Announcement

**Udog** · 10-05-2017, 10:50 AM

CFL Betting Notes - Week 16
David Schwab

Week 15 Betting Recap

Saskatchewan pushed its overall record above .500 with last Friday’s 18-17 victory against Ottawa, but it failed to cover the 2 ½ points on the road. In Friday’s other action, Calgary kept things rolling with a lopsided 59-11 rout of Montreal as a heavy 17-point favorite at home.

Saturday’s doubleheader of CFL games started with Toronto outlasting Hamilton 43-35 in overtime as a three-point road favorite to take firm control of the lead in the East Division. Winnipeg ended Week 15 with a 28-19 victory against Edmonton as a three-point road underdog to hand the fading Eskimos their sixth straight-up loss in a row.

Friday, Oct. 6

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (3-10 SU, 5-8 ATS) vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers (10-3 SU, 10-3 ATS)
Point-spread: Winnipeg -13.5
Total: 57.5

Game Overview

The Tiger-Cats showed some signs of life with three SU wins in their previous four games before last week’s loss to Toronto. They have also gone 3-2 against the spread during this same span of games. The one big takeaway from last week’s loss was the continued strong play of quarterback Jeremiah Masoli, who replaced an ineffective Zach Collaros earlier in the season. He connected on 18-of-32 passing attempts last week for 288 yards and two scores while adding another 32 yards on the ground.

Winnipeg would have to be considered the biggest threat to Calgary in the West. The Blue Bombers have won eight of their last nine games SU while going a profitable 7-1 ATS in their last eight outings. Matt Nichols completed 24 of his 32 passing attempts for 238 yards in the win at Edmonton and his two passing touchdowns in that game gives him a league-high 26 scoring throws on the year.

Betting Trends

-- Hamilton has covered the spread in four of its last five road games against the Blue Bombers. The total has stayed UNDER in the last four meetings, including Winnipeg’s 39-12 victory against the Tiger-Cats on Aug. 12 as a two-point road favorite. The betting line closed at 59 points.

Saturday, Oct. 7

Saskatchewan Roughriders (7-6 SU, 7-6 ATS) vs. Toronto Argonauts (7-7 SU, 6-8 ATS)
Point-spread: Toronto -1.5
Total: 51.5

Game Overview

The Roughriders continue to make a strong push towards a return to the postseason with five SU victories in their last seven games while going 4-3 ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in their last three games behind a defense that has only allowed a combined 51 points including a tough 15-9 loss to Calgary two weeks ago as 5 ½-point home underdogs.

Toronto is in the driver seat in the East at .500 on the year after putting together a modest three-game winning streak both SU and ATS. Ricky Ray completed 65.8 percent of his 38 passing attempts in last week’s win for 330 yards and three scores. He is currently second in the CFL in total passing yards (4, 079) and he is tied for fourth on the list in passing touchdowns with 21. The Argonauts have averaged 37.6 points over their last three games.

Betting Trends

-- Saskatchewan has gone 4-1 ATS in its last five road games against Toronto and the total has gone OVER in seven of the last 10 meetings overall. The Roughriders drew first blood in the season series on July 29 with a 38-27 victory as 2 ½-point home favorites with the total going OVER 54 points.

Ottawa RedBlacks (5-9-1 SU, 10-5 ATS) vs. British Columbia Lions (6-7 SU, 5-7-1 ATS)
Point-spread: BC -4.5
Total: 51

Game Overview

Ottawa’s hopes of defending last season’s Grey Cup title are starting to fade a bit with just one SU victory in its last four games. Going back to an Aug. 10 loss to Edmonton, the total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in the RedBlacks’ last eight outings. Ryan Lindley continues to get the call at quarterback with Trevor Harris still on the mend from an earlier shoulder injury. Harris remains questionable for this Saturday night.

The Lions know they need a strong push down the stretch coming off last week’s bye after losing five of their last six games SU while going 1-4-1 ATS. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in six of their last seven contests. Jonathon Jennings is back under center with Travis Lulay done for the season after losing his starting job early in the year. He has thrown for 2,232 yards and six touchdowns against a costly 12 interceptions.

Betting Trends

-- Ottawa has a slight 3-2 edge both SU and ATS in the last five meetings following this year’s 31-24 victory on Aug. 26 at home in a game that closed as a PICK. The total also ended as a PICK on a betting line of 55 points.

Monday, Oct. 9

Edmonton Eskimos (7-6 SU, 4-9 ATS) vs. Montreal Alouettes (3-11 SU, 4-10 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -7
Total: 52

Game Overview

Edmonton is another CFL team that has headed in the wrong direction following a promising start. A SU seven-game winning streak has been replaced a six-game slide. The Eskimos have failed to cover in five of those six losses and the total has gone OVER in four of the games. Mike Reilly added another 311 passing yards to his CFL-high 4,260 yards on the year and he is now third on the list in touchdown throws with 22. The problem has been an Edmonton defense that has allowed an average of 35.5 points in those six losses.

The Alouettes have not won a game (SU or ATS) since mid-August and with an average of 14.3 points a game during this prolonged seven-game slide, there is a good chance this losing streak lasts another four games. Montreal is dead-last in the CFL in scoring and its once stout defense is currently allowing an average of 30.4 points a game, which is the second-most points after Hamilton.

Betting Trends

-- The Eskimos have covered in six of the last seven meetings and the total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in nine of the last 12 games between the two. Edmonton beat the Alouettes 23-19 in Week 2 as a nine-point home favorite.

**Udog** · 10-05-2017, 10:51 AM

CFL
Dunkel

Week 16

Friday, October 6

Hamilton @ Winnipeg

Game 625-626
October 6, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Hamilton
112.777
Winnipeg
118.310
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 5 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
by 13 1/2
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Hamilton
(+13 1/2); Under

Saturday, October 7

Saskatchewan @ Toronto

Game 627-628
October 7, 2017 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Saskatchewan
115.432
Toronto
114.283
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Saskatchewan
by 1
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 2
52
Dunkel Pick:
Saskatchewan
(+2); Under

Ottawa @ BC Lions

Game 629-630
October 7, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ottawa
106.437
BC Lions
118.832
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
BC Lions
by 12 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
BC Lions
by 4 1/2
51
Dunkel Pick:
BC Lions
(-4 1/2); Over

Monday, October 9

Edmonton @ Montreal

Game 631-632
October 9, 2017 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
108.964
Montreal
98.824
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 10
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
by 7
52
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(-7); Over

**Udog** · 10-05-2017, 10:51 AM

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 16

Friday, October 6

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HAMILTON (3 - 10) at WINNIPEG (10 - 3) - 10/6/2017, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
WINNIPEG is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
WINNIPEG is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in games played on turf this season.
WINNIPEG is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
HAMILTON is 43-23 ATS (+17.7 Units) in road games when playing on a Friday since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 3-2 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 3-2 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, October 7

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SASKATCHEWAN (7 - 6) at TORONTO (7 - 7) - 10/7/2017, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 131-97 ATS (+24.3 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
TORONTO is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 3-2 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OTTAWA (5 - 9 - 1) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (6 - 7) - 10/7/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
OTTAWA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 9 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 3-2 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 3-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, October 9

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EDMONTON (7 - 6) at MONTREAL (3 - 11) - 10/9/2017, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
EDMONTON is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) in home games in October games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 4-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 5-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 10-05-2017, 10:52 AM

CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 16

Hamilton (3-10) @ Winnipeg (10-3)— Blue Bombers won last three series games; they won 39-12 (-2) in Hamilton back in August, when Ti-Cats were still winless. Hamilton won four of its last five visits here— under is 10-3 in last 13 series games. Ti-Cats are 3-2 in their last five games after an 0-8 start; they covered their last three road games. Under is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. Hamilton is 3-3 vs spread if game stays under, 1-4-1 in game goes over. Winnipeg is 8-1 in its last nine games, 4-1 vs spread as a home favorite. Over is 9-4 in their games this season.

Saskatchewan (7-6) @ Toronto (7-7)— Roughriders won five of last seven games after a 2-4 start; they won three of their last four road games, are 2-3 as road underdogs- their last three games stayed under. Argonauts are 3-0 since their bye, scoring 34-33-43 points; they’re 5-2 at home this season, 3-1 as a home favorite- their last three games went over. Toronto is 5-3 in last eight series games, but Riders won last two, beating Argos 38-27 (-2.5) in Regina in late July— teams split last four games played here. Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Ottawa (5-9-1) @ BC Lions (6-7)— Lions lost five of last six games, after a 5-2 start; they’re 3-3 at home, 2-3 as a home favorite. Under is 5-1-1 in their last seven games, 4-2 in their home tilts. Ottawa lost three of last four games; they’re 3-4 on road, 3-2 as a road underdog- their last five games stayed under the total. Ottawa (-1) won first meeting this year 31-24; Lions are 4-3 overall in series, winning two of three played here. Under is 3-1-1 in last five series games.

Edmonton (7-6) @ Montreal (3-11)— Montreal lost its last seven games (0-7 vs spread); they’re in tank, with losses in last month by 28-23-18-48 points. Three of their last four games went over the total. Eskimos lost their last six games (1-5 vs spread) after a 7-0 start- over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Edmonton (-9) beat the Alouettes 23-19 at home back in Week 2; they’ve won seven games in row over Montreal, winning last three visits here, by 10-3-20 points. Over is 6-3 in last nine series games.

**Udog** · 10-05-2017, 10:53 AM

CFL

Week 16

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Trend Report
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Friday, October 6

8:30 PM
HAMILTON vs. WINNIPEG
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Hamilton's last 7 games when playing Winnipeg
Hamilton is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Winnipeg is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Winnipeg's last 21 games

Saturday, October 7

4:00 PM
SASKATCHEWAN vs. TORONTO
Saskatchewan is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Saskatchewan is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 10 games when playing Saskatchewan

7:00 PM
OTTAWA vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
Ottawa is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
Ottawa is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games when playing British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of British Columbia's last 7 games when playing Ottawa
British Columbia is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home

Monday, October 9

2:00 PM
EDMONTON vs. MONTREAL
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Edmonton's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Edmonton's last 9 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Montreal's last 9 games when playing Edmonton
Montreal is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games

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Announcement

CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 16 (Fri., October 6 - Mon., October 9)

CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 16 (Fri., October 6 - Mon., October 9)

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