NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Army/Navy and Bowl Season (Saturday, December 12 - Saturday, January 2)

[Udog]

NCAAF

Bowl Season

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Trend Report
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Monday, December 28

2:30 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. NAVY
Pittsburgh is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Navy is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games

5:00 PM
CENTRAL MICHIGAN vs. MINNESOTA
Central Michigan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games


Tuesday, December 29

2:00 PM
CALIFORNIA vs. AIR FORCE
California is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
California is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Air Force's last 8 games
Air Force is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

5:30 PM
NORTH CAROLINA vs. BAYLOR
North Carolina is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Carolina's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baylor's last 6 games
Baylor is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games

7:30 PM
NEVADA vs. COLORADO STATE
Nevada is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Colorado State
Nevada is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing Colorado State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado State's last 6 games
Colorado State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

9:00 PM
LSU vs. TEXAS TECH
LSU is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas Tech's last 5 games


Wednesday, December 30

12:00 PM
AUBURN vs. MEMPHIS
Auburn is 2-14-1 ATS in its last 17 games
Auburn is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games
Memphis is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games

3:30 PM
NORTH CAROLINA STATE vs. MISSISSIPPI STATE
North Carolina State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Carolina State's last 6 games
Mississippi State is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games

7:00 PM
TEXAS A&M vs. LOUISVILLE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas A&M's last 6 games
Texas A&M is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
Louisville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisville's last 5 games

10:30 PM
SOUTHERN CAL vs. WISCONSIN
Southern Cal is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Southern Cal is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Wisconsin's last 10 games
Wisconsin is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games


Thursday, December 31

12:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. FLORIDA STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Florida State's last 11 games
Florida State is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games

4:00 PM
OKLAHOMA vs. CLEMSON
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma's last 7 games
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Clemson is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
MICHIGAN STATE vs. ALABAMA
Michigan State is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Michigan State is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


Friday, January 1

12:00 PM
NORTHWESTERN vs. TENNESSEE
Northwestern is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Northwestern's last 12 games
Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games

1:00 PM
NOTRE DAME vs. OHIO STATE
Notre Dame is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Ohio State is 24-1 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ohio State's last 6 games

1:00 PM
MICHIGAN vs. FLORIDA
Michigan is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Michigan is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games
Florida is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games

5:00 PM
IOWA vs. STANFORD
Iowa is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Iowa is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
Stanford is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games

8:30 PM
OKLAHOMA STATE vs. MISSISSIPPI
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma State's last 5 games
Oklahoma State is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
Mississippi is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Mississippi's last 9 games


Saturday, January 2

12:00 PM
GEORGIA vs. PENN STATE
Georgia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Georgia is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Penn State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Penn State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

3:20 PM
KANSAS STATE vs. ARKANSAS
Kansas State is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas State's last 10 games
Arkansas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

6:45 PM
OREGON vs. TCU
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oregon's last 5 games
TCU is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of TCU's last 6 games

10:15 PM
WEST VIRGINIA vs. ARIZONA STATE
West Virginia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
West Virginia is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Arizona State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona State's last 7 games


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[Udog]

NCAAF

Saturday, December 26


Connecticut scoring 14.8 points per game in their last 5 games. Under went 5-0 in that stretch. O/U vs Marshall: 44

[Udog]

NCAAF

Saturday, December 26


Marshall heads into St. Petersburg Bowl vs UConn 4-0 SU/ATS in its last 4 bowl games.

[Udog]

NCAAF

Saturday, December 26


Washington State was one of the country's best bets (9-3 ATS) & face Miami in the Sun Bowl


It could be a not so sunny Sun Bowl, with 70 % chance of rain and a 12 mph wind gusting across the field. O/U: 63

[Udog]

NCAAF

Saturday, December 26


Southern Miss 6-0 ATS in last 6 non-conference games currently +8 for Heart of Dallas Bowl


Messy weather on tap for Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl. Strong winds, rain and chance of thunderstorms in the forecast. O/U down to 52

[Udog]

NCAAF

Monday, December 28

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Monday's college football bowl betting preview
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Minnesota will be making its fourth straight bowl-game appearance in the Quick Lane Bowl.


Military Bowl Presented by Northrop Grumman

Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Navy Midshipmen (-3, 53)

Game to be played at Navy Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Annapolis, Maryland

Navy tries for the first 11-win season in program history when it meets Pittsburgh on Dec. 28 in the Military Bowl on the Midshipmen's home field in Annapolis, Md., in what could be coach Ken Niumatalolo's final game with Navy. Niumatalolo, who took over as Midshipmen coach prior to the the 2007 Poinsettia Bowl, is 67-37-0 - the winningest coach in Academy annals - but appears to be a strong candidate to take over at BYU. "It's been my life," Niumatalolo, a Mormon who went on a two-year mission after his freshman year at Hawaii, told reporters about his time at Navy. "My kids have grown up here. I've given everything for this program."

Keenan Reynolds, who finished fifth in Heisman Trophy voting, plays his final collegiate game after becoming the first Midshipmen quarterback to defeat Army four times. Reynolds rushed for two touchdowns in No. 22 Navy's 21-17 victory over the Black Knights on Dec. 12 to set the Division I record with 85 career TDs, passing Georgia Southern's Adrian Peterson and Towson's Terrance West. Reynolds has rushed for 4,415 yards, trailing only West Virginia's Pat White (4,480) and Michigan's Denard Robinson (4,495) on the all-time FBS list for quarterbacks.

While it appears the Midshipmen may soon need a new coach, Pittsburgh's Pat Narduzzi on Dec. 10 received a two-year contract extension through 2021 after guiding the Panthers to eight wins in his first season. Narduzzi's rushing defense is 20th nationally at 126.1 yards per game, but he must figure out a way to stop the country's No. 3 ground attack which averages 319.2 yards. Pittsburgh held Navy to 220 rushing yards in a 24-21 loss in Annapolis on a last-second goal in 2013.

TV: 2:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE HISTORY: Navy opened as 5-point favorites, but have been bet down two-points to the current number of -3. The total opened at 53 and hasn't moved off that number.

INJURY REPORT:

Pittsburgh - DL Z. Poker (questionable Monday, foot), DL M. Scarpinato (questionable Monday, upper body).

Navy - N/A.

WEATHER REPORT: It's going to be overcast with a 20 percent chance of rain and a 10-12 mile per hour wind blowing across the field out of the northeast. Temperatures will be in the mid 40's.

ABOUT PITTSBURGH (8-4, 6-6 ATS, 5-6-1 O/U): The Panthers boast a trio of offensive standouts in quarterback Nathan Peterman (61.4 percent completion rate, 19 touchdowns, five interceptions), redshirt freshman running back Qadree Ollison (1,048 rushing yards, 10 TDs) and wide receiver Tyler Boyd (85 catches, six TDs). Freshman defensive back Jordan Whitehead finished third in the ACC with 67 solo tackles. Pittsburgh, which finished second to North Carolina in the ACC's Coastal Division, plays in its eighth straight bowl after losing to Houston 35-34 in last season's Armed Forces Bowl to drop to 13-18 in bowl games.

ABOUT NAVY (10-2, 8-4 ATS, 7-5 O/U): Reynolds ran for 1,229 yards and 21 touchdowns this season - the second-most rushing scores in the nation to Heisman Trophy winner Derrick Henry of Alabama (23) - while fullback Chris Swain added 909 yards and 10 scores. Reynolds tossed seven touchdown passes - five to wide receiver Jamir Tillman - in 98 attempts this season. The Midshipmen (9-10-1 in bowl games) play in their fourth straight bowl and try for their third consecutive victory after a 17-16 win over San Diego State in the 2014 Poinsettia Bowl and a 24-6 verdict over Middle Tennessee in the 2013 Armed Forces Bowl.

TRENDS:

* Pittsburgh is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in December.
* Navy is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. ACC.
* Over is 4-1 in Pittsburgh's last 5 non-conference games.
* Under is 6-0 in Navy's last 6 neutral site games.



Quick Lane Bowl

Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers (-5, 48.5)

Game to be played at Ford Field, Detroit, Michigan

Central Michigan nearly pulled off an impossible comeback the last time it appeared in the postseason; Minnesota merely achieved the improbable by qualifying for a bowl game despite a losing record. The Chippewas enter the Quick Lane Bowl at Ford Field in Detroit on Dec. 28 after falling just short of successfully overcoming a 35-point fourth-quarter deficit in last year’s Bahamas Bowl. The Golden Gophers are one of three five-win programs that earned a bowl bid this season based on its NCAA Academic Progress Report after not enough teams reached bowl eligibility.

Minnesota went 2-0 against the Mid-American Conference this year and will be making its fourth straight bowl-game appearance, but will be doing so under coach Tracy Claeys, who took over for Jerry Kill after he resigned his position on Oct. 28 due to health reasons. The Gophers went 1-4 under Claeys, although all four setbacks came against bowl-bound Big Ten teams with at least nine regular-season wins. In all, six of Minnesota’s seven losses came against opponents that either already have posted 10 victories or can reach that mark with a win in their bowl game.

Central Michigan trailed Western Kentucky 49-14 with less than 12 minutes left in the 2014 Bahamas Bowl before Cooper Rush connected on the first of five fourth-quarter touchdown passes – he finished with seven, the most by a quarterback in any bowl game. The 34-point rally was highlighted by a play that involved three laterals as time expired. The Chippewas’ bid to complete the comeback was thwarted, however, when the ensuing game-winning two-point conversion was batted away.

TV: 5 p.m. ET, ESPN2.

LINE HISTORY: Minnesota opened as 6-point favorites, were bet down to -5.5, back up to -6 and then down to the current number of -5. The total has been bet down a point from 49.5 to 48.5.

INJURY REPORT:

Central Michigan - J. Ostman (questionable Monday, ankle), DB S. Armstead (questionable Monday, undisclosed).

Minnesota - DL S. Ekpe (probable MOnday, undisclosed), DB J. Myrick (probable Monday, ribs), QB M. Leidner (probable Monday, foot), DT S. Richardson (probable Monday, calf), WR I. Gentry (questionable Monday, hamstring), WR J. Jones (questionable Monday, undisclosed), OL B. Lauer (questionable Monday, concussion), RB R. Smith (questionable Monday, ankle).

WEATHER REPORT: Indoors.

ABOUT CENTRAL MICHIGAN (7-5, 9-3 ATS, 5-7 O/U): First-year coach John Bonamego kept Rush as the focal point of the offense and was rewarded as his junior quarterback completed 67.2 percent of his passes and set a single-season school record with 3,703 passing yards during the regular season – good for 10th in FBS in that category. Rush passed for multiple touchdowns in nine of his team’s 12 games and threw for four scores in two of those contests. Eight Chippewas have at least one catch that covered 25 yards and five players have at least 33 receptions, led by Jesse Kroll (59 catches for 856 yards) and Anthony Rice (56 for 584).

ABOUT MINNESOTA (5-7, 6-6 ATS, 7-5 O/U): Shannon Brooks became the first Gopher since Laurence Maroney in 2005 to have four touchdown runs longer than 35 yards in one year and finished the regular season with 644 rushing yards – the sixth-highest total for a Minnesota freshman. The passing attack is led by Mitch Leidner, who set a program record for a junior with 218 completions and tied another one by passing for at least 250 yards in four straight games, and receiver KJ Maye, who tallied 65 catches for 706 yards. The Gophers’ secondary has a pair of likely future NFL cornerbacks in seniors Eric Murray and Briean Boddy-Calhoun, who held up the back end of the country’s 15th-ranked pass defense.

TRENDS:

* Central Michigan is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
* Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 bowl games.
* Over is 7-1-1 in Central Michigan's last 9 vs. Big Ten.
* Over is 6-1 in Minnesota's last 7 games overall.


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[Udog]

NCAAF

Tuesday, December 29

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Game of the Day: Tuesday's college football bowl betting preview
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The LSU Tigers head into the Advocare V100 Texas Bowl versus Texas Tech with an 0-4 record against the spread in their last four bowl games.


Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl

Game played at Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, Texas

Cal Golden Bears vs. Air Force Falcons (+7, 67)

LOCKHEED MARTIN ARMED FORCES BOWL STORYLINES

1. Two teams with very different offensive styles meet Dec. 29 as Air Force takes on California in the Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl in Fort Worth, Texas. Air Force’s ground game ranks third nationally with 321.8 rushing yards per game, while Cal boasts an explosive aerial attack led by junior quarterback Jared Goff, who broke his own single-season school records for passing yards and touchdowns. The teams are meeting for the first time since the 2007 Armed Forces Bowl, when the Golden Bears overcame a 21-point deficit and escaped with a 42-36 victory.

2. Cal won two of its final three games to secure its first postseason appearance since 2011, while Air Force won five straight to clinch the Mountain West Mountain Division title but fell 27-24 to San Diego State in the conference championship game. The Falcons’ triple-option offense has received a boost from tailback Jacobi Owens, who started the final seven games and rushed for a season-best 156 yards against San Diego State. The Golden Bears also will need to keep a close eye on senior quarterback Karson Roberts, who has rushed for nine touchdowns and thrown for nine others.

3. All five of Air Force’s losses came away from home this season, but it should have solid backing in Fort Worth, which is less than a 12-hour drive from Colorado Springs. Safety Weston Steelhammer recorded a team-high 80 tackles and five interceptions as well as 10.5 tackles for loss and seven pass breakups to lead the Falcons, who ranked third in the Mountain West in scoring defense at 23.2 points per game. Steelhammer will need another strong effort against the Golden Bears, who closed the regular season with a 48-46 home win over Arizona State.

TV: 2 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE HISTORY: Books opened Cal as a 7-point fave. The total is up to 67 from the opening 65.5.

WEATHER: Temperatures in the mid-40s under partly cloudy skies with wind blowing toward the northwest endzone at around six mph.

TRENDS:

* Golden Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last seven Bowl games.
* Falcons are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.
* Over is 4-0 in Falcons last four games overall.
* Over is 6-2 in Golden Bears last eight Bowl games.



Russell Athletic Bowl

Game played at Orlando Citrus Bowl, Orlando, Florida

(11) North Carolina Tar Heels vs. (19) Baylor Bears (+2.5, 69.5)

RUSSELL ATHLETIC BOWL STORYLINES

1. North Carolina goes after its school-record 12th victory of the season when it takes on injury-plagued Baylor at the Russell Athletic Bowl on Dec. 29 in Orlando, Fla. The No. 10 Tar Heels lost their opener to South Carolina and won 11 consecutive games before dropping the ACC Championship game 45-37 against No. 1 Clemson. North Carolina has won 11 contests for the fourth time (also 1972, 1980 and 1997) and faces the No. 17 Bears, who lost three of the last four games.

2. Four different quarterbacks have been under center this season for Baylor and freshman Jarrett Stidham (broken ankle) is not expected to be ready, which will hand the start to Chris Johnson. The sophomore won’t be able to look in the direction of Biletnikoff Award winner Corey Coleman (74 receptions, 1,363 yards and a nation-leading 20 touchdowns), who has been ruled out due to a sports hernia. Coach Art Briles also announced that running back Shock Linwood (1,329 yards rushing, 10 TDs) would not play against North Carolina due to a broken foot.

3. There’s no doubt who will be at the helm for North Carolina as senior quarterback Marquise Williams attempts to end his final campaign with another strong performance. Williams is one of five ACC players in history to accumulate more than 10,000 yards of offense and threw 12 of his 21 touchdown passes this season in the last six games while suffering only two interceptions in that span. The 6-2, 225-pound Williams has also rushed for 867 yards and 11 scores in 2015, and has been responsible for a school-record 94 touchdowns in his career.

TV: 5:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE HISTORY: Books opened Baylor as a 2.5-point fave, but that has been adjusted to +3. The total is up one point from the opening 68.5.

WEATHER: Temperatures in the high-70s under partly cloudy skies with wind blowing toward the north endzone at around six mph.

TRENDS:

* Tar Heels are 1-4 ATS in their last five neutral site games.
* Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.
* Over is 4-1 in Tar Heels last five games overall.
* Over is 5-0 in Bears last five neutral site games.



Nova Home Loans Arizona Bowl

Game played at Arizona Stadium, Tucson, Arizona

Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Colorado State Rams (-3, 55.5)

NOVA HOME LOANS ARIZONA BOWL STORYLINES

1. For the first time since the Big Eight’s Nebraska and Oklahoma met in the 1979 Orange Bowl, two opponents from the same conference will square off in a non-playoff bowl game when Nevada and Colorado State of the Mountain West meet Dec. 29 in the Nova Home Loans Arizona Bowl in Tucson. With only 77 bowl-eligible teams to fill 80 slots and several conferences unable to fill their affiliations, the selection process became a scramble and, when the dust settled, the West-Division Wolf Pack and Mountain-Division Rams wound up pitted against each other in the first-year bowl. The teams did not meet in the regular season due to the conference’s unbalanced-schedule rotation, but Mountain West commissioner Craig Thompson quickly issued a statement following the bowl-pairings announcement Dec. 6, saying: “It is a travesty the Mountain West has been forced into this situation. Clearly, the system is broken. ... There is consensus change needed, and this year’s outcome must not be repeated.”

2. Nevada struggled offensively this season, ranking 87th in the FBS in scoring (26.1 points per game) and 83rd in total offense (377.7 yards), and will have an interim play-caller in Tucson with offensive coordinator Nick Rolovich leaving to accept the head-coaching position at Hawaii. Wide receivers coach Jim Hofher, a former head coach at Cornell and Buffalo, will handle the duties and also will switch from coaching the receivers to quarterbacks. And with the Wolf Pack playing in a post-Christmas bowl game, coach Brian Polian has started his search for the team’s next offensive coordinator to step in for Rolovich, who had served in that capacity the last four seasons.

3. Mike Bobo already has had the most successful initial coaching season in Colorado State history, and the Rams are building on that with the additional practices and the extra game itself. In particular, quarterback Nick Stevens has shown strides under Bobo, the offensive coordinator at Georgia the previous eight seasons, as he set the program’s sophomore record with 2,369 passing yards. Stevens also has thrown a Mountain West-leading 21 touchdown passes – the fifth-highest single-season total in Colroado State history.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, American Sports Network/Campus Insiders.

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Rams as 3.5-point faves but that's moved to -3. The total opened at 56 and is down to 55.5.

WEATHER: Temperatures in the low-40s under clear skies. Wind will blow across the field at around six mph.

TRENDS:

* Wolf Pack are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven bowl games.
* Under is 4-1 in Wolf Pack last five Bowl games.
* Under is 5-0 in the last five meetings.
* Over is 4-1 in Rams last five Bowl games.



Advocare V100 Texas Bowl

Game played at NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas

(21) LSU Tigers vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders (+7, 73.5)

ADVOCARE V100 TEXAS BOWL STORYLINES

1. LSU coach Les Miles spent the last few weeks of the regular season unsure about his job security but comes into bowl season armed with the knowledge that he’ll be back to guide Leonard Fournette and company again next year. Miles will try to reward the school’s faith in him when he leads the Tigers against Texas Tech in the Texas Bowl in Houston on Dec. 29. The Red Raiders enter the postseason with some momentum after knocking off Kansas State and Texas in their final two games.

2. Texas Tech boasts the No. 2 scoring offense in the nation at an average of 46.6 points and the No. 2 passing attack (389.7 yards). LSU proved to be more vulnerable in the defensive secondary than usual and slipped to 47th against the pass, surrendering an average of 211 yards through the air. The Tigers were in the mix for a spot in the National Championship Playoff before surrendering 30 or more points in three straight losses, but finished the regular season with a 19-7 triumph over Texas A&M.

3. The Red Raiders will put their passing offense up against any opponent behind quarterback Patrick Mahomes, who enters bowl season third in the nation with 4,283 passing yards. The sophomore threw for 32 touchdowns and rushed for 10 more in a breakout campaign. The Texas Tech passing game is in direct contrast to LSU’s attack, in which quarterback Brandon Harris heads an offense that averages 173.1 yards – 110th in the nation.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Red Raiders as 7-point dogs but that is now +7.5. The total has is at the opening number of 73.5.

WEATHER: N/A

TRENDS:

* Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last four bowl games.
* Red Raiders are 2-6 ATS in their last eight Bowl games.
* Over is 5-0 in Tigers last five non-conference games.
* Over is 6-1 in Red Raiders last seven Bowl games.


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[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Season

Armed Forces Bowl, Fort Worth, Dec 29
Cal lost four games in row after a 5-0 start; they allowed 477 yards on ground in 44-28 loss at Oregon Nov 7- they lost last four away games. Bears are in first bowl since 2011; their last bowl win was in '08. Air Force is 3-2 SU in last five bowls, covering last three as bowl dog; Falcons are 4-1 as an underdog this year; they allowed 33+ points in four of their five losses. Last seven years, Mountain West teams are 6-5 vs Pac-12 in bowls- they're 4-1 in bowls so far this year. Dogs won this bowl four of last six years; four of last five stayed under the total.

Russell Athletic Bowl, Orlando
Baylor blew a huge lead late in 42-41 bowl loss to Michigan State LY; Bears are 2-3 in last five bowls- dogs covered four of the five games. Baylor is without its top two QBs; #3 QB Johnson is 15-38 passing, but one of his games was played in awful weather- they lost three of last four games after 8-0 start. North Carolina is 2-3 in last five bowls (faves 4-1 vs spread); UNC lost its first/last game, won 11 in row in between- they allowed 300+ rushing yds in three of last five games, a red flag. ACC teams won this bowl last five years, with favorites covering three of last four. Last six Russell Bowls stayed under.

Arizona Bowl, Tucson
Rare bowl game between teams in same league, though they did not meet this season; Rams won last two meetings, 38-17/31-24. Nevada lost last three bowls by 7-1-13 points; they're 3-4 vs bowl teams, losing last two by 4-17 points. Colorado State is 2-3 in last five bowls, allowing 35+ in all five- they weren't favored in any of them (avg total, 72). Rams won last four games to get here- they gave up 200+ rushing yards in seven of last nine games, are 2-4 vs bowl teams this year. State scored 28+ points in all seven of its wins; they're 0-5 scoring less than 28. This is first Arizona Bowl.

Texas Bowl, Houston
Texas Tech allowed 300+ rushing yards in five of its eight games; they gave up 317 to I-AA Sam Houston in its opener, all of which is good news for Leonard Fournette, who struggled vs defenses in SEC. Tech won its last four bowls, scoring 39.3 ppg; they were favored in three of them. LSU scored less than 20 points in its last four games thanks to terrible QB play. LSU lost three of last four bowls, scoring 18.3 ppg. Over last six years, SEC teams are 9-2 SU vs Big X teams. Favorites covered three of last four Texas Bowls; five of last six stayed under total. Expect a lot of Fournette here.

[Udog]

NCAAF

Tuesday, December 29


Air Force is 6-1 ATS over its last seven games overall and 8-2 ATS over their last 10 matchups against teams with a winning record.


Cal went just 1-5 ATS over its final six contests while giving up an average of 203.5 rushing yards per game during the 2015 campaign.

[Udog]

NCAAF

Wednesday, December 30

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Game of the Day: Wednesday's college football bowl betting preview
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The Trojans covered the spread just once (versus UCLA) in their final five games this season.


Birmingham Bowl

Game played at Legion Field, Birmingham, Alabama

Auburn Tigers vs. Memphis Tigers (+3, 63)

BIRMINGHAM BOWL STORYLINES

1. Memphis will head into bowl season without the head coach that guided them into the College Football Playoff Rankings before a late-season swoon. Justin Fuente took the vacant head coaching job at Virginia Tech, and the Tigers brought in former Arizona State offensive coordinator Mike Norvell on a five-year contract to be the new coach, but interim coach Darrell Dickey will guide Memphis in the Birmingham Bowl in Birmingham, Ala., against Auburn on Dec. 30. Dickey is expected to remain with the program as part of Norvell’s staff moving forward.

2. Auburn had big expectations heading into the season but ended up falling off the pace as Jeremy Johnson struggled early at quarterback and eventually lost the job before regaining it down the stretch. The junior threw for two touchdowns and rushed for two more in a 56-34 win over Idaho on Nov. 21 that gained the team bowl eligibility but struggled again in a loss to Alabama the next week. Johnson threw only one of his seven interceptions on the season in the final four games.

3. Memphis will have the best quarterback on the field in senior Paxton Lynch, who might be the top quarterback taken in this spring’s NFL draft. Lynch threw for 28 touchdowns and three interceptions, with seven of those TDs coming on nine completions in a 63-0 victory over SMU in the regular-season finale. Lynch guided an offense that averaged 510.4 yards and 42.7 points.

TV: Noon ET, ESPN.

LINE HISTORY: Books opened Auburn as 2.5-point faves, but that has moved to -3. The total is down to 63 from the opening 64.

WEATHER: Temperatures in the high-50s with a 98 percent chance of thunderstorms.

TRENDS:

* Auburn Tigers are 0-8 ATS in their last eight non-conference games.
* Memphis Tigers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight vs. SEC.
* Under is 7-2-1 in Auburn Tigers last 10 Bowl games.
* Over is 4-1 in Memphis Tigers last 5 Bowl games.



Belk Bowl

Game played at Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina

North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs (-6, 60)

BELK BOWL STORYLINES

1. A pair of potent offenses and dual-threat quarterbacks square off when Mississippi State takes on North Carolina State in the Belk Bowl in Charlotte, N.C. Both teams average more than 400 total yards and 33 points per game, and their talented quarterbacks are the catalysts. Mississippi State’s Dak Prescott has passed for 3,413 yards with 25 touchdowns and four interceptions while rushing for 541 yards and 10 more scores; N.C. State’s Jacoby Brissett has rolled up 2,448 passing yards with 19 touchdowns and four interceptions while adding 303 yards and five TDs on the ground.

2. N.C. State should enjoy a de facto home-field advantage. The Wolfpack are playing a short distance from home and have 15 players from the Charlotte area, including TE/FB Jaylen Samuels (315 rushing yards, 7 TDs; 64 receptions, 599 yards, 7 TDs). It will be the third time the Wolfpack have played in the bowl, where they defeated Louisville 31-24 in 2011 and beat South Florida 14-0 in the 2005 game, then known as the Meineke Car Care Bowl.

3. Both coaches have enjoyed success in bowl games. Dan Mullen has MIssissippi State in its sixth bowl in seven years and has posted a 3-2 record, though the Bulldogs have lost two of their last three bowls – including a 49-34 loss to Georgia Tech in last year’s Orange Bowl. N.C. State’s Dave Doeren is 2-0 in bowl games, including a 34-27 win over UCF in last year’s St. Petersburg Bowl – his first postseason trip with the Wolfpack.

TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE HISTORY: Books opened Mississippi State as a 7-point fave, but that is now -6. The total is up to 60 from the opening 59.

WEATHER: Temperatures in the mid-60s with a 100 percent chance of thunderstorms. Wind will blow across the field at around seven mph.

TRENDS:

* Wolfpack are 7-0 ATS in their last seven non-conference games.
* Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last four vs. ACC.
* Over is 4-0 in Wolfpack last four neutral site games.
* Over is 5-1 in Bulldogs last six non-conference games.



Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl

Game played at Nissan Stadium, Nashville, Tennessee

Texas A&M Aggies vs. Louisville Cardinals (-4.5, 47)

FRANKLIN AMERICAN MORTGAGE MUSIC CITY BOWL STORYLINES

1. Texas A&M will have a new quarterback when it faces Louisville in the Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl on Dec. 30 in Nashville, Tenn. Sophomore Kyle Allen and freshman Kyler Murray, who combined for 2,896 yards, 22 touchdowns and 14 interceptions while splitting time this year, announced they were transferring out of Texas A&M as the Aggies began bowl preparations. Sophomore Jake Hubenak (a transfer from Blinn Junior College) is the only other Aggies quarterback to throw a pass this season.

2. The Cardinals, won five of their last six games to qualify coach Bobby Petrino for a school-record sixth bowl appearance, also used two starting quarterbacks this season. Dual-threat freshman Lamar Jackson led the Cardinals in rushing yards (734) and touchdowns (nine) in 11 appearances and six starts. Sophomore Kyle Bolin is a pocket-passer and threw for 1,154 yards, seven touchdowns and six interceptions.

3. The pressure will be on the two defenses to slow these offenses full of talented, young skill players. The Aggies rank third nationally in tackles for loss - led by Myles Garrett's SEC-best 18.5 - and held teams to 161.2 passing yards. Devonte Fields had 19.5 tackles for loss while the Cardinals ranked 13th in total defense (323.4).

TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE HISTORY: Books opened Louisville as a 3-point dog but that has moved all the way to Louisville -4.5. The total has come down to 47 from the opening 50.5.

WEATHER: Temperatures in the mid-40s with a 38 percent chance of rain early on.

TRENDS:

* Aggies are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall.
* Cardinals are 6-2 ATS in their last eight vs. SEC.
* Under is 4-0 in Aggies last four games overall.
* Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last four games overall.



Holiday Bowl

Game played at Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, California

USC Trojans vs. Wisconsin Badgers (+3.5, 50.5)

1. One month after Clay Helton was hired as the permanent head coach at USC, he'll experience his first bowl game when the Trojans meet Wisconsin in the Holiday Bowl at Qualcomm Stadium on Dec. 30. Helton was hired Nov. 30, two days after USC beat rival UCLA to advance to the Pac-12 championship game, but the Trojans lost to Stanford and ended up in San Diego rather than at the coveted Rose Bowl in Pasadena. Helton fired several of his assistants in the week following his hiring, which could leave the Trojans vulnerable in certain areas.

2. If the Trojans hope to extend their all-time record to 7-0 against Wisconsin, they'll need to find a way to protect quarterback Cody Kessler. USC has allowed 35 sacks this season, which is tied for eighth-most in the Pac-12, and the Badgers have a premier pass rusher in outside linebacker Joe Schobert. He has produced 18.5 tackles for loss, 9.5 sacks and forced five fumbles, which ties the single-season program record; he could turn it into a long night for Kessler.

3. Wisconsin hasn't defeated a team with a winning record this season, losing a pair of nail-biters to Iowa and Northwestern, the teams that finished ahead of the Badgers in the West Division of the Big Ten. If they hope to get their first win against a team with a winning record, they'll likely need another big game from running back Dare Ogunbowale, who carried the ball 33 times in the regular-season finale against Minnesota, totaling a career-high 155 yards and a touchdown. There's also a possibility that injury-plagued but talented running back Corey Clement could be available, though he wasn't practicing with the team earlier in the month, instead working with the strength and conditioning staff.

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Trojans as 3-point faves, but that has moved to -3.5. The total remains at the opening number of 50.5.

WEATHER: Temperatures in the mid-50s under clear skies.

TRENDS:

* Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Badgers are 1-5 ATS in their last six neutral site games.
* Over is 6-1-1 in Trojans last eight non-conference games.
* Under is 7-3 in Badgers last 10 games overall.


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[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Season

Birmingham Bowl, Dec 30
Memphis is 9-3 this year, 19-6 last two years, after being 12-48 in previous five years, but they lost Fuente to Va Tech; they've got best QB on field in senior Lynch. Tigers won bowl LY over BYU in OT; they're 2-0 as underdogs this year. Auburn lost 34-31 each of last two bowl games; four of their last five bowls were decided by exactly three points. Malzahn is 0-2 in bowl games. SEC teams won/covered this bowl as favorites last three years. AAC squads are 1-5 in bowls this year, 2-9 last two years; they covered once in last six games as a bowl underdog.

Belk Bowl, Charlotte
NC State figures to have crowd edge with game in Charlotte, but SEC teams are 24-15-1 as bowl favorites last six years. In last four years, SEC teams are 7-3 vs ACC in bowl games. Last three years, ACC teams are 11-15 SU in bowls. NC State won three of last four bowls; Doeren is 2-0 in bowls. Wolfpack has senior QB who used to play at Florida, so SEC foe won't scare him. Prescott is a senior QB who is 18-7 last two years. Bulldogs are 3-2 in last five bowls, but were favored in all five games. NC State is 0-4 vs spread as an underdog this year, losing all four games by 11+ points.

Music City Bowl, Nashville
Extreme weirdness for Texas A&M, with top two QBs bolting out of school since regular season ended; #3 QB Hubenak was JC QB LY who is 12-27/92 in cameo action TY. Louisville is 7-2 in its last nine games after an 0-3 start; they're 1-5 vs bowl teams this year, four of its last six games were by 7 or less points. Aggies scored 42.8 ppg, in winning last four bowl games; they're 3-4 last seven games after a 5-0 start, giving up 230+ YR in those games. Sumlin is 4-1 in bowls overall. SEC teams won this bowl three of last four years; favorites covered four of last six. Petrino is 4-4 in bowls; Cardinals are 3-2 in last five bowls.

Holiday Bowl, San Diego
Pac-12 teams are 5-1 in bowls this year (4-2 vs spread); last three years, they're 14-10-1 as bowl favorites. USC won four of last five bowls, scoring 45 in last two. Last four years, Big 14 teams are 15-7-2 vs spread as bowl underdogs. Last three years, Pac-12 teams are 3-2 vs Big 14 in bowls. Trojan coach Helton won bowl game as interim coach in '13; USC won five of last seven games after a 3-3 start- they allowed 41+ points in last three losses. Wisconsin is on third coach in four years; they're 1-4 in last five bowls, winning in OT LY. Favorites are 13-11 vs spread in bowls; over is 16-8.

[Udog]

NCAAF

Wednesday, December 30


The Wolfpack are 5-1-1 ATS over their last 7 bowl games, but concluded the 2015 campaign with just one ATS win in their final 5 outings.

[Udog]

NCAAF

Thursday, December 31

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Game of the Day: Thursday's College Football Playoff
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Clemson's Deshaun Watson is an all-around nightmare for defensive coordinators as he has passed for 3,512 yards and 30 touchdowns and rushed for 887 yards and 11 scores.


Capital One Orange Bowl

To be played at Sun Life Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida

(3) Oklahoma Sooners vs. (1) Clemson Tigers (+4, 63.5)

CAPITAL ONE ORANGE BOWL STORYLINES

1. Top-ranked Clemson is the lone remaining unbeaten squad and fourth-ranked Oklahoma has reeled off seven straight victories as they enter their College Football Playoff semifinal clash in the Capital One Orange Bowl on Dec. 31 at Miami Gardens, Fla. The Tigers are bidding for their first national championship since going 12-0 in 1981, while the Sooners are chasing their first national title since going 13-0 in 2000. Oklahoma's lone loss came to Texas on Oct. 10, while Clemson has won 16 consecutive games since losing to Georgia Tech in mid-November of the 2014 campaign.

2. There is no disputing the notion that the top two quarterbacks in the country are playing in this contest as Clemson sophomore Deshaun Watson finished third in the Heisman Trophy balloting and Oklahoma junior Baker Mayfield placed fourth with the top two finishers both being running back. Watson is an all-around nightmare for defensive coordinators as he has passed for 3,512 yards and 30 touchdowns and rushed for 887 yards and 11 scores while Mayfield has passed for 3,389 yards and 35 touchdowns while rushing for 420 yards and seven scores. "I think he's exceptional," Sooners coach Bob Stoops told reporters of Watson. "What a great athlete - thrower, runner, everything. I really have a great respect and appreciation for what a quality player he is."

3. One aspect both teams are downplaying is that Clemson put a 40-6 thumping on the Sooners in last season's Russell Athletic Bowl in Orlando, Fla. Watson missed the game with a knee injury and Oklahoma committed five turnovers and was never in the contest but Tigers coach Dabo Swinney has been insisting that nobody should be bringing up that game. "That just absolutely has nothing to do with this year," Swinney told reporters. "They're playing as good as anybody in the country right now, maybe the best of anybody in the country, so we know they'll be fired up to play us."

TV: 4 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE HISTORY: Books opened Clemson as a 3-point dog before that moved to +4. The total is down to 63.5 from the opening 65.

WEATHER: Temperatures in the high-70s with a 28 percent chance of showers. Wind will blow toward the west endzone at around 9 mph.

INJURY REPORT:

Oklahoma - CB Jordan Thomas (Probable, personal), RB Daniel Brooks (Out, academics), DE Gabriel Campbell (Out, academics), S Prentice McKinney (Out, academics), RB Rodney Anderson (Out, leg), T Kenyon Frison (Out, suspension).

Clemson - WR Artavis Scott (Probable, knee), WR Mike Williams (Out, neck), S Korrin Wiggins (Out, knee).

ABOUT OKLAHOMA (11-1 SU, 9-3 ATS, 8-4 O/U): The Sooners have averaged 52 points during their seven-game winning streak as senior receiver Sterling Shepard and sophomore running back Samaje Perine complement Mayfield's prowess. Shepard has 79 receptions for 1,201 yards and 11 touchdown catches and ranks second in school history in receptions (226) and receiving yardage (3,395) while Perine has rushed for 1,291 yards and 15 touchdowns and has 3,004 career rushing yards to join Adrian Peterson (2004-05) as the only players to top 3,000 in their first two seasons as Sooners. Oklahoma allows 20.8 points per game and boasts solid players in senior outside linebacker Eric Striker (team-high 16 tackles for losses and 7.5 sacks), junior cornerback Zack Sanchez (team-leading six interceptions), sophomore cornerback Jordan Thomas (five interceptions), junior inside linebacker Dominique Alexander (team-best 91 tackles) and senior defensive end Charles Tapper (seven sacks).

ABOUT CLEMSON (13-0 SU, 6-7 ATS, 8-5 O/U): The Tigers are hoping standout sophomore receiver Artavis Scott (84 receptions, 805 yards) will be in top shape by the bowl game after he underwent arthroscopic surgery to repair meniscus cartilage in his right knee earlier this month. Sophomore running back Wayne Gallman has been superb with 1,332 yards and 10 touchdowns and is 14 yards shy of surpassing the school mark set by Raymond Priester in 1996. Clemson allows 20.2 points per game with standout junior defensive end Shaq Lawson delivering a dominating season - he has a team-best 9.5 sacks and leads the nation with 22.5 tackles for losses - while senior middle linebacker B.J. Goodson (team-high 91 tackles), junior cornerback Condrea Tankersley (team-leading five interceptions) and junior defensive end Kevin Dodd (eight sacks) also are having strong campaigns.

TRENDS:

* Sooners are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.
* Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Under is 12-3-1 in Sooners last 16 games in December.
* Under is 5-0 in Tigers last five vs. Big 12.

CONSENSUS: Fifty-six percent of users are backing Clemson.




Goodyear Cotton Bowl

To be played at AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas

(4) Michigan State Spartans vs. (2) Alabama Crimson Tide (-10, 46.5)

GOODYEAR COTTON BOWL STORYLINES

1. Second-ranked Alabama is in the College Football Playoff semifinals for the second straight season as it faces third-ranked Michigan State in the Goodyear Cotton Bowl on Dec. 31 at Arlington, Texas. The Crimson Tide were ousted by Ohio State in last season's semifinals and are again matched up against a Big Ten program. Only a one-point loss to Nebraska in early November prevented the Spartans from entering the playoffs with an unbeaten record while Alabama has won 10 straight games since losing to Ole Miss in mid-September.

2. Michigan State quarterback Connor Cook said his sprained throwing shoulder is improving and will be close to 100 percent New Year's Eve. Cook has a 34-4 career mark as a starter, has thrown a school-record 71 career touchdown passes and ranks second in passing yards (8,984) behind Kirk Cousins (9,131 from 2008-11). "I'm pretty much doing everything in practice now," Cook told reporters in mid-December. "I'm pretty confident."

3. Alabama junior running back Derrick Henry topped 100 yards nine times - and 200 on four occasions - while rushing for an SEC-record 1,986 yards to go with 23 touchdowns en route to winning the Heisman Trophy. The Spartans know they will be seeing a lot of Henry with the football as he carried it a combined 90 times over the Crimson Tide's last two games. "Whatever I have to do to help my team win," Henry told reporters. "I don't care how many carries it is. As long as it's successful and we've got the ball, I'm all for it."

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE HISTORY: Books opened Alabama as 8.5-point faves but that now sits at -10. The total is down to 46.5 after opening at 49.

WEATHER: N/A

INJURY REPORT:

Michigan State - S R.J. Williamson (Probable, bicep), QB Connor Cook (Probable, shoulder), FB Trevon Pendleton (Questionable, leg), DB Jalen Watts-Jackson (Out for season, hip), OL Dennis Finley (Out for season, leg), CB Vayante Copeland (Out for season, back), LB Ed Davis (Out for season, knee).

Alabama - WR Chris Black (Out for season, ankle), WR Robert Foster (Out for season, shoulder).

ABOUT MICHIGAN STATE (12-1 SU, 5-7-1 ATS, 6-7 O/U): Cook has completed 56.9 percent of his passes and been intercepted only five times and has a big-time target to work with in senior Aaron Burbridge, who has 1,219 yards and seven touchdowns on a school-record 80 receptions. Freshman LJ Scott rushed for a team-high 691 yards and 11 touchdowns and his last score was the biggest as he kept his legs churning on third-and-goal to score the decisive 1-yard touchdown to beat Iowa in the Big Ten title game. The Spartans allow 20.5 points per game with senior defensive end Shilique Calhoun (10.5 sacks) leading the way while sophomore nose tackle Malik McDowell (12 tackles for losses) and junior middle linebacker Riley Bullough (team-most 95 tackles) are also standout players.

ABOUT ALABAMA (12-1 SU, 7-6 ATS, 5-8 O/U): Henry carries the offense and takes pressure off of senior quarterback Jake Coker, who has thrown for 2,489 yards and 17 touchdowns against eight interceptions. Freshman receiver Calvin Ridley emerged as a solid target with 75 receptions for 893 yards to help the Crimson Tide average 34.1 points and complement a defense that allows only 14.4 per game. Junior strong safety Eddie Jackson has a team-leading five interceptions - he has returned them for 230 yards and two touchdowns - while senior middle linebacker Reggie Ragland has recorded a team-high 90 tackles and junior defensive Jonathan Allen has a team-best 10 sacks.

TRENDS:

* Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last four bowl games.
* Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last six vs. Big Ten.
* Over is 8-2 in Spartans last 10 non-conference games.
* Over is 8-1 in Crimson Tide last nine bowl games.

CONSENSUS: Sixty-seven percent of users are backing Michigan State.


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[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Season

Peach Bowl, Atlanta, Dec 31
Florida State had 6-game bowl win streak snapped LY; Seminoles are without QB Golson (death in family), but Maguire threw ball 145 times, is capable. FSU scored 16-13 points in its two losses; eight of 13 Houston foes scored 20+. Cougars have to be happy coach Herman didn't bolt for greener pastures. ACC teams are 3-4 in bowls this year; over last three years, they're 2-7 vs spread as bowl favorites. AAC squads are 1-6 in bowls this year, 2-10 last two years; they covered once in last seven games as a bowl dog. Three of last five Peach Bowls were decided by 4 or less points.

Cotton Bowl, Arlington, TX
Alabama waxed Michigan State 49-7 in a bowl five years ago; in four bowls since, Spartans won all four games, all as an underdog, all by 4 or less points. MSU beat Michigan/Ohio State this year in games they never led until final play. Spartans covered 12 of last 15 games as an underdog. Crimson Tide lost their last two bowls, giving up 45-42 points; they covered four of last five tilts overall. SEC teams are 3-1 in bowls this year; only loser used its #3 QB- SEC bowl favorites are 8-4 vs spread in last 12 chances. Last five years, SEC teams are 11-6 vs Big 14 teams in bowls. .

Orange Bowl, Miami
Clemson (+5) pounded Oklahoma 40-6 in bowl LY, passing for 319 yards with +5 turnover ratio; Tigers won last three bowls, scoring 35 ppg, all as underdog; they have four senior starters on O-line. Sooners won last seven games, six by 10+ points, since they were upset by Texas. Oklahoma is 3-2 in last five bowls. Big X teams are 3-9 vs spread in last 12 games as bowl favorites. ACC teams are 3-4 in bowls this year: over last four years, they're 8-7 as bowl underdogs. ACC teams won last three Orange Bowls; underdogs won SU in three of last four.

[Udog]

NCAAF

Thursday, December 31


The Seminoles are 8-1-1 ATS over their last 10 bowl game appearances and 5-0 ATS over their last five games overall.


Texas Christian Horned Frogs quarterback Trevone Boykin was arrested in San Antonio in the early hours Thursday morning following an altercation at a local bar which led to the senior signal caller "striking" a bicycle patrol officer. A statement from the TCU athletic department read, "We are aware of a situation last night and are gathering information," the statement reads. "We will continue to closely monitor this and evaluate additional details as they become available."