CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 17 (Fri., October 14 - Sat., October 15)

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Friday, October 14 - Saturday, October 15

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

CFL Betting Recap - Week 16

League Betting Notes

-- Favorites went 3-1 SU in Week 16
-- Favorites went 3-1 ATS in Week 16
-- Road teams posted a 3-1 SU record in Week 16
-- Road teams posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 16
-- The 'Over' went 4-0 in Week 16

Team Betting Notes

-- Calgary (13-1-1) is showing no signs of letting up. They won their 12th consecutive game with a convincing 48-20 victory at Toronto (5-10). The Stampeders are 12-0 SU in the past 12 dating back to July 8, and they have managed a 9-1 ATS mark over the past 10 outings, and 12-2 ATS in the past 14. The Stamps are doing it on the road, too, going 5-0-1 SU and 6-0 ATS in their past six road games since dropping their first road game of the season in Week 1.

-- It mght be too little, too late for Saskatchewan (4-10), but they are playing much better football lately. The Roughriders won their third straight game, and their first road outing of the season, topping Ottawa (6-7-1). The Roughriders have dropped the RedBlacks in both meetings, and the 'over' is 2-0 in those games. Saskatchewan has posted an impressive 5-0-1 ATS mark over the past six games.

-- Montreal (4-10) still hasn't been able to cobble together a two-game win streak. After an impressive win last week, the Alouettes fell flat against Edmonton (8-7).

-- The Eskimos have equaled a season-best with three straight covers. The 'over' is 6-2 in the past eight games for the Esks heading into their showdown with the BC Lions (9-5). The Esks won 27-23 at home Sept. 23 in the first meeting with the Lions, one of just four games in 14 tries the Lions haven't covered.

-- Speaking of the Lions, they were dumped 37-35 at Winnipeg (9-6). The Bombers have covered three of the past four, and they're 7-2-1 ATS in their past 10 outings.

[Udog]

CFL

Week 17

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Trend Report
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Friday, October 14

7:00 PM
OTTAWA vs. HAMILTON
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Ottawa's last 7 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Ottawa is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
Hamilton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Hamilton is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games at home

10:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Winnipeg is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
British Columbia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
British Columbia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg


Saturday, October 15

4:00 PM
SASKATCHEWAN vs. TORONTO
Saskatchewan is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games
Saskatchewan is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan

7:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. CALGARY
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Montreal's last 9 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Montreal is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Calgary's last 9 games when playing at home against Montreal


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[Udog]

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 17

Friday, October 14

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OTTAWA (6 - 7 - 1) at HAMILTON (6 - 8) - 10/14/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 4-2 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 3-3 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WINNIPEG (9 - 6) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (9 - 5) - 10/14/2016, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a division game this season.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 4-2 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 4-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, October 15

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SASKATCHEWAN (4 - 10) at TORONTO (5 - 10) - 10/15/2016, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 27-47 ATS (-24.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 127-91 ATS (+26.9 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 116-84 ATS (+23.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
TORONTO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-2 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-1 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MONTREAL (4 - 10) at CALGARY (13 - 1 - 1) - 10/15/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games this season.
CALGARY is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
CALGARY is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
CALGARY is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
CALGARY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in games played on turf this season.
CALGARY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.
CALGARY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 3-1 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 2-2 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

CFL
Dunkel

Week 17

Friday, October 14

Winnipeg @ BC Lions

Game 281-282
October 14, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
110.863
BC Lions
117.918
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
BC Lions
by 7
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
BC Lions
by 5 1/2
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
BC Lions
(-5 1/2); Under

Ottawa @ Hamilton

Game 279-280
October 14, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ottawa
111.659
Hamilton
109.230
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ottawa
by 2 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hamilton
by 3
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Ottawa
(+3); Under


Saturday, October 15

Montreal @ Calgary

Game 285-286
October 15, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
108.010
Calgary
128.567
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 20 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 15
52
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-15); Under

Saskatchewan @ Toronto

Game 283-284
October 15, 2016 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Saskatchewan
109.913
Toronto
104.012
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Saskatchewan
by 6
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 1
51
Dunkel Pick:
Saskatchewan
(+1); Under

[Udog]

CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 17


Ottawa (6-7-1) @ Hamillton (6-8)— Favorites won/covered five of six series games (over 4-2); Ottawa swept LY’s games, by 6-16-7 points, after going 0-3 vs TiCats in 2014, losing by 10-10-9 points. RedBlacks are 3-7 in last 10 games after a 3-0-1 start; they’re 4-3 SU on the road, 1-2 as road underdogs this year. Three of last four Ottawa games went over. Hamilton lost six of last nine games; under is 4-1-1 in its last six; TiCats are 3-3 SU at home, 2-4 as home favorites.

Winnipeg (9-6) @ British Columbia (9-5)— Bombers (-1.5) beat BC Lions 37-35 Saturday at home, scoring GW TD with 8:10 left; they’ve won four of last five games against the Lions, taking last three by 8-3-2 points- three of those four games went over the total. Winnipeg won seven of last nine games after a 1-4 start; they’re 5-2 SU on foreign soil, 4-1 vs spread as a road underdog. Over is 7-1 in Bombers’ last eight games. Lions lost two of last three games; they’re 3-2 as home favorites. Three of last four BC games went over the total.

Saskatchewan (4-10) @ Toronto (5-10)— Roughriders won last three games by total of 7 points, with two wins in OT, after their 1-10 start. Riders Argonauts won last six games against the Roughriders, winning first meeting this year 30-17 (+3.5) in Regina June 30. Riders lost last two visits to Toronto, 48-15/30-26, with last three played here over. Saskatchewan got its first road win in seven tries in OT at Ottawa LW. Toronto lost four in row, 8 of last 9 games after a 4-2 start; Argos are 2-6 SU at home, 1-2 as a home favorite.

Montreal (4-10) @ Calgary (13-1-1)— Underdogs covered five of last seven series games with last four staying under the total. Home side won last five series games. Alouettes lost last six visits to Calgary, with four of the six by 11+ points. Last four series games stayed under the total. Montreal lost five of last six games overall; they’re 3-3 as a road underdog. Over is 4-2-1 in their last seven games. Calgary won its last 12 games, is 9-1 vs spread in last ten; they’re 5-2 against the spread as a home favorite.

Week 17 CFL games
— Underdogs 33-28-1, home teams 25-38-2 vs spread…….Over: 32-30-3
— Ottawa RedBlacks @ Hamilton TigerCats (-2.5, 55.5)
— Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ British Columbia Lions (-5, 54.5)
— Saskatchewan @ Toronto (even, 51)
— Montreal Alouettes @ Calgary Stampeders (-15, 52)

[Udog]

CFL
Short Sheet

Week 17

Fri – Oct. 14

Ottawa at Hamilton, 7:00 PM ET
Ottawa: 1-8 ATS after a loss by 3 or less points
Hamilton: 13-4 ATS off 2 or more consecutive unders

Winnipeg at British Columbia, 10:00 PM ET
Winnipeg: 2-4 ATS after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games
British Columbia: 6-0 ATS off a division game


Sat – Oct. 15

Saskatchewan at Toronto, 4:00 PM ET
Saskatchewan: 49-30 ATS revenging a home loss versus opponent
Toronto: 6-16 ATS after playing a game at home

Montreal at Calgary, 7:00 PM ET
Montreal: 0-7 ATS after playing a game at home
Calgary: 9-2 ATS off a road win

[Udog]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 17

Week 16 Betting Recap

While it still might be a case of too little, too late Saskatchewan posted its third-straight win on Friday by beating Ottawa 32-20 in overtime as a 6 ½-point road favorite.

In Saturday’s CFL action, Winnipeg won a crucial West Division showdown by beating British Columbia 37-35 as a slight 1 ½-point favorite at home.

There were two games on Monday’s CFL holiday slate starting with Edmonton doubling up Montreal 40-20 as a three-point road favorite.

In the other matchup, Calgary continued its winning ways with a routine 48-20 romp over Toronto as a 9 ½-point road favorite to extend its current SU winning streak to 12 games.

Friday, Oct. 14

Ottawa RedBlacks (6-7-1 SU, 5-9 ATS) vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats (6-8 SU, 5-9 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -2
Total: 53

Game Overview

Ottawa has now lost five of its last seven games both straight-up and against the spread heading into the first game of this crucial East Division home-and-home series. Defensively, the RedBlacks have given up an average of 33 points over their last four games as opposed to a season average of 27.6 points allowed. In last week’s stunning loss to Saskatchewan, Ottawa turned to veteran quarterback Henry Burris for a spark and it is unclear as to whether or not Trevor Harris will remain the starter for Friday night.

The Tiger-Cats stumbled into last week’s bye with a troubling 1-3 SU record in their previous four games while going a costly 0-4 ATS. Their main issue during this recent slide has been putting points on the board with an average of just 19 points over their last four contests. The total has stayed UNDER in their last three games. Last time out against Calgary in Week 15, both Zach Collaros and Jeramiah Masoli saw action at quarterback after Collaros was injured in the first half. He is listed as out for Friday night.

Betting Trends

The RedBlacks have won the last three meetings SU and they have a 4-1 edge ATS in the last five games between these division rivals. The total has gone OVER in three of the last four meetings.

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (9-6 SU, 8-6-1 ATS) vs. BC Lions (9-6 SU, 10-4 ATS)
Point-spread: BC -5 ½
Total: 54 ½

Game Overview

This will be the second game in this West Division home-and-home showdown with Winnipeg gaining the early edge. Matt Nichols put the ball up 32 times in last week’s win against BC and his top two targets were Weston Dressler and Andrew Harris with a combined 10 catches for 115 yards and a score. The Blue Bombers gave up a total of 422 passing yards in that game along with another 91 yards on the ground.

While Jonathon Jennings had a career day throwing the ball in the first meeting, he also tossed a pair of interceptions that did not help BC’s cause. The Lions got a huge effort from wide receivers’ Bryan Burnham and Emmanuel Arceneaux in last week’s losing effort. Burnham caught nine balls for 208 yards and Arceneaux added 10 receptions for 150 yards, but neither player made their way into the end zone against the Blue Bombers.

Betting Trends

Winnipeg has now won four of the last six meetings SU with a 4-1-1 record ATS. The total went OVER last week’s 54-point closing line and it has gone OVER in three of the last four meetings.


Saturday, Oct. 15

Saskatchewan Roughriders (4-10, 8-6 ATS) vs. Toronto Argonauts (5-10 SU, 5-10)
Point-spread: Toronto -1
Total: 51

Game Overview

The Roughriders’ late-season push to possibly sneak into the playoffs continued with their third SU win, but the bigger story for bettors has been six-straight covers ATS. Last week against Winnipeg, Darian Durant had one of his best road games of the season with 328 passing yards and two touchdown throws while going 22-for-38. The bad news is that after Armanti Edwards came up big in that game as well with six receptions for 83 yards he was lost for the season with a hand injury.

The Argonauts’ steady downward spiral that started with an early August loss to Winnipeg has resulted in just one win both SU and ATS in their last nine games. The total went OVER the 52 ½-point closing line in Monday’s loss to Calgary and it has now gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in five of their last six games behind a defense that has allowed an average of 38.5 points during this same span.

Betting Trends

Toronto has won five of the last six meetings SU while going 4-2 ATS including a 30-17 victory in Week 2 as a 3 ½-point road underdog. The total stayed UNDER 51 ½ points in that game after going OVER in six of the previous seven games between the two.

Montreal Alouettes (4-10 SU, 5-9 ATS) vs. Calgary Stampeders (13-1-1 SU, 12-3 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -15 ½
Total: 52

Game Overview

Montreal is another team from the East that has far more losses than wins since August with a SU 2-7 record in its last nine games. The Alouettes did manage to cover in two of their last three games and the total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in three of their last five contests. After showing some signs of life on offense with a 38-point outburst two weeks ago in a win against Toronto, Montreal slid back into its old ways behind quarterback Rakeem Cato with 330 yards of total offense and 20 points against the Eskimos this past Monday.

The Stampeders have been almost unstoppable during this impressive 12-game SU run and they have also been a financial boon to bettors with nine covers ATS in their last 10 games. They could easily run the table heading into the playoffs with games against Toronto and Montreal left on the slate before a Week 20 bye. Calgary has been scoring points at a high rate all season long but it has taken things up a notch or two with an average of 41.2 points over its last six games.

Betting Trends

This will be the first meeting this season and the home team in this inter-division tilt has won the last five meetings SU with Montreal covering ATS in the last three games. The total has stayed UNDER in five of the last six meetings overall.