CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 3 (Thur., June 28 - Sat., June 30)

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Thursday, June 28

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

CFL Betting Recap - Week 2
Joe Williams

League Betting Notes

-- Favorites went 3-1 SU in Week 2
-- Favorites went 3-1 ATS in Week 2
-- Road teams posted a 3-1 SU record in Week 2
-- Road teams posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 2
-- The 'Over' went 3-1 in Week 2

Analysis

It was an impressive opening performance for Ottawa (1-0), as they humbled Saskatchewan (1-1) by a 40-17 score to easily cover a 2 1/2-point spread. The Roughriders were unable to duplicate their performance from Week 1 when they used defense to get by Toronto (0-2). Oddly enough, the 40-point outpouring of offense was just the third-highest mark on the board in Week 2.

The defending champion Argonauts are digging themselves quite the early hole, as they fell 41-7 to Calgary (2-0). The Stampeders look like they're on a mission early on, going 2-0 ATS while hitting the 'under' in each of their first two thanks to impressive defense. The Stamps are allowing just 10.5 points per game (PPG) through the first two outings. They'll be tested mightily in Week 3 when they host the RedBlacks.

While the side show of QB Johnny Manziel is the first thing reported on about Hamilton (1-1), QB Jeremiah Masoli and the offense should be the talk. They hung a 38-spot on Edmonton (1-1) in Northern Alberta for an impressive road win and cover. The Esks have stumbled out of the chute with an 0-2 ATS mark, and defense is the reason. They are allowing a dismal 34.0 PPG through two games. As such, the 'over' has hit in each of the outings.

The 'over' is popular out west, going 2-0 for the Stamps, the Esks and for Winnipeg (1-1). The Blue Bombers routed Montreal (0-2) in Week 2. The Alouettes slipped to 0-2 ATS, too, and they're averaging a dismal 10.0 PPG through the first two outings.

Team Betting Notes and A Look Ahead

-- The RedBlacks travel to meet the Stampeders on Thursday in Week 3, looking to improve their 6-0 ATS mark in the month of June. They're also an impressive 20-6 ATS in their past 26 on the road, while going 15-7 ATS in their past 22 overall. Week 3 has been a bugaboo for Ottawa, as they're 0-4 ATS in the past four during the week.

-- The Stamps love Thursdays, going 5-1 ATS in their past six on Thursday, and 5-1 ATS in their past six in Week 3. However, Calgary is 0-5 ATS in the past five against winning teams.

-- The Blue Bombers and Ti-Cats square off on Friday at Tim Horton's in Hamilton. Winnipeg has posted an 8-0 ATS mark in the past eight following a non-cover, and they're an impressive 21-8 ATS in their past 29 games away from home.

-- The Ti-Cats have managed a 3-10-2 ATS mark over the past 15 at home, and they're just 3-7 ATS in the past 10 games in the month of June. The under is an impressive 19-6 in the past 25 games in June, while going an amazing 37-14 in the past 51 at home.

-- In the past five meetings between Winnipeg and Hamilton, the 'under' is a perfect 5-0. The under is also 19-7 in the past 26 battles between the two sides in Hamilton.

-- BC Lions (1-0) is back in action in Week 3 after a bye. They travel to meet the Eskimos. The Lions have posted a 1-5 ATS mark in the past six on the road, and 2-9-1 ATS in the past 12 games inside the West Division. Edmonton has managed a 5-1 ATS mark in the past six against the West, but they're just 1-5 ATS in the past six in June and 2-5 ATS in their past seven at home. BC is 1-4 ATS in their past five tangles with Edmonton.

-- The Alouettes are hoping to find some offense on the prairie, but the Roughriders won't make it easy on them. Montreal is a horrendous 0-11 ATS in their past 11 following a straight-up loss, and they're just 3-14 ATS in the past 17 overall. They're also 0-7 ATS in the past seven on the road. The 'under' is an impressive 23-3 in the past 26 for the Alouettes in June, and 11-2 in their past 13 played on a Saturday.

-- Saskatchewan is 7-1 ATS in their past eight following a straight-up loss, and they're 7-3 ATS in their past 10 against teams with a losing overall mark. In the month of June the Riders are 8-3 ATS in the past 11. The under is 6-1 in Saskatchewan's past seven overall, and 4-1 in their past five at home. In this series, the under is 4-0 in the past four meetings, and 4-1 in the past five in Regina.

[Udog]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 3
David Schwab

Thursday, June 28

Ottawa RedBlacks (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) at Calgary Stampeders (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -7 ½
Total: 57 ½

Game Overview

Ottawa looked pretty sharp in its season opener last Thursday behind Trevor Harris at quarterback. He suffered a lower body injury in the preseason, but that did not appear to be an issue against Saskatchewan. He completed 26 of his 36 passing attempts (72.2 percent) for 345 yards and two touchdowns, while spreading the ball around to seven different players. Greg Ellington led the way with eight receptions for 104 yards. William Powell did a good job running the ball with 94 yards and a score on 19 rushing attempts.

The Stampeders needed a fourth-quarter rally to get past Hamilton in their season opener, but they played much closer to form for all four quarters in Saturday’s romp over Toronto. Calgary built a 20-1 lead at the half against the Argonauts and never took its foot off the gas. Bo Levi Mitchell put the ball up 22 times in that game and he completed 20 of those passes for 324 yards and three touchdowns. The Stampeders also racked up 205 yards on the ground led by running back Don Jackson’s 123 yards rushing on nine carries.

Betting Trends

-- Ottawa has covered ATS in the last three meetings overall and the total has gone OVER in the last four meetings in Calgary.

Friday, June 29

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (1-1 SU, 2-0 ATS) at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -4 ½
Total: 54 ½

Game Overview

The Blue Bombers posted their first win of the season in impressive fashion by blowing the doors off of Montreal. Matt Nichols will not be back in the lineup at quarterback until later in July due to a knee injury. However, that may not matter given how well Chris Streveler has played in his place. After almost leading his team to an upset against Edmonton in Week 1, he completed 22-of-28 passes for 246 yards and three touchdowns in the romp over the Alouettes. Bryan Bennett completed three of the four passes he threw and Darvin Adams went one for one to add another 26 yards to Winnipeg’s 343 total passing yards.

There is no quarterback controversy in Hamilton given the play of Jeremiah Masoli in his first two starts. After playing well in a season-opening loss to Calgary, he took things up a notch against Edmonton with 332 yards passing and three touchdown throws. He has the second-most passing yards in the CFL with 676 and he is completing 67.7 percent of his throws. Mercer Timmis also had a big night running the ball against the Eskimos with 133 yards and two scores on 17 carries.

Betting Trends

-- The road team has gone 7-2 both SU and ATS in the last nine meetings and the total has stayed UNDER the closing line in seven of those nine games.

British Columbia Lions (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) at Edmonton Eskimos (1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -6 ½
Total: 54 ½

Game Overview

The Lions are coming off a bye after beating Montreal 22-10 in Week 1 as 8 ½-point home favorites. The total stayed UNDER 49 points in that win. Quarterback Jonathon Jennings got the new season off to a good start with 183 yards passing and two touchdown throws while completing an efficient 20 of 24 passing attempts to seven different players. He also led BC in rushing with 57 yards on nine carries.

Edmonton squeezed past Winnipeg on a last-second field goal in its season opener on the road before coming up flat in last week’s loss to Hamilton in its season debut at home. Eskimos’ quarterback Mike Reilly led the CFL in passing yards and passing touchdowns last season and he has already thrown for a league-high 694 yards in his first two games this year. Against Hamilton last Friday night, he completed 20 of his 30 passing attempts for 286 yards and two scores against one interception in the losing cause.

Betting Trends

-- Edmonton has won six of the last seven meetings SU and it has covered the spread in the last three games. The total has gone OVER in three of the last four meetings in Edmonton.

Saturday, June 30

Montreal Alouettes (0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS) at Saskatchewan Roughriders (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -10
Total: 45 ½

Game Overview

Montreal has been outscored a combined 78-20 in its first two games to continue last season’s dismal play that resulted in just three SU wins. Drew Willy was under center for most of the game against Winnipeg last week and he threw for 111 yards and one score on 16 completions. Tyrell Sutton ran the ball four times for 53 yards to help spark the Alouettes’ running game, but when you cannot get the ball into the end zone, you are not going to win all that many games in this league.

The big question mark for the Roughriders in this Saturday’s game is the playing status of quarterback Zach Collaros. He was knocked out of the game against Ottawa in the second quarter and he remains listed as questionable on the latest injury report. Brandon Bridge took his place and threw for 145 yards with no touchdowns and one interception. Tre Mason led the team in rushing against the RedBlacks with 33 yards on seven carries.

Betting Trends

-- Montreal has covered ATS in five of its last seven road games against the Roughriders and the total has stayed UNDER in four of the last five meetings in Saskatchewan.

[Udog]

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 3

Thursday, June 28

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OTTAWA (1 - 0) at CALGARY (2 - 0) - 6/28/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 130-97 ATS (+23.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1996.
OTTAWA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in June games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 3-2 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 2-1 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, June 29

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WINNIPEG (1 - 1) at HAMILTON (1 - 1) - 6/29/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Friday over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 3-1 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 3-1 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BRITISH COLUMBIA (1 - 0) at EDMONTON (1 - 1) - 6/29/2018, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 56-31 ATS (+21.9 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 38-19 ATS (+17.1 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1996.
EDMONTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 4-1 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 4-1 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, June 30

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MONTREAL (0 - 2) at SASKATCHEWAN (1 - 1) - 6/30/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 2-2 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 3-1 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

CFL

Week 3

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Trend Report
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Thursday, June 28

Ottawa RedBlacks
Ottawa is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 games
Ottawa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games
Ottawa is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Ottawa is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Ottawa is 1-3-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing Calgary
Ottawa is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Ottawa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary Stampeders
Calgary is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Calgary is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 7 games
Calgary is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Calgary is 21-2 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Calgary is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa



Friday, June 29

Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Winnipeg is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games
Winnipeg is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games
Winnipeg is 13-1 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
Winnipeg is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Winnipeg's last 17 games on the road
Winnipeg is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing Hamilton
Winnipeg is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Winnipeg's last 11 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Hamilton is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Hamilton is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 6 games
Hamilton is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 games at home
Hamilton is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games at home
Hamilton is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Hamilton is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Hamilton's last 11 games when playing at home against Winnipeg


British Columbia Lions
British Columbia is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
British Columbia is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of British Columbia's last 6 games
British Columbia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
British Columbia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
British Columbia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
British Columbia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Edmonton
British Columbia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of British Columbia's last 9 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton Eskimos
Edmonton is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Edmonton is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games
Edmonton is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Edmonton is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home
Edmonton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
Edmonton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing British Columbia
Edmonton is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing British Columbia
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Edmonton's last 9 games when playing at home against British Columbia



Saturday, June 30

Montreal Alouettes
Montreal is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Montreal is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Montreal is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Saskatchewan
Montreal is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Saskatchewan
Montreal is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
Montreal is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
Montreal is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Montreal's last 15 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan Roughriders
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Saskatchewan's last 7 games
Saskatchewan is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Saskatchewan is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games at home
Saskatchewan is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Montreal
Saskatchewan is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Montreal
Saskatchewan is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games when playing Montreal
Saskatchewan is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Montreal
Saskatchewan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Saskatchewan's last 15 games when playing at home against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games when playing at home against Montreal


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[Udog]

CFL
Dunkel

Week 3


Thursday, June 28

Ottawa @ Calgary

Game 371-372
June 28, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ottawa
113.468
Calgary
127.892
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 14 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 7 1/2
57
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-7 1/2); Under


Friday, June 29

Winnipeg @ Hamilton

Game 373-374
June 29, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
114.252
Hamilton
123.990
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hamilton
by 9 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hamilton
by 4
56
Dunkel Pick:
Hamilton
(-4); Under

BC Lions @ Edmonton

Game 375-376
June 29, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
BC Lions
107.021
Edmonton
110.793
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 4
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
by 7
54
Dunkel Pick:
BC Lions
(+7); Over


Saturday, June 30

Montreal @ Saskatchewan

Game 377-378
June 30, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
96.386
Saskatchewan
103.911
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Saskatchewan
by 7 1/2
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Saskatchewan
by 11 1/2
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(+11 1/2); Over

[Udog]

CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 3


Ottawa (1-0) @ Calgary (2-0) (-7.5, 56.5)—- Home side is 5-1-1 in last seven series games, four of which went to OT; RedBlacks are 0-4 in Calgary, losing by 4-25-45-21 points. Underdogs are 4-1 vs spread in last five series games, over is 6-0-1 in last seven. Ottawa won its opener 40-17 LW after its Week 1 bye; they held Saskatchewan to 3 second half points. Stampeders allowed total of 21 points in winning its first two games, 28-14/41-7.

Winnipeg (1-1) @ Hamilton (1-1) (-4.5, 55.5)— Road team won seven of last nine series games; Jets won three of last four series road games. Under is 8-2 in last ten series games; underdogs covered five of last seven. Winnipeg scored 86 points in splitting its first two games, losing 36-33 to Edmonton, winning big in Montreal LW. Ti-Cats split their first two games, both on road; they outgained Eskimos 528-348 in 38-21 win there last week.

BCLions (1-0) @ Edmonton (1-1) (-6.5, 54)— Eskimos won eight of last ten series games; Lions lost their last five visits to Edmonton (2-3 vs spread). Over is 5-3 in last eight series games; dogs covered five of last seven. This is road opener for Lions after they beat Montreal 22-10 in opener, then had last week off; they held Alouettes scoreless after first quarter in opener. Edmonton allowed 68 points in splitting its first two games- they scored last 11 points in 33-30 home win over Winnipeg two weeks ago.

Montreal (0-2) @ Saskatchewan (1-1) (-10.5, 46)— Home side won eight of last ten series games; Alouettes won three of last four, but they’ve lost four of last five visits to Regina. Underdogs are 7-3 vs spread in last ten series games; last four series games stayed under the total. Montreal got crushed 56-10 at home last week by Winnipeg; they were outscored 78-20 in losing their first two games. Roughriders split their first two games, both vs eastern foes; they beat Toronto 27-19 in their home opener.