Announcement

**Udog** · 08-31-2016, 05:08 AM

CFL Betting Notes - Week 11

Week 10 Betting Recap

Road underdogs continue to line the pockets of bettors this season in the CFL with another big week of teams getting points covering against the spread. British Columbia got things started last Thursday with a 29-23 victory on the road against Ottawa as a 3 ½-point underdog.

In the first of two Friday night matchups, Winnipeg stayed hot in its 32-18 win over Montreal as a 2 ½-point underdog on the road. Later Friday night Saskatchewan played well enough to cover as a 13 ½-point road underdog in its 33-25 loss to Edmonton. Turning to Sunday’s CFL action, Calgary was able to break this road team trend ATS with a 30-24 home victory against Hamilton as a four-point favorite. Here is a look at Week 11 in the CFL.

Wednesday, Aug 31

British Columbia Lions (6-3 SU, 7-2 ATS) vs. Toronto Argonauts (4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS)
Point-spread: BC -2 ½
Total: 54

Game Overview

The Lions win against Ottawa last week raised their record on the road this season to 4-1 straight-up and a perfect 5-0 ATS. Jonathon Jennings completed 23 passes for 289 yards and a touchdown while backup quarterback Travis Lulay contributed to the win with two rushing touchdowns on three carries. Jennings has now thrown for 2,201 yards and 11 touchdowns on the year.

Toronto begins this rough stretch of two games in just six days with the hopes of having quarterback Ricky Ray back into the lineup this Wednesday night. In previous action this season, he has thrown for 1,235 yards on 115 completions with nine of those catches resulting in scores. He could be just the spark this team needs after posting losses both SU and ATS in its last two games.

Betting Trends

BC lost its first matchup against Toronto 25-14 on July 7 as a 6 ½-point home favorite. The road team in this interdivision clash has now won the last five meetings both SU and ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in three of the last five meetings.

Thursday, Sept. 1

Ottawa RedBlacks (4-4-1 S, 3-6 ATS) vs. Montreal Alouettes (3-6 SU, 3-6 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa -1
Total: 50

Game Overview

Ottawa has dropped four of its last five games SU while failing to cover the spread in each of those games. This once potent offense has sputtered to an average of 22.8 points a game during this slide to help keep three of the contests UNDER the closing total line. Chris Williams continues to be a force in the passing game with 900 yards receiving and eight touchdown catches, which are the most in the CFL.

Kevin Glenn threw for 283 yards and one touchdown against Winnipeg last week while completing 76.3 percent of his 38 passes. Unfortunately, four of his errant passes where intercepted with one getting returned for a score. Going back over the Alouettes’ six losses this season, this offense has only manage to score an average of 14.2 points in those games.

Betting Trends

These two have split the first two meetings this season with the road teams winning each time SU and ATS. The total was split 1-1 staying UNDER 54 in Montreal. Ottawa still has a 4-1 edge SU and ATS in the last five meetings.

Sunday, Sept. 4

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (5-4 SU, 5-3-1 ATS) vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (1-8 SU, 3-6 ATS)
Point-spread: Winnipeg -5
Total: 52

Game Overview

This will be the first of a home-and-home series. With the Blue Bombers riding a four-game winning streak both SU and ATS, it could be a golden opportunity to really improve its playoff chances against the worst team in the league. Quarterback Matt Nichols continued to lead this surging offense with a 23-for-30 passing effort against Montreal for 220 yards. The defense did its part with that interception returned for a score.

Give credit to the Roughriders for showing up each week and actually covering in three games, but the end result is becoming pretty predictable with just one SU win in the first half of the season. The fact that they were able to put up 25 points in last week’s loss has to be an encouraging sign after scoring a grand total of just 35 points in their previous four defeats.

Betting Trends

Winnipeg won last year’s three-game series 2-1 (SU and ATS) with the total going OVER in two of the three games. It has gone OVER in four of the last five games in this West Division tilt.

Monday, Sept. 5

Edmonton Eskimos (5-4 SU, 3-5-1) vs. Calgary Stampeders (7-1-1 SU, 7-2 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -6 ½
Total: 54 ½

Game Overview

Edmonton is slowly returning to the form that carried this team to a Grey Cup title last year. It has now won its last three games SU while averaging 34 points a game. However, there are is still some big concerns with a defense that has allowed an average of 27.4 points to its opponents. The combination of Mike Reilly throwing the ball to Adarius Bowman has led to 956 receiving yards and five touchdowns on 63 receptions.

The Stampeders are building up some serious steam towards a possible West Division title behind a SU six-game winning streak. They have been able to cover ATS in their last four games with the total staying UNDER in all four contests. Bo Levi Mitchell added 323 more yards to his passing yards total (2,857), which is the second-most in the CFL. He is also second in the league in touchdown throws with 15. Jerome Messam is second in the league in rushing with 542 total yards.

Betting Trends

Edmonton has won the last three games between these two bitter West Division rivals SU and ATS including a 45-31 victory as a three-point home favorite in last year’s playoffs. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of the last 10 meetings.

Toronto Argonauts (4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS) vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats (4-5 SU, 4-5 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -7 ½
Total: 54 ½

Game Overview

Toronto will be back in action this Monday against an East Division rival that should be well-rested for this game. The Argonauts have shown good balance on offense with 338.5 passing yards a game complementing a rushing attack that is averaging 81.9 yards. Running back Brandon Whitaker has rushed for 432 yards this season, which is the third-highest total in the league.

The Tiger-Cats will try and once again even their mark to .500 on the year both SU and ATS. They are thrilled to have quarterback Zach Collaros back in the starting lineup and despite last Sunday’s loss, he looked pretty impressive throwing the ball with 439 yards passing and three touchdowns while going 34-for-53. Terrence Toliver and Luke Tasker combined for 19 receptions for 283 yards and all three scores.

Betting Trends

The Tiger-Cats drew first blood in the season series with a 42-20 victory in Week 1 as five-point road underdogs. They have now won the last five meetings SU and they are a perfect 7-0 ATS in the last seven games. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the last six meetings, but it went OVER 52 in that opening day win.

**Udog** · 08-31-2016, 05:09 AM

CFL
Dunkel

Week 11

I'll add Toronto/Hamilton as soon it's up.

Wednesday, August 31

BC Lions @ Toronto

Game 213-214
August 31, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
BC Lions
112.099
Toronto
113.571
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
BC Lions
by 3
54
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+3); Over

Thursday, September 1

Ottawa @ Montreal

Game 215-216
September 1, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ottawa
113.224
Montreal
108.858
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ottawa
by 4 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ottawa
by 2
49
Dunkel Pick:
Ottawa
(-2); Under

Sunday, September 4

Winnipeg @ Saskatchewan

Game 217-218
September 4, 2016 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
110.783
Saskatchewan
107.848
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 3
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
by 5 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Saskatchewan
(+5 1/2); Under

Monday, September 5

Edmonton @ Calgary

Game 219-220
September 5, 2016 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
114.950
Calgary
123.977
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 9
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 6 1/2
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-6 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 08-31-2016, 05:10 AM

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 11

Wednesday, August 31

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BRITISH COLUMBIA (6 - 3) at TORONTO (4 - 4) - 8/31/2016, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 26-9 ATS (+16.1 Units) in road games in August games since 1996.
TORONTO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-2 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 3-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Thursday, September 1

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OTTAWA (4 - 4 - 1) at MONTREAL (3 - 6) - 9/1/2016, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 4-3 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 4-4 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, September 4

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WINNIPEG (5 - 4) at SASKATCHEWAN (1 - 8) - 9/4/2016, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) in road games in September games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 122-91 ATS (+21.9 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) in home games in September games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-3 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-2 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, September 5

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EDMONTON (5 - 4) at CALGARY (7 - 1 - 1) - 9/5/2016, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 35-55 ATS (-25.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 5-3 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 5-3 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (4 - 4) at HAMILTON (4 - 5) - 9/5/2016, 6:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 7-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 6-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 08-31-2016, 05:10 AM

CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 11

British Columbia (6-3) @ Toronto (4-4)– Lions won three of last four games; they’re 4-1 on road, with only loss in OT at Calgary. BC is 3-2 as a favorite this year, 1-0 on road. Argonauts allowed 40 ppg in losing last two games; they’re 1-4 at home this year, play again Monday in Hamilton. Road team covered seven of Argos’ eight games this year. Toronto is 4-2 in last six series games, road team won last five meetings. Argonauts (+6.5) posted 25-14 road upset in Vancouver back in Week 3; Hajrullahu kicked six FGs for Argos. Under is 17-8 in last 25 series games.

Ottawa (4-4-1) @ Montreal (3-6)– Road team won both meetings this year; Alouettes won 43-19 in Ottawa two weeks ago, after losing first meeting 28-13 at home. RedBlacks won four of last five series games, winning 20-16, 28-13 in last two visits here. Ottawa lost four of last five games, allowing 36 ppg last two weeks- they’re 3-1 on road- this is their first road game since July 22. Montreal is 3-0 if they score 22+ points, 0-6 if they don’t; they’ve lost three of last four games, are 1-4 SU at home. Als covered once in their last eight home games.

— Underdogs 24-13, home teams 11-28-1 vs spread…….Over: 18-20-2
— British Columbia Lions (-3, 54) @ Toronto Argonauts
— Ottawa RedBlacks (-2, 49) @ Montreal Alouettes
— Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ Saskatchewan Roughriders
— Edmonton Eskimos @ Calgary Stampeders
— Toronto Argonauts @ Hamilton Tiger Cats

**Udog** · 08-31-2016, 05:11 AM

CFL

Week 11

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Trend Report
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Wednesday, August 31

7:30 PM
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of British Columbia's last 25 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of British Columbia's last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Toronto's last 25 games when playing British Columbia
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Thursday, September 1

7:30 PM
OTTAWA vs. MONTREAL
Ottawa is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing Montreal
Ottawa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
Montreal is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Montreal's last 14 games at home

Sunday, September 4

3:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. SASKATCHEWAN
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
Winnipeg is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
Saskatchewan is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Winnipeg

Monday, September 5

3:00 PM
EDMONTON vs. CALGARY
Edmonton is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Edmonton is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Calgary's last 10 games when playing Edmonton

6:30 PM
TORONTO vs. HAMILTON
Toronto is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 6 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

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**Udog** · 09-03-2016, 05:31 AM

CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 11

Winnipeg (5-4) @ Saskatchewan (1-8)– Blue Bombers’ win here LY snapped 0-12 skid in Regina. Roughriders are 9-3 in last 12 series games, but lost 2 of 3 to Winnipeg LY. Four of last five series games went over the total. Bombers scored 33.3 ppg in winning last four games after a 1-4 start; they’ve won last four road games, scoring 31 ppg since 36-22 loss at Calgary in road opener. Riders lost last five games, allowing 36.2 ppg; they’re 1-3 at home, with all three losses by 9+ points.

Edmonton (5-4) @ Calgary (7-1)– Stampeders had won 12 in row in this Alberta rivalry, but Eskimos won last three meetings LY, by 11-4-14 points; Edmonton lost five of last six visits here- home side won four of last five series games. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Eskimos scored 34 ppg in winning last three games; they’re 2-1 SU on road, covering all three games. Calgary won its last six games, scoring 30+ points in five of those games; Stamps are 3-1 as home favorites this year. Last four Stampeder games stayed under the total.

Toronto (4-5) @ Hamilton (4-5)– Argonauts lost 16-13 at home to BC Wednesday; quick turnaround here. TiCats (+5) opened season with 42-20 win in Toronto, its 5th win in row over Argonauts, who’ve lost last four visits to Hamilton, by 1-16-30-3 points (under 4-0). Toronto lost last three games after a 4-2 start, allowing 32 ppg; they’re 3-0 SU on road (under 3-0), but their last road game was July 31. Hamilton lost three of last four games but all three losses were on road; TiCats are 1-2 at home; five of their last six games were on the road.

Announcement

CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 11 (Wed., August 31 - Mon., September 5)

CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 11 (Wed., August 31 - Mon., September 5)

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