NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 11 (Tuesday, November 8 - Saturday, November 12)

[Udog]

NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 11

Sat – Nov. 12

First post

Northwestern at Purdue, 12:00 PM ET
Northwestern: 43-23 ATS after scoring 14 points or less
Purdue: 1-8 ATS in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest

Pittsburgh at Clemson, 3:30 PM ET
Pittsburgh: 7-0 ATS after 2 consecutive games where they forced no turnovers
Clemson: 2-10 ATS off 3 straight wins against conference rivals

Cincinnati at Central Florida, 12:00 PM ET
Cincinnati: 1-5 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56
C Florida: 6-1 ATS after having won 2 out of their last 3 games

Ohio State at Maryland, 3:30 PM ET
Ohio State: 70-45 ATS in road lined games
Maryland: 10-2 UNDER in home games after being outrushed by 150 or more yards last game

Penn State at Indiana, 12:00 PM ET
Penn St: 1-5 ATS off 2 or more consecutive overs
Indiana: 8-20 ATS after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games

Wake Forest at Louisville, 7:00 PM ET
Wake Forest: 8-1 ATS after playing a game at home
Louisville: 8-22 ATS in home games after playing 3 straight conference games

Iowa State at Kansas, 12:00 PM ET
Iowa St: 6-0 ATS after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers
Kansas: 9-21 ATS after allowing 31 points or more in 3 straight games

SMU at East Carolina, 12:00 PM ET
SMU: 13-3 OVER after playing a game at home
East Carolina: 5-14 ATS after playing a conference game

Tulsa at Navy, 12:00 PM ET
Tulsa: 14-4 OVER after playing a conference game
Navy: 9-1 ATS as a home favorite

Miami Ohio at Buffalo, 1:00 PM ET
Miami OH: 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after playing 3 straight conference games
Buffalo: 27-45 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games

North Carolina State at Syracuse, 12:30 PM ET
N Carolina St: 14-29 ATS as a road favorite
Syracuse: 27-12 ATS in home games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3

Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech, 3:30 PM ET
Georgia Tech: 2-11 ATS against conference opponents
Virginia Tech: 16-6 UNDER against conference opponents

Texas Tech at Oklahoma State, 3:30 PM ET
Texas Tech: 22-9 ATS off a home loss against a conference rival
Oklahoma St: 11-3 OVER after playing a conference game

Mississippi at Texas AM, 7:30 PM ET
Mississippi: 10-1 UNDER in road lined games
Texas AM: 1-9 ATS off a loss against a conference rival

Rice at Charlotte, 2:00 PM ET
Rice: 21-6 ATS after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse
Charlotte: 2-9 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest

New Mexico State at Arkansas State, 3:00 PM ET
New Mexico St: 8-23 ATS in a road game where the total is between 56.5 and 63
Arkansas St: 18-6 ATS off a road win against a conference rival

Wyoming at UNLV, 3:30 PM ET
Wyoming: 14-2 UNDER in road games after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4
UNLV: 13-31 ATS after a game where they forced no turnovers

Colorado State at Air Force, 10:15 PM ET
Colorado St: 8-1 ATS after playing a game at home
Air Force: 12-4 OVER when playing with 6 or less days rest

Mississippi State at Alabama, 12:00 PM ET
Mississippi St: 11-0 ATS after playing a game at home
Alabama: 25-46 ATS in home games off 1 or more consecutive unders

North Texas at Western Kentucky, 3:30 PM ET
N Texas: 5-17 ATS as an underdog of 21.5 to 31
W Kentucky: 6-0 ATS after a game where they forced 3 or more turnovers

Appalachian State at Troy, 3:30 PM ET
Appalachian St: 1-8 ATS after leading in their previous game by 17 or more points at the half
Troy: 12-3 ATS in home games after a playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored

Auburn at Georgia, 3:30 PM ET
Auburn: 15-4 ATS in road games after 3 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers
Georgia: 11-25 ATS in home games off a road win

Illinois at Wisconsin, 3:30 PM ET
Illinois: 32-51 ATS after being outgained by opp by 125 or more total yards last game
Wisconsin: 19-8 ATS in home games off 2 straight wins against conference rivals

Kentucky at Tennessee, 12:00 PM ET
Kentucky: 5-18 ATS after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7
Tennessee: 8-1 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders

South Carolina at Florida, 12:00 PM ET
S Carolina: 13-4 ATS in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 42
Florida: 0-7 ATS in home games after gaining 100 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games

LSU at Arkansas, 7:00 PM ET
LSU: 9-1 ATS in road games after being outrushed by 125 or more yards last game
Arkansas: 24-10 OVER off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival

Stanford at Oregon, 4:00 PM ET
Stanford: 9-2 ATS after playing a game at home
Oregon: 1-7 ATS in all lined games

Army at Notre Dame, 3:30 PM ET
Army: 23-39 ATS in weeks 10 through 13
Notre Dame: 4-2 ATS as a neutral field favorite of 7.5 to 14 points

Southern Miss at Old Dominion, 3:30 PM ET
S Miss: 13-4 UNDER after having lost 3 out of their last 4
Old Dominion: 6-0 ATS as a favorite

Rutgers at Michigan State, 12:00 PM ET
Rutgers: 14-4 ATS off 2 or more consecutive overs
Michigan St: 14-28 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite

Miami FL at Virginia, 2:00 PM ET
Miami FL: 10-2 ATS as a road favorite of 10.5 to 14
Virginia: 11-24 ATS after allowing 125 or less passing yards in their last game

Tex San Antonio at Louisiana Tech, 3:30 PM ET
Tex San Antonio: 4-7 ATS as a road underdog
Louisiana Tech: 11-3 ATS after playing 2 straight conference games

California at Washington State, 10:30 PM ET
California: 0-6 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 63
Washington St: 9-2 ATS after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous game

Idaho at Texas State, 4:00 PM ET
Idaho: 9-2 ATS after playing a conference game
Texas St: 0-6 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread

USC at Washington, 7:30 PM ET
USC: 0-7 ATS in road games after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6
Washington: 8-1 OVER off a win against a conference rival

Oregon State at UCLA, 9:00 PM ET
Oregon St: 7-1 ATS as an underdog
UCLA: 1-9 ATS in home games off 1 or more consecutive unders

[Udog]

Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 betting cheat sheet and odds: Week 11

Colorado take their Top 10 defense to Arizona. They'll have to cover 15.5-points, but are 4-0 ATS on the road this season.

We're on to Week 11 of the college football season and the full slate of games can be tough to navigate for bettors. So we bring you our Top 25 betting cheat sheet to handicap the best games of the day.

Baylor at No. 11 Oklahoma (-16, 80)

* The Bears' season is teetering after back-to-back losses at Texas (35-34) and last week at home to TCU (62-22), a contest that saw Baylor surrender 688 yards, including 431 rushing. Senior Shock Linwood, who has rotated with Terence Williams and JaMycal Hasty for the lead running back role, has rushed for 594 yards through eight games this season to give him a school career record 4,056, but he was suspended for this week's game by acting head coach Jim Grobe after a sideline dustup with a graduate-assistant coach. The Bears will need a big game from senior quarterback Seth Russell who has passed for 1,978 yards, 19 touchdowns and six interceptions while also rushing for 436 yards and eight touchdowns so far this season and will be going against an Oklahoma defense that ranks 122nd nationally in passing yards allowed per game (297.7).

* Junior quarterback Baker Mayfield, who finished fourth in Heisman Trophy balloting a year ago, is having another outstanding season, completing 71.2 percent of his passes for 2,912 yards and 31 touchdowns against only six interceptions. It helps when you have a wide receiver like explosive senior Dede Westbrook, who has 40 catches for 1,012 yards and 12 touchdowns since the start of Big 12 play on Oct. 1, and a running back duo like Joe Mixon (813 yards, 5 TDs) and Samaje Perine (475 yards, 6 TDs), to work with. The Sooners' defense, which has started 22 different players this season due to a rash of injuries, is led by junior outside linebacker Ogbonnia Okoronkwo, who ranks third in the Big 12 and 20th nationally with an average of 0.9 sacks per game, and cornerback Jordan Thomas, who ranks second in the nation with 1.7 passes defended per game.

LINE HISTORY: Oklahoma opened as 14.5-point home favorites and as the week went along the spread has risen to 16. The total opened at 80 and has remained at that number all week. View complete line history here.

TRENDS:

Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Over is 6-1 in Bears last 7 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 4-1 in Bears last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Bears are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Oklahoma.

Mississippi State vs No.1 Alabama (-28.5, 55)

* Sophomore quarterback Nick Fitzgerald accounted for four touchdowns (two passing, two rushing) and passed for 209 yards and rushed for 182 as the Bulldogs cruised up and down the field against Texas A&M. Fitzgerald has thrown for 1,705 yards and 16 touchdowns and rushed for 839 yards and eight scores and his favorite target is senior wideout Fred Ross (54 receptions for 641 yards), who leads the SEC with nine touchdown catches and has caught at least one pass in 31 consecutive contests. Senior defensive end A.J. Jefferson is fifth in school history with 34.5 tackles for loss - including 10 this season - while senior middle linebacker Richie Brown has a team-best 76 tackles.

* The Crimson Tide allow just 13.2 points per game and dominated LSU's offense in their first game without standout senior strong safety Eddie Jackson (broken leg). Sophomore Minkah Fitzpatrick was moved from cornerback to strong safety and he recorded his team-leading fourth interception of the season, while senior defensive end Jonathan Allen and senior outside linebacker Tim Williams share the team lead with seven sacks. Freshman quarterback Jalen Hurts is effectively guiding the offense and has passed for 1,656 yards and 11 touchdowns and added 635 yards and 10 scores on the ground.

LINE HISTORY: The Crimson Tide opened as 29-point home favorites and by Thursday has dropped to 28.5. The total opened at 55.5 and went down to 55. View complete line history here.

TRENDS:

Crimson Tide are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
Crimson Tide are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.
Crimson Tide are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in November.
Under is 4-1 in Bulldogs last 5 games following a straight up win.
Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Alabama.

No.16 West Virginia at Texas (-2, 64)

* The Mountaineers may be without running back Rushel Shell (503 yards, five touchdowns), who missed last week with an ankle injury, but a balanced offense was sparked last week by rushing efforts from Justin Crawford (129 yards) and Kennedy McKoy (127). Quarterback Skyler Howard, who had a 260-yard, three touchdown game last week, has completed 65.1 percent of his passes for 2,293 yards and 16 TDs. The senior connected for 104 yards to Daikiel Shorts and 102 to Shelton Gibson against Kansas.

* The Longhorns may have salvaged their season on the recent strength of their improved defensive play after coach Charlie Strong took control of the play-calling four games ago. Foreman surpassed the 100-yard rushing mark in 10 straight games and with 1,446 yards this season averages 180.8 per game. The effectiveness of freshman quarterback Shane Buechele (2,257 yards, 19 touchdowns) to set up the run game could be as effective as Oklahoma State's Mason Rudolph in leading the Cowboys to victory over West Virginia two weeks ago.

LINE HISTORY: Texas opened as 1.5-point home favorites and the spread moved up to 2.5 before settling back to 2. The total opened at 64 and has yet to move. View complete line history here.

TRENDS:

Mountaineers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game
Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games
Under is 4-0 in Mountaineers last 4 games following a straight up win
Under is 4-0 in Longhorns last 4 games overall

No.10 Penn State at Indiana (7.5, 59.5)

* Barkley (conference-leading 1,055 yards rushing, 13 total touchdowns), rushed for 167 yards and scored twice last week in the 41-14 win over Iowa. McSorley (55.6 completion percentage, 14 TDs, three interceptions) is second in the Big Ten in yards per attempt (8.5) and interception percentage (1.2) and has found a new deep threat in Saeed Blacknall, who has three catches for 96 yards in the last three weeks. Led by a revitalized and deep front seven, the Lions have yielded a combined 76 yards rushing the past two weeks, marking the first time Penn State had ever held back-to-back Big Ten opponents to fewer than 50 yards rushing.

* Lagow, a 6-6 junior, passed for 394 yards and three TDs in last week’s 33-27 victory over Rutgers but also threw two of his 13 interceptions on the season. Wide receivers Nick Westbrook (78.7 yards per game) and Ricky Jones (75.7) rank in the top five in the Big Ten, while Devine Redding is sixth in the league with 793 rushing yards - good for a 4.8 average. Linebacker Tegray Scales ranks second in FBS with 7.1 solo tackles per game, defensive back Rashard Fant leads the country with 1.8 passes defended per game and linebacker Marcus Oliver ranks tied for fifth in FBS with 0.44 forced fumbles per game.

LINE HISTORY: Penn State opened the week as 6.5-point road favorites and that spread was up to 7.5 by Thursday. The total opened a 58.5 went up to 59.5 before dropping to 58. View complete line history here.

TRENDS:

Nittany Lions are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Nittany Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.
Hoosiers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game
Home team is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings

Pittsburgh at No. 2 Clemson (20.5, 65.5)

* The Panthers are tough in the trenches, as they lean on star running back James Conner on offense and do an excellent job of shutting down opposing ground games. The Panthers also boast one of the nation’s top return men in Quadree Henderson, who leads the nation in kickoff return average (33.8 yards) and kickoff return touchdowns (three). Defensive end Ejuan Price anchors the defense and ranks third in the nation in sacks (1.0) and tackles for loss (1.78) per game.

* The Tigers suffered a scare when star quarterback Deshaun Watson left last week’s game with a bruised right shoulder, but it looks as though he will be ready to go Saturday. Watson is the catalyst for an electric offense that also features a dangerous running back in Wayne Gallman. The Tigers are equally as impressive on defense and especially tough against the pass, but if they have a slight weakness it is stopping the run (132.8 yards allowed per game), which could be a problem against Conner and the Panthers.

LINE HISTORY: The Tigers opened as 20-point home favorites and the line has crept up to 20.5/ The total opened at 66.5 and quickly jumped to 67 and than came down a full point to 66 as of Thursday. View complete line history here.

TRENDS:

Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
Over is 8-0 in Panthers last 8 games overall
Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 home games

Georgia Tech at No. 14 Virginia Tech (-14, 55)

* Running back Clinton Lynch is one of the more explosive players in the ACC, averaging 17.2 yards per touch (298 yards rushing on 28 carries; 12 receptions for 389 yards) and scoring a touchdown in each of the past four games. Thomas, who is expected to play Saturday, rushed for 82 yards and passed for 144 yards last week after recording 459 yards of total offense against Duke on Oct. 29. But the defense gave up 9.1 yards per play against North Carolina and has surrendered 35 points or more in four of the past five games.

* The Hokies average 444.4 yards of total offense per game, topping 450 yards six times in nine games, and have scored 39 points per game in their seven victories. A trio of receivers – Bucky Hodges, Isaiah Ford and Cam Phillips – have combined for 119 receptions for 1,753 yards and 13 touchdowns, while Evans has passed for 21 touchdowns and only two interceptions. Virginia Tech’s defense ranks 18th nationally in points allowed per game (20.2).

LINE HISTORY: The Hokies opened the week as 13.5- home favorites and has risen to 14. The total opened at 55 and hasn’t moved all week. View complete line history here.

TRENDS:

Hokies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record
Over is 5-0 in Yellow Jackets last 5 games overall
Over is 4-0 in Hokies last 4 home games.
Road team is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

No. 9 Auburn at Georgia (10,48)

* The Tigers dodged Vanderbilt’s upset bid thanks in part to their defense, which held the Commodores to three points and 135 yards of total offense in the second half. Pettway has averaged 192.5 rushing yards per game with six touchdowns in his past four games, and has topped 100 yards six times in eight games this season. White looked solid in completing 10-of-13 passes for 106 yards and a touchdown after the offense struggled under John Franklin III in the first two quarters.

* The Bulldogs rebounded from a dreadful offensive performance against Florida (164 yards of total offense), finishing with 460 yards against the Wildcats as Eason completed 17-of-31 passes for 245 yards. Georgia’s rushing attack has sputtered throughout much of the season, but Sony Michel (127 yards) and Nick Chubb (85 yards) combined to average 5.3 yards per carry last week. Georgia’s defense ranks third in the SEC against the run (118.2 yards per game), but faces a strong test against the nation’s third-best rushing attack (Auburn averages 299.8 yards rushing per contest).

LINE HISTORY: The Tigers opened the week as 10-point home favorites and as of Thursday that number hasn’t moved. The total opened at 48 and remains at that number. View complete line history here.

TRENDS

Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
Favorite is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Texas Tech at No.13 Oklahoma State (-12.5, 90)

* Mahomes (31 TDs, eight INTs) leads the country with 3,886 passing yards while the Red Raiders average 485.8 passing yards (first in FBS), 46.2 points (fourth) and 587.1 total yards (second). Jonathan Giles is tied for the Big 12 lead with 12 touchdown receptions and is second with 60 catches and 982 yards. The Red Raiders, who allow 236 rushing yards, rank 124th nationally in scoring defense (41.8) and 126th in total defense (533.9).

* Mason Rudolph (2,989 yards, 22 TDs, four INTs) is second in the league in passing and has two of the league's leading receivers. James Washington (50 catches, 974 yards, eight TDs) and Jalen McCleskey (57 catches, 670 yards, six TDs) rank third and eighth, respectively, in yards per game. The Cowboys lead the Big 12 in turnover margin (plus-8) after forcing 11 during the win streak.

LINE HISTORY: The Cowboys opened as 12-point home favorites and has inched up half point to 12.5. The total opened at 90 and has yet to move. View complete line history here.

TRENDS

Red Raiders are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
Red Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.
Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Over is 6-0 in Cowboys last 6 games in November.
Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

No. 5 Ohio State at Maryland (29.5, 57.5)

* Senior quarterback J.T. Barrett has 21 touchdowns and four interceptions, including four TDs without a pick against Nebraska. He has gone three straight games without an interception and likely will continue to target Samuel, who has 29 catches over the last four outings. Barrett needs two total touchdowns to break the Big Ten record set by ex-Purdue star Drew Brees (95).

* The Terrapins' 4-0 start is barely a memory at this point following a 1-4 stretch capped by a hideous 59-3 loss to Michigan last weekend. Maryland trailed 35-0 at halftime, promnpting Durkin to say: "It's disheartening that we didn't compete. It's hard for me to say that and to even acknowledge that." Quarterback Perry Hills is day-to-day with a shoulder injury, giving Caleb Rowe another shot under center if Hills can't go.

LINE HISTORY: The Buckeyes’ opened the week as 28-point road favorites and after an initial drop the line has been moving up to 29.5. The total opened at 57.5 and hasn’t moved all week. View complete line history here.

TRENDS

Buckeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Under is 8-2 in Buckeyes last 10 games following a ATS win.
Over is 5-1 in Terrapins last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Illinois at No.7 Wisconsin (26.5, 39)

* The Fighting Illini haven't won back-to-back conference games since the final two of 2014, but are in position after knocking off Michigan State last week, 31-27, getting a career-high 146 rushing yards and two touchdowns from running back Kendrick Foster. The Badgers will present an immense challenge for the Illinois run game, as their run defense is tops in the Big Ten and No. 5 in the nation at 101.2 rushing yards surrendered per game. If the Fighting Illini choose to air it out against Wisconsin, they may have to do so without leading receiver Malik Turner, who missed Saturday's game with a concussion.

* The Badgers could be shorthanded on offense as well, as right tackle Jacob Maxwell and fullback Austin Ramesh remain questionable with right shoulder injuries. On the defensive side, nose guard Olive Sagapolu will miss his fourth straight game due to injury and that side of the ball was already banged up after starting inside linebackers Chris Orr and Jack Cichy were lost for the season because of injuries. T.J. Edwards, Ryan Connelly and Leon Jacobs have stepped in and kept the defense humming along.

LINE HISTORY: The line opened with Wisconsin as 26.5-home favorites and an over of 39, neither number has moved all week. View complete line history here.

TRENDS

Fighting Illini are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Badgers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Under is 6-1 in Fighting Illini last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Badgers last 5 games following a straight up win.

Wake Forest at No. 6 Louisville (34.5, 54.5)

* With Clawson announcing this week that opening-day starter Kendall Hinton would miss the rest of the season with a setback in his sprained left knee, quarterback John Walford (11 total TDs, seven interceptions) will lead the Deacons the rest of the way and is coming off his first interception-free game in four contests. Cameron Glenn (four tackles, a fumble recovery and an interception) and Jessie Bates (four tackles, an interception, a pass breakup) took home the conference’s Defensive Back and Rookie of the Week honors, respectively, for their performances last week. Defensive end Duke Ejiofor and linebacker Marquel Lee are one of two duos across the country to rank inside the top 12 in tackles for loss (13 apiece).

* Jackson accounted for seven scores (four passing, three running) for the third time this season - no other player in FBS has done it more than once - to give him a NCAA-best 45 total scores for the season, while his 30-point-per-game average is higher than the scoring average for 70 FBS teams. Running back Brandon Radcliff has 627 yards and has a legitimate shot at giving the Cardinals their first set of 1,000-yard rushers in the same season in school history. Linebacker James Hearns moved into a three-way tie for first in the country by forcing his fifth fumble last week and leads the team with six sacks, while sophomore cornerback Jaire Alexander is tied for second in the country with five interceptions.

LINE HISTORY: Louisville opened as 33-point home favorites over the visiting Demon Deacons and by Thursday that number was bumped up to 34.5. The total opened at 54.5 and hasn’t moved. View complete line history here.

TRENDS

Demon Deacons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Demon Deacons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Cardinals are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.

No. 22 Boise State at Hawaii (17.5, 63.5)

* The Broncos fell behind in the Mountain Division with a 30-28 loss at Wyoming on Oct. 29 in which they were outgained on the ground 215-159. Boise State made rushing the focus last week against San Jose State and piled up 298 yards on the ground in the 45-31 victory as Jeremy McNichols (159 yards, two TDs) got some help from freshman Alexander Mattison (100 yards, 1 TD). Quarterback Brett Rypien, who did not throw a TD pass and was intercepted once at Wyoming, bounced back as well by posting a season-best 76.2 completion percentage with three TDs and no picks.

* McNichols and Mattison should not have much trouble finding running lanes against the Rainbow Warriors defense, which is being gashed for an average of 259.2 yards on the ground - 124th in FBS. Hawaii quarterback Dru Brown was intercepted a total of three times in his first eight games and matched that number last week at San Diego State, when he was replaced by Aaron Zwahlen after throwing his third pick. Zwahlen, a freshman, went 3-for-10 for 32 yards and an interception in the first action of his college career.

LINE HISTORY: The Broncos opened as 17.5-road favorites and briefly dropped to 17 before retiring to 17.5. The total hit the board at 63.5 and that number has been fine with bettors all week. View complete line history here.

TRENDS

Under is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Over is 7-1 in Broncos last 8 games in November.
Over is 8-1 in Rainbow Warriors last 9 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 6-1 in Rainbow Warriors last 7 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

No. 24 Louisiana State at No. 25 Arkansas (7, 46.5)

* Tigers seniors will leave the program having never beaten Alabama after the team was shut out for the first time since a 17-0 loss at Arkansas on Nov. 15, 2014. Star running back Leonard Fournette, then a freshman, rushed for a career-low nine yards in that 2014 game and failed to crack 100 in a home loss to the Razorbacks last season, making Arkansas and Alabama the lone SEC teams that regularly prevent him from taking over the game. Quarterback Danny Etling suffered through his worst game of the season last week, completing 11-of-24 passes for 92 yards and an interception.

* The Razorbacks were crushed 56-3 at Auburn on Oct. 22 and used the bye the following week to focus on the defense. Arkansas did not allow an offensive touchdown in the win over Florida and cut its rushing yards allowed from 543 against Auburn to 12 against the Gators after mixing up the personnel along the line during the bye. The Razorbacks offense goes as running back Rawleigh Williams III goes, and he is averaging 151.3 yards in the last three wins and 49 yards in the last three losses.

LINE HISTORY: The Tigers opened as 6.5-road favorites and was bet up to 7.5 before settling at 7 when this cheat sheet was put together. The total opened at 46 and has risen a half point to 46.5. View complete line history here.

TRENDS

Razorbacks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 3-0-2 in Tigers last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Razorbacks last 6 home games.

No. 20 Southern California at No. 4 Washington (-9.5, 62.5)

* Darnold has thrown 18 touchdown pass and topped 300 yards three times during the winning streak that has displayed that the Trojans have a star quarterback in the making. Overall, he has passed for 1,874 yards and 20 touchdowns against four interceptions and he is mixing well with standout junior wideout JuJu Smith-Schuster, who has 48 receptions for 641 yards and eight touchdowns. Sophomore inside linebacker Cameron Smith leads the defense with 63 tackles while sophomore outside linebacker Gustin Porter has a team-best 7.5 tackles for losses.

* Sophomore quarterback Jake Browning matched his own school record with six touchdown passes in last week's win over California and he also holds the single-season mark of 34 passing scores. Browning, who has passed for 2,273 yards, regularly teams up with junior wideouts John Ross (44 reception, 14 touchdowns) and Dante Pettis (37 catches, 11 scores), while sophomore running back Myles Gaskins (952 yards) is closing in on his second consecutive 1,000-yard season. The defense suffered a huge blow with news that senior outside linebacker Joe Mathis (team-best five sacks) is done for the campaign and needs shoulder surgery.

LINE HISTORY: The Huskies opened as 8.5-home favorites and throughout the week was up and down before settling at 9. The total opened at 62 and has been bet up half a point to 62.5. View complete line history here.

TRENDS

Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Trojans last 5 games following a straight up win.
Under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings.

Mississippi at No. 8 Texas A&M (-10, 54.5)

* Pellerin went 1-of-5 for 19 yards and an interception in relief of Kelly last week. "I think that with a week of practice it can be expanded from what you saw the other night, but will it be what Chad (Kelly) has done? Probably not," Rebels coach Hugh Freeze told reporters. "Regardless of who goes at quarterback whether it is him, (Markell) Pack, whoever, Jeremy Liggins, Shea Patterson, it would be crazy for us to expect to carry the whole playbook into this game. We need to pick the things we really like and the things he feels good about, (Jason) Pellerin, and his preparation and go with those." Pellerin will try to lean on running back Akeem Judd, who ran for a career-high 139 yards last week.

* Knight sparked the Aggies offense as much with his legs (10 rushing TDs) as with his arm (13 passing TDs), and Jake Hubenak will be asked to run a similar offense. "Jake's not as fast but is effective," Sumlin told reporters. "Will probably change some of the things we do a little bit. Although many are designed runs, some of them weren't. Trevor had the ability to take the ball down and do some things. QB read game isn't the same for everybody." Hubenak went 11-of-17 for 222 yards, two touchdowns and an interception in relief last week but totaled just two yards on seven carries.

LINE HISTORY: Texas A&M opened as 10-point home favorites and the total hit the betting board at 54.5 and neither number has moved all week. View complete line history here.

TRENDS

Rebels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Over is 3-0-1 in Rebels last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 13-2-1 in Rebels last 16 games on grass.
Under is 6-1 in Aggies last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Rebels are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Minnesota at No. 19 Nebraska (-7, 48)

* Sophomore running back Rodney Smith leads the conference with 13 rushing touchdowns and has topped 100 yards in every game during the winning streak, finding the end zone eight times over that stretch. Mitch Leidner (1,505 passing yards, 12 total TDs), who is the only quarterback in school history to pass and run for at least 30 touchdowns, accumulated a season-high 305 total yards and scored a pair of rushing touchdowns in last week's triumph. The Gophers will be shorthanded on defense this week as Cody Poock (shoulder) will undergo season-ending surgery in the near future, while fellow linebacker Nick Rallis must sit out the first half Saturday as a result of the targeting penalty that led to his ejection near the end of last week's win.

* If Armstrong is unable to pass concussion protocol in time, the Cornhuskers would turn to senior Ryker Fyfe, who went 5-of-18 for 52 yards with an interception against Ohio State and does not pose nearly the same kind of running threat (16 career carries for 20 yards) as Armstrong. Cethan Carter returned from a three-game absence due to an elbow injury and was one of only three players to catch a pass versus Ohio State; the senior has 52 career receptions and could work his way up to second place on the school's all-time list among tight ends if he can manage 16 more catches over the final four games. Senior safety Nate Gerry finished with a season-high tying nine tackles and needs 30 more to pass Mike Brown (287; 1996-99) for the most by a defensive back in school history.

LINE HISTORY: The Cornhuskers’ opened as 7-point home favorites and the total opened on the board at 48 and have held firm all week. View complete line history here.

TRENDS

Golden Gophers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Golden Gophers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Cornhuskers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 4-0 in Golden Gophers last 4 games following a straight up win.
Over is 5-0 in Cornhuskers last 5 games following a straight up loss.

No. 3 Michigan at Iowa (21.5, 50.5)

* Speight was named the Big Ten co-Offensive Player of the Week after completing 19-of-24 passes for a career-high 362 yards and two touchdowns in the lopsided win against Maryland. Jake Butt continues to make his case for the Mackey Award, catching five passes for 76 yards against the Terrapins to break the Wolverines' all-time record for receiving yards by a tight end, passing the legendary Jim Mandich, who accumulated 1,508 from 1967-69. Amara Darboh, who had four receptions for 77 yards and a touchdown last weekend, was added to the 15-man shortlist for the Biletnikoff Award, given to the most outstanding receiver in college football.

* Offensive tackle Cole Croston, who has missed two games with an ankle sprain this season, wasn't listed on the depth chart and will likely be replaced by Ike Boettger on Saturday. Freshman offensive tackle Brett Waechter has left the team due to stomach issues which have plagued him during practice and workouts over the last few years. Starting running back LeShun Daniels Jr. was held to 18 yards on 10 carries in the loss to Penn State, and has rushed for over 100 yards only once in his last seven games while Akrum Wadley managed just 28 yards on nine attempts against the Nittany Lions.

LINE HISTORY: Michigan opened as 18.5-point road favorites and by the end of the week the number rose up all to 21.5. The total opened at 50.5 and was bet up to 51.5 and has since settled at 50.5 Friday morning. View complete line history here.

TRENDS

Wolverines are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 6-0 in Wolverines last 6 road games.
Over is 6-0 in Wolverines last 6 games in November.
Over is 6-0 in Hawkeyes last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.

No. 12 Colorado at Arizona (15.5, 58)

* Quarterback Sefo Liufau has seen more pressure in the last two games, and only has completed 31-of-55 passes for 278 yards, a touchdown and two interceptions – his first two of the season with both coming a week ago Thursday against UCLA. Lindsay ranks third in the conference with 90.9 rushing yards per game, and his 11 total TDs rank fifth. Defensively, the Buffaloes are led by linebacker Kenneth Olugbode (fourth in the Pac-12 with 7.7 tackles per game) and rank first in Pac-12 total defense (296.9 yards allowed) and second in scoring defense (17.2 points surrendered).

* The Wildcats rotated quarterbacks Brandon Dawkins, Anu Solomon and Khalil Tate last week at Washington State, hoping to generate some offense but only managed seven points and 286 total yards in a 62-point blowout loss. Senior tailback Samajie Grant has started the last two games and has run for 141 yards on 27 carries while wideout Nate Phillips (21 receptions, 233 yards) now has caught a pass in 42 consecutive games – tied for the fifth-longest streak in the nation. Senior linebacker Paul Magloire Jr. has a team-leading 58 tackles and 5.5 tackles for loss for Arizona, which ranks 10th in the conference in scoring defense (37.1 points) and ninth in total defense (475.2 yards).

LINE HISTORY: Colorado opened as 15-point road favorites and that line crept higher to 15.5 on Tuesday morning and held firm. The total hit the betting board at 57.5 and has been bet up to 58. View complete line history here.

TRENDS

Buffaloes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Buffaloes are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Under is 5-0 in Buffaloes last 5 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Wildcats last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

California at No. 23 Washington State (-14.5, 83.5)

* The Golden Bears were 1-for-14 on third down in last week’s loss to Washington despite the return of wide receiver Chad Hansen, who made five catches for 70 yards and his ninth touchdown after missing the previous two games due to injury. Freshmen receivers Demetris Robertson and Melquise Stovall have combined for nine TDs, but the team needs more production from running backs Khalfani Muhammad and Tre Watson after the duo has failed to reach the end zone in two straight games. Safety Khari Vanderbilt has made a team-high 60 tackles, but the defensive line has struggled to pressure the quarterback all season.

* Coach Mike Leach’s squad opened with losses to Eastern Washington and Boise State but now has a shot at playing in the Rose Bowl for the first time since 2002. While Leach is known for his Air Raid offense, he’s used a more balanced attack this season with the rushing trio of Jamal Morrow, Gerard Wicks and James Williams averaging 228.7 all-purpose yards while scoring a total of 27 touchdowns. The defense held Arizona to 158 rushing yards last week despite the absence of starting nose tackle Robert Barber, who has been suspended indefinitely for an off-campus incident.

LINE HISTORY: The Cougars opened the week as 15-point home favorites and was quickly bet down half point to 14.5 and has held firm. The total was opened at 83.5 and didn’t move all week. View complete line history here.

TRENDS

Golden Bears are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Golden Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Cougars are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 6-1 in Golden Bears last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

[Udog]

NCAAF

Saturday, November 12

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NCAAF Game of the Day: USC at Washington
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Washington finally reached the Top 4 in the CFP Rankings this week, but face a tough task to stay there as they host a hot USC team this Saturday.

No. 20 USC Trojans at No. 4 Washington Huskies (-9.5, 62.5)

Fourth-ranked Washington is in good position in terms of the College Football Playoff but faces a big hurdle with red-hot USC arriving in Seattle for Saturday's Pac-12 contest. The Trojans have won five consecutive contests and have soared with redshirt freshman Sam Darnold as the starting quarterback and will represent a big test for a Huskies' defense allowing 17 points per game.

If things had gone differently following the 2013 season, third-year Washington coach Chris Petersen might be standing on the Trojans' sideline for this showdown. But Petersen didn't click with then-USC athletic director Pat Haden during the interview process and the job went to then-Huskies coach Steve Sarkisian - which opened the door for Petersen to leave Boise State for Washington. "It's just like recruiting: Fit's got to be right on both sides," Peterson told ESPN.com. "I think it was, you know, kind of obvious after talking. You've got to have your way and know the strengths and weaknesses and the details of everything you're doing." Clay Helton is now trying to guide the Trojans back to relevancy and the team has won by an average of 21 points during the winning streak.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, FOX.

LINE HISTORY: The Huskies opened as 8.5-point home favorites and that number has dropped as low as 8 and as high as 9.5, before settling at 9 Friday afternoon. The total hit the board at 62 and has been bet up to 62.5. Check out the complete line history here.

INJURY REPORT:

Southern California - CB Johathan Lockett (doubtful, hip), RB Aca’Cedric Ware (questionable, ankle), RB Justin Davis (questionable, ankle), QB Matt Fink (questionable, ankle), DT Noah Jefferson (questionable, academics), JuJu Smith-Schuster (probable, back), Iman Marshall (probable, hamstring)

Washington - WR Brayden Lenius (questionable, undisclosed), LB Joe Mathis (out for season, foot)

WEATHER REPORT: There is a 80 percent chance of rain showers at kickoff Saturday night at Husky Stadium, decreasing to 16 percent later in the game. Temperatures will be in the 50’s with winds at 20 mph at kickoff.

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "USC returned 10 starters on offense this season with their only loss being QB Cody Kessler who is now with the Cleveland Browns. However, that one loss was costly as the Trojans' offense struggled in September. However, USC has now turned things around and the Trojans have scored at least 41 points or more in four of their past five games. USC has averaged 40 points in their past five games, compared to averaging just 22 points in their first four games this season."

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "We opened 4th ranked Washington as a -8 point favorite over PAC12 rival USC but got up to as high as -9 with the public backing Washington. We have since moved back to Washington -8.5 as we took some sharp action on the underdog Trojans to cover. As we sit right now we have just over 60 percent of the action on Washington to cover."

ABOUT USC (6-3 SU, 5-4 ATS, 2-7 O/U): Darnold has thrown 18 touchdown pass and topped 300 yards three times during the winning streak that has displayed that the Trojans have a star quarterback in the making. Overall, he has passed for 1,874 yards and 20 touchdowns against four interceptions and he is mixing well with standout junior wideout JuJu Smith-Schuster, who has 48 receptions for 641 yards and eight touchdowns. Sophomore inside linebacker Cameron Smith leads the defense with 63 tackles while sophomore outside linebacker Gustin Porter has a team-best 7.5 tackles for losses.

ABOUT WASHINGTON (9-0 SU, 5-4 ATS, 8-1 O/U): Sophomore quarterback Jake Browning matched his own school record with six touchdown passes in last week's win over California and he also holds the single-season mark of 34 passing scores. Browning, who has passed for 2,273 yards, regularly teams up with junior wideouts John Ross (44 reception, 14 touchdowns) and Dante Pettis (37 catches, 11 scores), while sophomore running back Myles Gaskins (952 yards) is closing in on his second consecutive 1,000-yard season. The defense suffered a huge blow with news that senior outside linebacker Joe Mathis (team-best five sacks) is done for the campaign and needs shoulder surgery.

TRENDS:

Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings.
Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

CONSENSUS: The public loves the home favorite with 65 percent of wagers. The over is also getting a lot of love with 71 percent taking the over.


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[Udog]

NCAAF opening line report: Opportunity is knocking for some schools in Week 12

Louisville has only one loss this season, at Clemson in a barn-burning 42-36 setback as a 1-point chalk back in Week 5.

Week 11 of the college football season brought some big surprises that will certainly lead to a big shakeup in the BCS standings. One of the beneficiaries will play early on the Week 12 docket, on Thursday night. We talk about where the action is with John Lester, senior lines manager for offshore sportsbook Bookmaker.eu.

No. 3 Louisville Cardinals at Houston Cougars (no line)

Louisville has only one loss this season, at Clemson in a barn-burning 42-36 setback as a 1-point chalk back in Week 5. That had the Cardinals on the outside looking in for a shot at the four-team College Football Playoff. But not anymore, since Clemson lost a shocker to Pittsburgh Saturday, 43-42 as a 22-point favorite.

The Cardinals (9-1 SU, 5-4-1 ATS) have won five in a row since the loss at Clemson, including Saturday’s 44-12 rout of Wake Forest, though they fell short as massive 34.5-point faves.

Houston had its dream season ruined by two huge upset losses in three weeks, at Navy and at Southern Methodist. The Cougars (8-2 SU, 4-6 ATS) have bounced back to win their last two, but they were hardly impressive Saturday in a 30-18 home win over Tulane laying 26 points. Starting QB Greg Ward and backup Kyle Postma both got dinged up in that contest.

“It appears that Louisville controls its own destiny regarding the College Football Playoff,” Lester said. “Houston has been up and down of late, and Ward is injured, so we won’t post a line until his status has more clarity. It’s a short week with travel for the favored Cardinals, but we fully expect the square bettors to support them here.”

No. 8 Oklahoma Sooners at No. 9 West Virginia Mountaineers (+3)

Oklahoma is plowing its way toward another Big 12 title, though that might not be enough to earn a CFP berth next month. The Sooners (8-2 SU, 4-6 ATS) have ripped off seven consecutive victories (4-3 ATS), including a 45-24 rout of Baylor giving 17.5 points at home Saturday.

West Virginia (8-1, 4-5 ATS) is 6-1 SU in conference play and could certainly upset the apple cart of the Sooners, who are 7-0. The Mountaineers held off Texas 24-20 as a 1-point road favorite Saturday.

“By winning out, could one of these teams sneak into the playoff picture? Anything is possible with the way this final month might unfold,” Lester said. “But West Virginia is a pretty salty team, and this will be no walk in the park for Oklahoma. The Mountaineers certainly have the better defense, and that may end up being the difference.”

No. 19 Southern California Trojans at UCLA Bruins (+10.5)

Southern Cal appears more than ready for its annual crosstown rivalry game with UCLA. Since a 1-3 SU and ATS start, the Trojans (7-3 SU, 6-4 ATS) have won six in a row and cashed in five of those games. On Saturday, USC knocked off previously undefeated Washington 26-13 as a 10-point road underdog.

UCLA (4-6 SU and ATS) is having a much less successful season, but a win over its archrival would surely provide a big boost. The Bruins halted a four-game slide on Saturday, topping Oregon State 38-24 as an 11.5-point home fave.

“The aforementioned Sooners have a great win streak going, but USC has looked more impressive during its recent run,” Lester said. “Outside of Alabama, the Trojans may be the hottest team in the country. They certainly have the talent to win this by two touchdowns, but it’s a massive rivalry game, and as we know, anything can happen in that scenario.”

No. 18 Florida Gators at No. 14 Louisiana State Tigers (-14)

This game was originally scheduled for Oct. 8 in Gainesville, but was postponed due to Hurricane Matthew. Now, Florida will have to travel as it continues its quest to win the SEC East and land a spot in the conference title game opposite Alabama. The Gators (7-2 SU, 3-5-1 ATS) are coming off a 20-7 victory over South Carolina, pushing as a 13-point home favorite Saturday.

Florida QB Luke Del Rio (knee) sat out the last two games, but could return this week.

LSU (6-3 SU, 4-5 ATS) bounced back from its 10-0 home loss to Alabama by rolling over Arkansas 38-10 laying 9.5 points Saturday.

“It’s such an important game for both teams, considering Florida’s conference championship representation and LSU’s potential path to the Sugar Bowl,” Lester said. “LSU is just in a better state regarding momentum and health right now, and all the hype is around the Tigers.”