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  • #46
    Saturday's SEC Tip Sheet
    November 27, 2015



    **Alabama at Auburn**

    -- As of early Friday morning, most betting shops had Alabama (10-1 straight up, 6-5 against the spread) listed as a 14.5-point favorite with a total of 48.5. The Tigers were +475 on the money line (risk $100 to win $475).

    -- Alabama is No. 2 in this week’s CFP rankings, meaning it will be in the playoffs for a second straight season if it can win the Iron Bowl and next week’s SEC Championship Game. However, Ole Miss remains alive in the SEC West and can steal Alabama’s spot if it wins the Egg Bowl and sees Auburn upset the Crimson Tide.

    -- Since losing at home to Ole Miss by a 43-37 count in Week 3, Nick Saban’s team has won eight in a row while going 5-3 ATS. The Crimson Tide has taken the cash in three consecutive games, including last week’s 56-6 win over Charleston Southern as a 40.5-point home favorite. Two weeks ago in Starkville, Alabama cruised to a 31-6 win at Mississippi St. as a seven-point road ‘chalk.’ Kirby Smart’s defense started the game with a goal-line stand to set the tone, stuffing Dak Prescott on a run up the middle on fourth and goal from the one. Derrick Henry exploded for 204 rushing yards and a pair of touchdown runs from 74 and 65 yards out.

    -- Henry has emerged as a prime Heisman Trophy candidate since gashing LSU for 210 yards and three TDs in a 30-16 home win on Nov. 7. Sportsbook.ag has Henry as the -275 ‘chalk’ to win the Heisman. Clemson’s Deshaun Watson has the next-shortest odds (+275). Henry has performed his best in the big games, including a season-high 236-yard effort in a 41-23 win at Texas A&M. Henry has run for 1,526 yards and 21 TDs while averaging 6.1 yards per carry.

    -- Alabama’s defense was put in bad positions due to five turnovers, including two on kickoff returns, not to mention a fluky play resulting in a long TD pass, in the loss to the Rebels when they put up 43 at Bryant-Denny Stadium. Since then, however, the Tide’s defense hasn’t given up more than the 23 scored by the Aggies. This unit ranks third in the nation in total defense and scoring, allowing only 14.5 points per game. Alabama is second in the country against the run, giving up only 77.8 yards per game on the ground.

    -- If Alabama has a weakness, it’s the passing game. Senior QB Jacob Coker has completed 65.4 percent of his passes for 2,106 yards with a 14/8 touchdown-to-interception ratio. The transfer from FSU went a month without throwing a TD pass until hitting Calvin Ridley for a 60-yard scoring strike at Mississippi St. Ridley, a true freshman and five-star recruit, has been ‘as advertised. Ridley has a team-high 61 receptions for 701 yards and five TDs. ArDarius Stewart has also had a strong season, hauling in 42 catches for 455 yards and a pair of TDs.

    -- Alabama’s versatile RB Kenyan Drake broke his arm in the win at MSU. However, he returned to practice, albeit on a limited basis, earlier this week and Saban indicated that he might have a chance to play in the Iron Bowl. Even if he doesn’t, it’s clear he’ll be ready for the CFP and is more than likely going to be able to play in Atlanta next weekend (assuming, of course, that AU doesn’t pull the upset Saturday on The Plains). Drake has 21 receptions for 234 yards and two TDs, in addition to rushing for 333 yards and one score. Drake also has 287 yards on kick returns.

    -- Auburn (6-5 SU, 3-8 ATS) has been one of the nation’s biggest disappointments. Many scribes, including this one, had QB Jeremy Johnson pegged for greatness. I felt like Will Muschamp was the nation’s best defensive coordinator hire, while Lincoln Riley at Oklahoma was the best OC hire. I was correct on the latter, but wrong on the former. In fairness to Muschamp, he inherited an AU defense that was horrible in 2014 and he’s had to coach that unit without its best player Carl Lawson for most of the year. Gus Malzahn’s offense has fallen on hard times as well, as it ranks 86th in the nation. AU is going to finish last in the SEC West after many picked them to win the division and make the playoffs. Barring a stunning win over arch-rival Alabama, Malzahn’s seat will be warm going into 2016. As for Muschamp, he signed a one-year contract so whether or not he’ll be returning is unclear at this time.

    -- Four of Auburn’s five defeats have come in one-possession games. Johnson was benched in favor of Sean White after an embarrassing 45-21 loss at LSU in Week 3. White was ineffective in his first start, a 17-9 home loss to Mississippi St. one week after the disaster in Baton Rouge. White seemed to be improving in wins vs. San Jose St. (35-21) and at Kentucky (30-27). He probably played his best game in a four-overtime loss at Arkansas that was a crushing defeat for AU backers catching seven points in the 54-46 setback.

    -- White has completed 57.7 percent of his throws for 1,064 yards, but he has only one TD pass compared to two interceptions. White injured his knee in a 27-19 home loss to Ole Miss and has only played one possession since then.

    -- With White injured, Johnson made his first since the LSU debacle at Texas A&M on Nov. 7. The Tigers posted their most impressive performance of the season, winning 26-10 in College Station as seven-point underdogs. Johnson completed 13-of-17 passes for 132 yards and one TD while playing turnover-free football. Jovon Robinson, the juco transfer who arrived with expectations galore, finally received significant playing time with 27 carries for 159 yards and one TD. Muschamp’s defense intercepted A&M’s Kyle Allen three times.

    -- Johnson has started the last three games and will get a fourth consecutive start against Alabama. In the three prior contests, Johnson has completed 40-of-58 passes for 256 yards and three TDs with only one interception. Johnson accounted for four TDs in last week’s 56-34 non-covering home win over Idaho as a 33-point ‘chalk.’ Johnson threw for 163 yards and two TDs without an interception against the Vandals. He also had a pair of rushing scores. Robinson rushed 15 times for 99 yards and one TD. For the season, Johnson has an 8/7 TD-INT ratio and five rushing scores.

    -- Auburn has limped to an abysmal 1-5 spread record in six home games at Jordan-Hare Stadium this year. The one spread cover came in the line home ‘dog spot, however. During Malzahn’s three-year tenure, Auburn owns a 3-0 spread record, including a pair of outright wins in miraculous fashion vs. Georgia and Alabama in 2013.

    -- Alabama has covered the number as a road favorite in both such spots this season. The Crimson Tide was an underdog for the first time since the 2009 SEC Championship Game for its Week 5 trip to Athens, but it smashed Georgia 38-10 as a 1.5-point puppy.

    -- The ‘under’ is 7-4 overall for ‘Bama, 2-1 in its road assignments. The Tide has seen its games average combined scores of 49.5 points per game.

    -- The ‘under’ is 6-3-2 overall for AU, 5-1-1 in its home games. The Tigers have seen their games average combined scores of 55.6 PPG.

    -- When these teams met in Tuscaloosa last season, Auburn led for most of the game and was up by double digits early in the fourth quarter. But Alabama hit a slew of big plays in the final stanza and rallied to not only win 55-44, but also take the cash as an 8.5-point home favorite.

    -- The ‘over’ has cashed in four straight Iron Bowls.

    -- Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. Eastern on CBS.

    **Florida State at Florida**

    -- As of early Friday morning, most books had Florida State (9-2 SU, 7-4 ATS) installed as a 2.5-point favorite with a total of 43. As recently as two weeks ago, the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas had the Gators favored by 5.5 points.

    -- Florida (10-1 SU, 7-4 ATS) hasn’t been impressive lately and has seen its defensive line decimated by injuries. DE Alex McCalister and DT Jonathan Bullard, both of whom are All-American candidates, were listed as ‘doubtful’ early Friday. McCalister injured his foot in the first quarter of a 24-14 win at South Carolina two weeks ago. He did not return against the Gamecocks and sat out last week’s shaky overtime win over Florida Atlantic. Bullard injured his knee in the first quarter against FAU, but he saw quite a bit of action in the second half. The guess here is that head coach Jim McElwain might be playing coy with Bullard, who is a senior. I’ll be very surprised if Bullard doesn’t dress out and try to play. McCalister seems less likely to play, though he’s been seen without a walking boot this week.

    -- There are lots of other injuries on UF’s report. The good news is that Brandon Powell (foot) was upgraded to ‘probable’ after Wednesday’s practice. Five players, including three starters are listed as ‘questionable.’ This group includes OL Cam Dillard, DE Jordan Sherit, OG Martez Ivey, DT Thomas Holley and DT Joey Ivie, who has four sacks. DT Taven Bryan is ‘doubtful.’

    -- UF is unbeaten at home this year with a 3-3 spread record. However, it has failed to cover the number and barely won outright in a pair of home appearances since starting QB Will Grier was suspended following a 21-3 win at Missouri. The Gators needed a late field goal and a valiant defensive effort to slip past Vanderbilt, 9-7. Then last weekend, the offense was atrocious and the kicking game was deplorable in an OT win over FAU.

    -- Treon Harris became the starter after Grier’s suspension and played well in a 35-28 loss at LSU. He was decent in wins over Georgia (28-3) and South Carolina, but the true sophomore from Miami was part of many offensive problems in the scary home wins over Vandy and FAU. Harris isn’t as accurate as Grier, but he’s a better scrambler. For the season, Harris has completed 54.6 percent of his passes for 1,231 yards with an 8/4 TD-INT ratio. He has 198 rushing yards.

    -- Florida junior RB Kelvin Taylor has rushed for a team-best 841 yards and 13 TDs, becoming the first UF back to run for that many scores since his father “Four TD” Fred did in 1997. The older Taylor earned the moniker “Four TD Fred” by gutting the unbeaten and top-ranked FSU defense for four rushing scores in the 1997 game at The Swamp – a 32-29 title-denying upset win by the Gators less than a year after spanking the ‘Noles 52-20 in New Orleans to win the school’s first of three national titles.

    -- FSU’s offense is built around sophomore RB Dalvin Cook, who was originally a verbal commit to Florida and Will Muschamp but changed his mind after UF lost to Ga. Southern in 2013. Cook has enjoyed a sensational season, rushing for 1,475 yards and 16 TDs while averaging 8.0 yards per carry.

    -- FSU junior QB Sean Maguire will get his fifth straight start and the sixth of his career. Maguire is completing 65.0 percent of his passes for 968 yards with an 8/2 TD-INT ratio. Notre Dame transfer Everett Golson started the first seven game and could see playing time against UF. Golson has connected on 67.1 percent of his throws for 1,778 yards with an 11/3 TD-INT ratio.

    -- FSU’s top WRs are Travis Rudolph, Kermit Whitfield and Jesus Wilson. Rudolph has 51 receptions for 693 yards and six TDs, while Whitfield has 51 catches for 690 yards and six TDs. Wilson has 45 grabs for 516 yards and two TDs.

    -- FSU ranks 11th in the nation in scoring defense, allowing only 17.0 PPG.

    -- FSU senior LB Reggie Northrup is ‘questionable’ with an arm injury. Northrup has 78 tackles, including four for loss and five QB hurries.

    -- Florida has won outright in a pair of home underdog spots this season, beating Tennessee and Ole Miss at The Swamp.

    -- Florida true freshman WR and special-teams ace Antonio Callaway has been spectacular. He has 27 receptions for 541 yards and four TDs. Callaway has also averaged 14.3 yards per punt return, including a 72-yarder for a TD to tie the game at LSU in the fourth quarter. DeMarcus Robinson has 46 catches for 503 yards and two TDs. Senior TE Jake McGee has 34 receptions for 304 yards and four TDs.

    -- FSU has won back-to-back games in this rivalry, but Florida took the cash in a 24-19 loss as a seven-point road underdog last year. UF held Jameis Winston to a career-low 125 passing yards and took him for a career-worst four interceptions. The Gators led 9-0 late in the first quarter and had a first-and-goal opportunity, but Harris might have put a little too much zip on a short pass to TE Tevin Westbrook, who was unable to make the catch. Even worse, the ball bounced up and into the hands of DE Terrance Smith, who proceeded to rumble 94 yards for a pick-six to completely turn the game around. At worst, UF would’ve taken a 12-0 lead but instead found itself leading 9-7. Counting Smith’s score, the ‘Noles would score 21 unanswered points, but Harris found Clay Burton for a 15-yard scoring strike with 47 ticks left in the second quarter. Trailing 21-16 going into the third, UF mounted a solid drive but had to settle for a 32-yard field goal from Austin Hardin. However, Hardin missed a pair of field goals that could’ve given the Gators the lead later in the second half. FSU would add a field goal with 3:23 remaining for a 24-19 advantage. UF moved into FSU territory in the final minute, but Harris threw behind an open. Robinson on a fourth-and-10 play to bring the Muschamp Era to a familiar end with yet another gut-wrenching defeat.

    -- The ‘under’ is 5-1 in the last six head-to-head meetings between these bitter rivals, cashing in five straight played at The Swamp.

    -- The ‘under’ is 7-4 overall for UF, 3-3 in its home games. The ‘under’ has cashed in four straight for the Gators, who have seen their games average combined scores of 41.8 PPG.

    -- The ‘under’ is 7-4 overall for FSU, 4-0 in its road assignments. The Seminoles have seen their games average combined scores of 49.8 PPG.

    -- ESPN will have the telecast at 3:30 p.m. Eastern.

    **B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

    -- Clemson lost five in a row to South Carolina for the first time in the history of the series that dates back to the 1890s until last year. Even worse, the Gamecocks won all five of those by double-digit margins. Dabo Swinney’s team was so desperate for a win over USC last season that it played star freshman QB Deshaun Watson despite the fact that he had a torn ACL. It worked, though, as the Tigers cruised to a 35-17 triumph as 6.5-point home favorites. This time around, Clemson is undefeated, Steve Spurrier is no longer on the USC sidelines and the Gamecocks are 3-8 and off a home loss to The Citadel. Swinney’s squad is a 17.5-point road favorite.

    -- Tennessee is a 17-point home favorite vs. Vanderbilt. The total is 41.5 points. The ‘under’ is 10-0-1 in Vandy games this year. The Commodores are 8-4 ATS in 12 games as double-digit underdogs on Derek Mason’s watch.

    -- Kentucky has been a four-point home underdog to Louisville for most of the week, but most spots adjusted U of L to a six-point road ‘chalk’ on Friday.

    -- Georgia coach Mark Richt’s job will be on the line Saturday on The Flats in Midtown Atlanta. Ga. Tech has a 3-8 record despite being favored in nine of its 11 games. The Bulldogs are in revenge mode after losing to Paul Johnson for just the second time in eight meetings since he took over the Yellow Jackets. The 2014 loss in Athens came in overtime in a game that UGA gave away with red-zone turnovers. Most spots have UGA favored by four.

    -- Ole Miss is a one-point favorite at Mississippi St. in another edition of The Egg Bowl. The home team has won four straight and 14 of the last 16. The Bulldogs will be seeking to avenge last year’s loss in Oxford that knocked them out of the playoff picture.

    -- Les Miles will almost certainly be making his final appearance on the home sidelines in Saturday’s showdown between LSU and Texas A&M under the lights at Tiger Stadium. Most books have the Tigers listed as 5.5-point ‘chalk.’ LSU will be without star WR Travin Dural, who sustained a season-ending hamstring injury in last week’s loss at Ole Miss. The Tigers have lost three in a row by double-digit margins for the first time since 1966.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #47
      NCAAF
      Short Sheet

      Friday, November 27

      Marshall at Western Kentucky, 12:00 ET
      Marshall: 38-63 ATS in road lined games
      W Kentucky: 11-3 OVER after playing a conference game

      Iowa at Nebraska, 3:30 ET
      Iowa: 12-2 ATS in road lined games
      Nebraska: 7-0 OVER off a road win

      Miami Florida at Pittsburgh, 12:00 ET
      Miami FL: 4-13 ATS after playing 2 straight conference games
      Pittsburgh: 15-3 ATS at home off a win by 10 pts or more over a conference rival

      Massachusetts at Buffalo, 4:30 ET
      Massachusetts: 8-1 OVER as a road underdog
      Buffalo: 2-11 ATS after 2 games where they committed 3 or more turnovers

      Kent State at Akron, 12:00 ET
      Kent St: 11-3 UNDER against conference opponents
      Akron: 1-10 ATS at home after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6

      Troy at Georgia State, 2:00 ET
      Troy: 12-3 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread
      Georgia St: 1-3 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less

      Western Michigan at Toledo, 12:00 ET
      W Michigan: 35-17 OVER off 1 or more consecutive unders
      Toledo: 8-1 ATS in all lined games

      Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan, 1:00 ET
      E Michigan: 0-6 ATS against conference opponents
      C Michigan: 8-2 ATS in games played on turf

      Missouri at Arkansas, 2:30 ET
      Missouri: 1-7 ATS in games played on turf
      Arkansas: 15-5 ATS after scoring 50 points or more last game

      Navy at Houston, 12:00 ET
      Navy: 6-0 ATS after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game
      Houston: 0-6 ATS in home games in weeks 10 through 13

      Tulsa at Tulane, 8:00 ET
      Tulsa: 0-6 ATS after gaining 100 or less rushing yards last game
      Tulane: 6-0 ATS after allowing 24 points or more in the first half last game

      Washington State at Washington, 3:30 ET
      Washington St: 8-0 ATS against conference opponents
      Washington: 0-6 ATS off a road win

      Oregon State at Oregon, 4:00 ET
      Oregon St: 3-12 ATS after playing a conference game
      Oregon: 8-0 ATS off 3 straight wins against conference rivals

      Boise State at San Jose State, 3:30 ET
      Boise St: 61-37 ATS after playing 2 straight conference games
      San Jose St: 2-10 ATS as an underdog

      Baylor at TCU, 7:30 ET
      Baylor: 23-12 OVER in all lined games
      TCU: 10-2 ATS in home lined games
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #48
        NCAAF
        Short Sheet

        Week 13

        Ohio State at Michigan, 12:00 ET
        Ohio St: 10-2 ATS in road games off a home loss against a conference rival
        Michigan: 26-45 ATS off 2 straight wins against conference rivals

        Lafayette at Appalachian State, 2:00 ET
        Lafayette: 6-15 ATS after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers
        Appalachian St: 8-1 UNDER when the total is between 56.5 and 63

        Louisville at Kentucky, 12:00 ET
        Louisville: 15-4 ATS in road games after a game where they forced no turnovers
        Kentucky: 7-17 ATS as an underdog

        Penn State at Michigan State, 3:30 ET
        Penn St: 1-8 ATS in road games after playing a game at home
        Michigan St: 6-0 ATS off a road win against a conference rival

        Cincinnati at East Carolina, 12:00 ET
        Cincinnati: 29-15 ATS after being outgained by opp by 125 or + total yds last game
        E Carolina: 3-12 ATS against conference opponents

        Connecticut at Temple, 7:00 ET
        Connecticut: 1-10 ATS after playing a game at home
        Temple: 9-1 ATS when the total is 42 or less

        Iowa State at West Virginia, 12:00 ET
        Iowa St: 5-16 ATS on road off a close loss by 7 pts or less to a conference rival
        West Virginia: 12-4 UNDER against conference opponents

        Duke at Wake Forest, 12:30 ET
        Duke: 25-13 ATS in all lined games
        Wake Forest: 0-6 ATS after gaining 2.75 or less yards/play in previous game

        Boston College at Syracuse, 12:30 ET
        Boston College: 11-3 UNDER in games played on turf
        Syracuse: 9-1 ATS after allowing 37 points or more last game

        Indiana at Purdue, 12:00 ET
        Indiana: 0-6 ATS after a win by 17 or more points
        Purdue: 11-2 OVER after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers

        Florida Atlantic at Old Dominion, 12:00 ET
        Florida ATL: 6-0 ATS after scoring 14 points or less last game
        Old Dominion: 0-6 ATS off a road loss

        Vanderbilt at Tennessee, 4:00 ET
        Vanderbilt: 11-2 ATS after having lost 2 out of their last 3
        Tennessee: 9-0 UNDER in home games off 3 or more consecutive unders

        South Alabama at Georgia Southern, 2:00 ET
        S Alabama: 2-10 ATS after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers
        Georgia S: 11-3 ATS in games played on a grass field

        UNLV at Wyoming, 2:00 ET
        UNLV: 10-1 OVER after allowing 50 points or more last game
        Wyoming: 1-10 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games

        Mid Tennessee State at Tex San Antonio, 2:30 ET
        Mid Tenn St: 6-18 ATS in road games after playing 3 straight conference games
        Tex San Antonio: 12-4 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins

        Colorado at Utah, 2:30 ET
        Colorado: 7-18 ATS on road after allowing 475 or more total yds in previous game
        Utah: 10-2 UNDER in home games after the first month of the season

        BYU at Utah State, 3:30 ET
        BYU: 0-8 ATS in road games after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6
        Utah St: 6-0 OVER in home games off 1 or more straight overs

        Virginia Tech at Virginia, 12:00 ET
        Virginia Tech: 27-7 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less
        Virginia: 2-10 ATS after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7

        North Carolina at North Caroilna State, 3:30 ET
        N Carolina: 5-1 ATS off 3 straight wins against conference rivals
        N Carolina St: 1-5 ATS as a home underdog

        Charlotte at Rice, 3:30 ET
        Charlotte: 2-5 ATS in all lined games
        Rice: 9-2 ATS as a favorite

        Maryland at Rutgers, 12:00 ET
        Maryland: 22-9 UNDER after a game where they committed no turnovers
        Rutgers: 7-20 ATS at home after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better

        Florida State at Florida, 7:30 ET
        Florida St: 21-8 ATS when the line is +3 to -3
        Florida: 0-6 ATS in home games after allowing 14 points or less last game

        Georgia at Georgia Tech, 12:00 ET
        Georgia: 24-10 ATS against ACC opponents
        Georgia Tech: 0-8 ATS after 4 games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse

        Kansas State at Kansas, 4:00 ET
        Kansas St: 112-78 ATS against conference opponents
        Kansas: 1-7 ATS in games played on turf

        Texas AM at LSU, 7:30 ET
        Texas AM: 3-11 ATS after playing a conference game
        LSU: 12-8 ATS in home lined games

        Northwestern at Illinois, 3:30 ET
        Northwestern: 16-6 ATS on road after gaining 125 or less passing yds last game
        Illinois: 32-16 UNDER off 2 straight losses against conference rivals

        Alabama at Auburn, 3:30 ET
        Alabama: 35-17 ATS after 6 or more consecutive straight up wins
        Auburn: 2-8 ATS in all lined games

        Arizona State at California, 10:00 ET
        Arizona St: 9-8 ATS off a win against a conference rival
        California: 5-15 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses

        Texas State at Idaho, 5:00 ET
        Texas St: 10-2 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games
        Idaho: 7-21 ATS when the total is between 63.5 and 70

        Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech, 12:00 ET
        S Miss: 9-2 ATS in all lined games
        Louisiana Tech: 18-6 OVER off 2 straight wins against conference rivals

        SMU at Memphis, 12:00 ET
        SMU: 12-25 ATS off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival
        Memphis: 70-47 UNDER when playing on a Saturday

        Clemson at South Carolina, 12:00 ET
        Clemson: 12-3 ATS after gaining 375 or more passing yards in last game
        S Carolina: 0-7 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56

        UTEP at North Texas, 3:30 ET
        UTEP: 0-6 ATS in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56
        N Texas: 8-1 UNDER in home games after playing a conference game

        Wisconsin at Minnesota, 3:30 ET
        Wisconsin: 5-1 ATS off upset loss to a conference rival as favorite of 10 or more
        Minnesota: 14-5 ATS after playing 2 straight conference games

        Oklahoma at Oklahoma State, 8:00 ET
        Oklahoma: 41-24 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 63
        Oklahoma St: 8-1 ATS after playing a game where 70 total pts or + were scored

        Mississippi at Mississippi State, 7:15 ET
        Mississippi: 6-0 UNDER as a road favorite
        Mississippi St: 4-14 ATS at home after a game with a t/o margin of -3 or worse

        Notre Dame at Stanford, 7:30 ET
        Notre Dame: 5-16 ATS in road games after having won 8 or more out of last 10
        Stanford: 13-5 ATS in games played on a grass field

        Arkansas State at New Mexico State, 4:00 ET
        Arkansas St: 16-6 ATS off a road win against a conference rival
        New Mexico St: 17-33 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games

        Nevada at San Diego State, 10:45 ET
        Nevada: 9-2 ATS in road games
        San Diego St: 2-10 ATS at home after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game

        Air Force at New Mexico, 10:15 ET
        Air Force: 12-4 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins
        New Mexico: 0-6 ATS in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56

        UCLA at USC, 3:30 ET
        UCLA: 7-1 UNDER when playing with 6 or less days
        USC: 6-0 ATS off a road loss

        Colorado State at Fresno State, 9:00 ET
        Colorado St: 17-6 ATS off 3 straight wins against conference rivals
        Fresno St: 6-17 ATS after allowing 50 points or more last game
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #49
          NCAAF
          Dunkel

          Week 13


          North Carolina @ NC State

          Game 181-182
          November 28, 2015 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          North Carolina
          97.599
          NC State
          94.641
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          North Carolina
          by 3
          60
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          North Carolina
          by 6
          66
          Dunkel Pick:
          NC State
          (+6); Under

          Southern Miss @ Louisiana Tech

          Game 203-204
          November 28, 2015 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Southern Miss
          89.671
          Louisiana Tech
          90.450
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Louisiana Tech
          by 1
          67
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Louisiana Tech
          by 6
          61 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Southern Miss
          (+6); Over

          UCLA @ USC

          Game 225-226
          November 28, 2015 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          UCLA
          98.474
          USC
          102.722
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          USC
          by 4 1/2
          69
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          USC
          by 3
          62
          Dunkel Pick:
          USC
          (-3); Over

          Charlotte @ Rice

          Game 183-184
          November 28, 2015 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Charlotte
          51.134
          Rice
          65.317
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Rice
          by 14
          67
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Rice
          by 10 1/2
          59 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Rice
          (-10 1/2); Over

          SMU @ Memphis

          Game 205-206
          November 28, 2015 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          SMU
          73.050
          Memphis
          91.990
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Memphis
          by 19
          80
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Memphis
          by 21 1/2
          72
          Dunkel Pick:
          SMU
          (+21 1/2); Over

          Indiana @ Purdue

          Game 163-164
          November 28, 2015 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Indiana
          87.647
          Purdue
          77.505
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Indiana
          by 10
          73
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Indiana
          by 6 1/2
          68 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Indiana
          (-6 1/2); Over

          Colorado State @ Fresno State

          Game 227-228
          November 28, 2015 @ 9:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Colorado State
          83.202
          Fresno State
          68.577
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Colorado State
          by 14 1/2
          64
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Colorado State
          by 10
          59
          Dunkel Pick:
          Colorado State
          (-10); Over

          Maryland @ Rutgers

          Game 185-186
          November 28, 2015 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Maryland
          81.364
          Rutgers
          77.770
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Maryland
          by 3 1/2
          61
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Maryland
          Pick
          56
          Dunkel Pick:
          Maryland
          Over

          Clemson @ South Carolina

          Game 207-208
          November 28, 2015 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Clemson
          108.122
          South Carolina
          87.083
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Clemson
          by 21
          49
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Clemson
          by 17
          55
          Dunkel Pick:
          Clemson
          (-17); Under

          Florida Atlantic @ Old Dominion

          Game 165-166
          November 28, 2015 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Florida Atlantic
          74.337
          Old Dominion
          67.988
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Florida Atlantic
          by 6 1/2
          60
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Florida Atlantic
          by 4
          54 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Florida Atlantic
          (-4); Over

          LA-Monroe @ Hawaii

          Game 229-230
          November 28, 2015 @ 11:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          LA-Monroe
          54.141
          Hawaii
          59.018
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Hawaii
          by 5
          52
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Hawaii
          No Line
          N/A
          Dunkel Pick:
          Hawaii
          N/A

          Florida State @ Florida

          Game 187-188
          November 28, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Florida State
          98.990
          Florida
          100.414
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Florida
          by 1 1/2
          37
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Florida State
          by 2 1/2
          43
          Dunkel Pick:
          Florida
          (+2 1/2); Under

          Ohio State @ Michigan

          Game 145-146
          November 28, 2015 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Ohio State
          104.919
          Michigan
          100.788
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Ohio State
          by 4
          42
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Ohio State
          by 1
          47
          Dunkel Pick:
          Ohio State
          (-1); Under

          UTEP @ North Texas

          Game 209-210
          November 28, 2015 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          UTEP
          61.447
          North Texas
          67.409
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          North Texas
          by 6
          59
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          North Texas
          by 3
          51 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          North Texas
          (-3); Over

          Vanderbilt @ Tennessee

          Game 167-168
          November 28, 2015 @ 4:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Vanderbilt
          86.115
          Tennessee
          100.274
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Tennessee
          by 14
          34
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Tennessee
          by 17 1/2
          41 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Vanderbilt
          (+17 1/2); Under

          Western Illinois @ Dayton

          Game 301-302
          November 28, 2015 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Western Illinois
          72.005
          Dayton
          45.582
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Western Illinois
          by 26 1/2
          48
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Western Illinois
          by 17
          53
          Dunkel Pick:
          Western Illinois
          (-17); Under

          Georgia @ Georgia Tech

          Game 189-190
          November 28, 2015 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Georgia
          98.387
          Georgia Tech
          95.278
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Georgia
          by 3
          44
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Georgia
          by 5
          48
          Dunkel Pick:
          Georgia Tech
          (+5); Under

          LA-Lafayette @ Appalachian St

          Game 147-148
          November 28, 2015 @ 2:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          LA-Lafayette
          68.804
          Appalachian St
          88.426
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Appalachian St
          by 19 1/2
          65
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Appalachian St
          by 23 1/2
          59 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          LA-Lafayette
          (+23 1/2); Over

          Wisconsin @ Minnesota

          Game 211-212
          November 28, 2015 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Wisconsin
          94.402
          Minnesota
          95.722
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Minnesota
          by 1 1/2
          39
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Wisconsin
          by 2 1/2
          43
          Dunkel Pick:
          Minnesota
          (+2 1/2); Under

          Fordham @ Chattanooga

          Game 303-304
          November 28, 2015 @ 1:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Fordham
          60.295
          Chattanooga
          72.882
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Chattanooga
          by 12 1/2
          60
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Chattanooga
          by 9 1/2
          65
          Dunkel Pick:
          Chattanooga
          (-9 1/2); Under

          Kansas State @ Kansas

          Game 191-192
          November 28, 2015 @ 4:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Kansas State
          92.432
          Kansas
          68.574
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Kansas State
          by 24
          60
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Kansas State
          by 20
          54
          Dunkel Pick:
          Kansas State
          (-20); Over

          Louisville @ Kentucky

          Game 149-150
          November 28, 2015 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Louisville
          89.122
          Kentucky
          87.084
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Louisville
          by 2
          59
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Louisville
          by 4
          53 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Kentucky
          (+4); Over

          Oklahoma @ Oklahoma State

          Game 213-214
          November 28, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Oklahoma
          112.304
          Oklahoma State
          107.935
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Oklahoma
          by 4 1/2
          62
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Oklahoma
          by 7
          68
          Dunkel Pick:
          Oklahoma State
          (+7); Under

          UNLV @ Wyoming

          Game 171-172
          November 28, 2015 @ 2:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          UNLV
          74.447
          Wyoming
          68.345
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          UNLV
          by 6
          64
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          UNLV
          by 3
          59
          Dunkel Pick:
          UNLV
          (-3); Over

          The Citadel @ Coastal Carolina

          Game 305-306
          November 28, 2015 @ 2:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          The Citadel
          73.961
          Coastal Carolina
          71.836
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          The Citadel
          by 2
          63
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Coastal Carolina
          by 3
          57
          Dunkel Pick:
          The Citadel
          (+3); Over

          Texas A&M @ LSU

          Game 193-194
          November 28, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Texas A&M
          91.274
          LSU
          98.682
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          LSU
          by 7 1/2
          62
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          LSU
          by 5 1/2
          55
          Dunkel Pick:
          LSU
          (-5 1/2); Over

          Penn State @ Michigan State

          Game 151-152
          November 28, 2015 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Penn State
          90.820
          Michigan State
          106.382
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Michigan State
          by 15 1/2
          42
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Michigan State
          by 11
          46 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Michigan State
          (-11); Under

          Mississippi @ Mississippi St

          Game 215-216
          November 28, 2015 @ 7:15 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Mississippi
          104.873
          Mississippi St
          100.339
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Mississippi
          by 4 1/2
          67
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Mississippi
          by 1
          64
          Dunkel Pick:
          Mississippi
          (-1); Over

          Middle Tennessee St @ TX-San Antonio

          Game 173-174
          November 28, 2015 @ 2:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Middle Tennessee
          83.589
          TX-San Antonio
          66.647
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Middle Tennessee
          by 17
          64
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Middle Tennessee
          by 12
          58 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Middle Tennessee
          (-12); Over

          Southern Utah @ Sam Houston St

          Game 307-308
          November 28, 2015 @ 3:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Southern Utah
          78.384
          Sam Houston St
          79.718
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Sam Houston St
          by 1 1/2
          66
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Southern Utah
          by 1
          61
          Dunkel Pick:
          Sam Houston St
          (+1); Over

          Northwestern @ Illinois

          Game 195-196
          November 28, 2015 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Northwestern
          89.133
          Illinois
          90.343
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Illinois
          by 1
          36
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Northwestern
          by 3 1/2
          42
          Dunkel Pick:
          Illinois
          (+3 1/2); Under

          Cincinnati @ East Carolina

          Game 153-154
          November 28, 2015 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Cincinnati
          87.014
          East Carolina
          90.221
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          East Carolina
          by 3
          62
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          East Carolina
          by 1
          67 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          East Carolina
          (-1); Under

          Notre Dame @ Stanford

          Game 217-218
          November 28, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Notre Dame
          99.741
          Stanford
          107.837
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Stanford
          by 8
          62
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Stanford
          by 3 1/2
          56
          Dunkel Pick:
          Stanford
          (-3 1/2); Over

          Colorado @ Utah

          Game 175-176
          November 28, 2015 @ 2:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Colorado
          86.049
          Utah
          99.941
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Utah
          by 14
          44
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Utah
          by 16 1/2
          49
          Dunkel Pick:
          Colorado
          (+16 1/2); Under

          Alabama @ Auburn

          Game 197-198
          November 28, 2015 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Alabama
          117.088
          Auburn
          106.560
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Alabama
          by 10 1/2
          42
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Alabama
          by 14 1/2
          49
          Dunkel Pick:
          Auburn
          (+14 1/2); Under

          Connecticut @ Temple

          Game 155-156
          November 28, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Connecticut
          84.582
          Temple
          95.431
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Temple
          by 11
          47
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Temple
          by 13
          41
          Dunkel Pick:
          Connecticut
          (+13); Over

          Arkansas St @ New Mexico St

          Game 219-220
          November 28, 2015 @ 4:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Arkansas St
          79.557
          New Mexico St
          65.227
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Arkansas St
          by 14 1/2
          66
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Arkansas St
          by 17
          72
          Dunkel Pick:
          New Mexico St
          (+17); Under

          Brigham Young @ Utah State

          Game 177-178
          November 28, 2015 @ 3:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Brigham Young
          88.219
          Utah State
          89.836
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Utah State
          by 1 1/2
          50
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Brigham Young
          by 3
          54 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Utah State
          (+3); Under

          Arizona State @ California

          Game 199-200
          November 28, 2015 @ 10:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Arizona State
          95.836
          California
          102.776
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          California
          by 7
          77
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          California
          by 3 1/2
          68 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          California
          (-3 1/2); Over

          Iowa State @ West Virginia

          Game 157-158
          November 28, 2015 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Iowa State
          90.297
          West Virginia
          102.363
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          West Virginia
          by 12
          64
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          West Virginia
          by 14
          59 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Iowa State
          (+14); Over

          Nevada @ San Diego St

          Game 221-222
          November 28, 2015 @

          Dunkel Rating:
          Nevada
          87.966
          San Diego St
          101.722
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          San Diego St
          by 14
          47
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          San Diego St
          by 17 1/2
          50 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Nevada
          (+17 1/2); Under

          Virginia Tech @ Virginia

          Game 179-180
          November 28, 2015 @ 12:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Virginia Tech
          91.627
          Virginia
          90.570
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Virginia Tech
          by 1
          47
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Virginia Tech
          by 3 1/2
          51
          Dunkel Pick:
          Virginia
          (+3 1/2); Under

          Texas State @ Idaho

          Game 201-202
          November 28, 2015 @ 5:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Texas State
          59.025
          Idaho
          65.835
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Idaho
          by 7
          72
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Idaho
          by 2 1/2
          67 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Idaho
          (-2 1/2); Over

          Duke @ Wake Forest

          Game 159-160
          November 28, 2015 @ 12:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Duke
          90.667
          Wake Forest
          83.725
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Duke
          by 7
          41
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Duke
          by 4
          46
          Dunkel Pick:
          Duke
          (-4); Under

          Air Force @ New Mexico

          Game 223-224
          November 28, 2015 @ 10:15 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Air Force
          93.445
          New Mexico
          80.966
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Air Force
          by 12 1/2
          62
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Air Force
          by 9 1/2
          53
          Dunkel Pick:
          Air Force
          (-9 1/2); Over
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #50
            Essential Week 13 betting notes for college football's top games

            The Sooners are averaging 51 points during their six game winning streak and are 5-1 against the spread in those games.

            (8) Ohio State Buckeyes at (12) Michigan Wolverines (PK, 47)

            * The Buckeyes have had the edge in recent meetings with Michigan, going 6-2 in the last eight overall and 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings at Michigan.

            * Wolverines QB Jake Rudock has torched opposing defenses in the month of November as he's thrown for over 250 yards in each of the last three games and hopes to continue his late-season surge by leading Michigan to its first win over Ohio State since 2011.


            (1) Clemson Tigers at South Carolina Gamecocks (+17, 55)

            * The Tigers have won seven consecutive games by double digits, matching the longest streak in program history, but they are just 3-4 ATS in those games.

            * The Gamecocks have lost five of six under interim coach Shawn Elliott since Steve Spurrier abruptly resigned last month. They have gone 3-3 ATS in those games, however.


            Colorado Buffaloes at (25) Utah Utes (-16, 49)

            * The Buffaloes, who haven’t finished above .500 since 2005, are coming off their worst offensive showing of the season, managing only a field goal in last Saturday’s 27-3 loss at Washington State. Redshirt freshman quarterback Cade Apsay is making his second career start in place of the injured Sefo Liufau and is coming off a 26-of-40, 238-yard, two-interception performance last week in Pullman.

            * Two weeks ago, Utah was an 8-1 and sitting atop with the South at 5-1, but narrow losses to Arizona (37-30 in double overtime) and UCLA (17-9) have followed, cutting the Utes out of a berth in the Pac-12 Championship Game.


            (17) Northwestern Wildcats vs. Illinois Fighting Illini (+3.5, 42)

            * With victories against Illinois and in a bowl game, this year’s edition of the Wildcats could be the first in school history with 11 wins, something coach Pat Fitzgerald has made sure his team knows. “I’m not afraid to talk about the realities of situations,” Fitzgerald told reporters. “Maybe it’s counter to the way some people think, but we understand the opportunity we have in front of us.”

            * While there’s a lot of talk around him by the media and others, Illinois interim coach Bill Cubit is doing what he can to become the fourth first-year coach at Illinois to reach six wins in the last 100 years. “I know it sounds crazy, but I don’t think about it,” Cubit told reporters. “Other people outside probably worry about it a lot more than I do. Maybe my wife does and maybe my children do, but I just feel lucky that I’m able to do what I’m doing right now.”


            Penn State Nittany Lions at (6) Michigan State Spartans (-10.5, 46.5)

            * Christian Hackenberg endured perhaps his worst game of the season against the Wolverines, throwing for 137 yards on 41.9 percent completions in a 28-16 defeat. "No one really can question Christian Hackenberg's mental or physical toughness," coach James Franklin told reporters, "and we have got to get our protection and our run game more consistent to help him out."

            * The Spartans have allowed a total of 21 points in their last two games after giving up at least 21 points in each of their previous five contests. The Under has hit in Michigan State's last two games.


            (23) UCLA Bruins at USC Trojans (-3.5, 62)

            * UCLA has won nine of its last 10 conference road games and is 7-3 ATS in those games.

            * USC has owned more time of possession than its opponent five times this season - all since Clay Helton took over as interim coach in the sixth game of the season.


            (11) North Carolina Tar Heels at North Carolina State Wolfpack (+5.5, 65.5)

            * The Tar Heels are tied for fifth in the nation in turnover margin (plus-11) and have yet to have a RB lose a fumble.

            * NC State is trying to better its win total from last regular season (seven) and had no trouble ripping the Tar Heels 35-7 in last season’s meeting, covering as 6.5-point pups.


            (2) Alabama Crimson Tide at Auburn Tigers (+14.5, 48.5)

            * Alabama is just 1-4 ATS in the previous five meetings at Auburn.

            * The last game played at Auburn in 2013 featured one of most famous endings in college football history as Chris Davis returned a missed field goal 109 yards for a touchdown as time expired to give the Tigers a 34-28 victory.


            Connecticut Huskies at (24) Temple Owls (-13, 41)

            * The Huskies hope to avoid a letdown after shocking previously undefeated Houston last week. UConn fans stormed the field after the 20-17 victory, which made them bowl-eligible.

            * The Owls' defense has allowed just five touchdowns in five home games, with three of them coming in a loss to Notre Dame. The Owls are 4-1 ATS in those five home games this season.


            (19) Ole Miss Rebels at (22) Mississippi State Bulldogs (+1, 64)

            * The Rebels lead the SEC in passing yardage (3,768), one spot ahead of the Bulldogs (3,479), and the teams are the only two in the conference averaging more than 300 yards passing per game (Ole Miss 342.5; Mississippi State 316.3).

            * Dak Prescott earned SEC offensive player of the week honors after becoming the only quarterback in league history to account for 550 yards of total offense and seven touchdowns in a game, and his 21 total touchdowns in the past five games leads the nation.


            (4) Notre Dame Fighting Irish at (12) Stanford Cardinal (-3.5, 56)

            * Notre Dame is 6-3 SU and ATS against Pac-12 opponents since 2012, including a 41-31 triumph over USC as 6-point faves on Oct. 17.

            * Christian McCaffrey bolstered his Heisman campaign with a Cardinal-record 389 all-purpose yards and two touchdowns against Cal as Stanford scored at least 30 points for the 10th straight game.


            (14) Florida State Seminoles at (9) Florida Gators (+2.5, 43)

            * Florida State has won four of the last five meetings (3-2 ATS), but the Gators lead the series 34-23-2 overall.

            * Florida has limited opponents to 14 or fewer points eight times and is tied for third in the nation at 14.5 per game against.


            (5) Oklahoma Sooners at (10) Oklahoma State Cowboys (+7, 68)

            * The Sooners are averaging 51 points during their six game winning streak and got quarterback Baker Mayfield back at practice this week after the junior passed concussion tests. Mayfield threw for 127 yards and a pair of touchdowns against TCU before leaving last week’s game and is building a convincing Heisman Trophy resume with 33 touchdown passes and five interceptions to go with six rushing scores.

            * The Cowboys’ own hopes for a spot in the Playoff were likely dashed last week with a 45-35 home loss to Baylor, though an impressive win over Oklahoma and some help from around the country could push them into the top four.
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • #51
              NCAAF

              Saturday, November 28

              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              Game of the Day: Notre Dame at Stanford
              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              The Fighting Irish are 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings in Stanford.

              Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Stanford Cardinal (-3.5, 56)

              Notre Dame can strengthen its case for a spot in the College Football Playoff with a win Saturday at Stanford, which needs a victory to keep alive its slim playoff hopes. The injury-depleted Fighting Irish are sixth in the CFP rankings following six straight wins, while No. 9 Stanford clinched the Pac-12 North title with last week’s 35-22 win over California.

              The Fighting Irish overcame five turnovers to beat Boston College 19-16 last week and will need a much-improved effort against Stanford, which must defeat Notre Dame and win its conference title game on Dec. 5 to have a shot at the playoff. Notre Dame will be without cornerback KeiVarae Russell (broken leg) and running back C.J. Prosise (ankle) after both starters were injured last week. Russell, who is second on the team in tackles, will be missed against an offense that averages 36.8 points and boasts a Heisman Trophy candidate in running back Christian McCaffrey. "If anybody has seen a running back, a football player better than Christian McCaffrey this year, tell me. Show him to me,” Cardinal coach David Shaw told reporters. “I haven't seen anybody in America like this kid. He’s truly, truly special.”

              TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, FOX.

              LINE HISTORY: Books opened Stanford a 3.5-point home fave. The total opened at 55.5 and is up to 56.

              INJURY REPORT:

              Notre Dame - LB James Onwaualu (Questionable, knee), WR Chris Brown (Questionable, shoulder), RB C.J. Prosise (Doubtful, ankle), OL Alex Bars (Out for season, ankle), S Drue Trangquill (Out for season, knee), TE Durham Smythe (Out for season, knee), QB Malik Zaire (Out for season, ankle), RB Tarean Folston (Out for season, knee), DB Shaun Crawford (Out for season, knee), DL Ishaq Williams (Out for season, suspension), DL Jarron Jones (Out for season, knee).

              Stanford - CB Ronnie Harris (Questionable, ankle), FB Daniel Marx (Out for season, leg), DE Harrison Phillips (Out for season, knee).

              WEATHER: Temperatures in the high-40s under clear skies. Wind expected to blow across the field at around 5 mph.

              WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "The Irish are a one-loss team with a very weak schedule, and even if they win out and beat Stanford, I think it's going to be difficult to make a case for Notre Dame over a BIG12 Champion. The Cardinal are coming off a tough home loss to Oregon on Saturday, but they remain on track to go to the PAC12 Championship Game versus Utah. They still have a slim hope if they can win out, and get a little help."

              ABOUT NOTRE DAME (10-1 SU, 7-4 ATS, 5-6 O/U): The Fighting Irish remained among the top 35 nationally in scoring and total offense despite a shaky outing against Boston College, when quarterback DeShone Kizer threw for 320 yards and two touchdowns along with three interceptions. Stanford ranks second in the Pac-12 in scoring defense and presents a stronger test for Notre Dame, which has freshman Josh Adams (589 rushing yards) ready to start in place of Prosise. Starting linebacker James Onwualu will miss his second straight contest due to a knee injury, but defensive tackle Daniel Cage should return after missing two games with a concussion.

              ABOUT STANFORD (9-2 SU, 8-3 ATS, 5-6 O/U): McCaffrey bolstered his Heisman campaign with a Cardinal-record 389 all-purpose yards and two touchdowns against Cal as Stanford scored at least 30 points for the 10th straight game. Linebacker Blake Martinez is tied for 15th in the nation with 9.9 tackles per game, but the defense likely will be without starting cornerback Ronnie Harris (ankle) for the second straight contest. Stanford, which will be without starting fullback Daniel Marx for the rest of the season due to a leg injury suffered against Cal, leads the nation in time of possession at 35:18 and will face either UCLA or USC in the conference title game.

              TRENDS:

              * Under is 5-0 in the last five meetings.
              * Fighting Irish are 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings in Stanford.
              * Underdog is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
              * Fighting Irish are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games in November.

              CONSENSUS: Fifty-five percent of users are backing the Cardinal.
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • #52
                NCAAF

                Saturday, November 28


                Strong chance of rain in Stillwater Saturday

                According to weather forecasts, there is a 71 percent possibility of rain in Stillwater, OK when the Oklahoma State Cowboys host the Oklahoma Sooners Saturday evening.

                Temperatures in Stillwater are expected to be in the mid-30s with wind blowing across Boone Pickens Stadium at around eight miles per hour.

                The Sooners opened as 6.5-point road favorites, but that has since moved to -7. The total is up to 68 from the opening number of 66.5.


                Clemson winning with ease but not covering spreads

                The Clemson Tigers have won seven consecutive games by double digits, matching the longest streak in program history. That has not equaled success at the betting window, however, as they Tigers have gone just 3-4 against the spread in those previous seven wins.

                Clemson has been a double digit favorite in five of those seven games and have covered as a favorite of 7.5, 9.5 and 13.5 points over that stretch.

                The Tigers visit the South Carolina Gamecocks Saturday afternoon and are currently offered as 17.5-point road favorites.
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • #53
                  SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 28

                  GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

                  ISU at WVU 12:00 PM

                  ISU +14.5 *****


                  CIN at ECU 12:00 PM

                  ECU +2.5


                  LOU at UK 12:00 PM

                  UK +5.0


                  MD at RUTG 12:00 PM

                  MD +2.5


                  SOMIS at LT 12:00 PM

                  SOMIS +5.0 DOUBLE PLAY


                  SMU at MEM 12:00 PM

                  MEM -21.5 BLOW OUT


                  IND at PUR 12:00 PM

                  PUR +7.0


                  OSU at MICH 12:00 PM

                  MICH +1.0 BIG 10 POY


                  CLEM at SOCAR 12:00 PM

                  SOCAR +20.5 DOUBLE PLAY


                  UGA at GT 12:00 PM

                  GT +4.0 DOUBLE PLAY


                  FAU at ODU 12:00 PM

                  ODU +4.0


                  VT at UVA 12:00 PM

                  UVA +3.5 TRIPLE PLAY


                  BC at SYR 12:30 PM

                  SYR +2.5


                  DUKE at WAKE 12:30 PM

                  DUKE -3.5 BLOW OUT


                  UNLV at WYO 02:00 PM

                  WYO +0.0


                  ULL at APP 02:00 PM

                  APP -23.0 TRIPLE PLAY


                  USA at GASO 02:00 PM

                  USA +21.5


                  COLO at UTAH 02:30 PM

                  COLO +16.0 DOUBLE PLAY


                  MTU at UTSA 02:30 PM

                  UTSA +12.0


                  BYU at USU 03:30 PM

                  USU +3.0 UPSET


                  UTEP at UNT 03:30 PM

                  UNT -3.0


                  CHAR at RICE 03:30 PM

                  RICE -11.0


                  NW at ILL 03:30 PM

                  ILL +1.0


                  PSU at MSU 03:30 PM

                  MSU -9.5 BLOW OUT


                  WIS at MINN 03:30 PM

                  MINN +3.0


                  UCLA at USC 03:30 PM

                  UCLA +2.5 DOUBLE PLAY


                  ALA at AUB 03:30 PM

                  AUB +14.5 *****


                  UNC at NCST 03:30 PM

                  UNC -3.5 BLOW OUT


                  ARST at NMSU 04:00 PM

                  NMSU +18.0


                  VAN at TENN 04:00 PM

                  VAN +18.0 DOUBLE PLAY


                  KSU at KU 04:00 PM

                  KU +19.5 *****


                  TXST at IDHO 05:00 PM

                  IDHO -3.5
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • #54
                    CFB EVENING GAMES:

                    CONN at TEM 07:00 PM

                    TEM -11.5 DOUBLE PLAY


                    MISS at MSST 07:15 PM

                    MSST +1.0 TRIPLE PLAY


                    ND at STAN 07:30 PM

                    ND +3.5 BLOW OUT


                    TAM at LSU 07:30 PM

                    LSU -5.5 TRIPLE PLAY


                    FSU at FLA 07:30 PM

                    FLA +2.5 DOUBLE PLAY


                    OKLA at OKST 08:00 PM

                    OKST +7.5 DOUBLE PLAY


                    CSU at FRES 09:00 PM

                    CSU -10.0 *****


                    ASU at CAL 10:00 PM

                    ASU +3.5 TRIPLE PLAY


                    AFA at UNM 10:15 PM

                    AFA -11.0 DOUBLE PLAY


                    NEV at SDSU 10:45 PM

                    NEV +16.5 UPSET


                    ULM at HAW 11:00 PM

                    ULM +6.5 DOUBLE PLAY
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment

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