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**Udog** · 11-03-2017, 07:47 AM

CFL Betting Notes - Week 20
David Schwab

Heading into this final week of the CFL regular season, Ottawa took a big step towards claiming its second-straight East Division title last Friday with a 41-36 victory against Hamilton as a 6 ½-point home favorite. In Friday’s other CFL action, Saskatchewan ran all over Montreal 37-12, but it just missed covering against the spread as a huge 16.5-point home favorite.

Saturday’s slate started off with British Columbia getting past Winnipeg 36-27 as a 6 ½-point road underdog. Edmonton made it a 4-0 clean sweep for the underdogs ATS in Week 19 by pulling off a stunning 29-20 outright upset over Calgary as a three-point dog at home.

Friday, Nov. 3

Montreal Alouettes (3-14 SU, 4-13 ATS) vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats (5-12 SU, 9-8 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -12.5
Total: 53

Game Overview

Montreal has to be relieved to see this nightmare of a season finally come to an end. After starting out 2-2 both straight-up and against the spread, the Alouettes have only managed to win one more game over the past 15 weeks. The last time they covered a spread was in that early August victory against Toronto. The total has gone OVER in five of their last seven games.

Hamilton’s second-half spurt with a SU 5-4 record in its last nine games gives some hope for next season after a 0-8 start put an early end to this year’s title hopes. The Tiger-Cats have gone a profitable 7-2 ATS in their last nine games with the total going OVER in four of the last five contests. Jeremiah Masoli threw for 438 yards and four touchdowns in last week’s loss to Ottawa.

Betting Trends

-- The road team in this East Division rivalry has won five of the last six meetings SU while going a perfect 6-0 ATS. The total went OVER in the last two matchups after staying UNDER in the previous four meetings.

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (11-6 SU, 12-5 ATS) vs. Calgary Stampeders (13-3-1 SU, 9-7-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -9.5
Total: 53.5

Game Overview

Back-to-back losses to Toronto on the road and BC at home have created a three-team log-jam in the West for the second seed in the playoffs. Winnipeg does have the tie-breaker against the other two teams, but it still needs to win this game to lockup home field for the opening round. Injuries will make that task all the more harder, especially if quarterback Matt Nichols and running back Andrew Harris remain out of the lineup after going down in last week’s loss to the Lions.

It is hard to know what is going on with the CFL’s top team following Calgary’s recent losses to Saskatchewan at home and to Edmonton on the road. This snapped a record-103 games where the Stampeders were able two avoid posting two losses in a row. They have only managed to score a combined 27 points in those two defeats against a season scoring average of 30.5 points per game.

Betting Trends

-- Calgary has won the last seven meetings SU including a 29-10 victory on July 17 as a 3 ½-point road favorite. The Stampeders also have a 4-2 edge ATS in their last six games against Winnipeg with the total staying UNDER or ending as a PUSH in six of the last eight games in this West Division clash.

Saturday, Nov. 4

Edmonton Eskimos (11-6 SU, 7-10 ATS) vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (10-7 SU, 10-7 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskachewan -5.5
Total: 54.5

Game Overview

It has been a wild ride for the Eskimos to this point in a season that started with a SU seven-game winning streak followed by six losses in a row. With last week’s upset against Calgary, they have now won their last four games SU while going 3-1 ATS. Mike Reilly has been near or at the top of the list in passing all season long with a CFL-high 5,536 yards and he has also led the way in touchdown passes with 30.

The Roughriders will try and end the season with a three-game winning streak both SU and ATS after beating Calgary on the road before last week’s win at home against Montreal. Saskatchewan has actually won four of its last five games SU with a 3-2 mark ATS. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in six of its last seven games.

Betting Trends

-- Saskatchewan has covered ATS in the last four meetings with the series tied 2-2 SU. The Roughriders took the total OVER 53 ½ points on their own earlier this season with a 54-31 victory against the Eskimos as 5 ½-point road underdogs.

Toronto Argonauts (8-9 SU, 7-10 ATS) vs. British Columbia Lions (7-10 SU, 6-10-1 ATS)
Point-spread: BC -1
Total: 52

Game Overview

Toronto is coming off a bye last week and with a win in this regular season finale it would lay claim to the East Division title and a first-round bye in the postseason. The Argonauts are 4-2 both SU and ATS in their last six games behind an offense that has averaged 31.7 points during this same span. Ricky Ray is second in the CFL in passing yards (5,205) and tied for fourth in touchdown throws (25).

The Lions are relegated to playing the role of spoiler after posting just their second SU win in their last 10 games following Saturday’s upset against Winnipeg. It was also just the second that BC covered the spread during this extended slide. Jonathon Jennings torched the Blue Bombers’ defensive secondary in that game with 408 yards passing and four touchdowns while completing 30 of his 40 passing attempts.

Betting Trends

-- The road team is a perfect 7-0 both SU and ATS in the last seven meetings in this inter-division tilt. BC drew first blood this season with a 28-15 victory on June 30 as a two-point road underdog. The total stayed UNDER 54 ½ points in that win and it has now stayed UNDER in the last four meetings.

**Udog** · 11-03-2017, 07:47 AM

CFL
Dunkel

Week 20

Friday, November 3

Montreal @ Hamilton

Game 651-652
November 3, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
100.309
Hamilton
111.608
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hamilton
by 11 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hamilton
by 14
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(+14); Under

Winnipeg @ Calgary

Game 653-654
November 3, 2017 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
110.668
Calgary
116.776
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 6
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 10 1/2
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(+10 1/2); Under

Saturday, November 4

Edmonton @ Saskatchewan

Game 655-656
November 4, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
119.893
Saskatchewan
117.715
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Saskatchewan
by 4
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(+4); Over

Toronto @ BC Lions

Game 657-658
November 4, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
111.525
BC Lions
115.764
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
BC Lions
by 4
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 1
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
BC Lions
(+1); Over

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 20

Friday, November 3

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MONTREAL (3 - 14) at HAMILTON (5 - 12) - 11/3/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all games this season.
MONTREAL is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
MONTREAL is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
MONTREAL is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Friday since 1996.
MONTREAL is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
MONTREAL is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in games played on turf this season.
MONTREAL is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
MONTREAL is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 4-3 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 4-3 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WINNIPEG (11 - 6) at CALGARY (13 - 3 - 1) - 11/3/2017, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 129-95 ATS (+24.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1996.
CALGARY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 9 or more games since 1996.
WINNIPEG is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all games this season.
WINNIPEG is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
WINNIPEG is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games this season.
WINNIPEG is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road lined games this season.
WINNIPEG is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 9 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-3 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 7-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, November 4

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EDMONTON (11 - 6) at SASKATCHEWAN (10 - 7) - 11/4/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 40-63 ATS (-29.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 4-2 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (8 - 9) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (7 - 10) - 11/4/2017, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 20

Montreal (3-14) @ Hamilton (5-12)— Season mercifully ends for Alouettes here; they lost their last ten games (0-10 vs spread); they’re 2-6 vs spread as a road underdog this year. Hamilton (-3.5) won first meeting 43-16 at home two weeks ago; they’re 4-1 in last five games against Montreal. Five of last seven games stayed under. Ti-Cats are 3-4 in last seven games; they covered seven of last nine. Hamilton is 1-1 vs spread as a favorite this season. Over is 5-2 in last seven Montreal games, 4-1 in Hamilton’s last five.

Winnipeg (11-6) @ Calgary (13-3-1)— Stampeders lost last two games, as they sleepwalk until playoffs start; they won 29-10 at Winnipeg (-3.5) in first meeting way back on July 7. Calgary is 17-1 in its last 18 games vs Winnipeg, winning last seven- under is 4-2-2 in last eight series games. Blue Bombers lost their last 14 visits to Calgary (4-8-2 vs spread). Winnipeg lost three of last four games; they’re 4-1 vs spread as a road underdog this season. Calgary is 6-2 as a home favorite this year. Under is 5-2 in Stampeders’ last seven games. Winnipeg needs win here to clinch 2nd in West.

Edmonton (11-6) @ Saskatchewan (10-7)— Roughriders (+6) pounded Eskimos 54-31 in first meeting August 25, just their 3rd win in last 11 series games- game was 40-7 after the third quarter, Edmonton turned ball over five times. Teams split their last six games played in Regina. Edmonton won its last four games (3-1 vs spread); they’re 3-3 as a road underdog- over is 10-4 in their last 14 games. Saskatchewan won four of last five games; they’re 4-1 vs spread as a home favorite. Six of their last seven games stayed under the total.

Toronto (8-9) @ BCLions (7-10)— Toronto needs win here to win Eastern title. Arognauts won four of last six games; they had a bye last week. Lions (+1) won 28-15 in Toronto back in Week 2— visiting team won last seven series games; Argonauts won their last three visits here, by 17-3-11 points. Last four series games stayed under the total. Lions snapped 5-game skid LW with win at Winnipeg; they lost their last three home games. Over is 5-1 in last six Toronto games, 3-1 in Lions’ last four games.

CFL

Week 20

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Trend Report
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Friday, November 3

MONTREAL @ HAMILTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games
Montreal is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Hamilton is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Montreal
Hamilton is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

WINNIPEG @ CALGARY
Winnipeg is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Winnipeg's last 15 games on the road
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Calgary is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games at home

Saturday, November 4

EDMONTON @ SASKATCHEWAN
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Saskatchewan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton

TORONTO @ BRITISH COLUMBIA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
British Columbia is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games when playing Toronto

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Announcement

CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 20 (Fri., November 3 - Sat., November 4)

CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 20 (Fri., November 3 - Sat., November 4)

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