Missouri
Wyoming
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wyoming's last 6 games on the road
Wyoming is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

Missouri
Missouri is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Missouri is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Clemson @ Texas A&M
Clemson
Clemson is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Clemson is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games

Texas A&M
Texas A&M is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Texas A&M is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games at home

Baylor @ Texas-San Antonio
Baylor
Baylor is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baylor's last 6 games on the road

Texas-San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas-San Antonio's last 5 games
Texas-San Antonio is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

Indiana State @ Louisville
Indiana State
Indiana State is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Indiana State is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games

Louisville
Louisville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisville's last 5 games

Southern University @ Louisiana Tech
Southern University
Southern University is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Southern University is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road

Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Louisiana Tech is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games at home

Tennessee-Martin @ Middle Tennessee
Tennessee-Martin
Tennessee-Martin is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Tennessee-Martin is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Middle Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Louisiana-Monroe @ Southern Miss
Louisiana-Monroe
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 12 games on the road
Louisiana-Monroe is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road

Southern Miss
Southern Miss is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Southern Miss is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Alabama-Birmingham @ Coastal Carolina
Alabama-Birmingham
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Alabama-Birmingham's last 5 games on the road
Alabama-Birmingham is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

Coastal Carolina
Coastal Carolina is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
Coastal Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

Florida A&M @ Troy
Florida A&M
Florida A&M is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Florida A&M is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road

Troy
Troy is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Troy is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Texas Southern @ Texas State
Texas Southern
Texas Southern is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Texas Southern is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road

Texas State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas State's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Texas State's last 19 games

Samford @ Florida State
Samford
Samford is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Samford is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

Florida State
Florida State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Florida State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Alabama State @ Auburn
Alabama State
Alabama State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Alabama State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road

Auburn
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Auburn's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Auburn's last 5 games at home

Kentucky @ Florida
Kentucky
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kentucky's last 5 games when playing on the road against Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kentucky's last 7 games

Florida
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kentucky
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kentucky

Utah @ Northern Illinois
Utah
Utah is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Utah is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games

Virginia @ Indiana
Virginia
Virginia is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Virginia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games
Indiana is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Western Illinois @ Illinois
Western Illinois
Western Illinois is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Western Illinois is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Illinois
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Illinois's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Illinois's last 7 games

Fresno State @ Minnesota
Fresno State
Fresno State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Fresno State's last 5 games on the road

Minnesota
Minnesota is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home

Florida International @ Old Dominion
Florida International
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Florida International's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida International's last 6 games

Old Dominion
Old Dominion is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Old Dominion's last 7 games

Incarnate Word @ North Texas
Incarnate Word
No trends to report

North Texas
North Texas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Texas's last 5 games at home

Maine @ Western Kentucky
Maine
Maine is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Maine is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road

Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Kentucky's last 5 games at home

Arkansas @ Colorado State
Arkansas
Arkansas is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Arkansas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road

Colorado State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado State's last 7 games at home
Colorado State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home

Southern Utah @ Oregon State
Southern Utah
Southern Utah is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Southern Utah is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

Oregon State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oregon State's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oregon State's last 6 games at home

South Alabama @ Oklahoma State
South Alabama
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Alabama's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of South Alabama's last 10 games

Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games
Oklahoma State is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home

Tulsa @ Texas
Tulsa
Tulsa is 14-5-1 ATS in its last 20 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Tulsa's last 15 games on the road

Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Texas's last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Texas's last 11 games at home

Penn State @ Pittsburgh
Penn State
Penn State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Penn State's last 8 games

Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home

New Mexico State @ Utah State
New Mexico State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Mexico State's last 5 games when playing Utah State

Utah State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah State's last 5 games when playing New Mexico State
Utah State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Mexico State

Cincinnati @ Miami-OH
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami-OH
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing Miami-OH

Miami-OH
Miami-OH is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami-OH's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati

Nicholls State @ Tulane
Nicholls State
Nicholls State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Nicholls State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

Tulane
Tulane is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Tulane is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Southern California @ Stanford
Southern California
Southern California is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern California's last 5 games when playing Stanford

Stanford
Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Stanford is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Texas El Paso @ Nevada-Las Vegas
Texas El Paso
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas El Paso's last 6 games on the road
Texas El Paso is 1-6-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road

Nevada-Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 17 games at home
Nevada-Las Vegas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

Sacramento State @ San Diego State
Sacramento State
Sacramento State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Sacramento State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

San Diego State
San Diego State is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home
San Diego State is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games

California @ Brigham Young
California
California is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games
California is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games

Brigham Young
Brigham Young is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Brigham Young is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games at home

Connecticut @ Boise State
Connecticut
Connecticut is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games
Connecticut is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games on the road

Boise State
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Boise State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games

Michigan State @ Arizona State
Michigan State
Michigan State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Michigan State's last 5 games on the road

Arizona State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona State's last 6 games
Arizona State is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games at home

San Jose State @ Washington State
San Jose State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose State's last 6 games on the road
San Jose State is 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 games

Washington State
Washington State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Washington State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Rice @ Hawaii
Rice
Rice is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Hawaii
Rice is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Hawaii

Hawaii
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hawaii's last 6 games
Hawaii is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Rice

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 09-04-2018, 12:30 PM

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 2

Friday, September 7

TCU won its last six games with SMU (3-2-1 vs spread), winning 33-3/56-0 in last two visits here (short drive from Ft Worth to Dallas). Last seven years, Horned Frogs are 8-14 as road favorites, but were 3-1 LY. Last four years, SMU is 5-11 as home underdogs. Mustangs got pounded 46-23 at North Texas Saturday; they were outgained 529-256. TCU cruised over a I-AA opponent. Last five years, Big X teams are 11-10 vs spread when playing AAC teams; they were 5-2 LY.

Saturday’s best 13 games
Florida Atlantic was crushed 63-14 at Oklahoma last week, giving up 10.5 yards per play; Owls have ten starters back on defense, have an experienced OL, but Kiffin has some damage control to do, getting FAU to bounce back and cover a 9-point spread here. Owls were 9-2 vs spread as a favorite in Kiffin’s first year LY. Air Force beat a I-AA team 38-0 LW; they were just 2-8 passing, though. Falcons covered seven of last nine tries as a road underdog. Last 3+ years, C-USA teams are 9-3 vs spread when facing a Mountain West opponent, 3-2 when favored.

Northwestern beat Duke two of last three years; Blue Devils lost 24-13 here in 2016. Duke beat Army 34-14 LW; yardage was just 381-365. Last three years, Duke is 5-7 as a road underdog. Wildcats beat Big 14 rival Purdue 31-27 LW; they were outgunned 472-401, giving up 202 rushing yards to the Boilers. Last three years, Northwestern is 9-5 as a home favorite. Last 4+ years, Big 14 teams are 16-11-1 vs spread when playing an ACC team.

Kansas State was down 24-12 after 3rd quarter to a I-AA team LW; they rallied to win 27-24, but that is a red flag. Wildcats were -4 in turnovers LW; since 2011, they’re 27-9 vs spread as an underdog, 9-3 at home. Mississippi State crushed a I-AA team LW without QB Fitzgerald (suspended)- he is back here. Since ’11, Bulldogs are 8-8-1 as road favorites- they have new coach this year, with Mullen off to coach Florida. Last 7+ years, SEC teams are 8-6 vs spread when favored over a Big X team.

Houston (-1) won 19-16 at Arizona LY; yardage was 383-371. Wildcats had 21 first downs but only one TD. Cougars whacked local rival Rice 45-27 LW, gaining 577 yards (257 on ground, 320 PY). Houston was 4-2 as home favorites LY in Applewhite’s first year as coach. Arizona was upset 28-23 at home by BYU LW; Tate was just 17-34 passing- they were outgained 392-326. Since 2015, Wildcats are 2-9 as road underdogs; Sumlin was 6-9 as a road underdog at A&M. Last 4+ years, AAC teams covered four of five games vs Pac-12 opponents.

Oklahoma crushed FAU 63-14 LW, running/passing for 300+ yards; last 3+ years, Sooners are 14-4 vs spread as home favorites- they have Big X opener at Iowa State next week. UCLA lost 26-17 at home as a 14-point HF to Cincinnati LW; QB Speight got hurt, a true freshman backup threw 25 passes for 4.7 ypa. Since 2009, Bruins are 13-21 as road underdogs. Last 7+ years, Big X teams are 15-10-1 vs spread when playing a Pac-12 opponent, 5-5 when favored.

Navy beat Memphis two of last three years, beating them 42-28 here in ’16; Memphis won LY’s game 30-27 at home, thanks to +4 turnover ratio (5-1). Navy ran ball for 312 yards in that game, and in their 59-41 loss at Hawai’i LW. Rainbows had 436 passing yards- Navy was just 6-13/85 passing. Memphis crushed a I-AA team LW, which means nothing; they’re 5-7 as home favorites in Norvell’s first two years as coach. Tigers have 15 starters back, 114 starts back on OL.

Georgia beat South Carolina last three years, by 32-14-14 points; their 28-14 win here in ’16 was their first in last four visits to Columbia. Favorites are 5-2-1 vs spread in last eight series games. Dawgs are 5-2 as road favorites in two years under Smart; last 20 years, they’re 4-3-1 vs spread as favorites in Columbia. Both teams had easy wins LW; Dawgs over a I-AA team, Gamecocks beat Coastal Carolina 49-15, running for 263 yards. Last nine years, Carolina is 9-3 vs spread as a home underdog.

Colorado spanked Colorado State 45-13 LW, running ball for 258 yards, throwing for 338; last three years, Buffaloes are 8-5 as road underdogs- they’ve got only four returning starters on offense. Nebraska’s game was rained out LW; they’re playing a freshman QB, with walk-ons as backups. Last five years, Cornhuskers are 11-17-1 as home favorites; they’ve got new coach in former UCF coach Frost. Last 3+ years, Big 14 teams are 16-6 vs spread when playing a Pac-12 team.

Iowa won four of last five games with Iowa State, scoring 42-44 points last two years; Iowa won LY’s game 44-41, rallying from down 31-21 in 4th quarter. Cyclones won two of last three visits to Iowa City- they covered 8 of last 10 visits here. Iowa beat Northern Illinois 33-7 LW, running ball for 209 yards; Cyclones played part of their game LW, before it was rained out. State is 6-3 as road underdogs under Campbell; since 2012, Hawkeyes are 13-22-1 as home favorites. Last 4+ years, Big X teams are 7-5-1 vs spread when playing a Big 14 opponent.

Texas A&M coach Fisher is familiar with Clemson from his days at Florida State; Tigers beat FSU 37-34/31-14 last two years. Clemson has 15 starters back, 84 starts back on OL- they’re 7-11 as road favorites the last four years. Clemson’s top two QB’s split 31 passes LW. Texas A&M crushed a I-AA team LW, hard to tell much there. Last four years, Aggies are 1-4-1 as home underdogs. A&M has 101 starts back on its OL. Last 3+ years, ACC teams are 20-16-1 vs spread when facing an SEC opponent.

PSU-Pitt split couple games last two years, with home team winning, dogs covering both- teams renewed rivalry for first time since 2000. Panthers outgunned PSU in both games. Penn State survived an OT game with App State LW, tying game in last minute; ASU outgunned the Lions, 451-434. Under Franklin, Penn State is 5-3 as road favorites. Pitt beat up on a I-AA team LW; they’re 2-4 as home underdogs, under Narduzzi. Penn State has a senior QB with 28 starts. Last 4+ years, Big 14 teams are 16-11-1 vs spread when playing an ACC team.

USC is 6-5 in its last 11 games with Stanford; they beat Cardinal twice LY, 42-24 at home, then 31-28 in Pac-12 title game. Trojans lost three of last four visits to the Farm. USC beat UNLV 43-21 LW but gave up 308 rushing yards; game was only 19-14 at the half. Trojans start a true freshman QB who left HS a year early- very young kid- since 2012, they’re 3-9 as road underdogs. Cardinal pulled away from San Diego State in 31-10 win LW; they’re 4-7 vs spread in last 11 games as home favorites.

Michigan State held off Utah State 38-31 LW; Aggies threw ball for 319 yards. Yardage in game was 452-344. Last three years, Spartans are 1-8 vs spread when laying points on road- they’ve got 19 starters back, a QB with 16 career starts. Arizona State whacked UTSA 49-7 LW in Herm Edwards’ first game as a college HC; Sun Devils were 5-2 as home underdogs the last two years. ASU has a senior QB with 24 starts, but only four returning starters on defense. Last 3+ years, Big 14 teams are 16-6 vs spread when playing a Pac-12 team.

College trends for non-top 13 games

Michigan is 5-9 vs spread in its last 14 games when laying 20+ points; they’re 3-6 vs spread coming off a loss. Since 2013, Western Michigan is 14-6 as a road underdog.

Eastern Michigan covered 10 of its last 11 games as road underdogs; Purdue covered seven of its last eight games as home favorites- they’re 7-3 when laying 10+ points.

Under Mason, Vanderbilt is 4-8 as a home favorite. Last two years, Nevada is 4-7 as a road underdog- they covered two of last eight non-league games.

Since 2009, Kansas is 13-29-2 as a road underdog, 6-12 when getting less than 10 points. Jayhawks are 5-13 vs spread in last 18 non-league games. Since 2013, Central Michigan is 5-8 as home favorites.

East Carolina lost to a I-AA team LW; they’re 3-6 in last nine games as a home underdog, 8-17-1 when coming off a loss. since 2013, North Carolina is 6-2 as road favorites.

Since 2008, Temple is 29-14 vs spread out of conference; they were 0-3 as home favorites LY, after going 8-3 from 2014-16. Since 2015, Buffalo is 5-8-1 as road underdogs. Under is 10-2 in Buffalo’s last 12 road games.

Last two years, Bowling Green is 0-8 vs spread in non-MAC games; they’re 1-5 as home underdogs under Jinks. Falcons are 5-10 in last 15 games as an underdog. Since 2010, Maryland is 4-6 as road favorites; they’re 18-31 coming off a win, but are 8-3 when laying 10+ points.

Missouri covered five of its last six games when laying double digits; they’re 6-5 as home favorites under Odom. Under Bohl, Wyoming is 11-7 as a double digit underdog.

Since 2015, Indiana is 8-4 vs spread outside the Big 14: they were 5-1 vs spread as favorites LY. Virginia is 5-6 as road underdogs under Mendenhall; they’re 5-4 in non-ACC games.

Under Stoops, Kentucky is 7-13-2 when a double digit underdog; since 2016, they’re 6-3 as road underdogs. Since 2016, Florida is 6-4 as a home favorite. Under is 11-7 in their last 18 home games.

Since 2015, Minnesota is 5-11 as home favorites; they crushed New Mexico State 48-10 LW. Fresno State was 4-0 as road underdogs LY, after being 2-10 in 2015-16. Bulldogs were 10-4 LY in Bedford’s first season as coach, after going 1-11 the year before.

Since 2011, Arkansas is 0-5 as road favorites; their last cover as a road favorite was in 2010. Colorado State allowed 43-45 points in losing its first two games this season; they covered six of last eight games when getting double digits.

Underdogs covered last five Cincinnati-Miami OH games; Miami is 6-8 as home favorites under Martin. Since 2015, Bearcats are 8-4 as road underdogs.

**Udog** · 09-04-2018, 12:31 PM

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 2

Friday, September 7

TCU @ SMU

Game 301-302
September 7, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
TCU
102.738
SMU
69.611
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
TCU
by 33
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
TCU
by 22 1/2
59
Dunkel Pick:
TCU
(-22 1/2); Under

Saturday, September 8

Liberty @ Army

Game 303-304
September 8, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Liberty
71.874
Army
85.533
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Army
by 13 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Army
by 9 1/2
58 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Army
(-9 1/2); Over

UAB @ Coastal Carolina

Game 305-306
September 8, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UAB
74.118
Coastal Carolina
66.736
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UAB
by 7 1/2
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UAB
by 10
55
Dunkel Pick:
Coastal Carolina
(+10); Over

Georgia Tech @ South Florida

Game 307-308
September 8, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia Tech
90.668
South Florida
89.448
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia Tech
by 1
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia Tech
by 3 1/2
62 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
South Florida
(+3 1/2); Under

Western Michigan @ Michigan

Game 309-310
September 8, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Western Michigan
76.356
Michigan
95.975
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Michigan
by 19 1/2
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan
by 28
56 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Western Michigan
(+28); Over

Appalachian St @ Charlotte

Game 311-312
September 8, 2018 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Appalachian St
81.679
Charlotte
70.085
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Appalachian St
by 11 1/2
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Appalachian St
by 14
48
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(+14); Under

Eastern Michigan @ Purdue

Game 313-314
September 8, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Eastern Michigan
74.411
Purdue
99.233
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Purdue
by 25
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Purdue
by 16 1/2
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Purdue
(-16 1/2); Over

New Mexico @ Wisconsin

Game 315-316
September 8, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Mexico
68.799
Wisconsin
107.654
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wisconsin
by 41
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wisconsin
by 34 1/2
61 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Wisconsin
(-34 1/2); Under

Air Force @ Florida Atlantic

Game 317-318
September 8, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Air Force
79.401
Florida Atlantic
94.711
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida Atlantic
by 15 1/2
76
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida Atlantic
by 9 1/2
69
Dunkel Pick:
Florida Atlantic
(-9 1/2); Over

FIU @ Old Dominion

Game 319-320
September 8, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
FIU
76.289
Old Dominion
53.472
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
FIU
by 23
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
FIU
by 1
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
FIU
(-1); Under

Duke @ Northwestern

Game 321-322
September 8, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Duke
98.913
Northwestern
98.952
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Duke
Even
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northwestern
by 3
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Duke
(+3); Over

Mississippi St @ Kansas State

Game 323-324
September 8, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Mississippi St
97.628
Kansas State
95.250
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mississippi St
by 2 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Mississippi St
by 9
54
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas State
(+9); Under

Arizona @ Houston

Game 325-326
September 8, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
82.768
Houston
84.597
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 2
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 4
71
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+4); Under

Nevada @ Vanderbilt

Game 327-328
September 8, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Nevada
78.908
Vanderbilt
84.292
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vanderbilt
by 5 1/2
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vanderbilt
by 9
63
Dunkel Pick:
Nevada
(+9); Over

Georgia State @ NC State

Game 329-330
September 8, 2018 @ 12:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia State
69.863
NC State
101.895
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NC State
by 32
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NC State
by 24 1/2
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NC State
(-24 1/2); Over

UCLA @ Oklahoma

Game 331-332
September 8, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UCLA
79.598
Oklahoma
117.928
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma
by 38 1/2
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma
by 30
64
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma
(-30); Under

New Mexico St @ Utah State

Game 333-334
September 8, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Mexico St
66.463
Utah State
79.318
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah State
by 13
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah State
by 24
62
Dunkel Pick:
New Mexico St
(+24); Over

Kansas @ Central Michigan

Game 335-336
September 8, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas
69.748
Central Michigan
71.971
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Central Michigan
by 2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Central Michigan
by 5
52
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas
(+5); Under

UTEP @ UNLV

Game 337-338
September 8, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UTEP
46.641
UNLV
78.364
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UNLV
by 31 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UNLV
by 23 1/2
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
UNLV
(-23 1/2); Under

Memphis @ Navy

Game 339-340
September 8, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
100.285
Navy
81.028
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 19
75
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 7
68
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(-7); Over

North Carolina @ East Carolina

Game 341-342
September 8, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
North Carolina
88.925
East Carolina
66.472
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Carolina
by 22 1/2
65
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Carolina
by 17
60
Dunkel Pick:
North Carolina
(-17); Over

Rutgers @ Ohio State

Game 343-344
September 8, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Rutgers
77.376
Ohio State
116.491
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio State
by 39
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio State
by 35
64 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Ohio State
(-35); Under

Buffalo @ Temple

Game 345-346
September 8, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
75.504
Temple
77.956
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Temple
by 2 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Temple
by 4 1/2
51
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(+4 1/2); Under

Georgia @ South Carolina

Game 347-348
September 8, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia
107.949
South Carolina
100.590
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia
by 7 1/2
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia
by 10
56 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
South Carolina
(+10); Over

Baylor @ TX-San Antonio

Game 349-350
September 8, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baylor
80.709
TX-San Antonio
69.055
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baylor
by 11 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baylor
by 15 1/2
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
TX-San Antonio
(+15 1/2); Over

Arkansas St @ Alabama

Game 351-352
September 8, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arkansas St
84.551
Alabama
114.773
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Alabama
by 30
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Alabama
by 36 1/2
66
Dunkel Pick:
Arkansas St
(+36 1/2); Under

Colorado @ Nebraska

Game 353-354
September 8, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
80.879
Nebraska
88.825
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nebraska
by 8
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nebraska
by 4
65
Dunkel Pick:
Nebraska
(-4); Under

LA-Monroe @ Southern Miss

Game 355-356
September 8, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA-Monroe
67.972
Southern Miss
77.134
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Southern Miss
by 9
74
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Southern Miss
by 6
68
Dunkel Pick:
Southern Miss
(-6); Over

Ball State @ Notre Dame

Game 357-358
September 8, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ball State
62.694
Notre Dame
99.627
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Notre Dame
by 37
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Notre Dame
by 34 1/2
62 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Notre Dame
(-34 1/2); Over

Iowa State @ Iowa

Game 359-360
September 8, 2018 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Iowa State
93.385
Iowa
105.845
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iowa
by 12 1/2
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iowa
by 4
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Iowa
(-4); Under

Maryland @ Bowling Green

Game 361-362
September 8, 2018 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Maryland
79.677
Bowling Green
71.032
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Maryland
by 8 1/2
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Maryland
by 16
65 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Bowling Green
(+16); Under

Massachusetts @ Georgia Southern

Game 363-364
September 8, 2018 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Massachusetts
77.304
Georgia Southern
68.121
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Massachusetts
by 9
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia Southern
by 2 1/2
62 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Massachusetts
(+2 1/2); Over

Clemson @ Texas A&M

Game 365-366
September 8, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Clemson
109.733
Texas A&M
94.061
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Clemson
by 15 1/2
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Clemson
by 12 1/2
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Clemson
(-12 1/2); Under

Wyoming @ Missouri

Game 367-368
September 8, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wyoming
77.709
Missouri
99.721
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Missouri
by 22
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Missouri
by 17 1/2
52
Dunkel Pick:
Missouri
(-17 1/2); Over

Virginia @ Indiana

Game 369-370
September 8, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Virginia
85.081
Indiana
88.637
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 3 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 6 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Virginia
(+6 1/2); Under

Kentucky @ Florida

Game 371-372
September 8, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kentucky
87.672
Florida
89.569
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 2
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida
by 14
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kentucky
(+14); Over

Utah @ Northern Illinois

Game 373-374
September 8, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
101.330
Northern Illinois
80.554
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 21
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 10
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-10); Under

Fresno State @ Minnesota

Game 375-376
September 8, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Fresno State
91.236
Minnesota
95.037
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 4
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 2
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-2); Over

Arkansas @ Colorado State

Game 377-378
September 8, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arkansas
78.209
Colorado State
73.655
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arkansas
by 4 1/2
75
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arkansas
by 14
70
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado State
(+14); Over

Cincinnati @ Miami of Ohio

Game 379-380
September 8, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
78.413
Miami of Ohio
72.571
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 6
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami of Ohio
by 1 1/2
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+1 1/2); Under

Tulsa @ Texas

Game 381-382
September 8, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tulsa
69.499
Texas
97.303
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 28
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
by 23
62
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(-23); Over

South Alabama @ Oklahoma State

Game 383-384
September 8, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Alabama
67.383
Oklahoma State
102.591
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma State
by 35
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma State
by 32
63
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma State
(-32); Under

Penn State @ Pittsburgh

Game 385-386
September 8, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Penn State
103.904
Pittsburgh
97.866
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Penn State
by 6
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Penn State
by 9
56
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+9); Over

USC @ Stanford

Game 387-388
September 8, 2018 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
USC
100.485
Stanford
102.661
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Stanford
by 2
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Stanford
by 5 1/2
56 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
USC
(+5 1/2); Under

California @ Brigham Young

Game 389-390
September 8, 2018 @ 9:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
California
92.289
Brigham Young
81.061
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
California
by 11
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brigham Young
by 3
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
California
(+3); Over

Connecticut @ Boise State

Game 391-392
September 8, 2018 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
72.535
Boise State
95.587
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boise State
by 23
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boise State
by 31 1/2
64
Dunkel Pick:
Connecticut
(+31 1/2); Under

Michigan State @ Arizona State

Game 393-394
September 8, 2018 @ 10:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Michigan State
97.700
Arizona State
88.558
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Michigan State
by 9
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan State
by 6
54
Dunkel Pick:
Michigan State
(-6); Under

San Jose St @ Washington St

Game 395-396
September 8, 2018 @ 11:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Jose St
55.787
Washington St
95.298
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington St
by 39 1/2
72
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington St
by 34 1/2
65 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington St
(-34 1/2); Over

Rice @ Hawaii

Game 397-398
September 8, 2018 @ 12:00 am

Dunkel Rating:
Rice
60.781
Hawaii
80.919
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hawaii
by 20
65
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hawaii
by 17
71 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Hawaii
(-17); Under

Towson @ Wake Forest

Game 399-400
September 8, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Towson
61.517
Wake Forest
93.996
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wake Forest
by 32 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wake Forest
by 30 1/2
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Wake Forest
(-30 1/2); Over

Holy Cross @ Boston College

Game 401-402
September 8, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Holy Cross
53.632
Boston College
94.808
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston College
by 41
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston College
by 44 1/2
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Holy Cross
(+44 1/2); Under

William & Mary @ Virginia Tech

Game 403-404
September 8, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
William & Mary
63.423
Virginia Tech
94.138
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia Tech
by 31
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia Tech
by 37 1/2
48
Dunkel Pick:
William & Mary
(+37 1/2); Over

Portland St @ Oregon

Game 405-406
September 8, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland St
42.306
Oregon
94.963
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oregon
by 52 1/2
75
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oregon
by 49
79 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oregon
(-49); Under

Morgan St @ Akron

Game 407-408
September 8, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Morgan St
28.873
Akron
75.053
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Akron
by 46
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Akron
by 38
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Akron
(-38); Over

Howard @ Kent State

Game 409-410
September 8, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Howard
54.854
Kent State
59.356
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kent State
by 4 1/2
69
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kent State
by 6 1/2
64 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Howard
(+6 1/2); Over

Wagner @ Syracuse

Game 411-412
September 8, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wagner
48.575
Syracuse
82.588
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Syracuse
by 34
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Syracuse
by 43 1/2
66
Dunkel Pick:
Wagner
(+43 1/2); Under

Southern Illinois @ Mississippi

Game 413-414
September 8, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Southern Illinois
70.202
Mississippi
95.901
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mississippi
by 25 1/2
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Mississippi
by 29 1/2
65
Dunkel Pick:
Southern Illinois
(+29 1/2); Under

East Tenn St @ Tennessee

Game 415-416
September 8, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
East Tenn St
51.088
Tennessee
74.309
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tennessee
by 23
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 37 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
East Tenn St
(+37 1/2); Over

Lamar @ Texas Tech

Game 417-418
September 8, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Lamar
41.696
Texas Tech
87.148
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas Tech
by 45 1/2
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas Tech
by 43
66 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas Tech
(-43); Under

North Dakota @ Washington

Game 419-420
September 8, 2018 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
North Dakota
56.706
Washington
105.354
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 48 1/2
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 45
56
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-45); Over

Savannah St @ Miami-FL

Game 421-422
September 8, 2018 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Savannah St
41.807
Miami-FL
98.211
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami-FL
by 56 1/2
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami-FL
by 54
61 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami-FL
(-54); Over

South Carolina St @ Central Florida

Game 423-424
September 8, 2018 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Carolina St
43.430
Central Florida
102.005
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Central Florida
by 58 1/2
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Central Florida
by 46 1/2
61
Dunkel Pick:
Central Florida
(-46 1/2); Under

Youngstown St @ West Virginia

Game 425-426
September 8, 2018 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Youngstown St
64.013
West Virginia
92.001
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
West Virginia
by 28
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
West Virginia
by 33 1/2
61
Dunkel Pick:
Youngstown St
(+33 1/2); Under

Eastern Kentucky @ Marshall

Game 427-428
September 8, 2018 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Eastern Kentucky
53.461
Marshall
78.935
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Marshall
by 25 1/2
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Marshall
by 28 1/2
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Eastern Kentucky
(+28 1/2); Over

Tenn-Martin @ Middle Tennessee St

Game 429-430
September 8, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tenn-Martin
56.176
Middle Tennessee
80.359
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Middle Tennessee
by 24
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Middle Tennessee
by 21 1/2
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Middle Tennessee
(-21 1/2); Under

Indiana State @ Louisville

Game 431-432
September 8, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana State
44.159
Louisville
94.485
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Louisville
by 50 1/2
76
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Louisville
by 44 1/2
67 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Louisville
(-44 1/2); Over

Florida A&M @ Troy

Game 433-434
September 8, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida A&M
48.137
Troy
76.436
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Troy
by 28 1/2
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Troy
by 37 1/2
59 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Florida A&M
(+37 1/2); Under

Southern U @ Louisiana Tech

Game 435-436
September 8, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Southern U
51.524
Louisiana Tech
80.305
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Louisiana Tech
by 28 1/2
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Louisiana Tech
by 36 1/2
64 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Southern U
(+36 1/2); Over

Texas Southern @ Texas State

Game 437-438
September 8, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas Southern
27.724
Texas State
61.037
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas State
by 33 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas State
by 28 1/2
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas State
(-28 1/2); Under

SE Louisiana @ LSU

Game 439-440
September 8, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
SE Louisiana
62.458
LSU
103.575
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LSU
by 41
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LSU
by 38 1/2
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LSU
(-38 1/2); Over

Samford @ Florida State

Game 441-442
September 8, 2018 @ 7:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Samford
71.220
Florida State
90.552
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida State
by 19 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida State
by 34 1/2
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Samford
(+34 1/2); Over

Western Illinois @ Illinois

Game 443-444
September 8, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Western Illinois
77.265
Illinois
72.108
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Illinois
by 5
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Illinois
by 9
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Western Illinois
(+9); Under

Maine @ Western Kentucky

Game 445-446
September 8, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Maine
72.072
Western Kentucky
68.757
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Maine
by 3 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Kentucky
by 9 1/2
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Maine
(+9 1/2); Under

Alabama St @ Auburn

Game 447-448
September 8, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Alabama St
49.562
Auburn
95.068
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Auburn
by 46 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Auburn
by 50 1/2
59 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Alabama St
(+50 1/2); Over

Incarnate Word @ North Texas

Game 449-450
September 8, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Incarnate Word
35.231
North Texas
81.073
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Texas
by 46
83
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Texas
by 41
78
Dunkel Pick:
North Texas
(-41); Over

Nicholls St @ Tulane

Game 491-492
September 8, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Nicholls St
64.246
Tulane
81.749
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tulane
by 17 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tulane
by 14 1/2
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tulane
(-14 1/2); Under

Southern Utah @ Oregon State

Game 493-494
September 8, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Southern Utah
68.862
Oregon State
72.407
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oregon State
by 3 1/2
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oregon State
by 11 1/2
70
Dunkel Pick:
Southern Utah
(+11 1/2); Under

Sacramento St @ San Diego St

Game 495-496
September 8, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento St
72.103
San Diego St
85.092
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego St
by 13
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego St
by 26 1/2
58 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento St
(+26 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 09-07-2018, 11:25 AM

College Essentials - Week 2
Tony Mejia

We’re off and running in September, nearly getting a monumental upset with Appalachian State taking Penn State to overtime in Happy Valley, leading in the final minute of regulation. Utah State harrassed Michigan State and BYU took down Arizona in Tucson, so the upset bug is flourishing early, feasting on a few slumping FBS programs courtesy of FCS schools.

Florida State, Miami, Texas and UCLA had rough debuts, Auburn held off Washington in the game with the most national impact and Notre Dame squashed Michigan as Jim Harbaugh’s tenure at his alma mater grew more disappointing.

Alabama, despite losing standouts like Minkah Fitzgerald and Daron Payne, showed off a fierce defense against Louisville and remain college football’s most impressive force. Almost everyone has dipped a toe into the water. Here’s what we’re looking at for this week for a card that will unfold almost entirely on Saturday outside of TCU sidling up to SMU in Dallas on Friday night:

Saturday
Arizona at Houston, 12 p.m. ET, ABC: Kevin Sumlin lost his debut with the Wildcats in Tucson, falling to BYU. Heisman candidate Khalil Tate was limited him to just 14 rushing yards on eight attempts. The quarterback I expected to most perform like former Louisville Heisman winner Lamar Jackson was turned into a pocket passer, something that can’t continue if Arizona is going to have a successful season. Sumlin will return to his old stomping grounds in Houston, running into the potential No. 1 overall pick in DT Ed Oliver. He took blame for schematically not getting Tate’s legs more involved into his game plan, so we’ll see what wrinkles emerge this week from he and offensive coordinator Noel Mazzone. Oliver’s presence will be a headache in its own right given the rough showing from the offensive line against the first set of Cougars on the slate.

The U of H Cougs defense had a rough start against crosstown rival Rice but got it together to allow just three second-half points in a commanding first victory. They’ve got big play potential Arizona must be wary of with D’Eriq King also capable of beating you with his arm and his legs. He averaged 19 yards per completion against the Owls and didn’t even have Utah transfer Raelon Singleton out there due to a hamstring issue. Marquez Stevenson, Keith Corbin, Courtney Lark and Bryson Smith each had receptions of at least 20 yards, while running backs Terence Williams, Patrick Carr and Mulbah Car are still competing to become the full-time starter. This early start has a chance to be sabotaged by thunderstorms, but may otherwise turn into a shootout.

Mississippi State at Kansas State, 12 p.m. ET, ESPN: Nick Fitzgerald is back after sitting out the first game of Joe Moorhead’s head coaching tenure in Starkville due to suspension for getting in trouble back in March. The Tim Tebow-like senior accounted for 29 touchdowns last season after waiting out the Dak Prescott era and remains the unquestioned starter despite the fact backup Keyaton Thompson threw for 364 yards and five scores in a 63-6 rout of Stephen F. Austin. Fitzgerald will be taking his first live snaps since dislocating his ankle in last November’s Egg Bowl. The offense returns almost everyone but has new leadership with Luke Getsy, an NFL assistant the last few years, coming into help Moorhead run the attack. Having Fitzgerald’s experience for a tough challenge in Manhattan should aid the cause. .

K-State’s encounter with an FCS foe went far less smoothly than the Bulldogs’ experience with the Lumberjacks. South Dakota led 24-12 entering the fourth quarter, taking advantage of turnovers and miscues. If the Coyotes hadn’t been saddled with a first-time starter who threw 32 incompletions, the Wildcats would’ve been too far behind to snatch away a victory like they managed to. Isaiah Zuber returned a punt 85 yards for a crucial fourth-quarter score and then hauled in the game-winning reception. Starting RB Alex Barnes fumbled three times and both quarterbacks threw interceptions, but it was the lack of push from an offensive line that K-State had high hopes for that looms as the largest concern with an SEC foe in town. These schools haven't played in 41 years. Mississippi State has won both career meetings.

UCLA at Oklahoma, 1 p.m. ET, FOX: The Chip Kelly era began with a resounding thud as Cincinnati came up with an impressive upset as a nearly two-touchdown underdog. Wilton Speight may be somewhat limited, but the Michigan transfer gave the Bruins their best chance to win immediately, so watching him exit and likely not participate this week definitely makes this game nearly impossible to win. True freshman Dorian Thompson-Robinson came in and finished 15-for-25 and led only one scoring drive, so don’t expect much from an attack that is also starting a freshman center in Christaphany Murray, who will be making his first snaps in an opposing stadium to someone taking them for the first time. Kelly couldn’t remember ever being a 31-point underdog, so that will be new for him too. Tailback Soso Jamabo remains suspended, so expect more looks for another freshman, Kazmeir Allen, who was the lone highlight offensively against Cincy, amassing 103 yards on five carries.

Oklahoma toyed with Florida Atlantic and will take aim at a UCLA defense that returned a number of regulars from last year’s group. We’ll see if the Sooners need Kyler Murray to play longer than the single half he participated in last Saturday, but odds are that covering this one may hinge on the work of sophomore backup Austin Kendall, who completed eight of 10 passes for 88 yards and a score against the Owls and has been efficient in limited action. Thunderstorms may be a factor in this contest, which is the fifth meeting all-time between the schools. OU is 3-1.

Georgia at South Carolina, 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS: Both teams annihilated overwhelmed their first opponents last week. The Gamecocks showed off new coordinator Bryan McClendon’s faster-paced offense and QB Jake Bentley decisively got everybody lined up and went to work, spreading it around and pushing it downfield. The Dawgs aren’t Coastal Carolina, but South Carolina can’t cower at home if it is going to pull off an upset of the defending national runner-up here. Georgia’s D’Andre Swift isn’t getting much play yet, but considering he’s attempting to replace current pros Nick Chubb and Sony Michel, this is an opportunity for the sophomore running back to begin his Heisman campaign. Freshman James Cook, who racked up 66 yards on six carries, will miss the first half of this one after being ejected for targeting.

Elijah Holyfield, Evander’s son, will be the primary backup to Swift, who was one of six players to score touchdowns against Austin Peay but was clearly the most impressive offensive player. It’s going to be on him and Jake Fromm to move the offense in Columbia against a Gamecocks defense that was middle-of-the-road in the SEC last season and lost top tackler Skai Moore, who made the Colts as an undrafted free agent, to graduation. It will be interesting to see what Will Muschamp does with his new group. Kirby Smart and Mel Tucker’s group finished second in the league in points and yards allowed last season but lost first-rounder Roquan Smith, among others. The secondary, led by Deandre Baker and J.R. Reed, is now UGA’s strength, which lines up nicely against South Carolina’s highly regarded receiving duo, Deebo Samuel and Bryan Edwards. Although some on the West Coast may object, this is Saturday’s most compelling matchup.

Colorado at Nebraska, 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC: The Buffs looked fantastic in the Rocky Mountain Showdown, crushing rival Colorado State. Junior QB Steven Montez was sharper than that knife you have to make sure the kids can’t get to. Although the Rams defense has opened the season in a cooperative mood, it’s impossible to ignore that Virginia Tech transfer Travon McMillan gives Colorado a powerful backfield option or that sophomore WR Laviska Shenault might emerge as a force in the Pac-12 due to his size and strength. CSU could do nothing with Colorado, so the ‘Huskers will be more effective from a talent standpoint alone. It remains to be seen, however, what talented coordinator Eric Chinander can accomplish since he’ll be working with a new group for the first time after joining Scott Frost in coming over from UCF. Tre Neal joining him and and being listed at first-team safety is a plus, but the group of returnees he inherited got lit up often last season.

Nebraska got to run through the tunnel as Scott Frost led the ‘Huskers out for the first time but lightning and torrential rain forced a postponement of its game against Akron. True freshman QB Adrian Martinez now has to debut against a defense that is going to get after him as they look to spoil the party in Lincoln. The 18-year-old beat out another redshirt freshman, Tristan Gebbia, who transferred to Oregon State. If Martinez struggles or gets banged up, the ‘Huskers would have to turn to sophomore Andrew Bunch, who hasn’t played either. These former Big 12 rivals haven’t played since 2010. Nebraska is 49-18-2, while Colorado has dropped 14 of its last 15 road openers.

Iowa State at Iowa, 5 p.m. ET, FOX: The Cyclones saw inclement weather cancel their first test against South Dakota State, which has its positives and negatives. Although Iowa State was eager to open a season where there are more expectations than there have been in years, nobody got nicked up and it didn’t have to put anything on tape for the Hawkeyes to study. Iowa got disappointingly inconsistent play from QB Nate Stanley but still managed to stifle Northern Illinois and is favored at home in Iowa City, having won the CyHawk Trophy seven times over the last decade, including the last three.

Iowa won in Ames 44-41 in OT last September, but has dropped this rivalry game twice over the last three meetings at home in Kinnick Stadium. We’ll see if the defense holds up against top rusher David Montgomery, who can really open things up for Iowa State if he gets it going. In 6-foot-6 WR Hakeem Butler, ISU has a tremendous red-zone threat who may emerge as a national breakout candidate since career receptions leader Allen Lazard has moved on, landing on the Jags’ practice squad. Both teams are at full strength with starting linemen Tristan Wirfs (Iowa) and Julian Good-Jones (ISU) having served suspensions. Thunderstorms are in Iowa’s forecasts all week and may play a role on Saturday, so keep an eye out.

Clemson at Texas A&M, 7 p.m. ET, ESPN: Jimbo Fisher’s debut in College Station saw his QB choice, sophomore Kellen Mond, excel against FCS foe Northwestern State. The competition will be a lot stiffer with the Tigers in town, so we’ll truly see if he’s taken a step forward when he gets his first taste of adversity from one of the nation’s top defensive fronts. Dabo Swinney may be forced to get serious earlier than he probably wants to in playing true freshman Trevor Lawrence over senior Kelly Bryant since the kid appears to be the better option. He threw for three scores and engineered more scoring drives than Clemson’s starter, opening things up thanks to a better, more consistent arm. Bryant will play here, too, probably as the starter, but the Aggies will see both and are preparing accordingly.

If the Aggies are able to move the ball, I think we’ll see more of Lawrence despite the atmosphere potentially being a daunting one for his first college road game. Beyond Mond’s ability to demonstrate consistency, A&M will utilize RB Trayveon Williams to try and test Brett Venables’ defense, which led the ACC in virtually everything last season and allowed just 13.6 points, the second-lowest total in the nation. Williams is leading the country in rushing yards per game (240.0) after torching Northwestern State, but will now be tested by arguably college football’s top defensive line. Clemson was 0-3 against the Aggies before breaking through in their last meeting back in 2005, winning 25-24 in Death Valley. Fisher is 4-4 against the Tigers but lost with FSU each of the last three years.

Kentucky at Florida, 7:30 p.m. ET, SEC: The SEC East looks to be Georgia and everybody else, but South Carolina will be attempting to alter that narrative in Columbia and the winner of this one would be poised to rise up and make their own run. The Gators will be getting a number of players back from suspensions after a host of guys served punishments for offseason transgressions, while the ‘Cats will take their shot at an upset with a QB controversy brewing. Gunnar Hoak, who lost the QB competition to former Oregon recruit Terry Wilson in camp, may have passed him after settling everyone down following Wilson’s three first-half turnovers in rallying Kentucky over Central Michigan. In roommates Benny Snell and AJ Rose, UK has a lethal combo to anchor the ground game that could make the offense formidable if it gets consistent production via the pass. USC transfer E.J. Price lived up to his reputation in his debut and has overcome a hand injury in order to factor in here.

This will be the first true test for the Florida defense under esteemed new coordinator Todd Grantham, who inherits a defense that finished seventh in the 14-team SEC in run defense and scoring a year ago. The Gators offense wasn’t tested at all by Charleston Southern but Feleipe Franks threw for five TDs in a 53-6 win and has secured Dan Mullen’s confidence. Mullen took his foot off the gas late in the third quarter or the team could’ve topped 70, but there are still a lot of guys on both sides of the ball who may not be up to speed for one reason or another. It could be the perfect time for Kentucky to snap a 31-game losing streak at the hands of Florida. Kentucky is 2-10 in SEC road openers and fell behind 45-0 in its last trip to Gainesville. If a quarterback emerges and plays well, they should have a shot. Rain is in the forecast, so the "Swamp" could live up to its billing.

Penn State at Pittsburgh, 8 p.m. ET, ESPN: After allowing 28 points and 266 yards in the fourth quarter and OT against Appalachian State, the Nittany Lions should be locked in defensively as they take the field for their first road game. While an upset loss wouldn’t have end their season, Penn State flirted with disaster given its preseason expectations, so watching Trace McSorley come through in the clutch once again has to be reassuring given the loss of Saquon Barkley. New center Michael Menet had some growing pains, according to head coach James Franklin, but he felt the sophomore held up well in his first start against an odd front. This will be his first time snapping in an opposing stadium, although PSU backers should help fill out Heinz Field.

Missed tackles were an issue for Penn State, which committed just two penalties, didn’t turn it over, ran for 204 yards and threw for 230 but still nearly lost to a 24.5-point underdog with a first-time starter at QB. Was that a warning sign that the days of Franklin’s team being vulnerable week in and week out have returned? Pitt outgained PSU last season but fell 33-14 in Happy Valley but it won this matchup in ’16, prevailing in a 42-39 shootout. Pat Narduzzi’s team got up 33-7 on FCS opponent Albany and coasted in the second half. The Panthers’ secondary may be back at full strength after missing a trio from their projected two-deep against the Great Danes. Pitt has a veteran team in place and a chip on its collective shoulder from the knowledge that Penn State neither considers its in-state foe a rival nor seems terribly interested in the series continuing beyond next season. Expect the home team to leave no stone unturned.

USC at Stanford, 8:30 p.m. ET, FOX: The Trojans were in a battle with UNLV for a half before the kids warmed up, but they’ve got to prove they can execute on the road against a veteran Cardinal team. Freshman QB JT Daniels and WR Amon-Ra St. Brown have bright futures and sophomore RBs Stephen Carr and Vavae Malepai are talented, but this immense Pac-12 clash may be too early on the schedule for USC to survive. Bryce Love got bottled up by San Diego State but the attention he commanded allowed QB K.J. Costello to shine. Stanford needs that to be a weekly occurrence to maximize its potential and must protect the Farm since it closes out the month with challenging road trips to Oregon and Notre Dame.

Costello hooked up with JJ Arcega-Whiteside six times for 226 yards, scoring three touchdowns and now faces a Trojans secondary that saw safety Ykill Ross leave the team after losing his starting gig due to a hamstring issue and the other projected starter, Bubba Bolden, sidelined with a disciplinary issue. Starting corner Greg Johnson should play but missed practice Monday, so talented Iman Marshall will have added pressure on him to try and bottle up Arcega-Whiteside. Up front, defensive linemen Brandon Pili and Liam Jimmons are dealing with nagging ailments. USC beat Stanford twice last year, ending a run that had seen it drop eight of 10, but has won in Palo Alto only once since ’09. It’s set to be a perfect night for football, a few slight wind gusts aside.

Michigan State at Arizona State, 10:45 p.m. ET, ESPN: The Spartans didn’t play to their potential and QB Brian Lewerke looked shaky as Utah State stormed into East Lansing and fared extremely well, hanging around for four quarters as a 24-point underdog. There’s no way Michigan State expected to be punched in the mouth the way it was. Left tackle Cole Chewins, who missed the Friday night victory, has a chance to return and would upgrade the offensive line. The Spartans were also without their most talented corner, sophomore Josiah Scott, who will likely be out a few months. Given how well the Aggies passed it, his absence is going to be a major obstacle for the MSU secondary.

Sparty wouldn’t cop to underestimating Utah State will have no one but itself to blame if Mark Dantonio doesn’t have everyone ready to play in Temple given what the Sun Devils put on display in Herm Edwards’ debut. QB Manny Wilkins put the ball where it had to be all night against Texas-San Antonio, allowing playmakers N’Keal Harry and Eno Benjamin to shine. The senior threw four touchdown passes and made some plays with his feet, while suspended backup RB Trelon Smith’s void was filled nicely by fellow sophomore Isaiah Floyd. Edwards will have linebacker Jaya Jay Wilson back from suspension but may be down a starting offensive lineman if guard Steven Miller can’t get healthy. This is the first meeting between these schools since 1986. The high in Tempe on Saturday is set to be 107, so Michigan State is fortunate that this one won't get underway until after sunset.

Other games to watch: California at BYU, Memphis at Navy, Duke at Northwestern, Georgia Tech at South Florida, Nevada at Vanderbilt, Virginia at Indiana, Fresno State at Minnesota, Rutgers at Ohio State

**Udog** · 09-07-2018, 11:29 AM

TCU at SMU
Brian Edwards

Matchup: (16) TCU at SMU
Venue: Gerald J. Ford Stadium, Dallas, Texas
Time/TV: Friday, Sept. 7, ESPN2, 8:00 p.m. ET

Southern Methodist will try to shake off a dismal debut to the Sonny Dykes Era on Friday night when it plays host to TCU in the Battle for the Iron Skillet. As of Wednesday afternoon, most betting shops had the Horned Frogs installed as 22-point road favorites with a total of 58.5. The Mustangs were +1250 on the money line at both 5Dimes.eu and *** Global (risk $100 to win $1,250).

TCU (1-0 straight up, 0-1 against the spread) has won five games in a row over SMU by at least 19 points, including last year’s 56-36 win that resulted in a push as a 20-point home favorite. Gary Patterson’s program has beaten the Mustangs 16 times out of the past 18 meetings in this in-state rivalry.

When these schools collided at Amon G. Carter Stadium in Ft. Worth in 2017, the 92 combined points soared ‘over’ the 65-point total. SMU took a surprising 19-7 lead until TCU woke up midway through the second quarter and scored back-to-back TDs to go ahead, 21-19. The Mustangs responded with their third short field goal of the half to go back in front 22-21 with 17 seconds left until intermission.

However, TCU quarterback Kenny Hill found Jalen Reagor for a 38-yard scoring strike on the last play of the second quarter to put the Frogs back ahead at halftime. It was still a one-possession game (35-29) going into the final stanza, but TCU scored 21 straight points to put the game away.

Hill threw for 365 yards and four touchdowns without an interception. Darius Anderson rushed for 89 yards and two TDs on 14 carries, while KaVontae Turpin had seven receptions for 88 yards and one TD. Reagor had three catches for 79 yards and one TD, and Kenedy Snell scored TDs on a 71-yard reception and a 10-yard scamper.

SMU quarterback Ben Hicks connected on 17-of-37 passes for 305 yards with two TDs and two interceptions. Ke’Mon Freeman rushed for 57 yards and two TDs on 12 carries, while James Proche caught three balls for 93 yards and one TD.

TCU returned five starters on offense and six on defense from last season’s team that finished 11-3 SU and 6-7-1 ATS. One of those returning starters on defense was lost to a season-ending injury during camp in August, though. Sophomore nose tackle Ross Blacklock, who was the Big 12’s Co-Defensive Freshman of the Year and a Freshman All-American in ’17, will miss the entire 2018 campaign. Blacklock produced 27 tackles, 4.5 tackles for loss and two sacks last year.

Patterson is the second-longest tenured coach in the FBS behind only Iowa’s Kirk Ferentz. The 58-year-old has been offered a slew of jobs to leave, turning down all of them during his 18-year tenure. Patterson has produced 11 seasons with double-digit win totals, winning at least 11 games 10 different times.

He is 161-57 overall and has overseen smooth transitions from the now-defunct WAC to the Mountain West (2005) and then into a Power Five league in the Big 12 (2012). Patterson’s program started slowly in the Big 12, going 4-5 and 2-7 in league action in ’12 and ’13. Since then, however, the Frogs are 26-10 vs. Big 12 foes over the last four seasons.

TCU beat up on FCS foe Southern by a 55-7 count last week, but it failed to cover the number as a 50-point home favorite. True sophomore QB Shawn Robinson made his second career start, completing 17-of-24 passes for 182 yards and three TDs without an interception. He had 45 rushing yards and two TDs on runs of 36 and nine yards on his only attempts.

Turpin produced 108 all-purpose yards on 10 touches, while Reagor had four receptions for 47 yards and one TD. Reagor also had a nine-yard run on his lone carry and a 37-yard kickoff return. Anderson, a third-team All-Big 12 selection when he ran for a team-best 768 yards and eight TDs while averaging 6.0 yards per carry last year, will be fresh for SMU after rushing for 36 yards on merely eight attempts vs. Southern.

Reagor, a sophomore WR, led TCU in TD catches (eight) and receiving yards (576) on 33 catches as a true freshman in ’17. He is a preseason fourth-team All-Big 12 pick in Phil Steele’s preseason magazine. Anderson is a preseason second-team All-Big 12 choice, while junior OT Lucas Niang is a third-team selection and junior OG Cordel Iwuagwu is a fourth-teamer like Reagor.

Steele’s Big 12 Unit Rankings shine a bright light on TCU’s defense. As for the offense? Not so much. The Frogs are ranked seventh (in the 10-team conference) at the QB position, fourth at RB, sixth at WR and seventh on the offensive line.

The defense is a much different deal, as Patterson’s unit is ranked tops in the league on the defensive line, at linebacker, in the secondary and on special teams. Steele’s National Unit rankings have TCU at ninth on both the d-line and at LB, 12th in the secondary and third on special teams.

Turpin is a preseason first-team all-conference choice in Steele’s mag as the kick and punt returner. He averaged 16.2 yards per punt return with one TD last year, in addition to averaging 30.8 yards per kick return with another TD. The dynamic senior had 41 receptions for 394 yards and one TD, and he also ran for 86 yards and a pair of scores on 11 totes for a 7.8 YPC average.

Senior DE Ben Banogu is the star of the defense, garnering first-team All-Big 12 honors last season when he tallied 49 tackles, 8.5 sacks, eight tackles for loss, seven QB hurries, three forced fumbles and one pass broken up. Other defensive standouts for the Frogs include senior LB Ty Summers, senior safety Niko Small and junior CB Jeff Gladney.

Summers recorded five tackles, one sack, one TFL and one QB hurry in last week’s opener. He had 64 tackles, five PBU, four sacks, four TFL’s, three QB hurries, one interception and one forced fumble in ’17. Gladney tallied 28 tackles, five PBU and two interceptions for 94 return yards and one TD last year. He had two tackles, one TFL and one PBU vs. Southern.

TCU scored at a 33.6 points-per-game clip in ’17, while its defense surrendered just 19.0 PPG. The Frogs enjoyed a 1,229-yard advantage over their foes in total offense last season, and they were +3 in turnover margin.

Patterson’s team won its first seven games of ’17 to climb up to No. 4 in the national rankings. TCU’s unbeaten season ended with a 14-7 loss at 25th-ranked Iowa State. After bouncing back to thump Texas 24-7, the Frogs saw their College Football Playoff hopes disappear in a 38-20 defeat at fifth-ranked Oklahoma. They handily won at Texas Tech and vs. Baylor at home to qualify for the Big 12 Championship Game and a rematch with the Sooners, who delivered similar treatment in a 41-17 triumph to clinch a CFP berth.

To its credit, TCU rallied from a big first-half deficit to knock off 15th-ranked Stanford 39-37 at the Alamo Bowl. The Cardinal took the money as a three-point underdog, however.

SMU (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) saw head coach Chad Morris leave to take the Arkansas job after leading the school to its first bowl game since 2012. The Mustangs went 7-6 SU and 6-6-1 ATS last year, dropping a 51-10 decision to La. Tech at the Frisco Bowl. (Dykes served as HC in this game, but he’d only been on the job for about two weeks.)

Dykes’s squad returns six starters on offense and eight on defense. The Mustangs lost just 19 lettermen, but they still took woodshed treatment in a 46-23 loss at North Texas as three-point road underdogs in last week’s opener. The 69 combined points slithered ‘under’ the 71.5-point total.

SMU trailed the Mean Green 20-0 at halftime and 36-0 going into the fourth quarter. North Texas enjoyed an enormous 529-256 advantage in total yards and a 30-9 edge in first downs.

Hicks completed only 12-of-24 throws for 252 yards and two TDs with one interception. He had zero help from the ground game that was limited to four yards on 19 attempts (0.2 YPC). Senior RB Braeden West had a five-yard TD run and caught three passes for 86 yards and one TD. Proche had two receptions for 77 yards and one TD.

Hicks was outstanding as a sophomore in ’17, completing 58.5 percent of his passes for 3,569 yards with a 33/12 TD-INT ratio. He has 25 career starts under his belt. Hicks lost a pair of elite WRs in Trey Quinn and Courtland Sutton, who combined for 182 catches for 2,321 yards and 25 TD grabs last season.

Proche caught 40 balls for 816 yards and six TDs in ’17. He was a second-team preseason All-AAC selection in Steele’s mag. Junior RB Xavier Jones was a second-team All-AAC pick last year and a preseason first-teamer. However, he was only given two carries that gained just three yards against the Mean Green. Jones had 1,075 rushing yards and nine TDs with a 5.9 YPC average in ’17.

Dykes admitted Monday night on his weekly radio show that Jones wasn’t healthy the last couple of weeks of camp. He called him “probably 85-90 percent” going into the North Texas game. “The good thing is I think he’ll be back this week full go and he’s doing much better,” Dykes told PonyStampeded.com.

Even if Jones can’t go, West and Freeman are excellent back-up options even if the stats didn’t suggest as much vs. North Texas. West rushed for 568 yards and two TDs with a 7.8 YPC average in ’17, while Freeman had 543 rushing yards, 11 TDs and a 4.1 YPC average.

Since 2014, SMU has limped to a 4-11 spread record in 15 games as a home underdog. Meanwhile, TCU has compiled an 8-14 ATS record as a road favorite since 2011, but we should note that the Frogs went 3-1 ATS in four such spots last season.

Two SMU starters are on the injury report. Junior OT Bryce Wilds is ‘questionable’ due to an undisclosed issue and junior DE Tyeson Neals is ‘out’ for the next several weeks with a knee injury. Neals produced 19 tackles, 4.5 sacks, four TFL’s and two QB hurries last year.

For TCU, senior starting DE L.J. Collier and Blacklock’s back-up nose tackle Joseph Broadnax are both ‘questionable’ due to disciplinary matters. Collier had 18 tackles, four sacks, two QB hurries, one interception and 0.5 TFL’s in ’17, while Broadnax contributed 14 tackles, two TFL’s, 1.5 sacks, one QB hurry and one PBU.

Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. Eastern on Friday night at Gerald J. Ford Stadium on ESPN2.

**Bonus Nuggets**

-- The ‘over’ is 7-2-1 in the past 10 meetings of the TCU-SMU rivalry.

-- Former Georgia Tech RB Dedrick Mills was dismissed from the program by Paul Johnson in August of 2017 for an unspecified violation of team rules. As a freshman in 2016, Mills led the Yellow Jackets in rushing yards (771) and rushing TDs with 12. He’s playing juco ball at Garden City Community College in Kansas but missed most of last year injured. Anyway, he announced on his Twitter account this week that he’s verbally committed to Scott Frost and Nebraska. Mills hopes to get a medical hardship waiver from the NCAA for 2017 and if it’s granted, he’ll have two years of eligibility remaining at Nebraska starting in 2019 (assuming he sticks to his verbal pledge).

-- North Texas junior QB Mason Fine had himself a day vs. SMU last week. Fine completed 40-of-50 passes for 444 yards and three TDs without an interception.

-- Hawaii QB Cole McDonald has been nothing short of sensational in first two career starts, leading the Warriors to a pair of easy wins as double-digit underdogs. In Week Zero at Colorado State as a 17-point underdog, McDonald had his team up 37-7 late in the third quarter. The Rams rallied to make it interesting but still lost by a 43-34 count. Then in Week 1, Hawaii trounced Navy 59-41 as a 13-point ‘dog. McDonald has completed 71.8 percent of his throws for 846 yards and nine TDs without a pick. He also has a pair of rushing scores.

-- After opening as a 3.5-point home favorite Sunday night for this week’s double-revenge spot vs. USC, Stanford was up to a 5.5-point ‘chalk’ to the Trojans by Wednesday afternoon. The Cardinal will be without starting senior center Jesse Burkett, who is ‘out’ for undisclosed reasons. Burkett has 28 career starts to his credit.

-- Former Alabama and Arizona State QB Blake Barnett made his debut for Charlie Strong’s USF team in its 34-14 home win over Elon last week. Barnett completed 24-of-34 passes for 305 yards and three TDs without an interception. He also ran for 31 yards and one TD on eight attempts. The Bulls play host to Ga. Tech this weekend.

-- Indiana is already without its top RB Morgan Ellison due to an indefinite suspension. The Hoosiers will now be sans RB Cole Gest for the rest of the year after he tore his ACL in the team’s opener vs. FIU. Gest rushed for 428 yards and one TD while averaging 4.6 YPC in ’17.

-- Louisville junior DE Jonathan Greenard is ‘out’ indefinitely with a wrist injury that includes ligament damage. Greenard had 48 tackles, 8.5 TFL’s, seven sacks, eight QB hurries and one PBU for the Cardinals last season.

-- Illinois fifth-year senior WR Mike Dudek sustained a third career season-ending injury in his team’s season-opening win over Kent State. Dudek was a second-team All-Big-Ten selection as a freshman in 2014 when he had 76 receptions for 1,038 yards and six TDs. Best of luck to him in his recovery and his future whether it be on the gridiron or not!

-- Miami, Fl. and Florida State are both 0-1 for the first time since 1975. No wonder I’ve been sleeping like a champ the last two nights!

-- The last time a team lost its season opener and won the national title was Miami in 1983. Who did the Hurricanes lose to? Florida. How do I know? Because I was there. The Gators were up 28-0 in the final seconds as UM moved into UF territory. Former HC Howard Schnellenberger called a timeout with just a few seconds left so his place-kicker could attempt a field goal on the game’s final play. He made the long kick to dodge cream-cheese treatment in the 28-3 loss.

**Udog** · 09-07-2018, 11:57 AM

The Triple Option: College football Week 2 picks, predictions
Andrew Caley

Well, that was interesting.

Week 1 of the college football season is always full of surprises. And at the same time, it isn’t.

Texas lost its opener to Maryland for the second straight season and Chip Kelly suffered an embarrassing loss at home in his debut for UCLA, while teams like Penn State and Michigan State barely survived upset bids as huge favorites.

But meanwhile, Alabama, Clemson, Georgia, Wisconsin, Ohio State and Oklahoma all won and by a massive average margin of 41.5 points. Unfortunately, these big boys only went 3-3 against the spread. To be fair though, they faced an average spread of -45 and failed to cover by less than one score.

Another thing that stayed the same was the SEC’s dominance. The conference went 13-1 straight up (c’mon Tennessee!) and 10-3-1 against the spread, despite seeing an average chalk of about -22.5.

How about something that’s kind of the same, but different? Week 2 has got you covered.

Jimbo Fisher and Dabo Sweeney will meet for the ninth time as head coaches this Saturday. But this time with Fisher at the helm of Texas A&M. The two have split those contests down the middle, so they probably don’t have many surprises left for each other.

Luckily, for Sweeney and Clemson, that may not matter. The Tigers defensive line is going to make life miserable for Aggies’ sophomore quarterback Kellen Mond, whom has a career competition mark of just 53.2 percent. Expect Clemson to force Mond to throw and the Tigers’ experience and talent will be enough for them to pull away from Texas A&M by the end of this one.

Pick: Clemson -12

Michigan State Spartans at Arizona State Sun Devils (+6.5, 54)

Here’s something that was a little surprising: Herm Edwards’ debut at Arizona State. Edwards had his Sun Devils flying all over the field in his first game. His defense limited USTA to just 221 total yards, including just three - count ‘em on one hand - three rushing yards, while racking up nine sacks in Arizona State’s impressive 49-7 win over the Roadrunners.

The Sun Devils also deployed a balanced attack on offense. Senior quarterback Manny Wilkins was an efficient 16 for 24 for 237 yards and four touchdowns, while sophomore running back Eno Benjamin added 146 total yards and two scores.

Meanwhile, Michigan State’s defense was porous in it’s opener against Utah State, allowing the Aggies to torch them for 319 yards through the air. But what’s worse for the Spartans was their offensive line play. They allowed the Aggies to put pressure on QB Brian Lewerke all game resulting in three sacks and were only able to manage 3.9 yards per carry for the ground game.

Throw in a rough road trip to Arizona, and a late start (10:45 p.m. ET) and the Sun Devils will have an opportunity to put the Spartans on upset alert for the second straight week.

Pick: Arizona State +6.5

Rice Owls at Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-17, 71.5)

Here’s something that won’t change: the fact most seasoned college football bettors (some call us degenerates) spend too much time following the Rainbow Warriors and usually for the wrong reasons. But we’re hoping this week is different. Instead of chasing losses in Hawaii’s midnight kickoffs, we think we’ll just be rounding out a perfect Week 2 with some late-night action.

But something that might change is the way we perceive the Rainbow Warriors in 2018. Hawaii has come flying out of the gate, winning both games outright as a double-digit underdog and thanks to a revamped offense and the play of sophomore quarterback Cole McDonald, the Bows have their sights on their first winning season since 2010.

McDonald has been a revelation for the Rainbow Warriors’ run-and-shoot offense, completing 56 of 78 pass attempts (71.8 percent) for 846 yards and nine touchdowns with no interceptions. And now they get to face a Rice team that hasn’t looked up to snuff in its first two games.

The Owls squeaked out a 31-28 win as 23-point home faves against FCS Prairie View A&M (yeah, I’ve never heard of them either) and followed that up with a 45-27 home loss against Houston as 25.5-point underdogs (which they did cover), allowing an average of 439 total yards (292 passing) per game.

This time it’s Hawaii which is the double-digit favorite and for good reason. Rice, on the road in Hawaii, is clearly an inferior team (at least compared to the Bows’ first two opponents) that doesn’t look capable of stopping the Rainbow Warriors’ offense. There’s no reason to think the Bows don’t keep rolling here.

Pick: Hawaii -17

Last week: 2-1
Season: 2-1

Heisman Odds Update

It’s all about Tua. Officially named the starter for Alabama, Tua Tagovailoa didn’t disappoint. The sophomore quarterback played only the first half of Alabama’s win over Louisville, but still threw for 227 yards and two touchdowns on 12-of-16 passing, while adding another major on the ground.

And as a result, Tagovailoa’s Heisman odds continue to climb even though he was already the favorite. Tagovailoa now sits at 3/1 to win the award for the most outstanding player in college football. As noted last week, the sophomore gunslinger is the Westgate LV Superbook’s biggest liability in the Heisman market.

It looks like Tagovailoa’s biggest challenge for the Heisman Trophy, will come from West Virginia quarterback Will Grier. The Mountaineers’ signal-caller shredded the Tennessee secondary last week, throwing for 429 yards on 25-of-34 passing (73.5 percent) with five touchdowns. He is now the clear No. 2 behind Tagovailoa at 6/1.

The two leaders are followed by a trio of players at 12/1. Stanford running back Bryce Love, Wisconsin running back Jonathan Taylor and UCF quarterback McKenzie Milton. Another guy worth watching is Oklahoma quarterback Kyler Murray a 20/1.

Right now, it feels like Grier is the one worth backing, as he and West Virginia are primed to have a huge year in the Big 12, but a regular season finale at home versus the Sooners could decide a lot.

**Udog** · 09-07-2018, 12:28 PM

Week 2 Upset Alerts

The debut of this weekly piece a week ago held it's own as the three underdogs finished with a 2-1 against the spread and 1-2 straight up record. Rice was able to get it going in the right direction by taking a 24-17 lead at halftime as +25.5-point underdogs to easily get the cover, while the smallest dog SMU got blown out from start to finish against North Texas.

But it was the play of the Cincinnati Bearcats (and depending how you look at it, the play of UCLA) that capped off the day. Cincinnati never looked in trouble in that game after a sloppy first quarter found them down 10-0, as UCLA appears as though they've got a long way to go in the Chip Kelly era to be competitive. UCLA is catching +30 on the road against Oklahoma this week and that says a lot. But it was a great start to Year 2 under coach Fickell in Cincinnati and they'll probably have a few more underdog wins in them this year.

Yet, it's on to Week 2 now and that means it can be classic overreaction week. Whether it's in the perception or the actual betting lines themselves, Week 2 brings classic reactions and overreactions to what they saw a week ago and let them too heavily influence their handicapping process. But there's a good chunk of teams who won't look anything like the team they were in Week 1 by season's end, so keep your preseason projections for every team weighed heavier than the 60 minutes of action last week.

Hopefully we can take advantage of a few of those potentially inflated underdog numbers this week. So let's get right to it:

Upset Alert #1: Underdogs in the +1 to +9 range

YTD: 0-1 SU; 0-1 ATS

Nevada +9 over Vanderbilt

This is a line that immediately jumped off the board to me because Vanderbilt seems to be getting way too much respect for a strong Week 1 performance. That and Nevada took some time before blowing out a FCS team last week. Put it all together and a week after Vandy got no respect from bettors – Vandy line went from -6 to -3 before they won 35-7 – it seems like now they are getting way too much respect.

Without question Vanderbilt will be a big step up for a Nevada team that looks to be on the rise, but 70+ points is still 70+ points and they won't even need half of that to potentially come out of Vandy with an outright victory. We shouldn't see this Wolfpack attack get stifled by Vandy's defense in a similar fashion to Middle Tennessee did a week ago, and Vandy's offense didn't exactly do a whole lot of impressing either in that win.

But drastically outperforming the line and clearly the consensus opinion as well Vanderbilt forced oddsmakers to overadjust here and I'll gladly take the points with Nevada and dash a bit on the ML as well. Vandy's not a school you can trust laying chalk – as so many bettors believed a week ago with that line move – and sticking with that line of thought should pay off here.

Upset Alert #2: Underdogs in the +10 to +19 range

YTD: 1-0 SU; 1-0 ATS

Bowling Green +16 over Maryland

Bowling Green isn't likely to be a great team this year and the fact that they got run over by Oregon last week doesn't really do them any favors. But this play is more about fading a Maryland team that probably played well over their heads last week in their own big outright upset (+13.5) over Texas. There really is nowhere to go but down for Maryland from here given all they've got going on regarding the program, and laying this many points on the road could end up being disastrous.

For one, if Maryland did indeed play well over their heads, then there is going to be a “coming down” part naturally on the field. But even just the mental and emotional preparation and intensity has to drop a bit for a multitude of reasons. The hype of it being the first game of a trying off-season is now gone, there's no added hype of being up against a big name program at home on national television, and now it's actually you guys who are the hunted and in hostile territory. Not a good recipe for a successful meal at all.

Secondly, Bowling Green may have lost 58-24 in Oregon last week, but who really goes there as a non-Power 5 road team and really has a chance. The Falcons are true to their identity of being in the MAC though as they aren't shy about putting up points when they can – they did score 24 vs Oregon – and can you really trust Maryland's defense on the road?

This game just feels like it's going to be a huge letdown/disaster for Maryland and like the Cincinnati/UCLA game in this spot a week ago, a Bowling Green SU victory would not be surprising at all.

Upset Alert #3: Underdogs in the +20 and above range

YTD: 1-0 ATS

Ball State +34.5 vs Notre Dame

Speaking of MAC teams catching points against an opponent in a tougher spot, we've got Ball State catching 30+ against the Fighting Irish, just six days after they beat up on Michigan in one of the biggest games of the weekend.

Notre Dame definitely got done what they needed to in that Michigan game to remain in the national championship picture as an Independent, but being an Independent team can also put you in some tougher scheduling spots because everyone wants to boost their resume (if they can) by playing you. This week they host a Ball State squad that would love to raise the name of their own brand against an Irish team in a classic letdown spot.

Coming down from the euphoric emotions after that Michigan win is going to be tough, especially knowing you've got another upstart team from another Power 5 conference that's looking to make a name off your brand next week as well; the aforementioned Vanderbilt Commodores. There is no looking ahead for Notre Dame here though, but the perception of this team has risen drastically since beating Michigan and this looks to be a few too many points.

Ball State got the monkey of a nine-game losing streak entering the year off their back with a dominant win against FCS play, but for as insignificant as a win like that may seem to most, it probably wasn't that insignificant for the players. First off, it gave them their confidence back that they could win again, and growing confidence is never a bad thing when you're going into try and shock the entire college football world.

Secondly, it allowed Ball State's offense to sense and feel what a highly successful offensive game looks and feels like. Moving the ball against Notre Dame's defense will be a completely different story, but the Cardinals likely only have to score on a couple of possessions against a less interested Irish defense to keep it within this number. Ball State won't win this game but they'll keep the margin of defeat within the 20's.

**Udog** · 09-08-2018, 09:56 AM

Biggest line moves for Week 2:

NMSU at Utah St: Open -16, Now: -23
Baylor at UTSA: Open +12, Now: +17
FSU at Min: Open -3, Now: +1
WMU at Mich: Open: -24.5, Now: -28
GT at USF: Open Pk, Now: +3
Arz at Hou: Open: -7, Now: -3.5
Ark at CSU: Open: +11, Now: +14

Strong winds for Kansas at Central Michigan (-3.5).⚠️ Total opened 56.5 and is now down to 49.5.

Strong winds in the forecast for Duke at Northwestern (-2.5). Total at 47.5.

**Udog** · 09-08-2018, 10:16 AM

Nasty day at Paul Brown Stadium. Cincinnati at Miami (Ohio) is a pick'em, with total at 49.5 points. Strong winds and rain in the forecast

**Udog** · 09-10-2018, 05:06 PM

Announcement

NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 2 (Fri., Sept. 7 - Sat., Sept. 8)

NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 2 (Fri., Sept. 7 - Sat., Sept. 8)

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