CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 12 (Fri., September 9 - Sun., September 11)

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Friday, September 9 - Sunday, September 11

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Matchup Links

CFL Matchups

CFL Hot or Not

CFL Trends

CFL News and Weather


NASCAR Schedules

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 12

Week 11 Recap

The Toronto Argonauts pulled double duty in Week 11 of the CFL season with two games in six days. They got off to a rough start last Wednesday with 16-13 loss to British Columbia at home as 2 ½-point underdogs. Last Thursday night, Ottawa got past Montreal 19-14 while covering as a 2 ½-point favorite on the road.

In Sunday’s CFL action, Winnipeg kept its current winning streak alive by squeezing past Saskatchewan 28-25, but it could not cover against the spread as a four-point road favorite. In the first of two games on Monday’s Labor Day Holiday, Calgary ran past Edmonton 45-24 as a 6 ½-point home favorite followed by Hamilton’s 49-36 victory against Toronto as a 10-point favorite at home. Here is a look at this week’s lineup of games.

Friday, Sept. 9

Montreal Alouettes (3-7 SU, 3-7 ATS) vs. British Columbia Lions (7-3 SU, 8-2 ATS)
Point-spread: BC -9 ½
Total: 48 ½

Game Overview

Montreal is rapidly fading into the depths of the East Division standings with just one win in its last five games both straight-up and ATS. The Alouettes’ season scoring average of 20.5 points a game drops off to just 14.1 points over the course of their seven losses. Montreal quarterback Kevin Glenn has almost at many interceptions (11) as touchdown throws (13) this year prompting the team to turn to Rakeem Cato as its starter for Friday night.

The Lions remain a game and a half off the pace in the West Division with their fourth SU win in their last five games and they come into this interdivision matchup with a 6-1 record ATS in their last seven games. BC quarterback Jonathon Jennings put the ball up 31 times in last Wednesday’s win at Toronto and he completed 21 passes for 199 yards. He is now third in the CFL in total passing yards this season with 2,689.

Betting Trends

These two met in early August with BC coming away with a 38-18 victory as a two-point road favorite. The road team in this matchup has now won the last three meetings both SU and ATS while the total has stayed UNDER in six of the last eight meetings.

Saturday, Sept. 10

Saskatchewan Roughriders (1-9 SU, 4-6 ATS) vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers (6-4 SU, 5-4-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Winnipeg -7 ½
Total: 52 ½

Game Overview

You got to give credit to the Roughriders for keeping their last two games close enough to cover in light of such a dismal season overall, but with just one win in 10 games they are now officially riding out the string in these next eight contests. Darian Durant continues to put up some big numbers with 399 yards passing and a completion rate of 76.6 percent on 47 passing attempts in the first game of this home-and-home, but Saskatchewan’s defense continues to show why it is the worst in the league in points allowed (347).

The Blue Bombers’ SU winning streak has reached five games and this last win was the first time they closed as actual favorites. Matt Nichols has made his way into the discussion for this season’s CFL Most Outstanding Player with how well he has thrown the ball during this current run. He went 27-for-39 in last week’s game against the Roughriders for 341 yards and a score.

Betting Trends

With last week’s win, the Blue Bombers have now won three of the last four meetings SU with the series tied 2-2 ATS. The total has gone OVER in five of the last six meetings.

Calgary Stampeders (8-1-1 SU, 8-2 ATS) vs. Edmonton Eskimos (5-5 SU, 3-6-1)
Point-spread: Calgary – 2 ½
Total: 55

Game Overview

Calgary can really take a big step towards the West Division title with a sweep in this home-and-home matchup. The Stampers’ current SU winning streak now stands at seven games and they have covered ATS in their last five games on the strength of a combined margin of victory of 82 points. Bo Levi Mitchell threw for 380 yards and two scores and Jerome Messam added 110 yards and two more scores on the ground in last week’s win.

The Eskimos took a big step backwards with last week’s loss after stringing together a trio of SU wins in their previous three games. Mike Reilly still leads the CFL in total passing yards with 3,315 and he also leads the way in touchdown throws with 17. Most of Edmonton’s problems this season have been on the other side of the ball with a defense that is allowing an average of 29.2 points a game.

Betting Trends

Calgary beat Edmonton SU for the first time in the past four matchups with last week’s win and it is now 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings. The total has now gone OVER in four of the last seven games between these two division rivals.

Sunday, Sept. 11

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (5-5 SU, 5-5 ATS) vs. Toronto Argonauts (4-6 SU, 4-6 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -4
Total: 56

Game Overview

This home-and-home series features two teams headed in opposite directions. Fortunately for Tiger-Cats’ fans their team has some upward momentum at 5-5 with two wins in their last three games both SU and ATS. Zach Collaros continued to shake off the rust from a long layoff with 359 yards passing and four touchdown strikes in Monday’s win while completing 28-of-35 passing attempts.

Toronto is clearly headed in the wrong direction with four losses in a row both SU and ATS. It returns home for Sunday’s game with an unexpected 1-5 record at brand new BMO Field this season both SU and ATS. Ricky Ray still put on a show in Monday’s loss with 386 yards passing and three scores behind a completion rate of 75.6 percent on 41 attempts.

Betting Trends

Hamilton ran its record to 11-1 ATS against Toronto in the last 12 meetings. The Tiger-Cats have also covered ATS in the last eight games of this division tilt and the total has gone OVER in three of the last four meetings.

[Udog]

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 12

Friday, September 9

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MONTREAL (3 - 7) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (7 - 3) - 9/9/2016, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-3 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-3 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, September 10

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SASKATCHEWAN (1 - 9) at WINNIPEG (6 - 4) - 9/10/2016, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 123-91 ATS (+22.9 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 113-84 ATS (+20.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-3 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-3 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CALGARY (8 - 1 - 1) at EDMONTON (5 - 5) - 9/10/2016, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
CALGARY is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
CALGARY is 121-88 ATS (+24.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1996.
CALGARY is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 6-3 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 6-3 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sunday, September 11

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HAMILTON (5 - 5) at TORONTO (4 - 6) - 9/11/2016, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 8-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 7-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

CFL

Week 12

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, September 9

10:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Montreal's last 23 games on the road
Montreal is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of British Columbia's last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games at home


Saturday, September 10

4:00 PM
SASKATCHEWAN vs. WINNIPEG
Saskatchewan is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Saskatchewan is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
CALGARY vs. EDMONTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Calgary is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Edmonton is 3-12-1 SU in its last 16 games ,when playing Calgary


Sunday, September 11

4:30 PM
HAMILTON vs. TORONTO
Hamilton is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Hamilton is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games ,
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Hamilton
Toronto is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 12

Montreal (3-7) @ British Columbia (7-3)– Lions (-2) won 38-18 in Montreal August 4 (was 23-18 after 3rd quarter); BC won four of its last five games, last two by total of nine points- they’re 2-2 at home, 1-2 as home favorites. Montreal lost seven of last nine games, is 2-2 on road, 2-2 as road dogs- their losses on road are by 13-11 points. Teams are 7-7 in last 14 meetings; Alouettes lost last five visits here, by 42-33-22-36-10 points. Under is 18-8 in Als’ last 26 road games, 9-4 in Lions’ last 13 games overall.

Saskatchewan (1-9) @ Winnipeg (6-4)– Bombers kicked FG with 0:02 left, won 28-25 in Regina LW, third win in last four series games. Five of last six series games went over total. Roughriders lost last six games, are 0-5 on road (2-3 as road dog, over 3-2), allowing 40.2 ppg. Winnipeg won its last five games after a 1-4 start; they’re 1-3 at home, 0-1 as home favorites- under is 3-0-1 in their home games this year, 9-1-2 in their last 12. Riders are 4-14-1 vs spread in their last 19 road games.

Calgary (8-1-1) @ Edmonton (5-5)– Stampeders won their last seven games since a tie in Ottawa; they’re 3-1-1 on road, with only loss by 2 in Vancouver. Eskimos lost 45-24 in Calgary LW, its first loss in last four series games- they are 3-13 in last 16 games with its rival. Edmonton’s 15-11 win here LY was its first in last eight visits. Under is 7-4 in last 11 series games. Eskimos are 3-3 at home this year despite being favored in all six games; over is 8-3 in Edmonton’s last 11 home games, 4-2 this season.

Hamilton (5-5) @ Toronto (4-6)– TiCats (-9) beat Toronto 49-36 LW, after trailing 30-17 at the half; Hamilton outscored Argos 18-0 in 4th quarter (Toronto was playing for 2nd time in five days). TiCats won last six series games, winning 35-29/42-20 in last two trips to Toronto. Under is 7-4 in last 11 series games. Argonauts lost last four games after a 4-2 start; they’re 1-5 at home (over 4-2) with only win over Montreal. Hamilton lost its last three road games, allowing 38 ppg; they’re 3-3 as a favorite this year, 2-0 as a road favorite.

— Underdogs 25-16-1, home teams 14-29-2 vs spread…….Over: 21-22-2

[Udog]

CFL
Dunkel

Week 12

Friday, September 9

Montreal @ BC Lions

Game 483-484
September 9, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
107.691
BC Lions
114.707
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
BC Lions
by 7
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
BC Lions
by 9 1/2
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(+9 1/2); Over


Saturday, September 10

Saskatchewan @ Winnipeg

Game 485-486
September 10, 2016 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Saskatchewan
104.504
Winnipeg
121.127
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 16 1/2
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
by 7
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(-7); Over

Calgary @ Edmonton

Game 487-488
September 10, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
123.473
Edmonton
115.454
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 8
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 2 1/2
54
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-2 1/2); Under


Sunday, September 11

Hamilton @ Toronto

Game 489-490
September 11, 2016 @ 4:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Hamilton
111.071
Toronto
108.413
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hamilton
by 3
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hamilton
by 6 1/2
54
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+6 1/2); Over

[Udog]

CFL
Short Sheet

Week 12

Fri – Sept. 9

Montreal at British Columbia, 10:00 PM ET
Montreal: 3-11 ATS after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games
British Columbia: 8-2 ATS in all lined games

[Udog]

CFL
Short Sheet

Week 12

Sat – Sept. 10

Saskatchewan at Winnipeg, 4:00 PM ET
Saskatchewan: 1-6 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less
Winnipeg: 4-1 ATS after allowing 90 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games

Calgary at Edmonton, 7:00 PM ET
Calgary: 8-2 ATS in all lined games
Edmonton: 75-104 ATS off 1 or more straight overs


Sun – Sept. 11

Hamilton at Toronto, 4:30 PM ET
Hamilton: 5-3 ATS off a home win over a division rival
Toronto: 1-7 ATS in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56