Announcement

**Udog** · 12-30-2015, 10:24 PM

Packers open as 3-point home faves versus Vikings with NFC North title on the line

At 12-3 against the spread (10-5 straight up), the Minnesota Vikings are the second best spread wager in the NFL.

We’ve finally hit the last week of the regular season in the NFL, and with a host of games holding playoff ramifications, no less. Perhaps the most intriguing matchup will take place on the frozen tundra of Lambeau Field, between NFC North rivals Green Bay and Minnesota.

Both teams have already punched their postseason tickets. But the winner of this game wins the division, which comes with the No. 3 seed and a home game in the wild-card round of the playoffs. Both teams also enter this game following Week 16 blowouts, though they were on opposite sides of those results.

Green Bay (10-5 SU, 9-6 SU) went to Arizona as a 6-point underdog and got waxed by the Cardinals 38-8 Sunday. The loss halted a 4-1 SU and ATS surge by the Packers, including 3-0 SU and ATS in their previous three games.

On the flip side, in the Sunday night game, Minnesota manhandled a New York Giants squad that already knew it had nothing to play for, due to the Washington Redskins’ victory at Philadelphia on Saturday. The Vikings (10-5 SU, 12-3 ATS), with the second-best spread-covering record in the league, plowed to a 49-17 home victory laying 7 points.

The Packers and Vikings met Nov. 22 in Minnesota, with the Pack rolling 30-13 as 1-point pups, the win that started Green Bay’s 4-1 SU and ATS streak. John Lester, senior lines manager for Bookmaker.eu, had to hold off on posting a line, waiting to see how Minnesota comes out of the Sunday night game injury-wise, but he expects Green Bay to be a solid home favorite.

“A division title will be on the line, so we’re in for a great Week 17 bout,” Lester said. “The first matchup was completely one-sided, as the Vikings got behind big early, and they aren’t a team that is built to win from behind. But quarterback Teddy Bridgewater has really looked like a more confident player over the past couple of weeks. If everything goes accordingly Sunday night, the Packers will open around touchdown chalk.”

Johnny Avello, executive director of race and sports for Wynn Las Vegas, was seeing things tighter than that.

“I thought about opening this line at 5 or so, but the way Green Bay played against Arizona, and with the Packers having only two quality wins all year, I'll settle around 3 points,” Avello said. “The Vikings haven't beat the Pack in their last five meetings, but this one has more meaning than the last five combined.”

Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals (-4)

Arizona (13-2 SU, 9-6 ATS) is already guaranteed no worse than the No. 2 seed and a first-round playoff bye. But if somehow Tampa Bay beats Carolina in an early game next Sunday, the Cards could get the top seed by winning their late afternoon game against Seattle.

The Cardinals drubbed Green Bay 38-8 Sunday as 6-point home chalk for their ninth consecutive SU victory (5-4 ATS).

Seattle (9-6 SU, 7-7-1 ATS), locked into a wild-card playoff spot, was a hefty 11.5-point home fave Sunday against St. Louis, but couldn’t find a way to win, let alone cover. The Seahawks trailed 16-0 in the second quarter and ultimately lost 23-17.

Back in mid-November, Arizona went to Seattle as a 3-point pup and held on for a 39-32 outright victory.

“In meeting No. 1 this year, the Cards showed confidence as they jumped out to a big lead, fell behind and then rallied for the victory,” Avello said. “There's a changing of the guard in the NFC West, and the ‘Hawks need to play flawless to win in the desert.”

Lester pointed out that, should Carolina win, Arizona has nothing to play for.

“There was some discussion among our team to make the Cardinals a bit higher favorite, but considering there’s a chance they could sit some personnel, we settled on -4,” Lester said. “Seattle is also already in the second season and could do the same, but we aren’t anticipating that. Early money came in on the underdog, and we moved to -3 within the first half hour.”

Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-7)

Now that Carolina has lost, Kansas City is tied with Arizona for the longest active winning streak in the NFL. The Chiefs (10-5 SU, 8-7 ATS) started out 1-5 SU and ATS, but they haven’t lost since. On Sunday, they won their ninth in a row (7-2 ATS) fending off Cleveland 17-13, though K.C. fell well short at the betting window as an 11.5-point home fave.

The Chiefs have locked up at least a wild-card bid, but could still catch or even overtake Denver and win the AFC West.

Oakland (7-8 SU and ATS) has been hit-and-miss all season, but is still far better than last year’s squad, which dropped its first 10 games en route to a 3-13 SU mark. On Thursday night, the Raiders squeaked by San Diego 23-20 in overtime, just short of cashing as a 4-point fave.

“Even though the Chiefs have clinched a playoff berth, we don’t think they’ll be diverting from the norm in Week 17, especially considering their norm is vanilla,” Lester said. “The Raiders have been a popular play among the public recently, and this spread will probably shift south at some point. I’d be hard-pressed to bet against K.C. at the moment, with the way that defense is playing.”

Indeed, during their current run, the Chiefs have held seven opponents to 14 points or less. But Avello expects a game effort from Oakland.

“Unlike season-ending games where teams have nothing to play for and just want to call it a year, the Raiders will not be experimenting and will bring the entire arsenal,” he said. “A 6- to 7-point spread should be about right here, with K.C.’s home-field advantage.”

San Diego Chargers at Denver Broncos

If Denver (10-4 SU, 8-6 ATS) doesn’t take care of business tonight at home against Cincinnati, it could be fighting for its playoff life against the Chargers. Recent performances certainly don’t bode well for the Broncos, who lost at home to Oakland in an uninspired Week 14 performance, then blew a 27-13 halftime lead at Pittsburgh in Week 15, losing 34-27 as 7.5-point pups.

San Diego (4-11 SU, 7-8 ATS) has a record that could easily be far better. The Chargers have lost seven games by a touchdown or less, including four by four points or less. That included last Thursday night’s 23-20 overtime setback catching 4 points at Oakland.

With Denver in the Monday nighter to cap Week 16, the line will have to wait on this contest. And there’s a chance that Peyton Manning might return for the regular-season finale, too.

“The Chargers have quietly been playing good ball the last couple of weeks, actually all year to some extent, but they don’t get any respect from the betting public,” Lester said. “We’ll have to be generous with the Denver side for this afternoon affair.”

Added Avello: “This one might or might not mean a thing, depending on Denver's Monday night outcome. Denver's offense has relied on its defense all year, and that defense is now starting to show signs of wear and tear.”

**Udog** · 12-30-2015, 10:24 PM

Football bettors must react quickly to these NFL Week 17 odds

A Green Bay loss means schlepping on the road in the opening round, and as their 38-8 loss at Arizona showed, the Packers are not the same team away from home.

Spread to bet on now

Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (-3)

Five straight wins, three straight losses, three straight wins. And now a 30-point mail-it-in loss to the Cardinals. What’s going on with the Packers?

Aaron Rodgers says not to worry, that when the real season starts the real Pack will be back. Well, this one qualifies as the real season, because it’s winner-take-all for the NFC title, a No. 3 seed in the playoffs and a home game on wild card weekend.

A GB loss means schlepping on the road in the opening round, and as their 38-8 loss at Arizona showed, the Packers are not the same team away from home. GB is 4-3 ATS at home this season, and this line is not likely to move.

Spread to wait on

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins (+9)

No one is crying about the injury problems facing the Patriots, but being banged up has had a major impact on New England’s offense. The Patriots have scored 30 points in a game only once (Tennessee) since October, and the offensive line is so hurting that NE has gone to a quick passing attack to protect Tom Brady and has almost completely abandoned the run.

Defenses are starting to adjust. Whether the listless Dolphins – who have lost three straight, five of their last six and haven’t covered a spread since Nov. 15 – can take advantage of the Pats’ issues is anyone’s guess.

New England has struggled in Miami, but this Dolphin team doesn’t seem to have any fight left in it. Lots of moving parts here in an awkward line that could shift as we find out who will play for NE, and who won’t.

Total to watch

New York Jets at Buffalo Bills (43)

For all the talk of the Bills being ready to take the next step and finally challenge the Patriots in an AFC East that seems to be owned by New England, it was actually the Jets who have made things interesting this year.

Buffalo can max out at 8-8 this season after going 9-7 pre-Rex Ryan, and for all the talk about Ryan’s defensive acumen, Buffalo has been a below-average defensive team (20th overall).

The Jets, meanwhile, have been the real deal – holding their last five opponents to fewer than 20 points. For comparative purposes, Buffalo won 22-17, in their first meeting.

**Udog** · 12-30-2015, 10:24 PM

NFL
Long Sheet

Sunday, January 3

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NY JETS (10 - 5) at BUFFALO (7 - 8) - 1/3/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY JETS are 49-29 ATS (+17.1 Units) in road games versus division opponents since 1992.
NY JETS are 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) in road games revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.
NY JETS are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 4-1 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 4-1 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TAMPA BAY (6 - 9) at CAROLINA (14 - 1) - 1/3/2016, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 71-48 ATS (+18.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
CAROLINA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
CAROLINA is 79-45 ATS (+29.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
CAROLINA is 53-27 ATS (+23.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
TAMPA BAY is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 4-1 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 5-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ENGLAND (12 - 3) at MIAMI (5 - 10) - 1/3/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 172-131 ATS (+27.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 56-35 ATS (+17.5 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
MIAMI is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
MIAMI is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
MIAMI is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
MIAMI is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
MIAMI is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) revenging a loss against opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 3-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BALTIMORE (5 - 10) at CINCINNATI (11 - 4) - 1/3/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
CINCINNATI is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
CINCINNATI is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points this season.
CINCINNATI is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
CINCINNATI is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
CINCINNATI is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 4-1 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 4-1 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (6 - 9) at ATLANTA (8 - 7) - 1/3/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
ATLANTA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a win against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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JACKSONVILLE (5 - 10) at HOUSTON (8 - 7) - 1/3/2016, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 3-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-2 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PITTSBURGH (9 - 6) at CLEVELAND (3 - 12) - 1/3/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 96-67 ATS (+22.3 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 4-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OAKLAND (7 - 8) at KANSAS CITY (10 - 5) - 1/3/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 29-54 ATS (-30.4 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
OAKLAND is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 4-1 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 4-1 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TENNESSEE (3 - 12) at INDIANAPOLIS (7 - 8) - 1/3/2016, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 3-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 5-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (8 - 7) at DALLAS (4 - 11) - 1/3/2016, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (6 - 9) at CHICAGO (6 - 9) - 1/3/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 60-85 ATS (-33.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
DETROIT is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 5-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (6 - 9) at NY GIANTS (6 - 9) - 1/3/2016, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-1 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 4-1 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (10 - 5) at GREEN BAY (10 - 5) - 1/3/2016, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 64-39 ATS (+21.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 58-34 ATS (+20.6 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
MINNESOTA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points this season.
MINNESOTA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 3-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 4-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN DIEGO (4 - 11) at DENVER (11 - 4) - 1/3/2016, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
DENVER is 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 4-2 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 5-1 straight up against SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ST LOUIS (7 - 8) at SAN FRANCISCO (4 - 11) - 1/3/2016, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 108-147 ATS (-53.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 116-149 ATS (-47.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a win against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-2 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-2 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (9 - 6) at ARIZONA (13 - 2) - 1/3/2016, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-2 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 3-2 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 12-30-2015, 10:25 PM

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 17

NY Jets at Buffalo, 1:00 ET
New York: 19-7 ATS in road games revenging a same season loss against opponent
Buffalo: 12-4 UNDER as an underdog

Tampa Bay at Carolina, 4:25 ET
Tampa Bay: 35-16 UNDER revenging a loss against opponent by 14 points or more
Carolina: 8-2 ATS in games played on a grass field

New England at Miami, 1:00 ET
New England: 8-1 ATS off 2 or more consecutive overs
Miami: 2-8 ATS as an underdog

Baltimore at Cincinnati, 1:00 ET
Baltimore: 26-11 UNDER in the last 2 weeks of the regular season
Cincinnati: 8-2 ATS as a favorite

New Orleans at Atlanta, 1:00 ET
New Orleans: 62-41 OVER after scoring 30 points or more last game
Atlanta: 0-6 ATS off a win against a division rival

Jacksonville at Houston, 1:00 ET
Jacksonville: 9-6 ATS versus division opponents
Houston: 1-6 ATS after scoring 30 points or more last game

Pittsburgh at Cleveland, 1:00 ET
Pittsburgh: 96-67 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5
Cleveland: 21-39 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6

Oakland at Kansas City, 4:25 ET
Oakland: 29-54 ATS in the last 4 weeks of the regular season
Kansas City: 13-2 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders

Tennessee at Indianapolis, 1:00 ET
Tennessee: 3-10 ATS revenging a loss against opponent
Indianapolis: 6-1 ATS after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games

Washington at Dallas, 1:00 ET
Washington: 5-3 ATS off an upset win by 14 points or more as a road underdog
Dallas: 1-5 ATS after having lost 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games

Detroit at Chicago, 1:00 ET
Detroit: 5-16 ATS off 1 or more straight overs
Chicago: 73-48 OVER as a home favorite

Philadelphia at NY Giants, 1:00 ET
Philadelphia: 11-2 OVER after 1 or more consecutive losses
New York: 19-8 ATS revenging a loss where team scored less than 9 points

Minnesota at Green Bay, 8:30 ET
Minnesota: 11-3 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49
Green Bay: 35-18 OVER after a loss by 10 or more points

San Diego at Denver, 4:25 ET
San Diego: 81-57 ATS as a road underdog
Denver: 9-21 ATS at home after gaining 375 or more total yards in 2 games

St Louis at San Francisco, 4:25 ET
St Louis: 0-7 ATS in road games off a division game
San Francisco: 6-0 UNDER in home games after a loss by 14 or more points

Seattle at Arizona, 4:25 ET
Seattle: 7-0 ATS after having won 4 out of their last 5 games
Arizona: 9-22 ATS after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games

**Udog** · 12-30-2015, 10:25 PM

NFL

Week 17

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Trend Report
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1:00 PM
DETROIT vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games

1:00 PM
NEW ENGLAND vs. MIAMI
New England is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 5 games
Miami is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
Miami is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games

1:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. ATLANTA
New Orleans is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 8 games
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games

1:00 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Pittsburgh is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Cleveland is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Cleveland is 3-21 SU in its last 24 games when playing Pittsburgh

1:00 PM
NY JETS vs. BUFFALO
NY Jets are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games
NY Jets are 8-17 SU in their last 25 games on the road
Buffalo is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Buffalo is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Jets

1:00 PM
BALTIMORE vs. CINCINNATI
Baltimore is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Baltimore is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 9 games when playing Baltimore
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore

1:00 PM
TENNESSEE vs. INDIANAPOLIS
Tennessee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Tennessee is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Indianapolis's last 10 games when playing at home against Tennessee
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tennessee

1:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. NY GIANTS
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
NY Giants are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
NY Giants are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

1:00 PM
JACKSONVILLE vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Jacksonville
Houston is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Jacksonville

1:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. DALLAS
Washington is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Washington is 3-18 SU in its last 21 games on the road
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Dallas is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

4:25 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. CAROLINA
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games at home

4:25 PM
OAKLAND vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Oakland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Oakland
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

4:25 PM
SEATTLE vs. ARIZONA
Seattle is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Seattle is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home
Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

4:25 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing San Francisco
St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis

4:25 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. DENVER
San Diego is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Denver
San Diego is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Denver
Denver is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Diego
Denver is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games at home

8:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. GREEN BAY
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Minnesota's last 16 games when playing Green Bay
Minnesota is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games ,when playing Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Green Bay's last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-30-2015, 10:26 PM

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 17

Jets (10-5) @ Bills (7-8)-- Jets make playoffs with a win, but they've lost five of last six games with Buffalo, losing last three visits here by 19-23-35 points. Jets lost at home to Bills 22-17 (-2.5) in Week 10, thanks to -4 turnover ratio that included a TD on a fumbled kick return. Jets are +18 in turnovers in their wins, -13 in losses; they won/covered last five games, including OT win over Patriots LW. Jets lost three of five true road games (played "at" Giants, vs Miami in London); they're 6-5 as faves, 1-2 on road. Buffalo lost four of last six games but has won three in row at home, by 16-9-10 points; they're 3-2-1 as underdogs, 1-1 t home. Five of last seven Jet games stayed under total.

Buccaneers (6-9) @ Panthers (14-1)-- Carolina lost first game LW, has next week off thanks to its bye; unsure how many starters they'll rest here. Panthers (-3) scored two defensive TDs in 37-23 (-3) win at Tampa Bay in Week 4, its 7th win in last nine game vs Bucs, who have lost five of last seven visits here, last two by 19-2 points. Tampa lost four of its last five games (-7 turnover ratio); they're 4-3 as road dogs, but lost 25-12/31-23 in last two road games. Bucs' defense has one takeaway in its last five games. Carolina gave up 30+ points in three of last four games; they're 4-2 as home faves- four of their last five games were on road. Six of last nine Carolina games went over the total.

Patriots (12-3) @ Dolphins (5-10)-- New England is 2-3 in last five games after 10-0 start; they need win here for bye next week, home field thru AFC playoffs. Patriots (-8) pounded Miami 36-7 back in Week 8, outgaining Fish 437-270 in game that was 19-0 at half. Dolphins lost seven of last nine games (1-8 vs spread), losing its last three games by 7-16-6 points- they're 2-4 at home, losing by 27-10-7-6 points. Now the wife of a defensive player is ripping QB Taneyhill on Twitter- not good. Home side won last six series games; Patriots lost 24-20/33-20 in last two visits here- they are 9-2 in last 11 series games overall. Under is 5-2 in last seven Miami games, 1-4 in last four Patriot games.

Ravens (5-10) @ Bengals (11-4)-- McCarron sprained left wrist Monday nite on last play, is expected to play; Bengals could still get bye next week, so they need to win this game, against team they beat 28-24 (+2.5) in Week 3. Bengals led 14-0 at half, averaged 10.9 ypa, had 15-yard edge in field position. Ravens lost five of last six in series, losing last three visits here by 6-17-3 points. Baltimore got boost from new QB Mallett LW, 4th QB they started in last six games. Ravens covered last three on road; their only two SU road wins were division games at Pitt/Cleveland. Under is 7-2 in last nine Bengal games, 4-2-1 in last seven Baltimore games. Bengals lost two of last three at home, but are 4-2-1 as home favorites.

Saints (6-9) @ Falcons (8-7)-- Atlanta won last two games, allowing 15 ppg but 1-7 skid doomed their season, a skid that started with 31-21 (-3) loss to Saints at home in Week 6, when Falcons lost three fumbles and had punt blocked for TD. Saints are 15-5 in last 20 games in this rivalry, 6-3 in last nine visits here; they've allowed 43 TD passes this year, three more than any team, ever. NO is 2-5 on road, 3-3 as a road underdog- they won two of last three games, covered three of last four. Over is 8-3 in last 11 Saint games, 0-9 in Falcons' last nine. Falcons failed to cover seven games in row as a favorite- they're 1-4 as home favorites. Atlanta converted 15 of 29 on third down in last two games. This is an underrated rivalry game.

Jaguars (5-10) @ Texans (8-7)-- Houston makes playoffs unless nine things happen Sunday; they've won six of last eight games after a 2-5 start, winning last two with #5 QB Weeden playing (33-54/352 in two games). Texans (+2) won 31-20 in Week 6 at Jacksonville, picking off three passes (+3) one of which was run back for TD. Jax lost four of last five games, are 4-3 as road underdogs. Texans are 3-3 as favorites this year; they ran ball for 283 yards last two weeks- they're +10 in turnovers in last ten games, after being -8 in first five games. Over is 4-1 in last five Jaguar games, 1-7 in last eight Houston games. Jags lost four of last five visits here; last three were all decided by 7 or less points. Hoyer is healthy again, will start at QB for Texans.

Steelers (9-6) @ Browns (3-12)-- Pitt needs win here and Bills win to make playoffs; they beat Browns 30-9 (-4.5) in Week 10, throwing for 399 yards (10.5 yp) in game that was 21-3 at half. Steelers are 27-5 vs Cleveland, but lost two of last three here; they lost three of last four road games, are 5-2 as favorite this year, 1-1 on foreign soil. Browns lost nine of last ten games, covered two of last three; they covered once in last seven games as an underdog- their only recent win was 24-10 vs 49ers. Browns have two TDs on 25 drives last three losses, by 34-17-4 points. Four of last five Steeler games went over total; six of last seven Cleveland games stayed under. Manziel is in concussion protocol; Austin Davis likely to start at QB for Browns.

Raiders (7-8) @ Chiefs (10-5)-- KC is in playoffs, can still win AFC West, Oakland has shot for a .500 season- this is a big rivalry. Chiefs won last nine games (7-2 vs spread) after 1-5 start- they're 2-4 as home favorites- failing to cover last two home games despite allowing one TD on 18 drives. Raiders are 4-0 as road dogs, losing away games by 2-3-5 points (4-3SU). Four of Chiefs' last five home games stayed under total. Chiefs (-3) won 34-20 at Oakland in Week 13, picking off three passes in 4th quarter that led to TD drives of 13-2 yards as well as a defensive TD. Chiefs won four of last five series games, winning 24-7/31-13 in last two here-- Raiders had won six in row at Arrowhead before Reid became Chiefs' coach.

Titans (3-12) @ Colts (7-8)-- Indy still has (small) shot at division title, they signed Freeman/Lindley off street Monday, but Hasselbeck says he feels better and could start. Colts (-3) won 35-33 at Tennessee in Week 3, scoring a defensive TD- they're 13-1 last 14 series games, winning last eight in row. Titans lost last seven visits to Indy, with five of seven losses by 8+ pts. Tennessee lost six of last seven games (0-6-1 vs spread); they're 2-4 as underdogs on road, losing last three on foreign soil by 6-22-17 points. Under is 6-3-1 in last ten Titan games, 4-2 in last six Indy games. Indy was outscored 85-6 in second half of its last four games. I cannot think of one good reason to wager on this game.

Redskins (8-7) @ Cowboys (4-11)-- Washington is locked into #4 seed/home field in playoff game next week; will they rest starters? Dallas is 1-10 in games started by backup QBs- Moore makes second career start here. Cowboys scored 9.7 ppg in losing last three games since 19-16 (+3.5) win in Maryland four weeks ago, winning despite losing three fumbles (-2), converting 1-9 on third down. Redskins won two of last three visits here, won/covered last three weeks, scoring 73 points in last two games. Washington won last two road games after losing first five; they're 3-4 as a road underdog. Dallas hasn't won a home game since Opening Night. Over is 5-2 in last seven Redskin games, 1-6 in last seven Dallas games.

Lions (6-9) @ Bears (6-9)-- Detroit got first win of year in Week 6, beating Bears in OT, 37-34; Lions outgained Bears 546-444, were -2 in turnovers, won despite losing field position by 15 yards- both teams scored in last 0:21 of regulation. Detroit won five of seven games since 1-7 start; they scored 67 points in last two games, with eight TDs on last 20 drives. Lions are 1-9 vs spread when they allow more than 17 points. Chicago lost three of last four games; they're 1-6 at home, losing last four- their only home win was 22-20 over Raiders in Week 4. Detroit won last five series games, winning 21-19/20-14 in last two visits here. Four of last five Detroit games, last four Chicago games went over total.

Eagles (6-9) @ Giants (6-9)-- Philly fired Kelly Monday; Lord knows how players will react here, with Giants coach Coughlin also on hot seat. Philly (-4) won 27-7 in first meeting in Week 6, running for 155 yards- they're 12-3 in last 15 games against Giants, winning seven of last eight played here. Both teams were eliminated when Redskins won last week; Eagles beat Jets 24-17 on this field in Week 3- they're 3-4 on road, beating Patriots in last road game. Giants lost five of last six games, giving up 87 points last two weeks; Big Blue lost last three home games by total of seven points. Five of last six Philly games, last three Giant games went over total. Giants have only three takeaways (-7) in last five games.

More Armadillo to come....

**Udog** · 12-31-2015, 08:21 AM

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 17

Vikings (10-5) @ Packers (10-5)-- Winner takes NFC North title, gets home tilt in playoffs next week. Green Bay (+1) won first meeting 30-13 in Twin Cities; they're 10-1-1 in last dozen series games, 5-0-1 in last six played here- four of five wins were by 9+ points. Minnesota scored 87 points in winning last two games; they're 12-3 vs spread this year, covering last six on road- they're 5-1 as an underdog. Green Bay was crushed in Arizona LW; Rodgers was sacked nine times in Pack's first loss in four games- they're 4-3 as home favorite this year. Three of last four Viking games went over total; five of last seven Packer games stayed under. Lows for this game expected to be in mid-teens.

Chargers (4-11) @ Broncos (11-4)-- Denver needs win for division title if KC won its 1:00 game, home field/bye either way. Broncos (-6) beat Chargers 17-3 four weeks ago, scoring a defensive TD and holding Bolts to 272 yards, in its 8th win in last nine series games. Chargers split last four visits here, losing by 7-14 points. San Diego has been out of it for long time but they covered four of last five games- they're still competing. Chargers are covered their last five road games. Denver rallied from 14-0 down LW to beat Bengals and stay in first place; they're 1-4 as home favorites. Under is 6-1 in last seven San Diego games, 3-1 in last four Bronco games. Manning will be Denver's backup QB.

Rams (7-8) @ 49ers (4-11)-- Both teams are out of it but this is rivalry; St Louis won 27-6 (-8) in first meeting, outrushing Niners 197-38, holding SF to 3.4 ypa. Rams are 1-1-1 in last three visits here, 4-10-1 in last 15 overall but they're now better team. St Louis won its last three games, scoring 25 ppg after five-game that ruined their season- their win/cover LW was their first in six outdoor tilts this year. 49ers lost last three games by 14-10-15 points; they're 3-4 at home, with all four losses to top teams. SF is 4-3 as home underdog- they were dog in every game this season. Under is 9-2 in Rams' last 11 games, 6-3 in 49ers' last nine games. This is Rams' first game on grass since October 11.

Seahawks (9-6) @ Cardinals (13-2)-- Arizona won its last nine games (5-4 vs spread); only games they lost this year they were -3 in turnovers both games. Cardinals (+3) won 39-32 at Seattle in Week 10, despite turning ball over three times (-2)- they converted 8-17 on third down. Redbirds are 3-4 as favorites at home- they scored three defensive TDs in last two games. Seattle had 5-game win streak snapped LW; they've 4-2 in last six games with Arizona, winning 34-22/35-6 in last two visits here- their last four series wins were by 12+ pts. Seattle can move up to #5 seed and face Redskins instead of Packers/Vikings next week. Four of last five Arizona games stayed under the total.

**Udog** · 12-31-2015, 08:23 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Some NFL trends to ponder with Week 17 upon us..........

-- Tennessee is 7-21-2 vs spread in last 30 games as an underdog.

-- Chicago covered twice in its last ten home games.

-- Miami covered once in its last nine games.

-- 49ers covered once in their last eleven divisional games.

-- Chiefs covered seven of their last nine games.

-- Minnesota covered its last six road games.

**Udog** · 12-31-2015, 10:38 PM

NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 17

Green Bay has been beat up on the ground in recent weeks, allowing a NFL-worst 5.8 yards per run in the past three games.

New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons (-4, 53)

Saints’ explosive starts vs. Falcons’ flat first-quarters

New Orleans has no trouble getting out of the gate, averaging an NFL-best 7.6 points per first quarter this season. It’s just everything after that first 15 minutes that’s burned the Saints. They’ve averaged more than a touchdown per opening frame and have turned that up in recent contests, averaging eight points over the last three first quarters, including 14 first-quarter points versus Jacksonville last week.

The Falcons have been flat in first quarters in recent weeks and may be especially deflated with a possible letdown spot following their perfect-season spoiling win over Carolina in Week 16. Atlanta has given up an average of more than nine points in the opening frame over the last three weeks – handing over a total of 28 points early. When these NFC South rivals met back in Week 6, Atlanta was down 14-0 in the first quarter and eventually lost to New Orleans 31-21 as a 3-point road favorite.

Daily fantasy watch: Brandin Cooks WR

Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears (Pick, 45.5)

Lions’ sneaky run game vs. Bears’ bad rush defense

Only one team in the NFL runs the ball less than the Lions. Detroit hands it off just over 34 percent of the time but is starting to spread the football around the playbook in recent weeks. After picking up only 84.5 yards per game – another second-rank statistic – the Lions have averaged 116 yards on the ground in their last three games, running the ball almost 38 percent of the time in that span, including 28 attempts in the win over San Francisco last week. Detroit is rushing for nearly five yards per carry in that span, but you wouldn’t know it by the way QB Matt Stafford is slinging the rock, with 14 touchdowns and only one INT in his last five games.

Chicago sits 27th in rushing defense, allowing opponents plow their way to 124.5 yards per game. The Bears did a good job against Bucs rusher Doug Martin in the win over Tampa Bay last week, but after giving up more than 400 yards and four touchdowns to Stafford last time out, Chicago could get roughed up on the ground if they drop linebackers into coverage. The Bears have allowed 4.5 yards per carry and have watched foes pick up nearly 35 percent of their first downs on the ground. Against the Lions in Week 6, Da Bears were steamrolled for 155 yards on 32 runs.

Daily fantasy watch: Ameer Abdullah RB

Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals (-7, 47.5)

Seahawks QB Russell Wilson vs. Cardinals’ trouble with dual threats

We looked at this exact mismatch back in Week 10, when Wilson added a team-high 52 rushing yards on to his 240 yards through the air in a 39-32 loss to Arizona. The Cardinals have had issues with dual-threat quarterbacks, giving up 255 yards (fourth most in the NFL) on 50 rush attempts to QBs this season, even though it’s been a while since they’ve seen one. It’s not a trend reserved to this season either, with Arizona allowing 350 yards on the ground to QBs in 2014 (third most). The Cardinals are a quick and aggressive team, but that means leaving themselves open to some big gains if the quarterback can find clean air to run in.

Wilson has amassed 541 yards rushing with surprisingly only one rushing score in 2015, making him the second-best running QB in the NFL behind Cam Newton. He’s been doing the heavy lifting with his arm the past month or so, but with a questionable offensive line, Wilson has found himself running for his life more often. He was sacked four times and hit an unlucky 13 times in the loss to St. Louis last week, turning out 39 bonus yards on the ground. He totaled 51 rushing yards versus Minnesota at the beginning of the month and 46 against the Browns in Week 15.

Daily fantasy watch: Russell Wilson QB

Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (-3, 46)

Vikings’ relentless run vs. Packers’ porous run defense

The less time Aaron Rodgers has with the football, the better chance the Vikings have of coming away with the NFC North crown. And in order to do so, Minnesota will have to ground-and-pound the Packers defense into submission. The Vikes run the ball more than 48 percent of the time, which has jumped to 53 percent in the past three weeks. That relentless smashing is an investment, with defenses crumbling in the second half. Minnesota averages 5.2 yards per carry in the final two frames – over a yard more than in the first half - according to SportingCharts.com.

Green Bay was able to jump out to a quick lead against the Vikings when they met in November, forcing Minnesota to pass the ball in a game of catch-up. The Vikes rushed only 18 times for 94 yards – a stark comparison to their 33 average attempts the last three games. However, when you break it down, that’s still more than five yards a carry. Green Bay has been beat up on the ground in recent weeks, allowing a NFL-worst 5.8 yards per run in the past three games while foes average more than 137 yards on the ground in that span.

Daily fantasy watch: Adrian Peterson RB

**Udog** · 12-31-2015, 10:50 PM

**Udog** · 01-01-2016, 08:21 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

Some more NFL trends to ponder with Week 17 upon us..........

-- Baltimore is 3-13-2 vs spread in its last 18 games.

-- Buffalo is 12-5-1 vs spread in its last 18 AFC East games.

-- Steelers are 14-7-1 vs spread in last 22 AFC North games.

-- Denver is 17-6 vs spread in its last 23 AFC West games.

-- Miami covered once in its last nine games.

-- Arizona is 18-9 vs spread in its last 27 games.

**Udog** · 01-01-2016, 08:35 AM

NFL
Dunkel

Week 17

NY Jets @ Buffalo

Game 301-302
January 3, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Jets
135.812
Buffalo
130.834
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Jets
by 5
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Jets
by 2 1/2
42 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Jets
(-2 1/2); Under

Philadelphia @ NY Giants

Game 323-324
January 3, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
126.365
NY Giants
132.163
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Giants
by 6
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Giants
by 3
51
Dunkel Pick:
NY Giants
(-3); Over

Tampa Bay @ Carolina

Game 303-304
January 3, 2016 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
124.375
Carolina
140.383
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Carolina
by 16
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
by 10 1/2
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Carolina
(-10 1/2); Under

Minnesota @ Green Bay

Game 325-326
January 3, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
137.768
Green Bay
136.883
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 3 1/2
46
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+3 1/2); Under

New England @ Miami

Game 305-306
January 3, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New England
135.819
Miami
123.469
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 12 1/2
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 10
47
Dunkel Pick:
New England
(-10); Over

San Diego @ Denver

Game 327-328
January 3, 2016 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
127.207
Denver
138.585
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 11 1/2
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 9
41 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-9); Under

Baltimore @ Cincinnati

Game 307-308
January 3, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
124.359
Cincinnati
138.435
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 14
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
by 9 1/2
41 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-9 1/2); Over

St. Louis @ San Francisco

Game 329-330
January 3, 2016 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
133.506
San Francisco
126.906
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 6 1/2
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
by 3 1/2
37
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-3 1/2); Over

New Orleans @ Atlanta

Game 309-310
January 3, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
126.405
Atlanta
133.622
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 7
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 5
53
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-5); Over

Seattle @ Arizona

Game 331-332
January 3, 2016 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
137.311
Arizona
146.753
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 9 1/2
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
by 6 1/2
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-6 1/2); Over

Jacksonville @ Houston

Game 311-312
January 3, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jacksonville
126.179
Houston
129.661
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 3 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 6 1/2
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Jacksonville
(+6 1/2); Over

Pittsburgh @ Cleveland

Game 313-314
January 3, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
137.125
Cleveland
129.598
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 7 1/2
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 11
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(+11); Under

Oakland @ Kansas City

Game 315-316
January 3, 2016 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
126.365
Kansas City
142.223
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 16
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
by 7
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(-7); Under

Tennessee @ Indianapolis

Game 317-318
January 3, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee
118.103
Indianapolis
128.559
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indianapolis
by 10 1/2
36
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indianapolis
by 6
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Indianapolis
(-6); N/A

Washington @ Dallas

Game 319-320
January 3, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
134.717
Dallas
129.655
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 5
35
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 4
40
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+4); Under

Detroit @ Chicago

Game 321-322
January 3, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
131.681
Chicago
129.546
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 2
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 1
46
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+1); Over

**Udog** · 01-01-2016, 10:44 AM

Best (and worst) bets of 2015

Another year down has flown by so it's time to take a look at which teams were the best and worst bets in the calendar year.

Best and Worst of the NFL in 2015

** NFL numbers from 2015 regular season through Week 16.

Top 5 NFL ATS teams

1. Cincinnati Bengals (12-2-1 ATS)

2. Minnesota Vikings (12-3 ATS)

3. Carolina Panthers (10-5 ATS)

4. Arizona Cardinals (9-6 ATS)

5. Green Bay Packers (9-6 ATS)

Bottom 5 NFL ATS teams

1. Miami Dolphins (4-11 ATS)

2. Tennessee Titans (4-10-1 ATS)

3. Dallas Cowboys (4-10-1 ATS)

4. Baltimore Ravens (4-9-2 ATS)

5. San Francisco 49ers (6-9 ATS)

Top 5 NFL Over teams

1. Jacksonville Jaguars (10-5 O/U)

2. New York Giants (10-5 O/U)

3. Carolina Panthers (9-5-1 O/U)

4. New Orleans Saints (9-5-1 O/U)

5. Arizona Cardinals (9-6 O/U)

Top 5 NFL Under teams

1. Atlanta Falcons (2-12-1 O/U)

2. St. Louis Cardinals (4-11 O/U)

3. Minnesota Vikings (4-10-1 O/U)

4. San Diego Chargers (5-10 O/U)

5. Green Bay Packers/Dallas Cowboys (5-10 O/U)

Best and worst of college football in 2015

* College football numbers from 2015 regular season.

Top 5 college football ATS teams

1. South Florida Bulls (9-2-1 ATS)

2. Toledo Rockets (8-2-1 ATS)

3. Bowling Green Falcons (10-3 ATS)

4. Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (10-3 ATS)

5. Central Michigan Chippewas (9-3 ATS)

5. Oklahoma Sooners (9-3 ATS)

5. Washington State Cougars (9-3 ATS)

Bottom 5 college football ATS teams

1. Central Florida Knights (2-10 ATS)

2. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (3-10 ATS)

3. Texas State Bobcats (3-9 ATS)

3. Oregon State Beavers (3-9 ATS)

3. Missouri Tigers (3-9 ATS)

3. Kentucky Wildcats (3-9 ATS)

3. Kent State Golden Flashes (3-9 ATS)

3. Kansas Jayhawks (3-9 ATS)

3. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (3-9 ATS)

3. Auburn Tigers (3-9 ATS)

4. Charlotte 49ers (2-7-2 ATS)

5. Old Dominion Monarchs (3-8-1 ATS)

Top 5 college football Over teams

1. New Mexico State Aggies (10-2 O/U)

2. Syracuse Orange (10-2 O/U)

3. Indiana Hoosiers (9-2-1 O/U)

4. Arizona Wildcats (9-3 O/U)

4. Arkansas State Red Wolves (9-3 O/U)

4. Eastern Michigan Eagles (9-3 O/U)

4. Fresno State Bulldogs (9-3 O/U)

4. Idaho Vandals (9-3 O/U)

4. Texas Tech Red Raiders (9-3 O/U)

4. UNLV Rebels (9-3 O/U)

4. Utah State Aggies (9-3 O/U)

5. Air Force Falcons (9-4 O/U)

5. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (9-4 O/U)

Top 5 college football Under teams

1. Missouri Tigers (1-11 O/U)

2. Vanderbilt Commodores (1-10-1 O/U)

3. Connecticut Huskies (2-10 O/U)

4. Boston College Eagles (2-10 O/U)

5. Western Virginia Mountaineers (3-9 O/U)

5. Ohio State Buckeyes (3-9 O/U)

5. Georgia Bulldogs (3-9 O/U)

Best and worst of MLB 2015

* MLB numbers from regular season only.

Top 5 MLB moneyline teams

1. Texas Rangers (88-74) +$2955

2. St. Louis Cardinals (100-62) +$2247

3. Pittsburgh Pirates (98-64) +$2135

4. Minnesota Twins (83-79) +$2029

5. Kansas City Royals (95-67) +$1944

Bottom 5 MLB moneyline teams

1. Cincinnati Reds (64-98) -$3110

2. Oakland A's (68-94) -$2942

3. Milwaukee Brewers (68-94) -$2081

4. Seattle mariners (76-86) -$2056

5. San Diego Padres (74-88) -$1925

Top 5 MLB Over teams

1. San Diego Padres (93-62-7 O/U)

2. Philadelphia Philles (86-64-12 O/U)

3. Oakland A's (86-66-10 O/U)

4. Detroit Tigers (85-68-8 O/U)

5. New York Mets (84-72-6 O/U)

Top 5 MLB Under teams

1. St. Louis Cardinals (66-85-11 O/U)

2. Chicago Cubs (71-81-10 O/U)

3. Texas Rangers (72-80-10 O/U)

4. Minnesota Twins (72-78-12 O/U)

5. Baltimore Orioles (73-80-9 O/U)

Top 5 MLB starting pitcher money stats

1. Jake Arrieta, Chicago Cubs (Team 25-8) +$1372

2. Carlos Martinez, St. Louis Cardinals (Team 22-7) +$1129

3. Gerrit Cole, Pittsburgh Pirates (Team 23-9) +$1043

4. Carlos Rodon, Chicago White Sox (Team 15-8) +$1013

5. Dallas Keuchel, Houston Astros (Team 23-10) +$973

Bottom 5 MLB starting pitcher money stats

1. Corey Kluber, Cleveland Indians (Team 11-21) -$1747

2. Jesse Chavez, Oakland A's (Team 8-18) -$1147

3. Shelby Miller, Atlanta Braves (Team 11-22) -$1062

4. Lance McCullers, Houston Astros (Team 8-14) -$979

5. Johnny Cueto, Kansas City Royals (Team 4-9) -$934

Top 5 MLB homer umpires (minimum 10 games behind home plate)

1. Jim Reynolds (home team 26-6)

2. Clint Fagan (home team 23-8)

3. Jerry Meals (home team 23-9)

4. Sam Holbrook (home team 18-8)

5. Bill Welke (home team 19-9)

Top 5 MLB Over umpires (minimum 10 games behind home plate)

1. Dana Demuth (18-7 O/U)

2. Dale Scott (18-8 O/U)

3. Bob Davidson (20-10 O/U)

4. Lazaro Diaz (19-10 O/U)

5. Joe West (22-12 O/U)

Top 5 MLB Under umpires (minimum 10 games behind home plate)

1. Toby Basner (4-14 O/U)

2. John Tumpane (8-18 O/U)

3. Greg Gibson (10-17 O/U)

4. Ben May (8-13 O/U)

5. Mark Ripperger (10-16 O/U)

Best and worst of the NBA 2015

* NBA numbers from 2014-15 and 2015-16 regular seasons only.

Top 5 NBA ATS teams

1. Boston Celtics (53-29-2 ATS)

2. San Antonio Spurs (48-31-2 ATS)

3. Detroit Pistons (48-33-1 ATS)

4. Golden State Warriors (47-33-2 ATS)

5. Atlanta Hawks (46-35-3 ATS)

Bottom 5 NBA ATS teams

1. Los Angeles Lakers (33-46-3 ATS)

2. Sacramento Kings (34-46-1 ATS)

3. Washington Wizards (34-43-3 ATS)

4. Chicago Bulls (35-44 ATS)

5. Miami Heat (35-40-4 ATS)

Top 5 NBA Over teams

1. Golden State Warriors (44-38 O/U)

2. Minnesota Timberwolves (44-38-1 O/U)

3. Portland Trail Blazers (42-39-1 O/U)

4. Houston Rockets (42-41 O/U)

5. Washington Wizards (41-36-3 O/U)

Top 5 NBA Under teams

1. Memphis Grizzlies (32-51-1 O/U)

2. Miami Heat (31-48 O/U)

3. Utah Jazz (32-47 O/U)

4. Phoenix Suns (32-47-2 O/U)

5. Cleveland Cavs (34-45 O/U)

Best and worst from college basketball 2015

Top 5 college basketball ATS teams

1. Arizona Wildcats (24-14 ATS)

2. Villanova Wildcats (22-11-1 ATS)

3. Duke Blue Devils (22-15-1 ATS)

4. Michigan State Spartans (22-15 ATS)

5. IUPUI-Ft. Wayne Mastadons (21-7 ATS)

Bottom 5 college basketball ATS teams

1. Saint Louis Billikens (7-19 ATS)

2. Arkansas St. Red Wolves (7-18 ATS)

3. Charleston Cougars (7-18-1 ATS)

4. Minnesota Golden Gophers (8-21 ATS)

5. Ball St. Cardinals (8-18 ATS)

Best and worst of the NHL in 2015

Top 5 NHL puckline teams

1. Colorado Avalanche (50-32)

2. Edmonton Oilers (49-32)

3. Florida Panthers (49-34)

4. Dallas Stars (48-35)

5. Buffalo Sabres (48-32)

Bottom 5 NHL puckline teams

1. Los Angeles Kings (28-51)

2. Chicago Blackhawks (29-53)

3. Boston Bruins (31-48)

4. Nashville Predators (32-50)

5. Anaheim Ducks (32-45)

Top 5 NHL straight up records

1. Washington Capitals (54-27)

2. New York Rangers (53-41)

3. St. Louis Blues (51-32)

4. Dallas Stars (52-32)

5. Minnesota Wild (48-34)

Bottom 5 NHL straight up records

1. Toronto Maple Leafs (22-56)

2. Buffalo Sabres (24-56)

3. Arizona Coyotes (27-53)

4. Edmonton Oilers (31-50)

5. Philadelphia Flyers (34-46)

Top 5 NHL Over teams

1. San Jose Sharks (45-28-6 O/U)

2. Edmonton Oilers (45-34-2 O/U)

3. Dallas Stars (45-38 O/U)

4. Columbus Blue Jackets (44-36-5 O/U)

5. Winnipeg Jets (41-35-3 O/U)

Top 5 NHL Under teams

1. New York Islanders (31-45-5 O/U)

2. Pittsburgh Penguins (27-44-9 O/U)

3. Philadelphia Flyers (25-44-11 O/U)

4. Chicago Blackhawks (27-42-13 O/U)

5. Toronto Maple Leafs (31-42-5 O/U)

**Udog** · 01-03-2016, 08:46 AM

Essential Week 17 betting notes for NFL Sunday

Pittsburgh needs to beat the Browns and have the Buffalo Bills knock off the New York Jets in order to earn a wild card spot.

New York Jets at Buffalo Bills (+2.5, 42)

* Led by quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick, who is 276 passing yards shy of his first 4,000-yard season, New York knocked off New England 26-20 in overtime a week ago to move to the brink of the playoffs.

* The Bills have the edge in recent head-to-head meetings with the Jets, going 4-0 both straight up and against the spread in the last four.

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins (+10, 47)

* New England needs to win or see AFC West champion Denver fall to San Diego in order to clinch the top seed in the conference.

* The AFC East cellar-dwelling Dolphins aren't finishing the season with any semblance of strength, having dropped three in a row and seven of nine SU and six-straight and eight of nine ATS.

New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons (-5.5, 53)

* The Saints don't necessarily close the season on a high note at the betting window, going just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 17.

* The home team has had a decided edge in this series, going 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings between the two rivals. The Falcons are currently tabbed as 5.5-point chalk for the regular season finale.

Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals (-10, 41.5)

* Baltimore QB Ryan Mallet threw for a career-high 274 yards in his team debut as the Ravens took the Pittsburgh Steelers’ destiny out of their own hands with a 20-17 victory last week.

* Bengals QB AJ McCarron is completing 67 percent of his throws and has recorded four touchdowns and two interceptions in the last three games, but Cincinnati has scored a total of nine points in the second half of the last two contests.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns (+11, 47)

* Pittsburgh needs to beat the Browns and have the Buffalo Bills knock off the New York Jets in order to earn a wild card spot, and the Steelers are concentrating on their part of that equation. “There's a scenario that hasn't transpired in order to get in the dance,” Pittsburgh coach Mike Tomlin told reporters. “But the other part of that scenario is us winning," Tomlin said. "I'm not looking for comfort. I'm just trying to meet the challenges of this week. You set yourself up for failure if you view it any other way."

* The Browns have note fared well against teams from within ths division this season, going just 1-4 SU and ATS against the AFC North.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans (-6.5, 45.5)

* Jags QB Blake Bortles can set a club record Sunday as he needs 179 passing yards to eclipse Mark Brunell's single-season mark of 4,367, which he totaled in 1996. He has thrown at least two TD passes in nine of his last 11 games and is one of three quarterbacks in league history (Dan Marino and Matthew Stafford) to record 35 scoring tosses in a season while under the age of 24.

* The Texans have won eight of their last 10 meetings with the Jaguars but are just 5-4-1 ATS in those 10.

Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts (Off, Off)

* Zach Mettenberger, who was 24-for-51 for 234 yards in last week's blowout loss to Houston, will most likely get the start again at quarterback for Tennessee, which has just one win since Nov. 8. Mettenberger, however, will be without his top target, Kendall Wright, who re-injured his MCL in last week's loss.

* Indianapolis has to win and needs victories by Jacksonville, Buffalo, Miami, Baltimore, Atlanta, Oakland, Denver and Pittsburgh to earn a playoff berth.

Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears (PK, 45.5)

* A horrific start brought Jim Caldwell's job security into question, but the Lions have won two in a row and five of seven to put themselves in position to escape the NFC North cellar should they record a sixth straight victory versus their division rivals.

* Home hasn't provided much comfort for Bears backers. In their previous 29 home games, the Bears have gone just 7-21-1 ATS.

Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys (-4, 39.5)

* Despite having nothing on the line, Redskins coach Jay Gruden on Thursday said quarterback Kirk Cousins will get the start against the Cowboys. "All our guys are starting," Gruden said. "How I substitute throughout the course of the game will be dependent on how we're doing health-wise and the situation of the game."

* One of the few bright spots for the Cowboys has been the play of running back Darren McFadden, who has rushed for 100 yards in five of his last 10 starts and is three yards from reaching 1,000. Dallas ranks fifth in the league against the pass, yielding an average of 223 yards.

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants (-3.5, 51)

* Sam Bradford is finishing the season on a high note, following up his 361-yard, two-touchdown performance versus Arizona with 380 yards and a score against the Redskins.

* Team co-owners John Mara and Steve Tisch have not publicly commented on the job security of Tom Coughlin, while the 69-year-old coach himself dismissed that line of questioning Thursday in an effort to focus on the regular-season finale. "I won't let myself go in those other directions because we have a job to do, and that's what we're going to do," Coughlin told reporters. "All these other issues will clear up in time, but not before then."

St. Louis Rams at San Francisco 49ers (+3, 37)

* Hardly considered flashy, Case Keenum's efficient passing ways have enabled Jeff Fisher to move on from offseason acquisition Nick Foles and hand the keys to the 27-year-old. "We're having fun," said Keenum, who has completed just 14 passes in each contest of the team's winning streak - including last week's 23-17 victory over Seattle. "We're playing football. We've got nothing to lose. ... I think that's the mindset our guys have got."

* Missouri native Blaine Gabbert isn't placing any extra emphasis on facing the team he watched with his family as season ticket holders. "No, not at all," the 26-year-old Gabbert told reporters. "It's another division game. It’s a big game for both sides regardless of the situation that we put ourselves in up to this point."

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers (-10.5, 46)

* It’s been far from a lost season for Tampa Bay, thanks to an encouraging rookie season by top pick Jameis Winston (3,717 passing yards, 22 touchdowns, 13 interceptions) and a bounce-back campaign from Doug Martin (1,354 rushing yards, six TDs). The Buccaneers have had a tough time turning drives into points, though, and have committed five turnovers in their last two games and 24 this season – including a season-high five in a 37-23 loss to Carolina in Week 4.

* The Carolina Panthers no longer are playing to preserve a perfect season, but they still have plenty on the line. The Panthers can clinch the NFC’s top seed and home-field advantage through the conference championship game with a win Sunday.

Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals (-6.5, 47)

* The Seahawks, who had a five-game winning streak snapped by the St. Louis Rams last week, have locked up a playoff berth and will be on the road for the first round of the postseason.

* The Cardinals have ripped off nine consecutive victories to set a franchise record for wins and already have wrapped up the No. 2 seed and a first-round bye.

San Diego Chargers at Denver Broncos (-10, 41.5)

* Following its bye in Week 10, San Diego was limited to a field goal in three of its next four games and can match the franchise's worst record since a 4-12 mark in 2003. Philip Rivers has managed to put up some big numbers amid the carnage and can eclipse the franchise single-season record of 4,802 yards (Dan Fouts, 1981) by throwing for 239 yards Sunday, but he was limited to 202 in the earlier meeting with the Broncos.

* Denver needs a win and a loss by New England at Miami to snag the top overall seed in the conference, but it also can lose the AFC West title with a loss and a victory by Kansas City.

Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-7.5, 43.5)

* The Raiders attempt to finish with a winning record on the road, where they have won two straight to improve to 4-3. The Raiders have gone 5-2 ATS away from home.

* Kansas City is the first team in 45 years to qualify for the postseason after beginning with a 1-5 record have won four of its last five meetings with the Raiders, including a 34-20 victory at Oakland in Week 13.

Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (-3, 45.5)

* While both teams have already secured berths in the postseason, the ramifications will be huge: The winner will host a wild card team in the first round of the playoffs while the loser will hit the road as either the fifth or sixth seed.

* Aaron Rodgers has won 10 of his last 11 versus the Vikings, throwing for 28 touchdowns and three interceptions.

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NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 17 (Sunday, January 3)

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 17 (Sunday, January 3)

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