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CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 3 (Thur., July 7 - Fri., July 8)

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  • CFL Trends and Indexes - Week 3 (Thur., July 7 - Fri., July 8)

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, July 7 - Friday, July 8

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    CFL
    Dunkel

    Week 3



    Thursday, July 7

    Winnipeg @ Hamilton

    Game 121-122
    July 7, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Winnipeg
    106.688
    Hamilton
    113.654
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Hamilton
    by 7
    56
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Hamilton
    by 10
    51 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Winnipeg
    (+10); Over

    Toronto @ BC Lions


    Game 123-124
    July 7, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Toronto
    109.775
    BC Lions
    121.870
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    BC Lions
    by 12
    45
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    BC Lions
    by 5
    50
    Dunkel Pick:
    BC Lions
    (-5); Under



    Friday, July 8


    Calgary @ Ottawa

    Game 125-126
    July 8, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Calgary
    118.667
    Ottawa
    115.217
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Calgary
    by 3 1/2
    48
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Calgary
    Pick
    53
    Dunkel Pick:
    Calgary
    Under

    Saskatchewan @ Edmonton


    Game 127-128
    July 8, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Saskatchewan
    104.353
    Edmonton
    125.803
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Edmonton
    by 21 1/2
    58
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Edmonton
    by 9 1/2
    50
    Dunkel Pick:
    Edmonton
    (-9 1/2); Over





    CFL
    Long Sheet

    Week 3


    Thursday, July 7

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WINNIPEG (0 - 2) at HAMILTON (1 - 1) - 7/7/2016, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HAMILTON is 3-1 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
    HAMILTON is 3-1 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TORONTO (1 - 1) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (2 - 0) - 7/7/2016, 10:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BRITISH COLUMBIA is 2-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    BRITISH COLUMBIA is 2-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Friday, July 8

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CALGARY (1 - 1) at OTTAWA (2 - 0) - 7/8/2016, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OTTAWA is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    OTTAWA is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    OTTAWA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    OTTAWA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
    CALGARY is 118-88 ATS (+21.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CALGARY is 3-1 against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
    CALGARY is 3-1 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SASKATCHEWAN (0 - 1) at EDMONTON (0 - 1) - 7/8/2016, 10:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SASKATCHEWAN is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    SASKATCHEWAN is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    SASKATCHEWAN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing on a Friday over the last 3 seasons.
    SASKATCHEWAN is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
    SASKATCHEWAN is 26-45 ATS (-23.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    SASKATCHEWAN is 119-87 ATS (+23.3 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
    SASKATCHEWAN is 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) in July games since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    EDMONTON is 5-1 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
    EDMONTON is 5-1 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    CFL
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Week 3


    Winnipeg (0-2) @ Hamilton (1-1)-- Bombers allowed 29 ppg in losing first two games; they've lost 8 of last 9 games with Hamilton, losing four of last five visits here, with three of four losses by 10+ points. TiCats split pair of one-sided games to open season, with road team winning both. they're 3-5 in last eight home games. Under is 12-6 in last 18 series games.

    Toronto (1-1) @ BCLions (2-0)-- Lions allowed 10.5 ppg to win its first two games, upsetting Calgary in its home opener. after going 4-5 at home LY. Argonauts lost eight of last 11 games with BC, with visitors winning last four; Toronto won 40-23/30-27 in last two visits to Vancouver. Argos also split pair of one-sided games to open season, with road team winning both.

    Calgary (1-1) @ Ottawa (2-0)-- RedBlacks scored 36.5 ppg in winning its first two games, including an OT win in Edmonton- this is their home opener. Calgary won three of four games with Ottawa, losing in OT here LY; three of four series games went over. Stampeders bounced back from Week 1 loss at BC with 36-22 home win over Winnipeg last week; they're 5-3 in last eight road games.

    Saskatchewan (0-1) @ Edmonton (0-1)-- Eskimos lost home opener in OT to Ottawa, anding 10-game win streak, then had the bye last week; Roughriders had Week 1 bye, then lost 30-17 to Argonauts at home last week. Eskimos won six of last seven games with Roughriders, beating them 30-5/35-24 LY. Saskatchewan lost its last three visits to Edmonton, by 24-8-25 points.




    CFL

    Week 3


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Thursday, July 7

    7:00 PM
    WINNIPEG vs. HAMILTON
    Winnipeg is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
    Winnipeg is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
    Hamilton is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
    Hamilton is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

    10:00 PM
    TORONTO vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
    Toronto is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
    The total has gone UNDER in 17 of British Columbia's last 25 games when playing Toronto
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of British Columbia's last 5 games

    Friday, July 8

    7:00 PM
    CALGARY vs. OTTAWA
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing Ottawa
    Calgary is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
    Ottawa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary
    Ottawa is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Calgary

    10:00 PM
    SASKATCHEWAN vs. EDMONTON
    Saskatchewan is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
    Saskatchewan is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games


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    Comment


    • #3
      CFL

      Thursday, July 7


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Thursday's CFL doubleheader betting preview and odds
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      The Lions hope to stay hot by opening the season with three consecutive victories for the first time since 2007.

      Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (-9, 52)

      The Hamilton Tiger-Cats look to bounce back from a humbling Week 2 loss when they host the Winnipeg Blue Bombers on Thursday. The Tiger-Cats failed to score a touchdown in the 28-3 defeat to BC and were held to their lowest point total at home since a 20-2 setback to Toronto on Aug. 12, 2006.

      Hamilton has dropped five of its last seven home games since winning its first nine contests at Tim Hortons Field - which opened on Sept. 1, 2014 - and hopes to get back on track by beating the Blue Bombers for the fourth consecutive time in the series. Winnipeg is still searching for its first win of the campaign following a 36-22 loss to Calgary. The Blue Bombers loaded up on free-agent talent during the winter and expectations were sky high heading into the season, but they have failed to deliver any on-field results and head coach Mike O'Shea is starting to feel the heat. Winnipeg is 12-26 since O'Shea took the top job in 2014 and he hopes to turn things around in a hurry with a daunting top-heavy schedule, which includes meetings with Calgary and defending Grey Cup champion Edmonton (twice) over the next three weeks.

      TV:
      7 p.m. ET, TSN, ESPN2

      LINE HISTORY:
      There have been no line moves on this game at the time of publication of this preview. Hamilton opened as 9-point favorites and the total opened at 52. Check out the complete line history here.

      ABOUT THE BLUE BOMBERS (0-2, 0-2 ATS, 1-1 O/U):
      Defensive back Johnny Adams, who recorded six interceptions in his rookie season in the CFL, is likely to make his first appearance of 2016 after recovering from an undisclosed injury and provide a much-needed boost to a defence that gave up over 500 yards in the loss to Calgary. "We weren't playing football out there," O'Shea told reporters. "We didn't tackle at all and we weren't swarming to the ball." Drew Willy threw for 358 yards and two touchdowns but a huge chunk of his production came in the fourth quarter when the game was already out of reach.

      ABOUT THE TIGER-CATS (1-1, 1-1 ATS, 1-1 O/U):
      Jeremiah Masoli struggled against a fierce BC pass rush as he was sacked four times and threw his first two interceptions of the season while Brett Maher missed three field goals in the loss to the Lions. "I have to do better with the guys as we made a lot more mistakes than we've probably had in a long time," Hamilton coach Kent Austin admitted to reporters. "The good news is that it's all correctable and it's also early in the season so we have time to correct it." Veteran Geoff Tisdale, who was an all-star in 2013, was released to make room for fellow defensive back Chris Davis on the practice squad.

      TRENDS:


      * Blue Bombers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
      * Tiger-Cats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 3.
      * Under is 6-1 in Tiger-Cats last 7 games following a straight up loss.
      * Under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Hamilton.

      CONSENSUS:
      At the time of publication of this preview, Winnipeg is picking up 52 percent of the wagers and Over 52 is grabbing 51 percent of the action.




      Toronto Argonauts at BC Lions Lions (-5, 50)

      The BC Lions look to continue their strong start to the season when they host the Toronto Argonauts on Thursday. The Lions came from behind to beat Calgary 20-18 in Wally Buono's return to the sideline in Week 1 before shutting down Hamilton 28-3 on Friday, and they hope to stay hot by opening the season with three consecutive victories for the first time since 2007.

      "Other people are surprised but we're not surprised as we know we have a good team and it's just a tipping point," star linebacker Solomon Elimimian told reporters. "We're going to keep getting better, stay humble, stay hungry and just keep getting better." The Argonauts notched their first victory of the season after downing Saskatchewan 30-17 on the road in Week 2. Ricky Ray rebounded from a subpar showing against Hamilton by throwing two touchdown passes and he hopes for a repeat performance against a ferocious Lions defence that tops the league in fewest points allowed at 10.5 per game. Toronto split the season series with the Lions last year but have had some recent success at BC Place as the Argos hope to win three consecutive games in Vancouver for the first time since the late 1990s.

      TV:
      10 p.m. ET, TSN, ESPN2

      LINE HISTORY:
      The spread for this one opened with the Lions pegged as 4.5-point favorites and by Tuesday afternoon the line had been bumped up to -5 at most books. The total opened at 49 and was nudged up a point to 50. Check out the complete line history here.

      ABOUT THE ARGONAUTS (1-1, 1-1 ATS, 1-1 O/U):
      Toronto acquired defensive end Shawn Lemon, who recorded six sacks in nine games with Ottawa last season, from Saskatchewan in return for offensive lineman Matt Sewell and quarterback Mitchell Gale. Vidal Hazelton continues to make big plays as he caught two passes for 69 yards and a touchdown while Andre Durie added a TD reception in the win over the Roughriders. "Great teams rebound properly and that's what we did," Durie told reporters. "We eliminated our mistakes and we took advantage of our opportunities."

      ABOUT THE LIONS (2-0, 2-0 ATS, 0-2 O/U):
      Jonathon Jennings had his most productive game of the young season, throwing for 228 yards and a touchdown while Shawn Gore continued his impressive start as he hauled in four passes for 116 yards in the win over Hamilton. Ryan Phillips recorded the 47th interception of his career against the Tiger-Cats and needs four more picks to equal the franchise record. Elimimian had six tackles and looked like his pre-injury self in his first game in Hamilton since rupturing his Achilles in the 52-22 loss at Tim Hortons Field last season.

      TRENDS:


      * Argonauts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 3.
      * Under is 7-1 in Argonauts last 8 games overall.
      * Under is 8-2 in Lions last 10 games in July.
      * Under is 17-7 in the last 24 meetings.

      CONSENSUS:
      At the time of publication of this preview, the Lions are picking up 54 percent of the wagers and Over 50 is grabbing 53 percent of the action.


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      Comment


      • #4
        CFL

        Friday, July 8


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Friday's CFL doubleheader betting preview and odds
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Eskimos' Mike Reilly was sharp in his first game of 2016 as he threw for 383 yards and a touchdown.

        Calgary Stampeders at Ottawa Redblacks (-1, 52.5)

        The Ottawa Redblacks look to continue their winning ways when they welcome the Calgary Stampeders to the nation's capital in their home opener Friday. Ottawa has shot out of the starting gates, beating the Edmonton Eskimos 45-37 in an overtime thriller in Week 1 before downing the Montreal Alouettes 28-13, and has won six straight regular-season games dating back to last season.

        The Redblacks' offence hasn't skipped a beat with star quarterback Henry Burris sidelined with a pinky injury as free agent acquisition Trevor Harris has thrown for 687 yards and six touchdowns in Burris' absence. Calgary picked up its first win of the Dave Dickenson era following a 36-22 triumph over the Winnipeg Blue Bombers. The Stampeders were held to under 300 yards in the loss to the BC Lions in Week 1, but sprang to life against Winnipeg as they racked up over 500 total yards and they look to create some more offensive fireworks to keep pace with the CFL's highest-scoring team. "To me it's being able to go out there and make a statement," Calgary quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell told reporters. "My favourite things to is go beat people on the road in their own house so that's what we'll be looking to do."

        TV:
        7 p.m. ET, TSN

        LINE HISTORY:
        The spread for this one has been all over the place this week. The game opened as a pick before Calgary was pegged as a one-point favorite Wednesday morning. By lunch time the game was back to a pick and Thursday afternoon the line was moved to -1 in favor of the home team from Ottawa. The total opened at 53 and came down 1/2 point to 52.5. Check out the complete line history here.

        ABOUT THE STAMPEDERS (1-1, 1-1 ATS, 1-1 O/U):
        Mitchell threw for 309 yards and two touchdowns and Marquay McDaniel was the main beneficiary as he caught seven passes for a game-high 116 yards and a score in the win over the Blue Bombers. Calgary's already-thin offensive line suffered a setback when Quinn Smith injured his left arm against Winnipeg and he could miss Friday's game while Pierre Lavertu is nearing a return after missing the past month with a neck problem. Jerome Messam had his best game since joining the team in trade late last season as he rushed for 135 yards on 14 carries to earn one of the CFL Top Performers of the Week honours.

        ABOUT THE REDBLACKS (2-0, 2-0 ATS, 1-1 O/U):
        Travon Van rushed for 86 yards before sitting out the second half with a leg injury in the win over Montreal and his status is unknown for Friday while Olivier Goulet-Veilleux will likely miss the rest of the season after fracturing his leg on a kick return in the third quarter. "There's only a certain number of guys we've got around town but that's football," Ottawa head coach Rick Campbell told reporters. "You've got to have someone step up and get it done." Chris Williams was named one of the CFL Top Performers of the Week after catching seven passes for 187 yards and a touchdown to bring his season total to 363 receiving yards and three scores.

        TRENDS:


        * Stampeders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in July.
        * RedBlacks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
        * Under is 5-1 in Stampeders last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
        * Over is 4-1 in RedBlacks last 5 home games.

        CONSENSUS:
        The home favorite Redblacks are picking up 54 percent of the spread picks while Over is grabbing 58 percent of the totals wagers.




        Saskatchewan Roughriders at Edmonton Eskimos (-10, 52)

        The Edmonton Eskimos are set to welcome back a familiar face to Commonwealth Stadium when they host the Saskatchewan Roughriders Friday. Chris Jones, who led the Eskimos to their first Grey Cup victory in 10 years in 2015, will return to Edmonton for the first time in the regular season since bolting in the winter to take a dual head coach/general manager role with the Roughriders.

        The Eskimos dropped a 45-37 overtime decision to the Ottawa Redblacks in their season opener before having a bye week and hope to hand new head coach Jason Maas his first win by beating Saskatchewan for the third straight time at Commonwealth Stadium. Jones failed to secure a win in his Roughriders' debut as they fell 30-17 to the Toronto Argonauts. Saskatchewan has dropped 21 of its last 26 regular-season games, including a 1-12 road record during that span - and the Riders hope to turn their fortunes around and notch their first victory in Edmonton since a 30-27 triumph on Aug. 24, 2013. "We definitely have to be better because we didn't do enough," Saskatchewan quarterback Darian Durant told reporters. "As a whole and as a unit we have to be better."

        TV:
        10 p.m. ET, TSN, ESPN2

        LINE HISTORY:
        The Eskimos opened as lofty 10.5-point favorites and the spread came down to -10 on Tuesday morning. The total opened at 48.5 and consistantly went up 1/2 at a time all week to settle (at the time of publication of this preview) at 52. Check out the complete line history here.

        ABOUT THE ROUGHRIDERS (0-1, 0-1 ATS, 0-1 O/U):
        A.C. Leonard, who Jones converted to a defensive end after spending last season at wide receiver with the BC Lions, recorded two sacks and was in the backfield all evening long in his first start at his new position. Offensive lineman Josiah St. John - the first overall pick in the 2016 CFL Draft - ended his month-long holdout and completed his first practice Monday. Durant looked steady in his first game since suffering a season-ending Achilles injury on opening day in 2015 as he completed 31-of-48 passes for 310 yards and a touchdown against the Argonauts.

        ABOUT THE ESKIMOS (0-1, 0-1 ATS, 1-0 O/U):
        Mike Reilly was sharp in his first game of 2016 as he threw for 383 yards and a touchdown while John White, who missed the entire 2015 season with an Achilles injury, caught a touchdown pass and ran for another in the loss to Ottawa. Edmonton acquired Alex Hoffman-Ellis from the Hamilton Tiger-Cats in return for a conditional eighth-round pick in an attempt to add depth to the linebacker corps. "We're an injury away from where a young man straight out of college is playing and that's not where we want to be," Edmonton defensive coordinator Mike Benevides told reporters. "He has played in the league and can play both outside positions."

        TRENDS:


        * Roughriders are 2-11-1 ATS in their last 14 road games.
        * Eskimos are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a bye week.
        * Over is 7-1 in Roughriders last 8 games following a ATS loss.
        * Roughriders are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 meetings.

        CONSENSUS:
        At the time of publication of this preview, the Eskimos are picking up 56 percent of the wagers and Over is grabbing 53 percent of the action.


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment


        • #5
          CFL

          Friday, July 8



          Eye-popping start to CFL season for football bettors:

          Underdogs 8-1 SU & ATS (88.9%)
          Road Dogs 7-1 SU & ATS (87.5%)

          Under 7-3 (70%)

          Comment


          • #6
            CFL

            Saturday, July 9



            CFL Week 3 is in the books. Underdogs now 10-1 ATS (91%) and 8-2-1 SU (yes, there was a Tie). Road teams are 10-2 ATS (83.3%) and 8-3-1 SU.
            Last edited by Udog; 07-09-2016, 12:21 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              CFL Betting Recap - Week 3

              League Betting Notes

              -- Underdogs went 2-1-1 SU in Week 3
              -- Underdogs went 4-0 ATS in Week 3
              -- Road teams posted a 2-1-1 SU record in Week 3
              -- Road teams posted a 4-0 ATS record in Week 3
              -- The 'Under' went 2-1-1 in Week 3

              Team Betting Notes

              -- Ottawa (2-0-1) and Calgary (1-1-1) battled to a 26-26 tie in a great game in the nation's capital. It was the first non-cover for the RedBlacks all season, while the Stampeders covered for the second consecutive weekend. The Stamps are 0-2-1 SU and 1-2 ATS in their past three games away from home including last season's playoffs.

              -- After an impressive opening week win, Hamilton (1-2) tumbled into the basement with a surprising 28-24 setback against Winnipeg (1-2). The Tiger-Cats have averaged just 13.5 points per game after posting 42 in the opener, and they have allowed 28.0 PPG in the past two with the 'under' cashing in each game.

              -- The Blue Bombers picked up their first win and cover, and their offense continues to improve each week. After opening with 14 points, they posted 22 points in Week 2 and 28 in Week 3. The 'under is 2-1 heading into their showdown with Edmonton (1-1).

              -- Saskatchewan (0-2)'s rough ride continued in Edmonton Friday night, narrowly missing out on a breakthrough victory. While they covered against the Esks, the Roughriders haven't won in regulation in their past 15 road games, including the playoffs.

              -- The BC Lions (2-1) tasted defeat for the first time this season, tumbling at home against Toronto (2-1). However, for the third straight week the 'under' cashed for the Lions.

              -- After an opening week defeat, the Argos have won and covered in their past two games, both on the road. The 'under' also hit after an 'over' result in Week 1. Toronto covered has won and covered four straight regular season games on the road, and the 'under' is 5-1 in their past six away games including the postseason.

              Comment

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