CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 19 (Fri., October 27 - Sat., October 28)

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Friday, October 27 - Saturday, October 28

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 19
David Schwab

Week 18 betting Recap

This past weekend’s CFL betting action started with Saskatchewan stunning Calgary 30-7 on Friday night as a 10-point road underdog to end the Stampeders straight-up 11-game winning streak. The Roughriders’ upset also sealed up the final berth for this season’s playoffs.

Saturday’s action started with Toronto sneaking past Winnipeg 29-28 as a three-point favorite at home. Later that day, Edmonton topped British Columbia 35-29 in overtime as a slight one-point road underdog. Week 18 in the CFL came to a close on Sunday with Hamilton running all over Montreal 43-16 as a three-point road favorite.

Friday, Oct. 27

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (5-11 SU, 8-8 ATS) vs. Ottawa RedBlacks (7-9-1 SU, 12-5 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa -7
Total: 53.5

Game Overview

Hamilton is playing for pride in this one with just five straight-up wins on the year, but it also has some momentum coming into this game with a SU 5-3 record over its last eight games while going 6-2 against the spread. Jeremiah Masoli threw for 320 yards and two scores in Sunday’s lopsided win against Montreal and he added another 28 yards on the ground running the ball four times.

The RedBlacks are still battling Toronto for the East Division title heading into the final two weeks of the season. They have won three out of their last five games SU while going 4-1 ATS. The total has gone OVER in road wins against BC and Saskatchewan in Ottawa’s last two games after staying UNDER or ending as a PUSH in 12 of its previous 13 games. Heading into last week’s bye, it had lost four of its last five home games SU.

Betting Trends

-- The road team in this East Division tilt has won the last four meetings both SU and ATS including both games played earlier this season. The total stayed UNDER the closing line in both of those games after going OVER in the previous four meetings.

Montreal Alouettes (3-13 SU, 4-12 ATS) vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (9-7 SU, 9-7 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -16.5
Total: 52

Game Overview

Montreal has been riding out the string for quite so time now in what has turned into a nine-game losing streak both SU and ATS. Things have gotten increasingly more lopsided as this losing grew in numbers and going back to a 32-4 loss to Ottawa on Aug. 31, the Alouettes have been outscored by an average margin of 18 points a game. They have scored a grand total of 103 points in those seven losses.

The Roughriders are flying high right now as one of just two CFL teams to post a SU victory against the league’s top team this season. Saskatchewan clinched that final playoff spot with last Friday’s big win and it still has its sights set on moving up the standings in the West with a pair of wins and some help. Wide receiver Duron Carter lined up at cornerback on defense in that game and he returned a Bo Levi Mitchell interception for a score.

Betting Trends

-- Montreal has won the last three meetings SU including a tight 17-16 victory this season back in Week 1 as a seven-point home favorite. The Alouettes also hold a 7-3 edge ATS in the last 10 games with the total staying UNDER in six of the last nine meetings.

Saturday, Oct. 28

British Columbia Lions (6-10 SU, 5-10-1 ATS) vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers (11-5 SU, 12-4 ATS)
Point-spread: Winnipeg -5.5
Total: 55.5

Game Overview

With BC officially eliminated from postseason contention, you have to question just how motivated the Lions will be on Saturday in the midst of a five-game losing streak both SU and ATS. They have remained competitive during this slide with four losses by six points or less. Jeremiah Johnson led the team in rushing with 32 yards on nine carries in last week’s loss to Edmonton and he also caught six passes for 44 yards.

The Blue Bombers are still trying to lock up home field advantage in the West for the opening round of the playoffs in light of last week’s loss. Weston Dressler had a big day catching the ball in that losing cause with eight catches for 129 yards and a touchdown. Winnipeg quarterback Matt Nichols completed 75.8 percent of his 33 passing attempts for 268 yards to raise his season total to 4,442 as the third leading passer in the CFL.

Betting Trends

-- The home team in this West Division matchup is 6-1 SU in the last seven games with Winnipeg going a perfect 7-0 ATS. The total has gone OVER in five of the last six meetings.

Calgary Stampeders (13-2-1 SU, 9-6-1 ATS) vs. Edmonton Eskimos (10-6 SU, 6-10 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -4
Total: 54

Game Overview

With the pressure of keeping that extended SU winning streak alive gone following that Week 18 loss, Calgary can begin the process of preparing for a Grey Cup title run as the top seed in the CFL. Looking back at last season’s run to the top spot in the regular season; the Stampeders saw their SU 14-game winning streak also come to an end in a Week 20 loss to Montreal.

Edmonton needs a win in this game to keep its chances of hosting a playoff game alive. Going back to a Week 16 victory against Montreal on the road, the Eskimos have piled up an average of 35.7 points over their last three games. Mike Reilly added 397 more passing yards to his league-high 5,252 yards in last week’s win and Adarius Bowman caught nine passes for 136 yards and a score to lead all receivers.

Betting Trends

-- Calgary won both games SU this season to extend its SU winning streak in this series to five games. The Stampeders have the slight 3-2 edge ATS with the total going OVER in four of those five games.

[Udog]

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 19

Friday, October 27

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HAMILTON (5 - 11) at OTTAWA (7 - 9 - 1) - 10/27/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all games this season.
OTTAWA is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
OTTAWA is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
HAMILTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Friday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 5-2 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 5-2 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MONTREAL (3 - 13) at SASKATCHEWAN (9 - 7) - 10/27/2017, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all games this season.
MONTREAL is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
MONTREAL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
MONTREAL is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 121-91 ATS (+20.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in home games in October games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-2 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 3-2 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BRITISH COLUMBIA (6 - 10) at WINNIPEG (11 - 5) - 10/28/2017, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus division opponents this season.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in games played on turf this season.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games this season.
WINNIPEG is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
WINNIPEG is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
WINNIPEG is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in games played on turf this season.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 55-31 ATS (+20.9 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 7-0 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 5-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CALGARY (13 - 2 - 1) at EDMONTON (10 - 6) - 10/28/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 39-63 ATS (-30.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 4-4 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 5-3 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL

Week 19

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Trend Report
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Friday, October 27

HAMILTON @ OTTAWA
Hamilton is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hamilton's last 6 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Ottawa is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing at home against Hamilton

MONTREAL @ SASKATCHEWAN
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games
Montreal is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Saskatchewan's last 14 games when playing at home against Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 7 games at home


Saturday, October 28

BRITISH COLUMBIA @ WINNIPEG
The total has gone OVER in 5 of British Columbia's last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of British Columbia's last 23 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing British Columbia
Winnipeg is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

CALGARY @ EDMONTON
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Calgary is 22-2 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing Calgary


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[Udog]

CFL
Dunkel

Week 19

Friday, October 27

Hamilton @ Ottawa

Game 601-602
October 27, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Hamilton
116.386
Ottawa
116.387
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hamilton
Even
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ottawa
by 7
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Hamilton
(+7); Under

Montreal @ Saskatchewan

Game 603-604
October 27, 2017 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
101.393
Saskatchewan
115.831
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Saskatchewan
by 14 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Saskatchewan
by 16 1/2
52
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(+16 1/2); Under


Saturday, October 28

BC Lions @ Winnipeg

Game 605-606
October 28, 2017 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
BC Lions
108.829
Winnipeg
116.603
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 8
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
by 5 1/2
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(-5 1/2); Under

Calgary @ Edmonton

Game 607-608
October 28, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
119.329
Edmonton
113.340
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 6
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 3 1/2
54
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-3 1/2); Under




CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 19

Hamilton (5-11) @ Ottawa (7-9-1)— Hamilton is 5-3 in its last eight games (6-2 vs spread) after an 0-8 start; Ti-Cats covered their last five road games. Ottawa is 6-3 in its last nine games, but they lost four of last five at home, are 2-4 as home favorites. Ottawa won five of last seven series games; road team won last four series games. TiCats won last two visits here, 39-36ot/26-22- over is 4-2 in last six series games. Under is 5-2 in last seven Ottawa games, 3-1 in last four Hamilton games.

Montreal (3-13) @ Saskatchewan (9-7)— Montreal is in tank, losing last nine games (0-9 vs spread); they’re 2-5 as a road underdog. Over is 6-2 in their last eight games. Saskatchewan won three of last four games, beating Calgary LW; Riders are 3-2 as a home favorites this season. Alouettes won last three series games; they beat Riders 17-16 (-7) in season opener this summer. under is 10-5 in last 15 series games. Under is 5-1 in last six Saskatchewan games, 1-5 in Montreal’s last six games.

BC Lions (6-10) @ Winnipeg (11-5)— Home side won six of last seven series games; Blue Bombers won five of those seven games- Lions lost last three visits to Manitoba, by 8-2-6 points. Over is 5-1 in last six series games. BC lost five games in row and 9 of last 11; they’re 1-4 as road underdogs this year, losing last five road games, by 11-33-7-14-6 points. Winnipeg won five of last six games; they’re 9-2 vs spread in last 11- they’re 5-2 as home favorites. Under is 6-3-1 in Lions’ last 10 games, 4-1 in last five Bomber games.

Calgary (13-2-1) @ Edmonton (10-6)— Stampeders won last four series games; they won last two visits here, 34-28/25-22. Four of last five series games went over total. Calgary had its 11-game win streak snapped at home by the Riders LW; Stampeders are 4-4 as a road favorite this year- they won last five road games SU. Eskimos won their last three games after an 0-6 skid; they lost three of their last four home games. Over is 7-2 in last nine Edmonton games, 3-6 in last nine Calgary games.