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The Bum's National Football League Week # 16 Rated Plays - Trends - News Etc. !!

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  • #31
    MNF - Bengals at Broncos
    December 28, 2015

    The Bengals are headed to the playoffs while the Broncos on the verge of clinching a berth, but each team is down to their second-string quarterback for the immediate future. Denver led the AFC West with a 7-0 record halfway through the season, but Kansas City has made this division race interesting with one week remaining. The Chiefs held off the Browns on Sunday to improve to 10-5 and pull within a half-game of first place in the AFC West. Now, if Denver wins its final two games or Kansas City loses to Oakland next week, the Broncos will wrap up their fifth straight division title.

    Cincinnati (11-3 SU, 11-2-1 ATS) travels west for the second straight week, coming off last Sunday’s 24-14 triumph at San Francisco to cash as seven-point favorites. A.J. McCarron stepped in for the injured Andy Dalton as the former Alabama quarterback threw for 192 yards and a touchdown to give the Bengals their third win over an NFC West foe this season. Cincinnati built a 24-0 advantage before San Francisco reached the end zone twice in the second half, while forcing four 49ers turnovers.

    Two weeks ago, Denver (10-4 SU, 8-6 ATS) was in a prime spot to capture the top seed in the AFC playoffs as long as it finished December strong. However, Gary Kubiak’s team has lost back-to-back games to the Raiders and Steelers to potentially falling into a Wild Card spot. In last Sunday’s 34-27 setback at Pittsburgh, the Broncos blew a 27-10 second quarter lead and didn’t register a single point after halftime. Brock Osweiler put together one of his best games as a pro by throwing for 296 yards and three touchdowns, while former Steeler wide receiver Emmanuel Sanders hauled in 181 yards and a score in the loss.

    These teams hooked up last December in a Monday night contest at Paul Brown Stadium, as the Bengals escaped with a 37-28 triumph as 3 ½-point underdogs. Denver erased a 20-7 deficit by outscoring Cincinnati, 21-7 to grab a 28-27 advantage heading into the fourth quarter. Mike Nugent put the Bengals in front with a field goal, followed by a Dre Kirkpatrick interception return of Peyton Manning for a touchdown and clinch the nine-point victory. The Bengals’ defense picked off Manning four times, while A.J. Green was held without a catch for Cincinnati.

    Marvin Lewis’ squad has seen plenty of success on the road this season, posting a 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS mark away from Paul Brown Stadium. Cincinnati has faced only two teams on the highway that own winning records, losing at Arizona and beating Pittsburgh, while the Bengals are 3-0 SU/ATS against AFC West opponents this season.

    The Broncos wrap up the regular season with consecutive home games as Denver hosts San Diego next week with the division title on the line. Denver hasn’t lost three consecutive contests since the end of the 2011 regular season with Tim Tebow at quarterback, while the Broncos have compiled a 10-2 record off a loss since September 2012.

    VegasInsider.com handicapper Joe Nelson breaks down the effect of each team losing its starting quarterback, “After leading Denver to wins in his first three starts, the Broncos have lost back-to-back games despite building early leads as Osweiler and the Broncos have had consecutive terrible second half performances from the offense. Cincinnati won with McCarron starting last week, but the offense struggled with very limited production against San Francisco and this figures to be a much tougher test against one of the top ranked defenses in the league and this matchup likely comes down to which quarterback has a better performance.”

    Nelson believes this matchup is a toss-up in spite of the Broncos being favored, “Denver has had the upper hand in this AFC series winning SU in 13 of the last 16 meetings going back to 1983, but the Broncos appear in worse shape for this matchup with key injuries with the loss of safety David Bruton added to the mix as well as the distractions surrounding Manning in the headlines this weekend. For his part, Osweiler has played well in stretches through some big games already while this will be a big leap in class for McCarron in his second ever start in the NFL with the Bengals in a second straight road game out west.”

    Tonight marks the final Monday night game of the season as underdogs put together a 12-3-1 ATS record, while winning nine times outright. Road underdogs posted a 5-0-1 ATS and 5-1 SU mark in the last six opportunities, including Detroit’s 35-27 triumph at New Orleans last Monday. Denver is making its first appearance on Monday night football this season, while Cincinnati looks to atone for a 10-6 home defeat to Houston as 10-point favorites back in Week 10.

    From a totals perspective, the Broncos have cashed the ‘under’ in four of six games at Sports Authority Field this season, while the Bengals have finished ‘under’ the total in six of the previous eight games, following a 5-1 start to the ‘over.’ Cincinnati will be without standout tight end Tyler Eiffert for the second straight game due to a concussion suffered against Pittsburgh two weeks ago.

    The Broncos are currently listed as a three-point favorite at most books, with the juice listed at -125 or -130, while other outlets have Denver listed at -3 ½ (-110). The total is set at 40 with frigid temperatures expected in the single-digits when the game kicks off at 8:30 PM EST. This AFC showdown can be seen on ESPN.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    • #32
      Bengals, Broncos clash on MNF
      December 26, 2015


      CINCINNATI BENGALS (11-3) at DENVER BRONCOS (10-4)

      Kickoff: Monday, 8:30 p.m. ET
      Sportsbook.ag Line: Denver -3.5, Total: 41

      The Bengals will head to Denver on Monday night to face a Broncos team that is suddenly no longer a lock to finish atop the AFC West.

      The Bengals went into San Francisco on Sunday and came away with a 24-14 victory as seven-point favorites. Cincinnati was dominant defensively in that one, allowing just 55 rushing yards and forcing four turnovers.

      The team will look to keep up the solid play on that end against a Broncos team that was lousy offensively in the second half of a 34-27 loss to the Steelers in Week 15. Denver has now lost two straight games and now finds itself with only a one-game lead over Kansas City in the AFC West.

      The Broncos and Bengals have met just once over the past three seasons and Cincinnati was victorious in that contest. The Bengals hosted the Broncos in the game and won 37-28 as 3.5-point home underdogs. Since 1992, the Broncos are, however, 9-3 SU against the Bengals and that includes a 4-0 record in Denver. The Bengals have kept things interesting in the losses though, going 7-5 ATS overall and 3-1 ATS in Denver.

      Cincinnati is 7-0 ATS in road games on the year, but does have to face a Denver team that is 8-0 ATS after allowing 50 or less rushing yards in two straight games since 1992.

      QB Andy Dalton (Thumb) remains out for the Bengals and TE Tyler Eifert (Concussion) is questionable for the team. The Broncos could be without RB C.J. Anderson (Back), who is questionable for this game. However, they could get back S T.J. Ward (Ankle), who has missed the past few games and is listed as questionable for Monday night.

      The Bengals dominated the 49ers on Sunday, winning 24-14 in a game that truly never seemed like it was going to get away. AJ McCarron looked excellent in his first start for Cincinnati, throwing for 192 yards with a touchdown and no interceptions. He completed 71.4% of his passes and will have the Bengals in position to win games as long as he isn’t turning the ball over.

      The guy that was responsible for most of Cincinnati’s points was Jeremy Hill. Hill rushed for just 31 yards on 19 carries, but he did find the end zone twice. He will need to run the ball well the rest of the way, as the Bengals will be leaning heavily on the ground game until Andy Dalton is back.

      Cincinnati’s defense (17.4 PPG allowed, 1st in NFL) was superb against the 49ers, allowing just 14 points in the game. The Bengals are allowing just 93.2 YPG (8th in NFL) on the ground this season and were able to hold the 49ers to 55 yards on Sunday. If they can keep it up defensively then McCarron will be under a lot less pressure the rest of the season.

      Brock Osweiler threw for 296 yards with three touchdowns and one pick in last week’s loss to the Steelers, but he completed just 47.7% of his throws. If he is to start over Peyton Manning on Monday then he will need to be a lot more accurate. His inefficiency as a passer killed his team in the second half and it was a major reason they were unable to come away with a big road win in Pittsburgh.

      Denver’s defense wasn’t much better though. The Broncos are allowing just 79.9 YPG on the ground this season (1st in NFL) and 200.0 YPG through the air (1st in NFL), but they were unable to stop Pittsburgh on Sunday. Antonio Brown shredded the Broncos defense for 189 yards and two touchdowns. He had 16 receptions in the game and Denver will need to turn things around on Monday night. A matchup with the inexperienced AJ McCarron could be just what the doctor ordered and this Broncos team will come out with plenty of emotion, as it does not want to let its division lead slip away. Sportsbook.ag
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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      • #33
        NFL ATS

        NFL > (131) CINCINNATI@ (132) DENVER | 2015-12-28 20:30:00 - 2015-12-28 20:30:00
        Play ON CINCINNATI against the spread in All games in road games
        The record is 7 Wins and 0 Losses for the this season (+7 units)

        --------------------

        NFL MONEYLINE

        NFL > (131) CINCINNATI@ (132) DENVER | 2015-12-28 20:30:00 - 2015-12-28 20:30:00
        Play AGAINST CINCINNATI using money line in Road games when playing against a team with a winning record
        The record is 11 Wins and 53 Losses for the since 1992 (-36.2 units)
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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        • #34
          MONDAY, DECEMBER 28

          GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


          CIN at DEN 08:30 PM

          DEN -4.0 DOUBLE PLAY

          O 39.5 TRIPLE PLAY
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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