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NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 13 (Thursday, December 3 - Monday, December 7)

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  • NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 13 (Thursday, December 3 - Monday, December 7)






    NFL Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, December 3 - Monday, December 7

    Additional trends and information will be added as available.

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    NFL oddsmakers give red-hot Lions plenty of respect versus Packers

    The Lions have won three in a row SU and ATS but are still field-goal underdogs against the struggling Packers, who have lost three of their last four games.

    A month ago, the Green Bay Packers were the toast of the NFC, and the talent-laden Detroit Lions were a mess.

    Detroit got shellacked at Kansas City 45-10 as a 3-point pup on November 1. But on that same day, in the Sunday night game, Green Bay was dealt its first loss of the year, a 29-10 setback at Denver as a 2.5-point favorite.

    Since then, the Packers have lost three of four games SU and ATS, while the Lions have won all three of their outings SU and ATS, including a stunning 18-16 win catching 10.5 points at Green Bay on November 15. On Thanksgiving Day, both teams played, with Detroit ripping Philadelphia 45-14 as a 3-point home fave and the Pack continuing to slide in a 17-13 home loss giving 7.5 points to Chicago.

    Now, struggling Green Bay (7-4 SU, 6-5 ATS) heads to surging Detroit (4-7 SU and ATS) Thursday to kick off Week 13. John Lester, senior lines manager for Bookmaker.eu, opened the Packers as 3-point chalk.

    “Through the first two months of the season, we’d be looking to make the Packers double-digit chalk here, but things have changed drastically,” Lester said. “We’ll obviously see a ton of Green Bay money from the betting public, but I’m interested to see where the sharps stand. The Lions have looked more in sync and confident of late, but this will be a hungry Packers bunch.”

    Johnny Avello, executive director of race and sports for Wynn Las Vegas, gave Green Bay a little bit more of an edge.

    “The Packers are struggling, and the Lions seem to have found their best stride,” Avello said. “I opened the Packers a 3.5-point favorite, and a lot of it was my gut telling me that both teams need to come back to reality.

    New York Jets at New York Giants (Pick)

    It’s a battle for Big Apple bragging rights, between two teams trying to find some playoff footing.

    The Jets (6-5 SU, 5-5-1 ATS) rolled past Miami 38-20 Sunday as 4.5-point chalk, ending a two-game SU skid and a four-game ATS slide. The Giants (5-6 SU, 6-4-1 ATS) continued to allow the rest of the NFC to have some semblance of hope, losing to Washington 20-14 giving one point on the road Sunday.

    “The Battle of New York may very well be the demise for one of these teams,” Avello said. “The Giants can afford the loss more, as they’d still only be one win away from claiming the top spot in the NFC East. Eli Manning is so Jekyll and Hyde, it’s difficult for both linemakers and bettors to figure this team out.”

    Lester said the Jets have drawn the early sharp bettors.

    “We’ll see no shortage of action for this huge Week 13 matchup at East Rutherford. It’s a classic tossup game,” he said. “The Jets have a slight edge as far as the power ratings, but we know we’ll be seeing a ton of support from the Giants’ faithful. The early, sharper action has come in on the J-E-T-S.”

    Seattle Seahawks at Minnesota Vikings (Pick)

    The Vikings continue to surprise the league, cashing for bettors and taking advantage of NFC North rival Green Bay’s slide. Minnesota (8-3 SU, 9-2 ATS) dropped Atlanta 20-10 Sunday as a 2-point road pup, moving to 6-1 SU in its last seven and 9-1 ATS in its last 10.

    The Seahawks (6-5 SU, 4-6-1 ATS) kept themselves afloat in the playoff race by outlasting Pittsburgh 39-30 Sunday, covering as a 3-point home favorite. The two-time defending NFC champs have won four of their last five SU, but got some bad news in Sunday’s win, losing tight end Jimmy Graham for the season with a knee injury.

    “Another game where it will be interesting to see where the bettors take this number,” Lester said. “Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson and the offense seem to be coming together at the right time. The Vikings will look to ride Adrian Peterson, but it’s likely that the Seahawks will stack the box and look to force Teddy Bridgewater into more throws than he’s accustomed to making.”

    Avello moved slightly off the pick ‘em line.

    “I opened Seattle a very small road favorite. Not because of their defense that we've all been believers in over the past few years, but because of their offensive production and overall experience against a young and still learning Teddy Bridgewater,” he said.

    Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers (N/A)

    Indianapolis has managed to stay with Houston atop the AFC North, despite having to start 40-year-old Matt Hasselbeck in place of injured Andrew Luck. On Sunday, the Colts (6-5 SU and ATS) topped Tampa Bay 25-12 laying three points at home.

    Pittsburgh (6-5 SU, 6-4-1 ATS), getting three points at Seattle, lost a shootout 39-30. Perhaps worse though, as the Steelers try to stay in the playoff picture, QB Ben Roethlisberger left late in the game with a possible concussion. With his status uncertain, the opening line on this game will have to wait.

    “Ben Roethlisberger was so good this week at Seattle, it will be a shame if he doesn't play against the Colts on Sunday,” Avello said. “I haven't seen him that sharp in quite some time.”

    Lester added that it’s almost old hat for the consistently banged-up Roethlisberger this year.

    “It feels like every week, we’re waiting to hear about the status of Ben Roethlisberger, and this week will be no different as he goes through the concussion protocol,” he said. “Big Ben is worth at least a touchdown to the line, so if he isn’t available, it will greatly impact where we set this game. The Colts have come together a bit, but Matt Hasselbeck is going to lose at some point.”

    Comment


    • #3
      Football bettors must react quickly to these NFL Week 13 odds

      Most of Houston’s damage of late has been done at home, and now the Texans are embarking on a road-centric final stretch.

      Spread to bet now

      Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions (+3)

      Has someone kidnapped the Packers and if so, will you return them in time for the December playoff run? Four losses in five games, with only a bizarre Week 11 out-of-body-experience victory over the Vikings in Minnesota spliced in, have the Packers scratching their heads and trying to figure out exactly who they are. Which is never a good place to be when the winds of December start to howl in the NFC North.

      Doubts start to creep in when you do crazy things like lose to the Bears at home. Is Aaron Rodgers OK? If you think so, you have to believe that Green Bay can put a stop to this. It’s not possible that the Packers could lose back-to-back division games to the Bears and Lions. Is it? Fans don’t think so, because early money melted an opening 5.5-point line down to three almost immediately.

      Spread to wait on

      Houston Texans at Buffalo Bills (-3)

      The worm has turned in Houston, where the buzzards had been circling the Texans. Four straight victories, including a signature win at (previously undefeated) Cincinnati, has raised both hope and expectations. But be careful here. Most of Houston’s damage of late has been done at home, and now the Texans are embarking on a road-centric home stretch.

      After this one, the Texans have a home game against the Patriots, who will no doubt be in a foul mood. Then comes a game at Indianapolis that could determine whether this recent run has been a mirage. This line has already moved down half a point, and it might be worthwhile to see if it changes anymore in what figures to be a low-scoring game.

      Total to watch

      New York Jets at New York Giants (45)

      It’s not often that these teams play a game that matters to both, but here we are. The Jets could go to 7-5 and remain in the thick of the AFC wild card scrum with a win, and the Giants need a victory to stay at the top of the NFC East as they hope to launch another improbable Super Bowl march.

      Forty-five is attainable in any game in today’s flag-happy NFL, but both teams should be emphasizing ball control in this one in an attempt to avoid any mistake that might cost a playoff spot. Under has a good chance of cashing Sunday in East Rutherford.

      Comment


      • #4
        NFL
        Long Sheet

        Thursday, December 3


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        GREEN BAY (7 - 4) at DETROIT (4 - 7) - 12/3/2015, 8:25 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        GREEN BAY is 59-36 ATS (+19.4 Units) in December games since 1992.
        DETROIT is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.


        Head-to-Head Series History
        DETROIT is 3-2 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
        DETROIT is 3-2 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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        Sunday, December 6

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        SAN FRANCISCO (3 - 8) at CHICAGO (5 - 6) - 12/6/2015, 1:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        SAN FRANCISCO is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points since 1992.


        Head-to-Head Series History
        CHICAGO is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
        CHICAGO is 1-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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        CINCINNATI (9 - 2) at CLEVELAND (2 - 9) - 12/6/2015, 1:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


        Head-to-Head Series History
        CINCINNATI is 3-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
        CINCINNATI is 3-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
        4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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        JACKSONVILLE (4 - 7) at TENNESSEE (2 - 9) - 12/6/2015, 1:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        TENNESSEE is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        TENNESSEE is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        TENNESSEE is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
        TENNESSEE is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        TENNESSEE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points over the last 2 seasons.
        TENNESSEE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
        TENNESSEE is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        TENNESSEE is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
        TENNESSEE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        TENNESSEE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
        TENNESSEE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
        TENNESSEE is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
        TENNESSEE is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
        TENNESSEE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.


        Head-to-Head Series History
        JACKSONVILLE is 4-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
        JACKSONVILLE is 3-2 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
        4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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        HOUSTON (6 - 5) at BUFFALO (5 - 6) - 12/6/2015, 1:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        BUFFALO is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.


        Head-to-Head Series History
        HOUSTON is 1-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
        HOUSTON is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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        BALTIMORE (4 - 7) at MIAMI (4 - 7) - 12/6/2015, 1:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


        Head-to-Head Series History
        BALTIMORE is 2-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
        BALTIMORE is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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        CAROLINA (11 - 0) at NEW ORLEANS (4 - 7) - 12/6/2015, 4:25 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        CAROLINA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
        CAROLINA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
        CAROLINA is 53-29 ATS (+21.1 Units) in December games since 1992.
        CAROLINA is 79-43 ATS (+31.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
        CAROLINA is 53-25 ATS (+25.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
        NEW ORLEANS is 28-50 ATS (-27.0 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.


        Head-to-Head Series History
        NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
        CAROLINA is 3-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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        SEATTLE (6 - 5) at MINNESOTA (8 - 3) - 12/6/2015, 1:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MINNESOTA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 this season.
        MINNESOTA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
        MINNESOTA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
        MINNESOTA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
        MINNESOTA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
        MINNESOTA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
        SEATTLE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
        SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.


        Head-to-Head Series History
        SEATTLE is 1-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
        SEATTLE is 1-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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        ARIZONA (9 - 2) at ST LOUIS (4 - 7) - 12/6/2015, 1:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        ARIZONA is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
        ARIZONA is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
        ST LOUIS is 147-186 ATS (-57.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
        ST LOUIS is 147-186 ATS (-57.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
        ST LOUIS is 105-146 ATS (-55.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
        ST LOUIS is 114-148 ATS (-48.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
        ST LOUIS is 56-80 ATS (-32.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.


        Head-to-Head Series History
        ARIZONA is 4-1 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
        ARIZONA is 3-2 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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        ATLANTA (6 - 5) at TAMPA BAY (5 - 6) - 12/6/2015, 1:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


        Head-to-Head Series History
        ATLANTA is 3-2 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
        ATLANTA is 3-2 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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        NY JETS (6 - 5) at NY GIANTS (5 - 6) - 12/6/2015, 1:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        NY GIANTS are 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) against AFC East division opponents since 1992.
        NY GIANTS are 31-55 ATS (-29.5 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.


        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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        DENVER (9 - 2) at SAN DIEGO (3 - 8) - 12/6/2015, 4:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        DENVER is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
        DENVER is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
        SAN DIEGO is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.


        Head-to-Head Series History
        DENVER is 3-2 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
        DENVER is 4-1 straight up against SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
        4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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        KANSAS CITY (6 - 5) at OAKLAND (5 - 6) - 12/6/2015, 4:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        OAKLAND is 39-75 ATS (-43.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
        OAKLAND is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1992.
        OAKLAND is 24-44 ATS (-24.4 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
        OAKLAND is 29-54 ATS (-30.4 Units) in December games since 1992.


        Head-to-Head Series History
        KANSAS CITY is 3-1 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
        KANSAS CITY is 3-1 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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        PHILADELPHIA (4 - 7) at NEW ENGLAND (10 - 1) - 12/6/2015, 4:25 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




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        INDIANAPOLIS (6 - 5) at PITTSBURGH (6 - 5) - 12/6/2015, 8:30 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


        Head-to-Head Series History
        PITTSBURGH is 1-0 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
        PITTSBURGH is 1-0 straight up against INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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        Monday, December 7

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        DALLAS (3 - 8) at WASHINGTON (5 - 6) - 12/7/2015, 8:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        DALLAS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
        WASHINGTON is 30-50 ATS (-25.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
        WASHINGTON is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        WASHINGTON is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        WASHINGTON is 54-86 ATS (-40.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
        WASHINGTON is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
        WASHINGTON is 78-106 ATS (-38.6 Units) in home games since 1992.
        WASHINGTON is 78-106 ATS (-38.6 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
        WASHINGTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games when playing on Monday night since 1992.
        WASHINGTON is 78-106 ATS (-38.6 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
        WASHINGTON is 53-76 ATS (-30.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
        WASHINGTON is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.


        Head-to-Head Series History
        WASHINGTON is 2-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
        DALLAS is 3-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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        Comment


        • #5
          NFL

          Week 13


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Thursday, December 3

          8:25 PM
          GREEN BAY vs. DETROIT
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Green Bay's last 9 games on the road
          Green Bay is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games when playing Detroit
          Detroit is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Green Bay
          Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games


          Sunday, December 6

          See more trends!
          DECEMBER 6, 1:00 PM
          SAN FRANCISCO vs. CHICAGO
          San Francisco is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago
          San Francisco is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games
          Chicago is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games when playing San Francisco

          See more trends!
          DECEMBER 6, 1:00 PM
          BALTIMORE vs. MIAMI
          Baltimore is 2-7-2 ATS in its last 11 games
          Baltimore is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
          Miami is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore
          The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 10 games when playing at home against Baltimore

          See more trends!
          DECEMBER 6, 1:00 PM
          JACKSONVILLE vs. TENNESSEE
          Jacksonville is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games on the road
          Jacksonville is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
          Tennessee is 2-19 SU in its last 21 games
          Tennessee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

          See more trends!
          DECEMBER 6, 1:00 PM
          SEATTLE vs. MINNESOTA
          Seattle is 4-8-2 ATS in its last 14 games
          Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home
          Minnesota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

          See more trends!
          DECEMBER 6, 1:00 PM
          CINCINNATI vs. CLEVELAND
          Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
          Cleveland is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
          Cleveland is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games when playing Cincinnati

          See more trends!
          DECEMBER 6, 1:00 PM
          ATLANTA vs. TAMPA BAY
          Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
          Atlanta is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Tampa Bay
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games at home
          Tampa Bay is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games at home

          See more trends!
          DECEMBER 6, 1:00 PM
          NY JETS vs. NY GIANTS
          NY Jets are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Giants
          NY Jets are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing NY Giants
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Giants last 5 games
          NY Giants are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Jets

          See more trends!
          DECEMBER 6, 1:00 PM
          HOUSTON vs. BUFFALO
          Houston is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Buffalo
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing Houston
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games

          See more trends!
          DECEMBER 6, 1:00 PM
          ARIZONA vs. ST. LOUIS
          Arizona is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
          The total has gone OVER in 9 of Arizona's last 12 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 10 of St. Louis's last 15 games when playing Arizona
          St. Louis is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games when playing Arizona

          See more trends!
          DECEMBER 6, 4:05 PM
          DENVER vs. SAN DIEGO
          Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
          Denver is 8-11-4 ATS in its last 23 games when playing San Diego
          San Diego is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing at home against Denver

          See more trends!
          DECEMBER 6, 4:05 PM
          KANSAS CITY vs. OAKLAND
          Kansas City is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Oakland
          The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Kansas City's last 20 games when playing Oakland
          The total has gone OVER in 9 of Oakland's last 13 games at home
          The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Oakland's last 20 games when playing Kansas City

          See more trends!
          DECEMBER 6, 4:25 PM
          PHILADELPHIA vs. NEW ENGLAND
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games on the road
          Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 7 games at home
          New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

          See more trends!
          DECEMBER 6, 4:25 PM
          CAROLINA vs. NEW ORLEANS
          Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
          New Orleans is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Carolina
          New Orleans is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina

          See more trends!
          DECEMBER 6, 8:30 PM
          INDIANAPOLIS vs. PITTSBURGH
          Indianapolis is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing Pittsburgh
          The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Indianapolis's last 18 games
          Pittsburgh is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
          Pittsburgh is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Indianapolis


          Monday, December 7

          See more trends!
          DECEMBER 7, 8:30 PM
          DALLAS vs. WASHINGTON
          Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
          Dallas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games at home
          Washington is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Dallas


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Comment


          • #6
            NFL
            Armadillo's Write-Up

            Week 13



            Thursday's game
            Packers (7-4) @ Lions (4-7)-- Detroit won its last three games, Green Bay lost four of last five, including first home loss to Detroit since 1991, just 6th win for Lions in last 30 series games. Packers lost 40-10/19-7 in last two visits here; they won 30-13 at Minnesota in only game on carpet this year. Detroit won field position by twelve yards in 18-16 win three weeks ago- neither team ran ball well. Lions held GB to 5.1 ypa. Packers are 3-2 on road, 2-2 as road faves. Detroit allowed 14.3 ppg in winning last three games, after giving up 37.3 ppg in four games before that. Seven of last eight Packer games stayed under total; five of last seven Detroit games went over. NFL-wide, divisional home underdogs are 6-7 vs spread.

            Comment


            • #7
              NFL

              Thursday, December 3


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              Thursday Night Football Betting Preview: Packers at Lions
              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              The Lions, currently 3-point home dogs, will try to cover their fourth game in a row.

              Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions (+3, 46.5)

              The Detroit Lions were on the fast track to oblivion before ending a 24-year drought with a shocking victory at the Green Bay Packers in Week 10. That sparked a three-game winning streak for the Lions, who suddenly find themselves harboring postseason aspirations as they prepare to host the skidding Packers in Sunday's rematch.

              Detroit had one victory through eight games, beating NFC North rival Chicago in overtime, before stunning the Packers 18-16 with its first victory at Green Bay since December 1991. “Our guys have been battling and getting better every week and that’s what we have to do again this week,” Lions coach Jim Caldwell said. The loss to Detroit was the third in a row for the Packers, who appeared to get back on track with a 30-13 romp at division-leading Minnesota in Week 11. The momentum was short-lived, however, as Green Bay dropped a 17-13 decision to visiting Chicago on Thanksgiving.

              TV:
              8:25 p.m. ET, CBS, NFL Network.

              LINE HISTORY:
              The Lions opened as 5.5-point home dogs and have been bet up to +3. The total has been bet down from its opening number of 47.5 to 46.5.

              INJURY REPORT:


              Packers - WR J. Abbrederis (questionable Thursday, ribs), B M. Hyde (questionable Thursday, hip), C C. Linsley (questionable Thursday, ankle), T B. Bulaga (questionable, ankle), CB D. Randall (questionable Thursday, knee), G T. Lang (questionable Thursday), WR T. Montgomery (doubtful Thursday, ankle).

              Lions - WR G. Tate (probable Thursday, calf), WR C. Johnson (probable Thursday, ankle), DT C. Reid (questionable Thursday, undisclosed), K M. Prater (questionable Thursday, undisclosed), S G. Quinn (questionable Thursday, ankle), G L. Warford (questionable Thursday, concussion), T C. Robinson (questionable Thursday, ankle), DT G. Wright (questionable Thursday, ankle), WR L. Moore (doubtful Thursday, ankle).

              POWER RANKINGS:
              Packers (-3) - Lions (+2) + home field (-3) = Lions +2

              WHAT BOOKS SAY:

              WHAT CAPPERS SAY:
              "Aaron Rodgers in 2014: 65.6 completion percentage, 8.4 yards per pass attempt. In 2015? 60.5 percent completions and only 6.9 yards per pass attempt. That?s what happens with no WR?s! Meanwhile, a month ago, I had the Lions ranked dead last in my power ratings. A vastly improved defensive mindset has made all the difference, holding each of their last three foes to 16 points or less."

              ABOUT THE PACKERS (7-4, 6-5 ATS, 3-8 O/U):
              Reigning MVP Aaron Rodgers, normally among the league's most accurate passers, has failed to post a completion percentage better than 57.4 percent over his last four games, even though he has nine touchdowns versus two interceptions in that span. One of the few positives during Green Bay's skid has been the re-emergence of running back Eddie Lacy, who has registered back-to-back 100-yard games since the Packers were held to 47 yards on the ground by the Lions. Tied for fifth in the league with 30 sacks, Green Bay has yielded 48 points over the past three games.

              ABOUT THE LIONS (4-7, 4-7 ATS, 6-5 O/U):
              Defense has fueled the turnaround by Detroit - after surrendering a shade over 30 points during the ugly 1-7 start, the Lions have held their last three opponents to an average of 13.4 points. Detroit also is coming off its best offensive performance as Matthew Stafford threw for five touchdowns and 337 yards in a 45-14 demolition of Philadelphia on Thanksgiving Day. Wideout Calvin Johnson latched onto three of those scoring passes to end a four-game drought while running back Theo Riddick has 10 receptions for 134 yards and a score in his last two contests.

              TRENDS:


              * Favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.
              * Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Detroit.
              * Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
              * Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.

              CONSENSUS:
              The public is siding with the Packers in this NFC North showdown, with 61 percent of wagers on Green Bay. They also love the over in the matchup, with 69 percent of wagers on the over.

              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              Comment


              • #8
                NFL
                Dunkel

                Week 13



                Green Bay @ Detroit

                Game 301-302
                December 3, 2015 @ 8:25 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Green Bay
                135.386
                Detroit
                129.220
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Green Bay
                by 6
                42
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Green Bay
                by 3
                47
                Dunkel Pick:
                Green Bay
                (-3); Under


                Baltimore @ Miami

                Game 359-360
                December 6, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Baltimore
                127.910
                Miami
                125.872
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Baltimore
                by 2
                48
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Miami
                by 4
                43 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Baltimore
                (+4); Over

                Carolina @ New Orleans

                Game 361-362
                December 6, 2015 @ 4:25 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Carolina
                132.665
                New Orleans
                128.136
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Carolina
                by 4 1/2
                44
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Carolina
                by 7
                50
                Dunkel Pick:
                New Orleans
                (+7); Under

                Seattle @ Minnesota

                Game 363-364
                December 6, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Seattle
                138.390
                Minnesota
                135.704
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Seattle
                by 2 1/2
                46
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Minnesota
                by 1
                1
                Dunkel Pick:
                Seattle
                (+1); Over

                Arizona @ St. Louis

                Game 365-366
                December 6, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Arizona
                136.188
                St. Louis
                128.389
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Arizona
                by 8
                40
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Arizona
                by 5 1/2
                43
                Dunkel Pick:
                Arizona
                (-5 1/2); Under

                Atlanta @ Tampa Bay

                Game 367-368
                December 6, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Atlanta
                126.663
                Tampa Bay
                132.761
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Tampa Bay
                by 6
                42
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Tampa Bay
                by 1 1/2
                46
                Dunkel Pick:
                Tampa Bay
                (-1 1/2); Under

                NY Jets @ NY Giants

                Game 369-370
                December 6, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                NY Jets
                131.012
                NY Giants
                134.585
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                NY Giants
                by 3 1/2
                49
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                NY Jets
                by 2 1/2
                45
                Dunkel Pick:
                NY Giants
                (+2 1/2); Over

                Denver @ San Diego

                Game 371-372
                December 6, 2015 @ 4:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Denver
                136.794
                San Diego
                128.813
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Denver
                by 8
                48
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Denver
                by 4
                43
                Dunkel Pick:
                Denver
                (-4); Over

                San Francisco @ Chicago

                Game 351-352
                December 6, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                San Francisco
                125.704
                Chicago
                137.578
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Chicago
                by 12
                38
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Chicago
                by 7
                43
                Dunkel Pick:
                Chicago
                (-7); Under

                Kansas City @ Oakland

                Game 373-374
                December 6, 2015 @ 4:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Kansas City
                143.459
                Oakland
                131.299
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Kansas City
                by 12
                50
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Kansas City
                by 3
                44
                Dunkel Pick:
                Kansas City
                (-3); Over

                Cincinnati @ Cleveland

                Game 353-354
                December 6, 2015 @ 2:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Cincinnati
                138.122
                Cleveland
                125.251
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Cincinnati
                by 13
                48
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Cincinnati
                by 9 1/2
                43 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Cincinnati
                (-9 1/2); Over

                Philadelphia @ New England

                Game 375-376
                December 6, 2015 @ 4:25 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Philadelphia
                123.002
                New England
                142.680
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                New England
                by 19 1/2
                45
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                New England
                by 9 1/2
                49 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                New England
                (-9 1/2); Under

                Jacksonville @ Tennessee

                Game 355-356
                December 6, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Jacksonville
                122.566
                Tennessee
                127.027
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Tennessee
                by 4 1/2
                47
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Tennessee
                by 2 1/2
                43 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Tennessee
                (-2 1/2); Over

                Indianapolis @ Pittsburgh

                Game 377-378
                December 6, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Indianapolis
                134.457
                Pittsburgh
                136.915
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Pittsburgh
                by 2 1/2
                48
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Pittsburgh
                by 7 1/2
                No Total
                Dunkel Pick:
                Indianapolis
                (+7 1/2); N/A

                Houston @ Buffalo

                Game 357-358
                December 6, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Houston
                132.420
                Buffalo
                136.890
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Buffalo
                by 4 1/2
                36
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Buffalo
                by 3
                41 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Buffalo
                (-3); Under


                Dallas @ Washington

                Game 379-380
                December 7, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Dallas
                126.655
                Washington
                133.055
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Washington
                by 6 1/2
                36
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Washington
                by 4
                42
                Dunkel Pick:
                Washington
                (-4); Under

                Comment


                • #9
                  NFL
                  Short Sheet

                  Week 13


                  Thursday - Dec, 3

                  Green Bay at Detroit, 8:25 ET
                  Green Bay: 36-19 ATS after a loss by 6 or less points
                  Detroit: 4-14 ATS off 1 or more straight overs


                  Sunday - Dec, 6

                  San Francisco at Chicago, 1:00 ET
                  San Francisco: 0-6 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse
                  Chicago: 6-0 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders

                  Cincinnati at Cleveland, 1:00 ET
                  Cincinnati: 7-1 ATS against conference opponents
                  Cleveland: 0-6 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better

                  Jacksonville at Tennessee, 1:00 ET
                  Jacksonville: 11-3 OVER in road games in games played on a grass field
                  Tennessee: 1-10 ATS off a home loss

                  Houston at Buffalo, 1:00 ET
                  Houston: 1-4 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less
                  Buffalo: 8-2 ATS off a road loss

                  Baltimore at Miami, 1:00 ET
                  Baltimore: 42-25 ATS in road games after having won 2 out of their last 3
                  Miami: 0-6 ATS after allowing 35 points or more last game

                  Carolina at New Orleans, 4:25 ET
                  Carolina: 10-2 ATS off a road win
                  New Orleans: 28-50 ATS in home games versus division opponents

                  Seattle at Minnesota, 1:00 ET
                  Seattle: 12-3 UNDER after scoring 25 points or more in 3 straight games
                  Minnesota: 8-1 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders

                  Arizona at St Louis, 1:00 ET
                  Arizona: 22-10 ATS against conference opponents
                  St Louis: 75-102 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses

                  Atlanta at Tampa Bay, 1:00 ET
                  Atlanta: 0-6 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread
                  Tampa Bay: 58-38 UNDER as a home favorite of 7 points or less

                  NY Jets at NY Giants, 1:00 ET
                  New York: 0-6 ATS off 2 or more consecutive overs
                  New York: 19-7 ATS against AFC East division opponents

                  Denver at San Diego, 4:05 ET
                  Denver: 8-0 ATS in road games versus division opponents
                  San Diego: 1-9 ATS in home games after the first month of the season

                  Kansas City at Oakland, 4:05 ET
                  Kansas City: 35-19 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive wins
                  Oakland: 9-21 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less

                  Philadelphia at New England, 4:25 ET
                  Philadelphia: 8-1 OVER off a road loss
                  New England: 7-0 ATS off a road loss

                  Indianapolis at Pittsburgh, 8:30 ET
                  Indianapolis: 33-55 ATS after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 2 games
                  Pittsburgh: 8-1 ATS after allowing 30 points or more last game


                  Monday - Dec, 7


                  Dallas at Washington, 8:30 ET
                  Dallas: 46-26 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse
                  Washington: 4-13 ATS in home games when playing on Monday night

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    NFL
                    Armadillo's Write-Up

                    Week 13


                    49ers (3-8) @ Bears (5-6)- Chicago won three of last four games, covered six of last eight; they're 1-4 at home, with only win 22-20 (+3) over Oakland. 49ers lost four of last five games; they're 1-4 as road underdogs, losing all five games by average of 35-14- four of five went over total. 49ers lost last four visits here, by 6-10-8-31; last SF win in Windy City was an '88 playoff game. SF scored 10.4 ppg in last five tilts; they've run ball for just 63 ypg in two post-bye games- they don't have a takeaway in last three games (-4). NFC North non-divisional home favorites are 7-2 against spread; NFC West road underdogs are 1-6. Four of last five SF games, three of last four Bear games stayed under total.

                    Bengals (9-2) @ Browns (2-9)-- Teams split series last three years; Cincinnati (-13) won first meeting 31-10 four weeks ago, one of eight NFL games this year with zero turnovers. Bengals split last eight visits here; they're 5-1-1 as favorite this season, 1-0 on road. Cincy is 4-1 on road, winning by 20-4-13-6 points. Browns had brutal loss late Monday nite, losing on blocked FG/TD on last play of game; they've lost six games in row (0-5 vs spread), McCown is out for year; either Davis/Manziel will start at QB. Cleveland lost last four home games, three by 7 or less points. Last five series games were decided by 10+ points. Over is 8-3 in Cleveland games, 4-1 in last five Bengal games.

                    Jaguars (4-7) @ Titans (2-9)-- Teams split season series last six years; Jags are 2-5 in last seven visits here, but won 19-13 (-3) in Thursday night game vs Titans two weeks ago- Jags' only TD drive was five yards. Tennessee lost its last 11 games at home, with three of five home losses this year by 3 or less points- they lost nine of last ten overall (1-4 vs spread in last five). Jax covered four of last five games; their only road loss by more than seven points was in Foxboro. Jaguars are 3-2 as road underdogs this year. Last four series totals were 36 or less. NFL-wide, divisional home favorites are 14-23-2 vs spread. Under is 4-1-1 in last six Titan games; five of last seven Jax games went over.

                    Texans (6-5) @ Bills (5-6)-- Houston won last four games, allowing 8.8 ppg; they're tied for 1st in division, would be Wild Card if playoffs started today. Texans gave up two TDs on last 46 drives; they're 2-3 as road underdogs. Bills lost three of last four home games; they're 1-2 as home faves. Houston won last three series games, by 21-12-6 points; they won two of last three visits here. Texans have yet to run ball for 100+ yards on road; they outscored last five foes 67-20 in second half. AFC East non-divisional home favorites are 5-3-1 vs spread; AFC South underdogs are 11-8 vs spread, 6-5 on road. Last four Houston games stayed under total; four of last six Buffalo games went over.

                    Ravens (4-7) @ Dolphins (4-7)-- In last two games, Miami ran ball 23 times for just 82 yards; offensive coordinator got fired Monday- expect them to run ball more in this game. Baltimore allowed only 81.5 rushing ypg in last four games. Dolphins lost four of last five games, are 1-2 at home- they were outgained by 100 ypg in last three games. Ravens won three of last four games after scoring TD on blocked FG for walk-off win late Monday nite; they're 2-4 on road, the other win coming in OT at Pittsburgh. Favorites are 2-3 vs spread week after playing Jets; dogs are 2-0 the week after playing Cleveland. AFC East non-divisional home favorites are 5-3-1 vs spread; AFC North road dogs are 5-5-1.

                    Panthers (11-0) @ Saints (4-7)-- Carolina won five of last seven games against New Orleans, beating Saints 27-22 (-10) at home in Week 3, Panthers averaged 9.8 ypa in that game. Carolina won two of last three visits here, with last four totals 44+ here. Saints lost last three games, allowing 35 ppg; they were outscored 47-7 in second half of those games- firing their DC didn't help in 24-6 loss at Houston last week, Texans ran ball for 165 yards. Carolina is last unbeaten team; they covered seven of last eight games. Four of Panthers' five road wins are by 11+ points. Over is 7-2 in last nine Carolina games, 5-2 in last five Saint games. New Orleans split last four home games, despite scoring 32.8 ppg- last three at home went over.

                    Seahawks (6-5) @ Vikings (8-3)-- Seattle has led in 4th quarter of every game this year; they're on road for first time in five weeks- three of its five road games (2-3) were decided by 3 or less points. Minnesota won six of last seven games, covered nine of last ten; they're 4-1 at home, losing last home game to Packers. Vikes are 7-0 when allowing less than 20 points; Seattle scored 21 ppg in first five road games. Seahawks didn't allow TD in its last two road games. Teams are 3-6 the week after playing Atlanta. NFC North non-divisional home teams are 9-5 against the spread; NFC West road teams are 4-9. Five of last seven Seattle games went over the total; under is 3-0-1 in last four Viking games. 11 of 13 series totals were 44+.

                    Cardinals (9-2) @ Rams (4-7)-- Arizona was -3 in turnovers in both its losses, one of which was 24-22 (-6.5) at home to Rams in Week 4, Rams ran ball for 164 yards, were outgained 447-328 n their first win over Cards in last four tries- Arizona lost two of last three visits here. Wheels fell off for Rams, losing four in row, scoring an average of 12.8 ppg- they've got five TDs on last 52 drives, turned ball over seven times on 25 drives last two games. St Louis is 2-5 as a dog, 1-1 at home- they're 3-2 SU at home. Redbirds won last five games, last three by 7 or less points; Arizona is just 13-43 on third down in last three series games. Three of last four Cardinal tilts went over the total; six of last seven Ram games stayed under.

                    Falcons (6-5) @ Buccaneers (5-6)-- Atlanta outgained Bucs 496-290 in first meeting, but was -4 in turnovers in 22-20 (-7) loss in Week 8; Falcons lost five of its last six games after a 5-0 start- Ryan has thrown huge INTs in last two games. Falcons are 2-2 in last four visits here- they scored 26 points (two TDs/21 drives) in two games on natural grass. Tampa is 4-1 when it allows 20 or less points; they're 2-3 at home, winning two of last three. Bucs are 16-29 on third down last two games. Teams are 2-6-2 vs spread week after playing Indy, 3-7 after playing Minnesota. Seven of last eight series totals were 43+; last five Atlanta games stayed under total. Atlanta has turned ball over 19 times in its last seven games (-10).

                    NJ Jets (6-5) @ NJ Giants (5-6)-- Both sides call this stadium home; technically this is Giants home game, but I'm quoting home stats both ways here. Giants won last five series games, with four of five wins by 7+ points- average total last four series games, 57.5. Jets are +14 in turnovers in their six wins, -13 in five losses; they're 4-2 in Swamp this year- they covered one of last five games. Giants are tied for first in NFC East despite being 5-6; red flag was going 2-3 in five-game stretch where they were + in turnovers all five games. Big Blue won three of last four home tilts. AFC East teams are 12-13-1 vs spread outside its division; NFC East teams are 9-17. Five of last seven Jet games went over total.

                    Broncos (9-2) @ Chargers (3-8)-- Denver is 2-0 with Osweiler starting, winning at Chicago 17-15 in his first road start; Broncos won seven of last eight series games, with wins by 7-14-12 points in last three. Denver won last four visits here. Chargers snapped 6-game skid last week; they lost last four home games, are 1-5 vs spread at home and was down 21-0 in game they covered. San Diego scored 30+ points in all three of its wins; they're 2-6 vs spread in its losses- they're 3-3 as an underdog. Broncos ran ball for 170-179 yards in last two games; they averaged 86 ypg before that. Eight of last 11 series totals were 47+. Teams are 3-5 week after playing New England. Three of last four San Diego home games stayed under total.

                    Chiefs (6-5) @ Raiders (5-6)-- KC won/covered last five games, running ball for 152.2 ypg after starting season 1-5, but Chiefs had major injury issues on OL last week, not sure how healthy they'll be here. Chiefs are 3-1 vs Oakland in Reid era, with wins all by 17+; they lost two of last three visits here, after winning eight in row at Oakland before that. Raiders snapped 3-game skid in Nashville LW; they're 5-2 vs spread as underdogs this year. Teams are 3-6 SU week after playing Titans and were favored in seven of nine games. Favorites are 1-5 vs spread week after playing Buffalo. Chiefs were + in turnovers seven games in row- they're +14 in turnovers their last five games.

                    Eagles (4-7) @ Patriots (10-1)-- Philly allowed 951 TY, 90 points in last couple games, giving up 11 TDs, five FGA on 21 drives. Pats lost first game LW, lost Gronkowski; Brady's three best targets are out here. NE won last four series games, scoring 31+ in three of the four. Eagles lost last three games, scoring 16.7 ppg; they're 1-2 as underdogs this year- Bradford is expected back at QB, not sure that is a help. Patriots are 3-0-3 as home favorite this year, 0-2-1 vs spread in last three overall. NFC East non-divisional road dogs are 2-7 vs spread; AFC home favorites are 5-3-1. Four of last five Patriot games stayed under total; three of last four Eagle games went over.

                    Colts (6-5) @ Steelers (6-5)-- Indy is 4-0 when 40-year old backup Hasselbeck starts; they won last three games, covered last four- they're 5-0 vs spread as an underdog this year, but are 3-16 in last 19 games vs Steelers, losing 13 of last 15 visits here, winning in '68/'08. Pitt whacked Indy 51-34 LY. Steelers are 2-3 (1-4 vs spread) in last five games; they're 2-1 as home faves. Pitt scored 30+ points in last three games; Big Ben had concussion late in game LW but is expected to play here. AFC North non-divisional home favorites are 6-4 vs spread; AFC South underdogs are 11-8, 6-5 on road. Seven of last nine Pitt games stayed under total.

                    Cowboys (3-8) @ Redskins (5-6)-- Dallas is 0-7 when backup QBs start; Romo is out for year. Cowboys lost eight of their last nine games, are 1-3 as a road dog. Dallas is 9-4 in last 13 games vs Redskins, 5-2 in last seven here, taking last two, 24-23/44-17. Washington is tied for first in NFC East despite its 5-6 record; they haven't won consecutive games yet this year- they're 5-6 despite being an underdog in 10 of 11 games (0-1 as favorite). Skins averaged over 10 ypa in last two wins- return of WR Jackson opens up their offense. Teams are 7-2-1 vs spread the week after playing the Giants. Four of five Dallas road games stayed under total.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 13

                      Adrian Peterson rolled the Falcons for 158 rushing yards and two touchdowns last week and will see similar defensive schemes versus Seattle Sunday.

                      Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans (-2.5, 43)

                      Jaguars’ rotten red-zone defense vs. Titans’ red-zone offense

                      The last time these AFC South rivals met, they nearly lulled a nation of football bettors to sleep with a 19-13 Jacksonville win on Thursday Night Football. We may get more action out of this one, considering how bad the Jaguars' red-zone defense is and how much Tennessee has improved with the ball inside the opposition’s 20-yard line.

                      The Titans actually rank among the top teams in red-zone efficiency when it comes to scoring touchdowns rather than settling for field goals. Tennessee has hit pay dirt on over 62 percent of its red-zone tries – seventh in the NFL – and has upped that to nearly 67 percent in the last three games. Against Jacksonville, the Titans didn’t sniff the red zone once but last week, they scored six in two of their three shots inside the 20-yard line against Oakland.

                      Jacksonville has given up touchdowns on almost 68 percent of their opponents’ drives inside the 20-yard line – the worst percentage in the NFL. The Jaguars have been even more generous in the red zone the last three games, allowing teams to put six on the board in almost 86 percent of their red-zone attempts. Last week, in a loss to San Diego, the Chargers scored a touchdown on four of their five ventures inside the twenty.

                      Daily fantasy watch: TE Delanie Walker

                      Seattle Seahawks at Minnesota Vikings (Pick, 41.5)

                      Seahawks’ defensive schemes vs. Vikings’ second look

                      The Vikings just aced their exam on the Seahawks defense in Week 12, taking apart the Atlanta Falcons and head coach Dan Quinn’s unit to the tune of a 20-10 win in which Adrian Peterson steamrolled the Falcons’ run stoppers for 158 yards and two touchdowns. Quinn, Atlanta’s big hire this offseason, was the architect of Seattle’s vaunted stop unit serving as defensive coordinator for those NFC championship teams.

                      Now it’s time to apply those lessons learned to the real world. The Seahawks pose a much tougher threat, in terms of defensive depth and playmakers, but Minnesota can’t help but recognize certain formations, schemes and situations when comparing film of last week’s win and Seattle’s body of work this season.

                      The Seahawks rank fifth against the run, giving up just under 93 yards per game. However, opponents have run the ball just 40 percent of the time against them and that number has plummeted even lower in recent weeks, with the last three opponents – Pittsburgh, San Francisco and Arizona – handing the ball off less than 30 percent of the time in that span. The Steelers actually got 4.1 yards per carry against Seattle last week but attempted just 14 runs.

                      Daily fantasy watch: RB Adrian Peterson

                      Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (+7, 50)

                      Panthers’ TE Greg Olsen vs. Saints’ trouble with tight ends

                      Olsen has put his name among the top tight ends in the league since joining Carolina in 2011 and is celebrating a career year with six touchdowns and nearly 15 yards per reception heading into Week 13. He’s not only been Cam Newton’s safety blanket but also his top option, since WR Kelvin Benjamin was lost to injury in training camp.

                      Olsen had another big day against the Dallas Cowboys on Thanksgiving, roping in five balls for 70 yards, including a 31-yard gain. He’s broken big plays all season long, including a 52-yard gain against the Saints in Week 3 – a game in which Olsen totaled eight catches for 134 yards and two touchdowns.That set the wheels in motion for a bad year versus tight ends for the Saints.

                      New Orleans has given up 860 yards to tight ends as well as 10 touchdowns – both stats rank second worst in the NFL. Last week, Houston TE Ryan Griffin posted 72 yards and a score on four catches – and that’s a guy who just came off the IR with a knee injury. The game before, Washington TE Jordan Reed tallied two touchdowns versus New Orleans, and in Week 9 Tennessee TE Delanie Walker had a circus day with 95 yards and two scores against the Saints.

                      Daily fantasy watch: TE Greg Olsen

                      Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers (-7, 47)

                      Colts’ big play problems vs. Steelers’ explosive attack

                      The Colts secondary got the willies Wednesday afternoon – like someone had just walked on their grave. But it wasn’t anything supernatural, it was just Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger clearing concussion protocol and returning to practice, making him probable for Sunday night’s game in the Steel City.

                      Roethlisberger is the conductor of one of the most explosive passing attacks in the NFL, one that is putting up 278.9 yards through the air per game. Pittsburgh has a bevy of weapons downfield, with Antonio Brown, Martavis Bryant, and Markus Wheaton all able to hit the home run. That’s helped the Steelers connect for a NFL-best 31 passing plays of 25 yards or more this season.

                      The reason Indianapolis is dreading Big Ben’s return is because the team has watched opponents go for 29 passes of 25 yards or more against – also the most in the NFL. The Colts have given up 272.8 yards passing per game this season – 27th in the league – and almost 12 yards per completion. And with backup Matt Hasselbeck under center, Indianapolis may not have the fire power to keep up if Roethlisberger exploits the secondary for chunks of yardage.

                      Daily fantasy watch: QB Ben Roethlisberger

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        NFL SUNDAY INJURY REPORT

                        ARIZONA CARDINALS at ST. LOUIS RAMS

                        ARIZONA CARDINALS

                        --Out: RB Andre Ellington (toe), CB Jerraud Powers (calf), DT Frostee Rucker (ankle)

                        --Doubtful: DT Cory Redding (ankle)

                        --Questionable: WR Michael Floyd (hamstring)

                        --Probable: WR John Brown (hamstring), G Jonathan Cooper (knee), WR Larry Fitzgerald (ankle), S Tony Jefferson (thigh), CB Patrick Peterson (ankle), DT Ed Stinson (groin)

                        ST. LOUIS RAMS

                        --Out: T Andrew Donnal (knee)

                        --Doubtful: CB Trumaine Johnson (thigh), DE Robert Quinn (back), K Greg Zuerlein (right hip)

                        --Questionable: QB Case Keenum (concussion)

                        --Probable: T Rob Havenstein (calf)


                        ATLANTA FALCONS at TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS

                        ATLANTA FALCONS

                        --Out: K Matt Bryant (right quadriceps), TE Tony Moeaki (hamstring)

                        --Probable: G Chris Chester (shoulder), LB Justin Durant (ankle), RB Devonta Freeman (concussion), LB Brooks Reed (knee), DT Paul Soliai (calf), LB Nathan Stupar (neck)

                        TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS

                        --Out: DE George Johnson (calf), DE Jacquies Smith (hamstring)

                        --Doubtful: LB Bruce Carter (concussion), DT Gerald McCoy (hand)

                        --Questionable: T Gosder Cherilus (knee), TE Austin Seferian-Jenkins (shoulder), TE Luke Stocker (back)

                        --Probable: C Joe Hawley (neck), WR Vincent Jackson (knee), CB Mike Jenkins (quadriceps), G Ali Marpet (ankle), S Keith Tandy (concussion)


                        BALTIMORE RAVENS at MIAMI DOLPHINS

                        BALTIMORE RAVENS

                        --Out: TE Maxx Williams (concussion)

                        --Doubtful: WR Marlon Brown (back), T Eugene Monroe (shoulder)

                        --Probable: DE Chris Canty (not injury related), G Kelechi Osemele (knee), LB Daryl Smith (not injury related), T Ricky Wagner (not injury related)

                        MIAMI DOLPHINS

                        --Out: T Ja'Wuan James (toe), WR Rishard Matthews (ribs), DT Earl Mitchell (calf)

                        --Questionable: C Mike Pouncey (foot), WR Kenny Stills (ankle)

                        --Probable: RB Jay Ajayi (shoulder), T Branden Albert (not injury related), S Shamiel Gary (foot), LB Jelani Jenkins (ankle), WR Jarvis Landry (knee), LB Chris McCain (hip), LB Koa Misi (abdomen), DT Jordan Phillips (shoulder), LB Kelvin Sheppard (hamstring), TE Dion Sims (neck)


                        CAROLINA PANTHERS at NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

                        CAROLINA PANTHERS

                        --Out: DE Mario Addison (ankle), CB Charles Tillman (knee)

                        --Probable: WR Corey Brown (shoulder), DE Kony Ealy (neck), DT Dwan Edwards (ankle), DT Star Lotulelei (ankle)

                        NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

                        --Out: DT John Jenkins (concussion)

                        --Doubtful: WR Willie Snead (calf)

                        --Questionable: T Terron Armstead (knee), G Jahri Evans (ankle)

                        --Probable: WR Marques Colston (not injury related), LB Dannell Ellerbe (hip), LB David Hawthorne (thigh), RB Mark Ingram (shoulder), LB Hau'oli Kikaha (ankle), S Jamarca Sanford (hip), CB Damian Swann (concussion)


                        CINCINNATI BENGALS at CLEVELAND BROWNS

                        CINCINNATI BENGALS

                        --Doubtful: TE Tyler Eifert (neck), CB Chris Lewis-Harris (ribs)

                        --Questionable: CB Leon Hall (back), S George Iloka (groin), CB Adam Jones (foot)

                        --Probable: LB Vontaze Burfict (knee), CB Dre Kirkpatrick (ankle), LB Emmanuel Lamur (ankle), T Andre Smith (not injury related)

                        CLEVELAND BROWNS

                        --Out: WR Taylor Gabriel (concussion), CB Justin Gilbert (concussion), CB Joe Haden (concussion), WR Andrew Hawkins (concussion)

                        --Questionable: G Joel Bitonio (ankle), LB Nate Orchard (groin), DE Randy Starks (knee)

                        --Probable: DE Armonty Bryant (elbow), QB Johnny Manziel (right elbow)


                        DENVER BRONCOS at SAN DIEGO CHARGERS

                        DENVER BRONCOS

                        --Out: QB Peyton Manning (foot), S T.J. Ward (ankle), LB DeMarcus Ware (back), DT Sylvester Williams (ankle)

                        --Questionable: WR Bennie Fowler (ankle), G Louis Vasquez (groin)

                        --Probable: TE Owen Daniels (knee), CB Lorenzo Doss (illness), TE Virgil Green (finger), T Ryan Harris (knee), RB Ronnie Hillman (tooth), WR Cody Latimer (not injury related), G Evan Mathis (ankle), LB Corey Nelson (not injury related), QB Brock Osweiler (quadriceps), C Matt Paradis (ankle, finger), WR Emmanuel Sanders (ankle, finger), T Michael Schofield (finger), DE Vance Walker (shoulder)

                        SAN DIEGO CHARGERS

                        --Out: T King Dunlap (ankle), G D.J. Fluker (concussion)

                        --Questionable: LB Jeremiah Attaochu (chest), DT Sean Lissemore (shoulder), DT Corey Liuget (foot)

                        --Probable: TE Ladarius Green (ankle), T Chris Hairston (abdomen), QB Philip Rivers (foot)


                        HOUSTON TEXANS at BUFFALO BILLS

                        HOUSTON TEXANS

                        --Probable: RB Alfred Blue (back), LB Max Bullough (shoulder, hamstring), LB Akeem Dent (hamstring), WR DeAndre Hopkins (hamstring), CB Kareem Jackson (ankle), CB Charles James (foot), C Ben Jones (hand), CB Johnathan Joseph (knee), LB Whitney Mercilus (back), T Derek Newton (elbow), LB John Simon (groin), G Xavier Su'a-Filo (shoulder), DE J.J. Watt (groin)

                        BUFFALO BILLS

                        --Out: LB Nigel Bradham (ankle), G John Miller (ankle), RB Karlos Williams (shoulder)

                        --Doubtful: T Seantrel Henderson (illness)

                        --Probable: WR Marcus Easley (concussion), T Cordy Glenn (back), S Bacarri Rambo (knee), QB Tyrod Taylor (right shoulder), DE Mario Williams (foot)


                        JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS at TENNESSEE TITANS

                        JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

                        --Out: RB Toby Gerhart (groin), WR Allen Hurns (concussion, foot, though), LB Dan Skuta (groin)

                        --Questionable: RB Bernard Pierce (calf), WR Neal Sterling (illness), WR Bryan Walters (back)

                        --Probable: DE Chris Clemons (not injury related), S Johnathan Cyprien (abdomen), S Josh Evans (concussion), TE Marcedes Lewis (ankle), DT Roy Miller (knee), K Jason Myers (back)

                        TENNESSEE TITANS

                        --Out: DT Mike Martin (knee), RB Dexter McCluster (knee)

                        --Questionable: S Marqueston Huff (hamstring), LB Derrick Morgan (shoulder)

                        --Probable: TE Anthony Fasano (shoulder), DT Sammie Lee Hill (knee), DT Al Woods (ankle)


                        KANSAS CITY CHIEFS at OAKLAND RAIDERS

                        KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

                        --Out: S Husain Abdullah (neck), LB Justin Houston (knee), C Mitch Morse (concussion), WR De'Anthony Thomas (concussion)

                        --Questionable: G Jeff Allen (ankle), DE Allen Bailey (calf)

                        --Probable: P Dustin Colquitt (right knee), WR Chris Conley (hand), CB Marcus Cooper (thumb), DE Mike Devito (shoulder), T Eric Fisher (neck), LB Dee Ford (back), LB Tamba Hali (knee), TE Travis Kelce (groin), LB Joshua Mauga (heel), RB Spencer Ware (hamstring), RB Charcandrick West (hamstring)

                        OAKLAND RAIDERS

                        --Out: LB Neiron Ball (knee), CB Keith McGill (ankle)

                        --Doubtful: C Rodney Hudson (ankle), RB Taiwan Jones (knee)

                        --Questionable: CB Neiko Thorpe (knee)

                        --Probable: S Charles Woodson (shoulder)


                        NEW YORK JETS at NEW YORK GIANTS

                        NEW YORK JETS

                        --Out: CB Darrelle Revis (concussion)

                        --Doubtful: S Dion Bailey (ankle), CB Marcus Williams (knee)

                        --Questionable: LB Calvin Pace (abdomen)

                        --Probable: WR Eric Decker (knee), QB Ryan Fitzpatrick (left thumb), C Nick Mangold (hand), WR Brandon Marshall (toe, ankle), LB Trevor Reilly (knee), CB Buster Skrine (shoulder)

                        NEW YORK GIANTS

                        --Out: TE Larry Donnell (neck), LB Devon Kennard (hamstring, foot), S Brandon Meriweather (knee)

                        --Questionable: T Marshall Newhouse (back), C Weston Richburg (ankle)

                        --Probable: DE Robert Ayers (toe), DE Jason Pierre-Paul (hand), G Justin Pugh (concussion), RB Nikita Whitlock (not injury related)


                        PHILADELPHIA EAGLES at NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

                        PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

                        --Out: RB Ryan Mathews (concussion, groin)

                        --Questionable: T Jason Peters (back, ankle), DE Cedric Thornton (ankle)

                        --Probable: WR Nelson Agholor (hip), WR Seyi Ajirotutu (calf), QB Sam Bradford (left shoulder), TE Zach Ertz (concussion), WR Josh Huff (concussion), T Lane Johnson (shoulder), C Jason Kelce (knee), T Dennis Kelly (ankle), S Walter Thurmond (hamstring, calf)

                        NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

                        --Out: WR Julian Edelman (foot), TE Rob Gronkowski (knee)

                        --Questionable: WR Danny Amendola (knee), S Patrick Chung (foot), CB Justin Coleman (hand), LB Jamie Collins (illness), DT Dominique Easley (ankle), LB Dont'a Hightower (knee), TE Michael Williams (knee)

                        --Probable: DT Alan Branch (elbow), T Marcus Cannon (toe), TE Scott Chandler (knee), DE Chandler Jones (abdomen)


                        SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS at CHICAGO BEARS

                        SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

                        --Out: TE Garrett Celek (ankle), RB Carlos Hyde (foot)

                        --Probable: DT Arik Armstead (shoulder), TE Blake Bell (finger), WR Anquan Boldin (hamstring), G Alex Boone (triceps), LB Navorro Bowman (shoulder, finger), LB Ahmad Brooks (toe), DT Quinton Dial (shoulder), WR Bruce Ellington (wrist), DT Tony Jerod-Eddie (hip), CB Dontae Johnson (hamstring), T Erik Pears (knee), CB Keith Reaser (ankle), WR Torrey Smith (back), S Jaquiski Tartt (knee), LB Michael Wilhoite (ankle)

                        CHICAGO BEARS

                        --Out: WR Marquess Wilson (foot)

                        --Questionable: DT Bruce Gaston (illness), TE Zach Miller (ribs), S Antrel Rolle (knee), WR Eddie Royal (knee)

                        --Probable: TE Martellus Bennett (ribs), RB Ka'Deem Carey (concussion), QB Jay Cutler (illness), T Kyle Long (neck), LB Pernell McPhee (knee)


                        SEATTLE SEAHAWKS at MINNESOTA VIKINGS

                        SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

                        --Out: DE Demarcus Dobbs (concussion), DT Jordan Hill (toe), RB Marshawn Lynch (abdomen), WR Paul Richardson (hamstring)

                        --Questionable: CB Marcus Burley (ankle), RB Will Tukuafu (concussion)

                        --Probable: DE Michael Bennett (not injury related), CB Jeremy Lane (knee), C Patrick Lewis (knee), S Earl Thomas (hip)

                        MINNESOTA VIKINGS

                        --Out: DT Linval Joseph (foot), S Andrew Sendejo (knee)

                        --Questionable: LB Anthony Barr (hand, groin), S Harrison Smith (knee)

                        --Probable: S Robert Blanton (ankle), CB Trae Waynes (ankle)


                        INDIANAPOLIS COLTS at PITTSBURGH STEELERS on Sunday night

                        INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

                        --Out: T Anthony Castonzo (knee), WR Phillip Dorsett (ankle), LB Jerrell Freeman (hamstring), QB Andrew Luck (abdomen, kidney), G Hugh Thornton (elbow)

                        --Questionable: C Khaled Holmes (fibula)

                        --Probable: S Mike Adams (ankle, hamstring), CB Vontae Davis (ankle), LB D'Qwell Jackson (not injury related), CB Gregory Toler (not injury related), LB Erik Walden (heel)

                        PITTSBURGH STEELERS

                        --Out: LB Sean Spence (hamstring)

                        --Questionable: TE Heath Miller (rib)

                        --Probable: S Will Allen (ankle), WR Martavis Bryant (hip), LB James Harrison (knee), S Michael Mitchell (knee), QB Ben Roethlisberger (concussion), LB Ryan Shazier (concussion), TE Matt Spaeth (knee)

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Essential Week 13 betting notes for NFL Sunday

                          The Chiefs are one of the hottest teams in football, winning five straight, while covering the spread in each game.

                          New York Jets at New York Giants (+2, 46.5)

                          * Cornerback Darrelle Revis is expected to miss his second straight game due to a concussion. "Just got to move on," Odell Beckham Jr. said of missing out on the matchup. "We've still got to play the Jets. It would have been fun to go against a guy like that, and it's unfortunate that he's not playing, but maybe we'll get that matchup down the road. We're still focused on playing the Jets. This is a game we need to win."

                          * Chris Ivory recorded his third score in four weeks with a 31-yard scamper to seal the win last week and faces a Giants' rushing defense that is yielding 100.5 yards per contest (4.1 yards per carry). On the other side of the ball, the top-ranked Jets' rush defense set a franchise record by limiting the Dolphins to just 12 yards on the ground last week and faces a Giants' rushing attack that is 28th in the league.

                          Arizona Cardinals at St. Louis Rams (+4, 43)

                          * Impressive victories over Arizona and Seattle were part of a 4-3 (4-3 ATS) start for the St. Louis Rams, who then fell off with a four-game losing streak (0-3-1 ATS).

                          * Rookie running back David Johnson is expected to take over for Chris Johnson and Ellington as the team’s top option in the backfield, and the team doesn’t expect much drop off. “I think running back is one of the easier ones (to replace),” coach Bruce Arians told reporters.

                          Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Pick, 46)

                          * The Falcons kept pace with Carolina in the NFC South for a month, winning their first five games and six of their first seven (4-3 ATS) before enduring a four-game skid (0-4 ATS) that prompted a players-only meeting on Monday. “I think that’s a good part of a team, to have good, solid leadership, guys that voice stuff to get it all going in the same direction,” quarterback Matt Ryan told reporters.

                          * Atlanta’s losing streak began with a 23-20 overtime loss at home against Tampa Bay in Week 8, starting a string of three wins in five games (3-2 ATS) for the Buccaneers. Tampa Bay had its two-game winning streak snapped with a 25-12 loss at Indianapolis last week but is just one game behind Atlanta and Seattle for the second wild card.

                          Seattle Seahawks at Minnesota Vikings (+2, 42)

                          * The Seahawks, usually known for their defense, have been riding their offense to victories as of late, averaging 33.33 points per game over their last three contests, cashing the over in each.

                          * After having their streak of eight consecutive covers in a row snapped, the Vikings cashed once again for bettors last week, topping the Atlanta Falcons 20-10 as 2-point road dogs. They are the second best bet in the NFL this season at 9-2 ATS.

                          Houston Texans at Buffalo Bills (-3.5, 41.5)

                          * The resurgent Texans defense has allowed just 7.25 points per game during their four game winning streak, covering the spread in each.

                          * Time is running out for Buffalo, which may be further short-handed against the Texans, as defensive end Mario Williams remains questionable with a foot injury and Kyle Williams was placed on injured reserve on Tuesday.

                          Baltimore Ravens at Miami Dolphins (-3.5, 42)

                          * "December football is when football matters, and we’re relevant in December," said Ravens coach John Harbaugh, who owns a perfect 5-0 (5-0 ATS) record versus the Dolphins. "That's what we needed to be."

                          * Although it shares the same 4-7 mark as Baltimore, Miami hasn't shown much fight lately with losses in two straight and four of its last five. Ryan Tannehill threw for 351 yards and three touchdowns in Miami's 38-20 setback to the AFC East-rival New York Jets last Sunday, with offensive coordinator Bill Lazor being relieved of his duties the following day.

                          Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns (+8.5, 43.5)

                          * After a short two-game losing streak, the Bengals got back on track last Sunday, thumping the Rams 31-7. Even despite the loses the Bengals remained the league's best bet at 9-1-1 ATS this season.

                          * The quarterback carousel made yet another turn this week as Pettine announced that Austin Davis will be the 24th starter for the club since 1999. "He deserves this opportunity," Pettine said of the 26-year-old Davis, who gets the nod after Josh McCown broke his right collarbone on Monday while former Heisman Trophy winner Johnny Manziel tries to escape the doghouse.

                          Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans (-2.5, 43.5)

                          * The Jaguars, just 1-4 (3-2 ATS) on the road, are paced by quarterback Blake Bortles, who has thrown 22 touchdowns but 13 often-costly interceptions.

                          * Tennessee is 0-6 (2-4 ATS) at home on the season and has lost 11 straight at the not-so-friendly confines in Nashville. The Titans’ last home win was a 16-13 decision over the Jaguars in Week 6 of last season.

                          San Francisco 49ers at Chicago Bears (-7.5, 43)

                          * The San Francisco 49ers seek their first road win of the season when they visit the home-challenged Chicago Bears on Sunday. San Francisco fell to 0-5 (1-4 ATS) away from Levi's Stadium in Week 11, when it suffered a 29-13 setback against Seattle.

                          * Chicago dropped to 1-4 (2-3 ATS) at Soldier Field with Week 11's 17-15 loss to Denver. The Bears also have had trouble scoring recently, recording 15 and 17 points in their last two games, but are coming off a four-point win at Green Bay that put them in position to get to .500 for the first time since they were 3-3 on Oct. 12, 2014.

                          Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers (+3.5, 43)

                          * Brock Osweiler has stepped in for an ineffective and injured future Hall of Fame quarterback and has righted the ship for the Denver Broncos. Osweiler will look to lead the AFC West-leading Broncos to their third straight victory when they visit the division cellar-dwelling San Diego Chargers on Sunday.

                          * While Denver is making decisions with an eye on the postseason, San Diego simply was happy to snap a six-game skid with a 31-25 victory at Jacksonville last week. Philip Rivers threw for four touchdowns in that contest, but has tossed 10 interceptions while losing six of his last seven meetings with his AFC West rival.

                          Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders (+3, 44.5)

                          * After losing five of its first six contests this season, Kansas City has gone on a winning streak that reached five games with a 30-22 triumph over Buffalo in Week 12, covering the spread in each of those games.

                          * The Raiders, who are looking to reach the .500 mark in the month of December for the first time since 2011, have lost three of their last four meetings with the Chiefs.

                          Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (+6.5, 50)

                          * The Carolina Panthers have won 15 consecutive regular season games dating back to Dec. 7, 2014, going 11-4 ATS in that stretch. They are 5-0 SU/ATS on the road this season.

                          * The Saints have lost three straight, failing to cover in each of those games, following a three-game winning streak and are coming off a 24-6 defeat at Houston.

                          Philadelphia Eagles at New England Patriots (-8.5, 49)

                          * While the absence of Sam Bradford may partially explain the three-game skid (0-3 ATS), Philadelphia's defense has been shredded for 45 points in each of the last two games by a pair of offenses that rank among the bottom half in the league.

                          * The Patriots' bid for a perfect season was derailed in an overtime defeat at Denver last week, but they have gone 56 consecutive regular-season games without suffering back-to-back defeats.

                          Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers (-7.5, 49)

                          * The 40-year-old Hasselbeck has been a savior while subbing for an injured Andrew Luck, improving to 4-0 after guiding Indianapolis to a 25-12 win over Tampa Bay last week.

                          * The Steelers got a scare of their own at quarterback when Ben Roethlisberger was knocked out of last weekend's loss at Seattle with a concussion, but he received medical clearance this week. Pittsburgh is among four AFC teams tied with 6-5 records battling for the final two postseason slots.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            NFL

                            Sunday, December 6


                            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                            Sunday Night Football betting preview: Colts at Steelers
                            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            The Steelers will try to hand Matt Hasselbeck his first loss as the Colts starter this season.

                            Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers (-7.5, 49)

                            Matt Hasselbeck faces a tough challenge in trying to remain unbeaten as a starter when he leads the resurgent Indianapolis Colts into a prime-time matchup at the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday night. The Colts have won three in a row following a three-game skid to move into a tie with the Houston Texans atop the AFC South.

                            The 40-year-old Hasselbeck has been a savior while subbing for an injured Andrew Luck, improving to 4-0 after guiding Indianapolis to a 25-12 win over Tampa Bay last week. "Obviously, at his age, being 4-0 as a backup quarterback it's great for us," Colts coach Chuck Pagano said. "We're very, very fortunate and I just hope he keeps it going." The Steelers got a scare of their own at quarterback when Ben Roethlisberger was knocked out of last weekend's loss at Seattle with a concussion, but he received medical clearance this week. Pittsburgh is among four AFC teams tied with 6-5 records battling for the final two postseason slots.

                            TV:
                            8:30 p.m. ET, NBC.

                            LINE HISTORY:
                            The Steelers opened favored by a converted touchdown and have been bet up to -7.5. The total has been bet up a point-and-a-half since opening at 47.5 and currently sits at 49.

                            INJURY REPORT:


                            Colts - CB - V. Davis (probable Sunday, hamstring), LB E. Walden (probable Sunday, heel), S M. Adams (probable Sunday, ankle), C K. Jolmes (questionable Sunday, shin), WR P. Dorsett (out Sunday, ankle), T A. Castonzo (out Sunday, knee), G H. Thornton (out Sunday, elbow), LB J. Freeman (out Sunday, hamstring), QB A. Luck (Late December, kidney).

                            Steelers - LB R. Shazier (probable Sunday, head), S M. Mitchell (probable Sunday, knee), WR M. Bryant (probable Sunday, hip), TE M. Spaeth (probable Sunday, knee), S W. Allen (probable Sunday, ankle), LB J. Harrison (probable Sunday, knee), QB B. Roethlisberger (probable Sunday, concussion), TE H. Miller (questionable Sunday, ribs), LB S. Spence (out Sunday, hamstring).

                            WEATHER REPORT:
                            It should be a beautiful night for football in Pittsburgh. The forecast is calling for clear skies with temperatures in the low 40's. There will be a very slight breeze blowing towards the north corner of the northwestern end zone.

                            POWER RANKINGS:
                            Colts (-0.5) - Steelers (-3) + home field (-3) = Steelers -5.5

                            WHAT CAPPERS SAY:
                            "Mike Tomlin?'s pass defense has been positively eviscerated in each of the last three weeks, unable to stop Russell Wilson, Derek Carr or Johnny Manziel (career best 372 passing yards). Meanwhile, Matt Hasselbeck continues to win games, now 4-0 as the Colts starter this year. But Indy continues to lose key pieces to injury, with RB Ahmad Bradshaw the latest to go on IR."

                            ABOUT THE COLTS (6-5, 6-5 ATS, 5-6 O/U):
                            Hasselbeck capped a 315-yard performance by tossing a pair of second-half touchdown passes to T.Y. Hilton as Indianapolis rallied to remain in contention for the division title. Donte Moncrief snagged eight catches for 114 yards to help the Colts overcome a dreadful running game - Frank Gore managed only 24 yards on 19 carries while backup Ahmad Bradshaw was lost for the season with a wrist injury. Indianapolis is among the league leaders with 14 interceptions but it also ranks 27th overall with an average of 272.8 passing yards allowed.

                            ABOUT THE STEELERS (6-5, 6-4-1 ATS, 3-8 O/U):
                            Pittsburgh's pass defense is even worse than that of the Colts, surrendering 283.6 yards per game, and it was one of decisive factors a week ago in allowing three fourth-quarter scoring passes to Seattle. That negated a huge performance by Roethlisberger, who threw for a season-high 456 yards but also was intercepted twice for the Steelers, who are playing the first of three straight games against division leaders. While Markus Wheaton had nine catches for 201 yards and a TD last week, Antonio Brown has 33 receptions in the last three games.

                            TRENDS:


                            * Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Pittsburgh.
                            * Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
                            * Over is 4-1 in the Colts last five games versus the AFC.
                            * Steelers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games in December.

                            CONSENSUS:
                            The public is giving the slight edge to the Colts in this AFC matchup, with 55 percent of wagers on Indianapolis. As for the totals markets 56 percent of wagers are on the over.

                            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              NFL

                              Monday, December 7



                              NFL roundup: Seahawks dominate Vikings

                              MINNEAPOLIS -- The Seattle Seahawks scored five touchdowns in six drives and dominated the Minnesota Vikings 38-7 on Sunday.

                              Russell Wilson accounted for four touchdowns on the day and threw for 274 yards for the Seahawks (7-5), who won their third consecutive game and moved to within a game of the Vikings in the NFC wild-card standings.

                              Minnesota was embarrassed on its home field for the second time in three weeks; the Vikings lost 30-13 to the Green Bay Packers on Nov. 22. The loss dropped the Vikings into a first-place tie with the Green Bay Packers atop the NFC North at 8-4 with a road game against the NFC West-leading Arizona Cardinals on the docket on Thursday.

                              Wilson had three touchdown passes to stake Seattle to a 21-0 halftime lead.

                              Cardinals 27, Rams 3

                              ST. LOUIS -- Carson Palmer completed 26 of 40 passes for 356 yards and two touchdowns as Arizona trampled St. Louis for its sixth straight win.

                              In improving to 10-2, the Cardinals maintained a three-game lead over Seattle in the NFC West. The Rams (4-8) lost their fifth straight game and clinched their 12th consecutive non-winning season.

                              The Cardinals' defense had its way with St. Louis' struggling offense, which has managed only 54 points during its losing streak. Quarterback Nick Foles completed only 15 of 35 passes for 146 yards with an interception, while running back Todd Gurley managed 41 yards on nine rushes.

                              Bengals 37, Browns 3

                              CLEVELAND -- Cincinnati overwhelmed Cleveland behind three touchdowns by quarterback Andy Dalton.

                              The Bengals (10-2) were dominant from beginning to end and strengthened their hold on the AFC North lead. Dalton had a 3-yard run for a score and threw a pair of TD passes.

                              The Browns (2-10) lost their seventh straight. They have been outscored by the Bengals 98-13 in the last three games in the Battle of Ohio dating back to December of 2014 when the Bengals won 30-0 in Cleveland in the first game started by Johnny Manziel.

                              Jets 23, Giants 20 (OT)

                              EAST RUTHERFORD, N.J. -- New York Giants kicker Josh Brown's franchise record ended at 29 straight field-goal attempts made when he pulled a 48-yarder wide left, helping the New York Jets to an overtime win.

                              The Jets (7-5), down 20-10 at the half, got scores from receiver Brandon Marshall, who connected with quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick on 9-yard touchdown pass, and two field goals from kicker Randy Bullock, including the 31-yard game-winner, to keep their playoff hopes alive.

                              The Giants (5-7), who got a fifth-straight 100-yard receiving performance form Odell Beckham Jr. (six receptions for 149 yards, one touchdown), saw their dynamic receiver come up with a huge 72-yard second quarter touchdown that gave the Giants a 17-10 second-quarter lead.

                              49ers 26, Bears 20 (OT)

                              CHICAGO -- Blaine Gabbert's 71-yard touchdown pass to Torrey Smith after 2:10 of overtime gave San Francisco a most improbable victory over Chicago.

                              It was the 49ers' first road victory after five defeats, most of them by lopsided scores. It was a game in which the 49ers (4-8) looked like the sure loser even after they rallied to tie the game at 20 with 1:42 remaining, Gabbert doing most of the damage with his legs and scoring the tying touchdown on a 44-yard scramble up the middle.

                              Deonte Thompson returned the ensuing kickoff 74 yards to set the Bears up at the 49ers' 28-yard line. Chicago (5-7) ran the clock down to two seconds, called time out, and brought in Robbie Gould for a 36-yard field goal attempt as time expired, but it was wide left.

                              Bills 30, Texans 21

                              ORCHARD PARK, N.Y. -- Tyrod Taylor accounted for four touchdowns and engineered a game-winning drive in the fourth quarter to lead Buffalo over Houston.

                              Taylor was 11-of-21 passing for 211 yards and three touchdowns and ran for 28 yards and another score as the Bills (6-6) snapped a two-game losing streak to help their playoff chances. Taylor also extended his streak without an interception to 187 attempts, a Bills record.

                              Quarterback Brian Hoyer completed 26 of 43 passes for 293 yards and three touchdowns for the Texans (6-6), who had a four-game winning streak snapped.

                              Buccaneers 23, Falcons 19

                              TAMPA -- Rookie Jameis Winston threw a touchdown pass to receiver Mike Evans with 1:39 left to give Tampa Bay a comeback win over Atlanta.

                              The Buccaneers (6-6) went 80 yards on the touchdown drive, with Winston converting a third-and-19 with a wild 20-yard scramble. Linebacker Lavonte David clinched the win by intercepting a Matt Ryan pass on the first play after the touchdown, the Bucs' first takeaway in two games.

                              The win keeps the Bucs alive for the wild card, while the Falcons (6-6) have dropped five in a row and six of seven games after a 5-0 start.

                              Dolphins 15, Ravens 13

                              MIAMI GARDENS, Fla. -- Two rookies making their first NFL starts -- wide receiver DeVante Parker and defensive tackle Jordan Phillips -- made big plays to lead Miami past Baltimore.

                              The Dolphins (5-7) scored all their points within 20 seconds in the second quarter but nearly gave away their 15-point lead.

                              Dolphins running back Lamar Miller fumbled at his own 41 with 4:16 left in the game, but Ravens kicker Justin Tucker was wide right on a 55-yard field goal try that would have given Baltimore (4-8) a 16-15 lead with 2:37 remaining.

                              Titans 42, Jaguars 39

                              NASHVILLE, Tenn. -- Tennessee scored twice in 44 seconds late in the fourth quarter to end its 11-game home losing streak with a win over Jacksonville.

                              The Titans (3-9) were getting close to the NFL record of 14 straight home losses shared by Dallas (1988-89) and St. Louis (2008-10). The Titans' last home win was 16-14 over Jacksonville in October 2014.

                              Tennessee trailed by four when quarterback Marcus Mariota was forced out of the pocket and showed off his speed, racing to the end zone on an 87-yard touchdown run to give the Titans a 35-32 lead with 8:30 left. The Jaguars dropped to 4-8.

                              Panthers 41, Saints 38

                              NEW ORLEANS -- Cam Newton threw a 15-yard touchdown pass to receiver Jerricho Cotchery with 1:05 left -- his fifth touchdown pass of the game -- to lift the unbeaten Carolina Panthers to a comeback victory.

                              Newton, who completed 28-of-41 passes for 331 yards, drove the Panthers 75 yards in 11 plays for the game-winning score. The Panthers (12-0) converted a fourth-and-4 when Newton scrambled to his left and tossed a short lob to tight end Greg Olsen, who snagged the ball before it hit the turf.

                              Saints quarterback Drew Brees threw three touchdown passes, and running back Mark Ingram ran 9 yards for a go-ahead touchdown with 5:21 left, but that just set up Newton's late-game heroics.

                              Eagles 35, Patriots 28

                              FOXBOROUGH, Mass. -- Philadelphia roared back into contention in the shaky NFC East, rallying from a 14-0 deficit, scoring 35 consecutive points and then holding on for a wild victory over New England, which lost its second straight game.

                              Quarterback Tom Brady, with the help of an onside kick, led the Patriots to two late touchdowns, the second with three minutes left.

                              Philadelphia wide receiver Riley Cooper batted the ensuing onside kick out of bound and then caught a 14-yard pass from Sam Bradford on third-and-11, seemingly allowing the Eagles (5-7) to run out the clock.

                              However, running back Darren Sproles fumbled the ball back to New England at its 25. Even so, the Patriots could move only 12 yards before a pair of dropped passes helped end the home team's hopes.

                              Chiefs 34, Raiders 20

                              OAKLAND, Calif. -- Safety Tyvon Branch returned an interception 38 yards for a touchdown with 3:14 left to play, and the Chiefs held on for their sixth straight victory.

                              The Chiefs (7-5) picked off three passes from Oakland quarterback Derek Carr in the fourth quarter as they solidified their strong position in the AFC wild-card race. Linebacker Josh Mauga and cornerback Marcus Peters also had interceptions and long returns, setting up touchdowns in the fourth quarter.

                              Kansas City quarterback Alex Smith completed 16 of 22 passes for 162 yards and two scores. He also ran for a touchdown.

                              Carr completed 31 of 48 passes for 283 yards and two touchdowns with three costly interceptions as the Raiders (5-7) took a huge blow to their wild-card chances.

                              Broncos 17, Chargers 3

                              SAN DIEGO - Brock Osweiler improved to 3-0 and the Broncos breezed past the Chargers to tightened their grip on first place in the AFC West.

                              Osweiler won his third straight game in place of the injured Peyton Manning, completing 16 of 26 passes for a touchdown and 166 yards. He was intercepted once.

                              Sunday's loss was their fifth straight home defeat for San Diego and fifth in a row against the AFC West.

                              Quarterback Philip Rivers was 18 of 35 for 202 yards. He had an interception returned for a touchdown and San Diego turned it over three times.

                              Steelers 45, Colts 10

                              PITTSBURGH -- Ben Roethlisberger threw for 364 yards and four touchdowns, leading Pittsburgh to a rout of Indianapolis in a battle of teams jockeying for playoff position.

                              The Steelers moved a game ahead of the Colts while keeping pace with the New York Jets and Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC wild-card race.

                              Antonio Brown caught eight passes for 118 yards and two touchdowns for Pittsburgh. Brown also returned a punt 71 yards for a touchdown after he replaced Jacoby Jones, who fumbled twice in the first half, on special teams. DeAngelo Williams added 134 yards on 26 carries for Pittsburgh.

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