Thursday's Best Bet
August 31, 2017
Thursday College Football Best Bet
#2 Ohio State vs. Indiana
HeritageSports.eu Odds: Ohio State (-21); Total set at 57
After watching teams from the other Power 5 conferences improve and/or test their stock right out of the gates in Week 1 of the season, the Big 10 decided to follow suit and give their schools the same opportunity. So while there still will be a few “cupcake” games for Big 10 programs in the following weeks, we've got plenty of the schools in the conference testing themselves against the likes of the Florida's and Texas' of the world here in Week 1.
But what may be the most intriguing matchup featuring Big 10 schools is the conference game they've got here with Ohio State in Indiana to take on the Hoosiers. Coming right out of the gate with a conference game is a big opportunity for both of these schools to get a leg up on their competition, but with Ohio State ranked #2 in the preseason polls, an Indiana win could come back to bite the entire conference in the ass.
Do the Hoosiers have what it takes to shock the college football landscape on opening night, of will Urban Meyer's Buckeyes squad put the rest of the college football world on notice?
If you don't take significant risks you aren't going to score significant rewards, and a year after having three teams hovering around the CFB playoff picture – and all three teams with strong cases for inclusion – the Big 10 decided to step up their scheduling this year and further up their profile with these tremendous Week 1 matchups.
Opening up the year with a conference game is going to feel a bit different for these players early on this evening, but as three-touchdown road favorites, Ohio State sees it as a tremendous opportunity to further their goal of getting back to the CFB playoff after last year's embarrassing 31-0 loss to Clemson in the semi-finals.
Yet, what makes tonight's Ohio State/Indiana conference tilt even more intriguing is the fact that new Ohio State offensive co-ordinator Kevin Wilson was fired from his head coaching position at Indiana last year. Wilson is known for his offensive mind as he loves to air the ball down the field, and his success offensively with Indiana over the past few years is a big reason why he found this OC position so quickly.
There is no doubt that Wilson is licking his chops at the potential for a little personal revenge tonight being on Ohio State's sideline, but Indiana also knows his “system” inside and out having practised against it for the past five years. That familiarity – for both sides – gives this game that little bit of extra edge, and from a football fan standpoint, it's an exciting battle to watch.
However, from a betting standpoint, the battle between Wilson and his new Ohio State offense against his old program is part of a situation that sets up well for plays on both the side and total. The other big part of that scenario is the fact that Ohio State has a huge game against #7 ranked Oklahoma next week and you know that Meyer and the Buckeyes aren't interested in putting too much of their stuff on film in one week if they don't have too.
That means that Ohio State may be looking to go into Indiana tonight, dominate early, establish a big lead, and then bleed the clock down and get the W. A game script like that is ripe for a backdoor cover from the Hoosiers who still have an explosive offense – at least on paper – and for as much as Wilson would love to stick it to his old program, Indiana would love to stick it to Wilson and his new program just as much.
The Hoosiers know they are the big underdogs here, but with all the excitement surrounding their first game, it being against the hated Buckeyes etc etc, they know they've got nothing to really lose here. Letting it all hang out against a top-ranked team in the nation would be a great start to 2017 for the Hoosiers, win or lose SU, and giving them three TD's here is too many points to pass up.
Finally, regarding the total, the fact that we've got co-ordinators/programs who are very familiar with one another, and a top team looking to stay as “basic” as possible to win and move on to a big game a week from now definitely lends itself to an 'under' wager.
Wilson's offensive system is known for lighting up scoreboards, but this is still the first week with it in Ohio State and there are sure to be some bumps along the way tonight. Indiana's offense won't be as feared without Wilson calling the shots, and as heavy home dogs, the Hoosiers won't be shy about keeping the ball on the ground and bleeding as much clock as they can to shorten the game.
There is no question that Ohio State will likely be a much more prolific and explosive offensive team this year, that should cash plenty of 'overs' but give Wilson and company a few weeks to work out all the kinks before you really start relying on Ohio State to cash those 'over' tickets.
HeritageSports.eu Best Bet: Indiana +21
August 31, 2017
Thursday College Football Best Bet
#2 Ohio State vs. Indiana
HeritageSports.eu Odds: Ohio State (-21); Total set at 57
After watching teams from the other Power 5 conferences improve and/or test their stock right out of the gates in Week 1 of the season, the Big 10 decided to follow suit and give their schools the same opportunity. So while there still will be a few “cupcake” games for Big 10 programs in the following weeks, we've got plenty of the schools in the conference testing themselves against the likes of the Florida's and Texas' of the world here in Week 1.
But what may be the most intriguing matchup featuring Big 10 schools is the conference game they've got here with Ohio State in Indiana to take on the Hoosiers. Coming right out of the gate with a conference game is a big opportunity for both of these schools to get a leg up on their competition, but with Ohio State ranked #2 in the preseason polls, an Indiana win could come back to bite the entire conference in the ass.
Do the Hoosiers have what it takes to shock the college football landscape on opening night, of will Urban Meyer's Buckeyes squad put the rest of the college football world on notice?
If you don't take significant risks you aren't going to score significant rewards, and a year after having three teams hovering around the CFB playoff picture – and all three teams with strong cases for inclusion – the Big 10 decided to step up their scheduling this year and further up their profile with these tremendous Week 1 matchups.
Opening up the year with a conference game is going to feel a bit different for these players early on this evening, but as three-touchdown road favorites, Ohio State sees it as a tremendous opportunity to further their goal of getting back to the CFB playoff after last year's embarrassing 31-0 loss to Clemson in the semi-finals.
Yet, what makes tonight's Ohio State/Indiana conference tilt even more intriguing is the fact that new Ohio State offensive co-ordinator Kevin Wilson was fired from his head coaching position at Indiana last year. Wilson is known for his offensive mind as he loves to air the ball down the field, and his success offensively with Indiana over the past few years is a big reason why he found this OC position so quickly.
There is no doubt that Wilson is licking his chops at the potential for a little personal revenge tonight being on Ohio State's sideline, but Indiana also knows his “system” inside and out having practised against it for the past five years. That familiarity – for both sides – gives this game that little bit of extra edge, and from a football fan standpoint, it's an exciting battle to watch.
However, from a betting standpoint, the battle between Wilson and his new Ohio State offense against his old program is part of a situation that sets up well for plays on both the side and total. The other big part of that scenario is the fact that Ohio State has a huge game against #7 ranked Oklahoma next week and you know that Meyer and the Buckeyes aren't interested in putting too much of their stuff on film in one week if they don't have too.
That means that Ohio State may be looking to go into Indiana tonight, dominate early, establish a big lead, and then bleed the clock down and get the W. A game script like that is ripe for a backdoor cover from the Hoosiers who still have an explosive offense – at least on paper – and for as much as Wilson would love to stick it to his old program, Indiana would love to stick it to Wilson and his new program just as much.
The Hoosiers know they are the big underdogs here, but with all the excitement surrounding their first game, it being against the hated Buckeyes etc etc, they know they've got nothing to really lose here. Letting it all hang out against a top-ranked team in the nation would be a great start to 2017 for the Hoosiers, win or lose SU, and giving them three TD's here is too many points to pass up.
Finally, regarding the total, the fact that we've got co-ordinators/programs who are very familiar with one another, and a top team looking to stay as “basic” as possible to win and move on to a big game a week from now definitely lends itself to an 'under' wager.
Wilson's offensive system is known for lighting up scoreboards, but this is still the first week with it in Ohio State and there are sure to be some bumps along the way tonight. Indiana's offense won't be as feared without Wilson calling the shots, and as heavy home dogs, the Hoosiers won't be shy about keeping the ball on the ground and bleeding as much clock as they can to shorten the game.
There is no question that Ohio State will likely be a much more prolific and explosive offensive team this year, that should cash plenty of 'overs' but give Wilson and company a few weeks to work out all the kinks before you really start relying on Ohio State to cash those 'over' tickets.
HeritageSports.eu Best Bet: Indiana +21
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