CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 14 (Fri., September 23 - Sat., September 24)

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Friday, September 23 - Saturday, September 24

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 14

Hamilton was able to outlast Montreal 20-17 to open Week 13 of the CFL regular season last Friday night, but it came nowhere close to covering the 10-point closing spread as a home favorite.

In the first of two Saturday games, Winnipeg kept its winning streak alive with a 46-29 victory against Toronto as a 5 ½-point home favorite.

Later that day, Calgary took another step towards a West Division title with a dominating 48-23 win over Ottawa as an eight-point favorite at home.

The week’s action wrapped things up on Sunday with Saskatchewan stunning Edmonton 26-23 in overtime as a 5 ½-point home underdog in just its second straight-up win of the year.

Friday, Sept. 23

Toronto Argonauts (5-7 SU, 5-7 ATS) vs. Ottawa RedBlacks (5-5-1 SU, 4-7 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa -6
Total: 52 ½

Game Overview

The Argonauts has now lost five of its last six games both SU and against the spread, but they still remain right in the thick of the East Division race. They have had most of their success this season playing on the road at 3-2 both SU and ATS with the total staying UNDER in all three road wins. Dan LeFevour continues to fill in at quarterback for an injured Ricky Ray and in last week’s loss he threw for four touchdowns and two interceptions.

Ottawa has also been on a downward slide in the second half of the season with a 1-3 SU record in its last four games. The RedBlacks have failed to cover a spread in six of their last seven games and the total has stayed UNDER in four of those contests. In last week’s loss to Calgary, Trevor Harris put the ball up 29 times for 17 receptions and two touchdowns as part of his 289 yards passing.

Betting Trends

These two East Division foes have split the first two meetings this season both SU and ATS with the road team winning each game. Toronto has a SU 5-1 edge in the last six meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in the first two games this year.

British Columbia Lions (8-3 SU, 8-3 ATS) vs. Edmonton Eskimos (5-7 SU, 3-8-1)
Point-spread: Edmonton -1 ½
Total: 54 ½

Game Overview

BC knows it needs a strong effort on the road against the embattled Eskimos to keep hold of the No. 2 spot in the West Division standings ahead of surging Winnipeg. Coming off a bye week, the Lions are 5-1 both SU and ATS in six previous road games this season and the total has gone an even 3-3. Quarterback Jonathon Jennings is third in the CFL in total passing yards (3,030) and Jeremiah Johnson is the team’s leading rusher with 468 yards.

You would have to think that the defending CFL champs hit rock bottom with Sunday’s loss and they are in serious danger of not even making the playoffs this year. Mike Reilly once again threw the ball all over the field to add another 306 yards to his CFL-high 4,053 passing yards on the year, but Edmonton’s defense once again came up short when it needed a stop the most. The Eskimos only gave up 174 yards through the air, but it was gouged for 146 yards on the ground.

Betting Trends

This will be the first meeting this season and the home team comes into this West Division tilt riding a SU four-game winning streak. The Lions have a 3-1 edge ATS and the total has gone OVER in the last three games between these two.


Saturday, Sept. 24

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (8-4 SU, 6-5-1 ATS) vs. Calgary Stampeders (10-1-1 SU, 10-2 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -9 ½
Total: 52 ½

Game Overview

Winnipeg’s current SU winning streak stands at seven games with last week’s win, but it was the first time it covered a spread in its last three outings. The total in that game went OVER the closing 50 ½-point line and it has gone OVER in four of its last five games. The Blue Bombers got another strong effort from quarterback Matt Nichols. He only threw for 232 yards and a score, but he completed a highly efficient 72.7 percent of his 33 passing attempts.

The Stampeders have now won their last nine games SU and they are a highly profitable 8-1 ATS during this run. The total went OVER 54 against the RedBlacks last week and it has gone OVER in their last three games. In what is beginning to sound like a broken record, Bo Levi Mitchell was once again highly successful moving the ball up and down the field through the air with 353 yards passing and two touchdowns while completing 23-of-25 passing attempts.

Betting Trends

The Blue Bombers’ last loss this season was against Calgary 33-18 on July 21 as 5 ½-point home underdogs. The Stampeders have now won the last five meetings in this West Division tilt SU with a slight 3-2 edge ATS. The total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in the last three meetings.

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (6-6 SU, 5-7 ATS) vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (2-10 SU, 6-6 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -4 ½
Total: 53 ½

Game Overview

The Tiger-Cats have not won back-to-back games either SU or ATS since mid-July in what has been a wild roller-coaster ride to an even 6-6 SU mark. In last week’s close call against Montreal, Zach Collaros connected with Luke Tasker and Andrew Fantuz a combined 10 times for 109 yards and a score. He ended the game with 291 yards passing while completing 25-of-36 attempts. Ross Scheurman added another 79 yards on the ground to pace the running game.

The Roughriders’ second win of the season can be mainly attributed to the elevated play of quarterback Darian Durant. He set up the game-tying touchdown with two minutes left in the fourth quarter and he ran in the winning score in overtime. Despite the SU 2-10 record on the year, Saskatchewan has now covered the spread in its last four games.

Betting Trends

In the only interdivision matchup on the Week 14 schedule, Hamilton brings a four-game winning streak both SU and ATS against the Roughriders into this Saturday’s game. This includes a late-August 53-7 romp this season as a 10-point home favorite. The total went OVER 54 in that game after staying UNDER in the four previous meetings.

[Udog]

CFL Betting Recap - Week 13

League Betting Notes

-- Favorites went 3-1 SU in Week 13
-- Favorites/underdogs went 2-2 ATS in Week 13
-- Home teams posted a 4-0 SU record in Week 13
-- Home teams posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 13
-- The 'Over' went 3-1 in Week 13

Team Betting Notes

-- Hamilton (6-6) kept lowly Montreal (3-9) buried in the basement of the East Division, but they won by just three despite entering as double-digit favorites. The Tiger-Cats have managed a 1-3 ATS mark over the past four outings, and 2-5 ATS over the past seven.

-- The cover for the Alouettes snapped an 0-3 ATS skid. They're just 4-8 ATS in 12 games this season, and they haven't covered in back-to-back games in 2016. Remember that in their game Oct. 2 against Toronto (5-7).

-- The Argonauts were pounded 46-29 against high-flying Winnipeg (9-4), losing for the fifth time in six games. The Argos are also 1-5 ATS during the span with the 'over' going 5-1 during the stretch.

-- Edmonton (5-7) continues to go downhill in a hurry, slipping up 26-23 at Saskatchewan (2-10). The Eskimos have failed to cover in a season-high four stragiht games, and they're just 3-8-1 ATS in 12 games overall. Their 'under' result snapped a four-game 'over' run.

-- The Roughriders might not have a great overall record, but they're an impressive 3-0-1 ATS in their past four games.

-- Calgary (10-1-1) met Ottawa (5-5-1) for the first time since their 26-26 tie back on July 8. The Stampeders have won nine straight games since that tie, and they have covered seven straight games, and 10 of the past 11. The 'over' has cashed in three straight for the Stamps, mainly due to the fact they're averaging 42.3 points per game during the span.

[Udog]

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 14

Friday, September 23

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TORONTO (5 - 7) at OTTAWA (5 - 5 - 1) - 9/23/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 4-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-3 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BRITISH COLUMBIA (8 - 3) at EDMONTON (5 - 7) - 9/23/2016, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games this season.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road lined games this season.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.
EDMONTON is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
EDMONTON is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
EDMONTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 this season.
EDMONTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 this season.
EDMONTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) versus division opponents this season.
EDMONTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 4-1 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, September 24

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WINNIPEG (8 - 4) at CALGARY (10 - 1 - 1) - 9/24/2016, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 11-29 ATS (-20.9 Units) in road games in September games since 1996.
CALGARY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
CALGARY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
CALGARY is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
CALGARY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
CALGARY is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.
CALGARY is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.
CALGARY is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 9 or more games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 3-3 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 6-1 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HAMILTON (6 - 6) at SASKATCHEWAN (2 - 10) - 9/24/2016, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 76-53 ATS (+17.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 125-91 ATS (+24.9 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) in home games in September games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 115-84 ATS (+22.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 4-1 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 4-1 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

CFL

Week 14

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Trend Report
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Friday, September 23

7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. OTTAWA
Toronto is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Ottawa is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Ottawa's last 12 games at home

10:00 PM
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. EDMONTON
British Columbia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of British Columbia's last 7 games when playing Edmonton
Edmonton is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing British Columbia
Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing British Columbia


Friday, September 23

4:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. CALGARY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games
Winnipeg is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games at home

9:30 PM
HAMILTON vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Hamilton is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 6 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Saskatchewan's last 10 games at home
Saskatchewan is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games


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[Udog]

CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 14

Toronto (5-7) @ Ottawa (5-5-1)– Argonauts won five of last six series games; road team won both meetings this year, with two games staying under total. Toronto lost five of its last six games, with four of the five losses by 13+ points; they’re 3-2 as a road underdog this year, allowing 95 points in last two road tilts. Ottawa lost four of last six games; under is 6-3-1 in their last 10 games. RedBlacks are 0-5 vs spread at home this year (1-3-1 SU), with only win by FG over Edmonton- they lost their last two home games, to Alouettes/Lions.

British Columbia (8-3) @ Edmonton (5-7)– Eskimos lost last three games, the last two in OT; they’re 0-4 vs spread in last four games. Edmonton is 3-4 SU at home, 1-5 vs spread as home favorite; they won four of last five series games- this is teams’ first meeting this year. Lions lost last three visits here, by 34-6-3 points. Over is 5-2 in last seven series games. Lions won five of last six games; they’re 5-1 SU on road, 5-0 vs spread as an underdog- their only road loss this season was 23-20 (+3.5) at Ottawa. .

Winnipeg (8-4) @ Calgary (10-1-1)– Stampeders won 36-22/33-18 in two games vs Winnipeg this year; they’re 15-1 in last 16 series games, winning last 13 games played here (3-1-2 last six vs spread). Bombers won their last seven games after a 1-4 start; they’re 3-1 as a road dog this season. Winnipeg is 5-1 SU on road, with only loss 36-22 at Calgary in Week 2; Bombers are 3-1 as road dogs. Calgary won its last nine games, covered its last seven; they’re 6-0 SU at home, 5-1 vs spread as home favorites.

Hamilton (6-6) @ Saskatchewan (2-10)– TiCats pounded Saskatchewan 53-7 on August 20; they’ve won four in row over the Riders, with all four wins by 10+ points. Under is 6-2 in last eight series games. Roughriders snapped an 8-game skid with an OT win over Edmonton LW; Riders are 2-4 SU at home, covering three of last four in Regina (3-1 as home dog). Hamilton is 1-4 vs spread in game following a win this year; they’ve lost last four road games SU, are 1-2 vs spread as road favorites this year.

[Udog]

CFL
Dunkel

Week 14

Friday, September 23

BC Lions @ Edmonton

Game 493-494
September 23, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
BC Lions
113.704
Edmonton
111.939
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
BC Lions
by 2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
by 1
55
Dunkel Pick:
BC Lions
(+1); Under

Toronto @ Ottawa

Game 491-492
September 23, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
106.212
Ottawa
113.265
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ottawa
by 7
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ottawa
by 5 1/2
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Ottawa
(-5 1/2); Over


Saturday, September 24

Hamilton @ Saskatchewan

Game 497-498
September 24, 2016 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Hamilton
115.546
Saskatchewan
103.060
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hamilton
by 12 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hamilton
by 5
53
Dunkel Pick:
Hamilton
(-5); Under

Winnipeg @ Calgary

Game 495-496
September 24, 2016 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
118.581
Calgary
125.762
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 7
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 10 1/2
53
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(+10 1/2); Over

[Udog]

CFL
Short Sheet

Saturday, September 24


Winnipeg at Calgary, 4:00 PM ET
Winnipeg: 11-29 ATS in road games in September
Calgary: 10-2 ATS in games played on turf

Hamilton at Saskatchewan, 9:30 PM ET
Hamilton: 30-9 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7
Saskatchewan: 1-9 ATS after having lost 3 out of their last 4 games