Announcement

**Udog** · 11-24-2015, 01:19 PM

NFL oddsmakers stun with Cowboys as faves vs. 10-0 Panthers

“There will be a lot of folks scratching their heads at this line, but we feel very confident in opening the Cowboys as short chalk." - John Lester, Bookmaker.eu.

If you’re an NFL bettor, Week 12 is arguably the most wonderful week of the year. You get a triple-helping of football on Thanksgiving, and the middle of that pigskin sandwich features the most appealing matchup: Carolina at Dallas.

“How can that be?”, you might ask, with the Cowboys just 3-7 SU and ATS? Well, thanks to the mediocrity that reigns in the NFC East, Dallas is mathematically still in the playoff hunt. And Tony Romo & Co. will be hosting the conference’s lone unbeaten team in the Panthers.

The Cowboys finally got Romo back in the lineup for Week 11, and in doing so were able to end the seven-game losing streak that encapsulated all of Romo’s absence due to a broken collarbone. On Sunday, Dallas topped Miami 24-14 as a 2.5-point road favorite.

Cam Newton and Carolina (10-0 SU, 8-2 ATS) continued to shine on the field and at the betting window, dumping Washington 44-16 Sunday as a 7-point home chalk.

John Lester, senior lines manager for Bookmaker.eu, opened the game at Dallas -1.

“There will be a lot of folks scratching their heads at this line, but we feel very confident in opening the Cowboys as short chalk,” Lester said. “Tony Romo is back commanding the headlines, but Cam Newton is playing like the league MVP, and he should be fired up for another game with America watching. The Panthers have been nothing short of impressive this past month.”

Johnny Avello, executive director of race and sports at Wynn Las Vegas, said there’s some sound logic to Dallas getting the nod on the opening line.

“The Panthers are an underdog for only the third time this year and to a 3-7 team. Why? A desperate situation for the Cowboys and an optimistic boost with their leader back,” Avello said.

New England Patriots at Denver Broncos (N/A)

No doubt NBC had this Sunday night game circled in red, hoping for another epic battle between future Hall of Famers Tom Brady and Peyton Manning. But Manning’s status is uncertain due to a torn plantar fascia in his right foot that kept him out in Week 11.

Denver (8-2 SU, 5-5 ATS) rode backup QB Brock Osweiler and its stout defense to a 17-15 win Sunday at Chicago, snapping a two-game SU skid but falling short as a 2.5-point favorite.

The Patriots (9-0 SU, 5-3-1 ATS) still have some Week 11 work left to do, as they host Buffalo in the Monday nighter. They nearly fell from the ranks of the unbeaten in Week 10, needing a last-second field goal to beat the host New York Giants 27-26 as a 7-point fave.

With Manning’s status uncertain and the Pats playing Monday, oddsmakers had to hold off on setting the line, though Avello doesn’t expect Manning to play.

“This appeared to be the one of the best matchups of the year, but with Manning out, it's lost some steam,” he said. “I would guess the game plan for Denver is for Osweiler to make few mistakes (like he did at Chicago) and the defense to shut down the opponent. Good luck with that.”

Lester thinks the Broncos would be better off with Osweiler, but expects to make the Pats solid road favorites regardless.

“If Peyton Manning is playing, we may have to downgrade Denver’s value, as Osweiler is the better option right now,” he said. “If the Pats don’t suffer any major injuries tonight, we’ll look to make them between 5- and 6-point favorites.”

Pittsburgh Steelers at Seattle Seahawks (-4)

The two-time defending NFC champion Seahawks need to start stringing victories together if they hope to make a third straight Super Bowl appearance. Seattle (5-5 SU, 3-6-1 ATS) got a little breather Sunday, going off as 14-point home chalk against hapless San Francisco and posting a 29-13 victory.

Pittsburgh is also aiming to make some playoff noise. Banged-up quarterback Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers (6-4 SU, 6-3-1 ATS) are coming off a much-needed bye, after Roethlisberger keyed a 30-9 victory over Cleveland as a 7-point home favorite in Week 10.

“We moved Seattle to -5 shortly after opening,” Lester said. “You’ve got the Steelers coming off the bye and a fully healthy Big Ben, although he looked just fine in his relief appearance a couple of weeks ago. The Seahawks are starting to come alive, but you don’t get the feeling that they’ve really hit their stride yet.”

Avello made the line five from the start.

“Seattle is 3-2 at home, beating the feeble and losing to the competent,” he said. “The Steelers would be the semi-competent, and the line set accordingly at 5 points.”

Minnesota Vikings at Atlanta Falcons (-2)

Atlanta got out of the gate quickly with a 5-0 SU start, covering in four of those games, but has fallen on hard times since. The Falcons (6-4 SU, 4-6 ATS) have dropped three in a row and four of their last five, including Sunday’s 24-21 home loss laying 3.5 points against an Indianapolis team that didn’t have Andrew Luck.

Minnesota finally cooled off after a five-game SU and eight-game ATS winning streak. The Vikings (7-3 SU, 8-2 ATS), who had surged to the top of the NFC North and were giving one point at home to Green Bay, tumbled 30-13.

Avello pegs this contest as more key for Atlanta.

“The Falcons are in line for a playoff spot, but they are fading fast and I doubt they're around come January,” he said. “This is a must-win as they head on the road for three straight against teams playing well.”

Lester echoed Avello’s sentiment.

“The Falcons have looked awful since their hot start, which feels like eons ago. They really need this one for confidence, but I’m not so sure they can win,” he said. “It will be interesting to see if there’s any hangover for Minnesota. The Vikings’ lack of playmakers at the wideout position was overly glaring against Green Bay. They can’t afford to fall behind early here.”

**Udog** · 11-24-2015, 01:19 PM

Football bettors must react quickly to these NFL Week 12 odds

Eddie Lacy had 100 yards against the Vikings, and if he can put similar numbers up against the Bears, it will make life much easier for Rodgers.

Game to bet now

Carolina Panthers at Dallas Cowboys (pick)

Greg Hardy is going up against his old team, and will be ramming his body into the Panthers’ left tackle 30 or more times. What are the chances he keeps his cool in this one? Hardy says it’s just another game, but no one believes anything he says, anyway.

On the surface, this seems like easy pickings for the 10-0 Panthers, even if Dallas has Tony Romo back calling signals. Dallas is 3-7 and only owner/GM-for-life Jerry Jones thinks his team has a chance of getting into the playoffs. One more loss should just about end that fantasy, and by a 2-1 margin early bettors believe that Carolina will deliver that defeat.

Game to wait on

Pittsburgh Steelers at Seattle Seahawks (-5)

Week 12 is upon us, and in the AFC the Steelers are one of just four AFC to have six wins. Pittsburgh is a solid 6-3-1 ATS this season but now starts a stretch of four tough games (Seattle, Indianapolis, Cincinnati, Denver). The Steelers have the advantage of having their bye week before dealing with a cross country flight and the crazy atmosphere in Seattle.

The problem with jumping quickly is the awkward 5-point line - down from 5.5 at opening – which has been driven down by heavy money on the Steelers, perhaps due to the Seahawks’ inability to cover (3-6-1 ATS) this season.

Total to watch

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (47.5)

Everyone in Wisconsin can exhale now after Aaron Rodgers and the Packers put 30 points on the board in a surprisingly easy win at Minnesota. Best of all, Green Bay finally seems to have the semblance of a running game now that Eddie Lacy has emerged from the witness protection program.

Lacy had 100 yards against the Vikings, and if he can put similar numbers up against the Bears, it will make life much easier for Rodgers. The Over deserves a look here, based on Green Bay’s awakened offense, Chicago’s tendency to turn over the ball, and the Bears’ awful defensive play in division games this season (30 ppg allowed in NFC North games).

**Udog** · 11-24-2015, 01:22 PM

NFL
Long Sheet

Thursday, November 26

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PHILADELPHIA (4 - 6) at DETROIT (3 - 7) - 11/26/2015, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points this season.
DETROIT is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 38-59 ATS (-26.9 Units) in November games since 1992.
DETROIT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CAROLINA (10 - 0) at DALLAS (3 - 7) - 11/26/2015, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
CAROLINA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
CAROLINA is 69-46 ATS (+18.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
CAROLINA is 151-116 ATS (+23.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
CAROLINA is 78-43 ATS (+30.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
CAROLINA is 52-25 ATS (+24.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CHICAGO (4 - 6) at GREEN BAY (7 - 3) - 11/26/2015, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 169-120 ATS (+37.0 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 4-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 4-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, November 29

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NEW ORLEANS (4 - 6) at HOUSTON (5 - 5) - 11/29/2015, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MINNESOTA (7 - 3) at ATLANTA (6 - 4) - 11/29/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
MINNESOTA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
MINNESOTA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 1-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ST LOUIS (4 - 6) at CINCINNATI (8 - 2) - 11/29/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 147-185 ATS (-56.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 147-185 ATS (-56.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 114-147 ATS (-47.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 23-44 ATS (-25.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
CINCINNATI is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
CINCINNATI is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TAMPA BAY (5 - 5) at INDIANAPOLIS (5 - 5) - 11/29/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.
INDIANAPOLIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.
TAMPA BAY is 59-34 ATS (+21.6 Units) in November games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NY GIANTS (5 - 5) at WASHINGTON (4 - 6) - 11/29/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 33-59 ATS (-31.9 Units) in November games since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 31-54 ATS (-28.4 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 77-106 ATS (-39.6 Units) in home games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 77-106 ATS (-39.6 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 77-106 ATS (-39.6 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 5-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 5-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OAKLAND (4 - 6) at TENNESSEE (2 - 8) - 11/29/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 38-75 ATS (-44.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
OAKLAND is 34-73 ATS (-46.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
OAKLAND is 18-40 ATS (-26.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 1-0 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 1-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BUFFALO (5 - 5) at KANSAS CITY (5 - 5) - 11/29/2015, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 2-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (4 - 6) at NY JETS (5 - 5) - 11/29/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 4-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 3-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN DIEGO (2 - 8) at JACKSONVILLE (4 - 6) - 11/29/2015, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 88-63 ATS (+18.7 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 24-3 ATS (+20.7 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 2-0 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 2-0 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA (8 - 2) at SAN FRANCISCO (3 - 7) - 11/29/2015, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 3-2 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-2 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PITTSBURGH (6 - 4) at SEATTLE (5 - 5) - 11/29/2015, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 72-50 ATS (+17.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW ENGLAND (10 - 0) at DENVER (8 - 2) - 11/29/2015, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 51-32 ATS (+15.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 219-178 ATS (+23.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 219-178 ATS (+23.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 170-129 ATS (+28.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 107-77 ATS (+22.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 75-49 ATS (+21.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 2-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 2-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, November 30

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BALTIMORE (3 - 7) at CLEVELAND (2 - 8) - 11/30/2015, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
BALTIMORE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-2 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 3-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 11-24-2015, 01:26 PM

NFL

Week 12

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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, November 26

12:30 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 10 games
Detroit is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

See more trends!
NOVEMBER 26, 4:30 PM
CAROLINA vs. DALLAS
Carolina is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Carolina is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Dallas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Carolina

See more trends!
NOVEMBER 26, 8:30 PM
CHICAGO vs. GREEN BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games on the road
Green Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Green Bay's last 7 games

Sunday, November 29

See more trends!
NOVEMBER 29, 1:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. ATLANTA
Minnesota is 5-16-1 SU in its last 22 games ,on the road
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota

See more trends!
NOVEMBER 29, 1:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Buffalo's last 11 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Buffalo's last 13 games on the road
Kansas City is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
Kansas City is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Buffalo

See more trends!
NOVEMBER 29, 1:00 PM
OAKLAND vs. TENNESSEE
Oakland is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Tennessee
Oakland is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tennessee's last 8 games at home

See more trends!
NOVEMBER 29, 1:00 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. JACKSONVILLE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games on the road
San Diego is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games
Jacksonville is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Diego

See more trends!
NOVEMBER 29, 1:00 PM
MIAMI vs. NY JETS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing NY Jets
Miami is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Jets last 6 games when playing Miami
NY Jets are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games

See more trends!
NOVEMBER 29, 1:00 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. INDIANAPOLIS
Tampa Bay is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Indianapolis's last 17 games

See more trends!
NOVEMBER 29, 1:00 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. CINCINNATI
St. Louis is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Cincinnati is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games

See more trends!
NOVEMBER 29, 1:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. HOUSTON
New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games

See more trends!
NOVEMBER 29, 1:00 PM
NY GIANTS vs. WASHINGTON
NY Giants are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Washington
NY Giants are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 2-7 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against NY Giants

See more trends!
NOVEMBER 29, 4:05 PM
ARIZONA vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Arizona is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona

See more trends!
NOVEMBER 29, 4:25 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games
Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Seattle is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

See more trends!
NOVEMBER 29, 8:30 PM
NEW ENGLAND vs. DENVER
New England is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Denver is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
Denver is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Monday, November 30

See more trends!
NOVEMBER 30, 8:30 PM
BALTIMORE vs. CLEVELAND
Baltimore is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cleveland's last 10 games

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**Udog** · 11-25-2015, 02:25 PM

NFL
Dunkel

Week 12

Philadelphia @ Detroit

Game 105-106
November 26, 2015 @ 12:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
132.053
Detroit
130.612
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1 1/2
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 2
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+2); Under

Carolina @ Dallas

Game 107-108
November 26, 2015 @ 4:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
132.350
Dallas
135.818
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 3 1/2
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 1
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-1); Under

Chicago @ Green Bay

Game 109-110
November 26, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
129.017
Green Bay
139.481
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
by 10 1/2
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 8
45
Dunkel Pick:
Green Bay
(-8); Over

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 12

Thursday's game
Eagles (4-6) @ Lions (3-7)-- Detroit won both of its post-bye games 18-16/18-13, allowing 97 YR total (2.5 ypc); Lions are 2-3 at home- three of last four home tilts went over. Eagles lost three of last four games; win was in OT; they've got only two takeaways in last three games. Philly is 4-1 if it scores 24+ points, 0-5 if it doesn't; Lions allowed 16-13 in last two games, after allowing 24+ in seven of first eight games- they won last two Thanksgiving Day games, 40-10/34-17. Eagles won seven of last eight series games, winning 30-13/35-32 in last two visits here, last of which was in '10. NFC North non-divisional home teams are 8-5 vs spread; NFC East road teams are 4-7. Seven of ten Philly games stayed under total.

Panthers (10-0) @ Cowboys (3-7)-- Dallas is 3-0 when Romo starts, 0-7 when he doesn't; Carolina is 10-0 when Newton starts. Panthers scored 27.8 ppg in winning all four on road, winning 27-23 at Seattle, in only game on fake grass. Cowboys won last five series games; four of the five were in Charlotte; they're 1-4 at home, beating Giants 27-26 in opener after trailing by 10 in 4th quarter. Panthers won last four visits here by 7-1-4-14 points. Teams are 1-6 the week after playing Miami. Carolina is +7 in turnovers the last two games- they turned ball over once in last three weeks. NFC East non-divisional home teams are 5-8 vs spread; NFC South road teams are 10-5. Over is 6-2 in last eight Carolina games, 2-5 in last seven Dallas tilts.

Bears (4-6) @ Packers (7-3)-- Green Bay snapped 3-game skid with big win at Minnesota LW in first-place showdown; Pack (-7) won 31-23 at Chicago in season opener, despite 189 rushing yards by Chicago. Packers are 10-1 in last 11 series games, winning six of last seven on frozen tundra- they crushed Bears 55-14 here LY. Green Bay is 3-2 as a home favorite, winning home games by 10-10-14-7 points, losing to Detroit. Chicago is 5-2 vs spread in last seven games, covering all four road games that Cutler started- their last three losses are all by three of less points. Home side is 1-6 vs spread in NFC North games this year. Six of last seven Packer games stayed under total. Not sure if it matters, but Packers are retiring Brett Favre's #4 jersey at halftime.

**Udog** · 11-25-2015, 06:58 PM

NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Thanksgiving Day

Calvin Johnson is a monster on third down, picking up 301 of his total 828 receiving yards and averaging 16.7 yards per third-down reception.

Philadelphia Eagles at Detroit Lions (-2, 45)

Eagles’ third-down defense vs. Lions’ pass-happy playbook

Philadelphia has a short week to figure out just what’s wrong with the team, staggering into the Thanksgiving Day schedule off a 45-17 beatdown at the hands of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 11, making Jameis Winston look like Tom Brady with five passing touchdowns and 246 yards through the air. The biggest issues was not getting the Bucs off the field on third down. Tampa Bay converted 10 of its 16 third down attempts.

According to 247Sports, Philadelphia has allowed opponents to move the chains on 61 of their 145 third-down tries - 42.1 percent – which ranks near the bottom of the league. What’s worse, teams are posting a 94.1 QB rating versus Philly on third downs and 49 of those 61 third-down conversions allowed have come through the air with 21 occurring in the past three games. The Eagles have also allowed five passing touchdowns on third down in that three-game stretch.

No one in the league throws the balls more for first downs than the Lions, who pick up more than 71 percent of their first downs with the pass. Detroit averages 14.2 passing first downs per game and while it hasn’t been great of third downs overall this season, it has improved the past two games, going 11 for 30 – and picking up wins over Green Bay and Oakland. Oh, and the Lions’ top target Calvin Johnson is a monster on third down, picking up 301 of his total 828 receiving yards and averaging 16.7 yards per third-down reception.

Daily fantasy watch: Calvin Johnson WR

Carolina Panthers at Dallas Cowboys (-1.5, 45.5)

Panthers’ Thursday troubles vs. Cowboys’ Romo homecoming

Carolina bettors were stunned when oddsmakers made the home team Cowboys slim favorites on the Thanksgiving Day Thursday. But a closer look at the Panthers’ problems with these short weeks may have you thinking twice about this spread. Looking back at the Panthers’ lack of success on Thursdays, unveils a 1-4 SU and ATS mark in mid-week affairs but that record doesn’t begin to tell the tale.

In Carolina’s lone victory on Thursday, it knocked off Tampa Bay 31-13 on the road in 2013. However, in the six losses the Panthers have scored a combined 27 points while giving up 115 total points against. That’s an average loss of nearly 29-7 since 2009. Of course, this is a different season and different team – starting 10-0 after a cake walk against Washington last Sunday. However, Carolina travels on a short week to Dallas, which always packs a big crowd for the annual Thanksgiving Day game.

One game does not make a season, but the Cowboys looked like a completely different teams against the Dolphins with Tony Romo back under center last week. The offense was sharp, the defense was able to get some down time – thanks to a TOP of 38:50 – and Romo made plays that just weren’t there in his seven-week absence. Dallas is the only team in the NFL that can control the pace and clock better than Carolina, something the Panthers really rely on. AT&T Stadium will no doubt be rocking for Romo’s return to Arlington Thursday.

Daily fantasy watch: Darren McFadden RB, Dallas D/ST

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (-9, 45.5)

Bears’ pass-catching RBs vs. Packers’ defense vs. pass-catching RBs

The Bears offense utilizes the running back as a receiver more than most NFL teams, with talented playmakers in Matt Forte and rookie Jeremy Langford, who has stepped in with monster efforts since Forte went down with a knee injury. Langford has been a one-man offense, totaling 196 yards receiving to go along with his 170 yards on the ground the past three games. And now that Forte appears to be returning, Chicago has multiple pass-catching options coming out of the backfield.

Green Bay, on the other hand knows this. And welcomes it. The Packers have been tremendous against pass-catching running backs all season, including limiting Forte to only 25 yards on five catches in Week 1’s 31-23 victory in Chicago. For the season, the Packers have allowed 345 yards through the air to RBs on 46 catches – an average of only 7.5 yards per reception – and one touchdown. That ranks fifth lowest in the NFL.

Green Bay has faced some elite-level pass-catch backs as well, limiting the damage they’ve done through the air. Following the matchup with Forte, the Cheeseheads locked Seahawks RB Marshawn Lynch to 21 yards on three catches, limited Chiefs RB Jamaal Charles to 33 yards on five grabs, and held the mother of all receiving running back – San Diego’s Danny Woodhead – to 63 yards on five receptions, which isn’t bad considering what he can do.

Daily fantasy watch: Green Bay D/ST

**Udog** · 11-25-2015, 07:03 PM

NFL

Thursday, November 26

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NFL Thanksgiving Day betting preview and odds
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Philadelphia Eagles at Detroit Lions (-2, 45)

The Detroit Lions are beginning to string together some wins, just in time for their annual Thanksgiving showcase. The Lions attempt to secure their third straight victory when they host the slumping Philadelphia Eagles on Thursday.

Detroit began the season 1-7 with an average of 30.6 points allowed in those eight games before turning things around on the defensive end. The Lions held their last two opponents to a total of 29 points – just barely enough for their offense the scrape by and pick up the win. The Eagles’ offense has not been impressive of late, either, and failed to reach 20 points in back-to-back home losses to the Miami Dolphins and Tampa Bay Buccaneers. “We are what our record says we are,” Eagles safety Malcolm Jenkins told reporters following the 45-17 loss to Tampa Bay on Sunday. “Let’s not get that twisted. Who we are as individuals and a team has yet to be defined until the season is over. The good thing is, we can always change that next week.”

TV: 12:30 p.m. ET, FOX.

LINE HISTORY: Since opening as 1-point home dogs, the line has steadily moved in the Lions favor, jumping the fence and moving all the way to Lions -2. The total has been bet down one point from 46 to 45.

INJURY REPORT:

Eagles - DE B. Blair (questionable Thursday, groin), G J. Andrews (questionable Thursday, concussion), RB R. Mathews (out Thursday, concussion), TE Z. Ertz (out Thursday, concussion), QB S. Bradford (questionable Thursday, shoulder).

Lions - CB A. Carter (questionable Thursday, ankle), T C. Robinson (questionable Thursday, ankle), DT G. Wright (questionable Thursday, ankle).

WEATHER REPORT: N/A.

POWER RANKINGS: Eagles (-0.5) - Lions (4.5) + home field (-3) = Lions +2

ABOUT THE EAGLES (4-6, 4-6 ATS, 3-7 O/U): Philadelphia was forced to go with Mark Sanchez at quarterback with Sam Bradford (shoulder, head) unavailable, and the veteran was not any better at coaxing explosiveness out of Chip Kelly’s offense. “We all look at ourselves and I can speak for our own unit and for myself, and we didn’t do enough to win the game on the offensive side of the ball,” Sanchez told reporters. “That’s it. That’s the way we think about it as an offense.” Bradford started throwing on a limited basis on Monday but is unlikely to take the field on Thursday.

ABOUT THE LIONS (3-7, 3-7 ATS, 5-5 O/U): Detroit stunned Green Bay 18-16 on the road in Week 10 and followed that up with an 18-13 home win over the Oakland Raiders in which the defense allowed a total of 214 yards. “It’s just playing better football, better techniques with tackling,” Lions coach Jim Caldwell told reporters. “We’re doing all of things that we are certainly capable of doing. We just hadn’t been doing them often enough.” Quarterback Matthew Stafford did not throw a TD pass in the game for the second time this season but recorded his first rushing TD of the campaign and did not turn the ball over.

TRENDS:

* Eagles are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games following a double-digit home loss.
* Lions are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Thursday games.
* Under is 4-1 in the Eagles last five road games.
* Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings.

CONSENSUS: The public is siding with the Lions in the Thanksgiving opener, with 63 percent of wagers backing them. Fifty-two percent of wagers are on the over.

Carolina Panthers at Dallas Cowboys (-1.5, 45.5)

The Carolina Panthers are one of two undefeated teams in the NFL and Cam Newton is looking like a fine choice for MVP after a five-touchdown performance last week. The Dallas Cowboys, who host the Panthers in the annual Thanksgiving game on Thursday, are in last place in the NFC East yet still have a decent shot at winning the division.

Tony Romo’s return brought a lot of optimism to the Cowboys’ sideline, and the veteran quarterback helped the team snap a seven-game slide when he made it back from a broken collarbone last week. “I got more comfortable as the game went on,” Romo told reporters. “I think what happened was, the combination of the situational thinking throughout the game - and that got better and better as the game went on - then my footwork got better and I got tighter with everything.” The Panthers beat two NFC East opponents – Philadelphia and Washington – by a combined 39 points and bring the third-highest scoring offense in the league into a stretch of four of five on the road beginning with Dallas. "The most important number right now is the win column," Newton told reporters. "It feels great. Usually we have 24 hours to celebrate, but we have a short week and we have to get ready for Dallas.”

TV: 4:30 p.m. ET, CBS.

LINE HISTORY: This line has been all over the place, opening at Cowboys -1, then jumping the fence and going as high as Panthers -1.5, then back to a Pick, before jumping back to Cowboys -1.5.

INJURY REPORT:

Panthers - G. A Norwell (questionable Thursday, leg), WR P. Brown (questionable Thursday, shoulder), CB C. Tillman (questionable Thursday, knee), DE F. Alexander (out for season, Achilles).

Cowboys - WR B. Butler (questionable Thursday, hamstring), CB M. Claiborne (questionable Thursday, hamstring), DE R. Russell (questionable Thursday, abdominal).

WEATHER REPORT: N/A.

POWER RANKINGS: Panthers (-6) - Cowboys (-3.5) + home field (-3) = Cowboys -0.5

ABOUT THE PANTHERS (10-0, 8-2 ATS, 6-3-1 O/U): Some of the pregame focus is likely to be on Dallas defensive end Greg Hardy, who is playing his former team for the first time since leaving in the offseason, but it is a different defensive end that Carolina is excited about this week. Charles Johnson (hamstring) is set to be activated off the injured reserve/designated for return list and figures to add to an already potent defensive front that added veteran Jared Allen in his absence. "It’s been a long time," Johnson told reporters. "I’m really amped to get back out there. I’m nervous and anxious all at the same time to go out there and do something."

ABOUT THE COWBOYS (3-7, 3-7 ATS, 4-6 O/U): Dallas is only two games behind the first-place New York Giants in the NFC East and even opened as the favorite in Thursday’s game before the line moved, once again displaying different expectations for the team with Romo under center. The 35-year-old is being asked to play two games in five days after sitting out for two months and will be treated carefully during the short week of practice. “He’s just got to get back to work,” Cowboys coach Jason Garrett told reporters. “Heat, ice, stim. And we’ve got a game at (4:30) on Thursday. The Carolina Panthers are coming to down and they’re a damn good football team.”

TRENDS:

* Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last five versus NFC opponents.
* Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Over is 7-1 in Panthers last eight versus NFC opponents.
* Under is 4-1 in Cowboys last five games versus a team with a winning record.

CONSENSUS: The public is strongly behind the Panthers in this NFC showdown, with 65 percent of wagers backing Carolina. As for the total, 53 percent of wagers are backing the under.

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (-8.5, 45.5)

The Green Bay Packers have had their way with the Chicago Bears of late and are hoping last week’s strong performance carries over. The Packers attempt to put together back-to-back wins and stay in control of the NFC North when they host the Bears on Thursday.

Green Bay looked terrible at times during a three-game losing streak that culminated with an 18-16 home loss to the Detroit Lions in Week 10, but made sure to hang onto first place in the North by roughing up Minnesota in a 30-13 win on Sunday. "We've been taking it on the chin, rightfully so, the last three weeks after a couple real poor performances,” Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers told reporters. “This was an important week for us. We really stuck together." Chicago had its momentum swing the opposite way with a 17-15 home loss to Denver after back-to-back wins, dimming its slim wild card hopes. “Our margin for error isn’t that great,” Bears quarterback Jay Cutler said. “We have to play pretty good football for four quarters and we have to play really good football for the fourth quarter. Games that we have won we have figured out a way to do that and games we lost, we haven’t.”

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, NBC.

LINE HISTORY: The Packers opened as 8-point home favorites and were bet as high as -10, but have since been back down to -8.5. The total has been bet down from 47.5 to 45.

INJURY REPORT:

Bears - RB M. Forte (probable Thursday, knee), TE M. Bennett (questionable Thursday, ribs), WR E. Royal (questionable Thursday, knee), WR A. Jeffery (questionable Thursday, shoulder), RB K. Carey (questionable Thursday, head), S A. Rolle (doubtful Thursday, groin).

Packers - C C. Linsley (questionable Thursday, ankle), WR T. Montgomery (questionable Thursday, ankle), DB M. Hyde (questionable Thursday, leg).

WEATHER REPORT: It could be a messy night in Green Bay with a 100 percent chance of rain that could turn into ice pellets as the night moves on. Temperatures will be around the freezing point and there will be a strong 15-17 mile per hour wind gusting towards the southern end zone.

POWER RANKINGS: Bears (+2.5) - Packers (-4) + home field (-3) = Packers -9.5

ABOUT THE BEARS (4-6, 6-4 ATS, 4-6 O/U): Chicago has been dealing with key injuries on offense all season, and running back Matt Forte (knee) and wide receivers Alshon Jeffery (groin) and Eddie Royal (knee) are again questionable. “Yeah, we’re missing some guys but that’s nothing new,” Cutler, who also missed one game in September, told reporters. “We’ve had guys in and out of the lineup all year long. I thought (backup wide receivers Joshua Bellamy) and (Marquess Wilson) stepped in there and had a heck of a day for us. We tried to use the tight ends a little more.” Running back Jeremy Langford put up back-to-back performances with over 100 yards from scrimmage while taking over the load for Forte before being held to 25 yards on 13 carries in last week’s loss to Denver.

ABOUT THE PACKERS (7-3, 6-4 ATS, 3-7 O/U): Rodgers and Green Bay have dealt with their own injuries to the skill positions, and at least Rodgers (shoulder) was removed from the injury report this week after throwing a pair of touchdown passes on Sunday to help clip the losing streak. “If you could bottle it, I wouldn’t be standing here talking to you, that’s for sure,” Packers coach Mike McCarthy told reporters about the differences in his team week-to-week. “It’s a game of ebb and flow. There are a lot of variables that go into being successful each week.” Rodgers looked plenty healthy against Chicago in Week 1, when he went 18-of-23 for 189 yards, three touchdowns and no interceptions in a 31-23 triumph.

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
* Favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Green Bay.
* Road team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.

CONSENSUS: Fifty-seven percent of wagers are backing the Packers in this NFC North matchup, while 52 percent of wagers are on the under.

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**Udog** · 11-28-2015, 09:51 AM

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 13

Sunday - Nov, 29

New Orleans at Houston, 1:00 ET
New Orleans: 9-1 ATS on road after allowing 200 or more rushing yards last game
Houston: 46-24 OVER in games where the line is +3 to -3

Minnesota at Atlanta, 1:00 ET
Minnesota: 11-2 ATS off a division game
Atlanta: 3-11 ATS as a favorite

St Louis at Cincinnati, 1:00 ET
St Louis: 0-7 ATS in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42
Cincinnati: 15-5 ATS in home lined games

Tampa Bay at Indianapolis, 1:00 ET
Tampa Bay: 6-0 ATS in road games off 1 or more straight overs
Indianapolis: 74-51 UNDER in home games after playing their last game on the road

NY Giants at Washington, 1:00 ET
New York: 19-7 ATS in road games after 3 or more wins against the spread
Washington: 11-23 ATS as an underdog

Oakland at Tennessee, 1:00 ET
Oakland: 21-9 ATS in road games after a loss by 6 or less points
Tennessee: 4-13 ATS in home lined games

Buffalo at Kansas City, 1:00 ET
Buffalo: 8-1 ATS off a road loss
Kansas City: 18-33 ATS against AFC East division opponents

Miami at NY Jets, 1:00 ET
Miami: 10-2 UNDER revenging a loss against opponent
New York: 2-11 ATS in home games off an upset loss as a road favorite

San Diego at Jacksonville, 1:00 ET
San Diego: 19-7 ATS in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses
Jacksonville: 41-24 OVER in home games off a division game

Arizona at San Francisco, 4:05 ET
Arizona: 10-1 ATS off a non-conference game
San Francisco: 1-9 ATS versus division opponents

Pittsburgh at Seattle, 4:25 ET
Pittsburgh: 7-0 UNDER as an underdog
Seattle: 19-7 ATS at home after gaining 400 or more total yards in previous game

New England at Denver, 8:30 ET
New England: 6-0 ATS after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games
Denver: 15-29 ATS in home games off a non-conference game

Monday - Nov, 30

Baltimore at Cleveland, 8:30 ET
Baltimore: 0-6 ATS against conference opponents
Cleveland: 9-5 ATS off a road loss

**Udog** · 11-28-2015, 09:53 AM

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 12

Saints (4-6) @ Houston (5-5)-- Texans allowed three TDs on 36 drives, won their last three games; they're +8 in turnovers in last five games, after being -8 in first five. Houston is tied for top in AFC South, goes back to healthy Hoyer here; they've started three QBs in their ten games. Saints fired DC Ryan during bye week; they lost last two games, allowed 43.3 ppg in last three; NO is 1-4 on road, with only win at Indy. Home side won all three series games; Saints lost 23-10 (+1.5) in only visit to Reliant in 2007. Favorites are 1-3 vs spread week after playing the Jets. NFC South non-divisional underdogs are 7-4 vs spread, 5-3 on road. AFC South home favorites are 1-4. Five of last six Saints games went over total; last three Texan games stayed under.

Vikings (7-3) @ Falcons (6-4)-- Atlanta lost four of last five games after 5-0 start, losing its last three games by total of seven points. Ryan threw awful pick-6 LW when Atlanta had a 21-14 lead with 10:07 left. Falcons lost 41-28 at Minnesota LY; Vikings ran for 241 yards without Peterson. Minnesota lost 30-10/24-14 in last two visits here; they covered eight games in row overall before losing to Packers LW; Vikings won their last three road games, scoring 27 ppg- they're 3-0 as road dogs. Falcons are 1-3 as home favorites- they trailed at halftime in seven of ten games. Favorites are 0-3-2 vs spread week after playing Indy. NFC North non-divisional road dogs are 6-3 vs spread; NFC South home favorites are 7-5. Five of last six Falcon games stayed under total.

Rams (4-6) @ Bengals (8-2)-- St Louis offense is in disarray, with injury issues on OL, so QBs are getting pummeled; they gagged away LW's game vs 3-7 Ravens, don't figure to do any better here vs Bengal squad that lost last two games after 8-0 start. Cincy is 3-1-1 as a home favorite; four of its last six games were decided by six or less points. Rams are 1-4 on road, 1-3 as road dogs, scoring 15 ppg on foreign soil. AFC North non-divisional favorites are 8-6 vs spread, 5-4 at home; NFC West road dogs are 1-5. Underdogs are 4-1 vs spread week after playing Ravens; teams are 1-8 vs spread week after playing Arizona. Seven of last nine St Louis games, three of last four Bengal games stayed under total. Rams seem to play better vs better competition, but they also seem incapable of finishing off wins.

Buccaneers (5-5) @ Colts (5-5)-- Underdogs are 10-0 vs spread in Colt games this season; Indy is 0-2 as home favorite- both their home wins are by three points. Tampa Bay won its last three games, is 5-1 vs spread in last six; they're 4-1 as road underdogs, losing by 10 at Houston, 1 at Washington. Odd stat: Indy is 3-0 when backup QB Hasselbeck starts, 2-5 with Luck. Colts are 19-34 on third down in last two games. Bucs lost three of four visits here, with win in '97- their last visit here was in '07. NFC South road underdogs are 5-3 vs spread; AFC South favorites are 1-5. Teams are 2-6 week after playing Atlanta. Over is 5-2 in last seven Tampa Bay games, 4-2 in last six Indy games. This is fourth dome game out of six road games for Tampa Bay this year.

Giants (5-5) @ Redskins (4-6)-- Washington (+3) lost 32-21 in Swamp Stadium in Week 3 Thursday game; they've won last four home games, scoring 31.3 ppg- four of their last five losses were by 11+ points. Giants are 12-3 in last 15 games vs Washington, winning five in row by average score of 27-12; they won last two visits here 24-17/45-14. Big Blue is 2-3 on road, with close losses at Dallas/NO; they're 1-4 in games decided by less than 7 points. Four of last five Redskin games, three of last four Giant games went over total. NFL-wide, divisional home underdogs are 5-7 vs spread. Teams coming off bye are 18-10 vs spread this year, 6-4 when favored. Giants won six of last seven post-bye games, covering five of last seven as a post-bye favorite.

Raiders (4-6) @ Titans (2-8)-- Oakland is 4-1 when they have positive turnover ratio, 0-5 if they do not; they lost last three games, scoring 14-13 points last two weeks- they're 2-3 on road, 0-2 as road favorites, with wins over Browns/Chargers, who are both 2-8. Titans lost seven of last eight games; they had extra prep time after Thursday tilt in Jacksonville LW. Tennessee is 0-5 at home, scoring just 10 ppg in last four home games. Tennessee won last three series games by 4-25-4 points; Raiders lost five of six visits here, with only win in '05. AFC West non-divisional road favorites are 1-4 vs spread; AFC South home dogs are 5-2. Titans lost field position by 10+ yards in three of last four games. Over is 3-1-1 in last five Oakland games; four of last five Titan games stayed under.

Bills (5-5) @ Chiefs (5-5)-- Third week in row on road for Buffalo, which lost late Monday in Foxboro and now travels again; QB Taylor was banged-up in 4th quarter, but finished it and is expected to play here. Buffalo is 1-5 outside its division, 3-1 in true road games, with only loss Monday night. KC won/covered last four games, all by 10+ points with turnover ratio of +12, after being -2 in first six games; Chiefs are 1-2 as home favorites- this is their first home game in five weeks. Bills are 5-0 when they allow less than 20 points, 0-5 when they allow more. Chiefs won 23-13/17-13 in Buffalo last two years; home team lost five of last seven series tilts, with four of last six series totals 36 or less. AFC East non-divisional road dogs are 2-6 vs spread; AFC West home favorites are 3-5.

Dolphins (4-6) @ Jets (5-5)-- Miami lost three of last four games, Jets four of last five, but they beat Fish 27-14 (-2) in London in Week 4, last game before Miami fired its head coach. Home side lost last six series games; Dolphins won six of last seven visits here, winning last three by 21-20-3 points. Jets are +12 in turnovers in five wins, -13 in five losses. Dolphins ran ball for 180-248 yards in Campbell's first two games as interim coach, but averaged only 72.5 in last four games. Miami turned ball over only twice in last three games; they're 3-3 in true road games. Favorites are 0-3 vs spread week after playing Houston. Seven of last ten series totals were 39 or less. Three of last four Miami games stayed under total; four of last six Jet games went over.

Chargers (2-8) @ Jaguars (4-6)-- Jacksonville won three of last four games (4-0 vs spread) and is only game out of first in AFC South. Six of last seven Jax games were decided by 7 or less points. Chargers lost last six games (2-4 vs spread); they got crushed 33-3 at home LW. In last eight games, Bolts started one drive in enemy territory, its opponents started 15. SD is 0-4 on road, 2-2 as road dogs, with only road loss by more than seven points. San Diego won last four series games, all by 18+ points; they won last two visits here 38-14/24-6- last visit here was in 2013. AFC West non-divisional road dogs are 6-5 vs spread; AFC South home favorites are 1-4. Jaguars' only TD drive last week was five years. Four of the last six Charger games stayed under total; four of last six Jax games went over.

Cardinals (8-2) @ 49ers (3-7)-- Redbirds (-6.5) crushed SF 47-7 in Week 3, scoring pair of defensive TDs, picking Kaepernick off four times (+3) in their third win in last 13 games vs 49ers. Arizona lost last six visits here, with five losses by 12+ points. Cardinals won last four games overall; they're 4-1 on road, with three wins by 14+ points- in both their losses, Arizona was -3 in turnovers. Niners lost three of last four games, losing by 17-21-16; they are 3-2 SU at home (dog in all five)- they've allowed 15.2 ppg at home, 35.2 ppg on foreign soil. Redbirds scored 34-39-34 points in last three games, despite having -2/-2/-1 TO ratios in those games. 49ers scored total of 39 points in last four games (three TDs on 44 drives); three of the four games stayed under. Eight of ten Arizona games went over total.

Steelers (6-4) @ Seahawks (5-5)-- Roethlisberger has been in NFL 12 years; this is his first game in Seattle. Pittsburgh shut Seattle out 24-0/21-0 in last two meetings; they beat 'em in Super Bowl meeting before that, so Seahawks have triple-revenge on their side. Steelers are 0-4 in last four visits here; their only win in seven trips to Seattle was in '83. Steelers won last two games, scoring 38-30 points; they're 2-2 on road. 1-1-1 as road dogs, losing by 7 in Foxboro, 10 in KC. Seattle won three of last four games, but two wins were over SF, third over Romo-less Dallas. Seahawks are 2-3 as home favorites, with both covers against a #2 QB. Pitt won six of last seven post-bye games; NFL-wide, teams off a bye are 18-10 vs spread this year, 11-5 as underdogs.

Patriots (10-0) @ Broncos (8-2)-- Long travel, short week for Patriots after 20-13 win over Buffalo Monday night. NE scored 32.8 ppg in its four road wins (1-2 as road faves); they have injury issues on OL and now WR Amendola is hurt, leaving them thin at WR. Denver won Osweiler's first career start in Chicago LW; Broncos are 3-1 at home, allowing average of 18 ppg- they ran ball for 170 yards last week, after averaging 52 ypg in previous couple games. Home side won nine of last 11 series tilts; Patriots lost four of last five visits here, with three losses by 8+ points. Five of last six series totals were 52+. Last four NE games stayed under total. Denver defense allowed only two TDs in last six red zone trips. AFC West home favorites are 4-6 vs spread; AFC East road dogs are 3-0.

Ravens (3-7) @ Browns (2-8)-- Since coming back to NFL in '99, Cleveland is 4-0 against spread as a post-bye favorite, but lost three of last four post-bye games overall. McCown is back at QB for Cleveland; Davis backs him up after Manziel threw for 372 yards in loss at Pittsburgh before the bye, but then went off wagon in Texas during bye week. Flacco is out for year (knee) so Schaub (46-44 as NFL starter, last start in '13) gets first Ravens start- all ten Baltimore games have been decided by 8 or less points. Baltimore also lost Forsett in last game; they're 1-4 on road and were favored in three of five games. Under is 3-1 in last four games for both sides. Cleveland lost last five games, scoring 11.3 ppg in last four after tough OT loss at home to then-undefeated Denver.

**Udog** · 11-28-2015, 09:55 AM

NFL
Dunkel

Week 12

St. Louis @ Cincinnati

Game 255-256
November 29, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
128.206
Cincinnati
140.305
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 12
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
by 8 1/2
42
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-8 1/2); Under

Tampa Bay @ Indianapolis

Game 257-258
November 29, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
135.381
Indianapolis
133.837
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1 1/2
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indianapolis
by 3
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(+3); Over

NY Giants @ Washington

Game 259-260
November 29, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Giants
130.043
Washington
131.596
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Giants
by 3
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+3); Over

Oakland @ Tennessee

Game 261-262
November 29, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
130.617
Tennessee
126.709
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 4
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
by 1 1/2
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-1 1/2); Under

Buffalo @ Kansas City

Game 263-264
November 29, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
133.441
Kansas City
146.908
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 13 1/2
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
by 5 1/2
42
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(-5 1/2); Under

Miami @ NY Jets

Game 265-266
November 29, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
125.337
NY Jets
131.547
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Jets
by 6
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Jets
by 3 1/2
42
Dunkel Pick:
NY Jets
(-3 1/2); Over

San Diego @ Jacksonville

Game 267-268
November 29, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
123.311
Jacksonville
124.509
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Jacksonville
by 1
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Jacksonville
by 4
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(+4); Over

Arizona @ San Francisco

Game 269-270
November 29, 2015 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
134.308
San Francisco
127.584
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 7
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
by 10 1/2
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(+10 1/2); Over

Pittsburgh @ Seattle

Game 271-272
November 29, 2015 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
136.125
Seattle
137.180
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 4
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+4); Over

New Orleans @ Houston

Game 251-252
November 29, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
135.402
Houston
134.414
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 1
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 3
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(+3); Over

New England @ Denver

Game 273-274
November 29, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New England
143.234
Denver
136.240
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 7
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 3
44
Dunkel Pick:
New England
(-3); Under

Minnesota @ Atlanta

Game 253-254
November 29, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
132.572
Atlanta
130.794
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 2
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 1 1/2
46
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+1 1/2); Under

Baltimore @ Cleveland

Game 275-276
November 30, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
125.348
Cleveland
129.895
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 4 1/2
35
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 2 1/2
41 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-2 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 11-29-2015, 08:36 AM

NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 12

Tom Brady needs better protection from his offensive line if he's going to survive the Broncos bad-ass pass rush Sunday night.

St. Louis Rams at Cincinnati Bengals (-8, 42)

Rams’ defensive starting field position vs. Bengals’ average starting field position

The Bengals have plenty of weapons on the return squad and are among the top teams in terms of starting field position, starting their offensive drives from an average of almost the 31-yard line – fourth best in the NFL this season. That’s helped kick start an offense that is fifth in points scored, with 26.6 points per outing, and seventh in total yards with 376.2 gains per game.

The Rams have given their opponents a head start this season, allowing teams to start their drives just past the 28-yard line – ranked 26th in the league. St. Louis has been able to shut the door in the red zone but can’t afford to give the Bengals any breaks, especially the way the Rams have struggled to score in recent weeks. St. Louis has put up just 44 points the past three weeks. They simply don’t have the firepower to keep pace if this turns into a shootout.

Daily fantasy watch: QB Andy Dalton

Minnesota Vikings at Atlanta Falcons (-1.5, 45.5)

Vikings’ passive defense vs. Falcons’ football follies

Turnovers have transformed the Falcons from one of the most feared teams in the NFL to a one-team blooper reel. Atlanta has fumbled the ball seven times and QB Matt Ryan has thrown six interceptions during the last five games, in which the Falcons are just 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS. Atlanta had four turnovers in a crushing loss to Indianapolis last week, but may be off the hook against the Vikings in Week 12.

Minnesota has undergone a defensive renaissance under head coach Mike Zimmer and currently ranks ninth in yards allowed and is averaging only 18.4 points against per game – third lowest in the NFL. However, the main premise of Zimmer’s schemes is to play positional defense and not risk going for the interception. That passive approach has Minnesota ranked 28th in takeaways with only six interceptions. According to the Minneapolis Star Tribune, the Vikes were 2-2 with eight takeaways out of the gate but have since going 5-1, snatching only three free footballs in that six-game span. While they’re winning with this approach, it may be taking the gun out of the hands of the Falcons before they can shoot themselves in the foot.

Daily fantasy watch: QB Matt Ryan

Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs (-6, 41.5)

Bills' penalty problems vs. Chiefs laundry-less games

The Bills have adopted Rex Ryan’s aggressive swagger, and it’s been good and bad for Buffalo. The negative is the amount of penalties the Bills have committed, entering Week 12 with 95 accepted flags – according to NFLpenalties.com. That’s totaled 852 yards, which is the most in the NFL. Now, Buffalo heads to Arrowhead – the loudest venue in the AFC – where false starts and delay of game calls can be credited to the Kansas City faithful. The Bills have 24 pre-snap penalties this year, 10 coming on false starts and four on delay of game whistles.

Not only are the Chiefs benefiting from an extreme home-field edge, but Andy Reid has his team playing very disciplined football. Kansas City boasts the seventh fewest penalties in 2015, getting flagged for only 61 infractions for a total of 536 yards against. At home, it’s been even tighter with the Chiefs committing just 21 penalties compared to 40 on the road. With the holidays on their way, Buffalo may be in the giving spirit– in terms of free yardage – but K.C. is taking the Grinch approach.

Daily fantasy watch: TE Travis Kelce

New England Patriots at Denver Broncos (+3, 43)

Patriots' poor protection vs. Broncos' bad-ass pass rush

So, football fans don’t get another chapter in Brady versus Manning, but for football bettors the spread wouldn’t be all that different if No. 18 was under center for the Sunday nighter. The short field-goal line doesn’t have much to do with who’s making the throws for Denver but rather the Broncos defense, which has kept this team competitive all year. The Patriots are their most daunting test, but this pass rush – which tops the NFL in sacks with 34 – could be getting New England at the right time.

Tom Brady was peppered with pressure in last Monday’s game against the Bills, get sacked only once but feeling the force of 13 hits from nine different pass rushers. The week before, the Giants were able to record three sacks on Brady and forced some errant throws thanks to their ability to hurry Mr. Bundchen. Injuries have forced the Pats to juggle their offensive line all season, hurting the cohesiveness of the pass protection. Those struggles were on display last week, when Brady lashed out at his o-line on the sideline. Penalties to the offensive line have also mounted, and no team in the league has reeked more havoc on pass protectors than the Broncos.

Daily fantasy watch: Denver D/ST

**Udog** · 11-29-2015, 08:55 AM

Essential Week 12 betting notes for NFL Sunday

Russell Wilson is 6-0 SU (4-2 ATS) in six home games against opponents from the AFC.

New Orleans Saints at Houston Texans (-3, 48)

* New Orleans coach Sean Payton gave his players an entire week off and is hoping for a change from the squad that dropped an overtime decision at home to Tennessee before getting crushed in Washington.

* After beginning the season 2-5 SU and ATS, the Texans have gone 3-0 SU and ATS in their previous three games.

St. Louis Rams at Cincinnati Bengals (-8.5, 42)

* The Rams are on a three-game losing skid and have gone 0-2-1 ATS over that span.

* The Bengals opened the season with eight consecutive victories (7-0-1 ATS) but have dropped two in a row (1-1 ATS) following a last-second defeat at Arizona on Sunday night. “I think the one thing you can take from this is that there’s no quit," Cincinnati quarterback Andy Dalton told reporters after the 34-31 setback. "We fought until the very end and that’s good to see. We’ve got to keep that mentality."

Minnesota Vikings at Atlanta Falcons (-1.5, 45.5)

* Minnesota’s third-ranked scoring defense looks to further frustrate a Falcons’ offense that has committed 16 turnovers in the last six games.

* The Falcons took a hit with running back Devonta Freeman (1,184 scrimmage yards, 11 TDs) leaving last week’s game with a concussion, and with him being unlikely to play Sunday, the Falcons will count on Matt Ryan and Julio Jones, the NFL’s leading receiver, to power the offense.

New York Giants at Washington Redskins (+2.5, 47)

* The Giants have covered the spread in the previous five meetings with their NFC East rivals.

* The Redskins are 4-1 at home on the season with its lone loss coming in its season opener against the Dolphins.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Indianapolis Colts (-3, 46)

* Bucs QB Jameis Winston is dragging his team back to respectability with wins in four of the last six games (5-1 ATS).

* The Indianapolis Colts are undefeated with 40-year-old Matt Hasselbeck starting under center (2-1 ATS) and are hanging in at the top of the AFC South.

Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs (-6, 41.5)

* Buffalo has been solid at stopping the run, which bodes well against a fairly conservative Chiefs offense, and the defense typically keeps the team in games as long as the offense doesn’t implode.

* Kansas City has gone a franchise-record four straight contests without committing a turnover. The Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in those games.

Oakland Raiders at Tennessee Titans (+1, 44)

* The Raiders have struggled offensively of late, totaling 27 points in their last two contests after scoring at least 34 in each of their previous three games.

* Tennessee fell to 1-2 SU and ATS under interim coach Mike Mularkey when it came out on the wrong end of a 19-13 decision at Jacksonville on Nov. 19.

San Diego Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars (-5.5, 46.5)

* The Chargers are 0-4 on the road this year (2-2 ATS) and have lost five straight away from home dating to last season.

* Jags QB Blake Bortles has thrown at least two touchdown passes in five of his last six games and has connected with wide receiver Allen Hurns for a score in seven of the last eight contests.

Miami Dolphins at New York Jets (-3.5, 42.5)

* After the firing of coach Joe Philbin seemed to turn the Dolphins' season around with two straight wins, Miami has lost three of its last four games and it appears the Dolphins will miss the playoffs for the seventh straight season.

* The Jets gave quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick a vote of confidence during the week despite throwing four interceptions in the past two weeks, both losses in games that New York was favored.

Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers (+10.5, 45)

* Owners of the league's highest-scoring offense with an average of 33.6 points per game, the high-powered Cardinals manhandled the 49ers 47-7 in Week 3.

* Niners QB Blaine Gabbert has completed 37 of 59 pass attempts for 449 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions in his two starts since taking over. San Fran has gone 1-1 SU, ATS and O/U.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Seattle Seahawks (-3.5, 45.5)

* Pittsburgh is 3-0 SU and ATS against the NFC West this season.

* Seahawks QB Russell Wilson is 6-0 (4-2 ATS) at home against AFC opponents.

New England Patriots at Denver Broncos (+2.5, 43)

* Tom Brady started showing the effects of losing leading receiver Julian Edelman and running back Dion Lewis, completing a season-low 51.3 percent of his passes and failing to throw for multiple touchdowns for the first time last week.

* Denver's defense not only leads the league with 34 sacks, it also is surrendering the fewest total yards (284.3) and has scored four touchdowns.

**Udog** · 11-29-2015, 09:03 AM

NFL

Sunday, November 29

Chance of rain in Kansas City Sunday

According to weather forecasts, there is a 44 percent chance of rain in Kansas City when the Chiefs host the Buffalo Bills at Arrowhead Stadium Sunday afternoon.

Temperatures in Kansas City will be in the high-30s with wind expected to blow across the playing field at around seven miles per hour.

Books opened the Chiefs as 6-point home favorites but that has since moved to -5.5. The total is down to 41 after opening at 42.

Snow expected in Denver for Sunday nighter

Weather forecasts are calling for snowfall at Sports Authority Field at Mile High in Denver as the Broncos host the unbeaten New England Patriots on Sunday Night Football.

Temperatures in Denver are expected to be in the low-20s with a small 16 percent chance of snow during the early stages of the game, before that increases to 68 percent as the game progresses.

The Broncos are presently 2.5-point home pups for the Sunday nighter, while the total is down to 43 after opening 46.

Falcons' futility at sportsbook now at six games

The Atlanta Falcons, once the darlings of the betting community, are currently mired in a horrific drought at the sportsbook. The Falcons, who started the season 4-0 straight up and against the spread, have now failed to cover the spread in six-straight games (2-4 SU).

The Falcons began the season as underdogs in three of their first four games and had their offense firing on all cylinders en route to an unblemished first quarter of the season. But the NFC South club has faltered as favorites in each of their last six, culminating in a 24-21 loss to the Matt Hasslebeck-lead Indianapolis Colts - off a bye week - as 3.5-point home faves last week.

Books opened the Falcons as 2.5-point home favorites with the Minnesota Vikings in town Sunday afternoon, but that has since moved to -1.5.

Steelers go for NFC West sweep at Seattle Sunday

The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone 3-0 both straight up and against the spread in three games against teams from the NFC West so far this season.

The Steelers will finish off their tour around the division with a trip to face the Seattle Seahawks Sunday afternoon.

Pittsburgh thumped San Francisco 43-18 as 6-point home faves in Week 2, eked out a 12-6 win as 1.5-point dogs at the St Louis Rams the following week, and defeated the Arizona Cardinals 25-13 as 5.5-point home pups in Week 6.

Books opened the Steelers as 5.5-point road dogs for their with the Seahawks at CenturyLink Field, but that has since moved to Steelers +3.5.

Giants rolling in clashes with NFC East-rival Washington

The New York Giants have gone 5-0 both straight up and against the spread in the previous five meetings with the Washington Redskins.

The two NFC East rivals renew acquaintances in Washington Sunday afternoon and the visitors are presently tabbed as 2.5-point road faves after opening -1.

Washington's last win came in December of 2013 when it prevailed 17-16, covering the spread as 2.5-point home underdogs.

Don't look now, but the Texans are cashing bets

Remember when the Houston Texans were bad? Well, they're still bad, but they're currently on a 3-0 run straight up and against the spread heading into Sunday's meeting with the New Orleans Saints.

The defensive side of the ball has finally flexed its muscle after underperforming for much of the season. Over the course of those three wins, they've allowed just 29 points and have won outright as underdogs twice, including a 10-6 win over the previously unbeaten Cincinnati Bengals.

That solid denfense will be tested against the high-scoring Saints and an offense that ranks second in the NFL with an average of 414.5 yards.

The Texans are presently tabbed as 3-point home favorites.

Dolphins WR Matthews questionable

The Miami Dolphins added wide receiver Rishard Matthews to their injury report Saturday with an illness.

Matthews is questionable to play Sunday's game at the New York Jets.

The Dolphins also promoted safety Shamiel Gary off the practice squad and waived linebacker Mike Hull.

Gary was an undrafted rookie of the New England Patriots in 2014. He also spent time with the Chicago Bears before joining the Dolphins.

Hull, an undrafted rookie this year, was promoted from the practice squad to the active roster Nov. 14.

Vikings S Smith ruled out vs. Falcons

The Minnesota Vikings ruled out safety Harrison Smith for Sunday's game against the Atlanta Falcons because of a knee injury.

Smith suffered a left knee injury in last Sunday's 30-13 loss to the Green Bay Packers when he collided with Vikings cornerback Terence Newman in the first quarter.

Smith was listed as questionable on the team's injury report Friday after participating in practice on a limited basis. After the Vikings' final walk-through on Saturday, the Vikings downgraded Smith, who will not travel with the team to Atlanta.

Vikings rookie cornerback Trae Waynes also was downgraded to out with an ankle injury after being hurt in practice this week.

**Udog** · 11-29-2015, 09:10 AM

NFL

Sunday, November 29

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sunday Night Football betting preview: Patriots at Broncos
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The Patriots are just 1-4 against the spread in the previous five meetings in Denver.

New England Patriots at Denver Broncos (+2.5, 43)

Peyton Manning will be reduced to a spectator's role as the New England Patriots continue their pursuit of a perfect season when they visit the Denver Broncos on Sunday night in a showdown among AFC division leaders. Manning will sit out his second straight game due to a foot injury for the Broncos, who trail New England by two games for the conference's best record.

"I mean, there’s nobody that has more respect for Peyton than me outside of probably his parents and his brothers," Patriots quarterback Tom Brady said. “He’s been a tremendous player. It’s unfortunate." New England remained unbeaten despite being held to a season-low point total in Monday night's 20-13 win over division rival Buffalo. Brock Osweiler made his first career start last week and helped Denver halt a two-game losing streak with a 17-15 victory over Chicago. Osweiler was named the AFC Offensive Player of the Week after completing 20 of 27 passes for 250 yards, two touchdowns and zero turnovers.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, NBC.

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Broncos as 3.5-pont home dogs, but that's moved to +2.5. The total is down to 43 from the opening 46.

INJURY REPORT:

Patriots - G Tre' Jackson (Questionable, knee), LB Jamie Collins (Questionable, illness), DB Justin Coleman (Questionable, hand), WR Keshawn Martin (Questionable, hamstring), WR Danny Amendola (Out, knee), WR Julian Edelman (Out indefinitely, foot), WR Brian Tyms (Out indefinitely, foot), WR Aaron Dobson (I-R, ankle), RB Dion Lewis (I-R, knee), OL Ryan Wendell (I-R, knee), LB Rufus Johnson (I-R, illness), CB Tarell Brown (I-R, foot), T Nate Solder (I-R, elbow), LB Dane Fletcher (I-R, knee), DB Darryl Roberts (I-R, wrist), FB James Develin (I-R, shin), WR Brandon Gibson (I-R, knee).

Broncos - WR Emmanuel Sanders (Probable, head), DE Vance Walker (Questionable, shoulder), LB Demarcus Ware (Out, back), QB Peyton Manning (Out, foot), TE Jeff Heuerman (Out for season, knee), T Ty Sambrailo (I-R, shoulder), T Ryan Clady (I-R, knee).

WEATHER: Temperatures expected to be in the low-20s with a 16 percent chance of snow early, but increasing to a 68 percent chance later on.

POWER RANKINGS: Patriots (-7) + Broncos (-3) + home field (-3) = Patriots -1

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "The Patriots remain at the No. 1 spot in my Power Rankings, but their power rating number has been trending downwards due to the barrage of injuries on the offensive side of the ball. It took one drive for Twitter to blow up, calling Brock Osweiler the better QB compared to Peyton Manning. He finished 20-27 for 250 yards and no INT?s in a hostile road environment."

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "We’ve seen a serious divide here among our clients as the public is unsurprisingly on the Pats while the wiseguys are looking toward Denver. The squares just don’t believe that the Broncos are better without Peyton Manning while the smart players know they’re just as good or better. We’re still offering New England -3 and I think the line settles right on the key number."

ABOUT THE PATRIOTS (10-0 SU, 5-3-2 ATS, 5-5 O/U): Brady started showing the effects of losing leading receiver Julian Edelman and running back Dion Lewis, completing a season-low 51.3 percent of his passes and failing to throw for multiple touchdowns for the first time. Wide receivers Danny Amendola and Aaron Dobson were hurt in the win and are not expected to play, which could force New England to lean on running back LeGarrette Blount against a defense yielding a league-low 190.6 yards passing. The Patriots are allowing a league-best 18.2 points and are second in the league with 32 sacks.

ABOUT THE BRONCOS (8-2 SU, 5-5 ATS, 3-6-1 O/U): With starting wide receiver Emmanuel Sanders sidelined, Osweiler made good use of his tight end tandem of Vernon Davis and Owen Daniels, who combined for 10 receptions and 137 yards. Star wideout Demaryius Thomas caught only his second scoring pass of the season, ending a six-game drought, while Ronnie Hillman and C.J. Anderson gave the sagging running game a lift with a combined 161 yards. Denver's defense not only leads the league with 34 sacks, it also is surrendering the fewest total yards (284.3) and has scored four touchdowns.

TRENDS:

* Home team is 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings in Denver.
* Under is 4-0-1 in Broncos last five home games.

CONSENSUS: Sixty-four percent of users are backing the Patriots.

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Announcement

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 12 (Thursday, November 26 - Monday, November 30)

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 12 (Thursday, November 26 - Monday, November 30)

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