Announcement

**Udog** · 12-22-2015, 10:35 PM

Short spread hits the board as Jets host Patriots in key Week 16 NFL matchup

New England (12-2 SU, 7-5-2 ATS) has put a two-game SU hiccup behind it with a pair of easy victories, including Sunday’s 33-16 win over Tennessee as hefty 14.5-point home chalk.

If the New York Jets want to go to the playoffs, or at least stay firmly in the chase, they’re going to have to do something they’ve done just once since the beginning of the 2011 season.

Beat the New England Patriots.

As the NFL hits Week 16, the Jets-Pats matchup is among several key contests with playoff implications. The Jets are just 1-8 SU in their last eight meetings with New England, most recently losing 30-23 as 7-point road underdogs back in October. That began a 1-4 SU and 0-4-1 ATS skid, but New York has since rebounded to go 4-0 SU (3-0-1 ATS) and get the season back on track.

On Saturday night, the Jets (9-5 SU, 7-5-2 ATS) edged Dallas 19-16 on a last-minute field goal to push as 3-point road favorites.

Meanwhile, New England (12-2 SU, 7-5-2 ATS) has put a two-game SU hiccup behind it with a pair of easy victories, including Sunday’s 33-16 win over Tennessee as hefty 14.5-point home chalk.

John Lester, senior lines manager for Bookmaker.eu, installed the Pats as a 3-point favorite.

“We’re expecting another tight game between these two teams,” Lester said. “We opened the Jets too high in the first matchup, but they’ve earned our respect since. This is a good line that we don’t think will move too much, and it may not attract much interest from the sharp bettors.”

Johnny Avello, executive director of race and sports for Wynn Las Vegas, wouldn’t be surprised if Tom Brady’s arm gets another big workout in this game.

“In the first meeting this season, New England’s game plan was to pass and abandon the run. Brady threw 54 times and the running backs got only nine carries for 16 yards,” Avello said. “You can understand why, as the Jets’ pass defense is in the bottom third of the league. It’ll be a short spread for this one – the Pats by around a field goal.”

Green Bay Packers at Arizona Cardinals (-4.5)

Two teams that have already punched their playoff tickets get a nice tune-up in the desert.

If not for Carolina’s improbable perfect season in progress, Arizona (12-2 SU, 8-6 ATS) would be all the rage in the NFC. Carson Palmer and Co. have ripped off eight consecutive SU wins (4-4 ATS), including Sunday night’s 40-17 shelling of Philadelphia as 3.5-point road faves.

Green Bay (10-4 SU, 9-5 ATS) is on a 4-1 SU and ATS stretch, winning and cashing its last three in a row. The Packers topped Oakland 30-20 Sunday as a 4-point road chalk.

With Arizona having played late Sunday, the line is still in the works.

“These two may be playing again in a few weeks, so this is a good ‘get to know you’ game,” Avello said. “The game actually does have meaning, as the second seed in the NFC and first place in the NFC North are both still undecided. This is Sunday’s showcase game.”

Lester said the Cards will certainly be favored, which could get the public on Green Bay.

“We’ll look to make Arizona around 4-point favorites,” Lester said. “The public should be looking to back the Pack getting points. It’s the second straight West Coast game for Green Bay, and the Cardinals are crazy good at home.”

Cincinnati Bengals at Denver Broncos (-3.5)

Two weeks ago, Denver was the AFC’s No. 1 seed – with a backup quarterback, no less – and had a home date against Oakland looking like a sure win. But the Broncos blew that game by getting just four field goals in a 15-12 loss laying 6 points, and on Sunday at Pittsburgh, Denver failed to score a second-half point, turning a 27-13 lead into a 34-27 loss catching 7.5 points.

So Denver (10-4 SU, 8-6 ATS) is now the No. 3 seed, and only a game ahead of red-hot Kansas City in the AFC West.

Cincinnati (11-3 SU, 11-2-1 ATS) was without Andy Dalton (broken thumb), but had enough in the tank to beat hapless San Francisco 24-14 giving 7 points on the road Sunday.

“Two of the better defenses we have go at it on ‘Monday Night Football,’” Avello said. “Look for conservative game plans from both squads in what could end up being a playoff preview. These are pretty evenly matched teams on paper, so we accounted for Denver’s home-field advantage when setting this line.”

Avello expects Brock Osweiler to again start for Denver in place of the healing Peyton Manning, and he believes the Broncos will give Cincy backup QB A.J. McCarron some trouble.

“For turnover purposes, McCarron was mistake-free for Cincinnati against the 49ers, but that may be more difficult against a Denver team that just let two straight games slip away,” Avello said. “Osweiler and the Broncos should be focused for a game that will likely decide the AFC’s No. 2 seed.”

Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles (-3)

The Redskins finally gave the NFC East one team without a losing record, taking over first place with a 35-25 victory catching 2.5 points against visiting Buffalo on Sunday. That moved Washington to .500 at 7-7 SU and ATS.

But Philadelphia (6-8 SU and ATS) still controls its own destiny, even after getting shelled by Arizona 40-17 on Sunday night as a 3.5-point home pup. If the Eagles win out – on Saturday night against Washington and in Week 17 at the New York Giants – they win the NFC East.

Back in October, host Washington edged Philly 23-20 as a 3-point home pup.

“We have a round-robin tournament over the next two weeks to determine the NFC East winner,” Avello said. “The ‘Skins won the first meeting by a field goal, and that’s how the last three in this rivalry have been decided. Expect more of the same.”

Lester hadn’t yet posted a number, but has a small one in mind.

“The Eagles will be in the 3-point chalk range for this Saturday night showdown,” he said. “The Redskins are starting to look like the team that wants to grab this slow-paced NFC East race. That said, Philly seems to win games it shouldn’t, and Washington hasn’t been great on the road.”

Football bettors must react quickly to these NFL Week 16 odds

The Chiefs are the hottest team in the AFC and bettors may want to grab their Week 16 spread now before it gets even bigger.

Spread to bet now

Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs (-12.5)

There’s no hotter cover team in the league than the Kansas City Chiefs, who were left for dead on the side of the road in mid-October but now have run off eight straight SU wins, covering the spread in seven of them.

The Chiefs have beaten good teams (Denver, Pittsburgh), bad teams (Baltimore, San Diego, Detroit) and average teams (Oakland) as they beat all odds in crowding into the playoff picture. They’re 9-5 with the cupcake Browns headed into Arrowhead this Sunday, and laying 12.5 points doesn’t seem all that unreasonable given that Cleveland was beaten up in Seattle Sunday and is on its annual trek to nowhere. Early money is on Kansas City, so if you like the Chiefs to cover you best jump before the line hits 13.

Spread to wait on

St. Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks (-13.5)

Heavy early money is down on the Seahawks, who have won five straight and have locked down a playoff spot. But is the public wrong on this one? The Seahawks have little to play for other than wanting to keep the freight train rolling downhill, and St. Louis isn’t exactly cashing in its chips.

The Rams, who might be again calling Los Angeles home in a few months, have won two in a row and have covered the number in both. Problem is, St. Louis has played poorly against decent teams - one rare exception being its win over Seattle on opening day. Might be a good idea to hold off a bit on this one and see if the line budges a half a point either way.

Total to watch

Cincinnati Bengals at Denver Broncos (41)

Interesting dilemma faced here by the Bengals, who desperately need to win this one to hold off the Broncos and secure a bye in the first round of the playoffs, hopefully giving QB Andy Dalton time to heal and get back on the field.

A.J. McCarron did OK (15/21, TD) in Cincinnati’s win over San Francisco, but Denver’s defense will be smarting after getting taken apart by the Steelers Sunday. It’s hard to see the Bronco defense laying two eggs in a row. Still, 41 is a low number for two teams with a decent amount of playmakers, so an Over play deserves a hard look.

**Udog** · 12-22-2015, 10:36 PM

NFL
Long Sheet

Thursday, December 24

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SAN DIEGO (4 - 10) at OAKLAND (6 - 8) - 12/24/2015, 8:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 90-63 ATS (+20.7 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
OAKLAND is 70-96 ATS (-35.6 Units) in home games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 70-96 ATS (-35.6 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 24-45 ATS (-25.5 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
OAKLAND is 70-96 ATS (-35.6 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
OAKLAND is 30-56 ATS (-31.6 Units) in December games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 35-73 ATS (-45.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
OAKLAND is 19-40 ATS (-25.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
OAKLAND is 29-53 ATS (-29.3 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 4-1 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 3-2 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, December 26

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WASHINGTON (7 - 7) at PHILADELPHIA (6 - 8) - 12/26/2015, 8:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, December 27

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NY GIANTS (6 - 8) at MINNESOTA (9 - 5) - 12/27/2015, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
MINNESOTA is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points this season.
MINNESOTA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
MINNESOTA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.
NY GIANTS are 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games against NFC North division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 1-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 1-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (5 - 9) at TAMPA BAY (6 - 8) - 12/27/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.
CHICAGO is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 38-58 ATS (-25.8 Units) in December games since 1992.
CHICAGO is 14-31 ATS (-20.1 Units) in road games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 1-0 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 1-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CAROLINA (14 - 0) at ATLANTA (7 - 7) - 12/27/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 71-47 ATS (+19.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
CAROLINA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
CAROLINA is 54-31 ATS (+19.9 Units) in December games since 1992.
ATLANTA is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 4-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 4-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (4 - 10) at BUFFALO (6 - 8) - 12/27/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in games played on turf this season.
DALLAS is 36-55 ATS (-24.5 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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JACKSONVILLE (5 - 9) at NEW ORLEANS (5 - 9) - 12/27/2015, 4:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SAN FRANCISCO (4 - 10) at DETROIT (5 - 9) - 12/27/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points since 1992.
DETROIT is 26-48 ATS (-26.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
DETROIT is 54-80 ATS (-34.0 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
DETROIT is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points this season.
DETROIT is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CLEVELAND (3 - 11) at KANSAS CITY (9 - 5) - 12/27/2015, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANAPOLIS (6 - 8) at MIAMI (5 - 9) - 12/27/2015, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-0 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 1-0 straight up against INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ENGLAND (12 - 2) at NY JETS (9 - 5) - 12/27/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 221-180 ATS (+23.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 221-180 ATS (+23.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 172-130 ATS (+29.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) in road games versus division opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 107-78 ATS (+21.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 75-50 ATS (+20.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 56-34 ATS (+18.6 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 4-0 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 4-1 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (7 - 7) at TENNESSEE (3 - 11) - 12/27/2015, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 4-1 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GREEN BAY (10 - 4) at ARIZONA (12 - 2) - 12/27/2015, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 62-36 ATS (+22.4 Units) in December games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 86-61 ATS (+18.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 64-38 ATS (+22.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 58-33 ATS (+21.7 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ST LOUIS (6 - 8) at SEATTLE (9 - 5) - 12/27/2015, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 149-187 ATS (-56.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 149-187 ATS (-56.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 107-147 ATS (-54.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 56-81 ATS (-33.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
SEATTLE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 3-2 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 3-2 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PITTSBURGH (9 - 5) at BALTIMORE (4 - 10) - 12/27/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games this season.
BALTIMORE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home lined games this season.
BALTIMORE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in games played on turf this season.
BALTIMORE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in December games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-2 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 4-2 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, December 28

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CINCINNATI (11 - 3) at DENVER (10 - 4) - 12/28/2015, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 52-32 ATS (+16.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
CINCINNATI is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games this season.
CINCINNATI is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road lined games this season.
CINCINNATI is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 12-22-2015, 10:36 PM

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 15

Thursday - Dec, 24

San Diego at Oakland, 8:25 ET
San Diego: 33-17 ATS on road when total is greater than or equal to 45.5
Oakland: 70-96 ATS in home games in games played on a grass field

Saturday - Dec, 26

Washington at Philadelphia, 8:25 ET
Washington: 6-15 ATS as a road underdog
Philadelphia: 21-8 ATS after a loss by 21 or more points

Sunday - Dec, 27

NY Giants at Minnesota, 8:30 ET
New York: 2-10 ATS after allowing 30 points or more last game
Minnesota: 8-1 ATS off a division game

Chicago at Tampa Bay, 1:00 ET
Chicago: 11-23 ATS against conference opponents
Tampa Bay: 9-2 UNDER in home games against conference opponents

Carolina at Atlanta, 1:00 ET
Carolina: 7-1 ATS off 1 or more straight overs
Atlanta: 5-17 ATS as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7

Dallas at Buffalo, 1:00 ET
Dallas: 1-7 ATS in games played on turf
Buffalo: 48-27 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread

Jacksonville at New Orleans, 4:05 ET
Jacksonville: 1-10 ATS in non-conference games
New Orleans: 8-3 ATS after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game

San Francisco at Detroit, 1:00 ET
San Francisco: 29-15 ATS in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45
Detroit: 8-21 ATS after gaining 7 or more yards/play in their previous game

Cleveland at Kansas City, 1:00 ET
Cleveland: 0-6 ATS after having lost 5 or 6 out of their last 7
Kansas City: 8-1 ATS after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games

Indianapolis at Miami, 1:00 ET
Indianapolis: 5-1 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite
Miami: 2-8 ATS after allowing 30 points or more last game

New England at NY Jets, 1:00 ET
New England: 13-3 ATS off 1 or more straight overs
NY Jets: 73-100 ATS after playing their last game on the road

Houston at Tennessee, 1:00 ET
Houston: 17-8 ATS after scoring 17 points or less in 2 straight games
Tennessee: 0-6 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games

Green Bay at Arizona, 4:25 ET
Green Bay: 29-14 ATS in the last 2 weeks of the regular season
Arizona: 12-25 ATS at home after a game with a t/o margin of +2 or better

St Louis at Seattle, 4:25 ET
St Louis: 0-8 ATS in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42
Seattle: 15-6 ATS off a home win

Pittsburgh at Baltimore, 1:00 ET
Pittsburgh: 8-1 ATS after 2 games where 50 total points or more were scored
Baltimore: 0-6 ATS in home games in games played on turf

Monday - Dec, 28

Cincinnati at Denver, 8:30 ET
Cincinnati: 8-2 ATS against conference opponents
Denver: 35-17 OVER against AFC North division opponents

**Udog** · 12-22-2015, 10:36 PM

NFL

Week 15

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Trend Report
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Thursday, December 24

8:25 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. OAKLAND
San Diego is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
San Diego is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Oakland
Oakland is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 games when playing at home against San Diego
Oakland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

Saturday, December 26

8:25 PM
WASHINGTON vs. PHILADELPHIA
Washington is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Washington is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Philadelphia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home

Sunday, December 27

1:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. TENNESSEE
Houston is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games on the road
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tennessee's last 9 games when playing at home against Houston
Tennessee is 3-16-2 ATS in its last 21 games at home

1:00 PM
DALLAS vs. BUFFALO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Buffalo
Dallas is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing Dallas
Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas

1:00 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Pittsburgh is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games

1:00 PM
NEW ENGLAND vs. NY JETS
New England is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Jets last 6 games
NY Jets are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games

1:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. TAMPA BAY
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Chicago is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing Chicago
Tampa Bay is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games

1:00 PM
INDIANAPOLIS vs. MIAMI
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing Miami
Indianapolis is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indianapolis

1:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. KANSAS CITY
Cleveland is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing Cleveland

1:00 PM
CAROLINA vs. ATLANTA
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games
Atlanta is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games
Atlanta is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games at home

1:00 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. DETROIT
San Francisco is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing San Francisco

4:05 PM
JACKSONVILLE vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Jacksonville's last 10 games
Jacksonville is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games
New Orleans is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games

4:25 PM
GREEN BAY vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 6 games when playing Arizona
Green Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games at home
Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

4:25 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis's last 8 games on the road
St. Louis is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis

8:30 PM
NY GIANTS vs. MINNESOTA
NY Giants are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games on the road
NY Giants are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing NY Giants
Minnesota is 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games when playing NY Giants

Monday, December 28

8:30 PM
CINCINNATI vs. DENVER
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cincinnati's last 14 games on the road
Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Denver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-23-2015, 08:44 AM

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 16

Thursday's game
Chargers (4-10) @ Raiders (6-8)-- Oakland (+3.5) won 37-29 at San Diego in Week 7, racing out to 30-6 halftime lead; Raiders averaged 8.8 ypa, were +2 in turnovers-- they started 6 of 11 drives in San Diego territory. It was just their second win in last eight series games. Chargers won three of last four visits here, with wins by 12-8-3 points. Bolts had emotional win LW in what was likely their last-ever home game in San Diego; they've scored exactly three points in three of last five games- they are 4-0 vs spread in last four road games. Raiders could be playing its last home game ever in Oakland; they lost last three home games by 16-14-10 points. AFC West home teams are 0-9 vs spread this season in divisional games. Over is 5-2-2 in last nine Oakland games.

**Udog** · 12-23-2015, 10:17 PM

NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 16

Chris Ivory has had the fourth most rushing attempts inside the red zone this season, scoring six touchdowns inside the 20-yard line.

San Diego Chargers at Oakland Raiders (-4.5, 47)

Chargers’ fourth-quarter defense vs. Raiders’ late collapses

The Bolts don’t have much to hang their hat on in the final two games of the schedule, but one positive building steam in recent games has been the play of the defense. San Diego has limited its last three opponents to a total of 41 points – an average of just under two touchdowns per game – with just seven of those points coming in the fourth quarter. In fact, the Chargers blanked Denver and Kansas City in the final frame and those seven tallied came on a last-minute score from Miami in garbage time last Sunday.

Oakland has done much better than expected this season, but those fortunes really could have turned around had the Raiders been able to close out games. Instead, the Silver and Black were outscored by an average of more than five points in the fourth quarter heading into Week 16, and second-year passer Derek Carr has crumbled in the crunch. Carr, who boasts a QB rating of 105.6 through the first three quarters, plummets to 61.3 in the closing 15 minutes, completing just 55.6 percent of his throws with seven of his 11 total interceptions coming in the fourth.

Daily fantasy watch: San Diego D/ST

Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles (-3, 47)

Redskins’ pass defense vs. Eagles’ butter-fingered WRs

The Eagles have one of the more balanced playbooks in the NFL, passing the ball just over 58 percent of the time. However, with the way the receivers have dropped the ball, it’s a wonder Chip Kelly just doesn’t stick to the ground. According to SportingCharts.com, Philadelphia averages the second most amount of dropped passes per game at 5.5 percent. On the season, the Eagles targets have bumbled away 29 would-be catches for a completion percentage just under 64 percent.

The Redskins, looking to lock up the division title with a win, have caused chaos in the secondary, especially in recent outings. Washington’s defense has allowed the last three opposing passers – Dallas, Chicago, Buffalo - to connect on less than 59 percent of their attempts and SportingCharts has the Redskins ranked among the top teams in opponents drops, at 5.9 percent. Washington limited Philadelphia to 15-for-28 passing (53.5%) in its 24-20 win over the Eagles in Week 4.

Daily fantasy watch: Washington D/ST

New England Patriots at New York Jets (+3, 45.5)

Patriots’ red-zone defense vs. Jets’ red-zone defense

The Patriots defense doesn’t allow opponents inside the red zone too often, watching opponents crack the 20-yard line only 35 times this season – tied with two other teams for second lowest in the NFL. On the season, the Pats have allowed foes to score a touchdown in the red zone 57 percent of the time but in the past three weeks, that red-zone defense has crumbled. The last three opponents – Tennessee, Houston, Philadelphia – have found pay dirt on 75 percent of their visits inside the 20-yard line. The Titans scored a TD on their lone red-zone look last Sunday and the Eagles punched it in on both their tries in Week 13. The Texans were turned away in their lone red-zone series.

The Jets have tunnel vision inside the 20. New York ranks as the second best red-zone team, in terms of touchdown percentage in the NFL, picking up six points on almost 67 percent of their red-zone tries. The Jets have plenty of options too. Wide receivers Eric Decker and Brandon Marshall rank first and fourth in red-zone targets respectively, and running back Chris Ivory is fourth in the league in red-zone rushing attempts. That trio has combined for 23 total touchdowns inside the red zone this season. New York scored TDs on two of its trips inside the 20-yard line in its 30-23 loss to New England in Week 7.

Daily fantasy watch: Eric Decker WR

New York Giants at Minnesota Vikings (-6, 46)

Giants’ kick returns vs. Vikings’ struggling special teams

The G-Men could be missing their biggest offensive weapon for this Sunday Night Football showdown with the Vikings, if Odell Beckham Jr.’s suspension holds up. That puts even more of an emphasis on New York’s kick and punt returns to give the offense a head start. The Giants have been among the better return units in the league, averaging 26.1 yards per kickoff return and bringing punts back for an average of 10.6 yards. Dwayne Harris has been a weapon on special teams, ranked fourth in average return yards (28.7) and seventh in punt returns (10.3).

The Vikings special teams, more specifically the kicking game, has been rotten. Minnesota had a bad week kicking the football against the Bears, allowing Chicago to run the ball back 49 yards on the opening kickoff – just one tackle short of a would-be touchdown – and punter Jeff Locke totaled just over 36 net yards on a trio of punts. For the season, the Vikes have given up 27.6 yards per kickoff return – second worst in the NFL.

Daily fantasy watch: Dwayne Harris WR

**Udog** · 12-24-2015, 08:41 AM

NFL
Dunkel

Week 16

San Diego @ Oakland

Game 101-102
December 24, 2015 @ 8:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
124.440
Oakland
134.039
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 9 1/2
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
by 6
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-6); Over

**Udog** · 12-24-2015, 06:26 PM

NFL

Thursday, December 24

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thursday Night Football betting preview: Chargers at Raiders
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

San Diego Chargers at Oakland Raiders (-6, 46.5)

The Oakland Raiders are hoping to share a new stadium with San Diego next year, but first they will attempt to complete their first sweep of the season series since 2010 when they host the Chargers on Thursday night. It could be the final home game in Oakland, which is looking to become co-tenants with San Diego next season for a new stadium in Carson, Calif.

"I don't know what the plans are. That's not my area," Raiders coach Jack Del Rio said of the relocation prospects. "I just continue to coach football and have our guys as prepared as possible." Oakland built a 31-point lead and held off a furious comeback to knock off the host Chargers 37-29 on Oct. 25. San Diego had won three straight and six of seven against Oakland prior to that setback but is looking to post consecutive victories for the first time this season. The matchup will mark the final home game for Raiders cornerback Charles Woodson, who announced Monday that he is retiring after this season.

TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, NFL Network.

LINE HISTORY: The Raiders opened as 4.5-point home favorites and have been bet up to -6. The total has held steady at the opening number of 46.5.

INJURY REPORT:

Chargers - TE L. Green (questionable Thursday, ankle), LB K. Emanuel (questionable Thursday, concussion), WR S. Johnson (questionable Thursday, groin), CB S. Willliams (questionable Thursday, hip), NT S. Lissemore (out Thursday, shoulder), T K. Dunlap (out Thursday, ankle), RB M. Gordon (I-R, knee), CB B. Flowers (I-R, knee), DE C. Liuget (I-R, foot).

Raiders - WR S. Roberts (probable Thursday, WR A. Cooper (probable Thursday, foot), LB K. Mack (probable Thursday, knee), T A. Howard (questionable Thursday, knee), CB N. Thorpe (questionable Thursday, neck), CB T. Carrie (questionable Thursday, head), S N. Allen (out Thursday, knee), DE M. Edwards (I-R, neck).

WEATHER REPORT: It could be a messy night for football in Oakland, with a chance of thunderstorms and an 82 percent chance of rain in the forecast. There will also be a strong 14-16 mile per hour wind gusting towards the eastern end zone.

POWER RANKINGS: Chargers (+5) - Raiders (+1.5) + home field (-3) = Raiders -6.5

ABOUT THE CHARGERS (4-10, 6-8 ATS, 5-9 O/U): San Diego was limited to a field goal in back-to-back losses to AFC West rivals Denver and Kansas City before breaking out with a 30-14 home win over Miami on Sunday behind 311 yards and three touchdowns from quarterback Philip Rivers. Rookie running back Melvin Gordon injured his knee in the loss and will miss the final two games. Donald Brown came on and rushed for 90 yards while Danny Woodhead scored four touchdowns, three on passes from Rivers. The Chargers are coming off one of their best defensive efforts, holding the Dolphins to 231 total yards.

ABOUT THE RAIDERS (6-8, 7-7 ATS, 8-4-2 O/U): One week after erasing an early 12-point deficit in a 15-12 upset victory at Denver, Oakland climbed out of a 14-0 hole against Green Bay on Sunday before giving up the final 13 points in a 30-20 setback. Derek Carr failed to complete 50 percent of his passes for the second straight game and had an interception returned for a touchdown, but he tossed a pair of scoring strikes to rookie Amari Cooper, who went over 1,000 yards one week after being held without a catch. Second-year linebacker Khalil Mack has 10 sacks over his last four games to boost his league-high total to 15.

TRENDS:

* Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
* Underdog is 12-1 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
* Over is 3-0-1 in Raiders last 4 home games.
* Under is 5-1 in Chargers last 6 games overall.

CONSENSUS: Bettors are siding with Oakland in this AFC West matchup, with 60 percent of wagers on the Raiders. As for the total, 67 percent of bettors are backing the over.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-24-2015, 06:36 PM

NFL
Dunkel

Week 16

Washington @ Philadelphia

Game 103-104
December 26, 2015 @ 8:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
133.103
Philadelphia
130.979
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 3
47
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+3); Over

St. Louis @ Seattle

Game 127-128
December 27, 2015 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
127.870
Seattle
138.017
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 10
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 13 1/2
40
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(+13 1/2); Over

Chicago @ Tampa Bay

Game 107-108
December 27, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
128.184
Tampa Bay
125.737
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 2 1/2
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
by 3
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+3); Under

Pittsburgh @ Baltimore

Game 129-130
December 27, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
142.591
Baltimore
126.192
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 16 1/2
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 10
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-10); Under

Carolina @ Atlanta

Game 109-110
December 27, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
141.848
Atlanta
129.357
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Carolina
by 12 1/2
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
by 7
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Carolina
(-7); Under

Dallas @ Buffalo

Game 111-112
December 27, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
125.860
Buffalo
133.629
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 9
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
by 6
43
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(-6); Under

Jacksonville @ New Orleans

Game 113-114
December 27, 2015 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jacksonville
123.523
New Orleans
129.961
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 6 1/2
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 3 1/2
52
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(-3 1/2); Over

San Francisco @ Detroit

Game 115-116
December 27, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
125.712
Detroit
132.275
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 6 1/2
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 10
43
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(+10); Under

Cleveland @ Kansas City

Game 117-118
December 27, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
124.005
Kansas City
144.616
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 20 1/2
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
by 11 1/2
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(-11 1/2); Under

Indianapolis @ Miami

Game 119-120
December 27, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indianapolis
124.985
Miami
123.443
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indianapolis
by 1 1/2
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 2 1/2
44
Dunkel Pick:
Indianapolis
(+2 1/2); Under

New England @ NY Jets

Game 121-122
December 27, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New England
136.569
NY Jets
137.662
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Jets
by 1
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 3
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Jets
(+3); Over

Houston @ Tennessee

Game 123-124
December 27, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
129.225
Tennessee
124.740
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 4 1/2
47 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
N/A

Green Bay @ Arizona

Game 125-126
December 27, 2015 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Green Bay
137.101
Arizona
143.719
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 6 1/2
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
by 4
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-4); Over

NY Giants @ Minnesota

Game 105-106
December 27, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Giants
128.496
Minnesota
136.950
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 8 1/2
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 5
46
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-5); Under

Cincinnati @ Denver

Game 131-132
December 28, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
136.108
Denver
141.620
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 5 1/2
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 3
41
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-3); Under

**Udog** · 12-25-2015, 09:08 PM

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 16

Saturday's game
Redskins (7-7) @ Eagles (6-8)-- Washington wins NFC East with win here; there is chaos if they lose. Redskins blew 13-0 halftime lead, scored in last minute to beat Philly 23-20 (+3) at home in Week 4, outgaining Eagles 417-320. Waashington won four of last six games, is 1-5 on road (2-4 as road dog), with losses by 11-6-14-17-28 on foreign soil- win was 24-21 at Chicago two weeks ago. Philly lost four of last six games, three of last four at home- they're 2-3 as home faves, giving up 382 yards on ground last two games. Iggles are 6-4 in last ten series games, 3-1 in last four here; four of last six series totals were 47+. Over is 6-3 in last nine Redskin games, 4-1 in last five Philly tilts. Eagles are -8 in turnovers last six games.

**Udog** · 12-26-2015, 07:49 AM

NFL

Saturday, December 26

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Saturday Night Football betting preview: Washington at Philadelphia
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Washington has a chance to win the NFC East with a win over Philadelphia Saturday night.

Washington at Philadelphia (-3, 48)

Washington flopped in their last bid to take control of the NFC East, but they can wrap up the division title with a victory at the visiting Philadelphia Eagles on Saturday night. Although Washington holds a one-game lead over Philadelphia and the New York Giants, the Eagles can win the NFC East with victories in their last two games.

Washington rebounded from a lackluster home loss to Dallas on Dec. 7 to knock off Chicago and Buffalo, posting back-to-back victories for the first time this season. Philadelphia bounced back from a three-game skid with wins over New England and Buffalo before it was demolished at home by the Arizona Cardinals 40-17 last week, putting it in a win-out situation. "I'm guaranteeing a win," Eagles defensive end Fletcher Cox said. "What am I supposed to say? That I think we're going to lose or something? No." The last three meetings have each been decided by three points, including Washington's 23-20 win in Week 4.

TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, NFL Network.

LINE HISTORY: The Eagles opened as 4-point home favorites and have been bet down to -3. The total has stayed put at the opening number of 48.

INJURY REPORT:

Washington - WR D. Jackson (probable Saturday, foot), RB M. Jones (probable Saturday, hip), DE J. Hatcher (questionable Saturday, knee), S D. Goldson (questionable Saturday, ribs), LB P. Riley (uestionable Saturday, foot), RB C. Thompson (questionable Saturday, shoulder), S J. Johnson (questionable Saturday, hamstring), T M. Moses (questionable Saturday, foot), WR A. Roberts (I-R, knee).

Philadelphia - TE Z. Ertz (probable Saturday, leg), DB E. Rowe (probable Saturday, head), QB S. Bradford (probable Saturday, shoulder), DT B. Logan (questionable Saturday, calf), CB B. Maxwell (questionable Saturday, shoulder).

WEATHER REPORT: It could be a wet night in Philadelphia. There is a 60-70 percent chance of rain with a slight 4-6 mile per hour wind, blowing across the field from east to west. Temperatures will be the low 50's.

POWER RANKINGS: Washington (-0.5) - Philadelphia (+0.5) + home field (-3) = Philadelphia -3

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "Washington DL Chris Baker on their chance to clinch the division on Saturday: ?I plan on celebrating in Philadelphia. We have to take care of business.... It?s going to be a dog fight.? Meanwhile, Eagles RB DeMarco Murray barely got off the bench in Sunday Night?s ugly loss to Arizona, now ranked No. 44 in yards per rush attempt out of 46 backs with enough carries to qualify." - Covers Expert Teddy Covers.

ABOUT WASHINGTON (7-7, 7-7 ATS, 7-7 O/U): Kirk Cousins is in the midst of his the best stretch of his career with a passer rating above 100 in four straight games, capped by a 153.7 mark in last week's 35-25 win over Buffalo in which he threw for 319 yards with four touchdowns and no interceptions. DeSean Jackson tuned up for his former teammates by hauling in six catches for 153 yards and a TD against the Bills; he has torched the Eagles with nine receptions for 243 yards and a score in the past two matchups. The Redskins are vulnerable to the run, ranking 28th with an average of 129.8 yards per game allowed.

ABOUT PHILADELPHIA (6-8, 6-8 ATS, 6-8 O/U): Philadelphia was pierced for at least 40 points for the third time in five games in last week's loss and its 30th-ranked run defense surrendered a staggering 230 yards to the Cardinals. After throwing only one interception in a four-game span, quarterback Sam Bradford negated a season-high 361-yard performance by getting picked off twice and losing a fumble. The soap opera that is the Eagles' running game continued as marquee free-agent acquisition DeMarco Murray had a season-low two carries for three yards and has been limited to 91 yards over the past four games.

TRENDS:

* Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Over is 4-1 in Philadelphia's last five games overall.
* Over is 4-1 in Washington's last 5 games in December.
* Philadelphia is 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home.

CONSENSUS: Sixty percent of bettors are siding with Washington in this NFC East showdown. As for the total, the public loves the over, with 72 percent of wagers on it.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-26-2015, 08:14 AM

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 16

Sunday's games
Bears (5-9) @ Buccaneers (6-8)-- Lovie Smith was 81-63 in nine years as Chicago's coach, winning NFC in third year, going 1-1 in playoffs next six years so they fired him. Both teams here come in on skids; Bucs lost three of last four games, but had three extra days to prep after loss in St Louis. Bears lost last three, giving up 29.3 ppg (11 TDs/30 drives); they won four of last five games with Bucs, with four of five decided by 6 or less points- two went OT. This is Chicago's first visit here in 10 years. NFC South non-divisional home favorites are 7-7 vs spread; NFC North road underdogs are 9-3. Last three Chicago games went over total; three of last four Buc games stayed under.

Panthers (14-0) @ Falcons (7-7)-- Carolina (-8.5) spanked Falcons 38-0 at home two weeks ago, outgaining them 424-230 in game that was 28-0 at half. Panthers are 5-1 in last six series games, winning 21-20/34-3 in last two visits here- they're 7-0 on the road after 38-35 win in Swamp LW, when they blew 35-7 lead. Atlanta snapped skid at six last week; they're 1-9 vs spread in last 10 games- they're 2-5 SU in last seven after 5-0 start- they lost last three home games, are 3-1 as underdogs, 1-0 at home. Will Rivera rest banged-up guys or go for 16-0 season? Six of last eight Carolina games went over total; last eight Atlanta games stayed under. Underdogs are 6-2 vs spread in NFC South divisional games this year.

Cowboys (4-10) @ Bills (6-8)-- Weather forecast is 47 degrees, 90% chance of rain for Kellen Moore's first NFL start- Boise alum is in his 4th NFL season, saw his first game action LW in loss to Jets (15-25/158, one TD, three INT). Dallas is 3-4 on road 2-4 as road dogs; they're 1-9 with backup QB starting (Moore is 3rd backup QB to start this year). Bills lost four of last five games; they won 33-17/30-21 in two home games since Halloween, running ball for 453 yards- they've run for 193 ypg in last three weeks. Pokes are -10 in turnovers last five weeks. NFC East non-divisional road dogs are 4-8 vs spread; AFC East home faves are 8-5-1. Five of last six Dallas games stayed under total; three of last four Buffalo games went over.

Jaguars (5-9) @ Saints (5-9)-- Brees hurt his foot Monday, is ?? to go here in series where home team won four of five meetings. Jaguars lost 17-13/41-24 in two visits here; they've lost three of last four games overall, are 3-2-1 vs spread on road, with losses by 34-3-7-5-3, and win at Baltimore. Saints lost six of last seven tilts thanks to a hideous defense; they've allowed 35.3 ppg in last seven games. Saints are 3-4 at home, 1-3-1 as home favorite- they allowed 166.4 rushing ypg the last five weeks. AFC South non-divisional road underdogs are 6-9 vs spread; NFC South home favorites are 7-7. Over is 3-1 in last four Jax games, 5-2 in last seven Saint games. New Orleans gave up 39.8 ppg in last four home games (1-3 SU).

49ers (4-10) @ Lions (5-9)-- Detroit is 4-2 since its bye; only one of the wins was by more than eight points. Lions are 3-4 at home, 1-2 as home favorites- they're 1-9 vs spread when allowing more than 16 points. 49ers are 1-4 since their bye, are 2-5 as road dogs, losing by 25-40-3-21-16-14 points- win was in Chicago. Niners won nine in row vs Detroit, with seven of nine wins by 7+ points; they're 4-1 in last five trips here, with loss in '95. NFC West non-divisional road underdogs are 2-7 vs spread; NFC North home favorites are 8-4. Six of last eight Niner games stayed under total; over is 7-3 in last ten Lion games. 49ers are 2-8 vs spread in its 10 losses, 4-7 vs the spread as an underdog of 6+ points.

Browns (3-11) @ Chiefs (9-5)-- Red-hot Chiefs won last eight games (7-1 vs spread) are 2-3 as home favorites, with wins by 10-8-7 points. KC is 4-3 in last seven series games; three of four wins were by 6 or less points. Cleveland lost eight of last nine games (1-7 vs spread in last eight); they're 2-5 as road underdogs, losing last four away games, all by 17+ points. AFC North non-divisional road underdogs are 6-5-1 vs spread; AFC West home favorites are 6-6. Chiefs have been plus in turnovers in nine of last ten games, with +19 TO ratio after being -4 in first four games. Five of last six Cleveland games stayed under; three of last four Chief games went over the total. KC has four defensive touchdowns in its last five games.

Colts (6-8) @ Dolphins (5-9)-- Indy hanging onto faint hope for an unlikely division title after home loss to Texans and their 5th-string QB LW. Colts won four of last five series games; all five were decided by 6 or less points, but Indy lost last three games overall by 35-35-6 points, scoring two TDs on last 36 drives- they've run for just 60 ypg in five post-bye games. 40-year old backup QB Hasselbeck is playing hurt and it shows. Miami lost six of last eight games (1-7 vs spread); they're 2-3 as favorite- its last two wins were by total of three points. AFC South non-divisional road underdogs are 6-9 vs spread; AFC East home favorites are 8-5-1. Five of Colts' last six road games went over total; four of last six Miami games stayed under.

Patriots (12-2) @ Jets (8-6)-- Pats (-7) won first meeting 30-23 in Week 7, running it only nine times for 16 yards whole game; they converted 8-16 on third down, were +1 in turnovers. Jets are +18 in turnovers in eight wins, -13 in six losses. Pats won eight of last nine series games; five of last seven were decided by 3 or less points. NE won three of last four visits here, with last two decided by total of four points; they're 2-3 as road favorites this year. Jets are playing for playoff spot; they won, covered last four games; they're 6-2 at home, getting extra home game because of Giant game. Jets are 2-0-1 as an underdog this year. Three of last four Patriot games went over total; five of last six Jet games stayed under.

Texans (7-7) @ Titans (6-8)-- Houston is game up with two to play for AFC South crown; they beat Titans 20-6 (-3.5) in first meeting in Week 8- Tennessee was just 1-12 on third down, averaged 2.3 ypa and was -3 in turnovers. Texans are 6-1 in last seven series games, winning three of last four here, with all three wins by 14+. Six of last seven Texan games stayed under the total. Tennessee lost five of its last six games (0-5-1 vs spread); they're 1-9 vs spread when scoring less than 33, a figure Texans allowed twice all year. Houston allowed 17 or less points in six of its seven wins; Titans scored 20+ in only two of last six games. Underdogs are 5-3-1 against spread in AFC South divisional games, 1-0 at home.

Packers (10-4) @ Cardinals (12-2)-- Arizona won its last eight games; they're 2-4 as home favorite, with only SU loss to Rams in Week 4- Cards were -3 in turnovers in both their losses. Green Bay won/covered last three games, starting with Hail Mary win in Detroit that ended 1-4 skid. Packers are 5-2 on road this year- they scored 16 or less points in three of four losses- they're 7-2 in last nine series games; their last visit here was in '09 playoff game. Arizona is +10 in turnovers in last four games, as offense hasn't turned ball over once. NFC South non-divisional road underdogs are 9-3 vs spread; NFC West home favorites are 6-6. Under is 8-3 in last 11 Green Bay games, 3-1 in four Cardinal tilts.

Rams (6-8) @ Seahawks (9-5)-- Seattle (-4) lost 34-31 in OT at St Louis in its opener, despite scoring TD on both defense/special teams; they won/covered five in a row overall, with four of five wins by 16+ points. Hawks are 4-3 as home favorites; over is 4-1-1 in their last six games, but 2-8 in Rams' last ten games. St Louis is 0-5 vs the spread outdoors this year- their only road cover was Week 4 win at Arizona. Rams are 0-10 in Seattle since beating Seahawks 27-20 in '04 playoff game, when both of them got into playoffs at 8-8. Seattle allowed total of 26 points in last three games (one TD on last 26 drives); they're 4-0 as double digit favorite this year- they're +8 in turnovers last six games- they lost in Week 1 despite +2 turnover ratio.

Steelers (9-5) @ Ravens (4-10)-- Baltimore (-2.5) beat Steelers 23-20 in OT back in Week 4, in game Vick started for Pitt. Ravens are now down to #3 QB Clausen; in his three starts this year, his offense was outscored 21-20 by other teams' defense, special teams- not good. Baltimore won four of last five games with Steelers, 3-1 in last four here, but absence of competent QB trumps all that. Steelers are playing for playoff spot; they've won/covered last three games, outscoring Denver 21-0 in 2nd half of comeback win LW. In last three games, Pitt outscored foes 62-13 in second half; they're 5-1 as favorite this year; only non-cover was 38-35 win over Raiders in Week 9. Last four Pittsburgh games went over the total.

Giants (6-8) @ Vikings (9-5)-- No Beckham for Giants in game flexed to night start in frigid Twin Cities; gametime temp expected to be in mid-teens. Giants won last two series games at home 21-3/23-7 after Vikings had won four in row- this is first visit here for Giants since '09. Minnesota is 6-2 vs spread as favorite; they lost two of last three at home, losing to Pack/Seattle. Giants are 5-2-1 as underdogs this year, are 3-4 SU on road, with three of four losses by 6 or less points. Vikings clinch spot in playoffs with win here; Giants were eliminated if Redskins won Saturday. NFC East non-divisional road dogs are 4-8 vs spread; NFC North home favorites are 8-4. Under is 4-2-1 in last seven Viking games, 1-3 in last four Giant road games.

Monday's game
Bengals (11-3) @ Broncos (10-4)-- Denver isn't in playoffs yet; they've been shut out in second half of last three games (36-0), losing last two weeks after leading by 12+ points at half. Denver win here vaults them above Bengals into #2 seed, which includes first round bye. Broncos' 37-28 loss at Cincy LY was their first in last five games with Bengals, but Cincy lost last nine visits here- their last win in Denver was back in '75. Bengals won McCarron's first NFL start LW, but three TD drives totaled just 67 yards. In four of last six games, Denver lost the field position battle by 8+ yards. AFC North non-divisional road underdogs are 6-5-1 vs spread; AFC West home favorites are 6-6. Six of last eight Cincy games stayed under total.

**Udog** · 12-26-2015, 11:41 PM

Essential Week 16 betting notes for NFL Sunday

Russell Wilson has the Seahawks offense gelling during their five-game winning streak, outscoring opponents 171-69.

New England Patriots at New York Jets (+3, 45.5)

* Tom Brady, who was selected to his 11th Pro Bowl on Wednesday, has guided the Patriots to a 22-7 career mark against the Jets - including playoffs.

* Ryan Fitzpatrick has thrown for 10 touchdowns and 1,229, yards during the Jets' four-game winning streak, where they have gone 3-0-1 ATS.

Houston Texans at Tennessee Titan (+3.5, 40.5)

* Brain Hoyer sat out last week with a concussion and is going through the protocol but has not yet been cleared to play, and T.J. Yates tore his ACL while starting in Hoyer's place. So stepped in Brandon Weeden in Yates’ absence and threw the go-ahead touchdown pass in last week's win.

* The Titans drafted their quarterback of the future in May when Marcus Mariota was the second pick of the NFL draft, but the talented Oregon product could miss the rest of the season after suffering a knee injury in a loss to New England last week.

Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs (-10.5, 42.5)

* The Browns have lost eight of their last nine, going just 2-6 ATS over that stretch, to fall into a tie with Tennessee for the league’s worst record.

* The Kansas City Chiefs look to match the franchise record with a ninth consecutive victory and bolster their playoff chances when they host the struggling Cleveland Browns on Sunday. They are 7-1 ATS over the winning streak.

Indianapolis Colts at Miami Dolphins (-2.5, 44)

* The Colts have lost three straight games, failing to cover each time and quarterback Matt Hasselbeck is dealing with back, shoulder, neck, rib and jaw issues during the team's losing skid.

* The Dolphins have appeared to pack it in for the season and they have been a tough team to back at home, going just 1-8 ATS in their last nine home games.

San Francisco 49ers vs. Detroit Lions (-10.5, 43)

* San Francisco has won only one of its first seven road games (2-5 ATS), a 26-20 victory at Chicago in Week 13 that also is its lone triumph in five overall contests since its bye. The 49ers have scored 14 points or fewer in each of their four setbacks in that span and eclipsed the 17-point mark only once in their last eight overall games.

* Matthew Stafford has been exceptional of late, throwing 12 touchdown passes and just one interception over his last five games while posting a 116.6 quarterback rating over the last four contests. He's been helped by Detroit's running game, as the team has averaged 115.8 yards on the ground over the last five weeks to increase its season number to 84.4 and escape the league basement.

Dallas Cowboys at Buffalo Bills (-6.5, 42)

* The Cowboys will start their fourth quarterback of the season when Kellen Moore gets the nod this week. Moore came off the bench last week in relief of Cassel and threw for 125 yards with one touchdown and three interceptions in the 19-16 setback.

* Buffalo sits 21st in total defense and has allowed at least 20 points in each of its last five games. “We’re in Week 15 or 16 and we’re still talking about the same things,” defensive back Corey Graham told reporters. “We’re just not all on the same page."

Chicago Bears at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3, 45.5)

* In the final year of his contract, Jay Cutler has had a solid season in throwing for 3,258 yards with 18 touchdowns, eight interceptions and a career-best quarterback rating of 92.3.

* Doug Martin's bounce-back season has made him a priority for Tampa Bay's postseason plans after rushing for 1,305 yards, second in the NFL to Adrian Peterson.

Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons (+6.5, 47.5)

* Carolina will try to improve to a perfect 15-0 when they visit the Falcons on Sunday, in a matchup the Panthers have dominated, outscoring the Falcons 72-3 in the last two meetings, including a 38-0 rout in Week 14.

* The Falcons covered a spread for the first time in 10 games when they topped the Jaguars 23-17 as 2-point road pups last week. They haven't covered a home game since Week 4 against Houston.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens (+10, 47)

* The Steelers offense is scorching hot right now, scoring 35.5 points per game in their last four games. The over is 4-0 in those four games.

* The Ravens have yet to cover a game at home this season going 0-6-1 ATS, with Sunday against rival Pittsburgh their final chance to do so. They are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games at M&T Bank Stadium overall.

Jacksonville Jaguars at New Orleans Saints (-3.5)

* Both running backs Denard Robinson and T.J. Yeldon are questionable for Jacksonville, which saw its playoff hopes come to an end last week with a loss to Atlanta at home.

* The Saints have lost five of their last six games (2-4 ATS) and to make matters worse, Drew Brees was diagnosed with a torn plantar fascia in his right foot, suffered in Monday night's loss to Detroit and his staus for this game is still uncertain.

Saint Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks (-13, 40.5)

* The Rams have managed just one road win this season going just 1-5 SU and 1-4-1 ATS. The lone road win came back in Week 4 at Arizona.

* The Seahawks are a perfect 5-0 ATS during their current five game winning streak, where they are outscoring opponents 171-69 in the process.

Green Bay Packers at Arizona Cardinals (-4.5, 51)

* Green Bay clinched its franchise-best seventh straight postseason berth last week with a 30-20 victory at Oakland and can secure the NFC North title with a win and a Minnesota loss to the New York Giants on Sunday night. Aaron Rodgers will look to exploit a secondary that is without Pro Bowl selection Tyrann Mathieu (season-ending knee injury).

* Carson Palmer and the Cardinals have notched eight consecutive victories, but are just 4-4 ATS during the streak and 0-4 ATS in their last four home games. Palmer is 25-4 in his last 29 starts.

New York Giants at Minnesota Vikings (-6.5, 44.5)

* Eli Manning will be without his top wideout, Odell Beckham Jr., for this contest after Beckham was suspended this week after flagged three times for unnecessary roughness against Panthers cornerback Josh Norman last week.

* Should Green Bay falter against Arizona earlier in the day, Minnesota's contest on Sunday night would be rendered somewhat meaningless ahead of a pivotal Week 17 showdown with the Packers for the NFC North title. While Mike Zimmer admitted he would like to "be smart" in his approach, the coach expressed more of a desire to protect his players that are dealing with slight injuries.

**Udog** · 12-26-2015, 11:54 PM

NFL

Sunday, December 27

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Sunday Night Football betting preview: Giants at Vikings
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Eli and the Giants will have to make due without Odell Beckham Sunday night against Minnesota.

New York Giants at Minnesota Vikings (-6.5, 44.5)

Eli Manning will be without top wideout Odell Beckham Jr. on Sunday when the New York Giants continue their pursuit of the NFC East title with a road tilt versus the Minnesota Vikings. Manning found Beckham with his career-high 32nd touchdown pass last week, but the Giants' spirited rally came up short in a 38-35 setback to undefeated Carolina.

The testy matchup led to the one-game suspension of Beckham, who was flagged three times for unnecessary roughness against Panthers cornerback Josh Norman - with one altercation coming after a helmet-to-helmet hit where neither competitor was involved in the play. Replacing Beckham will be a tall task for the Giants, as the second-year star leads the team in receptions (91), yards (1,396) and touchdowns (13). "Outside of Eli Manning, (Beckham's) their best player," said Minnesota's Adrian Peterson, who told reporters that he texted his support for the wideout and didn't think his actions warranted a suspension. Peterson sprained his left ankle in last week's 38-17 victory over NFC North rival Chicago, but the NFL's leading rusher said he expects to play Sunday as Minnesota bids for a playoff berth.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, NBC.

LINE HISTORY: The Vikings opened as 6.5-point favorites, but it was the Giants who got the early support, moving the line to Vikings -5. Since then however, the line has come back to the Vikes and is back at the opening number. The total has been bet down a point-and-a-half from 46 to 44.5

INJURY REPORT:

Giants - DE G. Selvie (probable Sunday, concussion), RB O. Darkwa (probable Sunday, illness), T E. FLowers (probable Sunday, illness), WR D. Harris (questionable Sunday, knee), CB J. Hosley (questionable Sunday, undisclosed), LB D. Kennard (out Sunday, hamstring), S C. Taylor (out Sunday, concussion), WR O. Beckham (out Sunday, suspension), DT M. Kuhn (I-R, knee), LB J. Morris (I-R, quadricep), FB N. Whitlock (I-R, knee).

Vikings - WR C. Johnson (probable Sunday, ankle), RB J. McKinnon (probable Sunday, concussion), CB J. Robinson (probable Sunday, concussion), TE R. Ellison (probable Sunday, ankle), DE E. Griffen (probable Sunday, shoulder), DT L. Joseph (probable Sunday, foot), S H. Smith (probable Sunday, hamstring), LB A. Barr (probable Sunday, groin), RB A. Peterson (probable Sunday, ankle), C J. Sullivan (questionable Sunday, back), DE S. Crichton (I-R, concussion).

WEATHER REPORT: It will be a clear but chilly night for football in Minnesota. Temperatures will hover around a fridgid 20 degrees for the game, with a six-to-eight mile per hour wind blowing across the field from north to south.

POWER RANKINGS: Giants (0) - Vikings (-1.5) + home field (-3) = Vikings -4.5

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "Adrian Peterson, talking about the recent improvement of QB Teddy Bridgewater: ?These last two weeks, I've seen a different look in his eyes. I really don't have to say much to him. Meanwhile, the betting markets moved against the Giants two full points when Odell Beckham Jr?s one game suspension was announced."

ABOUT THE GIANTS (6-8, 8-5-1 ATS, 9-5 O/U): Rashad Jennings became the first New York running back to rush for a triple-digit yardage total this season when he rolled up 107 versus the Panthers. The 30-year-old, who found the end zone for the first time since Week 4, has rushed 38 times for 188 yards in the last two contests after mustering just 28 yards total in the previous two. Wide receiver Rueben Randle, who should see an uptick in targets with Beckham suspended, has scored in back-to-back contests and four of his last six.

ABOUT THE VIKINGS (9-5, 11-3 ATS, 3-10-1 O/U): Should Green Bay falter against Arizona earlier in the day, Minnesota's contest on Sunday night would be rendered somewhat meaningless ahead of a pivotal Week 17 showdown with the Packers for the NFC North title. While Mike Zimmer admitted he would like to "be smart" in his approach, the coach expressed more of a desire to protect his players that are dealing with slight injuries. Teddy Bridgewater has been heating up of late, throwing for 335 yards against Arizona in Week 14 before recording a career-best five touchdowns (four passing, one rushing) versus the Bears.

TRENDS:

* Giants are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in December.
* Vikings are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games in December.
* Over is 4-1 in Giants last 5 vs. NFC.
* Under is 11-3-1 in Vikings last 15 games overall.

CONSENSUS: Fifty-five percent of bettors are siding with the Giants in this NFC matchup. As for the total, 64 percent of wagers are on the over.

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Announcement

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 16 (Thursday, December 24 - Monday, December 28)

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 16 (Thursday, December 24 - Monday, December 28)

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