Announcement

**Udog** · 11-24-2016, 06:19 PM

Grey Cup Final

Following a long and grueling 18-game regular season schedule plus two rounds of playoffs, the stage has been set for this Sunday’s CFL Grey Cup title showdown between the East’s Ottawa RedBlacks and the West’s Calgary Stampeders in a 6 p.m. (ET) kickoff at BMO Field in Toronto.

This past Sunday, Ottawa outlasted Edmonton in the snow with a 35-23 victory as a 2 ½-point home underdog, while Calgary stayed on track to win this season’s Grey Cup with a crushing 42-15 win at home against British Columbia as a 7 ½-point favorite.

Sunday, Nov. 27

Ottawa RedBlacks (9-9-1 SU, 8-11 ATS) vs. Calgary Stampeders (15-2-1 SU, 13-5 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -9
Total: 54.5

Game Overview

Ottawa may have backed into its second-straight East Division title with just two straight-up wins in its last six regular season contests, but it came up with a victory when it needed to the most to make its second-straight trip the Grey Cup Championship. The RedBlacks went 4-3 against the spread this season when closing as underdogs and the total has now gone OVER in six of their last seven games after going OVER the closing 53-point line in last week’s win against Edmonton.

If Ottawa is going to have any chance to win the CFL title this time around following a tough six-point loss to Edmonton last season as a seven-point underdog, it is going to need another strong effort from an offense that rolled up 425 yards of total offense in last week’s win. Henry Burris got the start at quarterback and while he ended the day with 246 yards passing, he only managed to complete 57.7 percent of his 26 attempts. The big story was Kienan LaFrance’s 157 yards rushing on 25 carries.

Going all the way back to a rare 26-26 tie against Ottawa in Week 3 of the regular season, the Stampeders’ only loss since then was in a meaningless game against Montreal in Week 19. At one point their SU winning streak reached 14 games and over the final 12 games of that impressive run they went a highly profitable 10-2 ATS. Calgary left little doubt as to just how good this team really is by completely dismantling BC in the West Division Finals.

In that lopsided victory against the Lions, Calgary was able to put things away early with a 32-0 lead at the half. Bo Levi Mitchell ended the day with 365 yards passing and three touchdown strikes while completing 75 percent of his 28 attempts. Jerome Messam added 84 yards rushing on 14 carries as part of a ground game that gained 166 total yards. These two players have been getting it done all season long on an offense that averaged a CFL-high 32.6 points a game. Defensively, the Stampeders also led the league in average points allowed (20.5).

Betting Trends

The RedBlacks are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a SU winning record and they have failed to cover in their last seven games following a SU win. The total has gone OVER in four of their last five games against a team with a SU winning record.

The Stampeders are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU win and they have covered in 19 of their last 26 games overall. The total has gone OVER in seven of their last 10 postseason games.

Head-to-head in this matchup, Calgary has a 4-1-1 edge SU while going 5-1 ATS. The total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in the last four meetings. Following that Week 3 tie, the Stampeders went on to beat Ottawa 48-23 on Sept. 17 as eight-point favorites at home. The total easily went OVER the closing 54-point line in that game.

**Udog** · 11-24-2016, 06:19 PM

CFL
Long Sheet

Grey Cup

Sunday, November 27

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OTTAWA (9 - 9 - 1) vs. CALGARY (16 - 2 - 1) - 11/27/2016, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games this season.
CALGARY is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
CALGARY is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
CALGARY is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
CALGARY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) off a division game this season.
CALGARY is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in games played on turf this season.
CALGARY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a win over a division rival this season.
OTTAWA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 5-1 against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-1 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Grey Cup, Toronto

Calgary (16-2-1) vs Ottawa (9-9-1)— RedBlacks are in only third year of existence, but are playing in Grey Cup for second year in row- they lost 26-20 to Edmonton LY. These two teams tied 26-26 in Ottawa July 8; Stampeders won 48-23 in rematch Sept 17. Stamps are 4-1-1 in series games, all four wins were by 21+ points- the one loss was LY in Ottawa. Calgary is 15-1 since that tie game in July, with lone loss in regular season finale, a meaningless game. Stampeders won 48-20 on this field last month- they’re 11-3 vs spread in last 14 games, 4-3 in last seven. Ottawa is just 3-4 in its last seven games; they won 30-20 on this field back in July. RedBlacks are 4-3 as underdogs this year. Six of last seven Ottawa games went over.

CFL

Grey Cup

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Trend Report
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6:30 PM
CALGARY vs. OTTAWA
Calgary is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games
Ottawa is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Ottawa's last 7 games

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**Udog** · 11-26-2016, 07:50 PM

CFL

Sunday, November 27

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Grey Cup betting preview: Calgary and Ottawa
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Calgary is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings vs. Ottawa and are 9.5-point favorites for the 104 Grey Cup.

Calgary Stampeders and Ottawa Redblacks (+9.5, 54.5)

The Calgary Stampeders and Ottawa Redblacks meet in the 104th Grey Cup in Toronto on Sunday. The Stampeders followed up on one of the greatest regular seasons in CFL history with a 42-15 victory against the BC Lions in the West Division final to advance to the Grey Cup for the third time in five years, while the Redblacks beat the Edmonton Eskimos 35-23 to punch their ticket to the championship game for the second time in as many seasons.

Ottawa was one of the few teams able to slow down Calgary as they played out a memorable 26-26 tie in Week 3 before the Stampeders won the second meeting 48-23 on Sept. 17, and are 9.5-point favourites to win their eighth Grey Cup in franchise history.

"Favourites are something y'all can deal with," Calgary quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell told reporters. "It's so damn hard to win in the CFL that you have to understand if a team is in the Grey Cup they're there for a reason."

The Redblacks struggled against the Stampeders in recent years, managing one victory in the last six meetings, but Henry Burris turned back the clock since reclaiming the starting job from Trevor Harris by averaging 349 passing yards in his last four starts to put Ottawa on the cusp of lifting its first Grey Cup since 1976.

"We have always been looked at as the underdog on this team," Burris told reporters. "No matter what we have done it seems nobody want to give us respect."

TV: 6 p.m. ET, TSN, RDS, ESPN2

LINE HISTORY: The line opened with Calgary as 9-point favorites and by Saturday morning that line has risen to 9.5. The total opened at 54.5 and hasn’t moved all week. Check out the complete history here.

WHAT SHARPS SAY: Since making their return to the league in 2014, Ottawa has played Calgary six times. Two of them have gone to overtime with the REDBLACKS producing an outright win and a tie. But the other four have all gone the Stamps' way - by double digits.

WEATHER REPORT: The forecast for BMO field home of the 104th Grey Cup is partly cloudy with slight winds coming out of the south east and temperatures at kickoff in the mid-30’s.

INJURY REPORT:

Calgary - DL Brandon Boudreaux (questionable, undisclosed), LB Deron Mayo (questionable, knee), DT Zach Minter (questionable, undisclosed), CB Shaq Richardson (questionable, undisclosed), WR Anthony Parker (questionable, shoulder), WR Joe West (questionable, undisclosed), DL Ben D’Aguilar (questionable, undisclosed), WR Simon Charbonneau-Campeau (questionable, undisclosed), OL Brad Erdos (doubtful, undisclosed), OL Cameron Thorn (doubtful, undisclosed), Pierre Lavertu (doubtful, undisclosed)

Ottawa - DL Aston Whiteside (questionable, undisclosed), DB Nicholas Taylor (questionable, undisclosed), OL Jake Silas (questionable, undisclosed), OL Sir Vincent Rogers (questionable, undisclosed), DL Mike Moore (questionable, undisclosed), K Chris Milo (questionable, undisclosed), DB Kevin Malcolm (questionable, undisclosed), DL Ettore Lattanzi (questionable, undisclosed), QB Brock Jensen (questionable, undisclosed), DB John Boyett (questionable, undisclosed), DL Andrew Marshall (questionable, undisclosed), OL Tommie Draheim (questionable, undisclosed), WR Khalil Paden (questionable, undisclosed), QB Danny O’Brien (questionable, undisclosed), RB Mossis Madu (out, shoulder)

ABOUT THE STAMPEDERS (16-2-1 SU, 14-5 ATS, 8-9-2 (O/U): Mitchell continues to pick apart opposing defences as he threw for 365 yards and three touchdowns against BC. There is plenty of uncertainty on the offensive line as guard Brad Erdos suffered a lower-body injury in the fourth quarter against the Lions and was replaced by Cam Thorn, who was promptly knocked out of the game a few minutes later, while Pierre Lavertu is battling a neck issue. Jerome Messam, who led the league in rushing (1,198) during the regular season, churned out 84 yards on 14 carries in the Western Final and hopes for another strong performance as the eight-year veteran strives to win his first Grey Cup in his hometown.

ABOUT THE REDBLACKS (9-9-1 SU, 8-11 ATS, 10-8-1 O/U): Backup running back Kienan Lafrance racked up a career-high 157 rushing yards and a touchdown after replacing Mossis Madu Jr., who suffered a shoulder injury on the opening possession against Edmonton. Lafrance will likely get the starting nod Sunday but will share snaps with Travon Van, who is set to be activated after sitting out the Eastern Final while linebacker Taylor Reed is expected to play after missing a majority of the second half with a head injury. Ray Early made 2-of-2 field goals against the Eskimos with Chris Milo nursing a lower-body injury but Milo practiced during the week and should be ready to assume the kicking duties Sunday.

TRENDS:

* Stampeders are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.
* Stampeders are 10-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
* RedBlacks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
* Over is 4-0 in Stampeders last 4 playoff road games.
* Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.

CONSENSUS: The underdog Redblacks are getting 60 percent of the point spread action and the under is getting 62 percent of the action.

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**Udog** · 11-27-2016, 11:28 AM

CFL
Dunkel

Grey Cup

Calgary @ Ottawa

Game 277-278
November 27, 2016 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
123.572
Ottawa
112.033
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 11 1/2
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 9 1/2
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-9 1/2); Over

Announcement

CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 23 Grey Cup Final (Sun., November 27)

CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 23 Grey Cup Final (Sun., November 27)

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