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**Udog** · 10-18-2017, 10:42 AM

NFL opening line report: A-Rod injury turns Pack into early Week 7 pups
Patrick Everson

The Green Bay Packers are home underdogs for just the second time since the beginning of the 2014 season. Will backup QB Brett Hundley be able to carry the load for the Pack with A-Rod out?

Through six weeks of the NFL season, there are no more undefeated teams, and it’s anybody’s guess as to which squad is best. Patrick Everson checks out the opening lines on four Week 7 games, with insights from Scott Cooley, odds consultant for offshore sportsbook Bookmaker.eu.

Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders (+3)

Kansas City tumbled from the ranks of the unbeaten with a sluggish Week 6 offensive performance, failing to put up touchdown until the fourth quarter. The Chiefs (5-1 SU and ATS) lost to Pittsburgh 19-13 as a 3.5-point home favorite.

Oakland welcomed the return of star quarterback Derek Carr, then promptly mirrored KC with a lackluster effort. The Raiders (2-4 SU and ATS) had just one second-half score – a fourth-quarter touchdown after which they missed the extra point. That proved critical when the Raiders, 3-point home faves, lost 17-16 on a last-second San Diego field goal.

Both teams now have a short week, playing in the Thursday nighter.

“What a change in perception between these teams from the offseason to the present,” Cooley said. “The Chiefs finally put up a dud, but that’s expected at some point, while Oakland looks like it’s already left for Vegas. But as we’ve seen in recent weeks with teams that look disoriented, expect the Raiders’ best effort Thursday night.”

Early bettors apparently think so. Although the Raiders were still 3-point home pups late Sunday night, the price to get those points was up to -125.

Atlanta Falcons at New England Patriots (-4.5)

It’s a rematch of the Super Bowl, though neither team seems to be in championship form, particularly Atlanta. The Patriots, bettors will remember, were 3-point faves in the Super Bowl against Atlanta and needed a miracle to overcome at 27-3 second half deficit to win and cover the spread.

The Falcons (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) won their first three games, trying to put that incredible Super Bowl meltdown behind them. But they’ve now dropped the last two, including Sunday’s shocking 20-17 home loss to Miami as hefty 14-point chalk.

New England (4-2 SU, 2-4 ATS) spotted the New York Jets 14 points on Sunday, not exactly looking like a 9-point road favorite. However, the Patriots scored the next 24 points and hung on for a 24-17 victory.

“Sharps loved the Falcons in the last matchup between these teams, and they’re lining up again here,” Cooley said of early action for this Sunday night clash. “We’ve already moved the spread down to -3, but it’s doubtful we’ll see it dip under the key number. The Falcons look flat of late, but it’s not as if the Pats have been world beaters the last three weeks.”

Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles (-5.5)

Heading into Week 7, Philadelphia surprisingly holds the lead in the NFC East. The Eagles (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS) played in the first game of Week 6 and dropped Carolina 28-23 catching 3 points on the road Thursday night.

Washington (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) blew all of a 17-0 lead Sunday, but held on late to move above .500. The Redskins edged the 49ers 26-24, falling well short as 12-point home faves.

“Early money has been on Washington, which is somewhat of a surprise,” Cooley said of the Week 7 Monday nighter. “We’ve moved down to -4 already, but it’s highly unlikely it will head further south. You have to like what both of these squads are doing on the field, but Philadelphia is a few pegs ahead of where Washington is.”

New Orleans Saints at Green Bay Packers (+4)

Green Bay was 4-1 SU and appeared to be rounding into form after a big road win at Dallas. Then Aaron Rodgers broke his collarbone in the first quarter Sunday against Minnesota, and poof! The Packers (4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS) lost 23-10 giving 3 points on the road, and will be without their stud QB for the foreseeable future, perhaps the rest of the season.

Meanwhile, New Orleans cracked the 50-point barrier in a wild Week 6 home victory. The Saints (3-2 SU and ATS) went off as 6-point faves against Detroit, led 45-10 midway through the third quarter, then held off a furious rally for a 52-38 victory. Drew Brees and Co. have won and cashed three straight.

Cooley said Bookmaker.eu wasn’t quite ready Sunday to post a Saints-Packers line, with Green Bay now relying on unproven backup Brett Hundley.

“We’ve got to do some additional assessment with Hundley under center in Green Bay before posting a line,” Cooley said. “The public will line up to fade a team sans Aaron Rodgers, but we’ve seen this Packers bunch blow out opponents without him. We’ll open the Saints as short road chalk.”

The Wynn sportsbook in Las Vegas opened with the Saints as 4-point road favorites, while offshore sportsbook Pinnacle installed the Saints as 4.5-point chalk.

**Udog** · 10-18-2017, 10:42 AM

Wiseguys are advising that these Week 7 NFL lines are going to move

Bill Belichick's defense has given up 300 or more passing yards in each of the Patriots last six games. Despite the high total, this could be another good opportunity to be the over with New England.

Game to bet now

Dallas at San Francisco (+6)

Call this one the National Anthem Bowl. The Cowboys, who have been ordered by owner Jerry Jones to stand for the anthem under penalty of benching (or worse), vs. the 49ers, who are the flagship franchise for protest and can stand or kneel depending on the depths of their beliefs.

There will probably be a football game after said anthem, and it’s a big game for the Boys if not the out-of-it-already Niners. Dallas is 2-3 (both SU and ATS) and staring down the barrel of a nasty October/November run that includes four straight winning teams (Washington, Kansas City, Atlanta, Philadelphia) after this Sunday.

It’s possible that all the hay will be in the barn by Thanksgiving, so the Cowboys really need this one to get some momentum for their most important four-game stretch of the season.

Game to wait on

New Orleans at Green Bay (+4.5)

Pro Football Talk has suggested that it might be time to institute even more protection for quarterbacks after Aaron Rodgers was lost for the year when he suffered a broken collar bone when hit a split second after throwing a pass last Sunday.

Maybe, maybe not. But Rodgers might be the best QB in the world, and losing him is bad for business.

The focus will now be on backup QB Brett Hundley, who has been holding a clipboard for a couple of years. Hundley threw 33 passes on Sunday and three of them wound up being intercepted. The Saints are scrambling to find tape on the kid. The line could expand based on early betting.

Total to watch

Atlanta at New England (53.5)

A week or more of warm weather is predicted in New England, and that’s good news for both offenses in this Super Bowl repeat.

The Falcons will welcome any help they can get after scoring just 34 total points in back-to-back losses to AFC East teams (Miami, Buffalo) – and the Patriots might just be the cure for what ails them.

Last Sunday vs. the Jets, New England’s defense gave up more than 300 passing yards for the sixth consecutive. Every week fans figure that Bill Belichick will get it fixed, and every week it isn’t.

Even with the high number, the over might be worth a long, hard look.

**Udog** · 10-18-2017, 10:42 AM

NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 7
Monty Andrews

New Orleans Saints at Green Bay Packers (+6, 45)

Saints' impressive O-line vs. Packers' lack of QB pressure

This was supposed to be a matchup between two of the all-time great quarterbacks in NFL history - but with Aaron Rogers out for the long-term with a broken collarbone, the host Packers come in as close to a one-touchdown underdog against Drew Brees and the high-powered Saints offense. Sorting out the offense will be Green Bay's top priority, but finding a way to get to Brees - something no team has done yet this season - should be next on the list.

The Saints have shown tremendous growth on defense over the past three weeks, producing nine turnovers in that stretch. But it is the offensive line that deserves the lion's share of the laurels; it has limited opponents to just four sacks all season, the fewest of any team in the league. It's a big reason why New Orleans ranks seventh in the NFL in total offense (372.2 yards per game) and fourth in scoring offense (29 ppg). If Brees has time to throw, he is among the most dangerous QBs in history.

The Saints' O-line owns a decided edge over a Green Bay pass rush still needs work. Only three teams - Tampa Bay, the New York Jets and Tennessee - have produced fewer sacks than the Packers (11) through the first six weeks of the season. It's a mind-boggling stat considering that four of Green Bay's five defensive line starters have Pro Football Focus grades higher than 78. A lack of quarterback pressure this weekend could make for a long day for the home side.

Baltimore Ravens at Minnesota Vikings (-5.5, 39.5)

Ravens' wretched third-down results vs. Vikings' vaunted 3D defense

The Ravens have to be wondering what went wrong last weekend as they fell behind early, rallied late and ultimately fell short in a 27-24 overtime loss to visiting Chicago. Baltimore has been one of the most maddeningly inconsistent teams in the league through six weeks, and will need to be at its best this Sunday if it hopes to prevail against the impressive Vikings. One significant area of improvement: Third down execution, something that cost the Ravens the win on Sunday.

Baltimore had the ball on its own 40-yard line on its only possession of OT, but gained just eight yards and failed in a pivotal 3rd-and-2 situation that forced the Ravens to punt. It was the story of the game for Baltimore, which went 3-for-18 on third down Sunday and ranks 28th in the league with a 34.6-percent success rate. It's no wonder, then, that Baltimore sits 29th in total offense (289.2 ypg) and averages an unimpressive 19 points per game so far this season.

They won't find things any easier this weekend, as the Vikings come in off impressive victories over the Bears and Packers in which they limited their foes to 27 total points. Chicago and Green Bay went a combined 7-for-29 on third down against Minnesota, which has held the opposition to a 25-percent success rate - tops in the NFL, and well ahead of the 38.8-percent success rate opposing teams posted against the Vikings in 2016. Look for plenty of short Baltimore drives in this one.

Arizona Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Rams (-3.5, 47.5)

Cardinals' second-half struggles vs. Rams' late-game ball control

Twickenham Stadium is the site of the latest NFL foray into London, with the Cardinals and Rams making the trek overseas. Both teams are coming off impressive victories, with the Cardinals outlasting the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 38-33 and the Rams upending the host Jaguars 27-17. These teams are tightly bunched with Seattle atop the NFC West, but the Rams come into this one with a decided edge in ball control after the break - something Arizona will need to correct in England.

The Cardinals rank in the lower third in the league in second-half points per game at 8.8 - significantly below the 13.6 ppg average they posted in 2016. And while last week's circumstances - specifically, a 24-0 halftime lead - might have played a role, Arizona's second-half struggles allowed Tampa Bay to make a game of it in the second half. Arizona ranks 26th in the league in second-half possession rate, controlling the ball less than 46 percent of the time after the break.

On the flip side, the Rams' revamped offense has impressed in a number of ways - not the least of which being its ability to control the play in the second half of games. While Los Angeles ranks just outside the top-10 in second half points per game (11.2), that figure is still nearly five points higher than the 6.3 ppg mark it registered last season. And the Rams have masterfully dominated the football after halftime, sitting third in the NFL with a 56.1-percent possession rate.

Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers (-1.5, 42)

Broncos' bad red-zone play vs. Chargers' downfield dominance

The Broncos are reeling after watching the receiver-bereft New York Giants come into Sports Authority Field at Mile High and escape with a 23-10 victory. And sure, Denver could have been stronger defensively, but no one can argue that the offense was the biggest source of frustration on the night, as the team squandered one red-zone opportunity after another. A similarly underwhelming performance won't fly against a Chargers team that has been one of the stingiest when foes get inside their 20-yard line.

Denver comes into the week as one of the worst red-zone performers in football, scoring a touchdown on just 45 percent of trips inside the opponent's 20 - the sixth-lowest mark in the NFL. The Broncos have scored TDs on red zone visits just 25 percent of the time over their previous three games after going a perfect 4-for-4 in a one-sided win over Dallas in Week 2. Denver had 13 possessions against the Giants and scored just one touchdown, going 1-for-4 in the red zone.

The Chargers have offensive issues of their own; they average a paltry 79 rushing yards per game and will be in tough to increase that total against the toughest run defense in the league. But few teams defend in the red zone like Los Angeles, which has limited opponents to a 40-percent touchdown success rate inside their 20-yard line - behind only Seattle, Buffalo, Oakland and Minnesota. The Chargers won't be easy to score on downfield, which could mean even more red-zone struggles for Denver.

**Udog** · 10-18-2017, 10:43 AM

NFL divisional battles are playing Under the betting total at an incredible pace
Jason Logan

There are seven divisional matchups on the board in Week 7, including Monday Night Football. So far this season, divisional games are 8-20 Over/Under - stay below the number 71 percent of the time.

Divisional games in the NFL are always a little more heated than those contests outside of a team’s grouping. The wins count for more and the stakes are much higher, so the intensity is ratcheted up.

Giving up an inch seems like budging a foot, which could be why defense is the name of the game for divisional matchups this season. And it could also be why 20 of the 28 divisional games so far have played Under the betting total.

If you bet the Under in each divisional contest so far in the 2017 season, you’d be celebrating a 71 percent winning clip like Von Miller celebrates a sack. And the victim on the other end of this trend, your bookie, would be peeling himself off the ground and picking grass out of his facemask. A $100 wager on the Under in each of those games would have returned $1,020 – given the standard opening -110 juice on Over/Under wagers.

Heading into Week 7, divisional games have averaged just 38.9 combined points – 4.5 points fewer than the average scoring pace in the NFL right now. Measure those up against an average betting total of 44 points for divisional matchups and Under bettors have plenty of overhead when it comes to cashing in on low-scoring grudge matches.

Huge matchups and a huge injuries headline NFL Week 7 betting odds in Las Vegas
The NFL Week 7 slate has a lot going on at once. You have massive divisional matchups, a Super Bowl rematch, and a team trying to recover from losing the Most Valuable Player to the NFL betting odds. We get the inside scooop on the opening odds and early sharp action from Johnny Avello of the Wynn Las Vegas sportsbook.

This trend is a swing in the other direction compared to last season, when NFL divisional games finished with a 53-42-1 Over/Under mark – playing Over the number in 56 percent of those games. You could look for a connection between this stunning 8-20 Over/Under record and the success of underdogs in divisional matchup this season. Teams getting the points against divisional foes are 15-12-1 ATS – covering more than 56 percent of the time. Generally, underdogs aren’t the sharpest offensive clubs and that dialed-up intensity on defense - as well as a familiarity with those opponents - could be helping keep those scores closer than the oddsmakers expect.

This uptick in Under results for divisional meetings has been a steady winner for total players just about every week – save for a 3-2 Over/Under divisional game record in Week 3. The 2017 schedule opened with seven divisional games on the board, with those matchups going 1-6 Over/Under and producing an average combined score of 34.5 points against an average closing total of 43.6 in Week 1. Week 2 had only three divisional games and posted a 1-2 O/U mark. After the aforementioned 3-2 O/U Week 4, divisional games went 2-5 O/U with an average of 39 points per game versus an average closing total of 43.2. Both divisional contest went Under in Week 5 and just this past weekend, Week 6 games between divisional rivals finished 1-3 O/U with only the Monday nighter between Indianapolis and Tennessee playing Over.

Heading into Week 7, there are seven games between divisional opponents on the schedule. Here’s a look at those games and their current line:

Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders (+3, 47)
New York Jets at Miami Dolphins (-3, 38.5)
Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts (+3, 43.5)
Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams (-3.5, 47.5)
Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers (-5.5, 41)
Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers (-1.5, 42)
Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles (-4.5, 48.5)

The average betting total for those games is 44 points – the exact same average Over/Under number for divisional games this season.

**Udog** · 10-18-2017, 10:44 AM

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 7

Thursday, October 19

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KANSAS CITY (5 - 1) at OAKLAND (2 - 4) - 10/19/2017, 8:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 49-80 ATS (-39.0 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
OAKLAND is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1992.
OAKLAND is 74-103 ATS (-39.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 74-103 ATS (-39.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 58-83 ATS (-33.3 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
OAKLAND is 25-49 ATS (-28.9 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
OAKLAND is 74-103 ATS (-39.3 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
OAKLAND is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-1 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 4-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, October 22

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TENNESSEE (3 - 3) at CLEVELAND (0 - 6) - 10/22/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 29-50 ATS (-26.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 1-1 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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JACKSONVILLE (3 - 3) at INDIANAPOLIS (2 - 4) - 10/22/2017, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 4-0 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 2-2 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CINCINNATI (2 - 3) at PITTSBURGH (4 - 2) - 10/22/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 72-98 ATS (-35.8 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 102-73 ATS (+21.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 89-63 ATS (+19.7 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 59-36 ATS (+19.4 Units) in October games since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 66-43 ATS (+18.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 4-1 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BALTIMORE (3 - 3) at MINNESOTA (4 - 2) - 10/22/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a win against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NY JETS (3 - 3) at MIAMI (3 - 2) - 10/22/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY JETS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 70-97 ATS (-36.7 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 3-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 3-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TAMPA BAY (2 - 3) at BUFFALO (3 - 2) - 10/22/2017, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CAROLINA (4 - 2) at CHICAGO (2 - 4) - 10/22/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 57-35 ATS (+18.5 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
CAROLINA is 81-48 ATS (+28.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW ORLEANS (3 - 2) at GREEN BAY (4 - 2) - 10/22/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 118-89 ATS (+20.1 Units) in home games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 118-89 ATS (+20.1 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 183-128 ATS (+42.2 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 94-67 ATS (+20.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ARIZONA (3 - 3) vs. LA RAMS (4 - 2) - 10/22/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
LA RAMS is 178-227 ATS (-71.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 178-227 ATS (-71.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 80-116 ATS (-47.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
LA RAMS is 127-179 ATS (-69.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 138-179 ATS (-58.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA RAMS is 69-96 ATS (-36.6 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA RAMS is 2-2 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
LA RAMS is 2-2 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (2 - 3) at SAN FRANCISCO (0 - 6) - 10/22/2017, 4:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 1-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (3 - 2) at NY GIANTS (1 - 5) - 10/22/2017, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
SEATTLE is 34-60 ATS (-32.0 Units) in October games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 41-65 ATS (-30.5 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DENVER (3 - 2) at LA CHARGERS (2 - 4) - 10/22/2017, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CHARGERS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
LA CHARGERS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LA CHARGERS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CHARGERS is 2-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 4-1 straight up against LA CHARGERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (3 - 2) at NEW ENGLAND (4 - 2) - 10/22/2017, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 94-68 ATS (+19.2 Units) off a division game since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 109-80 ATS (+21.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 117-83 ATS (+25.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
ATLANTA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, October 23

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WASHINGTON (3 - 2) at PHILADELPHIA (5 - 1) - 10/23/2017, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 10-18-2017, 10:46 AM

NFL

Week 7

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, October 19

KANSAS CITY @ OAKLAND
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oakland's last 8 games at home
Oakland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

Sunday, October 22

CAROLINA @ CHICAGO
Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina

NEW ORLEANS @ GREEN BAY
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans

BALTIMORE @ MINNESOTA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Baltimore is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Baltimore

TAMPA BAY @ BUFFALO
Tampa Bay is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Buffalo
Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Buffalo's last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games

TENNESSEE @ CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Tennessee is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Tennessee

JACKSONVILLE @ INDIANAPOLIS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Jacksonville is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 6 games

NY JETS @ MIAMI
NY Jets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
NY Jets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

ARIZONA @ LA RAMS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
Arizona is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing LA Rams
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Rams's last 8 games
LA Rams is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

DALLAS @ SAN FRANCISCO
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 8 games when playing Dallas

CINCINNATI @ PITTSBURGH
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cincinnati

DENVER @ LA CHARGERS
Denver is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Chargers's last 7 games when playing at home against Denver
LA Chargers is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Denver

SEATTLE @ NY GIANTS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing NY Giants
Seattle is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Giants's last 6 games when playing Seattle
NY Giants is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Seattle

ATLANTA @ NEW ENGLAND
Atlanta is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 19 of Atlanta's last 24 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games at home
New England is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta

Monday, October 23

WASHINGTON @ PHILADELPHIA
Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

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**Udog** · 10-18-2017, 10:46 AM

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 7

Thursday's game
Chiefs (5-1) @ Raiders (2-4)— Oakland lost its last four games, scoring 6 TD’s on last 43 drives; they’re -3 in turnovers his year, with zero INT’s- they have only one takeaway in last three games. Raiders lost to Ravens/Chargers at home last two weeks. Carr returned vs Chargers, but they ran lot of shorter pass patterns to lessen chances he gets hit on his broken back. Kansas City was held to 251 yards in home loss to Steelers Sunday, its first loss in six games. KC is 3-o on road (over 3-0), scoring ppg (12 TD’s on 33 drives); Chiefs won last five series games (four by 8+ points), winning 34-20/26-10 in last two visits to Oakland. Three of last four Raider games stayed under the total. NFL-wide, divisional home underdogs are 7-5 vs spread.

Sunday's games
Titans (3-3) @ Browns (0-6)— Short week for Titans after rare Monday night home game vs Colts. Tennessee scored 37-33-36 points in its wins, 16-14-10 in its losses; they’re 1-2 on road, with only win in Jacksonville. Titans are 1-3-1 in last five games as a road favorite. Winless Cleveland is 0-5 vs spread the last five weeks, 1-2 as home underdogs, losing by 3-3-16 points- they allowed 31+ points in 3 of last 4 games. In last three games, Browns scored only 14 points on seven red zone drives. Browns beat Tennessee 2 of last 3 years; Titans won LY’s meeting 28-26. Tennessee are 4-2 here, losing 28-14 in last visit here, in 2015. AFC South teams are 7-6 vs spread outside the division, 2-3 on road; AFC North teams are 5-6, 2-3 at home.

Jaguars (3-3) @ Colts (2-4)— Jacksonville is +11 in turnovers in its three wins, -1 in its losses; they allowed two special teams TD’s in home loss to Rams LW. Jaguars are 2-1 on road, with wins at Texans/Steelers- 4 of their last 5 games went over. Short week for Colts after Monday night game in Nashville- they’ve been outscored 85-22 in 4th quarter this year, allowing foes 7.4 yds/play in 4th quarter. All three Indy home games were decided by 3 points each. Colts won 7 of last 9 series games; home team won last four. Jaguars lost four visits here, by 20-20-3-4 points- one of their wins over Colts was in London LY. Over is 5-1 in Indy games this season, as have four of last five Jaguar games.

Bengals (2-3) @ Steelers (4-2)— Bengals won last two games after an 0-3 start; they’re 1-1 on road- they led 21-7 at half in Green Bay before Rodgers beat ‘em in OT, Cincy’s first cover in last five games as a road dog. Cincy (-7) has only 4 takeaways in five games. Steelers handed KC its first loss LW; Pitt has only two TD’s on its last 20 drives, scoring 19 points on last five red zone drives, but they’ve kept 5 of 6 opponents to 5.1 ypa or less. Pitt won 7 of last 8 series games, winning last four by 13-2-8-4 points. Bengals are 3-5 SU in last eight visits here. Cincy is 5-12-1 SU in last 18 post-bye games, 4-9 vs spread in last 13 games as a post-bye underdog. Under is 4-1 in Bengal games, 6-0 in Pittsburgh games. Last 6+ years, Steelers are 20-13 as home faves.

Ravens (3-3) @ Vikings (4-2)— Ravens lost 3 of last 4 games after a 2-0 start; they were only team that played LW that didn’t score an offensive TD- they had two special teams TDs but still lost at home to Chicago. Baltimore is 2-0 in true road games, beating Bengals 20-0 (+3), Raiders 30-17 (+2.5). Vikings were held to 9-7 points in their losses; they scored 20+ in their wins. Minnesota is 3-1 at home, 1-1 as a home favorite; they’re 14-5 vs spread as a home fave under Zimmer. Home team won last four series games; Ravens lost 33-31 in only visit here, back in ’09. AFC North teams are 5-6 vs spread outside the division, 3-1 as road underdogs; NFC North teams are 9-7, 2-2 as home favorites. Under is 5-1 in Viking games, 1-3 in last four Raven games.

Jets (3-3) @ Dolphins (3-2)— Jets won last six series games, upsetting Miami 20-6 (+6) in Swamp back in Week 3, Fish ran for only 30 yards, were 1-12 on 3rd down. Jets won last four visits here, by 3-13-13-4 points. Dolphins are 3-2 after rallying from 17-0 halftime deficit to upset Falcons LW; they’ve been held under 300 yards in last four games, but they did beat Titans 16-10 in only home game so far. Miami is 4-11-1 vs spread in last 16 games as a home favorite. Jets covered their last four games (3-1 SU); they’re 1-2 on road this year, winning at Cleveland, losing by 9-25 points. Under Bowles, NY is 3-6-2 vs spread as road underdogs. Under is 3-1 in last four Jet games, 5-0 in Dolphin games this season.

Tampa Bay (2-3) @ Bills (3-2)— Winston (shoulder) was KO’d in Arizona; 34-year old backup Fitzpatrick is 46-69-1 as an NFL starter for 6 other teams. Unsure which one starts here. Tampa Bay lost 34-17 (-2.5), 38-33 (-2) in its two road games; they’re 15-9 in last 24 games as a road underdog. Buffalo won its two home games, 21-12 (-8) over the Jets, 26-16 (+3) over Denver. Bucs are making only 2nd-ever visit to Orchard Park; they lost 33-20 here in ’09, but won 7 of other 9 series games. Buffalo won last two post-bye games; they’re 5-2 vs spread in last 7 games as a post-bye favorite. NFC South teams are 7-12 outside their division, 2-3 as underdogs; AFC East teams are 9-5 vs spread, but 0-3 as home favorites.

Panthers (4-2) @ Bears (2-4)— John Fox opposes the team he took to the Super Bowl in 2003. Carolina is 1-4 in Windy City; the one win was an ’05 playoff game. Panthers are 3-0 on road this season, scoring 23-33-27 points; they’ve got only two takeaways in last five games (-7). Carolina is 6-12-1 vs spread in last 19 games as a road favorite. Trubisky split his first two NFL starts, averaging 5.9/5.3 ypa; both Chicago wins this season were OT games. Bears allowed two special teams TD’s LW, including game-tying punt return in last 3:00- they ran ball for 231 yards. NFC South teams are 7-12 outside their division, 2-3 as road favorites; NFC North home dogs are 4-1 vs spread. Last three Panther games went over total; under is 4-2 in Chicago games.

Saints (3-2) @ Packers (4-2)— Absence of Rodgers likely ruins Packers’ season; they’re home underdog to red-hot Saints, who forced 9 turnovers (+6) in winning last three games- their defense scored 3 TD’s LW— Brees’ offense has 10 TD’s on its last 34 drives. Green Bay scored one TD after Rodgers got hurt LW, on an 18-yard drive; this is Hundley’s first NFL start- he was 29-11 in his UCLA days. Over last decade, Packers are 4-2 as home underdogs. Home side won last four series games; Saints lost 42-34/28-27 in last two visits here- last series road win was Saints’ win here in ’06. NFC North home underdogs are 4-1 vs spread. NFC South teams are 7-12 outside the division, 2-3 as road favorites.

Cardinals (3-3) vs Rams (4-2) (@ London)— LA beat Jaguars Sunday, stayed in Jacksonville for next 3 days- they head overseas Thursday. Rams lost 17-10 in England LY- they head to London atop NFC West. Rams scored 27+ points in all four wins, were held to 20-10 points in their losses. Cardinals gave up 34-33 points in last two games; they led Bucs 31-0 LW, before backup QB Fitzpatrick rallied the Bucs. Cardinals ran ball for 160 yards in Peterson’s first game as a Redbird, Arizona’s first cover in six games this year. Arizona won 5 of last 7 series games; Rams won the first meeting the last two years. Arizona is 1-3 vs spread as an underdog this year, are 2-6 in last 8 games when getting points; 4 of their last 5 games stayed under total.

Cowboys (2-3) @ 49ers (0-6)— 49ers haven’t won a game yet, but covered 4 of last 5, losing those games by 3-2-3-3-2 points. This will be Iowa alum Beathard’s first NFL start; his grand father was a great Redskins’ GM. Niners scored 23+ points in 3 of their last 4 games. Cowboys scored 30-31 points in last two games but lost both; suspension of RB Elliott figures to hurt the Dallas run game, exposing their defense even more. Cowboys split their two road games; they’re 7-3 in last 10 games as a road favorite. Dallas won 4 of last 5 series games; 3 of the 4 wins were by 7 or less points- they won last 3 visits here by 3-3-7 points, with last loss in SF in 1997. NFC East teams are 9-8 vs spread, 2-6 as favorites; NFC West teams are 6-9 vs spread, 4-6 as dogs.

Seahawks (3-2) @ Giants (1-5)— Giants ran ball for 152-148 yards in their last two games since re-tooling the offensive line; they’re just 9-29 on 3rd down in those games- their young WR’s will be greatly tested by stout Seahawk defense. NY went over their team over/under in 3 of last 4 games. Seahawks are 1-2 on road, with only win 13-10 in LA; they’ve held 4 of 5 opponents to 18 or less points. Seattle is 4-6-1 SU in last 11 road games, 1-5 vs spread in last six tries as a road favorite- they won last three series games, by 11-23-21 points; 2 of those 3 games were played here. NFC West teams are 6-9 vs spread outside their division, 2-3 as favorites; NFC East teams are 9-8, 7-2 as underdogs. Seahawks are 6-12 SU in last 18 post-bye games (3-1 in last four).

Broncos (3-2) @ Chargers (2-4)— Denver lost its only road game this season 26-16 (-3) in Week 3 in Buffalo; Broncos are 6-3-1 in last ten games as road favorite. Denver is 11-2 in last 13 series games, winning 7 of last 8, including 24-21 home win Week 1 this year- Broncos ran ball for 140 yards. Denver won 5 of its last 6 trips to San Diego. Chargers won last two games, both on road; they’re 0-3 in their temporary home, losing by 2-14-2 points. Only one of Chargers’ four losses was by more than 3 points; they’re 19-42 on 3rd down the last three games, and have 5 takeaways in last two games, after three games with no takeaways. Bolts are 2-8 vs spread in last 10 games as home underdogs. Over is 3-1 in last four Charger games,

Falcons (3-2) @ Patriots (4-2)— Rematch of last winter’s Super Bowl, when Atlanta blew a 28-3 3rd quarter lead; Falcons blew a 17-0 lead to Miami Sunday, their second loss in row after a 3-0 start. Atlanta was outscored 36-7 in 2nd half of last two games, and those were at home; they’ve got road wins in Chicago-Detroit this year, under Quinn, they’re 6-1 as road underdogs. Patriots allowed 33+ points in all three home games this year (1-2, 0-3 vs spread); they’re still 17-11-3 in last 31 games as a home favorite. Pats won last four series games; Falcons’ last series win was here in 1998. NFC South teams are 7-12 outside the division, 2-1 as road underdogs; AFC East teams are 9-5 vs spread, but 0-3 as home favorites. Over is 4-2 in Patriot games this season.

Monday's game
Redskins (3-2) @ Eagles (5-1)— Redskins lost their last six weeknight games. Eagles won six of last nine weeknight games. Eagles (-1) won 30-17 at Washington in Week 1, snapping 5-game series skid; Redskins won 38-24/27-22 in last two visits here. Each defense scored a TD in that first meeting. Philly had extra prep time after Thursday win in Charlotte; they’ve won four games in row, covering last three. Eagles are 2-0 at home, winning by 3-27 points- only one of their last four wins was by more than five points. Redskins won three of last four games, are 1-1 on road (over 1-0-1)- they scored 26+ points in their three wins, 17-20 in losses. Washington is 8-3 vs spread in last 11 games as a road underdog.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-19-2017, 02:29 AM

Thanks Dog

**Udog** · 10-19-2017, 08:46 AM

Originally posted by StarDust Bum View Post

Thanks Dog

**Udog** · 10-19-2017, 09:08 AM

NFL
Dunkel

Week 7

Thursday, October 19

Kansas City @ Oakland

Game 301-302
October 19, 2017 @ 8:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
138.445
Oakland
127.770
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 10 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
by 3
46
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(-3); Over

Sunday, October 22

Tennessee @ Cleveland

Game 451-452
October 22, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee
130.532
Cleveland
119.953
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tennessee
by 10 1/2
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 5 1/2
46
Dunkel Pick:
Tennessee
(-5 1/2); Over

Jacksonville @ Indianapolis

Game 453-454
October 22, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jacksonville
127.392
Indianapolis
128.548
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indianapolis
by 1
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Jacksonville
by 3 1/2
44
Dunkel Pick:
Indianapolis
(+3 1/2); Under

Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh

Game 455-456
October 22, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
135.045
Pittsburgh
138.180
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 3
36
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 5 1/2
41 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+5 1/2); Under

Baltimore @ Minnesota

Game 457-458
October 22, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
132.269
Minnesota
133.822
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
35
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 6
40
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(+6); Under

NY Jets @ Miami

Game 459-460
October 22, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Jets
132.606
Miami
126.958
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Jets
by 5 1/2
32
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 3
38 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Jets
(+3); Under

Tampa Bay @ Buffalo

Game 461-462
October 22, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
128.157
Buffalo
138.009
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 10
36
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
N/A

Carolina @ Chicago

Game 463-464
October 22, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
134.841
Chicago
129.470
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Carolina
by 5 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
by 3
40 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Carolina
(-3); Over

New Orleans @ Green Bay

Game 465-466
October 22, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
138.979
Green Bay
136.434
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 2 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 6
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Green Bay
(+6); Under

Arizona @ LA Rams

Game 467-468
October 22, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
132.165
LA Rams
131.002
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Rams
by 3 1/2
47
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+3 1/2); Under

Dallas @ San Francisco

Game 469-470
October 22, 2017 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
134.401
San Francisco
121.461
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 13
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 6
46
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-6); Over

Seattle @ NY Giants

Game 471-472
October 22, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
139.095
NY Giants
130.609
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 8 1/2
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 5
40
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-5); Over

Denver @ LA Chargers

Game 473-474
October 22, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
128.274
LA Chargers
132.102
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Chargers
by 4
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Chargers
by 1
41
Dunkel Pick:
LA Chargers
(-1); Under

Atlanta @ New England

Game 475-476
October 22, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
133.078
New England
138.594
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 5 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 3
56
Dunkel Pick:
New England
(-3); Under

Monday, October 23

Washington @ Philadelphia

Game 477-478
October 23, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
137.238
Philadelphia
136.163
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 5
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+5); Over

**Udog** · 10-19-2017, 09:11 AM

NFL

Thursday, October 19

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thursday Night Football Betting Preview and Odds: Chiefs at Raiders
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Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders (+3, 46.5)

The Oakland Raiders were a trendy preseason choice to wind up in the conference championship game, but they are in desperate need of a victory to keep from falling out of contention in the AFC West. Riding a four-game losing streak, the struggling Raiders face a daunting task when they host the division-leading Kansas City Chiefs on Thursday night.

Oakland plugged a void this week with the signing of four-time All-Pro linebacker NaVorro Bowman, a tackling machine who moves across the Bay after he was released by the San Francisco 49ers on Friday. "A lot of experience, a lot of leadership, a lot of physicality," star outside linebacker Khalil Mack said of Bowman. "You're talking about a guy that, all you've got to do is turn the ball back to him. He's going to be there. And that's what we're ready to do." Kansas City became the last team in the NFL to lose, dropping a 19-13 decision at home to Pittsburgh on Sunday, but it has won five in a row against the Raiders. I think the positive is we've got a short week to try to get this bounce back and get this taste out of our mouth, if there is a positive," Chiefs quarterback Alex Smith said.

TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, CBS, NFL Network.

POWER RANKINGS: Chiefs (-4.5) - Raiders (0) + home field (-3) = Chiefs -1.5

LINE HISTORY: The Chiefs opened as 2.5-point road favorites and that number has been bet up to the key number of 3. The total hit betting boards at 47.5 and has been dropped a full point to 46.5.

INJURY REPORT:

Chiefs - DB S. Terrell (Probable, Concussion), WR T. Hill (Probable, Upper Body), OL L. Duvernay-Tardif (Questionable, Knee), RB C. West (Questionable, Concussion), WR A. Wilson (Doubful, Knee), OL P. Ehinger (Out Indefinitely, Knee), OL M. Morse (Out Indefinitely, Foot), WR C. Conley (I-R, Achilles), LB D. Nicolas (Questionable, Knee), LB T. Hali (Questionable, Knee), DB S. Nelson (Out, Abdominal), K C. Santos (Out, Groin), DB E. Berry (I-R, Achilles), RB S. Ware (I-R, Knee), DB A. Lampkin (I-R, Knee).

Raiders - FB J. Olawale (Probable, Concussion), LB M. Lee (Questionable, Ankle), LB C. James (Questionable, Knee), OL M. Newhouse (Questionable, Foot), G G. Jackson (Questionable, Foot), LB N. Morrow (Questionable, Ankle), TE L. Smith (Questionable, Knee), CB G. Conley (Doubful, Shin), DT D. Latham (Out, Suspension), LB A. Smith (Out Indefinitely, Suspension), S O. Melifonwu (Out, Knee), CB A. Hamilton (Out, Knee), G D. Kirkland (Out, Leg), K S. Janikowski (Out, Back).

ABOUT THE CHIEFS (5-1 SU, 5-1 ATS, 4-2 O/U): Kansas City averaged nearly 33 points through its first five victories, but its offense was bottled up while its 27th-ranked run defense was shredded for 194 yards. Kareem Hunt rushed for a season-low 21 yards but had five receptions for 89 yards to become the first rookie in league history to amass at least 100 scrimmage yards in each of his team’s first six games. Multi-threat receiver Tyreek Hill injured his neck in Sunday's game and it was feared he might have a concussion, but the team pronounced him good to go. Smith threw for 246 yards and a TD last week, failing to post a 100-plus passer rating for the first time.

ABOUT THE RAIDERS (2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS, 2-4 O/U): Derek Carr returned to the lineup after missing one game with a fractured bone in his back, but had another mediocre game and has four interceptions in his past three contests after tossing only six picks in the entire 2016 season. The vertical passing game has been a staple in Oakland since the franchise's inception, but deep threat Amari Cooper has a combined nine receptions for 51 yards during the four-game skid. Marshawn Lynch has not provided the expect jolt to the ground game, rushing for two TDs and an averaging 42.8 yards rushing. Only three teams in the league have fewer than the Raiders' 11 sacks.

TRENDS:

* Chiefs are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 road games.
* Raiders are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
* Under is 8-1 in Chiefs' last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.
* Under is 5-0 in Raiders' last 5 vs. AFC West.
* Chiefs are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 meetings in Oakland.

CONSENSUS: The public is siding with the road favorite Chiefs at a rate of 72 percent and the Under is picking up 52 percent of the totals wagers.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 10-22-2017, 09:08 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Six most popular picks for Week 7 in the Westgate Super Contest:

6) Washington Redskins, +5 (681)

5) San Francisco 49ers, +6.5 (687)

4) Denver Broncos, +1.5 (729)

3) Carolina Panthers, -3 (+750)

2) Green Bay Packers, +5.5 (803)

1) Cincinnati Bengals, +5.5 (810)

Season record of top 6 picks: 15-21

**Udog** · 10-22-2017, 09:29 AM

Essential Week 7 betting tidbits and odds for NFL Sunday

Le'Veon Bell and the Steelers are 19-7-2 against the spread in their last 28 meetings with the rival Bengals. Pittsburgh is a 5.5-point home fave this time around.

New York Jets at Miami Dolphins (-3, 38)

Points are hard to come by for the Miami Dolphins. The Jay Cutler-led offense ranks last in points per game at 12.2 and the under is 5-0 in Miami games this season.

Don’t expect a spike in touchdowns this week against the Jets. Dolphins deep-threat DaVante Parker is listed as doubtful for Sunday’s game because of an ankle injury.

LINE HISTORY: Most books opened with the Fish as 3-point favorites with a bit of extra juice to back the home side, although there were a few 3.5s on the board. Miami remains 3-point chalk heading into the weekend. The total opened as high as 39 but all shops are dealing 38.5 or 38.

TRENDS:

*The Jets are 4-0 ATS in their last four games.
*The Jets are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against Miami.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Buffalo Bills (-3, 44)

Jameis Winston will be the starting quarterback for the Bucs on Sunday at Buffalo against the Bills. Winston sprained the AC joint in his throwing shoulder last weekend against the Arizona Cardinals and was forced to sit out.

He didn’t practice much during the week but head coach Dirk Koetter saw enough from Winston during Friday’s practice to tell reporters his No. 1 QB would be under center against the Bills. The Bucs will turn to veteran signal caller Ryan Fitzpatrick should Winston’s injury worsen against the Bills.

LINE HISTORY: Not much history to this line. Sportsbooks opened the spread today after news broke that Winston would in fact start at quarterback for TB.

TRENDS:

*The Bucs are 0-4 ATS in their last four games.
*The Over is 9-1 in the Bills’ last 10 home games.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts (+3, 43.5)

Before you bet on this game you might want to check on Jags running back Leonard Fournette’s status. He missed the last three days of practice this week with a bad right ankle but head coach Doug Marrone won’t rule out the possibility of Fournette taking the field on Sunday.

Fournette’s 732 yards from scrimmage account for 35 percent of Jacksonville’s total offensive yards gained this season and he’s scored seven of his team’s 14 touchdowns.

LINE HISTORY: Mostly all Jags -3 on the betting board but we did see a few -3.5 earlier in the week. The total opened at 44 and has been bet down to 43.5.

TRENDS:

*The Jags are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against the Colts.
*The Under is 9-3 in the last 12 matchups between these two sides.
*The Over is 4-0 in the Colts’ last four games.

Baltimore Ravens at Minnesota Vikings (-5.5, 38.5)

The Ravens have a long history of stout defenses over the years but there’s no question which team has the better stopper unit in this matchup. The Vikings are allowing the fifth fewest offensive yards per game and their third down defense is a big part of the reason. Minnesota’s opponent third down conversion rate is the lowest in the NFL at 25 percent.

LINE HISTORY: There’s been a fair amount of movement and different spreads offered on this game throughout the week. Some shops opened with the Ravens getting 4.5 points and, as we head into the weekend, there are a few 6s on the board.

TRENDS:

*The Vikings are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 home games.
*The Ravens are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games.

Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams (-3, 45)

This is the Rams third ever game across the pond in London and second in as many years. They’re 0-2 straight up and against the spread in their previous games in England.

First year head coach Sean McVay is trying a different travel schedule than the one used by his predecessor a year ago. The Rams stayed in Jacksonville after their game on Sunday and didn’t leave for London until Thursday. Last year, former head coach Jeff Fisher had his team leave for London immediately after their game at Detroit.

LINE HISTORY: The line opened with the Rams as 3.5-point chalk but many sportsbooks are now offering it at a field goal spread. The total was originally posted at 47.5 and has been bet down to 46.

TRENDS:

*The Rams are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
*The Over is 7-1 in the Rams’ last eight games overall.

New Orleans Saints at Green Bay Packers (+4, 47.5)

The Packers usually don’t do very well they use Aaron Rodgers. Green Bay is 3-5 straight up and 2-6 against the spread without Rodgers since he took over the starting duties under center in 2008.

The Packers aren’t accustomed to getting points at Lambeau Field. New Orleans is only the second team to be favored at Green Bay since the start of the 2014 season.

LINE HISTORY: The line was as high as Saints by six and as low as Packers +4. Most shops are dealing the 4-point line entering the weekend. The total can be found at 47.5 and 48.

TRENDS:

*The Saints are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games.

*The Packers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games.

Carolina Panthers at Chicago Bears (+3, 40.5)

The Panthers star linebacker Luke Kuechly will not play this weekend against the Chicago Bears. He’s still in concussion protocol after a blow to the head during Week 6 Thursday Night Football against the Eagles.

Carolina is 6-3 ATS in games with Kuechly over the last couple seasons and the under is 5-2-2 in those nine games.

LINE HISTORY: The Panthers opened as 3-point road favorites and there are a few shops now listing them as 3.5-point chalk. The total is holding steady between 40.5 and 41.

TRENDS:

*The Bears are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games.
*The over is 4-0 in the Panthers’ last four games overall.

Tennessee Titans at Cleveland Browns (+5.5, 45.5)

You know things have to be bad at the quarterback position if the Browns are sending rookie DeShone Kizer back out back out as the starter. The lowest qualified quarterback rating each year is normally in the mid to high 60s.

Ryan Fitzpatrick had the worst mark last season at 69.6 while Peyton Manning had it the year prior at 67.9. Kizer is carrying a 49.5 rating through five starts this season. That’s 16.6 points below next worst Joe Flacco at 66.1.

LINE HISTORY: The Browns opened as 5.5-point home dogs but many books are now starting to offer Tennessee -6. The total opened at 46.5 and is moving down at some locations by a point to 45.5.

TRENDS:

*The Titans are 5-23-3 in their last 31 games against teams with losing records.
*The Browns are 6-25-1 ATS in their last 32 games.

Dallas Cowboys at San Francisco 49ers (+6, 48.5)

At the beginning of the week we were told Ezekiel Elliot would not play this weekend and his six-game suspension would start immediately, but his lawyers were able to get a hearing from an appeals board and he won’t have to serve the suspension until the hearing. That means Zeke will play against the Niners and probably against Washington in Week 8 too.

Elliott has rushed for 80 or more yards in four of Dallas’ five games but the team is still 2-3 SU and ATS on the season.

LINE HISTORY: The Cowboys opened as 6-point road faves and a few shops have bumped them up a half point to 6.5. The total opened at 47 and now rests at 48.

TRENDS:

*The Cowboys are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
*The 49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
*The Under is 12-3 in the Cowboys last 15 road games.

Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers (-5.5, 40.5)

The Bengals just might have all the tools to make it another difficult day at the office for Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger. Cincy gets pressure on opposing quarterbacks at a league-leading rate of 34 percent this campaign (hat tip to ESPN’s Katherine Terrell).

Big Ben has been pressured on only 15.2 percent of his dropbacks but he owns just a 72.5 passer rating when facing a blitz.

LINE HISTORY: The spread opened with the home side giving six points but it’s come down to Steelers -5 as we enter the weekend. The total opened at 42.5 and has dropped to 40.5.

TRENDS:

*The Under is 5-1 in the last six games between these two sides.
*The Bengals are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games.

Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers (Pick, 40.5)

The Chargers are returning home but that might not be a good thing. The team is still seeking its first win since moving its home from San Diego to Los Angeles. The Bolts are 0-3 SU and ATS at the StubHub Center in Carson – a stadium normally used for housing MLS games – not NFL ones.

The Chargers have always had one of the weaker home field advantages in the NFL – even when they played in San Diego. The club is 5-18 ATS in its last 23 home games.

LINE HISTORY: The line opened with the Chargers giving a point but it moved down to a pick and a few shops now even list the Broncos as 1-point faves. The total opened at 42.5 but has been bet down to 41.

TRENDS:

*The road team is 10-3-2 ATS in the last 15 games played between these two divisional rivals.

Seattle Seahawks at New York Giants (+4, 40)

The Giants already showed their offense was pretty vanilla this season, but losing wideout Odelll Beckham Jr. removes a big-play element that will be sorely missed against the Seahawks.
Seattle’s defense surrenders touchdowns when their opponents are inside the red zone only 23 percent of the time. That’s the best mark in the league. Eli Manning will find it difficult to dink and dunk passes once the end zone approaches.

LINE HISTORY: The Seahawks opened as 6-point road favorites but the line is dropping at all books – so as low as Seattle -4. The total opened at 38.5 and has been moved up a point or a point and a half depending on the sportsbook.

TRENDS:

*The Seahawks are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games.
*The Under is 5-1 in the Giants’ last six home games.

Atlanta Falcons at New England Patriots (-3, 56.5)

Matt Ryan does not look like the league MVP from a year ago. He’s thrown as many interceptions as he has touchdowns and the Falcons have lost two straight SU and ATS – both at home against mediocre AFC East competition.

Ryan finished last season with a 117.1 QB rating. This season he’s carrying around an 87.3 rating – a 29.8 rating drop. Getting No. 2 receiver Mohamed Sanu back in the fold on Sunday should give Ryan a boost.

LINE HISTORY: The big movement in this game came on the total. The over/under line opened as low as 53.5 and is now as high as 56.5.

TRENDS:

*Atlanta is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 road games.
*The Over is 8-2 in New England’s last 10 games overall.

**Udog** · 10-22-2017, 09:33 AM

NFL

Sunday, October 22

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Sunday Night Football Betting Preview and Odds: Falcons at Patriots
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Atlanta Falcons at New England Patriots (-3, 56.5)

Just another regular-season game? Try convincing the Atlanta Falcons, who have to blot out the stinging memory of the biggest one that got away when they visit the New England Patriots on Sunday night for a rematch of last season's Super Bowl. For those living in a cave, Atlanta led the Patriots by 25 points in the third quarter before losing in overtime.

Falcons coach Dan Quinn knows his team cannot be too preoccupied with exacting revenge, particularly since it has dropped its last two games - both at home and both to AFC East opponents - and blew a 17-point lead in last week's stunning 20-17 loss to Miami. "It's not anything that you need to use for motivation," Quinn told reporters. "You don't get to go replay it. Yeah, there's a part of that that's motivation, for sure, but it wasn't a driving force for us." New England coach Bill Belichick isn't one for sentiment and doesn't want the greatest comeback in Super Bowl history to be a topic of conversation - particularly when his team already has lost twice at home this season. “We’ve been given really highly strict rules that we are not allowed to talk about that game, so you’re not really going to get any information from anyone about that," tight end Rob Gronkowski told reporters.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, NBC.

POWER RANKINGS: Falcons (-1.5) - Patriots (-4.5) + home field (-3) = Patriots -6

LINE HISTORY: The Patriots opened as 4.5-point home faves and money started to come in on the Falcons pushing the line down as low as three at most books. The total hit the betting board 54 and that wasn’t high enough for bettors and has been bet up as high as 56.5.

WHAT SHARPS SAY: ‘This is most likely the game Atlanta will want the most this season. The problem, though, is the Falcons’ offense is down 10 PPG from last season which won’t frighten the Patriots pathetic defense. Should the Dirty Birds offense play back to last year’s level you can look for a well-lit scoreboard in this shoot-out.’ Marc Lawrence

WHAT BOOKS SAY:’Sharps hit the Falcons early so they haven't backed off from the initial position they had for the Super Bowl. Total has ballooned up as perception of these two teams remains offensive-driven and everyone remembers what happened last February. Squares could care less what’s happened this year, they’re only pulling from that amazing Super Bowl when lining up to bet this one.’ Scott Cooley of BookMaker.eu.

INJURY REPORT:

Falcons - WR Mohamed Sanu (Probable, Hamstring), K Matt Bryant (Probable, Back), LB Jordan Tripp (Questionable, Concussion), LB Vic Beasley (Questionable, Hamstring), LB Deion Jones (Questionable, Quadricep), DE Takkarist McKinley (Questionable, Shoulder), LB Duke Riley (Questionable, Knee), DT Courtney Upshaw (Questionable, Ankle), LB Jermaine Grace (Questionable, Hamstring), CB Jalen Collins (Eligible Week 12, Suspension), S Quincy Mauger (Questionable, Knee).

Patriots - WR Chris Hogan (Probable, Ribs), CB Stephen Gilmore (Questionable, Concussion), LB Elandon Roberts (Questionable, Ankle), OL Shaq Mason (Questionable, Shoulder), RB Rex Burkhead (Questionable, Ribs), DB Eric Rowe (Questionable, Groin), LB Harvey Langi (Questionable, Back), LB Shea McClellin (Questionable Week 9, Undisclosed), OL Andrew Jelks (Questionable Week 10, Knee), OL Tony Garcia (Questionable Week 10, Illness), DT Vincent Valentine (Questionable Week 11, Knee).

ABOUT THE FALCONS (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS, 2-3 O/U): Matt Ryan established career highs in passer rating (117.1) and yards (4,944) en route to winning NFL MVP honors last season, but he's thrown for as many interceptions as touchdowns (six) after tossing 38 scoring passes versus only seven picks a year ago. Quinn said there will be an emphasis on getting the ball into the hands of stud wideout Julio Jones, who has 25 receptions on the season but has yet to reach the end zone. Atlanta has a potent two-pronged backfield featuring Devonta Freeman (five TDs) and Tevin Coleman, who have combined for 566 rushing yards through five games. Nose tackle Grady Jarrett notched three sacks in the Super Bowl but has yet to post one this season.

ABOUT THE PATRIOTS (4-2 SU, 2-4 ATS, 4-2 O/U): Tom Brady threw for 466 yards in the stirring Super Bowl comeback and has continued to air it out this season, leading the NFL with 1,959 yards while throwing for 13 touchdowns against only two interceptions. Brady will have the benefit of looking for Gronkowski, who missed the Super Bowl but has 26 receptions and four touchdowns in five games. Mike Gillislee has been the lead back for much of the season, but Dion Lewis had a season-high 11 carries and rushed for 52 yards and a score against the Jets. New England's defense still ranks last in the NFL with 440.7 yards allowed per game but has yielded a total of 31 points over the last two weeks.

TRENDS:

* Patriots are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

* Over is 8-1 in Falcons last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.

* Over is 6-1 in Patriots last 7 games following a straight up win.

* Falcons are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

CONSENSUS: The Covers public is siding with the home chalk Patriots at a rate of 51 percent and the Over is picking up 65 percent of the totals action.

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Announcement

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 7 ( Thur., Oct. 19 - Mon., Oct. 23 )

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 7 ( Thur., Oct. 19 - Mon., Oct. 23 )

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