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Thursday's NFL Preseason Tips and Odds

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  • Thursday's NFL Preseason Tips and Odds

    Thursday's Preseason Tips

    Eagles at Steelers (-3 ½, 40 ½) – 7:00 PM EST

    Philadelphia

    Head Coach: Doug Pederson (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS record in preseason)
    Quarterback Rotation: Sam Bradford, Chase Daniel, McLeod Bethel-Thompson
    Beat Writer Twitter Follow: Jeff McLane

    Philadelphia took advantage of a fumble on the opening kickoff by Tampa Bay and scored two early touchdowns in a 17-9 victory as three-point favorites last Thursday. Carson Wentz put together a less than stellar NFL debut by completing 12-of-24 passes for 89 yards, while getting intercepted once. Wentz will not play this week as he suffered a rib injury in the win. Philadelphia posted 188 yards of offense, compared to 329 yards by Tampa Bay, but the Eagles’ defense intercepted the Buccaneers three times and recovered two fumbles. The Eagles are listed as a preseason underdog for the first time since a 42-35 loss at New England (+2) in Week 2 of the 2014 exhibition season.

    Pittsburgh
    Head Coach: Mike Tomlin (21-18 SU, 16-22-1 ATS in preseason)
    Quarterback Rotation: Ben Roethlisberger, Landry Jones, Dustin Vaughan
    Beat Writer Twitter Follow: Mark Kaboly

    Many of Pittsburgh’s key offensive weapons watched from the sidelines in its preseason opening loss to Detroit. However, the Steelers defense was shredded by the Lions, allowing 379 yards in a 30-17 defeat, while also giving up a 96-yard kickoff return for a touchdown. Gradkowski is sidelined for a few weeks with a hamstring injury, while Roethlisberger, running backs Le’Veon Bell, DeAngelo Williams, and wide receiver Antonio Brown will sit once again. The Steelers have lost seven of their last eight preseason games, but Pittsburgh has won each of its past two home exhibition openers over Green Bay (2015) and Buffalo (2014).


    Bengals at Lions (-2 ½, 41) – 7:30 PM EST

    Cincinnati

    Head Coach: Marvin Lewis (28-26 SU, 28-25-1 ATS in preseason)
    Quarterback Rotation: Andy Dalton, A.J. McCarron, Keith Wenning, Joe Licata (Rookie)
    Beat Writer Twitter Follow: Jim Owczarski

    Cincinnati’s offense found the end zone only once in its 17-16 preseason opening defeat to Minnesota last Friday. The Bengals returned a punt for an 80-yard touchdown in the final minutes of regulation, but went for a two-point conversion and failed to lose by a point as the game closed at a pick-em. Cincinnati’s quarterbacks combined to throw for 249 yards, including 125 and a touchdown from A.J. McCarron. Five straight preseason games for the Bengals have finished UNDER the total, while Cincinnati has lost its last two Game 2’s of the preseason.

    Detroit
    Head Coach: Jim Caldwell (9-12 SU, 11-10 ATS in preseason)
    Quarterback Rotation: Matthew Stafford, Dan Orlovsky, Jake Rudock (Rookie)
    Beat Writer Twitter Follow: Dave Birkett

    The Lions overcame an early interception return for a touchdown by Pittsburgh to pound the Steelers, 30-17. Although Stafford saw limited action (4-of-6, 58 yards), Orlovsky stepped up by throwing for 164 yards and a touchdown in the win. Detroit has won seven consecutive home exhibition games dating back to 2012, while owning a 6-1 ATS record in its last seven preseason contests in the favorite role. However, the Lions have lost three consecutive Week 2 games in the preseason, all of which came on the road.


    Raiders at Packers (-3, 42 ½) – 8:00 PM EST

    Oakland

    Head Coach: Jack Del Rio (23-18 SU, 22-17-2 ATS in preseason)
    Quarterback Rotation: Derek Carr, Matt McGloin, Connor Cook (Rookie)
    Beat Writer Twitter Follow: Vic Tafur

    The Raiders turned in one of the more impressive performances in Week 1 by routing the Cardinals, 31-10 as 2 ½-point underdogs. George Atkinson III rushed for a pair of touchdowns and 97 yards on the ground as Oakland put up 166 yards rushing. The Raiders did allow 383 yards defensively, but Oakland created three turnovers. Oakland hasn’t won consecutive preseason games since 2010, while owning a 1-10 SU and 2-9 ATS road exhibition record in the last 11 on the highway.

    Green Bay

    Head Coach: Mike McCarthy (21-20 SU, 21-20 ATS in preseason)
    Quarterback Rotation: Brett Hundley, Joe Callahan (Rookie), Marquise Williams (Rookie)
    Beat Writer Twitter Follow: Rob Demovsky

    Aaron Rodgers will likely sit out his second straight preseason game after the Packers’ star didn’t play in a 17-11 home victory over the Browns last Friday. Rodgers will probably play only once in the preseason in Week 3 against the 49ers, as rookies Callahan and Williams combined to throw for 169 yards, one touchdown, and one interception against Cleveland. The Packers hope to get Hundley some reps after missing the Cleveland game with an ankle injury. Green Bay has won four of its past five preseason contests at Lambeau Field, including a 31-21 triumph over Oakland as seven-point favorites in 2014.


    Bears at Patriots (-4, 40 ½) – 8:00 PM EST

    Chicago

    Head Coach: John Fox (31-26 SU, 27-29-1 ATS in preseason)
    Quarterback Rotation: Jay Cutler, Brian Hoyer, David Fales, Connor Shaw
    Beat Twitter Follow: Zach Zaidman

    The Bears put together the worst performance in the opening week of preseason by getting shut out at home by the Broncos, 22-0. Chicago amassed 194 yards, which included only 48 yards on the ground. The only good news is the Bears allowed just one offensive touchdown, as the second touchdown the Broncos scored came on a blocked punt in the end zone. Chicago has won four consecutive Game 2’s of the preseason, while the Bears have cashed the UNDER in four straight exhibition games overall.

    New England
    Head Coach: Bill Belichick (47-39 SU, 43-36-7 ATS in preseason)
    Quarterback Rotation: Tom Brady, Jimmy Garoppolo, Jacoby Brissett
    Beat Writer Twitter Follow: Ben Volin

    The Patriots’ defense found the end zone twice in last Thursday’s 34-22 victory over the Saints as New England returned an interception and a fumble for scores. Brady sat out last week as his replacement for the first four games of the regular season stepped up as Jimmy Garoppolo threw for 168 yards. New England rushed for 151 yards, including a 44-yard touchdown scamper by Tyler Gaffney. Brady is hoping to take some snaps against the Bears, as the Patriots go for their fourth consecutive Week 2 preseason victory.


    Falcons at Browns (-2 ½, 37) – 8:00 PM EST

    Atlanta

    Head Coach: Dan Quinn (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS in preseason)
    Quarterback Rotation: Matt Ryan, Matt Schaub, Sean Renfree, Matt Simms
    Beat Writer Twitter Follow: D. Orlando Ledbetter

    Atlanta took control against Washington in the second quarter of its preseason opener by scoring 13 points en route to a 23-17 home victory. The Falcons covered as three-point favorites, as Schaub put together a solid performance by completing 10-of-15 passes for 179 yards. Atlanta outgained Washington by 125 yards to win its third consecutive exhibition opener. However, the Falcons have lost five of their last six exhibition games away from the Georgia Dome, including an 0-3 ATS mark as a road underdog of three points or less.

    Cleveland
    Head Coach: Hue Jackson (0-5 SU, 0-5 ATS in preseason)
    Quarterback Rotation: Robert Griffin III, Josh McCown, Cody Kessler, Austin Davis
    Beat Writer Twitter Follow: Mary Kay Cabot

    The Browns managed to put together this scoring line in their opener against the Packers: 2-3-6-0. Cleveland picked up an early safety, a 46-yard field goal, and a 10-yard touchdown pass from Kessler to Rashard Higgins, but missed the two-point conversion. The Browns fell to the Packers, 17-11, as Green Bay recorded two safeties on defense. Griffin threw for 67 yards and was intercepted once in his Cleveland debut as he tries to get comfortable running the Browns offense. Cleveland owns a 2-7 SU and 3-6 ATS record in its past nine preseason games, while losing three of its previous four home exhibition contests.


    Vikings at Seahawks (-3 ½, 38 ½) – 10:00 PM EST

    Minnesota

    Head Coach: Mike Zimmer (9-1 SU, 8-2 ATS in preseason)
    Quarterback Rotation: Teddy Bridgewater, Shaun Hill, Joel Stave (Rookie)
    Beat Writer Twitter Follow: Chris Tomasson

    The Vikings continued their preseason success under Zimmer by holding off the Bengals, 17-16 in a pick-em role. Minnesota has held eight of 10 opponents to 17 points or less in the preseason since 2014, while winning four of five road games. Even though this is an exhibition game, the Vikings would like to put together a good performance against the Seahawks after losing twice to Seattle last season, including a 10-9 defeat in the Wild Card round.

    Seattle
    Head Coach: Pete Carroll (26-16 SU, 28-13-1 ATS in preseason)
    Quarterback Rotation: Russell Wilson, Trevone Boykin, Jake Heaps
    Beat Writer Twitter Follow: Bob Condotta

    The Seahawks have been a strong preseason team under Carroll as Seattle erased a 16-6 deficit to stun Kansas City last Saturday, 17-16. Boykin, the former TCU standout, found Tanner McEvoy in the end zone from 37 yards out on the final play to give the Seahawks the win and the cover as 3 ½-point underdogs. Boykin threw for 188 yards in his NFL debut, while the Seahawks racked up 358 yards of offense. Since 2012, the Seahawks have put together a 7-1 SU/ATS record at home in the preseason with the lone loss coming to Denver last season in a two-point defeat.

  • #2
    NFLX
    Dunkel

    Week 2


    Chicago @ New England

    Game 407-408
    August 18, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Chicago
    119.210
    New England
    126.784
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New England
    by 7 1/2
    47
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New England
    by 3 1/2
    40 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    New England
    (-3 1/2); Over

    Atlanta @ Cleveland


    Game 409-410
    August 18, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Atlanta
    119.668
    Cleveland
    124.404
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cleveland
    by 4 1/2
    42
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Cleveland
    by 2 1/2
    37
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cleveland
    (-2 1/2); Over

    Minnesota @ Seattle


    Game 411-412
    August 18, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Minnesota
    123.664
    Seattle
    121.596
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Minnesota
    by 2
    33
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Seattle
    by 3 1/2
    38 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Minnesota
    (+3 1/2); Under

    Philadelphia @ Pittsburgh


    Game 401-402
    August 18, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Philadelphia
    116.964
    Pittsburgh
    126.436
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Pittsburgh
    by 9 1/2
    37
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Pittsburgh
    by 3 1/2
    40 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Pittsburgh
    (-3 1/2); Under

    Cincinnati @ Detroit


    Game 403-404
    August 18, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cincinnati
    127.757
    Detroit
    122.280
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cincinnati
    by 5 1/2
    44
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Detroit
    by 2 1/2
    40 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cincinnati
    (+2 1/2); Over

    Oakland @ Green Bay


    Game 405-406
    August 18, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Oakland
    126.671
    Green Bay
    123.145
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Oakland
    by 3 1/2
    37
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Green Bay
    by 3
    42 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Oakland
    (+3); Under

    Comment


    • #3
      NFLX
      Short Sheet

      Week 2


      Philadelphia at Pittsburgh, 7:00 ET
      Philadelphia: 6-1 ATS in games played on a grass field
      Pittsburgh: 1-6 ATS in non-conference games

      Cincinnati at Detroit, 7:30 ET
      Cincinnati: 7-11 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite
      Detroit: 6-1 ATS in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points

      Oakland at Green Bay, 8:00 ET
      Oakland: 5-19 ATS when playing with 6 or less days
      Green Bay: 19-8 ATS at home after 1 or more wins against the spread

      Chicago at New England, 8:00 ET
      Chicago: 5-8 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite
      New England: 9-5 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more

      Atlanta at Cleveland, 8:00 ET
      Atlanta: 8-15 ATS off a home win
      Cleveland: 23-16 ATS in home lined games

      Minnesota at Seattle, 10:00 ET
      Minnesota: 9-2 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points
      Seattle: 13-15 ATS against conference opponents

      Comment


      • #4
        Thursday's NFL Week 2 preseason betting primer and odds

        The Vikings visit the Seahawks Thursday night in a rematch of their heartbreaking loss in the wild card playoffs last season.

        Betting the NFL preseason can be tough. Week 2 of the NFL preseason gets underway with six games on the board Thursday so we help you out by breaking down some of the best betting tidbits for these matchups.

        Philadelphia Eagles at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3, 38)

        * The Steelers will rest their key once again this preseason, head coach Mike Tomlin told the media Tuesday. Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger, running backs Le'Veon Bell and DeAngelo Williams and wide receiver Antonio Brown will all sit out their second straight preseason game. Expect all four to be in the lineup next week at New Orleans.

        * The Eagles made some noise this week, addressing their need at wide receiver by trading for Dorial Green-Beckham from the Titans in exchange for offensive lineman Dennis Kelly. Despite a history of off the field issues, the former second-round pick has immense talent and is worth the risk. He will travel with the team to Pittsburgh, but won't play. Additionally, first round pick Carson Wentz also won't play Thursday after suffering a hairline fracture in his ribs in the preseason opener.

        Cincinnati Bengals at Detroit Lions (-2, 41)

        * The Bengals suffered a few tough injuries this week. Rookie defensive lineman Andrew Billings, who has been getting great reviews out of camp, underwent surgery Monday to repair a torn meniscus and will miss the remainder of the season. Meanwhile, veteran wide receiver Brandon LaFell is dealing with a torn ligament in his hand, and is considering going under the knife. The injury is not considered "season ending".

        * The Lions' prize free agent acquisition, wide receiver Marvin Jones, goes up against his old team Thursday night. Jones said it will be "cool" to go up against some old teammates, but added he won't have any special feelings towards the game. However, Jones has been builing a nice chemisty with quarterback Matthew Stafford and look for the new duo to get a couple more series together in their second preseason game.

        Chicago Bears at New England Patriots (-3, 41)

        * Bears' second-year wide receiver Kevin White, played just 10 snaps against the Broncos in Week 1 of the preseason and while they have been cautious with his workload, expect him to get some snaps beyond those with the starters. Word out of joint practices with the Patriots is that White has looked like one of the best players on the field.

        * Obviously the big question on the Patriots end is will quarterback Tom Brady will play or not Thursday night? With Jimmy Garoppolo needing to get as many reps as possible in the Week 3 "dress rehearsal", this will probably be Brady's last opportunity to get some preseason reps in with the starters. So do the Pats trot Brady out there or just hand the reigns to Jimmy. Additionally , the offense will be missing TE Rob Gronkowski, WRs Julian Edelman, Danny Amendola and Malcolm Mitchell, RB Dion Lewis and OL Jonathan Cooper and Sebastian Vollmer.

        Atlanta Falcons at Cleveland Browns (-2.5, 37)

        * Check out Falcons' offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan's approach for the first few games of the preseason. “We don’t game-plan much, it’s not about what are we going to try to do to get (the first team) rolling. We are trying to give the guys looks and put them through situations … to see if they can do in the heat of battle like they’ve done in practice,” Shanahan told the Atlanta Journal Constitution.

        * The Browns are expected to play their starters for the entire first half of their game Thursday night against the Falcons, including first round draft pick, wide receiver Corey Coleman. Coleman was out last week with a hamstring injury. However, the Browns will be without fellow receiver Josh Gordon and defensive back Joe Haden.

        Oakland Raiders at Green Bay Packers (-3, 42.5)

        * Look for the Raiders to continue to work on the running game this preseason. Oakland averaged just 91.1 rushing yards per game last season, but got off to a good start in the preseason, going for 166 yards against Arizona. Starter Latavious Murray is expected to see a little more action in Green Bay. Keep an eye on DeAndré Washington and George Atkinson III, both whom had big games last week.

        * No one knows for sure whether or not Packers All-Pro quarterback Aaron Rodgers will make his preseason debut this week against the Raiders, but it doesn't look good. Backup quarterback Brett Hundley has been getting all the first team reps this week in practice and head coach Mike McCarthy said who's available to play on the offensive line will factor into the decision. The Packers are also taking a cautious approach with wide receiver Jordy Nelson.

        Minnesota Vikings at Seattle Seahawks (-3, 38.5)

        * The Vikings get a rematch with the team that knocked them out of the playoffs last season, well, the team they lost to after kicker Blair Walsh missed a chip shot field goal. The Vikings say revenge is not on their mind and Walsh has moved past it, but that said, there is probably a little motivation in Minnesota to show why they think they were the better team last season.

        * Will running back Christine Michael finally become the player scouts thought he would be coming out of Texas A&M? The former second-round draft pick who returned to Seattle this offseason has gotten rave reviews out of camp and will get more opportunities to show what he can do, with both Thomas Rawls and and C.J. Prosise out for Thursday's game against the Vikings.

        Comment

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