Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 22 Division Finals (Sun., November 20)

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 22 Division Finals (Sun., November 20)

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, November 20

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Matchup Links

    CFL Matchups

    CFL Hot or Not

    CFL Trends

    CFL News and Weather


    NASCAR Schedules

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    CFL Betting Notes - Finals

    2016 Playoff Results

    The final four teams in this year’s quest for a CFL Grey Cup title are set after Edmonton got past Hamilton 24-21 as a three-point road favorite in the East Division Semifinal Round and British Columbia snuck past Winnipeg 32-31 in the West Semifinals as a five-point favorite at home.

    Here is the betting breakdown for this Sunday’s Division Finals.

    East Division Final (ESPNNews, 1:00 p.m. ET)

    Edmonton Eskimos (10-8 SU, 8-9-1 ATS) vs. Ottawa RedBlacks (8-9-1 SU, 7-11 ATS)
    Point-spread: Edmonton -3
    Total: 56


    Game Overview

    Edmonton’s PUSH against Hamilton raised its record to 6-1 straight-up over its last seven games. The Eskimos have gone a profitable 5-1-1 against the spread during this run and the total has stayed UNDER in three of their last four games. Edmonton has been a tough out on the road lately with a SU 4-1 SU (3-1-1 ATS) record in its last five road games.

    Mike Reilly led the CFL in total passing yards this season with 5,554, but he went just 10-of-19 for 133 yards in this past Sunday before leaving the game with an injury. His playing status for this game has been upgraded to probable. The difference maker was running back John White with 160 rushing yards and two scores on 20 carries. This is the time of the year in Canada when effectively running the ball can make all the difference in the world.

    Ottawa stumbled its way to a second-straight East Division title with just two victories in its last six games both SU and ATS. The RedBlacks closed out the regular season with a 33-20 loss to Winnipeg as four-point home underdogs in a game that went OVER the 49 ½-point closing line. It has now gone OVER in five of their last six games.

    To earn a return trip to this year’s Grey Cup, Ottawa is going to need a big effort from quarterback Trevor Harris, who was sixth in the league in passing with 3,666 yards. The RedBlacks also got a strong contribution from veteran quarterback Henry Burris with 2,419 passing yards. The trio of Greg Ellingson, Chris Williams and Ernest Jackson each posted more than 1,200 yards in receptions; however Williams was lost for the season with a knee injury in late October.

    Betting Trends

    Ottawa won both meetings this season SU with a 1-1 split ATS. The total stayed UNDER 58 in a tight 23-20 victory at home on Aug. 6 in a game where Edmonton covered as a 3 ½-point road underdog. Before this season’s series, the Eskimos had won five previous meetings SU while going 3-2 ATS.


    West Division Final (ESPN3, 4:30 p.m. ET)

    British Columbia Lions (12-6 SU, 13-5 ATS) vs. Calgary Stampeders (15-2-1 SU, 13-5 ATS)
    Point-spread: Calgary -7
    Total: 54


    Game Overview

    The Lions started this season with a stunning 20-18 victory against Calgary as 2 ½-point underdogs at home and they are just one of two teams to actually beat the Stampeders SU this season. They failed to cover in Sunday’s win against Winnipeg; however they are 3-1 ATS in their last four games while going a perfect 4-0 SU. The total went OVER 55 ½-points against the Blue Bombers and it has gone OVER in five of BC’s last seven games.

    BC needed a 13-point fourth quarter effort to earn a trip to this division final. Jonathon Jennings overcame two first-quarter turnovers by saving his best for last with a nine yard game-winning touchdown run late in the fourth quarter. He ended the day with 329 passing yards and two scores while completing 26-of-35 attempts. Jeremiah Johnson anchored the running game with 110 yards and a score on 11 carries.

    Calgary has been patiently waiting for the chance to complete its run to a title after cruising its way through the regular season. You can basically throw-out a meaningless loss to Montreal in Week 19 in what was one of the most dominating runs in recent CFL memory. The Stampeders’ SU winning streak this season extended to 14 games and going back to early August they went 10-2 ATS before that loss to the Alouettes.

    This is going to be a very tough team to take down behind an offense that led the league in scoring with an average of 32.6 points a game. This effort complemented the stingiest defense in the CFL that allowed just 20.5 points a game over the course of its 18-game regular season schedule. Bo Levi Mitchell was second in the league in passing yards (5,385) and he led the way in passing touchdowns (32). Jerome Messam rushed for 1,198 yards while finding the end zone 11 times. Both stats were both at the top of the list in the CFL.

    Betting Trends

    Calgary got the best of things in the final two meetings this season SU, but BC was able to cover in a wild 44-41 overtime loss on July 29 as a 4 ½-point road underdog. The total in this West Division rivalry has stayed UNDER in four of the last five meetings.

    Comment


    • #3
      CFL
      Long Sheet

      Week 22


      Sunday, November 20

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      EDMONTON (11 - 8) at OTTAWA (8 - 9 - 1) - 11/20/2016, 1:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      EDMONTON is 36-58 ATS (-27.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.
      OTTAWA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in home games this season.
      OTTAWA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in home lined games this season.
      OTTAWA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in home games in games played on turf this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      OTTAWA is 3-3 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
      EDMONTON is 5-2 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      BRITISH COLUMBIA (13 - 6) at CALGARY (15 - 2 - 1) - 11/20/2016, 4:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      CALGARY is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games this season.
      CALGARY is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
      CALGARY is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in games played on turf this season.
      BRITISH COLUMBIA is 55-28 ATS (+24.2 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
      BRITISH COLUMBIA is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all games this season.
      BRITISH COLUMBIA is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
      BRITISH COLUMBIA is 91-63 ATS (+21.7 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
      BRITISH COLUMBIA is 37-18 ATS (+17.2 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1996.
      BRITISH COLUMBIA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) off a division game this season.
      BRITISH COLUMBIA is 41-23 ATS (+15.7 Units) in road games off a win over a division rival since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      CALGARY is 6-3 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
      CALGARY is 7-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




      CFL

      Week 22


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Sunday, November 20

      1:00 PM
      EDMONTON vs. OTTAWA
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Ottawa's last 8 games when playing Edmonton
      Ottawa is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Edmonton

      4:30 PM
      BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. CALGARY
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games on the road
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of British Columbia's last 8 games when playing on the road against Calgary
      Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
      Calgary is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing British Columbia


      -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Comment


      • #4
        CFL
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Week 22


        Keep in mind that the two home teams this week had last week off; the two road teams both won close games to get here:

        Edmonton (12-7) @ Ottawa (8-9-1)— Redblacks beat Edmonton twice this year, 45-37 (-6) in OT in Edmonton June 25, then 23-20 (-3.5) here August 6. Under is 5-2 in series games, 3-0 here. Eskimos won six of last seven games; four of their last five wins were on road. Edmonton is 3-3 as an underdog this year; three of their last four games stayed under the total. Ottawa lost its last three home games, with two of those in OT; they’re 2-4 in last six games, with five of those six going over total. RedBlacks are 3-8 vs spread as a favorite this season.

        British Columbia (13-6) @ Calgary (15-2-1)— Stampeders had their 14-game win streak ended by Montreal in regular season finale; Calgary won two of three vs British Columbia this season, winning 44-41 in OT in only meeting here July 29,- they’re 7-1 in last eight series games. Lions lost last four visits to Calgary by 7-12-26-3 points. Stampeders are 6-3 vs spread as a home favorite this season; five of their last six games went over total. BC Lions won last four games, winning 32-31 over Winnipeg last week; they’re 5-1 vs spread as an underdog this season. Four of their last five road games stayed under.

        Comment


        • #5
          CFL
          Dunkel

          Week 22


          Sunday, November 20

          BC Lions @ Calgary

          Game 479-480
          November 20, 2016 @ 4:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          BC Lions
          114.059
          Calgary
          127.238
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Calgary
          by 13
          51
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Calgary
          by 7
          54
          Dunkel Pick:
          Calgary
          (-7); Under

          Edmonton @ Ottawa


          Game 477-478
          November 20, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Edmonton
          116.963
          Ottawa
          111.567
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Edmonton
          by 5 1/2
          59
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Edmonton
          by 2
          54
          Dunkel Pick:
          Edmonton
          (-2); Over

          Comment

          Working...
          X