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CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 11 (Thur., August 31 - Mon., September 4)

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  • CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 11 (Thur., August 31 - Mon., September 4)

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, August 31 - Monday, September 4

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    CFL Betting Recap - Week 10

    League Betting Notes

    -- Favorites went 3-1 SU in Week 10
    -- Favorites went 3-1 ATS in Week 10
    -- Home/road teams posted a 2-2 SU record in Week 10
    -- Home/road teams posted a 2-2 ATS record in Week 10
    -- The 'over' went 2-1-1 in Week 9

    Analysis

    Favorites went 3-1 both straight up and against the spread in Week 10 and the 'chalk' is now 7-1 both SU and ATS over the last two weeks. In the three non-divisional games, the West posted a 2-1 record over the East.

    The scoreboard operator was working hard this week as the 'over' went 2-1-1 in Week 10 with five of eight teams scoring 30-plus points, and Saskatchewan lit it up with 54 points.

    Team Betting Notes

    -- Calgary (7-1-1) took over first place of the West Division on Saturday as it stifled Toronto 23-7 as a 10-point home favorite, improving to 4-0 at home this season. The Stampeders have won and covered five straight games and four of those decisions came by double digits. They've only allowed 169 points this season and that's the best scoring defense in the league.

    -- Winnipeg (7-2) extended its winning streak to five games in Week 10 with a 34-31 road win over Montreal. The team is 4-1 ATS during this span and 7-2 overall versus the number, which is the best mark in the CFL. Including last week's win, the Blue Bombers are 3-1 this season with games decided by three points or less. The 'over' is 7-1.

    -- After winning its first seven games of the season, Edmonton (7-2) suffered its second straight setback in Week 10 and the defense has contributed to the defeats. The unit was helpless in a 54-31 loss at Saskatchewan on Friday and helped the 'over' stay hot with a 5-1 run in the last six contests. This was the first home loss of the season for Edmonton.

    -- British Columbia (5-5) is another team struggling in the West Divison, losers in three straight and four of their last five games. On Saturday, the club dropped a 31-24 road decision at Ottawa. The offense has been held to 49 points over the last three losses after averaging 31.4 points per game in their first seven games. The 'under' is on a 3-0-1 streak.

    -- The week off helped Saskatchewan (4-4), who put up a season-high 54 points in its victory over Edmonton. The Roughriders cashed as road underdogs (+5.5) over the Lions and that victory was the first away win of the season for them. The club is 5-3 ATS overall.

    -- Ottawa (3-6-1) showed some first for the second straight week as it defeated BC 31-24 as a short home favorite (-1). Despite putting up more than 30 points for the second straight week, total bettors saw the outcome push once again as it landed on the closing number of 55.

    -- Defense continues to be a major issue for Montreal (3-6) lately and it showed on Thursday as the Alouettes lost a 34-31 home decision to Winnipeg. The team has allowed over 30 points in three of its last four games, which has led to a 1-3 record. Despite the loss, they only trail Toronto by one game in the East Division.

    -- The Argonauts (4-6) haven't won back-to-back games all season and that trend continued on Saturday as the team was trounced 23-7 at Calgary. The Argos have gone 1-4 on the road this season and the 'under' is 3-2 in those games.

    -- Hamilton (0-8) didn't win or lose in Week 10 as the club was on bye. The T-Cats will be returning on Sept. 4 versus Toronto.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 08-29-2017, 01:42 AM.

    Comment


    • #3
      CFL
      Long Sheet

      Week 11


      Thursday, August 31

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      OTTAWA (3 - 6 - 1) at MONTREAL (3 - 6) - 8/31/2017, 7:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      OTTAWA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
      OTTAWA is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
      OTTAWA is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
      OTTAWA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
      OTTAWA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
      OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 over the last 3 seasons.
      OTTAWA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
      OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
      OTTAWA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
      MONTREAL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
      MONTREAL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing on a Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
      MONTREAL is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      OTTAWA is 6-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
      OTTAWA is 6-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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      Sunday, September 3

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      WINNIPEG (7 - 2) at SASKATCHEWAN (4 - 4) - 9/3/2017, 4:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      WINNIPEG is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) in road games in September games since 1996.
      SASKATCHEWAN is 131-95 ATS (+26.5 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
      SASKATCHEWAN is 20-4 ATS (+15.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.
      SASKATCHEWAN is 35-16 ATS (+17.4 Units) in home games in September games since 1996.
      SASKATCHEWAN is 119-90 ATS (+20.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
      SASKATCHEWAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 15 over the last 2 seasons.
      WINNIPEG is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      WINNIPEG is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
      WINNIPEG is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
      WINNIPEG is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
      WINNIPEG is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
      WINNIPEG is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 2 seasons.
      WINNIPEG is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      SASKATCHEWAN is 3-3 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
      WINNIPEG is 5-1 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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      Monday, September 4

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      EDMONTON (7 - 2) at CALGARY (7 - 1 - 1) - 9/4/2017, 3:00 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      CALGARY is 3-3 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
      CALGARY is 3-3 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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      TORONTO (4 - 6) at HAMILTON (0 - 8) - 9/4/2017, 6:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      TORONTO is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      TORONTO is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
      HAMILTON is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
      HAMILTON is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      HAMILTON is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
      HAMILTON is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      HAMILTON is 6-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
      HAMILTON is 6-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-04-2017, 12:58 AM.

      Comment


      • #4
        CFL

        Week 11


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Thursday, August 31

        7:30 PM
        OTTAWA vs. MONTREAL
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
        Ottawa is 3-6-1 SU in its last 10 games ,
        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Montreal's last 10 games when playing Ottawa
        Montreal is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Ottawa


        Sunday, September 3

        4:00 PM
        WINNIPEG vs. SASKATCHEWAN
        Winnipeg is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games when playing Saskatchewan
        Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Saskatchewan's last 8 games when playing Winnipeg


        Monday, September 4

        3:00 PM
        EDMONTON vs. CALGARY
        Edmonton is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Calgary
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games
        Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
        Calgary is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Edmonton

        6:30 PM
        TORONTO vs. HAMILTON
        Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 10 games
        Hamilton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto


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        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-04-2017, 12:59 AM.

        Comment


        • #5
          CFL
          Dunkel

          Week 11


          Thursday, August 31

          Ottawa @ Montreal

          Game 351-352
          August 31, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Ottawa
          113.273
          Montreal
          112.598
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Ottawa
          by 1
          44
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Montreal
          by 1
          51
          Dunkel Pick:
          Ottawa
          (+1); Under



          Sunday, September 3

          Winnipeg @ Saskatchewan

          Game 353-354
          September 3, 2017 @ 4:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Winnipeg
          121.193
          Saskatchewan
          116.999
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Winnipeg
          by 4
          63
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Saskatchewan
          by 2 1/2
          61
          Dunkel Pick:
          Winnipeg
          (+2 1/2); Over



          Monday, September 4

          Edmonton @ Calgary

          Game 355-356
          September 4, 2017 @ 3:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Edmonton
          108.590
          Calgary
          125.027
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Calgary
          by 16 1/2
          57
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Calgary
          by 11
          54 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Calgary
          (-11); Over

          Toronto @ Hamilton


          Game 357-358
          September 4, 2017 @ 6:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Toronto
          109.394
          Hamilton
          101.473
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Toronto
          by 8
          42
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Toronto
          by 4 1/2
          53
          Dunkel Pick:
          Toronto
          (-4 1/2); Under
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 09-04-2017, 12:59 AM.

          Comment


          • #6
            CFL
            Armadillo's Write-Up

            Week 11


            Ottawa (3-6-1) @ Montreal (3-6)— RedBlacks (-4.5) beat Montreal 24-19 at home in first meeting this season, despite giving up 517 yards of offense. Ottawa scored 37-31 points in winning its last two games, after a 1-6-1 start- they’re 1-3 on road, with only win at winless Hamilton. Under is 5-1-2 in their last eight games; they pushed the total the last two weeks. Montreal allowed 38-34 points in losing last two games; they’re 3-2 at home after last week’s home loss to Winnipeg. Under is 6-3 in Alouette games this season. RedBlacks won six of last seven series games; under is 7-3 in series games.

            Winnipeg (7-2) @ Saskatchewan (4-4)— Roughriders scored 41-54 points in winning its last two games; they scored 38.7 pts/game in winning last three home games. Over is 3-1 in their home games. Winnipeg (-1) won 43-40 in OT in Regina in their first meeting, back in Week 2. Blue Bombers won last four series games overall; they’re 3-1 in last four visits to Saskatchewan. Winnipeg won its last five games, covered its last four; they’re 4-1 on road this year, with two OT wins- four of the five games were decided by exactly three points. Over is 7-2 in their games this year.

            Edmonton (7-2) @ Calgary (7-1-1)— Eskimos allowed 33-54 points in losing last two games after a 7-0 start that included five wins by 5 or less points. Edmonton is 3-1 on road, scoring 28.5 pts/game. Over is 5-1 in their last six games, 2-2 in their road tilts. Eskimos are 3-5 vs spread in their last eight visits here. Calgary swept Edmonton LY, 45-24/34-28 in OT; Stampeders are 14-3 in last 17 series games, with last three games going over the total. Calgary won/covered its last five games; they’re 4-0 at home, 3-1 vs spread, with wins by 4-17-59-16 points. Over is 5-4 in their games, 2-2 at home.

            Toronto (4-6) @ Hamilton (0-8)— Weird week in Hamilton; June Jones is the new coach, but he tried to bring Art Briles in as an offensive assistant- that got vetoed by the CFL. Former Oregon QB Masoli gets nod here for Ti-Cats, who are 0-8 this year, 1-6-1 vs spread, with home losses by 15-3-27-19 points. Over is 5-2-1 in their games this season. Hamilton (-3.5) lost season opener in Toronto 32-15; they were outgunned 545-258. Argonauts lost four of last five games, including last four games on road. Under is 7-3 in Toronto games this season. Argonauts lost last five trips to Hamilton, losing by 1-16-30-3-13 points.

            Comment

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