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2017 NFL preseason betting

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  • #16
    Sunday's NFL Week 3 preseason betting primer and odds

    It's Week 3 of the NFL preseason, which is usually the final dress rehearsal for teams before heading into the regular season. Starters usually play about three quarters in this final tune up, which means bettors can finally get a real feel for how games will play out. We break down the final three games of the week to help you get ready for the real thing in two weeks.

    Chicago Bears at Tennessee Titans (-3.5, 43)

    About the Bears

    The spotlight is growing on the battle between expensive free agent Mike Glennon and first round pick Mitch Trubisky. As both took reps with the first-unit offense during practice this week. It is expected that Glennon will play the first half and Trubisky will take over at halftime.

    Danny Trevathan is making the trip to Tennessee but coaches haven’t let word leak if he is going to dress. The inside linebacker hasn’t played since rupturing his patellar tendon last November.

    The Bears are 1-1 straight up and against the spread, so far this preseason and the Over has cashed in both games.

    About the Titans

    The Titans have no question marks at quarterback with Marcus Mariota firmly entrenched and looking productive. In two drives versus the Panthers last weekend, he lead the offense to 10 points. Mariota is expected to play the entire first half at least.

    Titans wide receivers Eric Decker, Corey Davis, Harry Douglas will not play, however, Tajae Sharpe will make his debut. Sharpe, started 10 games as a rookie last season, has been recovering from June surgery to repair a stress fracture in his foot.

    DeMarco Murray has been nursing a hamstring injury and while he has been practicing Titans head coach Mike Mularkey was noncommittal Friday about last season’s AFC rushing leader playing against the Bears.

    Line Moves

    The Titans opened as 3-point chalk and have been bet up a full point to 4. The total hit the betting board at 43.5 and has dropped down an even 43.

    Cincinnati Bengals at Washington Redskins (-3, 44.5)

    About the Bengals

    After a disappointing Week Two for Marvin Lewis and company the Bengals look to rebound in the nation's capital against Washington. Injuries have hindered the Bengals ability to field full units with George Iloka, Dre Kirkpatrick, Giovani Bernard and first round pick John Ross yet to take to the field in a preseason game.

    Lewis has stressed he wants to see players get a run before the regular season starts, “I want them to get their wind,” Lewis said.

    Cincinnati is expected to play its starting unit for at least the full first half against Washington.

    About the Redskins

    Head coach Jay Gruden told reporters on Friday he expects players to play ‘a half at least’ on Sunday and has no plans to play starters in Thursday’s fourth and final preseason game at Tampa Bay.

    Washington’s offense has struggled scoring with just three total points in their first two preseason games against the opponents’ first-team defense and that field goal came after a fumbled punt and the offense went three and out.

    Jordan Reed is expected to make his first start of the preseason after battling a strained toe.

    Line Moves

    No movement on the line or the total in this game.


    San Francisco 49ers at Minnesota Vikings (-4, 43)

    About the 49ers

    San Francisco’s starters are expected to play the entire first half, lead by Bryan Hoyer. Rookie C.J. Beathard has been making great strides during camp and appears to have taken over the backup spot from Matt Barkley. Beathard has looked good through two preseason games (211 passing yards, three touchdowns and no picks), but Shanahan would have to be supremely confident that the 3rd round pick is ready to be a backup before the 49ers let go of the veteran Barkley. Expect them both to get reps in the second half.

    The 49ers are 1-1 straight up and against the spread, so far this preseason and the Over has easily cashed in the both games.

    About the Vikings

    The Vikings play their first home game of the preseason Sunday and their offense could use some home cooking. Minnesota’s first team offense led by Sam Bradford sputtered against Buffalo before moving the chains and finding chunk plays both on the ground and through the air in Seattle. However, they’ve only been able to put up three points, a 29-yard field goal in two games.

    Highly touted Dalvin Cook will start his third straight preseason game for the Vikings and Sunday will be the first game action for free-agent from Oakland Latavius Murray.

    Minnesota won both of their 2016 home preseason games.

    Line Moves

    The Vikings opened as 3-point home chalk and that wasn’t large enough and the line has been raise to 4. The total hit the betting board at 43.5 and has been bet down to an even 43.

    Comment


    • #17
      Thursday's Week 4 NFL preseason primer and odds

      Tennessee coach Mike Mularkey is bucking the usual Week 4 preseason practice of resting his starters in the final exhibition showing, saying all his players, including Marcus Mariota will play Thursday.

      The last day of rehearsal for NFL teams is on Thursday with all Week 4 preseason games taking place. Most games won't include any starters or even backups most bettors are familar with but there will be a few teams playing some first stringers.

      Los Angeles Rams at Green Bay Packers (-3.5, 38)

      About the Rams

      The Rams will not be playing any of their starters on Thursday. Look for Sean Mannion to start at quarterback with Dan Orlovsky backing him up.

      About the Packers

      The Packers also are not expected to play any of their starters on either side of the ball Thursday against the Rams. QB Brett Hundley, who’s taken the bulk of preseason snaps, is expected to start for Green Bay. He’s completed 67 percent of his passes for 383 yards on 55 attempts.

      Jacksonville Jaguars at Atlanta Falcons (-3, 38)

      About Jaguars

      Jags head coach Doug Marrone told reporters he has a plan for starters playing time on Thursday against the Falcons but he won’t reveal it until Wednesday to the players. It shouldn’t be a shock to see both Blake Bortles and Chad Henne see some action in this game. Jacksonville is just as confused as bettors are as to what to do at the quarterback position.

      About the Falcons

      Atlanta is 0-3 straight up and against the spread this preseason and the team will not be sending any of its starters onto the field against the Jags. The Falcons are 2-0 SU but 0-2 ATS in Week 4 preseason games under head coach Dan Quinn.

      Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts (-2, 36.5)

      About the Bengals

      It’s a tradition under head coach Marvin Lewis that the Bengals starters don’t play in Week 4 of the preseason. It’s also a tradition to play the Colts in their final tune-up before the start of the regular season. The Bengals are 3-1 straight up and against the number against Indy in Week 4 of the preseason.

      About the Colts

      The Colts are expected to play any of their starters on Thursday and for good reason. CB Vontae Davis became the latest long-term injury to a significant contributor on the team. Center Ryan Kelly and quarterback Andrew Luck are the other two players missing in action for the Colts of note.

      Philadelphia Eagles at New York Jets (-1, 36)

      About the Eagles

      The assumption is starting QB Carson Wentz will stay on the sidelines for the Eagles along with the rest of the club’s first teamers. Backup quarterback Nick Foles hasn’t practiced because of an illness. That leaves Matt McGloin and Dane Evans as the two signal callers left on the depth chart. Expect to two to split the offensive snaps on Thursday.

      About the Jets

      Head coach Todd Bowles is hinting he might play his starters some against the Eagles. QB Josh McCown was named the Week 1 starter earlier this week but he hasn’t seen a lot of action so far this preseason. Expect to see a limited cameo from McCown and a few other Jets starters in the first series or two.

      Washington Redskins at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-2.5, 35.5)

      About the Redskins

      Washington will rest all of its starters and backup quarterback Colt McCoy isn’t expected to see any game action either. Third stringer Nate Sudfeld will start under center and is expected to play the entire game.

      About the Buccaneers

      TB’s starters won’t play on Thursday and backup quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick may only get a series or two. The bulk of action is expected to go to Sefo Liufau, an undrafted rookie out of Colorado. Liufau, fourth on the team’s QB depth chart, isn’t expected to make the Bucs final 53-man roster.

      Pittsburgh Steelers at Carolina Panthers (-4, 37.5)

      About the Steelers

      Ben Rothlisberger and the rest of the people at the top of the depth chart won’t see any game time against Carolina. Backup quarterback Landry Jones isn’t expected to play either according to the Observer-Reporter in Pittsburgh. Third stringer Joshua Dobbs, the rookie out of Tennessee should play the first three quarters with Bart Houston taking over the mop-up duties in the fourth.

      About the Panthers

      Panthers head coach Ron Rivera won’t rule Cam Newton and the rest of the first team offense out for Thursday’s game. Newton played just one series in his preseason debut last week against the Jags and he’s making noise about wanted to get a few more snaps in the preseason finale. The former league MVP is coming off a March surgery on his throwing shoulder and didn’t participate in the spring OTAs.

      New York Giants at New England Patriots (-3, 38)

      About the Giants

      The Giants plan to rest many - but not all of their starters - in Foxborough on Thursday. Eli Manning won’t play and neither with Odell Beckham who’s still recovering from an ankle injury. Geno Smith and Josh Johnson are expected to split the quarterback duties in the first half and Davis Webb will take over in the second half.

      About the Patriots

      The Patriots are expected to rest their starters against the G-Men meaning bettors should see a little bit of Jimmy Garoppolo and lots of Jacoby Brissett.

      Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings (-3, 38)

      About the Dolphins

      Most Miami starters won’t play against Minny including quarterback Jay Cutler. Backup QB Matt Moore is expected to start with David Fales and possibly Brandon Doughty splitting the snaps once Moore is pulled.

      About the Vikings

      Traditionally, as you can tell, starters rest in the fourth week of the preseason. Vikes coach Mike Zimmer is thinking about punting on the custom. That’s because he’s not too happy with his first team offense after some subpar showings this preseason. He’s considering playing the starters, presumably for a series or two, against the Fish – but he says he hasn’t made up his mind yet.

      Baltimore Ravens at New Orleans Saints (-2.5, 37)

      About the Ravens

      Don’t expect to see any Baltimore players on the field you can recognize. QB Joe Flacco has resumed throwing after injuring his back in the first week of training camp. He will not, however, play in New Orleans and neither will backup Ryan Mallett.

      About the Saints

      Drew Brees will not play in this game which means Chase Daniel should start at quarterback. Ryan Nassib, the team’s fourth string QB, will likely play the second half.

      Cleveland Browns at Chicago Bears (-3, 36)

      About the Browns

      Cleveland coach Hue Jackson says he hasn’t decided if his starters will get any game action against the Bears. He also isn’t certain who has the backup QB job heading into the regular season. Brock Osweiler, Cody Kessler and Kevin Hogan are all still in the mix. Those four should get the bulk of snaps in Chicago.

      'About the Bears

      The Bears will start rookie QB Mitch Trubisky on Thursday and Connor Shaw will assume the backup duties. Starting quarterback Mike Glennon and veteran Mark Sanchez will both have the night off.

      Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs (-3, 38)

      About the Titans

      Tennessee coach Mike Mularkey says all his players, including his starters, will play against on Thursday. This is a departure from Mularkey’s plan used last preseason when he rested his first teamers in Week 4.

      About the Chiefs

      The Chiefs won’t play their starters on Thursday which means QB Patrick Mahomes II gets the start. The rookie first round pick has looked solid in the preseason so far throwing for 207 yards while completing 25 of his 38 pass attempts.

      Arizona Cardinals at Denver Broncos (-2.5, 36)

      About the Cardinals

      This is the Cards fifth preseason game and starting quarterback Carson Palmer and the rest of the first stringers will not play on Thursday. Expect to see lots of Blaine Gabbert in this one.

      Los Angeles Chargers at San Francisco 49ers (-3, 38)

      About the Chargers

      Philip Rivers won’t play in this one and neither with the rest of the first team offense and defense. Former Ohio State quarterback Cardale Jones is expected to see the lion’s share of snaps under center for the Chargers.

      About the 49ers

      The Niners will rest most of their starters including quarterback Brian Hoyer according to head coach Kyle Shanahan. Expect C.J. Beathard and Matt Barkley to split the snaps under center for the 49ers.

      Seattle Seahawks at Oakland Raiders (+1.5, 40)

      About the Seahawks

      Seattle head coach Pete Carroll says some of his starters could play including running back Thomas Rawls. Quarterback Russell Wilson played the first series last year in Week 4 of the preseason before getting the hook.

      About the Raiders

      The Raiders aren’t expected to play their starters on Thursday including quarterback Derek Carr. Connor Cook and EJ Manuel will split the work under center for Oakland.

      Comment

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