CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 18 (Fri., October 20 - Sun., October 22)

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Friday, October 20 - Sunday, October 22

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 18
David Schwab

Week 17 Betting Recap

Last weekend in the CFL, the favorites once again took it on the chin against the spread starting with Calgary’s close call in a tight 28-25 road victory against Hamilton as a heavy 9 ½-point favorite. In last Friday’s other action, Ottawa beat Saskatchewan outright as a 3 ½-point road underdog in a wild 33-32 victory.

Saturday’s doubleheader started with Winnipeg covering by the thinnest of margins in a 26-20 victory as a 5 ½-point home favorite against British Columbia. Edmonton closed things out by upending Toronto 30-27, but it could not cover as a seven-point favorite at home.

Friday, Oct. 20

Saskatchewan Roughriders (8-7 SU, 8-7 ATS) vs. Calgary Stampeders (13-1-1 SU, 9-5-1 ATS)

Point-spread: Calgary -9.5
Total: 51

Game Overview

Saskatchewan is still in the driver seat for a spot in the postseason despite its last-second loss to Ottawa, but its margin for error to actually clinch one is a bit tighter heading into a tough road game this week. Kevin Glenn looked sharp in that game with 387 yards passing and two touchdown throws while completing 74.4 percent of his 39 attempts, but he was also picked off twice. Duron Carter hauled in 11 receptions for 231 yards in a losing cause.

The Stampeders kept their SU winning streak alive, but getting that 11th-straight victory was much harder than expected. This was just the second time in their last seven games that they failed to cover the spread in what has been another dominating performance in the regular season. Bo Levi Mitchell is one of the top quarterbacks in the CFL, but he struggled against the Tiger-Cats his last time out with completion percentage of just 55.9 on his 34 passing attempts.

Betting Trends

-- Calgary extended its current SU winning streak to eight games in this division clash with a hard-fought 15-9 victory as a 5 ½-point road favorite on Sept. 24. The Stampeders have covered in the last five meetings with the total staying UNDER in all five games.

Saturday, Oct. 21

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (11-4 SU, 11-4 ATS) vs. Toronto Argonauts (7-9 SU, 7-9 ATS)

Point-spread: Toronto -1
Total: 56

Game Overview

The Blue Bombers are holding down the second seed in the West Division heading into their final three games and they remain one of the most prolific scoring teams in the league with an average of 31.7 points per game. That average has dropped significantly over the last two games with a combined 39 points. One injury note, wide receiver Darvin Adams left last week’s game with an arm injury and he will be out indefinitely.

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Toronto is still sporting a losing record and coming off back-to-back losses to Saskatchewan at home and Edmonton on the road, but its overall record is still good enough to clinch a playoff spot in the East. The Argonauts can still win the division with a win and an Ottawa loss. While its defense has been suspect all season long with a points-allowed average of 25.9, quarterback Ricky Ray has led Toronto’s offense to a scoring average of 25.8 points.

Betting Trends

-- Winnipeg has won the last three meetings both SU and ATS including a 33-25 victory earlier this season as a three-point home favorite. The total has gone OVER in all three games.

Edmonton Eskimos (9-6 SU, 5-10 ATS) vs. British Columbia Lions (6-9 SU, 5-9-1 ATS)

Point-spread: BC -2.5
Total: 55

Game Overview

Edmonton’s roller coaster ride is headed back up the hill with back-to-back victories against Montreal on the road and Toronto at home. This followed a SU six-game losing streak which followed seven wins in a row to start the season. It all adds up to a spot in the playoffs, but the Eskimos’ record ATS is still a costly 3-7 over their last 10 games. The total has gone OVER in six of their last eight outings.

The Lions desperately need a win on Saturday to keep their fading postseason plans intact. This could be a tall task considering that they have only posted one game in the win column both SU and ATS in their last eight contests. The average margin of victory in BC’s last four games has been 6.5 points, but it has been on the losing end each time.

Betting Trends

-- Edmonton won both meetings earlier this season SU and ATS to extend its SU edge to 5-1 in the last six matchups. The Eskimos are 3-1 ATS in the last four meetings with the total staying UNDER in three of those games.

Sunday, Oct. 22

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (4-11 SU, 7-8 ATS) vs. Montreal Alouettes (3-12 SU, 4-11 ATS)

Point-spread: Hamilton -2.5
Total: 51

Game Overview

Give credit to the Tiger-Cats for putting forth a solid effort down the stretch. After losing their first eight games of the season SU, they have gone 4-3 SU over their last seven games. While it is still a case of too little, too late this team is still in position to play the role of spoiler with a road game against Ottawa sandwiched in between this home-and home series against Montreal to close out the year.

The Alouettes have been riding out the string for quite some time now and coming off last week’s bye they are still in the midst of an eight-game losing streak both SU and ATS. Early in the year defense was a strong suit for Montreal, but this unit has been torched for at least 29 points in all eight of those recent losses. On the year, it is allowing an average of 31.3 points per game.

Betting Trends

-- This will be the first meeting this season and coming into this East Division tilt the road team has won four of the last five meetings SU while going a perfect 5-0 ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in five of the last six meetings.

[Udog]

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 18

Friday, October 20

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SASKATCHEWAN (8 - 7) at CALGARY (13 - 1 - 1) - 10/20/2017, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 129-94 ATS (+25.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1996.
CALGARY is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 9 or more games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 132-97 ATS (+25.3 Units) as an underdog since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 5-1 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 6-0 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, October 21

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WINNIPEG (11 - 4) at TORONTO (7 - 9) - 10/21/2017, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games this season.
WINNIPEG is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
WINNIPEG is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in October games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 3-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 3-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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EDMONTON (9 - 6) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (6 - 9) - 10/21/2017, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 38-63 ATS (-31.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) versus division opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-3 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 5-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, October 22

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HAMILTON (4 - 11) at MONTREAL (3 - 12) - 10/22/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAMILTON is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
HAMILTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in all games this season.
MONTREAL is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
MONTREAL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) in home games in October games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 4-2 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 3-3 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL

Week 18

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Trend Report
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Friday, October 20

SASKATCHEWAN @ CALGARY
Saskatchewan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games when playing Calgary
Calgary is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan


Saturday, October 21

WINNIPEG @ TORONTO
Winnipeg is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Winnipeg's last 14 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

EDMONTON @ BRITISH COLUMBIA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games on the road
Edmonton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing British Columbia
British Columbia is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Edmonton
British Columbia is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Edmonton


Sunday, October 22

HAMILTON @ MONTREAL
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hamilton's last 6 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hamilton's last 6 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing Hamilton


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[StarDust Bum]

Week 18 CFL

Saskatchewan (8-7) @ Calgary (13-1-1)— Calgary won its last 11 games (9-2 vs spread); they struggled to win at Hamilton LW (28-25) after winning first matchup 60-1. Stampeders are 8-0 in last eight series games, beating Roughriders 27-10/15-9 this season. Riders lost last four visits to Calgary, by 13-23-20-17 points- last four series games stayed under the total. Saskatchewan split its last six games; they’re 3-3 vs spread as road underdogs this season- four of their last five games stayed under. Under is 5-3 in Calgary’s last eight games.

Winnipeg (11-4) @ Toronto (6-9)— Blue Bombers won last three series games, by 17-17-8 points; they beat Argonauts 33-25 (-3) at home in first meeting July 13. Over is 6-2 in last eight series games. Bombers’ win here LY was their first in last five visits to Toronto. Winnipeg is 9-2 in its last 11 games, 5-1 vs spread in its last six on road- their last four games stayed under the total. Bombers are 3-1 as road underdogs this year. Argonauts lost last two games but covered four of last five; they’re 5-3 SU at home, 3-2 as a home favorite.

Edmonton (9-6) @ BCLions (6-9)— Eskimos won five of last six games with BC, beating Lions 30-27 (+4.5), 37-26 (-2.5) in two meetings this year. Teams split last four series games played here. Edmonton beat Montreal/Toronto in its last two games after a 6-game skid; they’re 4-3 SU on road, 2-3 as a road underdog. Over is 10-3 in their last thirteen games. Lions lost four in row, 7 of last 8 games; their last three losses were by total of 10 points. BC is 3-4 at home, losing last two home tilts to Hamilton/Ottawa. Under is 6-2-1 in their last nine games.

Hamilton (4-11) @ Montreal (3-12)— Spunky Ti-Cats are 5-2 vs spread in last seven games, losing tough 28-25 game to Calgary LW. Hamilton won 3 of last 4 series games, winning 23-11, 31-7 in last two visits here. Under is 9-3 in last 12 series games. Ti-Cats are 4-3 in last seven games after an 0-8 start; they covered their last four road games. Under is 6-2-1 in their last nine games. Alouettes are in the tank, losing their last eight games (0-8 vs spread); Montreal lost its last four home games, by 8-28-18-18 points. Over is 4-1 in their last five games.

[Udog]

Week 18 CFL

Thanks, Bum! I think Armadillo's stuff is the most useful stuff we post. That guy is really good.

[Udog]

CFL
Dunkel

Week 18

Friday, October 20

Saskatchewan @ Calgary

Game 651-652
October 20, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Saskatchewan
119.099
Calgary
122.061
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 3
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 10
51
Dunkel Pick:
Saskatchewan
(+10); Over


Saturday, October 21

Winnipeg @ Toronto

Game 653-654
October 21, 2017 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
114.834
Toronto
113.294
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 1 1/2
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 2
56
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(+2); Over

Edmonton @ BC Lions

Game 655-656
October 21, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
109.343
BC Lions
113.826
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
BC Lions
by 4 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
BC Lions
by 1 1/2
55
Dunkel Pick:
BC Lions
(-1 1/2); Under


Sunday, October 22

Hamilton @ Montreal

Game 657-658
October 22, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Hamilton
115.013
Montreal
98.566
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hamilton
by 16 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hamilton
by 3
51
Dunkel Pick:
Hamilton
(-3); Under