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NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 15 (Thursday, December 17 - Monday, December 21)

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  • NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 15 (Thursday, December 17 - Monday, December 21)






    NFL Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, December 17 - Monday, December 21

    Additional trends and information will be added as available.

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Oddsmakers high on this big fave with their NFL Week 15 betting odds

    “Steel prices are way down, but Steeler stock is at a season high." - John Avello, executive director of race and sports for Wynn Las Vegas.

    Week 15 of the NFL season includes an intriguing game that pits an unbeaten playoff lock against a team that doesn’t even have a winning record – yet is totally in the playoff hunt.

    That game would be the Carolina Panthers (13-0 SU, 10-3 ATS) traveling to East Rutherford, N.J., for a date with the New York Giants (5-7 SU, 6-5 ATS) of the NFC East, which doesn’t have a single team at .500 or better, but will send somebody to the postseason.

    Carolina kept rolling in Week 14, shelling Atlanta 38-0 Sunday as an 8.5-point home favorite. Cam Newton and the Panthers have scored 33 points or more in five of their last six games and have gone 5-1 ATS in that stretch, with four blowout wins.

    New York still has some work to do in Week 14, playing at Miami in the Monday nighter. The Giants have dropped three in a row, including a 23-20 overtime decision to the New York Jets in Week 13 as a 2.5-point pup, despite leading 20-10 in the fourth quarter.

    John Lester, senior lines manager for Bookmaker.eu, said the line will have to wait until the Giants wrap up play tonight. But the Panthers will likely be a field-goal or so chalk.

    “If the Giants don’t sustain any major injuries Monday night, we’ll look to open Carolina between three and 4-point favorites,” Lester said. “The Panthers are absolutely rolling, but this is a game some circled as a potential first loss for them. I think we know what to expect from Carolina, but you just never know which Giants team is going to show up.”

    Johnny Avello, executive director of race and sports for Wynn Las Vegas, also expects a game Giants team to show up.

    “The Panthers will be the favorite in their remaining three games as they try to complete an undefeated regular season,” Avello said. “This one may be the toughest, because the Giants will still be in the hunt to win the NFC East, and at times, the G-Men play up to their potential. The Panthers should be laying right around four in a packed house at New Jersey.”

    Denver Broncos at Pittsburgh Steelers (-6.5)

    Pittsburgh is pushing for a wild card berth, having won four of its last five, including a statement road win Sunday at Cincinnati. The Steelers (8-5 SU, 8-4-1 ATS), catching one point, rolled to a 33-20 victory and have now scored 30 or more in each of their last five games.

    Denver, meanwhile, isn’t scoring much at all, save for its 30-point outburst in an overtime win against New England - the only time in the last five weeks that the Broncos (10-3 SU, 7-6 ATS) scored more than 17 points. It bit them hard Sunday, when they entered a home game against Oakland as the AFC’s No. 1 seed and left as the No. 3 seed, getting just four field goals in a 15-12 loss as 6-point chalk.

    “Steel prices are way down, but Steeler stock is at a season high,” Avello said. “I believe we'll see Peyton Manning this week for the Broncos, but he better be the old Manning, because Big Ben's Steelers are averaging 35 points per game over the past five games.”

    The Pittsburgh offense against the Denver defense appeals to Lester.

    “I’m really looking forward to this matchup between one of the best offenses in the league and one of the best defenses,” Lester said. “Of course, with the Broncos missing Peyton Manning, the Steelers are the sexier team, and bettors take notice of high-scoring offenses. We went fairly high with this number, and we moved down a full point shortly after opening, but I can see us trending back toward Pittsburgh as the week progresses.”

    New York Jets (-2.5) at Dallas Cowboys

    The Jets are 8-5 SU and right in the thick of the playoff race. The Cowboys are 4-9 SU… and right in the thick of the playoff race. That’s how bad the NFC East is. Dallas (4-9 ATS) got thumped Sunday 28-7 catching six points at Green Bay, dropping to 2-9 SU in its last 11 (3-8 ATS), mostly without the services of QB Tony Romo.

    New York (7-5-1 ATS) has bounced back from a 1-4 SU skid (0-4-1 ATS) with three straight wins and covers, and would be a wild card team if the season ended this week. The Jets pounded Tennessee 30-8 Sunday as 8-point home faves.

    “It’s our first Saturday night game of the year, and with a pair of high-profile teams, we’ll see some good action,” Lester said. “The early money came in on New York, so we moved to the key number of three. I wouldn’t be surprised to see that spread climb with steam, but there will certainly be Cowboys backers who come out at the end of the week.”

    Added Avello, “It's rare that you'll find the Jets favored at Dallas, but that's the case here. The offensively inept Cowboys are disappointing to the faithful, and the one hope they have, Dez Bryant, isn't performing well.”

    Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts (N/A)

    The AFC South is working hard to rival the NFC East as the worst division in the league. No teams have a winning record, with Indianapolis suffering a surprising nosedive after reaching the AFC title game last year.

    The Colts (6-7 SU and ATS), still without Andrew Luck, got boatraced by lightweight Jacksonville 51-16 Sunday as a 1-point road underdog. Indianapolis gave up 42 second-half points after leading 13-9 at the break.

    That gave Houston (6-7 SU and ATS) an opportunity to make a statement at home against the New England Patriots in the Sunday night game. And the statement the Texans made was that they can’t score touchdowns, as they lost 27-6 getting 4.5 points.

    Colts QB Matt Hasselbeck was hurt during the loss, and Luck’s status is still not certain either, so Lester is holding off on the number.

    “We’ll wait to see what Indy’s quarterback situation looks like before hanging a line for this matchup,” he said. “There’s a chance Andrew Luck could return, and if not, Matt Hasselbeck is a wounded duck, so his health is a concern. The division is wide open, so it’s a pivotal game for both.”

    Avello is expecting Luck to be in the lineup.

    “It’s a huge game in the AFC South, and Andrew Luck is supposed to return,” he said. “It couldn't come soon enough, as the Colts have lost two straight, fill-in Hasselbeck was dinged up Sunday, and the one-time huge favorite in the division is on the verge of not making the playoffs.”

    Comment


    • #3
      Football bettors must react quickly to these NFL Week 15 odds

      The Seahawks can't catch the Cardinals in the NFC West race but this is a team that no one wants to meet in the playoffs.

      Spread to bet now

      Cleveland Browns at Seattle Seahawks (-14.5)

      It’s too late for the Seahawks to catch the Cardinals in the NFC West, but is anyone in the league – except maybe the Panthers – playing better than Seattle? Four straight wins, four straight covers, averaging 38 points a game over the last three, and a defense that is once again smothering opponents.

      Seattle has truly become the team no one wants to play come playoff time. And the Seahawks are doing all this without the core of the offense, Marshawn Lynch. No one knows if Lynch will be back at all this season, but it might not matter. And it shouldn’t matter much this coming Sunday. The two-touchdown line would be even larger had not Cleveland summoned the will to record a rare win Sunday, beating the also-hopeless Niners.

      Spread to wait on

      Denver Broncos at Pittsburgh Steelers (-5.5)

      The line has already dropped a half-point, from six, which is a surprise considering that the Broncos are a bit of a mess right now. Denver wasn’t able to score even a single touchdown in a loss to the Raiders last Sunday, and the defense and special teamers are starting to show the strain of having to carry this team on its shoulders for three months.

      Brock Osweiler’s turkey against Oakland wasn’t enough to open the door for Peyton Manning’s return, as the team announced they would be sticking with the backup. But should they? Lots of variables in this game, which will have tremendous playoff implications in the AFC. Best to let the dust settle a bit before jumping either way.

      Total to watch

      Green Bay Packers at Oakland Raiders (47)

      The Raiders are one of the best in the league at topping the total (7-4-2), but Oakland games are starting to trend Under – basically because the defense is a lot better than it was in the middle of the season. Khalil Mack is making a late run for Defensive Player of the Year, especially now with J.J. Watt injured. Consider this: in two games against Denver this year, the Raiders defense did not give up a touchdown.

      In games Green Bay has lost, fumbles and interceptions have been the main factor. So the Packers might want to keep things conservative in this one, especially since RB Eddie Lacy (124 yards vs. Dallas) seems to have finally figured things out. Careful on this one if you like to play Overs.

      Comment


      • #4
        NFL
        Long Sheet

        Thursday, December 17


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        TAMPA BAY (6 - 7) at ST LOUIS (5 - 8) - 12/17/2015, 8:25 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        ST LOUIS is 148-187 ATS (-57.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
        ST LOUIS is 148-187 ATS (-57.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
        ST LOUIS is 106-147 ATS (-55.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
        ST LOUIS is 115-149 ATS (-48.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        ST LOUIS is 2-0 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
        ST LOUIS is 2-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        Saturday, December 19

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        NY JETS (8 - 5) at DALLAS (4 - 9) - 12/19/2015, 8:25 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        DALLAS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in games played on turf this season.
        DALLAS is 36-55 ATS (-24.5 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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        Sunday, December 20

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        CHICAGO (5 - 8) at MINNESOTA (8 - 5) - 12/20/2015, 1:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        CHICAGO is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
        CHICAGO is 11-32 ATS (-24.2 Units) in road games in December games since 1992.
        CHICAGO is 14-30 ATS (-19.0 Units) in road games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
        MINNESOTA is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
        MINNESOTA is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
        MINNESOTA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        MINNESOTA is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
        MINNESOTA is 3-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
        4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        ATLANTA (6 - 7) at JACKSONVILLE (5 - 8) - 12/20/2015, 1:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        ATLANTA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points this season.
        ATLANTA is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
        ATLANTA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
        JACKSONVILLE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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        HOUSTON (6 - 7) at INDIANAPOLIS (6 - 7) - 12/20/2015, 1:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        INDIANAPOLIS is 4-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
        INDIANAPOLIS is 5-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        KANSAS CITY (8 - 5) at BALTIMORE (4 - 9) - 12/20/2015, 1:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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        BUFFALO (6 - 7) at WASHINGTON (6 - 7) - 12/20/2015, 1:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        WASHINGTON is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        WASHINGTON is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        WASHINGTON is 78-107 ATS (-39.7 Units) in home games since 1992.
        WASHINGTON is 78-107 ATS (-39.7 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
        WASHINGTON is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points since 1992.
        WASHINGTON is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
        WASHINGTON is 78-107 ATS (-39.7 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
        WASHINGTON is 54-77 ATS (-30.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
        WASHINGTON is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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        TENNESSEE (3 - 10) at NEW ENGLAND (11 - 2) - 12/20/2015, 1:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        TENNESSEE is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        TENNESSEE is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        TENNESSEE is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
        TENNESSEE is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
        TENNESSEE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
        TENNESSEE is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
        TENNESSEE is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
        TENNESSEE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 3 seasons.
        NEW ENGLAND is 171-130 ATS (+28.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
        NEW ENGLAND is 55-34 ATS (+17.6 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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        ARIZONA (11 - 2) at PHILADELPHIA (6 - 7) - 12/20/2015, 8:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        ARIZONA is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
        PHILADELPHIA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        ARIZONA is 2-0 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
        PHILADELPHIA is 1-1 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        CAROLINA (13 - 0) at NY GIANTS (6 - 7) - 12/20/2015, 1:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        CAROLINA is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
        CAROLINA is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
        CAROLINA is 71-46 ATS (+20.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
        CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
        CAROLINA is 54-30 ATS (+21.0 Units) in December games since 1992.
        CAROLINA is 79-44 ATS (+30.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
        CAROLINA is 53-26 ATS (+24.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
        CAROLINA is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
        CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        CLEVELAND (3 - 10) at SEATTLE (8 - 5) - 12/20/2015, 4:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        SEATTLE is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
        SEATTLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
        SEATTLE is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1992.
        SEATTLE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
        SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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        GREEN BAY (9 - 4) at OAKLAND (6 - 7) - 12/20/2015, 4:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        GREEN BAY is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
        GREEN BAY is 170-121 ATS (+36.9 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
        GREEN BAY is 61-36 ATS (+21.4 Units) in December games since 1992.
        GREEN BAY is 57-33 ATS (+20.7 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
        OAKLAND is 39-76 ATS (-44.6 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
        OAKLAND is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1992.
        OAKLAND is 30-55 ATS (-30.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
        OAKLAND is 29-52 ATS (-28.2 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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        MIAMI (5 - 8) at SAN DIEGO (3 - 10) - 12/20/2015, 4:25 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MIAMI is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) after playing on Monday night football since 1992.
        MIAMI is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
        MIAMI is 51-74 ATS (-30.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
        MIAMI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
        MIAMI is 39-16 ATS (+21.4 Units) against AFC West division opponents since 1992.
        SAN DIEGO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        SAN DIEGO is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in home games off a loss against a division rival since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        MIAMI is 2-0 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
        MIAMI is 2-0 straight up against SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        DENVER (10 - 3) at PITTSBURGH (8 - 5) - 12/20/2015, 4:25 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        DENVER is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
        PITTSBURGH is 96-67 ATS (+22.3 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
        PITTSBURGH is 48-28 ATS (+17.2 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
        PITTSBURGH is 84-59 ATS (+19.1 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
        PITTSBURGH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
        PITTSBURGH is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
        PITTSBURGH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 3 seasons.
        DENVER is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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        CINCINNATI (10 - 3) at SAN FRANCISCO (4 - 9) - 12/20/2015, 4:25 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        CINCINNATI is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
        CINCINNATI is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
        CINCINNATI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games this season.
        CINCINNATI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road lined games this season.
        CINCINNATI is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
        SAN FRANCISCO is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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        Monday, December 21

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        DETROIT (4 - 9) at NEW ORLEANS (5 - 8) - 12/21/2015, 8:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        DETROIT is 79-107 ATS (-38.7 Units) in road games since 1992.
        DETROIT is 79-107 ATS (-38.7 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
        DETROIT is 59-85 ATS (-34.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
        DETROIT is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in road games in dome games since 1992.
        DETROIT is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
        DETROIT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 3 seasons.
        NEW ORLEANS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
        NEW ORLEANS is 23-45 ATS (-26.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
        NEW ORLEANS is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in home games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
        DETROIT is 1-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment


        • #5
          NFL

          Week 15


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Thursday, December 17

          8:25 PM
          TAMPA BAY vs. ST. LOUIS
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
          Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
          St. Louis is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
          St. Louis is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games


          Saturday, December 19

          8:25 PM
          NY JETS vs. DALLAS
          NY Jets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing Dallas
          NY Jets are 7-17 SU in their last 24 games on the road
          Dallas is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing NY Jets


          Sunday, December 20

          1:00 PM
          ATLANTA vs. JACKSONVILLE
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
          Jacksonville is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games
          Jacksonville is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games

          1:00 PM
          CAROLINA vs. NY GIANTS
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing NY Giants
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Giants last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Giants last 6 games when playing Carolina

          1:00 PM
          HOUSTON vs. INDIANAPOLIS
          Houston is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 8 games at home
          Indianapolis is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games at home

          1:00 PM
          TENNESSEE vs. NEW ENGLAND
          Tennessee is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New England
          Tennessee is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against New England
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 6 games when playing at home against Tennessee
          New England is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Tennessee

          1:00 PM
          BUFFALO vs. WASHINGTON
          Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing Washington
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
          Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

          1:00 PM
          KANSAS CITY vs. BALTIMORE
          Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
          Baltimore is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games

          1:00 PM
          CHICAGO vs. MINNESOTA
          Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
          Chicago is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
          Minnesota is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games

          4:05 PM
          GREEN BAY vs. OAKLAND
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games
          Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
          Oakland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Green Bay
          Oakland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

          4:05 PM
          CLEVELAND vs. SEATTLE
          Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
          Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

          4:25 PM
          CINCINNATI vs. SAN FRANCISCO
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
          Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games
          San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

          4:25 PM
          DENVER vs. PITTSBURGH
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
          Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
          Pittsburgh is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Denver

          4:25 PM
          MIAMI vs. SAN DIEGO
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing San Diego
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games at home
          San Diego is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Miami

          8:30 PM
          ARIZONA vs. PHILADELPHIA
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
          Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
          Philadelphia is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
          Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona


          Monday, December 21

          8:30 PM
          DETROIT vs. NEW ORLEANS
          Detroit is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
          Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
          New Orleans is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
          New Orleans is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Comment


          • #6
            NFL

            Tuesday, December 15



            Cowboys not shutting down WR Bryant

            Owner Jerry Jones concedes nothing despite a 4-9 start to the season for the Dallas Cowboys.

            Jones said he can admit the chances for the Cowboys to reach the playoffs are "very, very slim" but as long as Dallas is mathematically alive for the postseason, no players are being shut down. Jones said that includes wide receiver Dez Bryant, who appears to still be favoring his surgically repaired foot.

            The Cowboys play the New York Jets on Saturday.

            "Shut him down? No," Jones told 105.3 FM in Dallas. "I hope their defense doesn't shut him down early, but no, not at all. He'll be a very important part of what we initiate and what we hope we're still doing in the second half and hopefully through the end of the ball game. We'll go balls out with Dez."

            There is one shutdown at team headquarters: Jones and the Cowboys banned reporters from social media, eliminating all video, photographs and Twitter from the practice field or locker room.


            QB Mallett joins Ravens

            Move over Matt Schaub and Jimmy Clausen, make room for Ryan Mallett.

            The Baltimore Ravens signed another former starting quarterback on Tuesday, bringing Mallett aboard for the final three weeks of the regular season.

            Starting quarterback Joe Flacco is on injured reserve because of a torn anterior cruciate ligament in his knee and Schaub wasn't available in Week 14 because of a concussion.

            That left Clausen at the controls against a nasty Seattle Seahawks defense that kept the Ravens stuck in neutral much of the day.

            Mallett was released by the Houston Texans for repeat off-field incidents. He no-showed the day after being named the No. 2 quarterback in a competition for the starting job with Brian Hoyer and then missed the team's charter for a game in Miami after another switch sent him back to the bench following consecutive subpar starts.


            Manning could start for Broncos this week

            For the first time in four weeks, Denver Broncos head coach Gary Kubiak opted not to use his Monday press conference to declare Brock Osweiler starting quarterback for the next game.

            Kubiak instead wants time to discuss the decision with the key parties, including vice president John Elway and Peyton Manning.

            Manning may be back in the starting lineup this week but health will be a major factor.

            Osweiler is 3-1 as the Broncos' starting quarterback, but Kubiak has said all along that Manning would be the starter when he is healthy. However, now Kubiak has to wait until later in the week to determine whether Manning is healthy enough to play.

            "I've got to see where (Manning) is at," Kubiak said. "We've got to talk through his situation, where we're at, and talk to 'Greek' (head athletic trainer Steve Antonopulos)."

            Manning, 39, has been sidelined with a variety of injuries, the most serious of which is a foot injury.


            Luck might not return in 2015

            Andrew Luck was cleared to upramp throwing on Monday, but ESPN reported the Indianapolis Colts doubt he will play again in 2015.

            Luck said Monday he is not recovered from previous injury. Even so, he may be cleared to begin some light practice work on Wednesday, although no official word on his availability for practice has been announced.

            Coach Chuck Pagano said Monday that he had nothing new to report about Luck's availability. Even if he begins to practice, that does not mean that Luck would be able to play Sunday against Houston.

            Luck said that he has been told that his lacerated kidney must be fully healed before he can return to playing in a game. He doesn't feel like he is at that point right now.

            Luck added that he will be back before the end of the regular season. He added that if cleared to play, he would be OK with practicing for three days and then playing on a Sunday.


            Yates likely to be Texans' QB against Colts

            HOUSTON - Houston Texans starting quarterback Brian Hoyer was officially diagnosed with a concussion after enduring a lot of punishment against the New England Patriots on Sunday night and is unlikely to play Sunday against the Indianapolis Colts.

            Texans backup quarterback T.J. Yates is preparing to start his second game of the season.

            Concerns about Hoyer for the remainder of the season have heightened into a long-term issue due to the severity and frequency of the concussions.

            Hoyer remained under the NFL concussion protocol Monday. Hoyer suffered the fifth concussion of his life and the second of his career against the Patriots when he was visibly shaken up while being sacked five times and was taken to the locker room for examination.

            "I would say it'd be doubtful that he would play in the game on Sunday," Texans coach Bill O'Brien said of Hoyer. "It wasn't just a concussion. I think he strained his neck. He had a wrist problem. He took a beating. I think they were checking him out for all various injuries."


            49ers G Boone's season may be over

            SANTA CLARA, Calif. -- Starting left guard Alex Boone might have played his last game as a San Francisco 49er. The 28-year-old suffered a knee injury in Sunday's 24-10 loss at Cleveland, forcing him to leave the game for good in the third quarter.

            Boone underwent an MRI on the knee Monday. And while the 49ers didn't immediately announce the results, even a sprain could result in the veteran missing the final three weeks of the season.

            Boone, who held out during training camp last season in order to get a new deal, is in the final year of a two-year, $6 million contract. He will be an unrestricted free agent at season's end.

            --While Boone might be out for the year, the season has officially ended for starting running back Carlos Hyde, who was placed on injured reserve late last week.


            Redskins TE Carrier out for season

            ASHBURN, Va. -- Washington Redskins tight end Derek Carrier tore ligaments in his right knee on Sunday during a 24-21 victory over the Chicago Bears and is out for the season.

            Carrier tore the anterior cruciate and medial collateral ligaments in his right knee after catch a pass from quarterback Kirk Cousins with 2:37 left in the first quarter.

            He was tackled and fell to the turf in pain. Carrier hobbled off the field with help from Redskins personnel, but was eventually carted to the locker room.

            Carrier is the third Washington tight end to sustain a season-ending knee injury this year. Starter Niles Paul (fractured/dislocated left ankle) and Logan Paulsen (Torn ligament, right toe) didn't make it out of training camp.

            Washington finished the game with Jordan Reed as its lone true tight end.


            Bengals now must rely on McCarron

            CINCINNATI -- On Sunday, the Cincinnati Bengals feared the worst.

            But after visiting with a hand specialist on Monday, quarterback Andy Dalton learned his fractured right thumb won't require surgery.

            Dalton will remain in a cast and be evaluated weekly during the healing process.

            "That's about as good an outcome right now as we could expect," said coach Marvin Lewis. "He won't play this week. As we move forward we'll see how he is each and every week and it'll be up to Andy and the doctors."

            Dalton injured his thumb making a tackle following an interception in the first quarter of Sunday's 33-20 loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers.

            AJ McCarron replaced Dalton and passed for 280 yards and two touchdowns.

            McCarron played well overall despite throwing a pair of interceptions, one of which was returned 23 yards for a touchdown by Steelers corner William Gay.

            Comment


            • #7
              NFL
              Short Sheet

              Week 15


              Thursday - Dec, 17

              Tampa Bay at St Louis, 8:25 ET

              Tampa Bay: 18-6 UNDER on road after allowing 99 or less rush yds in 3 games
              St Louis: 65-94 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders


              Saturday - Dec, 19

              NY Jets at Dallas, 8:25 ET

              New York: 6-3 ATS off 2 or more consecutive unders
              Dallas: 1-7 ATS in games played on turf


              Sunday - Dec, 20

              Chicago at Minnesota, 1:00 ET

              Chicago: 11-22 ATS against conference opponents
              Minnesota: 8-2 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders

              Atlanta at Jacksonville, 1:00 ET
              Atlanta: 0-8 ATS off a division game
              Jacksonville: 9-1 ATS at home after gaining 6 or more yards/play in 2 games

              Houston at Indianapolis, 1:00 ET
              Houston: 5-16 ATS in dome games
              Indianapolis: 6-1 ATS after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games

              Kansas City at Baltimore, 1:00 ET
              Kansas City: 12-2 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders
              Baltimore: 6-0 UNDER in December games

              Buffalo at Washington, 1:00 ET
              Buffalo: 19-10 UNDER in all lined games
              Washington: 1-8 ATS after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3

              Tennessee at New England, 1:00 ET
              Tennessee: 4-14 ATS after playing their last game on the road
              New England: 14-4 ATS at home where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5

              Arizona at Philadelphia, 8:30 ET
              Arizona: 9-1 ATS after allowing 300 or more passing yards in their last game
              Philadelphia: 0-6 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins

              Carolina at NY Giants, 1:00 ET
              Carolina: 8-2 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins
              New York: 66-36 UNDER after having lost 2 out of their last 3

              Cleveland at Seattle, 4:05 ET
              Cleveland: 20-38 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6
              Seattle: 8-1 ATS after 2 straight wins by 10 or more points

              Green Bay at Oakland, 4:05 ET
              Green Bay: 13-5 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49
              Oakland: 19-37 ATS off a upset win as an underdog

              Miami at San Diego, 4:25 ET
              Miami: 39-16 ATS against AFC West division opponents
              San Diego: 2-10 ATS after playing their last game on the road

              Denver at Pittsburgh, 4:25 ET
              Denver: 1-8 ATS off a division game
              Pittsburgh: 9-1 ATS off 2 or more consecutive overs

              Cincinnati at San Francisco, 4:25 ET
              Cincinnati: 10-2 ATS in all lined games
              San Francisco: 0-9 ATS in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42


              Monday - Dec, 21

              Detroit at New Orleans, 8:30 ET

              Detroit: 3-12 ATS after allowing 6 or more yards/play in their previous game
              New Orleans: 35-20 OVER against NFC North division opponents

              Comment


              • #8
                NFL
                Dunkel

                Week 15



                Tampa Bay @ St. Louis

                Game 301-302
                December 17, 2015 @ 8:25 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Tampa Bay
                129.541
                St. Louis
                126.512
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Tampa Bay
                by 3
                36
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                St. Louis
                by 3
                41
                Dunkel Pick:
                Tampa Bay
                (+3); Under


                NY Jets @ Dallas


                Game 303-304
                December 19, 2015 @ 8:25 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                NY Jets
                131.247
                Dallas
                130.182
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                NY Jets
                by 1
                38
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                NY Jets
                by 3 1/2
                42
                Dunkel Pick:
                Dallas
                (+3 1/2); Under


                Houston @ Indianapolis


                Game 309-310
                December 20, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Houston
                124.464
                Indianapolis
                128.545
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Indianapolis
                by 4
                35
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Indianapolis
                No Line
                N/A
                Dunkel Pick:
                Indianapolis
                N/A

                Kansas City @ Baltimore


                Game 311-312
                December 20, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Kansas City
                141.266
                Baltimore
                126.743
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Kansas City
                by 14 1/2
                36
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Kansas City
                by 7
                42
                Dunkel Pick:
                Kansas City
                (-7); Under

                Buffalo @ Washington


                Game 313-314
                December 20, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Buffalo
                133.637
                Washington
                129.092
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Buffalo
                by 4 1/2
                48
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Buffalo
                by 1
                44
                Dunkel Pick:
                Buffalo
                (-1); Over

                Tennessee @ New England


                Game 315-316
                December 20, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Tennessee
                122.009
                New England
                140.492
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                New England
                by 18
                52
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                New England
                by 14
                46 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                New England
                (-14); Over

                Arizona @ Philadelphia


                Game 317-318
                December 20, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Arizona
                135.402
                Philadelphia
                133.996
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Arizona
                by 1 1/2
                54
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Arizona
                by 4
                50
                Dunkel Pick:
                Philadelphia
                (+4); Over

                Carolina @ NY Giants


                Game 319-320
                December 20, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Carolina
                143.436
                NY Giants
                133.908
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Carolina
                by 9 1/2
                51
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Carolina
                by 5
                47 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Carolina
                (-5); Over

                Cleveland @ Seattle


                Game 321-322
                December 20, 2015 @ 4:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Cleveland
                123.421
                Seattle
                146.630
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Seattle
                by 23
                40
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Seattle
                by 14
                43
                Dunkel Pick:
                Seattle
                (-14); Under

                Green Bay @ Oakland


                Game 323-324
                December 20, 2015 @ 4:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Green Bay
                137.262
                Oakland
                130.878
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Green Bay
                by 6 1/2
                43
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Green Bay
                by 3
                47 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Green Bay
                (-3); Under

                Miami @ San Diego


                Game 325-326
                December 20, 2015 @ 4:25 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Miami
                124.319
                San Diego
                130.265
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                San Diego
                by 6
                49
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                San Diego
                by 1 1/2
                45
                Dunkel Pick:
                San Diego
                (-1 1/2); Over

                Chicago @ Minnesota


                Game 305-306
                December 20, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Chicago
                126.034
                Minnesota
                133.552
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Minnesota
                by 7 1/2
                46
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Minnesota
                by 5
                42 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Minnesota
                (-5); Over

                Denver @ Pittsburgh


                Game 327-328
                December 20, 2015 @ 4:25 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Denver
                133.957
                Pittsburgh
                136.954
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Pittsburgh
                by 3
                47
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Pittsburgh
                by 6 1/2
                44 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Denver
                (+6 1/2); Over

                Atlanta @ Jacksonville


                Game 307-308
                December 20, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Atlanta
                131.179
                Jacksonville
                130.201
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Atlanta
                by 1
                53
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Jacksonville
                by 3
                48
                Dunkel Pick:
                Atlanta
                (+3); Over

                Cincinnati @ San Francisco


                Game 329-330
                December 20, 2015 @ 4:25 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Cincinnati
                130.833
                San Francisco
                128.488
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Cincinnati
                by 2 1/2
                36
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Cincinnati
                by 5
                41
                Dunkel Pick:
                San Francisco
                (+5); Under


                Detroit @ New Orleans


                Game 331-332
                December 21, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Detroit
                131.414
                New Orleans
                128.422
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Detroit
                by 3
                46
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                New Orleans
                by 3
                51
                Dunkel Pick:
                Detroit
                (+3); Under

                Comment


                • #9
                  NFL
                  Armadillo's Write-Up

                  Week 15


                  Buccaneers (6-7) @ Rams (5-8)-- Tampa Bay was all but KO'd by home loss to Saints last week; Bucs are 4-2 vs spread on road- this is their fifth dome game this year (2-2, with all four staying under). Rams snapped 5-game skid LW; they're 4-3 at home this year- there is an undercurrent that this could easily be Rams' last game in St Louis, should team move out to LA. St Louis won last three series games; two of three were in Tampa. Bucs lost three of four visits here, losing 23-13 in last visit here, in '13. NFC West non-divisional home teams are 9-8 vs spread; NFC South road clubs are 11-7. Under is 4-1 in Bucs' last five games, 8-1 in last nine St Louis games. Tampa Bay is 1-5 if it scores less than 23 points, a figure Rams held five of last eight opponents under.

                  Jets (8-5) @ Cowboys (4-9)-- Jets won last three games, scoring 30.3 ppg; they're in 3-way battle for two Wild Card slots. Dallas is 1-8 in games started by backups; in their last three games they were outscored 40-6 in first half, with no TDs. Cowboys are 1-5 at home, with only win by point over Giants in Week 1. Jets are +15 in turnovers in their eight wins, -13 in five losses; Cowboys has eight takeaways all season (-15). Gang Green lost its last three true road games by 7-14-7 points- their only true road victory was 20-7 at Indy in Week 2. Dallas is 7-3 in series, with all seven wins by 10+ points; Jets lost two of three visits here, with last visit in '07. NFC East non-divisional underdogs are 8-13 vs spread, 4-5 at home; AFC East road favorites are 4-6. Under is 4-1 in last five games for both teams.

                  Bears (5-8) @ Vikings (8-5)-- Minnesota scored 10 points in last 1:49 to nip Bears 23-20 in Chicago in Week 8 (-1), first road series win in last seven meetings. Bears lost last three in Minnesota by 7-3-4 points. Four of last five series games were decided by 4 or less points. Nine of Bears' last ten games were decided by 6 or less points; Chicago won last three road games, is 5-0 vs spread on road with Cutler at QB (Clausen lost 26-0 at Seattle). Vikings are 1-3 in last four games- the lost last two home tilts by combined 68-20. Home teams are 1-8 vs spread in NFC North divisional games this year. Minnesota is 10-3 vs spread this year, 4-1 as home favorite; they've had three extra days since Thursday loss to Arizona. Under is 4-1-1 in last six Minnesota games.

                  Falcons (6-7) @ Jaguars (5-8)-- Free-falling Atlanta lost seven of eight games since starting 5-0; Jaguars are 4-3 in last seven games after 1-5 start- they're only game out of first place in hideous AFC South. Jags outscored Indy 42-3 in second half Sunday;the average total in their last three games is 68. Jax is 5-1-1 vs spread in last seven games; they're 3-3 at home, 1-2 as home favorites. Falcons are 2-1 as underdogs; they're 0-9 vs spread last nine weeks. AFC South non-divisional home favorites are 3-5 vs spread; NFC South road underdogs are 5-5. Underdogs are 5-1 vs spread week after playing Carolina; favorites are 0-4-2 week after playing J'ville. Last seven Atlanta games stayed under total; over is 9-3 in last dozen Jaguar games. If you value positive/negative momentum, Jaguars are the side for you.

                  Texans (6-7) @ Colts (6-7)-- Indy (+5) won 27-20 at Houston in Week 5, thanks to plus-2 turnover ratio and Texans scoring one TD on three red zone drives. Colts won last six series games; Texans are 0-13 in Indy, losing last three visits here by 12-22-7 points. QB issues on both sides; could be TJ Yates vs Charlie Whitehurst in game with division lead on line. Colts lost 45-10/51-16 last two games; they were outscored 42-3 in second half Sunday by Jags. Indy is 3-3 at home, winning by 3-13-3 points (1-3 as home favorite). Houston lost 30-21/27-6 last two games; they're 2-4 as road underdogs, with all four losses by 7+ points. Teams are 3-6 week after playing Jaguars. Six of last nine Indy games went over total; five of last six Houston games stayed under.

                  Chiefs (8-5) @ Ravens (4-9)-- Streaking KC is first team since 1970 to win seven in a row after losing five in row; Chiefs won last three road games, all by 14+- they're 5-3 vs spread as favorite. Teams are 7-2-1 vs spread week after playing San Diego. 11 of 13 Raven games were decided by 6 or less points; 2-4 at home, with three losses by 4 or less- they're 3-2 as underdogs, 0-1 at home. Baltimore won three of last four games in series where visitor won six of last seven meetings. AFC West non-divisional favorites are 7-10 vs spread, 2-4 on road; AFC North underdogs are 8-7-1, 2-2 at home. Under is 3-1-1 in last five Raven games; over is 4-2-1 in KC road games. If Clausen is starting again, keep in mind he's started two games this year, both vs Seattle, losing 26-0/35-6.

                  Bills (6-7) @ Redskins (6-7)-- Buffalo is on road for fifth time in last six weeks; they've lost three in row on road, by 7-8-3 points. Bills won last six games with Redskins, last of which was a 23-0 win in Toronto. Last home game for Washington team that is 5-2 at home, losing last one to Dallas; Skins are tied for first in NFC Least, finish with Iggles/Dallas. Buffalo's defense allowed five TDs, two FGs on foes' first drive of second half; only Colts have given up more points. Redskins allowed 71.3 rushing ypg last three weeks; Buffalo has run ball for 156 ypg last three weeks but has struggled on red zone. NFC East non-divisional home teams are 6-10 vs spread, AFC East road teams 7-7. Under is 5-2 in Redskin home games, 4-1 in last five Buffalo road games.

                  Titans (3-10) @ Patriots (11-2)-- New England is #1 seed in AFC right now; they close at Jets/Miami, get home field thru playoffs if they win out. Patriots won last five games with Tennessee, last three all by 17+ points. This is 11th time in 14 games Pats are favored by 7+ points (4-3-3 as favorite of 7+)- they're 3-1-3 as home favorites. Tennessee was in tank at Swamp Sunday, trailing 27-0 at half; Titans are 3-3 as road dogs; three of four losses on road were by 14+ points. Tennessee scored 34+ in each of its three wins; they're 1-8 vs the spread when scoring less than 33 points. Under is 3-1-1 in last five Tennessee games, 5-2 in last seven Patriot tilts. In last five games, Tennessee started 38 drives 80+ yards from goal line, their opponents 20- they're getting killed in field position battle.

                  Cardinals (10-2) @ Eagles (6-7)-- Arizona won last seven games, clinches NFC West title with win here; Redbirds won last seven games, but covered one of last four- they're 4-2 as road favorites. Eagles scored 35-23 points in winning last two games; they're 6-1 if they score 23+ points, 0-6 if they don't. Arizona allowed 23+ in five of 13 games, none of last three. Cardinals had -3 turnover ratio in both losses this year. West non-divisional favorites are 9-9 vs spread, 5-3 on road; NFC East underdogs are 8-13, 4-5 at home. Last three Cardinal games stayed under total; three of last four Philly games went over. Arizona won four of last five series games; home side is 7-1 in last eight in series.

                  Panthers (13-0) @ Giants (6-7)-- Unbeaten Carolina is 5-4 vs Giants; last four in series were decided by 13+ points. Panthers scored 33+ in last four games; they're 4-1 as road favorites this year- five of their last six wins were by 8+. Giants allowed 25 ppg in losing last two home games; they're on short week after Monday nite win in Miami. Carolina has run ball for 147 ypg in last four games. Giants are 1-6 in games decided by less than 7 points. NFC South non-divisional favorites are 12-9, 5-3 on road; NFC East underdogs are 8-13, 4-5 at home. Over is 8-3 in last eleven Carolina games; three of last four Giant games stayed under the total.

                  Browns (3-10) @ Seahawks (8-5)-- Steamrolling Seattle scored 34.6 ppg in its five post-bye games, winning/covering last four; Seahawks haven't allowed an offensive TD in last two games- they're 3-3 as a home favorite- only TD they allowed in last two games was kick return when up 38-7. Cleveland lost seven of last eight games; they're 2-4 as road underdog, losing last three on road by combined 84-25. Teams split four series games; Browns lost 34-7 in only visit here, in '03. AFC North non-divisional road underdogs are 6-5-1 vs spread; NFC West home favorites are 4-6. Four of last five Cleveland games stayed under; over is 4-0-1 in last five Seattle games.

                  Packers (9-4) @ Raiders (6-7)-- McCarthy took over play calling last week and Green Bay ran ball for 230 yards on rainy day; they've won three of last four games, lead AFC North but have tough schedule rest of way. Pack is 3-2 as a road favorite. Oakland allowed 64 points in losing last two home games; they are 6-3 vs spread as an underdog this year. Packers won last six series games, last three by average of 42-10- this is only their third visit to Oakland (1-1, 1-1 vs Raiders in LA). NFC North non-divisional favorites are 9-7 vs spread, 1-3 on road; AFC West underdogs are 10-6, 3-1 at home. Eight of last ten Green Bay games stayed under total.

                  Dolphins (5-8) @ Chargers (3-10)-- This is likely Chargers' last home game in San Diego, will be an emotional day. Bolts are 1-8 since a 2-2 start; they tried hard in rainy Arrowhead LW, losing 10-3 with Rivers playing after being sick late in week. Chargers lost last five home games, didn't score TD in last two. Long travel on short week for Miami after Monday nite loss; Dolphins lost three of last four road games; they're 1-8 if they allow 20+ points, 4-0 if they hold foe under 20. Chargers scored more than 20 once in last five games. Home side won last five Dolphin-Charger games- Miami lost 23-13/26-16 in last two visits here. Four of last five San Diego games stayed under total.

                  Broncos (10-3) @ Steelers (8-5)-- Denver is 3-1 in Osweiler starts, but scored 17 or less points in three of four games. Steelers won four of last five games, scoring 30+ points in all five. Pitt is 3-1 as home favorite- their last three wins were all by 13+ points. Broncos are 4-0 SU as an underdog TY; they ran ball for only 34 yards LW, after running for 161 ypg in Osweiler's first three starts. Denver won four of last five series games; they won 24-21/31-20 in last two visits to Steel City. AFC West non-divisional underdogs are 10-6 vs spread, 7-5 on road. AFC North favorites are 9-7, 7-5 at home. Three of four Osweiler starts stayed under total; four of last five Steeler games went over.

                  Bengals (10-3) @ 49ers (4-9)-- McCarron gets first NFL start here, with Dalton out with broken thumb; last Alabama QB to win NFL start was Jeff Rutledge in 1988 (Giants). 49ers are 3-3 SU at home (4-2 as home dogs) losing by 14-17-6 points. Bengals are 2-3 last five games after an 8-0 start; they're 5-1 on road, with only loss by FG at Arizona, but that was with Dalton at QB. Cincinnati turned ball over three times last week for first time this year. Niners are 11-3 vs Cincy, including two Super Bowl wins; Bengals lost five of six visits here, with only win in 1974. AFC North non-divisional favorites are 10-7 vs spread, 3-2 on road; NFC West underdogs are 7-9, 5-2 at home. Under is 5-2 in last seven games for both sides.

                  Lions (4-9) @ Saints (5-8)-- New Orleans snapped 4-game skid LW; they are 3-3 at home TY, 1-2-1 as home favorites, with wins by 6-10-3 at home- they're 3-8-1 in last 12 games as home faves. Detroit lost two in row; they're 0-9 vs spread this season when allowing more than 16 points. Lions lost five of six road games, with only win at Green Bay, where they hadn't won since '91- they're 2-3 as road underdogs. Saints won four of last five series games, with average total, 57.8; Detroit lost five of last six visits here, with all five losses by 11+ points. NFC North non-divisional underdogs are 10-7 vs spread, 8-3 on road; NFC South favorites are 12-11, 7-6 at home. Since 2012, Detroit is 6-12 vs spread when getting points on the road.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    NFL

                    Thursday, December 17


                    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    Thursday Night Football betting preview: Buccaneers at Rams
                    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    Tampa Bay's disappointing campaign has not deterred quarterback Jameis Winston, who threw for 182 yards versus the Saints to raise his season total to 3,059 - a franchise rookie record.

                    Tampa Bay Buccaneers at St. Louis Rams (-1.5, 41)

                    A pair of high-profile rookies square off Thursday night as the St. Louis Rams host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in their final home game of the season. St. Louis halted its five-game losing streak last week with a 21-14 triumph over Detroit at the Edward Jones Dome, where it has recorded four of its five wins this campaign.

                    Todd Gurley led the way for the Rams, running for 140 yards and two touchdowns on 16 carries to climb within 25 of joining Eric Dickerson (1983) and Jerome Bettis (1993) as the only rookies in franchise history to rush for 1,000 yards. Tampa Bay's slim playoff hopes took a hit Sunday when it suffered a 24-17 loss to New Orleans at home. The Buccaneers, who haven't qualified for the postseason since 2007, are two games off the pace in the NFC wild-card race and could officially be eliminated from contention this weekend. Tampa Bay's disappointing campaign has not deterred quarterback Jameis Winston, who threw for 182 yards versus the Saints to raise his season total to 3,059 - a franchise rookie record.

                    TV:
                    8:25 p.m. ET, NFL Network.

                    LINE HISTORY:
                    Books opened this game as a Pick, but that has moved to -1.5. The total has remained at the opening number of 41.

                    INJURY REPORT:


                    Bucs - DT Gerald McCoy (Probable, hand), LB Lavonte David (Probable, ankle), DT Akeem Spence (Questionable, ankle), G Logan Mankins (Questionable, undisclosed), DE George Johnson (Questionable, calf), DE Jacquies Smith (Questionable, hamstring), LB Bruce Carter (Questionable, leg), WR Vincent Jackson (Out indefinitely, knee), LB Kwon Alexander (Out for season, suspension), DT Clinton McDonald (I-R, pectoral), WR Louis Murphy (I-R, knee), T.J. Fatinikun (I-R, shoulder), WR Kenny Bell (I-R, hamstring), DE Larry English (I-R, knee).

                    Rams - RB Todd Gurley (Probable, knee), T Rob Havenstein (Questionable, calf), DE Robert Quinn (Questionable, back), T Andrew Donnal (Questionable, knee), CB Janoris Jenkins (Questionable, concussion), RB Trey Watts (Out for season, suspension), WR Stedman Bailey (I-R, head), S T.J. McDonald (I-R, shoulder), T Jamon Brown (I-R, leg), T Darrell Williams (I-R, wrist), CB E.J. Gaines (I-R, foot), LB Alec Ogletree (I-R, leg), G Rodger Saffold (I-R, shoulder).

                    WEATHER:
                    N/A

                    POWER RANKINGS:
                    Bucs (+1) + Rams (+5) + home field (-3.0) = Rams +1

                    WHAT CAPPERS SAY:
                    "The Bucs lost SU at home on Sunday, likely dooming their playoff chances. They also lost second leading receiver Vincent Jackson to a potential season ending MCL injury. Last week I wrote about Todd Gurley’s dramatic decline in this spot. Then Gurley stepped up with his best game in months on Sunday, gashing the Lions for 140 yards and two TD’s."

                    ABOUT THE BUCCANEERS (6-7 SU, 7-6 ATS, 6-7 O/U):
                    Doug Martin ranks second in the league with 1,214 rushing yards and third in the NFC with 1,413 yards from scrimmage. The 26-year-old has recorded six touchdowns in his last 10 games, including five on the ground. Winston is the third rookie quarterback in league history to eclipse the 3,000-yard mark.

                    ABOUT THE RAMS (5-8 SU, 5-7-1 ATS, 3-10 O/U):
                    One bright spot for St. Louis this season has been its ability to get to the opposing quarterback. The Rams are second in the NFC with 36 sacks, including 11 by Aaron Donald. The 24-year-old, who is second in the conference in sacks, leads all NFL defensive tackles with 20 since the start of the 2014 campaign

                    TRENDS:


                    * Under is 5-0 in the last five meetings.
                    * Underdog is 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
                    * Buccaneers are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games in December.
                    * Rams are 1-5 ATS in their last six Thursday games.

                    CONSENSUS:
                    Fifty-eight percent of bettors are backing the Rams.

                    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      THURSDAY, DECEMBER 17

                      GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

                      TB at STL 08:25 PM

                      TB +1.0 BLOW OUT

                      O 41.5 DOUBLE PLAY
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 15

                        Larry Fitzgerald has torched the Eagles in past meetings and Arizona will likely dominate time of possession against Philadelphia Sunday night.

                        New York Jets at Dallas Cowboys (+3.5, 42)

                        Jets’ third-down defense vs. Cowboys’ third-down troubles

                        The Cowboys welcome Gang Green to Jerry’s World for a special Saturday night showdown in Arlington. Dallas has sputtered on offense all season, despite having one of the most talented offensive lines in football. That line hasn’t lived up to the hype and has struggled to make way on even the shortest plays.

                        The Cowboys are dead last in the NFL in converting third-and-1 situations and have an overall conversion percentage of just over 35 percent on third downs this season. That number has dropped the past three weeks, with Big D moving the chains on third down less than 25 percent of the time. Dallas was a despicable 1 for 11 on third down in last week’s loss to Green Bay, and went 0 for 2 on fourth-down attempts.

                        New York enters Week 15 among the best teams in the NFL in ushering opponents off the field. The Jets have allowed foes to convert on third down in just under 34 percent of those plays, trimming that to 25 percent over the past three games – third in the league during that span. New York stumped Tennessee on all but three of their 14 third-down attempts last week and limited the Giants to 4 for 15 on third downs the week before.

                        Daily fantasy watch: Jets D/ST


                        Kansas City Chiefs at Baltimore Ravens (+7.5, 41)

                        Chiefs’ pass rush vs. Ravens’ retooled offensive line

                        The Chiefs were supposed to take a big hit to their pass rush when defensive standout Justin Houston went down with a knee injury four weeks ago. Houston, who has 7.5 sacks and leads the NFL in QB hurries, hasn’t been missed much in the past three games, however. Kansas City continues to bring big-time pressure, recording 10 sacks and limiting opposing quarterbacks to a 59 percent completion rate with Houston in the lineup.

                        The Chiefs top the NFL in defensive hurries with 125, according to SportingCharts.com, which is 21 more than the next team, the Oakland Raiders. Kansas City is fourth in sacks with 39 QB kills heading into Week 15, and that pressure has rushed opponents to complete just 58 percent of their pass versus the Chiefs, who have also picked off 18 wayward throws.

                        Baltimore head coach John Harbaugh has begun tinkering with his trenches to get a head start on the 2016 season. That’s especially true with the Raven’s offensive line, which has been playing musical chairs for most of the month. Harbaugh, whose o-line has allowed only 20 sacks on the season, is turning to some young, untested protectors in the final games, and doesn’t have much to lose with tackling dummies like Jimmy Clausen, Matt Schaub, and Ryan Mallet under center.

                        Daily fantasy watch: Kansas City D/ST


                        Green Bay Packers at Oakland Raiders (+3, 47)

                        Packers’ yards after the catch vs. Raiders’ YAC allowed

                        Aaron Rodgers returns to the Bay Area for a date with the Raiders. The former California star will be looking for a big day back home, and many of those gains will come courtesy of his receivers picking up yards after the catch. Green Bay is among the best teams at tacking on extra yardage after the reception, averaging more than six YAC per catch which ranks third most in the NFL.

                        The Packers' explosive offense has been dumbed down this season, thanks in part to the absence of deep threat Jordy Nelson. Green Bay, however, is making up for that with solid efforts on short passes. Last week in the win over Dallas, running backs James Starks and Eddie Lacy combined for five receptions worth 56 yards and a touchdown, with their legs doing the heavy lifting on those catch-and-runs. And then there’s Randall Cobb, who has picked up 324 of his total 737 receiving yards after the catch.

                        Oakland has been burned by extra yardage all season. The Raiders allowed opponents to rack up 148.5 yards after the catch per game, which is second most in the league. Oakland has done a good job slowing down running backs on the ground – allowing only 101 rushing yards per game – but have watched those same rushers turn into potent receivers, allowing 638 total receiving yards and an average gain of almost eight yards to running backs through the air.

                        Daily fantasy watch: RB James Starks


                        Arizona Cardinals at Philadelphia Eagles (+3.5, 50.5)

                        Cardinals’ clock-eating offense vs. Eagles’ offensive pace

                        When it comes to time with the football, these birds are of a different feather. Arizona comes into Week 15 as the top team in time of possession, averaging 32:27 with the ball per game. That time has been pumped up the past three games, in which the Cardinals controlled the clock for 36:24 in that span.

                        The Eagles, on the other hand, treat the pigskin like a Christmas fruit cake: they’re always in a rush to give it away. Philadelphia’s frenetic pace eats up only 25:56 per game – dead last in the NFL. And in the last three weeks, the Eagles have been especially thrifty with the football, averaging a TOP of just 24:30.

                        Sunday night’s game could be all about which team imposes their pace on the other. Arizona will look to attack through the air, which often keeps the clock stopped more that running, but won’t be rushing to the line to call the next play. And with the Cardinals dialing up the blitz more than any other team in the NFL, Philadelphia will look to put Arizona on its heels and wear them out with Chip Kelly’s up-tempo attack. Either way, the Cardinals should end up with plenty of touches.

                        Daily fantasy watch: WR Larry Fitzgerald

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          NFL

                          Saturday, December 19


                          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          Saturday Night Football betting preview: Jets at Cowboys
                          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          The Jets are 9-1-1 against the spread in their last 11 games in December.

                          New York Jets at Dallas Cowboys (+3.5, 41.5)

                          The New York Jets look for their fourth straight win and try to keep pace in the playoff race when they visit the Dallas Cowboys on Saturday night. The Jets currently hold the final wild-card berth but don't control their own destiny as they need to continue to pile up the victories and have either Pittsburgh or Kansas City lose another game to have a shot at the postseason.

                          Led by Ryan Fitzpatrick, the Jets' offense is firing on all cylinders. Fitzpatrick enters Saturday's game with 24 touchdown passes, just five shy of Vinny Testaverde's franchise record. His top targets, Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker, are also nearing milestones - Marshall is six receptions away from breaking Al Toon's team single-season mark of 93 and Decker needs 125 yards to reach 1,000 for the season. Dallas' offense is quite the opposite, falling completely apart since Tony Romo fractured his collarbone. Dez Bryant caught just one pass in the Cowboys' 28-7 loss at Green Bay last week and the Cowboys have plummeted to 28th in the league in total offense.

                          TV:
                          8:25 p.m. ET, NFL Network.

                          LINE HISTORY:
                          Books opened the Cowboys as 3-point home dogs but that has moved to +3.5. The total opened at 42 but is down to 41.5.

                          WEATHER FORECAST:
                          N/A

                          POWER RANKINGS:
                          Jets (-2.5) - Cowboys (+4) + home field (-3.0) = Jets -3.5

                          INJURY REPORT:


                          Jets - WR Jeremy Kerley (Questionable, calf), DB Dion Bailey (Questionable, ankle), DB Marcus Williams (Questionable, knee), RB Zac Stacy (Out for season, ankle), WR Devin Smith (I-R, knee), DE Mike Catapano (I-R, foot), G Willie Colon (I-R, knee), K Nick Folk (I-R, quad), S Antonio Allen (I-R, Achilles), TE Jace Amaro (I-R, shoulder), TE Zach Sudfeld (I-R, knee).

                          Cowboys - DE Demarcus Lawrence (Questionable, chest), CB Morris Claiborne (Questionable, hamstring), OL Chaz Green (Questionable, hip), LB Mark Nzeocha (Questionable, knee), LB Rolando McClain (Questionable, concussion), QB Tony Romo (Out for season, collarbone), Ryan Russell (I-R, abdominal), RB Lance Dunbar (I-R, knee), DT Terrell McClain (I-R, toe), CB Orlando Scandrick (I-R, knee).

                          WHAT CAPPERS SAY:
                          "With a three TD effort against the Titans, QB Ryan Fitzpatrick set his career high for TD passes and is now ranked in the Top 10 in QB rating for the first time in his career. Dallas enters Saturday?s home game against the Jets riding a 12-26 ATS run at home dating back to the start of the 2011 campaign; just 1-5 SU and ATS at Jerry?s World this year."

                          ABOUT THE JETS (8-5 SU, 7-5-1 ATS, 7-6 O/U):
                          New York has racked up 10 wins or more 10 times in its history and all 10 times it has reached the playoffs. This season, however, even 11 wins might not be enough for the Jets, who rank 10th in the NFL in points scored (25.0) and points allowed (19.7). New York lost receiver Devin Smith to a torn ACL last week and Jeremy Kerley is questionable with a calf injury, but its depth has been outstanding. Chris Ivory has rushed for 914 yards and his backup, Bilal Powell, has scored touchdowns in each of the past two weeks while amassing 190 yards from scrimmage.

                          ABOUT THE COWBOYS (4-9 SU, 4-9 ATS, 5-8 O/U):
                          Bryant admitted that his surgically repaired foot was hurting after last week's game but Dallas has no plans of shutting him down for the season. Perhaps that's because the Cowboys, who are 1-5 at home, are still mathematically alive for a playoff berth, but even owner Jerry Jones admitted those chances are "very, very slim." Darren McFadden was the lone bright spot last week, gaining 111 yards on nine carries to leave him 202 yards shy of a 1,000-yard season that would net him a $300,000 bonus.

                          TRENDS:


                          * Jets are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games in December.
                          * Cowboys are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games.
                          * Under is 4-1 in Cowboys last five games following a straight up loss.
                          * Under is 4-1 in Jets last five games in December.

                          CONSENSUS:
                          Seventy percent of bettors are backing the Jets.

                          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Essential Week 15 betting notes for NFL Sunday

                            The Steelers turn up their level of play when it matters most going 10-1 ATS in their last 11 December games.

                            Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings (-5.5, 43)

                            * The Bear haven't been as bad as some people predicted at the start of the season and books haven't really caught up with this, especially when they are away from Soldier Field. The Bears are 5-1 ATS in six road games this season, including their last five in a row.

                            * After a stretch that saw them go 1-2 ATS, the Vikings bounced back at the betting window last week, covering as 10-point pups in Arizona. The Vikings are still the second best bet in the NFL this season at 10-3 ATS.

                            Atlanta Falcons at Jacksonville Jaguars (-3, 49)

                            * The Falcons incredible cold streak continued last week after getting blown out 38-0 against division rival Carolina as 8.5-point road pups. Atlanta is now 0-9 ATS over their last nine games. The under is also 8-0-1 during that streak thanks to Atlanta scoring just 15.8 points per game over that span.

                            * Although it may be a long shot, the Jaguars still have a shot at the less than great AFC South and over the last seven weeks the Jaguars have been a solid bet. They are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven and are coming off a 51-16 demolishing of division rival Indianapolis.

                            Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts (-2, 42)

                            * T.J. Yates, who led the Texans to a win over the New York Jets on Nov. 22 and has three TD passes in parts of three games this season, will start at quarterback. Defensive end J.J. Watt adjusted to playing with a broken hand last week and again is expected to take the field with a heavy wrap over his left hand.

                            * The Colts may not even have their No. 2 quarterback if Matt Hasselbeck (ribs) can’t make the start, leaving No. 3 Charlie Whitehurst as the healthy option. "My focus has been giving them everything I've got," Hasselbeck told reporters. "Fighting through pain, showing the coaching staff what I have to offer. Then it's their job to make that decision to decide who plays and who doesn't.”

                            Carolina Panthers at New York Giants (+3.5, 48)

                            * Not only are the Panthers undefeated, they are a heck of a bet as well, going 10-3 ATS this season, which includes a 5-1 ATS mark on the road. That makes them the second best bet in the NFL, trailing just the Cincinnati Bengals.

                            * New York snapped a three-game skid with a 31-24 win at Miami on Monday night, as Eli Manning had his best game of the season with 337 yards on 27-of-31 passing and four touchdowns. The Giants likely will need another big game from Manning with their stagnant ground game facing one of the league’s top run defenses.

                            Tennessee Titans at New England Patriots (-14, 46.5)

                            * New England snapped out of a two-game slide with a 27-6 victory over Houston last week in a game that marked the return of tight end Rob Gronkowski (knee) but resulted in the loss of running back LeGarrette Blount (hip) for the rest of the season. The Patriots, who will lean even more on emerging rusher James White, need a win plus a Denver loss or a win plus a Cincinnati loss and a Denver tie to lock up one of the AFC’s top two playoff seeds.

                            * The Titans are at the complete opposite end of the spectrum and are staring at another year of drafting in the top five, though rookie quarterback Marcus Mariota is giving the team hope for the future. The Oregon product has two games this season with four touchdown passes and no interceptions and has thrown for at least 218 yards in each of his last four starts.

                            Buffalo Bills at Washington (+2, 44)

                            * While Rex Ryan is happy with the play of quarterback Tyrod Taylor, the Bills rank 28th in the league in passing and Taylor is 0-5 in games in which he's thrown 30 or more passes.

                            * Washington posted a rare road win last week at Chicago and will try to win consecutive games for the first time this season. Cousins threw for 300 yards and a touchdown Sunday and has 12 scoring passes against just three interceptions over his past seven games.

                            Kansas City Chiefs at Baltimore Ravens (+7, 41)

                            * The Chiefs red-hot run at the betting window finally came to an end last week, with the team failing to cover the 11.5-point in their 10-3 win over the San Diego Chargers. Before last week the Chiefs have covered the spread in six straight games and are now 7-6 ATS for the season.

                            * Meanwhile, the Ravens continue to struggle at M&T Bank Stadium. Baltimore is 0-5-1 ATS at home this season and 0-8-1 ATS in their last nine games there overall.

                            Cleveland Browns at Seattle Seahawks (-15, 42.5)

                            * Cleveland halted its seven-game losing streak last week as it posted a 24-10 home triumph over San Francisco. Johnny Manziel returned as the Browns' starting quarterback after a two-game benching and threw for 270 yards and a touchdown while the club gained a season-high 230 yards on the ground. Cleveland has lost five of its first six road games, with its lone victory coming in overtime at Baltimore in Week 5.

                            * The Seahawks have really tuned things around at the backhalf of this season and while defending their NFC crown looked murkey a few weeks ago, they can actually clinch another trip to the postseason with a win and som help elsewhere. The are back in the thick of things thanks to a four-game winning streak in which they have outscored their opponents 141-56 and covered the spread in each game.

                            Green Bay Packers at Oakland Raiders (+3.5, 48)

                            * The Packers, who have won their last two road games after losing the previous two, host the Vikings in the season finale for both clubs. A tie - or losses or ties by Tampa Bay and either Washington or the New York Giants - also would secure a postseason spot for Green Bay, which has won six straight meetings with Oakland.

                            * The Raiders are aiming to register their third win in four games and reach .500 this late in the season for the first time since finishing 2011 with an 8-8 record. Oakland is coming off a 15-12 victory at Denver that ended its eight-game losing streak against the AFC West-rival Broncos.

                            Denver Broncos at Pittsburgh Steelers (-7, 45.5)

                            * Denver's Brock Osweiler didn't find the end zone last week despite throwing for a career-high 308 yards in a 15-12 loss to Oakland. The setback dropped the AFC West-leading Broncos into a tie with Cincinnati for second place, although the latter holds the tiebreaker to claim temporary ownership of the first-round bye.

                            * The Steelers look to continue their familiar December push toward the playoffs on Sunday and the playoff push makes them a better bet. Pittsburgh is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games in December, which includes 2-0 ATS this year.

                            Miami Dolphins at San Diego Chargers (-1, 46)

                            * While the Steelers rev up in December, the Dolphins let go of the throttle. They are 0-9 ATS in their last nine games in December, and to make matters worse they are 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.

                            * The Chargers are another team that don't have much of a home field advantage, at least when it comes to the betting window. The Chargers are just 1-11 ATS in their last 12 home games.

                            Cincinnati Bengals at San Francisco 49ers (+5, 40.5)

                            * While the Bengals are the NFL's best bet at 10-2-1 ATS this season, it looks like they will have to play for the foreseeable future without starter Andy Dalton, who suffered a broken thumb in last week's loss to the Steelers. The Bengals will turn to former Alabama quarterback A.J. McCarron.

                            * San Francisco followed up one of its best performances of the season, an overtime win at Chicago, by getting mauled in Cleveland and giving up 230 rushing yards to a team that ranked last in the league entering the contest. Blaine Gabbert is 2-3 since he replaced Colin Kaepernick as the starting quarterback, but he has failed to pass for 200 yards in each of the past two games and was sacked a franchise record-tying nine times by the Browns.

                            Arizona Cardinals at Philadelphia Eagles (+3.5, 51)

                            * A seven-game winning streak has fueled the ascent of Arizona, which can claim its first division title in six years with either a win on Sunday or if second-place Seattle stumbles versus Cleveland.

                            * After the Eagles win straight up and ATS they cash unders the next game, with the under going 7-0 in the last seven games when that is the case.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              NFL

                              Sunday, December 20


                              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              Sunday Night Football betting preview: Cardinals at Eagles
                              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                              The Cardinals will try to extend their seven game winning streak Sunday night in Philadelphia.

                              Arizona Cardinals at Philadelphia Eagles (+3.5, 51)

                              After clinching a playoff berth last week, the Arizona Cardinals can put the finishing touches on securing the NFC West title and potentially a first-round bye on Sunday night when they visit the Philadelphia Eagles. A seven-game winning streak has fueled the ascent of Arizona, which can claim its first division title in six years with either a win on Sunday or if second-place Seattle stumbles versus Cleveland.

                              "Somebody texted me, 'Hey, you punched your ticket,'" Cardinals coach Bruce Arians told reporters. "I said, 'Yeah, we're trying to upgrade to first class.'" Carson Palmer resides in the cockpit of the NFL's top-ranked offense as the MVP candidate tossed a pair of scoring strikes to increase his season total to a franchise-best 31 in a 23-20 victory over Minnesota last week. Philadelphia has won two in a row to place itself in a three-way tie atop the less-than-impressive NFC East. "To start the year the way we did and kind of dig ourselves in a hole, it was unlikely that we would be in this position this late in the year," quarterback Sam Bradford said.

                              TV:
                              8:30 p.m. ET, NBC.

                              LINE HISTORY:
                              The Cardinals have held steady at their opening number of -3.5, with only the juice being adjusted. The total has been bet up slightly from 50.5 to 51.

                              INJURY REPORT:


                              Cardinals - WR B. Golden (probable Sunday, concussion), LB S. Weatherspoon (probable Sunday, illness), WR L. Fitzgerald (probable Sunday, ankle), RB A. Ellington (questionable Sunday, toe), C L. Sendlein (questionable Sunday, knee), S R. Johnson (questionable Sunday, ankle), CB P. Peterson (questionable Sunday, ankle), DE F. Rucker (questionable Sunday, ankle), CB J. Powers (questionable Sunday, calf), TE J. Gresham (questionable Sunday, knee), DE C. Redding (doubtul Sunday, ankle).

                              Eagles - T A. Barbre (probable Sunday, calf), QB S. Bradford (probable Sunday, shoulder), DE V. Curry (probable Sunday, illness), T L. Johnson (probable Sunday, illness), DT B. Logan (probable Sunday, knee), DB E. Rowe (probable Sunday, ankle), LB M. Smith (probable Sunday, hamstring)m DE C, Thornton (probable Sunday, ankle), T M. Tobin (probable Sunday, knee), WR J. Matthews (probable Sunday, back), CB B. Maxwell (probable Sunday, ankle).

                              WEATHER REPORT:
                              It will be a chilly, but clear night for football in Philadelphia, with temperatures hovering around freezing at kickoff. There will also be a very slight 3-5 mile per hour wind blowing towards the northern end zone.

                              POWER RANKINGS:
                              Cardinals (-5.5) - Eagles (0) + home field (-3) = Eagles +2.5

                              WHAT CAPPERS SAY:
                              "Arizona head coach Bruce Arians gave his team four full days off following their Thursday Night win over the Vikings, hoping they?ll be fresher (and healthier) down the stretch. Meanwhile in Philadelphia, after beating the Bills, the Eagles are now 6-2 SU in games that Sam Bradford starts and finishes. Still, Philly got outgained by more than a yard per play in that win over Buffalo."

                              ABOUT THE CARDINALS (11-2, 7-6 ATS, 8-5 O/U):
                              John Brown, who is just 105 yards shy of his first 1,000-yard season, came up large both last week and in the previous meeting with Philadelphia. The 25-year-old reeled in a 65-yard touchdown pass versus the Vikings and also corralled a 75-yard score in the waning moments of a 24-20 victory over the Eagles last season. Michael Floyd, who has recorded four 100-yard performances in his last five contests, and Larry Fitzgerald could also be in for a big day against an Eagles defense that has yielded 21 touchdowns to wideouts this season.

                              ABOUT THE EAGLES (6-7, 6-7, 6-5 O/U):
                              Last season's rushing champion, DeMarco Murray, has played in just 39 snaps over the last two weeks, with 25 coming in Philadelphia's 23-20 victory over Buffalo. "I've never been concerned with making any individual happy," coach Chip Kelly said Thursday. "Our focus and goal is always on trying to win the football game. So anywhere I’ve ever been, I’ve never heard any coach ever discuss anything like that." Murray's team-leading 603 yards are a far cry from last season's total (1,845) with Dallas, and the 27-year-old once again finds himself as part of a committee with Ryan Mathews and veteran Darren Sproles.

                              TRENDS:


                              * Cardinals are 12-1 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
                              * Eagles are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
                              * Under is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 games in December.
                              * Under is 7-0 in Eagles last 7 games following a straight up win.

                              CONSENSUS:
                              A solid majority of bettors are backing the Cardinals on Monday night, with 68 percent of wagers on Arizona. The over is also the popular play here with 57 percent of wagers on it.

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