CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 10 (Fri., Aug. 17 - Sun., August 19)

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Friday, August 17 - Sunday, August 19

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

CFL Betting Recap - Week 9
Joe Williams

League Betting Notes

-- Favorites went 2-1 SU in Week 9
-- Underdogs went 3-0 ATS in Week 9
-- Home teams posted a 3-0 SU record in Week 9
-- Road teams posted a 2-1 ATS record in Week 9
-- The 'Under' went 3-0 in Week 9

Analysis

BC Lions (3-4) started off Week 9 with a mild upset at home against Edmonton (4-3), snapping the season-best three-game winning streak for the Esks. While the Lions have won just twice in the past six games, they have been a tough out lately. BC has covered four straight outings. Both of these teams have been outstanding for total bettors, as the 'under' is 3-1 in the past four for the Lions, while going under in four of the past five for the Eskimos.

Winnipeg (5-3) has won a season-high three straight following their pushing aside of Hamilton (3-5) by a 29-23 score. The Ti-Cats were able to hang on for the cover at some shops, catching six and a hook, while it was a push at most others. The 'under' was a perfect 3-0 this week in the CFL, and that's been the play for Hamilton lately. The under is 4-1-1 over their past six, and 5-2-1 in their eight contests this season.

For the Blue Bombers, they failed to cover at home for the first time in four games, although officially it is considered a push this past week. It was also a rare under result, as the over was 5-2 in the first seven games for Winnipeg this season.

QB Johnny Manziel and the skidding Montreal (1-7) side put up a little more fight this week. They fell 24-17 at Ottawa (5-3), picking up just their third cover of the season against five losses.

The RedBlacks have been winning their fair share of games, but they continue to struggle against the number. They slipped to 1-4 ATS over their past five outings. Bettors continue to fade the RedBlacks, and for good reason, and a good parlay lately has been taking the oppositon and the under in Ottawa games. The 'under' is 5-2 over their past seven contests.

Team Betting Notes and A Look Ahead

-- The RedBlacks and Blue Bombers will do battle in Manitoba to kick off the work week on Friday night, as two 5-3 clubs square off. Despite their woes lately, Ottawa is still 22-7 ATS over their past 29 games on the road. However, they're just 2-5 ATS in the past seven following a straight-up win. The under is 5-2-1 in their past eight against winning sides, and 9-3 in their past 12 on the road.

-- The Bombers are an impressive 3-0-1 ATS in their past four games at homem, while going 15-3 ATS in the past 18 outings against teams with an overall winning mark. They're also 7-0-1 ATS across the past eight outings in the month of August, too. The over is 5-1 in Winnipeg's past six at home, and 10-2 in their past 12 against teams with a winning overall mark.

-- Toronto heads into their game against BC looking to turn things around against losing teams. Toronto is just 5-12 ATS over the past 17 contests against a losing record, and they're 3-12 ATS over the past 15 games in the month of August. Toronto has hit the over in four straight agaisnt teams with a losing record, too.

-- BC is looking to stay hot against the number in Toronto. They have covered in four straight trips to Hogtown, while the 'under' is 14-3 in the past 17 meetings in Ontario and 20-8 across the past 28 meetings overall.

-- Johnny Football and the Als will be in action on the road against the Esks in a tough battle. You can expect the home side to be favored by double digits in that one. Montreal is just 3-7 ATS in their past 10 on the road, although they did cover in Week 9 in Ottawa. They're still just 2-5 ATS in the past seven against teams with a winning record, and 5-16 ATS in the past 21 overall.

-- The 'under' has connected in six straight road games for the Alouettes, while going 7-2 in the past nine overall. The over is 7-2-1 in Edmonton's past 10 against teams with a losing record, but the under is 3-1-1 in the past five contests overall. The Esks have covered eight of the past nine meetings overall against the visitors from Quebec. The over is 10-3-1 in the past 14 meetings, while going 6-2 in the past eight in Alberta.

-- Calgary (7-0) puts its unblemished record on the line at Saskatchewan (3-4), with both sides coming off a bye. The Stamps have posted a 5-2 ATS mark this season, but just 1-2 ATS over the past three. The Roughriders are 2-5 ATS across their past seven against teams with a winning record, and they're 1-5 ATS in the past six against Western Conference foes. Calgary is 15-5-3 ATS in the past 23 following a bye, while Saskatchewan is 6-2 ATS over their past eight off a rest week.

-- The Stamps have covered six of the past seven against the Riders, while going 4-1 ATS in their past five trips to Regina. The under is 5-1 in the past six meetings, but the over is 5-2 in the past seven meetings in Saskatchewan.

[Udog]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 10
David Schwab

Week 9 Betting Recap

In a shortened Week 9 schedule in the CFL, British Columbia got things started on Thursday night with a 31-23 upset against Edmonton as a three-point home underdog. Friday’s contest in Winnipeg ended as a PUSH with the Blue Bombers squeezing past Hamilton 29-23 as a six-point favorite at home.

The betting action came to a close on Saturday night with Ottawa getting the win at home against Montreal straight-up in a final score of 24-17, but the RedBlacks came nowhere close to covering the heavy 14-point closing spread.

Friday, Aug. 17

Ottawa RedBlacks (5-3 SU, 3-5 ATS) at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (5-3 SU, 5-2-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Winnipeg -5 ½
Total: 53 ½

Game Overview

Ottawa regained its two-game lead in the East Division with Hamilton’s loss. It will be tested this week after posting an even 2-2 record (SU and ATS) in its first four road games this year. Trevor Harris ended last week’s game against Montreal with a ridiculous 487 yards passing while completing 44 of his 54 passing attempts. Greg Ellington led the way with 11 receptions for 110 yards.

The Blue Bombers held off a Tiger-Cats fourth-quarter rally to secure last week’s win that now has them in a tie with Edmonton for second place in the West. Matt Nichols did not have his best day throwing the ball with 180 yards passing on a completion rate of 54.2 percent, but he did throw a pair of touchdowns to raise his total on the year to seven. Andrew Harris added another 82 yards on the ground behind 16 rushing attempts.

Betting Trends

-- Winnipeg has a 10-5 SU edge over Ottawa in the last 15 meetings and it has gone 8-3 against the spread in the last 11 matchups. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the last six meetings.

Saturday, Aug. 18

British Columbia Lions (3-4 SU, 5-2 ATS) at Toronto Argonauts (2-5 SU, 3-4 ATS)
Point-spread: BC -1 ½
Total: 51

Game Overview

BC remained in the thick of the playoff race in the West with last week’s upset and it is now a perfect 4-0 ATS in its last four games. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in three of those four games. This was the first time this season that the Lions put up more than 30 points behind an offense that is averaging 22.4 points per game. Travis Lulay led the second-half comeback and he finished the game with 239 yards passing and one touchdown throw.

Toronto is coming off a Week 9 bye after stunning Ottawa 42-41 on a last-second score the week before as a 6 ½-point home underdog. The total went OVER 48 points in that game and it has gone OVER in the Argonauts last three games. James Franklin has taken over the reins at quarterback and in six starts he has just two touchdown throws against six interceptions.

Betting Trends

-- BC has gone 6-1 both SU and ATS in its last seven road games against the Argonauts and the total has stayed UNDER in seven of the last eight meetings in Toronto.

Montreal Alouettes (1-7 SU, 3-5 ATS) at Edmonton Eskimos (5-3 SU, 3-5 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -16 ½
Total: 52

Game Overview

Johnny Manziel is firmly in place as Montreal’s starting quarterback with mixed results. After a forgettable debut in a 50-11 loss to Hamilton, he showed a few glimpses of his athletic ability in last week’s loss to Ottawa. He ended that game with 168 yards passing while completing 16 of his 26 passing attempts. He also ran for 36 yards on three rushing attempts. The Alouettes remain the lowest scoring team in the CFL with an average of 15.0 PPG.

The Eskimos’ recent three-game winning streak came to a sudden end last Thursday night and they are 2-3 ATS in their last five games. The total ended as a PUSH on the 54-point line against BC after staying UNDER in three of their previous four games. Mike Reilly threw for 302 yards in that loss with two touchdown throws and two interceptions. He leads the CFL in touchdown passes this season with 16.

Betting Trends

-- Edmonton brings a SU five-game winning streak against Montreal into this inter-division clash with a 8-1 edge ATS in the last nine meetings. The total has gone OVER in eight of the last 11 matchups.

Sunday. Aug. 19

Calgary Stampeders (7-0 SU, 5-2 ATS) at Saskatchewan Roughriders (3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -7
Total: 48 ½

Game Overview

The Stampeders’ 27-18 victory over BC heading into last week’s bye was the first time this season they failed to win a game by a double-digit margin of victory. In their dominating run to a perfect 7-0 start, they have averaged 29.4 points scoring. Even more impressive is Calgary’s 86 total points allowed on defense. This defense has yet to give up more than 22 points in any of its first seven games.

Speculation continues to build that Saskatchewan will add former NFL wide receiver Terrell Owens to its active roster after releasing CFL star Duron Carter over the weekend. He has played both defensive back and wide receiver at a high level in this league. The Roughriders are also coming off a bye following back-to-back losses (SU and ATS) to Calgary at home and Edmonton on the road.

Betting Trends

-- Calgary has won nine of the last 10 meetings in this West Division tilt SU and it is 7-1 ATS in the last eight games between the two. The total has gone OVER in five of the last seven meetings in Saskatchewan.

[Udog]

CFL
Dunkel

Week 10

Friday, August 17

Ottawa @ Winnipeg

Game 371-372
August 17, 2018 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ottawa
110.306
Winnipeg
119.247
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 9
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
by 6 1/2
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(-6 1/2); Over


Saturday, August 18

BC Lions @ Toronto

Game 373-374
August 18, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
BC Lions
111.488
Toronto
107.996
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
BC Lions
by 3 1/2
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
BC Lions
by 1
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
BC Lions
(-1); Over

Montreal @ Edmonton

Game 375-376
August 18, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
97.933
Edmonton
110.965
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 13
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
by 16 1/2
52
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(+16 1/2); Under


Sunday, August 19

Calgary @ Saskatchewan

Game 377-378
August 19, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
118.192
Saskatchewan
116.999
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 1
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 7
49
Dunkel Pick:
Saskatchewan
(+7); Under

[Udog]

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 10

Friday, August 17

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OTTAWA (5 - 3) at WINNIPEG (5 - 3) - 8/17/2018, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a win over a division rival over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 3-1 against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 3-1 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, August 18

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BRITISH COLUMBIA (3 - 4) at TORONTO (2 - 5) - 8/18/2018, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 71-49 ATS (+17.1 Units) in road games off a division game since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 28-11 ATS (+15.9 Units) in road games in August games since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-2 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 2-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MONTREAL (1 - 7) at EDMONTON (5 - 3) - 8/18/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 0-11 ATS (-12.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in weeks 10 through 15 over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 4-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 5-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, August 19

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CALGARY (7 - 0) at SASKATCHEWAN (3 - 4) - 8/19/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 83-59 ATS (+18.1 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 137-101 ATS (+25.9 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 124-92 ATS (+22.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
CALGARY is 48-28 ATS (+17.2 Units) in August games since 1996.
CALGARY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in weeks 10 through 15 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 5-1 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 5-1 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

CFL

Week 10

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Trend Report
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Friday, August 17

Ottawa RedBlacks
Ottawa is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Ottawa is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 7 games
Ottawa is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Ottawa is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Ottawa's last 9 games on the road
Ottawa is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Winnipeg
Ottawa is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Ottawa's last 15 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Winnipeg is 15-6-1 ATS in its last 22 games
Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 9 games
Winnipeg is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games at home
Winnipeg is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Ottawa
Winnipeg is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Winnipeg's last 15 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing Ottawa


Saturday, August 18

British Columbia Lions
British Columbia is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
British Columbia is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games on the road
British Columbia is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games when playing Toronto
British Columbia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
British Columbia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of British Columbia's last 8 games when playing on the road against Toronto
British Columbia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
British Columbia is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games
Toronto Argonauts
Toronto is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games when playing British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing British Columbia
Toronto is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against British Columbia
Toronto is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing at home against British Columbia
Toronto is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 9 games
Toronto is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Toronto is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games at home


Montreal Alouettes
Montreal is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Edmonton
Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Montreal's last 11 games when playing Edmonton
Montreal is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Montreal's last 8 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Montreal is 3-16 ATS in its last 19 games
Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Montreal's last 10 games
Montreal is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Montreal is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games on the road
Edmonton Eskimos
Edmonton is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Montreal
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Edmonton's last 11 games when playing Montreal
Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Edmonton's last 8 games when playing at home against Montreal
Edmonton is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
Edmonton is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games at home
Edmonton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home


Sunday, August 19

Calgary Stampeders
Calgary is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Calgary's last 8 games
Calgary is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games on the road
Calgary is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Saskatchewan
Calgary is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing Saskatchewan
Calgary is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan Roughriders
Saskatchewan is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Saskatchewan is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Saskatchewan's last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games at home
Saskatchewan is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Calgary
Saskatchewan is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games when playing Calgary
Saskatchewan is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary
Saskatchewan is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 7 games when playing at home against Calgary

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[Udog]

CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 10


Ottawa (5-3) @ Winnipeg (5-3) (-6.5, 53.5)— RedBlacks won three of last four games; under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Ottawa split its four road games, losing by 10 at Calgary, 42-41 in Toronto two weeks ago. RedBlacks are 4-0 when they allow 18 or fewer points, 1-3 when they allow more. Winnipeg scored 38-40-29 points in winning its last three games; they’re 3-1 at home, scoring 35 ppg, with wins by 22-26-6 points. Blue Bombers won their last three games with Ottawa, winning by 20-3-13 points.

BC Lions (3-4) (-3, 50.5) @ Toronto (2-5)— Road team won last eight series games; Lions won their last four visits here, by 13-3-2-16 points- their last loss here was in 2013. Four of last five series games stayed under total. British Columbia is 3-0 at home, 0-4 on road, with only one of the four losses by less than nine points; over is 3-1 in their losses, 0-2-1 in their wins. Argonauts won 42-41 in their last game, snapping a 3-game skid; their two wins are by total of four points. Toronto split its four home games; their last three games overall all went over.

Montreal (1-7) @ Edmonton (5-3) (-16.5, 53)— Eskimos won last nine series games, going 8-1 vs spread; Alouettes lost their last four visits here, by 4-11-18-17 points. Over is 7-3 in last 10 series games, 3-2 in last five played here. Manziel didn’t throw an INT last week in his 2nd CFL start; Montreal lost its last five games- they’re 1-3 on road, with losses by 7-17-12 points, with the win over Saskatchewan. Edmonton won three of its last four games; they’re 3-1 at home, winning by 7-1-19 points- they lost at home to Hamilton. Under is 3-1-1 in their last five games.

Calgary (7-0) (-7, 48) @ Saskatchewan (3-4)— Stampeders won won eight of last nine series games (7-2 vs spread); they won their last four visits to Regina, winning by 12-6-9-3 points- they won here 34-22 two weeks ago, racing out to 24-0 first quarter lead. Five of last six series games stayed under the total. Calgary is 5-2 vs spread this year, 3-0 on road, winning away games by 12-24-34 points. Six of their seven games stayed under. Roughriders split their four home games; they lost 26-19/34-22 in last two games overall. Under is 4-3 in Saskatchewan games.


Through Week 9: Favorites 15-19; Under 19-13-2