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Thursday 8/16 Preseason Essentials

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  • Thursday 8/16 Preseason Essentials

    Thursday's Preseason Essentials
    Tony Mejia

    Philadelphia at New England (-3.5, 42.5), 7:30 p.m. ET: Carson Wentz declared that “it’s gonna be close” as to whether he’ll be able to participate in this season opener, which increases the likelihood we won’t see him participate this preseason. Nick Foles has been getting starter’s reps in practice and will take the field for the first time in a game since his MVP performance in Super Bowl LII. He’ll likely play the opening quarter before giving way to Nate Sudfeld and Joe Callahan, who struggled against Pittsburgh in a 31-14 loss at the Linc. The offense was able to generate a few big plays in the passing game via second-year WR Shelton Gibson and rookie tight end Dallas Goedert but needs to see more out of other receivers looking to make an impression since Alshon Jeffery may not be ready for the opener. Mike Wallace has an opportunity to impress immediately with Foles back.

    Tom Brady was picked off by Philly corner Jalen Mills in Wednesday’s scrimmage, so since he’s expected to participate despite talk of a back issue opening the week, it will be interesting to see how he fares in what will be his only action in Foxboro until Sept. 9 against Houston. Julian Edelman, Eric Decker and Rob Gronkowski have all participated in workouts against Philly this week, but it wouldn’t be surprising to see Bill Belichick pull them back here. Brian Hoyer and Danny Etling will again take the bulk of the snaps, so the post Brady-portion of action in this one should feature an increased emphasis on a running game that thrived in the second half against Washington. Jeremy Hill, Ralph Webb and Mike Gillislee combined for 140 yards and three touchdowns on 39 carries against the ‘Skins last week.

    Pittsburgh at Green Bay (-5.5/43), 8 p.m. ET: Ben Roethlisberger suffered what appeared to be a head injury in practice, so the Steelers won’t expose him in this game and are going to take a long look at their projected backups and roster hopefuls on the heels of an impressive performance against Philly. RB Le’Veon Bell still hasn’t reported and Antonio Brown and Cam Heyward have already been ruled out. Landry Jones and JuJu Smith-Schuster hooked up for a 71-yard score and will presumably be out there to start this one before giving way to rookie Mason Rudolph and young Josh Dobbs. The Steelers have won four of their last five exhibition contests and do have the ammunition to hang around here since they’ve got a stable of running backs looking to impress in order to preserve their spot when Bell does return. Fitz Toussaint, James Conner, Stevan Ridley and rookie Jaylen Samuels will all get work. Thus far, Conner has been the standout.

    While we won’t see Big Ben, you future Hall-of-Fame QB itch should be scratched by Aaron Rodgers’ likely appearance. Although it will likely be a cameo, he told reporters that he wants to take a few snaps with some of his new guys, which ramps up the sense of urgency for the drives he’ll participate in. Brett Hundley has a ton of experience, while newcomer DeShone Kizer and fourth-stringer Tim Boyle were both productive in last week’s impressive romp over Tennessee. Green Bay ended up with 31 first downs last week and will likely want to put on a good show for fans that won’t see the team take the field again until the Sept. 9 season opener against the Bears.

    N.Y. Jets at Washington (-1.5/38.5), 8 p.m. ET: Sam Darnold’s debut has Jets nation excited. He completed 13 of 18 passes for 96 yards and a score against Atlanta, following it up by continuing to excel in practice. If he’s going to be out there for the opening snap inside Detroit’s Ford Field when the Jets’ offense takes the field, he’ll need to avoid major missteps over the next two preseason games. In joint practices against Washington this week, he dropped a few jaws and impressed ‘Skins star corner Josh Norman, who praised his poise and accuracy. “It’s crazy to see that at an early age,” said Norman.

    Darnold has gotten the bulk of the reps against Washington’s first-team defense, so the presumption is that he’ll get the nod at FedEx Field with new offensive coordinator Jeremy Bates continuing to test his limits. Teddy Bridgewater was impressive enough that he’s now potentially trade bait considering how effectively he managed to move the Jets in his first action since late November and first truly significant work since the 2016 preseason. New York scored 10 points on two 10-play drives before giving way to the rookie. Since the team knows exactly what they have in veteran Josh McCown, it is likely to be the Darnold/Bridgewater show again WR Terrelle Pryor still won’t make it back but there are plenty of options who have looked sharp thus far.

    Washington lost at New England after surrendering 26 unanswered points but led 17-0 with Colt McCoy at the controls. Although Brady didn’t play, the defense excelled before giving way to backups that are unlikely to stick on the final 53-man roster, so they should be up for the challenge of trying to quiet the Jets. Offensively, Alex Smith has shined against New York’s secondary in workouts this week and will be making his first appearance after sitting against the Patriots. McCoy, who went 13-for-18 with two TD passes at Foxboro, should against see extensive action before giving way to Kevin Hogan. The former Stanford standout couldn’t get the ‘Skins offense moving at all in a scoreless second half and fumbled after being sacked with just over 4:00 minutes remaining to cement his team’s fate in the preseason opener.

    These teams let some bad blood spill over in their practice sessions, so there should be a healthy spirit of competition with the stakes a little higher in this second dress rehearsal.

  • #2
    The Patriots have a problem, and Thursday's NFL preseason odds and analysis

    There are three NFL preseason games on the board Thursday night, giving football fans a chance to cash in on the exhibtion NFL odds. We dive into the must-know news and notes for handicapping tonight’s tune-up tilts:

    Pats’ problem

    The New England Patriots find themselves in a pickle heading into a Super Bowl rematch with the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 2 of the preseason Friday. The Patriots are in dire need of game-time reps between quarterback Tom Brady and his makeshift receiving corps, after losing a number of targets to injury and suspension and watching what remains of this group drop 11 passes during practice Monday. Brady told the media he will play on Thursday but New England must be careful not to risk injury to its star passer.

    Due to injuries on the offensive line, the team is testing out rookie Isaiah Wynn at right tackle and he’s expected to see significant snaps against the Eagles – something that shouldn’t sit well Pats fans. Given that situation and the emergence of RB Ralph Webb, due to injuries to fellow running backs, Belichick could keep the playbook pretty simple in Week 2, opting for quick short passes to protect Brady and get his receivers some work.

    The total for this game has climbed from 40.5 to 43 points, but there could be value in the Under if New England keeps things conservative.

    Back it up

    Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin stated that Ben Roethlisberger and Landry Jones will be inactive against the Green Bay Packers on Thursday, which leaves the offensive playbook in the hands of Josh Dobbs and Mason Rudolph, with the latter expected to see most of the action.

    Dobbs was uninspiring in his preseason debut, as he went 9 for 13 for 91 yards with one touchdown and one interception in Pittsburgh’s 31-14 victory over the Eagles. He will be playing for a roster spot this preseason. Rudolph, meanwhile, was a little bit better as he threw for 101 yards on 7-of-12 passing and while he didn’t get in the end zone, he looked like the most feasible option behind Roethlisberger and Jones.

    With Mike Tomlin focused on settling his QB3 position and seemingly unconcerned with the final score, it accounts for the line in this one going from -2.5 to -5.5 throughout the week.

    Full go at Lambeau

    The Packers are expected to send No. 1 QB Aaron Rodgers out for at least the opening series against the Steelers in what could very well be his only preseason action before the regular season.

    Packer head coach Mike McCarthy indicated that Rodgers is likely to be on the sidelines for their Week 3 encounter with the Oakland Raiders and their Week 4 showdown in Kansas City, which not only indicates Green Bay’s lack of urgency in getting Rodgers game snaps, but that they are still looking for their backup quarterback between Brett Hundley and Deshone Kizer.

    Hundley and Kizer will split time after Rodgers comes out Thursday, with the former Notre Dame product expected to play out the string of the second half and with a spot on the roster potentially being decided Thursday night, look for both Hundley and Kizer to elevate their game against the Eagles.

    Relieve the pressure

    With Rodgers expected to spend at least one drive under center Thursday night, it’s no surprise that McCarthy will send out Bryan Bulaga and David Bakhtiari to keep him protected. The Packers offensive line was outstanding against Tennessee in Week 1 of the preseason, but it faces a stiffer test against a Steelers side, which runs a number of seven and eight-men defensive fronts.

    With the middle of the field opening up, an offensive line with something to prove, and the mobility of Hundley and Kizer outside the pocket, there could be plenty of room for points Thursday, which is why this number has climbed from 37.5 to 43 points – a very tall total for an exhibition game.

    Going back to the 2013 NFL preseason, totals of 42 points or more have produced a 27-42-2 Over/Under record – 61 percent Under winners.

    Gun shy

    After watching rookie running back Derrius Guice suffer a season-ending knee injury in Week 1 of the preseason, it’s understandable why Washington Redskins head coach Jay Gruden would be extra cautious with his starting offensive talents during the exhibition schedule.

    Gruden has yet to play new quarterback Alex Smith and would not commit to any playing time for Thursday’s Week 2 tune-up versus the New York Jets. “Eventually we’re gonna have to get them out there and play,” Gruden told the media, but if Smith does play Thursday expect a very brief showing from the former Kansas City QB. And it might not just be Smith missing from the offensive fold. Washington could limit plenty of offensive first-teamers.

    Gruden did say his first-team defense would play Week 2, including first-round selection Daron Payne. Payne, the nose tackle out of Alabama, missed time with an ankle injury and did not play in Washington’s 26-17 Week 1 preseason loss to New England.

    With the Redskins focused on the stop unit – and protecting it’s offensive assets – preseason bettors could find value in the Under 38.5 against the Jets Thursday.

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