Announcement

**Udog** · 10-12-2017, 09:44 AM

CFL Betting Notes - Week 17
David Schwab

Week 16 Betting Recap

Road underdogs were the big winners this past weekend in the CFL. Hamilton got things started on Friday night with a stunning 30-13 victory against Winnipeg as a 12-point road underdog. Saturday’s action got underway with Saskatchewan pulling off a 27-24 road victory against Toronto as a slight one-point underdog and the day ended with Ottawa getting past British Columbia 30-25 as a four-point underdog on the road.

Canada celebrated its Thanksgiving holiday on Monday with Edmonton rolling over Montreal 42-24 as a 7 ½-point road favorite to snap its recent straight-up six-game losing streak.

Friday, Oct. 13

Calgary Stampeders (12-1-1 SU, 9-4-1 ATS) vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats (4-10 SU, 6-8 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -10
Total: 51

Game Overview

The Stampeders are coming off a well-deserved bye week. They ran their current SU winning streak to 10 games after dismantling Montreal 59-11 in Week 15 as heavy 17-point favorites at home. They have gone a highly profitable 8-1-1 against the spread during this run with the total staying UNDER five of the last seven contests. Calgary is averaging 33.1 points per game while holding opponents to just 17.3 PPG.

Hamilton’s stunning upset against Winnipeg was led by Jeramiah Masoli throwing the ball and Brandon Banks catching it. Masoli completed an impressive 81.8 percent of his 33 passing attempts for 338 yards and two touchdowns. Banks came down with six receptions for 104 yards and a score. The Tiger-Cats ended the game with 484 yards of total offense.

Betting Trends

-- Calgary won the first meeting this season 60-1 as a 13-point home favorite to extend its winning streak ATS to four games. The total went OVER 55 points after staying UNDER in the previous nine meetings.

Ottawa RedBlacks (6-9-1 SU, 11-5 ATS) vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (8-6 SU, 8-6 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -3
Total: 50

Game Overview

Ottawa’s win last week combined with Toronto’s loss has the RedBlacks in the thick of the East Division title race. They have now covered in six of their last eight games with the total staying UNDER or ending as a PUSH in seven of those contests. Ottawa got a huge effort from Trevor Harris in Saturday’s victory with 380 yards passing and three passing touchdowns. He is now third in the CFL in passing yards (4,104) and second in touchdown throws (26).

The Roughriders helped their postseason chances with a pair of road wins against Ottawa and Toronto in their last two games. They beat the RedBlacks 18-17 two weeks ago as 2 ½-point road favorites. In the win against the Argonauts, Brandon Bridge took the majority of the snaps at quarterback in place of Kevin Glenn and completed 20-of-28 attempts for 292 yards and two scores.

Betting Trends

-- With the previous victory against Ottawa in Week 15, the Roughriders are 5-2 SU in the last seven meetings. Ottawa still holds the slight 4-3 edge ATS and the total has gone OVER in five of the seven games.

Saturday, Oct. 14

British Columbia Lions (6-8 SU, 5-8-1 ATS) vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers (10-4 SU, 10-4 ATS)
Point-spread: OFF
Total: OFF

Game Overview

BC is last in the West Division at 6-8, but still very much alive for a crossover spot in the playoffs given current the records in the East Division standings. The Lions have not played with any kind of consistency since early Augusts with just one SU victory in their last seven games while going a costly 1-5-1 ATS. Jonathon Jennings did turn in one of his more productive outings last week with 375 yards passing and three touchdown throws.

Last week’s loss to Hamilton could have come at a steep cost with quarterback Matt Nichols leaving that game with an injury to his throwing hand. His status for this Saturday remains up in the air. Backup Dominique Davis connected on nine of his 14 passing attempts for 84 yards in relief. Nichols is fourth in the CFL in passing and he leads the league in touchdown passes with 27.

Betting Trends

-- BC won the first meeting this season 45-42 as a four-point home favorite. The home team has won four of the last six meetings SU, but the Blue Bombers have covered ATS in the last six games in this West Division tilt. The total has gone OVER in the last five games.

Toronto Argonauts (7-8 SU, 6-9 ATS) vs. Edmonton Eskimos (8-6 SU, 5-9 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -7
Total: 54.5

Game Overview

Toronto’s recent three-game winning streak both SU and ATS came to an end with the loss to Saskatchewan last week, but veteran quarterback Ricky Ray continued to put up some big numbers with 341 yards passing and two scoring strikes in the losing effort. James Wilder led an effective running game with 72 yards rushing on 13 carries as part of the top two playmakers for an Argonauts’ offense that is averaging 25.7 points per game.

The Eskimos may have resurrected their season with Monday’s win and they actually remain in position to still lock up the No. 2 seed in the West if they can finish the year on a strong note and get some help closing the gap with Winnipeg. Mike Reilly continues to lead the CFL in passing yards with 4,546 and he added 286 yards to that total against Montreal. He left the game in the fourth quarter will a lower body injury, but remains listed as probable for Saturday.

Betting Trends

-- Toronto took the series opener 34-26 on Sept. 26 as a four-point home underdog, but Edmonton still has a 5-2 edge ATS in the last seven meetings. The total has gone OVER in the last four meetings.

**Udog** · 10-12-2017, 09:45 AM

CFL
Dunkel

Week 17

Friday, October 13

Calgary @ Hamilton

Game 601-602
October 13, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
130.573
Hamilton
111.501
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 19
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 9 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-9 1/2); Under

Ottawa @ Saskatchewan

Game 603-604
October 13, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ottawa
112.245
Saskatchewan
118.240
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Saskatchewan
by 6
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Saskatchewan
by 3
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Saskatchewan
(-3); Under

Saturday, October 14

BC Lions @ Winnipeg

Game 605-606
October 14, 2017 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
BC Lions
110.073
Winnipeg
117.406
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 7 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
N/A

Toronto @ Edmonton

Game 607-608
October 14, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
111.475
Edmonton
112.162
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 1
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
by 7 1/2
54
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+7 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 10-12-2017, 09:45 AM

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 17

Friday, October 13

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CALGARY (12 - 1 - 1) at HAMILTON (4 - 10) - 10/13/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
HAMILTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing on a Friday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-1 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 5-0 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OTTAWA (6 - 9 - 1) at SASKATCHEWAN (8 - 6) - 10/13/2017, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games this season.
OTTAWA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road lined games this season.
OTTAWA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in home games in October games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 3-2 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-2 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, October 14

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BRITISH COLUMBIA (6 - 8) at WINNIPEG (10 - 4) - 10/14/2017, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 6-0 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 4-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (7 - 8) at EDMONTON (8 - 6) - 10/14/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 9 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 3-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 3-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 10-12-2017, 09:46 AM

CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 17

Calgary (12-1-1) @ Hamilton (4-10)— Calgary (-13) waxed the Ti-Cats 60-1 back on July 29, but now June Jones coaches Hamilton- they’re 4-2 in last six games after an 0-8 start, with both losses by 8 points. Hamilton is 4-0 vs spread as a double digit underdog this year- five of their last six games stayed under. Stampeders won their last ten games (9-1 vs spread); they’re 4-3 vs spread as a road favorite. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Calgary won 10 games in a row vs Hamilton, winning last four visits here, by 11-24-10-3 points.

Ottawa (6-9-1) @ Saskatchewan (8-6)— Roughriders won six of last eight games, are 3-0 as a home favorite this year- favorites covered five of their six home games. Riders (-3) won 18-17 in Ottawa two weeks ago, outscoring RedBlacks 11-0 in 4th quarter. Saskatchewan won last three series games; underdogs covered 3 of last 4 series games. Over is 5-2 in this series. Ottawa is 2-3 in its last five games; they’re 4-2 as road underdogs this year. Five of last six RedBlack games stayed under the total. This is fourth road game in last five weeks for Ottawa.

BCLions (6-8) @ Winnipeg (10-4)— Blue Bombers covered last six series games, last five of which were decided by 3 or less points. Last five series games went over total. Lions lost last two visits here, 23-15/37-35; they beat Winnipeg 45-42 (-4) in first meeting 45-42 this year, but BC lost six of last seven games overall, losing last four home games by 11-33-7-14 points. Bombers are 8-2 in last ten games, but lost as a 12-point home favorite to Hamilton LW. Winnipeg is 4-2 as a home favorite this season.

Toronto (7-8) @ Edmonton (8-6)— Argonauts (+4) upset Edmonton 34-26 at home three weeks ago; last time they swept season series from Eskimos was 2006. Over is 11-2 in last 13 series games. Toronto lost last three visits to Edmonton, by 14-23-24 points. Argos won three of last four games; they’re 2-5 on road, 1-4 as a road underdog, with losses by 8-12-12-16-7 points. Edmonton snapped 6-game skid with win over woeful Montreal LW; Eskimos lost their last three home games; they’re 1-5 as home favorites. Over is 8-3 in last 11 Eskimos games, 3-1 in last four Argonaut games.

**Udog** · 10-12-2017, 09:46 AM

CFL

Week 17

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Trend Report
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Friday, October 13

7:00 PM
CALGARY vs. HAMILTON
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Hamilton
Calgary is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hamilton's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Hamilton's last 24 games at home

10:00 PM
OTTAWA vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Ottawa is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Ottawa's last 9 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Saskatchewan's last 9 games when playing Ottawa
Saskatchewan is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Ottawa

Saturday, October 14

4:00 PM
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. WINNIPEG
British Columbia is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
British Columbia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Winnipeg is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Winnipeg's last 22 games

7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. EDMONTON
Toronto is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Edmonton
Toronto is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 games
Edmonton is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Edmonton's last 10 games when playing Toronto

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Announcement

CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 17 (Fri., October 13 - Sat., October 14)

CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 17 (Fri., October 13 - Sat., October 14)

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