Announcement

**Udog** · 10-18-2016, 10:54 AM

CFL Betting Notes - Week 18

Week 17 Betting Recap

The Ottawa RedBlacks took a key step towards winning another East Division title with this past Friday’s tight 30-29 victory against second-place Hamilton as a 2 ½-point road underdog.

In Friday’s other CFL game, Winnipeg moved into second place in the West Division with a 35-32 win at British Columbia as a 5 ½-point underdog on the road.

Saturday’s action started with Saskatchewan extending its current winning streak to four games in a 29-11 romp against Toronto in a game that closed as a pick 'em.

Calgary kept its extended winning streak alive with a 22-8 victory at home against Montreal, but it could not cover the hefty 15 ½-point spread.

Friday, Oct. 21

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (6-9 SU, 5-10 ATS) vs. Ottawa RedBlacks (7-7-1 SU, 6-9 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa -3
Total: 53 ½

Game Overview

Another loss to Ottawa this Friday would but a serious dent in the Tiger-Cats’ postseason plans, but they have been on a downward spiral since early September with just one straight-up win in their last five games while going a costly 0-5 against the spread. In last Friday’s loss, Jeremiah Masoli completed 25-of-32 attempts for 278 yards and three scores in place of an injured Zach Collaros, but he was also picked off twice.

Ottawa has not been all that much better in the second half of the season with just its third win in its last eight contests both SU and ATS. The one big positive in the RedBacks series opener of this home-and-home East Division clash was the play of veteran signal-caller Henry Burris. He completed 27-of-39 passing attempts for 393 yards and one touchdown throw. His top target in last week’s win was Ernest Jackson with five receptions for 106 yards and that lone score.

Betting Trends

With Ottawa winning the first of this home-and-home series it is now a perfect 4-0 both SU and ATS in the last four games between these two division rivals. The total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings between the two.

Toronto Argonauts (5-11 SU, 5-11) vs. Calgary Stampeders (14-1-1 SU, 12-4 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -18
Total: 52 ½

Game Overview

Sticking with the losing theme that has plagued the entire East Division over the past two months, last week’s loss to Saskatchewan was the Argonauts’ fifth loss in a row both SU and ATS as part of an extended 1-9 slide (SU and ATS) in their last 10 outings. This offense is now averaging just 22.1 points a game to go along with a defense that has given up an average of 31 points to its opponents.

The only thing that can stop the incredible roll that Calgary has been on since Week 5 of the season is the Stampeders themselves. They have long since locked up the top seed in the playoffs and with a bye in Week 20, it remains to be seen how they will approach their last two regular season games this week against Toronto and next week against Montreal as far as resting their starters. The 22 points against the Alouettes last week was Calgary’s lowest scoring output since mid-August.

Betting Trends

Calgary has won the last five meetings SU including a 48-20 victory on Oct. 10 as a 9 ½-point road favorite. It also has a slight 3-2 edge ATS with the total staying UNDER in three of those five games.

Saturday, Oct. 22

Montreal Alouettes (4-11 SU, 6-9 ATS) vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (5-10, 9-6 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -7
Total: 49 ½

Game Overview

Both of these teams are at the bottom of their respective division standings, but there is a vast difference with how Montreal has been playing verse the sudden turnaround with the Roughriders. Give credit to the Alouettes for holding Calgary to just 22 points, but they still have an offense that has not scored more than 20 points in five of its last seven games. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in four of their last six contests.

Saskatchewan is suddenly back in the playoff picture as a possible crossover team from the West with this unexpected four-game winning streak. It has now covered in its last seven games and the total has stayed UNDER in four of its last five outings. During this four-game run, the Roughriders has scored an average of 26.8 points a game as opposed to a season average of 20.8 points that is the lowest in the CFL.

Betting Trends

Montreal won the first meeting this season 41-3 back on July 29 as a two-point home favorite. The Alouettes have covered ATS in seven of their last nine games against Saskatchewan and the total has gone OVER in three of the last four meetings.

Edmonton Eskimos (8-7 SU, 6-8-1 ATS) vs. British Columbia Lions (9-6 SU, 10-5 ATS)
Point-spread: BC -2 ½
Total: 59

Game Overview

The Eskimos come off a bye week with a three-game winning streak (SU and ATS) that started with a home victory against BC. The total has gone OVER in six of their last eight games. Edmonton never had a problem putting points on the board this season behind quarterback Mike Reilly. He is now second in the league in both passing yards (5,054) and passing touchdowns (25). The Eskimos’ defense has been the weak spot with a points-allowed average of 28.1.

The recent sweep at the hands of Winnipeg has to be of some concern to a team that had won four of its previous five games both SU and ATS. Both losses were by a combined five points so the gap with the next best team in the West is probably not that wide. After throwing for 422 yards in the first loss to the Blue Bombers, Jonathon Jennings completed 22-of-29 attempts for 327 yards and two scores, but he was also picked off three times in last week’s loss.

Betting Trends

Edmonton has won the last three matchups in this bitter division rivalry SU, but BC has a 3-1 edge ATS over the last four meetings. The total stayed UNDER 54 ½ points in the Eskimos’ 27-23 win against BC on Sept. 23 in a game that closed as a PICK. The total had gone OVER in the three previous meetings.

**Udog** · 10-18-2016, 10:55 AM

CFL Betting Recap - Week 17

League Betting Notes

-- Underdogs went 3-1 SU in Week 17
-- Underdogs went 4-0 ATS in Week 17
-- Road teams posted a 3-1 SU record in Week 17
-- Road teams posted a 4-0 ATS record in Week 17
-- The 'Over/under' went 2-2 in Week 17

Team Betting Notes

-- Calgary (14-1-1) rolled to a 22-8 victory against visiting Montreal (4-11), but the Stampeders failed to cover a 15 1/2-point number. It is noteworthy, as the Stampeders entered 9-1 ATS in the previous 10, and 12-2 ATS in their previous 14, entering play. The 'under' was a bit of a rarity, too, as the 'over' was 5-1 in the previous six games heading into Saturday's game.

-- The Alouettes are just playing out the string, but they are making bettors happy at the window lately. Montreal has covered three of their past four games, and they're also 3-1 ATS in their past four games on the road.

-- Ottawa (7-7-1) clawed back to .500 with a 30-29 shootout in Hamilton (6-9) to keep the Tiger-Cats at arm's length in the East Division. The two sides will do battle again next Saturday in Canada's capital city. Hamilton failed to cover for the fifth consecutive game, and they're 2-8 ATS in their past 10 games dating back to late July.

-- The RedBlacks improved to 5-3 SU/ATS in eight games on the road this season, and that type of work might serve them well heading into the postseason since they're likely to be on the road as long as they're alive.

-- The amazing late-season run for Saskatchewan (5-10) continues, as the Roughriders won for the fourth consecutive game. They're 4-0 ATS in each of their past four outings, and they're 6-0-1 ATS in the past seven. They're also 3-0-1 ATS in their past four games on the road.

-- Toronto (5-11) lost for the fifth consecutive time against the Roughriders, and they're 0-5 ATS during the span. The Argonauts have also covered just once in the past 10 games since opening 4-2 ATS in their first six.

-- Winnipeg (10-6) completed the home-and-home sweep against BC Lions (9-6) to move into second place in the West Division. After opening the season 9-2 ATS in the first 11 games, the Lions are 1-3 ATS over the past four outings.

-- The Blue Bombers sail into a bye week, and bettors will be sad to see them go. The Bombers are 4-1 ATS over the past five games, and 8-2-1 ATS over the past 11 games. Winnipeg has been tremendous on totals, too, as the 'over' is 5-0 in the past five and 8-1 over the past nine.

**Udog** · 10-18-2016, 10:56 AM

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 18

Friday, October 21

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HAMILTON (6 - 9) at OTTAWA (7 - 7 - 1) - 10/21/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
HAMILTON is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) in road games when playing on a Friday since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 5-2 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 4-3 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (5 - 11) at CALGARY (14 - 1 - 1) - 10/21/2016, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games this season.
CALGARY is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
CALGARY is 124-90 ATS (+25.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1996.
CALGARY is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in games played on turf this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 3-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 5-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, October 22

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MONTREAL (4 - 11) at SASKATCHEWAN (5 - 10) - 10/22/2016, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 117-84 ATS (+24.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 3-2 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-2 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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EDMONTON (8 - 7) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (9 - 6) - 10/22/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 36-56 ATS (-25.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-3 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 5-1 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL

Week 18

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Trend Report
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Friday, October 21

7:00 PM
HAMILTON vs. OTTAWA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Hamilton is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games at home
Ottawa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Hamilton

9:00 PM
TORONTO vs. CALGARY
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Calgary is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Calgary's last 9 games when playing at home against Toronto

Saturday, October 22

4:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Montreal is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Montreal's last 12 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Saskatchewan is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Montreal

7:00 PM
EDMONTON vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
Edmonton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing British Columbia
Edmonton is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games when playing at home against Edmonton

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**Udog** · 10-19-2016, 03:24 PM

CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 18

Hamilton (6-9) @ Ottawa (7-7-1)— Ottawa blew 20-7 halftime lead last week, rallied to nip TiCats 30-29, their 4th win in row over Hamilton, which lost 44-28/35-28 in last two visits here. Four of last five series games went over the total. TiCats lost last three games overall, by 1-19-2 points; they’re 0-5 vs spread in last five games, are 2-2 as a road underdog- they lost last five road games, with last road win July 23. Ottawa lost three of last four home games; they’re 1-6 as a home favorite this year. Four of RedBlacks’ last five games went over the total.

Toronto (5-11) @ Calgary (14-1-1)— Stampeders are on a 13-game winning streak since 26-all tie at Ottawa in early July. Calgary (-9.5) hammered Argonauts 48-20 in Toronto two weeks ago, their fifth straight series win. Stamps are 5-3 as a home favorite this year; their last close call was 36-34 home win over Winnipeg Sept 24. Argonauts lost their last five games (0-5 vs spread), with all five losses by 17+ points. Toronto is 3-4 as a road underdog this year, but failed to cover last four road tilts, losing by 27-17-17-13. Under is 6-2 in Argos’ last eight visits here.

Montreal (4-11) @ Saskatchewan (5-10)— Roughriders won last four games after a 1-10 start, scoring 26.8 pts/game in those four wins. Four of their last five games stayed under the total. Saskatchewan covered its last seven games but wasn’t favored in any of them; they’re 0-2 as a favorite this year- they were last favored July 16 against the Lions. Montreal hammered Riders 41-3 (-2) at home July 29; teams split last ten series games, with three of last four going over the total. Alouettes lost six of last seven games, losing last two games 40-20/22-8.

Edmonton (8-7) @ BC Lions (9-6)— Lions lost three of last four games, with three losses by total of nine points. BC is 4-3 SU at home this year, 3-3 as a home favorite. Eskimos scored 35.7 pts/game in winning last three games; over is 6-2 in their last eight games. Edmonton (even) nipped Lions 27-23 in first meeting this year their third series win in row, by 6-3-4 points. Eskimos kicked two FGs in last 5:00 after trailing Lions 23-21 in that game. Four of Lions’ last five games went over total- BC scored 35.7 pts/game the last three weeks.

Week 18 CFL games
— Underdogs 36-28-1, home teams 25-42-2 vs spread…….Over: 34-32-3
— Hamilton TigerCats @ Ottawa RedBlacks (-4, 52.5)
— Toronto Argonauts @ Calgary Stampeders (-16.5, 52)
— Montreal Alouettes @ Saskatchewan Roughriders (-7, 49.5)
— Edmonton Eskimos @ British Columbia Lions (-2, 57.5)

**Udog** · 10-21-2016, 01:40 AM

CFL
Dunkel

Week 18

Friday, October 21

Toronto @ Calgary

Game 481-482
October 21, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
99.431
Calgary
128.034
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 28 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 16 1/2
52
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-16 1/2); Over

Hamilton @ Ottawa

Game 479-480
October 21, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Hamilton
109.781
Ottawa
111.308
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ottawa
by 1 1/2
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ottawa
by 4
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Hamilton
(+4); Over

Saturday, October 22

Edmonton @ BC Lions

Game 485-486
October 22, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
115.544
BC Lions
120.368
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
BC Lions
by 5
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
BC Lions
by 2
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
BC Lions
(-2); Over

Montreal @ Saskatchewan

Game 483-484
October 22, 2016 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
109.694
Saskatchewan
113.584
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Saskatchewan
by 4
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Saskatchewan
by 7
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(+7); Under

**Udog** · 10-21-2016, 01:02 PM

CFL
Short Sheet

Week 18

Fri – Oct. 21

Hamilton at Ottawa, 7:00 PM ET
Hamilton: 6-0 ATS after a 2 game home stand
Ottawa: 1-5 ATS as a home favorite

Toronto at Calgary, 9:00 PM ET
Toronto: 1-8 ATS after gaining 200 or less passing yards in last game
Calgary: 6-0 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders

Sat – Oct. 22

Montreal at Saskatchewan, 4:00 PM ET
Montreal: 4-13 ATS after having lost 2 out of their last 3
Saskatchewan: 60-40 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread

Edmonton at British Columbia, 7:00 PM ET
Edmonton: 1-9 ATS in road games after scoring 34 points or more in 2 straight games
British Columbia: 8-1 ATS after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses

Announcement

CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 18 (Fri., October 21 - Sat., October 22)

CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 18 (Fri., October 21 - Sat., October 22)

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