Announcement

**Udog** · 12-02-2015, 05:21 PM

Crimson Tide open as huge chalk for conference championship week

Alabama has opened as 17-point favorites over Florida for the SEC Championship Game.

Clemson may be the No. 1 team in the college football playoff rankings, but the Tigers aren’t the team most expected to make it to the national semifinals.

That would be the Alabama Crimson Tide, based on the opening lines for next Saturday’s conference championship game. Nick Saban’s squad (11-1 SU, 7-5 ATS) heads into Saturday’s Southeastern Conference title tilt as a 17-point chalk against Florida, according to Johnny Avello, executive director of race and sports at Wynn Las Vegas.

‘Bama is coming off a 29-13 victory laying 14.5 points at Auburn on Saturday, its ninth consecutive SU win since a stunning home loss to Mississippi. It was also the fourth straight week that the Tide cashed for bettors.

On the flip side, Florida is coming off its worst performance of the year. The Gators (10-2 SU, 7-5 ATS), 2.5-point home underdogs to rival Florida State, mustered only a safety in a 27-2 loss Saturday. That knocked them entirely out of the playoff picture, even if they somehow stun Alabama this week at the Georgia Dome.

“The Gators do play very good defense, but that can only get you so far,” Avello said, noting Florida ranks fifth nationally in both points allowed (15.5 ppg) and yards allowed (283.6 ypg). “Scoring two points won’t win many games. The Seminoles’ Dalvin Cook ran for 183 yards Saturday, and now the Gators get the unenviable task of shutting down the front-runner for the Heisman Trophy, Alabama’s Derrick Henry.”

ACC Championship Game - North Carolina vs. Clemson (-5.5)

The Tigers (12-0 SU, 5-7 ATS) will try to complete a perfect run and wrap up a playoff berth in the Atlantic Coast Conference final in Charlotte, N.C. Clemson wrapped up the regular season by fending off instate rival South Carolina 37-32, falling far short as a 20.5-point road chalk.

North Carolina has also been stout since suffering a Week 1 loss at South Carolina. The Tar Heels (11-1 SU, 8-4 ATS) followed by winning 11 in a row SU to reach the ACC final, including a 45-34 victory Saturday as a 3.5-point fave at North Carolina State.

“It’s been a great year for Clemson, and it’s hard to believe they went undefeated with 24 total turnovers. The Tigers escaped on all the close calls, and here they are playing in the ACC championship game and ranked No. 1 in the playoff rankings,” Avello said. “One of Clemson’s weaknesses is its rush defense (130 ypg). It’s imperative the Tigers stop Tar Heels running back Elijah Hood, who’s been on a tear lately.

“I’ll open this game with Clemson around a 5-point favorite, noting that the Tar Heels get a touch of home-field advantage.”

Big Ten Championship Game - Michigan State (-3) vs. Iowa

The Hawkeyes are arguably the biggest surprise of the 2015 season. Iowa (12-0 SU, 7-5 ATS) stayed perfect with a 28-20 victory at Nebraska as a 2.5-point favorite Saturday.

Michigan State suffered its only loss of the season at Nebraska four weeks ago, 39-38 as a 3.5-point chalk. But the Spartans (11-1 SU, 5-7 ATS) have had a huge bounceback, going 3-0 SU and ATS, including a road upset of Ohio State and a regular-season-ending, 55-16 blowout of Penn State giving 7.5 points at home Saturday.

“At the start of the season, this is not what we envisioned the Big 10 championship would look like,” Avello said of the Michigan State-Iowa matchup, to be held in Indianapolis. “The Hawkeyes, by winning the weaker West Division, will have to prevail over the stronger East Division winner to show they belong in the elite final four.”

Pac-12 Championship Game - Stanford (-4) vs. Southern California

The Cardinal still have an outside shot at the playoff, but would need to beat USC in the Pac-12 title game and see Clemson or Alabama – and possibly both – lose on conference championship weekend. Stanford (10-2 SU, 8-4 ATS) capped the regular season with a last-second field goal to best Notre Dame 38-36 Saturday giving 4 points at home.
The Trojans (8-4, 6-6 ATS) managed to reach the Pac-12 final after firing coach Steve Sarkisian midseason.
Southern Cal won five of its last six games SU (3-3 ATS), including a 40-21 rout of archrival UCLA on Saturday as a 3-point home chalk.

These two teams met in Week 3, with the visiting Cardinal taking a 41-31 win and cover as a healthy 9.5-point pup. This week’s contest is at Levi’s Stadium, home of the San Francisco 49ers.

“It’s been a challenging year for the Trojans,” Avello said. “They certainly have enough talent to compete for college’s top prize, but inconsistent play, not to mention losing their head coach, did them in early for that goal.

“In that Week 3 meeting, Stanford quarterback Kevin Hogan beat USC for the first time in his career. USC quarterback Cody Kessler played very well, but Hogan was better. Both teams are playing very well, except for blemishes against Oregon. Opening Stanford just a touch more than a field goal feels like the right price here.”

**Udog** · 12-02-2015, 05:25 PM

Get the best value betting these college football odds at the right time

The Longhorns are catching Baylor at the perfect time as the Bears are off a 28-21 overtime loss at TCU last week.

Spread to bet now

Temple Owls at Houston Cougars (-6)

Houston opened as a 6.5-point favorite over Temple, and a little money has come in on the underdog pushing the line down to -6 at some sportsbooks. But I expect Houston money to come in later on and push this line back up higher.

Temple does not have the offensive firepower to trade points with Houston. The Owls are only averaging 5.4 yards per play despite playing opposing defenses that are giving up 5.7 yards per play. Temple's defense has good seasonal numbers, but it’s faced an extremely weak slate of opposing offenses. Houston is averaging 42 points per game on 6.4 yards per play. Houston is less than a touchdown favorite with a high octane offense, so lay the points now before the line goes up.

Spread to wait on

Texas Longhorns (+20.5) at Baylor Bears

Baylor was posted as a 20-point home favorite in some spots versus Texas, but now the line is -20.5 and I anticipate it going even higher. The Bears are 9-2 SU and since they’re laying less than three touchdowns, bettors will be inclined to lay the points in this game.

Texas has had another disappointing season, but this is its "bowl game" as the Horns are just 4-7 SU on the year. They’re catching Baylor at the perfect time as the Bears are off a 28-21 overtime loss at TCU last week. This is a huge letdown spot after Baylor's second loss in three weeks will keep them out of the four-team national title playoff. Wait this game out and take Texas plus the points later in the week.

Total to watch

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (72.5)

This total opened 71 and has already risen to 72.5 or higher in most locations. Southern Miss has played in three straight high-scoring games with 75, 87, and 82 points scored. All three of those games went Over the posted total. Off their recent three games, and against an opponent like Western Kentucky, this figures to be another shootout for the Golden Eagles.

Western Kentucky has an explosive offense that is averaging 44.2 points per game on a whopping 7.3 yards per play. It’s put those numbers up against defenses that allow 29.6 points per game on 5.7 yards per play. The Hilltoppers are 9-3 to the Over this season. This should be a high-scoring game, so take the Over now before the total goes any higher.

**Udog** · 12-02-2015, 05:26 PM

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Friday, December 4

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N ILLINOIS (8 - 4) vs. BOWLING GREEN (9 - 3) - 12/4/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.
N ILLINOIS is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOWLING GREEN is 1-1 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
BOWLING GREEN is 1-1 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, December 5

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TEXAS (4 - 7) at BAYLOR (9 - 2) - 12/5/2015, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 2-0 against the spread versus TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GEORGIA ST (5 - 6) at GA SOUTHERN (8 - 3) - 12/5/2015, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GA SOUTHERN is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GA SOUTHERN is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GA SOUTHERN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
GA SOUTHERN is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
GA SOUTHERN is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
GA SOUTHERN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GA SOUTHERN is 1-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
GA SOUTHERN is 1-0 straight up against GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS ST (3 - 8) at ARKANSAS ST (8 - 3) - 12/5/2015, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS ST is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS ST is 1-1 against the spread versus TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 1-1 straight up against TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW MEXICO ST (3 - 8) at LA MONROE (1 - 11) - 12/5/2015, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA MONROE is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
LA MONROE is 1-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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W VIRGINIA (7 - 4) at KANSAS ST (5 - 6) - 12/5/2015, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 82-56 ATS (+20.4 Units) in home games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 82-56 ATS (+20.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 113-78 ATS (+27.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 139-102 ATS (+26.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 115-84 ATS (+22.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 110-77 ATS (+25.3 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 82-56 ATS (+20.4 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
W VIRGINIA is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 2-0 straight up against W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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APPALACHIAN ST (9 - 2) at S ALABAMA (5 - 6) - 12/5/2015, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S ALABAMA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
S ALABAMA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
S ALABAMA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
S ALABAMA is 1-0 against the spread versus APPALACHIAN ST over the last 3 seasons
S ALABAMA is 1-0 straight up against APPALACHIAN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TROY (3 - 8) at LA LAFAYETTE (4 - 7) - 12/5/2015, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAFAYETTE is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAFAYETTE is 1-1 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
LA LAFAYETTE is 2-0 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SOUTHERN MISS (9 - 3) at W KENTUCKY (10 - 2) - 12/5/2015, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SOUTHERN MISS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
SOUTHERN MISS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
SOUTHERN MISS is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
SOUTHERN MISS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TEMPLE (10 - 2) at HOUSTON (11 - 1) - 12/5/2015, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-0 against the spread versus TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 2-0 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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USC (8 - 4) vs. STANFORD (10 - 2) - 12/5/2015, 7:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
USC is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 51-32 ATS (+15.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
USC is 2-1 against the spread versus STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
USC is 2-1 straight up against STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLORIDA (10 - 2) vs. ALABAMA (11 - 1) - 12/5/2015, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 48-25 ATS (+20.5 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
FLORIDA is 68-44 ATS (+19.6 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
FLORIDA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ALABAMA is 1-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 1-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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AIR FORCE (8 - 4) at SAN DIEGO ST (9 - 3) - 12/5/2015, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AIR FORCE is 27-51 ATS (-29.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
SAN DIEGO ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.
SAN DIEGO ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
SAN DIEGO ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO ST is 2-0 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N CAROLINA (11 - 1) vs. CLEMSON (12 - 0) - 12/5/2015, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEMSON is 1-0 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
CLEMSON is 1-0 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MICHIGAN ST (11 - 1) vs. IOWA (12 - 0) - 12/5/2015, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
MICHIGAN ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 1-0 straight up against IOWA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 12-02-2015, 05:27 PM

NCAAF

Week 14

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Trend Report
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Friday, December 4

8:00 PM
BOWLING GREEN vs. NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Bowling Green is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Northern Illinois
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Bowling Green's last 5 games
Northern Illinois is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Bowling Green
Northern Illinois is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Saturday, December 5

See more trends!
DECEMBER 5, 12:00 PM
TEXAS vs. BAYLOR
Texas is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
Texas is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
Baylor is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Texas
Baylor is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games

See more trends!
DECEMBER 5, 12:00 PM
SOUTHERN MISS vs. WESTERN KENTUCKY
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Southern Miss's last 9 games on the road
Southern Miss is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Western Kentucky's last 7 games
Western Kentucky is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

See more trends!
DECEMBER 5, 12:00 PM
TEMPLE vs. HOUSTON
Temple is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
Temple is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

See more trends!
DECEMBER 5, 2:00 PM
GEORGIA STATE vs. GA SOUTHERN
Georgia State is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Georgia State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ga Southern's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ga Southern's last 5 games

See more trends!
DECEMBER 5, 3:00 PM
NEW MEXICO STATE vs. LOUISIANA-MONROE
New Mexico State is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of New Mexico State's last 12 games
Louisiana-Monroe is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Louisiana-Monroe is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games

See more trends!
DECEMBER 5, 3:00 PM
TEXAS STATE vs. ARKANSAS STATE
Texas State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Texas State's last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arkansas State's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Arkansas State's last 9 games at home

See more trends!
DECEMBER 5, 4:00 PM
FLORIDA vs. ALABAMA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 6 games when playing Alabama
Florida is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Alabama
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Alabama's last 9 games
Alabama is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida

See more trends!
DECEMBER 5, 4:30 PM
WEST VIRGINIA vs. KANSAS STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of West Virginia's last 9 games on the road
West Virginia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas State's last 9 games
Kansas State is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games

See more trends!
DECEMBER 5, 5:00 PM
TROY vs. LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Troy's last 5 games when playing on the road against Louisiana-Lafayet
Troy is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Louisiana-Lafayette
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 5 games when playing at home against Troy
Louisiana-Lafayette is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Troy

See more trends!
DECEMBER 5, 7:30 PM
SAN DIEGO STATE vs. AIR FORCE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego State's last 7 games when playing on the road against Air Force
San Diego State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Air Force
Air Force is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Diego State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Air Force's last 7 games when playing at home against San Diego State

See more trends!
DECEMBER 5, 7:30 PM
APPALACHIAN STATE vs. SOUTH ALABAMA
Appalachian State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Appalachian State is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games on the road
South Alabama is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
South Alabama is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

See more trends!
DECEMBER 5, 7:45 PM
STANFORD vs. SOUTHERN CAL
Stanford is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Southern Cal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Stanford's last 6 games
Southern Cal is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Southern Cal is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Stanford

See more trends!
DECEMBER 5, 8:00 PM
CLEMSON vs. NORTH CAROLINA
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Clemson's last 8 games
Clemson is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
North Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Clemson
North Carolina is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Clemson

See more trends!
DECEMBER 5, 8:00 PM
NORTH CAROLINA vs. CLEMSON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Carolina's last 5 games when playing Clemson
North Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Clemson is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

See more trends!
DECEMBER 5, 8:17 PM
MICHIGAN STATE vs. IOWA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan State's last 6 games when playing Iowa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Michigan State's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Iowa's last 6 games when playing Michigan State
Iowa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

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**Udog** · 12-02-2015, 05:34 PM

NCAAF

Week 14

Spartans thriving in 'playoff mode'

EAST LANSING, Mich. -- For most of the final month of the season, Michigan State has essentially been in playoff mode. Heading into the Big Ten Championship game, there's no sense in changing things now.

The Spartans reached the Big Ten title game by beating Penn State on Saturday, but from the moment they lost at Nebraska on Nov. 7, there has been no margin for error.

It took a win at home against Maryland followed by one of the most impressive victories from any team in the nation this year – the upset of Ohio State on the road. Then came the blowout of Penn State on Senior Day to set up the meeting with unbeaten Iowa in Indianapolis on Saturday.

The third trip to the Big Ten title game in five years wouldn't have been possible with another loss, so the Spartans will take the same approach this week they have all season.

"We'll treat it like an away game," coach Mark Dantonio said. "We'll do what we do.

Rose Bowl could pass on Big Ten title loser, take Ohio State

The Rose Bowl could pass on the Big Ten title game loser between No. 4 Iowa and No. 5 Michigan State and instead select Ohio State.

If the Big Ten champion finishes in the top four of the College Football Playoff as expected, the Rose Bowl does not have to choose either Iowa or Michigan State.

Rose Bowl management committee chairman Scott Jenkins said Wednesday that the Rose Bowl isn't required to take the next highest ranked Big Ten team behind the conference champion.

By contract, the Rose Bowl is guaranteed the Pac-12 and Big Ten champions, but if one or both of those teams finish in the CFP selection committee's top four, the Rose Bowl will then select a replacement team from the conference.

The No. 6 Buckeyes (11-1) potentially could leapfrog either the Hawkeyes (12-0) or Spartans (11-1) in the rankings for a coveted spot in the Rose Bowl.

**Udog** · 12-03-2015, 07:23 AM

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 14

Northern Illinois @ Bowling Green

Game 303-304
December 4, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Illinois
90.819
Bowling Green
97.990
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Bowling Green
by 7
74
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Bowling Green
by 12
69 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Northern Illinois
(+12); Over

NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 14

Fri - Dec, 4

N Illinois at Bowling Green, 8:00 ET
N Illinois: 9-1 UNDER as a neutral field underdog
Bowling Green: 8-0 ATS after a win by 28 or more points

**Udog** · 12-04-2015, 09:08 AM

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 14

Montana @ North Dakota St

Game 411-412
December 5, 2015 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montana
76.047
North Dakota St
92.022
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Dakota St
by 16
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Dakota St
by 10
52
Dunkel Pick:
North Dakota St
(-10); Over

USC @ Stanford

Game 323-324
December 5, 2015 @ 7:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
USC
101.064
Stanford
104.218
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Stanford
by 3
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Stanford
by 4 1/2
58 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
USC
(+4 1/2); Over

Sam Houston St @ McNeese St

Game 413-414
December 5, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sam Houston St
78.285
McNeese St
74.053
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sam Houston St
by 4
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
McNeese St
by 4 1/2
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Sam Houston St
(+4 1/2); Under

Florida @ Alabama

Game 325-326
December 5, 2015 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida
101.274
Alabama
115.666
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Alabama
by 14 1/2
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Alabama
by 18
40
Dunkel Pick:
Florida
(+18); Under

Northern Iowa @ Portland St

Game 415-416
December 5, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Iowa
80.122
Portland St
78.093
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Northern Iowa
by 2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northern Iowa
by 4
51
Dunkel Pick:
Portland St
(+4); Over

Texas @ Baylor

Game 305-306
December 5, 2015 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
92.697
Baylor
110.361
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baylor
by 17 1/2
73
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baylor
by 21
67 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(+21); Over

Air Force @ San Diego St

Game 327-328
December 5, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Air Force
91.624
San Diego St
94,776
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego St
by 3
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego St
by 5 1/2
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Air Force
(+5 1/2); Under

Grambling @ Alcorn State

Game 417-418
December 5, 2015 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Grambling
55.542
Alcorn State
60.190
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Alcorn State
by 4 1/2
65
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Alcorn State
by 2 1/2
71
Dunkel Pick:
Alcorn State
(-2 1/2); Under

Georgia State @ Georgia Southern

Game 307-308
December 5, 2015 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia State
72.362
Georgia Southern
96.548
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia Southern
by 24
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia Southern
by 21
59
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia Southern
(-21); Under

North Carolina @ Clemson

Game 329-330
December 5, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
North Carolina
106.106
Clemson
102.927
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Carolina
by 3
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Clemson
by 5 1/2
68 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
North Carolina
(+5 1/2); Under

Texas State @ Arkansas St

Game 309-310
December 5, 2015 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas State
58.493
Arkansas St
90.335
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arkansas St
by 32
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arkansas St
by 25
70 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arkansas St
(-25); Under

Michigan State @ Iowa

Game 331-332
December 5, 2015 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Michigan State
107.789
Iowa
98.687
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Michigan State
by 9
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan State
by 3 1/2
51
Dunkel Pick:
Michigan State
(-3 1/2); Over

New Mexico St @ LA-Monroe

Game 311-312
December 5, 2015 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Mexico St
57.121
LA-Monroe
62.549
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA-Monroe
by 5 1/2
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA-Monroe
by 3
60 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA-Monroe
(-3); Under

William & Mary @ Richmond

Game 401-402
December 5, 2015 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
William & Mary
71.718
Richmond
69.792
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
William & Mary
by 2
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Richmond
Pick
56
Dunkel Pick:
William & Mary
Over

West Virginia @ Kansas State

Game 313-314
December 5, 2015 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
West Virginia
102.686
Kansas State
92.560
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
West Virginia
by 10
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
West Virginia
by 6 1/2
58
Dunkel Pick:
West Virginia
(-6 1/2); Under

The Citadel @ Charleston Southern

Game 403-404
December 5, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
The Citadel
72.261
Charleston Southe
70.748
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
The Citadel
by 1 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charleston Southe
by 3
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
The Citadel
(+3); Over

Appalachian St @ South Alabama

Game 315-316
December 5, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Appalachian St
82.102
South Alabama
67.208
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Appalachian St
by 15
65
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Appalachian St
by 18
58
Dunkel Pick:
South Alabama
(+18); Over

Colgate @ James Madison

Game 405-406
December 5, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colgate
50.674
James Madison
75.039
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
James Madison
by 24 1/2
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
James Madison
by 20 1/2
68 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
James Madison
(-20 1/2); Under

Troy @ LA-Lafayette

Game 317-318
December 5, 2015 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Troy
70.455
LA-Lafayette
66.029
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Troy
by 4 1/2
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA-Lafayette
by 2 1/2
58
Dunkel Pick:
Troy
(+2 1/2); Over

Chattanooga @ Jacksonville St

Game 407-408
December 5, 2015 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chattanooga
72.451
Jacksonville St
82.845
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Jacksonville St
by 10 1/2
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Jacksonville St
by 7
49
Dunkel Pick:
Jacksonville St
(-7); Under

Southern Miss @ Western Kentucky

Game 319-320
December 5, 2015 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Southern Miss
85.986
Western Kentucky
96.465
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Kentucky
by 10 1/2
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Kentucky
by 7
74 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Western Kentucky
(-7); Under

Western Illinois @ Illinois State

Game 409-410
December 5, 2015 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Western Illinois
69.934
Illinois State
92.402
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Illinois State
by 22 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Illinois State
by 15 1/2
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Illinois State
(-15 1/2); Under

Temple @ Houston

Game 321-322
December 5, 2015 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Temple
92.123
Houston
102.322
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 10
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 6
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-6); Over

**Udog** · 12-04-2015, 09:12 AM

NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 14

Sat - Dec, 5

Texas at Baylor, 12:00 ET
Texas: 1-8 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better
Baylor: 10-0 ATS as a home favorite of 14.5 to 21

Georgia State at Georgia Southern, 2:00 ET
Georgia St: 6-0 UNDER after gaining 300 or more passing yds in 3 games
Georgia S: 12-4 ATS as a favorite

Texas State at Arkansas State, 3:00 ET
Texas St: 0-6 ATS after having lost 2 out of their last 3
Arkanas St: 12-3 ATS after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins

New Mexico State at UL Monroe, 3:00 ET
New Mexico St: 3-10 ATS after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers
Ul Monroe: 4-3 ATS off an extremely close road loss by 3 points or less

West Virginia at Kansas State, 4:30 ET
W Virginia: 13-26 ATS after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4
Kansas St: 82-56 ATS in home lined games

Appalachian State at South Alabama, 7:30 ET
Appalachain St: 4-1 ATS in road lined games
S Alabama: 3-11 ATS after playing a conference game

Troy at UL Lafayette, 5:00 ET
Troy: 35-20 OVER after playing 2 straight conference games
UL Lafayette: 1-10 ATS at home after a game with a t/o margin of +2 or better

Southern Miss at W Kentucky, 12:00 ET
S Miss: 8-0 ATS off 1 or more straight overs
W Kentucky: 12-4 OVER against conference opponents

Temple at Houston, 12:00 ET
Temple: 12-2 UNDER after allowing 9 points or less last game
Houston: 11-2 ATS after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game

USC at Stanford, 7:45 ET
USC: 2-9 ATS off a win against a conference rival
Stanford: 15-5 ATS off 2 consecutive home wins

Florida at Alabama, 4:00 ET
Florida: 6-0 UNDER after having won 4 out of their last 5
Alabama: 36-17 ATS after 6 or more consecutive straight up wins

Air Force at San Diego State, 7:30 ET
Air Force: 13-30 ATS off a road loss against a conference rival
San Diego St: 6-0 ATS off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival

North Carolina at Clemson, 8:00 ET
N Carolina: 38-22 ATS on road after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers
Clemson: CLEMSON is 7-20 ATS after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins

Michigan State at Iowa, 8:15 ET
Michigan St: 9-2 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games
Iowa: 9-2 OVER off a win against a conference rival

**Udog** · 12-04-2015, 09:14 AM

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 14

Friday's game
Bowling Green-Northern Illinois are in MAC title game for third year in row; teams split last two years. Huskies won 51-17 LY, lost 47-27 year before; NIU was favered in both of those games. Bowling Green is 8-1 in its last nine games overall, covering seven of last eight- they scored 49.7 ppg in last seven games. NIU won six of last seven games; they're 3-0 as an underdog. Favorites are 31-19 vs spread in MAC games rhis year.

Saturday's games
Baylor lost two of last three games, losing 28-21 in OT in quagmire LW with #3 QB Johnson playing. Bears won four of their last five games vs Texas, with last three wins by 20+ points; favorites covered four of last six series games. Longhorns lost last two visits here 30-10/40-24; faves are 7-1 vs spread in last eight visits to Waco. Texas lost three of its last four games; they were outscored 150-30 in four true road games in '15

Georgia Southern (-17) won 69-31 at Georgia State LY, running ball for 613 yards on 63 tries- TY was 660-455. Eagles are 8-3 with all eight of its wins by 20+ points- they're 5-1 as favorites this year, covering last four games overall. State won last three games, is bowl eligible if they pull upset here- they're 6-1-1 as an underdog this year. Home underdogs are 5-9 against spread in Sun Belt this season.

Arkansas State won its last seven games, scoring 47.7 ppg; they are 4-2 as favorites this year. Home side won both Texas State-Arkansas State games; Bobcats lost 38-21 (+7) in last visit here. Texas State is 0-5 as an underdog; they covered once in last five games. Last seven ASU games went over total; five of last six TSU games stayed under. Home favorites are 11-11 against the spread in Sun Belt this season.

UL-Monroe (-6.5) won 30-17 at New Mexico State LY, but Warhawks have already fired their coach this year- they're 0-11 vs I-A teams, losing 28-26 in Hawai'i LW. New Mexico State won three of last four games, rallying behind RB Rose (1,593 YR, 7.5 ypc this year)- they ran ball for 226 ypg the last five games. Four of last five ULM games went over the total; over is 8-2-1 in Aggie games this season.

Kansas State won last three games with West Virginia; they were dog in two of the three; Mountaineers (+13) lost 35-12 in last visit here, in '13. West Virginia won last four games, scoring 37 ppg; they won last couple games by combined score of 79-6. K-State won last two games, becomes bowl eligible with win here; they scored 42.3 ppg in last three games. Big X home underdogs are 7-9 against the spread this year.

South Alabama (-13) won 47-21 at Appalachian State LY, running ball for 243 yards. ASU won eight of last nine games, with seven of the eight wins by 18+ points- they won last four road games by average score of 48-9. Jaguars lost four of last six games, gaining total of only 420 yards, but they did win last two home games, scoring 42 ppg. USA is 2-6 as an underdog but they did win at San Diego State, best team in Mt West.

Underdogs covered four of last five Troy-ULLafayette games; ULL won last four series games, winning 41-36/31-17 in last two played here. ULL lost last three games overall, allowing 32.3 ppg; they're 1-3-1 vs spread this year in games with single digit spreads. Troy lost last two games, allowing 76 points; they're 3-2 as underdogs, but got 20+ points in four of the five games. Three of last four ULL games stayed under total.

Southern Mississippi won its last six games, scoring 48.2 ppg to get here with 9-3 record after being 4-32 SU the last three years. USM won this game over Houston in 2011, then coach Fedora bolted to UNC. Western Kentucky's only losses are Indiana/LSU; they scored 50.5 ppg and won last four games- they're 6-3 as favorites this year. USM is 9-2 vs spread this year, 4-1 as an underdog. Nine of last 11 WKU games went over.

Houston beat Temple 22-13/31-10 last two years; teams didn't play this year. Cougars are 11-1, losing at UConn two weeks ago; they were held to 17 points in loss, only time they scored less than 33. Temple is 5-0 as an underdog this year, winning four, losing 24-20 to Notre Dame. CUSA favorites are 29-21 vs spread this year. Four of last five Houston games, four of last six Temple games stayed under the total.

Stanford won five of its last seven games with USC; they beat Trojans 41-31 (+9.5) in LA Sept 19, game they led 27-24 at half (TY 474-427). USC has different coach now; both teams have senior QBs. Cardinal has had tough run, playing Oregon/rival Cal/ND last three weeks; they're 7-4 as favorite this year. USC won five of last six games after 3-3 start; they are 0-2 as an underdog this year. Under is 3-1-1 in last five USC games, 4-2 in last six Stanford games.

Alabama's DC is new Georgia coach, but stay thru end of year; Florida's coach is old Alabama OC, not lot of secrets here. Crimson Tide won SEC title game in '12/'14; they won last three games with Florida by average score of 37-12. Bama won last nine games, covered last four, winning by average score of 37-11. Gators lost 27-2 to Florida State LW; they held four of last five foes to 14 or less points, are 1-1-1 as an underdog in '15.

San Diego State won its last five games with Air Force (5-0 vs spread); Aztecs lost at home to South Alabama Sept 19; they're won eight games in row since 1-3 start, with all eight wins by 14+ points. San Diego State is 5-0 vs spread in games with single digit spread. Falcons are 3-1 as underdogs; they won five of last six games after 3-3 start; they got upset 47-35 at New Mexico week- this is their third week in row on road.

North Carolina won 11 games in row since 17-13 loss to South Carolina in Charlotte Labor Day weekend; they scored 50 ppg in last four games. UNC is 1-1 as underdog this year; they lost 59-38/50-35 last two games with Clemson, giving up 436 PY to Tigers LY. Clemson is 12-0 but 0-4 vs spread last four games, with one of four wins by more than 10 points. Tigers are 2-2 this season as single digit favorite. ACC faves are 22-32 vs spread this season.

Michigan State-Iowa split last four meetings; Hawkeyes haven't won a bowl since 2010- they're dog despite being 12-0. Iowa is 7-13 in its last 20 games as an underdog (1-0 this year). Spartans' only loss was 39-38 on last play at Nebraska; they beat Michigan/Ohio State, both on last play. MSU covered five of last six games; they're 1-2 as single digit fave this season. Four of last six Spartan games, five of last seven Iowa games went over total.

**Udog** · 12-04-2015, 09:37 PM

NCAAF

Saturday, December 5

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
College football conference championship betting previews and odds
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Alabama's Derrick Henry has scored a touchdown in a school-record 17 consecutive games dating to Nov. 8, 2014, the longest active streak in the nation.

Florida Gators vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (-17.5, 40)

Georgia Dome, Atlanta

Florida is the final hurdle between second-ranked Alabama and a return to the national semifinals, and the No. 15 Gators hope to be more than a mere speed bump when the teams square off Saturday in Atlanta for the SEC championship. While the Crimson Tide roll into the Georgia Dome riding a nine-game winning streak, the Gators are limping into the title game after consecutive lackluster performances.

The Crimson Tide are trying to become the first team to win back-to-back SEC crowns since Tennessee in 1997-98, a goal that appeared unlikely after a 43-37 home loss to Ole Miss on Sept. 19. But Alabama hasn’t lost since, climbing to No. 2 in the College Football Playoff rankings with a chance to lock up a spot in the final four with a victory Saturday. “They’ve had their backs against the wall since the Ole Miss game early in the season and really come through just about every time they needed to,” Alabama coach Nick Saban told reporters. “We’ve improved as the season’s gone on, so I’m very proud of what they’ve been able to accomplish.” The Gators, who are back in the title game for the first time in six years, have gone in the other direction over the past month, eking out close wins over Vanderbilt and South Carolina before needing overtime to dispatch Florida Atlantic and getting trounced 27-2 at home by Florida State last weekend.

TV: 4 p.m. ET, CBS.

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Crimson Tide as 17-point faves but that has moved to -17.5. The total opened at 40.5 and is down to 40.

WEATHER: N/A

ABOUT FLORIDA (10-2 SU, 7-5 ATS, 4-8 O/U): The Gators’ hopes this weekend will rest on a defense that ranks in the top 10 nationally in total defense (283.6 yards per game), passing defense (171.7), rushing defense (111.9) and scoring defense (15.5 points) but has shown some weakness against the run over the last month. That unit will have to be at its best to give Florida a chance, unless the offense can break out of its prolonged slump. The Gators have failed to crack 300 total yards in three of their last four games and needed a fourth-quarter safety to avoid being shut out by the Seminoles.

ABOUT ALABAMA (11-1 SU, 7-5 ATS, 4-8 O/U): After some early-season hiccups, the Crimson Tide have returned to dominance by focusing on their hallmarks of a powerful running game and a stout defense. Alabama leads the nation in stopping the run (78.9 yards per game), ranks second in total defense (264.6) and is third in scoring defense (14.3 points), although the architect of that defense – coordinator Kirby Smart – will become the head coach at Georgia when the Crimson Tide wrap up their postseason run. Alabama has enjoyed far more success running the ball, as Heisman Trophy candidate Derrick Henry has amassed 1,797 yards and 22 touchdowns after rolling up 271 yards on 46 carries in last week’s 29-13 win at Auburn.

TRENDS:

* Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Gators are 4-0 ATS in their last four neutral site games.
* Crimson Tide are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Under is 5-0 in Gators last five games overall.

Stanford Cardinal vs. USC Trojans (+4.5, 58.5)

Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara

When Stanford faces USC in the Pac-12 Conference championship game Saturday in Santa Clara, Calif., it could be excused if it is caught doing a little scoreboard-watching. The Cardinal are ranked seventh in the College Football Playoff rankings but conceivably could move into the final four with a win over No. 20 USC and a loss by either Clemson or Alabama.

Stanford appeared unlikely to reach the Pac-12 title game following its season-opening loss to Northwestern, but it responded with eight straight wins - including a 41-31 triumph at USC on Sept. 19. Kevin Hogan passed for 279 yards and Remound Wright rushed for three touchdowns as the Cardinal rallied from an early 11-point deficit to beat the Trojans, who fired coach Steve Sarkisian three weeks later. Clay Helton took over on an interim basis and received the permanent title after USC won five of its last six games, including last Saturday’s 40-21 victory over rival UCLA. The Trojans rushed a season-high 59 times while holding the ball for 40 minutes, 1 second last week and will need a similar effort against Stanford, which is seeking its third Pac-12 championship in the last four years.

TV: 7:45 p.m. ET, ESPN, ESPN3.

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Trojans as 4-point dogs and that has since moved to +4.5. The total is down to 58.5 from the opening 60.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-50s with wind blowing across the field around 5 mph.

ABOUT STANFORD (10-2 SU, 8-4 ATS, 6-6 O/U): Hogan passed for 269 yards and four touchdowns in last Saturday’s 38-36 victory over Notre Dame, which kept alive the Cardinal’s playoff hopes. "We have nothing to prove to anybody," coach David Shaw told reporters. "We're in the Pac-12 championship game and we get to go play a great game against a team that's going to be fired up to play us. And that's where our head is. What the national chatter is, that’s not up to me." Running back Christian McCaffrey leads the FBS with 252.92 all-purpose yards per game while linebacker Blake Martinez has a team-high 121 tackles to lead the defense, which has allowed an average of 478 yards over the last three games without cornerback Ronnie Harris, who could return from an ankle injury to face the Trojans.

ABOUT USC (8-4 SU, 6-6 ATS, 5-6-1 O/U): The Trojans have outrushed their opponents in all seven games since Helton took over for Sarkisian, including last Saturday against UCLA as Justin Davis gained 130 yards on 25 carries for his second straight 100-yard performance. Davis’ emergence only has added to a talented offense led by quarterback Cody Kessler, wide receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster and two-way player Adoree’ Jackson, who has returned a punt for a touchdown in back-to-back games and ranks as the only player in the country with 300 yards receiving, 500 in kickoff returns, 200 punt-return yards and 20 tackles. Linebacker Cameron Smith was named Pac-12 Freshman Defensive Player of the Year after recording a team-leading 78 tackles and three interceptions, and he’ll be a key part of the Trojans’ efforts to slow down McCaffrey, the Pac-12 Offensive Player of the Year.

TRENDS:

* Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Over is 14-6 in the last 20 meetings.
* Under is 4-1 in Cardinal last five conference games.
* Under is 9-3-1 in Trojans last 13 conference games.

North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Clemson Tigers (-4.5, 67.5)

Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte

Two of the most prolific offenses in the nation will be on display when top-ranked Clemson meets No. 8 North Carolina at the ACC championship game Saturday in Charlotte. The unbeaten Tigers scored at least 33 points in nine of their 12 games while North Carolina is averaging 41.2 points to lead the league while winning a school-record 11 straight contests.

“The key will be which defense plays the best,” Clemson coach Dabo Swinney told reporters. “All I know is if you give someone a short field, you’re in for a long day.” The Tigers can seal a spot in the College Football Playoff and extend the longest winning streak in the country to 16 games while led by ACC Player of the Year Deshaun Watson at quarterback. The Tar Heels aren’t without hope to make the CFP, but they'll need a convincing victory behind versatile signal-caller Marquise Williams along with a big effort on the other side of the ball. “We’re excited for the opportunity,” North Carolina linebacker Jeff Schoettmer told reporters. “As a competitor and an athlete, you want to play the best team. And to be the best, you’ve got to beat the best.”

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ABC.

LINE HISTORY: Books opened Clemson as 5.5-point faves but the Tigers are now -4.5. The total opened at 65 and is up to 67.5.

WEATHER: Temperatures expected to be in the mid-40s with wind blowing across the field at around four mph.

ABOUT NORTH CAROLINA (11-1 SU, 8-4 ATS, 6-6 O/U): Running back Elijah Hood may be the biggest factor in the Tar Heels’ rise with 1,280 yards and 16 touchdowns while Williams has run for another 786 and 10. Williams, who has thrown 18 scoring passes, has four receivers who have accumulated at least 25 catches and 435 yards, with Mack Hollins (26, 670, eight touchdowns) leading the way. Safety Donnie Miles (99 tackles) and linebacker Shakeel Rashad (98) lead the defense, which allowed 61 points over the last two games but is averaging 20.8 against overall.

ABOUT CLEMSON (12-0 SU, 5-7 ATS, 7-5 O/U): Watson, who is the only player in the country with at least 3,000 yards passing and 750 rushing, has completed 70.4 percent of his passes – third-best in the nation. Wayne Gallman (1,145 yards, nine rushing TDs) returned to gain 102 yards on 19 carries in the 37-32 victory over South Carolina last week after missing the contest against Wake Forest with an ankle injury. Defensive lineman Shaq Lawson (8.5 sacks) leads the nation with 20.5 tackles for loss, but the Tigers have allowed 25.2 points per game in their last five.

TRENDS:

* Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Tar Heels are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.

Michigan State Spartans vs. Iowa Hawkeyes (+3.5, 51.5)

Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis

Fourth-ranked Iowa and fifth-ranked Michigan State clash in Saturday's Big Ten title game in Indianapolis and the winner appears all but certain to land one of the four spots in the College Football Playoff. The Hawkeyes recorded an undefeated regular season for the first time in 93 years and won the Big Ten West while Michigan State's lone stumble was a one-point loss at Nebraska as it won the East division.

With the schools ranked fourth and fifth headed into the matchup, Spartans coach Mark Dantonio feels the winner is a lock for a playoff spot. "I think the Big Ten is in," Dantonio said at a press conference. "You know, a 12-0 team and a one-loss team, so whoever wins this football game is going to get an extra bump, so I would think they're in." The Hawkeyes grudgingly gained the nation's respect as the season wore on and coach Kirk Ferentz says his squad has nothing to lose in the title game. "We're probably the team that's not supposed to be there," Ferentz said in a press conference. "So let's go cut it loose and see what happens. What's going to decide the game is who plays best, not all the other stuff, so that's what we have to focus on."

TV: 8:17 p.m. ET, FOX.

LINE HISTORY: Books opened Iowa as a 4-point dog but is now +3.5. The total is down to 51.5 from the opening 51.5.

WEATHER: N/A

ABOUT MICHIGAN STATE (11-1 SU, 5-7 ATS, 6-6 O/U): Senior Connor Cook (2,730 yards, 24 touchdowns, four interceptions) was named the Big Ten's top quarterback and senior Aaron Burbridge (75 receptions for 1,158 yards and seven touchdowns) was selected as the top receiver, and the duo lead an offense averaging 33.4 points per game. Senior defensive end Shilique Calhoun (8.5 sacks) was named first-team All-Big Ten for the third straight season and heads a unit that includes sophomore nose tackle Malik McDowell (11.5 tackles for losses) and junior middle linebacker Riley Bullough (90 tackles). "Shilique Calhoun continues to be a dominant, disruptive force on the defensive line," Dantonio told reporters. "He has the flair for providing a spark when the team needs it - with tackles for losses, sacks and blocked field goals."

ABOUT IOWA (12-0 SU, 7-5 ATS, 7-4-1 O/U): Junior quarterback C.J. Beathard (2,354 yards, 14 touchdowns, three interceptions) has been efficient and avoids mistakes while senior running back Jordan Canzeri (964 yards, 12 touchdowns) is running well again after a midseason ankle injury. Junior cornerback Desmond King was named the Big Ten's top defensive back and his eight interceptions -- tied for the most in the nation -- have matched the school record shared by Louis King (1981) and school legend Nile Kinnick (1939) but he found himself benched for the first quarter of the regular-season finale against Nebraska after missing a team meeting. "We don't show favoritism here," King told reporters. "No matter who you are, you're going to have to face the consequences if it's a team violation."

TRENDS:

* Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.
* Spartans are 6-0 ATS in their last six neutral site games.
* Hawkeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a ATS win.
* Over is 6-1 in Spartans' last seven neutral site games.

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**Udog** · 12-04-2015, 09:40 PM

NCAAF

Saturday, December 5

Nation's best bet in action Saturday afternoon

The Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles are the best team against the spread in college football season and will look to keep lining bettors' pockets Saturday afternoon.

The Golden Eagles are 10-2 against the spread this season while going 9-3 straight up in the process. They've covered the spread in three straight heading into Saturday's meeting at the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers.

Southern Miss has gone 4-1 ATS in the role of the underdog and that's what it will be versus the Hilltoppers. Books opened Western Kentucky as 8.5-point home favorites but that has since moved to -7.5.

Aztecs rolling in recent meetings with Air Force

If recent history is any indication, San Diego State Aztecs' backers are ready to cash betting slips before the ball is even kicked Saturday evening.

The Aztecs, who square off against the Air Force Falcons at Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego in the Mountain West Championship game, have covered the spread in six-straight meetings with the Falcons and have won five of those six games outright.

Most recently, the Aztecs won 30-14, covering the spread as 5.5-point home faves back on Nov. 21 of last season.

This time around, the Aztecs are tabbed as 6.5-point favorites.

Baylor backers hoping dominance over Texas continues

When the Baylor Bears and Texas Longhorns tangle in Waco Saturday afternoon, backers of the home team will be hoping that their good fortune continues against the Longhorns.

Baylor has covered the spread in five-straight meetings with Texas and has won four of those contests outright. Last season, the Bears prevailed 28-7 as 13.5-point road favorites to keep the run alive.

This time around, the Bears are whopping 21-point favorites after opening -20.

**Udog** · 12-04-2015, 09:55 PM

Essential Week 14 betting notes for college football's top games

The Tigers lead the series with the Tar Heels 36-19-1 and have won five of the last six matchups, including a 50-35 triumph last season.

Texas Longhorns at (12) Baylor Bears (-21, 67.5)

* The Longhorns lead the series 74-26-4 but has lost four of the last five meetings, including a 28-7 decision in 2014, and have gone 0-5 ATS over that stretch.

* The Bears lead the country in touchdown drives of two minutes or less with 46 after recording a nation-best 41 last season.

(21) Temple Owls at Houston Cougars (-5.5, 54.5)

* Temple has more interceptions (16) than passing touchdowns allowed (11).

* Houston's Greg Ward Jr. has completed 69.3 percent of his passes for 2,502 yards, 16 touchdowns and five interceptions and has rushed for 893 yards and 17 scores.

(15) Florida Gators vs. (2) Alabama Crimson Tide (-17.5, 40)

* Florida’s 22 touchdowns allowed are tied for the sixth-fewest in the nation, and the Gators have held their opponent without a TD in three road or neutral-site games this season.

* Alabama leads the nation in stopping the run (78.9 yards per game), ranks second in total defense (264.6) and is third in scoring defense (14.3 points), although the architect of that defense – coordinator Kirby Smart – will become the head coach at Georgia when the Crimson Tide wrap up their postseason run.

(7) Stanford Cardinal vs. (24) USC Trojans (+4.5, 58.5)

* Five of the last six meetings between the teams have been decided by eight points or fewer, but it was Stanford winning 41-31 as 9.5-point dogs in the most recent meeting on Sept. 19 of this year.

* The Trojans have outrushed their opponents in all seven games since Clay Helton took over for Steve Sarkisian, including last Saturday against UCLA as Justin Davis gained 130 yards on 25 carries for his second straight 100-yard performance.

(8) North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Clemson Tigers (-4.5, 67.5)

* The unbeaten Tigers scored at least 33 points in nine of their 12 games while North Carolina is averaging 41.2 points to lead the league while winning a school-record 11 straight contests.

* The Tigers can seal a spot in the College Football Playoff and extend the longest winning streak in the country to 16 games while led by ACC Player of the Year Deshaun Watson at quarterback. The Tar Heels aren’t without hope to make the CFP, but they'll need a convincing victory behind versatile signal-caller Marquise Williams along with a big effort on the other side of the ball.

(5) Michigan State Spartans vs. (3) Iowa Hawkeyes (+3.5, 51.5)

* Michigan State senior Connor Cook (2,730 yards, 24 touchdowns, four interceptions) was named the Big Ten's top quarterback and senior Aaron Burbridge (75 receptions for 1,158 yards and seven touchdowns) was selected as the top receiver, and the duo lead an offense averaging 33.4 points per game.

* The Hawkeyes recorded an undefeated regular season for the first time in 93 years and won the Big Ten West while Michigan State's lone stumble was a one-point loss at Nebraska as it won the East division.

Announcement

NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 14 (Friday, December 4 - Saturday, December 5)

NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 14 (Friday, December 4 - Saturday, December 5)

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