The Bum's 2016 College Football Best Bets,Trends,Stat, News !!

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Sharps are closely monitoring these Week 7 college football games

Keep an eye on the total for Saturday's game between Texas Tech and West Virginia. It opened at a very high 80 and has already moved to 83.

Spread to bet now

Wake Forest Demon Deacons (+21) at Florida State Seminoles

This line briefly opened +23.5 with most other books opening +22.5 and then was quickly bet down to the key number of +21. Wake Forest remains an underrated team this season, going 5-1 SU in Dave Clawson's third season as the head coach. The Demon Deacons played Florida State tough last season, only losing 24-16 as a 19-point home underdog. Wake Forest held a 27-14 first down edge and 357-329 total yards advantage in that game.

This is a bad scheduling spot for Florida State as they are coming off two close and hard fought games. The Seminoles lost a high-scoring 37-37 shootout versus North Carolina, but then bounced back for a 20-19 road underdog win against rival Miami Florida last week. The Seminoles will likely overlook this game versus Wake Forest this week, especially with a bye week and then Clemson on deck.

Spread to wait on

Iowa State Cyclones (+13.5) at Texas Longhorns

This line opened +14, but was quickly bet down to +13.5. Wait as the key number of +14 might show up once again if the public pushes this line back up later in the week. Iowa State's offense is heating up and has scored 44, 42, and 31 points in their past three games after scoring just 20, 3, and 20 points in the first three games of the season. The Cyclones should have continued success against a struggling Texas defense that has allowed 39.6 points and 477 total yards per game (6.4 yards per play) this year.

The Longhorns had high hopes this season after their 2-0 SU/ATS start which included an important home win versus Notre Dame. However, Texas has since gone 0-3 SU in their past three games which includes a close 45-40 loss versus rival Oklahoma last week. That high-scoring loss will likely leave the Longhorns flat this week, especially as a double-digit favorite after just being a double-digit underdog last week.

Total to watch

West Virginia Mountaineers at Texas Tech Red Raiders (83)

This total briefly opened at 80.5 as was quickly bet up to the current number of 83 which is where most other sportsbooks opened the line. This is a very high total and for good reason as Texas Tech likes to play fast, scoring at least 55 points or more offensively in four of their five games this season. Overall, the Red Raiders are averaging 650 total yards per game and 7.7 yards per play (versus opponents that allow just 485 yards and 6.3 yppl).

West Virginia is coming off a bye week after their low-scoring 17-16 win versus Kansas State, but the Mountaineers should have more offensive success this week against a poor Texas Tech defense. The Red Raiders have allowed 38.6 points and 445 total yards per game this season, including permitting 68, 45, and 44 points against the three decent opponents that Texas Tech has faced this year.

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ACC Report - Week 7
October 12, 2016

2016 ACC STANDINGS

Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under

Boston College 3-3 0-3 2-3-1 2-4

Clemson 6-0 3-0 4-2 2-4

Duke 3-3 0-2 3-3 1-5

Florida State 4-2 1-2 3-2 3-2

Georgia Tech 3-3 1-3 2-2-1 2-2-1

Louisville 4-1 2-1 3-1-1 5-0

Miami (Fla.) 4-1 1-1 4-1 3-2

North Carolina 4-2 2-1 3-3 3-3

North Carolina State 4-1 1-0 4-1 3-1-1

Pittsburgh 4-2 1-1 1-5 5-1

Syracuse 2-4 0-2 2-4 2-4

Virginia 2-3 1-0 3-1-1 1-3-1

Virginia Tech 4-1 2-0 3-2 3-2

Wake Forest 5-1 2-1 3-3 3-3


Duke at Louisville (Fri. - ESPN, 7:00 p.m. ET)
Duke has been rather erratic this season, winning on the road at Notre Dame, taking care of Army in the rain and slop last weekend, but also losing games to Northwestern and Wake Forest. You never know which team is going to show up. They head to Louisville Friday night in a game which opened at 32, and now has Louisville favored by 35 1/2 as of Wednesday morning. The Blue Devils are 8-3 ATS in their past 11 road games, but they're 1-5 ATS in their past six against teams with a winning record and 1-6 ATS in their past seven inside the ACC. Louisville is 5-1-1 ATS in the past seven overall, and 4-1 ATS in their past five at home. They're coming off a bye following their loss at Clemson two weeks ago. The Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their past four in the month of October, and 6-13 ATS in their past 19 on Fridays. They're also 2-5 ATS in their past seven coming off a bye.

North Carolina State at Clemson (ABC, 12:00 p.m. ET)
The Wolfpack might finally be dried out after a 10-3 win in tropical storm conditions in Raleigh last weekend against Notre Dame. It was a sloppy game on both sides in a driving rain with plenty of wind, and really not much can be taken from the win except for the positive, which was the win. Other than that, it was a complete opposite to how N.C. State has played to date. They have scored plenty of points and allowed plenty of points. They head in 4-1 ATS in their past five games, but they're 1-5 ATS in their past six against teams with a winning overall record. Clemson has covered four straight league games, they're 4-0 ATS in their past four in the month of October and they're 6-1 ATS in their past seven against teams with a winning overall record. The road team is 12-4 ATS in the past 16 in this series, with the Wolfpack 4-1 ATS in their past five trips to Death Valley. Total bettors might like to know the 'under' is 4-1 in the past five in this series, and 13-6 in Clemson's past 19 at home. However, the 'over' is 8-3 in Clemson's past 11 ACC games, and 6-1-1 in N.C. State's past eight overall.

Georgia Southern at Georgia Tech (ACC Network, 12:30 p.m. ET)
The Ramblin' Wreck steps out of conference for an in-state game against Georgia Southern, but the Eagles of the Sun Belt Conference are definitely a quality team. They're 3-2 SU, but just 1-4 ATS on the season and the 'under' has hit in four of their five games overall. The Eagles enter on a two-game losing streak. Georgia Tech enters on a three-game skid themselves, but their losses have come against Clemson, Miami and Pittsburgh, not Western Michigan and Arkansas State. The Jackets enter as 10 1/2-point favorites as of Wednesday morning, and they look to stay hot against the number versus non-conference teams. They're 5-2 ATS in their past seven outside of the ACC, but they're just 2-9 ATS in the past 11 against teams with winning records and 1-4 ATS in their past five at home. Georgia Southern has covered 11 of their past 15 outside of the Sun Belt.

Pittsburgh at Virginia (ACC Network, 12:30 p.m.)
Pitt heads down to Charlottesville to battle UVA, looking for their fifth win of the season. The Panthers enter as a field-goal favorite, and bettors have been hitting Virginia hard after the line opened at Cavaliers plus-5. That's likely because Pitt is just 1-7 ATS in their past eight games overall, although they are an impressive 7-3 ATS in their past 10 road outings. They're hitting Virginia hard because they have covered seven straight conference games, and they're 15-5-1 ATS in their past 21 games against teams with a winning overall record. They're also 4-1 ATS in their past five games at Scott Stadium. The home team has posted a 3-1-1 ATS in the past five meetings in this series, although the favorite is also 4-1-1 ATS in the past six in this series.

Wake Forest at Florida State (ESPN, 3:30 p.m.)
Florida State salvaged their season with a win at Miami last Saturday night, blocking an extra point for a huge win, their first in the ACC in three tries. Wake won in the slop of Hurricane Matthew, taking down Syracuse by a 28-9 score. The Demon Deacons head into this one with covers in four of their past five road games, and they're 4-1 ATS in their past five road outings against a team with a winning home mark. The Seminoles have covered five of their past seven home games, and eight of the past 11 games overall. However, they're just 2-5 ATS in their past seven home games against a team with a winning road record, and 8-18 ATS in their past 26 games following a straight-up win. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings in this series, and Wake is 2-5 ATS in the past seven meetings.

North Carolina at Miami-Florida (ABC, 3:30 p.m.)
Unlike other schools from the Tar Heel state, North Carolina didn't fare very well in the wind and rain during last weekend's passing hurricane. Duke, N.C. State and Wake all won on their home fields in adverse conditions, but the Tar Heels were overmatched by the wind, rain and Virginia Tech. They look to rebound in Miami, ironically, against the Hurricanes. Miami in installed as a 7 1/2-point favorite for this one, as they look to get untracked following a devastating 20-19 setback to rival Florida State last week. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the past meetings in this series, with the Tar Heels 1-3-1 ATS in their past five visits to Miami Gardens. The underdog, though, is 8-3-1 ATS in the past 12. The under is also 4-1 in the past five meetings in Miami, while the under is 4-1 in Miami's past five against teams with a winning overall record and 11-5 in their past 16 games in October. For UNC, the 'under' is 4-0 in their past four games in October, but the over is 8-2 in their past 10 against winning teams and 4-1 in their past five on the road.

Virginia Tech at Syracuse (ESPN, 3:45 p.m.)
Virginia Tech won in the wind and rain in North Carolina, and should be very happy to be under the dome and out of the elements this week. The Hokies are 5-1 ATS in their past six ACC games, but 6-13-1 ATS in their past 20 against teams with a losing record. Virginia Tech is also 0-6 ATS in their past six road games against teams with a losing home record. The 'Cuse hasn't been very good against the number lately, going 1-4 ATS in their past five overall and 0-4 ATS in their past four games on fieldturf. They are a rather impressive 5-2 ATS in their past seven under the dome, however. The 'under' is 5-0 in Va. Tech's past five road games, and 38-18-1 in their past 57 inside the conference, while going 14-6-1 in their past 21 against teams with a losing overall record. The 'under' is 5-2 in Syracuse's past seven overall, and 4-0 in their past four following a straight-up loss. However, the 'over' is 5-2 in their past seven inside the ACC.

Bye Week
Boston College

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Big 12 Report - Week 7
October 12, 2016

2016 BIG 12 STANDINGS

Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under

Baylor 5-0 2-0 1-4 1-4

Iowa State 1-5 0-3 4-2 4-2

Kansas 1-4 0-2 2-3 1-4

Kansas State 3-2 1-1 2-3 2-3

Oklahoma 3-2 2-0 1-4 4-1

Oklahoma State 4-2 2-1 3-3 4-2

Texas 2-3 0-2 3-2 4-1

Texas Christian 4-2 2-1 1-5 4-2

Texas Tech 3-2 1-1 4-1 3-2

West Virginia 4-0 1-0 1-3 2-2


Kansas State at Oklahoma (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)
The Sooners are carrying the banner for the conference again, one of just two league teams with a 2-0 mark in the Big 12. They face a quality K-State team looking to keep their season afloat. The Wildcats are an impressive 21-9-1 ATS in their past 31 against teams with an overall winning record, and 42-18-1 ATS in their past 61 inside the conference. K-State is also 18-7-1 ATS in their past 26 on the road against teams with a winning home record. Oklahoma has covered seven of the past nine inside the conference, while going 4-1 ATS in the past five in October. However, they're just 1-4 ATS this season and 0-4 ATS in their past four in Norman. The 'over' has connected in seven of the past eight meetings in this series. K-State has covered six of their past seven trips down to Norman, and the road team is 12-3-1 ATS in the past 16 meetings overall. Oklahoma is a 10 1/2-point favorite as of Wednesday morning.

West Virginia at Texas Tech (FOX Sports 1, 12:00 p.m.)
The Mountaineers are one of three unbeaten teams in Big 12 play, and they put their unblemished record on the line in Lubbock against a dangerous Texas Tech team. The Red Raiders opened as a 1 1/2-point favorite, but they're now short 'dogs at home. Bettors have a lot of confidence in West Virginia, but the Mountaineers are just 1-5 ATS in their past six overall, 1-6 ATS in their past seven on the road and 1-10 ATS in their past 11 against teams with a winning overall record. They're also 0-4 ATS in their past four road games against a team with a winning home record. Texas Tech has covered five straight conference games, they're 4-1 ATS in their past five in Lubbock and they're 4-1 ATS in their past five overall. However, they're 0-5 ATS in their past five against teams with a winning overall record and 5-14 ATS in their past 19 at home against a team with a winning road mark.

Kansas at Baylor (FOX Sports 1, 3:30 p.m. ET)
Kansas heads down to Waco, and they will be five-touchdown underdogs. The Jayhawks have struggled on the road, going 7-22-1 ATS in their past 30 away from home, and 5-14 ATS in their past 19 games overall. They have also covered just three of their past 13 conference games, too. Baylor has powered past weak opponents in the past, although they're having some difficulty against the lesser teams this season. They're just 1-4 ATS in five outings in 2016, and they have failed to cover in five in a row against teams with a losing overall mark. Baylor is 28-11 ATS in their past 39 at home, but just 2-6 ATS in their past eight inside the conference. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings in this series, with the home team 5-2 ATS in the past seven meetings. The Jayhawks are 0-4 ATS in the past four meetings in this series.

Iowa State at Texas (Longhorn Network, 7:00 p.m. ET)
Iowa State hasn't been winning games, but they're hot against the number with four straight covers. They're also 5-1 ATS in the past six conference battles, while going 7-2 ATS in their past nine following a straight-up loss. The eyes of Texas were smiling earlier in the season with a big win over Notre Dame, but all of that happiness and optimism has been washed away with losses in three straight games against California, Oklahoma State and last weekend against Oklahoma. Suddenly Charlie Strong's seat is heating up again. The Cyclones have covered four of their past five trips to Austin, while the road team is 7-3 ATS in the past 10 meetings. Texas opened as a 14-point favorite, and the line is 13 1/2 as of Wednesday AM.

Teams on a bye
Oklahoma State, Texas Christian

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Pac-12 Report - Week 7
October 12, 2016

2016 PAC-12 STANDINGS

Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under

Arizona 2-4 0-3 1-5 4-2

Arizona State 5-1 2-1 4-2 3-3

California 3-3 1-2 3-3 5-1

Colorado 4-2 2-1 6-0 3-3

Oregon 2-4 0-3 0-5-1 4-2

Oregon State 2-3 1-1 3-2 2-3

Southern California 3-3 2-2 2-4 2-4

Stanford 3-2 2-2 3-2 2-3

UCLA 3-3 1-2 1-5 2-3-1

Utah 5-1 2-1 3-3 3-3

Washington 6-0 3-0 4-2 5-1

Washington State 3-2 2-0 4-1 3-2


Southern California at Arizona (FOX, 3:30 p.m. ET)
USC showed last weekend that they can still be a dangerous team, handing a Top 25 Colorado team its first conference loss. Winning at home hasn't been a problem for the Trojans, it's when they stray away from the L.A. Coliseum that their issues begin. They 0-3 SU/ATS in two road games and a neutral-site contest, averaging 14.3 points per game (PPG) while allowing 36.7 PPG. The Wildcats have struggled everywhere, going 1-5 ATS in six games overall. Their only victories have come against Hawai'i and FCS Grambling. While they nearly derailed Washington's playoff aspirations in an overtime loss in Tucson Sept. 24, they're 0-3 SU/1-2 ATS in three Pac-12 games, losing their past two by 17.0 PPG. The 'over' has cashed in four straight games for Arizona. The Trojans are 7-21 ATS in their past 28 road games, and 3-9 ATS in their past 12 overall, while the Wildcats are 5-11 ATS in their past 16 at home, and 1-7 ATS in their past eight overall. Something's gotta give, right? Well, Arizona is 8-3 ATS in the past 11 meetings, while the underdog is 10-1 ATS in the past 11 in this series. The 'under' is 5-1 in the past six in Arizona, and 7-3 in the past 10 meetings overall.

Utah at Oregon State (Pac-12 Network, 4:00 p.m.)
Utah hits the road for Corvallis, and the Beavers served notice to the rest of the conference that it won't be an easy task coming to Reser Stadium. The Beavers surprised California 47-44 in overtime last weekend as a 13 1/2-point underdog. This game opened with Utah as a 12-point favorite, but it has been bet down to nine as of Wednesday morning. One point of concern for the Beavs is the fact they have allowed 30 or more points in each of their four games against FBS teams, including 45.5 PPG in two outings against Pac-12 foes. Utah hasn't had a prolific offense, but they do enough to get the job done. They have 20 or more points in each of their six games, and they're averaging 30.0 PPG in three league games so far. Utah is 3-1 ATS in their past four games, and 10-4 ATS in their past 14 road outings. Oregon State might have won last week, but they're 5-11 ATS in the past 16 against winning teams, 7-17 ATS in their past 24 overall and 4-14 ATS in the past 18 inside the conference. The Utes are 2-5 ATS in the past seven meetings in this series, but a lot of those matchups were against much better competition.

Stanford at Notre Dame (NBC, 7:30 p.m. ET)
Two disappointing teams meet up in South Bend for this rivalry game. Stanford was shocked by Washington State at home, their second straight loss in as many conference games, while Notre Dame was waterlogged in tropical storm conditions in Raleigh, falling 10-3 at North Carolina State. Defense has been an issue for Stanford lately, allowing 43.0 PPG in two games against Washington and Washington State. They had allowed just 12.0 PPG in their first three outings. Last season Stanford outlasted Notre Dame 38-36 Nov. 28, a rare 'over' result in this series. The 'under' is 7-1 in the past eight meetings in the shadows of Touchdown Jesus, and 5-1 in the past six meetings overall. The underdog has cashed in each of the past four meetings, and the road team is 5-2 ATS in the past seven in this series. Those last two trends bode well for Stanford, as the Cardinal are 2 1/2-point underdogs as of Wednesday morning. Stanford has covered four of the past five on the road, and they're 18-7-1 ATS in their past 26 against losing teams. They're also 17-8 ATS in their past 25 outside the conference. The Irish have covered seven of the past nine against Pac-12 teams, but they're 2-5 ATS in their past seven non-conference tilts.

Arizona State at Colorado (Pac-12 Network, 8:00 p.m.)
Sparky hits the road for Boulder, and they're 13-point underdogs against a Colorado team coming off a disappointing loss at USC. The Buffaloes have played six games, and they have covered six games. Colorado has also covered four straight inside the conference, and they're 6-2 ATS in their past eight home games against teams with a winning road record. Arizona State has covered six in a row against teams with a winning overall record, and they're 5-1 ATS in their past six conference tilts. The Sun Devils are also 9-3 ATS in their past 12 October battlles, and 8-2 ATS in their past 10 games dating back to last season. Arizona State has covered six of the past seven meetings in this series, while the favorite is 6-1 ATS in the past seven in this series. The home team is also 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings between these two sides.

UCLA at Washington State (ESPN, 10:30 p.m.)
Washington State lost to FCS Eastern Washington and Boise State to open the season, and it looked like the Cougars might be on their way to a disappointing season. However, they have opened conference play with wins against traditional powerhouses Oregon and Stanford to move to 2-0 in the Pac-12. The Cougs might catch a break if UCLA QB Josh Rosen cannot play due to a shoulder injury. If Rosen is unavailable it would be QB Mike Fafaul drawing the start. He was horrendous last week against Arizona State, completing just three of his 11 attempts for 44 yards and two picks, so Washington State's defense will be licking its chops at a chance to face Fafaul. The Bruins are a dismal 7-24 ATS in their past 31 games in October, 1-7 ATS in their past eight overall and 0-4 ATS in their past four against teams with a winning overall record. They're also 0-5 ATS in their past five on the road. Washington State has covered 10 of the past 11 games inside the conference, and they're 7-1 ATS in their past eight games on the Palouse. Washington State is also 14-3 ATS in their past 17 games overall. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings in this series, with the road team 4-1 ATS in the past five. UCLA is just 1-7 ATS in their past eight meetings in Pullman, and 0-4 ATS in the past four against the Cougs. This game was off the board as of Wednesday morning due to Rosen's uncertain status.

Teams on a bye week
California, Oregon, Washington

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Tech Trends - Week 7
October 12, 2016

WEDNESDAY, OCT. 12
Matchup Skinny Edge

APP STATE at UL-LAFAYETTE....App 5-1 as visiting chalk since LY, and 9-2 vs. line last 11 overall as visitor. App won last two meetings by 19 & 21 points, though barely missed the cover LY.
App State, based on team trends.

THURSDAY, OCT. 13 (GAME PPD)
Matchup Skinny Edge

NAVY at EAST CAROLINA...Navy 19-11 last 30 as chalk. Mids also 21-12 vs. line their last 33 as visitor. ECU on 4-8 spread skid since mid 2015.
Navy, based on team trends.

FRIDAY, OCT. 14
Matchup Skinny Edge

DUKE at LOUISVILLE...Cutcliffe 13-6 as dog since 2012, 3-1 as DD dog that span. 'Ville "over" last nine reg.-season, and 6-1 last seven on board since late 2015.
"Over" and slight to Duke, based on "totals" and team trends.

MEMPHIS at TULANE... Willie Fritz Georgia Southern & Tulane teams 12-5 vs. spread last 17 since early 2015. Teams haven't met every year since 2001 but Memphis has won SU last nine meetings, though Wave did cover LY. Tigers no covers last three away from Liberty Bowl.
Slight to Tulane, based on recent trends.

MISSISSIPPI STATE at BYU... MSU only 3-6 vs. line last nine vs. non-SEC. Sitake 5-1 vs. line TY, and Cougs 7-1 vs. line last seven reg.-season games. Very odd trip for MSU.
BYU, based on team trends.

SAN DIEGO STATE at FRESNO STATE...Fresno 5-11 last 16 vs. spread, 8-16 last 24 as dog. Though Bulldogs have won and covered last two at home for DeRuyter against Rocky Long. SDSU 11-1 last 11 vs. spread in MW reg.-season play and has covered 6 if last 7 as MW visitor.
San Diego State, based on team trends.

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SATURDAY, OCT. 15

Matchup Skinny Edge

WESTERN MICHIGAN at AKRON... Zips only 5-8-1 last 13 vs. spread at InfoCision. WMU on quite a roll, 5-1 SU and vs. spread to open 2016, now 7-1 last eight vs. line since late 2015.
WMU, based on team trends.

EASTERN MICHIGAN at OHIO...EMU has rallied with covers last 4 and 5 of last 6 TY, though remember Eagles really had their problems after game five a year ago, covering just once. Solich 0-2 as home chalk TY if you want to count Gardner-Webb as a loss, but was 6-2 in role past two seasons.
Slight to Ohio, based on extended trends.

BOWLING GREEN at TOLEDO...Local rivals! 1-6 vs. line last seven since Dino Babers left before bowl LY. Rockets have won last six SU in series, 3-0-1 vs. line last four. UT on 12-3 spread run since early 2015.
Toledo, based on team trends.

BALL STATE at BUFFALO... Cards have covered first four on road TY. Ball now 36-'16 vs. spread as visitor since 2016 and that includes the 2-4 mark for Lembo LY. Bulls on 1-9 spread skid since late 2015.
Ball State, based on team trends.

UCONN at SOUTH FLORIDA...Bulls on 12-3 reg season spread uptick, including 8-2 spread mark last ten at Tampa. USF also 3-0 SU and vs. line against UConn since 2013. Diaco 9-22-1 vs. line with Huskies.
USF, based on team and series trends.

LA TECH at UMASS...La Tech on 13-6 run last 19 vs. line away from Ruston, though only 2-3 laying points in role LY. Mass 2-1 as home dog TY but extended spread mark just 7-12 last 19 on board since late 2014.
Slight to La Tech, based on extended trends.

VIRGINIA TECH at SYRACUSE...VPI big wins and covers last three TY. For Beamer the chalk marks were bad the past few years (15-32-1 in role his last five years), but Fuente 3-1 (3-0 vs. FBS foes) as chalk TY. Dino just 2-4 vs. line with Cuse, which is 0-2 as home dog TY after 4-0 mark a year ago in role.
Virginia Tech, based on recent trends.

TEMPLE at UCF...Rhule now 7-1 last 8 as dog after Memphis cover, but no covers last two vs. Knights. UCF has covered last three and four of last five TY for Frost in major turnaround year.
Slight to Temple, based on team trends.

IOWA at PURDUE...Hawkeyes 10-1 last 11 as visiting chalk. Road team has covered last five years in this series and six in a row dating to 2008. Hazell just 4-12 as Ross-Ade dog since 2013.
Iowa, based on team and series road trends.

MINNESOTA at MARYLAND...Md still only 2-3 vs. line TY. Terps had been 5-7 vs. line at College Park past two seasons. If getting points, note Gophers 8-3-1 as visiting dog since 2013.
Minnesota, based on team trends.

ILLINOIS at RUTGERS...Note Illini 5-10 as road chalk since 2006. Illini 5-14 vs. spread L19 away from home.
Slight to Rutgers, based on extended Illini negatives.

IOWA STATE at TEXAS...Charlie is 7-4-1 as chalk since 2014 and 4-2-1 last seven laying points in Austin, though has failed to cover last two vs. ISU and was blanked LY at Ames. Matt Campbell teams at Toledo and ISU are 15-7 as dog since 2012.
ISU, based on team and recent series trends.

NORTH CAROLINA at MIAMI-FLORIDA... Home team has covered last four meetings, blowouts last two years. Fedora 6-1 vs. spread last seven as visitor. Canes 9-3-1 as home chalk since 2014.
Slight to Miami, based on team and series home trends.

NC STATE at CLEMSON...Clemson has won SU last four meetings with blowouts last two. Note NCS has been a good bully since LY but is 0-5 last five as dog.
Clemson, based on recent series trends.

NORTHWESTERN at MICHIGAN STATE...Pat Fitz now 7-3 as visiting dog since 2014, 13-7 in role since 2011. Dantonio only 11-19 as East Lansing chalk since 2012 (0-3 TY), 3-12 overall as chalk since LY.
Northwestern, based on team trends.

KANSAS STATE at OKLAHOMA...Road team has won and covered last five meetings. Revenge for Bill Snyder after 55-0 loss LY. Stoops no covers last three at Norman. Snyder 21-11 as dog since 2011.
K-State, based on series and Snyder dog trends.

NEBRASKA at INDIANA... Hoosiers now 4-1 last five as home dog as they finally begin to get some identifiable trends for Kevin Wilson, whose spread numbers have been mostly middling since he arrived in 2011. Mike Riley 4-1-1 vs. line last six since late LY though his Huskers teams just 5-7-1 as chalk.
Slight to Indiana, based on team trends.

MISSOURI at FLORIDA...Mizzou no covers last four as visitor (0-2 for Odom) and 1-6 vs. spread in role since 2015. McElwain only 2-7 last nine on board, and 2-5 as Swamp chalk since LY.
Slight to Florida, based on recent Mizzou road negatives.

SOUTHERN MISS at LSU...Ed Orgeron SC and LSU teams now 6-3 vs. line in his interim roles since 2013. Tigers 9-5-1 as home chalk since 2014. USM 8-3 last 11 as road dog, plus covers last three vs. SEC foes.
Southern Miss, based on team trends.

PITT at VIRGINIA...Bronco Mendenhall now four straight covers TY, his BYU and Cav teams now 16-7 last 23 as dog. Narduzzi just 2-8 as chalk at Pitt. Cavs covered last two years in series.
Virginia, based on team and recent series trends.

WEST VIRGINIA at TEXAS TECH...Kingsbury 3-0 vs. line against Holgorsen. If favored, note Red Raiders also now 6-1 last seven as Lubbock chalk. WVU 1-7 vs. spread last 8 away from Morgantown.
Texas Tech, based on team trends.

NEW MEXICO vs. AIR FORCE (at Cotton Bowl, Dallas)... Lobos have covered past four years vs. Force and won SU at home LY.
New Mexico, based on series trends.

TULSA at HOUSTON...Tulsa no covers first two on road TY after 7-0 spread mark away LY. Believe it or not, Cougs only 3-5-1 last nine as home chalk, even though 29-16-1 vs. spread since 2013.
Slight to Tulsa, based on team trends.

FAU at MARSHALL...Owls 0-6 vs. line TY, now 3-13-1 last 17 on board. Also 0-3 as dog TY after 23-9 dog mark previous four years. Herd 17-8-1 as DD chalk since 2013, but only 1-4 vs. line overall TY.
Slight to Marshall, based on recent FAU negatives.

GEORGIA SOUTHERN at GEORGIA TECH...Paul Johnson just 3-12 vs. line last 15 on board. Jackets 3-8 as chalk since LY after 10-4-1 mark in role 2013-14. Ga So 0-2 as road dog TY and just 1-4 vs. line in 2015.
Slight to Georgia Southern, based on team trends.

GEORGIA STATE at TROY...GS 2-1 as road dog TY, now 17-5 as visiting dog since 2013! Also beat Troy in Atlanta LY. But Trojans 4-0-1 vs. line TY in recovery season, now 6-0-1 last six on board since late 2015.
Slight to Georgia State, based on team trends.

SOUTH ALABAMA at ARKANSAS STATE...Ark State was 8-3 as Jonesboro chalk entering TY before loss vs. UCA. Red Wolves have won and covered last three vs. Jags. Even with upsets over Miss State and SDSU, USA only 2-2 as dog TY and 6-13 in role since 2013.
Slight to Arkansas State, based on series trends.

UTSA at RICE...Rice squeezed cover at USM but was 2-10-1 previous 13 vs. spread dating to early 2015. Bailiff is 4-0 SU and 3-1 vs. line against UTSA past four seasons. Rice 1-5-1 vs. points last seven as host, though still 6-2-1 as home chalk since 2014 (0-1 TY).
Slight to UTSA based on Rice negatives.

CENTRAL MICHIGAN at NORTHERN ILLINOIS...Chips 12-7 vs. line since LY, while NIU had dropped 7 straight vs. line prior to covers last 2 TY. Chips have upset Huskies past two years.
CMU, based on team and recent series trends.

KENT STATE at MIAMI-OHIO... No covers for Kent last two vs. Miami. Flashes only 5-8 as road dog since 2014. Chuck Martin is 17-12-1 vs. line with RedHawks.
Slight to Miami-Ohio, based on team trends.

ALABAMA at TENNESSEE...Butch has covered last two meetings and Vols 5-2 as dog since 2014. Butch 4-1 as Knoxville dog since taking over in 2013. Tide 8-3 last 11 as chalk away from Tuscaloosa. Saban 9-0 SU vs. Vols as Bama coach, last UT series win was over Mike Shula back in 2006.
Tennessee, based on team and recent series trends.

OLE MISS at ARKANSAS...Bielema has covered all three vs. Hugh Freeze since 2013, a neat trick as Freeze otherwise 26-14 vs. line that span. Freeze 12-6 as dog with Rebs since 2012, though Bielema 20-10 last 30 on board.
Slight to Arkansas, based on recent series trends.

VANDERBILT at GEORGIA..Dores 9-5 last 14 as SEC road dog and covered last three in series. Dawgs 2-6 last 8 as home chalk.
Vandy, based on team trends.

ARIZONA STATE at COLORADO...Rampaging Buffs 6-0 vs. spread TY as MacIntyre now on 11-2 spread surge since mid 2015. CU 11-3 vs. spread last 14 at Boulder. Home team has covered last 3 years in series. Sun Devils 2-7 vs. spread last nine reg season away from Tempe.
Colorado, based on team trends.

KANSAS at BAYLOR...Jayhawks 0-2 as road dog TY, now 3-9-1 in role since 2014. No covers last four vs. Baylor, as Bears have scored 62 ppg over the last three meetings. Grobe however only 1-4 vs. line TY.
Baylor, based on series trends.

WAKE FOREST at FLORIDA STATE...Deacs 8-3 last 11 as dog and that includes narrow home loss to FSU LY. Wake also 5-2 last seven vs., spread on road. Jimbo 0-2 as Doak Campbell chalk TY.
Wake Forest, based on team trends.

FIU at CHARLOTTE... Ron Cooper 2-0 SU and vs. line as HC at FIU after Golden Panthers' 0-7-1 spread skid. 49ers just 5-10-1 last 16 on board since early LY. Charlotte 1-4 vs. line against FBS TY.
FIU, based on team trends.

WESTERN KENTUCKY at MIDDLE TENNESSEE...Teams have split last two, home sides winning and covering each. MT 7-3-2 last 12 as chalk, Tops now no covers last five TY (0-4-1) after La Tech loss.
Slight to MTSU, based on recent trends.

TEXAS STATE at UL-MONROE...TSU has won and covered last two meetings. ULM 5-10 as Malone Stadium chalk since 2012.
Texas State, based on recent series trends.

STANFORD at NOTRE DAME...Irish 3-0-1 vs. line last four meetings though Stanford has won two of those. Tree 4-5 as visiting chalk since 2014 including bitter loss at South Bend two years ago. Irish 1-2 vs. line at home TY after Kelly was 5-1 a year ago under Golden Dome.
Slight to Notre Dame, based on series trends.

OHIO STATE at WISCONSIN...Paul Chryst 3-0 as dog TY and covers last five in role. Badgers have not been a Madison dog since back in 2010 vs. Buckeyes, and beat them 31-18. Badgers 11-3-1 as dog since 20123. Urban however 5-1 last six as road chalk.
Wisconsin, based on team trends.

NEW MEXICO STATE at IDAHO...Home side has won SU last six meetings and covered last three. But Vandals just 2-5 last seven as Kibbie Dome chalk, and 2-7 vs. spread last nine in Moscow.
Slight to NMSU, based on team trends.

UCLA at WASHINGTON STATE...Leach beat Mora in thriller LY. Cougs 6-3 vs. line in Pullman since LY. Cougs also on 13-2 spread uptick since early 2015. Mora on 1-7 spread skid since late 2015.
WSU, based on team trends.

SOUTHERN CAL at ARIZONA...Trojans 0-3 SU and vs. line away in 2016, no covers last seven or eight of last nine away from Coliseum. Cats 9-2 vs. line last 11 meetings extending back to the highest points of the Carroll era. Cats 6-1 as a home dog under Rich-Rod.
Arizona, based on team and series trends.

COLORADO STATE at BOISE STATE...Boise has won big the past five meetings and 4-1 vs. line. Broncos however now no covers last five as blue carpet chalk since mid 2015.
Slight to Boise State, based on series trends.

UTAH at OREGON STATE... As Corvallis dog, OSU 1-3-1 since LY. Utes 9-4 vs. spread last 13 as visitor.
Utah, based on team trends.

NEVADA at SAN JOSE STATE...Polian has owned Caragher, winning and covering last three meetings. SJSU was 6-1 as chalk LY but no mark in role TY as Spartans struggle. Pack 0-3 SU and vs. line away TY but was 10-2 vs. spread as visitor the past two seasons.
Nevada, based on team and series trends.

UNLV at HAWAII...Home team has won SU last seven years in series. UH has covered last 3 TY. Rebs 1-5 vs. line last five away.
Hawaii, based on series home trends.

[StarDust Bum]

'Dogs to Watch - Week 7
October 12, 2016


College Football Week 7 Ranked Underdogs with a Chance

Well all eyes will likely be on the Alabama/Tennessee and Ohio State/Wisconsin games in college football this weekend as the Top Two teams in the nation have tough road tests, there are a couple of other underdogs bettors should be aware of. These underdogs have a legitimate shot at pulling off the outright upset, but grabbing the points isn't a bad option either.

Underdog #1: Arkansas +7.5

Arkansas has got their own ranked vs ranked game this week as they host the 13th ranked Ole Miss program as a touchdown home underdog. The Razorbacks were beat down by Alabama last week to go 0-2 SU and ATS in SEC play and are in desperation mode for a conference victory this week.

Even with Ole Miss coming off a bye week, desperate home teams getting this many points tend to be a strong wager, especially when the balance of their season lies on the result.

Ole Miss did have that extra week to prepare for this one, but what is concerning is the fact that this will be their first true road game of the season, and the first time they've been away from home since Week 1 of the season.

The Rebels have put up 40+ in each of their last three games and gone 3-0 ATS because of that, but their last trip to Arkansas two years ago saw them get blanked (30-0), and they are actually 0-3 ATS the past three years against the Razorbacks.

Last year's game in Mississippi had the Rebels as the same -7.5 point favorites, but at home, and the game ended up going to OT where Arkansas escaped with a one-point victory.

This game has all the makings of being another close one between these two rivals, especially when Ole Miss is on a 1-5 ATS run as SEC road favorites of 17 or less.

Underdog #2: Indiana +3.5

Indiana is another home underdog looking to knock off a ranked foe as the 5-0 SU (3-1-1 ATS) Nebraska Cornhuskers come to town off a week of rest as well. This game has a lot of the same situational aspects applying to it that the Ole Miss/Arkansas game does above, and that's why I strongly believe it's primed for an upset as well.

For starters, Nebraska is a ranked team that is unbeaten on the year and laying points on the road after a week off. They've had extra time to prepare for this one and just watched Indiana lose by 21 points @ Ohio State last week (similar to Arkansas losing to Alabama a week ago).

The Cornhuskers have to be confident in their chances, but this is also only their 2nd true road game of the season and that can bring some problems.

What may be the most concerning for those considering Nebraska in this game is the fact that in the last 35 seasons, any CFB team that's 5-0 SU and on the road after a bye week are just 22-45 ATS no matter the spread. That has to be a concerning number on that side of the coin, but it's a very positive one as to why the Hoosiers are a solid play this weekend.

Indiana knows they are a better team then they showed at times vs. Ohio State last week, and it's tough games like that against the elite competition in this league that often make a middling team like Indiana stronger going forward. The Hoosiers have the offensive firepower to continually keep the pressure on Nebraska here and should come away with the outright victory.

[StarDust Bum]

Friday's Tip Sheet
October 12, 2016

**Duke at Louisville**

-- Louisville (4-1 straight up, 3-1-1 against the spread) has no room for error in its quest to get to the College Football Playoff. U of L has just one loss, a 42-36 defeat at unbeaten Clemson, but it remains firmly entrenched in the CFP discussion and I love its chances if it can win out. According to the oddsmakers as of Wednesday afternoon, that shouldn’t be a problem Friday night at Papa John’s Stadium, where the Cardinals will take on Duke as huge favorites. The number was 34.5 points with a total of 71.5. The only offshore shop offering a money-line return on the Blue Devils was *** Global (85/1).

-- Louisville trailed 28-10 at Clemson at intermission, only to respond by scoring the first 26 points of the second half to take a 36-28 advantage on Lamar Jackson’s 11-yard touchdown scamper with 7:52 remaining. However, a long kickoff return set the Tigers up with great field position and they cashed in on Deshaun Watson’s 20-yard scoring strike to Mike Williams with 7:05 left. Watson would put Clemson back in front with a 31-yard TD pass to Jordan Leggett with 3:14 remaining. But Jackson would march his team right back down the field and into the red zone. On a fourth down play with 33 ticks left, Jackson threw to James Quick who appeared to have room to get the first down if he cut up the field. Instead, he inexplicably ran to the sideline and out of bounds without giving up his body in an attempt to attain the first down. Clemson won the 42-36 decision as a one-point home underdog.

-- Before the loss in Death Valley, U of L had handed out four consecutive beatdowns vs. Charlotte (70-14), at Syracuse (62-28), vs. FSU (63-20) and at Marshall (59-28). Jackson torched the Seminoles for 146 rushing yards and four TDs. He also threw for 216 yards and another TD.

-- Jackson is currently the -225 favorite to win the Heisman Trophy at the Westgate SuperBook. He’s deserving of that ‘chalk’ role based on his eye-popping stats. The true sophomore QB out of Boynton Beach High School in South Florida is 10th in the nation in rushing yards (688) and leads the country with 14 rushing scores (seven players ahead of him in rushing yards have played six games compared to his five). Jackson is averaging 7.5 yards per carry. He has completed 59.4 percent of his passes for 1,625 yards with a 14/4 touchdown-to-interception ratio.

-- U of L senior RB Brandon Radcliff has rushed for 496 yards and three TDs while averaging 8.4 YPC. James Quick has 23 receptions for 443 yards and four TDs, while Jamari Staples has 18 catches for 348 yards.

-- U of L leads the country in total offense (659.2 yards per game) and scoring (58.0 points per game).

-- Louisville senior LB Treyvon Young is out for the season due to the hip injury sustained in last year’s Music City Bowl win over Texas A&M. Young had 32 tackles, 8.5 sacks, 1.5 tackles for loss, two passes broken up, one interception and three QB hurries in 2015.

-- Duke (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS) has wins vs. NC Central (49-6), at Notre Dame (38-35) and vs. Army (13-6). The Blue Devils have lost vs. Wake Forest (24-14), at Northwestern (24-13) and vs. Virginia (34-20). They are off an ugly 13-6 win over the Black Knights that nonetheless hooked up their backers as 5.5-point home ‘chalk.’ Duke was only able to generate nine first downs and 189 yards of total offense. The Blue Devils’ defense saved the day, holding Army to eight first downs and 214 yards of offense. They also forced three turnovers. QB Daniel Jones threw a 22-yard TD pass to Andy Davidson and also ran for a team-best 55 yards.

-- Jones, a sophomore, had a breakout game in South Bend where he completed 24-of-32 passes for 290 yards and three TDs with only one interception. However, his performance was deplorable the following week at home vs. UVA as he single-handedly delivered the victory to the Cavaliers. Jones threw for 324 yards but had five interceptions and coughed up a fumble that was recovered for a UVA touchdown. For the season, Jones has connected on 62.3 percent of his passes for 1,455 yards with a 7/8 TD-INT ratio.

-- Duke’s two best WRs are Anthony Nash and T.J. Rahming. Nash has 27 receptions for 382 yards and two TDs, while Rahming has 33 catches for 306 yards and one TD.

-- Duke ranks 26th in the nation in total defense and 34th in scoring ‘D,’ giving up only 21.5 points per game. This unit is led by sophomore MLB Ben Humphreys, who has a team-high 48 tackles. Humphreys has also recorded 5.5 tackles for loss, 1.5 sacks, three QB hurries, one pass broken up and one interception. In the first four games, senior CB DeVon Edwards was leading the team in stops with 29, but he went down with a season-ending knee injury against the Fighting Irish. Edwards had also contributed three sacks, three TFL’s, one PBU, one forced fumble and two QB hurries. He came into the year with eight career TDs, including six kickoff returns and two pick-sixes.

-- Another defensive starter in sophomore LB Tinashe Bere was lost for the season in Week 4. Bere, who had 58 tackles last season, had 13 this year. One defensive starter and two offensive starters for the Blue Devils were listed as ‘questionable’ on Wednesday. Sophomore DT Edgar Cerenord was nursing a hand injury that kept him out of the win over Army, while senior RB Jela Duncan and junior center Austin Davis were also question marks. Duncan has rushed for a team-high 354 yards and four TDs while averaging 5.4 YPC.

-- Just how far has David Cutcliffe advanced this Duke program during his nine-year tenure? Consider this: Until the Blue Devils were double-digit underdogs at Notre Dame on Sept. 24, they had not been listed as ‘dogs of more than 7.5 points since the 2013 ACC Championship Game against eventual national champion Florida State and the subsequent Chick-fil-A Bowl against Texas A&M before Johnny Football lost his mind.

-- Duke owns a 19-16-1 spread record in 36 games as a road underdog on Cutcliffe’s watch since 2008.

-- The Cardinals own a 6-6 spread record in 12 games as home favorites during Bobby Petrino’s second tour of duty at the school.

-- U of L’s combined scores have been 84, 90, 83, 87 and 78 points. This has resulted in an easy-as-hell 5-0 record for the ‘over.’

-- The ‘under’ has cashed at a 5-1 overall clip for Duke, going 1-1 in its two road assignments. The combined scores have been 55, 38, 37, 73, 54 and 19 points.

-- Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

**Mississippi State at Brigham Young**

-- As of Wednesday, most books had BYU (3-3 SU, 5-1 ATS) installed as a 7.5-point favorite with a total of 57.5. The Bulldogs were +240 on the money line (risk $100 to win $240).

-- After losing three straight games by seven combined points, Kalani Sitake’s first BYU squad has won back-to-back games vs. Toledo (55-53) and at Michigan State (31-14). The Cougars went into East Lansing last week and turned a 7-3 halftime deficit into a 31-14 win thanks to a stout defensive effort and Jamaal Williams’ workmanlike performance. They limited the Spartans to 206 yards of total offense and held them to only 2.7 yards per rush. Williams rushed 30 times for 163 yards and two TDs, while Taysom Hill ran for 47 yards and one TD on eight attempts. Hill completed 18-of-27 throws for 138 yards and one TD without an interception.

-- BYU took its three defeats at Utah (20-19), vs. UCLA (17-14) and at West Va. (35-32 in Landover, MY.). The Cougars opened the season by beating Arizona 18-16 as a one-point road favorite in Glendale.

-- Since 2006, BYU owns a 31-24 spread record as a home favorite. The Cougars went 4-1 ATS in such spots last year, but they are 0-1 this season after failing to cover in the 55-53 win over Toledo two weeks ago as 3.5-point home ‘chalk.’

-- Williams ranks second in the nation in rushing yards with 866, trailing only San Diego St.’s Donnel Pumphrey (891). After missing all of 2015 due to a year-long suspension, Williams has upped his career rushing yards to 3,392. That leaves him only 64 yards away from breaking Harvey Unga’s all-time school record. He has 10 rushing scores this year and a 6.2 YPC average.

-- After going down with a season-ending knee injury in Week 1 at Nebraska last year, senior QB Taysom Hill beat out Tanner Mangum for the starting job in August. Mangum had passed for 3,377 yards with a 23/10 TD-INT ratio after replacing Hill as a true freshman in 2015. Hill has connected on 60.3 percent of his passes for 1,255 yards with a 6/7 TD-INT ratio while taking every snap under center this season. Hill has rushed for 268 yards and three TDs with a 4.4 YPC average.

-- BYU wide receiver Nick Kurtz has 21 receptions for 232 yards and one TD. Jonah Trinnaman has 18 catches for 218 yards and one TD, while Colby Pearson has 18 grabs for 185 yards and two TDs.

-- Mississippi State (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS) is in a tough spot off a horrible performance and in desperate need of a victory. The Bulldogs are not only venturing West to play in altitude, but they are doing it on a short week of preparation. Dan Mullen’s team started the year by losing at home to South Alabama by a 21-20 count as a 28-point favorite after missing a chip-shot field goal off the crossbar on the game’s final play. MSU also lost 23-20 at LSU and posted its wins vs. South Carolina (27-14) and at UMass (47-35).

-- With a 2-2 record and two weeks to prep for a home game against Auburn, Mississippi State laid a complete egg at home in last week’s 38-14 loss that wasn’t even that close. The Bulldogs trailed 35-0 at intermission and were beaten in every facet of the game. Nick Fitzgerald completed 17-of-34 passes for 181 yards with two TDs and one interception. He rushed for a team-best 61 yards on 17 carries.

-- Fitzgerald has completed 57.0 percent of his passes for 778 yards with a 7/2 TD-INT ratio. He has rushed for a team-high 390 yards with a 6.1 YPC average. Fred Ross is his favorite target, hauling in 30 receptions for 334 yards and five TDs.

-- Mississippi State has been a road underdog 21 times on Mullen’s watch, going 10-11 ATS.

-- These schools played a home-and-home series in 2000 and ’01. Mississippi State won 44-28 at BYU as a one-point road ‘chalk’ in 2000, but the Cougars answered with a 41-38 win as six-point road favorites in Starkville the following year.

-- The ‘under’ is 4-1 overall for the Bulldogs, 1-1 in their road contests. Meanwhile, BYU has watched the ‘under’ go 4-2 overall, 1-1 in its home outings.

-- ESPN will have the telecast at 10:15 p.m. Eastern.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

-- There are two other games on Friday’s slate, including Memphis at Tulane and San Diego State at Fresno State. The Tigers are Green Wave will collide at Yulman Stadium in New Orleans for an 8:00 p.m. Eastern kick on ESPNU. The Aztecs and Bulldogs will square off in Fresno at 10:00 p.m. Eastern on the CBS Sports College Network.

-- Memphis (4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS) opened AAC action by rallying for a 34-27 home win over Temple last Thursday at the Liberty Bowl. The Tigers’ only loss came at Ole Miss, 48-28. They were favored by 11.5 over the Green Wave as of Wednesday. The total was 53.5 points.

-- Tulane (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS) took its only losses to a pair of teams that have only been beaten once to date. Willie Fritz’s squad lost 7-3 at a Wake Forest team that’s 5-1. The Green Wave lost 21-14 at home to a 4-1 Navy squad that just beat Houston.

-- San Diego State (4-1 SU, 2-2-1 ATS) owns an 8-5 spread record in 13 games as a road favorite during Rocky Long’s six-year tenure. The Aztecs opened Mtn. West play with last week’s 26-7 win over UNLV as a 16.5-point home favorites. They took their only loss of the year by a 42-24 count at South Alabama as 19.5-point road ‘chalk.’

-- San Diego State just lost two defensive starters to season-ending injuries. Senior LB Na’im McGee (foot) was the team’s second-leading tackler in 2015 when he recorded 81 tackles, 3.5 TFL’s, one sack and seven PBU. McGee had 20 tackles and one interception this season. Also, senior LB Randy Ricks (toe) is done for 2016. Ricks had 11 tackles, three TFL’s, one sacks, two PBU, two QB hurries and one forced fumble in the first five games.

-- Fresno State (1-5 SU, 2-3 ATS) returns home after dropping back-to-back games at UNLV (45-20) and at Nevada (27-22) to start league play. The Bulldogs are 3-4 ATS in seven games as home ‘dogs since Tim DeRuyter took over in 2012. DeRuyter replaced Pat Hill after Fresno State went through a 4-9 campaign in 2011, instantly guiding the Bulldogs to 9-4 and 11-2 seasons in ’12 and ’13. However, the program has fallen on hard time since then, losing 22 of its last 32 games.

-- As of Wednesday, most spots had San Diego State favored by 17 with a total of 54 points.

-- Illinois QB Wes Lunt (6/1 TD-INT) is listed as ‘questionable’ at Rutgers.

-- UCLA QB Josh Rosen (10/5 TD-INT) is ‘questionable’ at Washington State due to a shoulder injury.

[StarDust Bum]

COLLEGE FOOTBALL TRENDS

ATS

11:59 pm 10/15/2016
(209) UNLV @(210) HAWAII
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The record is 0 Wins and 8 Losses for the last three seasons (-8.8 units)
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10:30 pm 10/15/2016
(199) UCLA @(200) WASHINGTON ST
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The record is 14 Wins and 3 Losses for the last two seasons (+10.7 units)
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10:30 pm 10/15/2016
(199) UCLA @(200) WASHINGTON ST
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The record is 10 Wins and 1 Losses for the last two seasons (+8.9 units)
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7:00 pm 10/15/2016
(123) CONNECTICUT @(124) S FLORIDA
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The record is 8 Wins and 0 Losses for the last two seasons (+8 units)
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7:00 pm 10/15/2016
(123) CONNECTICUT @(124) S FLORIDA
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The record is 2 Wins and 13 Losses for the last three seasons (-12.3 units)
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6:00 pm 10/15/2016
(187) FLA INTERNATIONAL @(188) CHARLOTTE
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The record is 0 Wins and 9 Losses for the last three seasons (-9.9 units)
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6:00 pm 10/15/2016
(187) FLA INTERNATIONAL @(188) CHARLOTTE
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The record is 0 Wins and 9 Losses for the last two seasons (-9.9 units)
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3:30 pm 10/15/2016
(119) BOWLING GREEN @(120) TOLEDO
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The record is 8 Wins and 0 Losses for the last two seasons (+8 units)
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12:30 pm 10/15/2016
(153) PITTSBURGH @(154) VIRGINIA
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The record is 17 Wins and 3 Losses for the last three seasons (+13.7 units)
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12:30 pm 10/15/2016
(153) PITTSBURGH @(154) VIRGINIA
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The record is 12 Wins and 1 Losses for the last two seasons (+10.9 units)
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------------------------------

COLLEGE FOOTBALL TRENDS

Money Line


11:59 pm 10/15/2016
(209) UNLV @(210) HAWAII
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The record is 4 Wins and 16 Losses for the last three seasons (-18.15 units)
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7:00 pm 10/15/2016
(169) UTSA @(170) RICE
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The record is 3 Wins and 7 Losses for the last three seasons (-17.4 units)
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7:00 pm 10/15/2016
(169) UTSA @(170) RICE
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The record is 5 Wins and 12 Losses since 1992 (-21 units)
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3:30 pm 10/15/2016
(121) BALL ST @(122) BUFFALO
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3:30 pm 10/15/2016
(171) C MICHIGAN @(172) N ILLINOIS
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3:30 pm 10/15/2016
(121) BALL ST @(122) BUFFALO
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The record is 7 Wins and 13 Losses for the last three seasons (-22.8 units)
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3:30 pm 10/15/2016
(143) NORTHWESTERN @(144) MICHIGAN ST
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The record is 24 Wins and 22 Losses since 1992 (+39.55 units)
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2:30 pm 10/15/2016
(189) W KENTUCKY @(190) MIDDLE TENN ST
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The record is 9 Wins and 16 Losses since 1992 (-27.15 units)
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12:00 pm 10/15/2016
(145) KANSAS ST @(146) OKLAHOMA
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12:00 pm 10/15/2016
(131) IOWA @(132) PURDUE
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The record is 13 Wins and 14 Losses since 1992 (-33.65 units)
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[StarDust Bum]

COLLEGE FOOTBALL TRENDS

Half Time


7:00 pm 10/15/2016
(191) TEXAS ST @(192) LA MONROE
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The record is 1 Wins and 10 Losses for the last two seasons (-10 units)
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7:00 pm 10/15/2016
(123) CONNECTICUT @(124) S FLORIDA
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7:00 pm 10/15/2016
(123) CONNECTICUT @(124) S FLORIDA
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4:00 pm 10/15/2016
(205) UTAH @(206) OREGON ST
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3:30 pm 10/15/2016
(125) LOUISIANA TECH @(126) MASSACHUSETTS
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3:30 pm 10/15/2016
(183) KANSAS @(184) BAYLOR
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The record is 5 Wins and 20 Losses for the last three seasons (-17 units)
BET NOW!

3:30 pm 10/15/2016
(121) BALL ST @(122) BUFFALO
Play AGAINST BUFFALO in the first half in All games versus the first half line in all games.
The record is 2 Wins and 15 Losses for the last two seasons (-14.5 units)
BET NOW!

3:30 pm 10/15/2016
(121) BALL ST @(122) BUFFALO
Play AGAINST BUFFALO in the first half in All games versus the first half line in all games.
The record is 2 Wins and 15 Losses for the last two seasons (-14.5 units)
BET NOW!

12:00 pm 10/15/2016
(155) W VIRGINIA @(156) TEXAS TECH
Play ON TEXAS TECH in the first half in All games in games played on turf.
The record is 13 Wins and 2 Losses for the last two seasons (+10.8 units)
BET NOW!

10:00 pm 10/14/2016
(113) SAN DIEGO ST @(114) FRESNO ST
Play ON FRESNO ST in the first half in Home games in games played on turf.
The record is 21 Wins and 5 Losses since 1992 (+15.5 units)
BET NOW!

------------------------------

COLLEGE FOOTBALL TRENDS

Over


11:59 pm 10/15/2016
(209) UNLV @(210) HAWAII
Play OVER UNLV on the total in All games in games played on turf.
The record is 13 Overs and 3 Unders for the last two seasons (+9.7 units)
BET NOW!

7:00 pm 10/15/2016
(167) S ALABAMA @(168) ARKANSAS ST
Play OVER ARKANSAS ST on the total in All games off a win against a conference rival.
The record is 8 Overs and 0 Unders for the last two seasons (+8 units)
BET NOW!

7:00 pm 10/15/2016
(167) S ALABAMA @(168) ARKANSAS ST
Play OVER ARKANSAS ST on the total in All games against conference opponents.
The record is 14 Overs and 2 Unders for the last three seasons (+11.8 units)
BET NOW!

5:00 pm 10/15/2016
(197) NEW MEXICO ST @(198) IDAHO
Play OVER NEW MEXICO ST on the total in All games in all games.
The record is 13 Overs and 3 Unders for the last two seasons (+9.7 units)
BET NOW!

5:00 pm 10/15/2016
(197) NEW MEXICO ST @(198) IDAHO
Play OVER NEW MEXICO ST on the total in All games when playing on a Saturday.
The record is 21 Overs and 6 Unders for the last three seasons (+14.4 units)
BET NOW!

3:30 pm 10/15/2016
(157) NEW MEXICO @(158) AIR FORCE
Play OVER AIR FORCE on the total in Road games after playing a conference game.
The record is 7 Overs and 0 Unders for the last two seasons (+7 units)
BET NOW!

3:30 pm 10/15/2016
(147) NEBRASKA @(148) INDIANA
Play OVER INDIANA on the total in All games as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points.
The record is 38 Overs and 14 Unders since 1992 (+22.6 units)
BET NOW!

12:00 pm 10/15/2016
(145) KANSAS ST @(146) OKLAHOMA
Play OVER OKLAHOMA on the total in All games against conference opponents.
The record is 16 Overs and 4 Unders for the last three seasons (+11.6 units)
BET NOW!

10:00 pm 10/14/2016
(113) SAN DIEGO ST @(114) FRESNO ST
Play OVER FRESNO ST on the total in All games as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points.
The record is 19 Overs and 5 Unders since 1992 (+13.5 units)
BET NOW!

10:00 pm 10/14/2016
(113) SAN DIEGO ST @(114) FRESNO ST
Play OVER FRESNO ST on the total in All games as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points.
The record is 9 Overs and 0 Unders for the last three seasons (+9 units)
BET NOW!

-----------------------------------

COLLEGE FOOTBALL TRENDS

Under


7:00 pm 10/15/2016
(123) CONNECTICUT @(124) S FLORIDA
Play UNDER CONNECTICUT on the total in All games after playing a conference game.
The record is 1 Overs and 9 Unders for the last two seasons (+7.9 units)
BET NOW!

7:00 pm 10/15/2016
(177) OLE MISS @(178) ARKANSAS
Play UNDER OLE MISS on the total in All games when playing against a team with a winning record.
The record is 2 Overs and 14 Unders for the last three seasons (+11.8 units)
BET NOW!

3:45 pm 10/15/2016
(127) VIRGINIA TECH @(128) SYRACUSE
Play UNDER VIRGINIA TECH on the total in Road games against conference opponents.
The record is 0 Overs and 9 Unders for the last three seasons (+9 units)
BET NOW!

12:00 pm 10/15/2016
(179) VANDERBILT @(180) GEORGIA
Play UNDER VANDERBILT on the total in All games in all games.
The record is 3 Overs and 13 Unders for the last two seasons (+9.7 units)
BET NOW!

12:00 pm 10/15/2016
(179) VANDERBILT @(180) GEORGIA
Play UNDER VANDERBILT on the total in All games against conference opponents.
The record is 1 Overs and 10 Unders for the last two seasons (+8.9 units)
BET NOW!

[StarDust Bum]

FOOTBALL POWER LINES

7:00 pm 10/14/2016
(107) DUKE @(108) LOUISVILLE
Play Line: DUKE 35
BTB PowerLine: DUKE +25
Edge On: DUKE 10

8:00 pm 10/14/2016
(109) MEMPHIS @(110) TULANE
Play Line: MEMPHIS -11.5
BTB PowerLine: MEMPHIS -18
Edge On: MEMPHIS 6.5

1:00 pm 10/15/2016
(117) E MICHIGAN @(118) OHIO U
Play Line: OHIO U -7
BTB PowerLine: OHIO U -14
Edge On: OHIO U 7

3:30 pm 10/15/2016
(121) BALL ST @(122) BUFFALO
Play Line: BUFFALO 10.5
BTB PowerLine: BUFFALO +4
Edge On: BUFFALO 6.5

3:30 pm 10/15/2016
(143) NORTHWESTERN @(144) MICHIGAN ST
Play Line: MICHIGAN ST -4
BTB PowerLine: MICHIGAN ST -11
Edge On: MICHIGAN ST 7

4:00 pm 10/15/2016
(149) MISSOURI @(150) FLORIDA
Play Line: MISSOURI 13.5
BTB PowerLine: MISSOURI +7
Edge On: MISSOURI 6.5

4:00 pm 10/15/2016
(205) UTAH @(206) OREGON ST
Play Line: UTAH -9
BTB PowerLine: UTAH -16
Edge On: UTAH 7

7:00 pm 10/15/2016
(161) FLA ATLANTIC @(162) MARSHALL
Play Line: MARSHALL -11
BTB PowerLine: MARSHALL -20
Edge On: MARSHALL 9

7:30 pm 10/15/2016
(129) TEMPLE @(130) UCF
Play Line: TEMPLE 4
BTB PowerLine: TEMPLE -7
Edge On: TEMPLE 11

11:59 pm 10/15/2016
(209) UNLV @(210) HAWAII
Play Line: UNLV 9
BTB PowerLine: UNLV +0
Edge On: UNLV 9

[StarDust Bum]

Navy-East Carolina football game moved to Nov. 19

The football game between No. 25 Navy and East Carolina scheduled for Thursday night at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium in Greenville, N.C., was postponed until Nov. 19 because of the aftermath of Hurricane Matthew, the American Athletic Conference announced on Monday afternoon.

Hurricane Matthew caused widespread damage to portions of Florida, Georgia and the Carolinas this past weekend, with massive cleanup efforts continuing throughout this week. Record breaking flooding hit North Carolina in particular when Matthew dumped heavy amounts of rain in the eastern part of the state.

[In praise of Alabama’s winning streak and Navy’s big win]

The impending crest of the Tar River in Greenville, N.C., is expected to impact the city and surrounding counties with deteriorating conditions making travel treacherous likely through late Saturday. The Pirates had their flight home from their game on Saturday at South Florida diverted to Richmond because of unsafe conditions at airports in Raleigh-Durham and Pitt-Greenville.

“My first reaction is that it puts everything in perspective,” Navy Coach Ken Niumatalolo said of the postponement. “There’s things way more important than a football game. First and foremost, your thoughts and prayers go out to those most affected by the hurricane. From a football standpoint, we’ll just use it as time to kind of recover a little bit.”

Navy had been preparing to travel to Greenville on Wednesday. The team instead will have off on Tuesday and Wednesday, then practice for one hour on Thursday and Friday. There will not be practice over the weekend.

The Midshipmen are coming off a 46-40 victory over then-No. 6 Houston on Saturday for the program’s biggest upset since beating then-No. 2 South Carolina in 1984. They subsequently entered the rankings on Monday for the first time this season after finishing last year at No. 18.

In recognition of the Houston triumph, Vice Admiral Ted Carter, the superintendent of the Naval Academy, called off classes on Tuesday, thus allowing the team to focus on preparing for the Pirates on a short turnaround. Navy was to have played its third game in 15 days, including its second on the road during that time.

“Based on the latest information and projections we have received regarding the rising water level and subsequent adverse travel conditions in eastern North Carolina the remainder of the week, we felt [postponing the game] is necessary to ensure the safety of everyone involved,” ECU Athletic Director Jeff Compher said in a statement.

With the postponement, the Midshipmen don’t play again until Oct. 22 against Memphis at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium. Navy (4-1, 3-0) is in first place in the American Athletic Conference West Division following the win against the Cougars, who claimed last year’s game at TDECU Stadium, 52-31.

The extra week off also comes at an opportune time given starting fullback Chris High and reserve slot back Calvin Cass Jr. left Saturday’s game on consecutive plays in the first quarter; neither returned. High continues to nurse a sore hip, and Cass is recovering from a blow to the helmet. Both players were probable had Thursday’s game gone on as scheduled, according to Niumatalolo.

The Midshipmen already were playing without senior quarterback Tago Smith, who began the year as the starter until a season-ending tear in his anterior cruciate ligament in the opener, and linebacker Daniel Gonzales. The senior co-captain had been Navy’s leading tackler but is out for the year with a Lisfranc injury suffered during a 28-14 loss to Air Force on Oct. 1.

[StarDust Bum]

NHL Capsules
October 13, 2016

OTTAWA, Ontario (AP) Auston Matthews needed 40 minutes to get into the NHL record book.

In the highest-scoring debut in modern NHL history, Matthews scored four goals for the Toronto Maple Leafs, but Kyle Turris scored 37 seconds into overtime to give the Ottawa Senators to a 5-4 victory Wednesday night.

Matthews got his fourth with 3 seconds left in the second period, bringing his mother to tears in the stands.

The 19-year-old from Scottsdale, Arizona, is the 12th first overall pick to score in his NHL debut.

Turris scored twice, including the tying goal 6:45 into the third period. Bobby Ryan, Erik Karlsson and Derick Brassard also scored for Ottawa.

Frederik Andersen stopped 25 shots for the Maple Leafs. Craig Anderson had 34 saves for Ottawa.

BLUES 5, BLACKHAWKS 2

CHICAGO (AP) - Vladimir Tarasenko had two goals and an assist and St. Louis won an opening-night matchup of Central Division rivals.

Kevin Shattenkirk and Paul Stastny each had a power-play goal and two assists for the Blues, who eliminated the Blackhawks in seven games in the first round of the playoffs in April. Jake Allen had 17 saves in his first game since he became St. Louis' clear No. 1 goaltender with Brian Elliott's June trade to Calgary.

Richard Panik and Ryan Hartman scored for Chicago, which had six rookies in the starting lineup, including four playing their first NHL game. Corey Crawford finished with 29 saves.

SHARKS 2, KINGS 1

SAN JOSE, Calif. (AP) - Brent Burns scored the tiebreaking goal early in the third period after Los Angeles goalie Jonathan Quick left with an injury.

Logan Couture added a power-play goal and an assist and Martin Jones made 21 saves in San Jose's first real game since losing the Stanley Cup Final to Pittsburgh exactly four months earlier.

Tyler Toffoli scored a power-play goal in a rough start to the season for the Kings.

Quick left after stopping 14 of 15 shots in the first period with a lower body injury. He appeared to hurt himself stretching to get to the post to stop a chance by Joe Pavelski late in the period. Jeff Zatkoff replaced him and stopped 15 of 16 shots.

OILERS 7, FLAMES 4

EDMONTON, Alberta (AP) - Connor McDavid scored two straight goals in the second period and had an assist, lifting Edmonton over Calgary in the first game at Rogers Place.

Edmonton led the season opener 3-1 after one period on goals by Patrick Maroon, Tyler Pitlick and Zack Kassian. Alex Chiasson had a first-period score for the Flames.

Troy Brouwer and Michael Frolik scored in the second period to tie it 3-3, but then McDavid got goals with 7:43 and 5:27 left in the second for a two-goal lead - the second score came on a penalty shot.

First-round pick Jesse Puljujarvi scored for Edmonton in his NHL debut in the third period. Dennis Wideman had the final goal for Calgary, and then Jordan Eberle added an empty-netter.

Cam Talbot stopped 37 shots for Edmonton.

Brian Elliott made 21 saves in his first game with the Flames. Elliott was traded from St. Louis to Calgary in the offseason.

[StarDust Bum]

COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS:

10/12/2016 1-1-0 50.00% -50

TRIPLE PLAYS RECORD: 11 - 13 - 4 *****

WLT PCT UNITS

ATS Picks 162-154-10 51.27% -3700

O/U Picks 59-58-2 50.43% -2400

[StarDust Bum]

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 14

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

DUKE at LOU 07:00 PM

DUKE +34.5 *****

O 69.5


MEM at TULN 08:00 PM

TULN +11.0 *****

U 53.0


SDSU at FRES 10:00 PM

SDSU -17.5 *****

U 51.5


MSST at BYU 10:15 PM

MSST +7.0

O 55.5 *****