NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Army/Navy (Saturday, December 10)

[Udog]

Army/ Navy


NCAAF Trends and Indexes

Saturday, December 10

Additional trends and information will be added as available.

NOTE:

As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

NCAAF

Saturday, December 10

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NCAAF Game of the Day: Navy vs Army
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It didn't take long for Navy to get over its loss in the AAC championship game because all it had to do was look at the next game on the schedule.

No. 25 Navy Midshipmen vs Army Black Knights (6, 47.5)

It didn't take long for Navy to get over its loss in the American Athletic Conference championship game because all it had to do was look at the next game on the schedule. The Midshipmen try for their 15th consecutive victory over Army on Saturday in Baltimore but must do so without key injured players, including senior quarterback Will Worth and senior running back Toneo Gulley as they suffered season-ending foot injuries in the 34-10 loss to Temple for the AAC title Dec. 3.

Navy sophomore quarterback Zach Abey makes his first career start and while he will probably produce less than Worth (1,198 rushing yards, 25 touchdowns on the ground), he's ready for the challenge, telling reporters: "It is going to be a big responsibility and I will be up for it." Abey saw his first career action in the last three games, rushing for 197 yards and two touchdowns on 26 carries while all his passing numbers - 7-of-13 for 104 yards and two interceptions - came against Temple. The Black Knights have three weeks to prepare for the Midshipmen after rushing for 504 yards in a 60-3 victory over FCS member Morgan State on Nov. 19 and boast the No. 2 ground attack in the nation at 328.9 yards per game with Navy third at 327.5. President-elect Donald Trump will be on hand to witness the first meeting between winning teams since 2010, but won't see much passing as the clubs each average less than 11 attempts.

TV: 3 p.m. ET, CBS.

LINE HISTORY: The Midshipman opened as 8.5-point favorites and that line has slowly been dropping all week to 6.5 Thursday afternoon. The line opened at 48 and has faded one full point to 47. Follow the complete line history, here.

INJURY REPORT:

Navy - SB Toneo Gulley (out for season, foot), QB Will Worth (out for season, ankle), S Jerry Thompson (questionable, ankle), SB Dishan Romine (questionable, undisclosed), SB Darryl Bonner (questionable, undisclosed), FB Chris High (questionable, ankle), WR Craig Scott (questionable, undisclosed), S Kyle Battle (questionable, knee), LB Josiah Powell (questionable, leg), SB Joshua Walker (questionable, shoulder), CB Elijah Merchant (questionable, concussion), G Marcus Edwards (questionable, personal)

Army - Andy Davidson (questionable, undisclosed)

WEATHER REPORT: Sunny to partly cloudy skies are expected for kickoff at M&T Bank Stadium, with temperatures in the low 40s and slight wind coming in from the north west.

ABOUT NAVY (9-3 SU, 7-4-1 ATS, 8-4 O/U): The Midshipmen, who scored 183 points in victories over Tulsa, East Carolina and SMU prior to the Temple game, lost more than 41 percent of their rushing yards with the injuries to Worth and Gulley (427 yards). Junior fullback Chris High (483 yards, five touchdowns), senior fullback Shawn White (421, seven) and Abey are among those who must fill the void. Navy is also banged up on defense as three starters - cornerback Elijah Merchant (concussion), outside linebacker Josiah Powell (leg) and inside linebacker Hudson Sullivan (knee) - are questionable to play Saturday.

ABOUT ARMY (6-5 SU, 6-5 ATS, 4-7 O/U): Junior quarterback Ahmad Bradshaw (646 rushing yards, six touchdowns on the ground) directs the offense and his most effective maneuver is getting the ball to sophomore running back Andy Davidson (team highs of 818 yards, nine touchdowns). The Black Knights boast the No. 5 total defense in the nation (288.9 yards allowed per game) with senior linebackers Jeremy Timpf and Andrew King each recording a team-best 88 tackles. Army also enters the game less than 100 percent with a pair of freshmen safeties - Jaylon McClinton and Elijah Riley - converted to cornerback, moves necessitated by injuries and the death of Brandon Jackson, who was killed in a September car crash.

TRENDS:

* Midshipmen are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
* Black Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in December.
* Under is 7-1 in Midshipmen last 8 neutral site games.
* Under is 9-1 in Black Knights last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
* Under is 9-0 in the last 9 meetings in Army.
* Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

CONSENSUS: Navy are the team of choice in this one for the betting public, with 69 percent of users taking the Midshipman. 66 percent of users taking the over.


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[Udog]

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Week 15

Saturday, December 10

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ARMY (6 - 5) vs. NAVY (9 - 3) - 12/10/2016, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARMY is 14-35 ATS (-24.5 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
ARMY is 12-35 ATS (-26.5 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
ARMY is 77-104 ATS (-37.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
NAVY is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 2 seasons.
NAVY is 159-118 ATS (+29.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 159-118 ATS (+29.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NAVY is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
NAVY is 103-68 ATS (+28.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NAVY is 70-39 ATS (+27.1 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
NAVY is 76-41 ATS (+30.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARMY is 2-0 against the spread versus NAVY over the last 3 seasons
NAVY is 2-0 straight up against ARMY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 15

Army at Navy, 3:00 PM ET
Army: 14-35 ATS when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest
Navy: 7-0 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points




NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 15

Navy QB Worth got KO’d last week; spread dropping from 11 to 6.5 says he is also out here, very bad news for Middies. Navy has beaten Army 14 years in a row, but Army covered four of last five meetings; only one of Navy’s last five series wins was by more than seven points. Cadets outgained Navy in three of last six meetings, but Middies are +9 in turnovers the last five years vs Army. Navy allowed 34 pts/game in their last four games; they lost to Temple LW- Middies scored 42+ points in six of last eight games (6-2 vs spread). Army is 2-2 as an underdog this year, 3-2 vs spread in games with a single digit spread. AAC non-conference favorites are 10-8 vs spread.




NCAAF

Week 15

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Trend Report
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Saturday, December 10

3:00 PM
ARMY vs. NAVY
Army is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Navy
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Army's last 5 games when playing Navy
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Navy's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Navy's last 5 games when playing Army


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[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 15

Saturday, December 10

Army @ Navy

Game 103-104
December 10, 2016 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Army
75.267
Navy
95.486
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Navy
by 20
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Navy
by 6
47
Dunkel Pick:
Navy
(-6); Over

Richmond @ East Washington

Game 141-142
December 10, 2016 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Richmond
72.303
East Washington
86.151
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
East Washington
by 14
72
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
East Washington
by 7 1/2
65 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
East Washington
(-7 1/2); Over

Wofford @ Youngstown St

Game 139-140
December 10, 2016 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wofford
76.779
Youngstown St
79.265
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Youngstown St
by 2 1/2
30
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Youngstown St
by 7
33 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Wofford
(+7); Under

South Dakota St @ North Dakota St

Game 137-138
December 10, 2016 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Dakota St
81.903
North Dakota St
91.438
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Dakota St
by 9 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Dakota St
by 6 1/2
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
North Dakota St
(-6 1/2); Over