Announcement

**StarDust Bum** · 10-05-2016, 01:58 AM

NCAAF

Week 6

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Wednesday, October 5

8:00 PM
GA SOUTHERN vs. ARKANSAS STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Ga Southern's last 11 games
Ga Southern is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Arkansas State is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Arkansas State's last 13 games

Thursday, October 6

8:00 PM
TEMPLE vs. MEMPHIS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Temple's last 9 games
Temple is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 8 games
Memphis is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games

8:00 PM
WESTERN KENTUCKY vs. LOUISIANA TECH
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Western Kentucky's last 7 games on the road
Western Kentucky is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana Tech's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana Tech's last 5 games at home

Friday, October 7

7:30 PM
CLEMSON vs. BOSTON COLLEGE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Clemson's last 7 games when playing Boston College
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston College
Boston College is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
Boston College is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home

8:00 PM
TULANE vs. CENTRAL FLORIDA
Tulane is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Central Florida
Tulane is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Central Florida
Central Florida is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Central Florida's last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
SOUTHERN METHODIST vs. TULSA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tulsa
Southern Methodist is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tulsa
Tulsa is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Southern Methodist
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tulsa's last 6 games

9:00 PM
BOISE STATE vs. NEW MEXICO
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
New Mexico is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Mexico's last 5 games at home

Saturday, October 8

11:30 AM
CINCINNATI vs. CONNECTICUT
Cincinnati is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games
Connecticut is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Connecticut's last 11 games

12:00 PM
AUBURN vs. MISSISSIPPI STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Auburn's last 11 games
Auburn is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Mississippi State is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing Auburn
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi State's last 6 games when playing Auburn

12:00 PM
TCU vs. KANSAS
TCU is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of TCU's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas's last 7 games
Kansas is 1-18 SU in its last 19 games

12:00 PM
MARYLAND vs. PENN STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Maryland's last 5 games on the road
Maryland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Penn State is 1-7-1 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Penn State's last 5 games

12:00 PM
OKLAHOMA vs. TEXAS
Oklahoma is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Oklahoma's last 12 games
Texas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma

12:00 PM
IOWA vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Iowa's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Iowa is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Iowa
Minnesota is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing Iowa

12:00 PM
LSU vs. FLORIDA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LSU's last 9 games when playing on the road against Florida
LSU is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Florida
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 6 games when playing LSU
Florida is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing LSU

12:00 PM
SOUTHERN MISS vs. UTSA
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Southern Miss's last 10 games
Southern Miss is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
UTSA is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
UTSA is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

12:00 PM
EAST CAROLINA vs. SOUTH FLORIDA
East Carolina is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
East Carolina is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
South Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing East Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of South Florida's last 6 games

12:30 PM
GEORGIA TECH vs. PITTSBURGH
Georgia Tech is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Georgia Tech's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games at home

2:00 PM
BOWLING GREEN vs. OHIO
Bowling Green is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ohio
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Bowling Green's last 10 games
Ohio is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Bowling Green
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ohio's last 5 games when playing at home against Bowling Green

3:00 PM
TOLEDO vs. EASTERN MICHIGAN
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toledo's last 5 games when playing Eastern Michigan
Toledo is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games
Eastern Michigan is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Toledo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Eastern Michigan's last 5 games when playing Toledo

3:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. NAVY
Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 12 games
Navy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Navy's last 5 games at home

3:00 PM
MIAMI (OHIO) vs. AKRON
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami (Ohio)'s last 8 games when playing Akron
Miami (Ohio) is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing Akron
Akron is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Akron's last 12 games at home

3:30 PM
TEXAS STATE vs. GEORGIA STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas State's last 5 games
Texas State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Georgia State's last 10 games
Georgia State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

3:30 PM
BYU vs. MICHIGAN STATE
BYU is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of BYU's last 9 games on the road
Michigan State is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home
Michigan State is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home

3:30 PM
ARMY vs. DUKE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Army's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Army's last 5 games on the road
Duke is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Duke's last 5 games

3:30 PM
INDIANA vs. OHIO STATE
Indiana is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games on the road
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
Ohio State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana

3:30 PM
KENT STATE vs. BUFFALO
Kent State is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Buffalo
Kent State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Buffalo is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
Buffalo is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games

3:30 PM
VIRGINIA TECH vs. NORTH CAROLINA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Virginia Tech's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Virginia Tech's last 9 games when playing North Carolina
North Carolina is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Virginia Tech
North Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Virginia Tech

3:30 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Charlotte is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games
Charlotte is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Florida Atlantic is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Florida Atlantic is 4-18 SU in its last 22 games

3:30 PM
IOWA STATE vs. OKLAHOMA STATE
Iowa State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma State
Iowa State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Oklahoma State's last 12 games

3:30 PM
AIR FORCE vs. WYOMING
Air Force is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Wyoming
Air Force is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Wyoming
Wyoming is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Wyoming is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Air Force

3:30 PM
PURDUE vs. ILLINOIS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Purdue's last 6 games
Purdue is 4-18 SU in its last 22 games
Illinois is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Purdue
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Illinois's last 6 games when playing at home against Purdue

3:30 PM
BALL STATE vs. CENTRAL MICHIGAN
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Ball State's last 15 games
Ball State is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games
Central Michigan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ball State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Central Michigan's last 5 games when playing Ball State

TBA
NOTRE DAME vs. NORTH CAROLINA STATE
Notre Dame is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Notre Dame is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games
North Carolina State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of North Carolina State's last 7 games

TBA
TENNESSEE vs. TEXAS A&M
Tennessee is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Tennessee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Texas A&M is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

4:00 PM
COLORADO vs. SOUTHERN CAL
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 9 games
Colorado is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Southern Cal
Southern Cal is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Cal's last 6 games

4:00 PM
VANDERBILT vs. KENTUCKY
Vanderbilt is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kentucky
Vanderbilt is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Kentucky is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Vanderbilt
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kentucky's last 8 games at home

4:30 PM
HAWAII vs. SAN JOSE STATE
Hawaii is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing San Jose State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hawaii's last 7 games when playing San Jose State
San Jose State is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing Hawaii
San Jose State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Hawaii

6:00 PM
MASSACHUSETTS vs. OLD DOMINION
Massachusetts is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Massachusetts is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Old Dominion is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Old Dominion's last 6 games at home

6:30 PM
NORTHERN ILLINOIS vs. WESTERN MICHIGAN
Northern Illinois is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Western Michigan
Northern Illinois is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Western Michigan
Western Michigan is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Western Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
MICHIGAN vs. RUTGERS
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Michigan's last 13 games
Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Rutgers is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
Rutgers is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games

7:00 PM
FRESNO STATE vs. NEVADA
Fresno State is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Nevada
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Fresno State's last 6 games when playing on the road against Nevada
Nevada is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Nevada's last 17 games at home

7:00 PM
SYRACUSE vs. WAKE FOREST
Syracuse is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Syracuse's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Wake Forest's last 23 games at home
Wake Forest is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home

7:00 PM
IDAHO vs. LOUISIANA-MONROE
Idaho is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Idaho's last 10 games
Louisiana-Monroe is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 6 games

7:00 PM
TEXAS TECH vs. KANSAS STATE
Texas Tech is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Texas Tech's last 18 games
Kansas State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Texas Tech
Kansas State is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Texas Tech

7:00 PM
ALABAMA vs. ARKANSAS
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Arkansas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Alabama
Arkansas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

7:00 PM
MARSHALL vs. NORTH TEXAS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Marshall's last 6 games
Marshall is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of North Texas's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Texas's last 5 games at home

7:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. OREGON
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games
Oregon is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oregon's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington

7:30 PM
GEORGIA vs. SOUTH CAROLINA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Georgia's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Georgia's last 18 games when playing South Carolina
South Carolina is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Georgia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of South Carolina's last 5 games when playing Georgia

8:00 PM
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL vs. TEXAS EL PASO
Florida International is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Florida International is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas El Paso's last 9 games at home
Texas El Paso is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
FLORIDA STATE vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Florida State's last 9 games when playing on the road against Miami
Florida State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

9:00 PM
CALIFORNIA vs. OREGON STATE
California is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Oregon State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of California's last 7 games
Oregon State is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing California
Oregon State is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against California

10:00 PM
ARIZONA vs. UTAH
Arizona is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games ,on the road
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Utah's last 12 games at home

10:00 PM
UTAH STATE vs. COLORADO STATE
Utah State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Utah State is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Colorado State is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado State's last 6 games

10:30 PM
UCLA vs. ARIZONA STATE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of UCLA's last 6 games when playing Arizona State
UCLA is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Arizona State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against UCLA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona State's last 6 games when playing at home against UCLA

10:30 PM
WASHINGTON STATE vs. STANFORD
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington State's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington State's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Stanford's last 7 games when playing at home against Washington State
Stanford is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington State

10:30 PM
UNLV vs. SAN DIEGO STATE
UNLV is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Diego State
UNLV is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego State
San Diego State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego State's last 6 games

**StarDust Bum** · 10-05-2016, 02:00 AM

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 6

Wednesday, October 5

Georgia Southern @ Arkansas St

Game 301-302
October 5, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia Southern
76.985
Arkansas St
71.247
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia Southern
by 5 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia Southern
by 7 1/2
55
Dunkel Pick:
Arkansas St
(+7 1/2); Over

Thursday, October 6

Western Kentucky @ Louisiana Tech

Game 307-308
October 6, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Western Kentucky
87.390
Louisiana Tech
81.445
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Kentucky
by 6
74
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Kentucky
by 2 1/2
67
Dunkel Pick:
Western Kentucky
(-2 1/2); Over

Temple @ Memphis

Game 305-306
October 6, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Temple
84.053
Memphis
101.021
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 17
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 10
61
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(-10); Under

Norfolk St @ NC A&T

Game 501-502
October 6, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Norfolk St
40.819
NC A&T
66.269
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NC A&T
by 25 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NC A&T
by 24 1/2
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NC A&T
(-24 1/2); Over

Friday, October 7

Boise State @ New Mexico

Game 315-316
October 7, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boise State
95.169
New Mexico
78.577
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boise State
by 16 1/2
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boise State
by 17 1/2
61
Dunkel Pick:
New Mexico
(+17 1/2); Under

SMU @ Tulsa

Game 313-314
October 7, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
SMU
70.385
Tulsa
87.746
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tulsa
by 17 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tulsa
by 16 1/2
64 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tulsa
(-16 1/2); Under

Clemson @ Boston College

Game 311-312
October 7, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Clemson
103.237
Boston College
90.741
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Clemson
by 12 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Clemson
by 17
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston College
(+17); Over

Tulane @ Central Florida

Game 309-310
October 7, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tulane
77.078
Central Florida
89.309
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Central Florida
by 12
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Central Florida
by 14
48
Dunkel Pick:
Tulane
(+14); Under

**StarDust Bum** · 10-05-2016, 02:02 AM

NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 6

Wed – Oct. 5

Georgia Southern at Arkansas State, 8:00 PM ET
Georgia S: 1-2 ATS in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 56
Arkansas St: 13-4 ATS after gaining 325 or more passing yards in last game

Thurs – Oct. 6

Temple at Memphis, 8:00 PM ET
Temple: 29-14 UNDER after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game
Memphis: 3-12 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10

Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech, 8:00 PM ET
W Kentucky: 16-5 ATS in road games off 1 or more consecutive unders
Louisiana Tech: 10-22 ATS off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival

Fri – Oct. 7

Tulane at Central Florida, 8:00 PM ET
Tulane: 8-20 ATS off 2 or more consecutive overs
C Florida: 21-9 ATS in home games after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored

Clemson at Boston College, 7:30 PM ET
Clemson: 11-3 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread
Boston College: 10-1 UNDER in games played on turf

SMU at Tulsa, 8:00 PM ET
SMU: 17-35 ATS off a road blowout loss by 21 points or more
Tulsa: 6-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread

Boise State at New Mexico, 9:00 PM ET
Boise St: 73-42 ATS off a win against a conference rival
New Mexico: 13-26 ATS in home games after allowing 37 points or more last game

**StarDust Bum** · 10-05-2016, 02:04 AM

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 6

Wednesday’s game

Arkansas State is 0-4, losing last game to I-AA Central Arkansas; they’re -6 in turnovers last two games, have run ball for only 60.3 yds/game last three games. Red Wolves, who were 44-21 the last five years, are 3-6 as home underdogs the last 10 years. Georgia Southern is 6-2 as a road favorite, in 2+ years as a I-A team; Eagles lost last game 49-31 at Western Michigan, but do have a 24-9 win at South Alabama this year. Home teams, favorites are both 3-3 vs spread in Sun Belt games so far this season.

Thursday’s games

Short week for Memphis after 48-28 beatdown at Ole Miss LW; Tigers’ three wins have been vs stiffs- they lost two of three games vs Temple, with underdog Owls covering all three games. Memphis is 10-9 in last 19 games as a home favorite, 2-0 this year. Temple scored 93 points in winning its last two games, running ball for 554 yards; they lost 34-27 (+7.5) at Penn State in only road game this season. Owls are 9-4 as road underdogs under Rhule. AAC favorites are 4-1 vs spread in conference play this year, 1-1 at home.

Western Kentucky (+1.5) beat Louisiana Tech 41-38 at home LY, after losing 59-10 (+7) here the year before; Tech gained 507-580 TY in those games. Hilltoppers threw for 441 yards in LY’s win. Both of WKU’s losses this year are to SEC teams; they’re 3-4 as road favorites under Brohm. Tech is 1-3 vs I-A teams this year, allowing 39.3 pts/game in the losses, but did beat UTEP in only I-A home game; Bulldogs are 0-3 as home underdogs the last 4+ years. Tech allowed 826 PY in its last two losses. C-USA home teams are 4-5 vs spread in conference play, 3-3 when favored.

Friday’s games

Central Florida scored 100 points in winning its last two games, after losses to couple of Big 14 teams, Michigan/Maryland. Knights are 5-2 in last seven games with Tulane, winning last three here by 7-49-10 points (2-1 vs spread). Green Wave is +6 in turnovers in last two series games. UCF was 0-3 as a home favorite LY, after being 28-15 in that role from 2007-14. Tulane scored 72 points in winning last two games, after close losses to Wake Forest (7-3), Navy (21-14) in its first two I-A games. Green Wave is 8-7 in its last 15 games as a road underdog.

Clemson has to guard against a letdown after beating Louisville LW; Tigers won 19-13/26-7 in its first two road games this year- they’re 3-7 in last 10 games as a road favorite, 1-1 this year. Clemson won its last five games with Boston College, by 17-4-10-14-22 points (0-2-1 vs spread last three). Tigers are 3-2 in last five visits here, with only one win by by more than six points. Overall, underdogs are 7-3-1 vs spread in last 11 series games. BC held three of its four I-A foes to 17 or less points, but lost 49-17 at Va Tech. Eagles are 4-5 as home underdogs under Addazio.

Tulsa was down 31-0 in its last game, at Fresno State, rallied to win in OT; Hurricane is 3-1 this year with only loss at Ohio State- they’re 3-8 in its last 11 games as a home favorite, 1-0 this year. Underdogs are 9-4 in last 13 Tulsa-SMU games; Tulsa won 38-28/40-31 last two years and is 4-1 in last five series games played here, winning by 10-31-6-7 points (1-4 vs spread). Mustangs allowed 39.3 pts/game in losing last three I-A games, all by 25+ points; they’re 10-18 in last 28 games as a road underdog.

New Mexico (+31) upset Boise State 31-24 on blue turf LY, despite being TY difference of 641-413, Boise. Broncos won last three visits to Albuquerque by 11-3-17 points, but Lobos are 5-0 vs spread in last five series games. Boise already has road wins at ULL (45-10, -19), Oregon State (38-24, -13) this year. Broncos are 31-13 in last 44 games as a road favorite, 9-4 under Harsin. New Mexico scored 35.7 pts/game in its three I-A games but lost two of the three games; Lobos are 6-9 as home underdogs under Davie, but have covered three of last four such games. Underdogs are 4-2 vs spread in Mountain West games this year, 1-1 at home

**StarDust Bum** · 10-05-2016, 02:05 AM

Sharps are watching these Week 6 college football games very closely

Oklahoma has averaged 39.5 points and 493 total yards per game, but the Sooners have also allowed 35.2 points and 429 total yards per game.

Spread to bet now:

Georgia Tech (+7) at Pittsburgh

The Yellow Jackets opened +8 and have already been bet down to the key number of +7 with some sportsbooks already going down to +6.5. Georgia Tech is taking a step down in class after two losses versus Clemson and Miami Florida. The Yellow Jackets actually held a 361-355 total yard edge last week, including a 267-114 rushing advantage, but suffered from a 3-0 turnover deficit.

Pittsburgh is just 1-3-1 ATS this year and they do not the luxury of a bye week to prepare for the triple-option. The road team is also 2-0 SU/ATS in this head-to-head series the past two years. The Panthers won 31-28 at Georgia Tech last year as a 3-point underdog, but they lost at home 56-28 as a 4-point favorite in 2014. Georgia Tech has held 376-200 and 465-198 rushing edges in those past two games.

Spread to wait on:

Oregon (+8.5) vs. Washington

Oregon opened +8 in most locations and the early money has already pushed this line higher. The public will likely back the road favorite as well, so wait and try to get the key number of +10 or more later this week. Washington looked very strong last Friday night in their 44-6 national TV win versus Stanford, but that victory has now inflated this line and set up a possible letdown spot for the Huskies.

Oregon is down a notch this season and stands just 2-3 SU. However, this line has been drastically over-adjusted based on recent results. In fact, the look-ahead betting line this summer was Oregon -2. These teams played at Oregon two years ago and the Ducks were a 21-point home favorite in a 45-20 win. Oregon's main weakness this season has been a poor rush defense, but the strength of Washington is their passing offense.

Total to watch:

Oklahoma at Texas (74)

This total opened 72 and was quickly bet two points higher. It is understandable as both offenses have been explosive this season, while both defenses have been very suspect. Oklahoma has averaged 39.5 points and 493 total yards per game, but the Sooners have also allowed 35.2 points and 429 total yards per game. Oklahoma's four games have averaged 74.7 total points while going 3-1 Over this season.

Texas has scored at least 41 points or more in three of their four games this year, averaging 41.2 points and 517 total yards per game. However, the Longhorns have also allowed at least 47 points or more in three of their four games, permitting 38.2 points and 428 total yards per game on average. Overall, the Longhorns four games have averaged 79.4 total points while going 3-1 Over this season.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-05-2016, 02:07 AM

NCAAF

Wednesday, October 5

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wednesday's NCAAF game of the day: Georgia Southern at Arkansas State
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Real eagles may soar, but these ones favor the ground - a lot. Georgia Southern has racked up an absurd 253 carries for 1,271 yards and 12 touchdowns through the first four games.

Georgia Southern Eagles at Arkansas State Red Wolves (+7, 55)

After opening the season 0-3, Arkansas State must have thought that things couldn't get much worse - then came a humiliating loss to FCS Central Arkansas. The Red Wolves look to end their season-opening four-game losing skid Wednesday as it hosts a Georgia Southern team coming off its own humbling loss at Western Michigan.

Arkansas State is the defending Sun Belt champion, but you wouldn't know it from a putrid September performance in which the Red Wolves were outscored by an average of nearly 20 points per game in dropping four straight nonconference games. Arkansas State was a whopping 16 1/2-point fave against Central Arkansas back on Sept. 24, but Hayden Hildebrand connected with Brandon Cox on an 18-yard scoring strike with 6:26 remaining as the Bears rallied from a nine-point deficit. Georgia Southern lost its first game of the season last time out but has to be pleased with its start, having opened conference play with road victories over South Alabama and Louisiana-Monroe. The key matchup here will be Georgia Southern's relentless rush attack matched up against an Arkansas State defense that has already spent far too much time on the field.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN2

LINE HISTORY: Most books saw a half-point bump in Georgia Southern's favor shortly after the initial line was posted, but it has since settled back to Arkansas State +7. View complete line history here.

INJURY REPORT:

Georgia Southern - None.

Arkansas State - WR Christian Booker (questionable, knee), RB Johnston White (questionable, hamstring), DE Griffin Riggs (out, suspension)

WEATHER REPORT: Playing conditions at Centennial Bank Stadium are expected to be favorable, with partly cloudy skies expected and temperatures hovering in the high-70s at kickoff. Wind will blow out of the southeast at 6 mph.

ABOUT GEORGIA SOUTHERN (3-1, 1-3 ATS, 1-3 O/U): Real eagles may soar, but these ones favor the ground - a lot. Georgia Southern has racked up an absurd 253 carries for 1,271 yards and 12 touchdowns through the first four games of the season, with four players already having surpassed 40 carries and 200 rushing yards on the year. Six different Eagles players have at least one rushing score, led by Wesley Fields and Kevin Ellison with three apiece.

ABOUT ARKANSAS STATE (0-4, 0-4 ATS, 1-3 O/U): The Red Wolves open conference play Wednesday night against a team that is perfectly built to beat them. Arkansas State is surrendering an average of 239 rushing yards per contest so far in 2016, while generating just 80 of its own. They'll look to succeed through the air, with sophomore quarterback Justice Hansen coming off a sensational 424-yard, three-touchdown showing in the loss to Central Arkansas.

TRENDS:

* Georgia Southern is 4-0 ATS in its last four games following an SU loss.
* Arkansas State is 0-5 ATS in its last five games.
* Under is 6-1 in the Eagles' last seven conference games.
* Over is 22-4 in the Red Wolves' previous 26 conference games.

CONSENSUS: A small majority of bettors believe Arkansas State can hang around in this one, with 56 percent taking the home team and the seven points.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-05-2016, 04:32 PM

COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS:

Date 10/01/2016 38-32-2 54.29% +1400

TRIPLE PLAYS GO: 9 - 4 - 1

WLT PCT UNITS

ATS Picks 138-125-8 52.47% +250

O/U Picks 49-49-2 50.00% -2450

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 5

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

GASO at ARST 08:00 PM

GASO -9.0

U 54.0

**StarDust Bum** · 10-06-2016, 01:58 AM

ACC Report - Week 6
October 5, 2016

2016 ACC STANDINGS

Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under

Boston College 3-2 0-2 2-2-1 1-4

Clemson 5-0 2-0 3-2 1-4

Duke 2-3 0-2 2-3 1-4

Florida State 3-2 0-2 2-2 3-1

Georgia Tech 3-2 1-2 1-2-1 1-2-1

Louisville 4-1 2-1 3-1-1 5-0

Miami (Fla.) 4-0 1-0 4-0 3-1

North Carolina 4-1 2-0 3-2 3-2

North Carolina State 3-1 1-0 3-1 3-0-1

Pittsburgh 3-2 0-1 1-4 4-1

Syracuse 2-3 0-1 2-3 2-3

Virginia 2-3 1-0 3-1-1 1-3-1

Virginia Tech 3-1 1-0 2-2 3-1

Wake Forest 4-1 1-1 2-3 3-2

Clemson at Boston College (Fri. - ESPN, 7:30 p.m. ET)

The Tigers won their emotional showdown against the Cardinals of Louisville last weekend, now face a short week of preparation and a road trip to Chestnut Hill. Will there be a bit of a hangover following a huge victory? Will the Tigers just show up and expect to win? Head coach Dabo Swinney will do everything in his power to keep that from happening, but Clemson has struggled on offense at times this season and Boston College has a stout defense. Still, Clemson is 5-1 ATS in their past six against teams with a winning record, 6-2 ATS in the past eight overall dating back to last season, but just 3-7 ATS in the past 10 road outings. Boston College has struggled to protect its home turf, though, going 1-5-2 ATS in the past eight home games, while managing a poor 0-4-1 ATS mark in the past five ACC tilts, including a 49-0 blowout loss at Virginia Tech in their last conference game.

Notre Dame at North Carolina State (ABC, 12:00 p.m. ET)

All eyes will be on the tropics, as Hurricane Matthew is menacing the Southeast United States this week, and will be threatening the Tar Heel state Saturday. The possibility exists that kickoff could be moved, or even the venue could be changed. Notre Dame righted the ship somewhat last weekend in E. Rutherford, N.J., powering past Syracuse 50-33. The Irish haven't been able to post a streak against the number lately, going 0-4 ATS in their past four following a cover. They are 8-3 ATS in their past 11 against teams with a winning overall record, however. N.C. State is equally inept at following up covers with more covers, going 1-5 ATS in their past six after a straight up win, and 1-4 ATS in their past five following a cover. The 'over' could be the play here, as it is 4-0 in the past four road games for Notre Dame, 6-1 in their past seven overall and 6-2 in their past eight road outings against a team with a winning home mark. For N.C. State, the over is 6-0-1 in their past seven overall, 5-0-1 in their past six at Carter-Finley Stadium in Raleigh and 4-1 in their past five following a straight up victory. The total has been bet down from an opening line of 67 1/2 to 63 1/2 as of Wednesday morning, with the Wolfpack short 'dogs at home.

Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh (ACC Network, 12:30 p.m. ET)

The Yellow Jackets and Panthers needn't worry about the weather, but bettors need to worry about each team's struggles against the spread. Georgia Tech is 1-6-1 ATS in their past eight dating back to last season, 1-9-1 ATS in their past 11 ACC games and 0-5-1 ATS in their past six on the road. Pitt is 5-16 ATS in its past 21 home games, 1-6 ATS in the past seven overall and 1-4 ATS in the past five home games against a team with a winning road mark. Something's gotta give. Pitt is favored by a touchdown in this one. Pittsburgh has struggled to stop the pass, but that's not a strong suit of Ga. Tech. The 'under' is 6-2-1 in the past nine overall for the Yellow Jackets, and 5-2 in their past seven on the road as well as inside the conference. The 'over' is 4-0 for Pitt in the past four, and 4-1 in their past five against teams with a winning overall record.

Virginia Tech at North Carolina (ABC/ESPN2, 3:30 p.m.)

The Hokies and Tar Heels are another game potentially bothered by the affects of Hurricane Matthew. If the game does go off as scheduled, there could be plenty of wind and rain which could tamp down the offensive production for both sides. The total opened at 62 and has slipped to 59 as of Wednesday morning. The Tar Heels are coming off an impressive road win at Florida State, Dave Doeren's first signature win at the helm in Chapel Hill. The Tar Heels are now 9-3 ATS in the past 12 against teams with a winning record, and they're 21-6 ATS in their past 27 games at Kenan against a team with a winning road mark. The Hokies were blazed by Tennessee earlier in the season, but they have been good lately. They're 4-1 ATS in their past five ACC games, and also 4-1 ATS in their past five trips to Chapel Hill. The road team is 7-3 ATS in the past 10 meetings in this series, with the 'under' hitting in eight of the past nine meetings.

Army at Duke (ACC Network, 3:30 p.m.)

Yet another game which might be impacted by Hurricane Matthew, Army and Duke are tentatively set to battle at Wallace Wade Stadium in Durham. Duke has been as unpredictable as the weather lately, losing at home to Wake Forest, winning the biggest game in program history at Notre Dame and then coming home to lay an egg against lowly Virginia. The Black Knights have had two weeks to stew after losing a heartbreaker at Buffalo, their first setback after a 3-0 SU/ATS start. These sides met last season in West Point with Duke rolling to a 44-3 win, but this Blue Devils team isn't as prolific and Army is much improved. Duke enters favored by four points. Army is just 8-22-1 ATS in the past 31 on the road, and 1-4 ATS in their past five against ACC foes. Duke is 2-5 ATS in their past seven at Wallace Wade, and 0-5 ATS in the past five against teams with a winning overall record.

Syracuse at Wake Forest (ACC Network, 7:00 p.m.)

The Orange might wish they were at home under the comfort of their dome and away from the elements, as the weather in Winston-Salem could be breezy and damp. While the Triad is well away from the coast, plenty of rain could push inland to impact this game. As we've seen in the other North Carolina games, the total has been bet down from 57 1/2 to 54 1/2. The over is 6-1 in Syracuse's past seven road games, 5-1 in their past six ACC games and 12-5 in their past 17 games overall. It's the opposite for Wake, as the under is 13-6-1 in their past 20 home games, 21-10 in their past 31 conference tilts and 22-8-2 in their past 32 against teams with a losing overall record.

Florida State at Miami-Florida (ABC, 8:00 p.m.)

The marquee game of the ACC weekend takes place in Miami, and as long as there isn't any storm damage or travel issues. FSU enters the game 0-2 in the conference for the first time since 2011. The Seminoles are looking to avoid an 0-3 conference start for the first time ever in ACC play, and will likely look on Miami-native Dalvin Cook to run early and often. This is Miami's biggest test, as arguably their biggest challenges have been road outings at Appalachian State and Georgia Tech, not exactly the cream of the crop. FSU is still 7-3 ATS in their past 10 games, and 4-1 ATS in their past five road games against teams with a winning home reocrd. Miami has covered all four of their games. However, the Seminoles are 4-1 ATS in their past five trips to Miami, and the road team is 8-2 ATS in the past 10 in this series. The underdog has also cashed in 14 of the past 17 in this Sunshine State rivalry, with the 'under' 7-2-1 in the past 10 in Miami, and 5-0 in the past five overall.

Bye Week

Louisville, Virginia

**StarDust Bum** · 10-06-2016, 02:02 AM

Big Ten Report - Week 6
October 5, 2016

2016 BIG 10 STANDINGS

Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under

Illinois 1-3 0-1 2-2 1-3

Indiana 3-1 1-0 2-2 1-3

Iowa 3-2 1-1 1-4 2-3

Maryland 4-0 1-0 2-2 1-3

Michigan 4-0 1-0 3-1 4-0

Michigan State 2-2 0-2 1-3 1-3

Minnesota 3-1 0-1 1-2-1 2-2

Nebraska 5-0 2-0 3-1-1 1-4

Northwestern 2-3 1-1 2-3 1-4

Ohio State 4-0 1-0 4-0 2-2

Penn State 3-2 1-1 1-3-1 5-0

Purdue 2-2 0-1 1-3 3-1

Rutgers 2-3 0-2 2-3 3-2

Wisconsin 4-1 1-1 4-1 1-4

Conference Games

Maryland (-1) at Penn State - (Big Ten, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Penn State – The Nits picked up a huge win in OT last week coming from behind to top Minnesota 29-26. At halftime it looked like PSU was in big trouble down 10 and having put up only a FG in the first half. They went into the locker room averaging just 5.1 YPP and passing for just 95 yards. That pretty much played to the script of PSU all season as they have been outscored 92-54 in the 1st half this year. In the 2nd half the Lions erupted for 26 points, 295 yards passing, and over 9.0 YPP. PSU was 2-2 coming into the game and last week was pretty much dubbed a must win for a once proud program trying to turn the corner. The reaction of the players after the win speaks volumes. "That’s the best our locker room has ever been," said kicker Tyler Davis, a smiling redshirt junior. "That was awesome. I think that could really be a turning point to our season." Now sitting at 3-2 vs a tough schedule thus far (Kent, Pitt, Temple, Michigan, and Minnesota) the Nittany Lions have a chance to keep the momentum going with 2 more home games the next 2 Saturdays. Despite being above .500, PSU is getting outgained by an average of almost 40 YPG. Much of that, however, we due to their game at Michigan where they were outgained by well over 300 yards. Most of their other games were fairly even yardage wise. This week they played an undefeated Maryland team and this line has swung from Penn State -1 to Maryland -1 or -1.5 as of this writing on Wednesday.

Maryland – The Terps are 4-0 on the season but how good this team is has yet to be seen. In fact, none of their wins have come against a team ranked higher 63rd (Sagarin Ratings) with victories over FIU, UCF, Howard, and Purdue. That being said, last week’s win vs the Boilers was an impressive one. They put up 50 points, outrushed Purdue 400 yards to just 10 yards, and scored on 7 of their 12 drives (not including the drives that ended in a turnover). The Terps have now outgained 3 of their 4 opponents, UCF being the only exception, by a combined total of 564 yards. One huge reason for Maryland’s improvement is QB play. Interceptions thrown to be exact. This season the Terps have thrown only 1 interception making them one of eleven teams in the nation that has thrown one or fewer picks. Last year this team threw a whopping 29 interceptions which was the most in the nation by a full 6 picks. On top of not turning the ball over, QB Perry Hills has increased his completion percentage by 11% from last year and increased his yards per attempt by 2 full yards. We’ll quickly find out if Maryland is for real as their schedule now gets significantly more difficult. After Penn State, this team plays Minnesota, Michigan State, Michigan, Ohio State, and Nebraska in the upcoming weeks.

Last Year – If history is an indicator, we can expect a close game between these two. Last year PSU traveled to Maryland and squeaked out a 31-30 win despite getting outgained by 100 yards. The Terps turned the ball over 5 times in that game. The previous season Maryland won at Penn State by a final score of 20-19.

Inside the Numbers – If this number stays where it is, it will be the first time that Maryland has been favored in a conference game on the road since joining the Big Ten in 2014. Since 2005, PSU has been a home underdog just 11 times covering only 3 of those games. The Nittany Lions have dominated this series going 12-1-1 SU (5-8-1 ATS) since 1980.

Iowa (-2) at Minnesota – (ESPN2, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Minnesota – The Gophs are off OT road loss at PSU 29-26. The yardage was almost dead even but Minnesota ran a whopping 90 offensive plays to just 70 for Penn State. That was their first loss of the year after running up a 3-0 mark in the non-conference season (Oregon State, Indiana State, and Colorado State). Minnesota will “possibly” receive a boost this week as head coach Tracy Claeys has reinstated 4 suspended players including Hardin and Buford, two of the Gophs top corners. However, Claeys has said he’s not sure the players will play this Saturday. They could especially use Harding and Buford as injuries mount in the defensive backfield. On the other side of the ball, Minny welcomed back starting RB Shannon Brooks from injury two weeks ago vs Colorado State. He has given the offense a boost rushing for 185 yards on just 27 carries in his two games. That could be a problem for the Iowa defense that has given up 183 YPG on the ground after allowing just 121 YPG last season. One thing Minnesota does have to clean up is their penalty situation. They lead the Big Ten in penalty yardage at 76 YPG. That was after committing only 45 YPG in penalties last year and just 46 the year before.

Iowa – The Hawks continued their struggles by losing at home last Saturday to Northwestern. The Cats won the game 38-31 topping 30 points for first time since last September – a span of 15 games. It was also the first time the Iowa defense allowed more than 35 points in a regular season game since the 2014 season. Coming into the game the Wildcats were ranked 125th (out of 128) in scoring offense before they exploded last Saturday. Offensively, the Hawkeyes continued to struggle despite their 31 point output. The fact is, Iowa put up only 283 total yards on 68 plays for just 4.1 YPP. Even more disturbing was the Iowa running game tallied only 79 yards on 41 carries for 1.9 YPC. The previous week the Hawkeyes scored only 7 points on a Rutgers team that allowed 58 last Saturday vs Ohio State. While Iowa sits at 3-2 on the season, they have been outgained in every game but one this season. The good news is, they are fairly healthy. Besides the key loss of WR Vandeburg in the Rutgers game, the Hawks had no new injuries last week vs Northwestern.

Last Year – These two battle for the Floyd of Rosedale trophy which Iowa currently holds after a 40-35 win last season. The Hawkeyes led 40-28 late when Minnesota scored with just 1:15 remaining to make it close.

Inside the Numbers – The home team has won 9 of the last 11 in this Big Ten series. Since 1980, Iowa has been favored at Minnesota 13 times. The Hawkeyes are just 4-9 ATS in those games and even more telling just 6-7 SU. Two years ago they were favored by 1.5 at Minnesota and lost 51-14! Since the start of the 2007 season, Minnesota is 15-8 ATS as a home underdog.

Indiana at Ohio State (-29) – (ESPN, 3:30 p.m. ET)

Ohio State – Talk about sheer domination. The Buckeyes beat Rutgers 58-0 last week but dare we say the final score didn’t indicate how dominant OSU was in that game? They outgained the Scarlet Knights 669-116! That’s the same Rutgers team that outgained Iowa a week earlier and gave the Hawkeyes all they could handle in a 14-7 loss. The 553 yard differential was the widest gap for the Buckeyes since Urban Meyer took the helm 5 years ago. It’s actually the second time already this year that OSU has outgained an opponent by more than 500 yards (Bowling Green). The Rutgers offense did not cross midfield the entire game. After 4 games, the Buckeyes closest game was a 21-point margin at Oklahoma. They’ve outscored their opponents 228-37 and outgained their four foes 2,305-952. The Bucks are 4-0 ATS covering those 4 games by a combined 94 points or 23.5 points per game. On top of that, this team is rested as the starters have been able to sit a fair portion in the 2nd half of 3 of their 4 games. They are also healthy.

Indiana – IU is off a huge win for the program topping Michigan State at home last week 24-21 in overtime. It was just their 7th win over MSU in the last 32 meetings. The Hoosier offense continues to hum along on offense under head coach Kevin Wilson averaging 29 PPG on 497 YPG. The surprise has been their defense. They are allowing “just” 21 PPG on 373 YPG. While that may not seem like a big deal, remember this Indiana team gave up over 37 PPG and more than 500 YPG last season. They have allowed 32 PPG or more in each of the last 6 seasons so this year has been a huge improvement. IU has actually played Ohio State very tough the last two seasons. Last year they had the ball inside OSU’s 10-yard line and a chance to tie the game with under 1:00 minute left before losing 34-27 as a 21.5 point underdog. A year earlier the Bucks were favored by 36.5 points at home and actually trailed with under 3:00 to go in the 3rd quarter. OSU won the game 42-27. That means the Hoosiers have covered vs OSU each of the last two years by a combined 36 points.

Last Year – Indiana gave OSU a scare last year in Bloomington with the Bucks winning 34-27. IU actually had the ball first & goal on Ohio State’s 6-yard line with under 1:00 remaining in the game but couldn’t get it into the endzone.

Inside the Numbers – As you would expect, OSU leads this series with an imposing 72-12-5 all-time record. The Hoosiers last outright win over the Buckeyes was way back in 1988. However, Indiana has now covered 5 in a row in this series by a combined 71 points (14.2 points per game).

Purdue at Illinois (-10.5) – (Big Ten, 3:30 p.m. ET)

Illinois – The Illini gave Nebraska all they could handle in Lincoln last week before falling 31-16. The game was much closer than that throughout as Illinois led heading into the 4th quarter and trailed just 17-16 with under 5:00 remaining in the game. It looked like the Illini defense wore down late in the game. In Nebraska’s 3 TD drives in the 4th quarter the Huskers pretty much kept the ball on the gournd and Illinois could not stop them. Those 3 drives combined for 205 total yards of which only 38 were through the air. Fatigue could be problem moving forward as the Illini have not controlled the clock and the defense has been on the field too much. In the last two games (Western Michigan & Nebraska) the Illini have held the ball for 48 minutes compared to 72 minutes for their opponents. They’ve also been outscored 28-0 in the 4th quarter in those two games. For the season, they have been outscored 45-17 in the 4th quarter. Last week’s loss dropped them to 1-3 on the year yet they are favored by double digits here. If you throw out their lone win vs FCS Murray State, the Illini are 0-3 and have been outscored by 64 points (21.3 PPG) and outgained by 428 yards (142 YPG). However, those 3 opponents have combined for a 14-1 record so all is not lost for the Illini.

Purdue – The Boilers were destroyed last week at Maryland 50-7 allowing the Terps to gash them for 400 yards on the ground. You can bet after rushing for 392 yards on 9.1 YPC last year and seeing the results from last week, Illinois will attempt to run the ball 40+ times on Saturday. Not only did Purdue allow 400 yards rushing but they only came up with 10 yards rushing on 27 carries. The task of running the ball might not get any easier as Purdue’s top RB and top offensive weapon Markell Jones injured his shoulder last week and may not play on Saturday. With that loss, Purdue has a record of 2-23 SU their last 25 Big Ten games! Even more telling, 18 of those 23 losses came by at least 10 points. They are also just 7-36 SU their last 43 road games. Their overall numbers aren’t terrible as Purdue is 2-2 on the season (same number of wins as all of last year) and they are outgaining their opponents by 7 yards per game. However, they were whipped by the two decent teams they played (Cincinnati & Maryland) both on the scoreboard and in the stat line. Purdue built up big stat advantages in their two wins over sub-par opponents Eastern Kentucky & Nevada, ranked 175th and 118th respectively (Sagarin ratings).

Last Year – The Illini destroyed Purdue in West Lafayette last year 48-14. It was no fluke as Illinois rolled up almost 600 total yards and held Purdue to just 263. They outrushed the Boilers by almost 300 yards in the game.

Inside the Numbers – Since the start of the 2011 season, the Illini have been double digit favorites vs a conference opponent just 3 times (1-2 ATS) and they lost 2 of those games outright. Purdue has been an underdog in 25 of their last 26 Big Ten games. The Boilers are just 1-14 SU their last 15 road games. However, Purdue is 10-2 ATS the last 12 times they’ve been tabbed a double digit underdog.

Michigan (-27.5) at Rutgers – Saturday at 7:00 PM ET

Rutgers – The Wolverines should be licking their chops here after watching Ohio State put up almost 700 yards of total offense last week vs this Rutgers defense. The Knights were gashed for 7.5 yards per play while picking up only 2.1 YPP on offense. OSU ran a whopping 89 offensive plays to just 54 for Rutgers. At one point Ohio State scored points on 9 straight possessions. Offensively the Knights completed only 3 passes the ENTIRE GAME and rushed for only 2.2 YPC. However, Rutgers was playing quite well leading into last week’s blowout loss winning 2 of their 3 previous games with their only loss coming at home to Iowa by 7 points. If you throw out last week’s result, the Scarlet Knights had actually outgained their opponents by a combined 103 yards on the season. It’s possible this game might be affected by poor weather conditions as Hurricane Matthew is expected to affect the East Coast on Saturday. That can sometimes “even out” the playing field for an underdog playing a heavy favorite. We’ll see.

Michigan – Are the Wolverines actually playing on the road this weekend? Yes it’s true. Michigan travels to Rutgers leaving the friendly confines of the Big House for the first time this season. The Wolverines topped Wisconsin last week 14-7 in a game they controlled more than the final score indicated. The Michigan defense was ultra-impressive holding Wisconsin to just 159 total yards. The Badgers running game was able to average only 2.5 YPC and QB Hornibrook completed just 9 of his 25 passes. Michigan moved the ball fairly well against a very good Wisconsin defense totaling 349 yards. It was the first time this year they were held under 45 points. The Wolves were dealt a big blow though as starting LT Newsome was lost for the remainder of the season with a knee injury. Much has been made of Michigan’s “easy” schedule but they have played two very good teams and beat them up pretty good. They topped Colorado by 17 points and the Buffs have since won at Oregon and crushed Oregon State by 41 points. Last week’s win over Wisconsin wasn’t hugely impressive on the scoreboard but outgaining the Badgers by nearly 200 yards was. This week’s game at Rutgers probably won’t tell us much and that leads into a Michigan bye week.

Last Year – Michigan is favored by more in this game (-27.5) than they were last year at home vs Rutgers. A year ago the Wolves were favored by 24 and whipped Rutgers 49-16. Two years ago, in their first and only other meeting, Rutgers upset Michigan at home 26-24 and the fans stormed the field.

Inside the Numbers – Michigan has not been a road favorite of more than 24 points since the 1998 season. They have not been a road favorite of that magnitude vs another Big Ten teams since 1992. They’ve only been a favorite of more than 24 points (home or away) in Big Ten play ONCE since the 2006 season. Rutgers has not been a home dog of 24 points or more since the 2003 season. Can the Knights pull the upset? Not likely as Rutgers is just 1-42 SU their last 43 as a double digit underdog.

Non-Conference Games

BYU at Michigan State (-6) - 3:30 PM EST

This lined opened MSU -4.5 and pushed to -6. Sparty is off back to back losses and they were favored in both (vs Wisconsin & Indiana). That is rare occurrence as entering this season MSU had a SU record of 66-10 the last 76 times they took the field as a favorite. The last time they lost back to back games when favored was back in 2012 when Nebraska & Northwestern beat them. This MSU offense has been underperforming making it tough on the “D”. They looked great a few weeks ago rolling up 36 points at Notre Dame. In hindsight, that performance doesn’t look all that impressive anymore as the Irish defense has been torched twice since that game for 38 & 33 points by the likes of Duke and Syracuse. Other than that game, this Michigan State offense scored 24 points vs Furman, 6 vs Wisconsin, and 21 vs an Indiana defense that allowed 37 PPG last season. BYU is traveling back to the eastern time zone for the 2nd time in 3 weeks after playing West Virginia at Fed Ex Field in Washington DC on September 24th. If BYU’s previous performances are any indication, we can expect a close game here. BYU is 3-2 on the season and their 5 games have been decided by a TOTAL of 11 points. The Cougars are already 3-0 ATS as an underdog this year and going back further they have covered 20 of their last 28 when getting points. Sparty has covered 6 of their last 7 when off back to back SU losses. Finally, the last time Michigan State lost 3 games in a row outright was back in 2009.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-06-2016, 02:04 AM

Big 12 Report - Week 6
October 5, 2016

2016 BIG 12 STANDINGS

Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under

Baylor 5-0 2-0 1-4 1-4

Iowa State 1-4 0-2 3-2 3-2

Kansas 1-3 0-1 1-3 1-3

Kansas State 2-2 0-1 2-2 1-3

Oklahoma 2-2 1-0 1-3 3-1

Oklahoma State 3-2 1-1 3-2 3-2

Texas 2-2 0-1 2-2 3-1

Texas Christian 3-2 1-1 1-4 4-1

Texas Tech 3-1 1-0 3-1 2-2

West Virginia 4-0 1-0 1-3 2-2

Texas Christian at Kansas (ESPNU, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Neither of these teams have been very good against the number, and generally the Jayhawks haven't been very good on the scoreboard, either. TCU lost a shootout to Oklahoma last weekend, and they have allowed 31.4 points per game (PPG) through five outings, including 41 or more points in three of their games. TCU is averaging 43.4 PPG, and they'll be able to move the ball against a Kansas team which has given up at least 37 points in each of the past three outings. TCU is 1-4 ATS in the past five overal, while Kansas is 17-35-1 ATS in the past 53 against teams with a winning overall record. The Jayhawks are also 1-5 ATS in their past six overall and 1-6 ATS in the past seven in the Big 12. However, for whatever reason, Kansas gives TCU fits. They're a perfect 4-0 ATS over the past four meetings in this series, and the underdog has covered five straight.

Texas vs. Oklahoma from Dallas (FS1, 12:00 p.m.)

The Red River rivalry has lost some of its luster with both combatants entering with 2-2 records and no shot at a playoff spot. Still, this should be a hotly contested game, as neither side wants a third loss before the leaves have fully turned. Texas enters this game 5-2 ATS in their past seven neutral-site games, while Oklahoma is 7-1 ATS in their past eight inside the conference, including last weekend's shootout at TCU. However, the Sooners are 0-5 ATS in the past five neutral-site games. The Longhorns have dominated this series lately, at least against the number, going 7-3-1 ATS in the past 11 meetings. That includes years when Oklahoma has had a much more superior team. This season Texas has closed the gap considerably.

Iowa State at Oklahoma State (ESPNU, 3:30 p.m. ET)

Iowa State played their hearts out against Baylor last weekend, losing a 45-42 heartbreaker but cover a 17-point number. The Cyclones have covered three in a row, and they're 4-1 ATS in their past five conference tilts. Despite the cover last weekend I-State is just 3-9-1 ATS in their past 13 against teams with a winning overall record, and they're 1-4 SU overall. Oklahoma State lost a controversial game at home to Central Michigan earlier in the season, but have wins in two home games against Pitt and Texas since then. They enter as a 17-point favorite as they look for their fifth straight cover in Stillwater against the Cyclones. OK State is 5-2 ATS in the past seven meetings overall, while the favorite is 9-2 ATS in the past 11 and the home team is 8-2 ATS in the past 10 in this series. The over is 5-1 in Iowa State's past six conference tilts, while the over is 9-3 in OK State's past 12 overall and 7-1 inside the Big 12.

Texas Tech at Kansas State (ESPNU, 7:00 p.m. ET)

Texas Tech heads to Manhattan looking to keep their high-powered offense on track. The Red Raiders have scored at least 55 points in each of their past four outings, leading the nation in total yards and passing yards. They're also No. 1 in points scored with 59.5 PPG. However, QB Patrick Mahomes II (shoulder) is questionable for the game, so that will be a big determining factor if they can win on the road and cover. K-State is 21-8-1 ATS in their past 30 against teams with a winning overall record, and 6-2 ATS in their past eight home games against a team with a winning road record. The over has cashed in seven of the past eight meetings in this series, with the favorite 6-2 ATS in the past eight. K-State has covered four of the past five meetings in this series. They enter as a touchdown favorite in this one.

Teams on a bye

Baylor, West Virginia

**StarDust Bum** · 10-06-2016, 02:06 AM

Pac-12 Report - Week 6
October 5, 2016

2016 PAC-12 STANDINGS

Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under

Arizona 2-3 0-2 1-4 3-2

Arizona State 4-1 1-1 3-2 3-2

California 3-2 1-1 3-2 4-1

Colorado 4-1 2-0 5-0 3-2

Oregon 2-3 0-2 0-4-1 3-2

Oregon State 1-3 0-1 2-2 1-3

Southern California 2-3 1-2 2-3 2-3

Stanford 3-1 2-1 3-1 1-3

UCLA 3-2 1-1 1-4 2-2-1

Utah 4-1 1-1 2-3 2-3

Washington 5-0 2-0 3-2 4-1

Washington State 2-2 1-0 3-1 2-2

Colorado at Southern California (Pac-12 Network, 4:00 p.m. ET)

This game has plenty of questions, with the biggest one being is Colorado for real? We'll get a good indication early in their visit to USC, a team which looked awfully good last weekend against a previously unbeaten Arizona State team. The Buffaloes have covered all five of their games, and they are off to a 2-0 conference start after dropping both of the Oregon schools. The Buffaloes are back in the Top 25 for the first time since 2005, and if they hope to remain they need a signature win against the Trojans. QB Steven Montez filled in admirably over the past two outings for the injured QB Sefo Liufau, who is ready to return. It's uncertain who head coach Mike MacIntyre plans to use under center. Colorado enters 0-4 ATS in their past four road games against a team with a losing home record. USC enters just 3-8 ATS over their past 11 overall dating back to last season, and 2-6 ATS in their past eight in conference. That includes a 27-24 win and non-cover at Colorado last November.

Washington at Oregon (FOX, 7:30 p.m.)

Washington annihilated Stanford 44-6 last weekend in Seattle, now take it on the road to battle a wounded, yet still very dangerous Oregon team. The Ducks have dropped an uncharacteristic three games in a row, including two straight to open their conference schedule. A win over Washington could save their season. If Oregon is able to grab the 'W', it would be a 13th straight victory over the Huskies for the 'Webfoots'. The Huskies enter 6-2 ATS over their past eight overall, 13-5 ATS in their past 18 against teams with an overall losing record and 4-0 ATS in their past four on the road against teams with a losing home record. Oregon is still 14-5 ATS in their past 19 conference tilts while going 27-11-1 ATS in their past 39 against teams with an overall winning record. Still, those trends for Oregon have come with much better teams. Oregon is 0-4 ATS in their past four home games, which is a bit more indicative of this team. Washington enters 3-12-1 ATS in the past 16 meetings with Oregon, and 0-6-1 ATS in the past seven in their House of Horrors, Autzen Stadium. Washington enters as a nine-point favorite as of Wednesday morning.

California at Oregon State (Pac-12 Network, 9:00 p.m. ET)

Cal has alternated wins and losses this season through five games, and they're coming off an impressive 28-23 win at home against previously unbeaten Utah. If that trend holds up, Oregon State is ready to pull off an upset as a 12 1/2-point underdog in Corvallis. But the Beavers are terrible, losing all three of its games against FBS teams this season. Oregon State had been a tough out, though, losing by seven at Minnesota and 14 against Boise State. However, they had their clocks cleaned in Boulder last week, falling 47-6 to Colorado. Cal has an Air Raid passing attack capable of putting up points in a hurry. They pounded Oregon State 54-24 last November, and a similar result is likely in this one.

Arizona at Utah (FOX Sports 1, 10:00 p.m.)

The Wildcats hit the road for Rice-Eccles in Salt Lake City and they'll meet an angry Utah team coming off a 28-23 loss at Cal last weekend. Arizona hasn't fared very well against the number, going 1-4 ATS, including 0-2 SU/ATS in two games away from home. Utah looks to avenge an overtime setback in Arizona last season, 37-30. The Utes are just 1-4 ATS in their past five conference games, and 1-4 ATS in their past five against teams with an overall losing record. They haven't followed up failure very well, either, going 0-4 ATS in their past four following a straight-up loss. Arizona is 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings with Utah, and they're also 4-0 ATS in their past four trips to SLC. The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings, and the road team is 5-2 ATS in the past seven in this series.

UCLA at Arizona State (ESPN2, 10:30 p.m.)

UCLA heads to Tempe looking to avoid a third loss, while Arizona State looks to get back on track after an ugly loss at USC last weekend. The Bruins have owned this series, at least against the number, going 9-4 ATS in the past 13 meetings. The road team has also covered four of the past five meetings in this series. UCLA has been ice-cold against the spread lately, though, going 1-4 ATS in their past five against winning teams, 1-6 ATS in their past seven dating back to last season and 0-4 ATS in their past four on the road. AZ State is 5-0 ATS in their past five against winning teams, 6-0 ATS in their past six games at home and 7-2 ATS in their past nine overall, although one of those two ATS losses came last week at USC. The over has cashed in five of the past six meetings in this series, and the over is 4-1 in Arizona State's past five at home. The over is also 5-0 in AZ States past five against teams with a winning record.

Washington State at Stanford (ESPN, 10:30 p.m.)

Washington State picked up an important win at home against Oregon, but they'll have their work cut out against an angry Stanford team which was embarrassed 44-6 at Washington a week ago. The Cougars have been red hot against the number, going 5-0 ATS in their past five road games against teams with a winning home record, 8-0 ATS in their past eight overall against winning teams, 9-1 ATS in their past 10 conference games and 6-1 ATS in their past seven road outings. They're also 13-3 ATS in their past 16 games overall. For Stanford, they are 40-18-1 ATS in their past 59 games on 'The Farm', and they're a strong 9-1 ATS in their past 10 games following a straight up loss. The road team is 5-2 ATS in the past seven meetings, but the favorite is 7-3 ATS in the past 10 in this series. Stanford enters as a 7 1/2-point favorite.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-06-2016, 02:08 AM

Temple at Memphis
October 4, 2016

Last week’s American Athletic Conference matchup on Thursday night had some intriguing storylines but the game wound up a blowout as Houston crushed Connecticut.

This week’s AAC spotlight game had a lopsided result from the underdog last season but a closer game is expected in a key division crossover game between Memphis and Temple.

Match-up: Temple Owls at Memphis Tigers
Venue: Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium in Memphis, Tennessee
Time/TV: Thursday, Oct. 6, 8:00 PM ET
Line: Memphis -10, Over/Under 60
Last Meeting: 2015, at Temple (+2½) 31, Memphis 12

Much of the 2015 season it looked like Memphis and Temple might meet in the AAC championship game as both climbed into the polls with Memphis starting 8-0 and Temple starting 7-0. By the time these teams met in the regular season both had taken conference losses as Houston eventually seized control of the AAC West and eventually bested Temple in the conference championship.

For Memphis led by a NFL draft pick at quarterback in Paxton Lynch, a 9-4 final result with a lopsided Birmingham Bowl loss was a bit of a disappointment considering the Tigers were ranked #15 in the nation when they were 8-0 before losing three consecutive games. Justin Fuente had a very successful four year run to build up the program and that success led him to be picked up for the Virginia Tech position. Mike Norvell was hired to take over after spending the previous four seasons as the offensive coordinator at Arizona State.

This year’s team has some clear changes in place and the 3-1 start deserves some scrutiny as the wins came over FCS Southeast Missouri State, Kansas, and Bowling Green with all three games at home. Last week the Tigers had a big test at Mississippi and despite a commendable effort Memphis lost 48-28. Houston remains the massive favorite in the AAC West where Memphis resides and the Tigers will host that game at the end of the year. The eight-game league slate is a difficult one for the Tigers however as they are drawing arguably the top three teams from the East, starting with this game with Temple.

This game last season came in late November with Memphis reeling off back-to-back losses. Memphis was stunned in a 45-20 home loss to Navy and in the big matchup with Houston the following week Memphis played well but wound up losing 35-34 before heading to Philadelphia for a second straight road game. Temple started 2015 7-0 and gave Notre Dame a tough battle with a 24-20 defeat. The Owls took a conference loss at South Florida prior to the big win over Memphis that was critical in sealing the East division title.

Despite Memphis featuring far more impressive offensive statistics on the season it was Temple that had big numbers in that game posting a 461-232 yardage edge to win 31-12 despite a 2-0 turnover deficit for the Owls. Paxton Lynch threw for just 156 yards on only 4.6 yards per attempt as the secondary for Temple had a great performance. Memphis was also held to just 2.2 yards per rush while the Owls had a 200-yard rushing game on offense and P.J. Walker threw for 261 yards, eventually turning a game that was tight through three quarters into a rout late as Temple scored the final 17 points and Memphis failed to score a touchdown despite an over 40 points per game scoring average on the season.

Temple would go on to play Houston very tough in the AAC championship, posting a yardage edge but burned by turnovers in a 24-13 loss that looks even more impressive now with Houston going on to win the Peach Bowl last winter and riding great momentum into 2016 as well. While it will be tough for Temple to match last season’s 10-win campaign, returning to a bowl for the second straight season is very realistic and the Owls are a threat in the East division, although South Florida is likely the favorite at this point.

Temple hasn’t had a bye week yet this season and sits at 3-2 but the wins have come against light competition, beating FCS Stony Brook, Charlotte, and SMU. The opening week loss to Army at home was a surprise but Temple did play tough at Penn State in a 34-27 defeat. Already 1-0 in league play Temple is on the road the next two games before hosting the top two E division contenders in South Florida and Cincinnati in back-to-back weeks including facing the Bulls on a Friday night primetime game in two weeks.

Going by Phillip Walker this season, the senior quarterback has struggled with seven interceptions and only six touchdowns in five games, with four of the interceptions and no touchdowns in the two losses. Walker has a worse completion rate than last season at this point and is nowhere near the production pace of throwing for nearly 3,000 yards last season. The receiving group has had some turnover as three of the top five receivers from last season departed but Temple has had a slightly improved running game this season, posting 4.3 yards per carry with 14 rushing touchdowns mostly split between senior Jahad Thomas who had over 1,300 yards rushing last season and breakout sophomore Ryquell Armstead who had posted 6.0 yards per rush.

Replacing a NFL quarterback is a tough challenge but junior Riley Ferguson has been productive with 11 touchdown passes in four games, though six of those came in the 77-3 rout of Bowling Green. Against Mississippi last week he had three interceptions that prevented a more serious upset threat for the Tigers in a matchup they won in 2015. The running game has been important for Memphis with last season’s leading rusher Doeoland Dorceus leading the team so far with 5.7 yards per rush but the offense revolves around the passing game and junior Anthony Miller already has 27 catches this season for over 400 yards.

Pass defense has been a strong suit for Temple in recent years and Memphis has struggled in this series, posting 21, 16, and 12 in the past three seasons in this matchup, although the Tigers did win the 2014 meeting at Temple in a 16-13 result. Temple’s offense could have some opportunities in this matchup as Memphis has allowed 371 yards per game but the quick pace of the offense can inflate those cumulative numbers to some degree. It does feel like these squads are both playing for second place in their respective divisions but this is a key game as the victor could have chance to sneak into the AAC title race and the winner will certainly enter the second half of the season on solid footing towards a postseason goal.

Historical Trends:

-- Temple is 2-1 S/U and 3-0 ATS in this series since becoming conference rivals in 2013.

-- Temple is on a 22-12 ATS run as a road underdog while also going 15-4 ATS as a double-digit underdog in that span regardless of location.

-- Memphis is 15-7 S/U at home since 2013 but just 11-11 ATS.

-- Memphis is on a 25-40-2 ATS run as a home favorite going back to 1993, going just 4-4 ATS in that role since the start of last season.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-06-2016, 02:15 AM

COLLEGE PICKS: Washington, Miami try to snap rivalry skids
October 5, 2016

No. 9 Tennessee broke its long losing skid to Florida earlier this season and now No. 5 Washington and No. 10 Miami get their chances to turn around a couple of recently one-sided rivalries.

The Hurricanes have lost six straight to the Seminoles and nine of 11 in a series that had a run in the late 1980s and early `90s of often producing the most important college football game of the season.

For the Huskies, their run of futility against Oregon has been longer and uglier. Washington has lost 12 straight to the Ducks by an average margin of 23 points.

Things are looking up for both the Hurricanes and Huskies, though far more so for Washington. The Huskies are coming off smashing Stanford and have a top-five ranking for the first time since the end of the 2000 season. They even get a little extra rest, having played last Friday night. Meanwhile, the Ducks are on their first three-game losing streak since 2007. This looks like a mismatch in the Huskies favor, despite recent history.

The Hurricanes should be more guarded in their optimism. Sure they are favored, and they are the higher ranked team heading into the game for the first time since 2010. But the `Noles won that 2010 game 45-17.

And as for those Volunteers, who snapped an 11-game losing streak to the Gators and then beat Georgia with a Hail Mary, it gets even tougher this week with a trip to No. 8 Texas A&M.

The picks:

FRIDAY NIGHT LIGHTS

No. 3 Clemson (minus 17) at Boston College

A BYOE game for the Tigers. Bring your own energy into a stadium that might not have much juice for a home team on a 10-game ACC losing streak. Plus, the Red Sox are playing Friday, too ... CLEMSON 35-10.

No. 19 Boise State (minus 17) at New Mexico

The Lobos upset the Broncos last season, breaking off a bunch of big passes out of their triple-option; the season before, they ran for 505 yards in a close loss ... BOISE STATE 38-24.

MAIN EVENT

No. 9 Tennessee (plus 7) at No. 8 Texas A&M

Seems like too much to ask Josh Dobbs and the Vols to win another big road game after two draining weeks ... TEXAS A&M 28-19.

STREAKS

No. 1 Alabama (plus 14) at No. 16 Arkansas

The Razorbacks have lost nine straight to the Crimson Tide ... ALABAMA 31-16.

Indiana (plus 29) at No. 2 Ohio State

The last time the Hoosiers avoided losing to the Buckeyes was 1990, when they tied. Last Indiana victory was 1988 ... OHIO STATE 49-17.

No. 5 Washington (minus 8) at Oregon

One game can't make up for 12 years of frustration, but the Huskies can certainly try ... WASHINGTON 45-21, BEST BET.

No. 23 Florida State (plus 3) at No. 10 Miami

A real Hurricane is threatening the region and could disrupt this game ... FLORIDA STATE 28-23, UPSET SPECIAL.

Washington State (plus 7+) at No. 15 Stanford

The Cougars have lost eight-straight to the Cardinal ... STANFORD 33-24

CONFERENCE CALLS

No. 4 Michigan (minus 27+) at Rutgers

Wolverines star Jabrill Peppers returns to his home state. And just a few days after his birthday, too ... MICHIGAN 45-13.

No. 6 Houston (minus 17) at Navy

The Midshipmen need to play keep-away against Greg Ward Jr. and the Cougars ... HOUSTON 40-20.

No. 25 Virginia Tech (plus 2+) at No. 17 North Carolina

Tar Heels QB Mitch Trubisky starting to get some Heisman buzz ... NORTH CAROLINA 35-28.

LSU (minus 3) at No. 18 Florida

RB Leonard Fournette iffy at best for Tigers; QB Luke Del Rio the same for the Gators ... LSU 24-17.

No. 20 Oklahoma (minus 10) vs. Texas at Dallas

Red River has rarely looked so murky. Hard to figure either team right now ... OKLAHOMA 42-35.

No. 21 Colorado (plus 4+) at Southern California

Sam Darnold has brought hope for a recovery at USC ... USC 35-24.

Arizona (plus 9) at No. 24 Utah

Both teams are banged up, but the Wildcats might be starting freshman QB Kahlil Tate against one of the Pac-12's better defenses ... UTAH 28-17.

TWITTER REQUESTS

BYU (plus 6) at Michigan State - (at)aolsen

Under-the-radar star: Cougars RB Jamaal Williams is third in the nation in rushing at 140.6 yards per game while playing four Power Five schools and maybe the best team in the MAC ... MICHIGAN STATE 28-21.

Auburn (minus 3) at Mississippi State - (at)conorgattis

The Bulldogs have won three of four in the series and Tigers coach Gus Malzahn is next in line to start feeling the heat in the SEC now that Les Miles is gone ... AUBURN 23-21.

Notre Dame (plus 1+) at North Carolina State - (at)MPVahalik

Wolfpack begins a three-game stretch that also includes road games at Clemson and Louisville. This is the most winnable ... NORTH CAROLINA STATE 38-31.

Maryland (minus 1+) at Penn State - (at)iamDougWarren

The Terps' 4-0 start is built on sketchy opposition, but there are promising numbers underneath: plus-141 yards per game and only two turnovers ... PENN STATE 28-23.

---

Record: Last week 19-6 straight; 11-14 vs. points.

Season: 75-25; 47-50-1.

Upset specials: 1-4.

Best bets: 0-5.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-06-2016, 12:38 PM

Thursday, October 6

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEMPLE (3 - 2) at MEMPHIS (3 - 1) - 10/6/2016, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
MEMPHIS is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEMPLE is 2-0 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 1-1 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W KENTUCKY (3 - 2) at LOUISIANA TECH (2 - 3) - 10/6/2016, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISIANA TECH is 1-1 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
LOUISIANA TECH is 1-1 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

-------------------------------------------------

Thursday, October 6

8:00 PM
TEMPLE vs. MEMPHIS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Temple's last 9 games
Temple is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 8 games
Memphis is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games

8:00 PM
WESTERN KENTUCKY vs. LOUISIANA TECH
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Western Kentucky's last 7 games on the road
Western Kentucky is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana Tech's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana Tech's last 5 games at home

------------------------------

Thursday, October 6

Western Kentucky @ Louisiana Tech

Game 307-308
October 6, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Western Kentucky
87.390
Louisiana Tech
81.445
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Kentucky
by 6
74
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Kentucky
by 2 1/2
67
Dunkel Pick:
Western Kentucky
(-2 1/2); Over

Temple @ Memphis

Game 305-306
October 6, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Temple
84.053
Memphis
101.021
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 17
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 10
61
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(-10); Under

-------------------------------

Thursday’s games

Short week for Memphis after 48-28 beatdown at Ole Miss LW; Tigers’ three wins have been vs stiffs- they lost two of three games vs Temple, with underdog Owls covering all three games. Memphis is 10-9 in last 19 games as a home favorite, 2-0 this year. Temple scored 93 points in winning its last two games, running ball for 554 yards; they lost 34-27 (+7.5) at Penn State in only road game this season. Owls are 9-4 as road underdogs under Rhule. AAC favorites are 4-1 vs spread in conference play this year, 1-1 at home.

Western Kentucky (+1.5) beat Louisiana Tech 41-38 at home LY, after losing 59-10 (+7) here the year before; Tech gained 507-580 TY in those games. Hilltoppers threw for 441 yards in LY’s win. Both of WKU’s losses this year are to SEC teams; they’re 3-4 as road favorites under Brohm. Tech is 1-3 vs I-A teams this year, allowing 39.3 pts/game in the losses, but did beat UTEP in only I-A home game; Bulldogs are 0-3 as home underdogs the last 4+ years. Tech allowed 826 PY in its last two losses. C-USA home teams are 4-5 vs spread in conference play, 3-3 when favored.

------------------------------

NCAAF

Thursday, October 6

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
College football Game of the Day: Temple at Memphis
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Memphis needs Riley Ferguson to have a bounce back game after the junior threw three interceptions without a touchdown pass last week.

Temple Owls at Memphis Tigers (-10, 60.5)

Fresh off its first loss of the season, host Memphis aims to regroup Thursday against resurgent Temple when the Owls visit the Tigers in an American Athletic Conference game. Memphis outscored its opponents 155-27 during a 3-0 start, but struggled in a 20-point loss at Ole Miss last week in its final non-conference tune-up.

The Tigers' defense allowed 624 yards while the team committed four turnovers and seven penalties against the Rebels, leaving first-year coach Mike Norvell searching for answers. "Turnovers, communication issues, penalties, missed tackles - all those things that can't happen in a close game with a quality opponent," Norvell said in his post-game press conference. "This team still has some things to clean up."

The Owls faced plenty of issues themselves early in the season but have regrouped to win two straight behind 48- and 45-point performances, although senior quarterback Philip Walker is looking to deliver a stronger effort this week. "The thing that kept us back today was myself," Walker told reporters after going 7-of-18 for 124 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions last week against SMU. "I played my worst football game since I have been out there, I have to get better and stop overthinking when I am out there and have to go out there and play better."

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN

LINE MOVEMENT: This game opened Memphis -9.5 and has since moved to the key number of -10. The total has remained steady at 60.5 points.

INJURY REPORT: Temple - DE J. Taylor (Questionable), LB A. Williams (questionable), DB S. Chandler (Out) / Memphis - DB C. Morley (Questionable), DB D. Nelson (Questionable), DL L. Brady (Out)

WEATHER: The forecast for Liberty Bowl Memorial is calling for clear skies and winds blowing ESE at 5 mph.

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "These teams have met four times and Temple holds a 2-1 edege in the series. Not only will Memphis be looking to bounce back after suffering its first loss of the year in last week’s 48-28 thumping at the hands of Ole Miss on the road, but it’s also out for some revenge after dropping last season’s game against the Owls 31-12. Note that Temple is 93rd in the FBS in passing (199.8 YPG), while Memphis is 20th (308.5)."

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "We opened Memphis as a 9.5-point favorite, and it was quickly bet up to -10 where we currently sit with over 75 percent of the action on Memphis to cover the -10. The total for this game is sitting at 60.5 with over 80 percent of the action on the Over."

ABOUT TEMPLE (3-2, 1-0 AAC, 4-1 ATS): Sophomore tailback Ryquell Armstead ran for two touchdowns for the second straight game and finished with 159 rushing yards against SMU. Senior Jahad Thomas also had a pair of rushing scores - his third straight game with two rushing TDs - as he continues to work his way back from a hand injury that sidelined him for the first two games of the season. After recording a career-high 10 tackles against SMU, sophomore defensive back Delvon Randall will need to be at his best once again versus a Memphis squad averaging 45.8 points - sixth-best in the nation.

ABOUT MEMPHIS (3-1, 0-0, 2-2 ATS): The Tigers allowed a total of 10 points in their previous two games before surrendering 48 to Ole Miss, and now must contend with an Owls squad that has defeated them in two of the last three seasons. Memphis needs Riley Ferguson to have a bounce back game after the junior threw three interceptions without a touchdown pass last week - a stark contrast to his eight touchdowns and zero picks over the previous two outings. Wide receiver Anthony Miller had 157 total yards and a touchdown against the Rebels, while fellow junior Doroland Dorceus rushed for a score for the fourth straight game.

TRENDS:

* Owls are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 conference games.
* Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a loss.
* Over is 5-1 in Tigers last six Thursday games.

CONSENSUS: 67 percent of wagers are on Memphis while 60 percent of wagers are on the Over.

**StarDust Bum** · 10-06-2016, 12:40 PM

Temple at Memphis
October 4, 2016

Last week’s American Athletic Conference matchup on Thursday night had some intriguing storylines but the game wound up a blowout as Houston crushed Connecticut.

This week’s AAC spotlight game had a lopsided result from the underdog last season but a closer game is expected in a key division crossover game between Memphis and Temple.

Match-up: Temple Owls at Memphis Tigers
Venue: Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium in Memphis, Tennessee
Time/TV: Thursday, Oct. 6, 8:00 PM ET
Line: Memphis -10, Over/Under 60
Last Meeting: 2015, at Temple (+2½) 31, Memphis 12

Much of the 2015 season it looked like Memphis and Temple might meet in the AAC championship game as both climbed into the polls with Memphis starting 8-0 and Temple starting 7-0. By the time these teams met in the regular season both had taken conference losses as Houston eventually seized control of the AAC West and eventually bested Temple in the conference championship.

For Memphis led by a NFL draft pick at quarterback in Paxton Lynch, a 9-4 final result with a lopsided Birmingham Bowl loss was a bit of a disappointment considering the Tigers were ranked #15 in the nation when they were 8-0 before losing three consecutive games. Justin Fuente had a very successful four year run to build up the program and that success led him to be picked up for the Virginia Tech position. Mike Norvell was hired to take over after spending the previous four seasons as the offensive coordinator at Arizona State.

This year’s team has some clear changes in place and the 3-1 start deserves some scrutiny as the wins came over FCS Southeast Missouri State, Kansas, and Bowling Green with all three games at home. Last week the Tigers had a big test at Mississippi and despite a commendable effort Memphis lost 48-28. Houston remains the massive favorite in the AAC West where Memphis resides and the Tigers will host that game at the end of the year. The eight-game league slate is a difficult one for the Tigers however as they are drawing arguably the top three teams from the East, starting with this game with Temple.

This game last season came in late November with Memphis reeling off back-to-back losses. Memphis was stunned in a 45-20 home loss to Navy and in the big matchup with Houston the following week Memphis played well but wound up losing 35-34 before heading to Philadelphia for a second straight road game. Temple started 2015 7-0 and gave Notre Dame a tough battle with a 24-20 defeat. The Owls took a conference loss at South Florida prior to the big win over Memphis that was critical in sealing the East division title.

Despite Memphis featuring far more impressive offensive statistics on the season it was Temple that had big numbers in that game posting a 461-232 yardage edge to win 31-12 despite a 2-0 turnover deficit for the Owls. Paxton Lynch threw for just 156 yards on only 4.6 yards per attempt as the secondary for Temple had a great performance. Memphis was also held to just 2.2 yards per rush while the Owls had a 200-yard rushing game on offense and P.J. Walker threw for 261 yards, eventually turning a game that was tight through three quarters into a rout late as Temple scored the final 17 points and Memphis failed to score a touchdown despite an over 40 points per game scoring average on the season.

Temple would go on to play Houston very tough in the AAC championship, posting a yardage edge but burned by turnovers in a 24-13 loss that looks even more impressive now with Houston going on to win the Peach Bowl last winter and riding great momentum into 2016 as well. While it will be tough for Temple to match last season’s 10-win campaign, returning to a bowl for the second straight season is very realistic and the Owls are a threat in the East division, although South Florida is likely the favorite at this point.

Temple hasn’t had a bye week yet this season and sits at 3-2 but the wins have come against light competition, beating FCS Stony Brook, Charlotte, and SMU. The opening week loss to Army at home was a surprise but Temple did play tough at Penn State in a 34-27 defeat. Already 1-0 in league play Temple is on the road the next two games before hosting the top two E division contenders in South Florida and Cincinnati in back-to-back weeks including facing the Bulls on a Friday night primetime game in two weeks.

Going by Phillip Walker this season, the senior quarterback has struggled with seven interceptions and only six touchdowns in five games, with four of the interceptions and no touchdowns in the two losses. Walker has a worse completion rate than last season at this point and is nowhere near the production pace of throwing for nearly 3,000 yards last season. The receiving group has had some turnover as three of the top five receivers from last season departed but Temple has had a slightly improved running game this season, posting 4.3 yards per carry with 14 rushing touchdowns mostly split between senior Jahad Thomas who had over 1,300 yards rushing last season and breakout sophomore Ryquell Armstead who had posted 6.0 yards per rush.

Replacing a NFL quarterback is a tough challenge but junior Riley Ferguson has been productive with 11 touchdown passes in four games, though six of those came in the 77-3 rout of Bowling Green. Against Mississippi last week he had three interceptions that prevented a more serious upset threat for the Tigers in a matchup they won in 2015. The running game has been important for Memphis with last season’s leading rusher Doeoland Dorceus leading the team so far with 5.7 yards per rush but the offense revolves around the passing game and junior Anthony Miller already has 27 catches this season for over 400 yards.

Pass defense has been a strong suit for Temple in recent years and Memphis has struggled in this series, posting 21, 16, and 12 in the past three seasons in this matchup, although the Tigers did win the 2014 meeting at Temple in a 16-13 result. Temple’s offense could have some opportunities in this matchup as Memphis has allowed 371 yards per game but the quick pace of the offense can inflate those cumulative numbers to some degree. It does feel like these squads are both playing for second place in their respective divisions but this is a key game as the victor could have chance to sneak into the AAC title race and the winner will certainly enter the second half of the season on solid footing towards a postseason goal.

Historical Trends:

-- Temple is 2-1 S/U and 3-0 ATS in this series since becoming conference rivals in 2013.

-- Temple is on a 22-12 ATS run as a road underdog while also going 15-4 ATS as a double-digit underdog in that span regardless of location.

-- Memphis is 15-7 S/U at home since 2013 but just 11-11 ATS.

-- Memphis is on a 25-40-2 ATS run as a home favorite going back to 1993, going just 4-4 ATS in that role since the start of last season.

Announcement

The Bum's 2016 College Football Best Bets,Trends,Stat, News !!

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment