CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 15 (Fri., September 29 - Sat., September 30)

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Friday, September 29 - Saturday, September 30

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 15
David Schwab

Week 14 Betting Recap

Last weekend’s betting action in the CFL started with Winnipeg’s 29-9 victory against Ottawa as an 8 ½-point home favorite. In the backend of Friday night’s doubleheader of games, Hamilton stunned British Columbia 24-23 as a heavy 12 ½-point underdog on the road.

In a big East Division clash on Saturday, Toronto upended Montreal 33-19 as a seven-point home favorite to move into first place in the standings. Week 14 came to a close with Calgary grinding out a 15-9 victory on the road against Saskatchewan as a 5 ½-point favorite to extend its straight-up winning streak to nine games.

Friday, Sept. 29

Saskatchewan Roughriders (6-6 SU, 7-5 ATS) vs. Ottawa RedBlacks (5-8-1 SU, 9-5 ATS)

Game Overview

The Roughriders remain in the thick of the playoff hunt despite Sunday’s loss, but they are going to have to find a way to get their offense back in gear down the stretch run of the regular season. Kevin Glenn was back in the lineup at quarterback against Calgary after missing some time due to injury, but he ended the game completing just 12 of his 19 passes for 127 yards. He left the game in the second half with an injured hand. Saskatchewan’s ground game did not help the cause with 28 yards on 12 carries.

Ottawa fell out of first place in the East with its second loss in three games both SU and against the spread. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in its last seven games. Last Friday’s loss was the first time that the RedBlacks failed to post at least 20 points in a game this season. Ryan Lindley got the start at quarterback for an injured Trevor Harris and he completed just 44.4 percent of his 36 passing attempts for 151 yards.

Betting Trends

-- Saskatchewan has won four of the last six meetings SU with the series tied at 3-3 ATS. The total has gone OVER in the last three games in this inter-division tilt.

Montreal Alouettes (3-10 SU, 4-9 ATS) vs. Calgary Stampeders (11-1-1 SU, 8-4-1 ATS)

Game Overview

Montreal will have a tall task on its hands this Friday night to try and stop its current six-game skid both SU and ATS. The Alouettes have posted just one SU victory in their last nine games while going a costly 2-7 ATS. In last week’s loss to Toronto, their defense held Ricky Ray to 182 yards passing, but it gave up 141 yards to James Wilder running the ball. Montreal quarterback Darian Durant was picked off three times in that game.

Calgary proved it can win ugly if it has to after averaging 32.9 points in the first eight wins of its current streak. Bo Levi Mitchell went an efficient 24-for-32 against Saskatchewan on Sunday for 222 passing yards and Jerome Messam extended his league-leading rushing total to 897 yards with 127 yards on 23 carries for an average of 5.5 yards a run. The Stampeders also lead the league in points allowed; giving up an average of 17.8 points a game.

Betting Trends

-- Montreal actually won the first meeting this season on July 14 in a 30-23 victory as a four-point home underdog. The Alouettes are 4-2 SU in the last six meetings with a perfect 6-0 record ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of the last nine games in this inter-division matchup.

Saturday, Sept. 30

Toronto Argonauts (6-7 SU, 5-8 ATS) vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats (3-9 SU, 5-7 ATS)

Game Overview

Toronto has a chance to move to .500 on the year this week after winning three of its last five games both SU and ATS. One of those losses came against Hamilton on the road in early September in a tight 24-22 setback as a three-point favorite. The Argonauts showed some solid balance on offense last week throwing and running the ball. Heading into Week 15, Ray is ranked second in passing yards (3,749) and Wilder is sixth in total rushing yards (503).

The Tigers-Cats have won three of their last four games SU and ATS after losing their first eight games of the year. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in their last six outings. While Hamilton has struggled to consistently put points on the board this season as the lowest scoring team in the CFL, credit the recent play of quarterback Jeremiah Masoli for helping to turn things around the past few weeks.

Betting Trends

-- The home team in this East Division rivalry has won the last four meetings both SU and ATS with the total staying UNDER or ending as a PUSH in the last three games. Hamilton has a 7-2 edge in the last nine meetings (SU and ATS).

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (9-3 SU, 9-3 ATS) vs. Edmonton Eskimos (7-5 SU, 4-8 ATS)

Game Overview

The Blue Bombers have done a good job at trying to keep pace with Calgary in the West during an impressive 7-1 SU run over their last eight games. They are 6-1 ATS in their last seven outings and the total has gone OVER in nine of their 12 games this season behind an offense that is averaging 34.1 points per game. Defensively, Winnipeg has allowed an average of 29.4 PPG.

Edmonton could not have asked for a better week for a bye following a SU five-game losing streak while going 1-4 ATS. The slide started on Aug. 17 after posting a perfect 7-0 SU start with a 33-26 loss to Winnipeg on the road in a game that closed as a PICK. Quarterback Mike Reilly still leads the CFL in passing yards (3,949) and he has tossed 20 touchdown throws, but the loss of wide receiver Weston Dressler has not helped the cause. He is listed as questionable for Saturday’s game.

Betting Trends

-- Edmonton still has an SU 8-2 edge in the last 10 meetings while going 7-3 ATS. The total went OVER 57 ½ points in the first meeting this season and it has gone OVER in three of the last five games in this West Division matchup.

[Udog]

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 15

Friday, September 29

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SASKATCHEWAN (6 - 6) at OTTAWA (5 - 8 - 1) - 9/29/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 2-2 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 2-2 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MONTREAL (3 - 10) at CALGARY (11 - 1 - 1) - 9/29/2017, 9:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 5-0 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 3-2 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, September 30

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TORONTO (6 - 7) at HAMILTON (3 - 9) - 9/30/2017, 6:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 7-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 7-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WINNIPEG (9 - 3) at EDMONTON (7 - 5) - 9/30/2017, 9:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 3-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 4-2 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

CFL

Week 15

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Trend Report
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Friday, September 29

7:00 PM
SASKATCHEWAN vs. OTTAWA
Saskatchewan is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Saskatchewan is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games on the road
Ottawa is 2-4-1 SU in its last 7 games ,at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games at home

9:30 PM
MONTREAL vs. CALGARY
Montreal is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing Montreal
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


Saturday, September 30

6:30 PM
TORONTO vs. HAMILTON
Toronto is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Hamilton's last 23 games at home
Hamilton is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Toronto

9:30 PM
WINNIPEG vs. EDMONTON
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Winnipeg's last 13 games on the road
Winnipeg is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games
Edmonton is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games at home


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[Udog]

CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 15

Saskatchewan (6-6) @ Ottawa (5-8-1)— Both teams lost last week; both were held to 9 points. Saskatchewan won four of last six games, is 2-4 on road, 2-3 as a road underdog. Under is 4-2 in their road games. Ottawa also won four of last six games; they’re 2-4-1 at home, 2-4 as a home favorite. Under is 9-1-2 in their last 12 games. Roughriders beat Ottawa twice LY, by total of 3 points; they’re 4-2 overall vs RedBlacks, with 2 of 4 wins in OT. Over is 5-1 in series games. These teams play again in Regina in two weeks.

Montreal (3-10) @ Calgary (11-1-1)— Montreal lost its last six games (0-6 vs spread); under is 8-5 in their games this year. Als are 2-4 as road underdogs this year. Calgary won its last nine games (8-1 vs spread); five of their last six games stayed under. Stampeders are 5-1 as a home favorite this year. Alouettes won four of last six games vs Calgary, covering all six games; they upset Stampeders 30-23 (+5.5) back in Week 4. Home team won last eight series games; six of last seven series games stayed under total. Montreal lost last four visits here (2-2 vs spread).

Toronto (6-7) @ Hamilton (3-9)— Ti-Cats won six of last eight series games; teams split pair this year, with home side winning both games. Argonauts lost last six visits here, by 1-16-30-3-13-2 points. Toronto is 2-0 since its bye, scoring 34-33 points; they’re 1-5 on road this season, 0-1 as a home underdog. Four of their six road games stayed under. Hamilton is 3-1 since its bye, with wins by 1-4-2 points under new coach June Jones. Ti-Cats are 1-5 at home, 1-4-1 as a home dog. Underdog is 5-0-1 in Hamilton’s last six games.

Winnipeg (9-3) @ Edmonton (7-5)— Blue Bombers won seven of their last eight games; they’re 4-2 on road, 2-1 as a road underdog. Over is 8-2 in their last ten games. Edmonton lost its last five games (1-4 vs spread); they’re 4-2 at home but lost last two— they’re 1-4 as home favorites. Over is 7-2 in their last nine games. Eskimos are 8-2 in last ten series games; they lost 33-26 in first meeting this season at Winnipeg. Bombers lost their last nine visits here; last non-loss here was a 39-39 tie back in 2007.

[Udog]

CFL
Dunkel

Week 15

Friday, September 29

Saskatchewan @ Ottawa

Game 617-618
September 29, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Saskatchewan
115.180
Ottawa
114.688
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Saskatchewan
by 1
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Saskatchewan
by 3
50
Dunkel Pick:
Ottawa
(+3); Over

Montreal @ Calgary

Game 619-620
September 29, 2017 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
105.152
Calgary
120.240
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 15
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 17 1/2
49
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(+17 1/2); Over


Saturday, September 30

Toronto @ Hamilton

Game 621-622
September 30, 2017 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
114.999
Hamilton
107.061
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 8
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 3
51
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-3); Under

Winnipeg @ Edmonton

Game 623-624
September 30, 2017 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
113.162
Edmonton
118.052
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 5
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
by 2 1/2
60
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(-2 1/2); Under