NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 14 (Friday, December 2 - Saturday, December 3)

[Udog]

Week 14


NCAAF Trends and Indexes

Friday, December 2 – Saturday, December 3

Additional trends and information will be added as available.

NOTE:

As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------



NCAAF Matchup Links


Sagarin NCAAF Power Ratings

NCAAF Matchups

NCAAF Hot or Not

NCAAF Trends

NCAAF News and Weather

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NCAAF Week 14 opening line report: It's championship week!

“This number could drop, as the wiseguys haven't been big believers of Washington of late, while Colorado continues to impress the college football world.”

SEC Championship Game

No. 15 Florida Gators vs. No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide (-21.5)

Defending national champion Alabama hasn’t lost since the third week of the 2015 season and is a huge favorite to keep that 24-game streak rolling at the Georgia Dome. The Crimson Tide (12-0 SU, 8-4 ATS) dumped Auburn 30-12 in the annual Iron Bowl rivalry Saturday, though ‘Bama fell just short as 20.5-point home chalk.

Florida (8-3 SU, 4-6-1 ATS) stepped out of conference in Week 13 and got whacked at Florida State 31-13 as a 9-point underdog Saturday.

The Tide have won the last five in this rivalry, including 29-15 as a 16.5-point fave in last year’s SEC title game.

“I will be eager to see how effective Alabama's offense will be against the top-flight defense that Florida boasts,” Lester said. “But I’m not sure how the Gators are going to score points in this one, and that's why we have another massive Tide spread.”


Big Ten Championship Game

No. 7 Penn State Nittany Lions vs. No. 6 Wisconsin Badgers (-3)

Penn State is hoping a win in this game, coupled with its regular-season upset of Ohio State, leads to a CFP berth. The Nittany Lions (10-2 SU, 8-3-1 ATS) assured their spot in the conference final with a 45-12 rout of visiting Michigan State laying 11 points on Saturday.

Wisconsin (10-2 SU, 9-2-1 ATS) capped its regular season with a 31-17 home win over Minnesota, pushing as a 14-point favorite. The Badgers would need a win Saturday in Indianapolis and probably some help – as would Penn State – to get into the playoff.

“I suspect we'll see this line climb as the week progresses, but you never know, and Penn State might garner more public support,” Lester said. “This was a fairly simple line to set: neutral field, and the Badgers are about 3 points better in our power ratings.”


Pac-12 Championship Game

No. 9 Colorado Buffaloes vs. No. 5 Washington Huskies (-7.5)

Washington would be firmly in the CFP picture if it hadn’t stubbed its toe hard in Week 11 at home against Southern Cal. But the Huskies (11-1 SU, 6-6 ATS) rebounded with two wins, including Saturday’s 45-17 road rout of Washington State giving 6 points in the annual Apple Cup rivalry.

Colorado is arguably one of the biggest surprises this season, but also the least likely to get into the CFP, even with a victory Friday night at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif. The Buffaloes (10-2 SU and ATS) held off Utah 27-22 Saturday to clinch their berth in the Pac-12 title game.

“This number could drop, as the wiseguys haven't been big believers of Washington of late, while Colorado continues to impress the college football world,” Lester said. “If the Huskies handle this game with ease, they probably should be in the College Football Playoff.”


ACC Championship Game

Virginia Tech Hokies vs. No. 4 Clemson Tigers (-9.5)

Clemson, which lost to Alabama in the national championship game last year, is looking to book a return trip to the four-team playoff. The Tigers (11-1 SU, 6-6 ATS) wrapped up the regular season with a 56-7 shellacking of South Carolina laying 27 points at home Saturday.

Virginia Tech (9-3 SU, 6-6 ATS) won five of its last six games, but the one it lost – at home to Georgia Tech as a 14-point fave in Week 11 – definitely stung and will have the Hokies on the outside looking in for the CFP, no matter what they do this week. VaTech drubbed Virginia 52-10 as a 19-point chalk Saturday to cap its regular season.

“Which Virginia Tech team is going to show up in this one?” Lester asked. “Clemson has quietly been taking care of business down the stretch, but the Hokies can be a dangerous bunch. We're confident this is a good number for balanced action.”

No. 10 Oklahoma State Cowboys at No. 8 Oklahoma Sooners (-12.5)

Both these squads are coming off bye weeks, and though this is a regular-season game – the Big 12 doesn’t have a conference championship game – it will end up deciding the conference title.

Oklahoma still has an outside shot to squeeze into the CFP, but will need to take care of its in-state rival in the Bedlam Game and hope for some help. Since a home loss to Ohio State, the Sooners (9-2 SU, 5-6 ATS) have ripped off eight straight wins, including a 56-28 road thrashing of West Virginia giving 3.5 points in Week 12.

Oklahoma State (9-2 SU, 7-4 ATS) is riding a seven-game winning streak into this regular-season finale. The Cowboys drubbed Texas Christian 31-6 getting 6.5 points in Week 12.

“Plenty of motivation left for both squads, and obviously a huge rivalry game,” Lester said. “But with the way OU has been covering spreads, we wanted to make this high enough to hopefully attract underdog money. We'll see if the Cowboys can compete, or if they're in the same tier as West Virginia.”

[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 14

Friday, December 2

Colorado @ Washington

Game 305-306
December 2, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
103.274
Washington
114.907
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 11 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 7 1/2
58 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-7 1/2); Over

Ohio @ Western Michigan

Game 303-304
December 2, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ohio
80.126
Western Michigan
95.620
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Michigan
by 15 1/2
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Michigan
by 19
59
Dunkel Pick:
Ohio
(+19); Over




NCAAF
Long Sheet

Week 14

Friday, December 2

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OHIO U (8 - 4) vs. W MICHIGAN (12 - 0) - 12/2/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W MICHIGAN is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
W MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (10 - 2) vs. WASHINGTON (11 - 1) - 12/2/2016, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
COLORADO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
COLORADO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 1-0 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 14

Fri – Dec. 2

Ohio at W Michigan, 7:00 PM ET
Ohio: 9-0 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders
W Michigan: 10-2 ATS in road games against conference opponents

Colorado at Washington, 7:00 PM ET
Colorado: 6-0 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63
Washington: 12-27 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better




NCAAF

Week 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, December 2

7:00 PM
WESTERN MICHIGAN vs. OHIO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Michigan's last 5 games
Western Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Ohio's last 8 games
Ohio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

9:00 PM
COLORADO vs. WASHINGTON
Colorado is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Colorado
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NCAAF

Friday, December 2

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pac-12 Championship Game Betting Preview: Colorado vs Washington
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Quarterback Jake Browning, who leads the conference in passing efficiency (181.6) and touchdown tosses (40), was named the Pac-12 Offensive Player of the Year.

No. 8 Colorado Buffaloes at No. 4 Washington Huskies (-7.5, 58.5)

The sixth Pac-12 Championship Game will feature two first-time participants when Colorado and Washington square off Friday at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif. Ninth-ranked Colorado was the surprise champion of the Pac-12 South after making the biggest single-season turnaround in conference history while the fourth-ranked Huskies nearly ran the table in backing up their status as the preseason North Division favorites.

Washington, of course, has its sights set much higher – namely a spot in the four-team College Football Playoff – and the Huskies moved to No. 4 in the CFP rankings released Tuesday night. Quarterback Jake Browning, who leads the conference in passing efficiency (181.6) and touchdown tosses (40), was named the Pac-12 Offensive Player of the Year, but coach Chris Petersen’s crew also possesses the conference’s top scoring defense at 17.8 points allowed per contest. “You don’t win a bunch of games year after year unless you have a quality, championship-level defense,” Petersen told the media earlier this week. “When it comes down to championships you have to play a high level of defense.” Meanwhile, at No. 8 in the CFP rankings and more than a touchdown underdog Friday, the odds are once again stacked against Colorado, prompting quarterback Sefo Liufau to tell reporters: “I don’t think anyone is picking us to win, I don’t think anyone wants us to win and that’s totally OK. We know what we’re capable of. … We just have to go out and play.”

TV: 9 p.m. ET, FOX.

LINE HISTORY: The Huskies opened as 7-point favorites and was quickly bet up half-point to -7.5 and has remained there since Monday morning. The total opened at 58 and by midweek inched up to 58.5. Check out the complete line history here.

WHAT BOOKS SAY: ‘This is a huge game for Washington and their CFP chances. We opened Washington as a 7 point favourite and within a couple of hours we moved it to -7.5, where we currently sit and seeing solid two way action with just over 60% of the action on Washington to cover.’

INJURY REPORT:

Colorado - DB Ankello Witherspoon (probable, leg), DB Jaisen Sanchez (questionable, knee), OL Gerrad Kough (questionable, ankle), WR Bryce Bobo (questionable, leg), LB Christian Shaver (out, suspension), DE Jaleel Awini (out, suspension), TE Chris Hill (out, suspension)

Washington - LB Keishawn Bierria (probable, leg), WR Brayden Lenius (questionable, undisclosed)

WEATHER REPORT: It should be a beautiful night for football at Levi Stadium. The forecast is calling for clear skies with temperatures in the low 40’s at kick off. There will be a slight wind of five mph coming from the northeast and gusts at 8 mph.

ABOUT COLORADO (10-2 SU, 10-2 ATS, 5-7 O/U): After setting a conference record with their seven-game conference improvement – they were 1-8 a year ago – Buffaloes coach Mike MacIntyre was an easy choice for Pac-12 Coach of the Year. Liufau missed three starts due to a midseason ankle injury but still ranks fourth in Pac-12 total offense (263.3 yards per game) and is complemented nicely by All-Pac-12 second-team running back Phillip Lindsay (fourth in the conference with 94.7 rushing yards per game). Linebacker Jimmie Gilbert (team-most nine sacks and 12 tackles for loss) was the only All-Pac-12 first-team defensive selection for Colorado, which leads the league in total (323.8 yards surrendered) and pass defense (187.8 yards).

ABOUT WASHINGTON (11-1 SU, 6-6 ATS, 8-3-1 O/U): The Huskies had a conference-most nine first-team All-Pac 12 selections with running back Myles Gaskin (second in the conference at 98.3 yards per outing) and wideout John Ross (second with 89.2 receiving yards) among the honorees. It’s little surprise, then, that Washington is the conference’s highest-scoring team with 44.8 points per game and has scored 31 or more in all of its wins. Four Huskies appear on the All-Pac-12 first-team defense, including safety Budda Baker (61 total stops, team-most nine tackles for loss) and defensive tackle Elijah Qualls (five tackles for loss, three sacks).

TRENDS:

* Buffaloes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
* Buffaloes are 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
* Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
* Under is 6-1 in Buffaloes last 7 neutral site games.
* Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

CONSENSUS: 47 percent of users are taking the road dog while 69 percent favor the over in this battle of Pac-12 rivals.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

College football four-point stance: Championship Week pointspread picks and predictions

After another winning week Joe Fortenbaugh heads into Championship Week 28-23-1 ATS (54.9%) with his college football picks.

Mike MacIntyre and the Buffaloes have put together a remarkable 10-2 season that has landed Colorado in its first-ever Pac-12 Championship game.

Too bad it comes against an absolutely loaded Washington Huskies program.

Since sustaining a wakeup call against USC in the form of a 26-13 upset loss back on November 12, head coach Chris Petersen and the Huskies have utterly decimated the competition by way of a 44-18 annihilation of Arizona State and 45-17 drubbing of a high-powered Washington State squad. And with a spot in the four-team playoff just sixty minutes away, look for Washington to put together one of its best performances of the season against a Colorado team that, while aggressive and well-prepared, is still somewhat lacking in the talent department.

Two key trends to keep in mind for Friday night’s Pac-12 championship game at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California are as follows: Colorado is 0-6 ATS over its last six meetings with Washington, while the favorite in this series has covered the number in each of the last four encounters between these two programs.

Between a smart and capable quarterback in Jake Browning, a top-flight, ball-hawking defense and one of the country’s best special teams units, it will be Washington early and often Friday night in Santa Clara.

Pick: Washington -7.5


AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP

Temple Owls at Navy Midshipmen

When: Saturday, December 3 at 12:00 p.m. ET
Spread: Navy -3

Temple boss Matt Rhule is no doubt on his way to a more lucrative and higher profile coaching gig within the next few seasons based on the exceptional work he has performed over the last four years in North Philadelphia by taking the Owls from 2-10 in 2013 to 6-6 in 2014 to 10-4 last year to an impressive 9-3 this season with 11 consecutive point spread covers. That opening sentence was certainly a mouthful, but it’s only the tip of the iceberg when it comes to acknowledging the remarkable job Rhule has done with this program.

Navy, however, offers the Owls their stiffest test of the season due, in large part, to an offense that is averaging a robust 49.1 points per game over its last seven outings, with five point spread covers in the process.

However, be advised that Temple is 37-18 ATS over its last 55 road dates and 24-8 ATS over its last 32 conference showdowns. And if that wasn’t enough to earn your trust, try this trend on for size: Over the last eight meetings between these two schools, Temple is 6-2 ATS, including 4-1 ATS over its last five trips to Navy.

Pick: Temple +3


Kansas State Wildcats at TCU Horned Frogs

When: Saturday, December 3 at 12:00 p.m. ET
Spread: TCU -4.5

The key to this game lies in the result of last week’s showdown between TCU and Texas in which the Horned Frogs emerged victorious by way of a 31-9 thumping over the Longhorns that brought an official close to the Charlie Strong era in Austin.

So why, exactly, does that game matter in regards to this week’s encounter between TCU and Kansas State?

Simple. TCU’s win over Texas gave the program its sixth victory of the season, so the pressure is off the Horned Frogs as bowl eligibility has officially been secured. Second, be advised that TCU is a horrific 1-7 ATS over its last eight games after playing Texas. So not only could the Horned Frogs enter this game with a bit of a complacent attitude, but history has shown us that this school performs very poorly against the spread the week after playing the Longhorns.

Not only that, but don’t forget to take into account the fact that TCU is 3-8 ATS over its last 11 games overall, 2-6 ATS over its last eight conference showdowns and 0-6 ATS over its last six home dates. So with that in mind, we’ll go ahead and side with Bill Snyder’s Wildcats, who are 19-7-1 ATS over their last 27 road games against teams with a winning home record.

Pick: Kansas State +4.5


BEDLAM

Oklahoma State Cowboys at Oklahoma Sooners

When: Saturday, December 3 at 12:30 p.m. ET
Spread: Oklahoma -11

The year’s installment of “Bedlam” will determine the winner of the Big 12 championship despite the fact that this boneheaded regime is the only Power Five conference in the country lacking a proper championship game.

And the Big 12 continues to wonder why nobody takes them seriously.

Anyway, back to the issue at hand: This is a revenge game pure and simple for an Oklahoma State program that was trashed on its home turf by the Sooners last season in the form of a 58-23 embarrassment. Don’t think for one second that Mike Gundy’s crew, who would be 10-1 straight-up if the officials hadn’t robbed them of a win over Central Michigan back on September 10, has forgotten about that humiliating performance. Additionally, take note that in Gundy’s last two trips to Norman, his Cowboys have defeated the Sooners 38-35 in overtime (2014) and come up just short 51-48 in overtime (2012).

The pertinent trends for this matchup are as follows: Oklahoma State is 4-1 ATS over its last five games overall and 10-1 ATS over its last 11 games after recording more than 200 rushing yards in the previous outing, while Oklahoma is 1-5 ATS over its last six games following an ATS win. Additionally, be advised that the road team has covered the number in each of the last four meetings between these two programs.

Pick: Oklahoma State +11


SEC CHAMPIONSHIP

Florida Gators at Alabama Crimson Tide

When: Saturday, December 3 at 4:00 p.m. ET
Spread: Alabama -24

After a 6-1 start to the 2016 season, Florida’s last four outings have left a lot to be desired, as the Gators were thumped by Arkansas 31-10 as 3.5-point favorites, snuck past a lousy 6-6 South Carolina squad 20-7, got extremely lucky in a 16-10 win at LSU and then found itself on the wrong end of an ass-kicking at Florida State 31-13. So you can excuse us if we commence our evaluation of this week’s matchup with Alabama by casting a suspicious eye on Jim McElwain’s Gators.

Speaking of McElwain, guess who is rumored to be a coveted candidate for the newly available head coaching gig at Oregon? Yep, that would be McElwain. And that would also be an interesting distraction for a Gators team that is prepping for its most dangerous opponent of the season.

As for Alabama, what can be said about this squad that hasn’t already been said about Nick Saban’s other championship-caliber Crimson Tide teams? The Tide are 5-1 ATS over their last six conference games and 12-4 ATS over their last 16 showdowns against teams with a winning record.

And let’s not forget the fact that Alabama is a stupendous 9-2-1 ATS over its last 12 matchups with the Florida Gators.

Pick: Alabama -24


Last week: 2-1-1 ATS
Season: 28-23-1 ATS (.549)

[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 14

Saturday, December 3

315 UL-LaFayette/316 UL-Monroe will be posted whenever Dunkel adds it.

Penn State @ Wisconsin

Game 333-334
December 3, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Penn State
107.380
Wisconsin
106.421
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Penn State
by 1
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wisconsin
by 3
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Penn State
(+3); Under

Virginia Tech @ Clemson

Game 331-332
December 3, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Virginia Tech
104.020
Clemson
104.760
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Clemson
by 1
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Clemson
by 10 1/2
58
Dunkel Pick:
Virginia Tech
(+10 1/2); Over

San Diego St @ Wyoming

Game 329-330
December 3, 2016 @ 7:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego St
89.528
Wyoming
78.823
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego St
by 11
70
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego St
by 6 1/2
62
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego St
(-6 1/2); Over

Florida @ Alabama

Game 327-328
December 3, 2016 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida
93.281
Alabama
123.119
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Alabama
by 30
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Alabama
by 24
40 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Alabama
(-24); Over

Temple @ Navy

Game 325-326
December 3, 2016 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Temple
100.706
Navy
98.441
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Temple
by 2 1/2
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Navy
by 3
62
Dunkel Pick:
Temple
(+3); Over

Louisiana Tech @ Western Kentucky

Game 323-324
December 3, 2016 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Louisiana Tech
92.176
Western Kentucky
96.750
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Kentucky
by 4 1/2
75
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Kentucky
by 10 1/2
82
Dunkel Pick:
Louisiana Tech
(+10 1/2); Under

Georgia State @ Idaho

Game 321-322
December 3, 2016 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia State
68.651
Idaho
80.780
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Idaho
by 12
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Idaho
by 6
53
Dunkel Pick:
Idaho
(-6); Under

Arkansas St @ Texas State

Game 319-320
December 3, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arkansas St
78.548
Texas State
59.976
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arkansas St
by 18 1/2
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arkansas St
by 23 1/2
54
Dunkel Pick:
Texas State
(+23 1/2); Over

Oklahoma State @ Oklahoma

Game 317-318
December 3, 2016 @ 12:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma State
106.461
Oklahoma
114.281
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma
by 8
82
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma
by 11 1/2
77 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma State
(+11 1/2); Over

Troy @ Georgia Southern

Game 313-314
December 3, 2016 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Troy
82.844
Georgia Southern
71.400
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Troy
by 11 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Troy
by 7
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Troy
(-7); Under

New Mexico St @ South Alabama

Game 311-312
December 3, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Mexico St
59.500
South Alabama
78.447
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Alabama
by 19
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Alabama
by 12
58
Dunkel Pick:
South Alabama
(-12); Under

Kansas State @ Texas Tech

Game 309-310
December 3, 2016 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas State
98.326
Texas Tech
99.762
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas Tech
by 1 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas Tech
by 4 1/2
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas State
(+4 1/2); Under

Baylor @ West Virginia

Game 307-308
December 3, 2016 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baylor
83.971
West Virginia
103.524
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
West Virginia
by 19 1/2
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
West Virginia
by 17
68 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
West Virginia
(-17); Under

[Udog]

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Week 14

Saturday, December 3

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BAYLOR (6 - 5) at W VIRGINIA (9 - 2) - 12/3/2016, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games this season.
BAYLOR is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
W VIRGINIA is 1-1 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 1-1 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS ST (7 - 4) at TCU (6 - 5) - 12/3/2016, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 70-48 ATS (+17.2 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 117-83 ATS (+25.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 144-109 ATS (+24.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 113-83 ATS (+21.7 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
TCU is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games this season.
TCU is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home lined games this season.
TCU is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
TCU is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TCU is 1-1 against the spread versus KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW MEXICO ST (3 - 8) at S ALABAMA (5 - 6) - 12/3/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO ST is 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) in a road game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 85-118 ATS (-44.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 40-68 ATS (-34.8 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 29-47 ATS (-22.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
S ALABAMA is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
S ALABAMA is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
S ALABAMA is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
S ALABAMA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
S ALABAMA is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
S ALABAMA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.
S ALABAMA is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TROY (9 - 2) at GA SOUTHERN (4 - 7) - 12/3/2016, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TROY is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
GA SOUTHERN is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games this season.
GA SOUTHERN is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
GA SOUTHERN is 2-0 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
GA SOUTHERN is 2-0 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAFAYETTE (5 - 6) at LA MONROE (4 - 7) - 12/3/2016, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAFAYETTE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
LA MONROE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA MONROE is 1-1 against the spread versus LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
LA LAFAYETTE is 2-0 straight up against LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA ST (9 - 2) at OKLAHOMA (9 - 2) - 12/3/2016, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 53-33 ATS (+16.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA is 1-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 1-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARKANSAS ST (6 - 5) at TEXAS ST (2 - 9) - 12/3/2016, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS ST is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS ST is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS ST is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS ST is 1-1 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS ST is 1-1 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGIA ST (3 - 8) at IDAHO (7 - 4) - 12/3/2016, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
IDAHO is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
IDAHO is 29-53 ATS (-29.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
IDAHO is 29-53 ATS (-29.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
IDAHO is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 since 1992.
IDAHO is 20-40 ATS (-24.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
IDAHO is 28-47 ATS (-23.7 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
IDAHO is 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
IDAHO is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games in dome games since 1992.
IDAHO is 62-88 ATS (-34.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOUISIANA TECH (8 - 4) at W KENTUCKY (9 - 3) - 12/3/2016, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W KENTUCKY is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
W KENTUCKY is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
LOUISIANA TECH is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISIANA TECH is 2-1 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
LOUISIANA TECH is 2-1 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEMPLE (9 - 3) at NAVY (9 - 2) - 12/3/2016, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NAVY is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NAVY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NAVY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NAVY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NAVY is 41-21 ATS (+17.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NAVY is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
NAVY is 103-67 ATS (+29.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NAVY is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
TEMPLE is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games this season.
TEMPLE is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
TEMPLE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
TEMPLE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.
TEMPLE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
TEMPLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
TEMPLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
TEMPLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NAVY is 1-0 against the spread versus TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
NAVY is 1-0 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLORIDA (8 - 3) vs. ALABAMA (12 - 0) - 12/3/2016, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
ALABAMA is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
ALABAMA is 52-28 ATS (+21.2 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
FLORIDA is 71-47 ATS (+19.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
FLORIDA is 81-56 ATS (+19.4 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
FLORIDA is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) in games played on a neutral field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ALABAMA is 1-1 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN DIEGO ST (9 - 3) at WYOMING (8 - 4) - 12/3/2016, 7:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO ST is 35-56 ATS (-26.6 Units) revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.
SAN DIEGO ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WYOMING is 1-1 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
WYOMING is 1-1 straight up against SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIRGINIA TECH (9 - 3) vs. CLEMSON (11 - 1) - 12/3/2016, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PENN ST (10 - 2) vs. WISCONSIN (10 - 2) - 12/3/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday this season.
PENN ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
PENN ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
PENN ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 14

Sat – Dec. 3

Baylor at W Virginia, 7:30 PM ET
Baylor: 2-10 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games
W Virginia: 11-3 UNDER off a win against a conference rival

Kansas State at TCU, 12:00 PM ET
Kansas St: 33-16 ATS after having won 4 out of their last 5
TCU: 0-6 ATS in games played on a grass field

New Mexico State at South Alabama, 1:00 PM ET
New Mexico St: 14-39 ATS off a home loss
S Alabama: 7-4 ATS after allowing 24 points or more in the first half last game

Troy at Georgia Southern, 12:00 PM ET
Troy: 16-6 ATS in road games after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game
Georgia S: 0-6 ATS after playing their last game on the road

UL Lafayette at UL Monroe, 3:00 PM ET
UL Lafayette: 10-2 ATS in road games after playing a conference game
UL Monroe: 5-15 ATS when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest

Oklahoma State at Oklahoma, 12:30 PM ET
Oklahoma St: 53-33 ATS after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins
Oklahoma: 18-8 OVER against conference opponents

Arkansas State at Texas State, 7:30 PM ET
Arkansas St: 14-4 ATS after gaining 325 or more passing yards in last game
Texas St: 4-13 ATS as an underdog

Georgia State at Idaho, 5:00 PM ET
Georgia St: 10-1 ATS in road lined games
Idaho: 3-16 ATS after a home game where both teams score 31 or more points

Louisiana Tech at Western Kentucky, 12:00 PM ET
Louisiana Tech: 12-3 ATS off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite
W Kentucky: 9-1 OVER off a road win

Temple at Navy, 12:00 PM ET
Temple: 9-1 ATS as an underdog
Navy: 17-6 UNDER after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games

Florida at Alabama, 4:00 PM ET
Florida: 9-1 UNDER after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games
Alabama: 12-1 ATS off 2 home no-covers where the team won as a favorite

San Diego State at Wyoming, 7:45 PM ET
San Diego St: 23-10 ATS in road games off a loss against a conference rival
Wyoming: 17-34 ATS after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers

Virginia Tech at Clemson, 8:00 PM ET
Virginia Tech: 17-7 UNDER against conference opponents
Clemson: 8-1 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread

Penn State at Wisconsin, 8:00 PM ET
Penn St: 7-0 ATS off a win against a conference rival
Wisconsin: 6-0 UNDER off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite

[Udog]

NCAAF

Week 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, December 3

12:00 PM
TEMPLE vs. NAVY
Temple is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Temple's last 6 games
Navy is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Temple
Navy is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Temple

12:00 PM
KANSAS STATE vs. TCU
Kansas State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas State's last 5 games
TCU is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games at home
TCU is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games

12:00 PM
LOUISIANA TECH vs. WESTERN KENTUCKY
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Louisiana Tech's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana Tech's last 6 games on the road
Western Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Western Kentucky's last 7 games

12:00 PM
TROY vs. GA SOUTHERN
Troy is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Troy is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ga Southern's last 5 games at home
Ga Southern is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games at home

12:30 PM
OKLAHOMA STATE vs. OKLAHOMA
Oklahoma State is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Oklahoma
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma State's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma's last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma State
Oklahoma is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma State

1:00 PM
NEW MEXICO STATE vs. SOUTH ALABAMA
The total has gone OVER in 20 of New Mexico State's last 25 games on the road
New Mexico State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of South Alabama's last 13 games at home
South Alabama is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

3:00 PM
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE vs. LOUISIANA-MONROE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 5 games when playing Louisiana-Monroe
Louisiana-Lafayette is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Louisiana-Monroe is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Louisiana-Lafayette
Louisiana-Monroe is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

3:30 PM
BAYLOR vs. WEST VIRGINIA
Baylor is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Baylor is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of West Virginia's last 18 games at home
West Virginia is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games

4:00 PM
ALABAMA vs. FLORIDA
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Alabama's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games when playing Alabama
Florida is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games

5:00 PM
GEORGIA STATE vs. IDAHO
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Georgia State's last 17 games
Georgia State is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Idaho's last 6 games at home
Idaho is 5-12-1 ATS in its last 18 games at home

7:30 PM
ARKANSAS STATE vs. TEXAS STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Arkansas State's last 9 games
Arkansas State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas State's last 8 games at home
Texas State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home

7:45 PM
SAN DIEGO STATE vs. WYOMING
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego State's last 6 games on the road
San Diego State is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wyoming's last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego State
Wyoming is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Diego State

8:00 PM
WISCONSIN vs. PENN STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Wisconsin's last 23 games
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Penn State's last 5 games
Penn State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
CLEMSON vs. VIRGINIA TECH
Clemson is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games
Clemson is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Virginia Tech is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Virginia Tech's last 7 games when playing Clemson


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 14

Friday’s games
MAC title game, Detroit
Western Michigan/Ohio didn’t play this year; Broncos hammered Ohio 49-14 LY, running ball for 430 yards. WMU is 12-0 this year; they won their opener 22-21 at Northwestern, rest of their wins have been by 16+ points. Broncos are 2-3 vs spread when laying 17+ points. Ohio U won four of last five games after a 4-3 start; they covered both games as an underdog this season. Bobcats are 0-4 when they allow 27+ points, 8-0 when they allow less. Western scored 34+ in each of their last ten games. Ohio is in MAC title game for first time in five years; they’re 0-3 (2-1 vs spread) in this game. Broncos are in this game for first time since 2000. Under is 9-1-1 in Ohio U games, 1-4 in last five WMU games.

Pac-12 title game, Santa Clara
Colorado is having a dream season, winning its last six games- their losses are at Michigan (45-28), USC (21-17). Buffs were 27-71 last 8 years, are 10-2 this year, covering all four games as an underdog. Washington covered only two of last six games but is 3-1 vs spread as a single digit favorite this year; their only loss was at home to USC three weeks ago. Huskies are 5-0 on road, scoring 49.4 pts/game. Teams last met in 2014; Huskies won that game 38-23. Under is 6-2 in last eight Colorado games, 3-0 in Washington’s last three. Both teams are in Pac-12 title game for first time. This is Washington’s first game on natural grass this year; Colorado split a pair on grass, winning 10-5 at Stanford, losing 21-17 at USC.

[Udog]

NCAAF

Friday, December 2

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAC Championship Game Betting Preview: Western Michigan vs Ohio
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The No. 14 Western Michigan Broncos join No. 1 Alabama as the only unbeaten teams in the nation and are winners of 14 straight overall.

No. 17 Western Michigan vs Ohio (18.5, 59.5)

Western Michigan attempts to nail down a spot in the Cotton Bowl when it takes on Ohio in the Mid-American Conference championship game at Ford Field in Detroit on Friday night. The No. 14 Broncos, who join No. 1 Alabama as the only unbeaten teams in the nation and are winners of 14 straight overall, play in the championship game for the first time since losing in 1999 and 2000.

“For us to go there and to become 1-0 in the Ohio season is our only focus,” Western Michigan coach P.J. Fleck told reporters. “There’s no other focus. We’re not here to state a case, we’re just going to play football. We’re going to let our play talk for itself and hopefully come out with a victory.”

The Broncos boast one of the most efficient quarterbacks in the nation in senior Zach Terrell and senior receiver Corey Davis, who gained more yards than anyone in FBS history through the air. Ohio took the MAC East for the first time since 2011 after winning four of its final five games and looks to win its first championship game.

“Our guys have accepted challenges all year long, and they’ll accept this one,” Bobcats coach Frank Solich told reporters. “They’ll play hard, and if we play well we believe it’ll be a very good football game.”

TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN2.

LINE HISTORY: Western Michigan opened as big 18-point favorites over Toledo, that number rose to 19 mid-week and faded back to 18.5 as of Friday morning. The total opened 58.5 and has been bet up to 59. View the complete line history here.

INJURY REPORT:

Western Michigan - S Justin Ferguson (out for season, ankle)

Ohio - S Greg Wyndham (questionable, ankle), S Mayne Williams (questionable, head), WR Andrew Meyer (questionable, undisclosed), DL Tony Porter (questionable, foot), OL Jared McCray (questionable, undisclosed)

WEATHER REPORT: Dome

WHAT BOOKS SAY: 'We opened Western Michigan as a 18 point favourite and it was quickly bet up to -19 a few hours later. Western Michigan still sits at -19 with over 80% of the action. As for the total we opened at 57 and with over 90% of the action coming in on the OVER we have moved all the way up to a 60 point total.'

ABOUT WESTERN MICHIGAN (12-0 SU, 9-3 ATS, 7-5 O/U): Terrell completes 71.7 percent of his passes for 3,086 yards and 30 touchdown strikes while being intercepted once and running for another six scores. Davis broke the all-time receiving yards record last week in the 55-35 victory over Toledo and boasts 83 catches this season for 1,283 yards and 17 touchdowns. Junior Jarvion Franklin is a consistent force on the ground with 1,266 yards rushing to go along with 12 touchdowns and sophomore Jamauri Bogan ran for 198 last week after missing two games with an ankle injury.

ABOUT OHIO (8-4 SU, 6-6 ATS, 1-10-1 O/U): The Bobcats are fifth in the nation rushing defense, allowing 105.1 yards per game, led by senior linebacker Blair Brown (105 tackles) and junior linebacker Quentin Poling (95). Ohio also topped the MAC in sacks with 41 as senior defensive lineman Tarell Basham posted 11 of them and that group must put pressure on Terrell. The Bobcats were in the middle of the pack in total offense, but senior receiver Sebastian Smith has 49 catches for 820 yards and senior quarterback Greg Windham (leg) could return after missing the last three games.

TRENDS:

* Broncos are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
* Bobcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
* Over is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 games following a ATS win.
* Under is 6-0 in Bobcats last 6 games following a ATS loss.
* Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

CONSENSUS: 54 percent of users are picking the double-digit dog and the over Over is getting 62 percent.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NCAAF

Saturday, December 3

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NCAAF Game of the Day: Oklahoma State at Oklahoma
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Bedlam meetings. Oklahoma State is currently an 11-popint road dog.

No. 10 Oklahoma State Cowboys at No. 9 Oklahoma Sooners (-10, 81.5)

Bedlam takes on a larger meaning with the Big 12 championship at stake, though both Oklahoma and Oklahoma State will need a win and plenty of chaos ahead of them in order to sneak into a College Football Playoff spot. The seventh-ranked Sooners attempt to polish off an undefeated conference slate and add another top-10 win to their resume when they host rival 10th-ranked Oklahoma State on Saturday.

Oklahoma's losses in two of the first three games are haunting the team in the rankings, and the selection committee isn't seeing enough from the No. 2 scoring offense (45.3 points) in the country to vault the Sooners over four Big Ten teams, two Pac-12 teams, Alabama and Clemson ahead of them in the standings.

The Cowboys' case for inclusion in the final four includes the hope that the committee will consider that its 30-27 loss at home to Central Michigan in Week 2 should not be counted against their record because the Chippewas never should have been awarded the final play on which they scored the game-winning TD. But both teams know that they won't have any case for inclusion at all without a win on Saturday.

"Our goal is to win a conference championship," Oklahoma State coach Mike Gundy told reporters. "We've always felt like if we won a conference championship, that would give us an opportunity to get to the playoff. A couple of years ago, we took the computer out and went to the human element because we didn't want the computer to make decisions. We want humans to make decisions. I will address my opinion on the playoff system next week because it doesn't matter until we play this game."

TV: 12:30 p.m. ET, FOX.

LINE HISTORY: The Sooners opened the week as 13.5-point home favorites over their in-state rivals from Oklahoma State. The spread has been faded down o 11 late in the week. The total hit the board at 77.5 and has held firm. Check out the complete line history here.

INJURY REPORT:

Oklahoma State - DE Jordan Brailford (questionable, leg)

Oklahoma - DB Will Johnson (out, undisclosed), RB Devin Montgomery (questionable, head), OL Bobby Evans (probable, hamstring)

WEATHER REPORT: The forecast is calling for clouds with a little rain at Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium in Norman, Oklahoma. Temperatures will be in the high 40’s with winds from the north east ranging from 9-13 mph.

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "The Cowboys limited TCU to a mere six points last time out, a dominant defensive effort. The Sooners weren't as stingy but weren't terrible defensively either; they held WVU to 28 points. Not bad considering that the Mountaineers came in averaging 32.6 ppg and 506.8 ypg at home. Even including the 12/6/14 meeting between these teams here, which produced 71 points, the Sooners have seen the "under" go 16-4 their last 20 games played in the month of December."

ABOUT OKLAHOMA STATE (9-2 SU, 7-4 ATS, 7-4 O/U): The Cowboys were bidding for a spot in the Playoff last season before dropping their final two regular season games, including a 58-23 home loss to the Sooners. "We're a healthier football team now," Gundy told reporters of the big difference between the team this year and last. "I feel like our mental approach with our team and their mental approach is different this year than what it was last year. We were a little bit beat up at this time last season." Quarterback Mason Rudolph was hobbled by a foot injury and only available on a limited basis in last season's meeting but is fully healthy now and enters the weekend second in the Big 12 in passing yards (3,591) and third in TD passes (25).

ABOUT OKLAHOMA (9-2 SU, 5-6 ATS, 6-5 O/U): Ahead of Rudolph in TD passes in the Big 12 is Sooners quarterback Baker Mayfield, who owns 35 scoring passes along with six rushing TDs and guides an offense averaging 49 points in conference play. Mayfield ran for a pair of TDs in a 56-28 triumph at West Virginia last week as Oklahoma piled up 316 yards on the ground, with Samaje Perine (160 yards, two TDs) and Joe Mixon (147 yards, one TD) leading the way. "I’m just here to win games,” Mayfield told reporters. "And if I’m handing off, that’s fine with me."

TRENDS:

* Cowboys are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
* Sooners are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
* Over is 4-1-1 in Cowboys last 6 games following a bye week.
* Over is 5-1-1 in Sooners last 7 games following a bye week.
* Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.

CONSENSUS: 65 percent of users are taking the road dog while 66 percent prefer the over in this battle of Big 12 rivals.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NCAAF

Saturday, December 3

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEC Championship Game Betting Preview: Alabama vs Florida
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Alabama is 9-2-1 ATS in its last 12 games vs. Florida, but face big 24-point chalk in the SEC Championship Game.

No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide vs No. 15 Florida Gators (24, 41)

Top-ranked Alabama has such a cushion in the College Football Playoff rankings that it will qualify for the four-team national championship competition even if it should lose to No. 16 Florida in Saturday's SEC Championship Game at Atlanta. Crimson Tide coach Nick Saban grows irate at such a suggestion and is fully focused on guiding the squad to its third consecutive conference crown.

Alabama, which has won 24 consecutive games, is the only undefeated team from a major conference and is considered a shoo-in to be part of the playoff but Saban got testy when he fielded a question about being in regardless of the outcome. "That's certainly not the mindset that we want on our team," Saban told reporters at a press conference. "This is a big game for us. It's an opportunity to win the SEC championship, which to me is a very, very significant accomplishment. We hold that in very high esteem, having the ability to do that, having the opportunity to do it, having the ability to play for it." It would certainly rate as a huge upset if the Gators were to win the game and coach Jim McElwain - a former Alabama offensive coordinator - understands the history of the matchup. "These are two storied programs that year-in and year-out expect to be in Atlanta," McElwain told reporters. "Part of that is a mindset and an understanding, and the players who come to these schools have the expectation to always play that extra game in December, and this year is no different."

TV: 4 p.m. ET, CBS

LINE HISTORY: The line opened with Bama as massive 22-point favourites and that number has been rising all week to 24. The total hit the board at 40 and has been bet up to 41. Check out the complete line history here.

WEATHER REPORT: Dome

INJURY REPORT:

Alabama - DB Marlon Humphrey (questionable, undisclosed)

Florida - OL Martez Ivey (probable, leg), LB Daniel McMillan (doubtful, shoulder), DB Duke Dawson (doubtful, ankle), WR Rick Wells (questionable, personal), WR Kalif Jackson (questionable, foot), LB Jeremiah Moon (questionable, thumb), DL Justus Reed (questionable, undisclosed), WR C.J. Horton (questionable, ankle), OL Tyler Jordan (questionable, ankle), WR Ahmad Fulwood (probable, undisclosed), OL Jawaan Taylor (doubtful, undisclosed), LB Jarrad Davis (probable, ankle), DL Bryan Cox Jr, (doubtful, ankle), DB Nick Washington (doubtful, ankle), DL Jordan Sherit (out for season, knee)

ABOUT ALABAMA (12-0 SU, 8-4 ATS, 5-7 O/U): Senior defensive end Jonathan Allen (seven sacks, two fumble return touchdowns) is the only defensive player among the five Walter Camp Player of the Year finalists and he is leader of a defense that ranks first nationally in scoring defense (11.4 points per game), total defense (246.8 yards per game) and rushing defense (68.7). Sophomore Marlon Humphrey (leg) is ailing but Saban feels he will recover in time to play, and the cornerback is a standout in a secondary that is receiving superb play from sophomore strong safety Minkah Fitzpatrick (team-high four interceptions). Freshman quarterback Jalen Hurts paces the offense by accounting for 32 total touchdowns (20 passing, 12 rushing) while passing for 2,425 yards and rushing for 840.

ABOUT FLORIDA (8-3 SU, 4-6-1 ATS, 3-8 O/U): The Gators rank fifth in scoring defense (14.6) and sixth in total defense (291.9) but will be without six starters, including standouts such as senior linebacker Jarrad Davis (ankle), junior linebacker Alex Anzalone (arm), junior defensive end Jordan Sherit (knee) and senior safety Marcus Maye (arm). Sophomore quarterback Luke Del Rio (shoulder) will be available only in an emergency so senior Austin Appleby (964 yards, six touchdowns, two interceptions) will again be under center for an offense averaging just 16.3 points in his last three starts. Sophomore running back Jordan Scarlett has rushed for 778 yards and six touchdowns, while junior cornerback Teez Tabor has a team-best four interceptions.

TRENDS:

* Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
* Gators are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
* Under is 4-0 in Crimson Tide last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
* Under is 5-0 in Gators last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
* Crimson Tide are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings.

CONSENSUS: 61 percent of users are taking the underdog Gators and 61 percent prefer the over in the SEC title game.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NCAAF

Saturday, December 3

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ACC Championship Game Betting Preview: Clemson vs Virginia Tech
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Clemson is 7-0 ATS in its last seven neutral site games and is currently a 10.5-point fave for the ACC Championship Game.

No. 3 Clemson Tigers vs No. 23 Virginia Tech Hokies (10, 58.5)

Third-ranked Clemson’s goal of making it to the College Football Playoff for a second consecutive year is within reach if it can take care of No. 18 Virginia Tech in the ACC championship game in Orlando, Fla on Saturday. The Tigers are trying to win back-to-back ACC titles for the first time since 1987-88, while the Hokies are looking for their first conference crown since 2010 and first 10-win season since 2011.

The Tigers have had a singular focus since a 45-40 loss to Alabama in last year’s national championship game and, despite a 43-42 setback against Pittsburgh three weeks ago, they’ve put themselves in position to earn another shot. "These guys have embraced that target all year long, and they've found ways to win,” Clemson coach Dabo Swinney told reporters. “And now as we get into this run here, we're playing our best football, and that's what we need to be doing. This is the best team I've had since I've been here." First-year coach Justin Fuente quickly has revived Virginia Tech following back-to-back 7-6 seasons. Three of the Hokies’ last four wins have been by three points, but they’re coming off a 52-10 rout of rival Virginia on Saturday.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ABC

LINE HISTORY: The Tigers opened the week as 9.5-point favourites and that line was quickly dropped half-point before rebounding and being bumped up to 10. The total opened at 58 and jumped to 59, before fading to 58.5 late in the week. Check out the complete history here.

WEATHER REPORT: The forecast for Camping World Stadium is calling for partly sunny skies, winds out of the north east ranging from 5-10 mph and temperatures in the mid 70’s.

INJURY REPORT:

Clemson - CB Adrian Baker (questionable, knee), OT Jake Fruhmorgen (questionable, shoulder), OL John Simpson (questionable, leg), DE Richard Yeargin (questionable, knee)

Virginia Tech - DB Greg Stroman (questionable, ankle)

ABOUT CLEMSON (11-1 SU, 6-6 ATS, 6-6 O/U): Star quarterback Deshaun Watson got off to a somewhat sluggish start this season but has returned to form recently and threw six touchdown passes against South Carolina, including three to Mike Williams. Running back Wayne Gallman also has come to life of late, racking up 273 yards and three scores over the last two games after failing to reach the 100-yard plateau in his previous four contests. The Tigers’ strong defense thrives on getting into the backfield, ranking second nationally in tackles for loss (8.7) and fourth in sacks (3.5).

ABOUT VIRGINIA TECH (9-3 SU, 6-6 ATS, 7-5 O/U): The Hokies’ resurgence has been built on a hard-nosed defense, much like the Virginia Tech teams that enjoyed success under long-time coach Frank Beamer. The Hokies are especially tough against the pass and have produced 17 takeaways in their nine wins. The offense is fueled by junior-college transfer quarterback Jerod Evans, who quietly has put up Heisman-like numbers, completing 63.8 percent of his passes for 3,045 yards with 26 touchdowns and five interceptions while adding 713 yards and eight TDs on the ground.

TRENDS:

* Tigers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games.
* Hokies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
* Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
* Over is 4-0-1 in Hokies last 5 neutral site games.
* Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

CONSENSUS: The public is backing the Tigers in the ACC title game, with 53 percent of the wagers. As for the total, 65 percent of users like the Over.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NCAAF

Saturday, December 3

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Big Ten Championship Game Betting Preview: Penn State vs Wisconsin
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Penn State is 7-0-1 ATS during its eight game winning streak and arer currently 3-point dogs for the Big Ten Championship Game.

No. 7 Penn State Nittany Lions vs No. 6 Wisconsin Badgers (-3, 47)

In a game that could be decided by who is not on the field rather than who is, a Big Ten title and possible berth in the College Football Playoff is on the line when No. 6 Wisconsin meets eighth-ranked Penn State on Saturday at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. Badgers quarterback Alex Hornibrook is questionable after suffering a concussion in the first half of last week's win over Minnesota, while Nittany Lions star runner Saquon Barkley (1,219 yards and 15 touchdowns) sprained his ankle in the second half of last week's 45-12 rout of Michigan State that secured the Big Ten East.

In order to gain a berth in the College Football Playoff, the winner will likely need a loss or two from No. 4 Washington and No. 3 Clemson in their respective conference title games, although an idle Michigan sits at No. 5 with wins over both Wisconsin and Penn State. After a 49-10 blowout loss at Michigan dropped the Nittany Lions to 2-2, fans greeted third-year coach James Franklin with "Fire Franklin" chants the following week against Minnesota, a game that kick-started an eight-game winning streak that featured an offense that averaged 40 points and included Franklin’s signature 24-21 win over the Buckeyes. Hornibrook lost a quarterback competition to Bart Houston in summer camp for the unranked Badgers, became the starter in a Week 4 win over Michigan State and held the job until Houston replaced him last week and rallied the Badgers to a 31-17 victory over Minnesota. Regardless of the quarterback, Wisconsin will try and batter the front seven of the Lions with Corey Clement (1,140 yards, 13 TDs), while the Lions will try and attack deep with quarterback Trace McSorley (Big Ten-best 150.9 passer rating and FBS-best 16.2 yards per completion) against one of the best overall defenses in the FBS.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, Fox.

LINE HISTORY: The betting week opened with Wisconsin as 3-point favorites and steadily faded down to 1.5, before returning to 3 late in the week. The total opened at 46.5 and was bet up as high as 47.5 before coming down to 47. View the complete line history here.

INJURY REPORT:

Penn State - RB Saquon Barkley (probable, foot), WR Brandon Polk (questionable, undisclosed), OL Connor McGovern (questionable, undisclosed), LB Von Walker (out for season, knee)

Wisconsin - OL Logan Schmidt (questionable, head), CB Caesar Williams (questionable, leg), LB Nick Thomas (questionable, leg), LS Jake Cesear (questionable, undisclosed), QB Alex Hornibrook (questionable, head), OL Jacob Maxwell (questionable, shoulder)

WEATHER REPORT: Dome

ABOUT PENN STATE (10-2 SU, 8-3-1 ATS, 9-3 O/U): McSorley, who threw for career highs of 376 yards and four TDs last week, has completed 56.3 percent of his passes for 2,976 yards with 21 TDs against five interceptions , with just two of those picks during the winning streak. Junior Curtis Godwin is McSorley’s favorite target with 47 receptions for 762 yards and nine TDs, but Mike Gesicki set a Penn state record for tight ends with 44 catches, and DeAndre Tompkins, DaeSean Hamilton and Saeed Blacknall round out the conference's best set of receivers. Since linebackers Brandon Bell (18 tackles against the Spartans) and Jason Cabinda returned from early-season injuries, the defense has moved up to 20th in total defense (346.8) and hasn't yielded a touchdown in the last two games.

ABOUT WISCONSIN (10-2 SU, 9-2-1 ATS, 5-7 O/U): After rambling for a season-high 164 yards in a 30-23 home loss to Ohio State, Clement ran for 100 yards five times during the Badgers' season-ending six-game winning streak (657 yards, eight TDs). Hornibrook has completed 58.1 percent of his 179 passes for 1,243 yards with eight TDs and seven interceptions, while Houston is 69-of-108 for 912 yards with five TDs and three interceptions. The defense, spearheaded by outside linebacker T.J. Watt (9.5 sacks, 13 tackles for loss) and safety Sojourn Shelton (16 passes defensed, four interceptions) led the FBS in interceptions (21), ranked third in scoring defense (13.7), rushing yards allowed (100.8), third-down conversion rate (26.6 percent) and seventh in total defense (292 yards per game).

TRENDS:

* Nittany Lions are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
* Badgers are 6-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
* Over is 6-1 in Nittany Lions last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
* Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
* Favorite is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings.

CONSENSUS: The Badgers are getting 60 percent of the action from users while 53 percent are taking the under in the Big Ten title game.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------