NBA Plays for Monday

[daugherty11]

Don't have time to do write-ups, but have been pretty hot as of late (hope that wasn't a jinx!). I'm all over the opposite of the Sucker Bet tonight.......

16-8 on the year

Top Play -
Cleveland - 3-
Wash + 1-

Other Plays -
Milwaukee +3
Denver + 1-
Utah -4-
Houston/Miami OVER 163

By the way, if anyone has the ability to check this out, I'd be interested in seeing what the home teams record is ATS on lines between +3 and -3......I looked back at some notes I had and saw about 80% coverage, but don't have enough data. Anyone else? Good luck, all.

[frankb03]

Re: NBA Plays for Monday

Originally posted by daugherty11

By the way, if anyone has the ability to check this out, I'd be interested in seeing what the home teams record is ATS on lines between +3 and -3......I looked back at some notes I had and saw about 80% coverage, but don't have enough data. Anyone else? Good luck, all.

YTD ATS 95-74-1
Since start of 1999 season ATS 697-690-18

If the home team with the spread between +3 and -3 was hitting 80% the whole world would know about it. With juice it's a money loser.

[daugherty11]

got it

My 80% was just over about a week and a half period, but there wasn't much data. Looks solid this year though.......thanks for the research.

[frankb03]

Since 1/15/04 17-9 65%. Using later or sooner dates the ATS percentage decreases.