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CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 9 (Fri., August 19 - Sat., August 20)

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  • CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 9 (Fri., August 19 - Sat., August 20)

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, August 19 - Saturday, August 20

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    CFL Betting Notes - Week 9

    Week 8 Betting Recap

    Edmonton was able to get its season back on track in Week 8 of the CFL regular season with a 23-12 victory over Montreal last Thursday night as an eight-point home favorite. On Friday night, Winnipeg stretched its current winning streak to three games both straight-up and against the spread with a 34-17 rout of Toronto as 3 ½-point underdogs on the road.

    Saturday’s CFL action started with Calgary pulling off the sweep in the backend of a home-and-home series against Saskatchewan with a 19-10 win as a 5 ½-point road favorite. Later that night in a wild one, British Columbia outlasted Hamilton 45-38 as a three-point favorite at home. Here is a closer look at Week 9’s CFL slate.

    Friday, Aug. 19

    Montreal Alouettes (2-5 SU, 2-5 ATS) vs. Ottawa RedBlacks (4-2-1 SU, 3-4 ATS)
    Point-spread: Ottawa -10
    Total: 49 ½


    Game Overview

    Last week’s loss was the fifth time this season that Montreal failed to cross the 20-point barrier on the scoreboard. This offense is averaging just 18.6 points a game overall behind quarterback Kevin Glenn. Last week in the loss to Edmonton, he completed just 56.4 percent of his 39 passing attempts for 271 yards and no touchdowns while getting picked-off twice. Montreal’s ground game could not pick up the slack with just 43 yards from its leading rusher Brandon Rutley.

    Ottawa returns to action from its bye week with half game lead over Toronto in the East Division title race. The RedBlacks are 1-2 straight-up in their last three games with a costly 0-3 record against the spread. While their defense has been able to tighten things up with an average of 23.3 points allowed in its last four games, their offense has only managed to score a total of 43 points in its last two contests.

    Betting Trends

    Ottawa has won four of the last five games SU against Montreal including a 28-13 victory in Week 2 in a game that closed as a PICK. The total stayed UNDER the 54-point line and it has now stayed UNDER in five of the last seven meetings in the East Division clash.

    Calgary Stampeders (5-1-1 SU, 5-2 ATS) vs. British Columbia Lions (5-2 SU, 6-1 ATS)
    Point-spread: British Columbia -2 ½
    Total: 56 ½


    Game Overview

    Calgary is holding a half-game lead over BC in the West Division standings and riding a SU four-game winning streak while going 3-1 ATS. While Bo Levi Mitchell has been one of the most prolific passers in the league this season, it was the play of the Stampeders’ defense that helped secure last week’s win. This unit has now allowed 18 points or less in three of its last four games.

    The Lions are 3-1 SU in their last four games, while going a perfect 4-0 ATS. They have gotten it done on offense behind quarterback Jonathon Jennings. He threw for 306 yards and three touchdowns in last week’s win against Hamilton and BC has now scored 38 points or more in each of its last four games. Jeremiah Johnson has been the team’s leading rusher with 256 yards and three touchdowns on 51 carries.

    Betting Trends

    These two have split their first two games this season with BC winning 20-18 on opening day as a 2.5-point home underdog and Calgary coming out on top 44-41 on July 29 as a five-point favorite at home. The total stayed UNDER 47 in the first meeting and it easily went OVER 48 ½ points the last time they met.


    Saturday, Aug. 20

    Edmonton Eskimos (3-4 SU, 2-4-1 ATS) vs. Toronto Argonauts (4-3 SU, 4-3 ATS)
    Point-spread: Edmonton -2
    Total: 52 ½


    Game Overview

    Edmonton was able to snap a three-game SU slide with last week’s win at home against Montreal. This was just the second time that the Eskimos covered in their first seven games and the total has now stayed UNDER in four of their last five contests. Edmonton had allowed an average of 30 points a game in those three losses before shutting down the Alouettes in last week’s win.

    The Argonauts continue to forge on without the services of injured quarterback Ricky Ray. In his place, Logan Kilgore has had mixed results in a win against Ottawa as a heavy road underdog followed by last week’s loss to Winnipeg as a favorite at home. Kilgore put the ball up 44 times against the Blue Bombers and while he did complete 26 passes for 303 yards and a score, he also completed five passes to the opposing team in the form of interceptions.

    Betting Trends

    Edmonton has lost five of its last seven games against Toronto SU; however it does have a 7-3 edge ATS in the last 10 meetings overall and a 5-2 record ATS in its last seven road games against the Argonauts. The total has gone OVER in four of the Eskimos’ last six games on the road against Toronto.

    Saskatchewan Roughriders (1-6 SU, 2-5 ATS) vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS)
    Point-spread: Hamilton -10
    Total: 53


    Game Overview

    This season has been another rough ride for Saskatchewan after winning just three games all last year. Even with Darian Durant back at quarterback it has struggled to find the end zone and the Roughriders’ defense has allowed a league-worst 233 points through its first seven games. The total has now stayed UNDER in their last three games with a grand total of just 28 points on the scoreboard.

    Hamilton’s offense got a huge boost from the return of quarterback Zach Collaros last week despite the loss to BC. In his first action since recovering from knee surgery, he completed 24-of-40 passing attempts for 331 yards and two touchdowns. His favorite target in that game was Luke Tasker with eight receptions for 86 yards and a score. The Tiger-Cats are averaging 26.6 points a game on offense, but allowing an average of 28 points to their opponents.

    Betting Trends

    This will be the first meeting this season and Saskatchewan comes in with a SU 19-6 record in the last 25 games of this inter-division clash while going 15-7 ATS in the last 22 matchups. The total has stayed UNDER in six of the last seven games between the two.

    Comment


    • #3
      CFL
      Dunkel

      Week 9


      Friday, August 19

      Montreal @ Ottawa

      Game 121-122
      August 19, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Montreal
      104.184
      Ottawa
      117.762
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Ottawa
      by 13 1/2
      45
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Ottawa
      by 9
      49 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Ottawa
      (-9); Under

      Calgary @ BC Lions


      Game 123-124
      August 19, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Calgary
      119.840
      BC Lions
      117.453
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Calgary
      by 2 1/2
      60
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      BC Lions
      by 3
      56
      Dunkel Pick:
      Calgary
      (+3); Over



      Saturday, August 20

      Edmonton @ Toronto

      Game 125-126
      August 20, 2016 @ 4:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Edmonton
      110.549
      Toronto
      114.101
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Toronto
      by 3 1/2
      48
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Edmonton
      by 3
      53
      Dunkel Pick:
      Toronto
      (+3); Under

      Saskatchewan @ Hamilton


      Game 127-128
      August 20, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Saskatchewan
      101.724
      Hamilton
      115.690
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Hamilton
      by 14
      49
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Hamilton
      by 10
      53 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Hamilton
      (-10); Under

      Comment


      • #4
        CFL
        Long Sheet

        Week 9


        Friday, August 19

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        MONTREAL (2 - 5) at OTTAWA (4 - 2 - 1) - 8/19/2016, 7:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MONTREAL is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) in road games when playing on a Friday since 1996.
        OTTAWA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        OTTAWA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        OTTAWA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        OTTAWA is 4-2 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
        OTTAWA is 4-3 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
        5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        CALGARY (5 - 1 - 1) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (5 - 2) - 8/19/2016, 10:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        CALGARY is 120-88 ATS (+23.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1996.
        BRITISH COLUMBIA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        CALGARY is 5-3 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
        CALGARY is 6-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
        4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        Saturday, August 20

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        EDMONTON (3 - 4) at TORONTO (4 - 3) - 8/20/2016, 4:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        EDMONTON is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less since 1996.
        TORONTO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
        TORONTO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        TORONTO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        EDMONTON is 3-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
        TORONTO is 2-2 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        SASKATCHEWAN (1 - 6) at HAMILTON (3 - 4) - 8/20/2016, 7:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        SASKATCHEWAN is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        SASKATCHEWAN is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        SASKATCHEWAN is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
        SASKATCHEWAN is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
        SASKATCHEWAN is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
        SASKATCHEWAN is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in August games since 1996.
        SASKATCHEWAN is 27-46 ATS (-23.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
        SASKATCHEWAN is 121-90 ATS (+22.0 Units) as an underdog since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        HAMILTON is 3-1 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
        HAMILTON is 3-1 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
        4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        Comment


        • #5
          CFL
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Week 9


          Montreal (2-5) @ Ottawa (4-2-1)– Alouettes were outgained 548-340 in 28-13 home loss to Ottawa in Week 2, RedBlacks’ 4th straight series win. Als lost 26-23/39-17 in last two visits here. Five of last seven series games stayed under total. Montreal lost five of last six games overall; five of their seven games stayed under. Montreal lost last two road games by 13-11 points- their one road win was in Winnipeg. Last three Ottawa games were decided by total of 7 points; RedBlacks are 1-1-1 at home (underdogs 3-0 vs spread). Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games.

          Calgary (5-1) @ British Columbia (5-2-1)– Home side won both series games this year, with two games decided by total of 5 points; Lions lost last meeting 44-41 in OT at Calgary three weeks ago. Stampeders won six of last seven series games, but lost 20-18 (-2.5) in Week 1 here. Calgary scored 32.3 ppg in winning its last four games; Stamps are 2-1-1 on road, winning in Winnipeg/Regina, tying in Ottawa. BC’s last four games went over total; they’re 2-1 at home, with loss to Toronto. Three of last four series games stayed under.

          Edmonton (3-4) @ Toronto (4-3)–Toronto is 4-0 when it scores more than 20 points, 0-3 when it scores 20 or less. Home side won six of last seven series games; Eskimos lost last four visits here, by 16-3-1-15 points. Eight of last ten series games went over total. Edmonton lost three of last four games overall; they split only two road games, losing by 3 at Ottawa, winning by 4 in Winnipeg. Four of last five Eskimo games stayed under total. Toronto is 1-3 at home, with only win 30-17 over Montreal; four of last six Argonaut games stayed under total.

          Saskatchewan (1-6) @ Hamilton (3-4)– First home game in six weeks for TiCats, who are 0-2 at home, losing to BC/Winnipeg. Hamilton allowed 41 ppg in losing last two games overall– they’re 1-3 as a favorite this year. TiCats won last three games with Saskatchewan, by 25-10-15 points; six of last seven series games stayed under total. Roughriders scored total of 28 points in losing last three games, by 38-20-9 points; they’re 0-3 on road (1-2 as a road underdog) with OT loss in Edmonton. Last three Saskatchewan games stayed under total.

          — Underdogs 19-10 Home 9-22-1 vs spread Over: 12-18-2

          Comment


          • #6
            CFL

            Week 9


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Trend Report
            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Friday, August 19

            7:00 PM
            MONTREAL vs. OTTAWA
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 7 games when playing Ottawa
            Ottawa is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing at home against Montreal

            10:00 PM
            CALGARY vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
            Calgary6-2-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Calgary's last 25 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games
            British Columbia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games


            Saturday, August 20

            4:00 PM
            EDMONTON vs. TORONTO
            Edmonton is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Edmonton
            Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

            7:00 PM
            SASKATCHEWAN vs. HAMILTON
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
            The total has gone OVER in 11 of Saskatchewan's last 16 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 6 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
            The total has gone OVER in 11 of Hamilton's last 16 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan


            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Comment


            • #7
              CFL Betting Recap - Week 9

              League Betting Notes

              -- Favorites/underdogs went 2-2 SU in Week 9
              -- Favorites/underdogs went 2-2 ATS in Week 9
              -- Road teams posted a 3-1 SU record in Week 9
              -- Road teams posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 9
              -- The 'Over' went 3-1 in Week 9

              Team Betting Notes

              -- Calgary (6-1-1) rolled past the BC Lions (5-3) by a 37-9 count, cashing easily as a slight road underdog while creating separation in the West Division. It was the third straight cover for the Stampeders, as they improved to 6-1 ATS over the past seven outings. The 'under' has cashed in three in a row for the Stamps after a 3-0-1 'over' run in their previous four games. Calgary has also covered four in a row on the road.

              -- The loss for the Lions snapped a four-game cover streak, and was just their second non-cover in eight tries overall this season. The 'under' also ended a four-game 'over' run for BC.

              -- Edmonton (4-4) doubled up Toronto (4-4) by a 46-23 count, as the Argonauts slipped to 1-4 SU/ATS in five games at home this season. The 'under' is 3-0 on the road for Toronto, and the 'over' is 4-1 in five home games for the Argos. The Esks have covered three in a row after an 0-4-1 ATS start.

              -- Hamilton (4-4) evened up their record in a rout of Saskatchewan (1-7), 53-7. The Roughriders are terrible, failing to cover in four straight games while averaging just 8.8 points per game. The 'over/under' is 4-4 for the Roughriders despite the fact they have allowed 29 or more points in seven of their eight games.

              -- The Tiger-Cats snapped a two-game mini skid in style, and the win was their first in three tries at home. They're also 1-2 ATS in three games at their home stadium this season.

              -- After a red-hot start to the season, Ottawa (4-3-1) continues to slide. The RedBlacks were embarrassed at home by Montreal (3-5) by 24 points, their fourth consecutive non-cover.

              Comment

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