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Went just 2-2 last week. Now 5-3 here at Bettors Chat. Let's get some more winnwers this week.
Missouri vs LSU
After a 2-2 start to their year, the LSU Tigers have fired head coach Les Miles and now they look to get back on track when the host the Missouri Tigers this Saturday night at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, Louisiana. Missouri enters this game off a 79-0 whooping of Delaware State, while LSU fell at Auburn by a score of 18-13. Oddly enough these teams have never met in SEC play. The lone meeting came in the 1978 Liberty Bowl, which Missouri won 20-15.
Drew Lock Leads Mizzou To Rout Of Delaware State
In 2015 the Missouri Tigers had one of the worst offenses in the nation, scoring just 13.6 ppg overall, including just 9.1 ppg in SEC play. QB Drew Lock completed just 49% of his passes for 1332 yards, with four TDs and eight INTs last year, but this year he is off to an incredible start as he has hit 59.3 % of his passes for 1503 yards, with 14 TDs and just three INTs. As a result, the Tigers are now 5th in the nation in total offense (569.5 ypg), 4th in passing (391.2 ypg) and 14th in scoring (44.5 ppg). Wow. This past weekend vs Delaware State he hit 26 of 36 passes for 402 yards with five TDs and no INTs. The Tigers won the game 79-0 and that game was actually suspended with five minutes left as the mercy rule came into effect I guess. I thought that was just in softball. Actually, a game was suspended last year in Boston College’s 76-0 rout of Howard.
Also having nice games in the win was Damarea Crockett, who ran for 115 yards, while the trio of Emanuel Hall, Dimetrios Mason and J’Mon Moore each caught at least seven balls and each had at least 114 yards receiving. Moore had the big game with four TD catches and now has six on the year. The defense for the Tigers was one of the best in the SEC last year and so far it has been solid this year. They allowed just 140 total yards vs Delaware State and have now allowed 367.8 ypg and 18.8 ppg thus far. Last year they allowed just 302 ypg and 16.2 ppg. The pass defense has been a bit weaker as they allowed just 169 ypg passing last year and so far have given up 236 ypg through the air this year.
Loss To Auburn Prompts Firing Of Les Miles
Two years ago there was talk that maybe Les Miles would be headed to Michigan, but he stayed here at LSU and led the Tigers to a 9-3 record last year. This year’s team had 17 returning starters and started the year in the top 5. They were expected to be a serious contender for the national title this year, but after losing 18-13 at Auburn this past weekend they now are at just 2-2 and out of the playoff picture. The next day it was announced that Les Miles has been fired. Miles was 114-34 in his tenure here at the school but was just 19-10 in his last 29 games. He led the Tigers to 11 straight bowls and was 7-4 in those games, which included a BCS National Title win over Ohio State by a 38-24 score in 2007. He also led them to a BCS Title game in 2011, but fell 21-0 to Alabama in that game.
Where do the Tigers go now? Well, Ed Orgeron will be named as an interim coach for the rest of the year. Orgeron coached three years at Ole Miss, but was just 10-25 in his time there, while at USC he was an interim coach back in 2013 and was 6-2 in his time there. For the most part he has been an assistant but has always been known as a great recruiter. It will be interesting to see if he gets the job full-time after the year. The Tigers problems this year have been on the offensive end as they are 111th in the nation in total offense and 119th in passing while averaging just 21 ppg. This is a team that had eight starters back from an offense that put up 32.8 ppg and 437 ypg. That has also prompted the firing of OC Cam Cameron.
The LSU Tigers are under new leadership, but they still have the same players and they don’t really have an offense that can blow teams away with, especially vs a defense that is as tough as Missouri’s is. LSU does have a very good defense, but this Missouri offense is far better than last year’s version and they should be able to put up more than enough points here to keep this one close. This LSU team isn’t worthy of being a double-digit favorite over a quality team like that of Missouri.
Play Missouri +11.5 over LSU
Oklahoa vs TCU
A huge clash in the Big 12 this evening as the Oklahoma Sooners will go to war with the TCU Horned Frogsat Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, Texas. The 1-2 Sooners are not off to the start they were expecting and come into this game off a 45-24 home loss to Ohio State, while the 3-1 Horned Frogs are off a 33-3 win over SMU. Oklahoma won last year’s meeting 30-29 and they lead the all-time series 10-5.
Sooners Crushed At Home By Buckeyes
The Oklahoma Sooners were thought of as being a National Title contender, but it just hasn’t played out that way thus far. It started with a 33-23 loss to Houston to start the year and now they have been knocked out of the National Title picture with their 45-24 loss to the Ohio State Buckeyes two weeks ago. It really seems that the Big 12 as a whole is down and will be shutout of the playoff picture. The defense really looks to be the culprit so far that they have allowed 401 ypg, which is 79th in the nation and 31.7 ppg, which is 93. If this team had questions coming into the year, they were on the defensive side of the ball and it has played out that way. In the loss to the Buckeyes they allowed 443 yards, including 291 yards on the ground and must now far a very strong TCU offense.
The Sooners better hope that they figured out their defensive woes during the week off. On offense, the Sooners have not been as good as expected, they put up 59 points in their win over UL Monroe, but just 23.5 ppg in their two games vs top 20 teams. It may be easier to get their offense going in this one vs a subpar TCU defense. In the loss to Ohio State, they did total 404 yards of total offense, including a solid 178 yards on the ground, but still with their defense they will need better production from that offense in this one.Baker Mayfield has been decent so far as he has thrown for 793 yards with seven TDs and just two INTs, while leading their ground attack has been Joe Mixon, who has run for 235 yards at 8.1 ypc.
TCU’s Offense Just As Good As Ever
Over the last few year, the TCU offense has been nearly unstoppable at times and this year’s edition looks just as good. Last year the Horned Frogs put up 42.1 ppg and 563 ypg, while in 2014 they put up 46.5 ppg and 533 ypg. Well so far this year they have averaged a healthy 576 ypg, which is 4th in the nation and 42.8 ppg, which is 18th. The passing game has really been what has led this team this year as they are 6th in the nation in passing at 380 ypg. QB Kenny Hill is a Texas A&M transfer and he has had a heck of a start for the Horned Frogs so far as he has thrown for 1487 yards with six TDs, while also rushing for 166 yards and six more TDs. He does have four INTs, but still they haven’t hurt the team yet. Hill did play well when he was in there for Texas A&M, but eventually lost his job and that has been TCU’s gain. He has looked like the best QB in the Big 12 so far.
On defense, the Frogs allowed 27.2 ppg and 398 ypg last year and with eight starters back on that side of the ball they were expected to look much more like the 2014 team that allowed just 19.0 ppg and 342 ypg. Well so far it hasn’t happened that way as they are 62nd in the nation in total defense, allowing 384 ypg and 65th in points allowed, giving up 26.2 ppg. The are missing starting LB Montrel Wilson, who was 5th on the team in Tackles last year and starting CB Jeff Gladney is day-to-day, but still this is a deep defense that should be playing better than it has been, especially vs the offenses that they have been facing. Their biggest weakness has been their pass defense, which is 88th in the land, allowing 252.4 ypg so far.
Trends
Oklahoma is:
1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record
The favorite is 2-6 the last eight games in this series
TCU is:
7-1 ATS in their last eight games in October
14-5 ATS in their last 19 home games
The Sooners can still win the Big 12, but not unless they fix that defense. They have been outscored by 10 points and 21 points vs the two top 25 teams they have faced this year so far and will take on an offense that is even better than that of Houston and Ohio State. This game may not be pretty for the Sooners defense. On offense, Oklahoma has not looked good vs the two top 25 teams they have faced so far and while TCU doesn’t have a great defense they should be able to come up with an extra stop or two that will allow them to win the game. Go Frogs.
Play TCU +3.5 over Oklahoma
Troy vs Idaho
College football action and a couple of foes from the Sun Belt will square off at the Kibbie Dome in Moscow, Idaho as the Troy Trojans battle it out with the Idaho Vandals. The Trojans enter this game off a strong 52-6 win over New Mexico State, while the Vandals enter off a 33-30 road win over UNLV in OT. These teams met last year and Idaho won the game by a 19-16 score.
Trojans Pickoff Five Passes In Win Over Aggies
The Troy Trojans are picked as a middle of the pack team in the Sun Belt but they are still far better than that of New Mexico State and they showed that in the 52-6 win this past weekend. Troy went just 4-8 last year, but with 13 starters back this year they have shown improvements and already have three wins on the year. This may be the oddest stat line of the year. The Trojans were actually outgained in the game 539-492 but yet won by 46 points. How the hell does that happen? Interceptions, that’s how. The Trojans picked off five passes in the game, plus they also blocked a punt and returned it for a TD. Really, it was the defense that won them the game, which is very odd to say since they allowed 539 yards. They are now 82nd in yards allowed and 115th vs the pass, but 38th in points allowed, giving up just 21 ppg. The ultimate bend-but-don’t-break defense.
On offense, Troy did pile up 492 yards of total offense, including 207 yards on the ground and 285 yards through the air. They were very balanced. Brandon Silvers had a solid game as he hit 71.9% of his passes for 246 yards with two TDs and no INTs. He has led this offense overall, throwing for 833 yards, with nine TDs and three INTS thus far. Jordan Chunn leads the team in rushing with 445 yards and he had 64 of than in the win over the Aggies. Last year Troy averaged 27.9 ppg on 300 ypg but so far this year it has been far better, putting up 473.2 ypg and 42.5 ppg. Overall this is an improved team over last year.
Vandals Top Rebels On The Road
The Idaho Vandals also went just 4-8 last year, but with 14 starters back, including eight on offense, they are still not all that improved as one might expect. Yes, they are 2-2 on the year but needed OT to beat UNLV and to start the year they topped FCS foe Montana State by just three points. In between those two games they lost 59-14 at Washington and 56-6 at Washington State. This team still has a ways to go. Last year the Vandals averaged 428 ypg and 30.3 ppg, but even with eight starters back this year on that side of the ball they have put up just 327.5 ypg (118th) and 18.2 ppg (118th) not good offensive numbers at all. Matt Linehan is back at QB for the Vandal and has struggled so far as he has hit just 52.9% of his passes for 736 yards with two TDs and one INT. He faced Washington in one of his games and I can see him struggling in that game, but vs the other three defenses he has faced, he should have far better numbers.
Last year Linehan hit 63.1% of his passes for 2972 yards, with 18 TDs and 11 INTs. He has clearly taken a step back so far. They need more from him if they hope to challenge for a bowl this year. They also could use more help from their defense, which has really struggled in the early going. Last year they allowed 485 ypg and 42.1 ppg and this year so far those numbers aren’t a whole lot better as they have allowed 457.5 ypg and 40.5 ppg. That defense is just bad and it has very little depth. They are slightly improved on defense, but that offense has really struggled in the early going and if they don’t fix both sides of the ball then they will not come close to a Bowl game.
Trends
Troy is:
7-1 ATS in their last eight road games
4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win
Idaho is:
0-6 ATS at home vs an opponent that is seeking revenge
1-9 ATS vs teams with a winning percentage of .600 or better
The Idaho Vandals were expected to be much improved, but so far that has not happened, even though they are already halfway to last year’s win total. They won by just three over FCS foe Montana State and won by just three over UNLV last week, but were crushed in their other two games and Troy has an offense that can put a hurting on a bad Idaho defense. Troy has revenge on their minds after losing 19-16 at home last year to the Vandals and they should get it here with a win of about 17 points.
Play Troy -14 Over Idaho
Two More Plays I Like:
Virginia +3.5 over Duke
Notre Dame/ Syracuse Under 75
Good Luck All
Missouri vs LSU
After a 2-2 start to their year, the LSU Tigers have fired head coach Les Miles and now they look to get back on track when the host the Missouri Tigers this Saturday night at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, Louisiana. Missouri enters this game off a 79-0 whooping of Delaware State, while LSU fell at Auburn by a score of 18-13. Oddly enough these teams have never met in SEC play. The lone meeting came in the 1978 Liberty Bowl, which Missouri won 20-15.
Drew Lock Leads Mizzou To Rout Of Delaware State
In 2015 the Missouri Tigers had one of the worst offenses in the nation, scoring just 13.6 ppg overall, including just 9.1 ppg in SEC play. QB Drew Lock completed just 49% of his passes for 1332 yards, with four TDs and eight INTs last year, but this year he is off to an incredible start as he has hit 59.3 % of his passes for 1503 yards, with 14 TDs and just three INTs. As a result, the Tigers are now 5th in the nation in total offense (569.5 ypg), 4th in passing (391.2 ypg) and 14th in scoring (44.5 ppg). Wow. This past weekend vs Delaware State he hit 26 of 36 passes for 402 yards with five TDs and no INTs. The Tigers won the game 79-0 and that game was actually suspended with five minutes left as the mercy rule came into effect I guess. I thought that was just in softball. Actually, a game was suspended last year in Boston College’s 76-0 rout of Howard.
Also having nice games in the win was Damarea Crockett, who ran for 115 yards, while the trio of Emanuel Hall, Dimetrios Mason and J’Mon Moore each caught at least seven balls and each had at least 114 yards receiving. Moore had the big game with four TD catches and now has six on the year. The defense for the Tigers was one of the best in the SEC last year and so far it has been solid this year. They allowed just 140 total yards vs Delaware State and have now allowed 367.8 ypg and 18.8 ppg thus far. Last year they allowed just 302 ypg and 16.2 ppg. The pass defense has been a bit weaker as they allowed just 169 ypg passing last year and so far have given up 236 ypg through the air this year.
Loss To Auburn Prompts Firing Of Les Miles
Two years ago there was talk that maybe Les Miles would be headed to Michigan, but he stayed here at LSU and led the Tigers to a 9-3 record last year. This year’s team had 17 returning starters and started the year in the top 5. They were expected to be a serious contender for the national title this year, but after losing 18-13 at Auburn this past weekend they now are at just 2-2 and out of the playoff picture. The next day it was announced that Les Miles has been fired. Miles was 114-34 in his tenure here at the school but was just 19-10 in his last 29 games. He led the Tigers to 11 straight bowls and was 7-4 in those games, which included a BCS National Title win over Ohio State by a 38-24 score in 2007. He also led them to a BCS Title game in 2011, but fell 21-0 to Alabama in that game.
Where do the Tigers go now? Well, Ed Orgeron will be named as an interim coach for the rest of the year. Orgeron coached three years at Ole Miss, but was just 10-25 in his time there, while at USC he was an interim coach back in 2013 and was 6-2 in his time there. For the most part he has been an assistant but has always been known as a great recruiter. It will be interesting to see if he gets the job full-time after the year. The Tigers problems this year have been on the offensive end as they are 111th in the nation in total offense and 119th in passing while averaging just 21 ppg. This is a team that had eight starters back from an offense that put up 32.8 ppg and 437 ypg. That has also prompted the firing of OC Cam Cameron.
The LSU Tigers are under new leadership, but they still have the same players and they don’t really have an offense that can blow teams away with, especially vs a defense that is as tough as Missouri’s is. LSU does have a very good defense, but this Missouri offense is far better than last year’s version and they should be able to put up more than enough points here to keep this one close. This LSU team isn’t worthy of being a double-digit favorite over a quality team like that of Missouri.
Play Missouri +11.5 over LSU
Oklahoa vs TCU
A huge clash in the Big 12 this evening as the Oklahoma Sooners will go to war with the TCU Horned Frogsat Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, Texas. The 1-2 Sooners are not off to the start they were expecting and come into this game off a 45-24 home loss to Ohio State, while the 3-1 Horned Frogs are off a 33-3 win over SMU. Oklahoma won last year’s meeting 30-29 and they lead the all-time series 10-5.
Sooners Crushed At Home By Buckeyes
The Oklahoma Sooners were thought of as being a National Title contender, but it just hasn’t played out that way thus far. It started with a 33-23 loss to Houston to start the year and now they have been knocked out of the National Title picture with their 45-24 loss to the Ohio State Buckeyes two weeks ago. It really seems that the Big 12 as a whole is down and will be shutout of the playoff picture. The defense really looks to be the culprit so far that they have allowed 401 ypg, which is 79th in the nation and 31.7 ppg, which is 93. If this team had questions coming into the year, they were on the defensive side of the ball and it has played out that way. In the loss to the Buckeyes they allowed 443 yards, including 291 yards on the ground and must now far a very strong TCU offense.
The Sooners better hope that they figured out their defensive woes during the week off. On offense, the Sooners have not been as good as expected, they put up 59 points in their win over UL Monroe, but just 23.5 ppg in their two games vs top 20 teams. It may be easier to get their offense going in this one vs a subpar TCU defense. In the loss to Ohio State, they did total 404 yards of total offense, including a solid 178 yards on the ground, but still with their defense they will need better production from that offense in this one.Baker Mayfield has been decent so far as he has thrown for 793 yards with seven TDs and just two INTs, while leading their ground attack has been Joe Mixon, who has run for 235 yards at 8.1 ypc.
TCU’s Offense Just As Good As Ever
Over the last few year, the TCU offense has been nearly unstoppable at times and this year’s edition looks just as good. Last year the Horned Frogs put up 42.1 ppg and 563 ypg, while in 2014 they put up 46.5 ppg and 533 ypg. Well so far this year they have averaged a healthy 576 ypg, which is 4th in the nation and 42.8 ppg, which is 18th. The passing game has really been what has led this team this year as they are 6th in the nation in passing at 380 ypg. QB Kenny Hill is a Texas A&M transfer and he has had a heck of a start for the Horned Frogs so far as he has thrown for 1487 yards with six TDs, while also rushing for 166 yards and six more TDs. He does have four INTs, but still they haven’t hurt the team yet. Hill did play well when he was in there for Texas A&M, but eventually lost his job and that has been TCU’s gain. He has looked like the best QB in the Big 12 so far.
On defense, the Frogs allowed 27.2 ppg and 398 ypg last year and with eight starters back on that side of the ball they were expected to look much more like the 2014 team that allowed just 19.0 ppg and 342 ypg. Well so far it hasn’t happened that way as they are 62nd in the nation in total defense, allowing 384 ypg and 65th in points allowed, giving up 26.2 ppg. The are missing starting LB Montrel Wilson, who was 5th on the team in Tackles last year and starting CB Jeff Gladney is day-to-day, but still this is a deep defense that should be playing better than it has been, especially vs the offenses that they have been facing. Their biggest weakness has been their pass defense, which is 88th in the land, allowing 252.4 ypg so far.
Trends
Oklahoma is:
1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record
The favorite is 2-6 the last eight games in this series
TCU is:
7-1 ATS in their last eight games in October
14-5 ATS in their last 19 home games
The Sooners can still win the Big 12, but not unless they fix that defense. They have been outscored by 10 points and 21 points vs the two top 25 teams they have faced this year so far and will take on an offense that is even better than that of Houston and Ohio State. This game may not be pretty for the Sooners defense. On offense, Oklahoma has not looked good vs the two top 25 teams they have faced so far and while TCU doesn’t have a great defense they should be able to come up with an extra stop or two that will allow them to win the game. Go Frogs.
Play TCU +3.5 over Oklahoma
Troy vs Idaho
College football action and a couple of foes from the Sun Belt will square off at the Kibbie Dome in Moscow, Idaho as the Troy Trojans battle it out with the Idaho Vandals. The Trojans enter this game off a strong 52-6 win over New Mexico State, while the Vandals enter off a 33-30 road win over UNLV in OT. These teams met last year and Idaho won the game by a 19-16 score.
Trojans Pickoff Five Passes In Win Over Aggies
The Troy Trojans are picked as a middle of the pack team in the Sun Belt but they are still far better than that of New Mexico State and they showed that in the 52-6 win this past weekend. Troy went just 4-8 last year, but with 13 starters back this year they have shown improvements and already have three wins on the year. This may be the oddest stat line of the year. The Trojans were actually outgained in the game 539-492 but yet won by 46 points. How the hell does that happen? Interceptions, that’s how. The Trojans picked off five passes in the game, plus they also blocked a punt and returned it for a TD. Really, it was the defense that won them the game, which is very odd to say since they allowed 539 yards. They are now 82nd in yards allowed and 115th vs the pass, but 38th in points allowed, giving up just 21 ppg. The ultimate bend-but-don’t-break defense.
On offense, Troy did pile up 492 yards of total offense, including 207 yards on the ground and 285 yards through the air. They were very balanced. Brandon Silvers had a solid game as he hit 71.9% of his passes for 246 yards with two TDs and no INTs. He has led this offense overall, throwing for 833 yards, with nine TDs and three INTS thus far. Jordan Chunn leads the team in rushing with 445 yards and he had 64 of than in the win over the Aggies. Last year Troy averaged 27.9 ppg on 300 ypg but so far this year it has been far better, putting up 473.2 ypg and 42.5 ppg. Overall this is an improved team over last year.
Vandals Top Rebels On The Road
The Idaho Vandals also went just 4-8 last year, but with 14 starters back, including eight on offense, they are still not all that improved as one might expect. Yes, they are 2-2 on the year but needed OT to beat UNLV and to start the year they topped FCS foe Montana State by just three points. In between those two games they lost 59-14 at Washington and 56-6 at Washington State. This team still has a ways to go. Last year the Vandals averaged 428 ypg and 30.3 ppg, but even with eight starters back this year on that side of the ball they have put up just 327.5 ypg (118th) and 18.2 ppg (118th) not good offensive numbers at all. Matt Linehan is back at QB for the Vandal and has struggled so far as he has hit just 52.9% of his passes for 736 yards with two TDs and one INT. He faced Washington in one of his games and I can see him struggling in that game, but vs the other three defenses he has faced, he should have far better numbers.
Last year Linehan hit 63.1% of his passes for 2972 yards, with 18 TDs and 11 INTs. He has clearly taken a step back so far. They need more from him if they hope to challenge for a bowl this year. They also could use more help from their defense, which has really struggled in the early going. Last year they allowed 485 ypg and 42.1 ppg and this year so far those numbers aren’t a whole lot better as they have allowed 457.5 ypg and 40.5 ppg. That defense is just bad and it has very little depth. They are slightly improved on defense, but that offense has really struggled in the early going and if they don’t fix both sides of the ball then they will not come close to a Bowl game.
Trends
Troy is:
7-1 ATS in their last eight road games
4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win
Idaho is:
0-6 ATS at home vs an opponent that is seeking revenge
1-9 ATS vs teams with a winning percentage of .600 or better
The Idaho Vandals were expected to be much improved, but so far that has not happened, even though they are already halfway to last year’s win total. They won by just three over FCS foe Montana State and won by just three over UNLV last week, but were crushed in their other two games and Troy has an offense that can put a hurting on a bad Idaho defense. Troy has revenge on their minds after losing 19-16 at home last year to the Vandals and they should get it here with a win of about 17 points.
Play Troy -14 Over Idaho
Two More Plays I Like:
Virginia +3.5 over Duke
Notre Dame/ Syracuse Under 75
Good Luck All
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