The Bum's 2016 College Football Best Bets,Trends,Stat, News !!

[StarDust Bum]

COLLEGE FOOTBALL TRENDS

Half Time Over


7:30 pm 11/26/2016
(193) UTAH @(194) COLORADO
Play OVER COLORADO on the first half total in Home games when playing on a Saturday.
The record is 12 Overs and 2 Unders for the last three seasons (+9.8 units)
BET NOW!

7:00 pm 11/26/2016
(195) W KENTUCKY @(196) MARSHALL
Play OVER W KENTUCKY on the first half total in Road games against conference opponents.
The record is 10 Overs and 1 Unders for the last three seasons (+8.9 units)
BET NOW!

7:00 pm 11/26/2016
(195) W KENTUCKY @(196) MARSHALL
Play OVER W KENTUCKY on the first half total in All games against conference opponents.
The record is 19 Overs and 4 Unders for the last three seasons (+14.6 units)
BET NOW!

3:30 pm 11/26/2016
(197) NAVY @(198) SMU
Play OVER SMU on the first half total in All games against conference opponents.
The record is 18 Overs and 4 Unders for the last three seasons (+13.6 units)
BET NOW!

3:30 pm 11/26/2016
(183) FLA INTERNATIONAL @(184) OLD DOMINION
Play OVER OLD DOMINION on the first half total in All games in weeks 10 through 13.
The record is 12 Overs and 1 Unders since 1992 (+10.9 units)
BET NOW!

3:30 pm 11/26/2016
(197) NAVY @(198) SMU
Play OVER SMU on the first half total in All games against conference opponents.
The record is 13 Overs and 2 Unders for the last two seasons (+10.8 units)
BET NOW!

3:30 pm 11/26/2016
(183) FLA INTERNATIONAL @(184) OLD DOMINION
Play OVER OLD DOMINION on the first half total in All games in November games.
The record is 13 Overs and 1 Unders since 1992 (+11.9 units)
BET NOW!

12:30 pm 11/26/2016
(151) SYRACUSE @(152) PITTSBURGH
Play OVER PITTSBURGH on the first half total in All games against conference opponents.
The record is 7 Overs and 0 Unders this season (+7 units)
BET NOW!

3:30 pm 11/25/2016
(129) BOISE ST @(130) AIR FORCE
Play OVER BOISE ST on the first half total in Road games off a win against a conference rival.
The record is 9 Overs and 0 Unders for the last three seasons (+9 units)
BET NOW!

2:30 pm 11/25/2016
(123) ARKANSAS @(124) MISSOURI
Play OVER ARKANSAS on the first half total in All games against conference opponents.
The record is 7 Overs and 0 Unders this season (+7 units)
BET NOW!

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL TRENDS

Half Time Under


8:00 pm 11/26/2016
(205) FLORIDA @(206) FLORIDA ST
Play UNDER FLORIDA on the first half total in All games when playing with 6 or less days rest.
The record is 3 Overs and 15 Unders for the last two seasons (+11.7 units)
BET NOW!

8:00 pm 11/26/2016
(205) FLORIDA @(206) FLORIDA ST
Play UNDER FLORIDA on the first half total in All games when playing on a Saturday.
The record is 5 Overs and 18 Unders for the last two seasons (+12.5 units)
BET NOW!

7:30 pm 11/26/2016
(211) TENNESSEE @(212) VANDERBILT
Play UNDER VANDERBILT on the first half total in All games as an underdog vs. the 1rst half line.
The record is 3 Overs and 14 Unders for the last two seasons (+10.7 units)
BET NOW!

7:30 pm 11/26/2016
(143) S CAROLINA @(144) CLEMSON
Play UNDER S CAROLINA on the first half total in All games as an underdog vs. the 1rst half line.
The record is 0 Overs and 7 Unders this season (+7 units)
BET NOW!

3:30 pm 11/26/2016
(213) MISSISSIPPI ST @(214) OLE MISS
Play UNDER MISSISSIPPI ST on the first half total in All games as a road underdog of 4 to 6 points vs. the 1rst half line.
The record is 0 Overs and 10 Unders since 1992 (+10 units)
BET NOW!

3:30 pm 11/26/2016
(165) MINNESOTA @(166) WISCONSIN
Play UNDER WISCONSIN on the first half total in All games when playing against a team with a winning record.
The record is 0 Overs and 9 Unders for the last two seasons (+9 units)
BET NOW!

3:30 pm 11/26/2016
(173) AUBURN @(174) ALABAMA
Play UNDER AUBURN on the first half total in All games as an underdog vs. the 1rst half line.
The record is 0 Overs and 9 Unders for the last two seasons (+9 units)
BET NOW!

5:00 pm 11/25/2016
(117) TOLEDO @(118) W MICHIGAN
Play UNDER TOLEDO on the first half total in All games versus the first half line in all games.
The record is 1 Overs and 10 Unders this season (+8.9 units)
BET NOW!

5:00 pm 11/25/2016
(117) TOLEDO @(118) W MICHIGAN
Play UNDER TOLEDO on the first half total in All games in games played on turf.
The record is 0 Overs and 9 Unders this season (+9 units)
BET NOW!

3:30 pm 11/25/2016
(129) BOISE ST @(130) AIR FORCE
Play UNDER AIR FORCE on the first half total in Home games off a win against a conference rival.
The record is 6 Overs and 23 Unders since 1992 (+16.4 units)
BET NOW!

[StarDust Bum]

COLLEGE FOOTBALL TRENDS

Over


4:00 pm 11/26/2016
(179) NEVADA @(180) UNLV
Play OVER UNLV on the total in Home games in games played on turf.
The record is 10 Overs and 1 Unders for the last two seasons (+8.9 units)
BET NOW!

4:00 pm 11/26/2016
(179) NEVADA @(180) UNLV
Play OVER UNLV on the total in All games in games played on turf.
The record is 17 Overs and 4 Unders for the last two seasons (+12.6 units)
BET NOW!

12:30 pm 11/26/2016
(151) SYRACUSE @(152) PITTSBURGH
Play OVER PITTSBURGH on the total in All games in all games.
The record is 10 Overs and 1 Unders this season (+8.9 units)
BET NOW!

12:30 pm 11/26/2016
(151) SYRACUSE @(152) PITTSBURGH
Play OVER PITTSBURGH on the total in All games when playing with 6 or less days rest.
The record is 8 Overs and 0 Unders this season (+8 units)
BET NOW!

12:00 pm 11/26/2016
(157) PURDUE @(158) INDIANA
Play OVER INDIANA on the total in All games as a favorite.
The record is 11 Overs and 2 Unders for the last two seasons (+8.8 units)
BET NOW!

12:00 pm 11/26/2016
(209) ARKANSAS ST @(210) LA LAFAYETTE
Play OVER ARKANSAS ST on the total in All games when playing against a team with a losing record.
The record is 11 Overs and 1 Unders for the last three seasons (+9.9 units)
BET NOW!

12:00 pm 11/26/2016
(209) ARKANSAS ST @(210) LA LAFAYETTE
Play OVER ARKANSAS ST on the total in All games after playing a conference game.
The record is 17 Overs and 3 Unders for the last three seasons (+13.7 units)
BET NOW!

3:30 pm 11/25/2016
(129) BOISE ST @(130) AIR FORCE
Play OVER AIR FORCE on the total in All games against conference opponents.
The record is 13 Overs and 3 Unders for the last two seasons (+9.7 units)
BET NOW!

3:30 pm 11/25/2016
(129) BOISE ST @(130) AIR FORCE
Play OVER BOISE ST on the total in Road games after playing a conference game.
The record is 10 Overs and 1 Unders for the last three seasons (+8.9 units)
BET NOW!

12:00 pm 11/25/2016
(135) HOUSTON @(136) MEMPHIS
Play OVER MEMPHIS on the total in Home games when playing with 6 or less days rest.
The record is 10 Overs and 1 Unders for the last three seasons (+8.9 units)
BET NOW!

----------------------------------------

COLLEGE FOOTBALL TRENDS

Under


7:30 pm 11/26/2016
(211) TENNESSEE @(212) VANDERBILT
Play UNDER VANDERBILT on the total in All games against conference opponents.
The record is 2 Overs and 13 Unders for the last two seasons (+10.8 units)
BET NOW!

7:00 pm 11/26/2016
(195) W KENTUCKY @(196) MARSHALL
Play UNDER MARSHALL on the total in All games against conference opponents.
The record is 0 Overs and 7 Unders this season (+7 units)
BET NOW!

7:00 pm 11/26/2016
(195) W KENTUCKY @(196) MARSHALL
Play UNDER MARSHALL on the total in All games against conference opponents.
The record is 2 Overs and 13 Unders for the last two seasons (+10.8 units)
BET NOW!

3:30 pm 11/26/2016
(217) NOTRE DAME @(218) USC
Play UNDER USC on the total in All games in games played on a grass field.
The record is 0 Overs and 7 Unders this season (+7 units)
BET NOW!

3:30 pm 11/26/2016
(217) NOTRE DAME @(218) USC
Play UNDER USC on the total in All games as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points.
The record is 0 Overs and 8 Unders for the last two seasons (+8 units)
BET NOW!

3:30 pm 11/26/2016
(153) W VIRGINIA @(154) IOWA ST
Play UNDER W VIRGINIA on the total in All games as a road favorite.
The record is 0 Overs and 9 Unders for the last three seasons (+9 units)
BET NOW!

8:30 pm 11/25/2016
(125) CINCINNATI @(126) TULSA
Play UNDER CINCINNATI on the total in All games in all games.
The record is 1 Overs and 10 Unders this season (+8.9 units)
BET NOW!

8:30 pm 11/25/2016
(125) CINCINNATI @(126) TULSA
Play UNDER CINCINNATI on the total in All games in all lined games.
The record is 1 Overs and 10 Unders this season (+8.9 units)
BET NOW!

7:30 pm 11/24/2016
(113) LSU @(114) TEXAS A&M
Play UNDER LSU on the total in All games in games played on a grass field.
The record is 0 Overs and 9 Unders this season (+9 units)
BET NOW!

7:00 pm 11/22/2016
(101) AKRON @(102) OHIO U
Play UNDER OHIO U on the total in All games when playing with 6 or less days rest.
The record is 0 Overs and 8 Unders this season (+8 units)
BET NOW!

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday’s games

Akron lost its last eight games with Ohio, with underdogs covering three of last four; Bobcats beat Akron last two years by combined total of five points. Zips lost last five visits to Athens, by 3-6-28-7-10 points (2-3 vs spread). Ohio is 7-4, but only one their last four wins was by more than six points; they’re 1-3 as home favorite this year. Akron lost its last three games, allowing 42.3 pts/game; they’re 3-2 SU on road this year, 2-1 as road underdogs. MAC home teams are 15-27 vs spread in conference play this year.

Miami OH was 0-6 at one point this year; if they win this game, they’ll be 6-6, bowl eligible. Red Hawks won last five games, scoring 31.6 pts/game- they’re 2-3 SU at home, 2-0 as home favorite, with wins by 4-20 points. Miami lost last three games with Ball State, allowing 39 pts/game, but this is first meeting since 2013; Cardinals won last three visits here, in series where dogs covered four of last five meetings. Ball State lost its last four games, allowing 43 pts/game; they’re 5-1 vs spread on road this year, 3-3 SU. MAC home favorites are 8-16 vs spread.

Eastern Michigan is 6-5. eligible for first bowl since 1987, but they’ve lost four of last six games, losing last three home games to Toledo, Miami, NIU. Eagles allowed 41+ points in three of last four games; they’re 4-1 this year in games with spread of 4 or less points. Central Michigan is 2-3 on road, with win at Oklahoma State; they’ve lost three of last four games overall, are 2-3 in games with spread of 5 or less points. MAC home underdogs are 7-11 vs spread in conference play this year. Under is 7-2 in last nine Eastern Michigan games.

[StarDust Bum]

COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS:

11/01/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/02/2016 1-1-0 50.00% -50
11/03/2016 3-3-0 50.00% -150
11/04/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/05/2016 26-34-0 43.33% -5700
11/08/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/09/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/10/2016 1-5-0 16.67% -2250
11/11/2016 0-2-0 0.00% -1100
11/12/2016 23-28-1 45.10% -3900
11/15/2016 1-1-0 50.00% -50
11/16/2016 3-1-0 75.00% +950
11/17/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/18/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/19/2016 33-25-0 56.90% +2750

TRIPLE PLAYS RECORD: 103 - 84- 8 *****

BIG TEN GOY................0 - 1 ( IOWA BIG LOSER TO WISCONSIN )
MT. WEST GOY..............1 - 0 ( WYOMING ROLLS BIG OVER UTAH ST. )
MAC UNDERDOG GOY.....1 - 0 ( KENT ST. + 21 W.MICHIGAN 37 )
ACC BLOW OUT.............0 - 1 ( CLEMSON -21.5 42 - 43 PITT )
MAC FAVORITE .............1 - 0 ( MIA-OHIO - 10 OVER BUFFALO 35 -24)
SEC BLOW OUT..............1 - 0 ( BAMA -28.5 OVER MISS ST. 51 - 3 )
PAC 12 GOY...................0 - 1 ( USC UPSETS WASHINGTON 26-13 )
BIG 10 DOG..................0 - 1 ( MINNESOTA + 6 LOSES TO NEBRASKA 17 -24 )
PAC 12 BLOW OUT .........1 - 0 ( COLORADO - 17.5 CRUSHES ARIZONA 49 - 24 )
THURS. NIGHT GOY.........0 - 1 ( HOUSTON UPSETS LOUISVILLE 36 -10 )
FRIDAY NIGHT DOG........1 - 0 ( NEVADA 25 + 29 BOISE ST 42 )
FRIDAY NIGHT TOTAL......1 - 0 ( NEVADA /BOISE OVER 64 )

WLT PCT UNITS

ATS Picks 319-310-12 50.72% -11000

O/U Picks 108-113-4 48.87% -8150

[StarDust Bum]

AP COLLEGE FOOTBALL PICKS: Skip Black Friday, watch football
November 22, 2016

There is really no reason for a college football fan to stray from a screen after Thanksgiving dinner no matter what those stores touting Black Friday sales say. From College Football Playoff implications to divisional titles to the Hesiman Trophy to plain ol' bragging rights, there is so much on the line this weekend.

A quick rundown of some of the clear-cut items to be decided:

- Four Big Ten games have division title implications

- Two ACC games can determine the Coastal Division.

- Both Pac-12 divisions will be decided in two games, including a North championship game.

- Both the Mid-American Conference and Mountain West will determine their division winners as the two conferences compete for a New Year's Six bowl bid.

The College Football Playoff race could be thrown into chaos or fall nicely into place.

Put it this way: No. 1 Alabama plays No. 16 Auburn on Saturday and it is not even among the five most important games being played this weekend.

That's a good weekend.

The picks:

THANKS FOR FOOTBALL

No. 25 LSU (minus 5 +) at No. 22 Texas A&M

Coach Ed Orgeron gets one more chance to prove he is more than just a caretaker at LSU, though at this point he is probably no more than a fallback option ... LSU 27-20.

BLACK FRIDAY

No. 6 Washington (minus 5 +) at No. 23 Washington State

Rarely have both teams entered the Apple Cup with so much at stake. The winner goes to the Pac-12 championship game ... WASHINGTON STATE 33-28.

Toledo (plus 9 +) at No. 14 Western Michigan

The Rockets are more than capable of keeping the Broncos from rowing that boat to the Cotton Bowl ... WESTERN MICHIGAN 28-24.

No. 17 Nebraska (plus 3) at Iowa

The Cornhuskers can still win the Big Ten West with a victory and Wisconsin loss ... NEBRASKA 20-17.

No. 18 Houston (off) at Memphis

Tigers QB Riley Ferguson's status is uncertain ... HOUSTON 31-24.

No. 20 Boise State (minus 10) at Air Force

The Broncos need a victory and a Wyoming loss to win the Mountain Division of the Mountain West and keep New Year's Six bowl hopes alive ... BOISE STATE 35-28.

SUPER SATURDAY

No. 16 Auburn (plus 17 +) at No. 1 Alabama

The Iron Bowl is ALWAYS meaningful ... ALABAMA 28-13.

No. 3 Michigan (plus 6 +) at No. 2 Ohio State

The Wolverines win the Big Ten East with a victory. The Buckeyes need a victory and a Penn State loss to reach the conference title game, but just a victory might be good enough to get them in the playoff ...OHIO STATE 21-13.

South Carolina (plus 23 +) at No. 4 Clemson

An upset by the Gamecocks could crush their rivals playoff hopes ... CLEMSON 31-17.

Minnesota (plus 14 +) at No. 5 Wisconsin

The Badgers win the Big Ten West with a victory. No help necessary ... WISCONSIN 27-17

Michigan State (plus 13) at No. 8 Penn State

The Nittany Lions need a victory and a Michigan loss to reach the Big Ten title games as East champs. This seems like too much too soon for Penn State ... MICHIGAN STATE 24-21.

No. 21 Utah (plus 10 +) at No. 9 Colorado

The Buffaloes win the Pac-12 South with a victory to continue the best turnaround season in college football ... COLORADO 31-19.

Kentucky (plus 24) at No. 11 Louisville

Cardinals QB Lamar Jackson could use a big game to firm up that Heisman lead before he cedes the stage to contenders moving on to championship week ... LOUISVILLE 54-37.

Notre Dame (plus 16 +) at No. 12 Southern California

The Trojans have become the ultimate playoff dark horse ... USC 35-14, BEST BET.

No. 13 Florida (plus 6) at No. 15 Florida State

The Seminoles have won three straight and five of six in the series ... FLORIDA STATE 28-24.

No. 19 West Virginia (minus 7) at Iowa State

The Cyclones taking some steps forward in first season under Matt Campbell ... IOWA STATE 33-30, UPSET SPECIAL.

No. 24 Tennessee (minus 7 +) at Vanderbilt

If things fall right with some other SEC teams, the Volunteers could land in the Sugar Bowl. But they have to beat Vandy ... TENNESSEE 35-24.

TWITTER REQUESTS

Oregon (minus 3) at Oregon State - (at)Schrock-And-Awe

Mark Helfrich's last chance to convince Oregon to keep him; if the decision has not already been made. Ducks have won eight straight Civil War games ... OREGON STATE 35-30.

Purdue (plus 20) at Indiana - (at)nashman92

Must take advantage of any chance you get to mention that Indiana's Big Ten teams play for the Old Oaken Bucket ... INDIANA 45-21.

UCF (plus 9 +) at USF - (at)biblicalex

The Bulls can still win the American Athletic Conference East with a victory in the I-4 rivalry and Temple loss to East Carolina ... USF 42-28.

Kansas (plus 27 +) at Kansas State - (at)rdcramer

Wildcats coach Bill Snyder goes for victory No. 200; Jayhawks go for two consecutive wins for the first time since 2011 ... KANSAS STATE 48-17.

----

Record: Last week 16-8 straight; 9-15 vs. points.

Season: 179-77; 114-137-3.

Upset specials: 4-8.

Best bets: 3-9.

[StarDust Bum]

Tech Trends - Week 13
November 22, 2016

TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 22

Matchup Skinny Edge

AKRON at OHIO...Zips no covers last 4 TY and just 3-8 vs. spread in 2016. Solich has covered 3 of last 4 and 6 of last 9 TY, though only 1-4 vs. line as host. Last two in series decided by 5 points total (both Solich SU wins), and Solich has won last 8 SU in series.
Solich, based on team and series trends.

BALL STATE at MIAMI-OHIO... Ball now 5-1 vs. line on road TY. Miami has covers in five straight and gets bowl eligible with win here.
Slight to Miami-Ohio, based on recent trends.

CENTRAL MICHIGAN at EASTERN MICHIGAN...CMU ended spread skid with close win vs. Solich but still just 2-6 last 8 on board. EMU only 2-2 vs. line last 3 TY but 8-2 last 10.
Slight to EMU, based on recent trends.

THURSDAY, NOV. 24

Matchup Skinny Edge

LSU at TEXAS A&M... LSU has won and covered all four vs. A&M since Ags entered SEC in 2012. Orgeron 4-2 SU and vs. line with Tigers. Ags 0-6-1 vs. line last seven TY.
LSU, based on team and series trends.

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 25

Matchup Skinny Edge

BUFFALO at BOWLING GREEN ...Bulls 3-8 vs. line TY, 3-13 last 16 on board for Leipold. BG only 1-4 vs. line at Doyt-Perry Stadium TY but Falcs closing fast with SU wins last two and covers 4 of last 6.
BG, based on recent trends.

TOLEDO at WESTERN MICHIGAN ...Both similar spread records TY (Toledo 6-3-1, WMU 7-3). Rockets 6-0 last six as dog (2-0 TY) and 12-1 vs. line last 13 away from Glass Bowl. Broncos no covers last two at home TY and only 4-7 vs. line last 11 at Waldo. WMU has covered last 2 meetings after UT covered previous two.
Toledo, based on team trends.

NORTHERN ILLINOIS at KENT STATE ... NIU 5-1-1 vs. line last seven TY as Huskies close fast.
NIU, based on recent trends.

ARKANSAS at MISSOURI ...Mizzou 1-6 vs. line last seven TY. Tigers 6-16 last 22 vs. spread since LY. Bielema 10-3 vs. spread last 13 as visitor (not counting neutral games past few years).
Arkansas, based on team trends.

NEBRASKA at IOWA ...Even after Michigan upset, Iowa only 2-7 vs. spread last 9 at Nile Kinnick Stadium. Riley on 10-4-1 spread run last 15 since late LY. Note the underdog side has covered last four meetings.
Nebraska, based on recent trends.

CINCINNATI at TULSA ...1-8 vs. line last 9 TY after Memphis loss and 3-12 last 15 on board since late 2015. Tulsa on 450-1 spread uptick and 4-1 vs. line at home TY.
Tulsa, based on team trends.

TCU at TEXAS ...Patterson has run up score on Texas last two years, combined score 98-17. Though Frogs only 2-8 vs. line TY.
Slight to TCU, based on recent series trends.

BOISE STATE at AIR FORCE ...Force has upset Boise last two years and covered last three in series. Falcs 9-4 as dog since 2014. Overvalued Broncs 3-7-1 vs. line TY, though 6-1-1 vs. spread last eight away from blue carpet.
Air Force, based on series trends.

LA TECH at SOUTHERN MISS ...Big revenge for Skip after USM dropped 58-24 bomb LY. But Golden Eagles now just 1-9 vs. spread last ten TY, and scorching Skip six straight wins and covers.
La Tech, based on recent trends.

NC STATE at NORTH CAROLINA ...Road team has won and covered last three meetings. But Fedora 9-5 vs. line last 14 at Chapel Hill, 11-6 last 17 as chalk.
Slight to NC, based on team trends.

HOUSTON at MEMPHIS ...Cougs had failed to cover six straight prior to ‘Ville upset. Before dropping last two on road, Cougs were 12-0-1 vs. line previous 13 away from home. UH has won close games last two years vs. Tigers and has won last three vs. Memphis since 2013. Memphis has covered 2 of last 3 TY after Cincy romp but still 2-6 vs. spread last 8 on board.
UH, based on extended trends.

WASHINGTON at WASHINGTON STATE ...Apple Cup! Cougs haven’t won Apple Cup since 2012 and Huskies have won and covered big last two years vs. Leach. But Cougs 9-2 last eleven as dog and Leach 15-6 last 21 vs. spread since early LY. Huskies only 1-4 vs. line last 5 TY.
WSU, based on team trends.

TEXAS TECH vs. BAYLOR (Friday, November 25 at Arlington, TX)... Grobe only 2-8 vs. line TY, and Baylor 4-13 last 17 on board. Six straight “overs” in series, with last five scorelines all hitting 94 or more!
Texas Tech, based on recent trends.

ARIZONA STATE at ARIZONA ...Territorial Cup! This was once a visitor-dominated series, though home sides have won and covered last three meetings. Arizona not covering much at all lately, 1-12 last 13 on board! Though Sun Devils 1-4 vs. line away TY.
ASU, based on recent Arizona woes.

SATURDAY, NOV. 26

Matchup Skinny Edge

SOUTH CAROLINA at CLEMSON...Gamecocks 6-1 vs. spread last seven meetings, though home team has also won and covered last three. Clemson only 2-5-1 last 8 vs. spread at Death Valley.
Muschamp, based on series trends.

EAST CAROLINA at TEMPLE...ECU on 1-7-1 spread skid last 9 TY, while Temple has covered 10 straight since opening loss vs. Army! Rhule 33-16 vs. spread with Owls since 2013. Temple has also won and covered with 10-point wins each of last two years vs. Pirates.
Temple, based on team and series trends.

TULANE at UCONN... If UConn chalk, note 0-15 mark last 15 as chalk since early 2012! Diaco 9-24-2 vs. line with Huskies since 2014. Tulane 3-2 vs. line away TY.
Tulane, especially if dog, based on UConn chalk woes.

RUTGERS at MARYLAND...Wild games won by road dogs past two seasons. Ash actually better vs. spread (4-7) than Durkin (3-8) thus far in 2016. But Terps 6-3 last nine as DD chalk.
Slight to Maryland, based on team trends.

SYRACUSE at PITTSBURGH...Panthers have covered an astounding seven straight in series, Cuse just 2-3 vs. line away TY.
Slight to Pitt, based on series trends.

WEST VIRGINIA at IOWA STATE...ISU has covered four straight as Ames underdog TY. Holgorsen 3-1 SU and vs. line against Cyclones since entering Big 12. Mounties only 3-8 vs. number last 11 away from Morgantown.
ISU, based on team trends.

ILLINOIS at NORTHWESTERN..Cats 5-2 vs. line last 7 TY, but Lovie actually 3-1 vs. line away TY, and Illini have covered last three in series.
Slight to NU, based on recent trends.

PURDUE at INDIANA...Old Oaken Bucket! Hoosiers have won last three and covered last two Buckets, though IU only 2-4 vs. line at home TY. Purdue has actually covered last three away from home TY, and a remarkable 13-3 vs. spread last 16 away from Ross-Ade.
Slight to Purdue, based on team trends.

MICHIGAN STATE at PENN STATE...Spartans have won and covered big the past two years and have covered three straight vs. Nittany Lions. But James Franklin on 6-0-1 spread run. Dantonio 3-0 as dog TY and 15-2 last 17 as dog since late 2011.
MSU, based on team and series trends.

BOSTON COLLEGE at WAKE FOREST...Deacs 2-3 as chalk TY but only 4-7 in role since 2013. Clawson 11-5 last 16 vs. spread.
Wake, based on team trends.

KANSAS at KANSAS STATE... Bill Snyder has rolled in this series, wins and covers seven straight since he returned in 2009, though he lost twice between 2004-06 vs. Jayhawks. Prior, he won 11 straight in series. KU 1-4 vs. line away TY, 3-7 last ten vs. spread.
Bill Snyder, based on series trends.

MINNESOTA at WISCONSIN...Paul Bunyan Axe! Gophers last won Axe in 2003! Though Minny has covered 5 of last 9 in Axe games. Gophers 9-4-1 vs. spread as visiting dog since 2013. Badgers on 11-2 spread uptick since late LY.
Slight to Wisconsin, based on team trends.

DUKE at MIAMI-FLA...Cutcliffe now 17-5 last 22 as dog. Richt 7-4 vs. line TY.
Slight to Duke, based on team trends.

GEORGIA TECH at GEORGIA...Tech 4-1-1 vs. line last six at Athens in a very road-oriented series, visitor 11-1-1 last 13 vs. line, 15-2-1 last 17!
GT, based on series road trends.

VIRGINIA at VIRGINIA TECH...Cavs no SU win in series since 2003, 4-8 vs. line in those games (covers in 3 of last 4, however). Cavs on 1-5 spread skid after covering 4 straight into midseason.
VPI, based on series trends.

AUBURN at ALABAMA...Iron Bowl! Nick 4-1 SU and vs. line last five vs. Auburn. Bama now 7-3-1 vs. line TY.
Alabama, based on team and series trends.

KENTUCKY at LOUISVILLE...Bluegrass battle! Cards have won SU last five in series, 4-1 vs. line in those. Cats, however, have covered 6 of last 7 TY, and Petrino only 2-5 last 7 vs. line TY.
UK, based on recent trends.

UCLA at CAL... Home team has now covered last six in this series. Cal no covers last 4 or 5 of last 6 TY.
Slight to Cal, based on series home trends.

NEVADA at UNLV...Fremont Cannon! Road team has won and covered last three in series. Wolf Pack has won last five trips to Sam Boyd Stadium, Nevada 9-2 SU last eleven Cannon battles.
Nevada, based on extended series trends.

SAN JOSE STATE at FRESNO STATE...Fresno has remarkably covered 5 of last 6 in disjointed season. SJSU 5-2 vs. line last seven TY, and 4-1 vs. line last five in series.
Slight to SJSU, based on series trends.

FIU at ODU...Monarchs have won and covered 7 of last 8 TY to get bowl-eligible! FIU 5-2 vs. line since Ron Cooper succeeded Ron Turner, but Golden Panthers were 0-7-1 vs. line in eight previous games.
ODU, based on team trends.

APP STATE at NEW MEXICO STATE...App 8-2 last ten vs. points as visitor, but NMSU has covered first four at Las Cruces TY.
Slight to NMS, based on team trends.

TROY at TEXAS STATE...Bobcats only 1-3 vs. line at home TY for Withers, 3-6 last nine vs. line at San Marcos. Troy only 1-4 vs. points last five TY after Ark State loss, but is 3-1 vs. line away.
Slight to Troy, based on team trends.

OREGON at OREGON STATE...Civil War! No OSU wins since 2007 vs. Ducks, but Beavs did cover LY, and 6-1 vs. number last seven TY. Ducks on 2-10-1 spread skid. Also 1-4-1 vs. spread away since late LY.
OSU, based on recent trends.

FAU at MTSU...Road team has covered last three in series. MTSU 1-3 vs. line last four TY.
Slight to FAU, based on team trends.

UTAH at COLORADO...MacIntyre 10-1 vs. line TY, 15-3 last 18 on board. CU has also covered all five vs. Utes since entering Pac-12 (though Buffs just 1-4 SU in those games). Whittingham 8-3 last 11 as dog.
CU, based on series trends.

WESTERN KENTUCKY at MARSHALL...WKU has won and covered last two years vs. Herd and is 3-1-1 last five vs. line TY.
WKU, based on team trends.

NAVY at SMU...Mids rolled 55-14 LY, now on 16-6-2 spread uptick. Mustangs improved 8-3 vs. line TY.
Navy, based on team trends.

NORTH TEXAS at UTEP... Sun Belt no fortress TY for Miners, now 1-4 vs. line last five as host. UNT 6-3-1 last nine on board.
UNT, based on team trends.

UCF at USF...UCF 7-2 vs. line last 9 TY. USF 14-5-1 last 20 reg.-season on board. Road team has covered last three meetings.
Slight to USF, based on series trends.

CHARLOTTE at UTSA... 49ers have covered 3 straight on road and 4 straight as a dog. Roadrunners 1-3 as chalk TY.
Slight to Tennessee, based on team trends.

FLORIDA at FLORIDA STATE...Road team has covered five straight in series. FSU yet to cover consecutive games TY, only 2-3 vs. line at Doak Campbell.
Florida, based on series road trends.

RICE at STANFORD...Tree rallying with four straight DD wins but no covers last 3 on Farm. Owls 3-1 last 4 as DD dog.
Slight to Stanford, based on team trends.

ARKANSAS STATE at UL-LAFAYETTE...Ark State flying with wins and covers last six. ULL just 4-7 vs. line last 11 at Cajun Field.
Ark State, based on recent trends.

TENNESSEE at VANDERBILT...Vols just 2-4-1 last seven vs. line TY and just 1-3 vs. spread last four vs. Dores. Also 0-2-1 vs. line as visitor TY. Derek Mason 6-1 last seven as home dog.
Vandy, based on team and series trends.

MISSISSIPPI STATE at OLE MISS... Egg Bowl! Rebs 3-1 SU and vs. line in Egg Bowl, and 22-11-1 vs. line as host since 2012.
Ole Miss, based on team trends.

MICHIGAN at OHIO STATE...Urban Meyer 4-0 SU and 2-2 vs. line against Michigan since taking over OSU in 2012. Harbaugh only 5-6 vs. line TY and 7-10 last 17.
Slight to OSU, based on series trends.

NOTRE DAME at USC... Irish have won 3 of 4 and 4 of last 6 vs. Trojans after losing eight in a row to Pete Carroll. But SC 7-0 SU, 6-1 vs. line last six TY. ND only 5-10 vs. line since late 2015.
SC, based on recent trends.

SOUTH ALABAMA at IDAHO...Hot Vandals have covered last five and six of last seven this season.
Idaho, based on recent trends.

WYOMING at NEW MEXICO... Lobos 5-1 SU last six TY, though Wyo 6-1 SU and vs. line last seven TY. Bob Davie has covered last three vs. Cowboys.
New Mexico, based on team and series trends.

COLORADO STATE at SAN DIEGO STATE...Aztecs 15-3 vs. spread last 18 MW reg.-season play, 5-2 last 7 as MW host. But CSU has covered six straight and 8-1-1 last nine vs. number TY.
Slight to CSU, based on recent trends.

UTAH STATE at BYU...Utags no covers last six TY, though road team has won and covered last three in series. USU 3-13 vs. spread last 16 on board. Sitake 8-3 vs. line for BYU TY.
Slight to BYU, based on Utag negatives.

UMASS at HAWAII.... Rolovich no covers last four or five of six, 1-3 vs. line at Aloha, and just 2-12 last 14 vs. points at home.
UMass, based on team trends.

[StarDust Bum]

TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 22

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

BALL at M-OH 07:00 PM

M-OH -7.5 *****

O 54.5 *****

CMU at EMU 07:00 PM

EMU +1.0 *****

U 56.0 *****

AKR at OHIO 07:00 PM

OHIO -13.0 *****

U 53.0 *****

[StarDust Bum]

Ohio clinches MAC East title, beats Akron 9-3
November 22, 2016

ATHENS, Ohio (AP) Louie Zervos made all three of his field-goal attempts and Ohio clinched the Mid-American Conference East Division title with a 9-3 win over Akron on Tuesday night.

The Bobcats (8-4, 6-2) will play in the MAC championship game for the first time since 2011. They will face either No. 14 Western Michigan or Toledo at Ford Field in Detroit on Dec. 2.

Zervos scored on kicks of 37 and 49 yards in the second quarter and added a 23-yarder with 2:59 left in the fourth. The 49-yard field goal was the second longest of Zervos' career.

Tom O'Leary scored Akron's only points on a 35-yard attempt that made it 6-3 in the third quarter. O'Leary missed a 43-yard attempt near the end of the first quarter.

Tyrell Goodman led Akron (5-7, 3-5) to the Ohio 25 on the Zips' final possession with enough time to go ahead. He had a pass on third-and-11 that was within the reach of JoJo Natson in the end zone, but Natson was unable to haul it in.

--------------------------------

Miami (OH) edges Ball State 21-20, becomes bowl eligible
November 22, 2016

OXFORD, Ohio (AP) Gus Ragland threw for 380 yards and three touchdowns, including a 27-yarder to Sam Shisso in the fourth quarter, to lift Miami of Ohio past Ball State for a 21-20 win that makes the RedHawks bowl eligible for the first time since 2010.

Miami became the first team in college football to finish a regular season 6-6 after losing its first six games.

Trailing by six with 5:04 to play, Shisso hauled in Ragland's pass at the 15, turned and squeezed through three defenders to reach the end zone. Nick Dowd's extra point put the RedHawks on top for good.

Ragland completed 26 of his 35 passes, twice finding Rokeem Williams for touchdown. Williams finished with 145 yards on six catches.

Ball State (4-8, 1-7 Mid-American Conference) got a rushing touchdown from quarterback Riley Neal, who earlier threw a 25-yard TD pass to KeVonn Mabon. Morgan Hagee kicked two field goals.

---------------------------------

Eastern Michigan beats Cent Michigan, 26-21 for 7th win
November 22, 2016

YPSILANTI, Mich. (AP) Brogan Roback found Sergio Bailey II with a 24-yard touchdown with 21 seconds left and Eastern Michigan won its seventh game of the season for the first time in 27 years, knocking off Central Michigan 26-21 in the regular season finale Tuesday night.

Eastern Michigan (7-5, 4-4 Mid-American Conference) is bowl-eligible for the first time since 1987 when the Eagles played in the California Bowl against San Jose State, the only bowl game the school has played in in its 41-year history. It's the Eagles first winning season since 1995.

The Eagles led 20-7 after three quarters, but the Chippewas (6-6, 3-5) rallied behind a pair of Devon Spalding touchdown runs, including a 41-yard dash that put them up 21-20 with 2:34 left.

Robach, who finished 26 of 38 for 355 yards, engineered a 72-yard drive in eight plays for the winning score, his second TD pass of the game.

[StarDust Bum]

ACC Report - Week 13
November 22, 2016

2016 ACC STANDINGS

Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under

Boston College 5-6 1-6 4-6-1 4-7

Clemson 10-1 7-1 5-6 5-6

Duke 4-7 1-6 7-4 3-8

Florida State 8-3 5-3 6-4 5-5

Georgia Tech 7-4 4-4 5-4-1 5-4-1

Louisville 9-2 7-1 5-5-1 7-4

Miami (Fla.) 7-4 4-3 7-4 5-6

North Carolina 8-3 5-2 7-4 4-7

North Carolina State 5-6 2-5 7-4 4-6-1

Pittsburgh 7-4 4-3 5-6 10-1

Syracuse 4-7 2-5 4-7 2-9

Virginia 2-9 1-6 4-6-1 3-7-1

Virginia Tech 8-3 5-2 5-6 6-5

Wake Forest 6-5 3-4 7-4 5-6


North Carolina State at North Carolina (Fri. - ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)

The Wolfpack and Tar Heels do battle at Kenan Stadium in Chapel Hill Friday afternoon. It's an important game, too, as Carolina is looking to secure a spot in the ACC Championship Game, but they need a little help. N.C. State would not only like to derail those hopes, but they're also in need of a win if they want to become bowl eligible. The Wolfpack are just 3-7 ATS in their past 10 against teams with a winning record, and 1-4 ATS in their past five road games against a team with a winning home record. UNC has covered four of the past five overall and they're 5-2 ATS in their past seven in the month of November. The underdog has cashed in 13 of the past 18 meetings in this series. If you're interested in totals, the under is 4-0 in the past four overall and 4-0 in the past four ACC games. The under is 6-1 in the past seven for UNC, 4-0 in their past four against teams with a losing record and 5-1 in their past six league games.
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Georgia Tech at Georgia (SEC Network, 12:00 p.m. ET)

The Yellow Jackets and Bulldogs are each 7-4 heading into their rivalry game in Athens. The Jackets have struggled against the number lately, going 6-2 ATS in their past eight non-conference games, but just 6-13-1 ATS in the past 20 games overall. They're also 2-6-1 ATS in their past nine road games, and 4-10 ATS in their past 14 against a team with a winning record. UGA is 4-9 ATS in their past 13 home games, but they're 4-1 ATS in their past five against a team with a winning record and 5-1 ATS in their past six league outings. The road team is 14-2-1 ATS in the past 17 meetings in this rivalry, and the Jackets are 4-1-1 ATS in their past six trips to Athens. The under is 4-1 in the past five in this series.

Kentucky at Louisville (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)

The Wildcats roll into this rivalry game with covers in six of their past eight outings, although they're just 10-22 ATS in their past 32 games away from Commonwealth Stadium in Lexington. The Wildcats haven't had a ton of luck outside of the conference, going 0-4 ATS in their past four outside of the SEC while going 3-12 ATS in their past 15 in the month of November. Louisville needs to regroup after their disappointing non-conference loss against Houston. They're still 4-1-1 ATS in their past six non-conference games and 7-2 ATS in their past nine against the SEC. However, the Cards are 1-6 ATS in their past seven home games against a team with a winning road record. In this series the road team is 7-1 ATS in the past eight meetings, with the Wildcats 1-4 ATS in the past five. The over is 3-1-1 in the past five.

Virginia at Virginia Tech (ESPN2, 12:00 p.m.)

The Cavaliers of UVA have long since lost out on bowl eligibility, but Saturday's game at Virginia Tech is their bowl game. They can spoil the chances of their biggest rivalry in Blacksburg. Va. Tech is looking to secure a spot in the ACC Championship Game with a victory. The Cavaliers are 18 1/2-point underdogs as of Wednesday morning. The Cavs are 6-2-2 ATS in their past 10 road games, but just 1-5 ATS in the past six non-conference battles, 1-5 ATS in their past six against teams with a winning record and 1-5 ATS in their past six overall. Virginia Tech isn't much better, going 7-15-1 ATS in their past 23 against a team with a losing record, 4-1 ATS in their past five conference tilts and 4-11-1 ATS in their past 16 home outings against a team with a losing road mark. The underdog has cashed in four straigth in this series, but the Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their past seven trips to Blacksburg. The under is 6-1 in the past seven at Lane Stadium, and 5-1 in the past six meetings overall.

Syracuse at Pittsburgh (ACC Network, 12:30 p.m.)

The Orange head to the Steel City in the latest installment of their rivalry. When these teams weren't in the ACC, they used to meet in the Big East. Syracuse has covered just twice in the past seven conference games, 2-5 ATS in their past seven overall and 2-5 ATS in their past seven against teams with a winning record. Pitt has covered four of the past five conference battles and four of their past five overall, but they're just 3-10 ATS in their past 13 home games. The Panthers are also 1-5 ATS in their past six home games against a team with a losing road record. The Orange are just 1-5-1 ATS in their past seven meetings, and 1-5 ATS in their past six trips to Pittsburgh while the home team is 3-1-1 ATS in the past five. The under has cashed in each of the past four in this series.

Boston College at Wake Forest (ACC Network, 3:00 p.m.)

The Eagles head to the Triad looking to qualify for a bowl with a sixth victory. Wake Forest has already secured bowl eligibility, but they can pick up a seventh win and improve their bowl standing. As it stands right now the Demon Deacons could be headed to El Paso for the Sun Bowl against a Pac-12 representative. The Eagles are just 1-8-1 ATS in their past 10 conference teams, and 1-4 ATS in their past five against a team with a winning record. However, B.C. is 5-1 ATS in their past six away from home against a team with a winning home record. Wake has covered in five straight league games, while going 5-1 ATS in their past six games overall. They're also 11-5 ATS in their past 16 against teams with a losing overall mark. The biggest winner at the betting window has been those taking the 'under' when these sides get together. The under is 6-0 in the past six in the series, and 5-1 in the past six in Winston-Salem.

Duke at Miami-Florida (ESPN2, 3:30 p.m.)

Duke's outstanding run of bowl games will come to an end this season, as they're just 4-7 and a two-touchdown underdog in Miami Saturday afternoon. The Hurricanes have had a tale of three seasons, going 4-0 SU/ATS to start the season, 0-4 SU/ATS from Week 6 through, then 3-0 SU/ATS in their past three outings. Duke might not have ticked off many wins this season, but they have hung around. They're 5-1 ATS in their past six overall, 4-1 ATS in their past five league games and 10-4 ATS in their past 14 on the road. Miami has covered four of their past five games against Duke, however, while the 'over' is also 4-1 in the past five meetings in this series.

South Carolina at Clemson (ESPN, 7:30 p.m.)

The Gamecocks have been a thorn in the side of their rivals from the upstate, and they have covered six of the past seven meetings in this series. However, the home team is 4-1 ATS in the past five, including last season when the Gamecocks gave the Tigers a huge scare in Columbia, losing 37-32 as three-touchdown 'dogs. In the last meeting at Clemson, the Tigers won 35-17 Nov. 29, 2014 as 3 1/2-point favorites. South Carolina is 4-1-1 ATS in the past six against teams with a winning record, and they're 7-1 ATS in their past eight against ACC foes. Clemson has posted a 4-0 ATS in their past four home games against a team with a winning road record, but they're just 1-4 ATS in their past five overall and 0-4 ATS against teams with a winning record.

Florida at Florida State (ABC, 8:00 p.m.)

The Gators head to Tallahassee and they're underdogs by a touchdown as of Wednesday morning. The road team has covered in each of the past five meetings in this series, although the favorite is 14-4 ATS in the past 18 meetings in this Sunshine State rivalry. Florida is 3-1-1 ATS in their past five games, and they're 11-4 ATS in their past 15 road games. However, they're 0-6 ATS in their past six outside of the conference. Florida State is 4-1 ATS in their past five non-conference tilts, and 11-5 ATS in the past 16 games overall while going 7-3 ATS in their past 10 at Doak Campbell Stadium in Tallahassee. The total for this game sits at 45, and the 'under' might be a popular play. The 'under' has cashed in four straight for the Gators, and each of their past four road games, too. The under is also 17-4 in their past 21 against ACC teams and 4-1 in their past five non-conference tilts. For the Seminoles, the under is 19-7 in their past 26 against the SEC and 5-2 in their past seven overall. In this series, the under is 8-2 in the past 10 meetings in Tally, and 16-5 in the past 21 meetings in this series.

[StarDust Bum]

B]Big 12 Report - Week 13
November 23, 2016[/B]

2016 BIG 12 STANDINGS

Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under

Baylor 6-4 3-4 2-8 3-7

Iowa State 3-8 2-6 7-4 7-4

Kansas 2-9 1-7 5-6 4-7

Kansas State 6-4 4-3 4-6 5-5

Oklahoma 9-2 8-0 5-6 6-5

Oklahoma State 9-2 7-1 7-4 7-4

Texas 5-6 3-5 6-5 4-7

Texas Christian 5-5 3-4 2-8 5-5

Texas Tech 4-7 2-6 7-4 6-5

West Virginia 8-2 5-2 4-6 4-6


Texas Christian at Texas (Fri. - FOX Sports 1, 3:30 p.m. ET)

Someone is going to become bowl eligible with a win, and someone is going to be super disappointed with a loss. TCU has struggled against the number lately, covering just once in their past six games while going 1-6 ATS in their past seven conference battles. TCU is also 0-5 ATS in their past five against teams with a losing record. For Texas, they're coming off an embarrassing loss at Kansas last week which might have been the final straw for the administration at Texas as far as the Charlie Strong era is concerned. A loss at home and no bowl game would likely cinch the end. Texas has been a disaster on the road, but they're 4-1 SU/ATS in five games in Austin this season. Total bettors might like the 'under' in this one. The 'under' is 4-1 in TCU's past five overall, 4-1 in their past five road games and 5-2 in their past seven against teams with a losing overall record. The 'under' has hit in six straight for Texas, 24 of their past 33 confernce tilts and the 'under' is 35-17-3 in their past 53 at home.

Baylor at Texas Tech (Fri. - ESPN, 6:00 p.m.)

Baylor lost their starting QB Seth Russell to a gruesome injury Nov. 5 against TCU, the second game in a four-game losing streak. After starting out 6-0 SU, the Bears have droped four in a row and they haven't covered in any of the outings, either. Overall Baylor is just 2-8 ATS. Texas Tech is in the midst of a three-game skid, and they have dropped six of the past seven to fall out of contention for a bowl game. However, the Red Raiders are 3-2 ATS and 6-3 ATS in the past nine. The Red Raiders are 3-3 SU/4-2 ATS in six games at home. The Bears are 1-6 ATS in their past seven against teams with a losing record, while Texas Tech is 8-3 ATS in their past 11 conference games. The favorite has hit in five of the past six in this series, while the 'over' has connected in all six of these outings.

Kansas at Kansas State (FOX Sports 1, 12:00 p.m. ET)

The Battle of the Sunflower State takes place at Bill Snyder Family Stadium in Manhattan, and the Wildcats are favored by 27 points (as of Wednesday morning) to maintain their dominance in the series. The Jayhawks topped Texas last week in overtime, giving them a feel-good story after a dismal season. However, they're still just 10-30-1 ATS in their past 41 road games, 7-23 ATS in their past 30 road outings against a team with a winning home record. The Wildcats have posted a 44-21-1 ATS mark in their past 66 conference tilts, including 17-4 ATS in the past 21 meetings. The favorite has cashed in 18 of the past 21 in this series, and K-State is 9-1 ATS in the past 10 home games against their rivals. The over has hit in five of the past six in this rivalry.

West Virginia at Iowa State (FOX Sports 1, 3:30 p.m. ET)

The Mountaineers are licking their wounds after taking a beating from the Sooners at home last week in the snow. They look to rebound in Ames against an Iowa State team which has won just three times, but a Cylclones team which is 3-1 ATS in the past four and 7-2 ATS over their past nine outings. I-State has covered five in a row at Jack Trice Stadium in Ames, and they're 6-2 ATS in their past eight conference games. The 'under' is 6-2 in West Virginia's past eight road games, and 23-9 in their past 32 games overall. For the Cyclones, the 'over' is 4-1 in their past five home games and 7-2 in their past nine games overall and 9-3 in the past 12 conference tilts.

Teams on a Bye
Oklahoma, Oklahoma State

[StarDust Bum]

Michigan at Ohio State
November 22, 2016


2016 BIG 10 STANDINGS

Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under

Illinois 3-8 2-6 5-6 5-6

Indiana 5-6 3-5 5-6 4-7

Iowa 7-4 5-3 5-6 4-7

Maryland 5-6 2-6 3-8 4-7

Michigan 10-1 7-1 5-6 7-4

Michigan State 3-8 1-7 4-7 4-7

Minnesota 8-3 5-3 4-5-2 5-6

Nebraska 9-2 6-2 6-3-2 2-9

Northwestern 5-6 4-4 6-5 3-8

Ohio State 10-1 7-1 6-5 5-6

Penn State 9-2 7-1 7-3-1 8-3

Purdue 3-8 1-7 4-7 9-2

Rutgers 2-9 0-8 4-7 6-5

Wisconsin 9-2 6-2 9-2 4-7


Michigan at Ohio State – (ABC, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Line – Ohio State -7, Total of 48
Current Line (as of Wednesday) – Ohio State -6.5, Total of 45.5

SERIES HISTORY

Ohio State has won 10 of the last 11 in this heated rivalry. Michigan last beat OSU back in 2011 and their last win at the Horseshoe was way back in 2000. The Buckeyes have won 8 of the last 9 here at home in this series dating back to 1998. Six of those eight wins have come by double digits. The Wolverines own the series edge with a 58-47-6 mark.

LAST WEEK

Ohio State – The Buckeyes traveled to Michigan State and escaped with a 17-16 win. The conditions were less than ideal with strong winds and cold temps. Because of the windy conditions, both teams relied heavily on the run with 80 combined rushing attempts for the game. The two combined to complete only 18 total passes the entire contest. Michigan State scored just 20 seconds into the game to take a quick 7-0 lead on two play drive that accounted for 75 of their 334 total yards. The two teams went on to score just 24 points the final 59:40 of the game.

Ohio State took their first lead of the game 17-10 on a TD with 5:33 remaining in the third quarter. The Spartans scored a TD with 4:40 remaining in the game to seemingly tie the game at 17 apiece. However rather than kick the extra point, MSU decided to go for two to try and take the lead but failed. Sparty did have one final chance as they took over at their own 20 yard line with 2:00 minutes remaining but a Tyler O’Connor interception ended their final drive of the game. The tight final score was indicative of how the game played out as both teams ended the came close to even in first downs, total yardage, and time of possession.

Michigan - The Wolverines played their final home tilt of the season vs an improved Indiana team last Saturday in a snowstorm. The Wolverines squeaked out a 20-10 win to improve to 10-1 on the season. Starting QB Wilton Speight was sidelined for Michigan and his replacement John O’Korn struggled. He completed only 7 passes for just 59 yards which was Michigan’s lowest passing total in a game since 2001. The weather conditions were poor with snow and wind so Harbaugh decided to rely almost exclusively on the running game rolling up 225 yards on 50 rushing attempts.

Indiana actually led 7-3 at half but Michigan “exploded” for 17 points in the third quarter to take a 20-10 lead heading into the final stanza. Indiana was unable to mount any type of a threat in the 4th quarter as the teams went scoreless. The Michigan defense continued to dominate as they have all season allowing IU to cross midfield only TWICE the entire game, both of which led to the Hoosiers only points of the game (a TD and a FG).

THE GAME

This is the most anticipated match up in this series since these two meet in 2006 when these two were ranked #1 and #2 in the country. These two teams are currently ranked #2 (OSU) and #3 (Michigan) in the College Football Playoff poll. If Michigan wins, they will play in the Big Ten Championship game the following Saturday. If Ohio State wins, they need Penn State to lose at home vs Michigan State to make it to the Big Ten title game. The winner is pretty much assured a spot in College Football’s Final Four.

Most people obviously feel these are the two top teams in the Big Ten and the stats bear that out. The Wolverines and Buckeyes rank either first or second in the conference in total offense, total defense, scoring offense, scoring defense, rush offense, pass defense, and yardage differential. On a national scale the teams stack up very evenly as well. OSU is #5 in scoring offense, Michigan is #11. The Wolverines are #1 in scoring defense and the Buckeyes are #3. As you can expect, these coaches and teams will be pulling out all the stops on Saturday.

Michigan All American DB Jabril Peppers said this week that, “Everything is coming out of the bag this weekend,” which isn’t a huge surprise. Both teams will see formations on each side of the ball they haven’t seen this season. Trick plays should be abundant.

Michigan has NOT ruled out Speight for this game. It was reported last week that he would be out for the season with a collarbone injury but that was never confirmed. Speight actually suited up and threw passes in warm ups but never took a snap last week vs Indiana. We wouldn’t rule out that this is simply window dressing by Harbaugh and company to keep Urban Meyer guessing. You get the point. We should be in for a barnburner on Saturday.

INSIDE THE NUMBERS

Ohio State has covered 7 of the last 9 in this series. At home, the Buckeyes are 12-5 ATS dating back to 1982. Last time OSU was favored by less than a TD at home vs anyone was back in 2012 and that just happened to be vs this Michigan team when OSU was a 4 point favorite and win 26-21. Going all the way back to the 1992 season, Ohio State is 21-10 ATS overall as a home favorite of a TD or less.

This is the first time Michigan has been an underdog this season. The last 11 times they’ve been a dog in this series, they’ve lost all 11 games outright (3-8 ATS). The last 22 times Michigan has been a road underdog overall (not just vs OSU) they are 3-19 SU (8-14 ATS).

The winner of this match up has scored at least 30 points in 8 of the last 12 meetings. From 1980 to 1999, this was a “slobber-knocker”, defensive series with only 3 games out of 20 topping 50 total points. Their average total points scored from 1980-1999 was just 37. From 2000-2015 these two have topped 50 points eight times. The average total points scored during that span was 53.

[StarDust Bum]

COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS:

11/01/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/02/2016 1-1-0 50.00% -50
11/03/2016 3-3-0 50.00% -150
11/04/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/05/2016 26-34-0 43.33% -5700
11/08/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/09/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/10/2016 1-5-0 16.67% -2250
11/11/2016 0-2-0 0.00% -1100
11/12/2016 23-28-1 45.10% -3900
11/15/2016 1-1-0 50.00% -50
11/16/2016 3-1-0 75.00% +950
11/17/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/18/2016 2-2-0 50.00% -100
11/19/2016 33-25-0 56.90% +2750
11/22/2016 3-3-0 50.00% -150

TRIPLE PLAYS RECORD: 106 - 87- 8 *****

BIG TEN GOY................0 - 1 ( IOWA BIG LOSER TO WISCONSIN )
MT. WEST GOY..............1 - 0 ( WYOMING ROLLS BIG OVER UTAH ST. )
MAC UNDERDOG GOY.....1 - 0 ( KENT ST. + 21 W.MICHIGAN 37 )
ACC BLOW OUT.............0 - 1 ( CLEMSON -21.5 42 - 43 PITT )
MAC FAVORITE .............1 - 0 ( MIA-OHIO - 10 OVER BUFFALO 35 -24)
SEC BLOW OUT..............1 - 0 ( BAMA -28.5 OVER MISS ST. 51 - 3 )
PAC 12 GOY...................0 - 1 ( USC UPSETS WASHINGTON 26-13 )
BIG 10 DOG..................0 - 1 ( MINNESOTA + 6 LOSES TO NEBRASKA 17 -24 )
PAC 12 BLOW OUT .........1 - 0 ( COLORADO - 17.5 CRUSHES ARIZONA 49 - 24 )
THURS. NIGHT GOY.........0 - 1 ( HOUSTON UPSETS LOUISVILLE 36 -10 )
FRIDAY NIGHT DOG........1 - 0 ( NEVADA 25 + 29 BOISE ST 42 )
FRIDAY NIGHT TOTAL......1 - 0 ( NEVADA /BOISE OVER 64 )

WLT PCT UNITS

ATS Picks 320-312-12 50.63% -11600

O/U Picks 110-114-4 49.11%

[StarDust Bum]

LSU at Texas A&M
November 23, 2016

Matchup: LSU Tigers at Texas A&M Aggies
Venue: Kyle Field in College Station, Texas
Time/TV: Thursday, Nov. 24, 7:30 PM ET - ESPN
Line: LSU -6, Over/Under 48½
Last Meeting: 2015, at LSU (-5½) 19, Texas A&M 7

At home with rumors surrounding the future of Les Miles and LSU riding a three-game losing streak, the Tigers delivered a 19-7 win over Texas A&M to close the regular season last November. Miles was carried off the field and athletic director Joe Alleva announced that Miles would stay at LSU shortly after the game. LSU went on to dominate the Texas Bowl and opened the 2016 season considered a serious SEC and national contender.

The Tigers struggled early in the season on offense, dropping a marquee opening matchup with Wisconsin and then managing just 13 points in a loss at Auburn that prompted a coaching change mid-season.

Former Ole Miss and USC head coach Ed Orgeron stepped in and led the Tigers to three straight wins but with losses in two of the last three games and few signs of progress for the offense against top competition, this looks like a program headed for more changes in the coming months.

LSU will be in a bowl game regardless of the Thanksgiving night result but at 6-4 and with a middle-of-the-pack SEC finish the direction of the program is unclear. With potential openings at a couple of other big schools the Tigers may not be able to pull in their top candidate for head coach if Orgeron is not retained and it will be interesting to see what the staff looks like for a minor bowl slot as the veteran head coach may not want to ride out the season if he is passed over as he went through a similar situation with USC in 2013.

Despite having early season Heisman candidate Leonard Fournette as well as impressive sophomore Derrius Guice in the backfield LSU has managed just 28 points per game though both look likely to clear 1,000 rushing yards this season.

Quarterback play has been an issue as junior Brandon Harris was benched early in the season and Purdue-transfer Danny Etling has marginal numbers with just seven touchdowns and a 58 percent completion rate.

The defense has elite numbers allowing just over 14 points per game this season and the four losses for LSU came while allowing 16, 18, 10, and 16 points as the defense led by Dave Aranda in his first season in Baton Rouge has done the job.

Aranda’s future is an interesting case as well as he was a prized hire after great success at Wisconsin and he is just 40-years-old. This week he’ll be working without linebacker Kendell Beckwith who is a Butkus Award finalist.

An injury can be blamed for yet another November slide for Texas A&M after the Aggies started the season 6-0 and still were ranked in the College Football Playoff top four at 7-1 with the lone loss to Alabama. Ultimately early season wins over UCLA, Auburn, Arkansas, and Tennessee proved to be less meaningful than they looked at the time but losing quarterback Trevor Knight early in the Mississippi State game changed the potential of the offense dramatically.

Back-up Joe Hubenak has some experience and he has actually posted better numbers than Knight had in the passing game but Knight rushed for nearly 600 yards on 6.6 yards per carry and his mobility was the key to the offense for the Aggies.

Texas A&M scored 28 points vs. Mississippi State and Mississippi but against those defenses bigger production was needed and last week against Texas San Antonio the limitations of the offense were on display with just 23 points and just over 400 yards in a matchup the Aggies should have dominated. Less success on offense has impacted the defense as well as the Aggies will wrap up another good but not great season that once again teased with a hot start to the season.

At 8-3, a win over LSU for the first time since the Aggies joined the SEC would be a nice stamp on a still solid season after topping out at eight wins the past two seasons. Texas A&M will still get a reasonably attractive bowl bid in either scenario and this might be a good opportunity given the uncertainty for LSU while getting the short week holiday game at home.

Those disappointed in another November collapse for the Aggies know that should know that Kevin Sumlin’s contract is fully guaranteed for the next three seasons. Sumlin does have a buyout on his end but while he was a rising star in the coaching ranks a few years ago the relative mediocrity in recent seasons coupled with the high profile transfers out of the program leave him as much less of a candidate to be poached from another program.

Sumlin has gone 3-3 or worse in the second halves of now each of the past four seasons but he has won at least eight games in all five seasons in College Station after taking over a program that hit that mark once in the five years prior to his arrival.

In last season’s game Texas A&M led 7-6 at the half but Guice as a freshman had the big play of the game with a 50-yard touchdown run halfway through the third quarter while also turning in a 75-yard kickoff return. LSU had a solid production edge but missed three field goals while the Aggies also missed a field goal kick and had three turnovers. Harris completed only a third of his passes while Texas A&M completed less than 50 percent of its passes as neither offense had a strong showing.

Historical Trends:

-- Before becoming division rivals these teams met in the Cotton Bowl after the 2010 season and counting that game LSU is on a 5-0 S/U and ATS run in this matchup.

-- Both wins in College Station were tight with a 24-19 win in 2012 and a 23-17 win in 2014, slipping just past the road favorite spread in both instances.

-- Since 2005 when Miles took over LSU is 19-14-1 ATS as a road favorite including going 12-5-1 with a road favorite spread of less than 10.

-- Texas A&M is notorious for its home field edge but the recent numbers don’t support Kyle Field as being that tough of a venue for visitors.

-- Under Sumlin,Texas A&M has 10 S/U home losses while going 13-19 ATS since he took over in 2012.

-- The past three seasons Texas A&M is 5-13 ATS at home and under Sumlin the Aggies are just 1-4 ATS as a home underdog with no outright upsets.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 13

Thursday, November 24


LSU @ Texas A&M

Game 113-114
November 24, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LSU
100.684
Texas A&M
104.610
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas A&M
by 4
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LSU
by 5
45
Dunkel Pick:
Texas A&M
(+5); Over

----------------------------

NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 13

Thurs – Nov. 24

LSU at Texas AM, 7:30 PM ET
LSU: 23-8 ATS after a playing a game where 29 total points or less were scored
Texas AM: 0-6 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread

---------------------------------

NCAAF

Thursday, November 24



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thanksgiving Day NCAAF betting preview: LSU at Texas A&M
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Ed Orgeron was expected to spark the Tigers offense but watched his team score one touchdown in five goal-to-go chances on Saturday at home against Florida.

No. 16 Louisiana State Tigers at No. 25 Texas A&M Aggies (+7.5, 47)

Texas A&M and LSU went from SEC contenders to third place in the West Division over the last few weeks and just hope to close out their respective seasons strong. The 22nd-ranked Aggies, who still have a shot at second place in the West, will try to put together back-to-back wins when they host LSU on Thursday in a Thanksgiving battle.

Texas A&M was in fourth place in the first College Football Playoff rankings but dropped its next two games to Mississippi State and Ole Miss to drop to 25th before recovering with a 23-10 victory over non-conference foe UTSA on Saturday. The Aggies are still a possibility for a Sugar Bowl berth, which would go to the second-highest ranked team from the SEC, and would finish in second place in the SEC West with a win on Thursday and an Auburn loss against Alabama. The Tigers, who lost to Auburn earlier in the year, have no shot at second place and could be playing for interim coach Ed Orgeron's job on Thursday. LSU won three straight after Orgeron took over for Les Miles but since dropped two of three while looking unimpressive on the offensive end.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE HISTORY: LSU opened as 5.5-point road favorites, that spread was bet down early in the week to 5, the line reversed track Tuesday and jumped up to 6.5 and continued to rise to the current number of 7.5. The total hit the board at 45 and rose steadily all week to reach the current number at 47. Check out the complete line history here.

INJURY REPORT:

LSU - FB B. Mouton (Questionable, undisclosed), RB L. Fournette (Doubtful, ankle), WR T. Dural (Questionable, undisclosed), LB K. Beckwith (Out, knee), WR J. Ferguson (Out, suspension), S R. Jefferson (Out For Season, leg), S C. Thompson (Out For Season, knee), DE I. Washington (Out For Season, knee), DT C. LaCouture (Out For Season, knee).

Texas A&M - QB J. Hubenak (Probable, shoulder), DB P. Willis (Probable, undisclosed), DB A. Watts (Questionable, leg), DB D. Wilson (Questionable, undisclosed), OL J. Eluemunor (Questionable, undisclosed), DB N. Harvey (Questionable, undisclosed), RB T. Williams (Questionable, undisclosed), OL C. Lanfear (Out For Season, knee), DB N. Ellis (Out For Season, leg), QB T. Knight (Out For Season, shoulder), LB J. Dunning (Out Indefinitely, suspension), DB J. Dunning (Out For Season, knee), WR Q. Davis (Out For Season, knee).

WEATHER REPORT: The weather conditions for this Thanksgiving evening game at College Station, Texas are expected to be clear with temperatures in the low-60's or upper-50's. There will be no wind that will impact the game.

ABOUT LSU (6-4 SU, 4-6 ATS, 1-7-1 O/U): Orgeron was expected to spark the Tigers offense but watched his team score one touchdown in five goal-to-go chances on Saturday at home against Florida, including a goal-line stand that clinched the setback. "We shot ourselves in the foot and had a lot of opportunities in the red zone," Orgeron told reporters. "We didn't convert any points. Two turnovers were really costly in the football game. Guys fought the whole way, gave us a chance to win the football game." Star running back Leonard Fournette, who was hobbled by an ankle injury that has plagued him on and off all season, was limited to 40 yards on 12 carries Saturday and will likely miss Thursday's game.

ABOUT TEXAS A&M (8-3 SU, 4-7 ATS, 3-7-1 O/U): The Aggies' biggest star - defensive end Myles Garrett - has been hobbled most of the season as well but finally looked fully healthy on Saturday and recorded 4 1/2 sacks in the win. Garrett, who is expected to go high in the first round of the next NFL draft, became the eighth player in SEC history to record 30 or more sacks in his career (32 1/2). Texas A&M, which lost starter Trevor Knight to a shoulder injury in the loss to Mississippi, is still getting used to Jake Hubenak at quarterback, and the junior threw for 248 yards and a touchdown against UTSA.

TRENDS:

* Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
* Aggies are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
* Under is 9-1 in Tigers last 10 games in November.
* Under is 11-2-1 in Aggies last 14 games on grass.
* Tigers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

CONSENSUS: 58 percent of users are taking the home underdog while 52 percent favor the Over in this battle of top 25 teams.

[StarDust Bum]

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 24

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

LSU at TAM 07:30 PM

LSU -6.5 ******

U 49.0 *****